OTSEGO COUNTY NEW YORK 2008 COUNTY FACT BOOK INTRODUCTION For several decades the Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board has periodically produced “county profile” reports for each of its member counties. These profiles are intended to be a ready source of information concerning the people, economy, and public services in the Region. This report is part of the 2007 series of county profiles which updates an earlier series which had been produced in 2002. While these profiles rely heavily upon information provided by the US Census Bureau, data is also included from other federal, state, and local sources. However, because so much of the data is Census based, typically the profiles are updated when the decennial Census of Population and Housing, or the various Economic Censuses become available. This pattern will change in future years as the American Community Survey produces annual reports on population and housing at a detail previously only available from the decennial census “long form” surveys. Typically, as information becomes available, the Regional Board will prepare a detailed report and as appropriate, an analysis of how the new information could affect the region and its counties. Much of this information is incorporated in a summary form in this profile, with references provided to the more detailed document which is available from the Regional Board. The principal areas of update for this new profile series includes updated population estimates, new business and labor patterns, and increased inclusion of state and national comparisons. The information presented in this update is also intended to serve as the community data base for the development of the Southern Tier East Regional Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy, and in plans which will help the Region in its role as both an Economic Development District for the US Department of Commerce, and a Local Development District for the Appalachian Regional Commission. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 1 1. POPULATION1 The US Census Bureau has estimated that on July 1, 2007, the population of Otsego County was 62,397 persons 2 . The accompanying table and graph illustrate two centuries of change in the population of Otsego County from 1800 to the most recent census in 2000. As reported, the 2007 estimated population represents a continuation of a slight increase in population which began with the 1950 Census and the county’s peak population. OTSEGO COUNTY POPULATION 1800 TO 2000 TABLE 1-A OTSEGO COUNTY POPULATION 1800-2000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 80 00 20 19 60 19 40 19 20 19 00 19 80 18 60 18 40 0 18 Source: US decennial Censuses Note: The population figures are rounded. The figure for 2007 is from Census Bureau Estimates 60,000 20 82.2% 15.7% 14.5% -3.5% -2.0% 3.3% -2.4% 4.9% -1.0% -3.9% -3.5% -2.1% 1.1% -1.3% 10.2% 2.2% 8.3% 5.2% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2% 70,000 18 Decennial Change 00 Reported Population 21,300 38,800 44,900 51,400 49,600 48,600 50,200 49,000 51,400 50,900 48,900 47,200 46,200 46,700 46,100 50,800 51,900 56,200 59,100 60,500 61,676 62,397 18 Census Year 1800 1810 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2007* The graph and table show that after its formation, the population of Otsego County grew rapidly to just over 50,000 by 1830 at which time the population growth essentially stopped. The county population then remained between 51,400 and 46,100 until after World War II. The current period of population growth began in 1960 and has been associated with the growth of the colleges in Oneonta. However, since the 1970 Census the rate of population growth has slowed each decade. Even with the population growth after World War II the currently estimated population of just under 62,400 is only 11,000 persons greater than were counted in the 1830 Census, 170 years earlier. This pattern of slow population growth is fairly common for rural parts of upstate New York. 1 Portions of this section have been summarized from Population Changes 1940-2000 Southern Tier East Census 2000 Monograph Series #2, prepared by the Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board, October 2001. 2 See Table 1 , Summary and Analysis of Population Estimates for July 1, 2007: Southern Tier East Technical Paper # 08-05, Prepared by Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board, March, 2008, Page 2 _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 2 1.1 RATE OF POPULATION CHANGE RATE OF POPULATION CHANGE 1800 TO 2000 90% United States New York State Otsego County 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% The accompanying graph places the county rate of growth within the context of population growth rates at the state and national levels. As shown on the graph, the state generally grew at a rate faster than the national average in the first half of the 19th and 20th centuries, while it lagged behind the national averages in the second half of each century. After World War II, New York State never again grows as rapidly as the nation as a whole. 30% The graph shows that with two exceptions (1810 and 1980) the population of Otsego County has grown at a 10% rate slower than either the state or national average 0% throughout the past two centuries. In fact, between the -10% Civil War and World War II the county frequently reported small population losses. These declines appear to have been associated with an internal redistribution of population which included the growth of villages and the abandonment of many of the more remote hill farms. Remarkable exceptions to this pattern occurred with the 1950 and 1970 Censuses when the County’s rate of population growth was almost exactly the same as the state as a whole (albeit still below the national population growth rate. The population growth rate for the county also is about the same as the state in 1990 but at that point in time the county population growth rate was recovering from the population losses of the 1980 Census. 90 19 70 30 50 19 19 19 90 10 19 18 50 30 70 18 18 18 10 18 17 90 20% As shown on page 4, Table 1-B provides details concerning the population of the towns and villages in Schoharie County. The table shows that since 1940 the population of the Town of Cobleskill increased by just over 2,400, while the Village of Cobleskill increased by 1,900. The Town of Middleburgh was in third with over a 1,400 increase. In contrast, the Town of Blenheim decreased in population by 85 persons, which was the only decrease in the county for the period of time between 1940 and 2000. 1.2 POPULATION DISTRIBUTION As is depicted on the accompanying map, the population of Otsego County is dispersed among 34 political entities - 24 towns, 9 villages and 1 city. The Village of Schenevus disincorporated a few years ago and is not included in this total, nor is the previous village of Worcester which was dissolved decades ago. These sub-county general purpose units of government range in size from the 277 people counted by the 2000 Census in the Village of Laurens to _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 3 the 13,292 persons recorded for the City of Oneonta. Fourteen of the Towns in Otsego County had populations of less than 2,000 people at the time of the 2000 Census. Five of the villages had populations of less than a thousand inhabitants and none had a population of more than two thousand. For the 2000 Census Otsego County was divided into 16 Census tracts, illustrated on the accompanying map. Common experience is that a community such as a town would be divided into one or more census tracts – which would be the rough equivalent to a neighborhood. However, with the exception of the City of Oneonta and the Towns of Milford (CT 9905), Oneonta (CT 9908), and Unadilla (CT 9916), the census tracts in Otsego County typically encompassed between 2 and 4 towns. The Towns of Milford, Oneonta, and Unadilla each have one census tract which covers the entire Town including any villages or census designated places included therein. The City of Oneonta, which contained 5 census tracts was the only sub-county governmental unit within Otsego County to have more than one Census tract. 