Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385. With 4 figures Effect of the Aegean Sea barrier between Europe and Asia on differentiation in Juniperus drupacea (Cupressaceae) 1 1 KAROLINA SOBIERAJSKA1, KRYSTYNA BORATYNSKA , ANNA JASINSKA , MONIKA 1 2 3 DERING , TOLGA OK , BOUCHRA DOUAIHY , MAGDA BOU DAGHER-KHARRAT3, 1 * ANGEL ROMO4 and ADAM BORATYNSKI 1 Institute of Dendrology, Polish Academy of Sciences, Parkowa 5, 62-035 K ornik, Poland Department of Forest Botany, Faculty of Forestry, Kahramanmaras Sutcu Imam University, 46100 Kahramanmaras, Turkey 3 Laboratoire Caract erisation G enomique des Plantes, Facult e des Sciences, Universit e Saint-Joseph, Campus Sciences et Technologies, Mar Roukos, Mkalles, BP: 1514 Riad el Solh, Beirut 1107 2050, Lebanon 4 Institute of Botany, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientıficas-Ajuntament de Barcelona, IBB-CSIC-ICUB, Passeig del Migdia s/n, Parc de Montju€ıc., 08038 Barcelona, Spain 2 Received 26 June 2015; revised 2 December 2015; accepted for publication 18 December 2015 Juniperus drupacea is an eastern Mediterranean mountain tree with a disjunct geographical range. We hypothesized that this disjunct occurrence (the Peloponnese in Europe and the Taurus and Lebanon Mountains in Asia) should be reflected in the patterns of genetic and morphological diversity and differentiation. Nuclear microsatellite markers (nSSR) and biometric variables of the cones and seeds were examined on material sampled from four populations in Europe and eight in Asia. The Asian populations were characterized by a higher level of genetic diversity than the European populations. The genetic differentiation among populations was moderate but significant (FST = 0.101, P < 0.001). According to the clustering performed with BAPS, six genetically and geographically groups of populations were found: I and II from the Peloponnese; III from the Taurus Mountains; IV and V from the Anti-Taurus Mountains; and VI from the Lebanon Mountains. The level of genetic differentiation among these six groups (4.30%, P = 0.012) probably reflects long-lasting genetic isolation during the Pleistocene, as limited genetic admixture was found. In accordance with genetic analysis, the biometric investigations indicated a high level of morphological divergence between the European and Asian populations of the species, with further differentiation between the populations from the Taurus and Lebanon Mountains. © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385. ADDITIONAL KEYWORDS: Bayesian clustering – biogeography – biometrics – East Mediterranean – multivariate analyses – nSSR – plant diversity – plant variation – STRUCTURE clustering. INTRODUCTION The Mediterranean Region is one of the global biodiversity hotspots (Myers et al., 2000), one of the important global centres of endemism and speciation (Greuter, Burdet & Lang, 1984; Tan, Iatrou & Johnsen, 2001; Thompson, 2005) and the main Pleistocene refugial region for the European Tertiary *Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected] floras (Hewitt, 1996; M edail & Diadema, 2009). The present geographical ranges of organisms in the eastern Mediterranean basin result from the geological alternations and subtropical climate cooling, which started with the regression of the Thetys (Thompson, 2005; Popov et al., 2006). The catastrophic effects of the Messinian salinity crisis (Krijgsman et al., 1999) and the Pliocene land-plate movements that formed the Peloponnese and Aegean Islands (Popov et al., 2006; Ivanov et al., 2011) also had a great influence © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 365 366 K. SOBIERAJSKA ET AL. on contemporary geographical ranges of species (Greuter, 1979; Thompson, 2005). In the western Mediterranean basin, the Strait of Gibraltar, which opened at the end of the Messinian (c. 5.3 Mya; Krijgsman et al., 1999), is commonly recognized as a significant biogeographic barrier that caused vicariant speciation processes in the European and African parts of the geographical ranges of several taxa (e.g. Terrab et al., 2007, 2008; Rodrıguez-S anchez et al., 2008; Dzialuk et al., 2011; Sez kiewicz et al., 2013; Boraty nski et al., 2013; Dering et al., 2014; S anchez-Robles et al., 2014). In the eastern Mediterranean basin, there was no such restricted isolation between Europe and Asia. The Dardanelles and Bosphorus Straits, which divide Europe from Asia, have been narrow since the late Miocene (Ivanov et al., 2011) and are currently 6 km and c. 3.4 km wide, respectively. Thus, during the Pliocene and Pleistocene, neither strait formed such an impermeable geographical barrier as the Strait of Gibraltar. Additionally, the Bosphorus and Dardanelles dried out, at least during the coldest periods of the Pleistocene (Hughes, Woodward & Gibbard, 2006), allowing land bridges to form between Europe and Asia and increasing the possibility of migration (Eastwood, 2004; Magyari et al., 2008). The Thracian Plain in the Balkans, which is rather impenetrable for high mountain plants (Ansell et al., 2011), was not a barrier for temperate organisms (Bilgin, 2011; Magyari et al., 2008). In contrast, the Aegean Sea between the Balkan and Anatolian Peninsulas was a considerable barrier between Europe and Asia. The contemporary flora of the Aegean Islands contains numerous endemic plant species (Georgiou & Delipetrou, 2010), but the flora is poorer than that of islands located closer to the Peloponnese and Anatolian shores (Rechinger, 1943; Strid, 1996). Consequently, the patterns of variation described for several woody plant taxa based on various genetic markers and morphological characteristics suggest the possibility of migrations between Europe and Asia via the Bosphorus and Dardanelles (e.g. Marcysiak et al., 2007; Fady & Conkle, 1993; Fady & Conord, 2010; Bilgin, 2011; Douaihy et al., 2011, 2012). The possibility of such migration during the Pleistocene has also been confirmed in plant palaeoremnants (Magyari et al., 2008). Historical analysis of speciation in the genus Abies Mill. (Linares, 2011) and recent studies on the genetic differentiation of the eastern Mediterranean species A. cephalonica Loudon, A. nordmanniana Spach, A. bornmuelleriana Mattf. (Liepelt et al., 2010) and Juniperus excelsa M.Bieb. (Douaihy et al., 2011, 2012) demonstrate the possibility of migration between Europe and Asia via the Bosphorus and Dardanelles in the past, but also indicate the restriction of gene flow between Europe and Asia for some organisms (Bilgin, 2011). However, these studies mostly concern the organisms of mountain systems that are characterized by temperate or sub-Mediterranean climates (Magyari et al., 2008). More thermophilic eastern Mediterranean tree species, which have adapted to supra-Mediterranean and/or oro-Mediterranean climate conditions, such as Cedrus libani A. Rich. and Abies cilicica (Antoine & Kotschy) Carri ere (Qu ezel & M edail, 2003), exhibit genetic differentiation between the Taurus, Anti-Taurus and Lebanon Mountains (Bou Dagher-Kharrat et al., 2007; Sez kiewicz et al., 2015). These species, however, do not occur in Europe. In searching for the woody and oro-Mediterranean (Rivas-Martınez, Pe~ nas & Dıaz, 2004) plant taxa that occur in Europe and Asia, we identified Juniperus drupacea Labill. as a good target species with which to investigate the influence of isolation by the Aegean Sea on species differentiation processes between Asia and Europe. The location of the divergence and evolution of J. drupacea remains unknown. All species of Juniperus L. evolved in arid and semi-arid regions, where plant remnants have extremely restricted opportunities to be fossilized and preserved until modern times (Axelrod, 1975; Palamarev, 1989; Willis & McElwain, 2002). For this reason, fossil data concerning Juniperus spp. are rare and dispersed (Kvacek, 