1 Module 4 Interest Formulas Dr Tareq Albahri 2016 Example P74 What is the compound amount on April 1, 2025 that is equivalent to a principal sum of $2,000 on April 1, 2017? 1. If interest is 9% compound annually n = 2025 – 2017 = 8 F/P,9, 8 F/P , i, n F=P( ) = $2,000 ( 1.993 ) =$3,986. 2. If interest is 9% compounded continuously F/P, 9, 8 F/P , r, n F=P[ ] = $2,000 [ 2.054 ] = $4,108. Notice that continuous compounding resulted in larger profit. r n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 9 % INTEREST FACTORS FOR CONTINUOUS COMPOUNDING Single Payment Equal Payment Series Uniform CompoundCompound- SinkingCapital- Gradientamount Presentamount fund Present-worth recovery Series Factor worth Factor Factor Factor Factor Factor Factor to find F given P F/P, i, n to find P given F P/F, i, n to find F given A F/A, i, n to find A given F A/F, i, n to find P given A P/A, i, n to find A given P A/P, i, n to find A given G A/G, i, n 1.0942 1.1972 1.3100 1.4333 1.5683 1.7160 1.8776 2.0544 2.2479 2.4596 0.9139 0.8353 0.7634 0.6977 0.6376 0.5827 0.5326 0.4868 0.4449 0.4066 1.0000 2.0942 3.2914 4.6014 6.0347 7.6030 9.3190 11.1966 13.2510 15.4990 1.0000 0.4775 0.3038 0.2173 0.1657 0.1315 0.1073 0.0893 0.0755 0.0645 0.9139 1.7492 2.5126 3.2103 3.8479 4.4306 4.9632 5.4500 5.8948 6.3014 1.0942 0.5717 0.3980 0.3115 0.2599 0.2257 0.2015 0.1835 0.1696 0.1587 0.0000 0.4775 0.9401 1.3878 1.8206 2.2388 2.6424 3.0316 3.4065 3.7674 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 2 If the principal P, the future amount F, and the number of years n are known, the interest rate i may be determined by equations or linear interpolation in the interest tables. Example: calculating i Calculate the interest rate if P = $300, F= $525, and n = 9 F/P , i, n F=P( ) $525 = $300( ( F/P , i, 9 F/P ,i, 9 ) $525 ) = $300 = 1.750 A search of the interest tables for annual compounding interest reveals that F/P,6,9 F/P,7 ,9 F/P,i,9 ( 1.689 ) < ( 1.750 ) < ( 1.838 ) (F/P) 1.689 1.750 1.838 6% i 7% By linear proportion, 1.689 − 1.75 6−𝑖 = 1.689 − 1.838 6 − 7 i = 6.41 % Solution for i using equations, F = P (1+i)n $525 = $300 (1+i)9 $525 (1+i)9 = $300 = 1.750 9 i = √1.750 – 1 i = 1.0642 – 1= 0.0642, or 6.42% Minor difference is due to rounding of numbers using the tables Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 3 i n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 i n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 6 % INTEREST FACTORS FOR DISCRETE COMPOUNDING Single Payment Equal Payment Series CompoundCompound Sinking Capitalamount Present-worth -amount -fund Present-worth recover Factor Factor Factor Factor Factor y Factor to find to find to find F to find P to find F A given to find P given A given given P given F given A F A P F/P, i, n P/F, i, n F/A, i, n A/F, i, n P/A, i, n A/P, i, n 1.0600 1.1236 1.1910 1.2625 1.3382 1.4185 1.5036 1.5938 1.6895 1.7908 