STRUCTURE PLAN FOR THE MALTESE ISLANDS HOUSING TOPIC PAPER Final Draft February 2002 1 Contents 1 INTRODUCTION 10 1.1 1.2 1.3 Purpose of the Topic Paper Context of the Study Methodology 10 10 12 2 THE HOUSING SECTOR IN THE MALTESE ISLANDS 15 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 Historical Overview (1950-2000) The Maltese Housing Context Gozo Principal issues in Malta’s housing sector 15 17 80 82 3 THE WIDER CONTEXT: INTERNATIONAL ISSUES AND SUSTAINABILITY83 3.1 3.2 International context Sustainability in Land-Use Planning for Housing in Malta 83 89 4 QUANTITATIVE HOUSING REQUIREMENTS 96 4.1 4.2 Quantitative Housing Requirements Housing Requirements and Supply in the Local Plan Areas 96 109 5 THE WAY FORWARD: A LAND-USE STRATEGY FOR HOUSING 118 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 Key Issues for the Review Assessment of existing housing policy in the Structure Plan Scenarios for the distribution of new housing A land-use strategy for housing in Malta Measures for Implementation 118 121 124 129 131 Maps 137 Appendices 139 Bibliography 189 2 List of Appendices Appendix 1.1 Housing Policy in the Structure Plan 141 Appendix 1.2 Methodologies for Surveys, Databases and Studies Appendix 1.3 Housing Indicators Appendix 1.4 Members of the Housing Working Group Appendix 1.5 Interviews and Meetings Appendix 2.1 Historical Perspective on Housing Policy in Malta 159 Appendix 2.2 Changing Charactersistics of Settlements 163 Appendix 2.3 Residential Densities by Locality Appendix 2.4 Social Housing Provision: the 1980s and 1990s Appendix 3.1 Checklist for Assessing Sustainable Property Development Appendix 4.1 Housing Requirements and Supply in the Structure Plan Appendix 4.2 ‘Slack’ and the ‘Q Factor’ Appendix 4.3 Methodologies used in Previous Structure Plan 143 151 155 157 173 175 179 181 185 187 3 List of Tables Table 2.1 Population Projections 17 Table 2.2 Percentage Distribution of Population 18 Table 2.3 Population Changes by Local Plan Area 19 Table 2.4 Migratory Movements by Local Plan Area 20 Table 2.5 Household Projections by Local Plan Area 21 Table 2.6 Homeplaces and Workplaces 27 Table 2.7 Dwelling Stock by Type Of Residence 30 Table 2.8 Changes to Dwelling Stock by Local Plan Area 32 Table 2.9 Land Allocated for Development in the TPS 33 Table 2.10 Approved Dwellings and Increase In Dwelling Stock 34 Table 2.11 Dwelling Permissions by Type 35 Table 2.12 Residential Units Permitted Outside the Development Zone 36 Table 2.13 Dwelling Conversions by Type 37 Table 2.14 Residential Conversions by Planning Designations 38 Table 2.15 Residential Conversions by Local Plan Area 38 Table 2.16 Dwelling Units Gained through Redevelopment 39 Table 2.17 Residential Gains through Redevelopment, by Local Plan Area 39 Table 2.18 Permanently Vacant Homes by Type and Area 43 Table 2.19 All Vacant Dwellings by Type And State of Repair 43 Table 2.20 Vacant Dwellings by Type of Vacancy and State of Repair 44 Table 2.21 Home Owner Occupation in EU Member States and Malta 45 Table 2.22 Number Of Persons in Rental Accommodation 48 Table 2.23 Housing Authority Schemes 49 Table 2.24 Average Property Prices by Type of Residence 51 Table 2.25 Average Property Prices by Type of Residence 51 Table 2.26 Average Achieved Property Prices by Type of Residence 52 Table 2.27 Plot Price as Percentage of House Price 53 Table 2.28 Property Sales to Foreigners 53 Table 2.29 Maximum Loans Obtainable per Category of Borrowing Couple 56 Table 2.30 Housing Affordability 57 Table 2.31 Social Housing Beneficiaries 62 Table 2.32 Housing Authority Schemes 63 Table 2.33 Social Housing Waiting List 64 4 Table 2.34 Social Housing Applications 64 Table 2.35 Social Housing Applicants By Income Group 65 Table 2.36 Satisfaction With Dwellings 68 Table 2.37 Residential Densities Classified by Density Ranges 74 Table 2.38 The Density Of Character Areas 75 Table 3.1 Sustainability Issues for the Property Sector 93 Table 3.2 Sustainability Issues for the Maltese Housing Sector 93 Table 4.1 Second Homes: Low, Medium and High Scenarios 99 Table 4.2 Housing Requirements Calculation 100 Table 4.3 Land Supply in Temporary Provisions Schemes 102 Table 4.4 Capacity of the TPS : Low and High Scenarios 103 Table 4.5 Capacity of the TPS : Medium Scenarios 103 Table 4.6 Residential Capacity of Existing Urban Areas 104 Table 4.7 Dwelling Units Gained through Conversion 105 Table 4.8 Dwelling Units Gained through Redevelopment 106 Table 4.9 Windfall Gains Proposed in the North Harbours Local Plan 107 Table 4.10 Housing Supply Calculation 108 Table 4.11 Housing Supply Calculation 109 Table 4.12 Household Projections by Local Plan Area 110 Table 4.13 Distribution of Second Homes by Local Plan Area 110 Table 4.14 Distribution of ‘Scrap’ Dwellings by Local Plan Area 111 Table 4.15 Housing Requirements by Local Plan Area 111 Table 4.16 Undeveloped Land Area in The TPS by Local Plan Area 115 Table 4.17 Land Area For Development in the TPS by Type of Residence 113 Table 4.18 Residential Capacity of the TPS by Local Plan Area 113 Table 4.19 Capacity Of Existing Urban Areas by Local Plan Area 114 Table 4.20 Dwellings Gained through Conversions and Redevelopment 114 Table 4.21 Windfall Gains by Local Plan Area 115 Table 4.22 Local Plan Scheme Rationalisations 115 Table 4.23 Housing Development in the Countryside, by Local Plan Area 115 Table 4.24 Housing Gains outside the Development Zone 116 Table 4.25 Housing Provision by Local Plan Area 116 Table 4.26 Comparison of Housing Requirements and Supply 117 Table 5.1 Comparison of Housing Requirements and Supply 121 Table 5.2 Scenarios for Housing Development 126 5 Table 5.3: Housing Provision – Scenario One 130 Table 5.4: Housing Provision – Scenario Two 127 6 List of Charts Chart 2.1 Reasons For Internal Migration 21 Chart 2.2 Household Sizes 22 Chart 2.3 Single Households By Local Plan Area 23 Chart 2.4 Changes To Age At First Marriage 23 Chart 2.5 Elderly Persons Living Alone 24 Chart 2.6 Population, Households, Dwellings and Settlement Area 25 Chart 2.7 Age Of Dwelling Stock 31 Chart 2.8 Dwelling Permissions Granted 33 Chart 2.9 Dwelling Permissions Granted by Planning Designation 35 Chart 2.10 Residential Gains through Redevelopment 40 Chart 2.11 Residential Vacancy Rates (Permanent and Temporary) 41 Chart 2.12 Permanently Vacant Dwellings by Local Plan Area 42 Chart 2.13 Vacant Homes By Local Plan Area and State of Repair 44 Chart 2.14 History of the Rental Sector 45 Chart 2.15 Percentage of Owner-Occupied Dwellings 46 Chart 2.16 Trends in Rental Values 47 Chart 2.17 Rental Values 47 Chart 2.18 Average Property Prices 50 Chart 2.19 Average Wages by Local Plan Area and Nationally 55 Chart 2.20 Trends in Average Loans Given for Housing Purposes 58 Chart 2.21 Total Value Of Loans For Housing Purposes 58 Chart 2.22 Social Housing Units Constructed 61 Chart 2.23 Social Housing Provision and Rent Subsidy 62 Chart 4.1 Second Homes, by Type and Geographical Distribution 98 7 List of Maps Map 1 Local Plan Areas and Major Settlements Map 2 Designated Areas Map 3 1995 Dwelling Stock and Residential Vacancy Map 4 Residential Permissions Granted 1994-2000 Map 5 Property Prices Map 6 Urban Dwelling Density 8 9 1 Introduction 1.1 Purpose of the Topic Paper 1.1.1 The objective of the Housing Topic Paper is to assess Malta’s housing requirements for the period from 2000 to 2020 in the context of the available supply of housing and housing land in the Maltese Islands, and to suggest key issues and strategic direction for the Review of the Structure Plan. The Paper forms part of a series on a range of topics that have been compiled in preparation for the Structure Plan Review. 1.1.2 It is the remit of the planning system to ensure wide access to quality housing across the Islands. Housing is one of Malta’s most significant land uses, and its social significance derives from the fact that decent housing is a basic human need, while housing affects the quality of life of all the Maltese population. Further, for many residents, their dwelling also provides financial security. The approach taken in this Paper is to consider housing as involving the characteristics of human settlements as places of residence, as well as those of individual dwellings. 1.1.3 The Paper is divided into five chapters; this introductory chapter presents the scope and context of the paper, and sets out the methodological approach. The second chapter provides a detailed examination of the main characteristics of the Maltese housing sector, concluding with a set of issues. The third chapter situates this examination of Malta’s housing sector in an international context, and explores the implications of the principle of sustainable development for this sector. In the fourth chapter, a quantitative assessment of housing requirements and supply is presented. The concluding chapter draws together the principal findings of the paper in the form of key issues, including housing land requirements, an assessment of existing policy and strategic recommendations and scenarios for the Review. The contact persons for this Paper are Marguerite Camilleri and Suzanne Ellul, who may be reached on [email protected] and [email protected]. 1.2 Context of the Study 1.2.1 This section positions the Topic Paper in the context of the Structure Plan, and provides a brief summary of existing land-use policy on housing. 10 The Structure Plan 1.2.2 The Structure Plan was adopted in 1992 to provide strategic guidance on land use in the Maltese Islands. It contains 320 policies on settlements, the built environment, housing, social and community facilities, commerce and industry, agriculture, minerals, tourism and recreation, transport, urban and rural conservation and public utilities. The Plan has three main goals, and the first is to encourage the further social and economic development of the Maltese Islands, ensuring that sufficient land and support infrastructure are available to accommodate it. The second goal of the Structure Plan is to use land and buildings efficiently; it calls for the channelling of urban development into existing and planned development areas, particularly through rehabilitation and upgrading of the existing fabric and infrastructure, thus constraining further inroads into undeveloped land, and generally resulting in development at higher densities than previously. The third goal of the Plan is to radically improve all aspects of the environment. Housing Planning Policy in the Structure Plan 1.2.3 While many of the Structure Plan policies relate indirectly to housing issues, such as those that protect settlement quality and amenity (SET and BEN policies) a set of ten policies relate directly to housing (HOU 1 to HOU 10), and a list of these policies may be found in Appendix 1.1. These policies are briefly reviewed below. 1.2.4 The Structure Plan proposes that 22,000 new households will be formed during the period 1990 to 2010, and that 60,000 new dwelling units (including units lost and not replaced, second homes and self-catering tourist accommodation) will be required. The Plan further envisages that 50,000 of the dwellings will be gained in the Temporary Provision Schemes, 8,000 in existing urban areas, and 2,000 in Primary Development Areas, including Pembroke. 1.2.5 The Housing policies in the Structure Plan fall under four principal themes: the distribution and type of housing development; rental legislation; the Pembroke primary development area; and, social housing. Structure Plan policies HOU 1, HOU 2, HOU 3, HOU 4 and HOU 5 provide the strategic context for the provision of housing in existing urban areas, Urban Conservation Areas, the Temporary Provisions Schemes and the Primary Development Area of Pembroke, in accordance with the first goal of the Structure Plan, which is to encourage the social and economic development of the Islands. The second goal of the Structure Plan, which is to use land and buildings efficiently, is addressed in: HOU 1 on increasing the housing stock through development and redevelopment in existing urban areas; HOU 2 on re-use of vacant properties in UCAs; HOU 3, in which land banking is discouraged in areas ripe for development; HOU 7, on the phased establishment of an equitable rental market; HOU 8, on encouraging low-cost dwellings that match household sizes, and HOU 10 on the sale or rent of 11 lower standard tourism accommodation for housing purposes. Finally, the third goal of the Structure Plan, which encourages a radical upgrading of the environment, is addressed in HOU 2 on environmental improvements in UCAs. It is also taken up in HOU 3, on preparation of local plans for all builtup areas, which are to include quality standards for each local plan area. 1.2.6 The current Structure Plan envisages a new approach to social housing that includes the progressive phasing out of new development, a liberalised private rental market, provision of low cost housing by the private and voluntary sector, and appropriate locations for any new build social housing units. 1.3 Methodology 1.3.1 The methodological approach taken in this Topic Paper is based on an extensive programme of data gathering and consultation. There are five strands to this approach: • Findings from the Demography Topic Paper; • Planning Authority Databases, Surveys and Census 1995 Datasets; • A modular approach to data gathering based on 80 housing indicators; • Literature review and press monitoring; • On-going consultation and contributions from within the Planning Directorate, the Structure Plan Review Core Team, the Housing Working Group, Planning Authority Board and key actors in the Housing Sector. 1.3.2 These five strands are examined in greater detail below. Demographic forecasts 1.3.3 The Demography Topic Paper presents population and household projections for the Maltese Islands for the period from 1995 to 2020. The 1995 Population and Housing Census is used as a basis for the projections, which are devised using the cohort component method, a standard methodology for projecting population changes. Regional population projections are provided, based on the seven Local Plan areas defined by the Planning Authority. 1.3.4 These population projections were based on trends in life expectancy (males and females), the gender gap, total fertility rate, internal migration, births, deaths and international migration. The projections were then translated into 12 the household projections that are used in the assessment of housing requirements in Chapter 4. Planning Authority Databases, Studies and Surveys 1.3.5 The Planning Authority databases on Dwellings and on Conversions and Redevelopment are based on its development applications records. The Dwellings Database contains data on the number of additional dwelling units approved between 1994 and 2000, while the Conversions and Redevelopment Database records the number of residential units gained through conversion or redevelopment since 1990. Both databases are in Geographic Information Systems (GIS) format. A geographical information system is a group of procedures that provide data input, storage and retrieval, mapping and spatial and attribute data to support the decisionmaking of the organisation (Grimshaw 1994). 1.3.6 The Property Price Database monitors trends in residential property prices from the Sunday Times of Malta and related property magazines. Price trends for three-bedroomed apartments, maisonettes, terraced houses, and semi-detached and detached properties are available by local plan area for the period from 1996 to 1999. 1.3.7 Other Planning Authority data sets are based on its own surveys; the Schemes Monitoring Database is based on a survey that was carried out during 1998 to assess the extent of built development in the land allocated for development in the 1988 Temporary Provisions Schemes. The Completions Survey used data from the Dwellings Database to assess the extent to which dwelling permissions had been taken up by applicants. The objective of the Densities Study is to provide insights into the range of urban residential and population densities to be found in the Islands, while the Plot Size Study confirms that the standard 150 square metre plot size used by the Planning Authority is in fact being used on the ground. Finally, the 2001 Urban Capacity Study involved extensive survey work in urban areas that were already in existence in 1988, and were not part of the unbuilt land schemed for development in the 1988 Temporary Provision Schemes. In this survey, the potential for increased residential development in existing urban areas (through building on infill sites, and above maisonettes and apartments) was assessed. 1.3.8 The Planning Authority Census 1995 datasets enable it to analyse the results of the last Census by local plan and local council area. This was achieved by computerizing the Census results at a local council level and the local plan area based data is now available on the internet for query purposes (see http://way.to/CensusofMalta1995). 1.3.9 As part of the preparation for the Housing Topic Paper, four surveys were commissioned, and these sought to update some of the survey work that underlies the housing policy in the 1992 Structure Plan. To this end, surveys 13 were carried on Housing Quality, Landlords (Rental Issues), Rehabilitation and Regeneration and Household Migration. More details about all these data sets may be found in Appendix 1.2. Indicator Approach 1.3.10 Information from these data sources have been compiled into a set of 80 indicators that cover a wide range of housing issues. This method ensured a modular approach to the drafting of the Topic Paper, which permitted an informed discussion on the issues to take place before the full text of the Paper had been drafted. A list of these indicators is provided in Appendix 1.3. Literature Review and Press Monitoring 1.3.11 Since housing issues are increasingly topical in Malta, particularly those issues relating to affordability and social housing, the extensive local literature is an important information source. Similarly, the local press provides wide coverage for housing and property issues, and this source was carefully monitored and analysed. At the same time, international literature on planning for housing and on sustainable settlements also forms part of the wider context of this Paper. Consultation 1.3.12 The final but highly significant strand of the methodological approach taken in this Paper relates to the wide consultation process undertaken in its preparation. In order to formalize this process and involve key players from the outset, a Housing Working Group has been set up, with representatives from the Housing Authority, the Housing Construction and Maintenance Department, the Chamber of Architects, the Association of Estate Agents, the Local Councils Association, the Ministry for Gozo, and the relevant environmental non-governmental organisations. The Working Group met three times during the compilation of the Topic Paper, to agree on key issues, provide inputs into the process, and provide feedback on the emerging strategy. It is also expected that the Group is to meet for the last time after the public consultation phase. Individual meetings and site visits have also been held with some of the members of the Working Group. A list of participants in the Housing Working Group may be found in Appendix 1.4. 1.3.13 In addition to the Housing Working Group, interviews have been held with key individuals in the sector, such as the Opposition Spokesperson on Housing, the Director of the Joint Office, the Executive Coordinator of the Rehabilitation Projects Office, a small number of property developers and the General Manager of the Bank of Valletta Home Loans Section (see Appendix 1.5). 14 2 The Housing Sector in the Maltese Islands 2.0.1 This chapter positions the Structure Plan’s housing policy within the context of Malta’s housing sector. It begins with a historical review of housing issues in Malta, continuing with an examination of the major trends that have relevance for the Topic Paper, and of international good practice in planning for housing and sustainable housing policy. The chapter concludes with a set of key issues for the Review. 2.1 Historical Overview (1950-2000) 2.1.1 This discussion provides a brief historical overview of Malta’s housing sector, although fuller detail on this subject is provided in Appendix 2.1. Housing has long been an important issue in Malta, but modern housing policy began to take shape after the Second World War. In this period, the reconstruction of Valletta and the Three Cities, along with housing the war homeless, became important national priorities. Until then, housing provision was private sector based, and conditions were poor. In 1943, the Housing (Requisition) Act was passed, which allowed Government to requisition private properties for state use, a measure designed to be temporary, and which lasted four decades. 2.1.2 Perhaps one of the most significant legislative steps in the history of housing in Malta, was taken in 1949, when Ordinance XVI of 1944 on Rent Restriction (Dwelling Houses) was passed in the Housing Act. This was a significant if radical method for promoting housing affordability, since rents were thus frozen at 1939 levels. It was evident within a few years of the passing of this legislation that it had discouraged the development of new units for rental, and the ensuing slack had to be taken up by the then Housing Secretariat. Remedial action was attempted in 1959, in the form of the Housing (Decontrol) Act, whereby buildings constructed after March of that year were exempted from rent control and requisition, but this Act was repealed in 1979. It was clear, however, that a significant housing problem remained. 2.1.3 The 1950s gave rise to Government’s first large-scale physical intervention: the 1955 slum clearance of Il-Mandragg in Valletta. In 1958 a new town was created at Santa Lucia, and the concept was extended in the 1960s to the creation of new housing estates at the edge of settlements. In 1969, a Town and Country Planning Act was passed after extensive parliamentary debate, but the legislation never became operative, and it was eventually repealed in 1981. Malta’s first planning schemes were drawn up under the 1962 revision of the Code of Police Laws, within the context of a development plan drawn up in 1969 by a UN consultant named Sieczkowski. This Plan had catered 15 for phased development in three stages, which if implemented would have ameliorated the situation where, in some cases, urban areas took over 10 years to be developed. However, the Plan was never legalised, and development continued to be regulated in a piecemeal fashion. Despite the 1960s building boom, which involved the urbanization of large areas, the new private sector developments were unable to affordably accommodate the sector of the Maltese population that was in need of housing, and this situation set the scene for the extensive programme of social housing construction that was to follow. 2.1.4 Direct Government intervention in housing peaked in the 1970s and 1980s (A. Camilleri 2000). By the late 1970s, almost all towns and villages had newly-built housing estates on their periphery. This period also witnessed the launch of the Home Ownership Scheme (HOS), through which plots of land for terraced houses were distributed to prospective home owners on temporary emphyteusis (A. Camilleri 2000) and relatively cheap finance was made available through the Lohombus Corporation. An autonomous Housing Authority was set up in 1976, and it was charged with improving the housing condition of very low income groups and promoting home ownership. 2.1.5 In 1983 the Building Development Areas (BDA) Act was passed, repealing the 1962 schemes. This legislation aimed both at improving control over land development, which had by now moved outside the 1962 schemes, and at countervailing land speculation by selling land bought at cost price to prospective home owners (Gauci 1996, MDI 1988). The written policy that accompanied the BDA Act also allowed for development outside the BDA areas, on the condition that basic stipulations regarding proximity to other buildings were satisfied. Yet the large-scale urbanisation of the 1970s and 1980s sparked wide environmental disquiet, and in 1988, the Building Permits (Temporary Provisions) Act (Act X of 1988) was passed. This legislation reinstated a reduced version of the 1962 development schemes, which are now known as the 1988 Temporary Provisions Schemes (TPS). An integrated approach to land development, which viewed economic matters in their social and environmental context, came into force in 1992 with the passing of the Development Planning Act. This Act called for the setting up of the Planning Authority, which was entrusted with implementing the 1990 Structure Plan. 2.1.6 The approach to social housing was also revised during the 1990s: although public sector house building continued, it was largely aimed at existing urban areas rather than greenfield sites (land that is in a natural state or used for agriculture, which has not been developed - brownfield land, on the other hand is built upon or is covered by cement or tarmac, but does not include urban parks and gardens). The BDA Act was abolished, and the Home Ownership Scheme was reduced until it died a natural death in the early 1990s (A. Camilleri 2000). In 1995, requisition provisions were removed from the Housing Act and post-1995 rental agreements were freed from rent control. The housing debate remains topical, however, particularly the issue of affordability, where sharp rises in property prices and rising residential 16 vacancy rates are putting pressure on Government to find new solutions to housing problems. 2.2 The Maltese Housing Context 2.2.1 This section provides a review of current trends with regard to housing in Malta. It begins with an assessment of demographic trends, moving on to discuss settlements, and the location, size and development rates for dwellings on the Islands. House prices, affordability, social housing, housing quality, sustainable housing and issues relating particularly to Gozo are then discussed. Demographic trends 2.2.2 Population projections are based on a set of assumptions regarding social factors such as life expectancy and internal and international migration patterns. Household projections follow from population projections, and these are dependent on trends in single person households, marriage ages and pensioner households. After presenting the main findings of the Demography Topic Paper, this discussion moves on to examine the factors affecting population and household change in more depth. TABLE 2.1 POPULATION PROJECTIONS (1995 TO 2020) LOCAL PLAN AREA 1995 2000 2020 CHANGE 2000 – 2020 CMLP 102,900 110,600 137,400 26,800 GCLP 28,900 29,400 31,900 2,500 GHLP 30,700 26,800 13,800 -13,000 MBLP 10,100 10,800 13,300 2,500 NHLP 61,800 62,000 64,100 2,100 NWLP 32,300 33,800 39,100 5,300 SMLP 110,000 115,200 134,700 19,500 TOTAL 376,700 388,600 434,300 45,700 Source: Demography Topic Paper 2.2.3 Population projections by local plan area are provided in the Demography Paper. This Paper predicts that the Maltese population will grow by 45,700 persons from 388,600 in 2000 to 434,300 in 2020 (see Table 2.1). This is an increase over the estimated population change of 38,700 persons for the similar 20-year time period between 1990 and 2010 that was proposed by the Structure Plan Report of Survey. The principal reason for this population increase is higher life expectancy. The Paper also indicates that the ratio of 17 males to females during the forecast period is to become more balanced, from 97:100 in 1995 to 100:100 in 2020. 2.2.4 The population projections in the Demography Paper are based on four sets of assumptions regarding mortality and fertility (Baseline, High, Medium and Low variants), and the Medium variant is adopted since it represents the most likely scenario. At a local scale, two sets of assumptions regarding internal migration have been developed (Constant and Moderate), but the Moderate Variant, which assumes more favourable socio-economic conditions within the Grand Harbour Local Plan area is considered most appropriate. The reason for this is that if current conditions prevail, population in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area will fall drastically to approximately 6,700 persons in the year 2020. This would have devastating consequences on the urban and social fabric and needs restraining, the Paper argues, through appropriate policy measures. The Moderate variant assumes that such measures will be implemented, that these will slow down population loss, and that the resulting population in the Grand Harbours Local Plan area at 2020 will be approximately 13,800. TABLE 2.2: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION (1995 AND 2020) Local Plan Area Percentage of population in 1995 Percentage of Population in 2020 CMLP 27 31 GCLP 8 7 GHLP 8 3 MBLP 3 3 NHLP 16 15 NWLP 9 9 SMLP 29 31 Source: Demography Topic Paper 2.2.5 All local plan areas are expected to experience an increase in population, except for the Grand Harbour Local Plan area, as noted above. Furthermore, the study predicts that the area covered by the Central Malta Local Plan area will be the most populated at 2020, and will overtake the position held in this regard by the South Malta Local Plan area, which was the most populated region in 1995. In terms of the percentage of total population, the Demography Paper indicates that percentages will increase in the Central and South Local Plan areas, will remain constant in the Marsaxlokk Bay and North West Local Plan areas, and fall in the North Harbours, Gozo and Comino and most radically, the Grand Harbours Local Plan areas (from 8 percent to 3 percent) (see Table 2.2). 18 2.2.6 In what follows, the trends with regard to population and households are examined in greater depth, and it is indicated how the Demography Topic Paper expects these trends to develop over the Review period. 2.2.7 Among the primary factors affecting population change are birth and death rates, both of which have both dropped significantly, resulting in a slow increase in life expectancy. Demographic pressures on housing will therefore increase in the Review period, particularly in the old age category, since the proportion of persons over 60 is predicted to rise from 16 percent in 1995 to 25 percent in 2020. It is expected that current pressures for sheltered and affordable housing will continue to increase, with the growing elderly population, many of whom are in low income brackets. Another important determinant of demographic change is international migration, and the current trend is for in-migration to exceed emigration, although this source of population growth is declining. The migration patterns of non-Maltese nationals are also relevant to housing debates, since foreign nationals influence local perceptions of neighbourhood quality and contribute to urban processes such as gentrification. Nevertheless, the number of foreign residents settling in Malta between 1995 and 1999 has declined slightly. Significantly, foreign nationals favour the North and Gozo as places of residence, and then the Inner and Outer Harbour (Census) regions. The Demography Topic Paper predicts that there will be an average annual international in-migration of 775 until 2020. TABLE 2.3 POPULATION CHANGES BY LOCAL PLAN AREA (1994-1995) LOCAL PLAN AREA Population In Population Out Net Change CMLP 3,861 3,080 781 GCLP 763 760 3 GHLP 497 1,413 -916 MBLP 270 239 31 NHLP 2,645 2,958 -313 NWLP 1,175 1,080 95 SMLP 2,896 2,577 319 TOTAL 12,107 12,107 0 Source: Census 1995; Demography Topic Paper; Planning Authority data sets 2.2.8 A third important factor for demographic change is internal migration, and this factor is particularly relevant for this land-use study. This type of migration occurs when a household moves to another dwelling, whether or not it is in a same locality or local plan area. Healthy levels of internal migration free up the property market, allowing households to move to dwellings that fit their incomes and size. Migration is also important for a from a land-use perspective, because it results in an efficient use of land. However household mobility is related to inflation in house prices, to income levels and to the availability of credit. 19 2.2.9 Drawing on the 1995 Census, the Demography Topic Paper notes that 12,107 households changed address during the year 1994-1995 (see Table 2.3). In addition, the 1995 Census indicates that 76,304 households changed address during the period between 1990 and 1995 (see Table 2.4). This data also indicates that a large part of household movements are within the same local plan area. However the most significant trend, from a land-use perspective, that emerges from these internal migration figures concerns the movement of population out of the Harbour areas (the Grand Harbour and North Harbours Local Plan areas). The Grand Harbour Local Plan area experienced the greatest population loss of all regions, losing 916 people or 3 percent of its population in one year. A small loss of 313 was also experienced in the North Harbours Local Plan area. At the same time, two local plan areas on the periphery of Malta’s principal urban area continue to be the main recipients of in-migration - the South and Central Local Plan areas. This data suggests that the outflow of population may be related to perceptions about low quality of life in older urban areas, coupled with the availability in the past of new and relatively affordable suburban land and property (property prices reflect this – see Table 2.25). This type of population movement away from the city centre and towards suburban lifestyles is similar to what has been experienced in industrialised countries for some time, and is a major issue for the Review. TABLE 2.4 MIGRATORY MOVEMENTS BY LOCAL PLAN AREA (1994-1995) Total To: Total From: CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP CMLP 1,332 24 87 33 658 400 546 3,080 GCLP 37 643 16 1 33 10 20 760 GHLP 420 18 156 40 175 89 515 1,413 MBLP 42 0 12 10 23 13 139 239 NHLP 980 22 73 17 1427 162 277 2,958 NWLP 425 18 32 9 118 345 133 1,080 SMLP 625 38 121 160 211 156 1,266 2,577 3,861 763 497 270 2,645 1,175 2,896 12,107 TOTAL SMLP TOTAL Source: 1995 Census, Planning Authority data sets 2.2.10 Further information on internal migration is provided by the Planning Authority’s Household Migration Survey, which was carried out among 500 migrant households. This survey indicates that two principal factors affect whether families choose to re-locate: marriage (33 percent) and changing family sizes (26 percent). Chart 2.1 indicates that a second set of reasons for moving, each at approximately ten percent of the total, included people wanting greater amenity, such as the six percent of respondents who claimed that their neighbourhood had deteriorated, and the nine percent who wanted smaller homes or homes without stairs. The survey indicates that few households relocate to be closer to their places of work, as may be the case 20 in larger countries, or because of house prices (0.6 were concerned about price). Neither is marital breakdown an important cause of migration, since this only accounted for only two percent of reasons for migration. The survey also indicated that household movements are expensive: 59 percent of survey respondents said that haulage services, stamp duties and legal fees discouraged them from moving house. In general, respondents were not keen to move house, and 81 percent of the respondents expressed a disinclination to move again. The 1995 Census finding that only five percent of households moved between 1994 and 1995 supports this observation. Further, the Planning Authority’s analysis of 1995 Water Services data indicates that households are most eager to move to the same town, and then the same local plan area. CHART 2.1 REASONS FOR INTERNAL MIGRATION Marriage 35 Changing Household size Percentage 30 Neighbourhood/Amenity 25 Different type of home 20 To improve home 15 Tenancy changes 10 To become a home owner 5 To be near family 0 Separation/Annulment 1 Reasons Other Source: Planning Authority Household Migration Survey, 1998 Household formation 2.2.11 Household formation depends on a set of factors that include formation of single person households, age at first marriage, and number of pensioner households. On the basis of a set of assumptions regarding these trends, the Demography Paper provides estimates on the number and distribution of households in the year 2020 (see Table 2.5). TABLE 2.5 HOUSEHOLD PROJECTIONS BY LOCAL PLAN AREA (1995-2020) LPA 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Diff 20-95 Diff 20-00 CMLP 31,718 33,253 36,246 38,595 40,715 42,380 10,662 9,127 GCLP 9,188 10,232 10,942 11,651 12,291 12,794 3,606 2,562 21 GHLP 10,852 9,592 8,207 8,738 9,219 9,596 -1,256 4 MBLP 3,239 4,477 4,787 5,097 5,377 5,597 2,358 1,120 NHLP 20,820 22,382 24,620 26,215 27,656 28,787 7,967 6,405 NWLP 10,279 12,150 13,678 14,564 15,364 15,993 5,714 3,843 SMLP 33,383 35,811 38,297 40,779 43,020 44,779 11,396 8,968 119,479 127,897 136,777 145,639 153,642 159,926 40,447 32,029 TOTAL Source: Demography Topic Paper 2.2.12 The current trend is for household sizes to continue to fall, as Chart 2.2 indicates. While the four-person household has strengthened its position (26 percent) as the modal size of the Maltese family, overall household sizes in the Maltese Islands are on the decline. The three factors affecting falling household sizes are now examined in more depth. CHART 2.2 HOUSEHOLD SIZES (1957-1995) Percentage of private households 30 25 1957 20 1967 1985 1995 15 10 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 5+ Persons per household Source: Census 1995 2.2.13 Perhaps the most significant determinant of household size is single person households. Census data indicates that the number of such households is on the increase: in 1985, 13.4 percent of total were single person households, while in 1995 this percentage rose to 14.8 percent. This is because the number of young married couples remaining childless, mature persons living independently, single parent households, and returned migrants have all increased. Chart 2.3 provides spatial information as to where single households predominate, indicating that they are most common in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area, where they number 25 percent of households, probably due to the ageing population there. The Demography Topic Paper indicates that the number of single person households is expected to increase by 2020. It is hypothesised that the main increase in this population category will arise from the growing number of such households between the ages of 20 and of 40, as well as a rise of 10 percent per year in single male 22 (aged between 25 and 29) households. In addition, there will be more separated or divorced persons, and single parenthood. 40000 30 35000 30000 25 20 25000 20000 15 15000 10000 10 5 5000 0 Percentage Single Households of total Number of Households CHART 2.3: SINGLE HOUSEHOLDS BY LOCAL PLAN AREA (1995) 0 CMLP GCLP GHLP SMLP MBLP NHLP NWLP Local Plan Area Single Households Households with more than one occupant Percent of total Source: Census 1995, Planning Authority data sets 2.2.14 Age at first marriage is also a determinant of household formation. It is on the rise in Malta, although the rate of increase is gradual. While this does affect household formation, it is not as influential a factor as single household formation (see Chart 2.4). 2.2.15 The population category that is increasing most drastically in Malta concerns persons over the age of 60. The Social and Community Facilities Topic Paper indicates that longer life expectancy and a decline in birth rates have led to 17 percent of the total population now being aged over 60. It is estimated that by 2020 the number of persons aged 60 and over will constitute approximately one fourth of the population, of whom 42 percent will be aged 75 and over. This is already the case in Gozo. An average of 43 percent of elderly people live alone, with slightly more (47 to 49 percent) in all local plan areas except Central Malta and South Malta, where population is rising, and where young couples prefer to set up home (see Chart 2.5). The Demography Topic Paper predicts that more elderly people aged 75 will be living alone as institutionalisation decreases. The Demography Topic Paper thus predicts a smaller household size, falling from 3.1 in 1995 to 2.7 in 2020, which points to the increased need for smaller sized dwellings over the Review period. CHART 2.4 CHANGES TO AGE AT FIRST MARRIAGE (1965 – 1995) 23 Percentage change 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1965 1975 1985 1995 1996 Year Males Females Source: Demographic Review 1965, 1975, 1985 and 1996 2.2.16 This discussion has described the principal demographic changes anticipated for the Review period, and has shown how these changes will result in a rise of 32,000 households over the Structure Plan Review period of 2000-2020. In the next section, these demographic changes are situated in the context of changes to Malta’s settlement pattern and housing stock during the last decades. CHART 2.5: ELDERLY PERSONS LIVING ALONE Number of persons 18000 15000 12000 9000 6000 3000 0 CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Local Plan Area Persons aged 60 and over Persons aged 60 and over and living alone Source: Census 1995 Urbanisation and settlement patterns 2.2.17 The Maltese Islands have witnessed rapid urbanisation over the last 40 years, and this has resulted in changes to settlement patterns. This rapid urbanisation is evident in the fact that increases in the number of dwellings 24 and settlement area have not followed the trends in population and household growth, but have increased at a faster rate. Through this process, development has become increasingly dispersed in comparison with the compact and physically distinct settlements of the past. In the following discussion, these issues are explored in the context of findings from the 1995 Census and Planning Authority datasets. Urbanisation 2.2.18 The 1988 Structure Plan Brief indicated that urbanisation rates rose sharply in the post-war period, and it reproduced data showing that between 1957 and 1985, the amount of built-up land in the Islands increased by 348 percent, the number of new dwellings increased by 71 percent, while new households increased by 42 percent and population only increased by 9.5 percent (see Chart 2.6). This data effectively suggests that although population and household growth grew only slowly in this period, growth in the number of dwelling units being provided, as well as the land area taken up for development, grew at a pace quite unrelated to demographic change (see more detailed discussion in the Rural Topic Paper). CHART 2.6 POPULATION, HOUSEHOLDS, DWELLINGS AND SETTLEMENT AREA (1957-2020) 700 Percentage Increase 600 500 Population 400 Households 300 Dwellings 200 Built-up areas 100 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Source: Schemes Monitoring Database, Dwellings Database, Demography Topic Paper 2.2.19 It is instructive to update these estimates for the 1990s, although data is not available up to the year 2000 for all variables. Chart 2.6 provides a quantitative summary of land use change between 1955 and 2000, drawing on the 1995 Census, the population and household forecasts from the Demography Topic Paper and the Demographic Review, the Dwellings 25 Database and the Schemes Monitoring Database (for settlement area as of 1998). The year 2000 figure for household size, which is 3.0, has been used to calculate the number of households in 1998, from the 1998 population estimates in the Demographic Review. The figure for households in 1988 is therefore likely to be slightly on the higher end of the range. The Chart indicates that the trends identified by the 1988 Structure Plan Brief have continued. Over the past 50 years, built-up area and dwelling stock have continued to increase at rates that are not linked directly to demographic growth in terms of population and households. The large amount of green field land allocated for development in 1988 is partly responsible for the continuation of this trend over the last decade, although this development has been controlled within well-defined boundaries. However, the Chart also indicates that while the general trend towards faster growth in settlement area and dwelling stock compared to population and households has not been halted, the rates of change have slowed down since 1995. This slowing down in the growth of built-up areas and dwelling stock is positive, and indicates progress towards achieving the second goal of the Structure Plan, which is to use land and buildings efficiently. Settlement patterns 2.2.20 As indicated in the Structure Plan Technical Report 1.1, Malta’s settlement pattern prior to the 20th Century was in the main organised around a system of (larger and smaller) rural villages and walled cities. In the period just before World War II, there was rapid growth in a few settlements around Valletta, such as Sliema, Hamrun and Paola, due to overspill from the harbour area. While growth in the villages was essentially radial (such as Mosta and Siggiewi), growth around Valletta tended to be more linear, occurring along the main roads that linked cities and villages, such as at Hamrun and Birkirkara. After the War, growth continued largely along a linear pattern, but development also occurred in the land envelopes created by village bypasses and Government sponsored housing development areas. As noted earlier, new purpose-built Government housing estates were located on the periphery of almost every town and village during these decades. Some larger villages such as Birkirkara, Mosta, Rabat and Zabbar took on the role of regional centres. At the same time, coastal areas that were previously largely devoted to summer residences became popular as permanent residential settlements, as the popularity of Sliema, St. Paul’s Bay and Marsascala today still indicates (see paragraph 2.2.38 on dwelling permissions granted). Development here took place along the coastal in a linear fashion. 2.2.21 Population statistics, as well as the data on internal migration in paragraph 2.2.8, suggest that demographic change has not been uniform over the Islands. Population is increasing in all localities except the Grand Harbour Local Plan area (with the exception of Kalkara), and the South Malta Local Plan area experienced the greatest increase in population between 1985 and 1995. There is a clear pattern as population continue to leave the Grand Harbour Local Plan area (and some parts of the North Harbours, such as 26 Sliema and Gzira, and Central Malta, such as Hamrun, Qormi and Santa Venera) in favour of the quieter and less dense areas such as Attard, Mosta, Marsaskala and Birzebbuga (see discussion on residential vacancy in paragraph 2.2.54). These changes have a direct relationship with commuting patterns, as Table 2.6 indicates. 