LAND MARKETS AND HOUSING DYNAMICS IN LOW INCOME SETTLEMENTS IN IRAN: EXAMINING DATA FROM THREE CITIES ***Draft Version 2*** *** PLEASE DO NOT DISTRIBUTE*** Pooya Alaedini Assistant Professor University of Tehran Uwe Deichmann Development Research Group World Bank Helen Shahriari Europe and Central Asia Region World Bank Abstract: This paper contributes to discussions on slum upgrading and housing and land markets in developing countries by presenting some empirical evidence from an ongoing World Bank/Government of Iran (UUHRP) social assessment and impact evaluation in three Iranian provincial capitals. Quantitative and qualitative information was collected through a comprehensive survey covering a representative sample of dwelling units in low-income neighborhoods. The paper first examines development dynamics of the neighborhoods from historical and analytical perspectives. The empirical section of the paper highlights the consequences of shortcomings in the neighborhoods, followed by an analysis of the role of property rights in influencing household behavior and economic opportunities. The paper concludes with a discussion of the implications of the findings on the design and success of urban upgrading programs. Key Words: urban slum, housing market, land market, tenure, urban services, Iran LAND MARKETS AND HOUSING DYNAMICS IN LOW INCOME SETTLEMENTS IN IRAN: EXAMINING DATA FROM THREE CITIES I. INTRODUCTION Tackling the issue of informal settlements, under-serviced neighborhoods, or what is generally referred to as urban slums remains a daunting task in a majority of developing countries under both rapidly-growing and stagnant economic conditions. According to UN-HABITAT (2003) figures, close to 900 million people or more than 40 percent of the population in developing countries lived in slum areas in 2001. Policy-makers are increasingly realizing the large societal benefits from lifting the living standards in the slums and the untapped economic potential of slum areas that may largely operate outside the formal economy. The goal of pro-poor urban policies is to integrate these communities into the urban economy and to increase quality of life and welfare. Policy interventions to improve living conditions are often delivered as packages that include outright provision of improved housing; upgrading of municipal infrastructure and of social and utility services; settlement formalization and titling; and general regulatory and housing sector reform (UN-HABITAT, 2006). While there has been considerable investment in urban upgrading programs in recent decades, solid, empirical evidence on the effectiveness of these interventions remains scarce. What is clear is that the formation and persistence of urban slums and by extension the effectiveness of any upgrading program or policies to prevent future formation of urban slums depend on a number of factors. These include the manner in which urban land and housing markets function, the level of local participation, the existence and affordability of urban services, the capacity of local-level institutions to deliver physical and social services in a general enabling environment that empowers the residents, and the pro-poor policies the country adopts in relation to the general economic and employment conditions. In this paper, we intend to contribute to the empirical evidence on urban slums and on housing and land markets in a Southwest Asian country, Iran, which has received relatively little attention from academic researchers. We present some initial evidence from an ongoing social assessment and impact evaluation in three medium-sized, provincial capital cities in Iran: Bandar Abbas, Kermanshah, and Zahedan. We show how the general socioeconomic conditions and the functioning of land and housing markets give rise to various types of persisting urban slums – from the new informal settlements to older, more or less formal, but poor inner-city neighborhoods. The general pro-poor public policies in the form of hand-outs as well as the provision of minimal social and physical services in Iran mean that the low-income neighborhoods are not shanty towns with a totally destitute population. However, the low capacity of local-level institutions to deliver physical and social services in a general enabling environment that empowers residents, the general unproductively of the formal urban economy, and the 1 underdevelopment of community social capital to allow full local-level participation preclude the autonomous enhancement of the low income neighborhoods and induce slum expansion. Information and data collection for this study was undertaken as part of a World Bank/Government of Iran Urban Upgrading and Housing Reform Project (UUHRP). In each city, qualitative and contextual information collection was complemented through a comprehensive, multi-topic household survey covering a representative sample of households in low-income neighborhoods exhibiting various forms of irregularity. Besides housing, the surveys covered household living standards and expenditures, access to services, and community social capital. In each city, there were a dozen communities that had been identified by the earlier feasibility studies as under-serviced, irregular, or informal. In each city, 3-5 low-income neighborhoods were selected as being based on a number of criteria, including ethnicity/language, level of public service provision, level of regularity and formality, main economic activities, age of the settlement, and main socioeconomic indicators. The questionnaire-based survey covered a sample of 1,200 households randomly selected in the chosen 3-5 target slum areas. The qualitative part of the survey collected information through both in-depth interviews with key stakeholders and focus group discussions. In each city, 25-40 key informants (including government official, and non-governmental representative, and local council representatives, and community informers) were interviewed. Furthermore, 4 focus groups in each community were conducted: one with women, one with men, one with the youth and one with both men and women. In addition, several facility surveys were carried out in each city. All three cities under investigation have urban slums both inside the city boundaries (that is, they are formal in the municipal jurisdictional sense, but not necessarily in terms of individual housing unit tenure or regularity of services) and outside the city limits (that is they are considered informal by the municipality). This study did not cover those settlements that fall outside the municipal boundaries in the three cities since these will not be targeted by UUHRP. While this may be considered a shortcoming of the survey, the study’s more limited scope highlights the fact that slums tend to persist even after their status have been formalized to a large extent by bringing them under municipal jurisdiction. In particular, there is now an ongoing debate in Iran to give present informal settlements across the country blanket recognition by bringing them under municipal jurisdiction and “preventing” the formation of any future informal settlements. In the following sections, after providing a description of the Iranian context, the paper will first examine the development dynamics of the neighborhoods from both a historical and an analytical perspective. The purpose is to understand how the settlements were formed, what the process of urban expansion was, how the housing and land markets functioned during the formation of the irregular neighborhoods, and what impact municipal policies and regulations had on settlement formation dynamics. 2 The empirical section of the paper will highlight the consequences of shortcomings in the housing markets in low income neighborhoods of the three cities. The survey data allow detailed analysis of who lives in these neighborhoods (socioeconomic characteristics, employment, migration, etc.), residents’ consumption and expenditure patterns that shed light both on general living standards and on housing related costs, and of access to public social and infrastructure services. The empirical section will analyze the role of property rights in influencing household behavior and economic opportunities. The main angles are access to formal finance that can be invested by the household and willingness to invest in maintaining and upgrading of the dwellings. Of interest to our analysis is also the issue of social capital which may foster improved social outcomes such as crime reductions or community initiatives. The paper will conclude with a discussion of the implications of the findings on the design and success of urban upgrading programs. II. URBAN DEVELOPMENT TRENDS AND FORMATION OF SLUM NEIGHBORHOODS IN IRAN A major characteristic of Iran’s economy since the 1960s has been a strong dependence on oil revenues. While oil revenues could potentially provide for big-push economic growth drives, they have also resulted in a number of structural problems that hinder equitable development and a sustainable growth pattern. These structural problems notwithstanding, Iran also experienced a devastating and long war with Iraq that cost the country close to one trillion US dollars in damages. The results of all these have been low and sometimes negative rates of economic growth and stagnant per capita incomes in the 80s and 90s, persistently high rates of unemployment (currently higher than 10 percent) even in the face of close to 5 percent annual growth since 1997 due to the oil boom (Central Bank of Iran, 2005), and an unequal distribution of wealth. The Gini index for Iran in recent years has been estimated at 0.419 for urban and 0.424 for rural areas (Zonuz, 2000); it was calculated at 0.43 for 1990 in a semi-official source (Tabibian, 1999). Yet, since the 1979 Revolution, Iran has given special emphasis to human development, social protection, and “social justice.” Significant investments have been made in the social sector over the last 20 years with virtually full coverage of the elementary and higher level education, extensive health coverage, and an active distributive strategy through direct transfers and indirect subsidies. However, the government has dealt with poverty more through handouts and charitable transfers than through employment and empowerment. While explicit subsidies and transfers have the merit of reaching the poor, Iran also maintains, often in the name of the poor, an expensive and excessively large implicit subsidy system that is untargeted. A number of government and non-governmental organizations are active in providing social security both in insurance and non-insurance forms. Non-insurance services refer to all social work, advisory, and other social rehabilitation activities that are provided to low-income families as well as a number of other groups. The main organizations active in this area are the State Welfare Organization, the Red Crescent Society, the Imam Khomeini Relief Committee, the Martyrs Foundation and Moztaz’afan Foundation. The latter three are considered non-governmental organizations but receive most of their 3 funding from the state. Insurance services are provided by the Social Security Organization, the Medical Services Insurance Organization, and the State Retirement Organization. The Imam Khomeini Relief Committee is a super-NGO (very much affiliated with the public sector). It is basically a charity organization with huge assets. It provides a number of social services including interest-free loans towards the engagement of vulnerable groups in productive activities. The Ministry of Cooperatives has had an important initiative towards poverty alleviation and employment generation to facilitate the formation of cooperatives, in rural as well as urban areas. The programs of the above organizations include direct cash transfers, education scholarships, and health and social security coverage. Many of these programs are offered through the network of mosques. The country has also accumulated a rich experience of rationing during the long war with Iraq (Farjadi, F. and A. Pirzadeh, “Planning in Post-Revolutionary Iran,” unpublished mimeograph, 2001). The Ministry of Welfare was recently established to coordinate all welfare-related activities in the country. This goal has not yet materialized. Official sources maintain that the proportion of the population living under the poverty line has fallen from forty some per cent in 1978 to about 15 per cent in recent years. While the fact that education and health indicators have shown improvement may not be disputed, Iran still faces a significant prevalence of income poverty. Overall income poverty has probably increased. A