Natural Resources in a Diversified Portfolio Evy Hambro, Chief Investment Officer Natural Resources Team, London 3rd November 2016 FAEGLO-0251 Mining Where are we in the cycle*? Euromoney Global Mining Index – last 15 years 900 800 Commodity super-cycle GFC China stimulus post GFC China economic slowdown Where next for the mining sector? Jan-16 appears to have marked the bottom for the mining sector 700 The situation in China has improved but global economic growth likely to remain low Index level 600 Mining companies have improved their financial positions 500 400 We expect capex to remain low and the focus to remain on improving balance sheets 300 We believe quality will win through over the medium to longer-term 200 100 0 Source: Datastream, September 2016 Past performance is not a guide to future performance. GFC stands for Global Financial Crisis. Capex stands for capital expenditure- Capital expenditure is the amount of money a company spends on capital such as new equipment. Forecasts may not come to pass. *A cycle refers to a series of events that are regularly repeated in the same order. FAEGLO-0251 3 The mining sector still unloved Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Fund Manager Survey (FMS) 30 200 20 180 10 Performance rebased Percentage 160 0 140 -10 120 -20 100 -30 -40 80 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 FMS Net % say OW materials 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Sector performance versus world RHS The sector’s recent outperformance has caused pain to the relative performance of many investor’s portfolios Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Fund Manager Survey, September 2016. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. OW stands for overweight. Sector performance versus world refers to resources equities versus world equity index. FAEGLO-0251 4 A strong run in 2016 but only back to June 2015 levels Sector performance in 2016 – Rebased to 100 Sector performance last 2 years – Rebased to 100 170 120 160 110 China A share market crash 100 Rebased to 100 Rebased to 100 150 140 130 120 110 90 80 70 60 100 50 90 40 80 30 Euromoney Global Mining Index Base Metals Index Renminbi devaluation Glencore’s share price falls 30% in one day Iron Ore (63.5% concentration) CDS spreads blow up Gold Whilst the sector has performed strongly in 2016, it has only returned to June 2015 levels Source: Datastream, September 2016. Reference to commodities, companies and indices mentioned in this communications is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those commodities, companies or indices. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. CDS stands for credit default swap which are swaps where the seller agrees to compensate the buyer in the event a particular debt issuer defaults FAEGLO-0251 5 Concerns around debt in the mining sector have eased Glencore 1,400 Teck Resources 2,500 6 18 16 1,200 5 2,000 14 1,000 12 600 1,500 10 8 US $ 3 Basis points 800 US $ Basis points 4 1,000 6 2 400 4 500 1 200 2 0 0 0 0 Glencore - 5 year CDS spread - LHS Teck Resources - 5 year CDS spread - LHS Glencore - share price - RHS Teck Resources - share price - RHS Last year performance was driven by changing concerns around debt levels. This year performance driven by: improved sentiment towards China, rising commodity prices and companies strengthening balance sheets Source: Datastream, September 2016. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communications is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. CDS stands for credit default swap which are swaps where the seller agrees to compensate the buyer in the event a particular debt issuer defaults FAEGLO-0251 6 Earnings forecast Difference between 2016 spot price and consensus 16% 14.7% 10.5% 10.1% Percent 10% 8.6% 8% 6% 4.9% 4.6% 3.5% 4% 1.9 1.9% 2% 0% -0.1% -2% 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 Automobiles & Components Materials Energy Utilities Software & Services Transportation Food Beverage & Tobacco Real Estate Food & Drug Retailing Cons. Durables & Apparel Health Care Equipment Pharmaceuticals Europe Commercial Services Media Household Insurance Capital Goods Tech Hardware Telecom Hotel Restaraunts Retailing Div Financials Banks Semiconductor 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 14% 12% 3-month earnings revision ratio Zinc Thermal Coal Lead Silver Brent Nickel Gold Iron Ore Copper 2016 spot 2,270 61.8 1,958 19.03 46.6 9,819 1,324 53 4,766 2016 Consensus 1,979 55.9 1,779 17.53 44.4 9,385 1,280 52 4,773 % difference +14.7% +10.5% +10.1% +8.6% +4.9% +4.6% +3.5% +1.9% -0.1% Commodity prices have surprised to the upside in 2016 Source: Top-left and bottom: Bloomberg, September 2016. Top-right: Bank of America Merrill Lynch, September 2016. Reference to the names of each commodity mentioned in this communications is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those commodities. