China Investment Banking Review Full Year 2016 China investment banking revenue hit a record high of $8.8bn in 2016, up 26% from 2015. China ranked as the second biggest fee paying nation globally behind the US, and accounted for a record high 11.9% share of the global fee pool. DCM revenue of $3.8bn was up 63% compared to 2015 ($2.3bn). M&A and syndicated loan revenue jumped 53% and 22% to $923m and $671m, respectively. All three products reached the highest revenue levels on record. ECM revenue, however, bucked the trend to decline 3% year on year to $3.4bn Key highlights from full year 2016 include: $225.4bn $215.7bn $8.6bn $170.5bn CITIC Securities China outbound M&A volume reached $225.4bn, a new record high level China ECM stood at a record high volume and activity of $215.7bn via 911 deals Global offshore RMB DCM volume stood at a six-year low Syndicated loan volume reached a new annual high for both volume and activity Led the China investment banking revenue ranking with a 6.0% wallet share M&A China outbound M&A volume reached an all-time high of $225.4bn in 2016, more than double the total announced in 2015 ($102.0bn) - the previous record high o Europe was the top targeted region for Chinese acquirors in 2016 with $99.9bn worth of deals announced - triple the amount in 2015 ($33.2bn) and the highest annual volume on record. North America followed with $68.8bn, which was also the highest total on record o Outbound volume pushed all China cross-border M&A to a record high of $257.4bn, where China outbound M&A accounted for 88% of the total China cross border M&A volume China National Chemical Corp - ChemChina's $46.9bn offer for Syngenta was the largest China cross border on record and the biggest Switzerland targeted M&A deal on record Despite an increase in cross border volume, China domestic M&A volume dropped to $447.2bn in 2016, down 28% compared to the record year in 2015 ($622.2bn), but still the second biggest year on record China Outbound M&A Full Year Comparison $bn 250 18% 16% 200 14% 12% 150 10% 8% 100 6% 4% 50 2% 0 0% 2007 2008 2009 ECM China ECM stood at a record high volume and activity of $215.7bn via 911 deals in 2016, compared with $189.8bn raised via 863 deals in 2015. China new listing* volume dropped 14% to $49.8bn in 2016, compared to $57.9bn in 2015 250 A-share volume reached $167.7bn via 722 deals in 2016, up 47% from the $114.1bn raised via 526 deals in 2015 and the highest annual volume and activity on record. China Yangtze Power priced a $3.7bn follow-on on April 15, the largest A-share transaction in 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 % of Global Cross-Border M&A China ECM Volume $bn o On June 1, SoftBank Group priced a $6.6bn convertible via joint bookrunners Morgan Stanley and Deutsche Bank, the largest Technology ECM transaction from a Chinese issuer, as well as globally, in 2016 2011 China Outbound M&A ($bn) o Technology was the top targeted sector for domestic M&A in 2016, although volume dropped 30% from the record high of $140.6bn in 2015 to $98.3bn in 2016. Real Estate and Healthcare followed with $72.9bn and $33.4bn respectively Technology was the leading sector with $39.3bn via 184 deals in 2016 accounting for 18% of total China ECM volume, more than double the $17.5bn raised via 136 deals in 2015. Finance followed with $32.4bn, down 42% from $52.4bn in 2015 2010 Full Year Comparison Deals 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 200 150 100 50 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 Volume 2014 2015 2016 No. of Deals *New listings include IPOs and follow-on transactions priced on a new exchange for the first time for the issuer Dealogic China Investment Banking Review | Full Year 2016 Final Results | January 2017 Page | 2 DCM Global offshore RMB DCM volume stood at $8.6bn via 190 deals in 2016, less than half the $17.9bn issued in 2015 via 208 deals, and the lowest annual volume since 2010 ($5.4bn) o 1Q and 4Q, 2016 were the lowest quarterly volumes since 3Q 2013 ($505m), with $1.1bn and $1.2bn, respectively In contrast, China onshore DCM issuance totaled a record breaking $823.1bn, up 26% from the previous annual high of $655.3bn in 2015. Activity reached 3,205 deals, up 41% year-on-year from 2,271 deals priced in 2015, marking the third consecutive annual increase since 2013 (1,391 deals) o The increase was led by a surge in onshore corporate bonds accounting for 41% of the market. Volume totaled $337.5bn, more than double the $135.3bn issued in 2015 and the highest annual volume on record China Onshore DCM volume $bn Deals Full Year Comparison 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2011 37 panda bonds priced in 2016 for a combined total of $14.7bn, led by 17 deals issued in 3Q 2016 ($$6.9bn), compared to a total of 13 such deals raising a total of $2.1bn in all previous years combined 2012 2013 2014 2015 China Onshore DCM 2016 Deals o On September 2, Country Garden priced a CNY-denominated $1.5bn dualtranche bond, the largest Panda bond of 2016, followed by China Resources Land ($762m) China Syndicated Loan Volume Syndicated Loans China syndicated loan volume totaled $170.5bn (395 deals) in 2016, up from $134.4bn (263 deals) in borrowed in 2015, and the highest volume and activity on record o China onshore borrowing reached $122.0bn in 2016, up 22% on 2015 ($99.8bn) and the highest volume on record. Similarly, China offshore loans increased, up 12% year-on-year to $30.0bn, although activity of 66 deals was at lowest level since 2010 (41 deals) CNY-denominated borrowing stood at $113.2bn in 2016, up 23% and the highest volume on record. USD-denominated loans from Chinese borrowers followed with $46.9bn, up 35% year-on-year and the highest annual volume since the $48.9bn signed in 2013 Full Year Comparison $bn 180 450 160 400 140 350 120 300 100 250 80 200 60 150 40 100 20 50 0 0 2011 2012 2013 Volume Dealogic China Investment Banking Review | Full Year 2016 Final Results | January 2017 Deals 2014 2015 2016 Deals Page | 3 Dealogic China League Tables – Full Year 2016 Final Results China IB Revenue Ranking Pos Bank China ECM Bookrunner Ranking Net Rev ($m) % 2015 Rank Value $m No. % Share Value $m No. % Share 1 CITIC Securities 523 6.0 1 1 CITIC Securities 17,338 66 8.0 1 CITIC Securities 16,558 58 9.9 2 China Securities 496 5.7 2 2 GF Securities 12,522 55 5.8 2 GF Securities 12,246 49 7.3 3 CICC 336 3.8 6 3 Morgan Stanley 12,392 33 5.7 3 China Securities 9,895 50 5.9 4 Guotai Junan Securities 332 3.8 3 4 China Securities 10,874 57 5.0 4 Guosen Securities 9,514 38 5.7 5 GF Securities 325 3.7 13 5 Haitong Securities 9,786 55 4.5 5 Huatai Securities 9,421 30 5.6 6 Bank of China 289 3.3 5 6 Huatai Securities 9,645 36 4.5 6 Guotai Junan Securities 8,126 38 4.9 7 Haitong Securities 287 3.3 8 7 Guosen Securities 9,567 39 4.4 7 Haitong Securities 7,968 30 4.8 8 Huatai Securities 222 2.5 11 8 CICC 9,284 41 4.3 8 CICC 7,593 29 4.5 9 China Merchants Securities 215 2.5 4 9 Deutsche Bank 9,217 35 4.3 9 Southwest Securities 5,393 18 3.2 214 2.4 14 10 Guotai Junan Securities 8,855 56 4.1 10 Sinolink Securities 4,817 25 2.9 10 Guosen Securities China Announced M&A Advisory Ranking (ex Fairness opinion) Pos Advisor Value $m No. % Share 1 CICC 129,768 46 18.8 2 Goldman Sachs 103,105 29 14.9 3 UBS 85,380 28 4 JPMorgan 83,078 5 Credit Suisse 65,929 6 HSBC 7 China Construction Bank Pos Bookrunner China A-share Bookrunner Ranking China Completed M&A Advisory Ranking (ex Fairness Opinion) Value $m No. % Share 1 CICC 70,102 48 11.1 2 Goldman Sachs 69,434 30 11.0 12.4 3 UBS 52,459 32 22 12.0 4 Morgan Stanley 49,379 24 9.5 5 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 36,339 63,446 14 9.2 6 JPMorgan 48,982 9 7.1 7 CITIC Securities 8 Lakeside Capital Advisers 46,940 1 6.8 8 Dyal Co 46,940 1 8 China CITIC Bank 46,940 1 China M&A Attorney Ranking (including Attorney to Advisors) Value $m No. % Share 1 King & Wood Mallesons 108,648 73 15.7 2 Fangda Partners 102,642 57 14.9 8.3 3 Simpson Thacher & Bartlett 92,350 25 13.4 26 7.8 4 Davis Polk & Wardwell 76,305 22 11.0 16 5.8 5 Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton 57,597 11 8.3 33,984 21 5.4 6 Osler Hoskin & Harcourt 53,916 4 7.8 33,674 17 5.3 7 Cravath Swaine & Moore 51,694 4 7.5 8 Citi 23,467 22 3.7 8 Homburger 48,830 3 7.1 6.8 9 Huatai Securities 21,876 20 3.5 8 Baer & Karrer 48,830 2 7.1 6.8 10 China Renaissance Partners 21,160 40 3.4 10 Haiwen & Partners 41,563 22 6.0 Dealogic China Investment Banking Review | Full Year 2016 Final Results | January 2017 Pos Advisor Pos Bookrunner Pos Attorney Page | 4 Dealogic China League Tables – Full Year 2016 Final Results China DCM Bookrunner Ranking Pos Bookrunner China International G3 DCM Bookrunner Ranking Value $m No. % Share Value $m No. % Share Value $m No. % Share 1 China Securities 61,906 295 6.5 1 Bank of China 9,615 72 7.9 1 Credit Agricole CIB 1,806 44 21.0 2 CITIC Securities 54,978 192 5.8 2 HSBC 8,669 73 7.2 2 Standard Chartered Bank 1,199 29 14.0 3 Guotai Junan Securities 42,830 219 4.5 3 Standard Chartered Bank 6,058 49 5.0 3 HSBC 805 22 9.4 4 Bank of China 40,171 234 4.2 4 Citi 6,020 46 5.0 4 Bank