2.2.22 Data originating from the Employment Training Corporation (ETC) that relates employees’ place of work to their home Local Plan area confirms that 40 percent of Maltese persons work in the Grand Harbour area. However this figure must be viewed in the context of the fact that all teachers, government employees and bank employees are registered as working at their head offices in this data set. Nevertheless, the data does indicate that while most Maltese live in the Central and Sourth Local Plan areas, their workplaces are more likely to be in the Grand Harbour, and to a lesser but still significant extent in the South, North Harbours or Central Local Plan areas (see Table 2.). A general finding, however, is that while residents do travel outside their home local plan area to go to work, this is generally in the same part of the archipelago, with few residents from the Central area working in the South, for example. This data is corroborated by the results from the Travel Survey as reported in the Transport and Employment Topic Papers. TABLE 2.6 HOMEPLACES AND WORKPLACES HOMEPLACE WORKPLACE CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP TOTAL CMLP 12,012 147 1,416 275 2,702 1,996 3,740 22,288 GCLP 28 4,803 6 2 29 15 43 4,926 GHLP 14,223 3,709 6,334 1,445 7,310 4,877 17,043 54,941 MBLP 256 3 98 691 138 79 617 1,882 NHLP 5,815 439 1,627 340 9,115 1,722 3,747 22,805 NWLP 1,936 102 266 43 672 4,687 642 8,348 SMLP 3,926 339 2,064 954 2,107 1,865 12,732 23,987 TOTAL 38,196 9,542 11,811 3,750 22,073 15,241 38,564 139,177 Source: Employment Training Corporation 1999 2.2.23 The Transport Planning Unit has used a TRIPS transport model to study commuting patterns in the Maltese Islands. Confirming the findings from the ETC data described above, it results that at most junctions, morning traffic flows are towards the area of the Grand Harbour Local Plan, while evening flows are out of the centre towards the urban periphery, where most Maltese live. At the same time, overall traffic flows are increasing at six percent per annum, while traffic flows on newer roads are increasing at 12 percent per annum. The TRIPS model indicates that Malta’s modal split increasingly favours car trips over other modes of transport; the Household Travel Survey of 1999 indicated that while approximately 70.6 percent of trips are made by car, under 11.5 percent were made by bus and 11 percent by foot. This 27 situation points to the relationship between the rise in private personal mobility and settlement patterns, as people who live in suburban locations need to travel to work (or school) along routes that are not served by an efficient public transport system. At the same time, planning and fiscal policy that does not discourage development in peripheral areas also exacerbates this trend. Changing settlements patterns in the various local plan areas 2.2.24 It is worth reviewing at this point the way settlement patterns have changed over the last decades on a local plan areas basis (detail of such changes on a more detailed, settlement basis is provided in Appendix 2.1). Map 1 provides a visual key to Malta’s Local Plan Areas and major settlements. Overall, the Central Malta Local Plan area gained a population of 6,000 in the intercensal period, and the share of Malta’s total dwelling stock in this area increased during this period from 20 to 23 percent. The largest settlement here remains Birkirkara, followed by Qormi and Mosta. Residential densities (see Appendix 2.2 and the section on density under Housing Quality) are highest in Hamrun, which is losing population, and lowest in Lija and Attard, where populations are on the rise. The low densities and vacancy rates in some of this Area suggest that most dwellings here are lived in rather than purchased as second homes or investments. Most permissions for new dwellings between 1994 and 2000 in this region were granted in Birkirkara. 2.2.25 Gozo is characterised by the fact that each settlement remains geographically distinct and this contributes to the rural quality of the Gozitan landscape. Both dwelling and urban population densities in the Island are particularly low. Nevertheless, population has once more begun to rise, with 3,000 more persons (approximately 1000 new households) residing here in 1995 than in 1985. Although the large part of population growth was in Rabat, most of the close to 3,000 residential permissions were granted in Xaghra and Zebbug, which are popular with non-residents. The above indicates that there is a discrepancy between household growth and dwelling permissions in Gozo, which may be related to residential vacancy (39 percent) and the purchase of second homes, which amount to 20 percent of total vacancy. 2.2.26 Population in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area fell by 13,200 in the intercensal period; this level of population decline represents a higher rate of loss than in the previous census period. A number of factors are responsible for this trend, ranging from declining work forces in the dockyards to social preferences for quieter suburban locations. Vacancy rates are also high here; 19 percent of residences are vacant although only 0.3 percent are second homes. At the same time, and perhaps relatedly, residential densities are high; Isla is well known as the locality with the highest population density on the Islands, largely due to post-war reconstruction in 28 the form of low-cost apartments. In this area, only 234 residential permissions were granted between 1994 and 2000. 2.2.27 The Marsaxlokk Bay Local Plan area experienced a population growth of 25 percent between 1985 and 1995, the majority of which took place in Birzebbuga. Residential and population densities are low in this local plan area, and so are vacancy rates. Most of the dwelling stock and new residential development in this area is to be found in Birzebbuga, which grew rapidly through the allocation of TPS land in this locality. While Marsaxlokk originated as a fishing village, its villa area at Tas-Silg is now a desirable and expensive residential area. 2.2.28 The North Harbours Local Plan area (NHLP) gained 8,000 persons in the inter-censal period, equivalent to a population gain of 16 percent, although some individual settlements lost population. Significantly, density figures reflect trends in population: in general, areas that have lost population such as Sliema, Gzira and Pieta, have high densities. Conversely, areas where population is growing (but not necessarily number of residential permissions) such as Pembroke, Swieqi and San Gwann, have lower densities. The whole Local Plan area has a higher than average vacancy rate, although Sliema is particularly high. Interestingly, Sliema had the highest number of residential permissions in the Local Plan Area between 1994 and 2000, amounting to over 900. As in 1985, the NHLP Area contains 17 percent of Malta’s dwelling stock. 2.2.29 The population of the North West Local Plan area (NWLP) grew by 22 percent between 1985 and 1995, significantly more than the 10 percent growth in the same region between 1967 and 1985. At the same time, the Plan Area’s percentage of Malta’s dwelling stock remained constant at 12 percent. The greatest population increases occurred in St. Paul’s Bay and dwelling permissions granted here between 1994 and 2000 (1764) reflect these population changes. The largest settlement in the NWLP Area remains Rabat, although Mellieha and St. Paul’s Bay are now each almost half its size. While Rabat and Mellieha have their roots as agricultural settlements, St. Paul’s Bay started out as a fishing village and summer resort, but like Mellieha is now dominated by tourism. Vacancy rates in the North West, at 47 percent for the whole area, are definitely the highest on the Islands, and are partially explained by the large number of second homes in the area, most of which are in St. Paul’s Bay. Densities (but not dwelling densities) are generally low in the North West, and the low urban population density in St. Paul’s Bay supports the finding that many of its dwellings are vacant. 2.2.30 The South Malta Local Plan area contains a number of rural settlements that are still focused on the village church and town piazza, while larger towns that are closer to the Harbour area have now become part of the larger conurbation alongside some newer settlements, including the planned town of Santa Lucija. Of all the Local Plan areas, the South gained most population in the intercensal period, and although its share in Malta’s total dwelling stock fell by four percent, it retains the largest dwelling stock in the 29 Islands. Yet there are few high density settlements in this local plan area. The fastest growing settlements in the South since 1985 are generally far from the Harbour area, and their fast growth rates contrast with those between 1967 and 1985, when most of these rural localities were experiencing growth rates of plus or minus one percent. High population growth in this Plan Area and losses in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area support the internal migration findings that reveal strong in-migration to the South from the Grand Harbours Area. Vacancy rates are generally medium to low in the South, although the seaside town of Marsaskala displayed impressive population growth since 1985, approximately 50 percent of its dwellings were vacant in 1995. Yet permits in this locality amounted to almost 1,200 between 1994 and 2000, suggesting that new development is not necessarily being directed to areas of need, similar to the situation in the North Harbours Local Plan area. 2.2.31 These regional trends confirm the broad picture of settlement change in Malta, indicating a general preference among residents for newer, less dense accommodation over that in older settlements. The next section provides details of housing development rates over the last decades, based on Census dwelling stock data and the Planning Authority’s development application records. Housing development 1988-2000 Dwelling Stock 2.2.32 The 1995 Census indicates that there were 155,202 dwelling units in the Maltese Islands on Census day, 90 percent of which are located in the island of Malta (see Table 2.7). Most of these (two-thirds) are located in the South, Central and North Harbours Local Plan areas. The most common type of dwelling is the house, which accounts for 42 percent of the total, and this includes terraced, semi-detached and fully detached residences. The second most common type of residence is the apartment. The Census indicates that houses are prevalent in the South and Central Local Plan areas, while the North Harbours Local Plan area has the highest number of apartments. The Grand Harbour area is the one local plan area that has more apartments than houses, while Gozo has the lowest ratio of apartments to houses. TABLE 2.7 DWELLING STOCK BY TYPE OF RESIDENCE (1995) LOCAL PLAN AREA Apartment House Maisonette Others* TOTAL CMLP 7,551 17,468 6,155 5,108 36,282 GCLP 1,089 7,830 152 6,377 15,448 GHLP 5,151 4,025 1,400 2,741 13,317 30 MBLP 1,002 1,751 407 1,529 4,689 NHLP 9,083 9,052 2,529 5,903 26,567 NWLP 3,015 5,680 918 9,740 19,353 SMLP 7,662 19,939 5,034 6,911 39,546 TOTAL 34,553 65,745 16,595 38,309 155,202 *Converted farmhouses kerrejja, farmhouses, yachts, cellars , basement flats Source: Census 1995, Planning Authority Datasets 2.2.33 The number of dwellings in Malta rose sharply after 1961; while 15,000 homes were built between 1946 and 1960, the decade of the 1960s witnessed the construction of 13,000 dwelling units. Even more sharp was the rise after 1970; 19,000 units were built during the 1970s, 25,000 during the 1980s, while the five years from 1991 to 1995 witnessed the construction of 11,000 dwellings units. Chart 2.7 presents these changes graphically, showing that 31 percent of all Maltese homes were built before 1946 (this includes all buildings built before 1946, including historic ones), 23 percent between 1946 and 1970, and a hefty 46 percent between 1971 and 1995. CHART 2.7 AGE OF DWELLING STOCK Percentage 50 40 30 20 10 0 pre - 1946 1946 - 1970 1971 - 1995 Year of construction Source: Census 1995. 2.2.34 A regional comparison of the dwelling stock at 1985 and at 1995 is possible by means of an analysis of Planning Authority Census data sets (see Table 2.8). These indicate that almost 40 percent of the new dwellings built during the intercensal period are located in Central Local Plan area, and that between 3,000 and 5,500 homes were constructed in each of the four local plan areas of Gozo, the North Harbours, the North West and the South. Interestingly, the Grand Harbour Local Plan area lost 114 dwelling units. This could have been through residential conversions or the ‘scrapping’ of substandand units (see discussion on ‘scrap’ in Chapter 4). 2.2.35 The next section provides an overview of residential development over the last decade. It reviews residential development in the Temporary Provisions 31 Schemes between 1988 and 1998 and then turns to dwelling permissions, providing details of the location and type of residential development approved between 1994 and 2000. 2.2.36 The Structure Plan identified the 1988 Temporary Provision Schemes (TPS) as the primary location for new housing development (see Structure Plan section 6.6, SET 8) (see Map 2). Although the TPS provided land for a variety of uses, including industry and tourism, land zoned for housing (approximately 800 ha) makes up 87 percent of the total land schemed (excluding roads, public open space, etc.). In addition, although this large amount of land is zoned for housing development, the Structure Plan urges review of the TPS layouts as part of the Local Plan process, to improve provision of social and community facilities within schemed areas (section 6.7, SET 7 and SET 9). TABLE 2.8 CHANGES TO DWELLING STOCK BY LOCAL PLAN AREA (1985 AND 1995) Local Plan Area Number of Percentage Dwellings distribution 1985 1985 Number of Percentage Increase in Percentage Dwellings distribution Dwellings Increase 1995 1995 85-95 85-95 CMLP 24,825 20 36,282 23 11,457 39 GCLP 11,538 9 15,448 10 3,910 13 GHLP 13,431 11 13,317 9 -114 0 MBLP 3,518 3 4,689 3 1,171 4 NHLP 21,076 17 26,567 17 5,491 19 NWLP 14,719 12 19,353 12 4,634 16 SMLP 36,459 29 39,546 25 3,087 10 TOTAL 125,566 100 155,202 100 29,636 100 Source: Census 1985, 1995 Planning Authority data sets Development in the Temporary Provisions Schemes 2.2.37 Table 2.9 reveals that 66.5 ha have been developed in the Temporary Provision Schemes during the four years between 1994 and 1998, and that 39 percent of the TPS land has been built up in the 10 years after 1988. Regional disparities in development rates are largely associated with the scale of land allocations. Indeed, residential development has been particularly intense in the South and Central local plan areas, where there were extensive TPS land allocations. The Table also indicates how development slowed down between 1994 and 1998 (66.5 ha developed), in comparison with the period between 1988 and 1994, when 247 ha were developed. 32 TABLE 2.9: LAND ALLOCATED FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THE TEMPORARY PROVISIONS SCHEMES, BY LOCAL PLAN AREA LOCAL PLAN AREA Area Area Area Area Area of land % of total schemed for developed developed developed allocated for area housing for housing for housing for housing housing that schemed development 1988 - 1994 1994 -1998 during is vacant for housing in 1988 (ha)* (ha) (ha) 1988-1998 (ha) in 1988 that (ha) is vacant (ha) CMLP 187.05 68.20 19.74 87.94 99.11 53 GCLP 136.11 30.69 5.69 36.38 99.73 73 GHLP 5.94 1.96 0.83 2.79 3.15 53 MBLP 23.07 9.11 2.97 12.08 10.99 48 NHLP 102.49 36.99 5.03 42.01 60.47 59 NWLP 108.02 26.03 8.03 34.06 73.96 68 SMLP 237.55 74.35 21.80 96.14 141.40 60 TOTAL 800.24 247.33 64.08 311.41 488.82 61 Source: 1995 Census, Temporary Provisions Schemes (1988); Schemes Monitoring Database 1998 *Note that this figure refers only to the sum of the area of the sites zoned for housing and does not include streets, public open space, etc. Dwellings approved 2.2.38 A second important indicator of residential development trends is available from the Planning Authority’s Dwellings Database, which covers the years from 1994 to 2000. The Planning Authority monitors the permissions it grants for residential development, and the data includes newly built units as well as conversions and redevelopments. This may not necessarily represent the actual rate of dwelling construction, since, as the Planning Authority’s completion survey indicates, seven percent of all dwelling permissions are never taken up. In addition, the number of permissions granted each year is also a measure of the Planning Authority’s efficiency in processing development applications, given that there is a time lag between submission and approval. However the Database provides some indication of development trends in the housing sector. The data confirms the trend noted above, that residential development rates in the late nineties fell relative to those in the mid-1990s (see Chart 2.8 and Map 4). CHART 2.8 DWELLING PERMISSIONS GRANTED (1994 – 2000) 33 Number of dwelling units approved 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Year Source: Dwellings Database 2.2.39 Table 2.10 below provides an analysis of dwelling permissions by local plan area. The bulk of permissions were granted for development in the South and Central Local Plan areas, in particular in Marsascala (1,171 permissions), Birkirkara (930), Mosta (779) and Zebbug (515). Development rates are increasing in the Marsaxlokk Bay area, and have remained relatively constant in the North Harbours area. In terms of particular localities, most permissions for residential development were in St. Paul’s Bay (1,797) and Sliema (930). The Table also reveals that the pattern of dwelling stock from the inter-censal period (see Table 2.8) has not been kept up, although dwelling stock growth in the Grand Harbours Local Plan area remains low and the North Harbours remains high. While most growth (39% increase) was registered in the Central Malta Local Plan area between 1985 and 1995, it was Gozo and Comino that grew most since 1995, flowed by the North West, Marsaxlokk Bay, and the South Local Plan areas. 2.2.40 This data also lends itself to analysis by type of residence, as shown in Table 2.11. The balance between apartments, houses and maisonettes has shifted between 1994 and 2000, with almost 50 percent more apartments being granted permission in 2000, relative to 1994. This is a positive result in the context of the Structure Plan’s second goal, which concerns the efficient use of land. At the same time, the number of terraced houses being built has decreased, with this market segment falling from 23 percent to 10 percent in this period. TABLE 2.10 TOTAL APPROVED DWELLINGS (1994–2000) AND PERCENTAGE INCREASE IN DWELLING STOCK (1995) 34 LPA 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total Stock 1994-2000 1995 % Change 1995-2000 CMLP 292 717 850 652 629 407 475 4,022 36,282 8 GCLP 201 560 516 529 428 185 357 2,776 15,448 13 GHLP 46 42 14 68 25 24 15 234 13,317 1 MBLP 50 137 91 91 117 72 160 718 4,689 11 NHLP 583 516 361 466 298 802 391 3,417 26,567 9 NWLP 224 942 501 516 483 327 386 3,379 19,353 11 SMLP 766 1159 922 1084 904 424 563 5,822 39,546 10 2,162 4,073 3,255 3,406 2,884 2,241 2,347 20,368 155,202 9 TOTAL Source: Dwellings Database TABLE 2.11 DWELLING PERMISSIONS BY TYPE (1994- 2000) Year Apartments Maisonettes Terraced Houses Villas Amount % Amount % Amount % Amount 1994 1,088 51 469 22 552 26 1995 1,849 45 1,038 25 1,110 1996 1,594 48 1,149 35 1997 1,606 47 1,129 1998 1,651 57 1999 1,453 2000 1,456 TOTAL 10,697 TOTAL % Amount 17 1 2,126 27 76 2 4,073 481 15 67 2 3,291 33 575 17 96 3 3,406 755 26 406 14 72 2 2,884 65 468 21 301 13 19 1 2,241 62 580 25 289 12 22 1 2,347 53 5,588 27 3,714 18 369 2 20,368 Source: Dwellings Database 2.2.41 The location of residential permissions with respect to planning designations (Urban Conservation Areas [UCAs], Temporary Provisions Schemes [TPS], Existing Urban Areas [EUAs] and the land falling outside the development zone [ODZ]) reveals that the majority of permissions for development fall in the TPS (see Map 2 for development designations). However the fact that approximately half the permissions are not in the TPS indicates that the planning system has been more successful at encouraging brownfield (on already developed land) development that was envisaged by the Structure Plan, when it estimated that only 13 percent of development would take place in such areas. CHART 2.9 DWELLING PERMISSIONS DESIGNATION (1994 – 2000) GRANTED BY PLANNING 35 Number of Dwelling Permissions 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 UCA TPS EUA ODZ Planning Designations Source: Dwellings Database Residential Development outside Scheme 2.2.42 A small proportion of residential permissions (three percent) have been granted outside the development boundary, as defined in the Temporary Provisions Schemes (see Chart 2.9). This is despite policy guidance prohibiting this in SET 11, paragraph 8.3 and HOU 1-4 of the Structure Plan, except for in cases where a countryside location is essential. The Dwellings Database indicates that there has been a provision of 627 dwelling units outside the development zone in seven years, which amounts to approximately 90 units per year (see Table 2.12). However, the trend indicates that the number of dwelling units approved in this area is decreasing, indeed the highest number of such approvals occurred in 1995. It is important to note that approximately one third of these permissions for development outside the permitted zone are located very close to or slightly overlapping with the development boundary. This is a matter of serious concern and the issue is discussed in more detail in the Rural Strategy Topic Paper. 2.2.43 Most of the residential units constructed outside the development zone were located in the Gozo and Comino and the South Malta Local Plan areas. In the Gozo and Comino Local Plan area, for example, the highest number of units in 1996 and 1997 consisted of major projects involving the erection of apartments and garages mostly in Rabat, Zebbug and Xaghra. In the South Local Plan area most of the projects consisted of the erection of new apartments in Luqa and terraced houses in Zabbar. TABLE 2.12 RESIDENTIAL UNITS PERMITTED OUTSIDE THE DEVELOPMENT ZONE (1994-2000) LOCAL PLAN AREA CMLP 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 3 4 0 8 2 6 2000 TOTAL 2 25 36 GCLP 5 24 29 19 3 11 19 110 GHLP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MBLP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NHLP 0 0 0 0 4 1 1 6 NWLP 65 20 35 11 3 3 6 143 SMLP 76 9 17 85 23 1 0 211 TOTAL 149 57 81 123 35 22 28 495 Source: Dwellings Database Conversions 2.2.44 An important element of residential development occurs through conversion of properties from other uses. In Malta’s case, however, there has been a net loss of 550 residential units through conversion over the past decade, since most conversions were from residential to other uses. This data indicates that the planning policy encouraging conversions (see HOU 2) has been largely unsuccessful. Loss of dwelling units increased in the period between 1991 and 1998, after which there was a temporary decrease in 1999, so that in 1999 there was a loss of only 34 dwelling units compared to 101 in 1998 (see Table 2.13). TABLE 2.13 DWELLING CONVERSIONS BY TYPE (1991- 2000) Type of conversion ‘91 ‘92 ‘93 ‘94 ‘95 ‘96 ‘97 ‘98 ‘99 ‘00 TOTAL Dwelling to dwelling 0 1 7 10 11 23 7 -15 3 14 61 Dwelling to other 0 -2 -61 -96 -84 -107 -109 -101 -40 -79 -679 Other to dwelling 1 2 8 11 31 11 12 13 4 8 101 Mixed 0 0 -1 -23 -11 -4 1 2 -1 0 -37 TOTAL 1 1 -47 -98 -53 -77 -89 -101 -34 -57 -554 Source: Conversions and Redevelopment Database 2.2.45 Most of the residential conversions were changes to retail uses (45 percent), and then offices and garages. Despite the overall loss of dwelling units through conversion, a net gain of 61 dwelling units resulted out of conversions of dwellings to larger or smaller residential units, for example from a villa into a maisonette or from a terraced house into apartments. 2.2.46 Table 2.14 provides details of residential conversions between 1994 and 1999 in terms of planning designations (see Map 2). It indicates that most conversions took place in Existing Urban Areas. In Urban Conservation Areas, there were few residential conversions, most of which relate to changes of use from dwellings to non-residential, mainly retail, uses. This indicates a trend towards increasing non-residential uses in Urban Conservation Areas. 37 TABLE 2.14 RESIDENTIAL CONVERSIONS BY PLANNING DESIGNATIONS (1994 - 2000) Planning Designation Net Change Through Conversions Urban Conservation Areas -137 Existing Urban Areas -358 Temporary Provision Schemes -13 Outside Development Zone -1 TOTAL -509 Source: Conversions and Redevelopment Database 2.2.47 Further geographical analysis is possible by local plan area, and this indicates that the trend towards loss of dwelling units is not evenly distributed across the Maltese Islands (see Table 2.15). The highest loss of dwelling units through conversions occurred in the North Harbours Local Plan area (a loss of 175 units). The South and Central Local Plan area also experienced relatively high net losses of 127 and 146 residential units respectively, while the remaining local plan areas (Gozo and Comino, Grand Harbour, North West and Marsaxlokk Bay) witnessed relatively smaller losses. Mixed conversions occurred mostly in the Gozo and Comino Local Plan area, and this type of conversion contributed to a loss of 37 units between 1991 and 2000. TABLE 2.15 RESIDENTIAL CONVERSIONS BY LOCAL PLAN AREA (1991- 2000) LPA Dwelling to Dwelling Dwelling to Other use Mixed Units Lost Other Use to Dwelling Development % Loss CMLP 15 -180 20 -1 -146 26 GCLP 27 -49 19 -20 -23 4 GHLP -2 -37 5 -2 -36 6 MBLP 2 -7 1 0 -4 1 NHLP 11 -197 13 -2 -175 32 NWLP 10 -68 16 -1 -43 8 SMLP -2 -141 27 -11 -127 23 TOTAL 61 -679 101 -37 -554 100 Source: Conversions and Redevelopment Database Redevelopment 2.2.48 A second significant source of housing gains is the redevelopment process. The Planning Authority’s Conversions and Redevelopment Database, which is based on development application records, provides insight into the 38 dwelling units gained through redevelopment between 1991 and 2000. The Database indicates that redevelopment contributed a net gain of 3,156 dwelling units in this period (see Table 2.16). Between 1991 and 1997 there was a constant increase in the amount of redeveloped units, which was temporarily reversed in 1998 and 1999, similar to the trend observed with residential conversions. Most of the redeveloped units were gained through the demolition of residential units and construction of new dwellings (81 percent of all redevelopment cases). The Database also indicates that in the case where redevelopment involves replacement of dwellings by new dwellings, redeveloped units have a relatively smaller floor space area than the residences they replace. TABLE 2.16 DWELLING UNITS GAINED THROUGH REDEVELOPMENT (19912000) YEAR ‘91 ‘92 ‘93 ‘94 ‘95 ‘96 ‘97 ‘98 ‘99 ‘00 TOTA L Original units 2 22 127 191 186 262 252 272 109 269 1,692 Redeveloped units 7 67 321 495 568 670 721 712 324 963 4,848 5 45 194 304 382 408 469 440 215 694 3,156 Net gain in housing units Source: Conversions and Redevelopment Database 2.2.49 A regional analysis of redevelopment projects indicates that 36 percent of all residential gains through redevelopment occurred in the North Harbours Local Plan area, followed by the North West at 22 percent (see Table 2.17). In both these areas, although more markedly in the North Harbours, property prices are relatively high and provide substantial returns for home owners redeveloping or selling their homes. By comparing redevelopment gains with existing dwelling stock, Table 2.17 indicates that the spatial distribution of Malta’s new dwellings gained through redevelopment is disproportionate to the dwelling stock, except in the Gozo and Comino area. The Table thus reveals that two local plan areas (the North Harbours and the North West) are preferred locations for residential redevelopments. When Table 2.17 is viewed alongside dwelling permissions data (see Table 2.10) it emerges that over the period from 1994 to 2000, 14 percent of new dwellings were gained through redevelopment. For the year 2000, however, the redevelopment process provided a much higher percentage of units: 29 percent. It is evident that redevelopment is becoming increasingly frequent, and that developers are seizing such opportunities wherever they arise. TABLE 2.17 RESIDENTIAL GAINS THROUGH REDEVELOPMENT, BY LOCAL PLAN AREA (1991- 2000) 39 LOCAL PLAN AREA Net Gain in Dwelling Units (1991-2000) % Gain of Total Dwelling Stock (1995) Percentage Distribution of Stock (1995) CMLP 390 12 36,282 23 GCLP 339 11 15,448 10 GHLP 134 4 13,317 9 MBLP 59 2 4,689 3 NHLP 1,130 36 26,567 17 NWLP 683 22 19,353 12 SMLP 421 13 39,546 25 3,156 100 155,202 100 TOTAL Source: Conversions and Redevelopment Database 2.2.50 Analysis by planning designation for the years 1994 to 1999 reveals that most residential redevelopment occurs in Existing Urban Areas (EUAs) (2,150 net dwelling gain). A large number of redevelopments also occur in Urban Conservation Areas (UCAs), pointing to the need to investigate the effect of these changes on the character of UCAs (see Chart 2.10). CHART 2.10 RESIDENTIAL GAINS THROUGH REDEVELOPMENT, BY TYPE OF PLANNING DESIGNATION (1994- 1999) Number ofunits 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 UCA TPS EUA ODZ Planning Designations Source: Conversions and Redevelopment Database 2.2.51 Before closing this section on housing development, it is worth noting that the type of properties being built do not always reflect housing needs. In particular, as household sizes decline, Malta’s residential properties are increasingly too large for the households they contain. In the Planning Authority’s Housing Quality Survey most of the respondents who expressed dissatisfaction with their dwellings (13 percent), claimed that their dwellings were of the wrong size. Of these 173 respondents, 26 percent declared that their homes were too small, and 10 percent that they were too large. Chart 2.2 indicates that single-person households have increased steadily between 1957 and 1995, while households consisting of more than five 40 persons have declined, and household sizes are expected to decrease further (see paragraph 2.2.12). 2.2.52 Despite falling household sizes, most households (23 percent) live in dwellings containing five rooms, of which three are bedrooms. Furthermore, 21 percent of houses have six rooms. The 1995 Census indicates that most households of up to five members occupy homes that are larger than their needs, while families of seven persons or more tend to occupy dwellings smaller than their needs. At the same time, given the lack of propensity to move house mentioned earlier, and the fact that some households purchase homes that are larger than their present needs because they expect to increase their household size, these figures are to be expected. It is also important to consider that other factors besides size continue to make a home attractive after it no longer meets the size requirements of the household: these factors include position, emotional/sentimental attachment to the dwelling, presence of garden, etc. In this regard the main issue here is the effect on occupants of the dwelling/household size mismatch, and overcrowding for larger households is probably the most serious aspect of the mismatch. Although few families are now made up of more than six persons (1.3 percent), there is nevertheless a need for housing policy to be sensitive to the needs of the households in such categories. 2.2.53 This Census data also highlights the need for a greater availability of smaller sized dwellings. With a view to partially addressing this, new planning guidance (DC 2000) provides standards for two- and one-bedroomed dwellings, although the Dwellings Database indicates that the majority of new development provides for three-bedroomed apartments. Residential vacancy and the rental sector 2.2.54 As the Structure Plan identified, Malta’s housing stock includes a large number of vacant properties, which in 1995 amounted to 23 percent of total. The problem is growing: between 1985 and 1995, there was an increase of 11,668 vacant units (see Chart 2.11 below). Vacancy in Malta is of two kinds; the 1995 Census indicates that 36 percent of all vacant dwellings, or approximately 13,000 units, are used as summer residences, and this type of vacancy is termed ‘temporary vacancy’, while the vacant premises that are not used as second or holiday homes, are termed ‘permanently vacant’. CHART 2.11 RESIDENTIAL VACANCY RATES (PERMANENT AND TEMPORARY VACANCY) (1967 – 1995) 41 Percentage of vacant dwellings 25 20 15 10 5 0 1967 1985 1995 Year Source: Census 1967–1995 2.2.55 Permanently vacant dwellings are spread in all local plan areas, but the highest number is found in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area (see Chart 2.17 below). An analysis of the spatial distribution of permanently vacant dwellings by type of residence is shown below. CHART 2.12 PERMANENTLY VACANT DWELLINGS BY LOCAL PLAN AREA Number of vacant dwelllings 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Local Plan Area Source: Census 1995 2.2.56 Table 2.18 indicates that the large part of Malta’s 22,756 permanently vacant homes are houses and flats, and while houses predominate in the Central, Gozo and Comino and South Local Plan areas, flats predominate in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area. The Grand Harbour Local Plan area has the highest amount of vacant dwellings, and this is likely to be due to the fact that people are moving out of this area in search of better quality accommodation elsewhere, and legal problems are greater here due to the age of the properties. At the same time, the fact that almost half of the vacant properties 42 in Valletta are government owned, suggests that the vacancy problem might be more straightforward to address in this area. TABLE 2.18 PERMANENTLY VACANT HOMES BY TYPE AND AREA LPA House Apartment Maisonette Other Total vacant % vacant CMLP 2,109 1,382 705 233 4,429 12.2 GCLP 2,258 464 27 226 2,975 19.3 GHLP 1,295 3,280 402 45 5,022 37.7 MBLP 189 241 39 25 494 10.5 NHLP 878 958 404 210 2,450 9.2 NWLP 768 1,557 149 126 2,600 13.4 SMLP 2,338 1,522 705 224 4,786 12.1 TOTA L 9,835 9,404 2,431 1,089 22,756 14.6 Source: Census 1995 2.2.57 The geographical distribution of vacant dwellings indicates that residential vacancy occurs not only in older settlements, but also in newer expanding settlements such as St.Julian’s (22 percent permanently vacant) and Marsaskala (15 percent permanently vacant). TABLE 2.19 ALL VACANT DWELLINGS BY TYPE AND STATE OF REPAIR (1995) House Apartment Maisonette Other Total % Newly Constructed 1,691 5,657 984 88 8,420 24 Good State of Repair 5,553 10,172 1,684 480 17,889 50 Needs Maintenance 3,642 2,287 709 480 7,118 20 956 771 253 316 2,296 6 11,842 18,887 3,630 1,364 35,723 100 Dilapidated Condition National Total Source: Census 1995, Planning Authority Data Sets 2.2.58 Table 2.19 indicates that almost 75 percent of vacant properties are newly constructed or in a good state of repair. Indeed, the dilapidated stock amounts to only 6 percent of total. Of the 26,309 habitable vacant properties, a full 15,000 are flats. In land use terms, this represents a considerable waste of usable land and building resources. The following table compares the condition of permanently and temporarily vacant properties, and confirms that second homes are generally in a better state of repair than permanently vacant properties. The figure of almost 14,000 permanently vacant dwellings 43 that are new or in a good state of repair is also an issue of concern, since it points to inefficient use of quality housing resources. TABLE 2.20 VACANT DWELLINGS BY TYPE OF VACANCY AND STATE OF REPAIR Temporary Vacancy Permanent Vacancy 12,345 13,964 622 8,792 12,967 22,756 New or Good state of repair Dilapidated or Needs Maintenance National Total Source: Census 1995, Planning Authority Data Sets 2.2.59 The following chart presents data on the state of vacant properties by local plan area. Most of the newly constructed vacant dwellings and summer residences are in the North West Local Plan area, where St. Paul’s Bay has also experienced the heaviest concentration of flat development in recent years. At the same time, all local plan areas except the Grand Harbour have a high proportion of vacant properties that are new or in a good state of repair. The Grand Harbour Local Plan area has the least amount of newly constructed vacant dwellings; indeed this area has received the smallest amount of dwelling development permits (see Table 2.13). The highest number of dwellings in either a dilapidated condition or in need of maintenance is found in the Grand Harbour and South Malta Local Plan areas. CHART 2.13 VACANT HOMES BY LOCAL PLAN AREA AND STATE OF REPAIR Number of Dwellings 10000 Dilapidated condition 7500 Needs maintenance 5000 Good state of repair 2500 Newly constructed 0 CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Local Plan Area Source: Census 1995, Planning Authority data sets 2.2.60 The high quality of many vacant dwellings suggests that new provision is contributing to the vacant stock. This may be due to rent control policy, 44 tenancy protection laws or it may be a reflection of the public’s interest to speculating in the housing market. 2.2.61 The residential vacancy issue in Malta is directly related to Malta’s tightly controlled rental market, following the extensive rent control over the years but specifically since the introduction of the Housing Act in 1949, which allowed Government to fix rents as they would have averaged in 1939 (see paragraph 2.1.2). The Act allowed for extensive tenant protection and includes the inheritance of leases amongst family members living in the same house. This Act was only repealed in 1995, although rental agreements made previous to this year are still governed by the old law. Pre-1995 rental agreements may be revised after 15 years, but only after substantial improvements to the property, and the changes must not result in more than a doubling of the existing rents. 2.2.62 As a consequence to the institution of rent control, the proportions of the housing sector in rental and owner occupation have undergone an inversion since 1948 (see Chart 2.14). Percentage of dwellings CHART 2.14 HISTORY OF THE RENTAL SECTOR (1948 – 1995) 100 80 60 40 20 0 1948 1957 1967 1985 1995 Census date Owner occupied Rented Source: Census 1985 and 1995 2.2.63 The 1995 Census confirms that the rental sector has declined considerably in the Islands; it has fallen from 77 percent of the housing market in 1948 to 28 percent in 1995. This finding is supported by evidence from the Planning Authority’s Housing Quality Survey, which indicates that 73 percent of the respondents were owner-occupiers. This situation has resulted in a rate of home owner occupancy that is high compared to other countries, as Table 2.21 indicates, albeit for the year 1990. TABLE 2.21 HOME OWNER OCCUPATION IN EU MEMBER STATES AND IN MALTA, 1990 45 Country Percentage in Owner- Country occupation Percentage in Owneroccupation Ireland 81 Belgium 65 Greece 79 Portugal 58 Spain 76 France 54 Luxembourg 68 Denmark 51 Maltese Islands 68 Austria 50 Italy 67 Netherlands 45 United Kingdom 65 Germany 38 Source: Statistics on Housing in the European Community 2.2.64 The percentage of owner occupied dwellings per local plan area is presented in Chart 2.15. This Chart indicates that owner occupation is relatively high in Gozo (92.7 percent); this is likely to be related to land ownership patterns on this Island. Owner-occupation is lowest in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area, where the rental sector, including the social rented sector remains significant. In this area, average incomes are low, and less residents are able to afford home purchases. Owner-occupation in the North Harbours Local Plan area is slightly lower than the 73 percent national average, but this is more likely to be due to the attractiveness of this area with foreign nationals as a rental location. Occupation Percentage of Owner- CHART 2.15 PERCENTAGE OF OWNER-OCCUPIED DWELLINGS (1957 – 1995) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Local Plan Area Source: Census 1995 2.2.65 A large proportion of rental accommodation is still rented out at very low values; in 1995, more than half the rental dwelling stock was rented out at less than Lm 50 per year. At the same time, dwellings with a rental cost of less than Lm 30 decreased between 1948 and 1985, while those rented at more than Lm 60 have increased sharply (see Chart 2.16). 46 CHART 2.16 TRENDS IN RENTAL VALUES (1948-1985) Percentage of total 100 90 80 1948 1957 1967 1985 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 <Lm30 Lm30 - 59 Lm60+ Rental values Source: Census 1985 2.2.66 Data for the year 1995 is not included in Chart 2.16 since reporting standards changed in the 1995 Census. However, Chart 2.17 presents data for 1995, indicating that rental values are increasing slowly. Percentage of total CHART 2.17 RENTAL VALUES (1995) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Lm 1 - 50 Lm 51 - 100 Lm 101 - 150 Lm 151 - 200 Lm 200+ Rental Values Source: Census 1995 2.2.67 Low rental values affect the quality of certain settlements; they discourage owners from maintaining their property in good condition, as the cost of repairs is frequently greater than their rental income. This results in increasing decrepitude of the housing stock, particularly in certain older settlements. Further, tenants are not motivated to look for better quality accommodation, as this would be more expensive. At the same time, the lack of properties for rent generally affects those who are unable to buy properties, and serves to swell the list of homeless persons and those who apply for social assistance (see section on social housing). 47 TABLE 2.22 NUMBER OF PERSONS IN RENTAL ACCOMMODATION, CLASSIFIED BY ANNUAL INCOME EARNED AND RENT PAID AT 1995 ANNUAL RENT (Lm) INCOME (Lm) 0 - 2,499 2,500-3,999 4,000-5,999 6,000-7,999 8,000-9,999 10,000+ TOTAL 0-50 7,428 3,996 2,955 1,543 711 512 17,145 51-100 2,365 2,594 2,157 1,313 663 481 9,573 101-150 449 609 458 322 176 142 2,156 151-200 186 283 248 176 89 91 1,073 201+ 587 651 470 334 179 235 2456 Total 11,015 8,133 6,288 3,688 1,818 1,461 32,403 Source: Census 1995 2.2.68 Yet if this 1995 rental value data is compared with the level of income of tenant households, as in the table below, it emerges that some of the tenants on low rents have relatively high incomes. One third of the total households that earn more than Lm 10,000 a year and rent their homes spend between Lm 0 and Lm 50 on rent each year. Of those who pay an annual rent of more than Lm 201, one fifth earn less than Lm 3,000 a year. This indicates that low rents are often paid by wealthier households, and vice versa, suggesting that the rent to income ratio is not well-balanced. 2.2.69 In the light of this discussion, it is interesting to note the popularity of the Housing Authority housing assistance Schemes 5 and Z, which assist owners and tenants (including those in the private sector) to carry out home improvements. Scheme 5 is a scheme for grants payable to low income tenants for the upgrading and improvements to private dwellings, and Scheme Z is a grant for improvement and upgrading works in private dwellings that are occupied by their owners and provides also for benefits from subsidised loans. These two schemes are by far the most popular of those administered by the Housing Authority, and the following table presents the number of applications received and approved for Schemes 5 (previously L) and Z (previously N) for the years 1996 to 2000. At the same time, the Housing Authority’s scheme to assist owners in renovating vacant property with a view to renting it (Scheme T) has not met with much enthusiasm, confirming that the major constraint in the rental property market is related to landowners’ fears that tenants will remain in their properties rather than the financial cost of renovation. 48 TABLE 2.23 HOUSING AUTHORITY SCHEMES FOR ASSISTANCE WITH RESIDENTIAL IMPROVEMENTS (1996 – 2000) YEAR Scheme 5 (tenants) Scheme Z (owners) Applicants Beneficiaries Applicants Beneficiaries 1996 126 0 162 0 1997 98 80 125 129 1998 117 85 185 166 1999 149 160 186 146 2000 213 182 194 270 Total 703 507 852 711 Source: Housing Authority 2.2.70 With a view to addressing the vacancy issue, Structure Plan policy HOU 7 encourages the phased introduction of an equitable rental market, coupled with financial assistance for home purchase and those who cannot afford higher rentals. Although the 1995 amendments to Malta’s rental legislation were a firm step forward, the large majority of rental agreements remain governed by the 1949 legislation. It is also likely that more education is required for the public to be made aware of the full scope of these amendments. 2.2. 71 The Structure Plan further recommends, by way of recuperating from the private sector some of the costs associated with public sector provision of development supporting services, that a land hoarding tax is applied on undeveloped, derelict or abandoned sites that are ready to be developed, and on derelict buildings and building shells. This measure has not been implemented. A related measure would be a fiscal disincentive for leaving properties vacant (levied according to certain criteria including length of vacancy, financial status of owner, or where vacancy is identified to be an important issue). Both of these measures have met with criticism (see Bonnici [2001]). In the main, this criticism holds that individuals respond better to incentives such as the waiving of Capital Gains Tax on the sale of vacant properties, rather than new taxes related to under-utilisation, and additional taxes should only be considered as a last resort. The vacant property issue is not unique to Malta; in the UK, Government has initiated an approved letting scheme that provides a benchmark of good practice standards for lettings and management, which is to be achieved by means of a system of professional agents and a client money protection scheme. More information on this is available on www.nalscheme.co.uk. Whatever the measure chosen to encourage the revival of the property market, the high cost of building new property suggests that it is likely to be older properties that will be the first to come onto the rental market at affordable rates. 