study conducted for the period 1984-1998 – by calculating relative poverty rate through counting those households whose expenditure is less than half of median household expenditure – found that 15.8 per cent of all households were under the relative poverty line in 1984. The corresponding figure for 1998 was 20.23 per cent. Further, increases in the prevalence of poverty among rural households were found to have been more severe than urban households (Nili, et al, 1997). Other analysts have even calculated relative poverty at 45-50 per cent and absolute poverty at 30-35 per cent of urban households (Raisdana, 2000). As in many other developing countries, Iran experienced an unprecedented population boom in the second half of the twentieth century. The population of Iran was reported to be close to 19 million persons according to the 1956 census while the 1996 census recorded a figure of more than 60 million for the country’s total population. Total population is now estimated to be more than 70 million persons. While the country’s rural population has continually increased in the last decades, its proportion to the total population has shrunk from more than two thirds to about one third of the total population, based on recent estimates. The urbanization tends have been an inevitable outcome with much precedence from before the revolution and in particular since the land reforms of the 1960s. According to census figures, in 1996, around 61.3 percent of the Iranian population lived in urban areas -- including older cities and towns and villages that have grown to towns. In particular, the number of cities with populations larger than 100 thousand persons increased from low teens in the middle of the twentieth century to more than 60 by 1996 (SCI, 2005a). With such a high rate of population growth experienced in Iran’s urban areas, the need for comprehensive urban plans was felt in the 1960s and was eventually adopted for most cities in the country. However, until recent times few of these plans paid serious attention to the issue of slums. Indeed, a major characteristic of these plans has been quite large minimum land division allowance for housing purposes. For example, in the first 4 comprehensive plan for Tehran, minimum size of land plots was set at 300 square meters whereas until then the average size of the plots was only 100 square meters. This plot size was clearly outside the affordability range of the lower income strata of the society. Needless to say, the result of this regulation was the formation of irregular settlements wherever possible (Athari, 2003). Iran’s five-year planning cycle however did start paying attention to housing issues in the early seventies. In particular the 3rd and 4th pre-revolutionary five-year plans began to provide some explicit guidelines on low-income housing, attempting to activate the private sector in this area as well. After the Revolution of 1978-79, government programs took it upon themselves to address the issue of housing for low-income households. In particular, provision of land to low-income households was put on the government’s agenda. This has been achieved through allocation of land to housing cooperatives whose members by default have been those working for either government agencies or medium to large size private enterprises. Since significantly more than half of Iran’s employment is in the micro and small enterprises, the bulk of the low-income population has not benefited from such programs (Athari, 2003). Furthermore, from the middle of 1990s the level of land allocation for low-income housing has declined significantly. The same happened to inexpensive loan allocations for housing (Mehrdad Javaheripur, “Tarhe barrasiye hashyeneshini”, unpublished, 2006). What should also be noted in the case of Iran is that, right after the Iranian revolution and during the war (the entire eighties), the government made the decision to look the other way with regard to construction regulations due to war expediencies, revolutionary slogans and the availability of some expropriated lands. This allowed significant irregular and low quality construction activities which in fact resulted in the ballooning of the slum areas. One study estimates that while 70 percent of households in Iran own their housing units, the income levels of more than 50 percent of households makes it impossible to for them to purchase a home. Indeed, the price of housing is such that it is beyond the affordability range of low-income households. Furthermore, the study finds a big gap between average demand for square footage of housing by households and the larger size housing units available in the market (Rafii, 2003). The above issues all point to the reasons for the expansion of urban slums in Iran. Some sources estimate the current size of slum dwellers in Iran in the 2.5 to 4.5 million persons range (Mehrdad Javaheripur, “Tarhe barrasiye hashyeneshini”, unpublished, 2006). Table 1 shows the size of slums in a select number of provincial capitals in Iran. It shows that, in these selected cities, on the average more than 20 percent of the population lives in slum areas and also on the average close to 8 percent of the city is considered be made up of slum areas. 5 Table 1: Slum Area Population in Selected Provincial Capitals in Iran, 2006 Citywide Low-income neighborhoods Total Total area % of % of City Population (ha) Area (ha) total Population total Zahedan 650,000 4,800 1260 26.25 237,000 36.46 Kermanshah 692,986 9,569 739 7.72 270,979 39.10 Bandar Abbas 457,000 5,500 1700 30.91 137,100 30.00 Tabriz 1,191,043 23,000 1452 6.31 243,934 20.48 Sanandaj 325,618 3,561 536 15.05 173,672 53.34 Mashahd 2,400,000 24,000 1000 4.17 650,000 27.08 Ahvaz 1,100,000 22,000 1300 5.91 300,000 27.27 Arak 381,682 2,877 390 13.56 103,619 27.15 Ardabil 391,455 5,715 810 14.17 99,485 25.41 Shiraz 1,053,025 18,951 1808 9.54 180,671 17.16 Ilam 140,301 1,718 202 11.76 31,800 22.67 Hamadan 464,162 9,972 598 6.00 2,439 0.53 Orumieh 520,000 7,570 1180 15.59 146,000 28.08 Khorramabad 382,640 3,695 219 5.93 22,668 5.92 Qom 1,020,000 8,125 315 3.88 90,000 8.82 Saveh 165,000 2,053 244 11.89 18,140 10.99 Qazvin 291,117 6,430 50 0.78 22,000 7.56 Yazd 326,776 13,616 440 3.23 6,000 1.84 Zanjan 286,295 6,393 169 2.64 58,000 20.26 Birjand 127,608 2,776 98 3.53 22,000 17.24 Total/Average 12,366,708 182,321 14510 7.96 2,815,507 22.77 % inside city 77.7 70 100 100 100 92 59 100 89.9 100 100 80 78.6 99.8 95 95 100 100 100 98 - Source: Compiled by National Enabling Taskforce Secretariat, Ministry of Housing and Urban Development There are two other issues that need to be considered when discussing urban slums in Iran. First is the fact that since the early 1990s, municipalities in Iran have been supposed to raise their own funds. But since most cities in Iran have not been very productive in economic terms, their municipalities have not had much money to invest in the cities and in particular in the low income neighborhoods. As of the early 1990s municipalities have tried to self-sufficient, relying on housing taxes, taxes on retail units, and taxes on building construction/permits. Municipalities are not in a position to directly raise funds in the capital market. A major characteristic of Iranian cities is the dual housing market. In the past decade and a half, the price of housing across all urban areas in Iran has skyrocketed due to the fact that at last a part of the economy has done well (and real estate has traditionally been a place where people have tended to put their money). Therefore, in all cities, including the three under investigation in this paper, a portion of the population pay premium prices for desirable real estate while at the other end of the spectrum others have to settle in formal and informal slums (although this does not mean that the price of housing in the lowincome neighborhoods has stagnated). 6 Despite the above, slum areas in Iran fare batter as compared to many other developing countries. For example the average size of house plots in Tehran is larger than in comparable developing country capitals. Furthermore, piped water and electricity is available in most slum neighborhoods in the country and construction materials are for the most part are of medium quality even if they are not put together properly (Kamal Athari, et al, “Hashyeneshini dar Iran va rahe halha”, internal report, 1996). III. CHARACTERISTICS OF SURVEYED CITIES AND THEIR SLUM AREAS 1. Profiles of the Cities All three cities of Bandar Abbas, Kermanshah, and Zahedan are provincial capitals that dwarf other urban areas of their respective provinces. Yet, each is located in one corner of the country and differs from other two in terms of history, (sub-) ethnic background of its inhabitants, and economic base. Bandar Abbas, the Capital of Hormozgan Province, is a major port on the mouth of the Persian Gulf with a long history of trade and fishing activities. Its native population mainly speaks a dialect of Persian. A significant number of the residents are minority Sunnis and some African influence on the population may also be observed. The city is an extremely important trading port and has also attracted industrial investment. Despite its economic importance, the city itself is not a boom town or an attractive investment place anywhere close to what one can observe in the port cities on the other side of the Persian Gulf. The population of Bandar Abbas increased from 87,000 in 1977 to 273,000 in 1996 and is estimated to be close to 350,000 persons at the time being. The source of this rapid growth is to a large degree internal to either the city or to the province. This said, between 1986 and 1996, Hormozgan received 55,000 migrants from outside the province, most of whom are reportedly in Bandar Abbas. Together with the rapid population growth, the city has experienced the formation of low-income communities with various levels of irregularity in the last 2 decades in either some of the older or more recent settlements. Our survey focused on five low-income neighborhoods in the city, namely, Suru, Dohezar, North Nayband, Kamarbandi, Nakhl-e Nakhoda. The 1980s brought an increase in informal construction activities within the city limits of Bandar Abbas. Kamarbandi and Do-Hezar communities began to take form in this period which was followed by a rapid expansion of these neighborhoods. Yet, the older lowincome communities of the city, e.g., Suru and Nakhle Nakhoda, have also faced low levels of urban service provision and less than standard housing stock in the last two decades. In the older communities, durable construction materials are used, the housing stock does not meet minimum construction standards, posing a major challenge in the case of earthquakes which is also the case in much of the housing stock in the newer lowincome neighborhoods. Furthermore, as in many other low-income neighborhoods in Iran, little attention is given to the outside of the dwelling units which is considered a part of the public rather than private space for the residents. 