2002; Stockey et al., 2005) and only include remnants known from Miocene and Pliocene deposits in Europe (Axelrod, 1975; Palamarev, 1989; but see the comments in Kvacek, 2002). To date, no fossils of prickly Juniperus spp. have been reported from the geological period of divergence of J. drupacea. The current geographical range of J. drupacea (Fig. 1) covers the southern parts of the Peloponnese in Europe (Boraty nski & Browicz, 1982; Tan, Sfikas & Vold, 1999; Maerki & Frankis, 2015), the southern parts of Anatolia and the mountains of Syria and Lebanon in the Levant, with a disjunction of c. 800 km between European and Asian localities (Browicz, 1982; Qu ezel & M edail, 2003). The main part of the species range in Asia is also disjunct and is divided into several centres, the most important being located in the Taurus, Anti-Taurus, Amanos and Lebanon Mountains, regions that have been recognized as refugia of the Tertiary floras (M edail & Diadema, 2009). However, J. drupacea or its ancestor was more widely distributed during the late Tertiary and early Quaternary as a component of the Tethyan and later Mediterranean sclerophyll flora (Palamarev, 1989; Kvacek, 2002). The geographical range of J. drupacea became restricted during Pliocene climate cooling and ultimately decreased to the present extent during the Pleistocene glacial periods. It is hypothesized that it reached the southern © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 BIOGEOGRAPHY OF JUNIPERUS DRUPACEA 367 moderately drought-resistant J. drupacea (Zohary, 1973; Yaltırık, 1993) might have survived the Pleistocene in mountain regions and migrated downwards during the glacial and upwards during the interglacial periods (Hewitt, 1996, 2004; Eastwood, 2004). The frequency of occurrence might have decreased during more humid periods as an effect of the competition with more moisture-demanding trees and might have accelerated during drier periods, when such competition was weaker (Uzquiano & Arnaz, 1997; Carri on, 2002; Eastwood, 2004; Hajar, Khater & Cheddadi, 2008; Orland et al., 2012). The reduction of fir and cedar forests by humans during recent millennia might also be a reason for some extension of the occurrence of J. drupacea (Talhouk, Zurayk & Khuri, 2001; Douaihy et al., 2011; Awad et al., 2014). The alternative origins and/or long-lasting isolation between the European and Asian populations of J. drupacea implies genetic and morphological differences. The discontinuous geographical range in Asia, where J. drupacea occurs on several mountain ridges (Browicz, 1982), also suggests its further genetic and morphological differentiation. The aim of the study was to test these hypotheses using nuclear microsatellite markers (nSSRs) and the morphological characteristics of cones, seeds and needles. Figure 1. A, Geographical distribution of Juniperus drupacea and origin of the 12 analysed populations on the background of the mountain ranges; grey areas – present range of the species, circles and acronyms – locations of the tested populations (for details, see Table 1). Genetic structure of populations: (B) proportional assignment of individuals in sample to the genetic clusters I (green), II (red), III (blue), IV (yellow), V (violet) and VI (light blue), as detected in admixture analysis of three microsatellite loci, conducted with BAPS software; (C) proportional assignment of individuals in sample to the genetic clusters I (dominance of red), II (dominance of green) and III (dominance of blue), as detected in admixture analysis conducted with STRUCTURE software. Peloponnese by migrating from the Balkan Peninsula, whereas it populated Anatolia from the more eastern source regions (Palamarev, 1989), or that the ancestor of the species might have evolved on the Anatolian continental plate as early as the Eocene/ Oligocene boundary (Mao et al., 2010) and then migrated with the Balkan subcontinent when it split from Anatolia and joined Europe during the Miocene (Popov et al., 2006; Ivanov et al., 2011). Finally, the Pleistocene climate oscillations with cold glacial and warm interglacial periods influenced the distribution of J. drupacea. Thermophilic, light-demanding and MATERIAL AND METHODS STUDY SPECIES Juniperus drupacea is a dioecious tree that reaches 20–40 m in height and 1.2 m in trunk diameter at a height of 1.3 m (Elicin, 1977; Karaca, 1994; Christensen, 1997; Maerki & Frankis, 2015). The crown of the young trees is conical, but becomes more irregular in older individuals. The prickly, boat-shaped needles are arranged in alternate whorls of three and are 10–15 mm long and 2–4 mm wide, with two whitish bands on the adaxial side (Christensen, 1997; Farjon, 2005; Adams, 2014). The seed cones are ovoid or globose, brown and pruinose when ripe, and are c. 20–25 mm in diameter and are composed of two to four whorls of alternate, imbricate scales. The three seeds are connate and form a drupe-like stone. Despite its specific morphological characteristics, no infraspecific taxa have been described in J. drupacea (Farjon, 2005; Auders & Spicer, 2012). The peculiar morphological characteristics of J. drupacea among all other taxa of Juniperus led to the description of section Caryocedrus Endl.; the distinct genus Arceuthos Antoine & Kotschy was proposed but later rejected (e.g. Gaussen, 1967, 1968; Elicin, 1977; Christensen, 1997; Farjon, 2005, 2010; Adams, 2014). 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Stuttgart-Amsterdam: Gustav Fischer Verlag – Swets & Zeitlinger. SUPPORTING INFORMATION Additional Supporting Information may be found in the online version of this article: Appendix S1. Genetic structure of 12 populations of J. drupacea and membership of individuals for K = 6, as detected in admixture analysis conducted with STRUCTURE software; sample codes as in Table 1. © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 Average across all populations Lebanon, Mchati Lebanon, Ehmej Lebanon, Dufram Average Average across Turkey Turkey, Anti-Taurus, Baskonus Turkey, Anti-Taurus, Bostanli Average 34.05 34.1333 34.4167 37.45 TAT_2 LEB_1 LEB_2 LEB_3 37.55 37.18 TT_3 TAT_1 36.3333 TT_2 37.0333 GRT 37.05 37.0333 GRP_3 TT_1 37.1 GRP_2 Turkey, Taurus, Akseki Turkey, Taurus Ermenek Turkey, Taurus, C amliyayla Average 37.3333 GRP_1 Greece, Parnon, Agios Petros Greece, Parnon, Kosmas Greece, Parnon, Gerakas Greece, Taygetos, Anavriti Average Latitude [o] Acronym Locality 35.7667 35.8167 36.1 36.4167 36.6 34.6167 33 31.8 22.3833 22.7 22.7333 22.5333 Longitude [o] 1080 1340 1250 980 1400 1050 1200 1500 900 650 800 1000 Elevation [m] 15 17 27 30 33 29 28 30 33 32 31 33 N – – KOR 47192 KOR 47323 KOR 47296 KOR 45430 KOR 47334 KOR 44656 KOR 48753 KOR 48754 KOR 48756 KOR 47869 KOR 47933 KOR 47934 KOR 47901 KOR 47903 Voucher 0.500 ( 0.071) 7.47 ( 0.43) 6.8 0.607 ( 0.082) 6.6 ( 0.20) 6.15 ( 0.54) 8.0 7.0 7.1 7.37 ( 0.45) 6.88 ( 0.82) 0.497 ( 0.103) 0.444 0.667 0.420 0.510 ( 0.111) 0.449 ( 0.092) 0.689 6.4 0.525 0.437 0.464 7.8 6.9 0.430 ( 0.067) 6.22 ( 0.91) 7.7 0.600 0.484 0.510 0.365 0.363 Observed heterozygosity HO 4.7 7.1 6.4 6.7 Allelic richness AR 0.675 ( 0.044) 0.595 ( 0.057) 0.657 0.740 0.715 0.704 ( 0.035) 0.667 ( 0.062) 0.720 0.698 ( 0.062) 0.631 0.783 0.635 0.612 ( 0.042) 0.677 0.661 0.640 0.552 0.596 Gene diversity HE 10.3% 0.069inbr 0.0% 0.399inbr 0.068 ( 0.035) 0.109 ( 0.133) 0.143 0.077inbr 0.304inbr 0.174 ( 0.095) 0.136 ( 0.111) 0.033 5,3% ( 0.02) 6.1% ( 2.2) 10.8% 7.7% 0.1% 6.2% ( 4.5) 6.09% ( 4.14) 5.1% 2.0% ( 0.02) 5.5% 1.3% 0.239inbr 0.239 ( 0.131) 0.104 9.5% ( 3.0) 4.7% 6.7% 0.065 ( 0.023) 0.078 0.043 7.0% 14.0% 0.102inbr 0.047 Null alleles Fixation index FIS Table 1. The genetic characteristics and origin of populations of Juniperus drupacea analysed (N, number of individuals in population), bolded average values BIOGEOGRAPHY OF JUNIPERUS DRUPACEA 369 370 K. SOBIERAJSKA ET AL. et