measures connected to the diversion tunnel on the river Nakra that will transfer water to the Nenskra reservoir. This neglect increases the safety hazards posed to 396 inhabitants of the Nakra community who have suffered of damaging effects of landslides, mudflows and other geotechnical and geodynamic processes. In light of the historic geological instability and natural hazards such as mudflows and landslides in the Nakra community area, we deem the Nenskra HPP derivation channel as a structure that is aggravating incommensurably risks to our safety. The investor’s failure to properly study and assess these risks and propose adequate mitigation measures within the Environmental and Social Impact Assessment process has increased our worries about the project implementation. We appeal to the EIB to withdraw from appraising the Nenskra HPP project for financing so to avoid the impending threat to our safety. Problem description Located on the steep slopes of the Nakra river gorge and in the narrow valley along the river stream, the community of Nakra has historically suffered of geological instability and natural risks. Heavy snow fall and snow melting have triggered avalanches and caused ecological migration out of the villages. A part of the population was resettled as a consequence of the January 1987 avalanches. Avalanches keep affecting the village and causing outmigration till the day. Two tributaries of the Nakra river – Lekverari and Laknashera – have affected the village with repeated mudflows occurring during torrential rains and snow-melting. Strong mudflows torrents hit the village in 2006, 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2016 and they left damage on houses, bridges and other property. In 2010, the Laknashera river covered the village cemetery and agricultural plots with debris. A year later, the Lekvereri river washed away a plot of land of a household and caused material damage to the property. Figure 1: The remains of the Lekverari river mudflow inside Nakra village. Figure 2: The remains of the Laknashera river mudflow upstream from the Nakra village. The latest mudflow on the Lekverari river occurred in the night of June 30, 2016 damaging several properties and destroying two bridges.2 The mudflows have repeatedly brought large amounts of silt and stones close to the village center and have been eventually washed away by the Nakra river. 2 Further photo and video documentation: Landslides are observed at the area of the transfer tunnel as well as inside the village. A number of houses in Nakra have been sliding off the slope. A number of agricultural and pasture plots inside the village have been damaged by landslides and mudflows. Next to the mudflows and landslides, geodynamic processes have likely posed additional threat to the property and safety of the Nakra residents. As documented in the enclosed photographs, a number of houses located at a varying distance from the Nakra river have suffered of cracks. Figure 3: Lekverari river mudflow on July 1, 2016 Figure 5: Collapsing walls of a house in Nakra Figure 4: Lekverari river mudflow on July 1, 2016 Figure 6: Cracking wall in a house in Nakra We have observed that the frequency of mudflows and landslides has increased over the time. This trend is also noted by the Upper Svaneti Climate Change Adaptation Strategy that warns against the intensification of the hazardous geological processes in the region.3 The Nakra deputies and individual residents have raised their concern with natural hazards and the urgent need for climate resilience measures with the regional and national authorities. The Upper Svaneti Climate Change Adaptation Strategy4 has recognized the critical situation in Nakra and set up a goal of minimizing mudflow risks in the river gorge through field studies and an appropriate action plan. We have no information about the progress of the field examinations or the action plan. Nakra river has effectively acted as a prevention to the lake formation and flooding during the mudflows. Its current has transported sediments away from the village within hours or days from the moment the mudflow occurred. The plan to build a transfer tunnel for the Nenskra dam upstream from the Nakra village increases our fears is that if water is diverted from the Nakra river, the remaining volume in the river will have reduced capacity to clean the debris brought by the potential mudflows on the Nakra tributaries. We worry that this could lead to ponding and eventual flooding of the village. Figure 7: Remains of a ponding caused by a mudflow in the Nakra village in June 2016 Figure 8: Nakra resident at his land-sliding plot Project assessment Given the precarious situation and the safety concerns in Nakra, thorough geological and geomorphological survey must have been conducted within the project Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA). Yet, the geological and geomorphological baseline investigations and assessment along the Nakra river valley are absent from the project ESIA study. 3 Specifically, the document notes cyclical nature of the geological risks observed in 1987, 1997-1998, 2004, 2011-2012. 4 Upper Svaneti Adaptation Strategy to the Climate Change. UNDP Georgia. 