WHOLESALE DISTRIBUTION: HOW A LOYALTY PROGRAM CAN HELP June 2016 Bryan Ball, Vice President and Group Director, Supply Chain and Global Supply Management Practices Report Highlights p3 80% of wholesale distributors say that they are concerned about the impact to costs and profitability with the increase of B2C orders. p4 The leaders are more than 2x as likely to recognize that to offset new requirements they must improve their efficiency through automation and rethink how they are managing their resources. p7 93% of Leaders have the ability to collaborate with customers at a strategic level. This report will examine the challenges facing Wholesale Distributors, and review how the business model requirements have changed as a result of B2B and B2C Convergence, the capabilities that the distributors have in place to address these changes, and where performance gaps exist. Based on the shortcomings we will point out how a loyalty program could in fact improve performance and help distributors address many of these challenges. p8 77% of Leaders have the ability to segment their supply chain based on customer profile data. Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help 2 Wholesale Distributors are under siege from several fronts and must reinvent themselves in order to compete in the digital economy going forward. Wholesale Distributors are under siege from several fronts and must reinvent themselves in order to compete in the digital economy going forward. Many of these businesses were founded on relationships that have grown based on the need for distribution services as well as customer and supplier loyalty over time. The channels that were clearly defined for years are dynamically shifting due to the disruptive force of eCommerce and its impact on the duties of wholesale distributors. They now find themselves not only managing their B2B business, but their own and their customers’ eCommerce initiatives as well. Whether by choice or by force they are in the retail fulfillment business as a result of these market changes, as discussed in our research, B2B & B2C Convergence: A Call to Action. The question is, how should wholesale distributors respond to the changes and how does it affect their business model, which has been stable and well-defined for decades? Understanding the Changes in Wholesale Distribution Before jumping to a solution it’s important to recognize what distributors are now dealing with. The first realization is that they are facing more challenging and complex fulfillment requirements, as reported by 87% of distributors, who indicate they see eCommerce and multi-channel or cross-channel demand impacts. This is driving an increase in direct-tocustomer shipments - 61% have direct-to-home delivery models. These fundamental business changes are resulting in some real challenges at the planning and execution level (see sidebar “Impacts of B2B/B2C Convergence”). Convergence Supporting B2B and B2C convergence impacts the distributor’s labor and freight costs to fulfill the increasing shift to unit www.aberdeen.com 3 Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help shipments from traditional bulk shipments. Adopting more efficient warehouse processes and responding profitably to these changes was the most-cited pressure (70% overall) for managers looking to address the reduction of operating expenses. Fifty percent of all companies, on average, seek to “improve labor efficiency and workforce productivity by reassessing management software” and 63% of the leaders are improving throughput capacity. Impacts of B2B/B2C Convergence • • Figure 1 highlights these critical areas of change that distributors tackle within their day-to-day operations as a result of the convergence and omni-channel fulfillment requirements. • Figure 1: Challenges Resulting from Convergence • • 80% of wholesale distributors say that they are concerned about the impact to costs and profitability with the increase of B2C orders Increase in order density and the growth in B2C order types Labor/shipping costs due to the introduction of more split case quantity fulfillment and parcel delivery Compression in the order-todelivery cycle time that comes with matching same-day and 2day delivery for the new B2C orders Manual and special offline processing as traditional B2B EDI systems are supplanted by more complex manual flows like email/fax and phone orders Source: Aberdeen Group, April 2016 At the heart of the matter is the requirement to take on multiple channels for sales and logistics – all while trying to maintain www.aberdeen.com 4 Leader (top 30%) Advantage Versus less automated Followers (remaining 70% of companies): • • • • 95.4% of orders delivered to customers complete and ontime outbound vs 86.4% 94.6% of orders received from inbound customers complete and on-time vs 84.8% -0.5% decrease in total landed per unit costs in the past year vs +8.5% increase -7.5% decrease in the frequency of out-of-stock inventory in the past year vs .9% increase Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help their original cost profile. The Leaders are 65% more likely to see this challenge because they are out in front attempting to address these issues (see sidebar for definition of Leaders). As a result of the shift from bulk shipments to shipping single units to end customers, there is an increase in SKU’s for packaging options that must be managed in terms of inventory as well as buying and stocking requirements - another added set of costs. The Leaders are more than twice as likely to recognize that in order to offset new requirements they must improve efficiency through automation and rethink how they are managing and deploying their resources. Automation is one of the key areas where the Leaders are actively addressing the challenge and recovering some of their costs, as discussed in our recent report, Digital Economy in Wholesale: Customers, Suppliers & the Workforce. All of these changes are viewed as value-added services to the Followers, who are not as far along in recognizing the changes required. Leaders, however, are already engaged in