Environment International 35 (2009) 1267–1271 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Environment International j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s ev i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / e n v i n t Review article Ricin as a weapon of mass terror — Separating fact from fiction Leo J. Schep a,⁎, Wayne A. Temple a, Grant A. Butt b, Michael D. Beasley a a b National Poisons Centre, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand Department of Physiology, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: Received 18 April 2009 Accepted 30 August 2009 Available online 19 September 2009 In recent years there has been an increased concern regarding the potential use of chemical and biological weapons for mass urban terror. In particular, there are concerns that ricin could be employed as such an agent. This has been reinforced by recent high profile cases involving ricin, and its use during the cold war to assassinate a high profile communist dissident. Nevertheless, despite these events, does it deserve such a reputation? Ricin is clearly toxic, though its level of risk depends on the route of entry. By ingestion, the pathology of ricin is largely restricted to the gastrointestinal tract where it may cause mucosal injuries; with appropriate treatment, most patients will make a full recovery. As an agent of terror, it could be used to contaminate an urban water supply, with the intent of causing lethality in a large urban population. However, a substantial mass of pure ricin powder would be required. Such an exercise would be impossible to achieve covertly and would not guarantee success due to variables such as reticulation management, chlorination, mixing, bacterial degradation and ultra-violet light. By injection, ricin is lethal; however, while parenteral delivery is an ideal route for assassination, it is not realistic for an urban population. Dermal absorption of ricin has not been demonstrated. Ricin is also lethal by inhalation. Low doses can lead to progressive and diffuse pulmonary oedema with associated inflammation and necrosis of the alveolar pneumocytes. However, the risk of toxicity is dependent on the aerodynamic equivalent diameter (AED) of the ricin particles. The AED, which is an indicator of the aerodynamic behaviour of a particle, must be of sufficiently low micron size as to target the human alveoli and thereby cause major toxic effects. To target a large population would also necessitate a quantity of powder in excess of several metric tons. The technical and logistical skills required to formulate such a mass of powder to the required size is beyond the ability of terrorists who typically operate out of a kitchen in a small urban dwelling or in a small ill-equipped laboratory. Ricin as a toxin is deadly but as an agent of bioterror it is unsuitable and therefore does not deserve the press attention and subsequent public alarm that has been created. © 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: Ricin Toxin Ingestion Inhalation Dermal Parenteral Risk Aerodynamic equivalent diameter Terror Contents 1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . 2. Methods . . . . . . . . . . 3. Mechanism of toxicity . . . . 4. Toxicity by ingestion . . . . . 5. Toxicity by parenteral delivery 6. Toxicity by dermal contact . . 7. Toxicity by inhalation . . . . 8. Conclusion . . . . . . . . . References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1267 1268 1268 1268 1269 1269 1269 1270 1270 1. Introduction ⁎ Corresponding author. National Poisons Centre, University of Otago, P.O. Box 913, Dunedin, New Zealand. Tel.: +64 3 479 7250; fax: +64 3 477 0509. E-mail address: [email protected] (L.J. Schep). 0160-4120/$ – see front matter © 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.envint.2009.08.004 In recent years, there has been heightened concern regarding the potential of various chemical and biological weapons as agents for urban terrorism (Gosden and Gardener, 2005). These concerns have been reinforced by the recent attempted uses of ricin by various groups in the United States and United Kingdom (Gibson et al., 2003; Mayor, 2003). 1268 L.J. Schep et al. / Environment International 35 (2009) 1267–1271 Ricin is regarded as an ideal agent for terrorism (Franz and Jaax, 1997), partly because of its notoriety arising from the high profile assassination of a leading communist dissident in London during the late 1970s (Crompton and Gall, 1980). Furthermore, it is readily accessible, and its relative ease of extraction from the castor bean plant, as well as its stability in both hot and cold conditions (CDC, 2004), seem to make it a weapon of choice. It has been regarded as one of the most potent poisons in the plant kingdom (Lee and Wang, 2005) and has been described as a toxin that can cause death within minutes of exposure (Marshall, 1997). However, despite these assertions, does ricin ultimately warrant this reputation as an ideal weapon of mass terror? 