Spending and Results: What Does the Money Buy? A Delta Data Update 2000–2010 Spending and Results: What Does the Money Buy? A Delta Data Update, 2000–2010 Donna M. Desrochers and Steven Hurlburt 1000 Thomas Jefferson Street, NW Washington, DC 20007-3835 202.403.5000 | 800.356.2735 This is one in a series of data briefs developed by the Delta Cost Project at AIR using data from the IPEDS Analytics: Delta Cost Project Database 1987–2010, which was released on August 14, 2012, by the U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. The intent of these briefs is to update key tables and figures from Trends in College Spending: Where does the money come from? Where does it go? What does it buy?1 This data brief focuses on institutional spending and outcomes between 2000 and 2010, with particular attention paid to changes between 2009 and 2010. The brief looks at two degree-related measures: and completion ratios that compare the number of degrees or completions (total awards) to •Degree student enrollment cost per the total number of degrees or completions awarded, which looks at education and •The related (E&R) costs (spending focused solely on the educational mission of colleges and universities) through the lens of student outcomes rather than enrollments The ratio showing aggregate degree productivity is a comprehensive measure that compares the overall production of degrees to enrollments. Unlike cohort graduation rates that include only full-time, first-time students, this measure captures the outcomes of all students at all levels, including postbaccalaureate, part-time, and transfer students. The outcome and cost measures are single year “snapshots,” and, as such, E&R spending per degree or completion may obscure the costs related to students who attend one institution but graduate from another. This measure also does not account for the production costs of different types of degrees and does not reflect the quality of education. Nevertheless, trends within institutional groups should be less affected by these differences, and changes over time indicate whether production costs are going up or down. All of the Delta financial measures are shown in 2010 constant dollars. Tables presenting full-time equivalent (FTE) enrollment (the basis for the degree and completion ratios) and the total number of completions are included in the supplemental table section of this update. Primary Findings on Spending and Results, 2000–2010 Figure 1 looks at degree and certificate productivity between 2000 and 2010. of institutions awarded more degrees in 2010, but degree productivity was flat or declining. •AllThetypes average degree and certificate productivity failed to improve in 2010. Most types of institutions either held steady or showed slight declines; however, public bachelor’s and community colleges showed large single-year declines, averaging 1 degree per 100 FTE students. addition to degrees, community colleges award many certificates, but the relative rate of •Incertificate production declined similar to that of degrees. When degrees and certificates are combined, community college outcomes decreased by almost 2 completions per 100 FTE, the largest decline among all types of institutions in 2010. See http://deltacostproject.org/resources/pdf/Trends2011_Final_090711.pdf. 1 Spending and Results: What Does the Money Buy? |1 enrollments, rather than a slowdown in the number of degrees and certificates, hampered •Growing degree productivity increases. Completions increased by 3 to 4 percent across all types of public four-year institutions and by 9 percent at community colleges—generally marking the largest single-year increases since 2005. But enrollments often grew faster, particularly at public bachelor’s and community colleges, where FTE enrollment rose by 6 and 12 percent, respectively, in one year. making little progress in 2010, most types of institutions showed improvement in productivity •Despite outcomes by the end of the decade, adding 1–2 more completions per 100 FTE since 2000; public and private bachelor’s institutions were the exception. At community colleges, this boost came wholly from certificates rather than degrees. research and master’s institutions consistently demonstrated the highest degree productivity •Private (averaging close to 32 degrees per FTE student). Community colleges averaged the lowest degree productivity rates, but when certificates are included their relative outcomes, they were comparable to public research universities in 2010. Figure 1 Degree productivity was flat or declining in all types of institutions in 2010. Total degrees and completions per 100 FTE students, AY 2000–2010 40 30 20 10 0 ’00 ’05 ’09 ’10 ’00 ’05 ’09 ’10 ’00 ’05 ’09 ’10 ’00 ’05 ’09 ’10 ’00 ’05 ’09 ’10 ’00 ’05 ’09 ’10 ’00 ’05 ’09 ’10 Research Master’s Bachelor’s Community colleges Research Master’s Bachelor’s Public institutions Private institutions Total degrees per 100 FTE students Total certificates and awards per 100 FTE students Source. IPEDS Analytics: Delta Cost Project Database 1987–2010, 11-year matched set. Figure 2 shows the spending per degree and completion between 2000 and 2010. cost per total number of degrees and completions awarded declined in 2010 except at public •The bachelor’s institutions; since 2000, only community colleges are spending less per degree or completion. E&R spending per degree and per completion declined between 1 and 2 percent from 2009 to 2010 at most types of public four-year colleges and universities, though it increased at public bachelor’s colleges. The largest one-year change was in community colleges, where average spending per completion declined by 4 percent. 