EXPENDITURE INFLEXIBILITY IN THE STATE BUDGET: THE FISCAL POLICY LATITUDE OF THE COUNCIL OF STATE IN FINLAND PENTTI MEKLIN, JUHA LIINAVUORI AND JUKKA NUMMIKOSKI This paper deals with expenditure inflexibility, which has a crucial bearing on the fiscal latitude which the government has in the preparation of the Finnish state budget. The government’s fiscal latitude, i.e. the possibilities available to the government to increase, decrease or change state expenditures is restricted by various mechanisms. The source material used in this study consists of budget documents and interviews with officials involved in preparing the budget; use was also made of earlier studies relating to this subject. Our major findings fall into three groups. (i) If the degree of inflexibility is used as a basis for classification, four classes of expenditure can be identified in the Finnish state budget: expenditure controlled by statute, expenditure controlled by agreement, expenditure controlled by authorization and expenditure without formal control. (ii) In the budget for 1996, 92 per cent of expenditure was controlled in various ways, leaving only 8 per cent that was flexible. The conclusion can be drawn from this that without changing the mechanisms that bind expenditures, the government’s ability to alter fiscal policy in the budget of a single year is very limited. In the 1990s the proportion of statute-controlled expenditures has decreased and the proportion of agreement-controlled and authorization-controlled expenditures has increased. Nevertheless fiscal latitude has grown. (iii) The material used for comparison showed that there is a similar problem in other countries, but that the mechanisms governing expenditure inflexibility and the fiscal latitude that governments may enjoy can vary. INTRODUCTION During the last few decades in different countries the state budget has to an ever-increasing degree become an instrument of control in the public economy and in the national economy as a whole (see Schick 1990a; and Wildavsky and Jones 1994). The share of the public sector in the national economy has grown rapidly in many countries, and major changes in a national economy can happen very quickly. Many national economies have suffered from unemployment, a reduction in national product, problems in the balance of current accounts and public sector deficit problems. At the same time, the political leaders of these countries are expected to solve such problems, and in this the state budget is a central instrument (Leonard et al. 1995). Pentti Meklin is Professor of Local Public Economics; Juha Liinavuori and Jukka Nummikoski are research students in the Department of Local Government Studies at the University of Tampere, Finland. Public Administration Vol. 78, No. 1, 2000 (193–207) Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000, 108 Cowley Road, Oxford OX4 1JF, UK and 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148, USA. 194 PENTTI MEKLIN, JUHA LIINAVUORI AND JUKKA NUMMIKOSKI The initial stimulus to this study was the observation that in fact the government does not have much influence over the budget-drafting process, because the expenditures have been fixed beforehand by statutes and other binding mechanisms. Our main idea was to study the inflexibility of budget expenditure and then the focus of our research shifted to the question of how much fiscal policy latitude there is in the budget-drafting process. It is precisely the inflexibility of expenditure which restricts fiscal policy latitude, and so the study of the latter illuminates the former. The inflexibility of expenditure means that the state budget expenditures are determined by some statute, agreement or obligation which makes the inclusion of an expenditure in the budget mandatory. The control of expenditure can be real (political realities) or formal. The object of our research is the formal inflexibility of expenditure. An essential factor affecting inflexibility is the period of time over which it is monitored. When the period of time is long, there is less inflexibility, because in principle it is even possible to change all the statutes. An important practical situation where fiscal policy latitude is needed is the drafting of the next year’s budget. For this reason this research concentrates on latitude and inflexibility in the short run, in other words, on a situation where the government is drafting the next year’s budget. Change has occurred in recent years. As expenditure inflexibility has been charted before, we seek to ascertain how expenditure inflexibility mechanisms have changed in recent years. Our study has three main objectives: (i) to ascertain and classify the expenditure inflexibility mechanisms and any change in their composition and relative size between 1990 and 1996; (ii) to ascertain how big the proportion of the various types of inflexible expenditures was in the state budget for 1996 and how that proportion has changed between 1990 and 1996; and (iii) to ascertain what examples can be found