49 Residential property prices 2.2.72 After vacancy, the second important characteristic of the Maltese housing sector is the high cost of property compared to average wages. There have been a number of research exercises that have noted changing property prices, and the research that covers the longest time span is that carried out by Mifsud (1999). Drawing on Mifsud’s work, which records prices advertised in the Sunday Times of Malta, Chart 2.18 presents the change in dwelling prices by type of dwelling between 1970 and 1995. The Chart indicates that prices rose between four and eight times in this period, depending on the type of property, with larger properties commanding higher prices. CHART 2.18 AVERAGE PROPERTY PRICES (1970-1995) 45 40 Terraced Houses Lm (000s) 35 30 25 Flats 20 15 Maisonettes 10 5 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 Year Source: Mifsud 1999 2.2.73 The 25-year property price data above is corroborated by estate agent records (see Bonnici [1999]), which covers the 1990s and is reproduced in Table 2.24. This data confirms that prices rose particularly steeply at the higher end of the market, particularly where large dwellings such as villas are concerned. The average price for terraced houses also rose steeply, then stabilised somewhat towards the end of the 1990s. 50 TABLE 2.24 AVERAGE PROPERTY PRICES BY TYPE OF RESIDENCE (1992/1996/2000) 1992 (Lm) 1996 (Lm) 2000 (Lm) Apartments 18,870 28,578 40,000 Maisonettes 19,090 30,076 42,000 Terraced houses 28,457 50,401 67,000 Villas 52,186 94,303 120,000 Source: Bonnici, 1999 from estate agent records 2.2.74 The Planning Authority’s Property Price Database examines changes to prices by type of residence and local plan area. Full detail of the property price changes by type of property and local plan area is provided in Table 2.25 (see Map 5). This data confirms the finding that while the general trend is towards increasing property prices, each segment of the property market exhibits particular characteristics. The data also indicates that property prices have not changed uniformly over the Islands: the most significant price increases between 1996 and 1999 occurred in the Grand Harbours, Central, Marsaxlokk Bay and South Malta Local Plan areas. Prices in the North Harbours, Gozo and the Central Local Plan areas rose slowly between 1996 and 1999. Residential property prices within the Grand Harbour Local Plan area rose sharply between 1996 and 1999, which is likely to be due to a revival of the property market there, particularly in Valletta. In the Marsaxlokk Bay Local Plan area, prices continued to rise on a sharp upward curve. This could be due to a strong demand for properties in this area, as it is particularly attractive for those wishing to purchase semi-detached or detached properties in a rural yet coastal setting. TABLE 2.25 AVERAGE PROPERTY PRICES BY TYPE OF RESIDENCE AND LOCAL PLAN AREA (1996-1999) Apartments LPA Maisonettes Terraced houses 1996 1999 1996 1999 1996 CMLP 23,530 31,333 30,767 40,324 GCLP 20,468 28,758 28,500 GHLP 24,333 30,833 MBLP 19,192 NHLP 1999 Villas 1996 1999 59,370 65,118 118,698 127,393 35,300 58,250 45,419 65,000 75,568 25,800 38,214 28,833 36,269 - 136,833 36,938 35,000 45,783 48,933 67,000 - 180,714 42,097 52,860 32,478 42,776 56,525 59,781 115,612 140,029 NWLP 25,336 37,365 34,584 37,730 51,109 54,831 132,750 161,290 SMLP 26,134 24,749 30,116 30,810 46,139 63,614 142,750 158,889 Source Planning Authority Property Price Database 2.2.75 The average price of the upper end of the residential property market has increased at a higher rate than that of apartments: the average price ratio of 51 villas relative to flats has changed from 2.48 in 1989 to 3.43 in 1999 (BICC 2000). Further, some types of property exhibited a decrease in average price between 1996 and 1999, although this may be due to the fact that certain properties were included in the figures that were priced for easy sale. Nevertheless, the data indicates that process for terraced houses in Gozo dropped by Lm 12,831, and apartments in the South Local Plan area dropped by Lm 1,385 in this period. Prices of other types of property such as maisonettes in the South and terraced houses in the North Harbours have experienced a slowdown in price rises during the late 1990s, possibly due to a combination of high prices, high availability and political change. 2.2.76 Public Registry records (see Bonnici [2001]) have been examined for details of achieved sale prices by local plan area, for the period between January and August 2000. The findings indicate that achieved prices fall below advertised prices by a large margin. This might be for the following reasons: first, it is property of higher value that generally goes through the printed media; secondly, while buyers expect high prices for properties, the market is often unable to realize such prices. Thirdly, the lower averages in the Public Registry data may also be due to under-declaration, or could indicate that many buyers are actually purchasing older and cheaper properties than those advertised in the press or estate agents’ records. It is also important to note with respect to this data that sample sizes for smaller residential categories such as villas are small in certain local plan areas, such as the two villas sold in the South Malta Local Plan area in this period. TABLE 2.26 AVERAGE ACHIEVED PROPERTY PRICES BY TYPE OF RESIDENCE AND LOCAL PLAN AREA (2000) LPA Apartments Maisonettes Terraced houses Villas CMLP 18,150 23,890 42,720 96,780 GCLP 16,000 30,000 36,000 - GHLP 14,500 10,000 15,000 - MBLP 18,400 19,800 26,100 - NHLP 42,000 24,900 41,200 161,570 NWLP 19,265 21250 22,000 89,000 SMLP 18,670 22,150 27,800 70,000 Source: Bonnici (2001) from Public Registry records Note: the data covers the period from January to August 2000 and covers only half the transactions of that period. 2.2.77 The most significant cost element in Maltese property prices is land, and this element that has risen sharply since 1970. D. Camilleri (2000) compares the ratio of land prices to property prices in Malta and abroad: 52 TABLE 2.27 PLOT PRICE AS PERCENTAGE OF HOUSE PRICE (1970-1995) Year UK Malta 1970 18.7 7.0 1975 15.0 17.0 1980 16.0 18.0 1985 22.5 14.0 1990 16.1 25.0 1995 19.8 50.0 Source: D. Camilleri 2000 2.2.78 The cost of residential property to Maltese households remains an issue of pressing concern. Government is acutely aware that many households are unable to afford even small apartments at current prices, and also that they are not able to find suitable premises for rent (see section on affordability below). In some cases, critics point to planning policy, saying that prices are high because the planning system has restricted the supply of new land for development. A similar argument holds that if building heights were to rise, prices would decline. However research has shown that property prices are not solely dependent on land supply. In the UK, where similar arguments on the allocation of new land have been made in the South by housebuilders, research to this effect has been carried out by Adair, Berry and McGreal (1991) and Cheshire and Sheppard (1989). Experience with property prices in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area is a good example; although supply of new land is almost non-existent, prices have not risen sharply compared with other locations. Further, the steep rise in property prices in the years following the extensive allocation of 800 ha of greenfield land for housing in 1988 (the Temporary Provisions Schemes) indicates that increasing the supply of new land will not lead to price stabilization. The price of newly allocated land will depend on its location, and prices of residential properties in an area will eventually tend to reflect the prevailing prices of property in that area. For example, newly allocated residential land at Swieqi will sell at the prevailing price, which will be higher than residential allocations at Zabbar. TABLE 2.28 PROPERTY SALES TO FOREIGNERS (1990 –2000) Date Number of sales Total value of sales (Lm) Average price of sales (Lm) 1990 717 11,600,340 16,180 1993 283 6,981,890 24,670 1997 163 5,650,720 34,670 2000 293 21,129,700 72,115 Source: Bonnici (2001) 2.2.79 The high cost of Maltese housing is sometimes associated with purchase of property by foreign nationals. Estate agent data on property sales to 53 foreigners (see Bonnici [2001]), indicates that this type of property sale is once more on the increase (see Table 2.28). This is likely to be due to changes in legislation in 2000 concerning sale of property to foreigners in certain large-scale property developments such as the Hilton Redevelopment Project. 2.2.80 During the early 1990s, foreigners buying property on the Islands contributed to six percent of total property sales and 18 percent of total turnover. The following years saw a downward trend, with a contribution of only 3.4 percent of turnover in 1997, although performance improved in the year 2000, when the foreign segment contributed 3.5 percent of sales and 10 percent of turnover. The data indicates that at present foreigners seem to be going more for apartments than houses of character or villas, as in the past. Some 48 of the 141 contracts for apartments related to property in the designated area of St. Julian’s, contributing a turnover of Lm 6,707,200, and an average price of Lm 139,700. Interestingly, the year 2000 only saw eight contracts relating to the farmhouses or houses of character category. The data suggest that the total number of foreigners buying affordable apartments may be relatively low, although the joint data for luxury and affordable properties may be masking the purchase of some low-cost apartments. 2.2.81 The effects of EU accession on house prices are also relevant to this discussion. These impacts could be two: • there could be an increase in the number of non-resident persons buying secondary residences in Malta, which could push up requirements in certain categories of properties. • it is also conceivable that requirements, in particular for rental property, might be pushed up by the immigration of persons that take up employment in Malta. In either case, it is unlikely that EU accession in the wake of the successful negotiations in this area will markedly affect the housing sector on the Islands. A permanent derogation with respect to the purchase of second properties by non-Maltese nationals (before they have resided in Malta for five years) has been negotiated with the EU, and the Planning Authority endorses the Government’s view that EU Membership will not now open up flood gates for foreigners to buy property on the Islands. This Paper has not therefore made provision for population changes after EU accession in its housing requirement forecasts. At the same time, quite apart from this debate, there is a wider and more intense national debate running on current housing costs and housing affordability, and these issues are taken up in the next section. 54 Affordability 2.2.82 The crux of the housing affordability issue is the comparison of property prices with household income. This points immediately to an issue that makes discussing the scale of the housing affordability problem in Malta very difficult: the problem of obtaining data on incomes that is not affected by under-declaration during official surveys. Chart 2.19 provides data on average wages by local plan area, from the 2000 Economic Survey. 2.2.83 While the Economic Survey reports Malta’s average annual wage as Lm 4,237, wages in the South, Marsaxlokk and North West Local Plan areas are slightly lower than this average. In the Grand Harbour, South and Gozo Local Plan areas average wages are considerably lower. Only in the North Harbours Local Plan area does the average wage exceed the national average, at Lm 4,400. Local plan areas also contain dissimilar neighbourboods: within areas of relative prosperity, there are often lowincome groups that find it difficult to purchase new property in their locality. The resulting exodus of population, by means of which families that have a long history in the area move out, contributes to a process whereby ‘social capital’ at the local level is reduced. Lm CHART 2.19 AVERAGE WAGES BY LOCAL PLAN AREA AND NATIONALLY 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 ALL MALTA CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Local Plan Area Source: Economic Survey 2000 2.2.84 Despite the difficulties associated with income data, an assessment of the scale of the housing affordability problem in the Islands has been attempted, based on data published in the 2000 Economic Survey and figures provided by the Bank of Valletta Housing Finance Division (see Table 2.29). This information, which is based on a 30 year loan repayable at annual interest rate of 6.5 percent, indicates that couples in the lower income brackets may find it difficult to find decent accommodation in their price range. The data is based on certain assumptions: that a couple earns one and a half times the income of the main wage earner; that both members of the couple have the same occupation and income category, that both members have no other 55 financial commitments, and that interest rates remains constant over the loan period. The Table indicates that few households can afford prices above Lm 23,000. If this data is compared with that on house prices in Table 2.24, it becomes evident that no households in these income brackets can afford more than an apartment. Nevertheless, it is important to note that the current competitive environment in the banking sector often results in loans being offered that exceed the ‘affordability margin’ (of 25 percent of monthly wage payable in mortgage payments). A certain amount of caution must also be applied to the income figures, because it is likely that part-time employment, family support and non-financial contributions may augment a couple’s ability to purchase a property that in theory may not seem affordable. 2.2.85 Additional detail on housing affordability is provided by D. Camilleri (2001), who draws on the 2000 Household Budgetary Survey (HBS), to provide an indication of the type of property that wage earners can afford. Table 2.30 is adapted from D. Camilleri (2001), and the property prices affordable in each income group is calculated on the basis of a Household Earning Ratio of 3.5, which is proposed for Malta by Wayne (1999). A Household Earning Ratio is the ratio between the value of an affordable residence and a household’s annual income. TABLE 2.29 MAXIMUM LOANS OBTAINABLE PER CATEGORY OF BORROWING COUPLE (2000) Borrowing couple’s occupation Combined Annual Income (Lm) Combined Combined Loan Monthly (Lm) payment (Lm) Labourer 5,445 113 17,452 Skilled Tradesman 6,493 135 20,811 Clerical/Executive 7,143 149 22,894 Managerial 9,039 188 28,971 Source: Bank of Valletta, Housing Finance Division, Economic Survey 2000 2.2.86 A number of conclusions may be drawn from Table 2.30: first, on the basis of income data from the Household Budgetary Survey, the scale of the housing affordability problem seems large. The Table provides insight into the number of persons whose declared income does not permit them to purchase any property (10.3 percent of households or approximately 11,000 households) and those who would have difficulties if purchasing on the basis of their income alone (41 percent). Clearly, this does not translate directly into the number of persons who are in need of housing, as is discussed below, since a proportion of these households could already be benefiting from housing assistance, or may own their own homes despite their low incomes. Second, the number of persons living in dwellings that they cannot afford to buy (see second and fifth columns of the Table) suggests that either many people live in homes they can no longer afford to buy, based on their current income or that many households are under-declaring their incomes. This does indicate that there is a significant affordability problem, although 56 the extent of it is difficult to establish, as one would have to take into account other sources of income, and any gain made when selling the existing property. This could indicate that housing affordability issues could become more acute in the future. 2.2.87 The approximate scale of the affordability problem may also be examined through this data, if one accepts that the income of new households is distributed in a similar manner to that of existing households. As noted above, the data indicates that 41 percent of respondent households cannot afford a two-bedroomed apartment and 10 percent cannot afford a onebedroomed one, suggesting that the range of households with affordability problems lies between 10 and 40 percent. If this percentage is translated into numbers of new households, then the number of households with affordability problems is likely to be between 150 and 650 households per annum (10 percent and 40 percent of the average annual change of 1600 – see Table 2.5 for 20 year estimates). It is therefore likely that the current Housing Authority provision of 200 properties per year may be meeting approximately one quarter of the need, if they are actually being targeted at lower income groups. A percentage of this 40 percent of households may be expected to opt to rent in such circumstances, but they also face difficulties since the number of affordable rental properties on the market is small, and rents are likely to rise with increasing liberalisation. TABLE 2.30 HOUSING AFFORDABILITY (2000) Household Earning as per HBS 2000 % of Price Range (based Type of % of each households on house earning Dwelling that dwelling Type as ratio of 3.5) can be afforded per 1995 Census >Lm 20,000 0.6 >70000 Semi-detached >Lm 18,000 and < Lm 19,999 0.4 63,000-70,000 Terraced houses >Lm 16,000 and < Lm 17,999 0.5 56,000 - 63,000 Terraced houses >Lm 14,000 and < Lm 15,999 1.1 49,000 - 56,000 Terraced houses >Lm 12,000 and < Lm 13,999 2.0 42,000 - 49,000 Maisonette >Lm 10,000 and < Lm 11,999 5.5 35,000 - 42,000 Maisonette >Lm 8,000 and < Lm 9,999 8.3 28,000 - 35,000 3-bed apartment >Lm 6,000 and < Lm 7,999 14.0 21,000 - 28,000 3-bed apartment >Lm 4,000 and < Lm 5,999 27.1 14,000 - 21,000 2-bed apartment >Lm 2,000 and < Lm 3,999 30.4 7000 - 10500 1-bed apartment <Lm 2,000 10.3 7000 >5.85 >46.6 >24.68 > 18% Source: Denis Camilleri (2000), Household Budgetary Survey 2000, Wayne (1999) 2.2.88 Before ending this discussion on housing affordability, it is worth noting that during the last two decades, the amount of loans made for housing purchases has risen substantially. Chart 2.25 demonstrates that increases in house prices have been matched by a corresponding rise in the average value of home loans. 57 2.2.89 In addition, in recent years, though the Housing Authority has continued subsidizing home loans, both HSBC and the Bank of Valletta have provided similar loan facilities at reduced interest rates, as evidenced in Chart 2.21, with respect to the lending trends of HSBC Home Loans (previously Lohombus Corporation). The Chart indicates that 60 percent of HSBC lendings in 2000 were not associated with the Housing Authority or Department of Social Housing interest subsidy schemes. This is because they are for properties that are too expensive to qualify for social assistance, or have been purchased by households that are not eligible for subsidy. While in the past the Lohombus Corporation was a non-profit-making organization aimed at reducing housing affordability problems, market conditions are currently highly competitive, and further loans are being issued for clients buying property as an investment rather than a home. Indeed, some financial products are targeted at the second homes market, and other at high value properties (worth more than Lm 35,000). CHART 2.20 TRENDS IN AVERAGE LOANS GIVEN FOR HOUSING PURPOSES (BANK OF VALLETTA) 25000 Lm 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 1980 1990 2000 Year Source: BOV Home Link 2.2.90 Due to the significance of the housing affordability issue in the Maltese Islands, and the significant amount of new households (between 10 and 40 percent) affected, a large part of state funding for housing is targeted at alleviating this problem. Yet international good practice is increasingly calling on the private sector to provide affordable housing (see Section 3, paragraph 3.1.12). It is conceivable that this could be achieved in Malta through planning gain on large development schemes. In the next section on social housing, the work of the Housing Authority on this issue is reviewed. CHART 2.21 TOTAL VALUE OF LOANS FOR HOUSING PURPOSES (HSBC) 58 Lm millions 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1989 1994 2000 Year Loans lent under HA and social housing interest subsidy schemes Other home loans Source: Lohombus Corporation, HSBC Home Loans 2000 Social housing Definition of Social Housing 2.2.91 The term social housing is normally applied to dwellings provided by Government that are either rented or sold, and the objective behind the provision of social housing is to ensure that access to good quality housing is increasingly made available to all households irrespective of their level of income. In Malta’s case, social housing provision has been made available in various forms, ranging from the provision of housing land and dwellings at subsidised prices, allocation of apartments at low rent, subsidies on private rental agreements, subsidies on interest rates given on commercial home loans, and grants for improvements to properties in the private sector. Since 1987, these programmes have been channelled through the Housing Authority, which is the national body responsible for housing policy in Malta. A summary of social housing policy over the last two decades is provided in Appendix 2.4. 2.2.92 Within the group of persons requiring housing assistance are those with special needs, many of whom occupy residential institutions. These include children in boarding schools, victims of domestic violence, ex-prisoners, disabled persons, the elderly, and victims of drug abuse. In the latter three cases, the advantages of offering care in the community, rather than in large institutions, are increasingly being acknowledged (see the Social Facilities and Community Care Topic Paper). This has resulted in the increased provision of small-scale sheltered housing. Homeless people are also require special assistance: while overall homelessness is not common in Malta 1, the issue of homelessness is of particular concern given the lack of 1 The number of homeless people is not large, due most likely to the traditional strength of the Maltese family, and the Social Welfare Department indicates that there were 357 registered 59 affordable property for rent. Agencies involved in this sector, such as the YMCA, also point to the relationship between drug abuse, homelessness and prostitution, indicating that persons with drug abuse problems are not eligible for emergency assistance in finding a place to sleep. The matter is complicated by the fact that some of these persons have children. A related issue of concern is the development of areas of low quality housing associated with particular ethnic communities. While the specific needs of these groups are addressed in the Social and Community Facilities Topic Paper, this Topic Paper includes all such households within its housing requirements calculation. 2.2.93 A distinction is increasingly being drawn between the provision of dwellings for rent at affordable rates (or an associated scheme to assist tenants) and the provision of newly built properties for sale at affordable prices. For the purposes of this discussion, social housing refers to the provision of housing and housing assistance to households that are in particularly severe need, usually on a rental basis, while affordable housing refers to the general affordability of property for sale to middle- to low- income groups. The following discussion provides an analysis of provision and need for social housing, followed by a brief discussion of the main factors that have a bearing on future policy in this field. Current stock 2.2.94 It was estimated by the Structure Plan team in 1990 that ten percent of Malta’s housing stock was in the social housing sector. Given that the dwelling stock reported in the 1985 Census was 125,500 dwellings (see Table 2.8), this amounted to 12,500 dwellings in the public sector. However it is not clear whether this includes dwellings that were built using public funds and then sold to the occupants, although Schembri Adami (2001) notes that ten percent of the Government social housing stock has been sold off during the past “several years”. The Estates Management Department has provided a rough estimate of a stock of 7,800 units (in November 2001) currently owned by Government and leased as social housing. This figure only represents five percent of the Islands’ total dwelling stock. The Joint Office has confirmed that as of November 2001, a further 2,053 dwellings are currently rented out at affordable rents by the Joint Office (ex-Church property). Social Housing Provision 2.2.95 The Housing Authority provides applicants with new housing units for sale and lease, as indicated in the chart below. On average, 200 housing units cases of homelessness between 1988 and 2001. Most of these involve persons aged between 18 and 26, who are unable to live with their parents. This may be related to teenage pregnancy: during a September 2001 survey, the YMCA found that of the 250 persons living in homeless shelters, 64 were children. 60 are constructed each year, and scheduling of construction work and issue of premises are coordinated in such a way that premises are largely allocated as soon as they are finished. The issue of notices for application for new rental units has now been discontinued, and new beneficiaries are currently being allocated from the Housing Department’s waiting list (see paragraph 2.2.101 below). CHART 2.22 SOCIAL HOUSING UNITS CONSTRUCTED (1988 – 2000) 800 Number of units 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Year Sale Lease Source: Housing Authority 2.2.96 Chart 2.22 presents the number of residential units constructed between 1988 and 2000, indicating that while almost 1,800 dwelling units were provided for (subsidised) sale as affordable housing, only approximately 600 units were provided for rent (34 in 1990, 296 in 1991 and 262 in 1996). Most housing provision therefore consists of units for sale, with only 25 percent of the total 2,390 units for rent. In addition, most units for rent are provided in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area, leading to a concentration of low-income households in this area. More than 60 percent of all completed units are flats, whilst the remaining units are maisonettes, or units gained through reconstruction of existing units or rehabilitation (Miljanic Brinkworth 2000). 2.2.97 The number of housing units provided by Government has been on the decline: while between 1980 and 1987, 1,219 units were provided each year, the annual rate of provision declined to 607 between 1988 and 1994 (Demarco 1995) and 240 per year between 1995 and 2000. Figures for actual beneficiaries rather than units constructed are provided in Table 2.31, which indicates that between 1990 and 2000, 524 households were allocated rental units while almost 600 applicants living in private rented accommodation benefited from rental subsidies. As Chart 2.23 indicates, 61 these figures are low compared to the number of persons that benefit from the subsidised sale of affordable housing. TABLE 2.31 SOCIAL HOUSING BENEFICIARIES (1990 - 2000) Year Beneficiaries Sale 1990 – 2000 1,679 Rent 1990 – 2000 524 Rental Subsidies 1987 – 2000 583 Source: Housing Authority 2.2.98 The Housing Authority also provides housing support through a wide range of schemes, which are listed in the table below. Most assistance has been in the form of home loan interest rate subsidies and the popular Schemes 5 (previously L) and Z (previously N), which provide close to full grants for improvements to owner occupied and leased private dwellings, as noted earlier. In addition to its schemes, the Housing authority has recently initiated a Care and Repair scheme together with the Agency Appogg. This initiative provides a fast track to the Authority’s schemes for people living in urgent housing need who may not how to seek assistance. Cases are brought up by social workers and inspected by the representatives of the Authority’s technical section. When clients qualify for a repair scheme, they are advised to apply for assistance and in some cases, the application forms are taken to the clients by Housing Authority staff. The scheme aims to bring clients to the Authority rather than waiting for them to apply for assistance themselves, with the aim of reaching the most needy in society. Number of Beneficiaries CHART 2.23 SOCIAL HOUSING PROVISION AND RENT SUBSIDY (1990 - 2000) 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Sale Rent Rental subsidies Type of Provision Source: Housing Authority 2.2.99 The Housing Construction and Maintenance Department estimates that the following elements make up Malta’s social housing supply for the future: the 62 land lying within the development zone that was identified for housing development by the Mifsud Bonnici Commission; the Pembroke site; and housing gains through rehabilitation and redevelopment in older urban areas. The Department estimates that these elements represent a supply of approximately 3,000 residential units. TABLE 2.32 HOUSING AUTHORITY SCHEMES Year Scheme 1996 Home purchase assistant grant and home purchase interest subsidy on loan for the purchase by tenants of privately owned residences M 31 20 1996 Subsidy on adaptation work in owner occupied dwellings N 625 436 1996 Subsidy on adaptation works in leased private dwellings L 454 308 1998 Financial aid for adaptation work in residences occupied by persons with disability 1 135 121 1999 Purchase and improvement of private dwelling houses X 9 0 1999 Subsidy on adaptation works in leased private dwellings 5 199 175 1999 Subsidy on interest on house loans Y 291 119 1999 Subsidy on adaptation work in private owner occupied dwellings and subsidy on loans Z 227 175 1999 Purchase of government owned dwelling houses 6 222 0 1999 Financial aid for adaptation work in residences occupied by persons with disability 7 155 23 1999 Rent subsidy on leased privately owned property R 354 176 1999 Refund of vat on first dwelling house S 408 230 1999 Subsidy on adaptation works in vacant privately owned residences which are leased to Maltese citizens T 6 3 1999 Subsidy on adaptation works in government owned residences W 218 68 2001 Lift installation in government owned blocks V 2001 Ground Redemption of plots of land under the HOS Scheme 1977 - 1987 K 32 28 2001 Ground Redemption of plots of land under the HOS Scheme prior to 1979 P 4 - 2001 Ground Redemption of plots of land under the HOS Scheme 1977 - 1993 Q 43 43 3,214 1,501 TOTAL Scheme Title Applicants Beneficiaries 63 Source: Housing Authority Social housing requirements 2.2.100 There are no generally agreed figures for the number of persons requiring social housing assistance over the Review Period. Nevertheless, there are two approaches through which an approximate figure for social housing need may be determined. A first approximation may be arrived at from the number of persons on the Social Housing Department’s waiting list. This is not the same group of applicants that has applied for particular rental housing allocations at the Housing Authority (although this practice has now been discontinued, as noted earlier). The second approach focuses on the number of persons in low income brackets, and is based on the premise that households that cannot afford to purchase a home will need social assistance. 2.2.101 The Social Housing Department receives applications from the public for alternative housing. Details of the social housing waiting list are provided in Table 2.33. The data indicates that on average, some 925 new applicants join the list each year, and confirm that the average amount of people on the list between 1990 and 2001 is 3,500. It is also worth noting that the year end figure is on the decline. TABLE 2.33 SOCIAL HOUSING WAITING LIST (1990 – 2001) Year New applications Year end Cumulative figure 1990 1298 3886 1991 1221 3809 1992 1156 3744 1993 1019 3607 1994 902 3490 1995 834 3422 1996 951 3539 1997 983 3571 1998 926 3514 1999 646 3234 2000 445 3033 2001 710 3298 Source: Department of Social Housing 2002 2.2.103 The Social Housing Department waiting list lies in the region of between 3000 and 4000 applicant households annually, of which four to ten percent are satisfied annually. Table 2.34 provides details of applications for social housing between 1996 and 1999, and the percentage of applicants that were 64 accommodated as of November 1999 (Miljanic Brinkworth [2000] notes a margin of error associated with these figures). TABLE 2.34 SOCIAL HOUSING APPLICATIONS (1996 – 1999) Year Applications Percentage of applicants allocated housing 1996 4,772 5.7 1997 5,091 4.7 1998 3,163 10.1 1999 3,330 4.7 Source: Miljanic Brinkworth 2000 2.2.103 There are nevertheless problems involved in equating the Social Housing Department’s waiting list with social housing need. First, and importantly, a percentage of applicant households report incomes higher than Lm 4,000 per annum. The Social Housing Department considers such households to be of lower priority; Miljanic Brinkworth (2000) reports that their median income is Lm 4,770, which is well above the poverty line, reported at Lm 2,516 in the 2000 Economic Survey, and could only be considered a poverty income in particular situations such as the presence of a handicapped person in the household. Miljanic Brinkworth (2000) indicates that of the 3,300 applicants on the Housing Department’s waiting list in 1999, approximately 500 had incomes higher than Lm 4,000 (see Table 2.35). She also shows that of the 2,815 low-income applicant households as of November 1999, 572 were over 60 and 722 were single parents with a median income of approximately Lm 2,000. The Housing Authority is now also providing for the needs of these two groups; for example, a certain percentage of new housing is being reserved for single parent households. TABLE 2.35 SOCIAL HOUSING APPLICANTS BY INCOME GROUP (1999) Number of applicants Income over Lm 4,000 Income less than Lm 4,001 3,309 494 2,815 Elderly under Single Parents Lm 4,001 under Lm 4,001 572 722 Source: Miljanic Brinkworth 2000 2.2.104 A second problem relates to year of application; since only approximately 200 applications are addressed per year, some application on this waiting list have been brought forward from previous years. More uncertainty is introduced if one considers the low-income households that have not applied for assistance, or those who apply for rental subsidy rather than new dwellings (see Schembri Adami 2001). This suggests that while it is very difficult to provide an estimate for housing need, the outstanding list of persons needing assistance is likely to be in the region of 3,000 persons. 65 2.2.105 An alternative, but not much more accurate method for assessing housing need focuses on income levels. The Household Budgetary Survey, reported in Table 2.30, indicates that 10 percent of Maltese households (about 11,000 households) earn less than Lm 2,000 per annum. However this does not indicate that ten percent of Maltese households are inadequately housed. This is because a large part of these persons may be already adequately housed, either in the approximately 8,000 dwellings currently rented out at social rents by Government (see paragraph 2.2.93 below), in owneroccupied dwellings or in homes rented out at pre-war rental values. Although this method involves an even greater range of uncertainty, when viewed in the context of the approximately 8,000 persons currently occupying public sector accommodation, it supports the estimate that 3,000 households are currently in need of social assistance in order to fulfil their housing needs. This may however represent the high end of the range given Governments’ stated intention to focus efforts on assisting the most needy (see below). Given the fat band of uncertainty associated with this figure, it is considered desirable for the government to take a view about the scale of the problem in order to enable a consideration of this issue in the long term context. Future Directions 2.2.106 Government’s housing strategy for the future is based on, among other elements, “a continuation of the policy initiated in the early nineties to develop and update the rental market in Malta in conjunction with a continuation of the policy of limiting the provision of social housing to the most needy cases” (Government of Malta 2000). More detailed objectives are provided in the Housing Authority’s Annual Report (Housing Authority 2001: 3): • “To communicate better to the public the role of the Housing Authority and information regarding its services and schemes; • To introduce greater clarity and less bureaucracy in the presentation and operation of our schemes • To improve the performance of our building programme through private public partnership; • To introduce clearer lines of accountability as well as a panel to hear all appeals from the public; • To review the points system for sale in order to have greater equity between client groups as well as to match supply with demand; • To effectively produce and manage a building programme for rent, and to budget properly for this; • To participate in the process of amalgamation with the Department of Social Housing in order to provide a housing service for those in most need; • To continue to support the voluntary sector in the provision of housing for persons with special needs.” 66 2.2.107 Further observations may be made concerning social housing in the future (see A. Camilleri 2001). Firstly, the provision of newly built social housing is declining in most industrial countries as more market-oriented solutions to housing are taken up, and this trend is likely to continue (see section 3.1 on international context). The Malta Government has differed from practice internationally in its commitment to building affordable housing for sale, on the basis of using ‘free’ government-owned land. However as land prices rise, this practice is likely to provide a smaller proportion of total social housing supply. The second, and related issue concerns the drying up of social housing land supply within the development zone. As the current supply of approximately 3,000 units is depleted, government will increasingly need to top its provision using measures such as rental subsidies rather than newly built premises for rent or sale. 2.2.108 There remains another major issue that has yet to be resolved. This relates to the value of the central Government subvention to the Housing Authority. The annual value of the subvention has been set at Lm 1 million for a number of years, despite the introduction of “acquisition costs” and inflationary aspects (it costs 50 percent more to build a unit now than in 1994). The situation to date has been partly resolved by the Housing Authority having practically stopped developing any units for rent and by selling units on plan before they are built. 2.2.109 As noted previously, it is estimated that the available land is sufficient for the development for approximately 3,000 social housing units (A. Camilleri 2001). Given that the government has been constructing dwelling units at the rate of approximately 200 units a year for the past 15 years, and assuming there would be no acceleration or deceleration in this area, the available land should suffice only for the next 10-15 years. In this context, there are two longterm options available: • either to gradually phase out the building programme altogether, limiting it only possibly to urban regeneration projects, and replacing it with a strengthened rental subsidy/housing benefits scheme. From a land use perspective, this option is preferred since (i) it would assist the nation in making efficient use of land and buildings, and (ii) it allows low-income households some locational choice, thereby reducing social segregation. It would also ensure that Housing Authority efforts are targeted at the most needy groups (see D. Camilleri 2001; Micallef-Leyson 1999a, b, 2001a). • or to extend the availability of land either by re-introducing the extra storeys scheme or by extending areas for development. 2.2.110 The figures indicate that (i) if policy changes move in the direction of subsidy rather than new build or sale and (ii) if the limiting factor for new build is the 3,000 unit supply within the development boundary, existing supply should be sufficient to continue to provide the same level of service. On the other hand, if a move towards subsidy is not made and need increases, or Government policies require that higher proportions of applicants be accommodated, 67 existing supply would be insufficient and other solutions would need to be explored. In this regard, it is worth considering the role of the non-profit and private sectors in provision of social housing, particularly with respect to initiatives that address social housing needs in the context of urban regeneration and residential vacancy in Malta’s historical areas. This points to wider issues of quality in the provision of housing. Housing quality 2.2.111 The internal quality of dwellings, as well as the quality of the immediate residential environment, remain a challenge in certain dwellings and settlements. While particular issues of urban design, streetscape, and sustainability arise in the rapidly developing newer settlements, issues related to dwelling size and state of repair are particularly acute in the older residential areas. Evidence for these concerns may be found in the 1995 Census, and the Planning Authority Housing Quality Survey, which was carried out in 1996. 2.2.112 The Census indicates that a fraction of Malta’s housing stock may still be substandard. Some 400 homes consist of only one room and 4,000 homes have no bathroom. Furthermore, 1.2 percent of total dwellings (1,667 units) have no toilet, and 1.8 percent (2,116 dwellings) has shared toilets. The problem is most acute in the Grand Harbours Local Plan area, where, for example, 3.4 percent of households use shared toilets, as opposed to between 1.2 and 1.9 percent in the other local plan areas. TABLE 2.36 SATISFACTION WITH DWELLINGS LOCAL PLAN AREA Satisfied with dwelling CMLP 90.4 GCLP 91.4 GHLP 73.4 MBLP 88.6 NHLP 86.9 NWLP 88.8 SMLP 87.7 MALTESE ISLANDS 87.1 Source: Housing Quality Survey 1996 2.2.113 The Planning Authority’s Housing Quality Survey demonstrates that most residents were satisfied with their dwellings (see Table 2.36). The lowest degree of satisfaction occurs in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area, and this result is supported by the fact that the area has been losing population at least since 1957. On a national level, most respondents were satisfied with their dwellings because they were close to amenities, and were located in a 68 quiet and clean environment. On the other hand, those who were dissatisfied stated that their house was either too large or too small for their family, that it had too many stairs, or that the dwelling lacked a garden. 2.2.114 Similar to the 1990 Structure Plan Report of Survey, the Housing Quality Survey reveals that the large majority of the homes visited were in good condition, except that almost half had a humidity problem, mainly in the form of damp walls. Yet while 84 percent of households visited indicated that they had painted their houses in the last five years, a full 21 percent of households said that their houses needed imminent repairs. Repair jobs were not particularly common: 32 percent of the 4,008 respondents had undertaken them in the last five years. Major repairs, including repairs to roofs, beams, floors, drainage, plumbing, electricity and building extensions had been undertaken by 23 percent of respondents, and minor repairs, including repairs to walls, doors, balconies and windows were undertaken by 9 percent of respondents. Residential dilapidation is closely related to vacancy, as the 1995 Census indicates when it reports that 25 percent of vacant dwellings require maintenance or are in a dilapidated condition. 2.2.115 Considerations relating to residential quality may be divided into two categories: those issues relating to internal housing quality, and those relating to the overall quality of the neighbourhood. Internal housing quality considerations 2.2.116 Issues of internal housing quality are of prime importance to residents, and these include the following: • Room size, which is known to be shrinking in newer developments due to increasing land prices. The DC 2000 Guidance note addresses this issue, ensuring that basic standards in dwellings are provided in terms of minimum floorspace standards; • Private and semi-private outdoor space, which is threatened by the tendency to redevelop properties with gardens, yards and terraces into apartments at maximum permissible site coverage, and only small internal yards and balconies to substitute the open space; • Light, which is a key factor in the quality of a dwelling. This factor is generally threatened by increased building heights and densities, but not necessarily if schemes are well designed. The provision of light through large windows can affect the degree of privacy in a dwelling; • Privacy, which is often undermined through the development of the back garden ‘buffers’ separating houses. DC 2000 (see paragraph 12.3, which calls for a 6.5 metre separation between overlooking habitable rooms) provides new guidance on privacy that goes some way towards mitigating these impacts, however increasingly dense developments and ones that overlook other properties are likely to have an impact on privacy; 69 • Security, an issue that is particularly important for older residents. It has been found that vibrant communities with peopled streets, as is common in older settlements, provide greater security through street level surveillance. However security issues can also be designed into larger housing schemes through, as suggested in DC 2000 (paragraph 12.2), the reduction in the use of unlit recesses and ‘dead’ spaces that are neither public nor private. 2.2.117 The environmental impact of dwellings is also emerging as a priority for housing policy nationally (see, for example, the Ministry of the Environment’s draft Building Regulations, particularly sections ‘E’ and ‘F’ on ‘Environmental Aspects’ and ‘Conservation of Fuel, Energy and Natural Resources’) and internationally, and it is important to build these requirements into future planning for housing in Malta. The main priority here is energy and resource efficiency, which may be termed the ‘environmental footprint’, or sum total of resources involved in an activity, in this case the construction, use and disposal of a dwelling. Improving the environmental footprint of dwellings may be achieved in two ways. First, through measures such as: passive heating and cooling that derive from design, allowing maximum use of daylight, air circulation and through breezes, and the insulation of roofs, walls and apertures; prevention of humidity; and the use of construction materials that are produced in environmentally friendly ways, such as recycled stone. The latter depends on increasingly careful stewardship of Malta’s mineral resources, which is encouraged in the Minerals Subject Plan. 2.2.118 A second method for ensuring the energy efficiency of homes is through the use of home-based renewable energy sources such as wind and solar energy through solar panels or photovoltaic cells. Such cells may be tastefully included into large schemes in lieu of plate glass. Another aspect of environmental design that is to become increasingly necessary during the next decades as Government’s Waste Strategy is implemented is space reserved for the storage of bins for waste separation within larger developments. In Italy, where waste separation is being successfully implemented on a wide scale, new apartment blocks are increasingly being designed with ground floor or basement rooms for the storage of bins for separate waste collections. 