7 The current city of Bandar Abbas may now be divided into four parts: 1) the center of the city and its outlaying areas, which with the exception of a few newly constructed commercial buildings, has not undergone much change; 2) the newly constructed areas of the city, in the west and the east of the city (Amirabad and Golshahr), built according to construction standards; 3) the traditional section of the city, located near the sea and beach areas, which with the passage of time, has experienced a decline in the quality of building structures as well as city services (Suru and Nakhle Nakhoda); and 4) more recently formed slum areas which can aptly be described as the most economically disadvantaged areas of the city of Bandar Abbas (Kamarbandi and Do-Hezar). Kermanshah lies to the west of Iran near the Iraqi border. It is an old city having some of the more important historical sites in the country. Its population is a mixture of Persian, Kurdish, and Lor who are for the most part of the Shia persuasion similar to the majority population of the country. The area has a moderate to cold climate and has been significant in terms of agriculture. Kermanshah was heavily affected by the Iran-Iraq War in the 1980s with a marked impact on its demographic situation. Population growth in Kermanshah through both migration and birth has been quite high. It was above 6 percent in the early nineties. The total population of Kermanshah was calculated as 681,611 in the last national census conducted in 1996 and was estimated as 816,599 in 2005. (Feasibility Study of Citywide Upgrading in Kermanshah, UUHRP internal report, 2005). A total of 13 neighborhoods in Kermanshah were identified as irregular settlements in the feasibility study conducted for the Urban Upgrading and Housing Reform Project with a combined population of 225,097 or more than one fourth of the city’s population (Ibid). Our survey selected three neighborhoods, namely, Shaterabad (close to 60,000 persons), Dowlatabad (close to 45,000 persons), and Kowliabad (close to 33,000 persons) as representing Kermanshah’s slum neighborhoods inside the city boundaries. Population growth in Dowlatabad has been the slowest while that of Kowliabad has been the fastest. The city of Zahedan, as the capital of Sistan-Baluchestan, is more or less a 20th century creation. It has been shaped by the presence of the public sector organizations and their associated employment as well as formal and informal trade-related activities. Zahedan has been a main point of population attraction in the province, drawing migrants not only from neighboring towns and villages but also from Southern Khorasan and Kerman Provinces. The population of Zahedan, at 430,000 according the local office of the Management and Planning Organization figures, was reported to be four times that of Zabol, the next large town, in 1996. Average population growth for the period 1996-2002 was 3.82 percent per annum for the whole city of Zahedan. This figure is much higher than the average for the country. The current population of the city is estimated by the Management and Planning Organization to be more than half a million. Yet unofficial statistics put the permanent population of the city at about 700,000 persons with another 150,000 Afghan refugees. Considering the state of affairs in Afghanistan the unofficial statistics may not very far off (Feasibility Study of a Citywide Upgrading in Zahedan, UUHRP internal report, 2005). 8 Due to the high rate of migration, lack of formal income earning activities for a large number of urban residents, and initial low-level socioeconomic development of the communities, there are a number of neighborhoods both inside the city boundaries and outside that are considered irregular settlements or more appropriately slum areas. These include Karkhaneh-ye Namak and Posht-e Garage, Babaiyan, Gharibabad, Dare Panjshir, Nukabad, Chaliabad, Shirabad, Qasemabad, Moradqoli, Sikhsuzi, and Karimabad. This study chose Karimabad, Shirabad, and Karkhaneh-ye Namak which are inside the city boundaries and are not considered informal in terms of city jurisdiction for the purpose of data collection. All of the above neighborhoods reflect the long transformation of Zahedan’s lopsided and unsustainable development in their structure. Indeed, Zahedan is a classic example of the formation of irregular settlement by the urban population surplus together with the newly arrived migrants. For example, the surplus population of Babaiyan, which is within the city boundaries, is now building new homes in Darreh-ye Panjshir, Nukabad, and Qasemabad, all of which are outside the city boundaries. It should further be noted that migrants from other cities and villages have in general formed the urban population of the whole city and continue to contribute significantly to the growth of the informal settlements. The social and cultural backgrounds of new migrants are in continual interaction with those of the earlier migrants. This cultural and social mixture affects the built environment in various ways. One of its manifestations is the rise of the irregular settlements, which are initially informal and are subsequently incorporated into the city (Ibid). 2. Land/Housing Market and Slum Typologies As discussed above, all three cities have a significant number of slum areas that fall both within and outside the municipal boundaries. Furthermore, some of the slum areas that are now inside the municipal boundaries used to be located just outside the city fringes and were annexed later by each municipality. Yet, there are also instances of slum areas that are quite old – in particular in Bandar Abbas – that had in fact formed some of the core areas of the cities in the past. The older neighborhoods have become low-income settlements in a downward disinvestment spiral whereby: i) Poor households have remained in the neighborhoods with narrow, meandering alleys and old houses. ii) Better off households have moved elsewhere in the city with better streets and avenues (more upscale) in which they can live in newer houses. iii) Some of the new arrivals (poor households) also go to the older neighborhoods, essentially replacing the better off ones who are leaving. iv) The municipality does not provide services to these neighborhoods on a par with more affluent settlements party due to the former type of neighborhoods’ physical attributes. The classic case of the newer types of neighborhood is when migrants from outside the urban area (often rural areas) or poor households already in the city, who cannot afford regular types of housing offered in the formal market, purchase land in the informal land 9 market in areas just outside the city boundary. This is quite possible in Iran since much of the land on the fringes of the cities is owned privately. What makes this type of land attractive is exactly the fact that it does not have proper plot division or construction permits, thus making it much cheaper than land elsewhere. Some documentation is provided for the transaction, such as a promissory note (qölnâmä or patä). Therefore, those who purchase this land are more or less the legal owners of their plots, although they lack construction permits and full titles. Construction on such sites therefore tends to take place at night and illegally. Municipalities have in the past tried to prevent such constructions, even bulldozing the buildings the next day. But such tactics have proven unsuccessful, unpopular, and certainly inhumane. Considering how these types of neighborhoods start, even when they are incorporated into the city, they are slums (land divisions are not proper, housing stock is of poor quality, etc.). Therefore, even these types of neighborhoods go through the downward spiral similar the older types of neighborhood described above. Not all of the newer neighborhoods started outside the city boundaries. Some were originally initiated by the public sector. As mentioned in the previous section, in the past, the government has provided some land for low-income housing as well as inexpensive loans in most cities. While across the neighborhoods studied in Kermanshah and Zahedan, there is little evidence of such allocations, in Bandar Abbas, some parts of Do-Hezar neighborhood were originally intended for this purpose. However, what soon followed in the areas right adjacent to the original nuclei of these settlements amounted to a construction frenzy and perhaps some “land grabs” in the relaxed regulatory environment experienced in the eighties as suggested above. While some of the construction activities might have constituted a form of squatting in the eighties, there is little evidence of such possibilities today. Indeed, currently, very few squatter settlements are reported in Iran in general. 3. Migration Patterns and Formation of the Slum Neighborhoods 3.1. General Observations The three cities are different in terms of migration patterns observed in their irregular settlements. While a large of number residents of Bandar Abbas’ irregular settlements are more or less natives, there are significant numbers of migrants in Zahedan and Kermanshah. The major reasons for migration have been finding work or accompanying parents although marriage and natural disasters were also indicated by some as the reason behind their migration. In Zahedan, about three fourths of the heads of household have rural backgrounds. Yet, even in Zahedan as well as in Kermanshah, the population is very young which means that while the head of household may have been a migrant, the children have most likely been born in the city. This said, we should not forget that many of the migrations have taken place in relatively recent times, in the last 20-25 years. As an example, more than three fourths of the migrants to the irregular settlements of Zahedan came to the city after the early 1980s. In Bandar Abbas, more than 15 percent of the households who reported having been migrants in our survey came to the city in the last 5 years. Yet, 11 percent of Bandar Abbas’ migrants have entered the city before the 10 1979 Revolution. We nevertheless can no longer call these residents migrants, since the majority of the household members are from the cities themselves. What should also be noted is that, those who have moved into the low-income neighborhoods under investigation were from the neighboring areas. The following table shows that in the majority of cases, the head of household has moved to the present house from somewhere else in the city. This means that even if the head of household has been a migrant he has first settled somewhere in the city and then moved to the low-income neighborhoods under investigation. Table 2: Whether head of household moved to this house from within the city Parameter/City Bandar Abbas Kermanshah Zahedan Head of household moved to 75% 61% 69% this house from somewhere else in the city 3.2. Bandar Abbas By and large, the economically disadvantaged informal dwellings in the communities being studied have not been formed as a result of migration. Based on survey results, a large number of residents in the communities being studied have relocated from within the city to their current communities and a few have relocated within these same communities. For example, in Do-Hezar and Kamarbandi communities, 70% of the population has relocated from other areas. The majority of these relocations occurred during the period 1980-1995. Whereas rural-urban migration is a main theory explaining the formation of low-income and informal neighborhoods, the results of survey in Bandar Abbas indicate the following. Approximately 85% of the total population of Bandar Abbas was born in this city and approximately 15% are migrants. Older areas of the city like Surou, Nakhle Nakhoda, and even North Nayband, attract a smaller number of migrants, whereas the communities of Do-Hezar and Kamarbandi, with 43% and 23% of migrants respectively host the largest share of this population. The timing of migration reflects the expansion of the city. For example, prior to 1978, Kamarbandi and Do-Hezar communities with 57% and 28% respectively hosted the largest population of migrants. This trend continues until the 1380’s (2000s) at which time it is reversed, so that the majority of migrants at this point choose Do-Hezar as their place of residence (51%). 3.3. Kermanshah The nucleus of the neighborhoods under investigation in Kermanshah was formed by migrants from outside the city. However, considering the fact that the population in the slum neighborhoods is quite young, most residents have actually been born in the city. Most household members had originally come to Kermanshah accompanying their families or attempting to find jobs. Across the neighborhoods in Kermanshah, households with the same backgrounds and origins form enclaves. Curiously, in Kermanshah, families coming from towns and villages to the west of the city have settled in western parts of the city and those coming from towns and villages to the east of the city have settled in eastern neighborhoods. 11 3.4. Zahedan Due to arid climatic conditions in Sistan-Baluchestan, migration within the province to the capital city of Zahedan has been quite strong. There has also been a strong migration pattern of civil servants from other parts of the country. The surveyed neighborhoods in Zahedan have been a main recipient of poor migrants from Sistan-Baluchestan rural areas and smaller towns. Due to the political conditions in the neighboring Afghanistan, a relatively strong presence of Afghan migrants can also be observed in the low-income neighborhoods of Zahedan. The majority of migrants have migrated from villages and rural areas to the city of Zahedan, and most have migrated with the aim of finding employment. As compared with the other two communities, Karimabad received a greater number of migrants. These individuals at the time of migration were illiterate and lack any specific skills. While in the last two decade migration from other cities and villages of the province has given the main impetus to the expansion of low-income settlements of Karimabad, Shirabad, and Karkhaneye Namak/Poshte Garage, we can observe movements to the neighborhoods from other parts of the city in more recent times. It should be noted that while approximately half of the residents of these communities, who migrated to the city of Zahedan, don’t believe they have the right to receive and benefit from city services and programs. At the same time, the children of these migrants, born in the city of Zahedan and now constituting around 85 percent of the residents, feel it is their right to receive services. 