An allosteric model of circadian KaiC phosphorylation Jeroen S. van Zon*†, David K. Lubensky†‡, Pim R. H. Altena§, and Pieter Rein ten Wolde§¶ *Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, United Kingdom; †Division of Physics and Astronomy, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, 1081 HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands; and §Fundamenteel Onderzoek der Materie Institute for Atomic and Molecular Physics, Kruislaan 407, 1098 SJ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Edited by David R. Nelson, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, and approved February 27, 2007 (received for review September 30, 2006) In a recent series of ground-breaking experiments, Nakajima et al. [Nakajima M, Imai K, Ito H, Nishiwaki T, Murayama Y, Iwasaki H, Oyama T, Kondo T (2005) Science 308:414 – 415] showed that the three cyanobacterial clock proteins KaiA, KaiB, and KaiC are sufficient in vitro to generate circadian phosphorylation of KaiC. Here, we present a mathematical model of the Kai system. At its heart is the assumption that KaiC can exist in two conformational states, one favoring phosphorylation and the other dephosphorylation. Each individual KaiC hexamer then has a propensity to be phosphorylated in a cyclic manner. To generate macroscopic oscillations, however, the phosphorylation cycles of the different hexamers must be synchronized. We propose a novel synchronization mechanism based on differential affinity: KaiA stimulates KaiC phosphorylation, but the limited supply of KaiA dimers binds preferentially to those KaiC hexamers that are falling behind in the oscillation. KaiB sequesters KaiA and stabilizes the dephosphorylating KaiC state. We show that our model can reproduce a wide range of published data, including the observed insensitivity of the oscillation period to variations in temperature, and that it makes nontrivial predictions about the effects of varying the concentrations of the Kai proteins. C yanobacteria are the simplest organisms to use circadian rhythms to anticipate the changes between day and night. In the cyanobacterium Synechococcus elongatus, the three genes kaiA, kaiB, and kaiC are the central components of the circadian clock (1). In higher organisms, it is believed that circadian rhythms are driven primarily by transcriptional feedback (2). KaiC phosphorylation, however, shows a circadian rhythm even when transcription and translation are inhibited (3). Still more remarkably, it was recently shown that this rhythmic KaiC phosphorylation can be reconstituted in vitro in the presence of only KaiA, KaiB, and ATP (4). The Kai system thus represents a very rare example of a functional biochemical circuit that can be recreated in the test tube. It is a major open question to explain how stable oscillations can result from the experimentally observed interactions among the different Kai proteins. In living cells, KaiC phosphorylation increases during the subjective day and decreases during the subjective night, and this phosphorylation in turn regulates KaiC’s activity as a global transcriptional repressor (5). KaiC forms a hexamer both in vivo and in vitro (6); KaiA is present in the cell as a dimer (6) and KaiB as a dimer (6, 7) or a tetramer (8). KaiC has both autodephosphorylation and weaker autophosphorylation activity, with the latter dependent on ATP binding (9–14). KaiC phosphorylation is stimulated by KaiA (10, 11, 15), whereas KaiB appears to interfere with this effect (10–12, 16). KaiC hexamers form heteromultimeric complexes with KaiA and KaiB dimers, but one such complex contains no more than one KaiC hexamer (6, 7, 17). The composition of these complexes varies with an ⬇24-h period. The striking observation of Nakajima et al. (4) of in vitro oscillations in KaiC phosphorylation poses an obvious challenge for modelers. Not only is there the potential for detailed comparisons between a model’s predictions and the wealth of experimental data, the Kai system also has several novel features. Most notably, ATP is consumed, and the system is driven out of equilibrium, only through the repeated phosphorylation and dephosphorylation of KaiC. Other reactions, such as the (un)binding of KaiA and KaiB 7420 –7425 兩 PNAS 兩 May 1, 2007 兩 vol. 104 兩 no. 18 to KaiC, should thus obey detailed balance. Moreover, unlike in most biological oscillations (18), in the Kai system the proteins are neither created nor destroyed. This imposes significant constraints on any model that hopes to explain the in vitro oscillations. Several previous studies have put forward interesting ideas on how these oscillations might occur (19–21). However, they either require that KaiC hexamers can bind to each other to form higher-order complexes (19, 20), a possibility ruled out by recent experiments (6, 7), or they assume that KaiA and KaiB can each take on multiple forms (21). In the latter case, the authors propose that these forms may correspond to different subcellular localizations, but that suggestion cannot hold for the in vitro system. Emberly and Wingreen (19) introduced the elegant hypothesis that exchange of monomers among KaiC hexamers might contribute to oscillations, an idea supported by recent observations (7). Their own work, however, shows that such exchange by itself is insufficient to produce sustained oscillations. Thus, there clearly is another mechanism at work in the Kai system. Here, we propose such a mechanism. Our model is built on two key elements. First, we hypothesize that an isolated KaiC hexamer already has a tendency to be cyclically phosphorylated and dephosphorylated as it flips between two allosteric states. Second, we suggest that these noisy oscillations of individual hexamers can be synchronized through the phenomenon of differential affinity, whereby the laggards in a population outcompete the other hexamers for a limited number of KaiA molecules that stimulate phosphorylation. The slowest hexamers thus speed up while the fastest are forced to slow down, causing the entire population to oscillate in phase. In the rest of this article, we first show how a simple picture of allosteric transitions in KaiC leads each hexamer to have an intrinsic phosphorylation cycle. We then use an idealized model to introduce the concept of differential affinity. This model shows that the mechanism requires only a few generic ingredients, suggesting that the same synchronization principle could be at work in other biological systems. Finally, we turn to a more complicated model of the Kai system. This model reproduces the phosphorylation behavior of KaiC not only in the in vitro experiments in which all three Kai proteins are present, but also in systems where KaiA and/or KaiB are absent. In fact, we found that the experiments on the various subsets of the three Kai proteins strongly constrain the model’s design. Beyond synchronizing oscillations, KaiA and KaiB must also stabilize one or the other KaiC state by binding to it. When this binding is strong enough, the system moreover exhibits temperature compensation, as observed (4). Author contributions: J.S.v.Z., D.K.L., and P.R.t.W. designed research; J.S.v.Z., D.K.L., P.R.H.A., and P.R.t.W. performed research; and J.S.v.Z., D.K.L., and P.R.t.W. wrote the paper. The authors declare no conflict of interest. This article is a PNAS Direct Submission. ‡Present address: Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1040. ¶To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: [email protected]. This article contains supporting information online at www.pnas.org/cgi/content/full/ 0608665104/DC1. © 2007 by The National Academy of Sciences of the USA www.pnas.org兾cgi兾doi兾10.1073兾pnas.0608665104 A B to be in the I state, where dephosphorylation occurs spontaneously. Each monomer thus tends to go through the sequence of reactions A 3 A-ATP 3 Ap-ADP 3 Ip-ADP 3 Ip 3 I 3 A, during which one ATP molecule is hydrolyzed. KaiC Hexamers. In the spirit of the MWC model (26), we assume that Fig. 1. Model of conformational transitions in individual KaiC hexamers. (A) Schematic free energy levels for KaiC subunits. Subunits can be in the active (A) or the inactive (I) state. Furthermore, subunits can be phosphorylated (p) and bind ATP or ADP. Phosphorylation favors the inactive state, and nucleotide binding favors the active state. (B) Reaction network for a KaiC hexamer with six phosphorylation sites. Ci and C̃i denote a hexamer with i phosphorylated monomers in, respectively, the active and inactive state. (C) Phosphorylation cycles for the model in B. The phosphorylation level p of a single KaiC hexamer, as obtained by stochastic simulations (solid line), and of a population of hexamers, obtained from the mean-field rate equations (dashed line). The phosphorylation level p ⬅ 冱i i([Ci] ⫹ [C̃i])/冱i 6([Ci] ⫹ [C̃i]), where [Ci] is the concentration of hexamers in state Ci. For parameter values, see SI Appendix. Allosteric Model In this section, we introduce a simple model of allosteric transitions in KaiC that naturally gives rise to repeated rounds of phosphorylation and dephosphorylation within each hexamer. Allosteric conformational changes are widespread in biochemistry, and the conformations of members of the RecA/DnaB superfamily, to which KaiC belongs, have been extensively studied (22, 23). KaiC Monomers. Although there is strong evidence that KaiC monomers can be phosphorylated at multiple sites (10, 24, 25), most published data do not distinguish between different phosphorylated forms. We thus assume that KaiC monomers have only two phosphorylation states, phosphorylated and unphosphorylated. We postulate that an individual KaiC monomer can be in either an active (A) or an inactive (I) conformation. Fig. 1A shows the free energies of the different monomer states; we consider ATP binding only to unphosphorylated and ADP binding only to phosphorylated monomers. As the figure indicates, we assume that phosphorylation favors the inactive over the active state. Nucleotides have a higher affinity for monomers in the active state than for those in the inactive state, so nucleotide binding favors the active state over the inactive one. We also take both the transfer of a phosphate from ATP to a KaiC monomer and the removal of the phosphate from the monomer to be thermodynamically favorable. Taken together, these elements allow for a phosphorylation cycle: unphosphorylated monomers prefer to be in the A state, where ATP hydrolysis drives phosphorylation, whereas phosphorylated monomers prefer van Zon et al. fi ⫽ k0exp关⌬G共i兲/2兴 ⬃ c i [1] bi ⫽ k0exp关⫺⌬G共i兲/2兴 ⬃ c ⫺i, [2] where k0 sets the basic time scale and c ⫽ exp[(⌬Gp ⫺ ⌬Gu)/2]. Alternatively, one can develop an explicit transition state theory that includes the number of bound nucleotides as one of the order parameters for the conformational transition (see SI Appendix). This leads to flipping rates that vary exponentially with i just as in Eqs. 1 and 2. In either case, the rates depend strongly on the phosphorylation level, with the consequence that hexamers can flip from A to I only when most of their monomers are phosphorylated, and from I to A only when most are not phosphorylated. In Fig. 1C, we show the time dependence of the phosphorylation level of a single KaiC hexamer obtained by Monte Carlo simulations of the chemical master equation (see SI Appendix) (27). Initially, the KaiC hexamer is in the unphosphorylated active state, C0. KaiC (de)phosphorylation clearly occurs in a cyclic fashion, with few transitions from one conformation to the other occurring at intermediate phosphorylation. However, both the amplitude and the period of the phosphorylation cycle are highly variable. Because of this variability, the phosphorylation cycles of a population of independent KaiC hexamers will quickly dephase. As a result, in Fig. 1C the mean phosphorylation level of the KaiC population calculated by integrating deterministic rate equations based on