2 | Delta Cost Project these recent declines, degree production costs at four-year institutions were still higher in •Despite 2010 compared with 5 and 10 years earlier. The largest cost increases were at private institutions, where the cost per completion rose by 18 percent at private research universities and 11 percent at bachelor’s colleges over the decade. In public four-year institutions, production cost increases ranged from 2 to 4 percent. community colleges had lower average production costs by the end of the decade, with the •Only average cost per completion declining by 14 percent since 2000. Community colleges have historically had the lowest cost per completion because short-term certificate programs are generally less costly than degree programs. and private master’s institutions had the lowest costs per completion among four-year •Public institutions in both sectors, averaging $54,000 in 2010. Figure 2 Costs per total number of degrees and completions declined in 2010 across most types of institutions, but only community colleges consistently decreased costs over the decade. Average education and related spending per total number of degrees and completions awarded, AY 2000–2010 (in 2010 dollars) $120k $100k $80k $60k $40k $20k $0k ’00 ’05 ’09 Research ’10 ’00 ’05 ’09 Master’s ’10 ’00 ’05 ’09 Bachelor’s ’10 ’00 ’05 ’09 Community colleges ’10 Public institutions $40k Spending per total number of degrees awarded $30k Spending per total number of completions awarded $20k $10k $0k ’00 ’05 ’09 Research ’10 ’00 ’05 ’09 Master’s ’10 ’00 ’05 ’09 Bachelor’s ’10 Private institutions Source. IPEDS Analytics: Delta Cost Project Database 1987–2010, 11-year matched set. Spending and Results: What Does the Money Buy? |3 Supplemental Tables Figure S1 FTE enrollment, AY 2000-2010 2000 2005 2009 2010 10-year change Public research 2,996,782 3,346,624 3,561,280 3,669,834 22.5% 3.0% Public master’s 1,722,723 1,950,242 2,092,926 2,163,384 25.6% 3.4% 237,245 274,466 290,398 307,902 29.8% 6.0% 2,843,154 3,496,802 3,801,306 4,251,990 49.6% 11.9% Private research 837,277 924,412 977,558 1,003,533 19.9% 2.7% Private master’s 790,952 942,520 1,027,568 1,056,664 33.6% 2.8% Private bachelor’s 595,317 664,245 695,177 716,384 20.3% 3.1% Public bachelor’s Public community colleges 1-year change Source. IPEDS Analytics: Delta Cost Project Database 1987–2010, 11-year matched set. Figure S2 Total number of completions (degrees, certificates, and other awards) by type of institution, AY 2000–2010 2000 2005 2009 2010 10-year change Public research 729,102 839,580 905,512 934,673 28.2% 3.2% Public master’s 384,778 449,949 496,508 511,810 33.0% 3.1% 45,267 53,568 59,489 61,980 36.9% 4.2% Public community colleges 555,554 753,055 837,509 911,497 64.1% 8.8% Private research 257,544 291,038 316,023 322,584 25.3% 2.1% Private master’s 245,954 299,719 342,615 347,408 41.2% 1.4% Private bachelor’s 142,330 158,921 168,095 171,625 20.6% 2.1% Public bachelor’s Source. IPEDS Analytics: Delta Cost Project Database 1987–2010, 11-year matched set. 4 | Delta Cost Project 1-year change Spending and Results: What Does the Money Buy? |5 About the Delta Cost Project The Delta Cost Project at American Institutes for Research provides data and tools to help higher education administrators and policymakers improve college affordability by controlling institutional costs and increasing productivity. The work is animated by the belief that college costs can be contained without sacrificing access or educational quality through better use of data to inform strategic decision making. For more information about the Delta Cost Project, visit www.deltacostproject.org. About American Institutes for Research Established in 1946, with headquarters in Washington, D.C., and offices across the country, American Institutes for Research (AIR) is an independent, nonpartisan, not-for-profit organization that conducts behavioral and social science research, and delivers technical assistance both domestically and internationally in the areas of health, education, and workforce productivity. As one of the largest behavioral and social science research organizations in the world, AIR is committed to empowering communities and institutions with innovative solutions to the most critical education, health, workforce, and international development challenges. AIR currently stands as a national leader in teaching and learning improvement, providing the research, assessment, evaluation, and technical assistance to ensure that all students—particularly those facing historical disadvantages—have access to a high-quality, effective education. For more information about American Institutes for Research, visit www.air.org. 1000 Thomas Jefferson Street, NW Washington, DC 20007-3835 202.403.5000 | 800.356.2735 Copyright © 2012 American Institutes for Research. All rights reserved. 2813e_09/12
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