Tax-Loss Selling 2016 ‘Tis the Season November 2016 CONTENTS CONTENTS ............................................................................................................. 2 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 ............................................................................................. 3 Heading Towards Year-end ......................................................................................................... 3 Waiting Until Next Year? ............................................................................................................. 3 Key Dates For 2016 .................................................................................................................... 3 Market Environment.................................................................................................................... 4 Tax-Loss Selling Is Concentrated ............................................................................................... 6 The Art of Window Dressing ........................................................................................................ 6 What to Watch For ....................................................................................................................... 6 Tax-Loss Selling with ETFs ........................................................................................................ 13 Upgrade Your Holdings.............................................................................................................. 14 Page 2 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Heading Towards Year-end As we progress through November, investors should begin thinking about the year ahead and planning for potential tax losses – selling their losing positions to offset capital gains. Based on Canadian tax law, capital losses can offset capital gains in any fiscal year. Losses must first be applied against capital gains in the current year; if any excess losses remain, they can be applied against capital gains made in the prior three years, or be used to offset capital gains in future years. For example, if an investor had purchased 100 shares of XYZ Corp. at $40.00, and sold it in 2016 at $20.00 a share (on a net basis, including brokerage fees), the investor would now have a capital loss of $2,000. This loss can be used to reduce certain capital gains this year by $2,000. If there are no applicable capital gains this year, then this $2,000 capital loss can be carried forward to future years, or applied against capital gains accrued in 2013, 2014, and 2015 resulting in a tax credit or refund. But Remember… Capital-loss selling cannot be applied to registered accounts, such as Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSP), Registered Educational Savings Plans (RESP), Registered Retirement Income Fund (RRIF), Registered Disability Savings Plan (RDSP), or TaxFree Savings Accounts (TFSA). As well, capital losses will be foregone when you transfer a losing position from a non-registered account into a registered account. If you are selling stock at a loss, you (and your spouse/common-law partner) must wait at least 30 days before repurchasing the same securities to avoid Canada Revenue Agency’s (CRA) “superficial loss” regulations. If you repurchase the shares within this 30-day window, CRA will determine that the trade was a “superficial loss”, and you will be denied the benefits of the transaction. Given the complexity of tax laws, consult your Investment Advisor and tax professional before considering any tax-loss related strategies. Waiting Until Next Year? If you are selling securities at a profit in 2016, should you consider waiting until 2017 to make the sale? Waiting