The Effect of Short-Term Ventilation Tubes versus Watchful Waiting on Hearing in Young Children with Persistent Otitis Media with Effusion: A Randomized Trial Maroeska M. Rovers, Huub Straatman, Koen Ingels, Gert-Jan van der Wilt, Paul van den Broek, and Gerhard A. Zielhuis Objective: To study the effect of short-term ventilation tubes in children aged 1 to 2 yr with screeningdetected, bilateral otitis media with effusion (OME) persisting for 4 to 6 mo, as compared with watchful waiting. signs and symptoms of an acute infection (Bluestone, 1999; Senturia, Bluestone, Klein, Lim, & Paradise, 1980). The adverse effects of OME on cognitive and linguistic development are generally considered to be the result of conductive hearing loss associated with OME (Vernon-Feagans, 1999). Persistent hearing loss of 25 to 30 dB HL for more than 3 mo has been suggested as an indication for treatment (Freemantle et al., 1992). The most common treatment for OME is still the insertion of ventilation tubes, introduced by Armstrong in 1954 (Armstrong, 1954). Studies on the effectiveness of ventilation tubes for persistent OME showed that short-term improvement in hearing can be attained (Black, Sanderson, Freeland, & Vessey, 1990; Mandel, Rockette, Bluestone, Paradise, & Nozza, 1989; Maw & Herod, 1986). The average hearing levels 6 mo after the insertion of ventilation tubes were in the order of 15 to 20 dB HL, with a mean improvement of 5 to 15 dB compared with baseline (pretreatment) measurement. After 12 mo or longer, however, hearing levels in the treated groups equalled those in nontreated control groups, probably due to spontaneous recovery in the controls and recurrent OME in the treated children (Black et al., 1990; Dempster, Browning, & Gatehouse, 1993; Maw & Herod, 1986). Only the study by Gates (Gates, Avery, Prihoda, & Cooper, 1987) provides information on the mean time spent with effusion: 35% and 49% of the time during a follow-up of 12 mo, in the treated and the control groups, respectively. It should be noted that there was wide variation between the previous studies regarding design and population characteristics, such as the mean duration of OME before randomization, inclusion and exclusion criteria, treatment protocol, types of referent treatment, and outcome measures (other than the mean hearing level). Moreover, all these studies were performed on children between 4 to 8 yr of age (Black et al., 1990; Dempster et al., 1993; Gates et al., 1987; Maw & Herod, 1986). As OME tends to occur more frequently in younger children, many of Design: Multi-center randomized controlled trial (N ⴝ 187) with two treatment arms: short-term ventilation tubes versus watchful waiting. Young children underwent auditory screening; those with persistent (4 to 6 mo) bilateral OME were recruited. Results: The mean duration of effusion over 1-yr follow-up was 142 days (36%) in the ventilation tube (VT) group versus 277 days (70%) in the watchful waiting (WW) group. After 6 mo of follow-up, the pure-tone average in the VT group was 5.6 dB A better than that in the WW group. After 12 mo, most of the advantage in the VT group had disappeared. After the insertion of ventilation tubes, the children with poorer hearing levels at randomization improved more than the children with better hearing levels. The largest difference in hearing levels was found between the children in the VT group whose ventilation tubes remained in situ and the children in the WW group. In the VT children with recurrence of OME, the hearing levels again increased, but remained slightly lower than those in the infants with persistent OME in the WW group. Conclusions: Ventilation tubes have a beneficial effect on hearing in the short run (6 mo); this effect, however, largely disappears in the long run (12 mo). This is probably due to partial recurrent OME in the VT group and to partial spontaneous recovery in the WW group. (Ear & Hearing 2001;22;191–199) Otitis media with effusion (OME) is one of the most common diseases in childhood, and refers to an accumulation of fluid in the middle ear cavity behind an intact tympanic membrane without the Departments of Otorhinolaryngology (M.M.R., K.I., P.v.d.B.), Epidemiology (H.S., G.A.Z.), and Medical Technology Assessment (G.