Downloaded from geology.gsapubs.org on March 15, 2012 Geology Prehistoric earthquakes on the Caribbean−South American plate boundary, Central Range fault, Trinidad Carol S. Prentice, John C. Weber, Christopher J. Crosby and Daniel Ragona Geology 2010;38;675-678 doi: 10.1130/G30927.1 Email alerting services click www.gsapubs.org/cgi/alerts to receive free e-mail alerts when new articles cite this article Subscribe click www.gsapubs.org/subscriptions/ to subscribe to Geology Permission request click http://www.geosociety.org/pubs/copyrt.htm#gsa to contact GSA Copyright not claimed on content prepared wholly by U.S. government employees within scope of their employment. Individual scientists are hereby granted permission, without fees or further requests to GSA, to use a single figure, a single table, and/or a brief paragraph of text in subsequent works and to make unlimited copies of items in GSA's journals for noncommercial use in classrooms to further education and science. This file may not be posted to any Web site, but authors may post the abstracts only of their articles on their own or their organization's Web site providing the posting includes a reference to the article's full citation. GSA provides this and other forums for the presentation of diverse opinions and positions by scientists worldwide, regardless of their race, citizenship, gender, religion, or political viewpoint. Opinions presented in this publication do not reflect official positions of the Society. Notes © 2010 Geological Society of America Downloaded from geology.gsapubs.org on March 15, 2012 Prehistoric earthquakes on the Caribbean–South American plate boundary, Central Range fault, Trinidad Carol S. Prentice1, John C. Weber2, Christopher J. Crosby1*, and Daniel Ragona3† 1 U.S. Geological Survey, 345 Middlefield Road, MS 977, Menlo Park, California 94025, USA Department of Geology, Grand Valley State University, Allendale, Michigan 49401, USA 3 Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California–San Diego, La Jolla, California 92121, USA 2 ABSTRACT Recent geodetic studies suggest that the Central Range fault is the principal plate-boundary structure accommodating strike-slip motion between the Caribbean and South American plates. Our study shows that the fault forms a topographically prominent lineament in central Trinidad. Results from a paleoseismic investigation at a site where Holocene sediments have been deposited across the Central Range fault indicate that it ruptured the ground surface most recently between 2710 and 550 yr B.P. If the geodetic slip rate of 9–15 mm/yr is representative of Holocene slip rates, our paleoseismic data suggest that at least 4.9 m of potential slip may have accumulated on the fault and could be released during a future large earthquake (M > 7). INTRODUCTION Trinidad is located within the actively deforming Caribbean–South American plate-boundary zone (Fig. 1A). Global positioning system (GPS)–based geodetic studies show that the current motion of the Caribbean plate is 20 ± 3 mm/yr directed N86° ± 2°E with respect to South America (Weber et al., 2001; Perez et al., 2001). West of Trinidad, in Venezuela, the principal plate-boundary fault is the El Pilar fault, a rightlateral strike-slip fault that has produced multiple moderate to large earthquakes in the last several hundred years (Mendoza, 2000). However, recent GPS-based geodetic studies in Trinidad indicate that the eastward projection of the El Pilar fault in northern Trinidad is currently accommodating no right-lateral motion within the error of the measurements (Saleh et al., 2004; Weber et al., 2010) (Fig. 1B) and that a significant part of the plate-boundary motion is accommodated on the Central Range fault (CRF) (Saleh et al., 2004; Weber et al., 2010) (Fig. 2). Trinidad’s geology is characterized by a 10-km-thick passive margin and foreland basin sedimentary section (metamorphosed and exhumed in the north) with strike-slip faults that cut older fold-and-thrust belt structures (e.g., Pindell et al., 1998) (Fig. 2C). Bedrock faults in the vicinity of the CRF were initially mapped by Kugler (1959) but not recognized as being active structures. Weber et al. (1999) proposed an active fault B NA 20˚N SF PRT EPGF H A A N SCALE 1km 3 km 5 km Linear ridge LA Caribbean plate 15˚ Gulf of Paria pull-apart MB Port of Spain Central Range fault Samlalsingh Samla Sam lalsin la sin i gh hs sit site it ite Right-laterally offset drainages Saddle Trinidad 10˚ SA 70˚W EPF WSF CRF Venezuela 65˚ Linear drainage Linear ridge San Fernando Scarp Pointe-áPierre Saddle GE RAN LT FAU Navet avett D av Dam Vegetation lineament L TRA CEN Linear drainage B Saddle Shutter ridge Saddle Linear drainages 10 mm/yr