1.3 DAYTIME POPULATION The traditional way of looking at a population is by its place of residence; however, another way of looking at population statistics is to view where people work. The result is a measure of “Daytime Population” which simply calculated the degree to which a place draws workers from neighboring places, or contributes workers to them. In fact most places both contribute and draw workers so the measure is of the net effect of this movement. The Census Bureau has computed this information for counties and larger selected communities. TABLE 1-B COMPUTATION OF ‘DAYTIME POPULATION’ 2000 OTSEGO COUNTY AND SELECTED PLACES Place * Otsego County City of Oneonta E. Daytime Population Change due to Commuting F. Workers who lived and worked in same county Number Percent Number Percent G. EmploymentResidence Ratio (B/C) -1.7% 20,733 76.9% 0.96 34.2% 3,612 70.6% 1.89 A. Total Population 2000 B. Total Workers working in Area C. Total Workers Residing in Area D. Estimated Daytime Population (A+B-C) 61,676 25,897 26,975 60,598 -1,078 13,292 9,659 5,117 17,834 4,542 Source: Special Census Bureau Tabulation PHC T-40. Employment-Residence ration is calculated by dividing the number of workers working in the area by the total number of workers residing in the area (B/C). A ratio of 1.00 means the same number of workers work and reside in an area. A ratio greater than 1.00 indicates that there is a net in-migration of workers from adjacent jurisdictions. A ratio of less than 1.00 indicates that the community is an exporter of workers. *Information was reported only for places with either 2,500 workers living in the place or 2,500 workers working in the place. . As is shown on the accompanying Table 1B, Otsego County is a net exporter of its workforce while the City of Oneonta, which is the home of two college campuses and a Job Corps Center, is an employment center for the surrounding areas. The estimated daytime population of Otsego County is significantly _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 4 lower than its resident population. Table 1-B shows that Otsego County as a whole has just over a thousand fewer workers who work in the county than it has resident workers. The county data from the Census Bureau is shown on the table, and indicates that Otsego County as a whole had a “daytime” population of 60,598 persons, compared with a resident population of 61,676 persons in 2000. In contrast, the City of Oneonta is a net importer of workers. Table 1-B reports that the City has a calculated daytime population of 17,834 which is 4,542 persons more than its resident population of 13,292. The colleges and other significant employment opportunities in the City clearly influence this pattern Unfortunately the Census Bureau has not prepared similar information for towns as this would help complete the picture of employment centers and residential communities. 1.4 RECENT TRENDS AMONG MUNICIPALITIES As previously noted in the discussion of Table 1-A Otsego County has recently experienced a period of renewed population growth, although this growth has slowed somewhat in recent years. Between 1990 and 2000 the Census indicates that the county’s population grew by just under 2% which is one of the faster growth rates in the Southern Tier East Region but which is about a fifth of the nation population growth. Table 1-C which appears on the next page reports that within the county the highest growth rates between 1990 and 2000 were reported for the Village of Milford (10.6%) and the Towns of Westford (23.7%), Pittsfield (16%), Plainfield (16%), Decatur (15.2%), Laurens (12%), Maryland (12%), New Lisbon (12%), Middlefield (10.6%) and Butternuts (10.2%). In the case of the Town of Middlefield this represented a population gain 289 persons, but more commonly this growth represented population gains of less than 200 persons per decade. Even with a modest number of 3 persons per household, this growth rate would appear as between 5 and 10 new housing units being built each year. In general the nine towns with these higher growth rates were smaller, with two thirds having populations of less than 1,500 persons land three had a population of under a thousand. In terms of population loss between 1990 and 2000 the leader was the Village of Richfield Springs which was reported to have lost almost 11% of its population. Other communities with significant population losses over that decade include Town of Richfield (-10.6%) and the Village of Unadilla (-10.9%); however, the largest population loss was reported for the City of Oneonta which was reported to have lost 662 persons over the decade. Again in terms of actual numbers these losses were relatively small. In the Oneonta area, after reaching a peak population of just over 16,000 in 1970 the City of Oneonta population has declined very slowly which is surprising given the presence of the two colleges and the Job Corp site, which would be expected to support a population growth. 3 As shown on Table 1-C which appears on the next page, the most recent population estimates for the towns and places in Otsego County follow a relatively predictable pattern with the City of Oneonta and all of the incorporated villages in the county estimated to have lost population between the 2000 Census and July 1, 2006. The estimated population loss within the incorporated places was typically 5 to 6% and can be presumed to mostly reflect the fact that the villages tended to have a slightly older population than their surrounding towns. 3 in 2008 Hartwick College reported an enrollment of 1,480 students, while the State College at Oneonta reported an enrollment of 5,893. Most of these almost 7,400 students are undergraduates and a significant portion of these would be expected to live on campus, however a significant portion will live in town. There has been speculation that a significant portion of the “population loss” reported for the City of Oneonta is the result of a failure to identify and fully enumerate the inhabitants of structures which have been transitioned into student housing over the years. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 5 TABLE 1-C TABULATION OF POPULATION CHANGES 1940 TO 2006 OTSEGO COUNTY WITH MINOR CIVIL DIVISIONS Population Change 1990 to 2000 2000 to 2006 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2006 # % # % Otsego County 46,082 50,763 51,942 56,181 59,075 60,517 61,676 62,583 1,159 1.9% 907 1.5% Burlington 956 959 809 803 1,045 1,036 1,085 1,155 49 4.7% 70 6.5% Butternuts 1,369 1,315 1,352 1,433 1,486 1,626 1,792 1,838 166 10.2% 46 2.6% V. Gilbertsville na na na 552 455 388 373 348 -15 -3.9% -25 -6.7% Cherry Valley 1,274 1,330 1,156 1,122 1,205 1,210 1,266 1,294 56 4.6% 28 2.2% V. Cherry Valley na na na 661 684 617 592 557 -25 -4.1% -35 -5.9% Decatur 324 279 254 281 312 356 410 430 54 15.2% 20 4.9% Edmeston 1,580 1,563 1,721 1,709 1,732 1,717 1,824 1,867 107 6.2% 43 2.4% Exeter 760 924 923 996 968 967 954 986 -13 -1.3% 32 3.4% Hartwick 1,438 1,473 1,400 1,631 1,796 2,045 2,203 2,226 158 7.7% 23 1.0% Laurens 1,395 1,447 1,498 1,730 2,101 2,349 2,402 2,417 53 2.3% 15 0.6% V. Laurens na na na 320 276 293 277 261 -16 -5.5% -16 -5.8% Maryland 1,460 1,556 1,386 1,465 1,690 1,716 1,922 1,965 206 12.0% 43 2.2% V. Schenevus na na na 540 625 513 nc nc nc nc nc nc Middlefield* 1,592 1,481 1,376 1,457 1,870 1,960 2,249 2,301 289 14.7% 52 2.3% Milford 1,666 1,913 2,055 2,485 2,685 2,845 2,938 2,929 93 3.3% -9 -0.3% V. Milford na na na 527 514 462 511 482 49 10.6% -29 -5.7% Morris 1,376 1,440 1,525 1,630 1,780 1,787 1,867 1,886 80 4.5% 19 1.0% V. Morris na na na 675 681 642 591 557 -51 -7.9% -34 -5.8% New Lisbon 801 877 812 523 948 996 1,116 1,174 120 12.0% 58 5.2% Oneonta City 11,731 13,564 13,412 16,030 14,933 13,954 13,292 13,238 -662 -4.7% -54 -0.4% Oneonta 2,673 3,508 4,068 4,185 4,655 4,963 4,994 5,152 31 0.6% 158 3.2% Otego 1,508 1,769 2,008 2,249 2,801 3,128 3,183 3,181 55 1.8% -2 -0.1% V. Otego na na na 956 1,089 1,068 1,052 999 -16 -1.5% -53 -5.0% Otsego 4,074 4,304 4,121 3,998 4,012 3,932 3,904 4,087 -28 -0.7% 183 4.7% V. Cooperstown (pt) 2,599 2,727 2,553 2,231 