Honeywell.com 2014 Honeywell Users Group Europe, Middle East and Africa Operational Excellence - Maximize Profit, Minimize Cost/Effort with CPM Perry Nordh, Honeywell 1 Document control number Honeywell Proprietary Agenda – – – – – – Why do great ideas not work? Relevant History Elements of CPM and Loop Scout that worked Elements that didn’t work Focus of successful Control/Optimization programs What is Honeywell doing differently? Why? • Monitoring and proactive • Reactive workflow – Keeping Operators and Engineers engaged – What’s new in CPM R570 – CPM Roadmap 2 Why do great ideas not work? • Safety – Flying cars – Jet packs • Wait for it – CGI – Mobile smart phones • Attitudes – That is a stupid idea – “I don’t need this” or “The conclusion is wrong” – I will do it tomorrow 3 “Never put off till tomorrow what may be done day after tomorrow just as well". Mark Twain Elements of successful Control/Optimization • Technology – – – – Control technology AND monitoring technology Minimum re-work, get the right answer the first time The “right” amount of analysis Decision support • Attitudes and follow-through – – – – Clear and understandable displays and reports Prioritization of effort Workflow support Accept the facts – your process performance could be better • Measure to understand where you are • Act to improve that measurement 4 Some monitoring technology history… 1997 Harris, Seppala and Desborough 30+ papers Owen et. al 1996 13 papers 1995 5 papers 1994 3 papers Kozub Shah and Huang Kozub Thornhill et. al. Shah and Huang Desborough and Sefidrou Desborough and Harris Desborough and Harris 1993 Jofriet and Bialkowski Kozub and Garcia 3 papers Stanfelj, Marlin & MacGregor 5 1992 3 papers 1989 1 paper Desborough and Harris Harris What worked well? • Loop Scout – focused on actions to maintain PID loops – – – – Simple to set up on the DCS Little or no tag configuration – just upload data, set loop criticality Simple user interface without a lot of maintenance required Good results with valve stiction algorithm, level loop objective, criticality • CPM – focused on the larger control engineering problem – Excellent interactive user interface • Small scope to enterprise wide view • Data analysis and interactive trending – Workflow support – dispositions and integration with tuning tool – Complete scope monitoring • APC monitoring • Instrument monitoring • Custom calculations 6 What didn’t work? • Loop Scout – – – – – Very simple – cumbersome tracking Always questions on cascade loops No handling of APC or instruments No customization – limited UI options, limited interaction User ownership of the actions • CPM – Complex configuration – Complex maintenance • Tag changes and configuration changes – Had trouble with valve stiction results in some cases – User ownership of the actions 7 Key Issues • Key Problems and how Honeywell solves them – Safe and stable operations, sustaining the benefits over time (keeping benefits flowing) • Keeping the controllers on and monitor • Operator awareness and understanding of what the controller is doing – Keeping staff and aging workforce • Focus on ease of use and ease of deployment – Continuous improvement and finding new areas of benefit • Make new controllers easier to justify • Push into new areas of optimization 8 What is Honeywell doing differently? “Blink” Humans are good at: – “Recognition” – Problem solving – Troubleshooting – New situations 9 “Think” Computers are good at: – “Cognition” – Vigilance tasks – Repetitive tasks – Fast response to defined situations – Automated procedures Both “recognition” and “cognition” are required to sustain control benefits over time. Data sources for research… Loop Scout CPM Profit Suite Honeywell Specialty Materials Honeywell Labs 10 What is Honeywell doing differently? Understand multiple sustainment models 1. Site self supporting i. ii. Knowledgeable people on site Tools and data on site 2. Corporate sustainment i. ii. Knowledgeable people on site and/or centrally located Tools and data centrally located and/or accessible 3. Vendor involvement i. 11 Variable level of input and access to data What is Honeywell doing differently? Understand Workflows • Monitoring and proactive – Monitoring tools in place – Expectation that monitoring will catch degradation • Reactive workflow – Like it or not – we cannot prevent everything 12 Reliability Maturity Continuum Reliability-Centered Maintenance • • • Closely related to “Total Productive Maintenance” considers all asset management options: predictive, preventative, reactive determines the maintenance requirements of the physical assets within their current operating context ensures requirements are met as cheaply and effectively as possible • Reliability % Predictive Maintenance • • • • • • AKA “On-condition”, “Condition-Based Maintenance” Maintenance based on non-invasive tests and condition measurements Monitor & trend, then do only what is needed Repairs are cheaper because they are scheduled Safely eliminate some preventative maintenance Increases awareness of equipment condition, identifies impending failure Preventative Maintenance • AKA 1950’s “modern maintenance” • • • When done, it can easily be overdone Can introduce new problems Used on expensive or critical items that can’t be monitored by other means Eliminate for all that can be monitored • Reactive Maintenance • AKA “Run-to-Failure” and “Unscheduled Maintenance” • • • Maintenance expense $$ 13 Most expensive alternative Keep WELL under 30% of maintenance program Used on not critical low-cost / easy to replace components Reactive maintenance is costly Relative Cost of Maintenance 10 5 0 Reactive Preventative Sources: John S. Mitchell “Equipment Lifecycle Management”; Lightfoot et al., “The use of SPC in PM at the USPS” 14 Predictive How can Honeywell technology help? • Technology inherently addresses the Deploy / Sustain challenges customers are facing – it lends itself to minimizing lifecycle costs. • Technology specifically built to reduce implementation