2. Methods We searched OVID MEDLINE (January 1950 to March 2009) and ISI Web of Science (http://www.isiknowledge.com) (1900 to March 2009) to identify all studies associated with the toxicity of ricin, the routes of exposure and mechanisms of toxicity; no restrictions were placed on year of publication. To identify the expected toxicity following exposure to ricin we used the terms ricin, Ricinus communis, toxalbumin, castor beans and ricinine which were combined with either poisoning, toxicology, pharmacology, routes of exposure, diagnosis, treatment or terrorism. Bibliographies of identified articles were screened for additional relevant studies including non-indexed reports. Non peer-reviewed sources were also included: books, relevant newspaper reports and applicable web material. 3. Mechanism of toxicity Ricin is a toxic glycoprotein (toxalbumin) derived from the castor oil plant Ricinus communis; it consists of a neutral A-Chain (32 kDa) bound by a disulfide bond to an acidic B-Chain (34 kDa) (Lord et al., 1994). The B-subunit binds to glycoproteins on the surface of epithelial cells, enabling the A-subunit to enter the cell via receptor-mediated endocytosis. This subunit inactivates ribosomal RNA by depurinating a specific ribosomal residue, thereby inhibiting protein synthesis. One ricin molecule can inactivate 2000 ribosomes per minute, which ultimately leads to the death of the cell. 4. Toxicity by ingestion Ricin is clearly toxic to humans, but the risk will vary depending on the route (and source) of exposure. The dose of ricin required to produce death in 50% of mice (LD50) can be as small as 1–10 µg/kg, when delivered by injection or inhalation (Table 1); lethal doses by ingestion are, however, several orders of magnitude greater. This dramatic difference could in part arise from gastrointestinal digestion and/or relatively low gut absorption of intact ricin. The latter seems a more important factor, as in vitro data suggests that ricin is resistant to acidic and proteolytic enzyme degradation (Olsnes et al., 1975) but is poorly absorbed across the intestine (Cook et al., 2006; Ishiguro et al., 1983). This is further supported by the finding that most of the pathology associated with human ingestion relates to local injury predominantly within the gastrointestinal tract, with minimal internal organ injury (Audi et al., 2005; Balint, 1974; Challoner and McCarron, 1990; Lim et al., 2009; Meldrum, 1900; Mouser et al., 2007). Histological studies in rats reveal significant erosion to the intestinal mucosa and evidence of apoptotic cell death (Leek et al., 1989; Sekine et al., 1986). Patients ingesting ricin are susceptible to fluid losses as a direct result of these mucosal injuries; in severe cases, such losses can progress to fatal hypovolemic shock. However, the majority of patients are successfully treated, with a good recovery. Indeed, an exhaustive review of the literature spanning back to the nineteenth century concluded that from a total of 751 cases of ricin toxicity, only 14 deaths were reported (1.9%) (Rauber and Heard, 1985). Of these deaths, 12 occurred prior to 1930, when management of the patient may not necessarily have been as effective. Nevertheless, the potential exists that ricin could be employed to poison a large urban population. Such a scenario could involve contaminating a regional water supply. To estimate human risks, it is not unreasonable to assume that a dose as low as one hundredth of the mouse oral LD50 estimate (of 20 mg/kg) (Bradberry et al., 2003) may be fatal to some susceptible humans. Such an overall “uncertainty factor” of 100 takes into consideration likely inter-species and intra-species variations in humans (IPCS, 1994), and the result equates to a dose of 0.2 mg/kg, or 12 mg in a 60 kg adult for example. Assuming then that at least 12 mg ricin would be required to achieve lethality in some humans (adults of 60 kg) via the oral route, then, on the basis of an estimated daily water consumption of around 2 l per day, a concentration of 6 mg/l would be required to deliver the necessary dose (at least within a 24 hour period). As an example, the Weir Wood reservoir, which supplies water to approximately 60,000 residents in Sussex, England, has a capacity of 1237 million litres. To