4. Demographic Make UP As the surveyed neighborhoods have been drawn from three different cities in various corners of Iran, different ethnic groups reside in them. Yet, there is also diversity in each city as well as diversity within each neighborhood. Differences in terms of expenditure profiles across various ethno-linguistic groups were hard to establish. In Bandar Abbas, about 80 percent of the sample households were found to be Shia and 20 percent Sunni. There was a small percentage (0.5 percent) of other religious groups. Furthermore, around 95 percent of the household speak Persian as a first language. The rest reportedly spoke various languages, including Baluchi, Pashto, Kurdish, Arabic, and Turkic. In Kermanshah, across the neighborhoods, 78.8 percent of the households were found to be Shias, more than 15.6 percent were found to be Sunnis, 5 percent belonged to other Islamic denominations (presumably including Ahl-e Haqq as well), and 0.6 percent were reported to be Jewish. The majority of residents across the neighborhoods reportedly spoke Kermanshahi Kuridsh (81.9 %) while 6.6 percent spoke Persian, 5.4 percent spoke Awrami Kurdish, Kurmanji Kurdish, Turkic, etc. No major inter-religious or inter-ethnic conflicts were reported in Kermanshah’s neighborhoods in the qualitative part of the survey. Furthermore, results from the qualitative survey show that the majority of Dowlatabad residents were Sunni Muslims whereas the majority of residents in Shaterabad were Shia Muslims. Kowliabad was found to have a mixed population 12 although if we include Kowlis (Gypsies) who indicated Shiism as their religion, then the majority of this neighborhood’s inhabitants will also be considered Shia. One group, the Gypsies, were reported to be extremely tight-knit within Kowliabad but was said to have very little relationship with the neighbors from other ethnic groups. In fact, it was reported that there had been some adversarial relations between the Gypsies and others, so much that families from other ethnic groups have attempted to expel the Gypsies on several occasions in the past. Most residents of the surveyed neighborhoods of Zahedan were found to be Sunni Muslims (83.2 percent) while the remainders were reported to be Shias according the questionnaire-based survey. The main languages spoken was found to be Baluchi (83.2 percent), Persian (15.3 percent) and Pashto (1.6 percent). With a minimal advantage, the Shiite population was found to fare better in terms of expenditure profile as compared with the Sunni population. The majority of the Baluchis were found to live in the community of Shirabad and the majority of Sistanis (Persian-speaking) residents lived in the community of Karkhaneh-ye Namak. The questionnaire-based survey also indicated that 95.7 percent of the household were monogamous, while the rest comprised polygamous marriages. Some of the plural marriages in fact comprise more than one household. The population of irregular neighborhoods across the three cities of Kermanshah, Zahedan, and Bandar Abbas are very young. Indeed, the majority of the inhabitants are under 25. There are more males than females, potentially as a reflection of both low levels of human development in the communities as well as the greater possibility of male versus female migration to the neighborhoods. In all three cities, the number of household members who are from the extended family (e.g., grand parents, aunts and uncles, etc.) is rather small. This shows that sample households are for the most part nuclear rather than traditional and extended. Indeed, average household size is about 5 which is the norm in Iran. Two to 3 percent of household members have some form of disability. There are household members who do not have proper Iranian birth certificates/national identification booklets. This is particularly the case in Zahedan (around ten percent of household members) but such individuals also exist in Bandar Abbas and Kermanshah at the level of one percent of all household members. Children lacking birth certificates/national identification booklets will have difficulty attending school while adults who do not have this document cannot engage in a number of transactions. Absence of birth certificates/national identification booklets is most likely due to the families or at least its male head being migrants from a neighboring country, but also due to other factors. There are a small number of female-headed households, which are more likely to fall in the lowest consumption quintiles. As the surveyed neighborhoods have been drawn from three different cities in various corners of Iran, different ethnic groups reside in them. Yet, there is also diversity in each city as well as diversity within each neighborhood. The survey could not establish differences in terms of expenditure profiles across various ethno-linguistic groups. 13 The study found literacy rates to be different among the three cities. Bandar Abbas neighborhoods have the highest literacy rates (above eighty percent) while slightly more than 50 percent of residents in the irregular settlements of Zahedan have at least basic literacy. Kermanshah falls in between. Across the three cities, we find a strong generational improvement in terms of literacy. In particular, in Zahedan and Kermanshah, the parents of a large number of residents were found to be illiterate. There is also a strong positive migration impact on educational attainment. Furthermore, educational achievements are not high although they are much higher in Bandar Abbas than in Zahedan. Primary school enrollment is respectable in Bandar Abbas, acceptable in Kermanshah, and less than satisfactory in Zahedan. In Zahedan, 8-9 percent of children between the ages of 6 and 11 are not in school. The figure goes above 52 percent for those between the ages of 15 and 18. Figures of school attendance are lower for girls than boys across the cities, but the difference is much more severe in Zahedan. The main reasons for not attending school were found to include not being able to cover costs, needing to work, lack of access to facilities, , and believing that school does not teach anything. Furthermore, for a significant number of females, the reason for nonattendance was the household’s belief that the local schools were not appropriate places for girls. The latter was found to be particularly the case in Zahedan. Those with higher degrees more often fell within higher consumption quintiles and those with lower levels of education were found in the lower consumption quintiles more frequently. 5. Employment Unemployment (overt and seemingly hidden) was found to be high among the household members in working age across the three neighborhoods. This was found to be particularly so among the younger population as compared to those above forty years of age. Furthermore, unemployment is higher among women than men and women’s participation rate is also much lower for as compared to men. Household ties to agricultural activities to a large extent depend on farming and animal husbandry possibilities available in neighboring areas. In Kermanshah, around 10 percent of the households have agricultural lands or are involved in some agricultural activities near the city or somewhere in the province. The corresponding figures for Bandar Abbas and Zahedan are 4 percent and 1.5 percent respectively. Needless to say, in the latter two cases, agricultural activities are severely limited by climatic conditions. A large number of households across the irregular neighborhoods of the three cities keep poultry but very few keep other animals at home. Across the irregular neighborhoods of the three cities, there are a large number of household members reported to be self-employed. Interestingly enough, there are also a relatively significant numbers of household members who work for the public sector. For example, in Kermanshah, close to 35 percent of household members who are employed work for either the public sector or publicly-owned firms. There are fewer cases of public sector workers in Zahedan than in the other two cities. 14 Furthermore, the informal economy is relatively large across the neighborhoods of the three cities. Overall, across the three cities’ irregular neighborhoods, places that provide employment for the residents are not far away. In some cases, there are nearby markets in which some of the residents are active. In others, there are places of employment within the settlements. There is also some evidence of home production. In Bandar Abbas, the main employment opportunities were found to be available for laborers, drivers, fisherman, and office workers. Around 50% of those employed in the communities being studied were engaged in the first three sectors and 23% were employed as office workers. 19% and 17% of respondents indicated that they were working as drivers and fisherman respectively. Approximately 75% were employed as full time staff, and 23% are self-employed or independent contractors. Results from the study indicate that approximately one third of the non-self-employed worked for the private sector workshops, 35% were employed in the public sector, and another one third were employed by individuals. Findings further indicate the following. About 18 percent of the respondents worked with vehicles, while around 54 percent worked in an office, store, or a workshop. Also, about 16 percent worked on the sea. Unemployment, in general, and unemployment among youth in particular, were identified as major challenges for the communities involved in this study during group discussions. Approximately 35% of trips made to employment locations were on foot, 21% are made through shuttle services provided by the employer, and 19% used private vehicles for transport. Use of public transportation to place of employment was limited at only 4%, pointing to the lack of transportation services and infrastructure in these communities. Further, a small percentage of survey respondents indicated the types of supports they would need with respect to employment (only 1/6th of the families responded to this question). However 60% of these respondents indicated that loans could serve as a suitable solution and support for addressing some of their employment needs and problems. Each of the neighborhoods in Kermanshah is near an area of employment concentration such as vegetable markets or car repair shops which provide some level of employment. A large number of household members have secondary employment while no major difference was observed in the welfare outcome of this observation. Furthermore, unemployment is a major problem in Kermanshah’s neighborhoods (supposedly only 30 percent have official work). Rate of participation for women is very low. A large number of people do not have regular employment. Unemployment is much more pronounced among those who fall in lower expenditure quintiles. Of those who are employed, 45.3 percent were found to be self-employed while the rest work for employed mostly as laborers. Of those who are employed by others, close to one third work for the public sector and another one twentieth work for publicly-owned firms. The extent of involvement in informal activities was also found to be large. Furthermore, some of the informal sector activities are illegal, in particular in the Iranian context with an alcohol prohibition in place. Despite the large unemployment rate, job sustainability was found to be strong. At the same time, close to 60 percent of employed persons do not have official contracts. Most respondents were not seeking new employment opportunities. Of the one fifth of respondents who said they were seeking new employment opportunities, close to 15 60 percent declared need for credit as a prelude. There was a strong relationship between those who sought new employment opportunities and welfare levels. Those in lower expenditure quintiles were much more likely to be seeking new employment opportunities. The overwhelming majority of the respondents reach work in less than hour. Indeed, more than 90 percent of the respondents reach their work places in less than half an hour. Furthermore, close to 99 percent of the employed respondents do not use any motorized transport. In Zahedan, approximately 17% of heads of households reported being unemployed. Total unemployment figures for the province were 17% in 