al., 2008). Clustering of groups of individuals was run in BAPS for ten replicates for K = 1–13. The number of populations was inferred as the combined maximum likelihood and highest posterior probability estimates over all ten replicates. The admixture analysis was conducted with a fixed number of clusters inferred with the cluster analysis. After testing runs in STRUCTURE, the final analysis was run with the number of groups K set for 1–12, with ten independent runs for each K. The admixture model with correlated allele frequencies and a burn-in period of 100 000 and 200 000 Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) iterations for each run according to the recommendation of Gilbert et al. (2012) was used. K was chosen using Evanno’s DK (Evanno, Regnaut & Goudet, 2005) using Structure Harvester (Earl & von Holdt, 2012). The results obtained with STRUCTURE were also explored with CLUMPAK to align the runs across the tested K values and to obtain the consensus graphical representation of the final population genetic structure. An analysis of molecular variance (AMOVA) was performed with ARLEQUIN 3.11 (Excoffier, Laval & Schneider, 2005) for groups inferred with BAPS, STRUCTURE and geographical regions (Peloponnese vs. Anatolia vs. Lebanese Mts.). Statistical significance was obtained after 9999 random permutations. The relationships between geographical distance and genetic distance were tested with the Mantel test (Mantel, 1967) with 999 random permutations in PopTools 3.2.3 (Hood, 2010). The genetic distances of Cavalli-Sforza & Edwards (1967) with INA correction (including null-allele correction) were estimated with FreeNA software. The linear regressions for genetic diversity parameters (AR, HO and HE), with respect to latitude, longitude and elevation, were confirmed to trace the geographical trends in the spatial distribution of genetic variation. BIOMETRY Morphological characters used and measurement procedures The characters and biometric procedures were adopted from studies on J. oxycedrus and related taxa (Klimko et al., 2007; Boraty nski et al., 2014). Initially, 14 morphological characters and ten ratios were examined, but the total number was reduced to 17 (Table 2) during the study by eliminating those that lacked variability, the most redundant ones and extreme variables with possible high error. The dry cone and ‘drupe’ characteristics, such as cone length (CL), cone diameter (CD), drupe length (DL) and drupe diameter (DD), were taken manually using an electronic calliper (31C624, Topex.PL; accuracy of measurement 0.02 mm). The cone and the drupe diameters were calculated as means from two measurements perpendicular to each other. The cone scale numbers (CSN) were counted using dry cones. The needle characters were collected from needle images using WinFolia (REGENT, Inc.) software. The needles were soaked in 70% alcohol for 24 h and were then scanned using an Epson Perfection V-700 photo scanner. The needle length (NL), maximum needle width (NW), width at 50% of needle length (NW5), width at 90% of needle length (NW9), needle area (NA) and needle circumference (NC) were measured automatically and the distance from the maximal width to the needle base (DNW) was taken manually. The width of the stomata band (STB) was taken manually and the number of stomata on 1 mm of needle (STN) was counted using scanning electron microscope (SEM) images (Hitachi S-3000N, Tokyo, Japan), taken with a fixed working distance and a magnification of 990. Data analysis To assess the possibility of conducting multivariate statistical analyses and parametric tests, the symmetry, unimodality and homoscedasticity of data were verified (Sokal & Rohlf, 2003; Zar, 1999). The data distribution was verified using Shapiro–Wilk’s test. The homoscedasticity of direct data variances was verified with the Brown–Forsythe test, as implemented in STATISTICA 9 (StatSoft, Krak ow, Poland). Before further analyses, data were standardized using STATISTICA procedures to avoid the influence of variation resulting from different types of characters. Each individual and population was characterized by an arithmetic mean, standard deviation and variation coefficient to determine the variation ranges. Pearson’s correlation coefficient was used to identify interactions between characters and to detect potential redundant variables. A discrimination analysis was performed to calculate the discriminatory power of characters among populations, to eliminate redundant variables and to reveal population groupings (Sokal & Rohlf, 2003). Population groupings were also verified using agglomeration (dendrograms) according to Ward’s method on the Euclidean distances of nearest neighbourhood distances among populations and Mahalanobis’ distances and Kmeans cluster analysis (Sokal & Rohlf, 2003). The differentiation among populations and regions for characters with a normal distribution was verified using the honest significant difference (HSD) Tukey’s T-test and for characters with a skewed distribution using the Kruskal–Wallis’ test. STATISTICA software was used for statistical analyses. A Mantel test (Mantel, 1967) was performed on the matrices of geographical distances to compare them to those of Euclidean distances (Manni, © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 Cone length [mm] 7.2 Cone diameter [mm] 8.0 Cone scale number 9.5 Drupe length [mm] 7.0 Drupe diameter [mm] 7.8 Needle length [mm] 18.5 Needle maximal width [mm] 10.3 Width at 90% of needle length [mm] 26.0 Distance of maximal width to needle base 19.0 CL CD 20 CSN DL DD NL NW NW9 DNW Character Code Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V 18.8 14.7 25.6 8.7 16.0 10.4 20.9 7.1 7.93 6 12 10.5 13.4 10.8 16.8 7.4 12.0 9.0 15.3 7.1 12.3 7.8 19.6 17.7 2.6 1.7 3.7 10.2 0.4 0.1 1.0 30.0 3.0 0.3 6.5 21.1 GRP_1 18.4 12.4 23.5 8.7 15.6 10.6 21.1 7.1 8.18 6 12 7.9 13.2 10.3 22.2 6.8 11.7 8.9 13.8 6.0 12.1 6.8 20.8 18.9 2.4 1.7 3.2 9.9 0.4 0.1 0.8 36.4 3.1 0.5 6.5 20.6 GRP_2 19.1 14.3 23.5 6.0 17.8 9.9 22.1 7.5 8.32 6 12 10.7 13.6 10.1 17.7 6.1 12.3 10.1 15.5 7.1 13.8 7.0 21.5 17.4 2.3 1.3 3.8 15.7 0.3 0.1 0.8 36.7 3.1 0.1 7.1 22.4 GRP_3 18.3 9.5 23.5 7.7 16.4 8.9 23.1 10.8 8.74 6 12 8.3 13.3 8.9 17.5 7.1 11.8 8.8 14.4 6.5 12.8 5.3 18.2 15.5 2.3 1.4 3.5 12.6 0.3 0.1 0.7 36.2 3.0 0.1 6.3 23.7 GRT_1 Population (acronyms as in Table 1) 20.9 7.8 13.3 7.0 25.4 22.4 2.5 1.7 3.5 9.6 0.6 0.2 1.0 16.4 3.5 1.5 7.7 20.7 19.7 8.2 13.9 12 8.6 15.8 25.6 7.8 9.24 21.6 16.0 26.6 8.0 20.1 TT_1 20.9 16.0 26.2 6.6 19.7 13.9 23.5 6.7 9.31 6 12 10.1 15.2 11.1 18.7 7.9 13.5 10.1 18.4 6.9 12.1 7.1 17.2 14.3 2.4 1.7 3.3 8.1 0.6 0.2 0.9 19.0 3.1 0.4 7.0 16.1 TT_2 19.8 13.5 27.4 8.5 19.2 12.5 24.3 7.4 9.31 6 12 6.1 14.7 8.7 19.0 10.2 12.6 6.9 15.9 12.2 13.0 7.2 20.2 14.8 2.6 1.6 3.7 10.2 0.6 0.2 1.2 21.6 3.7 1.8 6.9 14.3 TAT_1 20.6 13.7 26.1 6.7 20.0 15.9 25.6 7.9 9.76 6 12 9.0 15.4 13.0 17.5 5.4 13.4 10.6 17.9 7.7 13.6 6.4 23.2 21.5 2.5 1.5 3.4 9.3 0.6 0.2 1.1 23.4 3.5 0.9 6.8 19.9 TT_3 21.5 15.3 29.1 8.0 20.3 12.8 28.5 11.6 10.0 6 15 10.8 15.7 10.0 19.4 7.2 13.3 8.1 16.6 9.9 14.4 8.6 23.7 16.8 2.6 1.5 4.0 13.5 0.6 0.1 0.9 22.7 4.0 1.4 7.8 18.8 TAT_2 23.5 20.2 27.1 5.5 23.1 18.4 27.1 6.2 11.88 9 15 10.1 17.8 14.5 20.4 5.9 14.4 12.3 17.0 7.2 12.5 7.8 21.9 24.2 2.4 1.7 3.5 8.1 0.6 0.2 0.9 20.0 3.9 1.6 6.2 12.8 LEB_1 22.2 18.7 25.6 4.5 22.0 17.3 25.5 7.6 10.27 6 12 11.0 16.8 15.0 19.8 5.7 14.1 11.8 17.3 7.7 13.2 7.3 23.3 25.1 2.5 1.7 3.4 8.2 0.6 0.2 0.9 21.5 4.2 1.2 8.6 20.6 LEB_2 21.8 10.0 33.4 7.2 19.9 13.5 24.4 8.8 10.35 3 15 9.4 16.6 13.0 19.8 6.2 13.9 10.9 16.4 7.1 13.2 8.2 20.1 25.1 2.5 1.8 3.6 8.2 0.6 0.3 1.1 21.5 4.2 2.2 7.5 20.6 LEB_3 0.895** 0.924* 0.945 0.925* 0.876** 0.863** 0.783** 0.838** 0.851** Wilks’ k Table 2. Values of analysed characters for 12 populations of Juniperus drupacea: mean (Mean), minimal (Min), maximal (Max), variation