until the New Year to sell profitable positions will defer the payment of your taxes by a full year. Your taxes for 2017 won’t be due until you file your tax return in April, 2017. Caveat Emptor: Not wanting to pay tax in the current year may well be one of the worst reasons not to crystalize a capital gain. Key Dates For 2016 Friday, December 23, 2016 is the last day for tax-loss selling for Canadian taxpayers selling Canadian equities. There are no alternatives if you leave trades beyond this date. Tuesday, December 27, 2016 is also the last day for tax-loss selling of U.S. equities for Canadian taxpayers. Once again there are no alternatives should you wait beyond this date. Friday, December 30, 2016 is also the last day for RESP contributions, 2016 charitable contributions and 2016 TFSA contributions. Page 3 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Market Environment What started off as a down-year, 2016 has thus far proven to be a good year for the markets, with all three major U.S. Composite Indexes hitting all-time-highs. Year-to-date, leading the way is the S&P 500, up 7.84% the NASDAQ is up 3.6%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 6.68%. Despite these highs, it has felt as if something’s been holding the market back in recent months. Canaccord Genuity Chief Portfolio Strategist Tony Dwyer says the issue for the market since mid-July isn’t the fundamental backdrop, it is the level of conviction to act on that fundamental backdrop when the market declines. It is so important during the corrective periods to remember recessions are driven by sharply higher inflation expectations that drive the Fed to tighten enough to cause the yield curve to invert thus shutting down credit. Dwyer adds there has also been a degree of uncertainty over what investors can expect from a Trump Presidency. There is no question investors are going to have to grapple with increased volatility as the election dust settles. At this point, it is impossible to answer whether President Trump will be different than candidate Trump. Dwyer says there will be much speculation in the coming weeks about what President Trump might do, investors should stay focused on what we know: The only time to expect a significant and sustainable decline in broad equity prices is following very tight credit conditions that cause a recession. Time and again, as the market corrects, fear of pending recession and “it’s different this time” clog the inboxes and airways. Over the past 65 years (including the current cycle), there has not been a U.S. recession while: 1) The Real Fed Funds Rate remains negative; 2) The yield curve remains positive; 3) With no stress being priced into the Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions sub-indices. Although anything is possible given the election outcome, it is pretty hard to make a sustainable negative economic case with (a) stable inflation, (b) a still historically accommodative Fed that is slow to act, (c) a demographic tailwind, (d) a turn in the global picture, and (e) a positive trend in S&P 500 (SPX) EPS and valuations. In Canada, the major indexes bounced back from a disappointing 2015. The S&P/TSX 60 Index is up 13.71%, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index has risen 13.52%. The S&P/TSX Venture Index has posted a significant 43.3% increase, year-to-date. Canaccord Genuity North American Portfolio Strategist Martin Roberge says the good news is that for the first time since 2009, the composite leading economic indicator (LEI) for BRIC (i.e., Brazil, Russia, India and China) countries has pushed into the expansion territory. Central banks in emerging markets (EMs) are pressing hard on the monetary reflation