University of Wollongong Research Online Faculty of Engineering and Information Sciences Papers Faculty of Engineering and Information Sciences 2013 Why cannot sediment transport be accurately predicted Shu-qing Yang University of Wollongong, [email protected] Publication Details Yang, S. (2013). Why cannot sediment transport be accurately predicted. 35th IAHR World Congress (pp. 1-10). China: IHAR. Research Online is the open access institutional repository for the University of Wollongong. For further information contact the UOW Library: [email protected] Why cannot sediment transport be accurately predicted Abstract Sediment transport is a geophysical phenomenon that sediment particles are driven to move in streamwise and vertical directions by the corresponding forces. Almost all existing formulae of sediment transport were derived based on the assumption that sediment transport can be fully expressed by streamwise parameters like velocity or boundary shear stress etc., whilst the vertical parameters are not included, like the variation of water depth (pressure) over time and space, vertical velocity or seepage. This paper investigates the effect of vertical motion on sediment transport, it was found that the vertical motion can be well represented by a vertical velocity and the upward velocity increases particles' mobility, and the downward motion increases its stability. Decelerating flows can promote the upward flow and vice versa, this is why severe erosion always occurs in decelerating flows. New equations were developed to express the influence of vertical motion on sediment transport, in which streamwise and vertical parameters are included. A reasonably good agreement between the measured and predicted sediment transport was achieved. Keywords cannot, sediment, why, accurately, be, predicted, transport Disciplines Engineering | Science and Technology Studies Publication Details Yang, S. (2013). Why cannot sediment transport be accurately predicted. 35th IAHR World Congress (pp. 1-10). China: IHAR. This conference paper is available at Research Online: http://ro.uow.edu.au/eispapers/1767 WHY CANNOT SEDIMENT TRANSPORT BE ACCURATELY PREDICTED Shu-Qing Yang Professor, University of Wollongong, NSW 2522, Australia. Email: [email protected]. ABSTRACT: Sediment transport is a geophysical phenomenon that sediment particles are driven to move in streamwise and vertical directions by the corresponding forces. Almost all existing formulae of sediment transport were derived based on the assumption that sediment transport can be fully expressed by streamwise parameters like velocity or boundary shear stress etc., whilst the vertical parameters are not included, like the variation of water depth (pressure) over time and space, vertical velocity or seepage. This paper investigates the effect of vertical motion on sediment transport, it was found that the vertical motion can be well represented by a vertical velocity and the upward velocity increases particles’ mobility, and the downward motion increases its stability. Decelerating flows can promote the upward flow and vice versa, this is why severe erosion always occurs in decelerating flows. New equations were developed to express the influence of vertical motion on sediment transport, in which streamwise and vertical parameters are included. A reasonably good agreement between the measured and predicted sediment transport was achieved. KEY WORDS: Sediment transport, vertical velocity, critical shear stress, bedforms and dunes, coherent structures. 1 INTRODUCTION Sediment transport is the most important agents of geomorphic evolution of the Earth’s surface. Albert Einstein studied the difficult topic, and concluded in a letter to his friend that “As a young man, my fondest dream was to become a geographer. However while working in the customs office I thought deeply about the matter and concluded it was far too difficult a subject. With some reluctance, I then turned to Physics as a substitute.” Instead, he encouraged his son, Hanson Albert Einstein to continue his dream and eventually, H. A. Einstein, together with other pioneers founded the subject of sediment transport that deals with interactions between water flow and sediment particles, from its threshold condition, entrainment, transport and suspension. Quickly, this topic has become a subject of great interest to water resources engineers, environmental scientists, river and coastal engineers, geologists and hydrologists, and so on. However, in spite of many research endeavors, our knowledge of sediment transport mechanism remains remarkably meagre (Yalin, 1977). The equations and models developed hitherto by researchers have been found to be notoriously uncertain, and progress towards reliable prediction has been frustratingly slow. In water resources engineering, the worst enemy of sustainable use of reservoirs is sedimentation (USBR, 2006). The total sediment yield in the world is estimated to be 13.5×109 tonnes/a or 150tonnes/km2 and about 25% of this is