12/15/2014 Unit 2-2: Investigating Canada’s Changing Demographics Reasons for Population Increase and Decrease (Handout - 2.9) Factors That Influence Population Change (Handout - 2.10, 2.11) Reading Graphs (Handout - Reading Graphs) Mini Grammar Lesson Population Change Let’s brainstorm reasons for population change. Think/Pair /Share What would make the population of a village, town, city or country change? List two reasons for the population to increase and decrease. Urbanization (Handout - 2.13: 2 pages) Sex and Age Population Structures (Handout - 2.14: 2 pages, 2.15: page 1 of 2, Figure 1: Canada’s Population Pyramid, 1996, Population Pyramid of Canada 2010, POPULATION PYRAMID x 2) What are some reasons for population change? What could cause Canada’s population to decrease? What could cause Canada’s population to increase? War Peace Sickness/disease Health Emigration (leaving a country) Immigration (coming into a country) No Job/Unemployment Jobs/Employment 1 12/15/2014 Review “Handout 2.9 Reasons for Population to Decrease and Increase” What are some differences among the words? What are some words with opposite meaning? What are some push/pull factors to do with population increase or decrease? Examples: Push Factor Pull Factor No land Cheap land for farms Too many people A lot of empty land No schools A good school system No hospital A hospital and health care system, etc. In addition, these reasons for population increase/decrease are usually used to describe why people move from one country to another (immigration, emigration). Push Factor: reasons for leaving your own country. (e.g. unemployment, lack of freedom of speech, etc.) Pull Factor: factors that attract a person to a country. (e.g. freedom of speech, employment opportunities, etc.) Why do push factors cause population to decrease? Push factors cause population to decrease because they make people not want to live there, it is unsafe, or no opportunities. Why do pull factors cause population to increase? Pull factors cause population to increase because they offer a more comfortable life that maybe safer and with more opportunities. 2 12/15/2014 Review “Handout 2.10 Demographic Terms”. Review “Handout 2.11 Factors That Influence Population Change” Underline familiar words Guess the meaning of new words Do any of the familiar or new words fit into the blank space? Take a look at your textbook print out of Chapter 15 for some definitions. Add any of this vocabulary into your Personal Dictionaries 5. To find the country's population growth rate, add birth rate and death rate and the net migration rate together. 6. If you look at how long it takes a country's population to double by using the country's populations growth, this is called the doubling time. 7. By dividing 70 by the growth rate, you can find out how many years it will take for the population figure to double. This formula is called the Rule of 70. Answers: 1. Demography is the study of human population. 2. The measurement called the birth rate shows the relationship between the number of live births and the size of the population. 3. The rate of natural increase (RNI) is the birth rate minus the death rate. 4. You can find a country's net migration rate by subtracting the immigration rate from the emigration rate. 8. A special kind of graph called the Population Pyramid shows horizontal bar graphs. It makes it easier to see dependency loads of older and younger people. dependency load: portion of the population that is not in the work force; total people under fourteen and over 65. Rule of 70 for population growth Rule of 72 for financial data 3 12/15/2014 Review definitions from textbook: Immigrate: Emigrate: Migration: Demography: Rate of Natural Increase (RNI) (Natural Increase Rate): Net Migration: Emigration Rate: Immigration Rate: Population Growth Rate: Birth Rate: Death Rate: Doubling Time: Dependency load: Population Pyramid: Intro to the Graph 1. What do the graphs tell us? The graph tells us about the Canadian population over time. 2. Describe the pattern of the graphed information that you observe from the two graphs. What does this pattern mean? The pattern is that the Canadian population is steadily increasing over time. The patterns on graphs can be used to predict or tell us what will happen in the future. 3. What do you think will happen in the future? The Canadian population will keep on increasing steadily. Review the handout “Reading Graphs” Why are graphs used? What are the advantages of putting information in a graphed form? 1. 2. 3. Easy to tell what the data is about Easy to see the numbers Easy to identify the pattern What should all graphs have? Title and clearly labelled x- and y- axis Clear printed numbers in even increments Line vs. Bar Graph 4. Which year shows the largest growth? What graph did you use? 2013; 0.58 million difference between 2012 and 2013 Bar Graph 5. What may have caused the rate to increase? The Provinces/Territories of Alberta (up 3.4 per cent), Nunavut (2.5 per cent) and Saskatchewan (1.9 per cent) have shown an increase. Statistics Canada said the growth in Alberta was due to record levels of international migration and people arriving from other provinces. 6. What is the difference between a line graph and a bar graph? Putting information in a line graph may have advantages that using a bar graph may not have, for example, patters can be seen; the graph reader does not have to see/read all the numbers before seeing a pattern. 4 12/15/2014 The total population in Canada was last recorded at 35.4 million people in 2013 from 17.9 million in 1960, changing 97 percent during the last 50 years. Population in Canada averaged 26.59 Million from 1960 until 2013, reaching an all time high of 35.35 Million in 2013 and a record low of 17.91 Million in 1960. Concept Review – EXIT SLIP 8. Review your notes on push/pull factors to interpret growth rate. Write 3 statements to account for the change in Canadian population over time using the following structure: EXAMPLE: The line and bar graph (above) of growth in Canadian population shows that Canada has a large population. Understanding the Graph 7. In a small group, write five questions about the graph’s information and exchange it with the group behind you. EXAMPLE: Question: What is the population in the year 2004? Answer: 31.68 million Mini Grammar Lesson: What is the language structure necessary to ask for and state speculations? Would is used to give the meaning of possibility, choice, or preference. “What would happen if…?” E.g. “Would you like to live in a urban or rural settlement?” We know this because we can see from the graph that Canada’s population is currently 35.35 million. 