-J.v.d.W.), University Medical Centre, Nijmegen, The Netherlands. 0196/0202/01/2203-0191/0 • Ear & Hearing • Copyright © 2001 by Lippincott Williams & Wilkins • Printed in the U.S.A. 191 192 EAR & HEARING / JUNE 2001 these children will receive ventilation tubes (Engel, Anteunis, & Hendriks, 1999; Stephenson & Haggard, 1992). An important rationale for treatment is to reduce the time with bilateral hearing loss at an age that is critical for speech-language development. This presents the need to study the effect of ventilation tubes on hearing levels in infants of 1 to 2 yr of age, and to find out whether the conclusions drawn from studies on older children are valid in younger children. We performed a multi-center randomized controlled trial in which infants with persistent OME were assigned to either early insertion of short-term ventilation tubes or a watchful waiting period. Data were obtained on aspects such as hearing sensitivity, language development and quality of life. The latter two aspects are described in separate papers (Rovers, Krabbe, Straatman, Ingels, van der Wilt, & Zielhuis, 2001; Rovers, Straatman, Ingels, van der Wilt, van den Broek, & Zielhuis, 2000). In addition to the intention to treat analyses normally performed in randomized controlled trials, we examined the hearing levels over four different periods in these randomized children, namely 1) before assignment to the ventilation tube (VT) or watchful waiting (WW) group; 2) during the period that the tubes were in situ and functioning; 3) during the period that the tubes were extruded and the child remained OME free; and 4) during the period that a child in the VT group was diagnosed with recurrent OME. The research questions related to these periods were: 1) How large was the hearing deficit due to OME? 2) Did hearing levels return to normal after treatment with ventilation tubes? and 3) Did hearing levels remain normal or at least better than those in the WW group after the tubes had been extruded? PATIENTS AND METHODS Patients The trial population was embedded in a cohort, which included 30,099 children born in the Eastern part of the Netherlands between January 1, 1996, and April 1, 1997. All of these children were invited for a routine behavioral hearing screening at the age of 9 mo; 2457 (9%) of them did not respond to this invitation, and another 1474 (5%) children were lost to follow-up during the three subsequent screening tests. The test was performed in a quiet environment in which the parent sits on a chair with the child on his or her lap. The auditory stimuli were presented behind the parent and child, on the right and left, exactly at one meter distance and at an angle of 45°. The frequencies of the sounds presented were between 250 and 8000 Hz, and the intensity of the sound was 35 dB SPL. Each sound was presented for 5 sec. If the child did not react to one of the sounds, the sound was presented again in another standardized way. The screening test was passed if a child did react correctly to all four sounds presented to the right and the left ear. If a child failed the first screening test, he or she was rescreened 1 mo later. If the child also failed this second test, he or she was recalled for a more comprehensive test 1 mo later. During this third test sounds were presented louder than previously. The aim of this was to measure the extent of the hearing loss, although no exact hearing thresholds were obtained. The children were referred when there was no response to sounds at 35 dB (Rovers, Zielhuis, Straatman, Ingels, van der Wilt, & Kauffman-de Boer, 1999). For the purpose of the study, those who failed three times were referred to one of the 13 participating ear, nose, and throat (ENT) outpatient clinics in the region for diagnosis and follow-up (N ⫽ 1081). The parents of infants diagnosed with persistent (4 to 6 mo) bilateral OME (confirmed by tympanometry and otoscopy) in subsequent visits to the