pedal to kick-start growth. Their efforts are bearing fruit. The bad news is that the LEI for the G7 countries remains in the contraction zone and monetary policy as a stimulative tool is nearly exhausted. The net result is a desynchronized world economic cycle which should persist until governments in the developed markets (DMs) embrace fiscal reflation. Roberge believes this pivot point is approaching - It is just common sense. The cost of debt associated with government spending is nil as Treasury bond yields in most countries remain below trend GDP growth rates. Roberge says that, at a minimum, reducing fiscal drag should be a priority among world governmental authorities in 2017. After taking a positive view on the CDN$ at the beginning of the year, Roberge now believes that the cyclical rally is maturing. His view is that a relapse to the low 70s is in the cards for 2017 despite firming oil prices and EM’s positive economic momentum. While these factors are normally CDN$ supportive, at times, a decoupling can occur. Roberge believes Canada’s weakening fiscal and economic fundamentals will trigger this decoupling. Market Return Calculations as of November 10, 2016. Page 4 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Figure 1: S&P/TSX Sector Performance Year-To-Date – Best to Worst (As of November 10, 2016) Sector S&P/TSX Global Gold S&P/TSX Global Base Metals S&P/TSX Global Mining S&P/TSX Eq Wght Glb Base Metal S&P/TSX Capped Materials S&P/TSX Venture S&P/TSX SmallCap S&P/TSX Eq Wght Oil & Gas S&P/TSX Capped Energy S&P/TSX Composite Equal Weight S&P/TSX Capped Industrials S&P/TSX Comp. High Dividend S&P/TSX Dividend Composite S&P/TSX Eq Wght Divers Banks S&P/TSX Capped Telecom Serv S&P/TSX 60 Shariah S&P/TSX 60 Capped S&P/TSX 60 S&P/TSX Composite S&P/TSX Comp Capped S&P/TSX Completion S&P/TSX Comp Total Return S&P/TSX Capped Utilities S&P/TSX Capped Financials S&P/TSX Capped Cons Staples S&P/TSX Cdn Dividend Arist. S&P/TSX Capped REIT S&P/TSX Income Trust S&P/TSX Capped Info Tech S&P/TSX Capped Cons Discretion S&P/TSX Capped Real Estate S&P/TSX North Amer. Preferred S&P/TSX Preferred Share S&P/TSX North Amer. Preferred S&P/TSX Capped Health Care Sym bol Y TD C hange (%) TTGD-I 71.00 TXBM-I 53.90 TXGM-I 52.10 TXBE-I 51.20 TTMT-I 48.10 JX-I 43.30 TXXX-I 27.10 TXOE-I 27.00 TTEN-I 26.60 TXCE-I 19.70 TTIN-I 18.00 TXEI-I 16.20 TXDC-I 15.50 TXDE-I 15.20 TTTS-I 14.50 TXSI-I 14.30 TXCI-I 13.60 TXLX-I 13.60 TSX-I 13.50 TSXC-I 13.50 TXMC-I 13.40 TSXT-I 12.70 TTUT-I 11.80 TTFS-I 10.90 TTCS-I 8.80 TXDV-I 8.40 RTRE-I 7.40 RTCM-I 5.80 TTTK-I 4.10 TTCD-I 3.20 TTRE-I 1.90 STNU-I 0.30 TXPR-I -0.80 STNC-I -2.90 TTHC-I -42.80 Source: The Globe and Mail Page 5 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Tax-Loss Selling Is Concentrated In general, tax-loss selling tends to be concentrated in November and the first two weeks of December, with some investors going back into the market after this to take advantage of reduced equity values in the second half of December. Note, investors should be cautious about selling early in order to exploit market weakness later on in the year, as that scenario may not always play out as expected. The Art of Window Dressing Money managers often clean up their portfolio holdings before the end of the tax year. Approximately 50% of U.S. mutual funds have a fiscal year-end between October and December. They tend to sell stocks with large losses to avoid reporting them in their year-end report. This window dressing causes downward pressure on stocks that have already been seriously beat up and are trading near their 52-week lows towards the end of the year. However on a positive note, once this downward pressure subsides, these stocks are likely to