2.2.119 These issues often arise out of the relationship between building form, plot size and shape, and the effects of outdated building and sanitary regulations. These regulations require 10 foot backyards, which in effect supplant the traditional courtyard house that was more suited to Malta’s climatic conditions. These factors combine to produce the ‘typical’ long and relatively narrow dwelling with a large footprint. Satisfactory responses to many housing quality issues are therefore somewhat circumscribed except in relation to large sites. External housing quality considerations 70 2.2.120 It is now widely recognised that location and amenity are essential elements of housing quality, and this is confirmed by the fact that house prices vary with location (see paragraphs 2.2.72 to 2.2.90 on house prices). Indeed, the North Harbours Local Plan area, where residential property prices are highest, registered the highest level of resident satisfaction in the Housing Quality Survey, and this was on the basis of being close to amenities. However the quality of a settlement also depends on the quality of its public open spaces, social and community facilities, shopping facilities, as well as levels of noise and density, and the general upkeep of the environment. In the following, these aspects of external housing quality are discussed in turn, before the Paper turns to the specific issues related to neighbourhood quality that emerge in the Temporary Provision Schemes, historic cores and other urban areas. Public Open Space 2.2.121 One of the principal components of neighbourhood quality is public open space provision. The erosion of open space, gardens and play space for children in many urban areas directly affects residential quality. Often what was previously public open space is now dominated by traffic and parking uses. The Leisure and Recreation Topic Paper treats this issue in depth, and indicates that provision of such public spaces is low across the Islands, with an average of 2.4 square metres per person (m2/person) compared, for example, to the standard of 24 m2/person recommended in Italy (Mazza and Rydin 1997). These statistics refer to formal spaces such as public gardens and playing fields and do not include promenades and non-landscaped piazzas with no seating provision. The 2.4 m2/person average is greatly exceeded in settlements of two general types: older planned settlements (for example Mdina, Floriana and Pembroke) and small localities surrounded by countryside, where development pressures are low and where an individual garden may significantly affect provision (for example Munxar, Zebbug (Gozo) and Xghajra). 2.2.122 The data suggests that newer settlements that have witnessed heavy development since the second world war, such as B’Kara, Sliema, Attard and San Gwann, are characterised by low public open space provision. Further analysis by local plan area reveals that the Central and the North Harbours Local Plan areas have particularly low provision in this regard. Coupled with rapid population growth and increasing residential densities in the case of the North Harbours, this points to the need for increased designation of urban green space in these areas. Importantly, the provision figures fall further if tourist populations are added to permanent residents. Supporting this data is the Public Attitude Survey finding that 81 percent of respondents are in favour of more recreational facilities in their localities, and 88 percent of more sports facilities. 71 Local Shopping 2.2.123 Another central aspect of residential amenity concerns the provision of local retail facilities, in particular the adequate provision of everyday food and ‘convenience’ shops (such as grocers, pharmacists and stationers). The average number of persons per shop in Malta is 165, and provision is highest in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area (93 persons per shop) and lowest in Central Malta (237 persons per shop). The Gozo, North West and Marsaxlokk Bay areas all have slightly below average provision. Once again, it is the newer areas that are worse off in terms of shopping facilities. The Planning Authority’s Public Attitude Survey also indicates that most respondents agreed that permits should be granted for groceries in residential areas. This agreement was slightly higher in the Gozo and Grand Harbour Local Plan areas, and lower in the North Harbours Local Plan area, possibly due the greater number of elderly persons living in the former Plan areas. Social and Community Facilities 2.2.124 The amount and quality of social and community facilities in a settlement also affects residential amenity. The Social and Community Facilities Topic Paper indicates that these facilities are not uniformly distributed across the Islands. There are no day care centres for the elderly in the Marsaxlokk Bay or Grand Harbours Local Plan areas. Also, while a low figure for health clinics in Gozo is due to the presence of a large hospital, capable of meeting the health needs of the Island, the North Harbours has the lowest provision of Government health centres in the Islands (but not private health clinics). School provision also varies across the Islands, with Gozo having the highest number of school places per capita, and the Marsaxlokk Bay and South Malta Local Plan areas having the lowest. 2.2.125 These statistics are complicated by the fact some of this provision is nonstate, so that it is not necessarily accessible to all. Further, private or Church schools and homes for the elderly are often located in suburban or rural locations, perhaps because land assembly is easier in these sites, or because of better environmental quality, and this has resulted in a lack of non-state provision in the South. Yet cutting across the provision of all types of social and community facilities is the issue of quality. Some clinics are too small and do not provide access for disabled or elderly patients, such as the Gzira Health Centre. Certain state schools are also poorly maintained and inadequately housed within buildings designed, for example, as army barracks during the British period. 72 Garage Industries 2.2.126 The Public Attitude Survey indicates that 82 percent of respondents were in favour of relocating garage industries in residential areas. Cross tabulations revealed that most of the respondents who agreed with permits for groceries in residential areas wanted relocation of garage industries (68 percent of total). Garage industries such as mechanics and spray painters are unpopular in residential areas due to environmental impacts including pollution, traffic and noise. The Micro-Enterprises Study, which is an important input into the Employment Topic Paper, is assessing these issues and will propose a way forward. Noise 2.2.127 Noise is a major issue for residential quality, and noise disturbance arises from a number of sources. One major source is traffic: the Planning Authority’s Regeneration and Rehabilitation Survey indicates that one of the principal improvements required in historic urban areas relates to the control of traffic, parking and pollution. The construction industry is also another significant source of ambient noise, and the recent EU Directive 2000/14/EC on noise emission by equipment for use outdoors has taken steps to address this issue. Measures have also been taken to restrict construction activity in Malta’s tourist areas during the summer. Another source of noise is amplified music played in the open air, and is becoming increasing common in the tourist season. There is scope here, however, for the planning system to limit such activity on the grounds of bad neighbourliness. Another type of noise derives from the noise of people living in close proximity, and as urban densities increase and urban green space in parks and gardens is developed, it is likely that this type of noise will increase. Density 2.2.128 The preference for apartments over maisonettes and houses that emerges from the Dwellings Database (see Table 2.11) indicates that residential densities in the Islands are increasing. In order to assess the impact of increasing densities on quality of life and the character of urban areas, the Planning Authority has undertaken a Densities Study, which is based on the geographical analysis of dwellings and population data from the 1995 Census and a 1996 Water Services Corporation geographical dataset. 2.2.129 The Densities Study seeks to examine residential densities both in terms of urban population density and dwelling unit density (see Table 2.37). The Study was carried out at two scales: urban densities were first assessed at local council level and then at a more detailed scale in seven pilot settlements. These settlements were chosen because they represent a range of settlement types, from modern coastal towns to traditional rural 73 settlements and nineteenth century suburbs. Since each of these settlements contains a range of residential areas of different characteristics, the approach taken in this study has been to investigate densities in each of the individual character areas that make up each settlement. Character areas were chosen on the basis of urban areas that have distinct characteristics in terms of streetscape, heights, age and road widths. This character assessment has no statutory basis or implications and has been developed for the purposes of the Densities Study with the assistance of the Local Plans Unit. While the local council level investigation is based on 1995 Census data, the character area analysis draws on the Water Services Corporation geographical dataset containing Maltese population and dwelling units per street. The boundaries of the character areas for each of the seven pilot settlements have been entered into a geographical information system and analysed together with the Water Services data in order to determine population and dwelling densities in each character area. TABLE 2.37 RESIDENTIAL DENSITIES CLASSIFIED BY DENSITY RANGES Density range Low (3 – 20) Description of settlements Local Councils Suburbs Seaside town Historic city Large town Pembroke, Lija, Mtarfa, Swieqi, Iklin, Attard, Floriana Mellieha, Naxxar, Xaghra, Nadur, Kercem, Xewkija, Qala, Ghasri, Ghajnsielem, Gharb, Sannat, San Lawrenz, Qrendi Mdina, Victoria St. Julian’s, Marsascala, Munxar (including Xlendi), Xghajra, Marsaxlokk, Kalkara, Vittoriosa Safi, Qrendi, Zurrieq, Mgarr, Mqabba, Siggiewi, Kirkop, Ghaxaq, Fontana Zebbug (Malta), Zejtun, Luqa, Qormi, Mosta, Marsa St.Venera, Ta’ Xbiex, Balzan, San Gwann Tarxien, Zabbar, Msida, Pieta, Gzira, Birkirkara, Birzebbugia, Santa Lucia, Paola St Paul’s Bay Cospicua Hamrun Seaside Towns Historic cities Zebbug (Gozo) (including Marsalforn), Sliema Valletta, Senglea Villages Historic Cities Seaside towns and cites Villages Medium (21 – 30) Small towns Suburbs Towns High (31 – 40) Very High (41+) Source: Census 1995 2.2.130 Table 2.38 summarises the results of the dwelling density analysis at a local council level, indicating that some of the larger Maltese towns have relatively high residential densities, while rural towns and suburbs sometimes have densities that are below 20 units/ha (for full detail see Appendix 2.3). Overall, densities in Malta are on the low side, and our average residential density is 74 27 units per hectare, which is slightly higher than in the UK (Ricketts 2001) the broad difference between the UK, for example, and Malta with regard to densities seems to be that dwellings are larger, at the expense of front and back gardens, and public open space and wider roads. TABLE 2.38 THE DENSITY OF CHARACTER AREAS Character Areas for selected localities Area (Ha) Population Dwelling Units 30 2,725 896 92 30 17.8 1172 337 65.8 18.9 Village Core 9.4 847 298 90.3 31.8 Housing Estate 0.8 27 9 34.9 11.6 Paola 102 9,400 3,781 92 37 Ghajn Dwieli 11.8 498 205 42.4 17.4 Kordin 14.9 308 95 20.6 6.4 Paola Wolves 10.1 378 154 37.3 15.2 Central Area 58.1 7755 2991 133.5 51.5 Newer urban area 4.8 650 236 135.8 49.3 Qormi 200 17,654 5,917 88 30 Housing Estates 38.53 4395 1269 114.1 32.9 Village Core 38.33 5229 1834 136.4 47.9 Residential/Warehousing 28.71 2950 927 102.8 32.3 HOS Schemes 17.71 1162 372 65.6 21.0 Tal-Handaq 13.11 86 28 6.6 2.1 Qormi Tal-Bajjad 50.64 1450 470 28.6 9.3 130 12,906 7,152 99 55 Tigne 20.19 1205 820 60 41 Coastal apartment area 14.39 1055 971 73 67 4.56 684 353 149 77 61.84 8761 4952 142 80 153 7,352 3,549 48 23 29.8 917 609 31 20.4 8.1 390 268 48 32.9 Old St. Julian’s 36.4 2433 1114 67 30.6 Balluta Flatted Area 20.6 1951 685 95 33.3 Ta’ Giorni Housing Estate 24.6 1384 916 56 37.2 240 7,392 9,068 31 38 Qawra 49.92 1208 2759 24.2 55.3 Bugibba 80.36 2211 3238 27.5 40.3 St. Paul's Bay village 96.06 1811 3112 18.9 32.4 Dingli Suburban Housing Sliema UCA (Lazy Corner) UCA (Central) St. Julian’s Paceville The Gardens Villa Area St. Paul's Bay Pop/Ha Dwelling units/Ha TABLE 2.38 THE DENSITY OF CHARACTER AREAS (cont.) 75 Character Areas for selected localities Area (Ha) Population Dwelling Units 175 6,721 2,544 38 15 Low Density Villa area 15.6 465 186 7.0 2.8 Terraced Housing 53.4 3584 1609 67.1 30.1 Ibragg Villa Area 27.16 585 270 21.5 9.9 48.1 386 195 8.0 4.1 Swieqi Madliena Villa Area Pop/Ha Dwelling units/Ha Source: Census 1995, Planning Authority Densities Study, Water Services Corporation Data 2.2.131 Table 2.38 presents findings from the Density Study’s character area analysis. The seven localities included in this part of the study were chosen to include the busy modern towns of Sliema, St. Paul’s Bay and St. Julian’s, the village of Dingli, the nineteenth century suburb of Paola, the historic industrial town of Qormi, and the new suburb of Swieqi. Through this exercise, it has been possible to assess the relationship between population and residential density and the character of an area, in terms of the densities in the character area. One of the main findings from this part of the Study relates to the density of village core areas, which the Study reveals provide dense residential environments made up of houses with gardens, rather than the equally dense three-bedroomed apartment blocks in other residential areas (see village cores in Dingli, St. Julian’s and St. Paul’s Bay, as well as the denser village cores of Paola, Sliema and Qormi). 2.2.132 It is intended that this methodology for assessing residential densities is used in the local plan process to examine the impact of height relaxation policies on the character of urban areas. The role of the Review would then be to provide a context through which local plans are encouraged to assess the implications of height relaxation policy on urban character by assessing the density implications of the proposed changes. 2.2.133 Having reviewed the principal issues of external residential quality, and the Planning Authority’s work on densities, the issues of quality that concern housing in the various designated areas of Malta and Gozo are now examined. Quality Issues in the Temporary Provision Schemes 2.2.134 The last decade has witnessed the development of 314 hectares of residential land in the Temporary Provision Schemes, and these areas have particular quality characteristics that need addressing. The Structure Plan notes in paragraph 6.7 and SET 8 that the layouts of the Schemes had not allowed for sufficient residential amenity in the form of retail, education, social and community facilities and it calls for local plans to review the scheme layouts. To a large extent this has proved to be difficult on the ground, due to existing commitments and implications for property values. In practice the few sites that have been made available for social and 76 community facilities or public transport have eaten away at the little public open space provision (and white areas) in the Schemes. 2.2.135 Innovative approaches are therefore required to improve to the public realm in the TPS areas. One measure that has emerged through DC 2000 is the floor area ratio approach, which allows for increases in building heights that are balanced by provision of public open space. While this approach does offer scope for gaining much needed public open space, its application on a case by case basis through the development control process might lead to commitments that may compromise skylines. It is therefore considered that the local plan process, wherein skylines may be protected through the designation of visual envelopes, should guide the use of floor area ratios. Another measure that might prove useful concerns the conversion of redundant space in overly wide streets into landscaped or play areas. In all areas, incremental loss of urban greenery should be avoided and more provision encouraged. Almost all the respondents to the Public Attitude Survey (91 percent) agreed that there should be more trees in their locality and respondents also called for the protection of wooded parks such as Buskett, Ta’ Qali and Kennedy Grove. Local Councils could also achieve much improvement by ensuring that the open spaces in their localities are more accessible and pleasant, since a good number of them exist as traffic islands or are in an abandoned state. 2.2.136 However, one of the main design issues in the TPS areas has resulted out of the strict zoning for housing and standard plots sizes in the TPS layouts. Monotonous urban streetscapes are common in these areas, where wide empty streets are dominated by garage openings and steep flights of steps leading up to the first floor. Front gardens are generally taken up by stairways and garage ramps. The construction of external staircases that are sometimes a full storey in height is not an optimal design in terms of accessibility, both for families with young children and in the context of Malta’s ageing population. The same issues arise when these standard long and narrow plots are developed as apartment blocks. Unfortunately, residents’ attempts to introduce interest and variety into their house facades often jar, since the styles and apertures bear little relationship to each other, and these dwellings add little value to the urban form. Opportunities to introduce design considerations into urban development have largely been lost, although Government housing could take the lead here. Variety could also be introduced by allowing an appropriate mix of compatible uses and mixed size developments in these areas, although this is often only possible in larger schemes. Indeed, without measures to consolidate property ownerships and re-develop in a comprehensive manner it is unlikely that much can be achieved in terms of improvements to the external environments of residential areas. 2.2.137 Wider issues of general upkeep of a settlement surface mostly where there is a combination of one or more of certain factors such as residential vacancy, and concentrations of low income residents and commercial activity. Shabby urban areas are unfortunately common in town centres 77 across the Islands, pointing to the need for town centre management and for bringing residents back into these areas, which might jar with emerging policy in local plans to restrict new housing at ground level in town centres. Measures such as compulsory orders for conservation have started to be used in Malta (although only one has been issued so far), and are commonplace overseas in conservation areas such as Chester, UK. Similar measures could include compulsory maintenance orders in town centres, tourism and entertainment zones and urban coastal areas, to ensure the maintenance of properties in such strategic locations. In Urban Conservation Areas, the issues are wider and more intractable. Quality Issues in Historic Urban Areas 2.2.138 Quality issues in historic urban areas revolve around the age of residential properties there, which although protected precisely because of their age, are not necessarily popular as residences due to their physical obsolescence, absence of lifts and toilets, small rooms and other such features of old properties. In such areas residential vacancy is high, and so is out-migration: the remaining populations are often elderly. Indeed, one of the principal issues for this Topic Paper is the exodus of population from dense, historical and commercial urban areas to the low-density residential areas in the suburbs. The Housing Quality Survey indicates that living in a quiet, clean environment was the second most important reason for occupant satisfaction after being close to amenities. The perception of living in a clean and quiet environment was strongest in the North West and Gozo Local Plan areas (16 percent of satisfied residents) and lowest in the Grand Harbours (5 percent) and the South (7 percent), which are both older and more industrial. At the same time, funding for rehabilitation of properties and the environment in older urban areas has been recognised as a public priority for some time. 2.2.139 Government is funding a number of measures for conservation of historic urban areas. Annual budget estimates indicate that funding for urban renewal and rehabilitation has increased from approximately Lm 700,000 in 1994 to Lm 3 million in 2000, although progress is still slow compared to what needs to be done in this area. The principal public sector channels for such funding are the three Rehabilitation Projects, in Valletta, Cottonera and Mdina. Unfortunately, with budgets of some Lm 200,000 each, these bodies are under-funded. Significant conservation resources have recently been directed towards the restoration of St. James’ Cavalier in Valletta, and this project is aimed at rehabilitating a historical monument while improving cultural and social facilities in the city. Through the Mdina Rehabilitation Project, the Environment Ministry is currently offering grants for improvements to facades in this city. 2.2.140 Funding for urban rehabilitation and repair has also been made available through the Planning Authority. In July 2000, the Planning Authority awarded Lm 9,679 in grants to assist residents in homes with timber balconies in the Three Cities and Kalkara to repair or replace their balconies. The scheme, which began in 1996, was extended to Valletta and Floriana in 2000. 78 Housing Authority Schemes are also in place to encourage residents to improve their properties. These schemes include various options including fiscal refunds, grants, loans and subsidies, which between 1998 and 1999 amounted to nearly Lm 400,000. As noted earlier, Schemes 5 (previously L) and Z (previously N) for home improvements have met with enthusiasm by tenants and owners of older properties. Nevertheless, while public sector funding on urban rehabilitation and renewal is on the increase, the total figure still falls short of the funding required for effective urban regeneration. 2.2.141 Critical areas for urban renewal are Mdina, Valletta, Floriana and the Three Cities, where the vitality and physical condition of these critical areas are under threat both due to the high incidence of residential vacancy and because of increasing poverty; a significant proportion of the remaining residents are from income groups that cannot afford to maintain their homes. Mdina, Rabat and Cittadella are considered important areas for urban conservation, due to their value as World Heritage Sites and candidate World Heritage Sites, but it is not considered that these areas require specific policies for urban renewal. The areas that have so far been allocated formal Rehabilitation Projects are Valletta, Cottonera and Mdina. However the approach being taken, which largely concentrates on the upgrading of specific buildings or streets (except for Mdina where Lm 25,000 is available for repairs to facades, and overhead cabling is being undergrounded) might benefit from a more holistic vision of urban renewal (see below). 2.2.142 Government is currently considering the setting up of a regeneration agency to assist with the process of bringing public and private sector vacant properties into use. This process will involve a partnership with the private sector, as well as fiscal incentives to encourage the sale of the properties. It is intended that the agency should have a private sector branch that would own the properties in question in return for shares allocated to the original owners. However, in the absence of legal frameworks for the setting up of charitable trusts, ownership of heritage buildings remains delicate issue. Government will need to find a legal means to ensure that nationally important heritage buildings remain in public ownership, in order to avoid difficulties that may arise with regard to public accessibility. The recent Heritage Bill is in fact addressing this issue by proposing the concept of custodianship rather than ownership. 2.2.143 While the Maltese situation is still fluid, there are lessons to be learned from the experience of other countries this field. International experience suggests that safeguards may be put into place so that certain important historic properties remain in public ownership, while they may be renovated, managed and rented out at realistic rates by the agency. Further, good practice suggests that holistic approaches to urban regeneration are often the most effective (see, for example, the National Housing Federation’s Regeneration and Communities (1998) and Slater (2001)). A comprehensive and integrated approach to dealing with the problems facing Valletta should therefore ensure that this agency is able to function across central Government and local council boundaries, on the basis of a strategic, 79 consensually-arrived at vision for the city. The importance of this approach lies in the recognition that key interdependencies exist between different aspects of deprivation, including not only the physical and economic, but also the social and cultural. 2.2.144 In this respect, a comprehensive strategy would need to address a combination of factors such as housing, recycling of unused property, training and access to the labour market, education, community and social projects (such as provision of sports facilities), fighting crime and fear of crime, business support, development schemes, transport, environmental and amenity space, health and culture. Inclusion of the private sector should be helpful not simply in providing funds, but in developing the economic strategies that should lead to the creation of new jobs. A town centre management approach may also feature as part of the strategy. Given the present fluidity of the Maltese approach at present, and the complexity of the issues involved, the Review will need to explore these issues further. Other Urban Areas 2.2.145 While redevelopment is not a preferred measure in conservation areas such as Valletta and the Three Cities, there are other low-quality urban areas in which post-war housing and tourism units are ripe for redevelopment. Such measures could be used in areas such as Bugibba, Qawra and Paceville. In such areas it is important that guidelines are carefully laid out that consider design, urban form and mix of uses, before redevelopment commences, otherwise the overall quality of the urban area is not likely to improve. This consideration brings the discussion on housing quality to a close, and this context chapter may now be concluded with a list of issues. Before doing this, however, it is important to observe how the issues that emerge for the Maltese Islands in general relate to the specific context of Malta’s second largest island, Gozo 2.3 Gozo 2.3.1 Housing issues in Gozo are somewhat different to those in Malta. Gozo has a high rate of residential vacancy - the 1995 Census indicates that in 1995, 6,000 dwellings were vacant (almost 40 percent) out of the total stock of 15,500. Of these 6,000 dwellings, 1,793 were newly constructed and 2,975 in a good state of repair. Additionally, 3,098 dwellings, or over half the vacant stock, were being used as second homes and 2,411 were apartments. The Ministry for Gozo does not at present consider it necessary to formulate a specific policy with regard to the purchase of homes by non-residents and it is considered that larger projects such as those at Chambray will not affect house prices for the local population. However the situation is to be closely monitored in order to ascertain whether purchases of second homes by nonGozitans is having an undesirable impact on prices or aspects of community life. 80 2.3.2 At the same time, low population densities have made Gozitans accustomed to large dwellings. Although the trend seems to be slowly changing for young couples, as the increasing incidence of purchases of low cost holiday homes as first homes indicates, there is still a much heavier demand for houses than maisonettes or apartments. This is confirmed by the fact that there were not enough applicants to take up Housing Authority offers of maisonettes in Qala and Xewkija. 2.3.3 However there is a need for assistance to be directed towards the purchase and upgrading of the substantial number of vacant dwellings – 1,448 require maintenance or are in a dilapidated state according to the 1995 Census. This figure represents more than half the demographic element of Gozo’s housing requirement for the next twenty years. This is especially important in particular settlements such as San Lawrenz (30 such units available). 2.3.4 Pockets of both social and housing deprivation do exist in Gozo but this is fairly evenly spread. It is estimated by the Ministry for Gozo that there are no particular sectors of the population in greater need, and certainly not the elderly. It is also considered that current family structures can take care of other social problems in the foreseeable future. However, the sharp rise in house prices in Gozo over the last twenty years (Association of Estate Agents 1999) has contributed to a housing affordability problem in Gozo. Though some families reserve land and dwellings for their offspring, there is a problem of housing affordability for aspiring couples, as well as other types of households such as the elderly (Gozo public consultation meeting). This is complicated by the fact that a small number of major developers dominate the Gozitan property market, some of whom focus on the rental and sale of property to certain categories of non-Maltese residents (Gozo public consultation meeting). Separated persons find more difficulty: it is interesting to note here that as larger households purchase and move out of the TacCawla housing estate, some of these residences are being bought by separated couples (Gozo Social Housing section – Gozo public consultation meeting). Rising property prices are having an effect on household mobility – this has also been observed in Malta, despite the general trend towards household inertia. 2.3.5 The projected household growth in Gozo is 2,466 households over the 20year Review period. It is the view of the Ministry for Gozo that with the total number of vacant dwellings, excluding second homes, standing at 2,975, it is reasonable to suggest that every possible effort be made to utilise these units before resorting to new land supply. Given the availability of such a high number of vacant units, it is considered that existing provision is sufficient. However the Ministry notes that this assessment depends on the assumption that the utilisation of these units is not hindered through planning policy, rent laws, and inheritance problems, amongst others. The Ministry would like to see any new development spread evenly through the Island, in such a way as to maintain and preserve the particular characteristics of each locality. Any issues of localised land supply will be addressed through the local plan process. 81 2.3.6 In general therefore, the housing sector in Gozo is characterised by a large supply of land and relatively small requirement for social housing. In addition, both the issues of residential vacancy and second homes are experienced more strongly in Gozo. The principal issues in the Maltese housing sector are now summarised. 2.4 Principal issues in Malta’s housing sector 2.4.1 This overview of the Maltese housing context has brought to light a series of issues that will need addressing in the Structure Plan Review. The following issues are therefore presented by way of concluding this chapter; they are taken up again in the final chapter of this Paper, when they will feed into the discussion on the way forward for the housing sector in the Review. 2.4.2 • Satisfying demographic need, which is growing faster than the projected demographic growth in the current Structure Plan; • High levels of dwelling approvals in comparison with household growth; • A housing distribution pattern that has led to increasing suburbansiation; • Increasing levels of residential vacancy; • The need to provide for access to affordable housing for all; • Targeting social housing at meeting the needs of the most deserving; • Improving housing quality, both internally and on the level of the neighbourhood. Having drawn this analysis of the principal characteristics of the housing sector in the Maltese Islands to a close with a summary of emerging issues, the Paper now moves on to situate Malta’s housing issues in an international context and to examine how they relate to the concept of sustainable development. After this, the Paper examines Malta’s quantitative housing requirements for the Structure Plan Review in Chapter 4. 82 3 The Wider Context: International issues and Sustainability 3.1 International context 3.1.1 This section reviews current trends in international land-use planning policy for housing, drawing on the experiences of a range of countries of different sizes, geographical locations and degrees of industrialisation. It then discusses planning for housing in the context of the EU and of good practice in the field of sustainable settlements. While the focus of the discussion is European, experience in other states is also noted. Current trends in planning policy for housing 3.1.2 International planning policy for housing involves objectives that promote the construction of new housing in appropriate locations, the efficient management of existing stock, improvements to the quality of housing in areas of decline, changes in the balance of housing tenure, and the meeting of specific cases of housing need (see extensive review of European experience in CEC (1997)). There are few examples of clear spatial housing policy at national level because such policy is often carried out on a regional or metropolitan scale. Where they exist, these include setting general goals and targets for total housing provision, although in the UK, for example, overall housing targets set by central government are increasingly being challenged at the local level. National level planning functions also include: creating a tenure balance through tax incentives, subsidies and promotion of owner occupation, particularly where it is currently low (such as Germany and Italy) and the promotion of social mix to counteract segregation. In terms of spatial distribution, there is less intervention and the national policy generally is directed at the containment of urban areas and the reuse of vacant urban land. The main aim is to restrict urban sprawl, accompanied by intensification of land use in existing built up areas on infill sites, and stronger restrictions on building in the countryside. 3.1.3 In all countries, however, there is a movement towards the integration of fiscal and spatial strategies in housing policy (increasingly focused on rehabilitation, renewal and redevelopment of existing land and properties). The trend is towards increased use of subsidies and incentives, in combination with an increased role for the private sector in providing affordable housing. This trend recognizes the role of economic conditions and credit for house purchases in housing development rates. In what follows, key trends in planning for housing are highlighted and the situation in particular countries is reviewed. 83 Increasing demand 3.1.4 There is a general trend in European countries towards increasing demand for housing. While in the north, this is related to declining household sizes and ageing populations, in the south of Europe it is closely linked to poor existing stock and homelessness, although the extent of homelessness varies significantly between countries. Significantly for Malta, Spain, Portugal, Greece and Italy all suffer from a legacy of illegal development, whereby new settlements expanded without the accompanying social and physical infrastructure. In some countries, such as Austria and Luxembourg, demand for second homes is placing increasing pressure on the existing housing stock. Deregulation 3.1.5 While housing policy in many European countries is moving in the general direction of declining intervention from the public sector, in southern countries the magnitude of the housing problem often necessitates a public sector lead. This is however often linked to a relaxation in rent controls and the encouragement of a more flexible housing market. State led housing construction has been the norm in some countries, where housing land is acquired by the state and then sold to private companies (as in Austria) or developed by the State (as in The Netherlands). Indeed, the rented public housing segment in the Netherlands accounts for 40 percent of the housing stock. The trend towards deregulation in many European countries is coupled with increased emphasis on special agencies and co-operatives for the provision of social housing. Housing tenure 3.1.6 Owner occupation varies significantly within the EU: while in 1990 38 percent of Germany’s housing stock was owner-occupied, in Ireland this figure is 81 percent, and policy is in place to address both of these extremes. Most countries seek to attain a balance between rental and owner-occupied properties, since while owner-occupation might encourage owners to better maintain their properties, some social groups might find the financial burden of home ownership too onerous. In countries with high owner occupation, policies have been introduced to reduce tax relief for home ownership and encourage the private rental sector. Nevertheless, the promotion of owner occupation remains a primary policy objective, particularly in states where it is uncommon, such as Germany and the Netherlands. In the interest of increasing the availability of rental properties in states where rents have been controlled, relaxation of rent controls has taken place in Finland, Germany, Italy and Spain. Physical condition 3.1.7 A widespread concern in European Union countries is the physical condition of urban areas. While in some European countries the key planning issues 84 revolve around containing urban sprawl (Finland), or ribbon development (Belgium), other countries are concerned with urban renewal, slum clearance and spatial segregation on the basis of race or economic class (Netherlands, Germany, France and Ireland). In some cases, central government has allocated funds for urban renewal and property renovation, and Irish policy has been particularly successful in this area. In Ireland, a combination of fiscal and spatial approaches has made a significant contribution to the provision of new housing in urban areas. In southern states, the attainment of minimum housing quality standards is seen as a priority. National experiences Southern European States 3.1.8 Planning legislation for housing is relatively new in southern Europe, and the planning profession likewise does not enjoy a long history. In Madrid, Spain, the priorities for housing policy include avoiding continual increases in house prices, promoting rehabilitation in historic centres, breaking the concentration of tertiary uses in these centres and promoting residential uses. In Portugal, a modern planning system was instituted through Law 208/82, and one of the major policy goals is regaining and increasing Lisbon’s falling population. Italian planning legislation has not changed significantly since 1942 (Law 1150/1942), and few regions have passed planning legislation (7 out of 20 in 1996). The profession of planning is not legally recognised and planning departments are lead by architects and engineers. Here, new objectives seek house building through partnerships with the private sector, rather than expropriation of private land by the state, as was widespread practice in the past. In many regions of Italy, lack of any medium or long-term socio-economic strategy inhibits effective planning for housing. Singapore 3.1.9 Singapore is now half built up, with a large part of its land area having been gained through its ongoing programme of a l nd reclamation. Singapore’s planning system is proactive, with housing estates, a central business district and recreational parks. A full 82 percent of the population lives in high density dwellings (plot ratios of 2.1 and over) that cover 50 percent of residential land, and government’s aim is to reduce the percentage of persons living in high-density dwellings to 70 percent. Residential densities in Singapore are classified as high, medium (high and medium densities average 214 units per hectare) and low (36 units per hectare), with a national average residential density of 142 units per hectare (see discussion on densities in Section 2.2). While 50 percent of the low density housing is government property, 38 percent of the housing market is rental. A mass rapid transit system links home and work places, and carries 800,000 persons per day (see Addae-Depaal 1999). 85 The Netherlands 3.1.10 3.1.11 A full 40 percent of Holland’s housing stock is in public ownership, and this is the highest rate of public ownership in Western Europe. Not all this goes for social housing: in the Hague 38 percent of rental properties are leased to high-income households. Premius (1998) notes however that 30 percent of projected new housing is to be directed to social housing, and many residents will be provided with allowances. There is a strong emphasis in Holland on restructuring post-war urban areas, and with half the population of cities being migrant workers, there are concerns about social segregation. It was found that the previous ‘build for the neighbourhood’ policy in urban renewal projects gradually eroded the economic base of large cities and it is now recognised that there is a need to make the city more attractive for higher-income earners. Similarly, it is acknowledged that suburban residential development will draw more high-income earners out of the city. To break this mould, Dutch policy encourages affordable housing in new areas and high quality housing in cities. Housing policymakers in Holland are concerned that urban renewal programmes should focus on encouraging the wealthier to remain rather than on moving the poor out. Measures to achieve these objectives include: • Demolition and redevelopment of inexpensive rental dwellings in core areas; • Renovation; • Upgrading; • Joining units; • Sale of rental dwellings; • Acquisition of old private dwellings by housing associations; • Improvements to urban infrastructure, public areas and public green space; Yet Dutch experience has shown that only in larger complexes that were publicly owned could urban renewal be successfully carried out. Another salient feature of Dutch planning for housing is the use of the principle of proximity to existing settlements, which encourages bicycle access. The United Kingdom 3.1.12 In March 2000, the UK Government published its updated guidance on housing (PPG3). This seeks to achieve a mix of social and environmental objectives through an innovative policy mix. In particular, the guidance points to a new conceptual framework for planning for housing, in which the old dictum of ‘predict and provide’ gives way to a new philosophy of ‘plan, monitor and manage’. Nevertheless, the UK system is still based on 86 cascading down from the national, regional and country level to a district allocation, and the exercise is repeated every five years. Using this concept, local authorities are advised to plan for a particular amount of development every year, monitoring the trends using a specific series of indicators, and managing the development rate. Reviews to housing predictions should be undertaken at a minimum of every five years. A second and related element of the new PPG3 is its emphasis on a ‘sequential approach’ to housing development, where 60 percent of new housing is to take place on brownfield sites, and where the authorities should seek to use up their urban opportunities before turning to greenfield sites. It is envisaged that housing can also be gained through: higher densities (between 30 and 50 dwellings per hectare) and lower parking standards, particularly in sites well served by public transport; use of vacant and derelict buildings; and smaller and more affordable homes that cater for the fact that 70 percent of the growth in households in the UK will be in the form of single-person households. In this context the guidance stresses that local authorities need to meet the housing needs of all the community, including the aged, students, the homeless, key workers and the disabled. It stresses the importance of mixed and vibrant communities, advising that large housing areas of similar characteristics should be avoided: housing should not reinforce social divisions. Affordable housing may be met through constraining developers to dedicate a proportion of their development to affordable housing. Finally, the guidance highlights the contribution offered by greening of the residential environment to the process of urban renaissance, through, for example, reduced site coverage. EU Guidance on Housing 3.1.13 While the European Union (EU) does not offer specific guidance on planning for housing, the European Spatial Development Perspective (ESDP) offers a framework for integrated spatial planning across the member states of the Union. The objective of the ESDP is to gain economic and social cohesion and to achieve sustainable and balanced development throughout the EU. The ESDP highlights the following trends that are relevant to housing issues: continuing urban sprawl; increasing social segregation, especially in large cities where significant sections of the population are threatened by exclusion from urban society; and, improvements in the quality of the urban environment. 