ENT surgeon (N ⫽ 386) were asked whether they would give consent for their child to participate in the randomized controlled trial. Children with Down syndrome, sensorineural hearing loss, cystic fibrosis, asthma and cleft palate were excluded. The children for whom informed consent was obtained (N ⫽ 187) were randomly allocated to one of two groups: either treatment with ventilation tubes (N ⫽ 93) (Bevel Bobbins® Entermed BV, Woerden, The Netherlands), or watchful waiting (N ⫽ 94). The two groups were followed for 1 yr with three monthly tympanometry and otoscopy measurements, and audiometry every 6 mo. Information on prognostic factors, such as common colds since birth, attending daycare, etc., was obtained using a questionnaire that was completed by the parents during the first visit to the ENT clinic (Rovers, Zielhuis, Straatman, Ingels, van der Wilt, & van den Broek, 1999). Information on other clinical symptoms, such as adenoidectomy before randomization was obtained by means of a questionnaire that was completed by the ENT surgeon. We obtained approval for this study from the Ethical Committees at the 13 participating hospitals. Methods To increase comparability at baseline, a balanced allocation procedure was employed with five balancing factors: sex, age, season at randomization, educational level of the mother, and hospital. During the trial, tympanometry and audiometry were performed by experienced audiologists (who were not blinded to the assignment of a child); EAR & HEARING, VOL. 22 NO. 3 otoscopy was performed by the ENT surgeon. Tympanometry typically was performed before audiometry, but if a child appeared to be anxious, audiometry was performed first to ease the child. The tympanograms were classified according to Jerger (1970), and OME was defined according to the MOMES protocol (Engel, Anteunis, Volovics, Hendriks, & Marres, 1999); also see Figure 1. To study the percentage children with effusion, we only differed between the presence/absence of bilateral effusion and not between tubes in place and functioning versus occluded tubes. Hearing assessment was performed in standard rooms in the 13 participating hospitals. If no special audiometric test booth was available, a quiet and convenient room was selected. A portable visual reinforcement audiometry set was used, calibrated according to the substitution method in dB A (Rovers, Snik, Ingels, van der Wilt, & Zielhuis, Reference Note 1) as advocated by Beynon and Munro (1993). The noise floor in the test rooms was assessed by measuring sound field hearing thresholds in adults with normal hearing (thresholds of between ⫺5 and ⫹10 dB HL). Averaged over the four frequencies (500, 1000, 2000, and 4000 Hz), the noise level varied per test room from 8.8 dB A to 19.1 dB A, with an average of 13.0 dB A (Rovers et al., Reference Note 1). One should bear in mind that a visual reinforcement audiometry set in fact measures a minimal response level instead of a real mean hearing level. To study the (natural) course of OME during the trial we examined the mean time spent with OME as well as the mean duration that the children had hearing thresholds of poorer or equal to 35 dB A. If a child had OME (hearing thresholds poorer or equal to 35 dB A) on two successive occasions, the days between these measurements were counted as days with effusion (poor hearing thresholds). If on the 193 other hand a child had OME on the first occasion but not on the second, only half of the days were counted as days with effusion. To study the efficacy of the ventilation tubes, we distinguished three different situations: 1) ventilation tubes in situ and functioning; 2) extruded ventilation tubes and no bilateral OME; and 3) extruded ventilation tubes but bilateral effusion. In these analyses we distinguished between tubes in place and functioning, occluded tubes and extruded tubes, whereas the other analyses were based on the intention to treat principle. Functioning and nonfunctioning tubes were distinguished on the basis of tympanometry: if a child had ventilation tubes inserted the ear canal, volume had to be