of China 636 10 7.4 5 ICBC 37,572 217 4.0 5 ICBC 5,740 52 4.7 5 DBS 435 9 5.1 6 China Construction Bank 34,867 228 3.7 6 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 5,244 37 4.3 6 Citi 369 11 4.3 7 Haitong Securities 33,501 175 3.5 7 China Construction Bank 4,256 44 3.5 7 BNP Paribas 300 13 3.5 8 China Merchants Securities 31,268 160 3.3 8 UBS 4,219 37 3.5 8 Goldman Sachs 254 7 3.0 9 CICC 29,843 128 3.1 9 Bank of Communications 4,112 37 3.4 9 ICBC 250 6 2.9 28,219 150 3.0 10 BNP Paribas 3,570 28 2.9 10 China Development Financial Hldg 246 4 2.9 10 China Development Bank Pos Bookrunner Global Offshore RMB DCM Bookrunner Ranking China Onshore DCM Bookrunner Ranking Pos Bookrunner China Syndicated Loans Bookrunner Ranking* Pos Bookrunner Pos Bookrunner China Syndicated Loans Mandated Lead Arranger Ranking Value $m No. % Share Value $m No. % Share Value $m No. % Share 1 China Securities 61,018 285 7.4 1 China Construction Bank 6,204 5 11.0 Pos Mandated Lead Arranger 1 Bank of China 36,265 251 21.2 2 CITIC Securities 52,941 177 6.4 2 China Merchants Bank 5,774 11 10.2 2 Agricultural Bank of China 20,687 31 12.1 3 Guotai Junan Securities 40,221 182 4.9 3 Bank of China 4,298 25 7.6 3 China Development Bank 19,321 19 11.3 4 ICBC 31,830 160 3.9 4 HSBC 3,448 14 6.1 4 ICBC 14,678 44 8.6 5 Bank of China 30,713 159 3.7 5 Standard Chartered Bank 2,610 22 4.6 5 China Construction Bank 13,242 42 7.8 6 China Construction Bank 30,325 179 3.7 6 Shanghai Pudong Development Bank 2,340 3 4.1 6 Bank of Communications 4,721 21 2.8 7 China Merchants Securities 30,286 148 3.7 7 ICBC 2,109 7 3.7 7 Shanghai Pudong Development Bank 4,180 18 2.5 8 Haitong Securities 30,188 136 3.7 8 Credit Suisse 2,063 3 3.6 8 China Merchants Bank 4,096 28 2.4 9 China Development Bank 28,454 151 3.5 9 BNP Paribas 2,010 6 3.6 9 China CITIC Bank 3,277 20 1.9 10 CICC 27,213 111 3.3 10 DBS 1,921 14 3.4 3,099 26 1.8 10 HSBC *The syndicated loans bookrunner market share is a proportion of bookrunner-led volume only Dealogic China Investment Banking Review | Full Year 2016 Final Results | January 2017 Page | 5 Notes to Editors About Dealogic Coverage and Criteria Dealogic is the platform utilized by investment banks worldwide to optimize performance and improve competitiveness. Click here for the DCM coverage and criteria 2016 Implemented across strategy, capital markets, sales, coverage banking and compliance, firms rely on Dealogic to interconnect their professionals to more effectively identify opportunities, cover the right clients, evaluate investor appetite, execute deals reliably and to ultimately win more business. Click here for the Loans coverage and criteria 2016 Click here for the ECM coverage and criteria 2016 Click here for the M&A coverage and criteria 2016 Dealogic is the only firm in the world providing the technology, content and consulting used by investment banks to manage and align their core operating units, leading to increased profitability and productivity. More than 30 years’ experience and a deep knowledge of the capital markets has put Dealogic in a unique position to foster numerous long standing relationships and to work in close partnership with investment banks globally. For further information please contact: Media Contact Dealogic Publishing The Dealogic China IB Review is a quarterly compilation of China debt and equity capital markets, mergers & acquisitions and syndicate lending trends, activity and participant rankings. The Dealogic StatShot – is a compilation of debt capital markets, equity capital markets, mergers & acquisitions and syndicated lending activity, highlighting insightful trends and banking relationships. Dealogic’s StatShot are available to clients and media partners upon request. Data, research and rankings used within these reports are produced via Dealogic’s Investment Banking Management Platform. China: +86 10 6535 0336 email: [email protected] Hong Kong: +852 3698 4757 email: [email protected] China Product Contact +86 10 6535 0336 email: [email protected] Hong Kong Product Contact IB/M&A: +852 3698 4797 email: [email protected] DCM/Loans: +852 3698 4824 email: [email protected] +852 3698 4767 ECM: +852 3698 4733 email: [email protected] email: [email protected] Note: Varying banks (both universal and pure-play investment banks) apply varying reporting structures and classification in the execution of quarterly investment banking revenue numbers. Dealogic China Investment Banking Review | Full Year 2016 Final Results | January 2017 Page | 6
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