achieve the required lethal concentration, approximately 7422 kg of pure ricin powder would need to be introduced to the reservoir. Furthermore, this calculation does not consider the effect of water treatment with hypochlorite, which has been shown to be effective against ricin (Mackinnon and Alderton, 2000). Further variables such as mixing, bacterial degradation, ultra-violet light and other reticulation management practices may also reduce the deliverable concentrations of ricin. Such an exercise, therefore, would be impossible to achieve covertly. Moreover, in the unlikely event of mass poisoning most patients would, with appropriate supportive care, make a full recovery. Lack of mortality in this type of scenario severely limits the feasibility of oral ricin as an agent of mass poisoning. Terrorists may, however, seek to contaminate water to strategic targets such as houses of parliament or military facilities. These institutions most likely access their water from local government resources and therefore any contamination would be required at points of supply, where security would most likely be greater given their recognised high profile risks, especially since September 11 2001. To achieve mild morbidity without mortality, such as causing mild gastrointestinal distress within a given population, the amount of ricin necessary to poison a city water supply would be substantially lower. Such estimates are often based on extrapolation from the “no-observed (adverse) effect level” (NOAEL) found from animal studies. To the knowledge of the authors, there are no reported NOAELs for ricin. Nevertheless, it has been proposed, on the basis of theoretical considerations and empirical observations, that the (sub-chronic) NOAEL (at least of biological agents) can be roughly predicted from their acute LD50 values (Burrows and Renner, 1999): Sub chronic ðoralÞ NOAEL = ð0:004=dayÞ × ðoralÞ LD50 : Table 1 Ricin LD50 values for mouse via different routes. Route of entry Dose to achieve LD50 (µg/kg) Reference Ingestion Injection Inhalation 20,000 2.8–3.3 1–10 Bradberry et al. (2003) Fodstad et al. (1976), Olsnes and Pihl (1973) Roy et al. (2003) For ricin, with an oral LD50 of 20 mg/kg, this equates to 0.08 mg/kg/ day. This value can then be used to estimate the likely human no observable adverse effect level (using the same inter- and intra-species safety factors as above), and thence to the likely safe water level, depending on volumes consumed (2l) and chosen body weight (60 kg). Though there is some degree of imprecision with this model, the L.J. Schep et al. / Environment International 35 (2009) 1267–1271 approximate level in a city reservoir which would need to be exceeded for toxicity to occur can be roughly estimated: ðLD50 × 0:004Þ = 100 × 60 = 2 = 24 μ g=L: To so contaminate a water supply, such as the Weir reservoir, may require a mass in excess of 30 kg. Although the manufacture of this amount of ricin appears achievable, such an exercise would not have the same impact on society as an incident involving death. The dissemination of lesser amounts of ricin could still result in mild morbidity in a population and the perceived risk of serious toxicity may still result in mass panic leading to a serious drain on healthcare, emergency and other local governmental resources. Previous threats of terrorism utilising ricin have involved amounts that have been measured in grams, or in some cases only the alleged traces of ricin (BBC, 2005; Friess, 2008; Johnston and Hulse, 2004). These incidents caused disproportionate outcries in the media, unrealistic in relation to the actual threat posed on that society, though such incidents can raise the awareness of a given terrorist's cause. 5. Toxicity by parenteral delivery In contrast to ingestion, parenteral delivery of ricin can be associated with a greater mortality rate, as indicated by the limited number of case reports in humans, with five of seven cited incidents resulting in death (Crompton and Gall, 1980; De Paepe et al., 2005; Fine et al., 1992; Passeron et al., 2004; Targosz et al., 2002; Watson et al., 2004). A summary of these case reports is presented in Table 2. When delivered by the parenteral route, ricin distributes rapidly to the liver, spleen, and muscle (Fodstad et al., 1976). While the bulk of the toxalbumin is eliminated within 24 h (Ramsden et al., 1989), damage can still be sufficient to cause death within days of exposure (Knight, 1979). Post-mortem examination suggests that heart block, due to necrosis of the cardiac conducting tissue, may be a leading cause of death (Crompton and Gall, 1980). The high mortality rate from these incidents is not surprising, given the very high acute toxicity of ricin via the parenteral route, as determined experimentally (Table 1). By injection, ricin is a suitable weapon for assassination (Knight, 1979); however, a scenario involving parenteral administration to a large urban population is clearly not feasible. 