larger than 1.5 cm3. The difference between occluded and extruded tubes had to be based on otoscopy, because this was the only way to determine whether the tube was occluded or extruded. Children diagnosed with otorrhea (diagnosed via otoscopy) were excluded from these analyses. To compare the extrusion rate of the ventilation tubes with those reported in the literature, we also studied the percentage of tubes that were in situ at 3, 6, 9, and 12 mo of follow-up. Statistical Analysis All the analyses were performed according to the intention to treat principle. Differences in mean hearing thresholds in the better ear (at 500, 1000, 2000, and 4000 Hz) at 0, 6, and 12 mo of follow-up between the VT group and WW group were tested with the Student t-test for independent groups. The choice of the better ear was motivated by the etiological model of this trial: to study the effect of treatment with ventilation tubes on developmental outcomes mediated by the conductive hearing deficit in the better ear. However, as the consequences of Figure 1. Algorithm to diagnose otitis media with effusion (MOMES protocol). Type A: compliance > 0.2 mL, pressure > ⴚ100 daPa; Type B: compliance < 0.2 mL, pressure < 200 daPa; Type C1: compliance > 0.2 mL, ⴚ100 daPa < pressure < ⴚ200 daPa; Type C2: compliance > 0.2 mL, pressure < ⴚ200 daPa. 194 EAR & HEARING / JUNE 2001 early onset hearing loss may have to do with loss of binaural hearing ability, we also studied differences between left and right ears or between better and worse ears. To adjust for potential confounders and to explore possible effect modifiers with treatment, we performed regression analyses. Our a priori model was: M(hearing level at T12 ⫺ hearing level at T0) ⫽ 0 ⫹ i ⫻ treatment ⫹ j ⫻ confounders ⫹ k ⫻ treatment ⫻ effect modifiers ⫹ i Potential confounders and/or effect modifiers were age at randomization (⬍20 mo/ⱖ20 mo), adenoidectomy before randomization (yes/no), hospital (1 to 13), season at randomization (1 to 4), number of upper respiratory tract infections since birth (⬎4/ ⱕ4), and hearing loss at baseline (dB A). We also designed a logistic regression model with the same parameters to analyze the effect of ventilation tubes on the probability that children would improve by more than 15 dB. To study the modifying effect of treatment for specific clinical complaints such as upper respiratory tract problems, clusters of children were formed by means of a principal component analysis with two principal components using the following information from the medical history: 1) adenoidectomy; 2) number of common colds; 3) persistence of OME before randomization; and 4) periods of earache and/or fever indicating acute otitis media. Three clusters were formed: 1) children without complaints (N ⫽ 67); 2) children with some complaints (N ⫽ 57); and 3) children with frequent complaints (N ⫽ 55), see also Table 1. RESULTS The Children in the Trial A total of the 187 children were randomized: 93 children entered the ventilation tube (VT) group and 94 children entered the WW group. During the trial period, 11 children dropped out (three children from the VT group and eight from the WW group). In addition, 10 children in the WW group received treatment with ventilation tubes. Eight children in the VT group underwent surgery for ventilation tube insertion twice, because the ventilation tubes were extruded before the 6 mo follow-up. The number of alternative/additional treatments were either equally distributed (adenoidectomy) over both groups, or the children in the VT group received slightly more (antibiotics, nose drops) as compared with the WW group. The mean age of the children at randomization was 19.5 mo (SE ⫽ 1.7) in the VT group and 19.4 mo (SE ⫽ 1.9) in the WW group. Patient characteristics and mean hearing levels during follow-up are shown in Table 2. Tympanometry and Otoscopy At 3-mo follow-up, 13 (15%) of the children in the VT group were diagnosed as having bilateral OME. At 6, 9, and 12 mo follow-up, 29, 27, and 27% of the children in the VT group were diagnosed as having bilateral OME, respectively. In