of expenditure inflexibility in other countries. RESEARCH METHODS AND MATERIALS This research began by examining earlier studies on the subject, in search of inflexibility classifications for expenditure. As we are dealing with formal inflexibility created by existing statutes, we composed a classification of expenditure inflexibility mechanisms and studied the degree of flexibility in these classes according to the Finnish judicial system. At the same time, we also examined the changes which have taken place in the inflexibility mechanisms during the last few years. Using these findings and working together with a consultant group from the Finnish Ministry of Finance, we arrived at an inflexibility classification (Research Objective (i)) (table 2) Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 EXPENDITURE INFLEXIBILITY IN THE STATE BUDGET 195 which was different from previous classifications because of the changes in the inflexibility mechanisms. After that, we applied the classification to expenditures in the Finnish national budget proposals of 1996 in the inflexibility classification given below, and compared the proportion of the inflexible expenditure with that found by earlier research. Finally, we tried to elucidate the proportion of inflexible expenditures and how that proportion has changed (Research Objective (ii)). The validity of the placing of the expenditures in the inflexibility classification was ascertained by having the person in the Finnish Ministry of Finance responsible for each administrative sector (for example Agriculture and Forestry, Interior, Defence, Labour, etc.) examine the placement of expenditures which we had made. In this way we were able to make certain that the person having the best qualifications was responsible for the placement of expenditures. Alongside the empirical investigation of the situation in Finland, we tried to collect comparative material from other countries, although we were not able to find very much, even though a similar problem exists in many countries PREVIOUS RESEARCH ON THE INFLEXIBILITY OF BUDGET EXPENDITURES IN FINLAND In Finland, earlier studies on the inflexibility of expenditure date from 1964 (Ministry of Finance 1964), 1984 (Asumalahti), and 1992 (Nummikoski). In the last two, expenditure inflexibility is analysed by means of a classification consisting of the following four groups. The first class is composed of statutory expenditures. The second class consists of expenditure controlled by agreement, and the third one of discretionary expenditure controlled by statute. The last class is composed of expenditure without immediate formal inflexibility. The earlier Finnish studies examine the inflexibility of expenditure in 1980, 1985 and 1990, and use the financial statements by the government from 1980 as well as the national budget proposals from 1985 and 1990 as source material. The results from the previous research concerning expenditure inflexibility appear in table 1. The greater part of the expenditure in the table consists of inflexible expenditures. These expenditures are conTABLE 1 Inflexibility of expenditures in Finland’s National Budget (as % of total) according to the studies 1984 and 1992 Inflexible Partially flexible Wholly flexible Total 1980 1985 1990 68 9 23 100 73 8 19 100 75 12 13 100 Source: Asumalahti 1984 and Nummikoski 1992. Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 196 PENTTI MEKLIN, JUHA LIINAVUORI AND JUKKA NUMMIKOSKI trolled by laws and agreements. As far as these expenditures are concerned, the government has hardly any fiscal policy latitude. Regarding the partially flexible expenditures, the government possesses a little fiscal policy latitude. As to the third group, the government is completely free to practice any financial policy that it wishes. THE EVOLUTION OF THE INFLEXIBILITY CLASSES At first, our intention was to use for 1996 the same classification for expenditure inflexibility as was used in the earlier studies, but this was not possible owing to the many changes that had taken place since 1990. For this reason we devised a new, more relevant classification. There have been many fundamental changes and reforms in the Finnish public sector that have affected expenditure inflexibility. The most significant ones have been the reform of basic rights and the abrogation of a set of provisions on leaving a bill in abeyance. Before the latter provisions were abrogated, a minority group’s economic and social rights were primarily secured by leaving a bill in abeyance and not by the Constitution’s basic rights provision, as had happened in many other countries comparable to Finland. The leaving of a bill in abeyance was problematic in the management of the state economy, because, according to the provisions, a parliamentary minority of one-third could vote to put a bill into abeyance until after the next elections. The leaving of a bill in abeyance was often directed at laws making expenditure cuts introduced in connection with the budget proposal. When cut-backs were