5 12/15/2014 We are going to look at two examples of population change in Canada and what the effects might be if there is change. Use Chart Paper (fold in half-portrait): "What would happen if the number of men and women changed in the Canadian population?" "What would happen if all Canadians moved from farmlands to cities?" How to find percentages : (#/total #) * 100 We are going to use “Handout 2.13 Urban or Rural?” to look at population distribution of Canada in terms of urban or rural populations expressed in a percentage . With the person behind you, brainstorm the consequences of these actions. Remember to use urban instead of city and rural instead of farmland. Use the structure: If all Canadians moved to the cities, maybe _________ would _________________. "What would happen if all Canadians moved from farmland to cities?" Use Chart Paper: List the reasons why the Canadian urban population would increase and rural population decrease. Remember "push" and "pull" factors for coming to/leaving a country. These are also used for deciding to leave one area of Canada to move to another, for example, from rural to urban, or from urban to rural. To reinforce concepts and vocabulary, create 5 questions using the words and suggestions from the T-chart. Then give it to the person beside you to answer your questions. Reasons for Population Increase more jobs more schools more doctors/hospitals Reasons for Population Decrease no jobs fewer schools fewer doctors/hospitals E.g. Question: What would happen if there were more jobs in urban areas? Answer: If there were more jobs in urban areas, people from rural areas would move and the urban population would increase. 6 12/15/2014 Now we are going to look at the second example of population change in Canada and what the effects might be if there is change. "What would happen if the number of men and women changed in the Canadian population?" With the person behind you, brainstorm the consequences of these actions. The population is made up of males and females and age groups. So what would happen is our population changed? We are going to pose and present speculative questions on these changes using “Handout 2.14 Speculation: Population Change” You should interview another teacher and one student. What were some of your responses that you received? Write on Chart Paper Many negative effects can be felt as a result of the four possible cases posed. What might some some of these negative effects be? Write on Chart Paper Chart Paper ? Speculation What can be done to make sure that these negative effects are not felt by the Canadian population? Who does this? Whose job is it to see into the future about possible problems? How do they look into the future? The population pyramid is one of the tools the government uses to look into the future; predict what problems there may be in the future; try to stop negative effects from population changes. A population pyramid is a graph that shows population distribution by age and sex for a given area at a given time. Negative effects There are generally three types of population pyramids created from age-sex distributions--expansive, constrictive and stationary. EXPANSIVE population pyramids show larger numbers or percentages of the population in the younger age groups. These types of pyramids are usually found in populations with very large fertility rates and lower than average life expectancies. The age-sex distributions of many Third World countries would probably display expansive population pyramids. CONSTRICTIVE population pyramids display lower numbers or percentages of younger people. The age-sex distributions of the United States fall into this type of pyramid. STATIONARY or near-stationary population pyramids display somewhat equal numbers or percentages for almost all age groups. Of course, smaller figures are still to be expected at the oldest age groups. The age-sex distributions of some European countries, especially Scandinavian ones, will tend to fall into this category. 7 12/15/2014 Review “Handout 2.15 Population Pyramid (page 1 of 2)” What do you see when covering one side and then the other? Answer the two question on the handout. Review handout “Figure 1: Canada’s Population Pyramid, 1996” We will create a population pyramid of Canada from the last census. Use the handouts “Population Pyramid of Canada 2010” and POPULATION PYRAMID” Note that it is best to construct population pyramids using percentages rather than numbers since this makes it possible to compare countries with different size populations. Then we will gather data and create a population pyramid for our class. Now we will compare the two pyramids: Answer the questions on the “Population Pyramid of Canada 2010” handout. Human populations are an important part of the study of geography. Not only are people unevenly distributed in Canada, but they also vary greatly in terms of age and sex distribution. Is there a difference between the two pyramids? Why? Same goes for the world. Some countries, such as Ethiopia, have a young population, meaning that a high percentage of the total population is below the age of 15 years. Other countries, such as Spain, have an aging population, meaning that an increasing percentage of the people are older than 65 years. Understanding the distribution of population in terms of age and sex is important in understanding a country’s well-being and the challenges it faces. WORLD POPULATION PYRAMID From 1950 to 2050 http://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/worldpopulation-pyramid 8
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