the WW group the percentages were 77, 66, 57, and 53 at 3, 6, 9, and 12 mo follow-up, respectively; see also Figure 2. In the WW group, 25 (27%) children were diagnosed as having bilateral OME at all visits, and 10 (11%) were diagnosed as having bilateral OME only TABLE 1. Description of the three clusters formed by means of principal component analysis (explained variation ⴝ 57%). Cluster 1 (No Complaints) Treatment group Ventilation tube group Watchful waiting group Sex Male Female Adenoidectomy Yes No Fever Yes No Earache Yes No Mean number of visits with common colds Hearing level at baseline Cluster 2 (Some Complaints) Cluster 3 (Frequent Complaints) 31 (46.3%) 36 (53.7%) 31 (54.4%) 26 (45.6%) 28 (50.9%) 27 (49.1%) 36 (53.7%) 31 (46.3%) 33 (57.9%) 24 (42.1%) 35 (63.6%) 20 (36.4%) 0 (0%) 67 (100%) 5 (8.8%) 52 (91.2%) 11 (20.0%) 44 (80.0%) 0 (0%) 67 (100%) 8 (14.0%) 49 (86.0%) 49 (89.1%) 6 (10.9%) 0 (0%) 67 (100%) 0.6 44.4 31 (54.4%) 26 (45.6%) 0.7 44.9 55 (100%) 0 (0%) 0.7 45.4 EAR & HEARING, VOL. 22 NO. 3 195 TABLE 2. Patient characteristics and mean hearing levels in the better (worse) ear during follow-up. Treatment group Ventilation tube group Watchful waiting group Sex Male Female Educational level mother High Middle Low Season at randomization Spring Summer Autumn Winter Age at randomization ⬍20 mo ⱖ20 mo District 1 2 3 4 Number Ventilation Tubes Watchful Waiting Mean (dB) at T⫽0 Mean (dB) at T⫽6 Mean (dB) at T ⫽ 12 ⌬6 (dB) ⌬12 (dB) 93 94 93 — — 94 46.4 (50.1) 43.4 (47.0) 35.8 (39.8) 38.7 (43.6) 33.2 (37.2) 34.7 (38.4) 10.2 (10.1) 4.6 (3.2) 13.1 (12.9) 8.5 (8.3) 110 77 55 38 55 39 43.8 (47.7) 46.2 (49.8) 37.1 (41.4) 37.5 (42.0) 34.2 (37.9) 33.6 (37.6) 6.7 (6.2) 8.4 (7.3) 9.5 (9.6) 12.8 (12.2) 46 92 49 23 45 25 23 47 24 43.5 (47.6) 46.8 (50.2) 42.7 (46.5) 38.8 (43.9) 37.1 (41.1) 36.2 (40.5) 35.3 (39.9) 33.6 (37.3) 33.0 (36.5) 5.7 (4.5) 9.1 (8.4) 5.8 (5.2) 8.7 (8.1) 13.0 (12.7) 8.9 (9.1) 43 47 59 38 20 23 31 19 23 24 28 19 45.9 (49.5) 41.4 (44.6) 45.2 (48.7) 47.4 (51.8) 38.2 (42.5) 37.6 (42.3) 37.6 (42.1) 35.3 (39.3) 31.7 (35.2) 35.2 (38.7) 34.4 (38.4) 34.2 (38.5) 8.3 (7.7) 2.5 (0.9) 7.2 (6.1) 12.3 (12.7) 14.7 (14.8) 5.2 (4.9) 10.9 (10.3) 13.0 (13.0) 145 42 72 21 73 21 44.2 (47.8) 47.2 (51.0) 37.6 (41.7) 36.2 (41.3) 34.5 (38.7) 31.7 (34.6) 6.4 (5.8) 11.1 (9.7) 9.6 (9.6) 15.4 (16.5) 11 125 25 26 7 62 13 11 4 63 12 15 45.5 (49.7) 43.3 (46.8) 47.4 (51.9) 50.2 (53.4) 38.6 (41.9) 37.2 (41.3) 34.2 (37.9) 40.1 (46.0) 32.8 (37.9) 33.9 (37.6) 34.4 (37.7) 34.1 (38.9) 6.8 (2.7) 6.1 (5.2) 12.9 (13.0) 9.2 (6.5) 14.1 (13.5) 9.6 (9.4) 12.0 (13.7) 15.4 (13.7) The underlined difference scores were statistically significant (p ⬍ 0.05). once. In the VT group, three children (3%) were diagnosed as having bilateral OME at all visits, and 44 (47%) of the children were diagnosed as having bilateral OME only at randomization. The estimated mean number of days with bilateral OME in the VT group was 142 days (36%) versus 277 days (70%) in the WW group. Audiometry Figure 3 shows the changes in mean hearing loss in the better ear and worse ear. The mean hearing levels improved in the two groups, but the VT group improved more, especially during the first 6 mo. The improvement at 6 mo follow-up in the VT group in the better ear was 10.2 dB (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.3 to 13.1 dB) versus 4.6 dB (95% CI 2.0 to 7.3 dB) in the WW group (p ⫽ 0.006). At 12 mo follow- Figure 2. Percentage of children with bilateral otitis media with effusion (OME) during follow-up. VT ⴝ ventilation tube; WW ⴝ watchful waiting. up, the improvements were 13.1 dB (95% CI 10.42 to 15.8 dB) and 8.5 dB (95% CI 5.5 to 11.5 dB), respectively (p ⫽ 0.03). The improvements in the worse ear are similar to those in the better ear at 6 and 12 mo follow-up; only the absolute means are slightly higher in the worse ear. The mean hearing deficit in the VT group decreased from about 45 dB A to about 35 dB A; the estimated mean duration with a hearing deficit poorer than or equal to 35 dB A were 50% and 60% of the total follow-up time in the VT group and the WW group, respectively. It should be noted, however, that the noise floor was about 20 dB HL, which means that the mean air bone gap was about 15 dB. The results changed very little when the measurements at 4000 Hz were omitted. Figure 3. The pure-tone average (PTA) in the better and worse ear at 0, 6, and 12 mo follow-up. VT ⴝ ventilation tube; WW ⴝ watchful waiting. 