C Figure 1. A: Tectonic setting of Trinidad. Caribbean plate moves ~20 mm/yr eastward relative to South America (SA). CRF—Central Range fault; EPF—El Pilar fault; EPGF—Enriquillo–Plantain Garden fault; H—Hispaniola; LA—Lesser Antilles; MB— Maricaibo Block; NA—North America; PRT—Puerto Rico Trench; SF—Septentrional fault; WSF—Warm Springs fault (after Babb and Mann, 1999). Cooler colors indicate lower topography and bathymetry. B: Map of Trinidad showing CRF (solid red line). Heavy arrows with error ellipses show GPS-to-GPS motions (Weber et al., 2001). Thin arrows show triangulation-to-GPS motions. Both show that the CRF is associated with a strong gradient in the velocity field (Saleh et al., 2004; Weber et al., 2010). Black rectangle shows area of Figure 2A. Dashed red line shows location of the eastward projection of the El Pilar fault (EPF), inferred as a buried structure by Kugler (1959), which takes up no horizontal plate-boundary motion within the error of GPS measurements. *Current address: San Diego Supercomputer Center, University of California– San Diego, MC 0505, 9500 Gilman Drive, La Jolla, California 92093-0505, USA † Current address: BP America, 501 Westlake Park Blvd., Houston, Texas 77079, USA NCF Oceanic crust Caribbean lithosphere N EMB AF EP? Fold-and-thrust belt cut by strike-slip faults CRF Continental crust So. Am. lithosphere 100 km S Figure 2. A: Hillshade image derived from digital elevation model for western Trinidad showing geomorphic features indicative of Quaternary activity. Red line is Central Range fault (CRF), dashed where uncertain. B: Oblique aerial photograph showing linear valley associated with CRF. View is eastward from point above view icon shown in A. White arrows show location of CRF. C: Lithospheric-scale schematic cross section through Caribbean–South American plate-boundary zone showing active CRF and thick sedimentary section coupled to deeper shear (modified from Teyssier et al., 2002). AF—Arima fault, a normal fault in bedrock (Kugler, 1959); CRF—Central Range fault; EMB—exhumed metamorphic belt; EP?—eastward projection of El Pilar fault, inferred by Kugler (1959); NCF—North Coast fault. © 2010 Geological Society of America. For permission to copy, contact Copyright Permissions, GSA, or [email protected]. GEOLOGY, August 2010 Geology, August 2010; v. 38; no. 8; p. 675–678; doi: 10.1130/G30927.1; 4 figures; Data Repository item 2010189. 675 Downloaded from geology.gsapubs.org on March 15, 2012 through central Trinidad carrying a significant part of the current plate motion, which they referred to as the CRF. Babb and Mann (1999) interpreted that Neogene motion accommodated on the El Pilar fault in Venezuela steps to the south across the Gulf of Paria to the offshore Warm Springs fault, creating a Neogene basin in the Gulf of Paria, and continues eastward through central Trinidad. The CRF continues offshore east of the island as a Quaternary structure (Soto et al., 2007) (Fig. 2). Russo et al. (1993) and Teyssier et al. (2002) discuss how active strike-slip faults could couple the thick sedimentary section to deeper plate-boundary shear (Fig. 2C). The results of our study show that surface rupture has occurred on the CRF in the late Holocene, most recently between 2710 and 550 yr B.P. FAULT GEOMORPHOLOGY We conducted field reconnaissance along the 25-km-long section of the CRF between Navet Dam and Pointe-a-Pierre in western Trinidad (Fig. 2), as well as aerial reconnaissance along the entire 50 km length of the fault onshore (Crosby et al., 2009). Analysis of 1:20,000-scale stereo aerial photographs showed multiple geomorphic features commonly associated with Quaternary strike-slip faults (Fig. 2) (Crosby et al., 2009). Between Navet Dam and Manzanilla Bay on the east coast, dense vegetation and limited access prevented detailed study of this section of the fault. However, geomorphic features such as scarps and linear drainages near Manzanilla Bay strongly suggest that the fault continues northeast from Navet Dam across the entire island. Analysis of offshore three-dimensional seismic data shows that the CRF continues for at least 60 km east of Manzanilla Bay (Soto et al., 2007). Significant anthropogenic modification of the landscape coupled with the tropical climate in Trinidad creates a challenging environment for the study of Holocene faulting. In many instances, geomorphic features we identified on 1982 aerial photography have been modified by development and agriculture and are no longer recognizable in the field. Rapid erosion and deposition due to the tropical climate and deforestation also mask small-scale geomorphic features typically associated with Holocene surface faulting. Thus our mapping of