1375 (1996) and 6.6% for cities within the province, while in 1383 (2005) the unemployment figure for the province stood at 14.7%. The highest unemployment rate among these communities is for Karimabad at 22%, and the lowest rate is for Shirabad at 13%. While Shirabad fares better as compared to other neighborhoods, the higher rate of employment in this community is attributed by some to engagement in undesirable, illegal or black market professions and vocations, such as smuggling. The rate of unemployment is higher among illiterate populations and lower among literate groups. Indeed, 60% of illiterates are unemployed, while only 40% of literates are unemployed. The majority of heads of households are simple laborers and the majority of those working as laborers are illiterate. In fact, the number of illiterate laborers is twice as high as literate laborers. In terms of their type of employment, most of heads of household are employed in the construction field. In the 1375 (1997) census most of the residents in the city of Zahedan were employed in this sector, possibly indicating an increase in construction projects and expansion of the city of Zahedan. Approximately one-fourth or 18% of those employed are engaged in the public or government sector. National figures indicate that 24% of employed populations were engaged in the public and government sectors in 1381 (2002). Most heads of employed households do not have employment contracts with their employers. The absence of employment contracts, indicate that these employees lack legal support with respect their rights as workers and workers insurance. As such, in cases of problems, disagreement and conflict, these employees are not able to take their cases to court. What is important is the extent of the informal economy observed in all the neighborhoods investigated across the three cities. Evidence from the quantitative part of the survey but more importantly qualitative investigations reveal a large number of residents across the three cities involved in informal activities. The extent of the informal and illegal economy is the largest in Zahedan. Indeed, the city’s location allows easy cross-border smuggling while lack of employment opportunities for low-skilled workers pushes the populace towards such activities. There are also some smuggling in Bandar Abbas and Kermanshah but more importantly a large informal as well as illegal economy. 6. Expenditure Profile The quantitative part of the survey collected a large set of data on consumption which allowed the calculation of accurate consumption aggregates in the selected low-income neighborhoods of each city. In particular, the survey team was able to produce figures for 16 adjusted annual per capita consumption (total consumption divided by adjusted number of households members based on age). The average adjusted per capita consumption figures are provided for each city in the table below. Table 3: Consumption aggregate figures (9200 rials = 1USD) Parameter/City Bandar Abbas Kermanshah Average adjusted annual per capita 6,433,330 5,650,000 consumption (rials) Average monthly consumption expenditure for a family of five (rials) Average annual consumption expenditure for a family of five (rials) Zahedan 5,133,870 2,680,540 2,354,160 2,139,110 32,166,480 28,249,920 25,669,320 As may be observed in the table, the consumption aggregates are comparable across the three cities. One would also predict the figures to be higher in Bandar Abbas than Kermanshah and in Kermanshah than Zahedan based on the other attributes of the lowincome neighborhoods. Based on the survey results consumption quintiles were also created to probe consumption diversity in each of the cities. It was found that across the three cities the average adjusted annual per capita consumption in the highest quintiles was 2-2.5 times the figure for the lowest quintiles. This shows that while there is some diversity in the low-income neighborhoods in all of the three cities, the differences are not extreme. Furthermore, the survey found some differences across the low-income neighborhoods in each city. Indeed, some neighborhoods were found to be better off than others. Yet, to be able to say something meaningful about the level of poverty in our low-income neighborhoods, we must provide some comparisons. This was done for Bandar Abbas but with clear implications for the other two cities. The comparison was made between our survey results and the results of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey conducted by the Statistical Center of Iran (SCI) in 2004 (SCI, 2005b). Based on SCI figures, the average annual urban household expenditure at the national level and in the capital city Tehran were 51,478,920 and 67,258,420 rials respectively. The figure for Hormozgan Province with its only significant urban area being Bandar Abbas was reported as 65,831,000 which is not that different from those cited for the country as a whole and for Tehran. But it is twice as large as the figure of 32,166,480 calculated based on our survey results. Indeed the average figure calculated based on our survey results shows that households in the low-income neighborhoods of Bandar Abbas basically fall within the lowest third of expenditure bracket among all urban households. 7. Housing 7.1. Size, Age, and Shape of Houses Table 4 provides summary information on size, age and shape of housing units in the low-income neighborhoods across the three cities. The majority of residents across the irregular neighborhoods of the three cities live in separate houses. In Bandar Abbas, due 17 to the climate, the houses are stand-alone, but in the other two cities, the separate houses are attached to each other on the sides. The parcels of land that the houses occupy are not small. This said, in all three cities, under one third of the land parcels are under 50 square meters. The building are also not very small, although in many cases the households only use part of the building for residential purposes, and in a large number of cases the houses have two rooms or fewer. In all three cities, many of the housing units are also used for economic activities. Since the neighborhoods are either old or are the ones that have been formed without any regulation (previously outside the city boundaries), land divisions are not done properly and the neighborhoods have meandering small streets that make the provision of services difficult. Table 4: Size, Age and Shape of Houses Parameter/City Bandar Abbas Kermanshah Zahedan Percent separate house 95% 87% 84% Age (years) 25-30 20-35 10-20 Average size of land (sqm) 204 newer houses smaller 7% under 100 46% 100-200 47% over 200 Average size of building (sqm) 123 27% under 50 54% 50-100 11% 100-150 8% over 150 83 Average number of rooms 2.5 2 33% under100 55% 100-200 11% over 200 2 Construction materials Average Average Low to Average Construction Standards Low Low Very low In Bandar Abbas, houses are of a reasonable size for the most part. The average and median size of plots are 204 and 160 sqm respectively. Plots measuring 100 sqm meters or less make up only 18% of residential dwellings. The Average and median size of the buildings are 123 and 100 sqm meters respectively. The average and median size of free land (not used for housing) within existing residential units are 79 and 50 sqm respectively. These open spaces can allow for refurbishing and improvement efforts or in the construction of multi-unit complexes. In Bandar Abbas, 70% of housing units in these communities are single units with yards and approximately 25% are attached single units. The average and median number of rooms per household are 2 and 2.5 respectively. The percentage of households with 2 and 3 rooms, which represent the highest percentages, are 39 and 32 respectively. In Kermanshah, the survey in the neighborhoods found that 26.9 percent of the houses are less than 50 square meters, 53.8 percent of houses had land between 51 and 100 square meters, and the rest are larger than 100 square meters -- for the most part under 200 meters. The built area of the houses is less than 50 square meters for 29.8 percent of houses, 53.8 percent are between 51 and 100 square meters, and the rest are more than 100 square meters but for the most part less than 200 meters. In Kermanshah, while most houses have yards, in many cases these are covered and used as some form of a living 18 space. Furthermore, 94.9 percent of the houses are used for residential purposes only while the rest are also used for economic activities. In Kermanshah, not much difference was observed across the expenditure quintiles in terms of the size of the house. While in Kermanshah the houses do not seem to be that small, the qualitative research indicated a general complaint about the high level of population density and lack of space. In Zahedan, in 45 percent of the cases, households live in 1 or 2 rooms. Considering the average large size of the households, the houses are rather cramped in terms of room. Yet sizes of the land parcels on which the houses sit are not small compared to the rest of the city. Only about 7 percent of the houses are under 100 square meters. At the same time the built area for more than 50 percent of the households is less than 100 meters. All houses have yards. In Zahedan, there is a positive relationship between annual expenditure and the size of the houses. That is, those in the higher expenditure quintiles are more likely to have larger houses. Across the three cities, houses are made for the most part of medium quality materials but they are not constructed according to standards and are therefore of low quality overall. This is particularly problematic since all three cities are near major earthquake fault lines. Yet, the materials are also diverse and somewhat different within the three cities. Depending on the city, around 10-20 percent of the housing stock seems to be makeshift. There are also houses that are built with relatively good materials and within the standards. In Bandar Abbas, unattached single units with yards serve dual purposes of importance: 1) they allow for the flow of air reducing humidity; and 2) they allow for reduced damage from earthquakes, an important point, since the region is earthquake prone. The walls and roofs of these units are constructed from solid and long lasting materials (cinderblocks and cement). Nevertheless, it should be noted that these structures do no meet minimum building code standards. In Zahedan, the quality of houses is for the most part low, although in many cases the materials seem to be of adequate quality, in reality the houses have been constructed in a makeshift manner and cannot for example withstand a moderate earthquake. Overall, it seems that Zahedan is doing the worst in terms of building materials and Bandar Abbas the best, although Zahedani houses tend to be more spacious. Across the three cities, but more so in Kermanshah and Bandar Abbas, houses lack proper façade which is a reflection of household priorities. Households seem to pay attention to the interior of the house but not to its exterior which has something to do with the public space. This fact together with improper land divisions, the resulting meandering, and dilapidated street conditions (of which more later) make the settings quite unattractive. The above discussion about the quality of houses should be understood in the Iranian context. Buildings across the country have low life expectancy due to the construction technology. This means a 30 year old house is already considered old. In Bandar Abbas, houses are for the most part between 20 and 30 years old. In Kermanshah, around 50 19 percent of the housing stock in the questionnaire sample is more than 25 years old (up to 50). Houses in Zahedan are between 10-20 years old. Since the houses in the low-income neighborhoods were of low quality to begin with they are expected to need major repairs and reconstruction in the near future which may be beyond the means of many households. 