the law of mass action shows no oscillatory behavior. To explain the oscillations observed in the in vitro Kai system, the uncoupled phosphorylation cycles of the individual KaiC hexamers need to be synchronized. Synchronization with Differential Affinity The natural candidates to link the phosphorylation states of different KaiC hexamers are the other two Kai proteins. Here, we present a simple model in which KaiA plays this role by catalyzing phosphorylation in the active state, while KaiB is completely absent. This model will allow us to introduce several important ideas without the distractions that a more faithful description would entail. It shows synchronized limit-cycle osPNAS 兩 May 1, 2007 兩 vol. 104 兩 no. 18 兩 7421 BIOPHYSICS C the energetic cost of having two different monomer conformations in the same hexamer is prohibitively large. We can then speak of a hexamer as being in either the A or the I state. The total (free) energy of the hexamer is simply the sum of the contributions from its constituent monomers. Highly phosphorylated hexamers thus prefer to be in the I state, where they will be dephosphorylated, whereas weakly phosphorylated hexamers prefer the A state, where they will be phosphorylated. As a result, each hexamer tends to go through a cycle in which it is first phosphorylated, then dephosphorylated, as indicated in Fig. 1B and Fig. 8 of the supporting information (SI) Appendix. The transition (or flip) rates fi for a hexamer with i phosphorylated monomers to go from the A to the I state and bi to go from the I to the A state depend on the energy barriers to the conformational changes. If we assume that ATP and ADP exchange are fast, so that the free energy of each state is well defined, then the difference in free energy ⌬G between the I and A states grows linearly with i: ⌬G(i) ⫽ i ⌬Gp ⫹ (6 ⫺ i) ⌬Gu, where the subscripts p and u refer to the free-energy differences for phosphorylated and unphosphorylated monomers, respectively. The natural phenomenological assumption is then that the flip rates depend exponentially on the free-energy difference: phosphorylation; [A]/[A]T A 1 0.8 0.4 0.2 [A]/[A]T 0 relative concentration p 0.6 0 12 24 0.8 B p=0.10 ([ACi]/[C]T)*50 0.4 0 [Ci]/[C]T 0 1 2 3 4 5 36 time (hour) 0.8 48 C p=0.43 0.4 60 72 0.8 D p=0.77 0.4 0 0 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 0 number of subunits phosphorylated 1 2 3 4 5 6 Fig. 2. Limit cycle oscillations in KaiC phosphorylation for the simplified model defined by Eqs. 3–5. (A) Mean phosphorylation level p and normalized concentration of free KaiA [A]/[A]T. During the phosphorylation phase, [A] drops almost to zero. (B–D) KaiA binding at three stages of the phosphorylation phase, marked by circles in A. KaiA favors the less phosphorylated KaiC hexamers. [C]T, total KaiC concentration; ACi, complex of KaiA and Ci. We take [A]T/[C]T ⫽ 0.02 and initially set [C0] ⫽ [C]T; see SI Appendix for other parameters. cillations in KaiC phosphorylation, provided that the concentration of KaiA is sufficiently small and that KaiA binds to KaiC with differential affinity: KaiA should bind most strongly to weakly phosphorylated KaiC hexamers. Although here we limit our discussion to a particular model inspired by the Kai system, the differential affinity mechanism is also amenable to a more general, abstract formulation that we describe in SI Appendix, where we also show that the oscillations arise through a supercritical Hopf bifurcation. We assume that only a single dimer of KaiA can bind to a KaiC hexamer, and we force every hexamer to proceed through the states C0–C6 and C̃6–C̃0 in order (thus neglecting intermediate flips). This yields f6 b0 ¡ C̃6, C̃0 O ¡ C0 C6 O [3] k̃ dps ¡ C̃i⫺1 C̃i O k Af [4] k pf Ci ⫹ A | -0 ACi O ¡ Ci⫹1 ⫹ A 共i ⫽ 6兲. [5] k iAb We use deterministic, mass-action kinetics to model the effects of these reactions. Here, Ci and C̃i denote i-fold phosphorylated KaiC hexamers in the active and inactive states, and A denotes a KaiA dimer. Eqs. 3–5 describe the same processes within a single hexamer as the diagram in Fig. 1B, with the exception that phosphorylation of the active state now requires KaiA, which associates with active KaiC with on and off rates kAf and kiAb and stimulates phosphorylation with a rate kpf (Eq. 5). We implement differential affinity by setting kiAb ⫽ kiAb␣i, with ␣ ⬎ 1 (see SI Appendix). Fig. 2A shows the mean phosphorylation level of a population of KaiC hexamers as a function of time. In contrast to the behavior seen in Fig. 1C, there are clear oscillations: The KaiA dimers effectively couple the phosphorylation cycles of the individual KaiC hexamers. During the phosphorylation phase of the oscillations, 7422 兩 www.pnas.org兾cgi兾doi兾10.1073兾pnas.0608665104 most hexamers are in the active form. In this state, they can bind KaiA, which stimulates their phosphorylation. The concentration of KaiA, however, is limited; indeed, in this part of the cycle, the concentration of free KaiA is close to zero (Fig. 2 A). This means that the KaiC hexamers compete with one another for KaiA. In this competition, the complexes with a lower degree of phosphorylation have the advantage because they have a higher affinity for KaiA. Hence, during the phosphorylation phase, KaiA will be mostly bound to the lagging hexamers. This is shown in Fig. 2B, where the concentrations [Ci] and [ACi] are plotted versus i for three different time points. The distributions do not overlap: KaiA has a clear preference for the less phosphorylated KaiC hexamers. Because the phosphorylation rate depends on the amount of bound KaiA, laggards with a low degree of phosphorylation will be phosphorylated at a high rate, whereas front-runners with a high degree of phosphorylation will be unable to increase their phosphorylation level further. This is the essence of the differential affinity synchronization mechanism. Full Model of the Kai System The simple model of the previous section showed how differential affinity can synchronize the oscillations of the different KaiC hexamers. This model, however, neglects KaiB completely and is not consistent with the large body of experimental data on the Kai system. Here, we present a more refined allosteric model. The Model. The key ingredients of our model are as follows. 1. KaiA can bind to the active form of KaiC, stimulating KaiC phosphorylation. Recent experiments suggest that, in the absence of KaiB, KaiA binds as a single dimer to the CII domain of the KaiC hexamer (28). Because this is the domain containing KaiC’s phosphorylation site, it seems reasonable that the affinity of KaiA might depend on the phosphorylation state of KaiC. We thus assume, as before, that a single KaiA can bind to the active state of KaiC and that the affinity of KaiA for active KaiC decreases as the phosphorylation level increases. 2. The active state of KaiC is more stable than the inactive one. The experiments described in refs. 3 and 7 show that in the presence of only KaiA, KaiC becomes very highly phosphorylated. In the absence of KaiB, KaiC should thus have no tendency to cyclically phosphorylate and dephosphorylate. This requires that the active state of KaiC has a lower free energy than the inactive one (thus shifting the energy levels in Fig. 1 A from their symmetric values). 3. KaiB can bind to the inactive form of KaiC. The resulting KaiB– KaiC complex can then bind to and sequester KaiA. The phosphorylation behavior of KaiC in the presence of KaiB, but not KaiA, is essentially identical to that of KaiC in the absence of both KaiA and KaiB (11, 12). This observation strongly suggests that KaiB does not directly affect phosphorylation and dephosphorylation rates. We propose instead the following functions for KaiB. (i) KaiB can increase the stability of the inactive state of KaiC by binding to it. This restores the capacity of individual KaiC hexamers to sustain phosphorylation cycles. (ii) Strong binding of KaiA by KaiB associated with the inactive KaiC hexamers reduces the concentration of free KaiA dimers. This leads to a variant of the differential affinity mechanism, which is necessary for synchronizing the oscillations of the different KaiC hexamers, as we clarify below. Based on the measured size of the heteromultimeric complexes (6, 7), we assume that the inactive form of KaiC can bind two KaiB dimers, and that B2C̃4, B2C̃3, B2C̃2, and B2C̃1 can each bind two KaiA dimers with high affinity. Neither assumption is critical: A model in which more than two KaiB and two KaiA dimers can bind also generates oscillations. van Zon et al. 1 A 0.8 0.6 p 4. The rate of spontaneous phosphorylation is lower than that of spontaneous dephosphorylation. The model includes spontaneous phosphorylation and dephosphorylation of both active and inactive KaiC. Because KaiC reaches a low phosphorylation level in the absence of KaiA (and KaiB) (3, 7, 11), the rate of spontaneous phosphorylation is lower than that of spontaneous dephosphorylation. 0.4 0.2 0 This model is described by the following reactions: [6] bi k iAf k pf -0 ACi O ¡ Ci⫹1⫹A Ci ⫹ A | [7] k iAb k̃ iBf 72 0.5 0 0 12 24 36 time(hour) 48 60 72 [9] k̃ dps k̃ ps -0 B2C̃i⫹1, A2B2C̃i | -0 A2B2C̃i⫹1. B2C̃i | [10] k̃ dps As in Synchronization with Differential Affinity above, we assume that the reaction rates are given by deterministic, mass-action kinetics. The most critical parameters are the (de)phosphorylation rates. They have not been directly measured but are strongly constrained by the large number of quantitative in vitro experiments on the subsets of Kai proteins (see below). The model’s predictions are much less sensitive to the remainder of its 39 parameters; for these, we have simply chosen plausible values (see SI Appendix). KaiA ⴙ KaiB ⴙ KaiC. Fig. 3A shows that our model produces sustained oscillations in KaiC phosphorylation when all three Kai proteins are present in the concentrations used in ref. 7. Both the period and the amplitude of the oscillations agree well with those observed in refs. 4 and 7. Fig. 3B shows the concentrations of complexes containing KaiA and KaiC ([AC]); KaiB and KaiC ([BC]); and KaiA, KaiB, and KaiC ([ABC]), as a function of time. In the phosphorylation phase of the oscillations, KaiA binds to KaiC and stimulates its phosphorylation. At the top of the phosphorylation cycle, where KaiC hexamers flip from the active to the inactive state, KaiA is released and KaiB binds to the inactive KaiC hexamers. The binding of KaiB stabilizes the inactive form of KaiC, preventing phosphorylation by KaiA. One critical role of KaiB is thus to allow the KaiC hexamers to enter the dephosphorylation phase of the cycle. Fig. 3B also shows that after [BC] has increased, [ABC] increases. This is because B2C̃4–B2C̃1 can bind KaiA. This illustrates the second function of KaiB: KaiB that is bound to KaiC also sequesters KaiA. This leads to a form of the differential affinity mechanism at the end of the dephosphorylation phase of the cycle: The KaiC hexamers that are still in the inactive form (the laggards) will take away KaiA from those hexamers that have already flipped from the inactive to the active state (the front-runners). This reduces the phosphorylation rate of the front-runners, allowing the laggards to catch up. In our model, differential affinity acts at the bottom of the dephosphorylation phase of the cycle and throughout the phosphorylation phase. From the perspective of synchronizing the oscillations of the different hexamers, the ideal would be an ever-decreasing affinity between KaiA and KaiC, even as a given hexamer passes through the same sequence of states again and again. Thermodynamics, however, dictates that the affinity of KaiA Fig. 3. Sustained oscillations in the full model defined by Eqs. 6–10. (A) The mean phosphorylation level p of KaiC shows a stable 24-h rhythm. (B) Kai complexes. At t ⫽ 0, KaiC is fully unphosphorylated: [C0] ⫽ [C]T; [A] ⫽ [A]T; [B] ⫽ [B]T. The average phosphorylation then increases