Chapter 14 THE CONGRESS, THE PRESIDENT, AND THE BUDGET: THE POLITICS OF TAXING AND SPENDING Key Terms Section I Introduction: Key Terms Budget: Policy document allocating/assigns burdens (taxes) and benefits (expenditures) The federal budget for 2016 was $3.54 trillion. Introduction: Key Terms Fiscal Year: Begins on October 1 and ends the following September 30. Fiscal years are notated with FYXXXX or FYXX. The year notates the calendar year when the fiscal year will end. Introduction: Key Terms Expenditures: What the government spends money on Revenues: Sources of money for the government Balanced Budget: When expenditures equal revenues in a fiscal year. Introduction: Key Terms Budget Deficit: An excess of federal expenditures over federal revenues Budget Surplus: An excess of federal revenue over federal expenditures Introduction: Key Terms Monetary Policy: Controlled by the Federal Reserve Board Includes regulating the money supply, controlling inflation and adjusting interest rates. Think Money! Introduction: Key Terms Fiscal Policy: Controlled by the executive and legislative branches. President proposes the federal budget and Congress passes it. Includes raising and lowering taxes and government spending programs. Sources of Federal Revenue Section II Sources of Federal Revenue A. Individual Income Tax The 16th Amendment permitted Congress to levy an income tax. Individual taxes are the largest single revenue source for the government— approximately 46% of tax revenue. How marginal (progressive) tax rates work. Hooper makes $100,000 a year. The first $8,350 of Hooper’s $100,000 income would be taxed at 10%, for a total of $835 in taxes due. The next $25,600 of her income would be taxed at 15%, for a total of $3,840. The next $48,300 of her income would be taxed at 25%, for a total of $12,075. The final $17,750 of her income would be taxed at 28%, for a total of $4,970. Because Hooper earns $100,000 of taxable income, she is said to be in the 28% tax bracket. That’s the percentage she’s taxed on the last dollar she earns. But most of her dollars are taxed at a lower rate. In fact, as a single filer earning $100,000 in taxable income, she’ll owe $21,720 in taxes, which means her effective tax rate will be 21.72% — not 28%. Sources of Federal Revenue C. Social Insurance Taxes aka Payroll Taxes Additional taxes for specific funds Social Security: 6.2% of the first $106,800 of earnings. Medicare; 1.45% of all earnings and employer match. Generates about 36% of federal tax revenue Sources of Federal Revenue B. Corporate Taxes Corporate taxes are paid by corporations Corporate taxes generate approximately 12% of federal tax revenue Sources of Federal Revenue D. Excise Taxes Tax on manufacture, sale or consumption of a good or service. Currently imposed on gasoline, tobacco, alcohol, airline tickets and many other goods and services. Generates about 2.7% of federal tax revenue. Sources of Federal Revenue E. Estate and Gift Taxes Estate tax is levied on assets of someone who dies. Heir pays the tax Gift tax is levied on a gift from a living person to living person. Generates about 1.2% of federal tax revenue. Sources of Federal Revenue F. Custom Duties Custom duties or tariffs are taxes levied on goods brought into the U.S. from abroad. Generates about 1.1% of federal tax revenue. Sources of Federal Revenue Sources of Federal Revenue Borrowing The Treasury Department sells bonds—this is how the government borrows money. The government competes with other lenders. The government does not have a capital budget. Federal Expenditures Section III Mandatory v. Discretionary Spending Federal Expenditures: Mandatory Spending 1. “Uncontrollable” (Mandatory) Expenditures Congress and the president have no power to directly change uncontrollable spending. Over 60% of all federal spending now falls into the uncontrollable category. Examples include Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps, unemployment insurance, veteran’s benefits Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid are approximately 44% of all federal expenditures. Federal Expenditures: Mandatory Spending Entitlement Programs Program that guarantees a specific level of benefits to all people that meet the requirements Person is “entitled” to benefits if they meet the criteria set by the federal government Spending on entitlements is mandated by the Federal law Examples include Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps, unemployment insurance, veteran’s benefits Entitlements are by far the largest portion of uncontrollable benefits in the federal budget Entitlements Positives Provides needed benefits to American citizens Government cannot delay or avoid payment in the budget Negatives No Congressional discretion on money allotted 2/3 of budget Less money for discretionary spending Test Tip Be sure you understand that entitlement programs represent the largest portion of uncontrollable spending in the federal budget. Entitlements, therefore are a formidable barrier to achieving a balanced budget. Federal Expenditures: Mandatory Spending 2. Borrowing “uncontrollable spending” The federal debt now exceeds $18 trillion Approximately 5-9% of all federal expenditures go to pay interest on this debt. The money going to pay interest depends on interest rates. If interest rates rise, then the amount required to service the debt also rises. Federal Expenditures: Discretionary Spending B. Discretionary Expenditures Not required by law. Spending that goes through the appropriations process in