2,104 2,180 2,032 1,925 -148 -6.8% -107 -5.3% Pittsfield 796 850 880 850 1,067 1,116 1,295 1,351 179 16.0% 56 4.3% Plainfield 670 729 764 742 847 850 986 1,032 136 16.0% 46 4.7% Richfield 1,970 2,339 2,662 2,602 2,608 2,711 2,423 2,389 -288 -10.6% -34 -1.4% V. Richfield Springs na na na 1,540 1,561 1,565 1,255 1,190 -310 -19.8% -65 -5.2% Roseboom 534 570 518 483 630 668 684 744 16 2.4% 60 8.8% Springfield 1,135 1,184 1,121 1,136 1,239 1,267 1,350 1,396 83 6.6% 46 3.4% Unadilla 2,277 2,689 3,649 3,863 4,020 4,343 4,548 4,505 205 4.7% -43 -0.9% V. Unadilla na na na 1,489 1,367 1,265 1,127 1,060 -138 -10.9% -67 -5.9% Westford 685 602 526 435 652 634 784 824 150 23.7% 40 5.1% Worcester 2,038 2,098 1,946 1,925 1,993 2,070 2,207 2,231 137 6.6% 24 1.1% Sources: US Census Bureau decennial Census for 1940 through 2000, and US Census Bureau Estimates of Population as of July 1, 2006 Town population figures include Village populations. The Village of Schenevus was disincorporated after 1995, figures shown for subsequent periods should be incorporated into the Town of Maryland. On this Table the Village of Cooperstown which is located in the Towns of Otsego and Middlefield is reported as if it were entirely within the Town of Otsego. In 2000 the population of the portion of the Village of Cooperstown located in the Town of Middlefield was 271 which was 13% of the Total Village population. Minor Civil Division Reported Population and 2006 Estimates The accompanying graph indicates that the estimated population of Otsego grew each year except for the last for which a loss of almost 200 people was reported. However, the graph clearly shows that the annual population growth has been declining for several years. For the period 2000 to 2006 as a whole the county still shows an estimated net population growth of just over 900 or about 1.5%. This compares favorably with a state growth of 1.8% but remains a fraction of the national growth of 6.2% for the same 6 year period. The population estimated for the City of Oneonta is estimated to have lost the least among these incorporated communities – just 0.4% representing and average loss of fewer than ten residents per year. However, the pattern of population change for the City TRENDS IN RECENT POPULATION ESTIMATES OTSEGO COUNTY 2000 TO 2006 63000 62500 62000 61500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 6 is irregular – going up between July 1, 2000 and July 1, 2001, then dropping 2001-02, then gaining for the next two years (2002-04) before declining again in 2004-05. The population estimate for the City is further affected by the presence of a significant dormitory population associated with the State College, and Hartwick College. Dormitory residents are counted as part of a “group quarters” population which has been a perennial problem for the Census Bureau to count adequately. Population changes over the most recent year estimated were usually very small, with two village (Gilbertsville and Laurens) reporting no change, and one village (Otego) actually reporting an annual increase, albeit of 4 persons. Among the county’s towns all of the Towns reported population gains over the five year period despite the losses estimated for the villages, with the exception of the Towns or Richfield and Unadilla. In those two towns the population loss estimated for the village was large enough that it was greater than the estimated population growth in the portion of the town outside of the village. The greatest town population growth rates were estimated for the Towns of Middlefield and Roseboom, and that portion of the Town of cherry Valley outside of the Village – all of which are located on the northeastern portion of the county. The population growth rates for these communities – ranging from 8.2 to 8.6% - are greater than the national growth rate which is estimated to have been in the range of 5 to 6%. For the most part there have been only very small population changes estimated for the most recent year. The exception is the Town of Oneonta which is estimated to have grown by 1.2% over the past year representing an estimated gain of 63 people. 1.5 POPULATION PROJECTIONS 4 The May 2008 projections prepared by the Program on Applied Demographics at Cornell University project that the population of Otsego County will grow at a slowing rate from its population of 62,750 reported by the 2000 Census to a peak of about 64,285 in about 2025 after which it is projected to decline to about 63,473 by 2035. As depicted on the graph to the right the population of Otsego County is shown to have a continuing bias toward larger female cohorts which is projected to carry through the projection period. Both male and female population follow similar tracks; however, the female population which starts out being more than 2,000 larger than the male population in 2005 is only about 1,500 larger by 2035. This closing of the gap between males and females appears to result from slowing growth of the female population after 2010. Both the male and female populations reach their peaks in 2025. Although a population decline is projected after 2025, the projected population for 2035 remains somewhat higher than that reported by the 2000 Census. PRELIMINARY CORNELL POPULATION PROJECTIONS 2000 TO 2035 OTSEGO COUNTY 34,000 33,000 32,000 31,000 30,000 Male Female 29,000 28,000 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 4 This section is adapted from Southern Tier East Technical Paper # 08-06, Review And Perspectives On Preliminary Cornell Population Projections Through 2035, For Southern Tier East Region And Its Counties, Prepared by the Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board, June 2008, Pages 20-22 _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 7 TABLE 1-D CORNELL POPULATION PROJECTIONS 2010 TO 2035 OTSEGO COUNTY Census Census 2005 PROJECTIONS 1990 2000 Estimate 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Total 60,517 61,676 62,750 63,333 63,855 64,213 64,285 64,025 0 to 4 1,937 1,502 1,342 1,612 1,613 1,572 1,511 1,468 5 to 9 2,129 1,986 1,494 1,550 1,778 1,786 1,744 1,694 10 to 14 1,982 2,196 1,985 1,565 1,624 1,821 1,825 1,787 15 to 19 2,734 2,881 2,971 2,883 2,482 2,563 2,727 2,750 20 to 24 2,955 2,777 3,466 3,582 3,511 3,138 3,212 3,332 25 to 29 1,771 1,428 1,965 2,019 2,075 2,006 1,745 1,774 30 to 34 2,002 1,707 1,521 1,871 1,939 1,978 1,906 1,685 35 to 39 2,077 1,920 1,665 1,510 1,784 1,850 1,873 1,809 40 to 44 2,005 2,205 1,912 1,715 1,570 1,795 1,857 1,877 Male 45 to 49 1,635 2,181 2,202 1,902 1,709 1,571 1,754 1,815 50 to 54 1,380 2,077 2,164 2,297 2,030 1,826 1,683 1,842 55 to 59 1,226 1,649 1,977 2,099 2,236 2,002 1,798 1,661 60 to 64 1,274 1,300 1,515 1,899 2,023 2,159 1,948 1,752 65 to 69 1,266 1,121 1,188 1,375 1,724 1,840 1,963 1,786 70 to 74 986 1,048 967 1,022 1,183 1,482 1,582 1,688 75 to 79 746 864 795 750 792 918 1,149 1,228 80 to 84 467 536 579 547 517 545 631 788 85 and up 292 359 458 462 452 436 443 491 0 to 4 1,876 1,443 1,366 1,537 1,538 1,499 1,440 1,400 5 to 9 2,006 1,839 1,433 1,503 1,649 1,655 1,616 1,568 10 to 14 1,839 2,163 1,816 1,547 1,623 1,753 1,758 1,723 15 to 19 3,165 3,137 3,351 3,222 2,932 3,040 3,152 3,181 20 to 24 3,296 2,951 3,743 3,547 3,465 3,166 3,244 3,321 25 to 29 1,986 1,469 1,883 1,978 1,885 1,812 1,596 1,623 30 to 34 2,165 1,695 1,592 1,800 1,893 1,826 1,754 1,565 35 to 39 2,219 2,180 1,699 1,579 1,737 1,821 1,765 1,699 40 to 44 1,983 2,372 2,180 1,828 1,705 1,840 1,922 1,877 Female 45 to 49 1,724 2,306 2,365 2,154 1,826 1,703 1,809 1,887 50 to 54 1,294 2,009 2,235 2,380 2,195 1,877 1,748 1,834 55 to 59 1,286 1,744 1,976 2,196 2,342 2,176 1,867 1,740 60 to 64 1,464 1,280 1,635 1,954 2,168 2,314 2,158 1,860 65 to 69 1,455 1,210 1,198 1,462 1,751 1,937 2,062 1,928 70 to 74 1,243 1,275 1,116 1,063 1,291 1,549 1,708 1,817 75 to 79 1,093 1,146 1,107 998 960 1,163 1,397 1,540 80 to 84 833 856 918 943 856 836 1,005 1,217 85 and up 726 864 971 982 997 958 933 1,018 Source: Data for 1990, 2000, and 2005 from US Census; Projection prepared by Warren Brown, et al Program on Applied Demographics, Cornell University College of Human Ecology, May 2008 Sex Age group The accompanying Table 1-D presents the detailed age-sex population projections for Otsego County prepared by the Program on Applied Demographics at Cornell. These projections are presented in separate blocks for males and females and by 5-year cohorts. The projections are in five year increments. The accompanying graph shows how closely the rate of population change projected for Otsego County follows that of New York State as a whole, although the decline in the rate of population change in the county is slightly faster than the State as a whole. The decline in the rate of growth appears almost to be linear in nature forming a slightly broken straight line from a 2% rate of increase in 2000 to a 1% rate of population loss in 2035. 