196 EAR & HEARING / JUNE 2001 Unexpectedly, there was a difference of 3 dB in mean hearing levels between the VT group and the WW group at baseline, despite the balanced randomization procedure. This may have been partly due to the fact that, immediately after finding out the result of the randomization allocation, the parents of 19 children, who had given informed consent, withdrew their child from the study. These children were not included in the analyses; 15 had been randomized to the VT group and four to the WW group. Audiometry data on these children showed that the four children randomized to the WW group had poorer hearing levels than the remaining children in the WW group. To adjust for this baseline difference, hearing level at randomization was added as a covariate in the regression analyses. Efficacy Analyses Table 3 shows the results of the efficacy analyses. The largest difference in mean hearing thresholds was found between the children with functioning tubes and the children in the WW group. In the latter the mean hearing thresholds were 38.7 dB A and 34.7 dB A at 6 and 12 mo of follow-up, respectively; the difference between the groups was about 5 dB (p ⫽ 0.0001 and 0.0003 at 6 and 12 mo, respectively). Hearing loss increased between 6 and 12 mo follow-up in the children with recurrent OME in the VT group, but still remained slightly lower (2 to 3 dB, p ⫽ 0.3 and 0.07, respectively) than in the WW group. The differences became larger when the latter hearing levels were compared with those in children in the WW group who did not recover spontaneously: mean hearing loss in these children was 41.1 dB A (SE ⫽ 1.2) and 38.7 dB A (SE ⫽ 1.1) after 6 and 12 mo follow-up, respectively. The hearing losses in the WW children who recovered spontaneously were almost identical to those in the children with functional tubes: 33.6 dB A (SE ⫽ 1.3) and 30.1 dB A (SE ⫽ 0.8) after 6 and 12 mo follow-up, respectively. At 3, 6, 9, and 12 mo of follow-up, 92%, 76%, 56%, and 30% of the tubes were still in situ, respectively. Regression Analyses In the univariate analysis with hearing improvement at 6 mo as the dependent variable, season and hearing level at randomization appeared to be confounders. In the multivariate analysis, only hearing level at randomization was a confounder (disturbing the relation between treatment and hearing level) and an effect modifier (children with a higher hearing level at randomization improved more than children with a lower hearing level at randomization). The final linear models for the better and worse ear are shown in Table 4A. From this model it was possible to calculate the improvement in hearing levels in the two groups over the various categories of hearing thresholds at randomization. For example, when the hearing loss in the better ear at randomization was 50 dB, a child in the VT group improved by 15.9 dB while a similar child in the WW group improved by 11.4 dB. In the univariate analysis with improvement at 12 mo as dependent variable, hearing level at randomization, season and age at randomization appeared to be important covariates. In the multivariate linear model, hearing level and age at randomization acted as confounders (see Table 4B). The difference in hearing improvement at 12 mo follow-up between the VT group and WW group, adjusted for the hearing level and age at randomization, was 1.6 dB (95% CI ⫺0.6 to 3.6) for the better ear and 1.5 dB (95% CI ⫺1.0 to 4.0) for the worse ear. Ten children in the WW group received treatment with ventilation tubes during follow-up. A sensitivity analysis showed that the treatment effects in the intention-to-treat analysis did not change when we analyzed these 10 children as treated or when they were omitted from the analysis. A further 11 children dropped out in the trial period (eight from the WW group and three from the VT group). There was a difference in the mean hearing level at randomization in the three children withdrawn from the VT TABLE 3. The efficacy of the ventilation tubes in the VT group.