experience a price reversal. What to Watch For Year to date, the S&P/TSX Composite Index is weighted towards the losers with 130 members down, 116 gainers and one unchanged. At this time last year, the Index was weighted heavily towards the decliners with 176 decliners, 72 gainers and none unchanged. The larger-cap S&P/TSX 60 Index is slightly weighted towards decliners, with 31 members down, 29 members up and none unchanged. At this time last year, there were 18 gainers, 41 decliners and one unchanged. We believe that the worst- and bestperforming equities are the ones to monitor. Page 6 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Figure 2: Figure 2: S&P/TSX Composite Index - Best Performers Year-To-Date (As of November 10, 2016) C om pany Teck Resources Ivanhoe Mines Endeavour Mining Corp. Iamgold Corp. First Majestic Silver First Quantum Minerals B2Gold Guyana Goldfields Inc. Pan American Silver Klondex Mines Ltd Bonavista Energy Corp. Asanko Gold Inc. Westshore Terminals Investment Silver Standard Resources Barrick Gold Corp. Alamos Gold Birchcliff Energy Seven Generations Energy Kinross Gold EnCana Corp. MAG Silver Corp. Enerplus Corp. Yamana Gold Inc. Silver Wheaton Agnico Eagle Mines Torex Gold Resources Pretium Resources TMX Group New Gold Premium Brands Crew Energy Inc. Kirkland Lake Gold Sandstorm Gold Ltd. NuVista Energy Ltd Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Sleep Country Canada Holdings Lundin Mining Great Canadian Gaming Tourmaline Oil Parex Resources Inc. Waste Connections TORC Oil & Gas Ltd. Altus Group Lucara Diamond OceanaGold Saputo Inc. Russel Metals Kinaxis Inc. Bonterra Energy Corp. Kelt Exploration Sym bol TCK.B-T IVN-T EDV-T IMG-T FR-T FM-T BTO-T GUY-T PAA-T KDX-T BNP-T AKG-T WTE-T SSO-T ABX-T AGI-T BIR-T VII-T K-T ECA-T MAG-T ERF-T YRI-T SLW-T AEM-T TXG-T PVG-T X-T NGD-T PBH-T CR-T KLG-T SSL-T NVA-T LIF-T ZZZ-T LUN-T GC-T TOU-T PXT-T WCN-T TOG-T AIF-T LUC-T OGC-T SAP-T RUS-T KXS-T BNE-T KEL-T Price ($ ) Y TD C hange (%) Dividend Y ield (%) 29.90 459.40 0.33 2.45 282.00 22.58 212.60 5.48 193.90 12.10 178.00 15.49 177.40 0.10 3.57 162.90 7.35 152.30 22.10 150.90 0.30 6.99 147.30 4.24 135.70 0.93 4.69 135.50 26.50 126.00 2.43 15.37 125.70 21.55 125.20 0.46 10.09 121.30 0.27 8.50 120.50 29.33 115.40 5.01 112.00 13.98 102.10 0.56 19.08 99.40 8.81 91.20 1.32 4.65 87.90 0.55 28.35 87.40 0.83 64.31 86.10 0.79 21.48 82.80 12.15 81.90 64.71 79.90 2.80 5.61 77.60 65.47 74.50 2.28 6.91 72.60 8.08 72.30 5.94 72.20 6.75 69.30 16.34 66.70 6.25 28.11 62.70 2.14 6.47 60.80 25.17 60.00 34.24 53.40 15.58 53.10 102.40 51.90 0.94 7.60 50.50 3.10 29.02 49.60 2.07 3.37 48.00 1.80 3.75 45.50 45.21 45.40 1.25 24.40 45.10 6.52 68.63 45.00 24.15 44.90 4.81 5.83 43.90 - Page 7 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Source: The Globe and Mail Figure 3: S&P/TSX Composite Index - Worst Performers Year-To-Date (As of November 10, 2016) C om pany Valeant Pharmaceuticals Intl. DH Corporation Martinrea International. Linamar Corp. Just Energy Group Cameco Corp. MEG Energy Corp. Enghouse Systems Canfor Corporation Empire Company BlackBerry Limited Aimia Inc. Colliers International Group DHX Media Pason Systems Dominion Diamond ProMetic Life Sciences Stella-Jones Inc. CI Financial Mitel Networks West Fraser Timber Co. Western Forest Products MacDonald Dettwiler & Assoc. Intertain Group Gildan Activewear ATS Automation Tooling Systems Alaris Royalty Uni-Select Inc. North West Company Brookfield Property Partners Element Fleet Management Aecon Group Magna International Hudson's Bay Co. Sierra Wireless Artis REIT Tricon Capital Group Cominar REIT Stantec Inc. Extendicare Inc. Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Manulife Financial Keyera Corp. Crescent Point Energy Great-West Lifeco Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd. Imperial Oil Interfor Corporation George Weston Dream Office REIT Sym bol Price ($ ) Y TD C hange (%) Dividend Y ield (%) VRX-T 21.89 -84.70 2.36 DH-T 15.73 -52.50 8.52 MRE-T 6.95 -35.30 1.76 LNR-T 48.74 -35.20 0.83 JE-T 6.78 -33.40 7.60 CCO-T 11.82 -33.00 3.50 MEG-T 5.41 -31.80 ENGH-T 51.22 -31.40 1.10 CFP-T 14.34 -30.80 EMP.A-T 17.97 -29.30 2.25 BB-T 9.54 -25.70 AIM-T 7.57 -23.00 11.03 CIGI-T 48.06 -22.40 0.28 DHX.B-T 6.64 -21.60 1.08 PSI-T 15.82 -21.10 4.44 DDC-T 11.57 -19.90 4.73 PLI-T 2.69 -19.90 SJ-T 43.39 -18.10 0.93 CIX-T 25.71 -17.30 5.45 MNW-T 8.81 -17.00 WFT-T 44.85 -16.80 0.64 WEF-T 1.87 -16.40 4.23 MDA-T 71.91 -15.30 2.10 IT-T 8.74 -14.70 GIL-T 34.00 -13.70 1.22 ATA-T 9.60 -13.60 AD-T 21.00 -13.60 7.98 UNS-T 29.94 -12.70 2.27 NWC-T 24.93 -12.30 4.93 BPY.UN-T 28.07 -10.80 5.21 EFN-T 12.09 -9.80 0.83 ARE-T 13.98 -9.30 3.30 MG-T 51.62 -9.30 2.63 HBC-T 16.73 -9.10 1.22 SW-T 20.09 -9.00 AX.UN-T 11.67 -9.00 9.27 TCN-T 8.84 -7.30 3.10 CUF.UN-T 13.83 -5.60 10.59 STN-T 33.88 -5.50 1.39 EXE-T 9.11 -4.70 5.22 POT-T 23.83 -3.90 2.35 MFC-T 21.55 -3.10 3.68 KEY-T 38.76 -3.10 4.08 CPG-T 14.68 -3.10 2.30 GWO-T 34.30 -3.00 4.13 OR-T 13.48 -2.90 1.21 IMO-T 43.63 -2.80 1.37 IFP-T 13.83 -2.60 WN-T 103.20 -2.40 1.69 D.UN-T 17.10 -1.80 8.80 Source: The Globe and Mail Page 8 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Figure 4: S&P/TSX 60 Index Performance Year-To-Date – Best to Worst (As of November 10, 2016) C om pany Teck Resources First Quantum Minerals Barrick Gold Corp. Kinross Gold EnCana Corp. Yamana Gold Inc. Silver Wheaton Agnico Eagle Mines Saputo Inc. Franco-Nevada Corp. Canadian Natural Resources ARC Resources Ltd. SNC-Lavalin Group Bombardier Inc. TransCanada Corp. Pembina Pipeline Corp. Bank of Nova Scotia Dollarama Inc. Goldcorp Inc. Enbridge Inc. Inter Pipeline CGI Group Restaurant Brands Intl. National Bank of Canada Suncor Energy Fortis Inc. Royal Bank of Canada Shaw Communications Constellation Software Canadian Tire Corporation TD Bank TELUS Corp. CIBC BCE Inc. Cenovus Energy Canadian National Railway Bank of Montreal Alimentation Couche-Tard Canadian Pacific Railway Brookfield Asset Management Rogers Communications Sun Life Financial Inc. Thomson Reuters Emera Inc. Metro Inc. Eldorado Gold Agrium Power Corp of Canada Husky Energy Loblaw Companies George Weston Imperial Oil Crescent Point Energy Manulife Financial Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Magna International Gildan Activewear BlackBerry Limited Cameco Corp. Valeant Pharmaceuticals Intl. Sym bol Price ($ ) Y TD C hange (%) TCK.B-T 29.90 459.40 FM-T 15.50 177.40 ABX-T 21.51 125.20 K-T 4.97 112.00 ECA-T 14.08 102.10 YRI-T 4.64 87.90 SLW-T 28.51 87.40 AEM-T 64.24 86.10 SAP-T 45.04 45.40 FNV-T 87.48 41.80 CNQ-T 41.52 39.20 ARX-T 22.70 37.40 SNC-T 56.91 34.30 BBD.B-T 1.87 33.60 TRP-T 60.30 32.70 PPL-T 38.98 31.10 BNS-T 71.00 28.00 DOL-T 100.49 26.00 G-T 19.16 25.80 ENB-T 56.96 23.80 IPL-T 26.86 21.30 GIB.A-T 65.04 21.00 QSR-T 60.58 19.50 NA-T 47.96 18.80 SU-T 40.14 14.10 FTS-T 41.47 13.80 RY-T 85.27 13.70 SJR.B-T 26.25 12.00 CSU-T 640.80 11.80 CTC.A-T 135.67 11.70 TD-T 61.57 11.70 T-T 42.05 11.30 CM-T 102.07 10.80 BCE-T 58.13 10.70 CVE-T 19.11 10.10 CNR-T 86.37 9.60 BMO-T 85.88 9.60 ATD.B-T 63.75 9.40 CP-T 196.48 8.70 BAM.A-T 45.74 8.60 RCI.B-T 51.00 8.40 SLF-T 50.20 7.40 TRI-T 56.13 6.60 EMA-T 45.11 6.20 MRU-T 40.31 6.10 ELD-T 4.08 2.90 AGU-T 132.72 2.90 POW-T 29.36 0.20 HSE-T 14.22 -0.70 L-T 64.11 -0.70 WN-T 103.20 -2.40 IMO-T 43.64 -2.80 CPG-T 14.82 -3.10 MFC-T 21.69 -3.10 POT-T 23.91 -3.90 MG-T 51.70 -9.30 GIL-T 34.13 -13.70 BB-T 9.52 -25.70 CCO-T 11.94 -33.00 VRX-T 21.79 -84.70 Source: The