as KaiA binds KaiC and stimulates phosphorylation. Next, the amount of KaiB–KaiC complex ([BC]) increases at high phosphorylation as KaiB binds to the inactive state of KaiC. Subsequently, KaiA is sequestered into a KaiA–KaiB–KaiC complex (ABC). The total concentrations equal those used in the in vitro experiments described in ref. 3: [C]T ⫽ 0.58 M; [A]T ⫽ 1.75 M; [B]T ⫽ 0.58 M, corresponding to [A]T ⫽ [C]T and [B]T ⫽ 3[C]T. For other parameter values, see Table 2 of SI Appendix. for KaiC must increase somewhere in the cycle. In our model, this happens at the top of the inactive branch, where B2C̃6 and B2C̃5 do not bind KaiA, but B2C̃4 does have a high affinity for KaiA. To obtain agreement with experiment, it is both necessary and sufficient for differential affinity to act on the inactive branch, although differential affinity on the active branch does enhance the oscillations’ amplitude. KaiA ⴙ KaiC. Fig. 4 shows that, in the presence of only KaiA, initially unphosphorylated KaiC reaches a phosphorylation level of ⬇90– 95% after 6–8 h, in good quantitative agreement with experiment (7). In our model, KaiC is biased toward the active state, and KaiA binding increases the stability of the active state even further. This explains the high steady-state phosphorylation level when only KaiA is present. (KaiB ⴙ) KaiC. Fig. 4 also shows that the phosphorylation behavior of KaiC in the presence of KaiB is very similar to that of KaiC alone, as observed (11, 12). Our model can explain this observation by assuming that the spontaneous dephosphorylation rate of the two 1 C alone C+A C+B C+A+B 0.8 0.6 BIOPHYSICS k dps van Zon et al. 60 B [8] k̃ ps -0 Ci⫹1, C̃i | -0 C̃i⫹1 Ci | k̃ dps 48 k̃ iAb k ps k̃ ps 36 time(hour) p k̃ iBb 24 AC BC ABC 1 k̃ iAf -0 B2C̃i, B2C̃i ⫹ 2A | -0 A2B2C̃i C̃i ⫹ 2B | 12 B fraction KaiC bound in complexes fi Ci | 0 C̃i 0 0.4 0.2 0 0 4 8 12 time(hour) 16 20 24 Fig. 4. KaiC phosphorylation in the absence of KaiA and KaiB (C alone), in the presence of KaiA (C⫹A), in the presence of KaiB (C⫹B), and in the presence of both KaiA and KaiB (C⫹A⫹B). For C⫹A, KaiC is initially fully unphosphorylated; for C alone and C⫹B, KaiC is initially fully phosphorylated (see also ref. 7). Parameters are as in Fig. 3. PNAS 兩 May 1, 2007 兩 vol. 104 兩 no. 18 兩 7423 1 Varying Flip Rates fi x 5 0.8 i i i 12 24 36 time(hour) 48 60 72 1 1 0 Varying Dissociation Constants 0.8 x5 x1 x 1/5 p 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 12 24 36 time(hour) 48 2 60 72 Fig. 5. Temperature-compensated oscillation period. The period of KaiC phosphorylation changes by 10% when the forward ( fi) or backward (bi) flip rates are changed by a factor 25 (A) and by ⬍5% when the dissociation constants for all KaiA and KaiB binding reactions are simultaneously changed by a factor 25 (B). Parameters are as in Fig. 3. KaiC conformations is the same and is unaffected by KaiB binding, which only stabilizes the inactive state with respect to the active one. Temperature Compensation. A striking feature of the in vitro oscil- lations of the Kai system is that they are temperature-compensated (4). Specifically, as the temperature is increased from 25°C to 35°C, the period of the oscillations decreases by only 10%. In general, the oscillation period of a network depends on the rates of all of the reactions in the system. In principle, one could try to achieve temperature compensation by balancing the temperature dependencies of all of these rates (29). We have adopted a different approach that is motivated by the fact that the (de)phosphorylation reactions are each individually temperature-compensated (3): The phosphorylation time courses of KaiC alone and of KaiC with KaiA change little between 25°C and 35°C. Indeed, the key idea of our approach is to construct the model so that the oscillation period is determined by those rates that are known from experiment to be robust against temperature variations while leaving it insensitive to the other rates, which might vary with temperature. A natural idea is to demand that the rates that can vary with temperature be much faster than the (de)phosphorylation rates, so that the period is dominated by the latter, which are temperaturecompensated. This leads to the following ingredient. 5. All (un)binding rates and the flip rates f6 and b0 are much faster than the (de)phosphorylation rates. Most conformational transitions are made at the top and bottom of the cycle; the period is thus less sensitive to flip rates other than f6 and b0. Even when the (un)binding reactions between the Kai proteins are fast, however, the period can still depend on the ratios of their rates (the dissociation constants), which will vary with temperature. The period becomes independent of the dissociation constants if all binding reactions go to completion. This occurs when the dissociation constants are much smaller than typical protein concentrations; in this limit, a change in the dissociation constants will have no appreciable effect on the fraction of bound proteins. We thus require the following. 6. The affinities among the Kai proteins are high. KaiA, the least abundant of the three proteins, will then be almost entirely bound up in complexes with KaiB and KaiC, in agreement with ref. 7. As long as the relative magnitudes of the dissociation constants do not change with temperature, the com7424 兩 www.pnas.org兾cgi兾doi兾10.1073兾pnas.0608665104 2 1 0 0.5 1 [A]T/[C]T 0 1.5 0 0.5 [A] /[C] T 1 1.5 T D C 20 1 25 30 0.5 0 0 24 48 time (hour) 72 average phosphorylation 0 T b x 1/5 3 T 0.2 0 Amplitude 4 3 [B] /[C] original b x5 [B]T/[C]T 0.4 p B B Period 4 f x 1/5 0.6 0 A average phosphorylation A 0.2 1 0.4 0.6 24 48 time (hour) 72 0.5 0 0 Fig. 6. KaiC oscillations as a function of KaiA and KaiB concentration. (A and B) Period (A) and amplitude (B) of oscillations in KaiC phosphorylation as a function of the concentration of KaiA and KaiB. The dashed curve shows the location of the supercritical Hopf bifurcation that gives birth to the oscillations, and the color scales give period in hours and amplitude of p oscillation. Note the appearance of a small region of bistability (solid line; see also SI Appendix) at low [A]T and [B]T. The remaining parameters are as in Fig. 3. (C) KaiC oscillations as a function of KaiA concentration. Results are shown for [B]T ⫽ 3[C]T and [A]T ⫽ 0.2[C]T (green), 0.6[C]T (blue), [C]T (black), and 1.4[C]T (red). (D) KaiC oscillations as a function of KaiB concentration. Results are shown for [A]T ⫽ [C]T and [B]T ⫽ 1.2[C]T (purple), 2.1 [C]T (yellow), and 3[C]T (black). position of these complexes will moreover be unaffected. The phosphorylation rates, which depend on [ACi], are then robust to changes in temperature. Another important consequence of this condition is that a proportional increase in all of the protein concentrations will have no effect on the oscillations, as has been observed (7). Because no data on the temperature dependence of the dissociation constants and flip rates exists, we made the following estimate. We assumed that both the binding energies and the energy barriers for the conformational transitions are at most 50 kBT. If the temperature is changed from 25°C to 35°C, the dissociation constants and flip rates can then change by about an order of magnitude. To test whether our model is robust against such perturbations, we have varied both dissociation constants and flip rates by a factor of 5 in each direction. Fig. 5 shows that our model withstands these trials: The period varies by ⬇5–10%, in very good agreement with the experiment described in ref. 4. This is strong evidence that conditions 5 and 6, together with temperature-compensated (de)phosphorylation rates, are sufficient for temperature-compensated oscillations. KaiC Dynamics as a Function of KaiA and KaiB Concentration. Fig. 6 shows the behavior of our model as a function of the total KaiA and KaiB concentrations [A]T and [B]T. For [A]T ⱗ 0.5[C]T, the system exhibits no oscillations. At around [A]T ⫽ 0.5[C]T, the system starts to oscillate via a supercritical Hopf bifurcation with a period of ⬇35 h (see SI Appendix for details on the bifurcation analysis). As the KaiA concentration is increased, the period monotonically decreases. In contrast, the amplitude first increases to reach a maximum at around [A]T ⫽ 0.85[C]T, then decreases until oscillations disappear at around [A]T ⫽ 1.25[C]T. The dynamics as a function of the KaiB concentration are markedly different. Fig. 6 shows that van Zon et al. Discussion We have presented an allosteric model of KaiC phosphorylation that can describe a wealth of experimental data on the Kai system. Its foundation is the assumption that each KaiC hexamer can exist in two distinct conformational states, an active one in which it tends to be phosphorylated and an inactive one in which it tends to be dephosphorylated. Because of the interplay between nucleotide binding, which favors the active state, and phosphorylation, which favors the inactive state, each individual hexamer will repetitively gain and lose phosphate groups. However, if macroscopic oscillations are to be observed, the phosphorylation cycles of the individual hexamers must be synchronized. We introduced a mechanism, called differential affinity, which, in contrast to some previous models (19, 20), allows for synchronization even in the absence of direct interactions between hexamers. The key idea is that although all KaiC hexamers 1. Ishiura M, Kutsuna S, Aoki S, Iwasaki H, Andersson CR, Johnson CH, Golden SS, Kondo T (1998) Science 281:1519–1523. 2. Dunlap JC, Loros JJ, DeCoursey PJ (2004) Chronobiology: Biological Timekeeping (Sinauer, Sunderland, MA). 3. Tomita J, Nakajima M, Kondo T, Iwasaki H (2005) Science 307:251–254. 4. Nakajima M, Imai K, Ito H, Nishiwaki T, Murayama Y, Iwasaki H, Oyama T, Kondo T (2005) Science 308:414–415. 5. Nakahira Y, Katayama M, Miyashita H, Kutsuna S, Iwasaki H, Oyama T, Kondo T (2002) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101:881–885. 6. Kageyama H, Kondo T, Iwasaki H (2003) J Biol Chem 278:2388–2395. 7. Kageyama H, Nishiwaki T, Nakajima M, Iwasaki H, Oyama T, Kondo T, (2006) Mol Cell 23:161–171. 8. Hitomi K, Oyama T, Han S, Arvai AS, Getzoff ED (2005) J Biol Chem 280:19127–19135. 9. Nishiwaki T, Iwasaki H, Ishiura M, Kondo T (2000) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 97:495–499. 10. Iwasaki H, Nishiwaki T, Kitayama Y, Nakajima M, Kondo T (2002) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 99:15788–15793. 11. Xu Y, Mori T, Johnson CH (2003) EMBO J 22:2117–2126. 12. Kitayama Y, Iwasaki H, Nishiwaki T, Kondo T (2003) EMBO J 22:2127–2134. 13. Nishiwaki T, Satomi Y, Nakajima M, Lee C, Kiyohara R, Kageyama H, Kitayama Y, Temamoto M, Yamaguchi A, Hijikata A, et al. (2004) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101:13927–13932. 