7.2. Land Acquisition, House Ownership and Title Table 5 summarizes the survey findings on land acquisition, ownership, and title. Level of ownership across the three cities’ low-income neighborhoods is not low. Bandar Abbas has the lowest number of renters or those who reside in the house for free (one fourth) whereas in Kermanshah around two fifths of the households are renters or reside in the house for free. Across the three cities, a positive relationship was found between ownership and consumption levels. Those reported owning their houses tend to fall in higher consumption quintiles. Among those who reported owning their homes, in Bandar Abbas and Zahedan, half claimed having some documents while this claim was made by around one third of the owners in Kermanshah. However, there are various types of documents including promissory notes [qölnâmä]. Even in the older neighborhoods, households may have divided the larger land plots into several houses without permit which makes the house without full title. Within the group claiming to have documents, one third, 28 percent, and 97 percent reported full titles in Bandar Abbas, Kermanshah, and Zahedan respectively. Clearly, Kermanshah is in a much worse situation in terms of ownership and title among the three cities investigated. Furthermore, in Kermanshah, as in the other two cities but more strongly, there is a positive relationship between ownership and consumption quintiles. Those in higher expenditure brackets are much more likely to own their dwellings. Table 5: Land Acquisition, House Ownership and Title Parameter/City Bandar Abbas Kermanshah Zahedan Percent built own house 74% 16% 67% Land claimed to be purchased by current owner Percent ownership 52% 15% 88% 75 61 63 Relationship between ownership and consumption profile Percent rental or free of charge Having ownership documents among those who are owners Having full title among those who have some documents Positive Positive Positive 25 40 37 51 32 48 75 28 87 20 Table 6 provides information on housing repairs. Overall, across the three cities slightly more than one fifth of the sample households reported having made various kinds of repairs to their houses. This is a reasonable figure and shows that the households do invest in their homes despite their low levels of income -- although not necessarily in upgrading the façade which has something to do with the public space. The second and third rows show those who reported owning their houses were more likely to make repairs to their houses. However, the fourth and fifth rows indicate that having documents for one’s ownership does not affect the chances of making repairs. Similarly the last two rows show that type of documentation does not determine the chances of making home repairs. These findings may be explained by the fact that in Iran there is very little threat of eviction by the local authorities once a neighborhood is established. Furthermore, housing is considered to be an asset for families which can increase in value over time, especially if there are structural or service improvements to the property. Table 6: Housing Repairs Parameter/City Percent of total who made repairs last year % of house owners who made repairs % of non-owners who made repairs % of owners with documents who made repairs % of owners without documents who made repairs % of owners with documents who have full titles and made repairs % of owners with documents who do not have titles but made repairs Bandar Abbas 21 Kermanshah 21 Zahedan 22 25.5 30.7 27 16.1 6.6 13 23 36.4 21.5 28.5 27.8 32.8 24 39.4 21.5 28 34.9 20.9 In Bandar Abbas, close to one third of households have built their own houses in the lowincome neighborhoods. Zahedan also has a large percentage of self-constructed houses. In Zahedan, the land in many cases was purchased about 20 years ago which is in line with the qualitative findings that after the 1979 revolution, rural-urban migration took a new impetus to the city of Zahedan. The comparable figure for Kermanshah however is rather low (16%). A similar pattern may be observed for those owners claiming to have purchased the land. However, there seems to be some discrepancy between selfconstructed houses and purchases of land by current owners in the figures. The discrepancy in Bandar Abbas has less to do with squatting than getting the land for free at an early date due to inheritance or traditional possession. In Zahedan, the discrepancy may have to do with the wording in the questionnaire. The low percentage of residents reporting self-constructed houses in Kermanshah may indicate a high level of mobility in that city as compared to the other two localities. It should be noted that the above figures are aggregates across the studied neighborhoods in each city and there are certainly variations among the neighborhoods. For example, in 21 Bandar Abbas, in the older communities, such as Suru and Nakhle Nakhoda, approximately 80% of the housing units have been built by those who currently occupy the unit. In Nayband and Kamarbandi this figure is 70% and in Do-Hezar it is 61%. These figures indicate that in Do-Hezar and Kamarbandi communities a second generation of families has appeared who have purchased homes and are now occupying these units. In terms of ownership deeds, in Do-Hezar 32% of families have deeds for their properties, while in Kamarbandi 52% have deeds and in Nakhle Nakhoda only 23% have deeds. Almost all the families who do not have property deeds, do not pay taxes to the municipality of Bandar Abbas, and in fact only 38% of residents with property deed pay local taxes. Some of the housing units in Do-Hezar and Kamarbandi communities have over time been incorporated into the limits of the city and as such they receive services from the municipality—making them both informal because of lack of deeds, but formal because of services provided. Because the city does not receive sufficient taxes from these communities, only minimal services are provided. 7.3. Water Discharge, Kitchen, Bath and Toilet Around 60 percent of all houses in the three cities were found to have separate kitchens. The rest use other rooms in the house or cook in the yard for the most part. Furthermore, about 75 to over 95 percent of the households have sanitary toilets. The worse case is in Zahedan where more than one fifth of the houses used pit toilets. A good majority of households across the three cities also have baths, although again the case of Zahedan is somewhat worse. In all cities, qualitative components of the survey showed that part of the waste water – not from the toilet or bath – flows into the streets and open ditches which is a health hazard -- although swage is also available for some households and of note is that this situation is not confined to the low-income neighborhoods. Table 7: Water Discharge, Kitchen, Bath and Toilet Parameter/City Bandar Abbas Kermanshah Zahedan Sanitary household water discharge Separate Kitchen 75% 99% 85% 64% 63% 60% Bath 90% 65% 45% Sanitary toilet 95% 96% 74% To elaborate further on the above, as an example, in Bandar Abbas, while approximately 64% of housing units have separate kitchens within the housing unit, 13% have designated space within an existing room for cooking and in 16% of these units the kitchen facilities are located in a space outside the housing unit. 95% of housing units have standard toilets with appropriate sewage systems. Most housing units include baths, but approximately 25% of them do not enjoy sanitary sewage systems. In Do-Hezar and Kamarbandi communities unsanitary sewage systems are at 60% and 40% respectively and in Nayband these facilities are at 20%. It should be noted that because of the quality of the ground, sewage systems pose a problem throughout the area. 22 7.4. Housing Prices and Sources of Financing Housing prices have been on the rise across Iran in the last decade due to various macroeconomic and demographic factors (a result of which has been the rise of slums). This does not mean housing prices in the more established low-income neighborhoods, indeed those covered by our survey, are low or stagnant. Housing prices reported by residents for similar units are by no means low which point to the lack of healthy housing dynamics in Iran. Rental fees are relatively high as well for a certain percentage of households and in many instances sharp rises in the price of housing and rental fees are reported – although not in all. As an example, in Bandar Abbas, the cost of purchasing housing units can serve as an indicator for the financial capacities of the families residing in the communities under study. The average and median cost of housing, as indicated by residents themselves, are 120 and 150 million rials (13,000 to 16,000 USD) respectively. The housing price dynamics restricts home starts and thus makes it difficult for young people to move out and start families. This is exacerbated in Iran in general and in the three cities under investigation due to the very low age of the population. It is easy to see how as this young population comes out of age and needs to become independent, the magnitude of the problem will just become much larger. 1 As the following table shows, across all cities, increases in the price of housing have been reported. In Bandar Abbas, the legal status of properties and the presence of legal deeds, also impact the cost of housing. Approximately half of the families who possess official deeds for their properties felt that the value of their properties had significantly increased in the past 2 years (51%). Only 38% of those who did not posses deeds felt that the value of their properties had increased over the past two years. Table 8: Housing Price Parameter/City Increased recently housing price Significant variables in determining housing price Bandar Abbas 51 percent with deeds saying sharp increases 38 percent without deeds saying sharp increases Distance to center, community itself, ownership deed, size Kermanshah Zahedan 65% stating sharp increase 27% stating sharp increase 51% stating some increase Community ownership size Community ownership size itself, deed, itself, deed, A regression analysis was conducted in the three cities using the data from the survey to find the significant variables determining housing prices. The only significant variables were size, ownership deeds and distance to the center (in case of Bandar Abbas) and community itself. This finding may not be surprising if we take into consideration that it is the land itself that is the scarce commodity. 1 On the issue of the youth, see World Development Report, 2006. 23 As indicated in the following table, the most important sources of housing finance are those from the household itself followed by informal borrowings with no interest (from family and friends). It should be noted that the survey also found that a large percentage of households do have accounts at banks which means that they are not estranged from the banking system. In Iran it is possible to get a housing loan from the Housing Bank if you hold an account for a certain period of time with a specific amount. Thus, findings in the table may be interpreted in two ways. First, the households are generally poor and although the do have banking accounts and can potentially get housing loans, the full amount of loan from the Housing Bank does not cover the price of a unit in the more formal housing markets. Second, due to the fact that many of the houses do not have full titles in the low income neighborhoods, the houses cannot be used as collateral against the loans. This is a catch twenty two situation. To these problems we should add the high interest rates due to high rates of inflation prevalent in Iran. Table 9: Source of Housing Finance (Percent on average for those owning their houses) Parameter/city Bandar Abbas Zahedan Kermanshah Own sources 78.25 75.67 74.48 Informal borrowing (no interest) 4.90 10.08 20.53 Informal loan / money lender 7.15 5.07 0.67 Loan from voluntary fund 1.40 0.07 0.05 Formal loan (without collateral) 1.07 2.97 1.32 Formal home loan 5.66 5.41 2.96 Rent to own Other 1.57 0.73 Total 100 100 100 8. Access to Services 8.1. General Observations Various types of urban public service provision in Iran are the responsibility of the representative agencies of government ministries at the local level. The local arms of the Ministry of Energy are responsible for water and electricity across the country. While the quality of water may be less than desirable in some locations and not potable in a few places because of geographic and environmental factors, water is likely to be available in most places within the municipal boundaries and in many cases beyond. Access to electricity is even more prevalent. However, several other urban services including those related to the street conditions and garbage collection are supposed to be offered by the municipalities which often lack adequate funds or enough capacity to deliver these services in the low-income neighborhoods. Security is provided by the national policy. 