transported into the seas and oceans and 75% is trapped, retained and stored in the lakes, reservoirs and river systems. Consequently the silting process is reducing the storage capacity of the world’s reservoirs by more than 1% per year. UN experts warned that a fifth of the current storage capacity of reservoirs worldwide or 1,500 km3 will be gradually lost over the coming decades as a result of sedimentation, and global warming may increase the severity of storms and rains which accelerate the natural erosion rates that feed reservoirs – as the climate warms, there is more water vapour in the atmosphere causing more extreme storm events. However, published experimental results from unsteady flows have shown that the response of suspended sediment concentration to these streamwise parameters is not instantaneous, but lags to them (Allen, 1974; Yu et al. 2011, etc.). Although the phase lag phenomenon is not apparent in steady and uniform flows, turbulence itself is dominated by a coherent structure that is characterized by burst cycles of ejections and sweep (Adrian and Marusic, 2012). A closer look at sediment transport in light of turbulence reveals that the coherent structures dominate the particles’ threshold, entrainment, transport and suspension. In the burst cycle, ejections pick up the sediment at the bed and carry it up through the water column close to the surface, and sweeps play an important role for sedimentation (Cellino and Lemmin, 2004). Adrian and Marusic (2012) highlighted that “it is, not unreasonable to look for association between the formation of dunes and the coherent patterns of flow in the fluid”. In adopting this approach, this paper aims to develop a theory that can explain the similarity of sediment transport by waves and dunes’ formation, to examine whether sand dunes that are present in nearly all fluvial bed are the result of spatial “phase lag” of a burst cycle. Existing theory of sediment transport becomes invalid to explain the mechanism of bedform formation and phase lag, thus the accurate model of sediment transport needs a breakthrough in the fundamental research. Generally speaking, sediment transport is the result of joint effect of driving force and resistance force acting on sediment particles. The existing theory of sediment transport generally uses the horizontal parameters to express the driving forces (e.g., mean velocity U, shear velocity u* or shear velocity related with grains u*’, energy slope S, boundary shear stress τ, stream power τU and unit stream power US), the assumption is that the higher the streamwise parameters are, the more sediment particles are transported by flow. The resistance force includes particle size d (or settling velocity ω), density ρs, gravitational acceleration g; fluid density ρ and fluid viscosity ν, sediment shape, orientation and gradation etc. The objective of the research is to distinguish why sediment transport cannot be modeled accurately, the underlying mechanism of sediment transport needs to be advance. The large discrepancy of existing models of sediment transport could be due to either an incomplete representation of the driving force (e. g., some missing parameters of flow conditions) or the resistant force (e.g., gradation of particles size, particle shape, orientation etc.). For the former effect, the author has conducted a systematic research on the influence of vertical velocity on the momentum transfer, such as the Reynolds shear stress and velocity distributions (Yang and Lee 2007, Yang 2007, Yang and Chow 2008, and Yang 2009). As momentum and mass transfer in turbulence are closely related with each other, it has been found that the vertical velocity was not considered in the existing models, which plays an important role in momentum transfer. As the vertical velocity is present in a burst cycle’s ejections and sweeps as well as the oscillating flows. The research will identify the underlying mechanism of sediment transport by turbulence and waves, and to clarify the similarities between the phase lag and dunes. It is expected that new theorem for sediment transport will be proposed and a superior new model will be developed to predict the evolution of waterways and coastlines. 2 LITERATURE REVIEW AND RESEARCH BACKGROUND In all existing models of sediment transport, researchers have developed equations of sediment transport in steady-uniform flows. To understand the mechanism of sediment transport, it is worthwhile to review how sediment transport in steady-uniform flows is expressed by researchers. The pioneer researchers believed that the boundary shear stress τ (=ρghS) alone could fully express the driving force of sediment transport, thus the equations of sediment transport by Einstein (1942), Meyer-Peter and Muller (1948), Bagnold (1966), Yalin (1977), Engelund and Hansen (1972) and Ackers and White (1973) can be written in the following way: = f(τ*) where τ* is the Shields (1936) shear stress parameter {= τ/[(ρs-ρ)gd]}, and is the dimensionless sediment discharge. As