0.9434 0.8900 0.8396 0.7921 0.7473 0.7050 0.6651 0.6274 0.5919 0.5584 1.0000 2.0600 3.1836 4.3746 5.6371 6.9753 8.3938 9.8975 11.4913 13.1808 1.0000 0.4854 0.3141 0.2286 0.1774 0.1434 0.1191 0.1010 0.0870 0.0759 0.9434 1.8334 2.6730 3.4651 4.2124 4.9173 5.5824 6.2098 6.8017 7.3601 1.0600 0.5454 0.3741 0.2886 0.2374 0.2034 0.1791 0.1610 0.1470 0.1359 Uniform Gradient -Series Factor to find A given G A/G, i, n 0.0000 0.4854 0.9612 1.4272 1.8836 2.3304 2.7676 3.1952 3.6133 4.0220 7 % INTEREST FACTORS FOR DISCRETE COMPOUNDING Single Payment Equal Payment Series Uniform Compound Compound Sinking Capital- Gradient -amount Present-worth -amount -fund Present-worth recover -Series Factor Factor Factor Factor Factor y Factor Factor to find to find to find F to find P to find F A given to find P given A given to find A given P given F given A F A P given G F/P, i, n P/F, i, n F/A, i, n A/F, i, n P/A, i, n A/P, i, n A/G, i, n 1.0700 1.1449 1.2250 1.3108 1.4026 1.5007 1.6058 1.7182 1.8385 1.9672 0.9346 0.8734 0.8163 0.7629 0.7130 0.6663 0.6227 0.5820 0.5439 0.5083 1.0000 2.0700 3.2149 4.4399 5.7507 7.1533 8.6540 10.2598 11.9780 13.8164 1.0000 0.4831 0.3111 0.2252 0.1739 0.1398 0.1156 0.0975 0.0835 0.0724 0.9346 1.8080 2.6243 3.3872 4.1002 4.7665 5.3893 5.9713 6.5152 7.0236 1.0700 0.5531 0.3811 0.2952 0.2439 0.2098 0.1856 0.1675 0.1535 0.1424 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 0.0000 0.4831 0.9549 1.4155 1.8650 2.3032 2.7304 3.1465 3.5517 3.9461 4 If the principal sum P, its future amount F, and the interest rate i are known, the number of years n may be determined by equations or interpolation in the interest tables. Example: calculating n Calculate the number of years required to double the amount of money from P = $400 to F = $800 for an interest rate of 9%. F=P( F/P ,i,n ) $800 = $400 ( ( F/P ,9,n )= $800 $400 F/P ,9,n ) =2 A search of the 9% interest table reveals that F/P,9, 8 F/P,9, n F/P, 9, 9 ( 1.993 ) < ( 2.000 ) < ( 2.172 ) 8 yrs n 9 yrs 1.993 2.0 2.172 By linear interpolation, 𝑛−8 2 − 1.993 = 9 − 8 2.172 − 1.993 n = 8.04 years Solving for n using equation F = P (1 + i) n $800 = $400 (1 + 0.09) n 800 (1.09)n = 400 = 2.000 n ln (1.09) = ln (2.000) n = 8.043 years Again small difference is due rounding of numbers using tables, with equations more accurate. Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 5 i n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 9 % INTEREST FACTORS FOR DISCRETE COMPOUNDING Single Payment Equal Payment Series CompoundCompound- SinkingPresentCapitalamount Present-worth amount fund worth recovery Factor Factor Factor Factor Factor Factor to find F to find P given to find F to find A to find P to find A given P F given A given F given A given P F/P, i, n P/F, i, n F/A, i, n A/F, i, n P/A, i, n A/P, i, n 1.0900 1.1881 1.2950 1.4116 1.5386 1.6771 1.8280 1.9926 2.1719 2.3674 2.5804 2.8127 3.0658 3.3417 3.6425 