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. The earnings revision ratio is the net number of analyst upgrades, expressed as a proportion of the number of forecasts. 7 China’s– it’s about quality, not quantity China targets an L-shaped growth* as it transits into a consumption-led growth model 15% Monetary Policy: From loose to stable; reduce funding cost 12% 9% Property Policy: Increasingly divergent FX Policy: Stabilizing expectation but still pressured vs. USD Fiscal Policy: From conservative to more proactive 6% 3% 0% Consumption Gross capital formation & net exports Source: UN Centre of statistics, as at October 2016. FX Policy stands for foreign exchange policy, it refers to the effective management of currency reserves. Fiscal policy is the means by which a government adjusts its spending levels and tax rates to monitor and influence a nation's economy. *L-shaped growth means that after the market or economy has reached the lowest point, comprising the vertical part of the L, the economy then takes on a very slow recovery, comprising the horizontal part of the L. FAEGLO-0251 8 Improving economic activity builds on our case for stable to increasing demand 6 month changes in OECD leading indicators 2.00 1.50 1.00 Percent 0.50 0.00 -0.50 -1.00 -1.50 -2.00 2011 2012 2013 China 2014 US 2015 2016 Europe Source : Bank of America Merrill Lynch, October 2016. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. OECD stands for Organisation for economic cooperation and development. FAEGLO-0251 9 Valuation: Free Cash Flow (FCF) Major bulk commodity producers $50 15% $40 12% $30 9% $20 6% $10 3% $0 0% ($10) -3% ($20) -6% ($30) -9% Annual FCF ($bn) 1yr Forward FCF Yield (%)^ Gold miners $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 $0 ($1) ($2) ($3) ($4) 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% Annual FCF (bn) 1yr Forward FCF Yield (%) FCF Yield at Spot Source: Jefferies, September 2016. . Forecasts may not come to pass. Free cash flow is a measure of a company’s financial performance, calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Free Cash Flow Yield is an indicator that compares free cash flow and market cap. It is a representation of the income created by an investment. FAEGLO-0251 10 Gold Macro backdrop: Political risk is increasingly prevalent Country Election Date Spain In the 24 months following the Brexit referendum, 85% of Eurozone GDP will go to the polls % of Eurozone GDP June 2016 Netherlands European Union March 2017 France Eurozone with upcoming election / referendum April 2017 Eurozone Germany September 2017 Italy Finland 2% February 2018 Possible Eurozone Referendum 28% US Election 7% 0.2% 21% 11% 16% Source: Reuters, Oxford Economics, 31st December 2015. Bottom left: Businessinsider.com and time.com – accessed 07/06/16. GDP stands for Gross Domestic Product. FAEGLO-0251 12 Macro backdrop: Increased correlations leave nowhere to hide Equity and bond correlation – 2 year rolling y-o-y price changes between S&P 500 and US 10Y bonds 60% 40% 0% -20% -40% -60% -80% -100% Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jul-12 Sep-12 Nov-12 Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Percent 20% Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream, September 2016. Y-O-Y stands for year-on-year. Correlation is a mutual relationship or connection between two or more things. Equity is the value of shares issued by a company. A bond is an instrument of debt issued to the holders. FAEGLO-0251 13 Diminishing opportunity cost associated with holding gold Percentage of government debt with negative yield (horizontal axis) vs. total outstanding debt level (bubble size) 1: Sweden 2: Denmark 3: Slovakia 4: Finland 5: Austria Germany 1 Portugal 2 Ireland France Spain Italy 4 Switz. 5 3 Japan Neth. Belgium 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Gold no longer has a meaningful opportunity cost associated with holding it in comparison to other safe haven assets as many of these (e.g. government bonds) have low or even negative yields. Source: Goldman Sachs, September 2016. Opportunity cost is the loss of other alternatives when one alternative is chosen. The yield is the income return on an investment. FAEGLO-0251 14 The gold sector had lost its way… 2011-2012 2013 Gold industry uses ever higher gold price assumptions and management teams embark on increasingly ambitious projects Throughout this period: Long-term shareholders (including BLK Natural Resources team) increasingly vocal calling for better capital discipline and a greater focus on returning capital to shareholders The industry begins to make changes in response to poor share price performance: increasing dividends, senior management turnover However, too little too late and as the gold price falls the industry is very badly positioned and everything collapses A significant portion of ounces that were brought into reserves over the previous 5 years now worthless 2013 performance: rebased to 100 140 120 Annual percentage change 2010 2011 100 2012 80 60 Price of gold bullion +29.4% +11.1% 40 +5.6% 20 0 FTSE Gold Mines Index +29.0% -15.9% -15.4% Gold bullion FTSE Gold Mines Index MSCI World Index Source: Datastream, March 2016 Source: Datastream, March 2016 Reference to the indices mentioned in this communications is merely for. explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those indices. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. . FAEGLO-0251 15 … but appears to be back on track Drastic changes in the gold industry Companies focus on cutting operating and capital costs Corporate costs slashed Exploration budgets reigned in Development projects cancelled or postponed Beta returns Cost pressures evaporate due to broader Natural Resources depression Source : BMO, February 2016. Reference to the indices mentioned in this communications is merely for. explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those indices. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. . FAEGLO-0251 16 Past performance is no guide to future performance but has the rise just begun? Bull markets compared: Datastream Gold Mining Index – Bull markets since 1976 800 700 600 Rebased to 100 500 400 300 We are here 200 100 1 8 15 22 29 36 43 50 57 64 71 78 85 92 99 106 113 120 127 134 141 148 155 162 169 176 183 190 197 204 211 218 225 232 239 246 253 260 267 274 281 288 295 302 309 316 323 330 337 344 351 358 365 372 379 386 0 Weeks 08/1976 - 10/1980 11/2000 - 03/2008 10/2008 - 04/2011 12/2015 - 10/2016 Source: Datastream, October 2016. Past performance is not a guide to current or future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. Reference to the index mentioned in this communications is merely for. explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of the index. A bull market is a market in which share prices are rising. FAEGLO-0251 17 Energy Energy market outlook Current oil prices are unsustainable Returns in the energy sector will need to improve to incentivize investment Oil prices will therefore need to rise and / or costs need to fall (we expect a combination of both) Historically, the energy sector has performed very strongly when returns in the sector have started to improve We believe we are past the point of maximum oversupply in the oil market and we expect it to tighten from here – global growth is the key risk to this This could provide a supportive backdrop but near term risks and volatility is likely to remain Valuations are at extreme relative lows BlackRock 2016. There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass. Any investments named within this material may not necessarily be held in any accounts managed by BlackRock. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Volatility refers to the fluctuation in value (how much the value increases and decreases). FAEGLO-0251 19 Capital is being constrained at current oil prices Project deferrals globally Production decline by resource type Cumulative oil production capacity lost due to project deferrals 100 6 90 80 5 Million barrels / day Million barrels / day 70 4 3 60 50 40 30 20 2 10 0 1 2014 Required New Production New Production Shale Oil Shallow Water 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2017 2020 Biofuels Processing Grains Deep Water Land Conventional Decline rates mean that significant investment is needed for oil production to just stand still Source: Left: Rystad, Platts, Bloomberg, Evercore ISI Energy Research, July 2016 . Right: Schlumberger Presentation – Scotia Howard Weil Conference March 2015. This material is not intended to be relied on as a forecast. There is no guarantee that estimated numbers will come to pass. FAEGLO-0251 20 Oil market: supply / demand outlook Non OPEC Production – Year on year Global supply and demand looks set to tighten Millions of barrels per day 3 US Production (m) Rest of World (Non-OPEC excl. US) (m) 2 1 0 -1 -2 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 We appear to be past the point of maximum oversupply in the oil market and we expect it to tighten from here Source: Left: Thomson Reuters Datastream, latest datapoint (May) as of August 2016, Right: Wood MacKenzie, Sept 2016 . There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. OPEC stands for organisation for petroleum exporting countries. FAEGLO-0251 21 Valuations at relative lows Relative P/B valuation at historic lows Relative P/B (US Energy Equities / US Equities) Current relative P/B 1.1 1.0 Relative P/B 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 Energy equities are being priced as if the sector’s returns are structurally impaired Source: HOLT, Credit Suisse, August 2016. Depicts US Energy relative to US Equities. PB stands for price to book. The price-to-book ratio is a financial ratio used to compare a company’s current market price to its book value. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. FAEGLO-0251 22 Commodities Income Investment Trust Commodities Income Investment Trust – Asset allocation Energy – 51.3% Mining – 56.