14. Hayashi F, Itoh N, Uzumaki T, Iwase R, Tsuchiya Y, Yamakawa H, Morishita M, Onai K, Itoh S, Ishiura M (2004) J Biol Chem 279:52331–52337. van Zon et al. compete to bind KaiA, which stimulates phosphorylation, the laggards in the cycle are continuously being favored in the competition. This mechanism is most effective when KaiB and KaiC bind KaiA very strongly. It is also precisely in this limit that the oscillation period becomes insensitive to changes in the Kai proteins’ affinities for each other. Differential affinity and temperature compensation are thus intimately connected. The mechanism of driving two-body reactions to saturation is, however, more general; it could, for instance, be used to make temporal programs of gene expression robust against temperature variation (30). In S. elongatus, the concentration of KaiA dimers is ⬍10% of that of KaiC hexamers (12). Our model predicts that in this regime, the in vitro oscillations of ref. 4 disappear. The very recent experiments described in ref. 7 support this prediction: They unambiguously demonstrate that in vitro, the oscillations cease to exist if the concentration of the KaiA dimers is ⬍25% of that of the KaiC hexamers. Clearly, in vivo, other processes are at work. It is known, for instance, that both the subcellular localization of the Kai proteins (12) and KaiC’s role as a transcriptional repressor (5) affect circadian rhythms, as do other clock proteins such as SasA (6). It is tempting to speculate, however, that these additional effects merely shift the phase boundaries of the model presented here without changing its basic mechanism. One could imagine, for example, that a combination of KaiB localization to the cell membrane and competitive binding by molecules like SasA could reduce the number of sites available to sequester KaiA, thus allowing the oscillator to function at lower KaiA concentrations. Finally, our model makes a number of predictions that could be verified experimentally. One clear prediction is that KaiC can exist in two distinct conformational states. Moreover, our model suggests that KaiC binds KaiA and KaiB very strongly, with dissociation constants that depend on the conformational state and phosphorylation level of the KaiC hexamer. But perhaps the strongest test of our model concerns the KaiC oscillation dynamics as a function of the KaiA and KaiB concentrations (see Fig. 6): We predict that the oscillations will disappear when the KaiA concentration is increased but not when the KaiB concentration is increased. We thank Daan Frenkel and Martin Howard for a critical reading of the manuscript and the Aspen Center for Physics for its hospitality to D.K.L. early in this project. The work was supported by Fundamenteel Onderzoek der Materie/Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek. 15. Hayashi F, Ito H, Fujita M, Iwase R, Uzumaki T, Ishiura M (2004) Biochem Biophys Res Commun 316:195–202. 16. Williams SB, Vakonakis I, Golden SS, LiWang AC (2002) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 99:15357–15362. 17. Iwasaki H, Taniguchi Y, Ishiura M, Kondo T (1999) EMBO J 18:1137–1145. 18. Goldbeter A (1996) Biochemical Oscillations and Cellular Rhythms: The Molecular Bases of Periodic and Chaotic Behaviour (Cambridge Univ Press, New York). 19. Emberly E, Wingreen NS (2006) Phys Rev Lett 96:038303. 20. Mehra A, Hong CI, Shi M, Loros JJ, Dunlap JC, Ruoff P (2006) PLoS Comput Biol 2:e96. 21. Kurosawa G, Aihara K, Iwasa Y (2006) Biophys J 91:2015–2023. 22. Wang J (2004) J Struct Biol 148:259–267. 23. Bell CE (2005) Mol Microbiol 58:358–366. 24. Nishiwaki T, Satomi Y, Nakajima M, Lee C, Kiyohara R, Kageyama H, Kitayama Y, Temamoto M, Yamaguchi A, Hijikata A, et al. (2004) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101:13927–13932. 25. Xu Y, Mori T, Pattanayek R, Pattanayek S, Egli M, Johnson CH (2004) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101:13933–13938. 26. Monod J, Wyman J, Changeux J-P (1965) J Mol Biol 12:88–118. 27. Gillespie DT (1977) J Phys Chem 81:2340–2361. 28. Pattanaeyk R, Williams DR, Pattanayek S, Xu Y, Mori T, Johnson CH, Stewart PL, Egli M (2006) EMBO J 25:2017–2028. 29. Ruoff P, Rensing L, Kommedal R, Mohsenzadeh S (1997) Chronobiol Int 14:499–510. 30. Shen-Orr S, Milo R, Mangan S, Alon U (2002) Nat Genet 31:64–68. PNAS 兩 May 1, 2007 兩 vol. 104 兩 no. 18 兩 7425 BIOPHYSICS a minimum KaiB concentration of about [B]T ⫽ [C]T is needed to sustain oscillations. Above that threshold, neither the period nor the amplitude depend strongly on [B]T. The different effects of varying [A]T and [B]T can be understood from the different roles the two dimers play in our model. KaiA stimulates the phosphorylation of KaiC. If the total KaiA concentration is very low, the phosphorylation rate will thus be so slow that it is counterbalanced by the spontaneous dephosphorylation rate. If, on the other hand, the total KaiA concentration is very high, the mechanism of differential affinity no longer functions, because it relies on competition for a limited amount of KaiA. The function of KaiB is to stabilize inactive KaiC and to sequester KaiA. As long as enough KaiB is available to perform these functions, the period and amplitude will not depend on the KaiB concentration. Interestingly, the very recent experiments described in ref. 7 give strong support for our model. In particular, these experiments show that when the KaiA and KaiB concentrations are reduced from their standard values by a factor of 4 and 3, respectively, all oscillations cease in very good agreement with our results. We further predict that there is an upper bound on the KaiA concentration, but not on the KaiB concentration, for oscillations to exist. Moreover, although the amplitude and the period of the oscillations do not depend in our model on [B]T, they do depend in a very specific manner on [A]T. These dependencies on the KaiA and KaiB concentrations are direct consequences of the basic roles of these proteins in our model. They thus represent some of our most robust and important predictions. Supporting Information Appendix An allosteric model of KaiC phosphorylation Jeroen S. van Zon, David K. Lubensky, Pim R. H. Altena, and Pieter Rein ten Wolde In this appendix, we provide background information on our model of the in vitro Kai system and the calculations that we have performed. We will closely follow the outline of the main text: section I corresponds to the section Allosteric Model of the main text; section II corresponds to Synchronization with Differential Affinity; section III corresponds to Full Model of the Kai system. 1 Allosteric Model In this section, we discuss in more detail our model of conformational transitaions of individual KaiC hexamers presented in Allosteric Model. We first present a statistical-mechanical description of the allosteric model. This allows us to describe the thermodynamics of the phosphorylation cycle. We then present a model based on concepts of transition state theory that allows us to describe the dynamics of the phosphorylation cycle, in particular the dynamics of the conformational transitions. Lastly, we briefly discuss how we have performed the simulations on the model in Fig.1B, the results of which are shown in Fig.1C. 1.1 Thermodynamics: A statistical-mechanical model The allosteric model relies on the following key assumptions: 1. Each of the N = 6 monomers of a hexamer is either in an active or in an inactive conformational state. 2. The conformations of the monomers are strongly coupled, such that all monomers of a hexamer are in the same conformational state at all times. 3. Both in the active and inactive state, monomers can be (de)phosphorylated and (un)bind nucleotides. We assume that nucleotides have a higher affinity for monomers in the active state than for those in the inactive state. Consequently, nucleotide binding enhances the stability of the active state with respect to the inactive one. In contrast, we assume that phosphorylation favors the inactive state. 4. Nucleotide exchange is faster than phosphorylation and therefore in thermodynamic equilibrium on the time scale of phosphorylation. The model makes the following further assumptions that are of secondary importance: 1. Each monomer has two phosphorylation states, phosphorylated and unphosphorylated. Each hexamer thus has N = 6 phosphorylation sites. 1 2. Phosphorylation of the different monomers of a hexamer occurs sequentially around the hexamer. 3. The unphosphorylated monomers can bind ATP, while the phosphorylated monomers can bind ADP. This leads to the following partition function for a hexamer that it is in a conformational state α, at phosphorylation level p, with q ATP and r ADP molecules bound: q α N −p α,T Z α (p, q, r) = e−βN Em [ATP]/KD × q p p r α,P α,D [Pi]/KD [ADP]/KD . (11) r α is the energy of an unphosphorylated Here, β is the inverse temperature, Em α,s is the dissociation monomer in state α (with no nucleotide bound), and KD constant for the binding of species s to the hexamer in state α; T denotes ATP, D ADP, and P a phosphate group Pi. Since nucleotide exchange is assumed to be fast, it is meaningful to integrate over the number of nucleotides. This yields the following partition function for a hexamer in state α with phosphorylation level p: Z α (p) N −p α α,T = e−βN Em 1 + [ATP]/KD × h ip α,P α,D . [Pi]/KD 1 + [ADP]/KD (12) The (excess) chemical potential of a hexamer in conformational state α at phosphorylation level p is given by µα (p) = −kB T ln[Z α (p)]. (13) We stress that the chemical potential of a KaiC hexamer depends upon the chemical potentials (the concentrations) of the nucleotides: µα (p) = µα (p; µT , µD , µP ). We will now consider the symmetric model of Fig.1A. In this model, the energy levels of the active and inactive conformational state are mirror images of each other. This is for reasons of clarity, and not because it is essential. In fact, the model of Full Model of the Kai System is asymmetric, with the active state being more stable than the inactive one. Fig. 7 shows the chemical potentials of a KaiC hexamer in the active and inactive state, respectively, as a function of the phosphorylation level, for the energy diagram shown in Fig.1A. Here, µα (p = 6) − µα (p = 0) corresponds to the free-energy change upon fully phosphorylating a KaiC hexamer in conformational state α at constant chemical potentials of the ATP, ADP and Pi molecules, but without an ATP hydrolysis reaction (we thus consider the reaction KaiC + Pi → KaiCPi) . It is seen that the free energy increases markedly for both conformational states, meaning that the probability that a hexamer would 2 30 Active Inactive 20 α µ (p) 10 0 -10 -20 0 1 2 3 p 4 5 6 Figure 7: The chemical potential of a KaiC hexamer as a function of the phosphorylation level p, for both the active and inactive conformational state, and for the symmetric model of Fig.1A. The chemical potential µα (p) is given by Eq. 13. fully phosphorylate spontaneously, is essentially zero. Indeed, the essence of our allosteric model is that in the active conformational state, the energy from ATP hydrolysis is used to phosphorylate the KaiC hexamer, while in the inactive state dephosphorylation occurs spontaneously. When ATP is hydrolyzed to p-fold phosphorylate a single KaiC hexamer in the active state, the total change in free energy of the system is ∆GA (p) = µA (p) − µA (0) + p(µD + µP − µT ), (14) where µA (p) is given by Eq. 13. If in the active state binding of both ADP and ATP is strong (i.e. [ADP]/KA,ADP , [ATP]/KA,ATP 1), then the above D D expression reduces to ∆GA (p) = p(−∆GA,T + ∆GA,P + ∆GA,D + ∆Ghydro ) = p∆GA m;AATP→Ap ADP . (15) α,s Here, ∆Gα,s = +kB T ln KD is the binding free energy of species s and ∆Ghydro is the standard reaction free energy of an ATP hydrolysis reaction. The overall free energy change ∆GA (p) corresponds to that of p phosphotransfer reactions AATP → Ap ADP on the active KaiC hexamer (A denotes a subunit in the active state). The free-energy change be understood by noting that in the limit of strong nucleotide binding considered here, the unphosphorylated monomers are essentially always occupied by ATP, while the phosphorylated monomers are essentially always occupied by ADP; see also Fig.1A. Fig. 8 shows the free energy of the system in the presence of ATP hydrolysis. In the active conformational state, KaiC binds ATP. ATP hydrolysis then 3 0 Active Inactive phosphorylation with ATP hydrolysis -20 ∆G(p) ∆G of 6 ATP -> 6 ADP + 6 Pi ADP release -40 spontaneous dephosphorylation ATP binding -60 0 1 2 3 p 4 5 6 Figure 8: The free energy of the system as a function of the phosphorylation level in the presence of ATP hydrolysis for the symmetric model of Fig.1A. The solid lines denote the path of the system. Driven by ATP hydrolysis, a KaiC hexamer is phosphorylated in the active state. When the KaiC hexamer is (nearly) fully phosphorylated, it flips from the active to the inactive conformational state. In the inactive state, ADP is released and the hexamer dephosphorylates spontaneously. At low phosphorylation levels, the hexamer flips back to the active state. The active hexamer rebinds ATP and the phosphorylation cycle starts over again. The dotted lines correspond to the energetically unfavorable path of driven phosphorylation of inactive KaiC and spontaneous dephosphorylation of active KaiC. drives the phosphorylation of the hexamer, and the reduction in free energy of the whole system is given by Eq. 15. When the hexamer is (nearly) fully phosphorylated, it flips to the inactive conformational state. In the inactive state, nucleotide binding is weak and, as a result, ADP is released. The hexamer now dephosphorylates spontaneously; binding is weak, h since nucleotide i I,P the free-energy change is given by 6kB T ln [Pi]/KD (see Eqs. 12 and 13). At low phosphorylation levels, the inactive hexamer flips back towards the active conformational state. KaiC rebinds ATP and the phosphorylation cycle starts over again. After one full phosphorylation cycle, the free energy of the system has been reduced by the free-energy change corresponding to 6 ATP hydrolysis reactions: ∆G = 6 (∆Ghydro + kB T ln ([ADP][Pi]/[ATP])). 