CONTESTABILITY IN NETWORK INDUSTRIES May 2014 Introduction Governments and economic regulators of transport, energy and other infrastructure services have on various occasions considered how contestability can be used to support delivery of network services in the past considered natural monopolies. In Great Britain (GB) for example, Ofgem (the energy regulator in GB) is considering the option of introducing contestability in the delivery of electricity transmission projects as part of its Integrated Transmission Planning and Regulation (ITPR)1 project. Ofgem also already administers a competition based regime for delivery of offshore transmission services in GB and has introduced competition for connections in electricity distribution. Ofwat (the water regulator in England and Wales) is considering how competition might be introduced into wholesale elements of the water and sewage value chain and there is a long track record of contestable processes being employed in the delivery of transport infrastructure, including roads and services associated with railways. This short note considers why and how contestability can be applied to the delivery of network infrastructure services, the benefits from doing so and why the offshore electricity transmission regime as designed by Ofgem in GB is in particular a good example of the application of a contestable approach. Why contestability? Economic theory holds that perfect competition is Pareto efficient – that is, it delivers technical efficiency in which least cost production is combined with an allocative efficiency in which it is impossible to make any one individual better off without making at least one individual worse off. Whilst few markets are perfectly competitive, in most sectors promoting competition moves the markets involved towards greater allocative efficiency. 1 ITPR is Ofgem’s review of the current arrangements for system planning and delivery in GB electricity transmission, covering onshore and offshore transmission networks and electricity interconnectors. Further details on ITPR are available here:https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/electricity/transmission-networks/integratedtransmission-planning-and-regulation 1 CEPA Network industries have very high capital costs, which makes it difficult to create competing networks. This results in what are traditionally termed ‘natural monopolies’ characterised by economies of scale and scope in their operations, resulting in several key benefits such as: network wide coordination and planning (both in terms of developing new infrastructure, as well as on a day-to-day basis, for example, ensuring there is enough electricity to meet demand); and national connectedness – for instance, power can be transmitted over long distances from large, optimal generation sites, rather than having to be produced locally by a large number of small generators. As such, trying to introduce network on network competition (for example, by the wholesale splitting up of networks, or allowing for replication of assets) would significantly reduce the benefits that the interconnectedness of networks bring2. However, whilst such networks can exhibit technical economic efficiency, a lack of competitive pressure can result in poorer allocative efficiency despite regulators seeking to compensate for this through a range of regulatory approaches. As such, several regulators of network infrastructure have over the last few decades been looking for a regulatory framework that can combine the benefits of competition and of networks. This is promoted not by creating competition ‘in the market’, but instead ‘for the market’ – market actors compete for the right to be the monopoly network provider – or at least the monopoly provider for an element of that network. This is often called making the activity or asset contestable. The literature suggests that introducing contestability to a networked industry can bring a number of benefits. These include: Lower costs: Contestability delivers lower costs as competitors seek to win contracts by offering lower prices. Innovation: It encourages innovation and new ideas, improving delivery and long-term efficiency. Reduces asymmetry of information: Contestability can reveal information on the scope for efficiencies, through bidding processes and increased opportunities for benchmarking. Access to financing: Competitors may have access to alternative financing sources and additional equity which supports the provision of services. However, contestability does also bring some additional costs over traditional incumbent delivery, which must be taken into account when deciding if contestability is a viable option: 2 Note that this is a separate issue to introducing competition in the use of networks through, for instance, third party access. 2 Losses of network benefits. Some network benefits may be lost as a result of contestability, for instance, where costs are duplicated. Higher transaction costs. Bidding costs can be substantial in many large scale procurements. Various options for contestability of network services are available, and these can be seen as ranging from contestability in service provision (for example, operations and maintenance outsourcing) to contestability for asset provision (that is, the provision – financing and operations – of pipes, wires, roads etc). In practice however, the distinction between service and asset provision may not be completely clear cut, involving a spectrum and / or mix of activities that are competed out. Structuring optimal contestable opportunities In choosing where and how to introduce contestability in network industries it is important to ensure that the benefits of doing so outweigh any costs, especially as regards lost network benefits and the transaction costs involved. When structuring competitive opportunities it is therefore important to take into account; first, the potential for contestability and second, trade-offs that may need to be considered in the design of different options. These will all vary depending upon the specific opportunity in question. Potential will turn on how easy it is to create an opportunity of interest to the market – and therefore greater competitive pressures, which in turn will include considerations of: Ease of definition of the parameters of an opportunity – how easy it is to ring fence from the rest of the network, complexity of any interfaces and interdependencies etc. Investment scale – at one extreme, is it likely to be large enough to interest investors and at the other, is it too big? Risk profile, in terms of the technical and other features of the opportunity and the allocation of risks between the different parties involved, particularly service providers and customers. Trade-offs can include: Benefits arising from competition versus transaction costs of the competitive process; that is, the transaction costs need to be in proportion to the potential to derive benefits from competition. Losses of network benefits versus the benefits arising from competition. The extent of the investment requirements involved in the opportunity and the length of time that monopoly rights are conferred to investors. Pros and cons of different risk allocations. 