2014. We believe that due to the highly unsatisfactory geological and geomorphological survey, the existing ESIA underestimates the risks arising from the operation of the Nenskra HPP scheme and misclassifies them as medium.5 The ESIA geotechnical risk assessment in Nakra is limited literally to a paragraph: “During the operation phase, Lekvedari River, which is characterized by mudflows and which runs North to Naki village, may pose some significant threat to the population of this village. Lekvedari River valley is located in the North of Naki village and joins Nakra River from right side. The river valley is strongly eroded and during abundant rainfall mudflows are generated with large amount of solid sediments. At present, solid sediment is regularly washed by Nakra River water and therefore, the risk of spreading mudflow to the village is reduced. After Nakra dam is being operated, only ecological flow will be released downstream of the dam and major part of water will be discharged in Nenskra River valley through the tunnel. Therefore, the river will lose the capacity of transporting solid sediment brought by Lekvedari River, due to which the riverbed may be blocked and mudflow may spread towards the village. Although there is no a high risk of developing this scenario, appropriate mitigation measures should be considered.” 6 We are informed that a supplementary package to the ESIA containing an additional geological assessment is under the preparation by the investor. To our knowledge, geological investigations were conducted in the area of the diversion tunnel thru June-September 2016. Since then, the works have been stopped. We remain worried about the thoroughness of the survey and the quality of findings that such a short survey can render. We also have doubts about whether the survey is extensive enough to cover all the geotechnical and geodynamic risks and examine the downstream parts of the valley, including the Nakra community. Without a proper survey, reliable predictions cannot be made as to future risks of the Nenskra hydropower scheme operation. Importantly, the geotechnical investigations omit to include: - an inventory of landslides in the Nakra valley area (including their causes, scale, timing, frequency of occurrence, stability, etc.) - an inventory of mudflows on the Lekverari, Laknashera and possible other tributaries of the Nakra river (including their causes, scale, timing, frequency of occurrence, stability, etc.) - a study of slope instability along the entire length of the Nakra river valley The geodynamic investigations are missing altogether. In particular, investigations of geodynamic or geotechnical processes that have caused damage to the houses, plots and other property in Nakra are pending. Project mitigation Detailed prevention, mitigation and remedial measures are missing from the current ESIA. The mitigation outlined in the ESIA concentrates on the eventual lake formation as a result of a mudflow. “The most important mitigation measure is that during the flood a full flow of Nakra River should be released downstream of the dam in order to ensure downstream transportation of solid sediment from Lekvedari River. It should be noted that protection of Naki village area is still relevant matter, as mudflow hazard is also expected from upper part of Lekvedari River and activation of such processes will not be related to the operation of Nakra dam.”7 5 Environmental and Social Impact Assessment Report. Project on the Construction and Operation of Nenskra HPP. „Nenskra” JSC. Executor: Gamma Consulting Ltd. Tbilisi 2015. p. 356. 6 Ibid., p. 353. 7 Ibid. p. 353. “During the flood periods, the total volume of the river flow should be released downstream of Nakra dam in order to minimize the risk of solid sediment (brought from Lekvedari River) accumulation in Nakra riverbed and to minimize negative impact on Nakra village.”8 This is highly unsatisfactory presentation of the mitigation efforts. The ESIA fails to present a detailed management plant that would describe the individual steps to be taken in the risks monitoring, equipment readiness, flooding response plan, etc. Given the unsatisfactory character of the investigations so far, we are concerned that inappropriate mitigation measures would be proposed by the investor within the additional ESIA study and result in heightened risks to the affected community. Conclusions Geological instability and natural hazards have caused destruction of farming and forest lands and disturbance of human lives, houses and other property in the community of Nakra. Detailed geomorphological and geodynamic investigations within the entire Nakra river valley area have not been undertaken as a part of the Nenskra HPP project ESIA. Thorough assessment of related hazards and the preventive and mitigation measures have not been outlined either. This has undermined our trust in the proper assessment and implementation of the project. Given the general geological instability of the Nakra area, we remain convinced the project will increase the existing safety risks. We see this as serious enough reason for the EIB to stop the appraisal of the project. Good faith efforts to address the issues 1. Participated in Number of individual meetings with Investor including in Nakra and in Chuberi raising this concerns; 2. Meeting with representatives of the International Financial Institutions (ADB, EBRD) together with Investor in Nakra; 3. Regular contacts with the Investor; 4. Number of protest actions in Chuberi, in Nakra as well as in Tbilisi in front of EIB and ADB offices – More than 10 protest rallies including blockade of the road in Chuberi in May 2016; 5 Collective approach to the Minister of Environment; September 25, 2015: http://greenalt.org/wpcontent/uploads/2015/09/Nenskra_-collective.pdf 6. Collective approach to the IFIs on Nenskra; April 18, 2016: http://greenalt.org/wpcontent/uploads/2016/04/mimarTva_chuberidan_2016.pdf 7. Response of the EBRD; May 6, 2016: http://greenalt.org/wpcontent/uploads/2016/05/%E1%83%9E%E1%83%90%E1%83%A1%E1%83%A3%E1%83%AE%E1%83%98_%E1%83 %AD%E1%83%A3%E1%83%91%E1%83%94%E1%83%A0%E1%83%98%E1%83%A1_%E1%83%97%E1%83%94%E1 %83%9B%E1%83%A1.pdf 8. Response approach to EBRD; May 23, 2016: http://greenalt.org/wpcontent/uploads/2016/05/EBRD_response_of_chuberi.pdf 9. Participation in Roundtable meetings orginised by different organisations including NGOs. 8 Ibid. p. 354.
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