1.2 Dynamics: a transition-state theory of the conformational transitions So far, we have discussed the thermodynamics of the phosphorylation cycle. We will now discuss the dynamics of the cycle, in particular the dynamics of the conformational transitions. This is important, because while the large ampli- 4 tude oscillations as observed experimentally require that the hexamers should not flip at intermediate phosphorylation levels, the stability of one conformational state with respect to that of the other, does change in sign at intermediate phosphorylation levels: in the symmetric model considered here and in Fig.1A, the active state is more stable for p < 3, while the inactive state is more stable for p > 3. How can we explain that the conformational transitions predominantly occur when the hexamers are either nearly fully phosphorylated or fully unphosphorylated? This is a difficult question to answer, because it requires knowledge of the microscopic dynamics of the transition paths between the conformational states. However, if we assume that nucleotide binding is an important component of the reaction coordinate that describes the conformational transitions, then we can make an estimate of the flipping rates using a mesoscopic model based on concepts from transition-state theory [1]. If nucleotide binding contributes to the reaction coordinate of the conformational transitions, then we cannot integrate it out as we have done so far. To derive the flipping rates, we start by considering the free-energy difference between two conformational states with the same number of nucleotides bound: ∆G(p, q, r) = N ∆Em + p∆Ep + q∆ET + r∆ED . (16) A,s I,s I A and ∆Es = kB T ln KD /KD . If we assume, for simplic−Em Here, ∆Em = Em ity, that the model is symmetric, ∆Em = 0, and that the difference in binding energy between the active and inactive state is the same for ATP and ADP, ∆ET = ∆ED = ∆ET/D , then the above expression reduces to: ∆G(p, n) = p∆Ep + n∆ET/D , (17) where n is the number of nucleotides that are bound. We iterate that phosphorylation favors the inactive state, and hence ∆Ep > 0, while nucleotide binding favors the active state, ∆ET/D < 0. We can use the above expression to estimate the flipping rate if we assume that nucleotide binding is the dominant reaction coordinate for the flipping process. This is illustrated in Figs. 9 and 10, for the case |∆Ep | = −|∆En |. Fig. 9 shows a sketch of the free-energy surface ∆G(p = 3, n, c) of a three-fold phosphorylated hexamer as a function of the number of bound nucleotides, n, and as a function of an order parameter that describes the conformational state of the hexamer, c; the parameter c is zero if the hexamer is in the inactive state and one if it is in the active state. Clearly, we do not know what would be the best order parameter to describe the conformational transition, let alone what the free energy would be as a function of this order parameter for different values of n. Nevertheless, we do have some knowledge of the free-energy surface: we know how the free energy ∆G(p, n, c) changes as a function of n for c = 0 and for c = 1 – this is given by the free energy of nucleotide binding to the inactive and active state, respectively; this free energy is related to the log of the partition function in Eq. 11. We therefore make the minimal assumption that the free-energy surface ∆G(p, n, c) is given by a linear interpolation between the 5 6 E Active state 1 4 0.8 2 0.6 c 0.4 0 0 Inactive state 2 0.2 4 n 60 Figure 9: The free energy of a KaiC hexamer for a phosphorylation level of p = 3, as a function of the number of bound nucleotides n and as a function of an order parameter c that denotes the conformational state of the KaiC hexamer: it is zero if the hexamer is in the inactive state and one if it is in the active state. In the inactive state, essentially no nucleotides are bound, and n ≈ 0, while in the actives state, because of strong nucleotide binding, n ≈ 6. It is seen that in order to flip from the inactive to active state, the system has to cross a free-energy barrier; the transition state is denoted by the red cross. We imagine that the height of the barrier to go from the inactive to active state is given by the free-energy to add three nucleotides, while the barrier to flip from active to inactive is given by the free energy to remove 3 nucleotides. two functions ∆G(p, n, 0) and ∆G(p, n, 1). This leads to the surface shown in Fig. 9. In the active state, nucleotides bind the hexamer very strongly and, consequently, n ≈ 6, while in the inactive state nucleotides bind the hexamer rather weakly and n ≈ 0. The two (meta)stable states of the hexamer are thus the active state with six nucleotides bound and the inactive state with no nucleotides bound. These two states are separated by a “transition-state” surface: in order to go from one (meta) stable state to the other, the system has to cross a free-energy barrier. We assume that the transition state is given by the saddlepoint in the free-energy surface ∆G(p, n, c), as shown in Fig. 9. This means that both the location and the height of the free-energy barrier for flipping are determined by that number n∗ for which the two states become equally stable, ∆G(p, n∗ ) = 0 (see Fig. 9 and Eq. 17). Clearly, the location of the transition state depends upon the phosphorylation level p of the hexamer: in the symmetric model considered here, the two conformational states are equally stable if the number of bound nucleotides is n∗ = p (see Fig. 10 and Eq. 17). The height of flipping from the active to inactive state is thus given by " # X ∗ A A β∆GA→I (p) = − ln Z (p, q, r)δ(q + r − p)/Z (p, 0, 6) , (18) q,r 6 20 Inactive p=0 Active 10 ∆G(p,n) p=3 0 Inactive Active Active p=6 -10 -20 Inactive 0 1 2 3 n 4 5 6 Figure 10: The free energy of the active and inactive state as a function of the number of bound nucleotides, n, for three different phosphorylation levels, p = 0, 3, 6. In the active state, n ≈ 6, while in the inactive state, n ≈ 0. The free energy of p-fold phosphorylatedP hexamer in state α with n nucleotides bound is given by ∆Gα (p, n) = −kB T ln q,r Z α (p, q, r)δ(q + r − n), where Z α (p, q, r) is given by Eq. 11. while the barrier height for the reverse transition is given by " # X ∗ I I β∆GI→A (p) = − ln Z (p, q, r)δ(q + r − p)/Z (p, 0, 0) . (19) q,r Here, Z α (p, q, r) is given by Eq. 11. In words, if a p-fold phosphorylated hexamer is in the active state, with 6 nucleotides bound, then in order to flip to the inactive state with no nucleotides bound, it has to cross a barrier with a height that corresponds to the energetic cost of removing 6−p nucleotides. Conversely, the height of the barrier for an inactive hexamer, with no nucleotides bound, to flip to the active state, is given by the free energy to add p nucleotides. Neglecting entropic factors, the height of the free-energy barrier thus scales linearly with the phosphorylation level, leading to the exponential flipping rates of Eqs.1 and 2. 1.3 Numerical calculations on the allosteric model The chemical reactions of the model in Fig.1B are: fi ps dps e i , Ci k→ e i k̃→ e i−1 Ci C Ci+1 , C C (20) bi Here, Ci corresponds to an active KaiC hexamer with phosphorylation level e i corresponds to an inactive KaiC hexamer with phosphorylation level i, while C 7 i. The first, reversible reaction corresponds to the conformational transitions of the KaiC hexamers with forward and backward flipping rates fi and bi , respectively, the second corresponds to phosphorylation of active KaiC at rate kps , while the third reaction corresponds to dephosphorylation of inactive KaiC at rate k̃dps . To study the phosphorylation behavior of a single KaiC hexamer, we cannot use macroscopic rate equations based on the law of mass action: these equations would correspond to the average of a population of KaiC hexamers. To simulate the behavior of a hexamer, we have performed kinetic Monte Carlo simulations of the zero-dimensional chemical master equation corresponding to the reactions in Eq. 20 [2]. The solid line in Fig.1C corresponds to the results of those stochastic simulations. To study the time evolution of the average phosphorylation level of an ensemble of KaiC hexamers, we have used macroscopic rate equations based on the law of mass action. The chemical rate equations that correspond to Eq. 20 are: d[Ci ] dt ei ] d[C dt ei ] − fi [Ci ] = kps [Ci−1 ] − kps [Ci ] + bi [C (21) ei−1 ] − k̃dps [C ei ] + fi [Ci ] − bi [C ei ] = k̃dps [C (22) The dashed line in Fig.1C corresponds to the numerical results of propagating these ordinary differential equations. The results in Fig.1C were obtained with the following values for the parameters: kps = 0.01hr−1 , k̃dps = 0.05hr−1 , fi = 0.1N −i hr−1 and bi = 0.1i hr−1 . 2 Simple Models with Differential Affinity In this section, we first provide background information on the simplified model of the Kai system discussed in section Synchronization with Differential Affinity of the main text. We then briefly discuss a more generic class of differential affinity models. 2.1 A minimal differential affinity model of the Kai system In Synchronization with Differential Affinity, we assume that only a single KaiA dimer can bind to an active KaiC hexamer. The chemical reactions of this model are given in Eqs.3-5. They correspond to the following mass-action kinetic e i ] of KaiC in the active and inactive equations for the concentrations [Ci ] and [C 8 states, [ACi ] of the KaiA-KaiC complex, and [A] of free KaiA: d[Ci ] dt = kpf [ACi−1 ] − k Af [A][Ci ] + kiAb [ACi ] e 0 ] − δi,6 f6 [C6 ] +δi,0 b0 [C d[ACi ] dt e i] d[C dt d[A] dt (23) = −kpf [ACi ] + k Af [A][Ci ] − kiAb [ACi ] (i 6= 6) (24) e i−1 ] − [C e i ]) − δi,0 b0 [C e 0 ] + δi,6 f6 [C6 ] = k̃dps ([C (25) = −[A] 5 X Af k [Ci ] + i=0 5 X (kiAb + kpf )[ACi ] , (26) i=0 where δi,j is the Kronecker delta, k̃dps is the spontaneous dephosphorylation rate, kpf is the rate of phosphorylation catalyzed by KaiA, and fi and bi are the flipping rates as defined in Eqs.1 and 2. The rates of KaiA binding to and unbinding from active KaiC are respectively k Af and kiAb , with the latter dependent on the number of i of phosphorylated monomers in the KaiC hexamer. Because we generally choose parameters such that (un)binding of KaiA to KaiC is much faster than (de)phosphorylation, it is an excellent approximation to assume that these binding reactions are equilibrated. In this case, we do not have to keep track of [Ci ] and [ACi ] separately; instead, we obtain dynamical equations for the total concentration [Ci ]T = [Ci ] + [ACi ] of KaiC in the active e i ]: state and for [C d[Ci ]T dt = kpf [A] kpf [A] [Ci−1 ]T − [Ci ]T Ki−1 +[A] Ki +[A] e i ] − δi,6 fi [Ci ]T +δi,0 bi [C (27) e d[Ci ] e i−1 ] − [C e i ]) − δi,0 bi [C e i ] + δi,6 fi [Ci ]T = k̃dps ([C (28) dt along with a constraint equation giving the free KaiA concentration [A] implicitly: [A] + 5 X [A][Ci ]T K i + [A] i=0 = [A]T . (29) Here [A]T is the total concentration of KaiA and Ki = kiAb /k Af is the dissociation constant for KaiA binding to i-fold phosphorylated KaiC in the active state. The i dependence Ki = K0 αi with α > 1 gives differential affinity. Here, and in the next section, the differential equations were solved using Matlab. We note that the assumption that KaiA binding is fast is convenient for some purposes but not essential; we have verified that the model’s predictions are the same whether we use Eqs. 23–26 or the reduced set Eqs. 27–29. The results in Synchronization with Differential Affinity were obtained using the parameter values in Table 1. Note that the factors k0Ab and α in the definition kiAb = k0Ab αi are equal to 10hr−1 and 10, respectively. 