* Months of Follow-Up 6 12 VT In Situ Bilateral OME Number of Children** Mean Hearing Deficit (dB A) SE (dB A) Yes No No Yes No No No No Yes No No Yes 49 — 8 26 7 5 32.5 — 36.1 29.9 32.5 32.9 0.8 — 2.8 0.8 2.9 2.1 * For reference at 6 and 12 mo follow-up, hearing deficits in the WW group were 38.7 dB A (SE ⫽ 1.0) and 34.7 dB A (SE ⫽ 0.8), respectively. ** The total number was lower than the 94 due to missing values for tympanograms and/or otoscopy (N ⫽ 23 and 37 at 6 and 12 mo follow-up, respectively) as well as due to the exclusion of children with ottorhea (N ⫽ 12 and 10 children at 6 and 12 mo follow-up, respectively). VT ⫽ ventilation tube; WW ⫽ watchful waiting; OME ⫽ otitis media with effusion. EAR & HEARING, VOL. 22 NO. 3 197 TABLE 4A. The final model with ⌬hearing level in the better (worse) ear as dependent variable at 6 mo follow-up. Co-variable Estimate SE Intercept (␣) Group Watchful waiting Ventilation tubes (ref) Hearing at baseline (dB) Interaction (Group ⫻ hearing baseline) 39.1 (41.9) 4.7 (5.7) ⫺10.5 (⫺10.7) — 6.0 (7.6) — 0.084 (0.15) — ⫺1.1 (⫺1.0) 0.1 (0.1) 0.0001 (0.0001) 0.3 (0.3) 0.1 (0.2) 0.023 (0.04) p-value Maximal Contrast (N ⫽ 166, with 82 children in the watchful waiting group and 84 in the ventilation tube group). TABLE 4B. The final model with ⌬hearing level in the better (worse) ear as dependent variable at 12 mo follow-up. Co-variable Estimate SE Intercept (␣) Group Watchful waiting Ventilation tubes (ref) Hearing at baseline (dB) Age at baseline ⬍20 months ⱖ20 months (ref) 32.7 (32.6) 2.9 (3.5) ⫺1.6 (⫺1.5) — ⫺1.0 (⫺1.0) 1.1 (1.3) 0.16 (0.25) — — 0.1 (0.1) 0.0001 (0.0001) 2.6 (4.2) — analysis without those having had adenoidectomies revealed no differences between the clusters. p-value 1.4 (1.5) 0.06 (0.01) — — (N ⫽ 166, with 80 children in the watchful waiting group and 86 in the ventilation tube group). Spontaneous resolution and recurrence of OME in the WW group obscured the contrast in underlying disease between the VT group and the WW group. To test our etiological model (effusion causes hearing deficits) we compared the children with effusion during the whole follow-up period (N ⫽ 28) with the children who were effusion-free during the whole follow-up period (N ⫽ 54); note that in this analysis the original randomized intervention was disregarded. After adjustment for hearing level at randomization, the mean hearing level in the children who were diagnosed as only having bilateral effusion at randomization showed a greater improvement of 6.8 dB compared with the children with effusion during the whole follow-up (p ⫽ 0.007). The absolute hearing levels in the children who were effusion-free during the follow-up were 34.1 dB A (SE ⫽ 1.0) and 30.8 dB A (SE ⫽ 0.7) at 6 and 12 mo, respectively. In the children with bilateral effusion during the entire follow-up the hearing levels were 40.8 dB A (SE ⫽ 1.7) and 39.3 dB A (SE ⫽ 1.5), respectively. DISCUSSION group (mean hearing level of 59.2 dB A). However, these three children will have little impact on the overall results. Logistic Regression The final logistic model is described by: Logit P(⬎15 dB A) ⫽ 0.39 ⫺ 1.11 ⫻ treatment. Therefore, the probability of a greater than 15 dB improvement is 0.40 (95% CI 0.31 to 0.51) and 0.18 (95% CI 0.11 to 0.28) in the VT group and WW group, respectively. In other words, the children in the VT group were 2.2 times more likely to improve by at least 15 dB than the children in the WW group. Principal Component Analyses The subgroup of children with some complaints (upper respiratory tract infections, earache, and fever, which might indicate acute otitis media) appeared to benefit more from treatment with ventilation tubes (improvement 8.5 dB) than the children with no complaints or frequent complaints. It should be noted that 11 children in the latter cluster had