3.1.14 Natural population growth in the EU has been very low for years and is showing a declining trend. Increasing urbanisation and expectations for residential space push up demand for residential accommodation and building land. Immigration is also of increasing importance, as it accounts for two-thirds of population growth, and places additional pressures on housing requirements. A growing divergence in income and lifestyle is reflected in housing and residential location. Living conditions in certain areas may be considered unsuitable for middle to high-income families and such families move out of central areas. Through these processes, poorer families 87 become concentrated in the inner cites and on social housing estates, causing social segregation. 3.1.15 Importantly for Malta, the ESDP notes the sensitive nature of attractive coastal and island regions that are experiencing heavy development pressures, on account of their limited resources and accessibility. The Perspective notes with particular concern the trend towards increasing numbers of second homes and points to the need for careful land use planning in such areas. 3.1.16 In order to address these issues, the ESDP outlines a number of measures. First, tight control over further urbanization, concentrating resources on the revitalisation of existing inner city areas, before developing new building areas. Second, it encourages member states and regional authorities to pursue the concept of the ‘compact city’, to minimise further urban expansion. Cities should be accessible, and guided by a spatial policy for location that is integrated with sustainable transport goals. This would reduce dependency on the private car and promote other means of mobility, such as public transport and cycling. Policies to limit suburbanisation include increasing the supply of building land in inner city areas and improving the quality of life and housing conditions in urban areas. Most cites have introduced measures to combat environmental problems, however the quality of the environment is still in need of further improvement in many areas. According to the ESDP, deprived neighbourhoods should be regenerated to achieve a mix of activities and social groups within the urban structure. With respect to countries aspiring for EU Membership, the Perspective notes that the public sector in such states has limited financial resources and technical infrastructure is developing slowly and unevenly in comparison with changes in the private sector. 3.1.17 The EU has the responsibility for allocating funds for special measures such as urban renewal. This is a concern across Europe, especially in the southern member states where meeting minimum quality standards is an important goal, as noted in paragraph 3.1.7 above. In various urban pilot projects, three principal goals have been supported: first, the economic development in areas of relative deprivation, for example, in Marseilles economic revitalisation and upgrading of the environment of three housing estates has been supported by the EU. Second, the EU has supported environmental actions linked to economic goals, such as, for example, in Athens where the development of a regional recreation and training centre has been supported. Finally, priority is given to revitalisation of historic areas, and this includes economic regeneration of historic areas such as that of Lisbon. Sustainable settlements 3.1.18 One of the outputs of the 1992 UN Conference on Environment and Development in Rio de Janeiro was a programme of action called Agenda 21, which solidified the Rio agreements into a concrete set of achievable 88 policy objectives, and horizontal measures such as sustainability indicators and stakeholder involvement. Several objectives in Agenda 21 focus on sustainable settlements, and in particular, it has become commonplace for localities to prepare their own Local Agenda 21 (LA21) plans. Such ‘green’ plans often contain detailed prescriptions and targets for attaining sustainable development objectives, and in many cases these objectives respond to social as well as environmental concerns. A set of linked issues are generally the subject of such LA21 documents: these relate to urban form and its relationship with transport patterns, as is captured in the compact cities debate; making town centres vital and viable; provision of opportunities for waste reduction, recycling and reuse; significant improvements to public transport; measures to turn around processes of deprivation that result in inner city decay and crime, including positive programmes of education and employment generation; and, finally, provision of drastically improved opportunities for informal recreation in the form of public open space and urban parks. The compact city debate has perhaps received most widespread attention; in exposing how suburban living and out of town retailing encourage car usage, the debate has focused on the environmental and social benefits of denser and ‘richer’ urban forms. More recently, activities such as the international Sustainable Cities Network has taken firm steps towards achieving reductions in greenhouse emissions on a citywide basis (see http\\www.sustainable_cities.com). For the Maltese Islands, sustainable development requires local interpretation. Key lessons from international practice 3.1.19 This review of international practice suggests that a number of lessons may be drawn from international experience. These include the recognition that: • • • • • • • • cities should be accessible, and guided by a spatial policy for location that is integrated with sustainable transport goals; rapid transit is necessary for linking home and workplaces in densely populated regions; housing can be also gained through higher densities and lower parking standards, particularly in sites well served by public transport; the greening of the residential environment has much to contribute to the process of urban renaissance, through, for example, reduced site coverage; attractive coastal and island regions that are experiencing heavy development pressures, on account of their limited resources and accessibility, need particular attention; the trend towards increasing numbers of second homes in such attractive coastal locations points to the need for careful land use planning;. meeting minimum residential quality standards remains an important goal in southern European states; deprived neighbourhoods should be regenerated to achieve a mix of activities and social groups within the urban structure 89 • • • • • • • • • • segregation should be counteracted through promoting social mix and a range of housing types; urban renewal will need to be met through the integration of fiscal and spatial strategies urban renewal will need to include strategies for development in areas of relative deprivation, and environmental actions linked to these economic goals; the previous ‘build for the neighbourhood’ policy in urban renewal projects gradually eroded the economic base of large cities and there is a need to make the city more attractive for higher-income earners; suburban residential development draws more high-income earners out of the city; urban renewal programmes should focus on encouraging the wealthier to remain rather than on moving the poor out; there is a need to encourage the provision of affordable housing in new areas and high quality housing in cities; large housing areas of similar characteristics do not promote mixed and vibrant communities; there is a role for the private sector in providing affordable housing; despite a general trend towards deregulation, many southern European states have maintained a public sector lead in the housing sector due to the magnitude of the problems of quality and stock involved . 3.2 Sustainability in Land-Use Planning for Housing in Malta 3.2.1 While the interpretation of sustainable development2 has spawned a sizeable literature in other countries, there is no official guidance on sustainable development in the Maltese context, in the form of a set of commonly-accepted goals or a strategy for its implementation (and none specifically on sustainable housing provision).3 At the same time, the revised Development Planning Act now includes sustainable development as a goal for the Maltese Planning system. (1) The functions of the Authority shall be the following :- 2 3 The concept of sustainable development was popularised by the 1987 document Our Common Future, which was prepared by the World Commission on Environment and Development in the run up to the 1992 Rio Conference, and its definition remains the most well-known: “Development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.” Although the recent Ministry for the Environment brochure ‘Environment and Sustainable Development in Malta’ (2001) presents information on some of the main environmental issues raised by the sustainable development agenda. 90 (a) the promotion of proper planning and sustainable development of land and at sea, both public and private; 3.2.3 Additionally, the 2001 Environmental Protection Act provides for a National Commission for Sustainable Development that has the function of promoting sustainable development across all sectors of Malta and to prepare a National Strategy for Sustainable Development. 3.2.4 Three related issues arise when interpreting sustainable development for the Maltese housing sector: first, building development rates and the related problems of residential vacancy; second, the dispersed settlement pattern; and finally, the relationship between transport, employment and housing (see Friends of the Earth 2001). Building Development, Residential Vacancy and Basic Housing Need 3.2.5 The first sustainability issue for housing thus addresses the need to conserve Malta’s natural environment in the context of a housing market that is providing for more that its population’s basic needs. This is due to the operation of two factors that are particular to Malta, and these are the role of real estate as an investment asset, and consumer expectations in the direction of a newly-built family house upon marriage. Based on household formation rates, figures for dwelling units grounded in basic human need would range between 1,500 and 1,700 units per annum, yet, as noted in section 2.2 of this report, some 3000 permissions for housing units are being granted per annum. A more sustainable housing policy would entail matching provision and need more closely. This discussion is examined in detail in the next chapter on housing requirements where additional considerations such as second homes are taken into account. 3.2.6 The policy implications of this stance towards accommodating basic housing needs point towards the fact that there are no good reasons for enlarging the current development boundary. In addition, a longer term view would suggest that by way of a very gentle approach to sustainability, certain areas inside development zones could be temporarily frozen. However, a more immediate starting point would be to focus attention on the vacant housing stock, which increased by 11,700 between the 1985 and the 1995 Censuses. Since results here would need to be yielded quickly, further amendment to the rent laws does not qualify. An important measure for achieving sustainability in housing provision would therefore entail some form of levy on empty premises that would discriminate between second homes and permanently vacant premises, as well as between vacant properties in varying states of repair. Mortgage rates could also be tailored to favour purchase of vacant properties. Suburbanisation 91 3.2.7 Malta’s settlement pattern has become increasingly dispersed over the last decades, with households leaving older properties in central locations and moving to quieter suburban locations. This has led to growing decay of the historical town centres of the Islands, mainly due to residential vacancy At the same time, the addition of some 40,000 dwelling units to Malta’s current stock (in 1995) of 155,200 units will have only a marginal influence on the overall dispersed pattern of development. Nevertheless, the overall trend of population movements away from town centres can be slowed if positive measures for urban rehabilitation and regeneration can be put into place. Measures should include traffic management and environmental improvements (see section on housing quality in historic urban areas in previous chapter). This type of initiative could set the tone for the future. The process of suburbanisation has however been fuelled by the rise in private personal mobility, which is the third issue to be addressed in the context of achieving sustainable housing development. Transport, Employment and Land Use 3.2.8 The integration of land-use, employment and transport planning is an important element of planning for sustainable development in other countries (see Lucas et al. 2000). The well-documented movement of population out of the harbour area to settlements in the North West, Central and South Local Plan areas has been matched by growth in private mobility, which increased to 70 percent in 1998 from 55 percent in 1989. Despite international emphasis on reducing the need to travel by matching jobs and work places, it is considered that the scope for achieving such a match is slim in islands the size of Malta and Gozo. Even if local employment were provided, it is unlikely that residents would choose this option over opportunities further afield for the sake of avoiding a relatively short car journey. Additionally, the chances of generating significant planned local employment that is not industrial would seem slim, as are the possibilities for restoring state elementary schools to their formerly strong local catchment. On the other hand, there is scope in urban generation measures that promote utilization of existing housing stock, since these could assist with repopulating old town centres. However this would have to translate into curtailment of the current ‘need’ for intense car use. 3.2.9 Given the lack of official guidance on sustainable development and sustainable housing development in Malta, it is instructive to review the experience from other countries in implementing sustainable development in the housing sector. The UK literature is particularly developed in this regard. Drawing on the UK 1999 Sustainable Development Strategy, Lucas et al. (2000) propose that the sustainable development agenda may be divided into four main areas of concern: effective protection of the environment; prudent use of natural resources; maintenance of high and stable levels of economic growth and development; and, social progress that recognizes the needs of everyone. Building on this framework while acknowledging that this broad definition involves objectives that are often conflicting, the authors 92 identify issues for the property industry within each of these four concerns within the sustainable development agenda (see Table 3.1). TABLE 3.1: SUSTAINABILITY ISSUES FOR THE PROPERTY SECTOR Aims of Sustainable Development Issues for the Property Sector Effective Protection of the Environment Use of environmentally friendly building materials Promotion of energy efficiency in the production of building materials Promotion of energy efficiency in building use Reduction of CO2 emissions generated from trips to and from properties Promotion of green settlements through encouragement of public open space and landscape Prudent use of natural resources Effective use of land for development Use of environmentally friendly building materials; Maximum use of brownfield, vacant, derelict or contaminated sites Effective use of land for transport Maintaining Economic Growth Promotion of local employment Revitalisation of town centres Reduction of private trips to reduce congestion on roads Ensuring the adequate provision of property for commercial and residential use Social Progress Public participation in planning processes Accountability Social equity in access to facilities Avoiding social exclusion Source: UK Sustainable Development Strategy (1999); Lucas et al. (2000) 3.2.10 One way to promote sustainable housing development is through the use of a checklist, and Appendix 3.1 provides details of the checklist proposed by Lucas et al. (2000) for the property development sector. 3.2.11 In view the lack of local official direction on the issue of sustainable development in Malta, it is possible to build a broad view of sustainability in the Maltese housing sector by weaving together the issues above with those cited by Lucas et al. (2000) in their review for the Rees Jeffreys Road Fund, in a framework that is reflective of Maltese housing realities (see Table 3.2). TABLE 3.2: SUSTAINABILITY ISSUES FOR THE MALTESE HOUSING SECTOR Aims of Sustainable Development Issues for the Housing Sector 93 Effective Protection of the Environment Land allocations for housing grounded in human need Efficient use of land and buildings, and encouragement of smaller homes, possibly using fiscal measures Promotion of energy efficiency in building use and the production of building materials Reduction of CO2 emissions generated from trips to and from properties, through encouraging urban regeneration and improved public transport and through siting high traffic generating uses close to public transport interchanges Protection of residential amenity, the urban fabric of historic cores and local character Prudent use of natural resources Promoting re-use of buildings; Use of recycled or recyclable building materials Maximum use of brownfield and town centre sites Effective use of land for transport, through use of maximum car parking standards in target areas and restraint in town centres Provision of space for recycling and waste separation facilities Maintaining Economic Growth Promotion of local employment Revitalisation of town centres through mixed-use development Reduction of private trips to reduce congestion on roads Ensuring the adequate provision of property for commercial and residential use Social Progress Public participation in planning processes Provision and safeguarding of public open space and community spaces Accountability in the provision of government services Social equity in access to facilities Avoiding social exclusion through the encouragement of developments of mixed tenure and size Source: adapted from the UK Sustainable Development Strategy, Lucas et al. (2000), Friends of the Earth (2001) 3.2.12 The issues surrounding sustainable development in the housing sector are necessarily wide, given the all-encompassing remit of the sustainability agenda. They include: • • • • • • • • containing urban development; catering for need; combating residential vacancy; integrating transport and land-use planning; urban regeneration; development of environmentally friendly buildings and urban forms; promotion of urban green space; promotion of local employment. At the same time, the discussion above suggests that sustainability in Malta is closely linked to the quantitative assessment of Malta’s housing requirements, which is addressed in the next chapter. 94 95 4 Quantitative Housing Requirements 4.0.1 This chapter sets out Malta’s quantitative housing requirements and supply for the Review period. The chapter is focused on analysing housing requirements as well as the adequacy of available land supply to meet forecast requirements. This analysis is also presented on a local plan area scale. 4.0.2 The approach taken in this chapter is to develop high, medium and low development scenarios; and these scenarios are, as much as possible, policy-neutral with respect to current planning and government policy, despite the high uncertainty surrounding certain elements of housing over the Review period. This means that although in many cases there will be policy measures taken both by the Planning Authority and other bodies to turn around some housing trends that may be considered undesirable, these measures are not reflected in the current housing calculation. This paper has however already flagged important issues as deserving of particular attention in Chapter 2. In view of these concerns, the figures in the tables below may well be altered through the Structure Plan Review consultation process. 4.1 Quantitative Housing Requirements Housing requirements 4.1.1 Housing requirements may largely be assessed on the basis of demographic need, as in the current Structure Plan (Technical Reports 1.1 and 1.2), however two other elements of housing also form part of the Islands’ requirements. These are: second homes, and an element of ‘scrap’, where substandard dwellings are envisaged to be lost without replacement. Additionally, the Planning Authority is concerned that some permissions for housing development are not implemented: for this reason the final element of the housing requirements calculation relates to Malta’s completions ratio, which is the percentage of residential permissions that are not taken up. It is worth noting here that previous Structure Plan housing estimates of housing requirements (see Appendix 4.1) have included an element of ‘slack’, which is believed to ensure that the housing market is more flexible. However due to Malta’s large stock of vacant housing, it is not considered that such an allowance is justified (see detailed argument in Appendix 4.2). This section visits each element of the housing requirements calculation in turn, and three housing scenarios are developed, which provide a range of low, high and medium estimates of Malta’s housing requirements. 96 Household projections 4.1.2 Housing requirements projections are based on demographic trends, and it is the remit of the Review to ensure that sufficient housing is provided for the new households likely to be formed in the next 20 years. Household projections are provided by the Demography Topic Paper, which is based on the 1995 Census. As explained in Chapter 2, the Paper estimates household growth for the 25-year period between 1995 and 2020, giving a figure of approximately 40,500 new households. Since the Housing Topic Paper is concerned with housing during the 20-year Review period, the projections are adjusted to cover the twenty-year period from 2000 to 2020, which results in a household growth figure of 32,000 for the Plan period. 4.1.3 This Paper bases its forecast requirements on the median growth scenario, which the Demography Topic Paper advises for use in the context of the Review of the Structure Plan. The median scenario provided by the Demography Paper is significantly higher than the figure used in the current Structure Plan, which is 22,000 new households between 1990 and 2010, (paragraph 8.1 page 31). This is due to the fact that household sizes are decreasing, due to decreasing fertility, nuclearisation of the family unit, formation of single parent households and ageing in one’s own home (less institutionalisation). Second homes 4.1.4 A second element of housing requirements calculation relates to the pressure on new housing provision created by the second homes market, which includes holiday homes. Since second homes draw on the existing housing provision, added provision is required in order to make up for these losses (see Chart 4.1). 4.1.5 Second residences, which numbered 12,967 in 1995 (Census 1995), are often smaller than permanent homes and situated in coastal towns and villages. Indeed, 50 percent of summer residences are in the North West area of Malta, and 24 percent are in Gozo. These residences are mainly located in: St. Paul’s Bay (5,318); Mellieha (1,115); Marsascala (1,016); Birzebbugia (927); Xghajra (409) and St. Julian’s (193). In Gozo, the majority of second homes are in Zebbug (including Marsalforn) (1,883), Munxar (including Xlendi) (463) and Xaghra (206). Most of these summer residences are apartments (73 percent), while 24 percent are houses or maisonettes. The segment of holiday accommodation for rental is declining: while in 1998 there were 1,335 licensed units, in 2000, the total number stood at 1,201 (Malta Tourism Authority data). The chart on the following page illustrates the geographical distribution of second homes by type of property: 4.1.6 The 1990 Structure Plan identified an existing supply of 10,000 second homes (1985 Census), and a demand for 5,850 second homes, to be built over the Plan period until 2010 (Report of Survey 1990, Part C). The addition of 3,000 second homes in the period between 1985 and 1995 represents a 97 growth of approximately 300 units every year. For the purposes of the Review, an estimate of the second homes component of the housing stock in 2020 is required, and three scenarios may be developed in order to explore alternatives for the period. Number of Dwelling Units CHART 4.1 SECOND HOMES, BY TYPE AND GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION 5000 CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 House Flat Maisonette Other Source: Census 1995 4.1.7 4.1.8 A medium scenario could involve a continuation of the current trend of 300 new second homes every year. This would involve an addition of 6,000 units to the housing stock over the Review period, bringing the number of second homes up to 20,500 (including those built between 1995 and 2000). A second scenario could allow for greater growth in the amount of second homes in the Islands, at 400 properties per year, or 8000 over the review period. A third and lower scenario could assume that demand for second homes would fall, and a figure of only 200 second homes per year (4000 homes over 20 years) would thus be taken up over the Review period. The lower estimate draws on the following considerations: • The growth in second homes between 1985 and 1995 took place in the context of a housing market characterised by over-supply (Structure Plan Monitoring Report 1997), which conflicts with other planning objectives such as efficient use of land and housing, and environmental conservation • Forecasts for growth in second homes depend on a number of factors: such as attractiveness of property as an investment opportunity, alternative investment opportunities, including those in other countries, property prices, economic cycles, average incomes and taste. Thus forecasts based solely on past trends may not be very accurate; • The conflict between continued growth in second homes and other planning objectives such as efficient use of land and housing, and environment conservation. Table 4.1 below summarises the three second homes growth scenarios. 98 TABLE 4.1 SECOND HOMES: LOW, MEDIUM AND HIGH SCENARIOS Year Low Medium High Actual 1995 13,000 13,000 13,000 Estimated 2000 14,000 14,500 15,000 Estimated 2005 15,000 16,000 17,000 Estimated 2010 16,000 17,500 19,000 Estimated 2015 17,000 19,000 21,000 Estimated 2020 18,000 20,500 23,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 Difference 2000-2020 ‘Scrap’ 4.1.9 Technical Report 1.1 (section 6.2) estimated that 7,400 dwelling units, or just under 6 percent of the 125,422 dwellings identified by the 1985 Census, are likely to be scrapped without replacement in the period from 1985 to 2010. Reasons for scrapping include very small size or poor condition, and this figure does not include dwellings likely to be demolished and then rebuilt on the same site. This figure is now considered to be questionable, since there is no corroborative evidence available for this figure in the 1985 Census or the Structure Plan surveys. This is particularly true in the light of findings on substandard dwellings from the 1995 Census, which indicate, for example, that Malta’s housing stock includes only 1,667 units with no toilet and 384 one-roomed dwellings. Further, with declining household size and the formation of increasing numbers of single person households it is doubtful whether this element should be included in the housing supply calculation. Nevertheless, it is useful to attempt an estimate for this figure. 4.1.10 There are three possible approaches to the task of obtaining a reasonable figure for dwellings that are to be scrapped in the Review period. The first alternative is to base figures on the Census findings on vacant dilapidated dwellings, which indicate that there are 2,300 (2,296) vacant dwellings that are in a dilapidated condition (no figures exist for all dilapidated dwellings). The two major constraints associated with this approach are: first, that some dilapidated dwellings may not be vacant; and second, that there is an indirect relationship between substandard dwellings and dilapidated dwellings, since in some cases, residences that are dilapidated may nevertheless have rehabilitation potential. Urban renewal is an important planning goal for the existing Structure Plan and the Review, and the effect of planning policy to increase rehabilitation of older dwellings needs to be taken into account here. 4.1.11 A second approach could draw on Census information on substandard housing units. The Census provides information on dwellings with no bathroom (4,028), and those with no toilet (1,667). The higher figure could be used as an indicator of a substandard dwelling, but it is nevertheless inaccurate since some of these residences without bathrooms may be large 99 and comfortable, albeit old and some of these may be inhabited by elderly people. These properties may have the potential to provide desirable residences after rehabilitation (and the construction of a bathroom) or redevelopment, and thus do not fit the condition of dwellings that are likely to be “scrapped without replacement”. 4.1.12 A third and more accurate approach would be to move closer to the definition of ‘scrap’ dwellings as those of very small size, and to use the Census figure for one-roomed properties, which is 400 (384) (two roomed dwellings are not considered to be ‘scrap’ since they have the potential to be used as accommodation for single-person households). In this case the ‘scrap’ figure would be as low as 400, and in order to err on the side of caution in this area of little data, it is suggested that this figure is rounded up slightly to 500, which represents just under 0.3 percent of the dwelling stock. Completions 4.1.13 The Planning Authority Completions Survey (see Appendix 1.2) indicates that seven percent of residential dwellings for which permission has been granted are not started. This suggests that there are factors that inhibit takeup of permissions for development, which need to be taken into account when estimating housing requirements. In order to allow for such problems in land take up, it is considered that housing requirements may be increased by seven percent, and the figure used in the requirements calculation will be a percentage of the total requirements figure that results from a sum of projected household growth, second homes and ‘scrap’. Although this element of housing requirement is not included in previous Structure Plan housing calculations, it is considered that the completions ratio provides a view into the element of housing provision that is not realised due to a set of constraints that go beyond those directly related to planning, such as legal or investment reasons, requiring an additional amount of housing to be built to cover this shortfall. Housing calculation 4.1.14 It is now possible to put forward a housing requirements assessment based on demographic trends, second homes, the removal without replacement of substandard dwelling units, and an allowance for non-take up of housing provision. As indicated in Table 4.2, housing requirements should range between 39,000 and 44,000 units within the Review period. The eventual figure adopted in the Review will depend on the strategy chosen for Malta’s future development and the accompanying set of policy measures. TABLE 4.2 HOUSING REQUIREMENTS CALCULATION (2000-2020) Element of housing requirements Low Medium High Demographic requirements Projected household growth 32,000 32,000 32,000 100 Additional requirements Second homes ‘Scrap’ Subtotal Allowance for non take up (7% of requirements for each scenario) Housing requirements 4.1.15 4,000 6,000 8,000 500 500 500 36,500 38,500 40,500 2,550 2,700 2,850 39,100 41,200 43,400 It is important now to examine whether there is adequate supply of land to meet the alternative levels of housing requirements during the next 20 years covered by this Review. In the following section, Malta’s housing and housing land supply are assessed with a view to achieving the required provision. Housing Land Supply 4.1.16 The supply of land for housing in Malta is primarily made up of the unbuilt land in the Temporary Provisions Schemes and the housing capacity of existing urban areas. Other elements of supply are provided by the housing potential to be gained from conversions into residential uses, and redevelopment of buildings (including mixed developments) to increase residential units (this potential does not form part of the urban capacity mentioned above). Windfall dwelling gains, development scheme rationalizations and gain from rural settlements also represent potential sources of housing gain. In the following discussion, each element of Malta’s housing supply is addressed in turn. This section concludes by presenting a set of three scenarios for Malta’s housing supply over the Review period. The methodologies used in the previous Structure Plan are examined in Appendix 3.3. Land supply in the Temporary Provisions Schemes 4.1.17 The 1998 update of the Schemes Monitoring Database indicated that 488.82 ha remain available for housing development within the Temporary Provision Schemes (land required for roads is assessed separately) (see Table 4.3). This figure represents 61 percent of the almost 800 hectares made available for housing in 1988. While 800 hectares were legally designated for housing in the 1988 Temporary Provisions Schemes, it is acknowledged that this zoning includes uses compatible with housing, such as local shops and services. However it is difficult to be specific about this figure without detailed investigation, and it is likely that these uses constitute only a small fraction of total land uses in the areas in the Temporary Provisions Schemes that are zoned for housing. For these reasons it is considered reasonable to retain the current figures although in practice they might be slightly lower. The provision of housing land given in the Schemes is not equal throughout the Islands, and certain local plan areas have significantly higher amounts of land available, particularly those larger plan 101 areas on the urban periphery, but these issues are considered later in the chapter when the total figures for the Islands are examined by region. TABLE 4.3 LAND SUPPLY IN TEMPORARY PROVISIONS SCHEMES AS AT 1998 Area Area Area Area Area of land % of total schemed for developed developed developed allocated area housing for for for housing for housing schemed for developmen housing housing during 1988that is housing in t in 1988 (ha) 1988 - 1994 1994-1998 1998 (ha) vacant (ha) 1988 that is (ha) (ha) vacant (ha) Totals 800 247 66 311 488 61 Source: Schemes Monitoring Database 1998 4.1.18 Three scenarios may be devised to project the housing capacity of the remaining schemed land. First, however, the remaining land within scheme in 1998 must be adjusted to a year 2000 figure. This may be done by reducing the land area by the equivalent land take up of two years: the four years between 1994 and 1998 experienced a land take up of 66 ha, which converts to the annual development of 17 hectares. Reducing the land equivalent to two years’ development from the 488 hectares remaining undeveloped in 1998, the total figure for vacant land within schemes becomes 457 ha. The low capacity scenario, which would involve development of one dwelling unit per 150 square metres, would result in a capacity of 30,500 dwelling units. The 150 square metres is the medium standard plot size for new semi-detached or terraced housing in existing areas, and the low standard for this type of housing in new areas. This figure is provided by the 1990 Explanatory Memorandum, which accompanies the Structure Plan. The Planning Authority’s Plot Size Study also confirms that this is a reasonable estimate of the average plot size in the TPS (see Appendix 1.2 for more details on this Study). A high capacity scenario would envisage plots developed as apartments, at three units per 150 square metres, providing enough land for 90,400 homes. These two scenarios are summarised in Table 4.4. 102 TABLE 4.4 CAPACITY OF THE TEMPORARY PROVISIONS SCHEMES: LOW AND HIGH SCENARIOS (AS AT 2000) Scenario Land area (m2) Plot size (m2) Number of units per Residential plot capacity (number of units) Low capacity 4,570,000 150 1 30,500 High capacity 4,570,000 150 3 90,400 Source: Schemes Monitoring Database 1998 4.1.19 A medium scenario may be constructed out of the ratio of residential types granted development permission between 1994 and 2000, which may be obtained from Table 2.13. The ratio of apartments and maisonettes to terraced houses and semi-detached properties varied between 73:27 in 1994 and 87:13 in the year 2000. Despite the clear trend towards increasing residential densities, this calculation is based on an average for the period between 1994 and 2000. Using this ratio, a medium scenario housing capacity estimate for the vacant land within the Temporary Provisions Schemes (as at 2000) may be calculated, which results in a residential capacity of 69,100 units in these Schemes (see Table 4.5). TABLE 4.5 CAPACITY OF THE TEMPORARY PROVISIONS SCHEMES: MEDIUM SCENARIOS (AS AT 2000) Central density scenario Percentage development for each residential type (1997) Land area (m2) Apartments 49 2,238,271 150 3 44,765 Maisonettes 31 1,416,049 150 2 18,881 Terraced houses 17 776,543 150 1 5,177 3 137,037 500 1 274 100 4,567,900 Semi/Detached TOTAL Plot size Units (m2) per plot Units 69,097 Source: Schemes Monitoring Database 1998, Dwellings database 1993-2000 Capacity of existing urban areas 4.1.20 The potential contribution of existing urban areas towards the Islands’ housing supply in the Review period has been estimated by means of the Planning Authority’s Urban Capacity Survey (see Appendix 1.2, paragraph A1.2.11). Using street-by-street on-site surveys, Planning Authority staff assessed the development potential above existing buildings and in unbuilt sites in existing urban areas that were not zoned in the Temporary Provisions Schemes (Act X of 1988) but are nevertheless within the development boundary (see Existing Urban Areas in Map 2). The areas examined in this survey therefore do not include urban areas that were schemed for 103 development in the 1988 Temporary Provision Schemes. Table 4.6 summarises the results of this study, providing figures for a range of density scenarios that are explained below. TABLE 4.6 RESIDENTIAL CAPACITY OF EXISTING URBAN AREAS Development within current height limitations All Development Types Capacity Final Low Development 15,400 Final Medium Development 16,400 Final High Development 21,720 All Development Types Excluding Maisonettes Capacity Final Low Development Less Maisonettes 8,310 Final Medium Development Less Maisonettes 9,220 Final High Development Less Maisonettes 14,500 Development with an additional storey All Development Types Capacity Additional Storey Final Low Development 28,430 Additional Storey Final Medium Development 30,030 Additional Storey Final High Development 37,500 All Development Types Excluding Maisonettes Capacity Additional Storey Final Low Development Less Maisonettes 15,410 Additional Storey Final Medium Development Less Maisonettes 16,880 Additional Storey Final High Development Less Maisonettes 24,350 Source: Urban Capacity Study 4.1.21 The Urban Capacity study provides estimates for intensification of housing uses only in the case where access is relatively easy: additional dwelling units above existing apartments, maisonettes and garages and on vacant plots not included in the 1988 Schemes were considered (although an alternative more conservative scenario is presented above), while residential development above houses was not. In addition, development in ‘white areas’ was not included in the assessment, and neither was the potential of existing urban areas to accommodate new dwellings through redevelopment. Figures were calculated on the basis of existing building heights, although an alternative scenario is proposed in which urban capacity is pushed upwards through increasing building heights by one storey (though not in Urban Conservation Areas). High, medium and low development scenarios are provided, based on, for example, the inclusion in the total capacity figures of housing potential above garages that currently do allow access to the roof, in the high development scenario. More conservative scenarios are also presented, which leave out development over maisonettes. Table 4.6 suggests that a figure of between 15,000 and 22,000 dwelling units may be accommodated within existing urban areas, without any increases in building 104 heights, although height relaxations has been proposed for areas in a number of the Local Plans. Taking into account a one-storey increase in building heights across the urban areas covered in this Study, the estimate of residential gains in existing urban areas rise to between 28,000 and 37,000 new units. Residential units to be gained through conversion from other uses 4.1.22 Conversions from other uses such as industry, retail or warehousing to housing also represent a source of new dwelling units, although the Planning Authority’s Conversions Database indicates that this source is not being tapped in Malta. Indeed, between 1991 and 2000 there has been a net loss through conversions of approximately 550 dwelling units. The majority of residential conversions involved residences being converted into other uses, and the number of dwellings lost through conversion increased steadily over this period, until 1999 (see Table 4.7). TABLE 4.7 DWELLING UNITS GAINED THROUGH CONVERSION (1991 – 2000) YEAR Net change in dwelling units through conversion ‘91 ‘92 ‘93 ‘94 ‘95 ‘96 ‘97 ‘98 ‘99 ‘00 TOTA L 1 1 -47 -98 -53 -77 -89 -101 -34 -57 -554 Source: Conversions and Redevelopments Database 4.1.23 The low figure for conversions indicates a potential for the use of stronger planning and fiscal measures to encourage residential gains, both through conversions from other uses and through conversion of larger older homes into smaller units that meet modern residential standards. While a medium scenario for gains through conversion may be based on current trends (a net loss of 550 units over ten years), giving a loss of 1100 units over the Review period, medium and high conversion scenarios may be developed. The figures of –2,000 and 0 units are proposed for the low and high scenarios, respectively. It is worth noting here that the trend scenario used is considered particularly conservative in the case of housing gains through conversions for two reasons, first because the trend might be changing (as evidenced by the 1999 figure), and secondly because rising property prices might make conversions more attractive during the Review period. The Planning Authority might also seek to increase gains through conversion by means of appropriate planning policies, suggesting that these scenarios might well change during the Review process. Dwelling units to be gained through redevelopment 4.1.24 The demolition and redevelopment of existing buildings also provides a potential source of housing provision. The Planning Authority’s Redevelopment Database indicates that during the years between 1991 and 105 2000, there was a net gain of 3,156 dwelling units through redevelopment, as shown in the table below. Most of the redeveloped units were gained through the demolition of residential units and construction of new residential premises (81 percent of cases). TABLE 4.8 DWELLING UNITS GAINED THROUGH REDEVELOPMENT (19912000) YEAR Net gain in housing units through redevelopment ‘91 ‘92 ‘93 ‘94 ‘95 ‘96 ‘97 ‘98 ‘99 ‘00 Total 9 45 194 304 382 408 469 440 215 694 3,200 Source: Conversions and Redevelopments Database 4.1.25 Low, medium and high redevelopment scenarios may be constructed on the basis of trends between 1991 and 2000. Approximately 3,200 units were gained through redevelopment between 1991 and 2000, and it is likely that this figure will be sustained over the Review period, suggesting a medium scenario redevelopment based on the current trend of a gain of 6,400 dwelling units. In the context of this current trend scenario, it is important to note that planning policy might seek to redirect the type of development towards conversions rather than redevelopment in Urban Conservation Areas. It might also opt to encourage redevelopment in existing built up areas and the TPS, in order to use land more efficiently. There is therefore a fat band of uncertainty surrounding the determination of the actual potential for residential gain through redevelopment under different policy scenarios. The three scenarios presented here are therefore relatively far apart, with a fifty percent difference from the central scenario. It is considered reasonable therefore to propose a gain in dwelling units through redevelopment of 9,600 units in a high redevelopment scenario, and a gain of only 3,200 units in a low redevelopment scenario. Windfall 4.1.26 In general windfall housing gains are those that arise out of land not designated for housing. This definition is similar to that used in the 1997 Structure Plan Monitoring Report, but it is defined slightly differently due to the emergence of new data on conversions, redevelopment and urban capacity. For the purposes of this assessment, therefore, the essence of windfall provision is that it represents gains that do not fall within the expected categories, since they are not on land zoned for housing, and are not gained through conversions, redevelopment or the filling up of the residential capacity of existing urban areas (urban capacity allocation). The types of gains represented here are, for example, those from major projects on undeveloped land that may be unzoned or already zoned for other uses, such as was the case with the Fort Chambray and Manoel Island/Tigne, projects which were principally zoned for tourism development (some of these projects are aimed at high income buyers, including foreign buyers, 106 however, as noted in the section on housing requirements, it is not considered necessary to consider foreign buyers as a separate category of demand over the Review period). Windfall gains may also result out of housing allocations in local plans; in such cases plans may make new provision for housing on land that was previously for example, industrial or commercial, as in the case of Marsa Park in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area. It is difficult to obtain an accurate estimate of what these gains will be, and figures based on trends are likely to be an underestimate given the increasing role of housing in land development projects. However, in the light of the experience of the 1990s (2,060 units in major projects, including the 854 in the Manoel Island/Tigne project and some 1500 units newly allocated through North Harbours Local Plan alone), it is considered a conservative estimate to project that 5,000 dwelling units will be gained through windfall over the Review period. Examples from the North Harbours Local Plan will suffice to provide evidence of the scale of windfall housing gains on land not zoned for housing development, that are currently emerging through the local planning process. 