9 Table 1: List of parameter values for the simple model discussed in Synchronization with Differential Affinity. kpf k̃dps , f6 , b0 k Af kiAb [A]T [C]T 2.2 13.6 hr−1 0.908 hr−1 1 3.45·10 3 M−1 hr−1 10i+1 hr−1 0.012 µM 0.58 µM Parameter dependence and bifurcation behavior It is natural to ask how the model’s behavior changes as the parameters are varied from the specific values listed in Table 1. This task is facilitated by its simple cyclic structure, which allows one to prove that the system of equations 23–26 always admits exactly one fixed point. As the total concentration [A]T of KaiA is increased from zero, this fixed point becomes unstable through a supercritical Hopf bifurcation. The resulting stable limit cycle persists through a fairly broad range of [A]T values before finally disappearing at a second supercritical Hopf bifurcation where the unique fixed point regains its stability. This behavior can be understood as follows: If [A]T is too large, then the concentration of KaiA is no longer limiting, and differential affinity cannot act to synchronize oscillations. On the other hand, if [A]T becomes too small (while the other parameters are held fixed), then the phosphorylation reactions on the active branch will proceed too slowly compared to the dephosphorylation reactions on the inactive branch. The first fully phosphorylated hexamers will then be dephosphorylated and return to state C0 before the lagging KaiC complexes reach state C6 . At this point, the front runners—the hexamers in state C0 —will win the competition for the limited amount of KaiA over the laggards that still haven’t finished the active branch. Whereas normally with differential affinity the slowest hexamers speed up and the fastest are forced to slow down, now the opposite scenario arises: the front runners will progress faster around the cycle than the laggards. This will desynchronize the cycles of the different hexamers. In KaiC Dynamics as a Function of the KaiA and KaiB Concentration we discuss a different scenario for the breakdown of oscillations at small [A]T that depends on the possibility of spontaneous phosphorylation and dephosphorylation reactions on the active branch. Here, those reactions are absent, and as a result, oscillations persist down to lower [A]T before eventually vanishing because some KaiC hexamers begin to return to state C0 too quickly. Varying other parameters has similar effects. For example, as the parameter K0 in Ki = K0 αi is increased, the limit cycle will eventually collapse into the fixed point in a Hopf bifurcation. Indeed, if the Ki become too large, then KaiC hexamers cannot efficiently bind all of the available KaiA, and differential affinity is no longer possible. Fig. 11 shows a 2-parameter bifurcation diagram as 10 −4 x 10 8 7 Stable Fixed Point 6 K0/[A]T 5 4 3 Stable Limit Cycle 2 1 0 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 [A] /[C] T T Figure 11: Two-parameter bifurcation diagram as a function of the ratios [A]T /[C]T and K0 /[A]T for the model of Eqs. 23–26. The solid line gives the locus of a supercritical Hopf bifurcation; to one side of the line, the systems’s unique fixed point is stable, and as the line is crossed, that fixed point loses its stability to a newly-born limit cycle. Note that, even as K0 → 0, oscillations do not persist for [A]T /[C]T too large or too small. a function of the dimensionless ratios [A]T /[C]T and K0 /[A]T that demonstrates these effects. We will see that similar bifurcation behavior reappears in more realistic models of the Kai system. 2.3 Generic differential affinity model The simple model discussed above and in Synchronization with Differential Affinity can be seen as one example of a more generic class of models that use the same mechanism to synchronize oscillations. Here, we briefly discuss this broader perspective on differential affinity. A fuller mathematical analysis will appear in a forthcoming publication. We begin by considering the following cycle: C0 → C1 → . . . → CN −1 → CN → C0 , (30) where Ci is a protein that has been i-fold covalently modified. At least two of the reactions require a catalyst A acting with Michaelis-Menten kinetics, and those steps that are not catalyzed by A are simple first-order reactions. Suppose that the reactions C0 → C1 → . . . → Cj require the catalyst A (with j < N ). Then, one might imagine that this system will oscillate if a) the concentration of A is sufficiently low, and b) the dissociation constants Ki for the binding of A to Ci satisfy K0 < K1 < . . . < Kj . These two conditions together ensure that A first binds to C0 and catalyzes the reaction C0 → C1 ; only when 11 1 [C0] 0.9 [C1] [A] 0.8 [Ci]/[C]T; [A]/[A]T 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Time (a.u.) Figure 12: Limit-cycle oscillations in the generic model of Eqs. 31–35. As in Fig.2, the concentration [A] of free A is almost zero except during a brief period when the concentrations [C0 ] and [C1 ] of the forms of C that can bind A are small. Initially, [C0 ] = [C]T and [A] = [A]T . Parameters (in arbitrary units): [C]T = 1, [A]T = 0.02, K0 = 0.001, K1 = 1 k0 = 10, k1 = 100, and kps = 1. the concentration of C0 has dropped almost to zero does A begin to bind to C1 and catalyze the next reaction, and so on until state Cj is reached. It turns out, however, that these requirements alone are not sufficient. In addition, we must at a minimum demand that c) the distribution of arrival times of different C molecules at Cj is not too wide compared to the average time to travel from Cj back to C0 and d) that the distribution of arrival times back at C0 is not too broad. If the former condition, c), does not hold, then the fastest C molecules will arrive at C0 before some of the slower C molecules reached Cj . As we noted in the previous subsection, oscillations cannot survive such a situation: Because A binds most strongly to C0 , the fastest C molecules will siphon A away from the slow molecules that still need A to progress around the cycle; these will then slow down further until all synchronizing effect of differential affinity has been lost. Similarly, differential affinity fails when the arrival of C molecules at state C0 is too spread out (condition d). Then, there are relatively few C’s competing for A molecules at any given instant, and even those with the highest number i of modifications can continue upwards towards Cj . Thus, for oscillations to occur, N − j must be neither too small nor too large. We can find limit cycles in this model with j as small as 1 (corresponding to A binding to the two states C0 and C1 ) and N as small as 4. Fig. 12 shows 12 oscillations in such an N = 4, j = 1 model governed by the dynamical equations d[C0 ] dt d[C1 ] dt d[C2 ] dt d[Ci ] dt [A]T [A][C0 ] K0 + [A] [A][C0 ] [A][C1 ] = k0 − k1 K0 + [A] K1 + [A] [A][C1 ] = k1 − kps [C2 ] K1 + [A] = kps [C4 ] − k0 = kps ([Ci−1 ] − [Ci ]) (i = 3, 4) = [A] + 1 X [A][Ci ] , Ki + [A] i=0 (31) (32) (33) (34) (35) where we have immediately made the assumption that A binding and unbinding to C is fast and slaved A to the concentrations {[Ci ]}. Although the oscillations persist only up to N = 7 if the other parameter values are kept constant, there appears to be no maximum allowed value of N if the rate kps of the transitions Cj → Cj+1 → . . . → CN → C0 is allowed to decrease as 1/(N − j). Indeed, in this case, the mean time to travel from Cj to C0 remains constant, while the distribution of travel times becomes narrower, which only enhances oscillations. One could imagine many variations on the model just described. For example, we anticipate that for appropriate parameter values, oscillations will also occur when A binds to and is sequestered by C0 but is not required for the transition C0 → C1 , while still catalyzing the reaction C1 → C2 . One might also consider cases in which differential affinity acts on two separated blocks of reactions C0 → C1 → . . . → Cj and Cn → Cn+1 → . . . → Cn+k . In each case, the same basic principles of differential affinity are likely to be at work. The models of the Kai system in the main text are clearly related to this generic class of models. The phosphorylation cycles of both the minimal differential affinity model in Synchronization with Differential Affinity and of the complete Kai model in Full Model of the Kai System have an active branch where KaiC is phosphorylated, and an inactive branch where KaiC is dephosphorylated. Also in both models, KaiA catalyzes the phosphorylation reactions on the active branch. Both ingredients are inspired by experimental observations; together they give a concrete example of how the abstract cycle of Eq. 30 might be implemented. However, the discussion of the generic model above shows that from the perspective of synchronizing the oscillations, there is no need to make a distinction between an active and an inactive branch. Indeed, the same formalism could be applied to cycles made of more than two allosteric conformations, or of multiple different sorts of covalent modifications, or created in any number of other ways. The differential affinity mechanism thus has the potential to be generalized far beyond the Kai system. 13 3 Full Model of the Kai System 3.1 Model: the chemical rate equations The chemical reactions that describe the full model of the Kai system are given by Eqs.6-10. Using the law of mass action, this leads to the following set of e i ], macroscopic chemical rate equations for the concentration of [Ci ], [ACi ], [C e e [Bm Ci ], and [Am Bm Ci ]: d[Ci ] dt = kps[Ci−1 ]+kdps[Ci+1 ]−(kps +kdps )[Ci ] + kpf [ACi−1 ] e i ] − k Af[A][Ci ] + k Ab[ACi ] −fi [Ci ]+bi [C i i d[ACi ] dt e i] d[C dt = kiAf[A][Ci ] − kiAb[ACi ]−kpf [ACi−1 ] (38) e i−1 ]+ k̃dps [Bm C e i+1 ]−(k̃ps + k̃dps )[Bm C e i] = k̃ps [Bm C e i ] − k̃iBb [Bm C e i] +k̃iBf [B]m [C Af m Ab e i ] + k̃i [Am Bm C e i] −k̃i [A] [Bm C e i] d[Am Bm C dt (37) e i−1 ]+ k̃dps [C e i+1 ]−(k̃ps + k̃dps )[C e i ]+fi [Ci ]−bi [C e i] = k̃ps [C e i ] + k̃iBb [Bm C e i] −k̃iBf [B]m [C e i] d[Bm C dt (36) (39) e i−1 ]+ k̃dps [Am Bm C e i+1 ]−(k̃ps + k̃dps )[Am Bm C e i] = k̃ps [Am Bm C e i ] − k̃ Ab [Am Bm C e i] +k̃iAf [A]m [Bm C i (40) Here, the concentrations of free KaiA and KaiB, [A] and [B], are given by: [A] = [A]T − 6 X e i ]) ([ACi ] + m[Am Bm C (41) e i ] + m[Am Bm C e i ]) (m[Bm C (42) i=0 [B] = [B]T − 6 X i=0 The phosphorylation and dephosphorylation rates on the active branch are kps and kdps , respectively, and the flipping rates are fi and bi . The active state can bind KaiA with forward and backward rates kiAf and kiAb , and KaiA can catalyze phosphorylation with the rate kpf . We assume that in the inactive state KaiC can bind m = 2 KaiB molecules with forward and backward rates k̃iBf and k̃iBb , respectively. This KaiB-KaiC complex can then sequester m = 2 KaiA molecules with forward and backward rates k̃iAf and k̃iAb . 