Globe and Mail Page 9 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Figure 5: Dow Jones Industrial Average – Best to Worst (As of November 10, 2016) C om pany Caterpillar Inc. Merck & Company UnitedHealth Group Chevron Corp. Johnson & Johnson Wal-Mart Cisco Systems 3M Co. IBM Corp. JP Morgan Chase & Co. Exxon Mobil United Technologies AT&T Inc. Microsoft Procter & Gamble Visa Inc. Goldman Sachs DuPont Verizon Communications Intel Boeing Co. Pfizer American Express Coca-Cola McDonald's Corp. Home Depot General Electric Travelers Companies Walt Disney Nike Sym bol Price (US$ ) Y TD C hange (%) CAT-N (US$) 93.64 34.20 MRK-N (US$) 64.97 21.50 UNH-N (US$) 143.54 20.60 CVX-N (US$) 107.66 19.70 JNJ-N (US$) 119.64 17.10 WMT-N (US$) 71.34 16.00 CSCO-Q (US$) 31.14 15.50 MMM-N (US$) 172.17 13.10 IBM-N (US$) 159.95 12.50 JPM-N (US$) 75.60 10.90 XOM-N (US$) 87.48 10.60 UTX-N (US$) 107.01 9.10 T-N (US$) 36.94 8.80 MSFT-Q (US$) 58.50 8.50 PG-N (US$) 82.56 8.20 V-N (US$) 81.89 7.30 GS-N (US$) 197.32 6.90 DD-N (US$) 70.59 5.50 VZ-N (US$) 46.89 3.50 INTC-Q (US$) 34.59 0.90 BA-N (US$) 147.63 0.30 PFE-N (US$) 33.49 -0.50 AXP-N (US$) 69.73 -1.20 KO-N (US$) 41.07 -1.60 MCD-N (US$) 114.50 -2.70 HD-N (US$) 129.39 -4.70 GE-N (US$) 30.57 -4.90 TRV-N (US$) 108.02 -5.20 DIS-N (US$) 95.92 -9.90 NKE-N (US$) 50.97 -18.20 Source: The Globe and Mail Page 10 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Figure 6: S&P 500 Index - Best Performers Year-To-Date (As of November 10, 2016) C om pany NVIDIA Corp. Newmont Mining ONEOK, Inc. Freeport-McMoRan Inc. Spectra Energy Martin Marietta Materials Applied Materials Cummins Hewlett Packard Enterprise Quanta Services Urban Outfitters Nabors Industries Symantec Corp. PVH Corp. F5 Networks Albemarle Nucor Corp. Kinder Morgan Concho Resources Pioneer Natural Resources Denbury Resources Linear Technology Corp. Cimarex Energy Halliburton Co. Xylem Inc. FMC Corp. Vulcan Materials Microchip Technology Navient Corp. Southwestern Energy Devon Energy Parker Hannifin Qualcomm Range Resources Cooper Cos. Ryder System Ingersoll-Rand Caterpillar Inc. Time Warner Inc. Charter Communications Sysco Corp. EOG Resources Garmin Limited HP Inc. Comerica Inc. Jacobs Engineering Group Illinois Tool Works Apache Corp. Tyson Foods Harley-Davidson Sym bol Price (US$ ) Y TD C hange (%) Dividend Y ield (%) NVDA-Q (US$) 68.40 112.30 0.70 NEM-N (US$) 36.09 105.90 0.30 OKE-N (US$) 48.90 100.30 5.00 FCX-N (US$) 13.82 93.10 SE-N (US$) 41.33 71.90 3.90 MLM-N (US$) 230.44 65.00 0.80 AMAT-Q (US$) 28.49 56.00 1.40 CMI-N (US$) 138.39 55.50 3.00 HPE-N (US$) 23.22 52.80 1.00 PWR-N (US$) 31.04 51.60 URBN-Q (US$) 37.25 51.40 NBR-N (US$) 12.44 47.00 1.90 SYMC-Q (US$) 25.08 46.90 1.20 PVH-N (US$) 112.97 45.30 0.10 FFIV-Q (US$) 139.05 44.60 ALB-N (US$) 80.80 43.60 1.50 NUE-N (US$) 58.94 43.00 2.60 KMI-N (US$) 21.74 42.90 2.40 CXO-N (US$) 131.83 42.90 PXD-N (US$) 179.14 41.70 0.10 DNR-N (US$) 2.87 41.60 LLTC-Q (US$) 59.82 41.00 2.10 XEC-N (US$) 124.72 40.60 0.30 HAL-N (US$) 48.47 40.50 1.50 XYL-N (US$) 52.11 38.80 1.20 FMC-N (US$) 54.61 38.60 1.20 VMC-N (US$) 137.17 38.50 0.60 MCHP-Q (US$) 62.73 38.20 2.20 NAVI-Q (US$) 16.55 37.70 4.10 SWN-N (US$) 10.18 37.60 DVN-N (US$) 43.06 36.30 0.60 PH-N (US$) 136.27 36.10 1.90 QCOM-Q (US$) 66.46 35.80 3.10 RRC-N (US$) 32.90 35.60 0.20 COO-N (US$) 181.00 35.40 R-N (US$) 78.99 34.50 2.30 IR-N (US$) 75.39 34.30 2.20 CAT-N (US$) 93.61 34.20 3.40 TWX-N (US$) 86.08 33.90 1.90 CHTR-Q (US$) 271.73 33.20 SYY-N (US$) 53.38 32.10 2.30 EOG-N (US$) 93.10 32.00 0.70 GRMN-Q (US$) 49.82 31.70 4.20 HPQ-N (US$) 15.65 31.50 3.40 CMA-N (US$) 55.33 30.90 1.70 JEC-N (US$) 55.45 30.90 ITW-N (US$) 122.35 30.70 2.20 APA-N (US$) 57.99 30.50 1.70 TSN-N (US$) 66.86 30.40 0.90 HOG-N (US$) 