8.2. Water 24 In accordance with the above observations, access to water does not seem to be a major issue across the irregular settlements of the three cities except in Zahedan where the available piped water is of a very low quality. But still, in Zahedan, slightly more than eighty percent of the households are connected to the city’s piped water system while the rest either buy water, or get water from neighborhood tanks, or get access to piped water through other families. Water connection is more prevalent among households in the higher consumption quintiles as compared to the lower ones. Furthermore, in Zahedan, of those who are connected to the city system, more than 80 percent stated that they had water 7 days a week and more than 60 percent said they had water 24 hours a day. Neighborhood tanks are used by close to 7 percent of the sample households. Yet, close to 50 percent of all households buy potable water which is sold on a daily basis. The cost of potable water/non-piped water is relatively high. In Zahedan, filtering water is common and it is done with chemicals for the most part. There are also some households that have storage tanks, although not a large number. The other two cities are doing better in terms of access, although there are still some problems. For instance, FGDs in Kermanshah indicated that the main water problem is in Kowliabad which is due to its steep slope which translates to low water pressures in the pipes. This is a major problem with the people especially during summer months. The main coping mechanism is to store water. In Bandar Abbas as well, around 37 percent of households store water in various types of tanks (very few households filter the water). 8.3. Electricity All the neighborhoods in the three cities have no difficulty in accessing electricity in their homes. For example in Zahedan, 99 percent of households have electricity, although the prevalence of official connection is lower in lower income quintiles and only 87 percent have official counters while 7.7 percent are connected unofficially, and 3.9 percent have deals with neighbors to get electricity based on a fixed amount of payment. Similar of better patterns may be observed in the low-income neighborhoods surveyed in the other two cities. 8.4. Sewage and Surface Water Drainage The availability of sewage depends on how the sewage network in progressing in each city. In some areas it is more advanced that others. Furthermore, surface water drainage is a problem everywhere. For example in Kermanshah, in wintertime, surface runoff flows to peoples’ homes, and in one of the neighborhoods, a main canal that collects surface runoff has created health hazard and the residents nearby are asking that it be covered. Whereas in dryer areas, wells which are a relatively sanitary system are used to collect water discharge whenever a sewage system is not available, in Bandar Abbas which is a port, this is not possible. Therefore, lack of a sewage network can pose a serious problem there. 8.5. Garbage Collection 25 The situation of garbage collection is different in the three cities. In Kermanshah, although for a majority of households across the three neighborhoods garbage in collected every other day, the qualitative part of the study recorded major dissatisfaction among the residents with regards to waste disposal and the shortcomings with regard to the services provided by the municipality. In Zahedan, the majority of households reported garbage disposal in the open followed by door-to-door collection by the municipality. Of those reporting door-to-door collection by the municipality, the responses were equally divided on the frequency of garbage collection among daily, ever other day, twice a week, and weekly. In Bandar Abbas, in the case of more than 95 percent of the households, garbage is collected directly be the municipality. Across the three cities, some of those with no access to door-to-door services have dumpster areas nearby. However, it is also common in the three cities for the garbage get dispersed in the neighborhoods. Some fee is paid by some of the households, for the most part basically a tip to those who collect the garbage through the municipality’s operations. But there are also cases of some kind of private collection entailing some fee. 8.6. Street Condition The situation of the streets in the irregular neighborhoods of all three cities is reported to be unsatisfactory. The two major problems are pavement (as well as surface water drainage discussed earlier) and street lighting. In the majority of cases, only the wider avenues have street lighting while street lighting is absent in the smaller streets and alleys. Furthermore, secondary streets are often not paved. Of course, there are better areas and there are worse areas. For example, Zahedan is doing much worse that the other two cities. Yet, the street situation may be considered as less than satisfactory everywhere. Furthermore, lack of street lighting is a major obstacle for the establishment of security. This is affecting women and girls much more than males. Almost everywhere, the respondents believed that it was not safe for women and children to venture out after dark, and the street lighting seems to have a lot to do with this limitation. 8.7. Public Transport Public transport does not seem to be a major problem in the neighborhoods, although one has to remember that transit situation is unsatisfactory everywhere in the cities and indeed in all Iranian cities. Unregistered jitney cabs are available in the neighborhoods as elsewhere but the bus system is either limited or non-existent. Since as mentioned earlier in most cases residents do not travel far away for work, the poor state of public transport may not pose a serious problem in the residents’ minds. 8.8. Health Facilities Questionnaire survey results in all three cities indicate that there are a number of government-owned medical/health facilities available to residents in irregular neighborhoods. While the questionnaire survey indicated that the level of satisfaction is 26 generally medium or high, FGD participants reported that they prefer going to larger facilities or private doctors’ offices where professionals with specialization provide medication services. In particular, residents are not satisfied with health centers lacking a resident physician. Larger facilities and private practices do not seem to be inaccessible by residents either. One thing that came out of the FGDs was that some residents do not have health insurance booklets and cannot benefit from (all) public medical services. 8.9. Security Security is a general concern, in particular considering the prevalence of illegal activities and drug trafficking. In many cases, the residents are not satisfied with the work of the police in providing adequate protection. Findings on the general perceptions in the neighborhoods are mixed within and across cities. A major dimension of security concern is for girls and young women. In some cases, parents have to accompany girls to school. In many areas, drug addicts, drug traffickers, intoxicated individuals roam around and make the streets dangerous. The opinions expressed regarding the security of women and children after dark are mixed. Some residents believe that the establishment of some religious centers in the neighborhoods has improved the situation to some extent. The shortcomings with regard to street lighting also exacerbated the security problems in many instances. 8.10. Recreational Facilities Few households reported access to playground for children, sports facilities, parks, community centers, video clubs, cinemas, cafes and restaurants, or even telephone booths – indeed no recreational facilities or places to gather. The only community-type centers are those affiliated with mosques or other religious institutions. The majority of households believe that there are not enough recreational facilities available to them. Many residents believe that the rise of substance and alcohol abuse among the younger generation of males is at least partially due to this shortcoming. 9. Community Bond, Social Capital and Social Issues Across the three cities, many residents have strong ties to people with whom they share some form of origin. However, while religion and language in general may not create any internal conflict within neighborhoods, sub-cultures comprising households with similar origins may have very strong internal ties but conflictual relations with other sub-cultures in their neighborhoods originating in other parts of the province or elsewhere in the country. Furthermore, qualitative and quantitative information gathered through the survey show that while at the first glance households within each neighborhood show a high degree of uniformity, in reality there is some internal disparity in each neighborhood. Data collected from the questionnaire survey show that the level of positive interaction among neighbors is quite high (for example helping each other in taking care of children or borrowing from each other). In particular, borrowing various things from each other 27 and other cooperative behaviors are most prevalent during weddings, funerals, and various religious/mourning rites. Conflict resolution among households residing in the neighborhoods across the three cities is achieved through different means. In Kermanshah, neighbors’ mediation, followed by the police department were the most cited responses while local community leaders are also an important means. In Badar Abbas, most conflicts are resolved through the police department followed by neighbors. Local leaders, religious leaders, and the city council do not have very much involvement in conflict resolution. In Zahedan, local leaders, the police, and neighbors were cited as the most prevalent means of conflict resolution. The main organizations active in the neighborhoods are health volunteers, religious groups, and interest-free loan funds (qarz äl-hasanä). There is little evidence of CBOs in the neighborhoods across the three cities. There are a number of NGOs/GoNGOs, however, that provide services. For example, two organizations have been quite active in the neighborhoods of providing support. These included Imam Khomeini Relief Foundation and the Behzisti Organization. The services these organizations have offered include provision of nursing services at home or at various centers, educational grants, employment generation grants, baby formal, housing support, housing repair, healthrelated support including artificial limbs, marriage, travel support, funeral support, and other things. However, the support has not been give evenly across our three neighborhoods in Kermanshah. There are also a number of religious associations and the mosque networks that provide some services to the neighborhoods of the three cities. Few households stated that they had met with local community leaders for various reasons. The same was found to be true for meetings with the Municipality officials although at a slightly higher levels (mostly to obtain licenses or register complaints). Some households have also met with the member of city council (mostly to get licenses, register complaints, or for personal reasons) and members of the parliament (mostly for personal reasons). Household opinions about the impact of these meetings are mixed with meetings with the local leaders having the higher impact and meetings with local officials having the lowest impacts. Also, responses were mixed to the question posed on the effectiveness of the local leaders although more people were of a negative than positive opinions. Households’ opinion about the municipality were similar to those regarding local leaders, mixed and to some extent negative, in its provision of better service in taking care of streets and garbage, in recycling, in establishing public infrastructure, and in taking care of the aging (opinions get worse in that order). The spirit of participation and cooperation is high among the residents. However, there is also a general of sense of disappointment with regards to dealing with public organizations. For example, more than half of respondents in Kermanshah were willing to invest in terms of time to take of the streets and collect garbage. Around 43 percent were also willing to participate in a recycling program, 33 percent were willing to participate in the establishing public infrastructure, and 47 percent were willing to participate in a program to take care of the aging population. The respondents also indicated relatively 28 high level of willingness to pay in monetary terms for access to better service, infrastructure, and maintenance of existing services. Across the cities more willingness to participate in terms of time was observed as compared to monetary contributions. In Zahedan, one third to half of the households in Zahedan believe that the residents will participate in any negotiations on various types of activities to improve the