dealing with omni-channel issues and SKU proliferation through automation and revamping their systems. Changing Business Model The net result of this upheaval is that wholesale distributors recognize that they can no longer meet every challenge and be all things to all customers. Distributors have seen their margins shrink as their costs increase, all as a result of fighting hard to hang on to their market share. But to compete with the likes of Amazon, they may be absorbing the freight costs just to retain the order. And the pressure continues to mount with same- or next-day delivery being offered by eCommerce providers. A key factor to assist in modifying your business model is to leverage www.aberdeen.com 5 Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help the loyal relationships you have established over the years and solve some of these business problems in new ways. This may also mean leveraging their own suppliers and manufacturers in ways they’ve not considered before. The bottom line is that change is required and there are alternatives. Continuing to operate with a “business as usual” approach is the mistake they cannot afford to make. Where and How Loyalty and Relationships Play a Role For distributors, redefining the value of their longstanding relationships through a formal loyalty program is a positive way of quantifying and establishing that value. In our view, a basic framework for a loyalty program consists of an attitudinal (qualitative) component as well as a behavioral (quantifiable) component. The attitudinal component involves a customer advocating on their supplier’s behalf as reference or as an open endorsement. It could be as simple as declaring openly to their employees who their distributor is. The behavioral component is much more quantifiable and typically tied to a desired improvement such as growth, service or profitability. Read the full report, “B2B and B2C Convergence: A Call to Action” Related Research "Digital Economy in Wholesale: Customers, Suppliers & the Workforce" Historically, loyalty may have been based on the fundamentals of both components, such as stocking the product, having it available at a competitive price, and delivering it in a timely manner. This fundamental model served both traditional customers and suppliers who wanted a reliable distributor to stock and make their product available. Today, loyalty goes beyond the basics of pricing, stocking, and delivery. While still important factors, establishing a loyalty program in current market conditions enables distributors to www.aberdeen.com 6 Having the ability to collaborate with customers on a strategic level comes from the relationships and longstanding loyalties that exist in wholesale distribution. Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help highlight where they offer differentiated support, the value that support provides via program benefits, and how they might partner further with their customers and suppliers to address the new challenges they all face. Segmenting the business to better understand the customer and your relationship to them is one of the first steps in establishing a loyalty program. Are they affected by the convergence issues identified in Figure 1? If so, how? Are they aware? If convergence does not come into play, then growth and volume or new product introductions may be more important objectives. By segmenting the business, and understanding the relationship, a well-designed loyalty program can drive the desired behaviors. Using the information gleaned from segmentation to design and establish the loyalty program will help leverage the relationship in the smartest way possible. To effectively evaluate all the options, however, it’s important to recognize the maturity level wholesale distributors have in place when it comes to process capabilities and technology enablers that determine their preparedness and agility in addressing problems and building new initiatives. Approaching a loyalty program with the intent of finding solutions may lead to an evolved business model that identifies and leads them to new opportunities they have never considered. Capability Challenges for Distributors We now consider the capabilities that distributors have in place to address the changes in market requirements and deal with them effectively. We look at it from the standpoint of recognizing and managing the demand for their business, and then in terms of the ability to identify the impacts on cost and profitability. www.aberdeen.com 7 Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help Understanding and Managing the Demand for the Business Figure 2 (page 8) highlights key processes involved in interpreting business demand and the tools they have in place to identify and pick up on the changes. Prior to the impacts driven by convergence and omni-channel fulfillment, managing the demand was a volumetric question, and the source of the input was static. As we saw from Figure 1, that has clearly changed and the challenge is managing across multiple sales and logistics channels, which adds a significant level of complexity. Having the ability to collaborate with customers on a strategic level stems from the relationships and longstanding loyalties that exist in wholesale distribution. All levels of maturity indicate that this is a strength, but Leaders have a clear edge being 93% more likely to have this in place, which is a strong indicator of how important relationships and loyalties are in the wholesale distributor business. Omni-channel fulfillment is more about inventory positioning than volume, and when it comes to service, not having the visibility and/or the tools to see the tradeoffs puts the Followers at a disadvantage if they plan to take on the omnichannel challenge. The ability to understand the tradeoffs between service level and inventory investment is a clear differentiator and huge advantage for the Leaders, who are 83% more likely to have the capability in place. www.aberdeen.com 8 Read the full report, “What has Changed in Wholesale Distribution: 2015 & Beyond” Related Research "Operational Readiness for B2B and B2C Convergence: Are You Prepared?" Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help Figure 2: Managing and Planning the Business 93% Ability to collaborate with the customer on a strategic level 63% Ability to better understand tradeoffs between service level and inventory investment 86% 47% Ability to segment the demand forecasts based on key product-customer characteristics Leaders 73% Followers 43% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Percentage of Respondents n=162 100% Source: Aberdeen Group, April 2016 Omni-channel fulfillment is more about inventory positioning than volume, and when it comes to service, not having the visibility and/or tools to see the tradeoffs puts the Followers at a competitive disadvantage. The lack of segmentation capabilities shown by the majority of the Followers also prevents them from properly determining the breakdown of volume by channel to the level where they can allocate inventory more effectively. Less than half of the Followers (70% of all respondents) have the operating capabilities to determine and plan for demand by channel. This highlights that even though relationships may be strong, with the exception of the Leaders, the majority of distributors are not equipped to properly manage the challenges of convergence. www.aberdeen.com Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help 9 Room for Improvement Figure 3 further confirms the challenges facing distributors when it comes to properly identifying and allocating costs effectively to determine profitability. Figure 3: Cost Tracking and Allocation Capability Ability to segment supply chain based on customer profile data -1.93x 77% 40% 71% Event tracking- 1.61x 44% Tracking actual total landed cost as shipment / order progresses - 1.54x 57% 37% Online visibility into accrued supply chain costs - 1.09x 48% 44% Cost-to-Serve modeling at item / product / customer level 3.5x 35% Leaders Followers 10% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Percentage of Respondents n=135 The Leaders are better equipped to deal with the changes, but even they don’t have all the pieces in place when it comes to cost-to-serve information to determine profitability in all of their channels and for all their products and customers. 100% Source: Aberdeen Group, April 2016 The Leaders are in position to segment the supply chain with customer profile data, tracking and monitoring events effectively, and tracking total landed costs as an order progresses, but even they fall under 50% when it comes to visibility into accrued costs. Cost-to-serve modeling at the item, product, and customer level is at 35%, which points out that even the Leaders are struggling to properly identify their true costs in an omni-channel environment. www.aberdeen.com 10 A loyalty program can also act as an enabler to help identify where opportunities exist, through use of analytics, to attribute and allocate costs in a basic program that were previously unrecognized. Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help The Followers are below 50% in every area of costing, and at 10%, are barely in the game when it comes to cost-to-serve. The net result is that wholesale distributors are facing the disruptive force of eCommerce, which has resulted in the convergence of B2B and B2C workflows and customer fulfillment. The Leaders are better equipped to deal with the changes, but even they don’t have all the pieces in place when it comes to cost-to-serve information and profit visibility in all of their channels for all of their products and customers. The bottom line is that wholesale distribution is under extreme pressure and needs to leverage all means possible to identify and hold on to their market share. That may mean a shift or change to their business model to minimize the disruptive segments they might currently be supporting. The one area of strength reported by both Leaders and Followers is their ability to collaborate at the strategic level with their customers as shown in Figure 2, which has been built on relationships and loyalty over time. A loyalty program can be used as the catalyst to begin leveraging those relationships in a smarter, more impactful way. Loyalty Program: How It Works Distributors need to realize they are not in this alone. The customers they have historically supplied and the manufacturers that they have represented have a vested interest in their success. A program of some kind may already exist to create incentives for growth. The specifics may vary, but providing a benefit for a level of performance is the key behind a basic incentive program. Many of these options could be in place in part or in whole, but realize that every distributor is considering these options as well. A formal loyalty program can go much further than having the ability to track, monitor, and provide www.aberdeen.com 11 Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help analytics for basic incentive programs. Some other options that are often identified and considered in formal loyalty programs that support both attitudinal and behavioral components are: • Exclusive, targeted promotions • Exclusive access • Rewards catalogs accumulating points • Product knowledge/training • Event attendance • Access to/support for distribution options (for example, ship direct-to-store or earn same day delivery for being a top-tier loyal customer) • Business line of credit • Supplier access to customers A loyalty program can also act as an enabler to help identify opportunities, and through the use of analytics, better attribute and allocate previously unrecognized costs. In addition to some of the fundamental approaches, now is the time to rethink where truly differentiated, value- added services will make a difference in a way that minimizes the costs to support them, or that can be quantified to provide the best bang for the buck for the investment in a service. Tradeoff for Distributors to Consider Being able to segment the business by item/customer and channel is the starting point for establishing where value-added services can make a