coefficient (V) and discrimination power testing among populations: **P ≤ 0.01, *P ≤ 0.05 BIOGEOGRAPHY OF JUNIPERUS DRUPACEA 371 NSH CSH 45.8 NW9/NW 24.7 NL/NW9 Location of needle max. width (DNW/NL 9 100) [%] Needle shape (NL/NW) 18.1 Drupe shape (DL/DD) 6.5 Number of stomata on 1 mm of needle 17.5 Cone shape (CL/CD) 7.1. Width of stomatal band [mm] 15.6 STB STN Character Code Table 2. Continued Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V 13.6 Mean Min Max V Mean Min Max V 36.6 12.8 148.0 44.3 0.16 0.04 0.36 27.5 0.549 0.180 0.780 15.5 156.6 83 235 18.5 1.17 0.96 1.76 5.3 1.12 0.88 1.38 5.0 4.80 2.69 7.67 15.3 24.6 2.8 42.2 12.5 GRP_1 41.6 21.1 163.0 46.0 0.16 0.04 0.37 34.8 0.545 0.318 0.766 15.9 155.8 95 232 13.2 1.19 0.46 1.87 6.7 1.13 0.88 2.03 5.0 5.00 2.96 8.50 16.0 25.6 5.5 49.2 14.1 GRP_2 54.2 15.6 208.0 49.6 0.14 0.08 0.44 37.1 0.577 0.290 0.847 20.7 152.5 85 221 17.9 1.08 0.82 1.85 8.4 1.10 0.75 1.41 7.9 6.15 2.73 10.29 17.1 23.1 1.1 46.5 21.0 GRP_3 46.5 15.1 167.0 50.2 0.15 0.03 0.33 31.1 0.539 0.354 0.871 15.9 148.6 83 252 16.7 1.13 0.48 1.64 8.0 1.14 0.79 1.60 6.4 5.81 2.65 10.12 20.3 23.5 0.9 45.3 20.8 GRT_1 Population (acronyms as in Table 1) 22.8 12.6 127.0 35.2 0.24 0.09 0.41 13.2 1.51 7.3 5.31 2.19 11.55 23.8 27.0 12.2 45.7 11.7 1.39 8.0 1.14 0.574 0.379 0.835 11.4 143.2 87 234 12.0 1.08 TT_1 22.9 11.6 65.0 27.3 0.24 0.08 0.37 17.8 0.538 0.354 0.758 14.8 119.8 59 197 19.0 1.07 0.54 1.47 6.9 1.13 0.87 1.47 5.9 5.13 2.22 7.50 14.8 26.0 4.1 58.1 10.0 TT_2 22.6 9.9 101.0 35.1 0.25 0.08 0.46 21.4 1.30 6.5 1.17 0.99 1.44 6.1 5.08 2.57 7.96 16.4 28.7 14.5 50.0 11.4 0.542 0.121 0.813 17.2 148.1 31 224 20.2 1.03 TAT_1 24.6 10.4 86.0 41.6 0.25 0.09 0.41 21.7 0.556 0.266 0.824 19.6 151.7 93 246 23.1 1.04 0.61 1.41 7.7 1.15 0.84 1.44 6.4 5.52 2.44 9.00 20.3 26.7 10.1 52.8 16.5 TT_3 29.1 13.6 130.0 47.8 0.21 0.06 0.41 24.0 0.554 0.330 0.790 18.0 136.8 92 214 18.2 1.08 0.74 1.74 12.0 1.18 0.93 1.85 10.1 5.51 3.19 8.25 14.7 27.7 12.3 46.7 11.0 TAT_2 23.8 11.3 109.5 65.5 0.26 0.09 0.43 22.4 0.518 0.351 0.687 15.2 167.1 92 273 21.3 1.02 0.86 1.29 5.3 1.24 1.00 1.54 5.5 5.19 3.22 10.71 23.5 31.8 9.7 48.7 12.7 LEB_1 26.4 11.9 108.5 54.6 0.23 0.07 0.47 24.5 0.541 0.423 0.774 10.1 144.8 88 218 15.3 1.02 0.45 1.20 4.6 1.20 1.03 1.37 6.1 5.36 2.77 8.68 19.4 32.3 9.5 50.9 12.2 LEB_2 21.8 11.8 67.0 32.0 0.25 0.11 0.45 20.3 0.592 0.368 0.808 11.9 157.8 102 225 14.9 1.10 0.50 1.44 6.3 1.20 1.03 1.41 5.7 5.15 3.03 7.91 16.1 32.4 19.0 52.8 9.4 LEB_3 0.951 0.946 0.919* 0.934* 0.934* 0.826** 0.770** 0.766** Wilks’ k 372 K. SOBIERAJSKA ET AL. © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 BIOGEOGRAPHY OF JUNIPERUS DRUPACEA Guerard & Heyer, 2004) with the implementation of PopTools (Hood, 2010). The geographical distances were taken from the geographical coordinates of the localities in Map Info 9.5 (Pitney Bowes). To detect characters that distinguished between groups of populations detected by the discrimination and the percentage of the variation that was responsible for differences among them, hierarchical analysis of variance was performed (Sokal & Rohlf, 2003); this was also applied to the K-grouping and agglomeration analyses. The JMP Software (SAS Institute, SAS Campus Drive, Cary, NC, USA) was used for the calculations. RESULTS GENETIC DIVERSITY AND DIFFERENTIATION No evidence for linkage disequilibrium was detected between pairs of SSR loci in each of the populations. Six, 12 and 34 different alleles were found at loci Jc032, Jc035 and Jc037, respectively. Locus Jc035 showed a statistically significant excess of homozygotic alleles, whereas the other two loci were in Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium (HWE). Jc035 was the locus for which the highest frequency of null alleles was detected (Table 3). We thus suspected that the excess of homozygosity was partly due to null alleles. The estimates of within-population genetic diversity are shown in Table 1. The highest (8.0) allelic richness (AR) was observed in one of the Lebanese populations (LB_1) and the lowest AR (4.7) in one of the Greek populations (GRT). Similarly, another Turkish population (TAT_2) exhibited the highest observed heterozygosity (0.689), whereas the lowest value (0.363) was detected in a Greek population (GRP_1). The highest value (0.740) of genetic diversity (HE) was observed in a Lebanese population (LEB_2) and the lowest (0.552) in a Greek population (GRP_2). 373 The permutation test did not indicate any statistically significant differences in genetic diversity estimates (AR, HO and HE) among Greek, Turkish and Lebanese populations of J. drupacea. The linear regressions among latitude, longitude, elevation and genetic variation estimates also showed no clear relationships, the only exception being HE values, which were positively related to the longitude (r2 = 0.406, P = 0.026). However, there was a visible west–east trend (from Greece to Lebanon) of increase in HE: HEGR = 0.612, HETT = 0.698, HETAT = 0.675, and HELEB = 0.704. In all studied populations of J. drupacea, a significant excess of homozygotes was detected (P < 0.05). In most cases, high values of inbreeding index (FIS) were related, with inbreeding as a causative factor. The mean frequency of null alleles across the populations studied was 6.09%. Global differentiation among populations was significant (FST = 0.108, P < 0.001) and the estimation with the ENA correction that considers null alleles was only slightly lower, with FST = 0.101. The permutation test did not reveal any significant difference between FST and RST, suggesting a lack of impact of mutations on genetic structure. Bayesian clustering conducted with BAPS revealed six clusters among 12 analysed populations, with log(marg. 3730.3017 (Fig. 1). Cluster I contained likelihood) = three Greek populations (GRP_1, GRP_2 and GRP_3), and the fourth Greek population was placed in Cluster II. All Lebanese populations were grouped in Cluster III (LEB_1, LEB_2 and LEB_3) and the Turkish populations were distributed among the other three clusters: populations TT_1 and TT_2 in Cluster IV; populations TAT_ 1 and TAT_2 in Cluster V; and population TT_3 in Cluster VI. The admixture analysis indicated a limited sharing of gene pools among inferred clusters. The geographical pattern inferred with STRUCTURE differed slightly from that inferred using Table 3. Characteristics of three nSSR loci used in the study of genetic structure of Juniperus drupacea. Locus Range Jc032 F:acattgcaaatatggggtaa R:ttgagtagttgttgagttattaag Jc035 F:ttggtttattctccccatct R:cccccagttattctaaacatt Jc037 F:ggcaattagtaaggcacaag R:taaggtggatatcaccaagg 154–170 N HO HE 6 0.748 0.738 0.014 0.0000 120–148 12 0.728 0.894 0.186* 0.0775 137–215 34 0.943 0.912 0.035 0.0051 FIS Null N, total number of alleles detected; HO, observed heterozygosity; HE, expected heterozygosity; FIS, fixation index; Null, estimation of null-allele frequency. *P = 0.05. © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 374 K. SOBIERAJSKA ET AL. BAPS. Firstly, three genetic clusters (Fig. 2) were found to be an optimal structure and the grouping was as follows: I – Greek population GRP_1-GRP_3 and one Lebanese population LEB_2; II – Turkish populations TT_1, TT_2, TAT_1 and TAT_2; III – Lebanese populations LEB_1 and LEB_3, Turkish population TT_3 and Greek population GRT (Fig. 1C). Secondly, a wide sharing of gene pools among populations representing different regions was inferred. For example, 54.4% of the genes of the Greek population GRT were in common with the gene pool of cluster III, which contained Lebanese populations LEB_1 and LEB_3 and 40.8% belonged to cluster I, in which the remaining populations from Greece were grouped. The Lebanese population LEB_2 also almost equally shared its genes with cluster I (50.6%) and cluster III, into which the other Lebanese populations were grouped. Under