effort and lifecycle burden of profit-generating APC applications. • Enables a lifecycle support program instead of providing a box of tools that the user must figure out how to configure/use. • Every development of an extended technology or new tool has a goal to minimize the lifecycle cost. 15 CPM Algorithm improvements: Oscillation period • Oscillation Period or frequency - Duration of one complete cycle between peak to peak - Reported in minutes • Common oscillation in loops - Interacting loops may oscillate at the same frequency • Methods used in CPM - Spectral based period estimation Power spectrum - Time domain based method Zero cross over Auto-correlation function (ACF) 16 Combining oscillation methods • Each oscillation method output is considered as a measurement point – Kalman approach is applied to get more accurate measurement of oscillation period Spectral method time series cross-over method Oscillation periods Weighted average of oscillation periods 17 ACF cross-over method Weights are determined based on individual algorithm accuracy against hand classified data Combining Valve Stiction Algorithms Kalman filter approach Weights are determined based on individual algorithm accuracy against hand classified data Method 1 Shape-based Valve stiction probabilities Weighted average of valve stiction probabilities Method 2: Wavelet based Method 3: Non-Linear Index based Flow and Pressure loops: •All three methods are combined to give one single stiction probability Level and Temperature loops •Only Method 3 is used. 18 PID Monitoring: Do something with the answer • If there is no action taken (fixing, tuning, etc.) – There is no value to the process or operations • Actions that create a performance improvement: 1. Tune: TaiJi PID (all systems), OperTune (Experion) – – – TaiJi PID is an additional license and separate install OperTune is included with Experion systems More to come in 2015…. 2. Fix: create a work order for I&E staff • 19 Note: investigating is an action, but doesn’t have any net affect on the process or operations APC monitoring: is it any different? • If there is no action taken (fixing, tuning, etc.) – There is reduced APC value to the process or operations • Actions that create a performance improvement: 1. Tune: Profit Stepper Adjust performance ratios/ranking and tradeoff values Adjust optimization coefficients (linear or quadratic) 2. Fix: create a work order for I&E staff • 20 Note: investigating is an action, but doesn’t have any net affect on the process or operations Preventing issues with APC has to be a primary focus Keeping controllers on… 21 Keeping Operations Engaged and Informed • New in R430: PSOS performance index – a weighted sum of seven established attainment metrics plus three possible user entered metrics. 48.8% 22 Keeping Engineers Engaged: Performance • Effective Utilization Metrics – MV Effective Service Factor – CV Effective Service Factor • Performance Metrics – Limit Tracking – High/Low Limit Activation – Average/Peak Violation 23 • Constraint Performance Metrics – Oscillation Index – Low/High Limit – Limit Changes • Dynamic Performance Metrics – RPI – Standard Deviation Keeping Engineers Engaged: Diagnostics • Model Performance Metrics – Model Quality Index – Phase Index – Non-Linearity Index • MV/DV Correlation • Limit changes – CV/MV Limit Changes – Limit change history • Color coded limit activation view • Optimization view 24 APC : CV Detailed Report • CV Detailed Report – Prediction vs. Measurement Trends – Frequency Response – Autocorrelation of Prediction Errors 25 How does CPM work? Data Analysis & Reporting Benchmarking Tuning Issue Information & Reports Mechanical Issue Process Issue Disposition (Workflow Tracking)* 26 *CPM Standard Closing the Loop - Dispositions Track it until it is fixed… Asset Name Description Asset Type LIC401 HT401 LEVEL CONTROL OX801 BTU BTUC801 CONTROL OX1D UDL3 27 OXID U3_DCMP Service Factor Asset Group Weight Oscillation Index Std Dev Percent Saturation RPI MV Effective Service Factor Effective Service Factor Model Quality Index Disposition Flagged Date Disposition Entry Disposition Date Weeks In Current Disposition Disposition Comment Regulatory OX401 1 100 2.07 0.84 0.09 22.03 77.97 N/A N/A 10/30/2014 23:10 10/30/2014 23:10 Requires Attention Std Dev value 2.07 violated high limit benchmark value 2.00. Oscillation Index value 1 0.84 violated high limit benchmark value 0.40. RPI value 0.09 violated low limit benchmark value 0.40. Regulatory OX801 1 100 2.36 0.11 0.22 47.76 52.24 N/A N/A 10/30/2014 23:10 10/30/2014 23:10 Requires Attention Std Dev value 2.36 violated high limit benchmark value 1 2.00. RPI value 0.22 violated low limit benchmark value 0.40. Requires Attention Service Factor value 46.84 violated low limit benchmark value 90.00. MV Effective Service Factor value 25.19 3 violated low limit benchmark value 50.00. Model Quality Index value 0.28 violated low limit benchmark value 0.50. Requires Attention Service Factor value 46.11 violated low limit benchmark value 95.00. MV Effective Service Factor value 18.44 13 violated low limit benchmark value 80.00. Model Quality Index value 0.32 violated low limit benchmark value 0.50. MPC MPC Oxidation VT307 1 1 46.84 46.11 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 25.19 18.44 0.28 0.32 5/22/2014 23:10 5/22/2014 23:10 10/16/2014 23:10 8/7/2014 23:10 Disposition Follow-Up Date CPM R570 Key Areas • CPM R570 o Simplified Templates to support generic bulk builder o Bulk-Build functionality for DCS ( HWL DCS and 3rd party DCS) o Honeywell DCS first, other DCS systems as point releases o Latest version of OI o Support for IE9/10/11 o Java support update (Java 7 with latest update support) o Integrated with ePHD for trending/exporting/integration/scalability o PID metric/algorithm improvements based on latest research o Improved oscillation index o Valve stiction o MPC monitoring templates for Profit Controller & Generic APC 28
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