3 Developing a viable contestable opportunity therefore requires considering a number of trade-offs. However, when a project is well structured and these trade-offs are fairly balanced, there is evidence that contestability can bring benefits to consumers. Examples of where contestability has been applied In order to provide a flavour of the reasons why and the favourable outcomes arising from the application of competition for the market contestability approaches, we have reviewed a number of examples. These lie across the range of contestable activities in service provision and asset provision identified above and have taken place both in different regions and sectors, as well as involving different types of network. The table below summarises the examples we have considered, the rationale for the introduction of the contestable approach, any observed favourable outcomes and any lessons learnt. The case-studies we have considered are: The operation and financing of offshore transmission assets in GB under the Transitional regime for Offshore Transmission Owners (OFTOs). The construction and operation of transmission lines in Argentina and in Texas, the latter being specifically related to those for windfarms. Competition for the market through bus franchising within GB (in which this has been preferred as an approach to competition in the market). Inset appointments in the England and Wales water sector in which there have been opportunities to outsource certain water services, but typically not involving the construction of new assets. Design-Build-Finance-Operate (DBFO) roads in the UK, an asset intensive Private Finance Initiative (PFI) model. Rail franchising in GB which is an example of a contestable approach in the context of infrastructure services, for capital intensive, but not for fixed networks. The rationale for the introduction of such approaches varies with the context, but in addition to obtaining lower prices through competition – a linking theme with all the examples – the case studies show this can often be part of wider strategies of optimising investment strategies, accessing new financial resources and improving customer services. Overall, these case studies show that contestability can bring cost and other benefits when compared to monopoly regulated markets. 4 Table 1: Examples of contestability in infrastructure services and the lessons learnt from the contestable opportunity Example Rationale for introducing contestability Lessons learnt Offshore transmission in GB A competitive tender process was introduced to appoint new offshore electricity network operators with responsibility for operating newly constructed electricity transmission network assets. The regime was created to facilitate the transfer of ownership of transmission assets from offshore generators to independent transmission owners. It was also considered that a competitive regime would deliver more efficient outcomes. CEPA analysis (see below) of tenders completed under the Transitional OFTO regime (initial projects which qualified for the tender process) suggests the approach has resulted in cost savings when compared to plausible regime counterfactuals. This was possible because the ‘market offer’ reflected a clear set of risks that allowed efficient, competitive pricing. However, in reading across to what might be implied for other parts of the transmission network, it is important to recognise that OFTOs tendered to date have been of a materially different scale and risk profile to the full electricity transmission network in GB. Transmission in Argentina Contestability was part of an approach in which transmission assets were only built where users were willing to pay for them, in order to drive out unnecessary asset provision. Competing out construction and operations aimed to reduce costs even further. Contestability was used successfully to reduce costs as part of this model. In one project, the competitive bids received were all significantly lower than the envisaged price for the project, with the winning bid proposing a cost 44% below this expected price.3 Transmission in Texas Competition has been used in the provision of new transmission links for windfarms. The scheme was developed to allow wind farms to be built where they are most beneficial (not where they can most cheaply connect to the grid). Competition was used to tap new sources of finance for this very large scale investment, and increase the pool of financially viable parties who could invest. It also allowed for innovations in the development and construction of the transmission links; for example, by simply using a different construction material for transmission poles, one entrant was able to reduce the costs and timelines significantly for its project. The transmission service providers were selected to provide a good balance of these benefits, but ensuring that the pool was not too large to reduce as much as possible any coordination problems. Inset Inset appointments allow non-incumbent suppliers to Martin Cave noted that: ‘A number of inset appointees… offer reductions off the appointments provide water services in certain circumstances. This local incumbent’s tariff of between five and 13 per cent… if an inset appointee in UK can create competition for the market between reduced costs by five per cent through efficiency gains, then the average 3 Littlechild and Skerk, (2004) ‘Regulation of transmission expansion in Argentina Part I: State ownership, reform and the Fourth Line’ 5 Example Rationale for introducing contestability Lessons learnt incumbent suppliers and new inset providers, as well household customer would save £15 a year.’4 However, the approach has only as between new potential new suppliers. been used very rarely and such competition is only mandatory in rare circumstances. DBFO in UK The competitive DBFO model of PFI was seen as being the best way of attracting private finance into