undergone adenoidectomy before randomization. As these young children probably underwent adenoidectomy because of illness, the results suggest a positive effect of adenoidectomy on hearing improvement during the trial period. A principal component Some aspects of the findings in this study confirm those reported in other randomized controlled studies on surgery for OME in older children (Black et al., 1990; Dempster et al., 1993; Gates et al., 1987; Maw & Herod, 1986 ). The effect of ventilation tubes on group average hearing levels was evident at 6 mo follow-up, but most of the advantage had disappeared by the 1 yr followup. In agreement with the results of the study by Gates et al. (1987) effusion was present for about one third of the follow-up period in the VT group. The percentage of tubes that remained both functioning and in place (92%, 76%, 56%, and 30% at 3, 6, 9, and 12 mo follow-up, respectively) are in agreement with the findings of Gibb and Mackenzie (1985) who studied Reuter Bobbins®. In this study we chose to use short-term tubes (Bevil Bobbins®) because in Europe these are routinely used in infants receiving tubes for the first time. The results of this study are therefore only generalizable to short-term tubes. It is possible that the advantage of ventilation tubes may extend beyond 6 mo if a longer term tube had been used. It should be emphasised that the children in our study were much younger than those in previous trials. The mean age at randomization in our study was 19 mo compared with 4 yr and older in 198 EAR & HEARING / JUNE 2001 all the other studies. Therefore, comparisons with the literature might not always be meaningful. The children in our study were referred to an ENT Department after they had failed a population based auditory screening test, whereas in the other studies the children were recruited by means of referral by GPs, speech and hearing centers, or other hospital departments because of hearing problems and/or behavior problems. This might imply that the children in the present study had milder hearing loss than those in previous studies. Because of the young age of the children and the test situation (quiet rooms instead of soundproof booths), the noise floor was about 20 dB. Hearing thresholds better than this noise floor were not detectable, which might have resulted in an underestimation of the hearing benefit. On the other hand, the noise floor is acceptable for multi-center clinical trials on hearing sensitivity in OME-prone children: most regular hospitals do not have audiometry sets or test rooms that are suitable for testing young children. Therefore, a portable VRA was the only alternative to referring all the children to the nearest Audiological Centre, which would have resulted in an increased burden for the parents and hence would have decreased the accrual rate. In conclusion, this study has shown that ventilation tubes improve the hearing levels in infants with persistent bilateral OME. The magnitude and duration of this effect, however, is limited. Whether this provides sufficient justification for treatment in this age group also depends on other effects, such as possible improvement in language development or in quality of life. These effects need to be studied before conclusions can be drawn about the (cost) effectiveness of treatment with ventilation tubes in infants who are diagnosed as having persistent OME after referral from a screening program. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank the parents and children who took part in this study, the audiologists who performed tympanometry and audiometry, the ENT surgeons* who performed otoscopy and provided medical management, Joost Engel and Ad Snik for their valuable suggestions concerning this paper, and Sonja van Oosterhout for both trial management and data entry. This project was funded by the Dutch Investigative Medicine Fund of the National Health Insurance Board. *ENT surgeons and centers: J. van Leeuwen, Rijnstate Hospital, Arnhem; G. Pluimers, H. Vencker, J. Mol, and A. 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