thus so difficult to make, almost the only means available to balance the budget was to increase state borrowing or enact new tax laws. In time, the set of provisions on leaving a bill in abeyance was amended several times, and it was finally abolished at the end of 1995. Basic economic and social rights that were earlier secured by these provisions were incorporated into the Constitution through the basic rights reform (Liinavuori 1996). The abrogation of the provisions on leaving a bill in abeyance has improved the ability of the Council of the State to influence the magnitude of expenditure in the budget through expenditure law amendments. Therefore, statutory expenditure can no longer be considered to be as inflexible as during the period when the provisions were in force. However, one exception to this is constituted by statutory expenditure that provides basic income security as defined in the Constitution: bills concerning this form of expenditure have to be processed according to the order of procedure required for the enactment of constitutional legislation. Other recent legislative changes that have influenced expenditure inflexibility include changes in the civil service legislation and the reform of the state grant legislation. The legislation on civil servants now includes ‘collective grounds for giving notice’ in accordance with the Contracts of Employment Act. On these grounds, a civil servant may be given notice for economic and production reasons, and so the inflexibility of personnel Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 EXPENDITURE INFLEXIBILITY IN THE STATE BUDGET 197 expenditure can no longer be considered as great as it was before the legislative reform. In the reformed state grant system, grants to municipalities are mainly determined by calculations based on objective factors, such as the number or age-classes of inhabitants instead of the earlier principle of ‘accepted expenditure level’. The aim of the reform has also been to remove the cost automation that was inherent in the old state grant system. In fact, state grants for municipalities have clearly decreased since the reform (Liinavuori 1996). In recent years there have also been changes in the budget structure which have influenced expenditure inflexibility. One of these changes has been the removal of certain functions from the budget. A particularly striking development in the early 1990s was the number of budget-linked state offices which were changed into enterprises outside of the state budget. The establishment of extra-budgetary funds (for example the State Pensions Fund) has also been characteristic of the reforms that have occurred in the control of expenditure. The removal of functions from the scope of the budget has contributed to the decrease in inflexible expenditures in the state budget. On the other hand, European Union membership has brought more expenditure inflexibility into the budget. Firstly, Finland pays her membership dues to the European Union; these are based on the gross domestic product and a value added tax base. Secondly, many expenditure items in the budget have become inflexible with respect to the Union’s operational policy. This is especially visible in the administrative sector of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. Other administrative sectors also have inflexible expenditure items with respect to EU structural and regional policies. Net budgeting and operational expenditure budgeting comprise other structural reforms to the budget that have influenced expenditure inflexibility. Because of these changes we constructed four inflexibility classes of expenditure, which are shown in table 2. The mechanisms through which inflexibility operates were actually used as differentiation criteria. The order of the classes does not directly reflect the magnitude of inflexibility. It is important to notice that expenditures controlled by statutes are often considered highly inflexible, but the government, however, can change laws unilaterally when a sufficient political consensus exists. Instead, expenditures controlled by agreement are normally based on a bilateral agreement, which can be changed only if both the contracting parties agree. In this respect it is, in fact, more difficult to influence expenditures controlled by agreement than expenditure which the government itself controls by statutes. The inflexibility classification includes four main classes: expenditure controlled by statute, expenditure controlled by agreement, expenditure controlled by authorization, and expenditure without formal control. Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 198 PENTTI MEKLIN, JUHA LIINAVUORI AND JUKKA NUMMIKOSKI TABLE 2 Expenditure in the 1990 and 1996 state budgets according to inflexibility classes, % Inflexibility class 1. EXPENDITURE CONTROLLED BY STATUTE Constitution Ordinary law Amount of expenditure controlled entirely partly free Administrative statute Amount of expenditure controlled entirely partly free 2. EXPENDITURE CONTROLLED BY AGREEMENT International agreement Membership payments EU-linked expenditure Foreign currency debt expenditure Labour market agreements Finnish mark debt expenditure Other commitments 3. EXPENDITURE CONTROLLED BY AUTHORIZATION 4. EXPENDITURE WITHOUT FORMAL CONTROL TOTAL 1990 1996 57 42 12 28 24 0 4 2 2 0 0 27 45 18 2 6 10 8 18 1 3 13 5 8 100 100 Expenditure controlled by statute These refer to expenditure resulting from laws or lower-level statutes, such as decrees or decisions by the Council of State. This class was divided into subclasses according to the level of statutes and further into groups according to how precisely the level of appropriations is fixed by the statutes. Expenditure controlled by agreement These consist of appropriated funds resulting from existing agreements binding the state. This class was also further divided into subclasses according to whether the expenditures were based on international agreements, labour market agreements or whether they were caused by the national debt. Expenditure controlled by authorization These include expenditure resulting from the use of authorization granted before 1996. All expenditures resulting from the use of earlier authorization have been placed in this class, whether the authorization is connected with expenditure controlled by law or agreement, or with discretionary expenditure. Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 EXPENDITURE INFLEXIBILITY IN THE STATE BUDGET 199 Expenditure without formal control These primarily consist of the expenditure of state offices other than consumption expenditures and investments concerning personnel. The classes of this inflexibility classification and their proportion of the expenditure in the 1996 budget are presented in the following table. To facilitate temporal comparison, the table also includes figures from the earlier study carried out in 1990. THE PROPORTION OF INFLEXIBLE EXPENDITURE IN 1996 AND ITS CHANGE SINCE 1990 The largest inflexibility class in 1996 comprises expenditure controlled by agreement (45 per cent). Within this class, the largest expenditure items are expenditures resulting from government loans (28 per cent). The proportion of expenditure controlled by statutes is 42 per cent: expenditures controlled by the Constitution cover 12 per cent of budget expenditure, expenditures controlled by ordinary laws account for 28 per cent, and expenditures controlled by administrative statutes for 2 per cent. The proportion of expenditure controlled by authorization and expenditure without formal control accounts for 5 per cent and 8 per cent, respectively. We completed the picture on the fiscal policy latitude of the Council of State by examining how the expenditures of different administrative sectors were being controlled. The percentual distribution of inflexible expenditure in the overall total of the state budget proposal according to different administrative sectors is presented in table 5. It shows that the constitutional laws governing citizens’ basic rights specifically control the expenditure of the administrative sectors of the Ministry of Social Affairs and Health, the Ministry of Labour and the Ministry of Environment. The expenditure of the administrative sectors of the Ministry of Justice, Ministry of the Interior and the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry are controlled by special agreements. Expenditures controlled by authorization are particularly those of the administrative sectors of the Ministry of Defence and the Ministry of Trade and Industry. Expenditures of the Ministry of Transport and Communications, especially the construction and maintenance of the transport network, are without formal control. In order to see how expenditure flexibility has developed, the 1996 figures can be compared with those of 1990 (see table 2). A comparison can only be made on the basis of the main classes, because the subclassifications differ in the years in question. The results of the comparison indicate that the proportion of expenditure controlled by statute in the new classification has decreased from 57 per cent to 42 per cent, while the proportion of expenditure controlled by agreement has increased from 27 per cent to 45 per cent. The proportion of expenditure controlled by authorization has slightly increased from 3 per cent to 5 per cent, whereas the proportion of expenditure without formal control has decreased from 13 per cent to 8 per cent. Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 200 PENTTI MEKLIN, JUHA LIINAVUORI AND JUKKA NUMMIKOSKI EXPENDITURE INFLEXIBILITY IN THE INTERNATIONAL CONTEXT The expenditure inflexibility problem is a familiar one in many countries and also in the EU. In the EU budget the terms compulsory and non-compulsory expenditures are used (article 203(4) and (9) EEC Treaty) (Commission of the European Communities 1995). The division is primarily a political one. It is a matter of decision-making power on the one hand between the EU’s organs and on the other hand between the member states. The concrete affects of this classification on the EU’s member states can be seen in the EU budget’s biggest expenditure class, agriculture, which is taken to be compulsory expenditure. This vague classification into compulsory and non-compulsory expenditures was clarified in 1982 (in a Joint Declaration). Then three organs (Parliament, the Council of Ministers and the Commission) proposed that compulsory expenditures are those which the organ using budgetary power has to include in the budget so that the Community can fulfil the internal and external obligations imposed by legislation and agreements. All other expenditures are non-compulsory (Commission of the European Communities 1994). The classification was applied in accordance with what is called the first budget agreement in the 1975 budget, when Parliament achieved decisionmaking power over non-compulsory expenditure, and has been in use ever since. Thus the EU Parliament does have some controlling power over expenditure and in addition it is able to put forward its own priorities. The Council of Ministers decides about compulsory expenditure. The proportion of compulsory expenditure has decreased. As can be seen in table 3. At present about 50 per cent of expenditure in the EU budget is compulsory and 50 per cent non-compulsory (Laffan 1997). Although the problem is known in EU-countries, only a few studies of it have been made, but in the USA there are some studies which use the concept of budget controllability (for example Widavsky and Jones 1994). These studies emphasizing controllability deal with inflexible expenditures, but they underline the judicial point of view. Instead, our study emphasizes the economic perspective and the judicial analysis of fiscal policy latitude receives less attention. In the following we will examine some specimen studies relating to state budget inflexibility in the United States and the Netherlands. TABLE 3 Expenditure inflexibility in the EU budget Compulsory Non-compulsory Total Source: Strasser 1991. Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 74 26 100 70 30 100 66 34 100 61 39 100 58 42 100 EXPENDITURE INFLEXIBILITY IN THE STATE BUDGET 201 In his study of the United States federal budget (which he bases on quantitative material), Weidenbaum (1965) estimates how much the Congress is able to influence federal expenditure. The influence was measured in terms of the possibility of controlling and significantly changing the President’s budget proposals during the budgetary process. Weidenbaum classifies the appropriations into four categories according to controllability. The appropriations represented by each of the categories are relatively uncontrollable. The research does not, however, examine the differences in the degree of controllability between the categories. According to Weidenbaum, the first category consists of trust funds, which include appropriations for social security for example. It is characteristic of the funds that they are financed by permanent appropriations, which do not require measures in the course of the budget year. According to Weidenbaum the appropriations of the funds are relatively uncontrollable. The second category of uncontrollable expenditure in Weidenbaum’s research is composed of appropriations whose common characteristic is that they are permanent and indefinite. As a typical permanent appropriation Weidenbaum mentions the payment of interest on the public debt. Indefinite appropriations are, for instance, pension contributions for civil servants. Indefinite appropriations allow a state office to consume a necessary sum if specially defined conditions are fulfilled on the part of the beneficiary. The third category consists of fixed charges caused by programmes the levels of spending of which are defined in statutes and not in the budgetary process. The largest programme in this category consists of pension payments and appropriations for veterans’ benefits. The fourth and last category of uncontrollable expenditure in Weidenbaum’s research consists of appropriations for partially completed investments. A good example of this are the construction projects whose realization takes several years, and which it is economically unsound to leave unfinished because of the costs which the project has already incurred. Weidenbaum claims that, in simple terms, the almost unassailable justification for the appropriations for these amounts is the old question: ‘What is the value of half a bridge?’ In his research Weidenbaum arrives at a result according to which some 73 per cent of the 1965 budget appropriations (appropriations allocated for military purposes have been excluded from the study) were relatively uncontrollable. According to Weidenbaum the greater part of the appropriations of the annual budget are determined automatically on the basis of the decisions made during the previous years. Finally, Weidenbaum concludes that the possibilities for the Congress to control federal appropriations are considerably slighter than has been officially assumed. More recent American research on the inflexibility of expenditure is represented here by Allen Schick’s work The Capacity to Budget (1990b), in which he has devoted a few pages to the examination of sticky expenditures. Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 202 PENTTI MEKLIN, JUHA LIINAVUORI AND JUKKA NUMMIKOSKI Borrowing from the concepts of economics, Schick uses the term sticky, which he explains by the fact that the closely related concepts rigid and inflexible in his opinion give a misleading impression that this kind of expenditure is totally inflexible. In fact, all expenditures are flexible if for instance the period of examination is long enough. According to Schick, sticky expenditures result from treaties and other international commitments, bonds obligating the payment of principal and interest, contractual obligations to producers of services, entitlements recorded in the statutes, and other commitments. Characteristic of sticky expenditures is their tendency to drift upward. Schick concludes that most sticky expenditures are controllable. Controllability, however, requires that changes be made in various control mechanisms, for example in treaties and statutes. Schick’s research covers federal expenditure between 1981 and 1988. The objective was to study what proportion of the federal expenditure growth results from sticky expenditures. The research material consisted of the published federal budget data. The research results consist of the annual increase in sticky expenditure expressed as a percentage. According to Schick, despite the incompleteness and inaccuracy of the data, the study gives a clear picture of the development which has taken place. During the period of examination, each year the increase in state expenditure was expressly due to the growth of sticky expenditure. In a study differing from Weidenbaum’s (1965) and Schick’s (1990b) methodological line on the controllability of the US federal defence expenditure, True (1995) comes to the conclusion according to which budget expenditure is controllable. Weidenbaum’s and Schick’s results on inflexibility and controllability are presented as percentages. Their studies emphasize the amount and increase of the inflexible or controlled expenditure. In True’s research results, on the other hand, the time factor is emphasized. True’s (1995) study is based on budget authority figures from the fiscal years 1969–1993. In his research, the more general policy changes affecting the federal budget in 1980–1993 were empirically tested using an interrupted time-series and two regression models. The starting point for True’s analysis is the idea that policy decisions influence budgetary decisions, and thereby affect the level of budget authority, which again affect budget controllability. According to True’s study, instead of marginal changes in accordance with the incrementalist tradition, the federal budget has gone through a lot of large-scale changes associated with changes made in government policy. For that reason the budget was controllable at least in the years 1980–1981 and 1985–1986. True explains controllability by the fact that during the above-mentioned years at least, the federal budget fulfilled the function for which it was assigned. In his research on the Netherlands, Kraan (1984) divides the inflexibility of expenditures into two classes: technical and political inflexibility. In the Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 EXPENDITURE INFLEXIBILITY IN THE STATE BUDGET 203 short run the budget is inflexible in practice, but budget flexibility is still necessary, especially in a recession or depression. According to Kraan, inflexibility is mainly due to the growth of social security expenditure in the industrial countries. Inflexibility is said to be the price which must be paid for living in a welfare society. Kraan (1984) defines flexibility as a possibility to phase, reduce or abrogate public expenditure in the budgetary decision-making process. Expenditures that are technically inflexible cannot be reduced in the short run because of the formal procedures associated with the expenditure, or the fact that the circumstances determining the expenditures are beyond the reach of political decision-making. A typical example of technically inflexible expenditures are those based on laws. These expenditures cannot be changed unless we change the laws regulating them. According to Kraan the expenditures in the first category are entirely flexible. The second category of technically inflexible expenditures consists of salaries based on collective labour and bargaining contracts of people working for the government or institutions predominantly dependent on government subsidies. The third category consists of expenditures that complement the whole, for example appropriations for partially completed investments. The expenditures in the second and third categories are, when viewed in the short-term examination, partly flexible. According to Kraan, the political inflexibility of expenditures