59.70 29.50 2.40 Source: The Globe and Mail Page 11 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Figure 7: S&P 500 Index - Worst Performers Year-To-Date (As of November 10, 2016) C om pany Endo International plc Noble Corp. First Solar Perrigo Company Stericycle Inc. TripAdvisor, Inc. H&R Block CF Industries Alexion Pharmaceuticals Allergan plc Frontier Communications Illumina Inc. L Brands, Inc. Autonation Inc. McKesson Corp. Pitney Bowes Mylan N.V. AmerisourceBergen Vertex Pharmaceuticals Alliance Data Systems TEGNA Inc. Delphi Automotive Coty Inc. Legg Mason Chipotle Mexican Grill Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Kroger Co. Gilead Sciences Cardinal Health Royal Caribbean Cruises CVS Health Corp. Tractor Supply Under Armour Borg Warner Arconic Inc. CBRE GROUP INC. Tesoro Corp. Nike Bristol Myers Squibb Centene Corporation Ford Motor Transocean Inc. HCP Inc. Hanesbrands Macerich Co. Lennar Corp. Marathon Petroleum Cerner Corp. DaVita Inc. Bed Bath & Beyond Sym bol Price (US$ ) Y TD C hange (%) Dividend Y ield (%) ENDP-Q (US$) 17.31 -73.40 NE-N (US$) 4.97 -53.80 7.00 FSLR-Q (US$) 31.48 -51.40 PRGO-N (US$) 87.54 -42.30 0.70 SRCL-Q (US$) 75.85 -38.60 TRIP-Q (US$) 51.54 -38.30 HRB-N (US$) 21.87 -36.10 4.10 CF-N (US$) 27.01 -35.10 4.50 ALXN-Q (US$) 127.52 -33.30 AGN-N (US$) 216.65 -31.90 FTR-Q (US$) 3.19 -31.30 13.10 ILMN-Q (US$) 136.73 -30.60 LB-N (US$) 68.40 -30.60 3.60 AN-N (US$) 42.56 -30.40 MCK-N (US$) 147.04 -28.20 0.80 PBI-N (US$) 15.08 -28.00 5.10 MYL-Q (US$) 38.40 -28.00 ABC-N (US$) 80.20 -27.10 1.80 VRTX-Q (US$) 96.62 -26.20 ADS-N (US$) 206.93 -25.00 1.00 TGNA-N (US$) 19.90 -24.50 2.90 DLPH-N (US$) 66.57 -23.50 1.80 COTY-N (US$) 18.91 -23.30 1.40 LM-N (US$) 31.14 -23.20 0.53 CMG-N (US$) 392.00 -23.00 REGN-Q (US$) 425.74 -22.90 KR-N (US$) 33.36 -22.80 1.50 GILD-Q (US$) 77.84 -22.50 2.40 CAH-N (US$) 71.21 -22.40 2.60 RCL-N (US$) 81.47 -21.90 2.40 CVS-N (US$) 77.03 -21.70 2.20 TSCO-Q (US$) 67.89 -21.60 1.40 UA-N (US$) 31.54 -21.60 BWA-N (US$) 34.45 -21.30 1.50 ARNC-N (US$) 17.96 -21.20 2.10 CBG-N (US$) 27.80 -21.20 TSO-N (US$) 83.72 -21.00 2.60 NKE-N (US$) 50.95 -18.20 1.30 BMY-N (US$) 56.36 -18.20 2.70 CNC-N (US$) 55.62 -17.90 F-N (US$) 11.90 -17.80 5.20 RIG-N (US$) 10.45 -17.20 HCP-N (US$) 28.28 -17.20 5.10 HBI-N (US$) 24.60 -17.10 1.80 MAC-N (US$) 69.35 -16.10 4.20 LEN-N (US$) 41.06 -16.00 0.40 MPC-N (US$) 43.71 -16.00 3.30 CERN-Q (US$) 49.96 -15.60 DVA-N (US$) 59.70 -14.90 BBBY-Q (US$) 43.50 -14.70 1.20 Source: The Globe and Mail Page 12 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Tax-Loss Selling with ETFs Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) can offer several tax-loss selling benefits, with two standing out at the forefront. First, you can sell an ETF that is in a loss position, crystalizing your capital loss, and replace it with an ETF that gives exposure to the same asset class. That said, investors must use caution under this strategy as replacing an ETF with another that tracks the identical index would result in a superficial loss, and the elimination of your capital loss tax benefit. For example, selling the iShares S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index Fund (XIC), and replacing it with the BMO S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index ETF (ZCN) would result in a superficial loss as the two replicate the same index. However, you could replace the iShares S&P/TSX Capped REIT Index Fund (XRE) with the BMO Equal Weight REITs Index ETF (ZRE), as BMO’s fund tracks the Dow Jones Canada Select Equal Weight REIT Index, as opposed to the iShares fund, which replicates the S&P/TSX Capped REIT Index. A second strategy is to replace individual holdings that are in a loss position with