the streamwise parameter τ* cannot provide very good predictions when compared with the measured sediment discharge (Yang 2005), researchers seek some alternatives to express the driving force, 2 and the mean velocity U was selected to express the driving force in Velikanov’s (1954) parameter, U3/(gh). This parameter has been widely used in Russia and China to express the sediment transport, but it provides almost the same level of accuracy as τ* does. As both the boundary shear stress τ and mean velocity U correlate poorly with the measured sediment transport rate, another parameter, known as the stream power (= τU) was proposed by Bagnold (1966), who hypothesized that the work used to transport sediment comes from the stream power. However Yalin (1977) criticized the use of stream power, as it can be rewritten as ρgSq where the discharge per unit width q = Uh. For a river reach where the channel slope S is constant, he argued that the concept of stream power implies that the sediment discharge is proportional to the discharge only. Thus, this is not correct as it excludes the influence of other hydraulic parameters like the bedform roughness. In other words, if the flowrate is constant along a river from the upstream to the downstream, the stream power concept indicates that the rate of sediment transport only depends on channel’s slope S. According to Yalin, this is unacceptable. Obviously, the parameters U and S alone cannot express the measured sediment transport very well, Yang (1973) empirically found that the parameter of unit stream power US/ω yields the highest correlation coefficient among the existing hydraulic parameters. This discovery has significantly advanced the knowledge of sediment transport and greatly improved the accuracy of sediment prediction. But the unit stream power cannot be extended to the coastal waters because the energy slope S is not available. Probably van Rijn (1984) was the first one who realized the importance of bedforms and proposed the new parameter u*’, the shear velocity related grains. He believed that the driving force of sediment can be fully expressed using this parameter: T u*'2 u 2*c (1) u*2c and the resistance force can be fully expressed by 1/ 3 ( / 1) g d* d s 2 (2) and the shear velocity related to grains is u*' U 2.5 ln (3) 11h 2d 50 van Rijn’s research highlights, for the first time, the importance of parameters related to the bed. Yang (2005) modified Bagnold’s equation of sediment transport by using the parameters in the bed region with the following form, and the discharge of sediment transport is expressed by s E Ec k u *' (4) s where E = τu*’, gt = sediment discharge; ρs = density of sediment; k is a constant (Yang et al. 2007); Ec = ρu*c3; the arrows in Eq. 4 indicate that sediment transport is a vector, and its direction is same as the direction of near bed flow if the flow directions of upper and lower layers are different. Eq. 4 produces the highest correlation coefficient among the existing parameters and on average it is 11% higher than that computed using the unit stream power method (Yang 2005). The brief review reveals that currently all researchers believe that sediment transport can be fully expressed by horizontal parameters like U, u*’, τ, E or US etc. All equations including Eq. 4 predict that higher the horizontal parameters are, the more particles are transported. However, this prediction is wrong under wave conditions where the highest rate of sediment transport never occurs when the streamwise parameters listed above are the highest, instead the peak sediment concentration or transport rate always occurs after the peak driving force in the streamwise direction. This phase lag has been widely documented in the literature. g t 3 3 DOES OMISSION OF VERTICAL MOTION LEAD TO THE MODELS’ INVADILITY? Many attempts have been made to explain the invalidity of sediment transport models including the phase lag and the bedform formation, some useful advances have been made. Francalanci et al. (2008) attributed the invalidity to pressure variation and they argued that the current theory of sediment transport is based on the assumption of a hydrostatic pressure distribution of the flow field, which could be correct just for quasi-steady, quasi-uniform rectilinear flows. Based on this, they proposed a method to include the pressure variation by introducing the concept of an apparent fluid density, i.e., high pressure corresponds to a higher fluid density, and vice versa. Contrary to Francalanci et al.’s (2008) treatment, Yang (2012) re-examined the observed data and theorems available in the literature, and concluded that sediment transport is jointly determined by the streamwise and vertical driving forces, but the vertical force is excluded in all models used to evaluate the sediment transport rate. The parameters to express the vertical driving force could be pressure P (Francalanci et al. 2008), vertical velocity V (Yang 2012), vertical hydraulic gradient i in sediment layer (Cheng and Chiew 1999) etc. The