Population Health Profile December 2015 Demographic Profile The North West LHIN region represents a unique geography. Key characteristics of the North West LHIN geography and population: • largest land mass across Ontario health regions, approximately 47% of the entire province. • largest proportion of Aboriginal people of all Ontario LHINs - 21.5% of North West LHIN population. • smallest total population of all Ontario LHINs with Red Lake approximately 231,000 people – about 2.0% of the Kenora provincial population. Greenstone Sioux Lookout Dryden Manitouwadge Nipigon Marathon Terrace Bay Atikokan Rainy River Thunder Bay Emo Fort Frances The following table reflects population characteristics including total population size, proportion of population Northern IDN District of Kenora IDN older than 65, proportion of the population who identify District of Thunder Bay IDN City of Thunder Bay IDN as Aboriginal, and proportion of the population who are District of Rainy River IDN Francophone, at the LHIN and sub-LHIN level (Integrated District Networks): Figure 1: (Above) Integrated District Networks (IDNs) Table 1. Population Profile – 2011 Census Characteristics IDN Total Population % Age 65+ % Aboriginal Identity* % Francophone Northern 21,815 5.5 81.3 0.5 District of Kenora 43,130 15.6 25.5 2.9 District of Rainy River 20,370 17.2 22.3 1.8 City of Thunder Bay 127,975 17.1 9.9 2.7 District of Thunder Bay 17,830 13.9 32.4 13.0 North West LHIN 231,120 15.5 21.5 3.4 Ontario 13,677,687 15.6 2.4 4.4 1) Statistics Canada. 2011 Census. 2) Statistics Canada. 2011 National Household Survey. The non-response rate for the Aboriginal Identity question in the NHS was approximately 30% for North West LHIN residents with significant variation between communities. 3) This definition is based on the Inclusive Definition of Francophone, as defined by the Ontario Office of Francophone Affairs (2009). Figure 2: Population Pyramid 90+ Female Male 85-89 2025 2025 The following population pyramid for the North West LHIN illustrates the ageing of the population between 2015 and 2025. The population projections were derived from the Ministry of Finance data, based on the 2011 census. We expect that by 2025, approximately 24.1% of our population will be seniors, compared to the 2015 projection of 17.3%. 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 Age Groups 60-64 Health Status and Health Behaviours 55-59 50-54 45-49 Compared to the province, 2014 Canadian 40-44 Community Health Survey data tells us that residents 35-39 in the North West LHIN have: 30-34 25-29 20-24 • A lower life expectancy at birth 15-19 • Poorer perceived general health • Higher proportion of heavy drinkers • Higher rates of obesity • Higher rates of daily smokers • A lower proportion of individuals with a regular 10-14 05-09 01-04 00-<01 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 doctor 10,000 • Number of People A stronger sense of community belonging Table 2: Health Status and Health Behaviours NW LHIN ONTARIO Perceived mental health as excellent or very good 62.8% 70.4% Participation or activity limitation, sometimes or often 42.5% 31.9% Sense of community belonging, somewhat strong or very strong 75.4% 68.1% Overweight or obese (adults age 18+) 62.0% 52.6% Smoking, daily or occasional 23.4% 17.4% Heavy drinking 23.7% 16.2% Leisure-time physical activity, active or moderately active 55.5% 52.7% Has a regular medical doctor 86.0% 92.5% Self-Reported Health Status (Age 12+) 1 Self-Reported Health Behaviours (Age 12+)2 Sources: 1. Derived from analysis of the 2014 Canadian Community Health Survey – Ontario Share File 2. Gathered from Canadian Institutes for Health Information yourhealthsystem.ca 2 Health Outcomes Birth Outcomes Using hospital administrative data, we compared North West LHIN birth data to the province and found that: • There were a significantly higher proportion of pre-term births • There were a significantly higher proportion of babies with Neonatal Abstinence Syndrome • The rate of babies small for gestational age was significantly lower Table 3: Health Status and Health Behaviours Indicator NW LHIN ONTARIO Pre-term (<37 weeks) - % of live births 9.4%** 8.0% Small for gestational age rate 7.1%** 9.2% Primary Caesarean Section Rate (<35 years) 15.6% 14.8% Rate of Neonatal Abstinence Syndrome (any diagnosis of NAS age 0-28 days) in 2014 2, 3, 4 3.8%** 0.45% Sources: 1. Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI). Childbirth Indicators by Place of Residence. 2014 2. IntelliHEALTH ONTARIO portal. Inpatient Discharges Main Table. Extracted January 27, 2016. 3. IntelliHEALTH ONTARIO portal. Population Projection Summary LHIN table. Extracted January 27, 2016. 4. Number of discharges with MRDx=P961 for infants aged 0-28 days, per 1000 infants aged 0-28 days [projected (2014)], by calendar year Estimates of total infant population used as proxy of number of live births. ** Statistically different from province 3 Chronic Conditions Using Canadian Community Health Survey self-reported data in combination with hospital administration data, the following table presents a glimpse into the chronic diseases affecting North West LHIN residents. Though this data is not comprehensive, it is helpful for planning and implementing effective, integrated care. We found that when compared to Ontario, North West LHIN residents have greater rates of hospitalization for arthritis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, diabetes, and stroke. Table 4: Prevalence of Chronic Conditions in 2014 Indicator NW LHIN ONTARIO Arthritis 24.1% 18.1% Diabetes 8.3% 7.5% High blood pressure 21.9% 18.7% Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) 6.0% 3.7% Self-reported diagnoses1 Age-standardized hospitalization rates2,3 (Admission to acute care hospitals, per 100,000) Arthritis 860.4** 284.7 Diabetes 39.2** 19.0 COPD 319.0** 171.1 Congestive Heart Failure 212.0** 149.8 Ischaemic Heart Disease 251.0 209.2 Heart Attack 281 195 Stroke 147** 116 Sources: 1.Canadian Community Health Survey, 2014, Ontario Share File. Calculated February 15, 2016. 2.intelliHEALTH ONTARIO portal, Discharge Abstract Database, Inpatient Summary Data Table (2014). Accessed February 24, 2016. Age-standardized rates calculated with counts from intelliHEALTH, divided by census population, directly adjusted to the 2011 Census population. All ages included. 3.Canadian Institute for Health Information. www.yourhealthsystem.ca . Accessed February 17, 2016. ** Statistically different from provincial rate 4 North West LHIN residents often experience higher rates of ambulatory visits, which may reflect an increased burden of urgent health conditions. Increased use of ambulatory care is also likely related to low accessibility or availability of alternative options. Table 5. Emergency Visits and Hospitalizations Emergency Visits, 2014-2015 NW LHIN ONTARIO Rate of Unscheduled Emergency Visits1 902.5 446.2 39.8 22.7 Rate of Emergency Visits for Conditions that could be treated in primary care settings2 Hospitalization Rates (age-standardized per 100,0000), fiscal year 2014/2015 Hospitalizations for Ambulatory Care Sensitive Conditions3 461 262 Injury Hospitalizations4 761 512 Self-injury hospitalizations3 191 64 Sources: 1. intelliHEALTH ONTARIO portal, National Ambulatory Care Reporting Standards, Ambulatory All Visit Summary Table (2014). Accessed February 24, 2016. Number of unscheduled emergency visits divided by total population, multiplied by 1000. 2. intelliHEALTH ONTARIO portal, National Ambulatory Care Reporting Standards, Ambulatory All Visit Summary Table (2014). Accessed February 24, 2016. Calculation based on: http://www.health.gov.on.ca/en/pro/programs/ris/docs/emergency_visits_ that_could_be_treated_in_alternative_primary_care_setting_en.pdf 3. Canadian Institute for Health Information. www.yourhealthsystem.ca . Accessed February 17, 2016. 4. intelliHEALTH ONTARIO portal. Discharge Abstract Database, Inpatient Discharge ALL Table. Accessed April 25, 2016. Early Detection of Cancer and Cancer Incidence Cancer screening programs involve testing healthy populations of certain age groups for signs of the disease so that the progression of the cancer can be treated. Some cancer screening programs are related to reduced incidence and mortality of the disease. Cancer Care Ontario and other agencies have developed specific guidelines to help individuals and health care providers participate in appropriate cancer screening. After adjusting for the ages of potential screeners, we found that lower rates of North West LHIN residents were participating in breast cancer screening (i.e. mammogram), cervical cancer screening (i.e. Pap test), and colorectal cancer screening (i.e., fecal occult blood test, colonoscopy, or flexible sigmoidoscopy). 