3.9703 4.3276 4.7171 5.1417 5.6044 6.1088 6.6586 7.2579 7.9111 8.6231 9.3992 10.2451 11.1671 12.1722 13.2677 14.4618 15.7633 17.1820 18.7284 20.4140 31.4094 48.3273 74.3575 114.4083 176.0313 270.8460 0.9174 0.8417 0.7722 0.7084 0.6499 0.5963 0.5470 0.5019 0.4604 0.4224 0.3875 0.3555 0.3262 0.2992 0.2745 0.2519 0.2311 0.2120 0.1945 0.1784 0.1637 0.1502 0.1378 0.1264 0.1160 0.1064 0.0976 0.0895 0.0822 0.0754 0.0691 0.0634 0.0582 0.0534 0.0490 0.0318 0.0207 0.0134 0 0 0 1.0000 2.0900 3.2781 4.5731 5.9847 7.5233 9.2004 11.0285 13.0210 15.1929 17.5603 20.1407 22.9534 26.0192 29.3609 33.0034 36.9737 41.3013 46.0185 51.1601 56.7645 62.8733 69.5319 76.7898 84.7009 93.3240 102.7231 112.9682 124.1354 136.3075 149.5752 164.0370 179.8003 196.9823 215.7108 337.8824 525.8587 815.0836 1260.0918 1944.7921 2998.2885 1.0000 0.4785 0.3051 0.2187 0.1671 0.1329 0.1087 0.0907 0.0768 0.0658 0.0569 0.0497 0.0436 0.0384 0.0341 0.0303 0.0270 0.0242 0.0217 0.0195 0.0176 0.0159 0.0144 0.0130 0.0118 0.0107 0.0097 0.0089 0.0081 0.0073 0.0067 0.0061 0.0056 0.0051 0.0046 0.0030 0.0019 0.0012 0.0008 0.0005 0.0003 0.9174 1.7591 2.5313 3.2397 3.8897 4.4859 5.0330 5.5348 5.9952 6.4177 6.8052 7.1607 7.4869 7.7862 8.0607 8.3126 8.5436 8.7556 8.9501 9.1285 9.2922 9.4424 9.5802 9.7066 9.8226 9.9290 10.0266 10.1161 10.1983 10.2737 10.3428 10.4062 10.4644 10.5178 10.5668 10.7574 10.8812 10.9617 11 11 11 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 1.0900 0.5685 0.3951 0.3087 0.2571 0.2229 0.1987 0.1807 0.1668 0.1558 0.1469 0.1397 0.1336 0.1284 0.1241 0.1203 0.1170 0.1142 0.1117 0.1095 0.1076 0.1059 0.1044 0.1030 0.1018 0.1007 0.0997 0.0989 0.0981 0.0973 0.0967 0.0961 0.0956 0.0951 0.0946 0.0930 0.0919 0.0912 0.0908 0.0905 0.0903 Uniform GradientSeries Factor to find A given G A/G, i, n 0.0000 0.4785 0.9426 1.3925 1.8282 2.2498 2.6574 3.0512 3.4312 3.7978 4.1510 4.4910 4.8182 5.1326 5.4346 5.7245 6.0024 6.2687 6.5236 6.7674 7.0006 7.2232 7.4357 7.6384 7.8316 8.0156 8.1906 8.3571 8.5154 8.6657 8.8083 8.9436 9.0718 9.1933 9.3083 9.7957 10.1603 10.4295 10.6261 10.7683 10.8702 6 If the compound amount F, the annual payments A, and the number of years n are known, the interest rate i may be determined by equation or by interpolation in the interest tables. Example P77: Find i Calculate the interest rate of F = $441.10, A= $100, and n = 4 Using tables F=A( F/A, i, n ) $441.10 = $100( ( F/A, i, 4 )= $441.10 $100 F/A, i, 4 ) = 4.411 This value falls between the 6% and 7% table for n = 4. By linear interpolation, 4.375−4.411 i = 6 + (7˗6) 4.375−4.440 = 6.55% Using equations (1 + 𝑖)𝑛 − 1 F=A [ ] 𝑖 (1 + 𝑖)4 − 1 $441.1 = $100 [ ] 𝑖 Using solver or programmable calculator to find i i = 0.0655 or 6.55% Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 7 Example P78: find n Suppose that an equal annual cash flow of $100 each year exists, how long will it take to accumulate $2,000 if the interest rate