14 3.2 Model: The free-energy difference between the active and inactive state of KaiC In the presence of only KaiA, KaiC is phosphorylated to a very high level of 90 − 95%. This requires that the active state of KaiC be more stable than the inactive one. However, in order for KaiC to sustain oscillations in the presence of both KaiA and KaiB, KaiC should be able to flip from the active state to the inactive one at higher phosphorylation levels. This means that the freeenergy difference ∆G(p) between KaiC in its active and inactive conformational states should be strongly negative, but also that it should rapidly decrease in magnitude as KaiC becomes fully phosphorylated. A simple model that captures this is one in which the addition of each phosphate group decreases the free-energy difference by an amount ∆Ep , and moreover where the creation of an interface between a phosphorylated and an unphosphorylated unit also destabilizes the inactive state by an additional amount : upon the addition of the last phosphate group, two such interfaces are removed, leading to an extra change in the free-energy difference of 2 in favor of the inactive state. This leads to the following expression for the free-energy difference between the active and inactive state: X ∆G(p, q, r) = N ∆Em + p∆Ep − ni nj + q∆ET + r∆ED . (43) hi,ji Here, ni denotes the phosphorylation state of unit i – ni = 1 if unit i contains a phosphate group and zero otherwise – and the sum hi, ji includes all nearest neighbor units of KaiC. For the full model, ∆Em , ∆ET , ∆ED < 0, and ∆Ep , > 0. For simplicity, we assume that ∆Ep = 2. This yields the following expressions for the transitions between the active and inactive states: for the forward rate we have fi = δγ N −i for 1 ≤ i < N and fi = 10 · δγ N −i for i = 0, N (this is due to, respectively, the creation or removal of the interfaces between phosphorylated and unphosphorylated units). The backward rate bi is independent of i and much larger than the forward rate fi , so that the stability of the inactive state is only due to binding of KaiB. 3.3 Setting the parameters Using the expressions for fi and bi just derived, the full model contains 39 parameters. However, their values are very much constrained by the large body of experimental data on this system. We now describe how we have determined the parameters, and how critical their precise values are for the behavior of the model. Unless indicated otherwise, the exact values of the parameters for the full model are summarized in Table 2. Concentrations The concentrations of KaiA and KaiB dimers are [A]T = 0.58µM and [B]T = 1.75µM, respectively, and the concentration of KaiC hexamers is [C]T = 0.58µM. This corresponds to a concentration ratio of (KaiA dimers):(kaiB dimers):(KaiC hexamers) = 1:3:1. The corresponding monomer concentrations 15 Table 2: List of parameter values for the model discussed in Full Model of the Kai System. kps , k̃ps kdps , k̃dps kpf fi bi kiAf kiAb k̃iBf k̃iBb k̃ Af k̃ Ab [A]T [B]T [C]T 0.025 hr−1 0.4 hr−1 1.0 hr−1 −5 −5 −4 −3 −2 −1 {10 , 10 , 10 , 10 , 10 , 10 , 10} hr−1 100 hr−1 8 1.72·10 M−1 hr−1 {10, 30, 90, 270, 810, 2430, 7290} hr−1 2.97·1012 × {0.01, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1} M−2 hr−1 1·102 × {10, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1} hr−1 18 2.97·10 × {0, 1, 100, 100, 1, 0, 0} M−2 hr−1 100 hr−1 0.58 µM 1.75 µM 0.58 µM are 1.17µM KaiA, 3.5µM KaiB and 3.5µM KaiC. Oscillations in phosphorylation have been observed for these concentrations in the in vitro experiments of Tomita et al. [3]. However, it should be noted that for the results in this article the ratios of KaiA and KaiB to KaiC, [A]T /[C]T and [B]T /[C]T respectively, are more important than absolute concentrations. Hence, we often express concentrations in units relative to [C]T . Flipping rates Following the discussion in the last paragraph of the previous section on the model for the free-energy difference between the active and inactive state of the KaiC hexamers, we next discuss the values of the flipping rates. As discussed in that paragraph, it is important that: 1) in the absence of KaiB, the active state has a lower free energy than the inactive one; 2) the hexamers should not flip at intermediate phosphorylation levels. In the previous section, we presented a model for the free-energy difference between the active and inactive state. Here we give the values of the flipping rates that are consistent with this free-energy difference, which is requirement 1), and with requirement 2). The forward rate is fi = δγ N −i for 1 ≤ i < N and fi = 10 · δγ N −i for i = 0, N , with γ = 0.1 and δ = 2hr−1 . The backward rate bi is independent of i and given by b = 100hr−1 . As long as the two requirements of this paragraph are satisfied, however, the precise values of the flipping rates are not important for the behavior of the model. KaiC alone and KaiC + KaiB: Spontaneous (de)phosphorylation rates The spontaneous phosphorylation and dephosphorylation rates are chosen such that the phosphorylation behavior of KaiC in the absence of KaiA and KaiB and that in the presence of only KaiB agrees well with experiment (see Fig. 4). This yields the following rates for, respectively, the spontaneous phosphorylation and 16 spontaneous dephosphorylation reactions, both for active and inactive KaiC: kps = k̃ps = 0.025hr−1 and kdps = k̃dps = 0.4hr−1 . The identical rates for active and inactive KaiC ensure that the phosphorylation behavior of KaiC in the absence of KaiA and KaiB is the same as that of KaiC in the presence of KaiB (which stabilizes the inactive branch). The values of these rate constants are not free and have to be carefully chosen, because their sum determines the relaxation rate of the phosphorylation level of KaiC (in the absence of KaiA), while their ratio determines the steady-state phosphorylation level of KaiC (in the absence of KaiA). KaiC + KaiA: rates of KaiA-catalyzed phosphorylation reactions The phosphorylation rate of KaiC in the presence of KaiA is determined by two factors: 1) the binding affinity of KaiA for KaiC; 2) the rate kpf for the KaiAcatalyzed phosphorylation reaction. As discussed in the main text, both the mechanism of differential affinity and temperature compensation require that the binding affinities of KaiA for KaiC be high. Given these high binding affinities, the rate at which KaiC is phosphorylated in the presence of KaiA is mostly determined by kpf . This rate is thus chosen such that the phosphorylation rate of KaiC in the presence of KaiA agrees with experiment. This gives kpf = 1hr−1 . This rate constant cannot be freely chosen, because it directly affects the phosphorylation rate of KaiC in the presence of KaiA. The mechanism of differential affinity requires that the affinity of KaiA for KaiC be high, but decrease substantially as the phosphorylation level of KaiC increases. Provided that these constraints are satisfied, the precise values are of less importance. We have chosen the following expressions for the forward rate kiAf and backward rate kiAb : kiAf = 1.72 · 108 M−1 hr−1 and kiAb = k0Ab αi , with α = 3 and kiAb = 10hr−1 . The binding of KaiA and KaiB to inactive KaiC The stoichiometries of the complexes of KaiC bound to KaiB and KaiA are not known. We assume e i binds m = 2 KaiB dimers, while the complex B2 C e i can that inactive KaiC, C sequester m = 2 KaiA dimers. The value of m = 2 is not very critical as long as enough KaiA can be sequestered by inactive KaiC to limit the amount of KaiA available for KaiC phosphorylation. We find that for m > 2 the system also oscillates, although the phase boundaries, as shown in Fig.6, do shift. Clearly, more experiments are needed to resolve the compositions of these complexes. Temperature compensation requires that the binding affinities of KaiB for KaiC be high. But as long as this requirement is fulfilled, the precise values are of less importance. We assume that KaiB binds inactive KaiC with forward rate kiBf = 2.97·1012 × {0.01, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1}M−2 hr−1 and backward rate kiBb = e 0 is to ensure 1 · 102 × {10, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1}hr−1 . The low affinity of KaiB for C that unphosphorylated hexamers that are in the inactive state can rapidly flip towards the active state. As explained in the main text, it is important that the affinity of KaiA for KaiB is low for KaiB associated with the highly phosphorylated inactive KaiC hexamers, but increases strongly for KaiB that is bound to the lessphosphorylated inactive KaiC hexamers; the precise values of the dissocia- 17 tion constants are not critical. We have chosen the following forward rate k̃iAf and backward rate k̃iAb : k̃iAf = 2.97 · 1018 × {0, 1, 100, 100, 1, 0, 0}M−2 hr−1 and e 0 is to ensure that unphosk̃iAb = 100hr−1 . The low affinity of KaiA for B2 C phorylated hexamers that are in the inactive state can rapidly flip towards the active state. Varying the parameters with temperature In order to calculate how the oscillation period in our model varies with temperature, we would have to know how the rate constants would vary with temperature. This would require knowledge of the activation barrier for each of the reactions, which we do not have. We can, however, test how sensitive the oscillation period is to changes in the rate constants. Here, one could choose various strategies: one could vary each of the rate constants individually, or one could vary all the rate constants simultaneously, either in a correlated or an uncorrelated manner. We have performed many such tests, and they all reveal that the model is very robust to changes in temperature (given the experimentally observed insensitivity of the phosphorylation rates to changes in temperature (see main text)). Since the dissociation constants and the flip rates enter the model in very different ways, we show in the main text how the oscillations change when we vary these two groups of parameters. When we change the dissociation constants of KaiA and KaiB binding to examine the effects of temperature changes, we simultaneously change the dise i , by a factor C, and the association constants for KaiA binding, Ki and K √ sociation and dissociation rates for KaiB binding, kiBf and kiBb , by 1/ C and √ C, respectively. Because KaiB (un) binding is fast, only the ratios of their rates—the dissociation constants—matter, and this is a choice that is consistent with changing the dissociation constants by a factor C. 3.4 Reduced model When KaiA binding and unbinding is sufficiently rapid, it is possible to further simplify Eqs. 36-40. In this case, we only explicitly take into account the binding of KaiB to the inactive KaiC hexamers and we assume that both KaiA association to the active KaiC hexamers and KaiA sequestration by KaiB bound to the inactive hexamers is very rapid and can be treated as in chemical equilibrium. This leads to the following reduced set of macroscopic chemical rate equations for the total concentration [Ci ]T of KaiC in the active state, both with and e i ], and without bound KaiA, the concentration of KaiC in the inactive state, [C e the total concentration [Bm Ci ]T of KaiC in the inactive state with KaiB bound, both with and without bound KaiA: 18 d[Ci ]T dt dps ps [Ci+1 ]T −(σips +σidps )[Ci ]T [Ci−1 ]T +σi+1 = σi−1 e i] −σiFf [Ci ]T +σiFb [C e i] d[C dt (44) e i−1 ]+ k̃dps [C e i+1 ]−(k̃ps + k̃dps )[C e i ]+σiFf [Ci ]T −σiFb [C e i] = k̃ps [C −kiBf ([B]T − m m e e i [Bm Ci ]T ) [Ci ] P + e m [Bm C e i ]T kiBb K i m e + [A]m K (45) i e i ]T d[Bm C dt e i−1 ]T + k̃dps [Bm C e+1 ]T −(k̃ps + k̃dps )[Bm C e i ]T = k̃ps [Bm C +kiBf ([B]T − m Bb e m e e i ]T )m [C e i ] − ki Ki [Bm Ci ]T [B C m i m e Ki + [A]m P (46) where the concentration of free KaiA, [A], is given by: [A] + 6 6 X X e i ]T [A][Ci ]T [A]m [Bm C +m − [A]T = 0 m m e Ki + [A] i=0 Ki + [A] i=0 (47) The effective (de)phosphorylation rates on the active branch are given by σips = (kps Ki + kpf [A])/(Ki + [A]) and σidps = Ki kdps /(Ki + [A]). The dissociation e i are given by Ki = k Ab /k Af and K e i = k̃ Ab /k̃ Af . The constants Ki and K i i i i Ff effective flipping rates are given by σi = fi Ki /(Ki + [A]) and σiF b = bi , where fi and bi are the forward and backward flipping rates. We have confirmed that for sufficiently large k Af , k Ab and k̃ Af , k̃ Ab this set of rate equations gives results that are identical to those in Eqs. 36-40. Unless indicated otherwise, the results in the main text are obtained by numerically solving Eqs. 44-46. 