6. Toxicity by dermal contact Dermal application of ricin has been considered an alternate route of ricin toxicity. Members of the “Minnesota Patriots Council” mixed ricin extract with dimethylsulfoxide (DMSO) and planed to smear doorknobs or items of clothing to assassinate unspecified individuals (Tucker, 1999). However, evidence in animal models suggests that ricin is poorly absorbed across intact skin. Topological application of 50 µg ricin resulted in no indication of toxicity in mice (Franz and Jaax, 1997). There is evidence that some members of the population may be susceptible to type I and type IV allergic responses following dermal exposure to ricin dust; cited case reports describe such responses following workplace exposures (Kanerva et al., 1990; Metz et al., 2001). These allergies, however, are thought to be due to one of several proteins that do not include ricin itself (Bradberry et al., 2003). There is no evidence to suggest that ricin is successfully absorbed across skin and therefore toxicity by this route is most likely unachievable. 7. Toxicity by inhalation Of all the routes of exposure, the airborne dissemination of biological toxins has the most potential as a threat to urban populations (Wiener, 1996). As the toxicity of ricin by inhalation is high, as determined by animal studies (Table 1), the formulation and delivery of such a powder could lead to a substantial number of casualties (Bradberry et al., 2003). 1269 Table 2 Summary of case reports following parenteral administration of ricin. Age and gender Administration of ricin Male, Malicious 49 years intramuscular injection of a pellet containing ricin into the leg of the victim Female, Injection of ricin 59 years extract in the leg by partner Clinical effects Outcome Reference Hyperthermia, abdominal pain, diarrhoea, elevated leucocytes, coma Crompton Death and Gall 3 days (1980) post exposure Hyperthermia, inflammation at site of exposure, leucocytosis, hypokalemia, later developed necrotising fasciitis with rhabdomyolysis, renal failure, diffuse intravascular coagulopathy and ARDS Male, Self injection of ricin Similar effects as his 56 years extract in the arm partner, arm amputation and resulting multiple organ failure Evidence of Male, Self intramuscular erythematous areas at 36 years injection of a single ricin bean extract into wound site. Developed headache, leg rigors, anorexia, nausea and sinus tachycardia plus evidence of mild increase in transaminase activity. Discharged after 10 days. Evidence of Male, Self masticated bean developing cellulitis 53 years extract, injected into at wound site, inner thigh attributed to Enterococcus faecalis and ricin. Patient recovered following antibiotic administration and surgery Weakness, nausea, Male, Self subcutaneous dizziness, headache 20 years injection of ricin and compressed extract chest, abdominal and muscular pain, with oedema at site of injection. Later developed haemorrhagic diathesis with subsequent multiorgan failure. Death due to asystolic arrest Infection at site of Male, Self antecubital vein wound, developed 61 years injection of ricin extracted into acetone vomiting, haematemesis, acidosis, hypoglycaemia, renal failure and hypotension Death De Paepe 6 days et al. post (2005) exposure Death De Paepe et al. (2005) Survived Fine et al. (1992) Survived Passeron et al. (2004) Targosz Death, et al. 2 days (2002) post exposure Watson Death, 36 h post et al. exposure (2004) Indeed, in experimental animals, extremely low doses can be lethal when administered via this route. In mice, evidence suggests that the inhalation of ricin powder can lead to progressive and diffuse pulmonary oedema with associated inflammation and necrosis of the alveolar pneumocytes (Brown and White, 1997; DaSilva et al., 2003; Griffiths et al., 1995). Such injuries are predominantly localised to the organ of exposure (Doebler et al., 1995; Wilhelmsen and Pitt, 1996). 