XII Congreso Geológico Chileno Santiago, 22-26 Noviembre, 2009 S2_002 The 1868 (Southern Peru) and 1877 (Northern Chile) tsunamis recorded at Fort Point, California. Barrientos, S.1, Ward, S.N.2 (1) Departamento de Geofísica, Facultad de Ciencias Físicas y Matemáticas, Universidad de Chile. (2) Earth Sciences Board, University of California, Santa Cruz. [email protected] Summary Southern Peru and northern Chile have been exposed to several large earthquakes and catastrophic tsunamis. Two of the largest events that have affected the coasts of these two countries took place in the later part of the XIX century; these are the August 13, 1868, and the May 9, 1877 (local time), events. Their estimated magnitudes are of the order of 9 rupturing contiguous segments of approximately 400-500 km each. Both of them accommodated the convergence between Nazca and South American plates producing large seafloor and coastal elevation changes generating significant tsunamis that affected most of the coastlines of the Pacific basin. Reported local run-ups reached 20 m. Both trans-pacific tsunamis were recorded at one tide gage in Fort Point, in the Presidio area of San Francisco Bay, California. Records at Sausalito (approximately 6 km away from Fort Point) for the 1877 event mimic the signal recorded at Fort Point. Here we report on the characteristics of these tide gage records and compare them to recent records of tsunamis produced by the largest earthquakes in the region. Numerical simulations of the tsunamis have been constructed. Background and Discussion Seismogenic zones in Chile are basically well established: large shallow (0-50 km) thrust earthquakes along the coast, large deeper (70-100 km) tensional as well as compressional events within the subducting Nazca plate, and very shallow seismicity (020 km) in a few places, such as the cordilleran region of central Chile and the southern extremity of the continent by the Magellan Strait. Deeper seismicity (150 to 650 km) occurs farther to the east, beneath Bolivia and north-western Argentina. The large thrust earthquakes, responsible for most of the damage recorded in history, are located along the coast from Arica (18°S, the northernmost extreme of coastal Chile) to the triple junction at Taitao Peninsula (46°S). With magnitudes that can reach 1 XII Congreso Geológico Chileno Santiago, 22-26 Noviembre, 2009 values well over eight, these events are usually accompanied by noticeable coastal elevation changes and, depending on the amount of seafloor vertical displacement, by catastrophic tsunamis. Their rupture zones are limited to the coupled region between the Nazca and South American plates which extends down to 45-53 km depth [1] and their lengths could reach well over one thousand kilometers long. Their spatial and time characterizations have been studied ([2, 3, 4]), so that the hazard due to these large events is well recognized. More than ten events with magnitudes equal or greater than magnitude 8 have taken place in Chilean coasts during the XX century alone. Among these earthquakes is the 1960 event, the largest earthquake ever recorded since the beginning of instrumental seismology. Return periods for magnitude ~8 events are of the order of 80 to 130 years for any given region in Chile, but about a dozen years when the country is considered as a whole. Mega-thrust earthquakes seem to have much longer return periods, of the order of a few centuries for any given region ([5, 6, 7]). The two very large shocks that took place in the XIX century severely damaged Arica and other important coastal villages by the ensuing tsunami which reportedly reached runups of up to 20 and 15 m respectively (Fig. 1; [8]). Analysis of the arrival times of the tsunamis at different locations along the coast, along with the characteristics of the runups for the 1868 and 1877 events, allowed Díaz [9] to estimate maximum rupture lengths of over 600 km and over 500 km with corresponding displacements of nearly 14 and 10 m generating magnitudes (MW) of 9.0 and 8.9 respectively. The higher values correspond very well with those estimated by Abe [10]. The southern extreme of the 1868 rupture reached beyond the Arica bend, farther to the south than the dislocation