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Time
1
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Time
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1
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C1
C11
C01
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L*_ *i@_ t |L i TiU|f Average propensity
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hiiU|t |i UL?t4ih<t _ithi |L t4LL| UL?t4T|L? Lih |4i
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t @tt4i uLh |i 4L4i?| |@| |i }Lih?4i?| T*@?t uLh |i t@4i |4i Lh3L? @t |i
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MiuLhic i ** __i |t |4i Lh3L? ?|L |L TihL_t hiThiti?|?} |i Thiti?|< ETihL_
 @?_ |i u|hi< ETihL_ 2 | |i Mi}???} Lu TihL_  |i }Lih?4i?| t|@h|t L| |
@ }i? hi@* t|LU! Lu TM*U _iM| ( U t Thi_i|ih4?i_ M) |i @UU4*@|i_ t|LhU@*
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t i t@** ?L tiic |i ?|ih|i4TLh@* }Lih?4i?| M_}i| UL?t|h@?| 4@) @i ThLuL?_
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W| uL**Lt _hiU|*) uhL4 E2. |@| u |i }Lih?4i?| _Lit ?L| hi_Ui |t Uhhi?| Lh
T*@??i_ u|hi tTi?_?} |@| tc u C @?_ C2 @hi ?U@?}i_ @ |@ U| _A f ? |i
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?L| U| M@U! L? |t TihL_ 2 UL?t4T|L? C2 c | uL**Lt uhL4 E2S |@| | ** @i |L h@ti
|@ it ? TihL_ 2 M) |i @4L?| _A2 ' E n o m_A m |L T@) uLh |i Th?UT@* @?_ ?|ihit|
L? |i i |h@ _iM| Uhi@|i_ M) |i |@ U| ? TihL_ 
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Lgti| M) |i u|hi |@ ?Uhi@ti ?ii_i_ |L tihUi |i @__|L?@* }Lih?4i?| _iM| W?_ii_c
MiU@ti |i Thiti?| @*i Lu |ih *ui|4i |@ Mh_i? t ?U@?}i_c UL?t4iht !?L |@|
|ih ?i| 4@? i@*| t @*tL ?U@?}i_c @?_ i?Ui |i) uii* ?@M*i |L @gLh_ @? ?Uhi@ti
? Uhhi?| UL?t4T|L? W?t|i@_ |i) ** t@i |i i?|hi Uhhi?| |@ U| @?_ ?it| | ?
|i U@T|@* 4@h!i| At ?Uhi@ti ? Uhhi?| Th@|i t@?} ** h@ti UL?t4ih U@t hiUiT|t
? TihL_ 2 M) |i @4L?| E n o m_A m U t t| tUi?| |L T@) uLh |i }ih u|hi
|@ M** Oi?Ui u|hi Th@|i UL?t4T|L? t @*tL ?U@?}i_ Ai ?Uhi@ti_ tTT*) Lu
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UL**iU|L?t M) t|  4**L? TL?_t i@U )i@h |L ULih |i ?|ihit| T@)4i?|t L? @ 2f 4**L?
*L@?c @tt4?} @? ?|ihit| h@|i Lu D TihUi?| W? |t U@ti |i TM*U _iM| L*_ UL?|?i
|L hti ?|* |i @h @t Lih @?_ L*_ ?iih Mi hiT@_c @?_ |@ it L*_ Mi Tih4@?i?|*)
}ih Ai |h_ TLttM*|) UL?t_ihi_ M) +U@h_L @t L?i ihi |i @h @t 4@?*)
_iM|€?@?Ui_c M| ihi |@ it L*_ Mi h@ti_ M) 2 4**L? TL?_t Tih )i@h uLh iih)
2f 4**L? MLhhLi_c i?@M*?} |i }Lih?4i?| |L T@) Lg |t _iM| ? eD )i@ht N?_ih |i
@tt4T|L?t 4@_ic |i Thiti?| @*i Lu |@ T@)4i?|t L*_ Mi |i t@4i ?_ih |i |hii
4L_it Lu €?@?Ui t +U@h_L T| |G RW? TL?| Lu iUL?L4)c |ihi t ?L hi@* _gihi?Ui ?
i|ih Lu |i 4L_it( uLh |i?|) 4**L?t ? L?i T@)4i?|c L?i 4**L? Tih @??4 uLh iihc
Lh c2ffcfff TL?_t uLh eD )i@htc @hi ThiUti*) Lu |i t@4i @*i
iU@ti Lu |t t|@|i4i?| M) +U@h_Lc |i U*@4 |@| |@ it @?_ _iM| @hi i^@*i?|
4i|L_t Lu TM*U €?@?Ui t hiuihhi_ |L @t |i +U@h_@? ,^@*i?Ui AiLhi4 iuLhi )L
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@i T*L||i_ Th@|i @?_ TM*U t@?} ? #i?4@h! @t @ TihUi?|@}i Lu B# @}@?t| |4i
t i @i tii? @MLic |i +U@h_@? ,^@*i?Ui AiLhi4 4T*it |@| i?iih |i
TM*U tiU|Lh hi_Uit |t t@?}c |ihiM) ?Uhi@t?} ?i ttit Lu TM*U _iM| ELh hi_U?}
|i h@|i @| U TM*U _iM| t hi|hi_c i tL*_ LMtihi @? Lgti||?} ?Uhi@ti ? Th@|i
Vhh Ulfdugr*v sdshu rq wkh *Ixqglqj V|vwhp*/ s1 4;9/ yroxph LY ri Wkh Zrunv dqg Fruuhvsrqghqfh
ri Gdylg Ulfdugr/ hglwhg e| Slhur Vudd/ Fdpeulgjh Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ 4<841 Wkh vxewoh skudvh= _Lq srlqw
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L?t4T|L?