alternative scenarios of clustering suggested by Evanno’s DK (Fig. 2), the model in STRUCTURE indicated substructuring with K = 6 (Supporting Information, Appendix S1, Fig. 1), which referred to the genetic structure defined by BAPS. Accordingly, substructuring in the Greek and Turkish populations was revealed. The Greek population GRT and Turkish population TT_3 were placed in separate clusters and the division between the Taurus (TT_1 and TT_2) and Anti-Taurus populations (TAT_1 and TAT_2) resulted in two separate clusters for these populations. The AMOVA performed for genetic clusters detected with BAPS indicated that 4.3% (P = 0.012) of the total genetic diversity resides among these groups, whereas for STRUCTURE, the amount was 35 30 Delta K 25 20 15 10 5 0 2 4 6 K 8 10 Figure 2. Number of clusters detected using method of Evanno’s DK among 12 Juniperus drupacea populations, conducted with STRUCTURE software (Supporting Information, Appendix S1). found to be 10.6% (P = 0.015). The AMOVA also detected 10.55% (P = 0.013) of the diversity among samples from the Peloponnese, Anatolia and Lebanon (Table 4). The comparison of geographical and genetic distances among populations using the Mantel test revealed low (r2 = 0.318) but significant relationships (P < 0.05). MORPHOLOGICAL VARIATION AND DIFFERENTIATION Character variation and correlation The mean values of most of the analysed characters were specific for a particular population, but showed a frequency distribution in most cases that overlapped more populations. The most variable characters were NL/NW9, NW9 and NA. The most stable characters, with the lowest values of variation coefficient (V), were DL/DD, DL, DD, CL, CD and CL/CD (Tables 2 and 5). The V values for particular characters between European and Asiatic populations did not differ significantly, with the exception of the most variable characters (NL/W9 and NW9/NW). The European and Asian populations revealed similar levels of morphological variation. Pearson’s correlation coefficient between character pairs was slightly different for each sample, but the characters of cones and drupes (CL, CD, DL and DD) were positively correlated at a statistically significant level (P ≤ 0.01) in all samples. In addition, needle characters (NL, NW, NW5 and NC) were significantly correlated (P ≤ 0.01). The needle characters were correlated at a much lower level with the characters of cones and drupes. The most closely correlated characters (|r| > 0.95) were highly redundant. Therefore, NW5, NA and NC were omitted from subsequent analyses, with NW5 being closely associated with NW and NA and NC with NL. The ratios characterizing the shape of the cone (CL/CD), drupe (DL/ DD) and needle (NL/NW and NW9/NW) and the location of the maximum needle width (DNW/NL 9 100) were included in the analyses and the original values of DNW and NW9 were excluded as being highly redundant; the former to DNW/NL 9 100 and the latter to NW9/NW. Finally, statistical analyses were conducted on 17 characters: nine that were measured, two counted and six recalculated (Table 2). Most characters had a normal or close-to-normal frequency distribution and after standardization, also have a homogeneous level of variation. Character differentiation Tukey’s T-test and the Kruskal–Wallis test detected that the mean values of most characters from Europe and Asia differed at a statistically significant level (Table 2). No differences were found only among needle characters, such as NL, STB and NLW. These © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 BIOGEOGRAPHY OF JUNIPERUS DRUPACEA 375 Table 4. Hierarchical population structure in analyzed population of J. drupacea, as evaluated using AMOVA (*P ≤ 0.05, ***P ≤ 0.001) Source of variation d.f. Sum of squares Fst Variance components BAPS Among groups 5 53.745 0.04305 Among populations within groups 6 31.681 0.07548 Within populations 664 645.057 0.11528 Total 675 730.484 STRUCTURE Among groups 2 31.415 0.03862 Among populations within groups 9 52.650 0.08273 Within populations 664 646.419 0.11815 Total 675 730.484 Geographic regions (Peloponnese, Taurus and Anti-Taurus, Lebanon) Among groups 2 33.013 0.04714 Among populations within groups 9 51.052 0.07861 Within populations 664 646.419 0.12205 Total 675 730.484 characters were variable, with V oscillating around 16–20%, but without large differences among their mean values, even for particular populations, not only between Europe and Asia (Table 2). Among the other analysed characters, STN did not distinguish European and Lebanese populations at a statistically significant level; likewise NW, NW9 and NL/NW9 did not distinguish Anatolian and Lebanese populations. The other characters revealed statistically significant differences among the compared regions (Table 5). Generally, the Asian populations contained individuals with larger cones and seeds (CL, CD, DL and DD), a greater number of seed scales on the cones (CSN) and slightly wider needles (NW), with a greater distance between the base and the widest point (DNW and DNW/NL 9 100). Asian populations were additionally differentiated from Anatolian and Lebanese populations by cone and seed characters. The highest values for characters were found in Lebanese populations (Tables 2 and 5). Differentiation of populations Among 17 analysed characters, nine showed high discriminatory power among populations, which was significant at P ≤ 0.01, and another four showed discriminatory power at P ≤ 0.05 (Table 2). The highest discrimination powers were found for STB, STN and CSN, with Wilk’s k values of 0.766, 0.770 and 0.783, respectively. The first two variables that discriminated between populations accounted for 74.6% of the total variation. On the plane between the twofirst variables compared, the populations formed three separate groupings (Fig. 2A). The populations from Europe formed the most distinct group, as Percentage of variation 4.30 * 7.22*** 88.47*** – 10.60 * 9.52*** 88.19*** – 4.71*** 7.49*** 87.80*** – determined by the first variable (U1), which was primarily dependent on CD, DL, SCN, CL and NW9/ NW. Among Asian populations, the Turkish populations from the Taurus and Anti-Taurus Mountains could be distinguished from those from the Lebanese Mountains. The differences between the Asian populations were determined mostly by the second variable (U2), which was dependent to the greatest degree upon STN and NW9/NW. The Lebanese populations, however, did not form a condensed group, but were discriminated by both variables (Fig. 3A). The discrimination among individuals was fully determined by the two-first variables, which accounted for 100% of the variation. European individuals only penetrated the Asian group slightly, whereas the Anatolian and the Lebanese individuals formed two partly intermingled groups (Fig. 3B). The European group differed from the Anatolian and Lebanese groups at a statistically significant level in 14 and 13 characters, respectively. The Anatolian group differed from the Lebanese group in nine characters (Table 5). The proper ordination of individuals into populations was nearly 61%, on average, and varied from 45% in population LEB_2 to 93% in LEB_3. The ordination of European vs. Asian groups, however, was generally much more successful (85% on average), at 95%, 94% and 75% in European, Turkish and Lebanese groups of populations, respectively. Such high levels of fit of the ordination of individuals to the European/Asian groups of populations indicate the high probability of the proper inclusion of each individual (Fig. 4B). The comparison of geographical and Euclidean distances between populations using the Mantel test revealed a significant dependence (r2 = 0.687, P < 0.001). © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 1248 1248 1248 625 625 1244 1244 1243 1244 363 363 1248 625 1244 1244 1243 1243 CL CD CSN DL DD NL NW NW9 DNW STB STN CLD DLD NLW DNWL NLW9 NW9W 18.7 16.5 8.3 13.4 11.9 12.7 2.4 0.4 3.1 0.6 153.6 1.2 1.1 5.4 24.2 44.5 0.15 Mean 9.5 8.9 6.0 8.9 8.8 5.3 1.