an ETF that tracks that company’s sector. This allows investor to retain their sector exposure while crystalizing a loss. Below we highlight the correlation between two of the largest decliners in Canada, year-to-date, and their three-year correlation with the ETF that represents their sector. Figure 8: MEG Energy Correlation with iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index Fund (XEG) as of November 10, 2016. Company MEG Energy Symbol MEG-T Price ($) 5.43 YTD Change (%) -32.30 Correlation with XEG 0.77 Figure 9: BlackBerry Correlation with iShares S&P/TSX Capped Information Technology Index ETF (XIT) as of November 10, 2016. Company BlackBerry Limited Symbol BB-T Price ($) 9.53 YTD Change (%) -25.78 Correlation with XIT 0.68 Source: The Globe and Mail Page 13 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Upgrade Your Holdings One lesson learned during the 2008/09 financial crisis was that the biggest decliners aren’t necessarily the biggest gainers during a market recovery. Tax-loss selling can create an opportunity to diversify when needed or to upgrade the quality of your stocks. Below we offer some suggested upgrades for tax-loss selling candidates. C om pany Sym bol Y TD C hange (%) Concordia International CXR-T -94.57 Valeant International VRX-T -83.90 Sw itch Idea Sym bol CRH Medical Patient Home Monitoring PHM-V -77.92 Prometic Life Sciences PLI-T -19.35 Under Armour UA-N -21.30 Nike NKE-N -19.00 Hudson Bay HBC-T -8.06 Rate-reset Preferred Shares N/A DHX Media DHX.B N/A Amazon IMAX-X AMZN-US Canadian Investment Grade Preferred Share Fund Dec. IPO (Purpose Investments) -21.50 Cineplex IMAX Corp CRH-T/ CRHM-US -9.40 CGX-T W hy? CG Heathcare Services Analyst Richard Close remains bullish on CRHM and has an upward bias to estimates given strong FCF generation, positive commentary on pipeline, and optimism in deploying close to ~$60M in M&A by end of 2017. Furthermore, development of a de novo growth story could justify multiple expansion. PT US$5.50 CG Tech Analyst Michael Graham sees no abatement in Amazon's operating strength. In particular, AWS revenue grew 55% y/y with expanding margins. With the core eCommerce business performing well and AWS growth and profitability holding up nicely, he continues to stand by our investment thesis of core eCommerce growth and continued share gains. PT $900 Diversify your pref holdings, enhance liquidity, and bring in an expert manager to help enhance your risk/return profile. CG Teleccomications & Media Analyst Aravinda Galappatthige says while Q4 is expected to be down due to the tough base last year, he sees a bright outlook for Cineplex as we look to 2017. He recently upgraded the stock to a BUY following nearly 18 months as a HOLD. Sees a healthy 2017 film slate and improving fundementals. PT $55 Source: The Globe and Mail, Canaccord Genuity This publication is a general market commentary and does not constitute a research report. Any reference to a research report or a recommendation is not intended to represent the whole report and is not itself a research report or recommendation. This commentary is for informational purposes only and does not contain investment advice and does not consider any provisions related to investment suitability and risk. This publication may be wholly or partially based on industry rumour, gossip and innuendo and as such is not to be relied upon as investment advice. Not intended for distribution within the United States. Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management is a division of Canaccord Genuity Corp. Member – Canadian Investor Protection Fund. Page 14 Tax-Loss Selling 2016 Page 15 Tax-Loss Selling 2016
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