4.1.27 Low and high scenarios may be constructed around figures that differ from the median by fifty percent (3,000 and 7,000). The reason for this significant difference between scenarios is the dependence of windfall provision on government support for land development in the form of major projects (often on publicly owned land). TABLE 4.9 WINDFALL GAINS PROPOSED IN THE NORTH HARBOURS LOCAL PLAN Local council Area TPS designation NHLP designation Overall site Overall site density density (units/ha) (units/ha) – Draft for Final Draft Public Consultation Area Units (ha) gained Swieqi Gnien talMarkis White area Semi-detached dwellings 33 12 5.4 65 St. Julian's Balluta Valley Public Open Space Terraced housing 80 ? 12 960 Total units gained 1,025 Source: North Harbours Local Plan (Draft for Public Consultation; Draft Final) Local plan scheme rationalisations 4.1.28 The Temporary Provisions Scheme boundaries are currently being revisited in the local planning process in order to incorporate urban design considerations where this is relevant. Such considerations include factors such as environmental enhancement, conservation and road layouts. Through this policy, land for approximately 240 units has been made available in the North West Local Plan area, and it is envisaged that when this process has 107 covered each Local Plan area, the land area included within the scheme boundary should not accommodate more than 1000 dwelling units. Other residential development outside scheme 4.1.29 The Dwellings Database indicates that current average housing provision outside the development boundary is approximately 70 units per year. Over a 20-year period, this would amount to 1,500 units. While the trend in the last two years is on the way down (see Table 2.12), Structure Plan monitoring suggests that there are a number of areas that lie on the urban fringes, which the local plan process may well consider drawing into the urban areas, as part of the process of controlling development in rural settlements. Some overlap might therefore occur between this element of housing supply and the local plan rural settlements policies emerging in the local plans. It could thus be the case that the 20-year figure does not reflect the trend provided by the Dwellings Database, and exceeds the annual provision of 70 units. It is therefore considered reasonable to expect a gain of between 1,000 and 2,000 dwelling units outside the development zone over the Review period, with a medium scenario of 1,400 (the trend position) units. At the same time the rural development figures based on historical events are considered high, and policy on the countryside is generally being strengthened in the emerging local plans, which may lead to somewhat lesser pressure than is indicated in the figures from the Dwellings Database. However since this reduction in pressure is likely to be limited, the figures have not been altered. Nevertheless the assumptions underlying the figures in these calculations will be subjected to ongoing monitoring and updating in the next Review. Housing Supply Calculation 4.1.30 Having visited each element of housing supply, it is now possible to assess the potential supply of housing units in the Maltese Islands in the period between 2000 and 2020, and three scenarios are presented to this effect in Table 4.10. Matching Housing Requirements and Supply 4.1.31 If the housing requirements data in Table 4.2 and the housing supply data in Table 4.10 are compared, it becomes evident that supply exceeds requirements by a large margin. Indeed, taking the most likely medium scenario, the calculations suggest that there is more than double the amount of housing capacity required without any increases in building heights. TABLE 4.10 HOUSING PROVISION CALCULATION Housing Provision Low Medium High 108 Temporary Provisions Schemes 30,400 69,100 90,400 Capacity of Existing Urban Areas 15,400 16,400 21,700 Conversions -2,000 -1,000 0 Redevelopment 3,200 6,400 9,600 Windfall 3,000 5,000 7,000 Local Plan Scheme Rationalisations 1000 1000 1000 Other development outside the development zone 1,000 1,400 2,000 52,000 98,300 131,700 Total 4.1.32 These findings suggest that the Review might want to consider a managed approach to development in the Temporary Provisions Schemes. This is particularly relevant when one considers that these estimates are conservative for two reasons: firstly, because Malta’s 23,000 permanently vacant dwellings have not been taken into account in the supply calculation, and secondly, because the height limitations currently being proposed in the local plans (for example the North West and North Harbours Local Plan areas) have not been taken into account in the Urban Capacity assessment. In the next section, housing projections are examined on a local plan area basis. TABLE 4.11 COMPARISON OF HOUSING REQUIREMENTS AND PROVISION Housing requirement medium scenario (2000-2020) 41,200 Housing capacity medium scenario (2000-2020) 98,300 Difference between requirements and capacity 57,100 4.2 Housing Requirements and Supply in the Local Plan Areas Housing requirements 4.2.1 In what follows, each element of Malta’s housing requirement is examined on a local plan area basis. In all cases, the geographical allocation of housing requirements and supply by local plan area is based on past trends that emerge from the Planning Authority’s Census 1995 datasets and development applications databases. As noted in Chapter 2, the regional household projections are based on the Moderate Variant that assumes more favourable economic conditions in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area over the Review period. Households 109 4.2.2 Household projections are provided by the Demography Topic Paper. Based on Census 1995 data, population figures have been calculated using a set of assumptions about life expectancy (for males and females), the gender gap, fertility rates, international and internal migration, births, and deaths. These have been converted into households based on assumptions that the number of single person households, separated or divorced couples and households headed by elderly people would increase, while the number of institutionalised persons will decline over the Review period. Household formation rates are thus calculated on the basis of a declining household size, falling from 3.0 in 2000 to 2.7 in 2020. TABLE 4.12 HOUSEHOLD PROJECTIONS BY LOCAL PLAN AREA (1995-2020) LPA 1995 2000 2020 Diff 20-95 Diff 20-00 CMLP 31,718 33,253 42,380 10,662 9,127 GCLP 9,188 10,232 12,794 3,606 2,562 GHLP 10,852 9,592 9,596 -1,256 4 MBLP 3,239 4,477 5,597 2,358 1,120 NHLP 20,820 22,382 28,787 7,967 6,405 NWLP 10,279 12,150 15,993 5,714 3,843 SMLP 33,383 35,811 44,779 11,396 8,968 TOTAL 119,479 127,897 159,926 40,447 32,029 Source: Demography Topic Paper Second homes TABLE 4.13 DISTRIBUTION OF SECOND HOMES (2000-2020) BY LOCAL PLAN AREA LPA Percentage distribution of second Proposed distribution of allowance homes by local plan area (Census 1995) for second homes in Review CMLP 2 100 GCLP 24 1,500 GHLP 6 300 MBLP 7 400 NHLP 0 0 NWLP 50 3,000 SMLP 11 700 TOTAL 100 6,000 Source: Census 1995 (Planning Authority Datasets) 4.2.3 The 1995 Census (Planning Authority data sets) indicates that second homes are concentrated in two local plan areas: the North West (50 percent 110 of all second homes) and Gozo (24 percent of second homes). In Table 4.13 below, the projected medium scenario increase of 6,000 second homes over the Review period is allocated among local plan areas according to the distribution of second homes by local plan in the 1995 Census. ‘Scrap’ 4.2.4 The element of Malta’s housing requirement that is directed at replacement of substandard dwellings may also be allocated on a local plan area basis. The original source of the estimate of 400 substandard units that are to be removed without replacement is the 1995 Census, and this data source also provides information by locality. The data is aggregated by local plan area and rounded to the nearest 25 dwelling units (in order to make up the round figure of 500 units) in Table 4.14. TABLE 4.14 DISTRIBUTION OF ‘SCRAP’ DWELLINGS (2000-2020) BY LOCAL PLAN AREA LPA CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Total 75 50 150 25 50 50 100 500 Scrap Completions 4.2.5 The use of a housing completions ratio in the calculation of housing requirements is aimed at taking into account the fact that some residential permissions are not actually implemented, and thus cannot be taken up as housing. An allowance is therefore made to cover the seven percent of dwelling permission that are not actualised, and this national level percentage is used for each local plan area, since local plan area data is not available. Housing requirements by local plan area 4.2.6 It is therefore possible to allocate housing requirements on a local plan area basis, and these allocations are set out in Table 4.15. TABLE 4.15 HOUSING REQUIREMENTS BY LOCAL PLAN AREA Local Plan Area CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Total 111 Element of housing requirements Households 9,127 2,562 4 1,120 6,405 3,843 Second homes 92 1,433 337 448 16 2,995 679 6,000 Scrap 75 50 150 25 50 50 100 500 9,286 4,020 468 1,577 6,462 6,858 650 281 33 110 452 480 9,936 4,301 501 1,687 6,914 Subtotal Completions (7%) Grand Total 8,968 32,000 9,742 38,400 682 2,700 7,338 10,424 41,200 Housing supply by local plan area 4.2.7 The estimates for housing supply are now presented on a local plan area basis, and once again, the regional breakdown is based on Planning Authority data: the surveys on the take-up of the land within the Temporary Provisions Schemes (Schemes Monitoring Database) and Urban Capacity Survey; the databases on Conversions and Redevelopments and Dwellings, and emerging information from the local planning process. Capacity of the Temporary Provisions Schemes 4.2.8 The Schemes Monitoring Database indicates that 484 ha were available for development in 1998, and that given current rates of development, 451 ha of the TPS land may be assumed to have been remaining for development in 2000. This information is available on a local plan area basis: TABLE 4.16 UNDEVELOPED LAND AREA IN THE TEMPORARY PROVISIONS SCHEMES BY LOCAL PLAN AREA Land area in TPS (ha) CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Total Area (ha) As at 1998 99.11 99.72 3.15 10.99 60.47 73.96 141.4 488.82 As at 2000 89.25 96.89 2.74 9.51 57.96 69.95 130.50 456.78 Source: Schemes Monitoring Database 4.2.9 Since it is the number of residential units expected to emerge from this land supply that is relevant to this assessment, the central density scenario developed in sections 4.1.18 to 4.1.20 above is now examined by local plan area. First, a prediction of the area available for housing for each residential type is developed, based on the conservative 1997 density ratio in the Dwelling Database, as explained above. The data on type of residences developed is not reliable on a local plan area basis, since the results for some local plan areas are small, so national level estimates are used in this assessment. 112 TABLE 4.17 LAND AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THE TEMPORARY PROVISIONS SCHEMES BY TYPE OF RESIDENCE (1994 - 2000), FOR EACH LOCAL PLAN AREA CENTRAL CAPACITY SCENARIO Type of residence % development LAND AREA (ha) CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Total Area (ha) by type of residence by type (average 1994-2000 for TPS areas) Apartments 49 43.7 47.5 1.3 4.7 28.4 34.3 63.9 224 Maisonettes 31 27.7 30.0 0.8 2.9 18.0 21.7 40.5 142 Terraced houses 17 15.2 16.5 0.5 1.6 9.8 11.9 22.2 78 Semi/Detache d 3 2.7 2.9 0.1 0.3 1.7 2.1 3.9 14 100 89.2 96.9 2.7 9.5 58.0 70.0 130.5 457 TOTAL Source: Schemes Monitoring Database, Dwellings Database 4.2.10 It is now possible to estimate how many dwelling units are obtainable from this land area. In Table 4.18 below, the residential capacity of the remaining land in the Temporary Provisions Schemes in each local plan area is calculated on the basis of the central density assumption, standard plots sizes and a conservative estimate for average number of units for apartment blocks. TABLE 4.18 RESIDENTIAL CAPACITY OF THE TEMPORARY PROVISIONS SCHEMES BY LOCAL PLAN AREA Type of residence Plot size Units per plot CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP Apartments 150 3 8,747 9,495 269 932 5,680 6,855 12,789 44,750 Maisonettes 150 2 3,689 4,005 113 393 2,396 2,891 5,394 18,900 Terraced houses 150 1 1,012 1,098 31 108 657 793 1,479 5,200 Semi/Detached 500 1 54 58 2 6 35 42 78 250 13,500 14,650 400 1,400 8,880 10,600 19,750 69,100 TOTAL NHLP NWLP SMLP Total Units Source: Schemes Monitoring Database Capacity of existing urban areas 4.2.11 The residential capacity of existing urban areas may also be assessed on a local plan area basis. The Urban Capacity Study provides national figures based on the extrapolation of data from surveyed localities, which amount to over 95 percent, to those localities that have not been surveyed (see sections 4.1.21 and 4.1.22). For the purposes of this regional assessment, 113 the Medium Variant data by locality has been aggregated on a local plan area basis, and is presented in Table 4.19 below. TABLE 4.19 CAPACITY OF EXISTING URBAN AREAS BY LOCAL PLAN AREA Urban Capacity by Local Plan Area Final Medium Development CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP 3,241 2,293 287 529 3,819 2,726 Total Units 3,488 16,400 Source: Urban Capacity Study Conversions and Redevelopment 4.2.12 Central scenario local plan estimates for residences gained through conversions and redevelopments may be obtained from the Planning Authority’s Conversions and Redevelopment Database. Data for the 1990s may be doubled to obtain trend figures for the years between 2000 and 2020. Although these figures may change through the consultation process, and as policy-related estimates are developed, for now local plan estimates are based on current trends. TABLE 4.20 PROJECTED ADDITIONAL DWELLINGS GAINED THROUGH CONVERSIONS AND REDEVELOPMENT BY LOCAL PLAN AREA CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Total Conversions 1990-1999 -146 -23 -36 -4 -175 -43 -127 -554 Projected 2000- 2020 -260 -50 -50 -10 -350 -80 -220 -1,000 Redevelopment 1990-1999 390 339 134 59 1,130 683 421 3,156 Projected 2000-2020 800 680 300 120 2,260 1360 840 6,400 Source: Conversions and Redevelopments Database Windfall 4.2.13 As noted in paragraph 4.1.27, it is expected that some 6,400 residential units will be gained through windfall, which is the element of housing supply that arises out of land not designated for housing development. While windfall gains are difficult to estimate by local plan area, the experience of the 1990s indicates that most windfall gain through major projects took place in the North Harbours (Hilton and Manoel Island and Tigne project), Gozo and Comino (Fort Chambray project) and the Grand Harbour (Cottonera project). Windfall gains through the local plan process cannot be assessed before all plans are completed, although the pressure for gains in the draft final North Harbours Local Plan has proposed some 1000 additional housing units through re-zoning of land within scheme for housing (see Table 4.9). Accordingly, windfall gains are apportioned equally in the local plan areas, except for the three areas noted above, which experience has shown are more likely to offer windfall residential gains. 114 TABLE 4.21 WINDFALL GAINS BY LOCAL PLAN AREA Local plan area Projected gain in dwelling units through windfall CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Total 600 500 800 500 1000 800 800 5,000 Local Plan scheme rationalisations 4.2.14 The local plan process offers the Planning Authority the opportunity to rationalise development boundaries where they would give rise to ragged settlement edges. It is envisaged that this process should not give rise to more than 500 additional dwelling units. So far, this process has only been carried out for the North West Local Plan, and in this plan area, land for approximately 150 has been made available. In the apportionment of additional dwellings through this element of housing provision, while the 150 units in the North West Local Plan is represented in the apportionment, the units gained are evenly spread through the other local plan areas, due to lack of specific data about the other plans (see Table 4.22). TABLE 4.22 LOCAL PLAN SCHEME RATIONALISATIONS CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Gains through local plan scheme rationalisations 200 200 50 50 50 250 200 Total 1000 Source: North West Local Plan, Draft for Public Consultation Other housing development in the countryside 4.2.15 The Dwellings database indicates that between 1994 and 2000, 495 residences were granted permission outside the development zone, which amounts to approximately 70 units every year. The large majority of these developments occurred in the North West, Gozo and Comino, and South Malta Local Plan areas. It is important to note with respect to these figures that of the total dwelling permissions granted outside the development boundary for the North West Local Plan area, which is 143, 112 permissions are for dwellings at Mtarfa. Similarly, 118 out of the total permissions in the South (211) are at the Hal-Farrug area, which has been developed to provide social and affordable housing. TABLE 4.23 HOUSING DEVELOPMENT IN THE COUNTRYSIDE, BY LOCAL PLAN AREA (1994-2000) LOCAL PLAN AREA CMLP 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 3 4 0 8 2 6 2000 TOTAL 2 25 115 GCLP 5 24 29 19 3 11 19 110 GHLP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MBLP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NHLP 0 0 0 0 4 1 1 6 NWLP 65 20 35 11 3 3 6 143 SMLP 76 9 17 85 23 1 0 211 TOTAL 49 43 50 38 35 22 28 495 Source: Dwellings Database 4.2.16 Projections based on these trends suggest that the following amount of residential development may be expected over the Review period. TABLE 4.24 HOUSING GAINS OUTSIDE THE DEVELOPMENT ZONE, BY LOCAL PLAN AREA CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Total Gains through housing outside the development zone (1994-2000) Average gain per year Projected gain over the 20 year Review period 149 57 81 35 35 22 28 495 7 6 7 5 5 3 4 71 140 123 143 109 100 63 80 1,400 Source: Dwellings Database Housing provision by local plan area 4.2.17 Having reviewed all the elements of housing supply on a local plan area basis, it is now possible to present the projected of regional housing provision for the Review. This is summarised in Table 4.25. TABLE 4.25 HOUSING PROVISION BY LOCAL PLAN AREA Local Plan Area CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Total Element of housing provision Temporary Provisions Schemes 13,500 14,650 415 1,440 8,770 10,580 19,740 69,100 116 Urban Capacity 3,250 2,300 300 550 3,800 2,700 3,500 16,400 -260 -50 -50 -10 -350 -80 -220 -1,000 Redevelopment 800 680 300 120 2,260 1,360 Windfall 600 500 800 500 1000 800 800 5,000 Local Plan Scheme Rationalisations 200 200 50 50 50 250 200 1000 Development in the Countryside 425 160 230 350 100 65 80 1,400 Conversions Grand Total 18,515 18,440 840 6,400 2,045 3,000 15,630 15,675 24,940 98,300 Comparison of housing requirements and supply by local plan area 4.2.18 It is useful to compare at this point in the local plan area analysis the difference between housing requirements and provision. Table 4.26 indicates that the large difference between requirements and provision noted at a national scale is also found in the local estimates, but particularly in Gozo and the South Malta Local Plan area. This reveals that the 1988 Temporary Provisions Schemes are going to continue to determine the location of residential development in the case of three local plan areas for the next 40 years, and for Gozo and Grand Harbours, the next 60 years beyond 2020, unless there is significant policy change. In such a situation, it might be sensible to consider a managed approach to land development, to ensure that urban change in the Islands that takes into account relationships between environment, transport and land-use. These issues are taken up in the next chapter, which draws this Paper to a close with a proposal for a land-use strategy for housing in the Maltese Islands. TABLE 4.26 COMPARISON OF HOUSING REQUIREMENTS AND PROVISION BY LOCAL PLAN AREA Local Plan Area Requirements Supply Over-supply (difference between requirements and supply) CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP 9,950 Total 1,690 6,900 2,045 7,340 10,420 41,200 3,000 15,630 15,675 24,940 98,300 1,545 1,310 8,730 8,335 14,520 57,100 309% 78% 127% 114% 4,300 500 18,515 18,440 8,565 14,140 Percentage over-supply 86% 329% 139% 139% 117 5 The Way Forward: A land-use strategy for housing in the Maltese Islands 5.0.1 This concluding chapter presents a land-use strategy for the housing sector in Malta. It summarises the key housing issues in section 5.1, including the housing requirements and supply in the Maltese Islands over the period 2000 - 2020. The housing policy of the existing Structure Plan is then evaluated and three scenarios for the distribution of housing across the Islands are proposed in section 5.3. The chapter concludes with a strategy for the housing sector in section 5.4 and a discussion of complementary measures for implementation in section 5.5. 5.1 Key Issues for the Review 5.1.1 Drawing on the issues identified through the examination of trends in Malta’s housing sector in Chapter 2, and the review of housing requirements in Chapter 4, it is now possible to list a set of key housing issues for the Structure Plan Review: Household growth 5.1.2 The Demography Topic Paper projects a growth over the Review period of 32,000 households, which exceeds the 22,000 households envisaged by the current Structure Plan, and will need to be provided for in the Review. This population growth will largely be due to falling household sizes, growth in the number of single person households, and the Islands’ ageing population. Dwelling approvals 5.1.3 The Dwellings Database reveals that the Planning Authority has granted an average of 3,000 permissions for housing development annually between 1994 and 2000, despite household growth of approximately 1,600 between 1995 and 2000 (Demography Topic Paper). This has led to a situation of oversupply in the housing market, with many new properties remaining vacant. Suburbanisation 5.1.4 The current trend is for most of Malta’s residential development to take place in the largely greenfield land allocated in the Temporary Provisions Schemes (TPS). Within the TPS, most housing has been developed in Central Malta Local Plan area (87 hectares), followed by the North Harbours, Gozo and 118 Comino and the South. While to a large extent this pattern was dictated by the land allocations in the Schemes, it has nevertheless resulted in a trend towards suburbanisation that has left Malta’s older urban areas with a declining population. 5.1.5 It could be argued that the current emphasis on greenfield development is inevitable in view of the existence of a large reservoir of land in the TPS that has been earmarked for development. However attention needs to be drawn to the fact that the implementation of a planning framework has already succeeded in getting 40 percent of housing development in the urban areas, despite the availability of such a large amount of land: the current ratio of greenfield to brownfield development is 60:40. The Review might like to capitalize on securing more development on brownfield rather than greenfield sites in the TPS, reversing the 60:40 ratio in favour of brownfield sites. Residential vacancy 5.1.6 Census 1995 figures indicate that 23 percent of Malta’s housing stock is now vacant, of which 36 percent is used as second homes. This level of vacancy is a considered to be a negative trend in the context of Malta’s limited land supply, dense urban environment, and the acceptable state of repair of 75 percent of vacant properties. Vacancy is related to Malta’s lack of rental market and the attractiveness of residential property as an investment. 5.1.7 The Review could consider securing a reduction of the vacant housing stock, to reduce the total level of housing provision in the Plan by a percentage, which it could assume will be brought into effective use (three to five percent, for example). Such an assumption would naturally run counter to current trends, and would imply the need to introduce complementary measures from outside the planning system to bring these properties into use (see section 5.5 on measures for implementation). Housing affordability 5.1.8 House prices in Malta are high in comparison with average wages, and this remains a pressing concern for Government, particularly in view of the lack of rental market for Maltese households. The affordability of property for lowincome earners is of central importance in any housing debate, and a considerable amount of Housing Authority effort is channelled in the direction of alleviating affordability problems. 5.1.9 In view of the limited resources available to the Housing Authority to deal with the issue of both affordable and social housing, it may be worthwhile for Government to consider other ways (including increased involvement of the private sector) for the provision of affordable housing. 119 Social Housing 5.1.10 Social housing is directed towards the needs of those households that are unable to purchase property on the market, and is usually provided in the form of Government-built housing on a rental or ownership basis. It is likely that the current social housing requirement is in the region of 3,000 households, but given the uncertainty associated with this figure it is considered desirable that the Government take a view with regard to the scale of the problem, in order to enable long-term consideration of this problem. For the purposes of this paper, social housing requirements are embraced in the overall housing requirements (see below). 5.1.11 While in the past Government has focused on the building of social housing itself, it is likely that over the Review period this will become increasingly cost ineffective, suggesting that Government might find it attractive to increase its provision of rental subsidies, as is becoming common practice in other industrialised countries. At the same time, this measure would require a loosening of the rental market in order to enable Maltese households to obtain access to rental properties. Housing Quality 5.1.12 Housing quality concerns raise a raft of issues relating to both the internal and external residential environment. Internal issues involve minimum room sizes, light, humidity, privacy, security, and environmental efficiency, while neighbourhood concerns involve public open space, traffic and noise management, repairs to older properties, design and coherence, and provision of local social, community and retail facilities. Over-supply of housing land 5.1.13 The examination of housing requirements and supply in Chapter 4 points to the final and most important issue for this Topic Paper. The analysis reveals that while 41,200 dwelling units are required over the Review period, a conservative estimate of current available residential capacity indicates that 96,500 residential units may be provided given current housing allocations. Current supply exceeds conservative estimates of housing requirements by 55,300 dwelling units, which amounts to more than double the amount of housing capacity required. Moreover, these estimates are conservative: firstly, because Malta’s 23,000 permanently vacant dwellings have not been taken into account in the supply calculation, and secondly, because the height limitations currently being proposed in the local plans (for example the North West and North Harbours Local Plans) have not been taken into consideration. 5.1.14 Table 5.1 provides information on the Local Plan area level differences between requirements and provision. These differences are particularly 120 sharp in the cases of the Gozo and Comino and Grand Harbours Local Plans (340 and 315 percent more land than required respectively). 5.1.15 As noted in Chapter 4, these results suggest that some form of managed approach to development may be considered. The argument for such an approach is premised on the fact that the supply of land for meeting projected housing requirements is far too high, which provides an ideal opportunity to safeguard land in the TPS, in order to ensure that it is able to satisfy the dwelling requirements of the Maltese Islands beyond the Plan period. The second argument in favour of this managed approach is that it would help the housing market to operate in an efficient manner, by regulating the provision of new housing and not overburdening the housing market with a large stock at a given point in time. This could have a negative effect on property prices, which could be avoided by ensuring that the provision of housing is managed. TABLE 5.1 COMPARISON OF HOUSING REQUIREMENTS AND SUPPLY BY LOCAL PLAN AREA (2000 –2020) Local Plan Area Over-supply (difference between requirements and supply) Percentage over-supply CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP 8,565 14,140 86% 329% Total 1,545 1,310 8,730 8,335 14,520 57,100 309% 78% 127% 114% 139% 139% 5.2 Assessment of existing housing policy in the Structure Plan 5.2.1 The housing policy framework in the existing Structure Plan has been introduced in Section 1.2, and the policies are listed in their full detail in Appendix 1.1. Policies HOU 1 to HOU 4 set out the preferred distribution of housing development, while policies HOU 5 and HOU 6 address development at Pembroke and HOU 7 encourages rental reform. Provision of affordable housing through the voluntary and private sector is encouraged in HOU 8, and HOU 9 calls for the provision of social and sheltered housing. HOU 10 encourages the conversions of tourist accommodation into residential use. The following assessment draws on a set of interviews with Development Services Staff and others (see Appendix 1.5). 5.2.2 Structure Plan policy on housing is largely strategic, in that it outlines the type and distribution of development that is envisaged in the Plan, as well as issues of rental reform and affordable housing. At the same time, the view of users from development control is that more specific housing policies aimed at development control issues would be useful. This is evident in the fact that it is currently more common to find the Settlement (SET) and Built Environment (BEN) policies cited when housing applications are being assessed. 121 5.2.3 The first policy in the Housing section, HOU 1, which encourages residential development and redevelopment in existing built-up areas, has been successful in that 40 percent of all residential permissions between 1994 and 2000 have been granted for development in existing built up areas rather than the Temporary Provisions Schemes. This was a significantly better performance than that expected in the Structure Plan, which projected that 13 percent of housing would emerge in these areas (see Structure Plan paragraph 8.3, p.31). However, with regard to the second part of policy HOU 1, which refers to the priority constraints in policy SET 7, the policy has not been so successful. This is because policy SET 7 itself has not been implemented, since it is difficult to operationalise. The reason for this is that in practice residential uses have not been given less weight than community, employment and retail uses, as the policy reads. 5.2.4 With regard to policy HOU 2, which encourages conversions within UCAs, this policy has been difficult to implement due to stringent parking standards that apply to all housing development, irrespective of location, so that applications for conversion of a house into two units with no parking spaces is currently generally refused. This suggests that a new approach to parking standards in priority areas could be considered in the Review. Nevertheless, environmental improvements have taken place in many Urban Conservation Areas, both through the efforts of the Rehabilitation Projects Office under the Ministry for the Environment, and the Local Councils. The reoccupation of vacant and underutilised dwellings in UCAs has not however met with success in Valletta and the Three Cities, where vacancy levels persist, although more success has been registered in smaller UCAs, where gentrification is resulting in a repopulation of village cores, albeit with nonlocals and sometimes temporary residents. 5.2.5 While only one Local Plan has been approved, policy exists in the draft local plans that have now been prepared to cover all the Maltese Islands, which provides guidance on building heights, parking and other standards for particular localities. In this respect HOU 3, on residential design in the Local Plans, has been successful, however the Local Plans do not provide detailed guidance on residential densities or building design in key areas. A broadly more qualitative approach to design and quality of life issues in local plans would be more in keeping with this policy. The discouragement of land banking in areas ripe for development, which is treated in the second part of policy HOU 3, has not been successful, as areas such as certain parts of Paceville indicate. Nevertheless, this could be due to the fact that the land hoarding tax referred to in Structure Plan paragraph 17.8, item 5, that this policy points to, has also been difficult to implement. 5.2.6 Policy HOU 4, which concerns housing development in the Temporary Provisions Schemes, calls for development to be in accordance with the Local Plans and BEN 1-3, and, in the interim, while the Plans are being drafted, it should be in accordance with BEN 4. This policy has not been successful for three reasons: firstly, the design standards called for in policy BEN 2 have not largely been followed, as haphazard and monotonous urban 122 form predominates in these new residential areas. Secondly, the undergrounding of cables for new development has not happened, and thirdly, although BEN 4 calls for priority to be given to development close to existing developed areas that have already been provided with roads and services this has not been implemented due to problems of land assembly given Malta’s fragmented land ownership pattern. 5.2.7 Policies HOU 5 and HOU 6 relate to housing development at the Pembroke Primary Development Area. A Development Brief has been prepared for the Pembroke Area, as stipulated in HOU 6, however the hotel and superstore uses outlined in HOU 5 were not included. These policies may be omitted in the Review. 5.2.8 The polices HOU 7 on rent legislation and HOU 8-9 on social housing relate to issues that are largely beyond the Planning Authority’s remit, although their presence in the Structure Plan is due to the situation in the Islands in the period when the policies were drafted, which necessitated a more comprehensive approach to planning policy. Rental reform with respect to new contracts took place in 1995, as proposed in HOU 7, but it has not resulted in optimal use of the housing stock, and residential vacancy has continued to rise (see Chart 2.11). Financial assistance for home purchases and for those who cannot afford higher rentals continues to be available (see section on social housing in Chapter 2). This policy may be revised in the Review, without prejudicing the Planning Authority’s encouragement for the creation of an equitable rental market and financial assistance for low income households. 5.2.9 Although HOU 8 could be interpreted as encouragement for private-sector provision of social housing through planning agreements, the policy has not been applied in this way. While this is a useful policy to encourage affordable housing provision by the private and voluntary sectors, it will need redrafting with respect to the association of low cost housing with smaller properties, since low cost housing, like other housing, will need to be provided to meet a range of family sizes. On a more general level, HOU 8 indicates that ‘encouragement’ policies are actually of little practical value, and that direction rather than encouragement is needed with respect to written policy, which is worked through in a more concrete form. 5.2.10 Policy HOU 9, on optimally locating new Government built rental housing on existing or designated land, has been successful in that new social housing has not been built in the areas outside development zone. On the other hand, it has been less successful in that new Government built rental housing has been concentrated in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area. This locational strategy is not considered optimal, since it has encouraged the segregation of groups that cannot afford to buy their own properties. A wider range of locations for rental accommodations would be preferable. The second part of the policy, which concerns promoting the establishment and growth of subsidised sheltered housing for sale or rent by the private and voluntary sector, has also been unsuccessful, since these sectors have not produced 123 sheltered housing, although they have developed private residential homes for the elderly. Nevertheless, this is a useful policy that simply needs more diligent application and some redrafting to clarify that a range of locations are required for rental social housing projects. 5.2.11 It is likely that self-catering tourist accommodation is being converted to residential uses, as encouraged in HOU 10, but such conversions are not emerging in the findings of the Conversions and Redevelopments Database, since they are occurring without application for development permission for a change of use. This is most likely because most owners of tourist flats are not aware that this is actually a change of use that requires development permission. 5.2.12 The polices that are most commonly used in the assessment of housing applications are those endorsing the Temporary Provisions Schemes, SET 7 and SET 8, and the built environment policies BEN 1 and 2. The Schemes are considered the principal policy tool for development control, even though the integrated planning policy of the Structure Plan should be given greater weight in planning decisions. Other settlement pattern policies used for housing are SET 1, which encourages development within existing built up areas, and SET 11 and SET 12, on development outside the development zone. The built environment policies that are also widely used are BEN 1, on bad neighbourliness, BEN 2 on urban design, BEN 4 on considerations for the assessment of development prior to the completion of local plans, and BEN 13 on satellite dishes. These policies will be assessed in the Urban Topic Paper. 5.2.13 A new policy framework for housing will need to address the quality of the residential environmental by putting forward measures that increase the amount and quality of public open space and greenery in the urban environment. In the TPS, the provision of new public open space is difficult due to a tight zoning policy and the small size of most housing projects, which preclude the gaining of public open space through special agreements. However the floor area ratio policy in DC 2000 could help in this regard, although most of the open space provided so far has been only semi-public. Stronger policy emphasis is also required with respect to urban design, and the local plans could be assigned the tasks of detailing design criteria for critical areas, which may include Urban Conservation Areas, but also could include town centre or urban coastal locations that do not have particular conservation value. The new housing policy framework should specify the type and location of new housing, as well as provide guidance for dwelling sizes, quality and how to improve affordability. 5.3 Scenarios for the distribution of new housing 5.3.1 Given that housing requirements are more than adequately catered for by existing supply, the question of how to distribute new housing development across the Islands takes on particular importance in the Review. The way 124 forward for the distribution of housing development over the Review period may follow different directions depending on the set of objectives that the Review seeks to address. For this reason, it is possible to define a set of scenarios that cover the range of possible housing strategies available. Prior to defining a number of housing development scenarios, the planning objectives to be satisfied are outlined. Planning Objectives 5.3.2 5.3.3 The key housing issues for the Review, noted in Section 5.1, suggest that core planning objectives for the housing sector are to: • accommodate Malta’s housing requirements; • provide access for all to housing in a range of sizes, locations and prices in quality residential environments. However, the housing sector cannot be assessed in isolation. Housing policies must be addressed in the context of the wider objectives of sustainable development, urban regeneration, transport, conservation and other such matters. The full range of planning objectives for Malta will be defined in detail as the Structure Plan Review proceeds. However the following working objectives are proposed, that relate to planning for settlements and housing as a whole: • Accommodate continued economic growth within a development framework that is environmentally sustainable; • Minimize the need to travel, particularly by private car – ensuring that residential areas are accessible by public transport, and that local retail and community facilities and services are accessible on foot; • Minimize encroachment on land that has not previously been developed, encouraging refurbishment, re-use and the efficient use of land through redevelopment. • Promote continued public and private sector investment in urban rehabilitation and regeneration; • Provide rich and vibrant settlements, with embellished and protected public spaces, that have a positive contribution to make to the urban environment, and that integrate harmoniously with the rural and coastal environment. 125 5.3.4 In the following section, three possible development scenarios are proposed, and their impact on the wider social and environmental objectives of the planning system are assessed. The objectives are summarised in Table 5.2: TABLE 5.2 SCENARIOS FOR HOUSING DEVELOPMENT Scenario Description 1 Urban Containment Scenario 2 Management of Temporary Provisions Schemes Land through Incentives 3 Current Trend Scenario SCENARIO 1. Urban Containment Scenario 5.3.5 The Urban Containment Scenario is based on concentration of housing development in existing urban areas. This scenario is grounded in concerns about the rapid suburbanisation of the Maltese population over the last 30 years, and the effects this process has on the sustainability and vitality of settlements and transport patterns. The situation has to a large extent been caused by the quantity of greenfield land available for housing development in the TPS and the availability and use of private motorised transport. The Scenario is therefore based a temporary moratorium on residential development on greenfield land in the TPS. This Scenario would be most effective if it were in force for 10 years, after which time the Structure Plan would be once again up for Review. 5.3.6 The impact of this scenario on the ability of the Reviewed Plan to accommodate housing requirements may be assessed quantitatively. In Table 5.3, the different elements of housing supply are set out. In view of the emphasis in this scenario on concentrating development in existing settlements, the housing supply element related to housing in the countryside is removed. The table indicates that this Scenario would still result in an excess of 8,600 dwelling units on a national scale. In addition, the potential of the existing urban areas is considered higher than what is indicated in the Table, as it does not take into account the possibility of allowing a relaxation of building heights in the appropriate areas. TABLE 5.3: HOUSING PROVISION – SCENARIO ONE Element of housing supply Number of dwelling units Temporary Provisions Schemes (TPS) 69,100 Urban Capacity 16,400 Conversions -1,000 Redevelopment 6,400 Windfall 5,000 126 Local Plan scheme rationalisations 1000 Development in the Countryside 1,400 Grand Total Supply 98,300 Total supply without TPS land 29,200 Housing Requirements for 10 year period 20,600 Excess of (non-TPS) supply over requirements 5.3.7 8,600 The last four working objectives that concern sustainable settlement patterns would be satisfied by this scenario. Additionally, the advantages of this scenario include the fact that improvements to infrastructure, such as roads and services, could be concentrated in areas where housing already exists, thus saving financial resources for Government and improving the quality of life for many Maltese residents. However the wide sweeping measure of removing all TPS land from the development zone for 10 years compromises Government’s decision in 1988, which was confirmed by the 1992 Structure Plan, that in principle, the Temporary Provisions Schemes should be developed. SCENARIO 2: Managed Approach to the Release of TPS Land based on financial incentives 5.3.8 The second Scenario is based on a managed approach to the release of land within the TPS. The objective of this scenario is to ensure, in the context of the over-supply of land within the TPS, that the land currently available for housing development lasts longer, so that it acts as a reservoir for beyond the Review period. In this Scenario, development on vacant land that is zoned for housing in the TPS would be permitted, however this development would be subject to fees at the higher end of a scaled building levy, and differential infrastructure fees that reflect the actual cost of provision of roads and services to Government. It is also envisaged that the fees reflect sustainability criteria that favour land located close to other built up areas, as well as other criteria associated with the wider housing strategy such as urban design and improving the local environment. 