3.5 Bifurcation analysis We have performed a bifurcation analysis of the full model. To this end, we use Eqs. 36-40. However, the equations in Eqs. 36-40 P system of differential e i ]+[Bm C e i ]+[Am Bm C e i ]) = [C]T . obeys the conservation law ([Ci ]+[ACi ]+[C As a consequence, a linear stability analysis would always yield at least one eigenvector with eigenvalue zero, which complicates detection of bifurcation points. To eliminate the zero eigenvalue associated with the conservation of KaiC, we express the concentration of one of the KaiC complexes in terms of the concentrations of the other KaiC complexes. We have chosen [ACN ] to take this role. Thus, [ACN ] is not a separate dynamical variable, but is instead defined by: [ACN ] = [C]T − 5 X i=0 [ACi ]− 6 X e i ] + [Bm C e i ] + [Am Bm C e i ]) ([Ci ] + [C i=0 19 (48) Figure 13: Bifurcation diagram of the full model of Eqs. 36–40 as a function of [A]T , for different values of [B]T . Stable fixed points and unstable fixed points are indicated by solid lines and dashed lines, respectively. When the fixed points change stability, either saddle-node bifurcations (squares) or Hopf bifurcations (circles) occur. Apart from [A]T and [B]T , all other parameters are as shown in Table 2. Numerical continuation of the fixed points and limit cycles was performed with the software package XPPAUT [4], which incorporates the numerical continuation routines from AUTO [5]. Throughout this section, unless otherwise noted, the parameters that are not being varied take the values given in Table 2. In Fig. 13 we show the bifurcation diagram of the full model, defined by Eqs. 36-40, as a function of [A]T , for different values of [B]T ; the phase diagram is shown in Fig. 14. For very small KaiB concentration, [B]T < 0.038[C]T , the system has a single, stable fixed point for all [A]T (Fig. 13). For higher KaiB concentration, 0.038 < [B]T /[C]T < 0.61, the system is bistable for a range of [A]T (see Figs. 13 and 14): it has one unstable steady state and two stable steady states, corresponding to different degrees of KaiC phosphorylation. At the boundaries of this bistable region, a stable and unstable fixed point merge via a saddle-node bifurcation (Fig. 13). We discuss the origin of this bistable regime in more detail below. For even higher KaiB concentration, 0.61 < [B]T /[C]T < 1.44, one of the two stable fixed points, namely that with the lower phosphorylation level, becomes unstable for a range of KaiA concentrations. This stable fixed point becomes unstable via a supercritical Hopf bifurcation and gives rise to a limit cycle. Thus, in this window of KaiA and KaiB concentrations, the system has one stable fixed point at high phosphorylation level and one limit cycle. For yet larger KaiB concentrations, [B]T > 1.2[C]T , the system has only one unstable fixed point surrounded by a limit cycle for a 20 4 [B]T/[C]T 3 OSCILLATIONS SINGLE STEADY STATE SINGLE STEADY STATE 2 1 STABLE FIXED POINT+LIMIT CYCLE BISTABILITY 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 [A]T/[C]T Figure 14: Phase diagram of the full model. In the region enclosed by the dashed grey lines, the system possesses a stable limit cycle. In the region enclosed by the solid black lines, the system has three fixed points, of which two are stable in the absence of a limit cycle. Where the two regions overlap, a single stable fixed point coexists with a limit cycle. range of [A]T ; again, the limit cycle appears and disappears at low and high [A]T , respectively, via a supercritical Hopf bifurcation. This limit cycle corresponds to the circadian oscillations discussed in the main text. Fig. 14 shows that this oscillatory regime with only one limit cycle has a lower and an upper bound on the KaiA concentration, but no apparent upper limit on the KaiB concentration. In contrast, both the bistable regime and the regime in which a limit cycle coexists with a stable fixed point, occur only over a fairly narrow range of KaiA and KaiB concentrations. In Fig. 15, we examine the properties of the limit cycle that is created at the Hopf bifurcation. It is possible to do numerical continuation of the limit cycle in the vicinity of the Hopf bifurcation as is shown in Fig. 15A. This analysis shows that the limit cycle is stable and that the bifurcation is thus supercritical. Further away from the Hopf bifurcation the numerical continuation algorithm fails to converge. However, as shown in Fig. 15B and C, by directly solving the differential equations 36–40 we can nonetheless show that the system continues to converge to a stable limit cycle. Because of the fact that the algorithm cannot continue the limit cycle all the way from one Hopf bifurcation to the other, we cannot strictly rule out the possibility that it undergoes further bifurcations. Nevertheless, we find by direct integration of the differential equations that both the period and amplitude of the limit cycle vary smoothly with [A]T between the Hopf bifurcations. Fig. 16 shows the results of this analysis. 21 1 0.3 B A p 0.25 0 0.2 [C4]/[C]T 0.5 0 5 1 10 15 time (days) 0.15 20 C 0.8 0.1 c 0.6 0.4 0.05 0.2 0 0.42 0.43 0.44 [A]T/[C]T 0 0.45 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 p Figure 15: Limit cycle in the full model for [B]T /[C]T = 3. (A) Bifurcation diagram of [C4 ] in the vicinity of the Hopf bifurcation as obtained by numerical continuation of the limit cycle. The stable and unstable fixed points are indicated by a solid black line and a dashed grey line, respectively. The minimum and maximum values of [C4 ] along the limit cycle are shown as thick black lines. The limit cycle is stable, indicating a supercritical Hopf bifurcation. Here, we choose to plot [C4 ] for convenience, and the concentrations of other components of the system show similar behavior close to the Hopf bifurcation. (B) and (C) Limit cycle for [A]T /[C]T = 1 and [B]T /[C]T = 3, obtained by numerical integration of Eqs. 36-40. (B) Phosphorylation p in time. (C) Phosphorylation p versus c, the fraction of KaiC in the active state. We now discuss the origin of bistability for intermediate [A]T and [B]T (see Fig. 14). Fig. 17 shows four typical time traces of the phosphorylation level of KaiC when the system is in the bistable regime. The different time traces correspond to different initial conditions. These initial conditions differ in the phosphorylation level of KaiC. Indeed, the initial degree of phosphorylation largely determines which one of the stable fixed points the system converges to. For low initial phosphorylation, the system converges to a steady-state phosphorylation level of ps = 0.5, while for high initial phosphorylation, it converges to a phosphorylation level of ps = 0.9. These two steady states differ not only in the average phosphorylation level of KaiC, but, importantly, also in the concentration of free KaiA: for ps = 0.5, [A] is small, while for ps = 0.9, [A] is large. To understand the origin of the difference between the two steady states, it 22 0.8 0.7 0.6 p 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 [A]T/[C]T 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 Figure 16: Amplitude of the stable limit cycle obtained by direct integration of the differential equations as a function of [A]T , for [B]T = 3[C]T . The blue squares give the locations of the two Hopf bifurcations; each pair of black dots represents the minimum and maximum phosphorylation reached in one cycle of the oscillation. These minima and maxima vary smoothly with [A]T , suggesting that the limit cycle that is born at one supercritical Hopf bifurcation does not undergo any further bifurcations before dying out at the other Hopf bifurcation. should be realized that: a) KaiB is needed to stabilize inactive KaiC, but its concentration is fairly low in the region where there is bistability; b) KaiA is needed to phosphorylate active KaiC, but its concentration is also fairly low. In the low ps state, most KaiC hexamers initially have a low degree of phosphorylation. These hexamers will bind KaiA, which will stimulate their phosphorylation. However, because [A]T is low, most of the available KaiA is sequestered by the weakly phosphorylated KaiC hexamers. Those hexamers that try to move up the phosphorylation ladder have a lower affinity for KaiA, and can therefore not compete for KaiA with the weakly phosphorylated KaiC hexamers. Their phosphorylation rates will thus be low, and counterbalanced by the spontaneous dephosphorylation rate. As a consequence, the overall phosphorylation level will be low. In the high ps state, most KaiC hexamers go through the approximate cycle e 6 → B2 C e 5 → AC5 . In the high ps state, most KaiC hexamers AC5 → C6 → B2 C initially have a high degree of phosphorylation. The available KaiA dimers 23 1 0.8 p 0.6 1 subunit phosphorylated 2 subunits phosphorylated 3 subunits phosphorylated 4 subunits phosphorylated 0.4 0.2 0 0 12 24 36 48 60 time (hour) 72 84 96 Figure 17: Bistability in the full model for [A]T /[C]T = 0.48 and [B]T /[C]T = 0.5. The degree of phosphorylation in time is shown for different initial conditions, [Ci (0)] = [C]T for i = 1, 2, 3, 4. For low initial phosphorylation, the system converges to a steady state at ps ≈ 0.5. For high initial phosphorylation the system converges to another steady state at ps ≈ 0.9. will be able to fully phosphorylate these hexamers before they flip towards the inactive state. On the inactive branch, these hexamers need KaiB to be stabilized. However, because [B]T is low, the inactive hexamers will not be stabilized very strongly, and will therefore flip back towards the active state. At this point, the concentration of free KaiA is close to [A]T , because there are no hexamers with a low phosphorylation level, which could bind KaiA. Because the concentration of free KaiA is relatively high, the hexamers that have just flipped back towards the active state can be rephosphorylated, and the cycle starts again. This situation clearly illustrates the important role of KaiB. Without KaiB the inactive branch is not stable, and the full allosteric cycle will be cut short. This will eliminate the capacity of the system to generate macroscopic oscillations. The above explanation of bistability in the Kai system is similar to the mechanisms that have been proposed for generating bistability in the MAPK [6] and the CAMKII [7] systems. Both in these systems and in the Kai system, a protein can be phosphorylated at multiple sites and the concentration of either the kinase, as in the Kai or the MAPK system, or the phosphatase, as in the CAMKII system, is limiting. In one steady state, these enzymes are completely saturated, while in the other enough remains free to act on the few substrates in need of covalent modification. Fig. 14 summarizes the behavior of the full system. The full model has a limit cycle for a broad range of concentrations. Although the range of [A]T for which oscillations are observed decreases slightly with increasing [B]T , we found no indication that oscillations cease for higher [B]T . This is in agreement with the 24 passive role played by KaiB in stabilizing the inactive branch and sequestering KaiA. The region for which bistability occurs is much smaller. Furthermore, as we have discussed above, the occurrence of the bistable regime does depend upon details of the model, such as the extent to which KaiB sequesters KaiA and stabilizes the inactive state when bound to KaiC. Further experiments will be needed to determine whether bistability really occurs in the Kai system. 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