2035 63,473 1,457 1,660 1,742 2,719 3,364 1,812 1,716 1,612 1,817 1,832 1,912 1,795 1,621 1,606 1,541 1,311 844 590 1,388 1,535 1,679 3,154 3,351 1,637 1,594 1,531 1,814 1,849 1,912 1,809 1,734 1,664 1,703 1,641 1,341 1,186 PROJECTED POPULATION CHANGE OTSEGO COUNTY WITH STATE AND REGIONAL COMPARISONS Percent Change from Prior 5-year Increment by Year Period Ends 6% 5% NEW YORK STATE OTSEGO SOUTHERN TIER EAST REGION 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 -2% -3% -4% _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 8 The graph depicting the long term population trend for Otsego County shows a pattern similar to that shown for many other rural counties in the region. After a period of rapid population growth from its initial settlement until about 1830 when it appears to have reached its “holding capacity” for the agricultural community it then represented. For the next century, the size of the county population ranged around 50,000 with a slight decline just before World War II. After the war and probably in response to the rapid growth of SUNY-Oneonta and Hartwick College the population of the county resumed a growth which carried it to just over 60,000 by the end of the 20th Century. REPORTED AND PROJECTED POPULATION 1800 TO 2035 OTSEGO COUNTY Preliminary Cornell Projections 70,000 60,000 Preliminary Projections 50,000 40,000 Reported Population 30,000 20,000 10,000 1.6 AGE AND SEX 18 00 18 20 18 40 18 60 18 80 19 00 19 20 19 40 19 60 19 80 20 00 20 20 0 As is illustrated by the accompanying pair of population pyramids, the age distribution of the population of Otsego County is highly distorted when compared with the more traditional pyramid shown for the United States as a whole. The 2000 pyramid for Otsego County shows the exaggerated bulge associated with the babyboom generation situated above an almost conical base which begins with small cohorts for the pre-teen years expanding to the enlarged cohorts associated with the college populations. NATIONAL POPULATION BY AGE AND SEX 2000 AGE-SEX POPULATION PYRAMID OTSEGO COUNTY 2000 Male Female Male Female 80 80 70 5 -Y e a r A g e C o h o rts 70 60 50 40 30 20 -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 60 50 40 30 20 10 10 0 <5 0.0% 2.0% Percentage of Total Population 4.0% 6.0% -5.0% -4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% Percent of Total Population A feature of the distorted college town pyramid is the fact that the college age student cohorts do not age, nor do they significantly reproduce, rather they represent persons who temporarily reside in the community for what is essentially a fixed term, after which they are replaced. The population pyramid for Otsego County for 2000 is very different from the national average which is shown below. The national pyramid has a classic shape sometimes referred to as the “coke bottle.” The pyramid shows a pair of bulges. The upper bulge involves the “baby boomers,” while the lower and smaller _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 9 bulge represents their children – the so called “echo.” The constriction in the middle reflects the children of the smaller generation that grew up during the great depression of the 1930’s. All other features being equal, it would be expected that community pyramids would tend toward that of the nation as a whole over time. However, in the case of communities where a population distortion is attributable to a “special population” such as college students, the distorted population distribution can be expected to continue for as long as the institution creating it remains in the community. A feature of the distorted college town pyramid is the fact that the college age student cohorts do not age, nor do they significantly reproduce, rather they represent persons who temporarily reside in the community for what is essentially a fixed term, after which they are replaced. POPULATION PYRAMID AGE-SEX DISTRIBUTION OTSEGO COUNTY 2035 85 and up 80 to 84 75 to 79 70 to 74 65 to 69 60 to 64 55 to 59 50 to 54 45 to 49 40 to 44 35 to 39 30 to 34 25 to 29 20 to 24 15 to 19 10 to 14 5 to 9 0 to 4 -6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% The next population pyramid illustrates the age-sex distribution projected for 2035 by the Cornell Program on Applied Demographics. The 2000 pyramid had shown the expected bulge in the 30 to 54 year old age group which represents the baby boomers and the distinctively large population cohorts for the 15 to 24 year olds who represent the principal college age population. This broader college cohort reflects the fact that both Hartwick College and SUNY-Oneonta are 4-year schools. When this population ages the projection for 2035 anticipates that the college age cohorts will continue to be a major distortion in what otherwise is the emergence of an almost cylindrical shaped pyramid where more post college age cohorts all represent about 3% of the overall population. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 10 1.7 POPULATION DENSITY With an average population density of approximately ten acres per persons, there is no question that Otsego County with a land area of just over a thousand square miles is rural. As shown on Table 1-E most of the Towns within the county have population densities of under 50 persons per square mile. The exceptions to this pattern are the City of Oneonta and the county’s nine incorporated villages. As is shown on Table 1-E the Town of Decatur and that portion of the Town of Cherry Valley located outside of the Village of Cherry Valley had the lowest population densities of the local governments in the county. The population density for these two communities was less than 20 persons per square mile. COMMUNITIES WITHIN OTSEGO COUNTY IN 2000 BY POPULATION PER SQUARE MILE Includes Cities, Towns, Villages, and Census Designated Places 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Uner 50 50 to 99 100 to 499 500 to 999 1000 to 2999 3000 or more TABLE 1-E LAND AREA AND POPULATION DENSITY FOR OTSEGO COUNTY AND ITS MUNICIPALITIES 2000 Population Land Area Population Density Persons/ Persons/ Sq Mi Acre OTSEGO COUNTY 61,676 1002.80 61.50 0.10 Burlington Town 1,085 44.97 24.13 0.04 Butternuts Town 1,792 54.07 33.14 0.05 Gilbertsville Village 375 1.00 375.00 0.59 Remainder of Town 1,417 53.07 26.70 0.04 Cherry Valley Town 1,266 40.06 31.60 0.05 Cherry Valley Village 592 0.57 1,038.60 1.62 Remainder of Town 674 39.49 17.07 0.03 Decatur Town 410 20.59 19.91 0.03 Edmeston Town 1,824 44.55 40.94 0.06 Exeter Town 954 32.08 29.74 0.05 Hartwick Town 2,203 40.16 54.86 0.09 Laurens Town 2,402 42.57 56.42 0.09 Laurens Village 277 0.13 2,130.77 3.33 Remainder of Town 2,125 42.44 50.07 0.08 Maryland Town 1,920 51.75 37.10 0.06 Middlefield Town 2,249 64.40 34.92 0.05 Cooperstown Village (Part)* 245 0.31 790.32 1.23 Remainder of Town 2,004 64.10 31.26 0.05 Milford Town 2,938 46.11 63.72 0.10 Milford Village 511 0.48 1,064.58 1.66 Remainder of Town 2,427 45.63 53.19 0.08 Morris Town 1,867 39.03 47.83 0.07 Morris Village 591 0.73 809.59 1.26 Remainder of Town 1,276 38.30 33.32 0.05 New Lisbon Town 1,116 44.53 25.06 0.04 Oneonta City 13,292 4.38 3,034.70 4.74 Oneonta Town 4,994 33.50 149.07 0.23 West End CDP 1,813 3.78 479.63 0.75 Remainder of Town 3,181 29.72 107.03 0.17 Otego Town 3,183 44.88 70.92 0.11 Otego Village 1,052 1.15 914.78 1.43 Remainder of Town 2,131 43.74 48.72 0.08 Otsego Town 3,904 54.20 72.03 0.11 Cooperstown Village (Part)* 1,787 1.23 