5.3.9 The approach to achieving this Scenario would need to be fine-grained, and it is considered appropriate that while the overall concept of management through incentives may be approved through the Review process, the individual sites concerned should be identified through the local planning process. It is estimated that this option should allow a minimum of at least half the TPS Schemes to be made available during the first half of the Review period, thus meeting the quantitative housing requirements set out in Chapter 4. Indeed, Table 5.4 indicates that this scenario would provide for at least 22,550 more dwellings than required. TABLE 5.4: HOUSING PROVISION – SCENARIO TWO Element of housing supply Number of dwelling units 127 Temporary Provisions Schemes (TPS) 69,100 Urban Capacity 16,400 Conversions -1,000 Redevelopment 6,400 Windfall 5,000 Local Plan scheme rationalisations 1,000 Development in the Countryside 1,400 Grand Total Supply 98,300 Total supply using only half TPS land 63,750 Housing Requirements 41,200 Excess of (managed) supply over requirements 22,550 5.3.10 This policy direction would result in reasonable controls on building within the TPS in order to direct development towards brownfield sites, while at the same time allowing for more than sufficient land to be available for development to fulfil housing requirements. It therefore satisfies both the core housing objectives outlined in paragraph 5.3.2, as well as the wider working objectives outlined in paragraph 5.3.3. As in the previous Scenario, it is considered that this Scenario would be most effective if accompanied by measures to exercise tighter control over development in the countryside, encouraging conversions in UCAs, and to provide opportunities for housing development in sites that are well connected to public transport nodes, particularly in the older built up areas. SCENARIO 3: Current Trend Scenario 5.3.11 The third scenario for housing distribution follows the current policy direction, allowing housing development to be located according to demand in the TPS schemes and existing urban areas. It is likely that this Scenario should result in the continuation of the trend towards the suburbanisation of the Maltese population (see Demography Topic Paper) that characterised the 1990s, due to the extensive amount of greenfield land available for development in the Temporary Provisions Schemes. While it would satisfy the first and second core housing objectives, the wider working objectives for the planning system would be compromised in this Scenario due to the unsustainable use of land and concomitant transport needs that would be encouraged. 5.3.12 Since the second housing distribution scenario would both satisfy the identified housing requirement and allow for a certain amount of concentration of housing in existing towns and villages rather than suburban areas, it is the preferred scenario. However, the final scenario recommended in the Review will follow after Public Consultation and will need to be tested in the light of factors emerging from the other Topic Papers. It is important to emphasize that this scenario will need to be accompanied by a range of 128 complementary planning and fiscal measures to facilitate and encourage residential development on brownfield sites, as well as the efficient utilization of existing land and property. 5.4 A land-use strategy for housing in Malta 5.4.1 A fourfold housing strategy for Malta may now be presented, which takes into consideration both quantitative housing requirements and the qualitative social and environmental considerations that together ensure that future housing is provided and that this provision is of high quality. This strategy is based on four themes: Meeting housing requirements 5.4.2 The first theme of the recommended strategy is to provide for Malta’s housing requirements. To this end, the Planning Authority will ensure that there is land available for the provision of 41,200 new dwelling units over the Review period. Encouragement of sustainable housing locations in town centres, UCAs, existing urban areas and infill sites within the Temporary Provisions Schemes 5.4.3 The second theme unites a concern about the need for regeneration in the urban core with an emphasis on housing development on brownfield sites and improving the quality of urban life. It is considered that no more land should be released for development outside the current development boundary, and existing land should be managed on the basis of financial incentives that are expected to include differential infrastructure charges with regard to sites further from existing built up areas. There should be no further increases in building height unless genuine demographic need for increased housing in particular locations can be demonstrated. 5.4.4 It is therefore envisaged that housing requirements development will be met through: • Development in the Temporary Provisions Schemes; • Use of the housing capacity of the existing urban areas; • Conversions, which will be encouraged through positive planning measures including relaxation of parking standards in UCAs (see also section below on complementary measures). • Redevelopment, providing replacement and additional dwellings in appropriate locations; • Windfall provision in areas not previously allocated for housing; 129 • Local plan scheme rationalizations, which should provide a small number of new housing units. Encouraging regeneration and improving the quality of life in urban areas 5.4.5 The strategy recommended in this Paper to concentrate development on existing built-up areas, would be most effective if the current ratio of housing development on brownfield to greenfield sites, currently at 40:60, could be turned around to reflect an increase in development in existing urban areas. The idea is to restore prestige to city living through physical regeneration and measures to improve social conditions, possibly in partnership with the private and voluntary sectors. Mixed development, particularly in town centres, is therefore encouraged as one way of achieving regeneration of such areas. 5.4.6 An important element of improving quality of life in urban areas relates to the provision and management of safe, attractive and accessible public open space and town centres, traffic management, encouragement for the greening of the residential environment, possibly through narrowing of overlywide roads in the TPS, and controlling urban pollution and noise from industry and other commercial sources. The quality of residential areas can also be improved by controlling the condition of newly completed dwellings, so that ‘shell’ buildings, while providing a means to gain more affordable housing, should not have a negative effect on residential quality. To this end, all completed dwellings should be closed (external doors and windows fitted). New housing developments should also be constrained to indicate that measures have been taken to fit the building into the existing urban context, such as through the alignment of the façade with the general design of existing dwellings, for example with respect to cornices. At the same time, encouragement should be given to new building forms, with a view to improving the quality of urban design. 5.4.7 Urban quality is also related to environmental design, where the energy, water and climatic efficiency of homes should be demonstrated in new housing projects. The use of flat surfaces for water catchment and energy capture, and use of wells and photovoltaic cells for water and energy storage should be encouraged by the Review. Providing access to housing for all 5.4.8 The fourth theme in this land-use strategy for housing in Malta is providing housing that is accessible to all social groups in a range of housing types, tenures and locations. This Paper recommends that the Review should seek provision of affordable housing and housing for rent through planning gain in larger housing projects. 130 5.4.9 Affordable housing should be available at appropriate locations through the Islands, in order not to reinforce social inequalities, and new housing should be provided in a range of housing sizes and tenures. 5.4.10 The provision of new Government-built social housing should be spread through urban areas in order to avoid the ghettoisation of low-income social groups in older areas. As an important complementary measure towards achieving this strategy, this Paper encourages the use of fiscal subsidies in the form of housing allowances to low income households rather than provision of newly built apartments and maisonettes. 5.5 Measures for Implementation 5.5.1 Achieving the required levels of housing growth in accordance with the proposed strategy will require that the Review will need to be accompanied by the following fiscal and legislative measures: Legislative Measures • A single agency to manage and direct the regeneration of particular conservation and other urban areas may provide the opportunity for an integrated approach that fulfils environmental and social objectives at the same time as it encourages urban renewal; • Further amendments to the rental legislation, that in order for an equitable rental market to be established in the Islands, will allow for phased rental review, and in the longer term, removal of the right to inherit the tenancy of residential premises, and review of the possibility for owners to recover rented properties from tenants under clearly-defined conditions; Fiscal Measures • Government may consider obtaining funds for urban regeneration through the use of fiscal disincentives for leaving properties vacant in priority urban areas (UCAs, town centres and tourist areas). This measure may be related to the state of repair of the building and to how long it has been left vacant; • Access to funds would have to be made available for urban regeneration, environmental improvements and home upgrading both to individuals, non-governmental organizations and local councils; • Preferential tax regime (e.g. stamp duty on contracts) and development permit fees for development on brownfield rather than greenfield sites, and for conversions rather than redevelopment within urban conservation areas; • Differential development permit fees, where the gaining of housing units through conversion is concerned; 131 • Parking fees, to improve environmental conditions in central urban areas. 132 133 Maps 134 135 Appendices and Bibliography 136 137 Appendix 1.1 Housing Policy in the Structure Plan HOU 1 In accordance with Policy SET 1, the development and redevelopment of residential uses in existing built-up areas will be encouraged with a view to increasing the housing stock in such locations, but within the priority constraints set out in Policy SET 7. HOU 2 Within Urban Conservation Areas as designated under Policy UCO 1 the main consideration will be the overall retention of existing housing numbers, reoccupation of vacant and underutilised dwellings, conversions to residential use and suitable ancillary facilities, and the enhancement of their environmental context in accordance with Policy SET 6. HOU 3 The Local Plans to be prepared for all built-up areas will include specific policies for the development and redevelopment of residential property and will include mandatory rules and advisory guidelines concerning densities, building heights, design, and parking and other standards appropriate to particular localities. Until these Plans have been completed and adopted, Structure Plan policies and guidelines will be applicable. Whilst the practice of land banking for later development is prudent and acceptable, it shall be discouraged in areas which are ripe for development (See paragraph 17.8, item 5) HOU 4 In Temporary Provisions areas the provision of housing will be in accordance with the Local Plans for such areas when these have been completed and adopted. Development control policies BEN 1,2, and 3 and, during the interim period, BEN 4, will apply. HOU 5 The Pembroke area will be developed for the following uses: Private and sheltered housing, and ancillary facilities (e.g. schools and other social and community facilities); Sport and recreation facilities; Hotel(s); Superstore based shopping centre (Policy COM 6); Private sector offices (Policy COM 3); and, uses which also serve nearby existing built-up areas. HOU 6 A Local Plan will be prepared for the Pembroke area as soon as is practicable. The plan will be comprehensive including consideration of nearby existing built-up areas. Background studies will include shopping market research and superstore implications. The plan itself will be the subject of an environmental impact assessment. HOU 7 Government will seek to reduce the demand for new house building through the optimal use of existing housing stock, which can partly be achieved through the phased establishing of an equitable rental market coupled with financial assistance for home purchase and to those who cannot afford higher rentals (See also SET 5). HOU 8 The provision of low cost housing by the private and voluntary sectors for rent will be encouraged. In this context low cost does not mean substandard, but rather of a size which matches household size, with adequate finishes and fittings, and with opportunities for improvements by occupants. HOU 9 New Government built rental housing shall be optimally located within areas designated in the Structure Plan as existing or new built-up areas. The establishment and growth of subsidised sheltered housing for sale and rent by the private and voluntary sectors will be promoted. HOU 10 Encouragement will be given to the sale or rent of lower standard tourism accommodation for housing purposes. This will include the purchase by the private and voluntary sectors for conversion and subsequent sale or rent as sheltered accommodation, and/or for subsidised rent tenants. 138 SET 7 When considering applications for permission to develop in existing and new urban areas, and particularly in the outer residential areas, the Planning Authority will favour the uses given in order of priority below and will normally give permission only if it is convinced that there is no demand for, or the site is not appropriate to, the use having greater priority: • Community facilities: for example schools, clinics, local recreational uses, public car parks, boat storage • Local employment: for example business use, service workshops, and other small scale or otherwise suitable employment (For uses compatible with primarily residential areas, the Use Classes Order referred to in BEN 7 applies). • Local shops • Housing. SET 8 Development will be permitted in the areas designated for Temporary Provisions schemes, in conformity with Policy SET 7. The present layouts and other provisions of all such schemes will, however, be reviewed as part of the Local Plans to be prepared for areas in which these schemes are located (see para. 4.5). The boundaries of Temporary Provisions schemes will only be changed, if necessary, as the result of a comprehensive Structure Plan review which takes place after approval of the related Local Plan. Temporary Planning scheme boundaries will not be reviewed piecemeal during preparation of a Local Plan. The Local Plan will, however, identify any matters, including boundary review matters, to be taken into account in the Structure Plan review. BEN 1 Development will not normally be permitted if the proposal is likely to have a deleterious impact on existing or planned adjacent uses because of visual intrusion, noise, vibration, atmospheric pollution, unusually high traffic generation, unusual operating times, or any other characteristic which in the opinion of the Planning Authority would constitute bad neighbourliness. BEN 2 Development will not normally be permitted if, in the opinion of the Planning Authority, it is incompatible with the good urban design, natural heritage, and environmental characteristics of existing or planned adjacent uses, and is unlikely to maintain the good visual integrity of the area in which it is located. There will be a presumption against development, which does not generally observe the design guidelines issued by the Planning Authority for built-up areas. BEN 4 During the interim period between the commencement date of the Structure Plan and the adoption of any particular Local Plan, permission for development in Temporary Provisions areas will be subject to Policies BEN 1,2, and 3. Additionally, permission will not normally be given unless the Planning Authority is satisfied that such permission would be unlikely to compromise the objectives of the review forming part of Local Plan preparation. Within this overriding concern the Authority will also have regard to the location of the proposed development, with more favourable consideration being given to development close to developed areas and already provided with roads and services, and less favourable consideration to development relatively remote from existing buildings and infrastructure. BEN 13 The Planning Authority will not normally grant permission for the installation of more than one telecommunications antenna or dish where a shared system is possible. Such antennas and dishes are not to be conspicuously located, should be of the smallest feasible size, of a colour that blends with their background, and screened from public view where appropriate. Wherever possible all individual property installations will be hidden from public view, either at the rear of the property, on the roof below the highest part of the roof, or in a special enclosure. 139 Appendix 1.2 Methodologies for surveys, databases and studies Dwellings Database A1.2.1 Data on dwelling permissions granted by the Planning Authority has been gathered for the period commencing in 1994 to the present. The Dwellings Database includes information about residential permissions granted, classified by dwelling type, locality and local plan area. Information on the permission has been added to the base data from the Planning Authority database, such as the number of habitable units gained through the approval. Property Price Database A1.2.2 The data housed within the Property Price Database has been obtained from the Sunday Times of Malta of the second Sunday of each month covering the period from January 1996 to December 1999. Property data collated focuses primarily on the sale of second-hand premises, and new properties, including those in shell form. Information on three-bedroomed residential property only was collected, since this is available in larger, more representative samples sizes. The data also includes observations taken from property magazines that are supplied from time to time with the newspaper. Special effort has been made to avoid double counting and use of data with incomplete information. An analysis of residential property price trends for a various types of dwellings (apartments, maisonettes, terraced houses, semi-detached and detached) and by the Local Plan areas as defined by the Planning Authority (Central, Grand Harbour, Gozo and Comino, Marsaxlokk Bay, North Harbours, North West and South Local Plan areas) has been carried out. One of the limitations of this database is that advertised property/land used for this exercise may deviate from the actual prices paid on sale, which has a bearing on the average prices calculated. However, this does not obscure the broad trends with regard to locality and type of development identified in the study. Conversions and Redevelopment Database A1.2.3 This database has its foundation in the planning applications approved by the Authority with respect to development that includes either a change of use, or redevelopment. The analysis covers a time span of ten years, from 1990 to 1999. As a supplement to this exercise, a study was carried out to analyse if there was a decrease or an increase in floor space during the conversions and redevelopments. This floor space study covered a period of 140 two years; 1998 and 1999. As indicated in Table 1, conversions and redevelopments were coded and analysed according to type of use, with a focus on gains and losses in dwelling units. TABLE A1.2.1: CONVERSION AND REDEVELOPMENT TYPE AND CODE TYPE OF CONVERSION DESCRIPTION Dwelling to dwelling Provision of flatted units on the conversion of one house, resulting in a net gain of dwelling units, or change of use from flats into one house, resulting in a net loss of dwelling units. DD Dwelling to other Change of use of a dwelling into a non-residential use, resulting in a net loss of dwelling units. DO Other to dwelling Change of use of building in non-residential use into one or more dwellings, resulting in a net dwelling gain. OD Other to other Change of use of building that does not involve residential use, such as from a shop to a hotel. OO Redevelopment A building that has been demolished and rebuilt; the change could or could not involve a gain of residential units. RR A1.2.4 CODE This project involved the classification of the uses into the following development categories: residential, recreational, services, retail, garage, tourism, educational, industrial, office, rooms and other. The limitations of this analysis include a number of missing files in the Planning Authority database (0.9 percent). In a few cases, the number of dwelling units to be demolished is not provided in the Planning Authority database, so the number of original units was underestimated. In the case of the floor space analysis, 205 files were not analysed due to lack of data. Schemes Monitoring Database A1.2.5 This database contains information about the amount of land developed within the Temporary Provisions Schemes between 1988 and 1998. It exists as a geographical information system (GIS), holding data in both tabular and map formats. The database was set up in 1996 and then updated in 1998. It has been created at a strategic level and covers all the areas of Malta and Gozo within the Temporary Provisions Schemes. The 1996 assessment monitored development in the period from 1988 to 1993/94 and the 1998 assessment covered the period from 1993/94 to mid-1998. A1.2.6 The 1996 assessment was a desk exercise based on the TPS schemes and aerial photography taken between November 1993 and March 1994. Each land parcel in the 1988 Temporary Provision Schemes was digitised in a GIS and then located in the aerial photography to check whether it had been developed or not. For the update study in 1998, it was decided to examine each vacant site that was identified in the 1996 assessment, using site visits. This method was chosen because new aerial photography was not available and neither were accurate building completions data. A methodology based 141 on a full field survey of the 6359 land parcels that were vacant in 1994 was therefore agreed upon. The survey was carried out between March and July 1998 by trained Planning Authority staff. Teams of two or more technical staff were provided with large A2 survey sheet maps on which the vacant land from the 1996 schemes assessment study was superimposed. In all, some 120 maps were printed, surveyed and digitised. On balance, it was found that there was no loss in accuracy from carrying out site visits rather than using aerial photographs. Indeed, the site visits allowed surveyors to collect other information about the TPS land such as the condition of vacant sites and the use of newly developed sites. Table 2 summarises the basic information about the two assessments, showing the periods covered by the assessments, the methodologies used, and when the data was published. TABLE A1.2.2: THE SCHEMES MONITORING DATABASE ASSESSMENTS (1996 AND 1998). Schemes monitoring database assessment Period covered Methodology Data published in 1996 1988-1993/4 Examination of aerial photography 1998 1993/4 - mid1998 Site visits 1990-1995 SP Monitoring Report (1997) 1996-1997 SP Monitoring Report (1999) A1.2.7 Each parcel of land in the TPS has been entered into a GIS, which facilitates the computation of the area of individual parcels and the total area of land that is developed or vacant, as well as computations aggregated or disaggregated by geographical area (e.g. local plan area, local council area, TPS zoning or survey sheet number). Each land parcel contains information about whether it is developed or vacant, its TPS zoning, local plan number, local council number and survey sheet number. The types of zoning included are housing; industry, tourism, social and community facilities, and other. Housing land is divided into bungalows, villas, terraced houses, home ownership schemes and replanning areas (see definition in glossary) as in the TPS. In practice these zonings are subject to some interpretation. Areas zoned for terraced housing are sometimes developed as apartments. In some cases, the zoning for terraced housing is interpreted as meaning terraced development, which can include development such as shops, garages, etc. The 1998 field survey added new information to the database, which concerns the condition of vacant TPS sites and the predominant land use of the new development. 142 Planning Authority Census 1995 Datasets A1.2.8 The aim of this project is to create an interactive Census Information System. The methodology involved a series of phases; data conversion, GIS Census conversion, and web-mapping development. The data conversion phase involved the setting up of a digital dataset from the original text files presented by the Central Office of Statistics. This stage was a lengthy one and followed strict data minimising and cleaning protocols through the use of a lineage recording process. The second phase aimed at creating a comprehensive Census GIS that would allow users to create their own maps and run queries. The data resulting from the first phase was integrated with the GIS council layers created at the Planning Authority, in turn allowing streamlined data integration with the other Planning Authority data layers. A1.2.9 The last phase consisted of the creation of a Web-Mapping Information System for Intranet-Internet access. The GIS files were converted to a dualtechnology system. The first system consists of an Image Mapping System where over 280 interactive maps are available on-line. This system is based on HTML and JavaScript formats and have are available for internet access on http://wayto.CensusofMalta1995. The second system employs WebMapping software and hosts over 2000 datasets that on-line users can access to create their own maps. Completions Survey A1.2.10 The purpose of this survey is to ascertain the extent to which planning permissions are actually taken up on the ground. The study is based on a field survey of 266 dwelling permissions granted by the Planning Authority. These sites were identified from the Dwellings Database. Table 1 provides a breakdown of the data sample by local plan area: For the purposes of this survey ‘completed’ was taken to mean that a building has had its doors and windows installed and is habitable. Developments consisting only of excavation works or buildings in shell form are not considered completions. Information was collected on the basis of the stage of development of the building, including (i) development that has started (including excavation). (ii) sites that are in shell form, (iii) sites that are completed but not inhabited, (iv) sites that are completed and inhabited. TABLE A1.2.3: DATA SAMPLE USED FOR THE COMPLETIONS SURVEY 143 LPA 1996 1997 Total Sample Sample Size % CMLP GCLP GHLP MBLP NHLP NWLP SMLP Total 1,059 893 31 102 540 612 990 4,227 667 385 65 95 458 652 1,162 3,484 1,726 1,278 96 197 998 1,264 2,152 7,711 52 38 14 30 30 38 65 266 3 3 15 15 3 3 3 Urban Capacity Study A1.2.11 The Urban Capacity Study provides an estimate of the potential for intensification of residential uses on existing buildings or undeveloped land within urban areas (but not in the Temporary Provisions Schemes). All streets in built-up areas that were developed before 1988 were visited during field surveys lasting over two years. Three different scenarios based on current height limitations were developed, for sets of increasingly conservative high, medium and low development assumptions. Nevertheless, overall, a conservative approach was used to how many housing units were to be gained from existing urban areas. It is important to note that this data does not overlap with estimates for housing gain through conversion and redevelopment, since conversions involve the use of the same building, and redevelopment involve demolition and re-erection, unlike the additional development potential assessed in this study. Housing Quality Survey A1.2.13 The aim of this survey is to identify the physical factors affecting the housing sector, concentrating on the physical characteristics of housing units such as locality, the home itself and standards of maintenance. In order to gain further insight into what factors affect the physical quality of the dwellings, the questionnaire included questions about the respondent and the family. A two percent random sample was chosen from among the voting households of every locality, and this amounted to 4,000 households. The data was representative on a Local Plan area basis, since 500 households from plan area were interviewed. Landlords Survey A1.2.14 The aim of this survey is to analyse the current situation of the rental market and the attitudes of landlords towards rent liberalisation. Landlords who advertised property to let in The Times in July, August and September 1996 were contacted by telephone and invited to take part in this survey during 144 1997. Those who accepted were sent the questionnaire together with a selfaddressed envelope in January and February of 1997. Out of a total of 141 questionnaires that were mailed, 77 were returned, which represent a response rate of 55 percent. Rehabilitation / Regeneration Survey A1.2.15 The PA carried out a Rehabilitation and Regeneration Survey during 1996 to examine the factors that have a bearing on issues of urban regeneration, obtain views from key players (local councils, banks, the Rehabilitation Projects Office, Government Departments and the voluntary sector) and to make proposals for future rehabilitation initiatives. The survey consisted of 47 questionnaires that were filled during in-depth interviews with representatives from the following organisations, public figures and institutional bodies: the Minister for Housing, The Hon. Mr. Alfred Portelli MP, Valletta Rehabilitation Committee (VRP); Cottonera Rehabilitation Committee (CRP); the Housing Authority; the Department of Social Accommodation; the Department of Housing Construction and Maintenance; Lohumbus Bank Limited; Bank of Valletta Department of Housing; the Heritage Advisory Committee and the local councils of Valletta, Sliema, Rabat, Cospicua and Senglea. Non-Governmental organisations interviewed included Din l-Art Helwa and Fondazzjoni Patrimonju Malti. Household Migration Survey A1.2.16 The aim of this 1996 survey is to study migration patterns in the Islands by locating present dwelling and past dwellings, analysing the physical state and tenure of dwellings, and the amenities provided in these localities. The questionnaire concentrated on seeking information by enquiring about: the location of dwellings where respondents are living now, and lived previously, the amenities that are provided in those locations; age of dwellings, tenure, number of persons using the premises; reasons for moving and localities considered prior to moving; problems encountered while moving; type of accommodation preferred; cost of rent and of dwellings; cost of moving house; source of finance used by migrant households; and, degree of satisfaction and dissatisfaction with the movement. The survey was based on a personal interview, carried out on a door-to-door basis with 50 respondent households that were randomly chosen among Maltese and Gozitan households that had moved house on the basis of information gathered by the Water Services Corporation. Densities Study A1.2.17 The Planning Authority’s Densities Study seeks to examine residential densities in terms of urban population density and number of dwelling units per unit hectare of urban land. The Study was carried out at two scales: 145 urban densities were first assessed at council level and then at a more detailed scale in seven pilot settlements: St. Paul’s Bay, St. Julian’s, Sliema, Dingli, Swieqi, Qormi and Paola. These seven settlements were chosen because they represent a range of settlement types, from modern coastal towns to traditional rural settlements and nineteenth century suburbs. Since each of these settlements contains a range of residential areas of different characteristics, the Densities Study approach has been to investigate densities in each of the individual character areas that make up each settlement. While the local council level investigation is based on 1995 Census data, the character area analysis draws on a geographical dataset containing Maltese population and dwelling units per street, compiled by the Water Services Corporation. The boundaries of the character areas for each of the seven pilot settlements have been entered into a computerised geographical layer and analysed together with the Water Services data in order to determine population and dwelling densities in each character area. Plot Size Study A1.2.18 In order to provide additional backing for the use of 150 square metres as an average plot size in the Temporary Provisions Schemes (except in the case of villas, bungalows and other detached or semi-detached dwellings), a study has been carried out on Planning Authority dwelling applications. The Study is based on measuring the plans accompanying development applications, and covers 10 percent of residential permissions in the years 1994, 1997 and 2000, for terraced houses, maisonettes and apartments. The data sample is calculated on the basis of 10 percent of the total for each of these categories, and involved the manual checking of 188 residential permissions. 146 147 Appendix 1.3 Housing Indicators HOUSING TOPIC PAPER INDICATORS Indicator no. Indicator Section 1.1 Context 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.10 1.11 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.15 1.16 1.17 1.18 1.19 1.2 1.21 Short history of housing in Malta (1950-2000) Population changes 1990-2020 Changes in marriage ages (update from projections) Changes in age structure Household sizes Single Households Housing stock (by type, age and location) Property prices 1980-1999 Residential vacancy (including summer residences) Home-owner occupation History of the rental sector Rental values Rental accommodation by local plan area Dwelling permissions (as proxy for completions) 1990-2000 Dwelling conversions (to and from housing) 1990-2000, by LPA and dev. zone Dwelling re-developments (1990-1993) Internal migration Misfit homes (compare changes household size with house sizes) Percentage of accommodation sector that is social housing Employment patterns by local plan area Key characteristics of commuting patterns, by job type Section 1.2 International context 1.22 International trends in planning for housing 1.23 1.24 1.25 Housing and the European Spatial Development Strategy EU Guidance on Housing (including Urban White Paper) Key issues from the Sustainable Settlements Literature 148 Section 2.1 Urban Sprawl, Vacancy and Housing Affordability 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.11 2.12 2.13 2.14 2.15 2.16 Comparison between population, household, dwelling and land take-up, 19571990 Changes in population by locality Internal migration and the reasons for it Changes in the number and type of dwellings by local plan area Money spent on rehabilitation and upgrading by local plan area Residential vacancy rates by local plan areas State of vacant dwellings Land allocated for development in 1988 by local plan area Housing in rural settlements Factors affecting house prices Average wages by local plan area and nationally Property prices by type and locality Loans obtainable by borrowers Pensioner households Potential changes to rental-home-ownership ratios Section 2.2 Social Housing 2.17 2.18 2.19 2.2 2.21 Social Housing provision (1990-2000) Proportion of social housing in rental sector Special needs housing (1990-2000) Social housing land supply Homelessness Section 2.3 Housing Quality, Urban Renewal and Sustainability 2.22 2.23 2.24 2.25 2.26 2.27 Satisfaction and dissatisfaction with dwellings by local plan area Housing quality by type Social and recreational space by local plan area Provision of social and community facilities by local council and local plan area Public funding for rehabilitation/urban renewal projects Priority areas for urban renewal Section 4.1 Providing quality homes at affordable prices 4.1 4.2 Affordable housing requirements Areas for targeting rehabilitation and redevelopment measures 149 Section 4.2 Quantitative housing assessment 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.1 4.11 4.12 4.13 4.14 Household projections 2000-2020 by local plan area (high, medium and low scenarios) Second homes 'Slack' Social housing requirements 2000-2020 Existing housing stock Pipeline residential permissions 1995-2000 Urban capacity (potential for new housing units through rehabilitation, redevelopment, upwards extension, development in 'white areas' and on sites zoned for non-residential development but as yet undeveloped in existing built-up areas) Urban capacity (Temporary Provision Schemes) 'Scrapped' dwellings Conversions from non-residential uses Major developments on particular sites (e.g. Manoel Island, Pembroke) Section 5.1 Additional Indicators 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 Urban Capacity Emerging Housing Policy in the Local Plans Residential Densities Housing Affordability –comparison of wages and house purchase potential Questions Related to Housing from Public Attidtude Survey Social housing provision and rent subsidy Undeveloped Joint Office Land Housing Units in Rural Areas Residential Completions by Local Plan Area 150 151 Appendix 1.4 Members Working Group of the Organisation Name Housing Authority Housing Construction and Maintenance Department Chamber of Architects Association of Estate Agents Local Councils Association Ministry for Gozo Environmental non-governmental organizations Planning Authority Planning Authority Ms. Sandra Magro A&CE Mr. Anton Camilleri A&CE Housing Mr. Denis Camilleri A&CE Mr. George Bonnici Mr. Philip Mifsud A&CE Mr. Joseph Mifsud B. Eng. Dr. E. A. Mallia D. Phil. Ms. Suzanne Ellul BA Dr. Marguerite Camilleri Ph.D. 152 153 Appendix 1.5 Interviews and Meetings Interviews (I) and site visits (S) with actors in housing sector Date Name Position Organisation Mr. Godfrey Ciappiara Chief Draughtsman Housing Maintenance and Construction Department Manager Dhalia North Ltd. 13 June 2001 (I) Mr. Joseph Formosa th 27 August 2001 (I) General Manager Bank of Valletta Home Loans Section 25th June 2001 (I) Mr. Ray Bondin Executive Chairman 29th June 2001 (I) Dr. Edward Mallia th 30 May 2001 (S) 5th June 2001 (S) 1st June 2001 (S) (I) Mr. George Bonnici th 2nd July 2001 (I) Dr. Godwin Grima 6thJuly 2001 (I) Dr Joe Sammut th 10 July 2001 (I) (S) Mr. Sandra Magro and Mr. Alex Cohen 23rd July 2001 (I) 25th July 2001 (I) Mr. Brian Abela Mr. Santino Gauci 22nd August 2001 (I) Mr. Benny Muscat 7th October 2001 (I) Mr. Anton Camilleri Valletta Rehabilitation Project NGO Representative on Friends of the Earth Housing Working Group (Malta) Acting Director Joint Office Spokesman for Housing Malta Labour Party Housing Authority Housing Authority Representative on Working Group, Manager in charge of Housing Schemes Director ASA Properties Director Zejtun Development Gauci and Co. Chief Executive MIDI Consortium Director Housing Construction and Maintenance Department 154 Interviews carried out with Planning Authority staff Date Name Role and Section 7thMarch 2001 Mr. Jesmond Muscat 8th March 2001 8th March 2001 Ms Annie Falloon Mr. Alan Vella 10th March 2001 Mr. Malcolm Borg and Mr. Joe Magro Conti Mr. Sylvio Farrugia Social and Community Facilities Topic Paper Coordinator, Transport Topic Paper Coordinator Leisure and Recreation Topic Paper Coordinator Urban Conservation Topic Paper Coordinators 1st June 2001 7th June 2001 11th June 2001 13th June 2001 26th June 2001 24th August 2001 24th August 2001 Team Manager, Major Projects Group, Development Services Unit Mr. Joseph Scalpello Team Manager, North West Local Plan, Dr. Chris Amos Consultant, Development Services Mr. Rueben Abela Team Manager, Development Services Mr. Graham Rogers and Consultant and Senior Planning Officer, South Mr. Anthony Ellul Malta Local Plan, Mr. Victor Sladden Team Manager Development Services Mr. Carmel Caruana Senior Planning Officer, Development Services 155 Appendix 2.1 A historical perspective housing policy in Malta (1950-2000) on 2.1.1 Housing has long been an important issue in Malta. While the first large scale housing development project in Malta was the building of the city of Valletta during the 16th and 17th Centuries, modern housing policy began to take shape after the Second World War. In the immediate post-war period, the reconstruction of Valletta and the Three Cities, along with housing the war homeless, became important national priorities. Until this period, housing provision was private sector based, and housing conditions were poor, with low sanitation levels and many families living at densities as high as three persons per room (Gauci 1996). Indeed, the 1940s and 1950s witnessed the first large-scale government intervention in housing sector. 2.1.2 In 1943, a War Damage Commission began to give assistance to families whose homes had been demolished. In the same year, the Housing (Requisition) Act was passed, which allowed Government to requisition private properties for state use, a measure designed to be temporary, and which lasted four decades. Perhaps one of the most significant legislative steps in the history of housing in Malta, however, was taken in 1949, when Ordinance XVI of 1944 on Rent Restriction (Dwelling Houses) was enacted in the Housing Act. This was a significant if radical method for promoting housing affordability, particularly in the context of the low rates of owner occupation (30 percent) prevalent at this time. This policy has been so effective that up until 1995, 53 percent of rents were still below Lm 50 and 29 percent were between Lm 50 and Lm 100. Nevertheless, it was clear within a few years of the enactment of the Act that this situation had had the effect of discouraging the development of new units for rental, and the slack had to be taken up by the then Housing Secretariat. Remedial action was attempted in 1959, in the form of the Housing (Decontrol) Act, whereby buildings constructed after March of that year were exempted from rent control and requisition, but the Act was repealed in 1979 (see below). It was clear however, that a significant housing problem remained, which even the largescale emigration of the 1950s and 1960s did not alleviate. 2.1.3 The period of post-war reconstruction witnessed a series of proposals for instituting a planning system in Malta, perhaps the most influential of which included the 1945 Harrison and Hubbard report on the planned reconstruction of Valletta and the three cities, and the Atkinson report of 1956, which estimated need for 10,000 new homes. Such proposals for planning interventions continued to emerge during the 1950s and 1960s, as indicated below. 2.1.4 The 1950s gave rise to the first large-scale physical intervention on the part of Government in the housing sector: the 1955 slum clearance of IlMandragg (as stipulated in the Harrision and Hubbard report). In 1956, the 156 first five year housing programme was drawn up, and this prompted the implementation of Atkinson’s three housing affordability schemes: the Second Storey Scheme, which ran from 1956 to 1970; the reconditioning of Sub-standard Housing Scheme; and the Rental Housing scheme. In 1958, again on the advice of the Atkinson report, a new town was created at Santa Lucia, and Phase 1 of this project is considered to have produced a moderately successful new settlement (Gauci 1996). The concept was later extended in the 1960s to the creation of new housing estates at the edge of settlements (see below). 2.1.5 In 1969, a Town and Country Planning Act was passed after extensive parliamentary debate, but the legislation never became operative, and it was eventually repealed in 1981. The objective of the Act had been to make provision for the orderly and progressive development of land in both urban and rural areas and to preserve and improve the amenities thereof. 2.1.6 Malta’s first planning schemes were drawn up under the 1962 revision of Chapter 13 of the Code of Police Laws, within the context of a development plan drawn up in 1969 by a UN consultant named Sieczkowski. This plan envisaged the first co-ordinated approach to land use planning in the Islands, catering for the needs of industry, maritime trade based on a free port and customs free zone, agriculture and tourism development. Sieczkowski’s Plan had catered for phased development in three stages, which if implemented would have ameliorated the situation where in some cases urban areas took over 10 years to be developed. Nevertheless, this Plan was never legalised due to the freezing of the Town and Country Planning Act, and development continued to be regulated in a piecemeal fashion through the planning schemes. The schemes had allocated a total of 4001 hectares for development, of which only 85 hectares had been developed by 1981. These changes had been implemented within the socio-economic context of the 1960s building boom, which involved the urbanization of large areas, often with a view to selling property to foreign investors. But these new private sector developments were unable to affordably accommodate the sector of the Maltese population that was in need of housing. This situation set the scene for the extensive programme of social housing construction that was to follow. 2.1.7 Direct Government intervention in housing peaked in the 1970s and 1980s (A. Camilleri 2000). By the late 1970s, almost all towns and villages had newly-built housing estates on their periphery. These town extensions were visually out-of-context, and generated some degree of social exclusion (Gauci 1996). This period also witnessed the launch of the Home Ownership Scheme (HOS), through which plots of land for terraced houses were distributed to prospective home owners on temporary emphyteusis (Camilleri 2000). The first HOS plots were in Santa Lucia, and by 1995, 1,400 plots had been provided through this scheme (Mifsud 2000). Thus, as provision of government-built units increased, so did distribution of low-cost land, aimed at the encouragement of home ownership. Relatively cheap finance was available through the Lohombus Corporation, and later on during 157 the 1980s, 73 percent of Lohombus loans were to go towards financing construction of homes on HOS plots. In 1979, the clause in the Housing (Decontrol) Act that allowed landlords to reclaim properties after 17 years was removed in favour of full tenant protection, once again stifling the private rental market. Post-1979, when the British Services left Malta, some 900 low-income families were housed in buildings that previously accommodated servicemen. An autonomous Housing Authority was set up in 1976, and it was charged with improving the housing condition of very low income groups and promoting home ownership. 