community. Around 70 to 80 percent of households are willing to provide time and labor to activities such as negotiating with the municipality, cleaning the neighborhood and disposing garbage, recycling, taking care of the aging, and establishing and maintaining public places such as sports facilities. In terms of financial contribution, the figure drops down to 20-40. Overall, the qualitative and quantitative parts of the survey indicate that the existing forms of social capital and social bonds are of the traditional rather than modern type. Related to this is the issue of the residents of low-income neighborhoods becoming full citizens. For the type of social capital to III. CONCLUSTIONS AND RECOMMENDTIONS Several factors have contributed to the formation and growth of urban slums in the investigated cities. These factors relate to the macroeconomic environment, development policy, political orientation including populist policies, history including historical incidents, regulatory environment including land use regulations, geographic location and climatic conditions, municipal management, and socio-cultural issues including social capital. These factors were discussed in this paper and are summarized below: 1. In general, and not confined to the three surveyed areas, economic growth in Iranian cities is to a large degree contingent upon the level and distribution of oil revenues by the central government. Furthermore, the oil-dependent macroeconomic environment encourages capital-intensive operations and land speculations and does not produce adequate employment in the productive and formal sector. This means that Iranian cities are not productive enough to create adequate, gainful employment. As a result, a significant portion of the population is poverty-stricken and must make ends meet in the informal economy. This population is also facing a speculative land market and rising land prices. 2. Although land reform and agricultural policy as part of the general development framework of the country is not necessarily misguided, it has resulted in accelerated urbanization in the past few decades. The urbanization trend has translated into unprecedented demand for housing, infrastructure, and employment in the Iranian cities which require careful policy, planning, and management beyond the current capabilities of the public sector. 3. Land use regulations on the one side and private ownership (in a speculative manner) of large parcels of land around the cities on the other translate in to continual land supply shortages which give rise to significant informal land 29 transaction activities. This is often exacerbated due to regulations governing the minimum size of land divisions for housing purposes. 4. The revolution and war effects, including those related to migration to the cities as well as populistic yet unplanned relaxation of the urban regulatory framework in the 1980s and early 1990s, resulted in the accelerated expansion of the cities in the form of unplanned and irregular neighborhoods. 5. Specific geographic locations and climatic conditions result in specific urban outcomes. The proximity of Kermanshah to the war front in the 1980s together with the high prevalence of rural activities in its vicinity has meant a highly rapid expansion of the city and its low-income settlements (some of whose residents still have some ties to the agricultural sector). Sistan-Baluchestan’s arid setting neighboring Afghanistan and Pakistan has made migration from the province’s rural areas as well as Afghanistan into the irregular neighborhoods of Zahedan inevitable and has given rise to significant cross-border smuggling activities. 6. The urban management system in the three investigated cities, and more generally in Iran, is fragmented. While some organizations providing urban services, e.g., water and electricity, have adequate funds for expansion, the municipality needs to raise extra funds for any extra service provision which may be beyond its capabilities. 7. More importantly, the municipal management does not have the capacity to engage the residents of the low-income neighborhoods towards the creation of a cooperative and empowering framework that can result in enhanced but less expensive service provision through the transformation of local social capital. 8. Government housing policy through housing cooperatives has not benefited those working in small enterprises or in the informal economy who make up a large part of the urban population and more importantly the low-income households. 9. The housing market operates in a way that a portion of the population pay premium prices for desirable real estate while at the other end of the spectrum others have to settle in formal and informal slums. Despite the above environment, significant investments have been made by the government in the social sector and some forms of infrastructure/urban services. These include free education and inexpensive medical services as well as the provision of water and electricity to low income neighborhoods. Furthermore, a number of charity and nongovernmental organizations affiliated with the government have been active in lowincome neighborhoods by providing a range of subsidies and transfers. This means that low-income neighborhoods in Iranian cities may fare relatively better as compared to their counterparts in many other developing countries. 30 Yet, as discussed in this paper, in the three investigated cities, there has been an urban process at work whereby the older, more formal, low-income neighborhoods remain stagnant or even decline while new informal settlements are formed in the urban fringes where land can be purchased in the informal market. The latter types of neighborhood start off at the bottom and, while they may improve upon being incorporated into the city, they remain poor, stagnant, and under-serviced overall. This paper discussed the consequences of the described environment in the low-income neighborhoods of the three Iranian cities located within the municipal boundaries which can be summarized as: 1. High rates of unemployment, underemployment, and employment in the informal economy are observed across the cities. This situation creates a significant poverty trap. Even in case of Zahedan where some of the cross-border smuggling activities are quite profitable, the illegal nature of the activities mean that the profits are not invested in the neighborhoods. Nor will the money contribute to alleviating social and cultural aspects of poverty of the households. 2. High incidence of poverty as described through an examination of consumption levels is observed in the neighborhoods. Indeed the average figures calculated based on our survey results show that households in the low-income neighborhoods fall within the lowest expenditure bracket among all urban households. 3. The housing stock in the low-income neighborhoods is made up of relatively durable materials in the Iranian context, but it is not built according to standards. Most houses do have kitchen, bath, and toilet, but their overall situation is less than desirable. Furthermore, some water discharge flows to the streets and canals depending on the city. 4. There are few sources of housing finance other than households’ own funds. While a large percentage of households do have accounts at banks, they have not been able to use housing loans. It is speculated that on the one hand the full amount of loan from the Housing Bank does not cover the price of a unit in the more formal housing markets, whereas the houses purchased in the informal market do not qualify for loans. The high interest rates in Iran due to high rates of inflation exacerbate the situation. 5. A relatively large number of households own their homes, but a large number of owners do not have full titles. This said, since there is little threat of eviction made against those households who do not have titles, lack of full title only affects the price of the dwelling unit. Other things that determine the price of dwelling units are location and size. Furthermore, there is a positive relationship between ownership and welfare as measured through consumption. 6. With significant source of funding, the local arms of the Ministry of Energy have been able to provide water and electricity to the overwhelming majority of the low-income neighborhood residents. However, several other urban services 31 including those related to the street conditions and garbage collection are supposed to be offered by the municipalities which often lack adequate funds or enough capacity to deliver these services in the low-income neighborhoods. The dilapidated condition of the streets is also a security issue, especially for women and girls. 7. The residents do make some investments in the homes but they pay little attention to the appearance of their houses which has something to do with their public rather than their private space. There is a relationship between ownership and tendency to repair one’s home. However, the type of ownership document in the hands of the owners is not important. 8. Housing prices, for rent or ownership, have been on the rise in the surveyed lowincome neighborhoods as everywhere in Iran. This means even these neighborhoods have probably fallen outside the affordability range of poor households currently without homes or those persons who just want to start a family. It is then easy to speculate that these families will have to look toward the more informal and irregular settlements on the fringes of the city to be able to afford a home. 9. There is almost a complete absence of social, cultural, and sports centers across the low-income neighborhoods of the three cities. Such centers can provide various types of programs including skill training that can help transform the socio-cultural atmosphere in the neighborhood and have a very positive social impact on the next generation of the residents. 10. While residents of low-income neighborhoods exhibit high levels of traditional social capital, they lack a modern type of social capital to participate in local level initiatives. They are more or less estranged from the urban management and are in reality not yet full citizens. In the absence of an empowering milieu, their social capital will not be easily transformed. In light of the above observations, some of the recommendations of this study may be summarized as follows: 1. A range of urban services are missing in the low-income neighborhoods. This is at least partly due to the scarcity of municipal funds. Therefore, a major issue in upgrading is the improvement of municipal financial revenues and management. 2. There is a need to turn the residents into full citizens by improving voice and by making sure the poor neighborhoods are represented, CBO/NGO activities are enhanced, and the accountability of local officials improved. This means that any future upgrading program will have to first start with an empowerment package that will eventually create modern forms of social capital, participation, and cooperation among low-income neighborhood residents. 32 5. There is a tight supply of land and housing. Part of this is due to the regulatory framework while there are also issues of housing delivery mechanisms and development that need to be addressed in order to both upgrade the current lowincome neighborhoods and prevent the formation of new slums. 6. Another issue is affordability of housing. Access to finance especially for the lowincome population who have limited budgets and often fluctuating incomes must be enhanced. 7. There also seems to be a lack of initiative in the neighborhoods that can be remedied through encouraging self-help groups, improving education (of rights of individuals vis-à-vis municipal government, but also more generally of opportunities for betterment). 8. Social conditions in the low-income neighborhoods bespeak of high levels of cultural and social poverty. This needs to be addressed by expand social programs, job training and small enterprise support in poor neighborhoods and by strengthening or transforming traditional social networks as well as CBO activities. IV. REFERENCES Athari, Kamal (2003) “Sanjeshe elale sakhtari va nahadiye hashyeneshini dar Iran [Assessing the structural and institutional causes of fringe-neighborhood formation in Iran]”, in Hashyeneshini va eskane qeyre rasmi [Fringe-neighborhood formation and informal settlement], edited by Hoseyn Kakui, et al, Volume 1, Tehran: Daneshgahe Olume Behzisti va Tavanbakhshi. Central Bank of Iran (2005) Economic Trends, No. 37, Second Quarter 1383, Tehran: Central Bank of Iran. Nili, F., et. al. 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