vertical and horizontal velocities always coexist, the omission of vertical motion could be the main reason leading to the poor performance of models for sediment transport prediction because none of them are good enough to explain the formation of phase lag and dune formation. In other words, the inclusion of vertical motion could significantly improve the understanding of sediment transport in turbulence. If the inference is correct, the similarities between turbulence and waves must be observable as they both have the upward velocity (or ejection) and downward velocity (sweep), this interplay is responsible in affecting the threshold of particle movement, the entrainment and transport of bedload and suspension load. To this end, the study on the similarities of sediment transport by vertical motions in waves and bursting conditions is helpful to clarify the mechanism of sediment transport. To include the vertical motions, the writer considers a simple model shown in Fig. 1 in which a permeable bed comprising sand and gravels on a bed is represented by uniform spherical particles with diameter d. The water velocity on the interface, which is represented by Vs, is the flow between the ground water and main flow with mean velocity U and depth h. The introduction of vertical velocity Vs is simpler and more convenient as compared to the pressure P and hydraulic gradient i in terms of mathematical treatment and also measurement. h U y, v x, u d A Zone Vs B Zone Fig. 1, Schematic diagrams showing interaction of streamwise and vertical motions. 4 For the particles with diameter d, the settling velocity ω in still water can be determined by: Cd d 2 2 d3 g (s ) 4 2 6 (5) where Cd is the drag coefficient and depends on the Reynolds number Re ( = ωd/ν). In the environment that the ambient fluid moves upward with velocity Vs as shown in Fig. 1, the settling velocity reduces to ω - Vs. The same settling velocity in still water could be achieved if the particle’s size remains unchanged but its density is changed to ρs’, and the force balance equation is similar to Eq. 2 with the following form: Cd' d 2 ( Vs ) 2 d3 g ( s' ) 4 2 6 (6) From Eqs. 5 and 6, one can derive the following relationship: 2 s' V 1 s (7) s where α = Cd’/Cd ≈1. Contrary to Francalanci et al. (2008) treatment in which they modified the fluid density in order to express the influence of upward motion, Eq. 7 introduces the “apparent” particle density of ρs’ and Eq. 7 implies that the effects of nonhydrostatic pressure can be equivalently expressed by the variation of sediment density. If an upward seepage across the porous boundary (Vs > 0) is present, Eq. 7 gives ρs’ < ρs, which suggests that sediment transport in such case is similar to the lightweight material transport without seepage. Therefore, Eq. 4 simplifies the very complex sediment transport into a relatively simple transport model, it demonstrates that the upward velocity Vs promotes particles’ mobility and the downward velocity Vs has the effect to increase sediment density or stability as it becomes heavier. Based on this concept, the critical shear stress for sediment motion can be written as follows: c' 1 Y 2 c and Y Vs (8) V (9) where the correction coefficient β is introduced to express the relationship between the vertical velocity in the main flow V and the vertical flow in the sediment layer, Vs. The equation of sediment discharge subject to the vertical velocity can be obtained by modifying the sediment density in Eq. 4 with the following form: g t (Y ) k[ 2 u '2 u*'2c 1 1] o * (1 Y ) s 1 Y (10) and gt (Y ) (11) s 3 gt (0) s 1 Y s (1 Y ) Sediment suspension concentration is governed by the Rouse Equation, in which the Rouse index can be expressed as: Z (Y ) (1 Y ) u* (12) 4. VERIFICATION BY OBSERVATIONS. The comparison of Eq. 7 with experimental data by Cheng and Chiew (1999), Kavcar and Wright (2009) and Liu and Chiew (2012) is shown in Fig. 2. In Cheng and Chiew’s experiment the uniform particle size d = 1.02mm, and the seepage velocity (injection) was measured. Kavcar and Wright (2009) conducted experiments with both injection and suction using sediment particles of d50 = 0.5 mm. Liu and Chiew 5 (2012) observed the critical shear stress for sediment with a median diameter of 0.9 mm in the presence of downward seepage. Fig. 2 shows that the agreement between the measured and predicted critical shear stress is acceptable. Different from Eq. 7, Cheng and Chiew (1999) expressed their data using the following empirical way: V c' 1 s c Vsc m (13) where Vsc is the critical seepage velocity in a quick state and m = 1~2 and depends on the characteristics of sediments, and Vsc was determined by Vsc K s 11 (14) where K = hydraulic conductivity; λ = bed porosity. By comparing the structures of Eqs. 13 and 7, one can see that two of them are functionally similar to each other. Francalanci et al (2008) also developed an empirical equation to express the critical shear stress under the influence of vertical velocity, it has the following form: c' s (1 Vs / K ) c s (15) Comparing Eqs. 8, 13 and 15, one can find that the conditions for τc’ = 0 are, respectively, Vs = ω; Vs = Vsc and Vs K ( s 1) (16) From the physical interpretation, it is apparent that Eq. 8 gives the reasonable limit. Eqs. 13 and 15 may not be correct, because the calculated Vsc could be less or larger than ω, if Vsc > ω, it implies that streamwise force is still needed to initiate the particles’ movement even all particles are in a suspended state, it is totally unacceptable; if Vsc < ω, it indicates that the streamwise force could be zero to move the particles when particles are not in the suspended mode, it is also impossible. Besides, Eqs. 14 and 16 give different results for τc’ = 0. 