Patterns of tree and grass leaf display in the Lowveld revealed by a new MISR dataset Lee-Ann Sinden¹, Bob Scholes¹, Michel Verstraete² and Sally Archibald¹ ¹Global Change and Ecosystem Dynamics, Natural Resources and the Environment, CSIR, South Africa ²European Commission, DG Joint Research Centre (JRC), Italy Observed Climatevegetation Relationships • Climate variables important in initiation of growing stages (Wessels et al, 2006) • Distinction of tree leaf-out from grass leaf-out not biologically realistic (Chidumayo, 2001) • Day length and temperature → tree leafout (Archibald and Scholes, 2007) • Rainfall → grass leaf-out (Archibald and Scholes, 2007) • Relevance for the future Site Selection and Data • Sites: differences in geology, soil and dominant woody vegetation • Weather data: • few irregularly-spaced stations, missing data, no station • interpolated station data temporally then spatially for sites without stations • FAPAR data: • MISR FAPAR from 2002 to present • missing values created from rescaled MERIS FAPAR data series MSc Research Goal: identify climate cue for each phenological metric 180 1 160 0.9 140 0.8 0.7 120 0.6 100 0.5 80 0.4 60 0.3 40 0.2 20 0.1 0 0 Dekad dates maxT minT rain fapar FAPAR index Rain (mm) and temperature (°C) Skukuza Punda Maria PCA Accumulated rain rain 0.5 fapar 0 0 -0.5 minT 0.4 meanT 0.2 0.6 maxT PC1 1 PC3 PC2 1 maxT Accumulated rain 0.5 meanT 0 -0.5 minT 0 fapar 0.5 -0.5 -1 rain PC2 1 0.8 rain 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0.2 -0.2 0 -0.4 Accumulated rain -0.6 fapar minT 0.4 meanT 0.6 maxT PC1 0.5 maxT meanT minT rain 0 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 PC3 PC2 Satara PCA Accumulated rain 0 0.2 0.6 fapar -0.5 -1 0.4 PC2 0.8 Ondersabie PCA rain 0.8 0.6 0.4 rain fapar -0.2 0 -0.21E-15 minT 0.2 0.4 0.6 meanT -0.4 -0.6 maxT PC1 1 fapar 0.5 PC3 PC2 0.2 maxT -0.5 minT 0 0 meanT 0.5 1 -0.5 rain -1 PC2 Phenological metric Calculating the metric 1 evergreen fraction Lowest FAPAR limit for non-riverine pixels 2 start of tree leaf-out When a four time-step moving average is exceeded by the FAPAR signal 3 maximum tree FAPAR Find woody cover % for each pixel using the woody cover map by Bucini et al, 2010; assume that tree leaf-out is complete in three weeks 4 start of grass leaf-out Subtract the tree signal from the total FAPAR. When a four time-step moving average is exceeded by a value in the grass greenness dataset, grass leaf-out has begun 5 maximum grass FAPAR Intercept of y axis 180 1 0.9 160 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 140 120 100 80 60 40 maxT minT rain fapar 1 20 0 Dekad dates FAPAR index Rain (mm) and temperature (°C) Skukuza 2005/06 growing season 180 160 5 140 120 100 80 60 2 40 20 3 4 1 0 Dekad dates 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 maxT minT rain fapar FAPAR index Rain (mm) and temperature (°C) Skukuza 2005/06 growing season 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0.6 maxT 0.5 minT 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 1 0 Dekad dates FAPAR index Rain (mm) and temperature (°C) Skukuza 2005/06 growing season rain tree leaf-out grass leaf-out Conclusions and Future Work • The findings from this work will be used to suggest how savanna systems are likely to respond to changing future climates projected by climate models • Statistically link each metric with a climate cue – wavelet analysis may be an option • Find these climate cues in future climate projections and suggest future productivity for trees and grasses in the KNP Acknowledgements • South African Weather Service, Agricultural Research Council: raw weather data • Marc Pienaar: assistance with interpolation of weather data • Linda Hunt: extraction of MISR FAPAR data • CSIR: funding References Archibald, S. and Scholes, R.J. (2007) Leaf leaf-out in a semi-arid African savanna – separating tree and grass responses to environmental cues, Journal of Vegetation Science, 18, pp. 583-594. Chidumayo, E.N. (2001) Climate and phenology of savanna vegetation in southern Africa, Journal of Vegetation Science, 12, pp. 347-354. Wessels, K.J., Prince, S.D., Zambatis, N., MacFadyen, S., Frost, P.E., and Van Zyl, D. (2006) Relationship Between Herbaceous Biomass and 1-km² Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) NDVI in Kruger National Park, South Africa, International Journal of Remote Sensing, 27(5), pp. 951-973, DOI: 10.1080/01431160500169098.
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