geomorphic features, while suggestive, is not sufficient to conclude that the CRF is a Holocene fault. Therefore, we excavated trenches across the fault to determine the age of the most recent surface rupture on the CRF in western Trinidad. EXCAVATIONS ACROSS THE CENTRAL RANGE FAULT We excavated ten trenches at the Samlalsingh site near the town of Bonne Aventure (Figs. 2 and 3). This site is an agricultural field where a small south-flowing stream has deposited Holocene fluvial sediments B B Shutter ridge Sh hut utte ttteer rri idg ge 3 Terrace 2 Trench 1 Terrace 1 am Stre CRF C CR RF 2 1 7 10 0 4 6 9 5 Trench 6 Trench 4 A Trench 9A Trench 3 Trench 9 Trench 5 Trench 10 S Trench 2 Trench 7 Unmapped 20 m CRF Explanation Trench, fault Trench, no fault Modern channel Terrace riser Lower terrace 1 Higher terrace 2 Figure 3. A: Map of Samlalsingh site from tape and compass survey; note that south is up, to match aerial view in B. Stream flows southeast across study site. B: Oblique aerial view southward across Samlalsingh site. Area of photo is nearly coincident with map extent. 676 across the fault (Fig. 3). No small scarps or other expression of the active CRF are present at the site, indicating that the most recent surface ruptures have been buried by fluvial deposits or obscured by agricultural activities. We excavated three trenches exposing the sediments across most of the valley (Fig. 3, trenches 1–3; complete logs of all trenches at this site are available in Crosby et al., 2009). Most of the trenches exposed deeply weathered and highly deformed bedrock overlain by 0.5–3 m of fluvial channel gravel and silty overbank deposits. We located the CRF in trench 3 and excavated additional trenches across the fault southwest of trench 3 to find exposures that would allow us to place constraints on the age of the most recent surface ruptures. We exposed the fault in five of our ten trenches (Fig. 3). Four of the other trenches did not cross the fault; the remaining trench (trench 5) was excavated across the fault, but historical sediments buried the fault in this location (Crosby et al., 2009). Radiocarbon analysis of detrital charcoal samples collected from the excavations shows that the fluvial gravel and overbank deposits are late Holocene. Five radiocarbon samples (6 through 10, Table DR1 in the GSA Data Repository1) collected from unit 30 exposed in trenches 9, 10, and 3 give indistinguishable, dendrochronologically calibrated, 2σ calendar age ranges of 4830–5290 yr B.P., 4880–5290 yr B.P., 4970–5300 yr B.P., 4970–5300, and 4880–5320 yr B.P. This unit is faulted in trenches 9, 10, and 3 (Figs. 3 and 4) (Crosby et al., 2009), showing that the CRF has been active after the mid-Holocene. Relations among faults and sedimentary units in trench 9 allow us to narrow the age of the most recent fault displacement. Trench 9 exposed a strath surface cut into weathered bedrock (units 50 and 60) and overlain by 1.5–2.0 m of fluvial gravel (unit 30) and silty overbank deposits (unit 20) with a well-developed soil A horizon (unit 10) (Fig. 4). Three fault strands, F1, F2, and F3, cut the units in the eastern wall. F1 juxtaposes bedrock units 50 and 60, but does not offset unit 30. F2 and F3 displace unit 30 and the lower part of unit 20, and do not cut into the upper part of unit 20 or unit 10. F2 and F3 form a small graben (Figs. 4A and 4B), most likely the result of a local extensional step or bend in the CRF. The graben has been filled in with upper unit 20 and unit 10 deposits. Both of these units thicken substantially across the graben, suggesting their deposition was affected by the graben. We see no evidence of deformation of either unit 10 or upper unit 20, and interpret the deepening of the unit 10-20 contact over the fault zone as being due to thickening of the units within the graben and not as a deformational feature. Gravel similar to unit 30 is exposed in the graben at the base of the trench, and we interpret this gravel as unit 30 offset across F2 and F3. This correlation provides a measurement of vertical separation across these faults of ~1.7–1.8 m. The change in thickness and grain size of unit 30 across the faults is due to strike-slip motion juxtaposing different facies of this unit. We interpret the relations to indicate that the most recent surfacerupturing earthquake at this location occurred after deposition of unit 30 and during the deposition of unit 20, but prior to development of unit 10. Unit 20 is composed of massive, very fine-grained silty clay that we interpret to have accumulated slowly during multiple flood events. The fault displacement that created the graben had a significant vertical component of displacement, creating free faces at the