8 Fig. 2, Comparison of experimental results on threshold condition under injection with Eq. 8 where Y = Vs/ω. The Shields number with the vertical velocity should be modified as follows: 6 *' ( s ) gd Vs c' 2 (17) Fig. 3 shows the critical shear stress observed by Afzalimhr et al. (2007), Sarker and Hossain (2006), Shvidchenko and Pender (2000), Gaucher et al. (2010), Emadzadeh et al. (2010), Everts (1973), Graf and Suszka (1987), White (1970), Neil (1967) and Carling (1983). It can be seen that the observed critical shear stress largely deviates from Shields diagram represented by the solid line (Y = Vs/ω = 0), the lines in Fig. 3 are the calculated results by using different values of Y. 1 τ*’ Y=0 Y = ± 0.183 Afzalimhr et al (2007) Shvidchenko & Pender (2000) Emadzadeh et al (2010) Graft & Suszka (1987) 0.1 Re* Fig. 3 Influence of wall-normal velocity on critical shear stress, the symbols are measured results and lines are the calculated results from Eq. 17 by changing Y. The lines in Fig. 3 are the calculated results by using different values of Y. The very small value of Y can significantly alter the critical shear stress. For example, the median sediment size in downstream of Mississippi River is about 0.37mm, the corresponding settling velocity is about 4.52cm/s. If the vertical velocity is 0.4cm/s or 0.3% of the streamwise velocity, the observed critical shear stress will be 20% higher/lower than Shields curve’s prediction. Lamb et al. (2008) observed that the critical Shields stress for incipient motion of sediment increases with channel slope, which observation is contrary to standard theoretical models that predict that mobility increases with channel slope due to the added gravitational force in the downstream direction. Fig. 3 can well explain this observation, if the channel slope is very gentle, then a decelerating flow occurs most likely, then the upward velocity promotes sediment’s mobility; if the channel slope is very steep, then accelerating flows are most likely, then the downward velocity constrains particles’ mobility. The research group in Nanyang Technological University, Singapore led by Prof. Chiew has been carrying out a series of research works to measure the influence of vertical velocity on sediment transport. The tests in this study were conducted in a rectangular perspex flume that was 4.8m long, 0.25m wide and 0.25m deep supported on a steel frame. Fig. 4 shows the measured data (from personal communication with Prof. Chiew). It can be seen from Fig. 4 that the sediment transport rate can be significantly promoted by an upward velocity, if the upward velocity is 80% of settling velocity (Y = 0.8), then the predicted sediment transport rate can be increased to 50 times of gt(0), this explains why the scour holes are formed. Fig. 4 also shows that the sediment transport rate is reduced if a downward flow exists in a river, if the downward velocity = settling velocity, i.e., Y = -1, then the sediment transport rate will be reduced to 1/3 of gt(0), this transport rate is achieved as the particles becomes “heavier”. 5. MECHANISM OF DUNE FORMATION AND PHASE LAG Figs. 2 and 4 present the experimental data from an artificial seepage, indicating that the suction increases 7 sediment stability, and injection decreases particles’ stability, in which the seepage velocity Vs can be measured directly. However, currently, there is as yet no experimental data to measure Vs induced by the waves and bursting cycles. There are two knowledge gaps that need to be filled: i) whether the vertical velocity exists in the main flow region, and ii) how does the vertical velocity in the main flow induce the seepage velocity in the sediment layer. The existence of vertical velocity can be inferred from the continuity equation of fluid flow, i.e., u v u ' v' 0 and 0 x y x y (18) where u and v are the time-average horizontal and vertical velocities in x and y directions as shown in Fig. 1, u’ and v’ are the velocity fluctuations, respectively. The vertical velocities v and v’ can be determined from Eq. 18 as follows: v u u ' dy and v' dy x x (19) 30 g(Y)/g(0) Eq.8 25 Chiew's measured data 20 15 10 5 Y 0 ‐1 ‐0.5 0 0.5 1 Fig. 4, Comparison of predicted and measured sediment discharge versus the vertical motion, in which Y = 0 means no vertical velocity; Y < 0 