1270 L.J. Schep et al. / Environment International 35 (2009) 1267–1271 mass is necessary to generate an effective cloud that would expose individuals to a lethal dose. Variabilities in this model, however, may include dispersion of the powder to smaller volumes and variations in rates of respiration; increased rates of breathing due to exercise, for example, will enhance the potential for increased inhalation uptake. Nevertheless, to achieve this critical AED size range, particles must first be extracted, formulated and milled to the appropriate dimensions (Wiener, 1996). Preparing ricin to attain the necessary aerodynamic parameters and amounts necessary to inflict injury and death requires technical skills, and access to adequately equipped laboratories (Bigalke and Rummel, 2005). Technical and logistical skills necessary to produce ricin powder in a sufficiently hazardous form and quantity are beyond the reach of most terrorists, who, with the exception of resources available to rogue states, are devoid of state funding and resources, and who typically operate only from either a kitchen in a small urban dwelling or a small ill-equipped laboratory. While potentially more devastating than other scenarios, the inhalation of ricin powder resulting in mortality, sufficient to generate urban terror still seems somewhat infeasible. 8. Conclusion Fig. 1. The deposition of particles in various regions of the lung, as a function of particle size during moderate workload at 30 respirations per minute, 750 cm3 tidal volume. The solid lines are the calculated values of head (H), tracheobronchial (TB), alveolar (A) and total (T) deposition. Used with permission (Yu and Diu, 1983). Nevertheless, this research does suggest that toxicity by inhalation is dependent on the aerodynamic equivalent diameter (AED) of ricin powder (Roy et al., 2003). The AED is an indicator of the aerodynamic behaviour of a particle, which depends not only on its size but also on other parameters such as shape and density (Bates et al., 1966); it has been defined as the diameter of a unit density sphere having the same settling velocity as the particle itself. Depending on their AEDs, particles generally distribute to specific regions of the lung (Fig. 1) (Yu and Diu, 1983). In healthy humans, for example, evidence suggest that particles with AEDs over 10 µm will impact on the nasal and pharyngeal mucosae (the extrathoracic fraction) whereas those between 5 and 10 µm will largely settle in the bronchi and proximal bronchioles by sedimentation, where they will be cleared by the goblet and ciliated cells (Emmett et al., 1982); expulsion from the respiratory tract is either by coughing or swallowing where they will be available for gastrointestinal uptake. Those particles with AEDs below about 3–5 µm constitute the “respirable fraction”, settling predominantly in the respiratory bronchioles and alveolar regions (Emmett et al., 1982). Minimal alveoli deposition of particles occurs with AED values from 0.1 to 2 µm, though below 0.1 µm diameter there is some evidence of increasing deposition (Parkes, 1994). In mice, administered particles of ricin clustered closely around a mass median aerodynamic diameter (MMAD) of ~1 µm (55 µg/kg) proved to be lethal, whereas those receiving particles all near their MMAD of 5 µm (36 µg/kg) all survived (Roy et al., 2003). The relatively small particles of lower aerodynamic diameter had access to and were deposited within the alveoli, where they caused localised damage to the pneumocytes, leading to the rapid death of the animals within that group. While the hazardous AED range for toxic particle may differ between rodents and humans, there is sufficient evidence to suggest that the same principle applies (Schlesinger, 1985). To be effective as an agent of terrorism, the AED of ricin powder must be of sufficiently low micron size to target the human alveoli and thereby cause toxicity. If particles are any larger, they will be cleared (either expelled or swallowed), substantially decreasing the risk of lethality. Furthermore, mathematical modelling, based on robust field tests, has predicted the mass of ricin required for effective aerosol toxicity in a 100 km2 area to be in excess of several metric tons (Darling et al., 2004). The authors suggest that such a Ricin is clearly toxic. As a weapon of terror, it has gained popularity because of its notoriety as an agent of assassination, ease of access, relative ease of extraction and its stability. By ingestion, ricin acts to erode the intestinal mucosa; this may then lead to massive fluid loss and hypovolemic shock, both of which, however, are manageable with appropriate medical care. To contaminate a city water supply with lethal concentrations of ricin would require impossibly large amounts of powder, making this approach unfeasible. By injection, ricin is ideally suited as a weapon of assassination, but not for causing mass mortality. There is no evidence of dermal absorption of ricin. 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