ground surface at the time of the earthquake (Nelson, 1992). With time, the free faces eroded back, becoming less planar, and sediments of upper unit 20 were deposited against them, eventually burying the fault scarps that bound the graben. The contact between the eroded free face and the postearthquake sediments is a depositional contact, even though the units on the upthrown side of the fault have been faulted. Both boundaries of the lower part of the graben 1 GSA Data Repository item 2010189, Table DR1 (calculated dates from C analysis of angular charcoal fragments, Central Range Fault, Trinidad), is available online at www.geosociety.org/pubs/ft2010.htm, or on request from [email protected] or Documents Secretary, GSA, P.O. Box 9140, Boulder, CO 80301, USA. 14 GEOLOGY, August 2010 Downloaded from geology.gsapubs.org on March 15, 2012 A N18W 1: 520–650 yr B.P. TRENCH 9: EAST WALL 0m 10 0.5 20 20 1.0 30 30 1.5 Bench B 20 Unit 10 2.0 Unit 20 60 Unit 30 60 Unit 30 2.5 Eroded free face 30 Gra b Un en it 2 0 F310 50 F3 Eroded free face 2: 550–670 yr B.P. F2 9Unit 60 F2 5: 4660–5310 yr B.P. 4: 2360–2740 yr B.P. 7 6 8 F1 8: 4970–5300 yr B.P. (99%) 5 10: 4880–5320 yr B.P. 3 2 4 1 1 METER N18W SAMLALSINGH TRENCH 9 EXPLANATION UNIT # DESCRIPTION 10 Massive dark gray silty clay—A horizon 20 Massive sandy, silty clay 30 Pebbles, cobbles, and boulders in sand matrix 50 Silver-gray claystone. Bedrock. 60 Gray claystone. Brasso Shale. Bedrock. 0 0m 0.5 10 20 1.0 30 30 20 Bench 1.5 Bedrock shear fabric Fault 20 Charcoal sample 2.0 60 50 Buried free face (eroded fault scarp) 60 2.5 Contact, dashed where gradational F2 Approximate location of event horizon F1 3 4 5 6 F4 F5 F3 TRENCH 9: WEST WALL 7 8 9 10 1 METER 11 Figure 4. Trench 9. A: Logs of trench 9, showing faulted Holocene units and samples 1, 2, 4, 5, 8, and 10 (Table DR1 in the GSA Data Repository1). Ages are 2σ calibrated ranges. Fault F1 offsets Miocene units only; faults F2 and F3 offset unit 30 and lower unit 20. Faults F4 and F5 may record an earlier event. B: Photograph showing graben in eastern wall. Grid above bench is 1 m × 0.5 m. are steep and planar, and exhibit a shear fabric, while in the upper part of the graben the boundaries are eroded and laid back (Fig. 4). We therefore interpret the contacts between units 20 and 60 in the upper part of the graben as depositional contacts, and infer that the sediments within the upper graben, including samples 1 and 2, postdate the earthquake. The contacts between units 20 and 60 in the lower part of the graben are fault contacts, and lower unit 20 (including samples 3, 4, and 5) predates the earthquake (Table DR1; Fig. 4A). Three detrital charcoal samples collected from lower unit 20 exposed in trenches 9 (Fig. 4) and 9A (Crosby et al., 2009) were dated. One of these (sample 5, Table DR1; Fig. 4A) yielded an age of 4660–5310 yr B.P. and is most likely reworked from the gravel unit. The remaining two samples (3 and 4, Table DR1) yielded indistinguishable, dendrochronologically calibrated, 2σ age ranges of 2350–2710 yr B.P. (sample 3; see Crosby et al., 2009, for location in trench 9A) and 2360–2740 yr B.P. (sample 4; see Fig. 4A for location). Samples 1 and 2 (Table DR1; Fig. 4A) were collected from unit 10, the unfaulted soil unit exposed in trench 9. These samples yield indistinguishable, dendrochronologically calibrated, 2σ age ranges of 520–650 and 550–670 yr B.P. Detrital charcoal forms an unknown amount of time prior to the deposition of the sediment into which it is incorporated, and in some cases (e.g., sample 5) can be significantly older than the time of deposition. However, we note that the radiocarbon ages for units 30, 20, and 10 are in correct stratigraphic order and GEOLOGY, August 2010 that multiple samples from the same unit are indistinguishable (with the one exception of sample 5). Because the tropical environment makes survival of charcoal through multiple phases of reworking relatively rare, and because there is little indication in the age results that reworked charcoal is a significant problem at this site, we assume that the ages of the detrital charcoal are close to the age of deposition of the sedimentary units. The two radiocarbon ages (3 and 4 on Table DR1) from unit 20 predate the most recent surface rupture of the CRF, and show that the most recent event occurred after 2710 yr B.P. The minimum limiting age for the most recent earthquake is given by samples 1 and 2 (Table DR1) collected from unit 10 in trench 9 (Fig. 4A). The ages of these samples are 520–650 yr B.P. for sample 1, and 550–670 yr B.P. for sample 2. Because these sediments were deposited sometime after the most recent event, this event must have occurred prior to 550 yr