is induced by reasons that can be divided into two main categories. The first one consists of the programmes based on law, and the second one of the programmes based on political agreements or politically accepted prognoses. By politically inflexible expenditures based on law Kraan means expenditures that are difficult to change, because changing the law is a political act. The degree of flexibility of the politically inflexible expenditures depends each time on the legal status of the programme. A high legal status provides more security to different interest groups: people entitled to benefits, bureaucrats, politicians and the public at large. As to the second category, the degree of flexibility depends on budget practices, and especially on the timespan of the budget. In many countries budgeting is still today an annual practice. However, an annual budget includes forecasts for several coming years, and therefore forecasts discussed unofficially will suddenly receive ‘official status’ when they are included in the annual budgetary process. Especially when government expenditure should be reduced because of the economic situation, the forecasts for future years will often lead to the opposite and increase expenditures. Kraan compares the results of his research with a study made in the Netherlands in 1980, concerning expenditure inflexibility. The results are presented below in table 4, where the expenditures are classified as inflexible, partly flexible and entirely flexible expenditures. In both the 1980 and 1982 studies, expenditure inflexibility is defined in the same way, but there Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 204 PENTTI MEKLIN, JUHA LIINAVUORI AND JUKKA NUMMIKOSKI TABLE 4 Expenditure inflexibility in the Netherlands national budget (as % of total) according to a study of 1980 Inflexible Partially flexible Wholly flexible Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 39 58 3 100 25 69 6 100 13 80 7 100 11 81 8 100 10 81 9 100 Source: Kraan 1984. appear to be slight differences as to how expenditures are classified into different flexibility groups. CONCLUSION This study has analysed the inflexiblity of expenditure in the Finnish state budget and the changes to this between 1990 and 1996. Inflexiblity has a major bearing on the fiscal latitude available to the government when the budget is being prepared. The study shows that (Research Objective (i)) expenditure inflexiblity mechanisms can be divided into four main classes; these distinguish between expenditure controlled by statute, expenditure controlled by agreement, expenditure controlled by authorization and expenditure without formal control. The composition and their relative size have changed between 1990 and 1996. For example, statutory expenditures, which were once regarded as being highly inflexible, are no longer as inflexible as they were at the beginning of the 1990s. The key factors behind this change were the abrogation of the provisions for leaving a parliamentary bill in abeyance and the reforms made to the civil service legislation. Thanks to the softening in the degree of expenditure flexibility, fiscal latitude has grown, and so the Council of State’s ability to decide whether or not expenditure should be included in the budget or to alter the totals for budget expenditures has improved. The study has demonstrated (Research Objective (ii)) that when the state budget is analysed in percentage terms, expenditure flexibility seems to have changed during the 1990s in two ways. First of all, the proportion of expenditures without formal control has decreased, or, put another way, inflexiblity deriving from inflexibility mechanisms has increased. In 1990, 87 per cent of expenditures were determined by laws, lower-level statutes, agreements or other obligations, while in 1996 the corresponding figure was 92 per cent. Secondly, the proportion of statute-controlled expenditures has decreased and that of agreement-controlled and authorization-controlled expenditures has increased. Lastly (Research Objective (iii)), this study indicated that the question dealt with here is a topical one in many countries, but as yet little research appears to have been carried out. Expenditure inflexibility mechanisms have been classified either generally or else on a basis specific to a certain Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 The percentual distribution of expenditure into inflexibility classes according to administrative sectors in the 1996 budget Class 1 Expenditure controlled by statute Constitution Administrative sector Ministry of Foreign Affairs Justice Interior Defence Finance Education Agriculture and Forestry Transport and Communications Trade and Industry Social Affairs and Health Labour Environment National debt Total % % of budget 1 1 3 4 12 12 6 3 2 21 5 2 28 100 ordinary law administrative statute amount of expenditure controlled amount of expenditure controlled entirely partly 7 20 3 free entirely partly free 7 3 45 25 44 1 48 66 4 1 1 51 3 1 9 1 3 5 2 2 1 2 44 