5 Table 6: Cancer Screening Prevalence Age-adjusted Screening Participation Women aged 50-74 who completed at least one mammogram within a two-year period (2012-2013) 57.9% 59.0% Women aged 21-69 who completed at least one Pap test within a threeyear period (2011-2013) 57.7% 61.8% Individuals overdue for colorectal cancer screening (fecal occult blood test, colonoscopy, flexible sigmoidoscopy) (2013) 46.4% 41.5% Source: 1. Cancer Quality Council of Ontario. Quality Index. North West LHIN. Retrieved from http://www.csqi.on.ca/by_lhin/north_west/ on February 29, 2016. After adjusting for the age distribution in our population, we found that there were significantly higher rates of colorectal cancer and lung cancer in the North West LHIN region compared to the province. The rate of breast cancer was comparable to the Ontario rate, and the rate of prostate cancer was significantly lower. Indicator North West LHIN Ontario Female breast cancer 115.6 111.5 Prostate cancer 84.5 118.8 Colorectal Cancer 60.6 50.4 Lung Cancer 64.7 51.5 Estimated age-standardized cancer incidence rates per 100,000 population, 2015 Source: 2. Cancer Quality Council of Ontario. Quality Index. North West LHIN. Retrieved from http://www.csqi.on.ca/by_lhin/north_west/ on February 29, 2016. 6 Mortality Using 2011 Census data, we found that mortality rates for the North West LHIN are significantly higher compared to the province, across different indicators. Table 7. Mortality Rates By Selected Causes Age-standardized mortality rate/100,000 (2010-2012)1 North West LHIN Ontario Premature Mortality (death age <75 years) 409.2 271.7 Potentially Avoidable deaths 309.3 196.2 Avoidable Deaths from Preventable Causes 207.9 125.0 Avoidable Deaths from Treatable Causes 101.4 71.3 All Causes 915 666 All Cancers 238 185 Circulatory Diseases 255 141 Respiratory Diseases 70 41 Unintentional Injuries 50 29 Self-inflicted injuries 19 9 Bloodforming/Endocrine 39 23 Digestive Systems 19 14 Infectious Diseases 13 13 Nervous System 82 62 Leading Cause of Deaths 20112 Age- and sex- adjusted mortality rates (per 100,000) Source: 2. Cancer Quality Council of Ontario. Quality Index. North West LHIN. Retrieved from http://www.csqi.on.ca/by_lhin/north_west/ on February 29, 2016. 7 Life Expectancy Life expectancy at birth is the average number of years a newborn baby can be expected to live if current mortality trends continue. It is an indicator of current health and mortality conditions. People living in Northwestern Ontario continue to have lower life expectancy than Ontarians overall. Males continue to have lower life expectancy than females, but the gap is decreasing. The following table shows the life expectancy for males and females in the North West LHIN and Ontario for the most recent time period available. The North West LHIN area is further divided into the Thunder Bay District Health Unit (City of Thunder Bay and District of Thunder Bay IDNs) and Northwestern Health Unit areas (Northern, Kenora and Rainy River IDNs). Table 8: Life Expectancy Indicator Females Males North West LHIN 81.1 76.2 Thunder Bay District Health Unit 82.2 76.5 Northwest Health Unit 79.1 75.8 Ontario 83.6 79.2 Life expectancy at birth (in years 2007-2009) Source: 1. Statistics Canada. 2013. Health Profile. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 82-228-XWE. Ottawa. Released December 12, 2013. Glossary Age-standardized rates: Age-standardized rates are used to adjust for variations in the population age and sex structure; this allows comparisons between geographic areas (Northwestern Ontario and Ontario) and over time for the North West LHIN area. Ambulatory Care Sensitive Conditions (ACSC): Conditions where appropriate ambulatory care prevents or reduces the need for admission to hospital, per 100,000 population under age 75 years. Avoidable mortality: Deaths that could potentially have been avoided through preventative practices, public health policies and provision of timely and effective health care. Crude rate: Number of events (hospitalizations, deaths, new cancer cases, etc.) / total population of interest. Crude rates should be used with caution for comparing geographic areas since there is no adjustment for differences in age-sex distribution of areas being compared. 8
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