road construction and maintenance at a time of restricted government capital expenditure. By 1996 (only three years into the project) a review opined that DBFOs secured modest but useful technical innovation, significant efficiencies which offset the higher cost of private finance, successfully transferred risks, and enabled projects to be brought forward earlier than would be possible using conventional public financing.5 A year later, it was calculated that the first eight projects had reduced costs by 15% compared to the public sector comparator.6 Later models of DBFO within the roads sector opted for an availability ‘performance’ metric rather than having operators exposed to significant traffic risk, thus optimising the risk transfer to the private sector – this risk in much more controllable than market risk. Bus Competition for the market can work better than Empirical studies suggest that franchising has reduced costs, with bids prices franchising in competition in the market minimised when the number of bidders increases over five. Experience in the UK London also shows that there may be some trade-off between competition and economies of scale: large projects are likely to receive low costs bids, but it is also likely that fewer companies will submit bids.7 This is because the larger the project, the less likely it is that a company has the requisite capacity/ skills. Rail This approach to competition for the market was Rail franchising over the last twenty years has significantly increased passenger franchising in introduced in the 1990s to reduce costs, improve numbers and reduced costs: rail operating costs in the UK were estimated in the UK service and increase use of railways. 2011 to be some of the most efficient in Europe.8 Source: CEPA analysis 4 Cave (2009) ‘Independent Review of Competition and Innovation in Water Markets’ Steve Nicholson (1996) ‘Working in Partnership: DBFO in the UK’ 6 Local Government Chronicle (1997) ‘DBFO ROADS DELIVER BETTER VALUE FOR MONEY’ accessed at: http://www.lgcplus.com/dbfo-roads-deliver-better-value-formoney/1509903.article 7 Does Competition for the Field Improve Cost Efficiency? Evidence from the London Bus Tendering Model, M Amaral, S Saussier, A Yvrande-Billon, CEPR (2006) 8 Realising the Potential of GB Rail, Department for Transport (2011) 5 6 Contestability within the context of OFTOs Closer examination of the GB OFTO regime’s specific application in the context of Tender Round 1 (TR1)9, illustrates a number of features that demonstrate why it has been a good candidate for introducing a contestable approach.10 This has been realised through structuring contestable opportunities that are (i) well-defined in terms of risk profile; (ii) exhibit a risk allocation between investors and customers that is attractive to investors, without being overly onerous to customers; and (iii) which were brought to market on a transparent and level playing field, thus maximising interest and competitive pressures on pricing. We discuss each below: Risk profile: o Nature of the physical assets: OFTOs have to date been point to point connection wires rather than a complex network (which means OFTOs can be easily interfaced with the existing transmission network). o To date, a post construction opportunity – divestment from wind-farm allows interdependencies between windfarm and transmission assets to be better managed through the construction process and which are much lower risk, post construction, maximising investor interest. o There may have been some trade-offs with a non-radial approach: arguably some network economies of scale and scope may have been lost through radial design (although there is debate over this), but as windfarms have been close to shore, this is less clear than for say, windfarms less close to shore, where there are likely to be greater economies of scale and scope. Risk allocation: o There are remote but high impact risks allocated to consumers in terms of stranding risks. o There is a widely understood availability-based, performance risk allocation to the OFTO (which builds on learning from PFI experiences). o There are regulatory protections through the licence regime. Open competition o Structured competition and marketing of opportunities has raised awareness amongst investors. 9 The first round of projects (in total nine projects) tendered under the Transitional OFTO regime. For a more extensive discussion of the contestable approach applied through the OFTO regime, and the benefits it may have achieved, see CEPA and BDO’s recent report for Ofgem on the benefits from Tender Round 1 (TR1). The report is available on CEPA’s website: http://www.cepa.co.uk/news-details-oftotr1benefits?selYear=2014 10 7 o The OFTO regime has been structured as a procurement programme with tender rounds. This means that short-listed bidders are able to dedicate resources to the process and the “OFTO opportunity” within specific time windows. o The licensing and tender regulations have also created a standardised approach for the tender process which is likely to have improved the attractiveness of the opportunity for investors. Summary Some of the examples provided above of the use of contestability in infrastructure service provision support the theory that where it is possible to introduce, it can bring a range of benefits, including costs reductions, innovation and access to a wider range of sources of finance. Often contestability is also used as part of a wider strategy to improve allocation of investment resources or to improve customer service. However, as explored in this paper, when structuring competitive opportunities it is also important to take into account; first, the potential for contestability and second, trade-offs that may need to be considered in the design of different options. These will all vary depending upon the specific opportunity in question. Developing a viable contestable opportunity therefore requires governments and economic regulators of infrastructure services to consider a number of trade-offs. Contacts CEPA regularly advises stakeholders in infrastructure sectors on issues such as contestability in network services where economics, finance, and public policy overlap. Please visit www.cepa.co.uk or contact the authors of this paper, either at +44 (0)20 7269 0210, or at the email addresses below for further details. Mark Cockburn, CEPA Managing Director – [email protected] Patrick Taylor, CEPA Managing Consultant – [email protected] Fiona Kayes, CEPA Consultant – [email protected] 8
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