BhL| @?_ t?itt )U*it
f
t@?}c @?_ Ui iht@ 6}hi .b tLt |@| |ihi t ?_ii_ @ U*i@h |i?_i?U) uLh Th@|i
@?_ TM*U t@?} |L 4Li ? LTTLt|i _hiU|L?tc t}}it|?} |@| +U@h_@? i^@*i?Ui
4@) ?L| Mi |@| ?hi@*t|U @u|ih @**
Percentage
of GDP
25
Private saving
20
15
10
Public saving
5
0
-5
-10
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
Year
6}hi .bG h@|i @?_ TM*U t@?} ? #i?4@h!
L|iG h@|i t@?} t }hLtt t@?} Lu UL4T@?it @?_ LtiL*_t hi*@|i |L B# M*U t@?} t }hLtt TM*U t@?} hi*@|i |L B#
5LhUiG # _@|@M@tic 5|@|t|Ut #i?4@h!
OLiihc *i 6}hi .b _Lit ?L| tii4 ?UL?tt|i?| | +U@h_@? ,^@*i?Uic
| _Lit ?L| ThLi< |@| |i |iLhi4 t ULhhiU|c t?Ui |ihi 4@) Mi L|ih i T*@?@|L?t
uLh |i LMtihi_ hi*@|L?tT Mi|ii? Th@|i @?_ TM*U t@?} ?i TL|i?|@* ki)?it@?
i T*@?@|L? t |@| 6}hi .b t4T*) hiiU|t |i tLU@**i_ @|L4@|U t|@M*3iht M*|
?|L |i TM*U M_}i|G u |i Th@|i ThLTi?t|) |L t@i }Lit T uLh tL4i hi@tL?c |i
hit*|?} u@** ? UL?t4T|L? _i4@?_ ** |i?_ |L }i?ih@|i @ u@** ? iUL?L4U @U||)
U ? |h? ** ?Uhi@ti |i TM*U M_}i| _i€U| M) @|L4@|U@**) hi_U?} }Lih?4i?|
hii?i uhL4 |@ it L? ?UL4i @?_ UL?t4T|L? @?_ M) @|L4@|U@**) ?Uhi@t?} TM*U
i Ti?tit L? ?i4T*L)4i?| Mi?i€|t *|ih?@|i*)c u |i iUL?L4) t | M) tL4i L|ih
UL?|h@U|L?@h) tLU!c t@)c @ _hLT ? ?it|4i?|c |i hit*|?} u@** ? iUL?L4U @U||)
L?t4T|L?
BhL| @?_ t?itt )U*it

4@) ?Uhi@ti |i Th@|i ThLTi?t|) |L t@i @| |i t@4i |4i @t | ?Uhi@tit |i M_}i|
_i€U| @ |i @|L4@|U t|@M*3iht Atc 6}hi .f t}}it|t |@| hi_U|L?t ? |i
h@|i Lu i4T*L)4i?| @hi @ttLU@|i_ | hi_U|L?t ? |i @ih@}i ThLTi?t|) |L UL?t4ic
Tih@Tt MiU@ti }ih ?i4T*L)4i?| hi_Uit i TiU|i_ u|hi ?UL4i }hL| Lh ?Uhi@tit
?Uih|@?|) @ML| |i u|hie
1.1
0.94
employment rate
0.93
1.05
0.92
1
0.91
0.9
0.95
0.89
average propensity to
consume
0.9
0.88
0.85
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
0.87
1996
6}hi .fG Ai h@|i Lu i4T*L)4i?| @?_ |i @ih@}i ThLTi?t|) |L UL?t4i
? #i?4@h!
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AL@h_t @ Lhi +i@*t|U AiLh) Lu L?t4T|L?
*|L} 6}hi .b t}}it|t |@| |i +U@h_@? ,^@*i?Ui AiLhi4 U@??L| Mi
_t4tti_ tL i@t*)c 4Lt| iUL?L4t|t hi4@? tUiT|U@* Lu |i |iLhi4 ? |t t|hL?} uLh4
W?_ii_c +U@h_L 4ti*u __ ?L| Mi*ii ? |i Th@U|U@* hi*i@?Ui Lu t |iLhi4 +}|
@u|ih @?} i T*@?i_ |@| t |hii @*|ih?@|i 4i|L_t Lu @h €?@?Ui L*_ 4T*) |i
Ri frxuvh/ wkh idfw wkdw wkh hpsor|phqw udwh dqg wkh surshqvlw| wr frqvxph pryh wrjhwkhu grhv qrw
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uxq lq wkh rssrvlwh gluhfwlrq/ ru wkh wzr wlph vhulhv frxog eh gulyhq e| d frpprq wklug idfwru qrw lqfoxghg
lq wkh jxuh1
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