1,452.85 2.27 Remainder of Town 2,117 52.96 52.96 0.06 Pittsfield Town 1,295 37.73 34.32 0.05 Plainfield Town 986 29.46 33.47 0.05 Richfield Town 2,423 30.92 78.36 0.12 Richfield Springs Village 1,255 1.00 1,255.00 1.96 Remainder of Town 1,168 29.92 39.04 0.06 Roseboom Town 684 33.00 20.73 0.03 Springfield Town 1,350 42.97 31.42 0.05 Unadilla Town 4,548 46.41 98.00 0.15 Unadilla Village 1,127 1.08 1,043.52 1.63 Remainder of Town 3,421 45.33 75.47 0.12 Westford Town 784 33.76 23.22 0.04 Worcester Town 2,207 46.71 47.25 0.07 * The Village of Cooperstown is located in the Towns of Middlefield and Otsego in Otsego County. SOURCE: 2000 Census, Table GCT-PH1.Population, Housing Units, Area, and Density: 2000, Census 2000 Summary File 1 The inserted bar chart illustrates the distribution of local governmental entities by population densities. Virtually all of the governmental units with densities of fewer than 100 persons per square mile are either towns or the portion of towns outside the boundaries of an incorporated village. The governmental units with population densities of greater than 500 persons per square mile are all villages. The City of Oneonta, with a population density of just over 3,000 persons per square mile is the largest and most densely populated governmental unit in the county. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 11 As is reported on the accompanying Table 1-F the median age of the populations of the Towns and Villages in Otsego County range from a low of 33.6 years in the rural town of Plainfield to as old as 45.1 years old in the Village of Richfield Springs. The Town of Plainfield is also the only jurisdiction in Otsego County which has a median age which is lower than the statewide average of 35.9 years. While the Village of Richfield Springs had the highest median age, the Village of Cooperstown was reported have the largest proportional concentration of elderly with fully 27% of the Village’s population being 65 years old or older. This is more than twice the state average proportion of 12.9% of the population being 65 or older. The Towns of New Lisbon, Pittsfield, and Plainfield and the City of Oneonta are the only jurisdictions in the County with a proportion of elderly which is less than the state average. Table 1-F shows that about a quarter of the population of the Town of Plainfield is under 15 years of age, which helps to explain the lower than average median age previously discussed. Other communities with proportions of persons under 15 years old include the Villages of Laurens (23.8%) and Otego (23.3%). This may suggest that these communities are serving a role as “satellite communities” to neighboring Oneonta. TABLE 1-F 2000 SELECTED AGE DISTRIBUTION FOR OTSEGO COUNTY MUNICIPALITIES Percentage of Population by Age Median Age <15 15 to 24 24 to 65 65+ Burlington Town 20.5% 13.6% 51.9% 14.0% 38.0 Butternuts Town 20.0% 10.4% 55.0% 14.5% 41.4 Gilbertsville Village 21.0% 8.0% 46.9% 24.0% 42.9 Cherry Valley Town 20.8% 11.9% 51.7% 15.4% 39.8 Cherry Valley Village 18.6% 13.5% 51.1% 16.7% 40.6 Decatur Town 17.3% 12.7% 52.7% 17.3% 42.5 Edmeston Town 22.5% 10.8% 52.0% 14.6% 36.7 Exeter Town 17.6% 13.6% 54.3% 14.5% 41.0 Hartwick Town 21.4% 12.4% 52.3% 13.8% 39.6 Laurens Town 20.6% 11.5% 54.5% 13.2% 39.6 Laurens Village 23.8% 11.1% 50.8% 14.0% 38.8 Maryland Town 19.0% 12.3% 53.8% 15.1% 40.1 Middlefield Town 18.1% 10.4% 49.1% 22.3% 43.4 Milford Town 18.6% 10.7% 55.6% 15.0% 41.2 Milford Village 20.7% 12.9% 53.4% 12.9% 38.6 Morris Town 22.4% 10.3% 53.7% 13.5% 37.9 Morris Village 19.0% 10.2% 53.4% 17.5% 39.9 New Lisbon Town 20.4% 11.4% 54.2% 14.0% 40.2 Oneonta City 11.1% 45.7% 31.4% 11.8% 22.6 Oneonta Town 16.6% 16.4% 50.4% 16.6% 40.7 West End CDP 17.9% 9.8% 50.8% 21.5% 42.7 Otego Town 21.7% 11.2% 53.0% 14.1% 39.1 Otego Village 23.3% 11.8% 50.8% 14.1% 37.6 Otsego Town 18.1% 9.4% 51.4% 21.1% 44.2 Cooperstown Village 17.2% 8.3% 47.5% 27.0% 44.7 Pittsfield Town 22.3% 10.9% 55.0% 11.7% 38.4 Plainfield Town 25.6% 10.6% 52.9% 10.8% 33.6 Richfield Town 19.0% 11.1% 49.0% 21.0% 42.5 Richfield Springs Vill 16.7% 11.1% 49.2% 23.1% 45.1 Roseboom Town 19.0% 12.9% 55.4% 12.7% 39.3 Springfield Town 19.5% 12.1% 50.9% 17.5% 41.9 Unadilla Town 22.1% 11.3% 51.3% 15.3% 38.6 Unadilla Village 20.0% 14.4% 48.6% 17.1% 40.1 Westford Town 20.8% 11.3% 52.8% 15.0% 39.6 Worcester Town 19.6% 11.5% 52.2% 16.6% 40.8 OTSEGO COUNTY 18.1% 19.1% 47.9% 15.0% 37.1 New York State 20.6% 13.4% 53.1% 12.9% 35.9 * The Village of Cooperstown is located in the Towns of Middlefield and Otsego in Otsego County. Source: 2000 Census Table DP-1 Only 11% of the population of the City of Oneonta is under 15 years old, reflecting the proportional dominance of the cohorts between 15 and 24 which constitute over 45% of the City’s population. Noncollege communities with particularly low proportions of under 15 populations include the Villages of Richfield Springs (16.7%) and Cooperstown (17.2%), the Town of Decatur (17.3%) and Exeter (17.6%), and the West End Census Designated Place in the Town of Oneonta (17.9%). 1.8 PLACE OF BIRTH In 2000 the Census reported that 11.1% of the population was foreign born with roughly 60% of the foreign born population being naturalized citizens of the United States. The 1850 decennial census was the first census to collect data on the nativity of the population. According to the Census Bureau from 1850 to 1930, the foreign-born population of the United States as a whole increased from 2.2 million to 14.2 million, reflecting the large-scale immigration from Europe which occurred during most of this period. The foreignborn population rose from 9.7 percent of the national total in 1850 to 11.6 percent in 1930, but fluctuated in _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 12 the 13 percent to 15 percent range from 1860 to 1920. The highest percentages foreign born were 14.4 percent in 1870, 14.8 percent in 1890 and 14.7 percent in 1910. The accompanying pie chart shows that in 2000 only 2.3% of the population of Otsego County was identified as foreign born, while 81.2% were identified as having been born within New York State. The remainder were identified either as having been born elsewhere in the United States or to be a native but born outside of the United States (typically to parents working abroad). This proportion of foreign born was about a fifth of the national average of 11.1% previously mentioned. NATIVITY AND PLACE OF BIRTH Otsego County Population in 2000 Born in NYS, 50,063, 81% Born Elsewhere About a quarter of the foreign born were reported to be in US, Foreign Born, living in Oneonta, with about half of these reported to be Native, Born 9,711, 16% 1,416, 2% outside US, naturalized citizens. The Village of Cooperstown has a 486, 1% somewhat higher proportion of foreign born – 6.2% which is a little more than a half of the national rate. However, about five-eighths of these are reported to be naturalized citizens. The proportion of foreign born in Cooperstown probably reflects the staff at Bassett Hospital, but the proportion in Oneonta doesn’t reflect the expected influence of the two colleges in the City. Nationally the rate of immigration declined from 1930 to 1950.. The foreign-born population dropped to a record low 4.7% percent of the total population in 1970. Immigration had risen during the 1950s and 1960s, but was still low by historical standards, and mortality was high during this period among the foreign-born population because of its old age structure which reflected four decades of low immigration. Since 1970, the foreign-born population of the United States has increased rapidly due to large-scale immigration, primarily from Latin America and Asia and into the southwestern states. PLACE OF BIRTH OF FOREIGN BORN PERSONS IN OTSEGO COUNTY 2000 Europe, 977, 64% Asia, 166, 11% North America, 161, 11% Latin America, 150, 10% Africa, 67, 4% The second pie chart shows that about twothirds of the foreign born in Otsego County were from Europe, while only a tenth were from Latin America, despite the national trends. It should be noted that approximately two thirds of the foreign born persons in the county are naturalized citizens. About 10% of the foreign born population of Otsego County was born in North America (presumably Canada or Mexico), Latin America, or Asia. Lesser proportions were reported to have been born in Africa or Oceania. Oceania, 5, 0% 1.9 RACE With the 2000 Census the Census Bureau changed the way it collected information concerning race which made it impossible to compare the 2000 data with that from earlier censuses with any level of confidence. In the 2000 Census individuals were allowed to select more than one “race” 5 . At the time of the 2000 Census 5 Approximately 2.6% of the national population identified themselves as being of two or more races.. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 13 1.7% of the Otsego County population was reported to be black, while another 0.6% was reported to be of Asian background. As is shown on Table 1-G on the next page, these proportions were considerably lower than the state average. As reported on the accompanying Table 1-G the proportion of Otsego County residents who classified themselves as black ranged from a high of 6.1% in the Town of Oneonta, to a low of 0.0% in the Villages of Cherry Valley and Laurens, with the City of Oneonta reporting a 3.9% black population. All of these proportions are only a fraction of the state average of 15.9% or the national average of 12.2%. The table also shows that only 0.6% of the Otsego County population identified themselves as being Asian. This compares with a state average of 5.5% and a national average of 3.7%. The highest proportion of Asians was reported for the City of Oneonta (1.4%) and the Village of Cooperstown (1.6%). The Village of Laurens reported no Asian population in 2000. The Hispanic population may be of any race. In 2000 just under two percent of the population of Otsego County reported itself to be of Hispanic origin. Again the state proportion of 15.1% and the national rate of 12.5% were considerably higher. National statistics suggest that about half of the Hispanic population identified itself to be white. The largest concentration of Hispanics was reported in the City of Oneonta (3.6%) and the surrounding Town of Oneonta (3.4%), while the lowest was for Cherry Valley Village (0.2%). The low proportion of Hispanic and non-white population can be an impediment when it comes to attracting additional labor into the area as many minorities may seek locations where there is a minority community already established. 1.10 MARTIAL STATUS MARITAL STATUS 2000 OTSEGO COUNTY TABLE 1-G 2000 RACE AND HISPANIC ORIGIN FOR OTSEGO COUNTY AND ITS MUNICIPALITIES With County and State Comparisons Race Hispanic Any White Black Asian Other Race Burlington Town 97.1% 0.2% 0.3% 2.4% 1.7% Butternuts Town 97.3% 0.8% 0.2% 1.6% 1.2% Gilbertsville Village 96.3% 0.8% 0.3% 2.7% 1.3% Cherry Valley Town 98.8% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.2% Cherry Valley Village 99.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% Decatur Town 98.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% Edmeston Town 98.1% 0.4% 0.1% 1.4% 1.0% Exeter Town 96.4% 1.6% 0.4% 1.5% 1.2% Hartwick Town 98.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% Laurens Town 97.0% 0.2% 0.1% 2.5% 1.5% Laurens Village 98.6% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 1.4% Maryland Town 98.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% 1.1% Middlefield Town 96.3% 1.1% 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% Milford Town 97.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.9% Milford Village 96.7% 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 2.2% Morris Town 96.8% 0.6% 0.2% 2.3% 1.7% Morris Village 97.1% 0.3% 0.0% 2.6% 2.9% New Lisbon Town 97.3% 0.9% 0.4% 1.3% 1.3% Oneonta City 91.8% 3.9% 1.4% 2.9% 3.6% Oneonta Town 90.7% 6.1% 0.8% 2.3% 3.4% West End CDP 97.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 2.1% Otego Town 97.5% 1.0% 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% Otego Village 96.2% 2.1% 0.2% 1.6% 2.0% Otsego Town 97.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% Cooperstown Village 96.2% 0.9% 1.6% 1.2% 2.3% Pittsfield Town 98.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.8% 0.7% Plainfield Town 98.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 0.6% Richfield Town 97.5% 0.4% 0.5% 1.6% 0.4% Richfield Springs Vill 96.0% 0.6% 0.9% 2.6% 0.6% Roseboom Town 98.4% 0.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% Springfield Town 98.6% 0.1% 0.2% 1.0% 1.2% Unadilla Town 97.1% 0.9% 0.2% 1.8% 1.2% Unadilla Village 97.1% 0.5% 0.1% 2.3% 1.1% Westford Town 98.1% 0.3% 0.1% 1.5% 1.9% Worcester Town 97.5% 0.6% 0.2% 1.7% 1.0% OTSEGO COUNTY 95.8% 1.7% 0.6% 1.8% 1.9% New York State 67.9% 15.9% 5.5% 10.7% 15.1% * The Village of Cooperstown is located in the Towns of Middlefield and Otsego in Otsego County. Source: 2000 Census Table DP-1 As calculated for this table, “other” includes those reporting multiple races. Special compilation by Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board. Portion of Population 15 Years Old or Older Now Married, Spouse Absent, 4739, 9% Widowed, 3706, 7% Now Married, Spouse Present, 24297, 49% Divorced, 4210, 8% The accompanying pie chart shows that according to the 2000 Census approximately half of the adult population of Otsego County (those 15 years old or older) was married with their spouse present. Another ten percent were currently married but their spouse was not present – usually separated. A little over a quarter of the adult population was single and Single, Never Married, 13584, 27% _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 14 had never been married. Under ten percent of the adults were either divorced or widowed. When compared with national averages, the county has a slightly higher proportion of widows or widowers, and a slightly higher proportion of divorced persons. The percentage of the adult population reported as married and living together is slightly lower than the national average but somewhat higher than the New York State average. Less than 0.6% of the households in Otsego County were described as involving a householder with a “same sex partner”, and these were almost evenly divided between male-male and female-female households TABLE 1-H FAMILY AND NON-FAMILY HOUSEHOLDS OTSEGO COUNTY MUNICIPALITIES 2000 Households Family Household Community Burlington Town Butternuts Town Gilbertsville Village Cherry Valley Town Cherry Valley Village Decatur Town Edmeston Town Exeter Town Hartwick Town Laurens Town Laurens Village Maryland Town Middlefield Town Milford Town Milford Village Morris Town Morris Village New Lisbon Town Oneonta City Oneonta Town West End CDP Otego Town Otego Village Otsego Town Cooperstown Village Pittsfield Town Plainfield Town Richfield Town Richfield Springs Village Roseboom Town Springfield Town Unadilla Town Unadilla Village Westford Town Worcester Town OTSEGO COUNTY New York State Total # 392 715 164 482 237 158 658 373 850 965 114 773 792 1,207 198 737 261 431 4,253 1,958 804 1,234 386 1,701 906 474 355 968 536 267 521 1,810 470 306 911 23,291 - Total 76.8% 70.3% 63.4% 72.8% 67.5% 74.1% 73.1% 75.1% 70.8% 71.8% 68.4% 68.8% 71.3% 67.4% 72.7% 71.9% 66.7% 71.9% 45.0% 66.3% 62.5% 70.9% 68.9% 60.5% 52.9% 75.9% 75.2% 66.3% 60.6% 71.9% 72.0% 70.3% 67.0% 70.3% 65.9% 64.9% 65.7% With Child'n 36.2% 30.5% 25.0% 31.7% 29.5% 29.1% 34.2% 31.4% 36.6% 32.1% 36.8% 29.9% 32.6% 28.4% 37.4% 33.9% 27.6% 32.9% 22.1% 28.4% 26.2% 33.8% 35.8% 25.5% 23.2% 36.5% 42.0% 26.9% 22.8% 33.3% 32.4% 32.7% 30.2% 30.4% 29.2% 29.6% 31.6% Married Couple With Total Child'n 65.1% 28.8% 58.9% 23.8% 51.8% 18.3% 58.3% 23.9% 51.9% 21.5% 66.5% 24.7% 62.2% 26.4% 62.7% 24.7% 54.7% 26.1% 55.5% 21.2% 44.7% 17.5% 55.1% 22.9% 58.8% 25.1% 52.1% 18.5% 48.0% 18.7% 55.1% 22.9% 49.0% 16.5% 58.7% 25.8% 31.4% 13.6% 52.5% 20.3% 45.9% 17.2% 56.2% 23.0% 55.2% 24.4% 49.1% 18.8% 41.9% 16.6% 63.3% 28.7% 60.8% 32.1% 53.6% 19.1% 47.0% 14.6% 55.1% 23.2% 60.1% 25.5% 54.8% 22.2% 48.7% 18.5% 55.9% 21.2% 52.7% 22.1% 51.1% 21.0% 46.6% 21.6% Non-Family Household Female Head w/o Husband With Total Child'n 7.9% 5.1% 7.0% 3.6% 9.1% 5.5% 10.6% 5.8% 12.7% 6.8% 4.4% 2.5% 8.1% 5.6% 9.9% 5.9% 11.1% 7.3% 11.5% 7.8% 17.5% 15.8% 10.1% 4.7% 