difference, and where the pain exists. The www.aberdeen.com 12 Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help business model is changing as a result of convergence, and identifying where those changes have occurred is the key. Pricing and service might both be factors if the desired behavior is to drive more volume for a product or customer. Offering an incentive for growth, or targeted promotions to drive new business must be well measured and documented. On the service side, should the business try to handle direct customer shipments for all channels and products? And if so, can they afford to absorb the freight and ship next-day or even sameday? Every distributor needs to make their own determination, and some customers or segments will warrant the commitment to take on the specific challenge. For example, does it protect a large segment of business or market share by offering direct customer shipments? A longstanding customer that constitutes a large segment of revenue may be worth that support. But even then the parameters and conditions should be well-defined. It may be only next-day or second-day service and not same-day, or it may be for only certain branded product segments. Likewise, does the extra service support a brand or unique product that needs the market coverage in order to continue the relationship? As a stocking distributor, supporting large product segments and brands may be the primary reason for the distributor’s existence. However, that does not mean all suppliers/manufacturers should get the same treatment. Handling “one off” requests may have been feasible, but when 61% indicate they have direct-tocustomer delivery models, that option should be at a premium. The engagement criteria must be clear. Since handling eCommerce requirements and omni-channel fulfillment is the key driver behind increased costs, these evaluations should be reviewed against the established policies of a loyalty program. www.aberdeen.com 13 Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help The loyalty program in this case can become an enabler to initiating the discussion with customers and/or manufacturers, which may result in very tailored services or solutions. For example, in certain zip codes where a direct shipment is involved, it might be best for the manufacturer/supplier to handle the order, rather than the distributor. There are many tradeoffs to consider, but having a formal loyalty program that can track, monitor, and flag exceptions — along with the supporting analytics to measure the cost-to-serve and effectiveness of policies that are really loyalty-driven issues — can be a game changer as well as a catalyst for categorizing and defining services up front through better segmentation. It can also better capture their true cost-to-serve through improved tracking and attribution of costs to understand profitability. In some cases, a loyalty program may be used to reshape relationships for certain products or markets by creating limits for service in areas that are not strategic, and possibly unprofitable. The discussion with customers, manufacturers, and suppliers on pain points may generate more creative approaches that benefit the entire value chain. loyalty comes from the commitment to work together and formally defining it. For the distributor, it moves the discussion from “business as usual” across the board to “business that supports and rewards the loyalty of our customers and suppliers.” Key Takeaways and Recommendations Wholesale distributors must undergo change in order to survive in the digital economy. The changes fostered by the convergence of B2B and B2C have chipped away at the traditional channels to www.aberdeen.com 14 Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help the point where distributors are serving an omni-channel marketplace by design or by force. Even the Leaders are challenged to address these issues, and need to pick and choose where and how they will fight to maintain and grow their business. Establishing a formal loyalty program can provide a mechanism to encourage and reward the behavior and loyalty of the customers, manufacturers, and suppliers the distributor chooses to support. A loyalty program framework can also help distributors allocate their costs to quickly recognize where opportunities and unprofitable situations exist. Wholesale distributors need to shift their business model and change their approach in order to survive. Establishing a strong loyalty program may be the catalyst that helps them through these changing times. www.aberdeen.com Wholesale Distribution: How a Loyalty Program Can Help 15 For more information on this or other research topics, please visit www.aberdeen.com. Related Research Profitable Omni-Channel Fulfillment: Enterprise Wide Labor; January 2016 B2B and B2C Convergence: A Call to Action; July 2014 Digital Economy in Wholesale: Customers, Suppliers & the Workforce; September 2015 What has Changed in Wholesale Distribution: 2015 & Beyond; February 2015 Author: Bryan Ball, Vice President and Group Director, Supply Chain and Global Supply Management Practices ([email protected]) About Aberdeen Group Since 1988, Aberdeen Group has published research that helps businesses worldwide improve their performance. Our analysts derive fact-based, vendor-agnostic insights from a proprietary analytical framework, which identifies Best-in-Class organizations from primary research conducted with industry practitioners. The resulting research content is used by hundreds of thousands of business professionals to drive smarter decision-making and improve business strategy. Aberdeen Group is headquartered in Boston, MA. This document is the result of primary research performed by Aberdeen Group and represents the best analysis available at the time of publication. Unless otherwise noted, the entire contents of this publication are copyrighted by Aberdeen Group and may not be reproduced, distributed, archived, or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent by Aberdeen Group. www.aberdeen.com 12385
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