stands for accelerating flow where the sediment discharge is reduced and Y > 0 for decelerating flow where sediment discharge is increased significantly. In Eq. 19, the term ∂u/∂x is the gradient of streamwise velocity in x-direction. A positive value of v or upward velocity is generated if ∂u/∂x > 0 (decelerating), and negative if ∂u/∂x < 0 (accelerating). Hence, an accelerating flow yields a negative or downward v; a decelerating flow generates an upward or positive v. The presence of vertical velocity can be inferred directly from the wave theory, and similar results can be obtained. Eqs. 18 and 19 are applicable to both the mean flow and turbulence, also the conclusions are valid in wave conditions and flows with bursting cycles. Thus, it is certain that vertical velocity exists in the main flow region in coastal waters and steady-uniform flows. Based on the theoretical frame, one can hypothesize that the mechanisms of phase lag and dunes are identical, both are the results of the temporal/spatial discontinuity of the sediment transport capacity due to the presence of vertical velocity. Under the influence of waves, experimental observation has revealed that the peak sediment concentration does not occur at the time when the streamwise parameters are the highest, Fig. 4 can explain that the presence of vertical velocity cause the maximum concentration appears at the time when the vertical velocity is highest. Similarly, in steady-uniform flows, dunes are formed because the sediment transport is not uniform along the flow direction, sediment particles in some place with ejections can be easily eroded, whilst in the place with sweeps the particles are readily 8 deposited. In other words, the bedform formation can be deduced from Fig. 4, in which that the sediment transport rate is significantly increased by an upward velocity. Therefore, it can be inferred that the upward flow dominates the erosion process, or severe scour is always associated with the upward flows or decelerating flows, this is why severe erosion always occurs in decelerating flows that generate the upward velocity. The discovery is consistent with the researchers’ observations for channel flows subject to the vertical velocity (Oldenziel and Brink, 1974; Richardson et al., 1985; and Francalanci, 2006). Their experimental results confirm that injection promotes sediment transport, while suction reduces the rate of sand transport. 6. CONCLUSIONS This study investigates why models of sediment transport are invalid in prediction, why the bedforms are ubiquitous in natural and laboratorial flows, and why the maximum sediment concentration always lags behind the maximum of discharge. It has been clarified that all are caused by the omission of vertical motions. It is found that the alternation of vertical velocity in flow direction generates the dunes, and at the same place the maximum sediment concentration occurs at the moment that the vertical velocity is maximum, thus the phase lag appears. Similarly the vertical velocity by coherent structures, secondary currents, unsteadiness and non-uniformity and so on can significantly affect sediment transport from its threshold, transport, entrainment, suspension and bedforms. The role of vertical motion should not be underestimated. Based on this investigation, the present study reaches the following conclusions: 1). The upward velocity enhances sediment mobility and downward velocity increases its stability. Mathematically the behavior of sediment transport subject to a vertical motion can be equivalently treated by the introduction of apparent density. Particles become “heavier” when they are experienced the downward flows, this reduces the sediment transport rate. But particles become “lighter” in flows with upward velocity where the sediment discharge is increased significantly. This conclusion can wall explain the formation of scour hole. 2). The critical shear stress for incipient motion of sediment transport is affected by the vertical velocity also. The upward velocity reduces the critical shear stress, but downward velocity increases the shear stress. After the introduction of apparent density of sediment, the Shields curve can be extended to express the critical shear stress of sediment in flows with the presence of vertical flows, such as unsteady and non-uniform flows. 3). The upward velocity lightens the solid particles, thus the gradient of sediment concentration is decreased; the downward velocity increase particle settling velocity and concentration gradient. Consequently, the vertical velocity deviates the distribution of sediment concentration from the Rouse’s law and the Rouse number is different from the widely accepted value of ω/κu*. 4). The vertical velocity can be induced by channel’s geometry, non-uniformity, unsteadiness, burst, density stratification, surface waves etc., generally speaking, accelerating flows produce downward velocity, decelerating flows generates upward velocity. 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