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 83 0.5 0.8 2.7 2.9 11.1 0.1 Min 25.6 23.1 12 22.2 15.5 21.5 3.8 1.0 7.1 0.9 252 1.9 2.0 10.3 49.2 208.0 0.4 Max 7.9 9.6 9.9 6.8 6.9 17.9 13.2 35.1 21.8 16.8 16.3 7.9 6.3 20.2 17.5 50.2 32.6 V 1433 1433 1433 744 744 1481 1481 1481 1481 407 410 1433 744 1481 1481 1481 1481 N 20.8 19.8 9.5 15.3 13.3 13.3 2.5 0.6 3.6 0.6 140.3 1.1 1.2 5.3 27.3 24.4 0.2 Mean 13.5 12.5 6 8.6 6.9 6.4 1.5 0.1 0.4 0.1 31 0.5 0.8 2.2 4.1 9.9 0.1 Min 29.1 28.5 15 19.7 20.9 25.4 4.0 1.2 7.8 0.8 246 1.7 1.9 11.6 58.1 130.0 0.5 Max B Taurus and Anti-Taurus Mts 8.2 8.6 9.5 8.3 9.6 19.0 10.9 21.2 19.5 16.4 20.4 8.5 7.4 18.5 12.6 40.4 20.4 V 515 515 515 263 263 588 588 588 588 171 171 515 263 588 588 588 588 N 22.4 21.3 10.7 17.0 14.1 13.2 2.6 0.6 4.2 0.6 156.9 1.1 1.2 5.2 32.2 23.7 0.2 Mean C Lebanon Mts 10.1 13.5 3 12.9 10.9 7.3 1.7 0.2 1.2 0.4 88.0 0.5 1.0 2.8 9.5 11.3 0.1 Min 33.4 27.1 15 20.4 17.3 23.3 3.6 1.1 8.6 0.8 273.0 1.4 1.5 10.7 52.8 109.5 0.5 Max 6.9 10.0 11.8 6.6 7.2 20.3 10.0 20.1 16.4 13.2 17.4 7.0 5.9 18.9 10.9 50.3 21.7 V 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.2564 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.7589 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 1.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 A/B 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.9382 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.3307 0.2428 0.0000 0.0000 0.7786 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 A/C 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 1.0000 0.1247 0.8512 0.0000 0.4587 0.0000 1.0000 0.0000 1.0000 0.0000 0.3904 1.0000 B/C Tukey’s and Kruskal– Wallis tests p between pairs of groups N, number of measurements for a particular character; due to there being fewer than ten shoots, cones and/or seeds for some number of individuals in analysed populations, the real number of measurements was somewhat smaller than the assumed; Min., minimal value of character; Max., maximal value of character; V, variation coefficient; P, level of statistic significance of differences between mean values of characters; A–C, geographical groups of populations as indicated in Table 1. N A European populations Character code Asian populations Table 5. Average values, minima, maxima and variation coefficients of analysed characters of cones, seeds and shoots with leaves of three groups of Juniperus drupacea populations distinguished by discrimination analysis (Fig. 2A) 376 K. SOBIERAJSKA ET AL. © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 BIOGEOGRAPHY OF JUNIPERUS DRUPACEA Figure 3. Results of discrimination analysis for Juniperus drupacea according to the discrimination variables U1 and U2: (A) for populations; (B) for individuals (lines indicate 95% confidence intervals for each of three geographical groups of populations); acronyms of populations as in Table 1. DISCUSSION GENETIC DIVERSITY The presented results are the first to describe the level of diversity and differentiation of J. drupacea across almost the entire natural range of the species. The divergence time of J. drupacea was estimated to be as early as prior to c. 30–35 Mya, at the boundary of the Eocene and Oligocene (Mao et al., 2010), and might be the main reason for the low transferability of the nSSR markers. Problems of cross-amplification have also been reported for J. excelsa Willd. (Douaihy et al., 2011), in which successful amplification was observed for three loci out of the 31 tested, and for J. oxycedrus (Boraty nski et al., 2014), three loci out of eight tested resulted in high-quality amplification. We also tested eight pairs of primers for nSSRs, but only three could be included in the analysis. Although the three loci used here showed repeatable and high-quality amplification products, with a total of 54 alleles identified, they represent 377 only a small fraction of the whole genome and this might introduce some bias. Furthermore, transferred microsatellites frequently show an increased level of null alleles, also influencing patterns of differentiation. Anticipating this potential problem, we performed statistical procedures that included the influence of null alleles. The level of genetic diversity of J. drupacea was relatively high, but was comparable to that exhibited by other taxa of Cupressaceae and of gymnosperms in general, estimated with a different set of genetic markers (e.g. Meloni et al., 2005; Michalczyk et al., 2006; Provan et al., 2008; Terrab et al., 2008; & Douaihy et al., 2011; Dzialuk et al., 2011; Y€ ucedag Gailing, 2013; Dering et al., 2014; Teixeira, Rodrıguez-Echeverrıa & Nabais, 2014; Sez kiewicz et al., 2015). The values of HE for J. oxycedrus, using the same three markers, were similar (compare Table 1 to Boraty nski et al., 2014: table 1). The high genetic diversity found in populations of J. drupacea is typical for Mediterranean conifers (Fady-Welterlen, 2005; Fady & Conord, 2010) and other organisms (Conord, Gurevitch & Fady, 2012). This phenomenon can be explained by the possible long-lasting in situ persistence of populations of Mediterranean conifers (Eastwood, 2004; start here Hughes et al., 2006; Magyari et al., 2008; M edail & Diadema, 2009) without a strong negative influence of climate cooling and, consequently, with only moderate genetic bottlenecks and other negative demogenetic events (Fady-Welterlen, 2005; Fady et al., 2008; Conord et al., 2012). The well known pioneer character of Juniperus spp., including J. drupacea (Zohary, 1973; Yaltırık, 1993), might alleviate negative climate influences and have a positive influence on the conservation of the local genetic pool. Additionally, long-lived, wind-pollinated, primarily outcrossing tree species typically display great within-population diversity. However, the high excess of homozygosity due to inbreeding (mating between close relatives in the case of dioecious Juniperus spp.) detected in some populations should be considered undesirable and worrying, because of a direct negative relationship between the low genetic diversity resulting from inbreeding and a long-lasting population persistence (Keller & Waller, 2002). MORPHOLOGICAL VARIATION The mean values of characters that describe the size and shape of the cones and needles detected in this study were similar or smaller than those reported in floras (Table 6). It is expected that our data closely reflect actual mean values of the characters, because they are based on large numbers of individuals. The marginal values for particular characters were lower © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 378 K. SOBIERAJSKA ET AL. Figure 4. Agglomeration of Juniperus drupacea populations using Euclidean distances from biometric data (A) and geographical distribution of three groups of populations detected from K-means clustering (B); acronyms of populations as in Table 1. than those reported in the Flora of Turkey (Coode & Cullen, 1965), Nouvelle flore du Liban et de la Syrie (Mouterde, 1966), Flora Hellenica (Christensen, 1997) and in conifer monographs (Farjon, 2005; Debreczy & R acz, 2011; Adams, 2014). These differences might be due to the measurement of limited numbers of individuals and the predominant presence of the largest cones and needles in the herbaria by the authors of floras. Herbarium collections additionally aim to conserve well developed specimens, i.e. those with the biggest cones and longest needles, whereas we sampled randomly. Variation in the cones, drupes and needles of J. drupacea has not been verified biometrically until now and no infraspecific taxa have been distinguished (Farjon, 2005, 2010; Auders & Spicer, 2012). The level of variation in