7.3% 4.3% 10.7% 7.2% 18.2% 14.1% 12.1% 7.7% 13.4% 8.8% 8.8% 4.9% 10.5% 6.6% 9.5% 5.4% 11.6% 5.8% 9.6% 7.2% 10.1% 8.5% 8.3% 5.3% 8.7% 5.7% 7.2% 4.4% 8.5% 5.4% 8.5% 4.5% 9.7% 5.2% 9.4% 5.6% 6.5% 3.5% 9.8% 6.5% 13.2% 8.1% 8.5% 4.6% 9.0% 4.4% 9.5% 5.8% 14.7% 8.1% Total 23.2% 29.7% 36.6% 27.2% 32.5% 25.9% 26.9% 24.9% 29.2% 28.2% 31.6% 31.2% 28.7% 32.6% 27.3% 28.1% 33.3% 28.1% 55.0% 33.7% 37.6% 29.1% 31.1% 39.5% 47.1% 24.1% 24.8% 33.7% 39.4% 28.1% 28.0% 29.7% 33.0% 29.7% 34.1% 35.1% 34.3% Households with Individuals Aged Living Alone Over Under 65 18 Total 65+ 18.6% 8.2% 40.3% 26.3% 24.1% 10.9% 31.9% 26.7% 31.7% 20.1% 26.8% 37.8% 23.4% 10.2% 34.2% 28.8% 28.3% 12.7% 32.5% 30.0% 19.6% 10.1% 31.6% 33.5% 22.5% 12.2% 36.0% 30.4% 20.4% 11.0% 34.0% 29.0% 24.7% 10.9% 38.9% 27.1% 21.9% 7.6% 34.7% 23.4% 28.9% 10.5% 39.5% 25.4% 24.2% 10.5% 32.3% 28.1% 24.1% 10.9% 34.3% 28.9% 25.4% 11.3% 30.7% 27.4% 20.7% 9.1% 40.9% 26.3% 23.3% 9.2% 36.9% 25.4% 29.1% 12.6% 29.9% 30.7% 23.4% 9.7% 34.1% 26.0% 36.4% 13.5% 23.8% 24.5% 27.1% 11.4% 30.0% 29.4% 31.7% 16.2% 27.7% 36.2% 22.0% 10.3% 35.9% 26.1% 25.4% 12.4% 38.9% 24.9% 33.6% 15.2% 27.1% 32.6% 41.4% 19.2% 24.2% 35.9% 19.2% 9.1% 39.7% 23.4% 20.8% 7.9% 44.2% 22.0% 27.4% 14.9% 29.3% 36.7% 34.0% 19.0% 25.0% 37.1% 21.0% 8.6% 36.7% 23.6% 22.6% 12.7% 35.3% 32.8% 23.6% 10.1% 35.4% 27.3% 28.1% 13.8% 32.3% 30.2% 23.5% 10.1% 34.0% 28.4% 28.3% 14.3% 31.3% 31.0% 27.0% 11.6% 31.7% 27.7% 28.1% 10.1% 35.0% 25.0% * The Village of Cooperstown is located in the Towns of Middlefield and Otsego in Otsego County. Source: 2000 Census of Population, Table DP-1. C:\HD10\CENSUS\PROFILES\FAMHOUSE.XLS _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 15 1.11 HOUSEHOLDS AND FAMILY RELATIONSHIPS The 2000 Census provides basic information concerning the composition of households and families. The accompanying schematic chart illustrates the hierarchy of relationships used by the Census Bureau to classify the relationships between people within a household. Households are divided into family and non-family households. Non-family households generally consist of one or more persons, unrelated by birth or marriage, occupying a single dwelling unit. To confuse the situation even more a dwelling unit could have multiple households, including any mixture of family and non-family arrangements. Family households were further divided between married couples and female headed households with no husband present, with distinctions between those with and without children under 18 years old. Non-family households are divided into households of single persons living alone, and single persons 65 years of age and older living alone. SCHEMATIC OF HOUSEHOLD AND FAMILY RELATIONSHIPS HOUSEHOLDS FAMILY HOUSEHOLDS Total With Children Under 18 Years MARRIED COUPLE FAMILIES Total With Children Under 18 Years FEMALE HEADED FAMILIES- NO HUSBAND Total With Children Under 18 Years NON-FAMIL HOUSEHOLDS Total LIVING ALONE Total Over 65 Table 1-H which appears on the previous page provides information concerning the types of households in Otsego County and its municipalities. As shown on the table, approximately two-thirds or more of all households in Otsego County’s municipalities were family households. The principal exception to this pattern is the City of Oneonta where only 45% of the households involved families. This low percentage presumably reflects the impact of off-campus student housing for the two colleges in the City. Table 1-H also shows that while the County had a slightly lower than average proportion of family households when compared to the state, it had a somewhat higher than average proportion of married couple households. This appears to be because of the much lower than average proportion of female headed family households which have no husband present. TABLE 1-I LIVING ARRANGEMENTS OF OWN CHILDREN UNDER 18 YEARS OF AGE IN FAMILIES AND SUB FAMILIES BY EMPLOYMENT STATUS OF PARENTS OTESGO COUNTY - 2000 Labor Force Status Living w/ both Parents <6 6-17 Years Years Living with Father <6 6-17 Years Years Living with Mother <6 6-17 Years Years In Labor Force Both 1,515 5,126 Father Only 836 1,470 266 525 Mother Only 68 351 No Parent in Labor Force 44 123 92 116 In Labor Force Both 11.6% 39.3% Father Only 6.4% 11.3% 2.0% 4.0% Mother Only 0.5% 2.7% No Parent in Labor Force 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% Source: 2000 Census, Table P-46 Table compiled by STERPDB Some additional insight concerning family 527 1,607 structure is provided by Table 1-I which 113 273 shows that according to the 2000 Census just under 40% of the families with school age children had both parents working. 4.0% 12.3% The incidence of both parents working 0.9% 2.1% was considerably lower where children under the age of 6 were present. Of some concern is the fact that 22.3% of families with children under 18 years old were headed by a single parent, predominantly females. Single parent families with young children were almost three times as likely to be headed by a female as they were to be headed by a male. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 16 According to the 2000 Census, just over 562 adults in Otsego County were living in households which also included one or more of their own grandchildren aged 18 or under. Of these a little under a half identified themselves as the person responsible for their grandchildren due to the absence or disability of the child’s parents. The Census data, which is illustrated on the accompanying graph, shows that this is not a temporary situation. Just under third of these grandparents reporting that they had been the person responsible for their grandchildren for at least a year, and more than one in ten indicating that they have held this responsibility for at least 5 years. LENGTH OF GRANDPARENT RESPONSIBILITY FOR OWN GRANDCHILDREN UNDER 18 YEARS OF AGE Grandparent not responsible for own grandchildren under 18 years, 305, 55% Less than 6 months, 28, 5% 6 to 11 months, 57, 10% 5 years or more, 74, 13% 3 or 4 years, 35, 6% 1 or 2 years, 63, 11% 1.12 EDUCATIONAL ENROLLMENT 6 The accompanying bar graph shows the percentage of population over age 3 years which are enrolled in school by the level of school, and compares Otsego County with New York State and the US as a whole, according to the 2000 Census. In addition the graph shows data for the County Seat in Cooperstown and the County’s largest municipality – the City of Oneonta. EDUCATIONAL ENROLMENT 2000 OTSEGO COUNTY AND SELECTED PLACES With State and National Comparisons Enrolled in graduate or professional school: Enrolled in college, undergraduate years: Enrolled in grade 9 to grade 12: Enrolled in grade 5 to grade 8: Enrolled in grade 1 to grade 4: City of Oneonta Village of Cooperstown Otsego County New York State United States Enrolled in On the graph, the dark maroon bar in the kindergarten: center of each group represents Otsego Enrolled in nursery County, while the two shades of blue school, preschool: bars represent New York State and the 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% United States as a whole. According to the 2000 Census, there were just over 5,000 elementary school students residing in Delaware County on April 1, 2000, representing 45.3% of all persons then enrolled in school. As shown, the proportion of the total population enrolled in school in Delaware County, which is enrolled in elementary school, is somewhat higher than the statewide average. The upper pink and red bars show the profile of Cooperstown and Oneonta. The most dramatic feature shown on this graph is the fact that 42% of the population of the City of Oneonta, amounting to 5,889 persons aged 3 years old or older, was enrolled in undergraduate college programs. Presumably these mostly would be students enrolled at SUNY-Oneonta or Hartwick College. This feature is illustrated by the long red bar in the next to highest cluster of bars. While this feature is especially dramatic for the City data, it also has an effect for county level data where the maroon colored bar shows that 11.2% of the county population over the age of 3 years is enrolled in college at the undergraduate level. 