Congress each year Defense, agriculture, education, highways, research grants, parks, environment and government operations are all examples of discretionary programs Federal Expenditures: Tax Expenditures Taxes and Public Policy Tax Loopholes: tax breaks or benefits for a few people Tax Expenditures: revenue losses that result from special exemptions, exclusions, or deductions on federal tax law Tax Reduction: the general call to lower taxes Tax Reform: rewriting the tax laws to change the rates and who pays them Federal Expenditures Big Governments, Big Budgets A big government requires lots of money. As the size of government increases, so does its budget. Federal Expenditures The Rise and Decline of the National Security State In the 1950s and 1960s the Department of Defense received more than half the federal budget. Defense now constitutes about one-sixth of all federal expenditures. One reason for growth of government Federal Expenditures The Rise of the Social Service State The biggest part of federal spending is now for income security programs. Social Security is largest program Social Security has been expanded since 1935 to include disability benefits and Medicare. These benefit programs face financial problems with more recipients living longer. Another reason for government growth Test Tip The AP U.S. Government and Politics exam has devoted a number of questions—both MCQs and FRQs—to Social Security. It is very important for you to understand the demographic forces that are combining to threaten the solvency of the Social Security system. The Budgetary Process Section IV The Budgetary Process Budgetary Politics Stakes All The and Strategies political actors have a stake in the budget. Players Lots of players, with the president and Congress playing important roles Almost all committees are involved in the budget. The Budgetary Process: Terms Incrementalism The idea that last year’s budget is the best predictor of this year’s budget, plus some. Agencies can safely assume they will get at least what they got last year. Focus & debate on the increase over last year. Budgets tend to go up a little each year. The Budgetary Process: The Theory Office of Management and Budget (OMB) sends instructions to agencies Agencies send requests to OMB OMB revises the budget The budget reflects the priorities and goals of the president’s policy agenda. The budget process is time consuming—starting nearly a year in advance. The Budgetary Process: The Theory 1. 2. The President submits a budget request to Congress by 2/1 House and Senate Appropriations subcommittees "markup" appropriations bills 3. 4. Tax proposals go to House Ways and Means and Senate Finance committees The House and Senate vote on appropriations bills and reconcile differences The President signs each appropriations bill and the budget becomes law 12 Appropriations Subcommittees Note: Only discretionary spending Video Reconciliation Bills Reconciliation bills are used to change laws around fiscal policy Mandatory Debt Taxes spending Finalizing the Budget By October 1st, all appropriations bills should be passed If they are not passed, Congress has to pass a continuing resolution where agencies run on last year’s budget The Budgetary Process Congress and the Budget Reforming the Process The Congressional Budget and Impoundment Control Act of 1974 It designed to reform the congressional budgetary process established the following: Fixed budget calendar A budget committee in each House The CBO, which advises Congress on the probable consequences of its decisions, forecasts revenues, and is counterweight to OMB Deficits and the National Debt Section V The Budgetary Process Barriers to a Balanced Budget 1. Entitlement programs 2. Incrementalism 3. The idea that last year’s budget is the best predictor of this year’s budget, plus some. Agencies can safely assume they will get at least what they got last year. Focus & debate on the increase over last year. Budgets tend to go up a little each year. Interest groups The Budgetary Process Consequences of Budget Deficits 1. Huge interest payments 2. 3. 2016 - $433 billion Heavy burden on future generations Makes it difficult to fully fund other policy goals The Federal Budget Congress and the Budget: Problems Between 1974 and 1998, every budget was a deficit budget. Since 2002 every budget was a deficit Congress misses most of its own deadlines. Congress passes continuing resolutions to keep the government going until it passes a budget. Omnibus budget bills often contain policies that cannot pass on their own. The Federal Budget Congress and the Budget More Reforms Congress passed bills to try and control the deficits. By 1990, Congress focused on increases in spending. Both parties claimed victory for the budget surpluses that began in 1997. Economic downturn, income tax cuts, and increased military expenditures brought a return to deficits by 2001. Debt v. Deficit : Budget Deficits The amount by which government spending exceeds government revenues in a single year. National Debt The total amount of money the federal government owes to pay for accumulated deficits. Understanding Budgeting Democracy and Budgeting Many politicians “spend” money to buy votes. With many groups and people asking for government assistance, the budgets get bigger. Some politicians compete by trying not to spend money. People like government programs, but they really do not want to pay for them, thus there are deficits and federal debt.
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