particular characters of J. drupacea was comparable with that detected for J. oxycedrus, J. deltoides R.P.Adams and J. macrocarpa (Klimko et al., 2004, 2007; Boraty nski et al., 2014). The dimensions of cones and drupes in J. drupacea were positively correlated, as were the dimen- sions of needles, but no correlations or only weak ones were detected between cone and needle characters. This confirms the patterns of correlations in characters described for other Juniperus taxa (e.g. Klimko et al., 2004, 2007; Marcysiak et al., 2007; Mazur et al., 2003, 2010, 2015; Boraty nski et al., 2013, 2014). GEOGRAPHICAL PATTERNS OF DIVERSITY AND DIFFERENTIATION Genetic diversity The high genetic diversity appeared to be unevenly distributed among populations and, depending on the software used, three or six geographically isolated population clusters were detected (Fig. 1B, C). The permutation test did not reveal significant differences between HE from Greek, Taurus, AntiTaurus and Lebanese Mountain populations. However, a trend of increasing mean HE values for the Peloponnese, Taurus and Lebanon Mountains (HEGR = 0.612, HETT + TAT = 0.687, and HELEB = 0.704, respectively) © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 1.5–4.0 (2.6) 6.4–25.4 (13.3) 6.9–20.9 (13.6) 8.6–20.4 (16.2) 12.5–28.5 (20.2) 15 8.8–15.5 (11.9) 8.9–22.2 (13.4) 9.5–25.6 (18.7) 10.1–33.4 (21.2) 3–4 2.8–3.5 ( 4) 3–5 2–4 1.3–3.8 (2.4) Adams, 2014; Farjon, 2005; Coode & Cullen, 1965; Christensen, 1997; Mouterde, 1966; Debreczy & R acz, 2011 Our data for Europe – range and (average) values Our data for Asia – range and (average) values 4 mm 10–25 mm (4 ) 10–20 ( 24)mm 11–23 11–21 12–15 15–25 5.3–21.5 (12.7) 7–15 mm 10–18 mm 20–25 mm 12–24 mm 20–25 (12 ) 13–21 ( 25) 25 15–25 ˂ 30 8.9–23.1 (16.5) 15–30 mm Data source NW NL DD DL CD CL Character Table 6. Values of cone and needle characters in Juniperus drupacea known from literature compared to data found in the present study for Europe and Asia (bold); character acronyms as in Table 2 BIOGEOGRAPHY OF JUNIPERUS DRUPACEA 379 was observed. The lower HE values in Europe than in Asia confirm our hypothesis regarding the lower genetic diversity in isolated populations of the species and is congruent with the central-marginal hypothesis that proposes generally lower levels of diversity in marginal populations (Hamrick, Godt & Sherman-Broyles, 1992; Eckert, Samis & Lougheed, 2008). This is also confirmed by the lowest level of AR, which was detected in the small westernmost population of J. drupacea in the Taygetos of the Peloponnese (GRT). The highest value of AR was found in the isolated and small south-easternmost Lebanese population (LB_1). Our result confirm the general trend of decreasing genetic diversity noted from the eastern to western Mediterranean regions (Fady-Welterlen, 2005; Fady & Conord, 2010; Conord et al., 2012). This geographical pattern of plant diversity distribution has been explained by a higher aridity of the western Mediterranean during Pleistocene cold periods than in the eastern part of the region (van Andel & Tzedakis, 1996; Fady & Conord, 2010). The trend of decreasing within-population diversity from the east to west might also be indicative of the eastern origin of J. drupacea and its westward migration to its current distribution, as suggested for several other Mediterranean conifers (Fady-Welterlen, 2005: fig. 6; Fady & Conord, 2010), with a loss of genetic diversity due to repeated bottleneck events and/or founder effects during colonization. The highest level of diversity, found in the southeasternmost populations of J. drupacea in the Lebanon Mountains, did not confirm the tendency for a decreased genetic diversity in marginal populations (Hamrick et al., 1992) that has been detected in several species (e.g. Eckert et al., 2008). Generally, the high level of diversity found in Lebanese populations of J. drupacea can be interpreted as long-lasting persistence in the Lebanon Mountains and possible enhancement resulting from species migration and gene flow from the more northerly populations during Pleistocene cold periods. The ecological characteristics of J. drupacea, including a high requirement for light, and its moderate tolerance to drought, have caused the fragmentation of its current geographical range into populations that occupy spatially isolated mountain chains. However, during Pleistocene glacial periods, the species occurred at lower elevations in the mountains (Hewitt, 1996, 2004) and, consequently, a broader area. Additionally, the species might have replaced other more demanding trees during Holocene dry periods and preceding interglacial periods and attained a broader area of distribution, as has been reported for Juniperus spp. in the Iberian Peninsula (Uzquiano & Arnaz, 1997; Carri on et al., 2001; © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 380 K. SOBIERAJSKA ET AL. Gonz alez-Samperiz et al., 2010). Following this rule, populations from the Anti-Taurus in Anatolia might have been in contact with Lebanese populations via the Amanos and Syrian Mountains, which consequently increased their genetic diversity (Bou Dagher-Kharrat et al., 2007; Douaihy et al., 2011). Admixture analysis conducted with STRUCTURE indicates the wide sharing of gene pools among populations from currently isolated parts of the range (Fig. 1C). Furthermore, gene flow from the Taurus into the Lebanese populations explains the high level of diversity of some populations of J. excelsa in the Lebanese populations (Douaihy et al., 2011). However, A. cilicica, another tree that co-occurs with J. drupacea, has a relatively low level of genetic diversity in Lebanese populations (Awad et al., 2014), lower than that in the Taurus Mountains. This was explained by the sensitivity of A. cilicica to Pleistocene and Holocene drought episodes and human impact (Sez kiewicz et al., 2015). Differentiation The level of genetic differentiation among populations of J. drupacea, (FST = 0.101, P < 0.001) is relatively high compared with that in forest tree populations from the temperate zone, but is similar to the values reported for other conifer species from the Mediterranean (Fady-Welterlen, 2005; Petit, Hampe & Cheddadi, 2005). We used two different clustering algorithms and obtained different results, which highlight the different sensitivities of the methods. The BAPS algorithm was more powerful than STRUCTURE in the detection of a subtle geographically induced pattern of differentiation and allowed more clusters to be detected and, more importantly, the obtained pattern corresponded well with the geographical locations of the populations. In contrast, STRUCTURE indicated less structuring as the optimal resolution, but a higher genetic admixture. The reason why STRUCTURE detected weaker structuring might be the low number of loci used; however, the additional structuring with K = 6 detected with STRUCTURE supports the BAPS results. Considering this, we will further focus mainly on the structuring results obtained with both BAPS and STRUCTURE. The geographical, genetic and morphological differentiation of J. drupacea shows a significant separation of Greek populations from all others and the sub-clustering of the populations from Anatolia and Lebanon (Figs 1–4). The differences between the European and Asian populations of J. drupacea might result from: (1) the different origin of these two sets of populations and the lack of gene flow between them over a long period; and (2) the different evolutionary trajectories of European and Asian populations after their separation by the Aegean Sea. Similar arguments might explain the genetic and phenotypic differences among the three Lebanese and all the other Asian populations and also among populations from different parts of the Taurus Mountains (Fig. 1). However, the admixture found in the populations in