B.P., assuming that the ages of the charcoal samples are close to the time of deposition of unit 10. There is evidence that is suggestive of at least one earlier Holocene event exposed in the western wall of trench 9 (Fig. 4A). Two additional faults appear on this wall near the bottom of the graben, F4 and F5. Both faults break unit 30 within the graben, but do not break unit 20, suggesting they may have ruptured during an earlier episode of motion than faults F2 and F3, prior to the deposition of unit 20. The evidence for this earlier earthquake is weak, and only appears on one of the two trench walls, implying that F4 and F5 merge with F2 and F3 between the two trench 677 Downloaded from geology.gsapubs.org on March 15, 2012 walls. Therefore, we note that while these relations suggest the possibility of two events since gravel unit 30 was deposited ca. 5000 yr B.P., additional evidence is needed to test this scenario. Because samples 3 and 4 collected from lower unit 20 were deposited after the earlier event in this scenario, this earthquake, if it occurred, would have occurred prior to 2360 yr B.P. (Table DR1). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS Our paleoseismic investigations demonstrate that the CRF is a Holocene fault that has produced at least one earthquake large enough to rupture the ground surface within the past 2710 yr. We conclude that this fault is capable of producing similar earthquakes again, and therefore constitutes a significant seismic hazard for Trinidad. Our data suggest that the most recent earthquake is prehistoric and occurred between 550 and 2710 yr B.P. This is consistent with the historical record, which does not show a significant earthquake felt in central Trinidad that is likely to have originated on the CRF since European settlement in the sixteenth century (Robson, 1964). No Holocene geologic slip rate data are available for the onshore CRF. However, if the geodetic rate of 9–15 mm/yr (Weber et al., 2010) is typical of the last several thousand years, then a lapsed time of >550 yr suggests that strain energy equivalent to over 4.9 m of slip is currently available for seismic release, corresponding to an earthquake of M > 7 (Wells and Coppersmith, 1994). A locked CRF that periodically ruptures to produce large earthquakes is consistent with our findings from a field search for aseismic creep-related offset cultural features. We examined fault-crossing, linear roads and fences in the Plaissance Park housing development near Pointeá-Pierre and saw no evidence for creep. We also found no evidence for creep-related offsets across Navet Dam or nearby, nor across any of the roads examined between Navet Dam and Pointe-á-Pierre. In addition, the trenches at the Samlalsingh site showed no fault displacement of the youngest sediments. However, we note that repeat measurements of carefully established alignment arrays are needed to be certain there is no fault creep associated with the CRF. The one and possibly two surface-rupturing prehistoric earthquakes that we interpret from our trenches at the Samlalsingh excavation site represent a minimum number of earthquakes in the past 5000 yr. Although we do not see evidence for additional events, it is possible that surface ruptures occurred that were not recorded in the stratigraphic section. Excavations in a location with a more complete Holocene section might provide evidence for additional earthquakes. We note that the geodetically determined slip rate of 12 ± 3 mm/yr is inconsistent with only one or two large, surface-rupturing earthquakes: At this slip rate, the fault would slip 45–75 m in 5000 yr, requiring more than two earthquakes. Either these additional earthquakes are not preserved in the stratigraphic sections exposed in our excavations, or the geodetic slip rate is significantly higher than the longer-term, late Holocene geologic slip rate. Despite uncertainties regarding the fault’s slip rate and recurrence interval, it is clear that the CRF represents a significant seismic hazard to Trinidad and that the thick sedimentary section must be sufficiently strong to store and release elastic strain that results from plate-boundary shearing. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank the Trinidad and Tobago Ministry of Energy and Energy Industries for financial support. We also thank Samlalsingh residents and landowners Lindrum Subedar, Ferooz Boodram, Basdeo Ball, and Mahadeo Swoknanan for access to their farms and for field assistance. We thank Alan Nelson, Paul Mann, 678 Maritia Tuttle, and James Pindell for helpful reviews. Thanks to Anthony Rodriguez and Martha Roldan for assistance with figures. 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