3 2 19 EXPENDITURE INFLEXIBILITY IN THE STATE BUDGET Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 TABLE 5 205 206 Continued Class 2 Expenditure controlled by agreement international agreement Administrative sector Ministry of foreign % of membership EU-linked currency budget payments expenditures debt Foreign Affairs 1 Justice 1 Interior 3 Defence 4 Finance 12 Education 12 Agriculture and Forestry 6 Transport and Communications 3 Trade and Industry 2 Social Affairs and Health 21 Labour 5 Environment 2 National debt 28 Total % 100 12 Finnish mark other debt commitments 13 58 51 35 5 18 6 11 23 1 81 2 labour market agreements 12 35 Total % 49 5 2 26 11 1 5 9 6 Class 3 Class 4 Expenditure Expenditure controlled without by formal authorization control 14 65 41 1 3 2 17 43 1 3 16 19 32 17 24 15 9 4 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 47 14 100 100 100 100 100 100 5 8 PENTTI MEKLIN, JUHA LIINAVUORI AND JUKKA NUMMIKOSKI Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000 TABLE 5 EXPENDITURE INFLEXIBILITY IN THE STATE BUDGET 207 country, but we could not find any research that dealt with the problem on a very concrete level. Some reports from the countries we looked at revealed that problems similar to those in Finland can be found elsewhere. The issue of expenditure inflexibility has also been considered within the administration of the EU. Notwithstanding the limited amount of evidence available, it seems clear that in actual practice expenditure inflexibility mechanisms and fiscal latitude do differ between countries because of their different administrative systems; the differences would seem to be especially marked between countries with a common law-based system and those with a statute law-based one. REFERENCES Asumalahti, Esko. 1984. Valtion menojen sidonnaisuus. Helsinki: Valtiovarainministeriö, Budjetti- osasto [Inflexibility of state expenditures. Helsinki: Ministry of Finance, Budget Department. Unpublished Working Paper]. Commission of the European Communities. 1995. European Union public finance. The characteristics, rules and operation of the European financial system. Brussels: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities. —. 1994. The Community budget: the facts and figures. Kraan, D.J. 1984. ‘Towards more flexibility of government expenditure: some recent developments in the Netherlands’, Policy Sciences 16, 4, 413–27. Laffan, Brigit. 1997. The finances of the European Union. The European Union Series. London: Macmillan. Leonard, Brad, Joe Cook and Jane McNeil. 1995. ‘The role of budget and financial reform in making government work better and cost less’, Public Budgeting & Finance 15, 1, 4–26. Liinavuori, Juha. 1996. ‘Valtion talousarvion sisältämien sidottujen menojen vaikutus valtio-neuvoston finanssipoliittiseen liikkumavaraan ja siinä 1990-luvulla tapahtunut muutos’. Tampere: Tampereen yliopisto. [‘Inflexible expenditures of state budget and their effect on the fiscal policy latitude of the Council of State and the change occurring in the latitude during the 1990s’. Tampere: University of Tampere. Unpublished Master’s Thesis]. Nummikoski, Jukka. 1992. ‘Valtion talousarvioon sisältyvien menojen kontrolloimattomuus ja sen ilmentyminen muuttuvissa olosuhteissa’. Tampere: Tampereen yliopisto. [‘Uncontrollability of State Budget Expenditures and Their Viability in Turbulent Conditions’. Tampere: University of Tampere, Unpublished Master’s Thesis]. Schick, Allen. 1990a. ‘Budgeting for results: recent developments in five industrialized countries’, Public Administration Review 50, 1, 26–34. —. 1990b. The capacity to budget. Washington DC: The Urban Institute Press. —. 1966. ‘The road to PPB: the stages of budget reform’, Public Administration Review 26, 4, 243–58. Strasser, Daniel. 1991. The finances of Europe: the budgetary and financial law of the European Communities. Brussels: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities. True, James L. 1995. ‘Is the national budget controllable?’, Public Budgeting & Finance 15, 2, 18–32. Valtion talousarvioesitys vuodelle 1996. Helsinki 1995. [Finnish Government’s Budget Proposal for ’96. Helsinki, Ministry of Finance, 1995]. Valtiovarainministeriö. 1964. ‘Selvitys lakiin sidottujen määrärahojen harkinnanvaraisuudesta’. Helsinki: Valtiovarainministeriö, Budjettiosasto. [Study on the discretion of statute-controlled expenditures. Helsinki: Ministry of Finance, Budget Department, Unpublished Working Paper]. Weidenbaum, Murray L. 1965. ‘On the effectiveness of Congressional control of the public purse’, National Tax Journal 18, 4, 370–4. Wildavsky, Aaron. 1988. The new politics of budgetary process. Harper Collins Publishers. Wildavsky, Aaron and L.R. Jones. 1994. ‘Budgetary control in a decentralized system: meeting the criteria for fiscal stability in the European Union’, Public Budgeting & Finance 14, 4, 7–22. Date received 10 September 1997. Date accepted 2 December 1999. Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 2000
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