the Lebanon Mountains might indicate an accidental gene flow between them and populations from the different parts of the Taurus Mountains (see above). The possible recent origin of some Lebanese populations should also be taken into consideration, as has been suggested for Cedrus libani (Bou Dagher-Kharrat et al., 2007; Fady et al., 2008) and J. excelsa (Douaihy et al., 2011), trees that co-occur with J. drupacea (Browicz, 1982). The time of the divergence of J. drupacea, estimated to be the Eocene/Oligocene transition (prior to c. 30–35 Mya; Mao et al., 2010), is associated with the first Antarctic glaciations and consequently, with the cooling of the subtropical climate (Meulenkamp & Sissingh, 2003; Barr on et al., 2010). These processes influenced the development of the Mediterranean biome with its sclerophyll vegetation (Axelrod, 1975; Palamarev, 1989; Thompson, 2005). Juniperus drupacea-pliocenica Rer., a hypothetical ancestor of J. drupacea, evolved on the plate of the European continent (Palamarev, 1989; Kvacek, 2002). However, palaeo-remnants of this taxon and of Juniperus in general (plants associated with dry and/or semi-dry environments) are extremely rare and are only fragmentarily accessible (Palamarev, 1989; Stockey et al., 2005). Nevertheless, the colonization of terrains of the contemporary Peloponnese, Anatolia and the north-western part of the Arabian plateau by the ancestor of J. drupacea might have occurred as early as the early Oligocene, when these regions experienced a temporary connection (R€ ogl, 1999; Meulenkamp & Sissingh, 2003; Popov et al., 2006). Subsequently, the rotation of the African and Arabian plate that led to collision with the Anatolian plate in the early Miocene (Burdigalian, 20.44– 15.97 Mya) created a solid land connection between these regions (R€ ogl, 1999) and might have supported species migrations. The separation of the Balkan plate from the Anatolian/Asiatic plate occurred during the late Miocene. Since the Tortonian (11.60–27.24 Mya; R€ ogl, 1999), the Aegean Sea began to form and act as a biogeographic barrier in a similar way to the Strait of Gibraltar in the western Mediterranean basin, thus triggering the divergence of European and Asian taxa. Finally, the Messinian salinity crisis, which had a profound influence on biogeographic patterns occurring throughout the Mediterranean region, caused further differentiation among populations. During the late Pliocene the climate became drier © 2016 The Linnean Society of London, Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society, 2016, 180, 365–385 BIOGEOGRAPHY OF JUNIPERUS DRUPACEA (Thompson, 2005) and rapid climatic fluctuations during the Pliocene probably limited the range of the species. An abrupt shift from a fairly humid climate to dry conditions forced elevational migration of many plants species, probably including J. drupacea. The mountains became a shelter for many plants, but also induced spatial isolation among populations located on different mountain ranges, resulting in subsequent genetic divergence (Thompson, 2005). The major driver of vegetation development in the Mediterranean was, and still is, water availability. In general, the last glacial cycle made the Mediterranean climate cooler, but mostly drier (Thompson, 2005). The climatic changes induced by the Pleistocene glacial/interglacial cycles are probably the most relevant for the present pattern of genetic differentiation in J. drupacea, because they are the most recent and were dynamic in nature. At the end of the last glacial cycle, the Younger Dryas period of dryness in the eastern Mediterranean (Dean et al., 2015) might have been a factor that limited species distributions. The onset of the Holocene caused a relatively short period of humidity in the eastern Mediterranean, after which three dry phases occurred, each ending in a drier climate (Roberts et al., 2011). Detailed palaeo-climate reconstructions indicate that each phase was dynamic, with several episodes of dryness interspersed with centuries of relatively wetter conditions (Roberts et al., 2011). Plants had to respond to such abruptly changing conditions by subsequent contractions and expansions of the geographical ranges. Demographic processes such as population expansion and extinction were linked to these shifts of the geographical ranges and had a direct influence on the genetic variability and differentiation of the populations. For J. drupacea, climatic fluctuations probably resulted in several episodes of elevational migration. The limitations due to competition with more moisture-demanding trees (Uzquiano & Arnaz, 1997; Carrion, 2002; Eastwood, 2004) during wetter periods and increased isolation, whereas the dry periods allowed for gene exchange among previously isolated populations located on neighbouring mountain ranges. The final aridification process of the eastern Mediterranean climate started in the Holocene c. 4.2–4.0 ka BP (Dean et al., 2015) and this climatic transition had a great impact on the distribution of the species and the directions of demographic-genetic processes, mostly by enhancing spatial and, thus, genetic isolation. Finally, the human impact on the forests and the reduction of A. cilicica and C. libani during the last millennia (Talhouk et al., 2001; Douaihy et al., 2011; Awad et al., 2014) might have allowed the expansion of J. drupacea. The study of genetic divergence in Taxus baccata L. indicated that apart from the influence of neutral 381 evolutionary forces induced by the geographical isolation during each glacial cycle, genetic divergence might have been caused by selective pressures and adaptations associated with different local or regional environments (Mayol et al., 2015). The great heterogeneity of Mediterranean environmental conditions that can change rapidly on a small geographical scale is frequently invoked as one of the basic explanations for the high diversity and endemism in the Mediterranean (Thompson, 2005). Strong regional contrasts in precipitation and temperature regimes might have been an important selective factor for divergence among populations of J. drupacea from the Peloponnese and high mountain areas of the Taurus and Lebanese Mountains characterized by more severe climatic conditions. CONCLUSIONS Despite the notable fragmentation of the geographical range and spatial isolation among different populations, J. drupacea has retained a high level of genetic diversity, which is typical of several Mediterranean and most eastern Mediterranean conifers. European populations maintained a lower level of diversity than Asian populations. The genetic and morphological patterns of the geographical differentiation of J. drupacea are similar and highlight the different genetic and phenotypic characters of European vs. Asian populations. In Europe, the population from the Taygetos is genetically different from that from the Parnon Mountain. Asian populations were differentiated at a higher level and formed two groups with respect to phenotypic data and four with respect to genetic data. The phenotypic characters did not discriminate between Taurus and Anti-Taurus populations. The patterns of genetic and phenotypic differentiation in J. drupacea detected in the Asian part of its geographical range resemble patterns of differentiation described for other tree species occurring in the Taurus, Anti-Taurus and Lebanon Mountains. This might indicate a similar history of migrations and a similar reaction of oro-Mediterranean conifer taxa to palaeo-environmental influences and human impact. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The research was financially supported partly by the Polish Ministry of Science (under grant no. NN303 153037) and partly by the Institute of Dendrology (Poland) (under statutory activity). 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