associated with the recent 2001 event. In 2007, a Mw=7.7 earthquake took place from Mejillones Peninsula to Antofagasta, thus, a stretch of nearly 500 km along the coupled region of southern Peru - northern Chile (Ilo-Arica-Tocopilla) has not been subjected to significant earthquakes since 1868-1877. Comparison of tsunami amplitudes recorded in Japan, at Hakodate, indicate maximum values reaching 2 m and 3 m for the 1868 event [9] compared to maximum values of 1 m for the 2001 event. The estimations obtained by Diaz [9] are then incorporated as tsunamigenic sources to model the observed time series at Fort Point, California (Fig. 2), where a tide gage was installed in 1854. This tide gage has provided the longest continuous tidal observations in the Americas [11]. Conclusions Tide gauge records at Fort Point and Sausalito, California, recorded the tsunami waves originated by both the 1868 and 1877 earthquakes in southern Peru and northern Chile. Even though the 1868 earthquake was larger in magnitude, the records in California show a smaller amplitude perturbation; almost 0.2 m for the 1877 and 0.1 m for the 1868 events respectively. This is mainly due to the different tsunami radiation patterns and, to a lesser degree, that a part of the energy is blocked by the sub-continent 2 XII Congreso Geológico Chileno Santiago, 22-26 Noviembre, 2009 itself for the 1868 one. We are in the process of modeling these records and a first attempt is shown in Figs. 3 and 4. Acknowledgements The authors would like to thank the Núcleo Científico Milenio “International Earthquake Research Center Montessus de Ballore” P06-064-F References [1] Tichelaar, and L. Ruff, 1991. Seismic coupling along the Chilean subduction zone. J. Geophys. Res., 96, 11997-12022. [2] Kelleher, J., 1972. Rupture zones of large South American earthquakes and some predictions. J. Geophys. Res., 77, 2087-2103. [3] Nishenko, S. P., 1985. Seismic potential for large and great interplate earthquakes along the Chilean and southern Peruvian margins of South America: Quantitative reapprisal. J. Geophys. Res., 90, 3589-3615. [4] Beck, S. L., S. Barrientos, E. Kausel and M. Reyes, 1998. Source characteristics of historic earthquakes along the central Chile subduction zone. J. South Am. Earth Sci., 11, 115-129. [5] Cifuentes, I. L., 1989. The 1960 Chilean Earthquake. J. Geophys. Res., 94(B1), 665– 680. [6] Barrientos, S.E., Ward, S.N., 1990. The 1960 earthquake: Inversion for slip distribution from surface deformation. Geophys. J. Int., 103, 589-598. [7] Cisternas, M., Atwater, B.F., Torrejon, F., Sawai, Y., Machuca, G., Lagos, M., Eipert, A., Youlton, C., Salgado, I., Kamataki, T., Shishikura, M., Rajendran, C.P., Malik, J.K., Rizal, Y., Husni, M., 2005. Predecessors of the giant 1960 Chile earthquake. Nature, 437, 404-407. [8] Lockridge, P.A., 1985. Tsunamis in Peru-Chile. Report SE-39, Boulder, WDC-A for Solid Earth Geophysics, 97 pp. [9] Diaz, J., 1992. Estudio de Fuentes de Tsunamis y de Terremotos: Aplicación en el Norte de Chile y Sur de Perú. Tesis para optar el título profesional de Oceanógrafo. Escuela de Ciencias del Mar, Facultad de Recursos naturales, Universidad Católica de Valparaíso. [10] Abe, K., 1979. Size of great earthquakes of 1837 – 1974 inferred from Tsunami Data. J. Geophys. Res. 84, 1561-1568. [11] Theberge, A.E., 2005. 150 years of tides on the Western coast: The longest series of tidal observations in the Americas. U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, National Ocean Service,Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services. 3 XII Congreso Geológico Chileno Santiago, 22-26 Noviembre, 2009 Fig 3. Planar dislocation models used to numerically simulate the tsunami waveforms shown in Fig. 4. Fig. 1. Maximum amplitudes reported for the 1868 and 1877 tsunamis along the coasts of southern Peru and northern Chile Fig. 4 Simulated tsunami waveforms generated by the 1877 earthquake as seen from the four red sites located at the latitude of San Francisco. Fig. 2. Comparison of tsunamigrams recorded at Fort Point, California, of three of the largest earthquakes that have taken place in the southwestern coast of South America in the last 150 years. 4
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