2.1.8 In the early 1980s, the drive towards home ownership was stepped up, and in 1981, the Town and Country Planning Act was removed from the statute book. Somewhat in an attempt to control this situation, the Building Development Areas (BDA) Act was passed in 1983, which repealed the schemes. This legislation aimed at both improving control over land development, which had by now moved outside the 1969 schemes, and at countervailing land speculation by selling land bought at cost price (Gauci 1996, MDI 1988). The BDA Act allowed for government to purchase private land outside the development schemes at low prices, and then partition this land to allow for the development of private dwellings. Although 30 areas were designated, only eight BDAs were actually developed. These are at: Pembroke; Santa Margherita at Mosta; Sghajtar at Naxxar; Tal-Fuklar at Attard; Swatar at Msida; Tal-Handaq at Qormi; Taz-Zwejt at San Gwann; and Qasam Barrani at Mellieha. A total of 1,321 BDA plots were distributed through the BDA scheme, and these were slightly smaller (6.5 x 21 = 136 square metres) than the previous Home Ownership ones, but nevertheless resulted in significant urban sprawl. The written policy that accompanied the BDA Act also allowed for development outside the BDA areas on the condition that some basic stipulations regarding proximity to other buildings were satisfied. By 1991, the Structure Plan Report of Survey was able to argue that the land development process was malfunctioning for the following reasons: new road patterns disrupting the old village cores; new development growing without any proper upgrading of community facilities; loss of hierarchy in road patterns; no hierarchy of open spaces; a monotonous visual image; and, a general lack of proper infrastructure. 2.1.9 The large-scale urbanisation of the 1970s and 1980s sparked wide environmental disquiet, which was partly responsible for the eventual setting up of the Planning Authority in 1992. In 1988, the Building Permits (Temporary Provisions) Act (Act X of 1988) was passed, and this legislation reinstated a reduced version of the 1962 development schemes, drew up a development boundary, and importantly, called for the preparation of a written statement of integrated land-use policy in the form of a Structure Plan. The 1992 Development Planning Act called for the setting up of the Planning Authority, which was entrusted with implementing the 1990 Structure Plan. An integrated approach to land development, which viewed economic matters in their social and environmental context, was now in place. 158 2.1.10 The approach to social housing was also revised during the 1990s: although public sector house building continued, it was largely aimed at existing urban areas rather than green field sites. The BDA Act was abolished, and the Home Ownership Scheme was reduced until it died a natural death in the early 1990s (Camilleri 2000). A new, more indirect approach to social housing emerged, which included schemes to provide assistance to tenants to upgrade their properties and for repairs to private property, and rental subsidies for private sector tenants. Since the Housing Authority was set up, there has been new emphasis on smaller units, more rehabilitation, redevelopment of existing buildings and use of infill sites. In 1995, requisition provisions were removed from the Housing Act and post-1995 rental agreements were freed from rent control. The housing debate remains topical, however, particularly the issue of affordability, where sharp rises in property prices and rising residential vacancy rates are putting pressure on Government to find new solutions to housing problems. 159 Appendix 2.2 Changing Characteristics of Settlements in the various Local Plan Areas A2.2.1 This appendix provides an overview of development trends with respect to population, new dwelling permissions, dwelling densities and residential vacancy in the various settlements of the Maltese Islands. These trends are discussed on the basis of each local plan area, and key data is summarised in tabular format for each area (see Map 1 for details of Local Plan areas and major settlements). Central Malta Local Plan Area A2.2.2 Overall, the Central Malta Local Plan Area (CMLP Area) gained a population of 6,000 between 1985 and 1995, and the share of Malta’s total dwelling stock in this area increased during this period from 20 to 23 percent (see Table A2.2.1). At the same time, however, the localities of Hamrun, Santa Venera and Qormi lost population (by 2487, 1844 and 562 persons respectively). The overall increase in population in this Local Plan area thus resulted out of gains in other localities such as Mosta (4606), Naxxar (3,361), and Attard (3,533). Iklin also gained 3,100 residents, but it took some of these from Birkirkara, Lija, Naxxar and San Gwann, of which it formed part before council boundaries in the area were revised. The largest settlement in this area remains Birkirkara, with a population of 21,281 in 1995. Qormi is the next largest settlement (17,694) and Mosta (16,754) follows Qormi, although while Mosta is growing rapidly, Qormi has lost population. Residential vacancy in this area is highest in Naxxar (21 percent, of which 4 percent are holiday homes). There may be a linkage between rising populations and high vacancy rates in areas such as Naxxar, possibly due to over-provision of new housing in popular localities. Iklin, Attard and Santa Venera have vacancy rates that are lower than 10 percent, and these are well below the national average of 15 percent for permanently vacant properties. Residential densities (see Appendix 2.3 and description of Densities Study in housing quality part of section 2.2) are highest in Hamrun, which is losing population (107 persons per hectare [p/ha] and 43 units per hectare [u/ha]) and then Birkirkara, Mosta and Qormi, all of which have densities of between 30 and 33 units per hectare. The lowest densities are in Lija, Iklin, Naxxar and Attard, where densities are below 20 units per hectare and populations are on the rise. The low densities and vacancy rates in some of the CMLP area suggest that most dwellings here are lived in rather than purchased as second homes or investments. In this area, most permissions for new dwellings between 1994 and 2000 were granted in B’Kara (929), Mosta (759), Naxxar (600). 160 TABLE A2.2.1 SETTLEMENT PATTERNS IN THE CENTRAL MALTA LOCAL PLAN AREA* Local Council Population Population Dwellings (1985) (1995) (1995) Unit Density Residential Dwelling per hectare Vacancy Permissions Attard 5,681 9,214 2,663 17 224 451 Balzan 4,781 3,560 1,334 22 197 96 Birkirkara 20,385 21,281 7,613 26 920 929 Gharghur 2,321 1,991 753 28 116 173 13,682 11,195 4,516 43 637 186 Iklin / 3,098 916 19 59 72 Lija 3,078 2,497 875 17 96 83 Mosta 12,148 16,754 5,938 30 857 759 Naxxar 6,461 9,822 3,748 18 770 600 Qormi 18,256 17,694 5,891 30 613 458 Santa Venera 7,827 6,183 2,035 24 138 232 94,620 103,289 36,282 27 4,627 4022* Hamrun Total Source: Census 1985, Census 1995, Dwellings Database, Densities Study *This total does not include the dwelling permissions in the rural parts of Naxxar (16) and Attard (1), which fall within the NWLP area. Gozo and Comino Local Plan Area A2.2.3 Settlements in Gozo are characterised by the fact that each settlement remains geographically distinct and the landscape has a rural quality (see Table A2.2.2). Population has once more begun to rise in Gozo (but not Comino), with 3,000 more persons residing here in 1995 than in 1985. Most population growth was in Rabat, Nadur and Xaghra (556, 400 and 467 persons respectively), and to a lesser extent, in Ghajnsielem (367) and Xewkija (264). Since 1994, however, most of the 2,776 residential development permissions were granted in Xaghra (417), Zebbug (424), Rabat (321), and Ghajnsielem (277). This discrepancy between growth in population and dwellings may be related to residential vacancy and second homes, which is high in Gozo, at 39 percent, of which 20 percent is attributed in the 1995 Census to second homes. Second homes are most common in Zebbug/Marsalforn (463 homes or 60 percent of all dwellings) and Munxar/Xlendi (1883 units or 72 percent of all dwellings). Localities where vacancy is not due to second homes and yet still significant are Ghasri (32 percent), Gharb (27 percent), and Xewkija and San Lawrenz (both at 26 percent). This type of residential vacancy may be related to unresolved disputes over inheritance between siblings living at great distances from each other – many from the more remote villages in Gozo emigrated in the decades following World War Two. Residential densities in Gozo are particularly low, with the only localities that exceed 20 units per hectare being 161 the tourist destinations of Xaghra (including Marsalforn) and Munxar (including Xlendi), and tiny Fontana, now part of Rabat. Average population densities are also low, at between 25 and 30 persons per hectare and only Rabat, Kercem, Sannat and Fontana exceed 30 persons per hectare. In 1995, 10 percent of the housing stock was located on Gozo, up very slightly from 9 percent in 1985. TABLE A2.2.2 SETTLEMENT PATTERNS IN THE GOZO AND COMINO LOCAL PLAN AREA Local Council Population Population Dwellings Unit Density Residential Dwelling (1985) (1995) (1995) per hectare Vacancy Permissions Fontana 836 817 384 24 115 56 1,809 2,176 1,007 16 356 277 Gharb 983 1,030 674 16 316 130 Ghasri 335 369 214 14 73 31 Kercem 1,411 1,557 686 19 180 119 Munxar 507 780 775 26 516 182 Nadur 3,482 3,882 1,829 19 572 311 Qala 1,369 1,492 714 13 207 172 Rabat (Victoria) 5,968 6,524 2,363 19 411 321 San Lawrenz 517 552 281 17 103 50 Sannat 1,309 1,604 688 16 173 173 Xaghra 3,202 3,669 1,814 16 613 417 Xewkija 2,772 3,128 1,413 14 388 113 Zebbug (Gozo) 1,182 1,446 2,606 47 2,050 424 25,682 29,026 15,448 18 6,073 2,776 Ghajnsielem and Comino Total Source: Census 1985, Census 1995, Dwellings Database, Densities Study Grand Harbour Local Plan Area A2.2.4 Population in this area fell by 13,200 in the inter-censal period; and this level of population decline represents a higher rate of loss than the exit of 16,400 people in the 18 years between 1967 and 1985 (see Table A2.2.3). A number of factors are responsible for this trend, ranging from declining work forces in the dockyards to social preferences for quieter suburban locations. Population losses were highest in Valletta (decline from 9,340 to 7,262), Marsa (7,953 to 5,324) and Bormla (7,731 to 6,085), while the population in Kalkara increased by 750 in this period, possible due to the greenfield housing land allocations there, which often accommodated residents from other localities in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area. No other localities 162 experienced population growth in this Area. Vacancy rates are also high here; 19 percent of residences are vacant and only 0.3 percent are second homes. Vacancy is highest in Vittoriosa and Valletta (23 percent); then Bormla and Floriana (20 percent). At the same time, and perhaps relatedly, residential densities are high; Isla, well known as the locality with the highest population density on the Islands, has 221 persons and 94 dwelling units per hectare, largely due to post-war reconstruction in the form of low-cost apartments. Floriana and Marsa have the lowest densities in this region (29 p/ha and 13 u/ha), while Valletta (86 p/ha and 43 u/ha) is relatively high for Malta. In the GHLP Area, only 234 residential permissions were granted between 1994 and 2000, 86 of which were in Kalkara, 49 in Bormla (“slum clearances”), 33 in Valletta and 26 in Marsa. TABLE A2.2.3 SETTLEMENT PATTERNS IN THE GRAND HARBOURS LOCAL PLAN AREA Local Plan Area Population Population (1985) (1995) Dwellings Unit Density Residential Dwelling (1995) per hectare VacancyPermissions Birgu (Vittoriosa) 3,572 3,069 1,356 26 307 8 Bormla (Cospicua) 7,731 6,085 2,647 32 523 49 Floriana 3,327 2,701 1,220 13 239 31 Isla 4,158 3,528 1,508 94 251 1 Kalkara 2,086 2,833 1,016 27 133 86 Marsa 7,953 5,324 1,984 28 198 26 Valletta 9,340 7,262 3,586 43 833 33 38,167 30,802 13,317 31 2,484 234 Total Source: Census 1985, Census 1995, Dwellings Database, Densities Study Marsaxlokk Bay Local Plan Area A2.2.5 The MBLP Area experienced a population growth of 25 percent between 1985 and 1995, the majority of which took place in Birzebbuga (29 percent growth) (see Table A2.2.4). Despite its population increases, however, Birzebbuga has densities of only 71 p/ha and 36 u/ha. Marsaxlokk is even less dense, with an urban population density of 59 p/ha and 21 u/h. In terms of dwelling permissions granted in the area, 488 of the 718 permissions granted were for buildings located in Birzebbuga. Vacancy rates in the Plan Area are slightly lower than the national average, even if the few second homes are taken into consideration; in Birzebbuga, 2.5 percent of dwellings are second homes, and the figure is 4.3 percent in Marsaxlokk. While the total dwelling stock here is only 4,689, 3,701 of these are in Birzebbuga. While Marsaxlokk originated as a fishing village, its villa area at Tas-Silg is now a desirable and expensive residential area. 163 TABLE A2.2.4 SETTLEMENT PATTERNS IN THE MARSAXLOKK BAY LOCAL PLAN AREA Local Plan Population Population Area (1985) (1995) Dwellings Unit Density Residentia Dwelling (1995) per hectare l Vacancy Permissions Birzebbuga 5,668 7,307 3,701 36 1,306 488 Marsaxlokk 2,405 2,857 988 21 157 230 Total 8,073 10,164 4,689 31 1,463 718 Source: Census 1985, Census 1995, Dwellings Database, Densities Study North Harbours Local Plan Area A2.2.6 The North Harbours Local Plan area gained 8,000 persons in the intercensal period, equivalent to a population gain of 16 percent (A2.2.5). All the same, gains in San Gwann (3,832) and Msida (723) (previously losing population but now gaining it back through the development of affordable flatted dwellings for new households in a central location) were partially offset by losses in Sliema (1,231), Gzira (599), Ta’ Xbiex (223) and Pieta (73). Large losses in San Giljan (2,887) are likely to be due to the shrinking of its boundary to make way for growing settlements at Pembroke, which has a population of 2,213, and Swieqi, which has a population of 3,823, both of which were previously part of San Giljan. Dwelling permissions granted between 1994 and 2000 are not reflective of the population losses described above; out of a total of 3,417 permissions, 926 went to Sliema, 611 to Gzira, 511 to Swieqi, 436 to Msida, 389 to San Gwann and 285 to San Giljan. This may partially explain the high residential vacancy rates of 29 percent in Sliema (of which 5 percent are second homes) and 27 percent in San Giljan (of which 5 percent are second homes). The whole Local Plan area has a higher than average vacancy rate, with only Pembroke (4 percent) and San Gwann (9 percent) falling to below 10 percent. Significantly, density figures reflect trends in population: in general, areas that have lost population have high densities, such as Sliema (99 p/ha and 55 u/ha), Gzira (84 p/ha and 37 u/ha) and Pieta (95 p/ha and 38 u/ha). At the same time, areas where population (but not necessarily number of residential permissions) is growing have lower densities: Pembroke (23 p/ha and 7 u/ha), Swieqi (38 p/ha and 15 u/ha) and San Gwann (94 p/ha and 30 u/ha). As in 1985, the North Harbour Local Plan area contains 17 percent of Malta’s dwelling stock. TABLE A2.2.5 SETTLEMENT PATTERNS IN THE NORTH HARBOURS LOCAL PLAN AREA 164 Local Plan Area Population Population (1985) (1995) Dwellings Unit Density Residentia Dwelling (1995) per hectare l Vacancy Permissions Gzira 8,471 7,872 3,508 37 707 611 Msida 6,219 6,942 2,984 35 632 436 / 2,213 660 7 28 150 4,380 4,307 1,736 38 377 95 10,239 7,352 3,546 23 962 285 8,179 12,011 3,784 30 353 389 Sliema 14,137 12,906 7,144 55 2,058 926 Swieqi / 6,721 2,553 15 498 511 1,955 1,732 652 22 134 11 53,580 62,056 26,567 28 5,749 3,417 Pembroke Pieta` San Giljan San Gwann Ta` Xbiex Total Source: Census 1985, Census 1995, Dwellings Database, Densities Study North West Local Plan Area A2.2.7 The population of the North West Local Plan area grew by 22 percent between 1985 and 1995, significantly more than the 10 percent growth in the same region between 1967 and 1985 (see Table A2.2.6). At the same time, the Plan Area’s percentage of Malta’s dwelling stock remained constant at 12 percent. The greatest population increases occurred in St. Paul’s Bay (66 percent), then Mellieha (37 percent) and Dingli (33 percent). Out of an overall population gain of 5,816, 2,927 went to St. Paul’s Bay, 1,696 to Mellieha, 678 to Dingli and 484 to Mgarr. Dwelling permissions granted between 1994 and 2000 reflect these population changes: 1,764 in St. Paul’s Bay, 781 in Mellieha and 440 in Rabat and Mtarfa. The largest settlement in the NWLP area remains Rabat (12,995), although Mellieha and St. Paul’s Bay are now each almost half its size, compared to 1948 when they were one third and one fourth of its size respectively. While Rabat and Mellieha have their roots as agricultural settlements, St. Paul’s Bay started out as a fishing village and summer resort, but like Mellieha is now dominated by tourism and entertainment uses, particularly at Qawra and Bugibba. Vacancy rates in the North West, at 47 percent for the whole area, are definitely the highest on the Islands, and are largely but not wholly explained by the pressure of 6,473 second homes in the area (33 percent of all dwelling units). Most second homes here are in St. Paul’s Bay (5,318) and there are also many in Mellieha (1,115). Significantly, however, the permanent vacancy rate in the old capital city of Mdina is high at 30 percent, and so is it at Mgarr (22 percent), possibly due to high emigration rates in the past that have given rise to legal problems associated with multiple ownership of property. Densities are generally low in the North West, with the highest figures emerging at Rabat (92 p/ha and 35 u/ha), Dingli (92 p/ha and 30 u/ha) and St. Paul’s Bay (31 p/ha and 38 u/ha). The low figure of 31 p/ha for urban population density in St. Paul’s Bay supports the finding that many of its dwellings are vacant. 165 TABLE A2.2.6 SETTLEMENT PATTERNS IN THE NORTH WEST LOCAL PLAN AREA Local Council Population (1985) Population (1995) Dingli 2,047 2,725 896 30 84 130 Mdina 421 377 157 16 47 0 Mellieha 4,525 6,221 3,575 18 1,549 781 Mgarr (Malta) 2,188 2,672 1,031 23 237 245 Rabat (Malta)* 12,920 12,995 4,629 35 608 440 4,465 7,392 9,065 38 6,548 1,764 26,566 32,382 19,353 28 9,073 3,379** San Pawl il-Bahar Total Dwellings Unit Density (1995) per hectare Residential Dwelling Vacancy Permissions Source: Census 1985, Census 1995, Dwellings Database, Densities Study *Including Mtarfa ** This total includes also dwelling permissions in the rural areas of Attard (1), Siggiewi (2) and Naxxar (16), which fall within the NWLP area. South Malta Local Plan Area A2.2.8 Of all the Local Plan areas, the South gained most population in the intercensal period, with a total of 110,413 residents in 1995 compared to 98,730 in 1985 (see Table A2.2.7). This local plan area contains a number of rural settlements (Luqa, Gudja, Safi, Kirkop, Siggiewi, Zurrieq and Mqabba) that are still focused on the village church and town piazza. Other larger towns such as Tarxien and Zabbar have now become part of the larger conurbation alongside the newer settlements of Paola, Fgura and most recently, the planned new town Santa Lucija. Most population growth occured in Marsaskala (2,834) and Fgura (2,788), the former displaying impressive population growth, with an 146 percent increase over its 1985 population. Population also increased in Siggiewi (1,233), but fell, and this was the only locality to lose population here, in Paola by 2,344 persons. High population growth in this area and losses in the Grand Harbour Local Plan area support the internal migration data (see paragraph 2.3.9) that reveals strong inmigration to the South from the Grand Harbours Local Plan area. A2.2.9 Vacancy rates are generally medium to low in the South, with no localities with over 20 percent permanent vacancy, and Xghajra and Ghaxaq having only 3 and 9 percent vacancy respectively. Second homes in this Plan Area predominate in Marsaskala (1,016 units) and Xghajra (409 units), where 34 percent and 62 percent of dwellings are second homes respectively. However, Marsaskala demonstrates relatively high rates of both second homes (34 percent) and permanently vacant dwellings (15 percent), so that 166 just below 50 percent of its dwellings are either permanently or temporarily vacant. Yet permits in this locality amounted to 1,176 between 1994 and 2000, suggesting that new development is not necessarily being located where supply is low, as was found also for the North Harbours Local Plan area. TABLE A2.2.7 SETTLEMENT PATTERNS IN THE SOUTH MALTA LOCAL PLAN AREA Local Council Population Population (1985) (1995) Dwellings Unit Residential Dwelling (1995) Density per Vacancy Permissions hectare Fgura 8,254 11,042 3,554 40 338 375 Ghaxaq 3,655 4,126 1,347 25 124 217 Gudja 2,156 2,882 977 27 119 94 Kirkop 1,559 1,957 679 25 94 129 Luqa 5,585 6,150 1,772 30 178 306 Marsaskala 1,936 4,770 3,016 23 1,469 1,172 Mqabba 2,269 2,613 901 24 138 272 Paola 11,744 9,400 3,776 37 520 98 Qrendi 2,199 2,344 847 20 104 178 Safi 1,323 1,731 608 20 77 171 Santa Lucija 3,208 3,605 1,063 38 16 21 Siggiewi 5,864 7,097 2,358 25 299 354 Tarxien 7,016 7,412 2,678 31 408 406 Xghajra / 685 651 27 427 136 Zabbar 12,869 14,138 4,831 33 578 528 Zebbug (Malta) 9,788 10,398 3,603 24 500 496 Zejtun 11,321 11,379 3,944 30 515 288 Zurrieq 7,984 8,684 2,941 23 350 583 98,730 110,413 39,546 29 6,254 5,822* Total Source: Census 1985, Census 1995, Dwellings Database, Densities Study *This total excludes the two dwelling permissions in the rural part of Siggiewi, which fall under the NWLP Area. A2.2.10 South Malta has the largest dwelling stock in the Islands (25 percent) and the highest number of residential permissions between 1994 and 2000 (5,849 out of 20,368). Residential permissions here were highest in Zabbar (528), Zebbug (496) Fgura (375) and Zejtun (288). Although it is still the most populous local plan area, it will lose out to the Central Malta Local Plan area, which the Demography Topic Paper predicts will gain most new residents in the Review period. Indeed the South fell from having 29 percent of the dwelling stock in 1985 to 25 percent in 1995. 167 A2.2.11 The fastest growing settlements in the South are generally far from the Harbour area (except for Fgura, where low cost houses and maisonettes provide good value for money): Marsascala (146 percent growth); Gudja (34 percent growth); Safi (30 percent growth); Kirkop (25 percent growth) and Siggiewi (21 percent growth). These growth rates are very high compared with those between 1967 and 1985, when all these rural localities were experiencing growth rates of 1 percent or even population declines of some 1 percent (except for Safi). There are few high density settlements in this local plan area; only Fgura is relatively dense with 125 p/ha and 40 u/ha. Otherwise, densities range between 18 and 35 u/ha. The relatively high figures for urban population density in this area (for example, 105, 98 and 88 in Luqa, Zabbar and Zejtun respectively) may be due to low residential vacancy rates in these towns). A2.2.12 These local trends confirm the broad picture of settlement change in Malta, indicating a general preference for newer, less dense accommodation over that in older settlements. In the next section, a strategic view of changes to dwelling stock is provided; the section after that gives details of housing development rates over the last decades, based on the Planning Authority’s records of residential permissions granted. 168 169 Appendix 2.3 Residential Densities by Locality Local Council Urban Area (ha) Population Residential density in persons per hectare∗ Number of Dwelling Units Residential density in units per hectare∗ Attard 158 9214 58 2669 17 Balzan 60 3560 59 1335 22 Birgu 53 3069 58 1356 26 Birkirkara 228 21281 93 7637 33 Birzebbugia 103 7307 71 3706 36 Bormla 82 6085 74 2657 32 Dingli 30 2725 92 896 30 Fgura 88 11042 125 3562 40 Floriana 94 2700 29 1224 13 Fontana 16 817 51 384 24 Ghajnsielem 65 2176 33 1009 16 Gharb 40 1030 26 655 16 Gharghur 27 1991 74 753 28 Ghasri 15 369 25 212 14 Ghaxaq 53 4126 78 1346 25 Gujda 37 2882 78 983 27 Gzira 94 7872 84 3508 37 105 11195 107 4520 43 Iklin 48 3098 65 918 19 Isla 16 3528 221 1511 94 Kalkara 37 2833 88 1017 27 Kercem 35 1557 44 680 19 Kirkop 27 1957 72 682 25 Lija 53 2497 47 878 17 Luqa 60 6150 103 1774 30 Marsa 70 5324 76 1988 28 Marsascala 133 4770 36 3016 23 Marsaxlokk 48 2847 59 996 21 Mdina 10 377 38 160 16 198 6221 31 3556 18 Mgarr 45 2672 59 1032 23 Mosta 197 16754 85 5939 30 Mqabba 38 2613 69 904 24 Msida 86 6942 81 2984 35 Hamrun Mellieha 170 Local Council Urban Area (ha) Population Residential density in persons per hectare∗ Number of Dwelling Units Residential density in units per hectare∗ Mtarfa 41 2200 54 590 14 Munxar 29 780 27 767 26 Nadur 95 3882 41 1823 19 Naxxar 206 9822 48 3741 18 Pembroke 97 2213 23 660 7 Pieta 45 4307 95 1740 38 Qala 53 1492 28 714 13 Qormi 200 17654 88 5917 30 Qrendi 42 2344 56 848 20 Rabat 117 10795 92 4050 35 Rabat (G) 127 6524 51 2355 19 Rahal Gdid 102 9400 92 3781 37 31 1731 56 613 20 San Giljan 153 7352 48 3549 23 San Gwann 128 12011 94 3779 30 San Lawrenz 17 552 32 281 17 Sannat 41 1604 39 676 16 Santa Lucia 28 3605 129 1065 38 Santa Venera 84 6183 74 2038 24 Siggiewi 94 7097 76 2361 25 Sliema 130 12906 99 7152 55 St.Paul's Bay 240 7392 31 9068 38 Swieqi 175 6721 38 2544 15 Ta' Xbiex 29 1732 60 653 22 Tarxien 88 7412 84 2696 31 Valletta 84 7262 86 3583 43 Xaghra 109 3,669 34 1759 16 Xewkija 99 3,128 32 1390 14 Xghajra 24 685 29 650 27 Zabbar 145 14,138 98 4836 33 Zebbug 151 10,398 69 3611 24 54 1,446 27 2556 47 Zejtun 130 11,379 88 3956 30 Zurrieq 129 8,684 67 2953 23 5,766 378,081 66 155,202 27 Safi Zebbug (G) Total ∗ Population and dwelling units include figures for both urban and rural areas, whilst the area of each local council is based on the urban area only. The reason for this is that while the number of rural dwellings and rural populations are small, rural land areas are large, making any estimates of residential and dwelling densities based on total land area per locality misleadingly low. 171 Source: Densities Study 172 Appendix 2.4 Social Housing Provision: the 1980s and 1990s A2.4.1 The single major source of public sector housing land during the 1980s was released by means of the 1983 Building Development Areas (BDA) Act, as described in the historical review of housing that opens this chapter (this discussion draws heavily on A. Camilleri (2001)). Along with the land gained through this legislation, Government had two other potential sources of land: large tracts of property left by the British following their departure from the island in March 1979, and significant areas of land still belonging to the Church, which the Government intended to utilise. Whilst the former source proved to be a rather useful one, leading to the development of full scale towns at Mtarfa, Pembroke and Tigne (although this area has since been redesignated to include commercial development), the latter source (Church property) could not be developed due to political considerations, particularly the controversy over the free Church schools issue that reached its apex in 1984-1985. A2.4.2 After the change in Government in 1987, a number of radical changes took place in the area of housing provision. Whilst the new Government was determined to continue with the policy of providing low cost housing, it was conscious of the environmental implications of extensive greenfield development. Thus a number of important measures and decisions were taken: first, the BDA Act was abolished and the BDA areas that had not been developed were no longer regarded as land for development. Second, some 1,000 HOS plots parcelled out before the 1987 elections were reallocated in less environmentally sensitive areas, with each beneficiary being given an alternative plot of the same size in the same locality. Thirdly, the Government discontinued the practice of expropriating private property for housing purposes (other than that required in connection with ‘slum clearance’ projects). Fourthly, new Government units were much more compact, taking the form of terraced development (i.e. flats placed side by side facing the street) as opposed to the previous point block type of development. All flats were provided with lifts, and five-storey development was used wherever possible (actually the concept had been introduced in early 1987 towards the end of the previous legislature). The Home Ownership Scheme (HOS) was continued for a few years, but was eventually discontinued after 1992. Furthermore Government re-introduced the Planning Services Division in the Works Department, which eventually became the Planning Authority in 1992. All these measures led to a more efficient use of land. A2.4.3 However it was inevitable that the pace of development of the 1970s could not be sustained and supply of land was also dwindling at a rapid pace. Government then signed a landmark agreement with the Church whereby a high proportion of its property would be transferred to the Government in 173 exchange for which Government pledged to use this land solely for social purposes and to assist the Church in the funding of its schools. The agreement not only resolved the thorny issue that had plagued Church-State relations in 1984 but also provided Government with a potential reservoir of land for further social housing development in the coming years. The only problem was that there was no clear record of the plans attached to the agreement and by the end of the Nationalist legislature in 1996 this source of land remained untapped. A2.4.3 The Labour Government of 1996-1998 can be credited with taking a number of important initiatives in the housing sector. The most important was the creation of a Commission, led by the Former Prime Minister, Dr. Karmenu Mifsud Bonnici, to establish the extent of Government land and ex-Church land (now administered by an entity known as the Joint Office, since its administration include members of the Archbishop’s Curia as well as the Government). The report, which was never published, was nevertheless made available by early 1998 and, although it includes an important implication that Government would develop land situated outside the current development schemes, there is no evidence that the Government had any intention to do so. An exercise conducted by the Department of Housing Construction and Maintenance and the Housing Authority in March 1998 revealed that there was enough land in the Commission’s Report to develop approximately 2,700 housing units within the development boundary. Of these approximately 800 could be developed without difficulty, another 1,300 could be developed with some difficulty, whilst 600 posed insurmountable problems. Thus in reality (unless the Government opted to utilise land outside the schemes) there was land available for approximately 2,100 units. In order to augment this amount Government also decided to embark on an ambitious but politically sensitive project to develop one or two additional stories over existing housing blocks constructed between 1971 and 1987. This project was on the verge of being taken in hand when there was another change in Government following the elections of September 1998. A2.4.4 The new Government suspended the additional stories project indefinitely, mostly in view of the strong opposition voiced by a number of residents such as those at Attard. Nevertheless it continued with the plans of previous administrations, and from the 800 units indicated above, approximately 200 have been taken in hand, while others are currently under negotiation with the Planning Authority. However, a problem arose in early 2000 concerning the value of the land to be transferred to the Housing Authority for housing purposes. Up until January 1995, the Housing Authority was not charged for the transfer of land from the Lands Department. After that date, the Ministry of Finance decided that the cost of acquiring private property for any Government project (including housing) would have to be paid for by the government entity requesting the expropriation. A2.4.5 Thus the Housing Authority become burdened with the expropriation of land that was utilised after 1995 but expropriated before that date. Furthermore, whereas previously the Government Property Division (which comprises the 174 Lands Department and Estates Management Department) was factoring in only a nominal value of land prices, as the land was either Government owned or expropriated at low cost, in recent years, commercial land values have been included in the value of the land sold. Thus each property is given a commercial value, which is then subsidized in order to make the units ‘affordable’ to social housing applicants. 175 176 Appendix 3.1 Checklist for Assessing Sustainable Property Development 1. LOCATION INDICATORS ENVIRONMENTAL Land type (brownfield/greenfield/contaminated) Ecological (rare species, etc) Noise and vibration Air quality ECONOMIC Previous land use classification Previous land use status (derelict/vacant) Occupancy take up rate by use class order Road accessibility Distance from town centre Distance from local centre SOCIAL Location in relation to existing developments Level of integration with local authorities Local Plan Open consultation with all sectors of existing community on planned development 2. DESIGN AND CONSTRUCTION ENVIRONMENTAL Recycled material use Resource use in construction process (renewable/non-renewable) Building energy efficiency rating Tree loss in construction by age, condition and species Wildlife loss in construction period Planting and Landscaping Waste recycling facilities Waste disposal requirements Water recycling facilities Water requirements ECONOMIC Water metering fitted SOCIAL Number of local jobs created through construction process Contribution of design to local townscape Provision for allotments Provision for community meeting space Community participation in design process 177 3. TRANSPORT AND ACCESSIBILITY ENVIRONMENTAL Level of traffic generation from private car use Mixed use site (by uses) Phasing of completions by use type (mixed use only) Occupancy take up rate by type (mixed use only) Means of waste disposal (inc. location and means of transport) ECONOMIC Partnerships with public transport operators Contribution to transport infrastructure as part of development process by mode % of residential properties to be made available as affordable housing SOCIAL Distance from main line station (destinations) Distance from bus stop (destinations) Designated cycle lanes as part of development (length) Cycle parking facilities as part of development On site parking levels On street parking levels 4. OCCUPANCY ENVIRONMENTAL Site to be actively managed for conservation ECONOMIC Number of local jobs to be created in operational phase by SIC (commercial only) Expected occupancy take-up rate by use class Contribution of development to local economic vibrancy SOCIAL Tenure type Activity profile by SIC (commercial only) Socio-demographic profile (residential only) Social contribution of development to existing local community Source: Lucas et al. (2000) 178 Appendix 4.1 Housing Requirements and Supply in the Structure Plan and the Monitoring Reports Methodologies used in previous Structure Plan A4.1.1 The Structure Plan estimated a requirement for almost 60,000 additional housing units of the period 1990-2010. This estimate allowed for the loss of a proportion of housing stock without replacement, additional second homes and tourist-related demand. It is largely based on the analysis of Technical Report 1.2, the elements of which are summarised below in Table A4.1.1. TABLE A4.1.1 ELEMENTS OF CURRENT STRUCTURE PLAN’S HOUSING REQUIREMENTS CALCULATION New dwellings Reason 29,560 New households to be formed between 1985 and 2010 Housing ‘deficit’: left vacant following reallocation of households to achieve theoretical best fit between household and dwelling size Replacements for dwellings that are to be demolished without replacement between 1985 and 2010. Additional second homes and holiday homes required by 2010 Additional dwellings for those households sharing a dwelling in 1985 Loss of half the special dwellings (shacks, caves, etc) in the 1985 Census Total new dwellings required under the ‘realistic standard assumption’ 14,400 6,270 5,390 3,150 490 59,260 Source: Malta Structure Plan, Technical Report 1.2 A4.1.2 The 1997 Structure Plan Monitoring Report argues that this analysis contains two serious weaknesses: first, it takes the figure of 59,260 as an indicator of housing requirements over the period 1990-2010, whereas it actually represents the 25 year period from 1985 to 2010. This causes an overstatement of requirements by some 8,000 dwelling units. Second, the 14,500 housing ‘deficit’ is based on a theoretical ‘housing reallocation model’, which assumes that due to a mismatch between dwelling stock sizes and household sizes, an arbitrary number of dwellings will remain vacant after their inhabitants relocate to adequately sized properties. The ‘housing reallocation hypothesis’ is based on the reasonable premise that many families are living in dwellings that do not meet their requirements, either because they are too small or too large. The arbitrary part of the hypothesis, however, assumes that a significant amount of new dwellings (see below) will be needed to obtain a satisfactory fit between dwelling size and household 179 size. This assumption rests on the questionable logic that a significant amount of homes will be left vacant after household reallocation, without other households taking up residence in them, or being modified by their existing occupants. A4.1.3 In order to apply this housing reallocation hypothesis, the Structure Plan team used a scenario based on a ‘realistic standard assumption’ to project the number of households that would relocate to larger (21,700) or smaller (5,160) properties during the Plan period, (it was assumed). The standard for an acceptable relationship between dwelling and household sizes was not an international one, but an arbitrary one loosely associated with the Structure Plan’s Housing Stock Survey. A further set of assumptions were used to predict the number of dwellings of each size that would be reallocated through the housing market, and it was argued that 12,460 households would be thus re-occupied. This, the team postulated, would result in a deficit of 14,500 units, which should be treated as additional housing demand. A4.1.4 As the 1997 Structure Plan Monitoring Report argued, the ‘housing reallocation hypothesis’ is not currently a standard methodology for the assessment of housing requirements. It is based on a series of highly questionable assumptions, and stretches the available data beyond credible limits, ignoring important characteristics of the Maltese housing market, such as the preference for the speedy establishment of family homes, household inertia, and a tendency to modify and extend dwellings rather than move house. In a land scarce nation, property is seen as too valuable an asset to simply discard. The assumption also ignores trends towards declining family sizes, both through population ageing and the formation of single person households. It is considered that the large ‘deficit’ arising from the ‘housing reallocation hypothesis’ should be discounted as an element of housing requirements, since it represents an unjustified addition to the already significant housing stock that lies vacant, violating the central principle of Malta’s planning system, that land and buildings should be used efficiently. A4.1.5 The Structure Plan team itself however also produced competing estimates for housing requirements, in the 1991 Structure Plan Technical Report 1.1 on population, households and dwellings projections, based on a simpler and more robust set of assumptions. These estimates are summarised in Table A4.1.2. 180 TABLE A4.1.2 ESTIMATES OF HOUSING REQUIREMENTS IN STRUCTURE PLAN TECHNICAL REPORT 1.1 New dwellings Reason 23,180 5,19012,000 Up to 3,580 New households to be formed between 1985 and 2010 Additional second homes and holiday homes required by 2010 Additional vacant dwellings ‘required’ under the high demand scenario (reduction of 3,960 assumed for low demand scenario) including dwellings termed as substandard, dwellings unavailable for sale for various reasons, and a ‘slack’ provision needed for the proper functioning of the housing market (5 percent). Total new dwellings required under low and high scenarios 24,40038,760 Source: Malta Structure Plan, Technical Report 1.1 A4.1.6 The Structure Plan Monitoring Report put forward a revised housing requirements calculation for the remaining years of the 1990 Structure Plan, which is summarised below: TABLE A4.1.3 ESTIMATES OF HOUSING REQUIREMENTS IN STRUCTURE PLAN TECHNICAL REPORT 1.1 New dwellings 28,395 5580 690 34,670 Reason New Maltese households formed between 1990 and 2010 (excluding the proportion sharing a dwelling) Additional second homes and holiday homes required by 2010. These are mostly second homes, since very few additional tourist units are being licensed Balance of additional vacant dwellings ‘required’ after an allowance for additional ‘slack’, to permit the smooth functioning of the enlarged housing market, and a modest reduction in the number of other vacant units TOTAL new dwellings required, central scenario Source: Structure Plan Monitoring Report: Monitoring Data, 1997. A4.1.1 Following the recommendations of the 1997 Structure Plan Monitoring Report, it is considered that the approach taken in Technical Report 1.1 provides a more adequate framework for the consideration of future housing requirements, and the set of projections for housing requirements presented in Chapter 4 is based on this framework. 181 182 Appendix 4.2 ‘Slack’ and ‘The Q factor’ ‘Slack’ A4.2.1 The Structure Plan’s Technical Report 1.1 sets aside a number of dwellings by way of ‘slack’, which is described as an allowance for dwellings unoccupied during sale and transfer (section 7). This figure is estimated as 5 percent of all occupied dwellings, and a figure of 6210 (low scenario) and 6630 (high scenario) dwelling units was thus added to the housing requirements estimates. This figure was not used in the Technical Report 1.2, which nevertheless emerged with a substantially higher total demand figure of 59,000 dwelling units, based on a housing reallocation hypothesis. A4.2.2 The 1993-1995 Structure Plan Monitoring Report argued however that the methodology of Technical Report 1.2 is more defensible than that in Technical Report 1.1, and proposed a ‘slack’ figure of 690 dwelling units that would need to remain vacant for the smooth functioning of the housing market. The figure for ‘slack’ was thus heavily reduced from the figure of approximately 6500 in Technical Report 1.1, and, importantly, related to vacant property. Indeed, in the context of Malta’s chronic vacant housing problem (22,356 permanently vacant properties in 1995), it is questionable whether the housing requirements calculation would benefit from the addition of a specific amount of vacant dwellings required to remain empty for the smooth functioning of the housing market. This is because even if policy measures succeed in reducing the vacancy figure of 22,356 dwellings, they are not likely to succeed in bringing the figure down significantly over the Review period. Indeed, a figure for ‘slack’ on the requirements side, in combination with a high vacancy figure that is not used in the supply calculation, would result in a form of double counting of vacant units. If second homes are also considered in this argument, the need for a ‘slack’ figure becomes even less evident. It is therefore recommended that no estimate for slack be used in the housing requirements calculation. The ‘Q’ Factor A4.2.3 It is estimated in Technical Report 1.1 that a certain number of vacant dwellings will not be available for sale on the housing market due to ‘other’ factors (including those used as holiday homes, which represents a doublecounting with the ‘second homes’ element). This number is referred to as a ‘Q factor’, defined as “Q x Homes where Q = (1985 Vacant – 1985 Second Homes – 5 percent 1985 Occupied) divided by 1985 Occupied, or as 0.01 X Homes if Q is less than 0.01” (p. 18). ‘Homes’ is understood as “dwellings occupied by households, assuming a 1.0318 households per dwellings” (ibid.). This figure ranged between + and – 4000 dwellings in the final estimates given in the Report. In the light of Malta’s increasing residential 183 vacancy problem, which, with second homes included reached 24 percent of all dwellings in 1995, and which is unlikely to be largely occupied by 2020, it is considered that there is no requirements for this additional vacancy requirement to enter the housing requirements calculation, as the vacancy figure will not form part of the supply calculation. The 24,000 vacant units identified in the 1995 Census can adequately accommodate this ‘Q factor’. 184 Appendix 4.3 Methodologies used in previous Structure Plan A4.3.1 The Structure Plan projected that housing would be spread through existing urban areas, the Temporary Provision Schemes and the Primary Development Areas. Allowing for a range of terraced, flatted and detached housing types and medium density, the Structure Plan team assumed that the Temporary Provisions Schemes would provide 50,000 dwelling units, the existing urban areas 8,000 units and the Primary Development Area 2,000 units. A4.3.2 After factoring in the additional units gained in the process of replanning certain areas that had not been zoned, the Structure Plan Monitoring Report (1997) estimated that the Temporary Provisions Schemes had the capacity for 60,810 units, based on central density assumptions (p. 21). The Monitoring Report set out a revised housing supply calculation, which is summarised in Table 3.6 below. TABLE A4.3.1 REVISED HOUSING SUPPLY CALCULATION, MONITORING REPORT 1993-1995 Comment Dwelling Supply 1990-2010 Capacity of the Temporary Provisions Schemes, less an allowance for 6,000 units built during the period 1988-1989 54,810 Windfall provision; additional dwelling units built within existing urban areas or on land not zoned for housing 12,750 Dwelling Units in the pipeline in development briefs and other major projects 2,060 Structure Plan team estimate of dwellings likely to be scrapped without replacement: this includes dwellings on excessively small sites, dwellings affected by infrastructure development and dwellings in areas that are now considered unsuitable for residential accommodation (-7,400) TOTAL additional dwellings, central scenario 62,220 Source: Structure Plan Monitoring Report: Monitoring Data, 1997 A4.3.3 These estimates take into consideration windfall provision (replacement or extension of properties, new dwellings built outside limits to development; projects on ‘white areas’ within the development zone; residential components of mixed developments) and additional dwelling units provided for in development briefs and major projects such as Fort Chambray, Gozo 185 (236 units). 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