6 People are classified as enrolled in school if they reported attending a “regular” public or private school or college at anytime between February 1, 2000, and the time of the enumeration (typically April 1, 2000). (2000 Census; Demographic Profile:2000, Technical Documentation, page 5-18). _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 17 1.13 Educational Attainment 7 Table 1-J reports the educational attainment of the population of Otsego County over the age of 25 in 2000, with comparisons to the state average. As shown, Otsego County had a higher proportion of population with high school diplomas, or some college, than the state as a whole. At the same time, Otsego County had lower portions of population with less than a high school education, or with a bachelor’s or higher degree. The pattern illustrated by the graph does not include persons in age groups which traditionally were enrolled in school (except perhaps post graduate students), and thus could indicate the need for additional professional and technical educational opportunities. TABLE 1-J EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT POPULATION 25 YEARS OLD OR OLDER AND SCHOOL ENROLLMENT POPULATION AGE 3 YEARS OLD OR OLDER FOR OTSEGO COUNTY 2000 Population Age 3 + Percent of Pop. 0-12 Yrs HS Some BA/BS or Enrolled Enrolled in 25+ Community in School College of School Diploma College Higher Burlington Town 714 21.2% 41.0% 22.9% 14.8% 272 12.1% Butternuts Town 1,247 15.0% 40.5% 24.0% 20.4% 455 9.7% Gilbertsville Village 266 8.1% 32.0% 32.4% 27.4% 95 14.7% Cherry Valley Town 851 15.8% 38.9% 22.9% 22.5% 361 11.6% Cherry Valley Village 402 19.1% 35.6% 14.7% 20.7% 175 17.7% Decatur Town 287 26.5% 37.5% 23.6% 12.5% 78 9.0% Edmeston Town 1,215 18.2% 40.9% 27.6% 13.3% 467 10.7% Exeter Town 657 24.8% 40.8% 25.1% 9.2% 248 14.9% Hartwick Town 1,459 18.3% 37.6% 24.6% 19.4% 599 5.3% Laurens Town 1,631 14.4% 37.1% 28.8% 19.6% 583 12.7% Laurens Village 180 12.9% 42.5% 20.2% 14.5% 72 15.3% Maryland Town 1,320 17.7% 40.8% 25.8% 15.5% 451 14.4% Middlefield Town 1,607 18.1% 31.0% 21.9% 29.1% 501 14.4% Milford Town 2,077 17.0% 35.5% 26.8% 20.7% 682 12.9% Milford Village 339 7.5% 39.1% 31.1% 22.3% 140 10.0% Morris Town 1,255 16.6% 36.6% 28.5% 18.2% 487 9.9% Morris Village 419 13.5% 34.9% 32.0% 19.6% 136 11.8% New Lisbon Town 761 15.3% 43.8% 22.8% 18.1% 297 17.5% Oneonta City 5,748 14.1% 27.2% 26.0% 32.7% 7,149 79.1% Oneonta Town 3,347 13.7% 32.8% 24.9% 28.5% 1,272 19.5% West End CDP 1,310 18.7% 37.3% 23.0% 21.1% 436 14.7% Otego Town 2,134 19.5% 40.1% 25.0% 15.4% 852 10.3% Otego Village 682 13.7% 29.2% 30.2% 27.0% 298 15.8% Otsego Town 2,834 11.0% 18.6% 33.5% 36.8% 983 17.9% Cooperstown Village 1,512 10.0% 18.3% 30.1% 41.5% 447 28.6% Pittsfield Town 865 24.9% 41.9% 23.4% 9.8% 337 6.5% Plainfield Town 628 17.8% 43.3% 25.0% 13.8% 257 4.3% Richfield Town 1,695 24.5% 35.7% 24.8% 15.0% 536 12.9% Richfield Springs Village 906 26.1% 33.9% 24.5% 15.6% 253 13.0% Roseboom Town 466 19.9% 36.7% 29.2% 14.1% 184 19.6% Springfield Town 924 14.2% 40.8% 23.5% 21.4% 317 10.7% Unadilla Town 3,027 17.2% 39.7% 29.4% 13.8% 1,157 12.4% Unadilla Village 740 12.4% 39.3% 29.1% 19.2% 296 18.2% Westford Town 532 19.4% 41.6% 22.7% 16.2% 192 9.4% Worcester Town 1,520 24.4% 31.4% 26.2% 17.9% 531 13.6% OTSEGO COUNTY 38,801 17.1% 34.7% 26.3% 22.0% 19,248 37.5% New York State 20.9% 27.8% 24.0% 27.4% 24.9% * The Village of Cooperstown is located in the Towns of Middlefield and Otsego in Otsego County. Source: 2000 Census Table DP-2 with special compilation by Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board. “Some College” includes persons with Associate degrees and any other certificates below Bachelor’s. The percent of population enrolled in college is the portion of the total population ages 3 years old and over who are enrolled in school. Educational Attainment of Population Age 25 or Older The proportion of adult population without at least a high school diploma (or GED) in Otsego County was somewhat below the statewide average. Over a quarter of the population aged 25 or older in the Town of Decatur and the Village of Richfield Springs lacked a high school diploma, while the proportion of the population in the Villages of Gilbertsville and Milford lacking a diploma was less than half the county or state average. At the other end of the scale, over 41% of the population of the Village of Cooperstown over the age of 25 had at least a bachelor’s degree which undoubtedly reflected the presence of Bassett Hospital which is a teaching facility for medical residents. With its two colleges, just under a third of population of the City of Oneonta reported having college degrees. The lowest proportion of population with college degrees was reported for the Towns of Pittsfield and Exeter. Overall, the proportion of Otsego County residents with a bachelor’s degree or higher is 80% of the statewide average. 7 Educational attainment is defined by the Census as the highest degree or level of school completed. (2000 Census; Demographic Profile:2000, Technical Documentation, page 5-9). _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 18 Table 1-J also reports the percentage of persons in the municipalities who are enrolled in college (full or part-time). Here the impact of the colleges in Oneonta is seen where 79% of the population over 25 years of age is reported as being enrolled in college. This is interesting in that for the most part this adult population is older than the typical student at either Hartwick or SUNY-Oneonta. 1.14 LANGUAGES SPOKEN AT HOME The accompanying pie chart shows that while English is by far the dominant language spoken at home in Otsego County, about 9% of the county’s population speaks some other language at home. The largest non-English language reported to the Census as being spoken at home is the Indo-European group of languages, other than Spanish. This would appear to reflect the influence of recent or historic immigration from Eastern Europe. Only about 4% of the population in Otsego County speaks Spanish, Asian, or some other language at home. LANGUAGE SPOKEN AT HOME Population 5 Years Old and Older 2000 OTSEGO COUNTY Spanish, 711, 3% Other IndoEuropean, 1082, 5% Asian, 120, 1% Other, 75, 0% A small portion of those who speak a language other than English at home reported a sense of linguistic isolation. Only 177 households reported serious English, 21291, 91% linguistic isolation, and just over two-thirds of these were persons who spoke an Indo-European language other than Spanish at home. Of those speaking Spanish at home 37 households reported serious linguistic isolation. DISABILITIES BY TYPE OTSEGO COUNTY 2000 Civilian Non-institutional Population 5 Years Old or Older Employment disability Go-outside-home disability Self-care disability Mental disability Physical disability 1.15 DISABILITIES According to the 2000 Census a significant portion of the population of Otsego County reported disabilities of one degree or another. Many of those reporting disabilities had multiple disabilities, and there was a clear relationship between age and disability status with roughly half of those reporting sensory, physical, or self care disabilities being aged 65 years old or older. Almost 5,285 persons in Otsego County reported physical disabilities in 2000, while 0 2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 17,500 approximately 3,160 persons reported mental disabilities, and roughly 2,300 reported sensory disabilities (blindness, deafness, etc.). Roughly 4,664 persons aged 16 to 64 years were identified by the 2000 Census as having employment disabilities, while about 17,413 persons aged 5 years and over reported some type of disability which restricted their ability to go outside of the home. Except for employment disabilities, the proportion of the population reporting other types of disabilities in Otsego County was slightly higher than the state or national averages. Sensory disability _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ OTSEGO COUNTY FACT BOOK - 2008 Southern Tier East Regional Planning Development Board HD15: ORIGINAL/08ORIGIN/2008OTSEGOFACTBOOK May 2008 + Page 19
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