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.4% 1.9% 5.3% 2.5% 3.5% 22.0% 23.3% 9.9% 23.9% 13.2% Integrated Exploration and production Oil services Refining & Marketing Diversified Gold Copper Silver Fertilizers Diamonds Steel Industrial Minerals Source: BlackRock. Data as at 30/09/16. Data shown above is for illustrative purposes only and does not necessarily represent the current or future allocation of the fund. Exposure can exceed 100% due to gearing in the fund. Gearing refers to the level of a company’s debt related to its equity capital, usually expressed in percentage form. Gearing is a measure of a company’s financial leverage and shows the extent to which its operations are funded by lenders versus shareholders. Reference to the names of each company and index mentioned in this communications is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies or indices. Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise. FAEGLO-0251 24 Commodities Income Investment Trust – Sector breakdown & Top ten holdings Top 10 Holdings Stock Geography: Location of assets Region of risk Exposure Africa 7.8% Royal Dutch Shell Global 7.0% BHP Billiton Global 6.9% Rio Tinto Global 6.3% Exxon Mobil Global 5.2% BP Global 3.8% Newcrest Australia 3.4% Glencore Global 3.3% Enbridge North America 3.2% Anadarko Global 3.0% First Quantum Minerals* Global Africa ex South Africa Australasia Latin America USA Canada South Africa Europe ex UK Source: BlackRock. Data as at 30/09/16. *Includes debt and equity investment. Data shown above is for illustrative purposes only and does not necessarily represent the current or future allocation of the fund. Exposure can exceed 100% due to gearing in the fund. Gearing refers to the level of a company’s debt related to its equity capital, usually expressed in percentage form. Gearing is a measure of a company’s financial leverage and shows the extent to which its operations are funded by lenders versus shareholders. Reference to the names of each company and index mentioned in this communications is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies or indices. Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise. FAEGLO-0251 25 Yield vs Broader Market Dividend Yield* of BLK Commodities Income Investment Trust vs FTSE All Share & Average UK Investment Trust BLK Commodities Income Investment Trust FTSE All Share UK Investment Trusts Total Market (Datastream Index) 15 Dividend Yield % 13 11 9 7 5 3 1 Nov 05 Nov 06 Nov 07 Nov 08 Nov 09 Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12 Nov 13 Nov 14 Nov 15 Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream Nov 2005 (Trust inception) – 10/10/16 (most recently available data). Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise. Reference to the index mentioned in this communications is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies or indices. *Dividend yield is a financial ratio that shows how much a company pays out in dividends each year relative to its share price. FAEGLO-0251 26 Appendix BlackRock World Mining Trust – Calendar Year Performance Performance of BRWM Share Price, NAV and Benchmark (TR) 125% 20% 19.8% 15% 11.1% 10.7% 75% 10% 5.3% Percent 5% 2.7% 1.6% -0.5% 0% -25% -2.6% -5% -10% -13.4% -75% Percent 4.7% 25% -15% -16.4% -125% 2015 2014 Share Price - LHS 2013 2012 Undiluted NAV - LHS 2011 2010 2009 2008 Euromoney Global Mining Index (TR) - LHS -20% 2007 2006 2005 NAV performance vs Benchmark - RHS Sep-16 YTD to end Sep16 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 Share Price (TR) 7.6% 80.2% -37.0% -30.4% -17.5% -4.1% -21.5% 48.6% 122.0% -61.1% 49.0% 29.1% 61.5% Undiluted NAV (TR) 9.1% 77.3% -35.3% -26.4% -24.6% -5.0% -22.3% 46.3% 103.0% -58.5% 57.1% 32.9% 63.9% Euromoney Global Mining Index (TR) 8.9% 82.4% -36.9% -13.0% -24.1% -2.4% -27.0% 35.6% 83.2% -42.1% 54.4% 21.8% 58.6% GBP Source: Datastream and BlackRock as at end September 2016 – Performance in sterling terms, net of fees with income reinvested. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. FAEGLO-0251 28 BlackRock World Mining Trust - Relative dividend yield Dividend yield of BlackRock World Mining Trust versus the mining sector and UK market 14.0 12.0 % dividend yield 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 BRWM FTSE All Share FTSE All Share Mining Index Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream 10/10/16 (most recently available data). Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise. Reference to the index mentioned in this communications is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies or indices. *Dividend yield is a financial ratio that shows how much a company pays out in dividends each year relative to its share price. FAEGLO-0251 29 BlackRock World Mining Trust Plc Net gearing as at end September 2016: 12.8% Commodity Exposure (gross exposure) Industrial Minerals, 3.9% Nickel, 3.2% Zinc, 0.4% AUM as at end September 2016: Security Breakdown (gross exposure) Iron Ore, 0.1% Mining Corporate Debt, 14% Silver & Diamonds, 15.1% Diversified, 35.8% £703.5m Unquoted (Banro goldlinked pref share and Avanco royalty), 4% Mining Convertible Debt, 1% Copper, 19.0% Listed Equities, 97% Gold, 22.8% Source: BlackRock. LHS as at 30/09/16. RHS: as at 31/12/2016. Data shown above is for illustrative purposes only and does not necessarily represent the current or future allocation of the fund. Exposure can exceed 100% due to gearing in the fund. Gearing refers to the level of a company’s debt related to its equity capital, usually expressed in percentage form. Gearing is a measure of a company’s financial leverage and shows the extent to which its operations are funded by lenders versus shareholders. Reference to the names of each company and index mentioned in this communications is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies or indices. Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise. FAEGLO-0251 30 BlackRock World Mining Trust Plc – Top 10 holdings Company exposure Geography Commodity Percentage Holding Rio Tinto Global Diversified 8.6% BHP Billiton Global Diversified 8.3% First Quantum Minerals* Africa Copper 8.0% Glencore Global Diversified 5.6% Lundin Mining* Global Diversified 4.3% Fresnillo Latin America Silver/Gold 4.1% Teck Resources Global Diversified 3.4% Newmont Mining Africa Copper 3.3% Norilsk Nickel Russia Diversified 3.3% Cerro Verde Latin America Copper 3.3% Source: BlackRock. Data as at 30/09/16. *Includes debt and equity investment. Data shown above is for illustrative purposes only and does not necessarily represent the current or future allocation of the fund. Exposure can exceed 100% due to gearing in the fund. Gearing refers to the level of a company’s debt related to its equity capital, usually expressed in percentage form. Gearing is a measure of a company’s financial leverage and shows the extent to which its operations are funded by lenders versus shareholders. Reference to the names of each company and index mentioned in this communications is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies or indices. Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise. FAEGLO-0251 31 Commodities Income Investment Trust: Calendar Year Performance Performance – Calendar Year and Year to Date 80% 61.2% 54.8% 60% 48.9% 56.9% 53.1% 46.8% 40% 33.8% 29.5% 20% 0% -5.0% -0.8% -2.0% -0.5% -12.9%-14.5% -20% -14.5% -19.7% -32.3%-32.9% -40% -44.1%-43.4% -60% YTD 2015 2014 2013 2012 NAV (total return) Sep-16 3 months YTD to end Sep-16 Undiluted NAV (TR) 6.0% 8.9% 48.9% Share Price (TR) 6.1% 18.3% 46.8% Sterling terms 2015 2014 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 Share Price (total return) 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 -32.3% -12.9% -5.0% -2.0% -14.5% 29.5% 54.8% -44.1% 56.9% 12.6% -32.9% -14.5% -0.8% -0.5% -19.7% 33.8% 61.2% -43.4% 53.1% 5.7% Source: BlackRock and Datastream. Data as at 30/09/2016. All data in Sterling and with income re-invested (where applicable). All figures refer to total return. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. Net Asset Value (NAV) performance is not the same as share price performance, and shareholders may realise returns that are lower or higher than NAV performance. NAV refers to the value of the underlying stocks held in the portfolio. FAEGLO-0251 32 Commodities Income Investment Trust Performance: Premium / Discount of Share Price to NAV Performance: Premium / Discount of Share Price to Net Asset Value 3,000,000 10% 2,500,000 5% 2,000,000 0% 1,500,000 -5% 1,000,000 Premium / Discount 15% -10% -15% May 12 500,000 Sep 12 Jan 13 May 13 Sep 13 Jan 14 Shares issued (RHS Axis) May 14 Sep 14 Jan 15 Premium/(Discount) May 15 Sep 15 Jan 16 May 16 0 Sep 16 3m moving average Source: Internal, Datastream. Data as 12/09/16. Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise. Net Asset Value (NAV) performance is not the same as share price performance, and shareholders may realise returns that are lower or higher than NAV performance. NAV refers to the value of the underlying stocks held in the portfolio. Premium / Discount refers to the difference between the NAV and the share price. FAEGLO-0251 33 Index performance- past 5 years YTD to end Sep-16 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 Euromoney Global Mining Index 81.9% -40.8% -18.5% -23.1% -0.7% -28.8% MSCI World Index 5.6% -0.9% 4.9% 26.7% 15.8% -5.5% MSCI Base Metals Index 12.3% -24.4% -8.4% -7.9% 4.5% -21.5% Datastream Gold Mining Index 519.4% -18.4% -16.6% -52.7% -14.2% -18.4% Index Source: Internal, Datastream. Data as 30/09/16. Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future performance. Indices mentioned in this communications is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those indices. FAEGLO-0251 34 Important Notes The following notes should be read in conjunction with the attached document: Issued by BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered office: 12 Throgmorton Avenue, London, EC2N 2DL. Tel: 020 7743 3000. Registered in England No. 2020394. For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded. BlackRock is a trading name of BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product. All financial investments involve an element of risk. Therefore, the value of your investment and the income from it will vary and your initial investment amount cannot be guaranteed. Changes in the rates of exchange between currencies may cause the value of investments to go up and down. Fluctuation may be particularly marked in the case of a higher volatility fund and the value of an investment may fall suddenly and substantially. Levels and basis of taxation may change from time to time. The fund can invest in mining shares which typically experience above average volatility when compared to other investments. Trends which occur within the general equity market may not be mirrored within mining securities. Investors in this Fund should understand that capital growth is not a priority and values may fluctuate and the level of income may vary from time to time and is not guaranteed. The fund may make distributions from capital as well as income or pursue certain investment strategies in order to generate income. Whilst this might allow more income to be distributed, it may also have the effect of reducing capital and the potential for long-term capital growth. Compared to more established economies, the value of investments in developing Emerging Markets may be subject to greater volatility due to differences in generally accepted accounting principles or from economic or political instability. The fund may invest in smaller company shares which can be more unpredictable and less liquid than those of larger company shares. The fund utilises derivatives as part of its investment strategy. Compared to a fund which only invests in traditional instruments such as stocks and bonds, derivatives are potentially subject to a higher level of risk and volatility. The use of covered call options in the fund will usually provide some limited protection to investors when stock markets are falling, but may also result in a lower return in a rising market, when compared to the benchmark The fund invests a large portion of assets which are denominated in other currencies; hence changes in the relevant exchange rate will affect the value of the investment. Investment strategies, such as borrowing, used by the Trust can result in even larger losses suffered when the value of the underlying investments fall. CONTINUED OVERLEAF FAEGLO-0251 35 Important Notes cont’d The fund invests in a limited number of market sectors. Compared to investments which spread investment risk through investing in a variety of sectors, share price movements may have a greater effect on the overall value of this fund. Unless indicated the fund information displayed only provides summary information. Investment should be made on the basis of the relevant booklet together with the Prospectus and Key Investor Information Document, which are available from the Manager. Any research in this document has been procured and may have been acted on by BlackRock for its own purpose. The results of such research are being made available only incidentally. The views expressed do not constitute investment or any other advice and are subject to change. They do not necessarily reflect the views of any company in the BlackRock Group or any part thereof and no assurances are made as to their accuracy. This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or invitation to anyone to invest in any BlackRock Group funds and has not been prepared in connection with any such offer. Subject to the express requirements of any client-specific investment management agreement or provisions relating to the management of a fund, we will not provide notice of any changes to our personnel, structure, policies, process, objectives or, without limitation, any other matter contained in this document. Unless otherwise specified, all information contained in this document is current as at the date on the front page of this presentation. No part of this material may be reproduced, stored in retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, recording or otherwise, without the prior written consent of BlackRock. © 2016 BlackRock, Inc. All Rights reserved. BLACKROCK, BLACKROCK SOLUTIONS, iSHARES, BUILD ON BLACKROCK, SO WHAT DO I DO WITH MY MONEY and the stylized i logo are registered and unregistered trademarks of BlackRock, Inc. or its subsidiaries in the United States and elsewhere. All other trademarks are those of their respective owners. • THIS MATERIAL IS FOR DISTRIBUTION TO PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS AND QUALIFIED INVESTORS AND SHOULD NOT BE RELIED UPON BY ANY OTHER PERSONS. FAEGLO-0251 36
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