is 8% compounded continuously? F=A[ F/A, r, n ] $2,000 = $100 [ [ F/A, 8, n ]= $2,000 $100 F/A, 8, n ] = 20 Interpolate between 12 and 13 years for 8% continuous compounding table 19.351−20.000 n = 12 + (13 ˗ 12) 19.351−21.963 = 12.25 yrs Using the interest formula requires solution for n in terms of F, A, and r as follows: 𝑒 𝑟𝑛 −1 F = A [ 𝑒 𝑟 −1 ] 𝐹 𝑒 𝑟𝑛 – 1 = 𝐴 (𝑒 𝑟 – 1) 𝐹 ln(𝑒 𝑟𝑛 ) =ln [𝐴 (𝑒 𝑟 − 1) + 1] 𝐹 rn = ln [ 𝐴 ( 𝑒 𝑟 – 1) + 1] 𝑛= 𝐹 𝐴 𝑙𝑛[ (𝑒 𝑟 −1)+1] 𝑟 For F = $2,000, A = $100, and r = 8% 𝑛= 𝑙𝑛[ $2,000 0.08 (𝑒 −1)+1] $100 0.08 = ln[20 (0.08330)+1] 0.08 = ln(2.666) 0.08 = 0.981 0.08 = 12.26 years. Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 8 F & P continuous compounding F = P er n 𝐹 ln ( ) = ln(𝑒 𝑟𝑛 ) = 𝑟 𝑛 𝑃 𝑛= 𝐹 ln(𝑃) 𝑟= 𝐹 ln(𝑃 ) 𝑟 𝑛 F & A discrete compounding (1 + i) n 1 F = A i 𝐹 ( ) 𝑖 = (1 + 𝑖)𝑛 − 1 𝐴 𝑙𝑛 ( 𝐹𝑖 + 1) = 𝑛 𝑙𝑛(1 + 𝑖) 𝐴 𝑛= 𝐹𝑖 𝑙𝑛 ( 𝐴 + 1) 𝑙𝑛(1 + 𝑖) P & A discrete compounding ( 1 i) n 1 P = A n i (1 i ) Pi (1 i ) n = (1 i) n 1 A Take (1 i) n as a common factor Pi (1 i) n 1 1 A 1 ln (1 i) n ln 1 Pi A 1 ln 1 Pi A n ln (1 i) Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 9 P & A continuous compounding 1 e rn P = A r e 1 P r e 1 = 1 e rn A P r 1 e 1 = e rn A P r ln 1 e 1 = ln e rn rn A P r ln 1 e 1 A n= r Example: P & A (continuous compounding) Find the present equivalent amount that would generate $4,000 withdrawals each year for 10 years if the interest rate earned is 7% compounded continuously, using table or equation: Solution P=A[ P=A[ P /A,r, n P/A,7,10 ] = $4,000 [ 6.9428 ] = $27,771 1−𝑒 −(𝑟)(𝑛) 𝑒 (𝑟) −1 1−𝑒 −(0.07)(10) ] = $4,000 [ 𝑒 0.07 −1 ] = $27,771 Example: Uniform Gradient Series (continuous compounding) Suppose there is a series of 5 payments beginning at $800 and decreasing by $100 each. If r = 12% compounded continuously, find the amount A equivalent to this series Solution A= F1 + G [ A/G, i, n A/G,12, 5 ] = $800 – $100 [ 1.7615 ] = $624 per yr Alternatively, we can convert “r” to “i” and use equation or tables for discrete compounding i = exp(0.12) –1 = 0.1275 (12.75% per year compounded annually) Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 10 Example Calculate the annual equivalent for the following cash flow over 5 years and 4% interest rate $100 0 1 2 3 4 5 Solution P/F, 4, 3 PW = $100 ( 0.889 ) = $88.9 A/P,4, 5 A/P,4, 5 AE = PW ( 0.2246 ) = $88.9 ( 0.2246 ) = $19.97 Another solution: F/P, 4, 2 FW = $100 ( 1.0816 ) = $108.16 A/F, 4, 5 A/F, 4, 5 AE = FW ( 0.1846 ) = $108.16 ( 0.1846 ) = $19.97 Example P73 An individual who won a 20 million jackpot in a national lottery is offered a choice of $12.5 million now or $2 million per year for the next 10 years. The individual will use 12% interest rate in his evaluation. The patterns of receipts are shown in Table 4.1. Table 4.1. Pattern of receipts for two alternatives End of year Receipts, Alternative A Receipts, Alternative B 0 $12,500,000 0 1 0 $2,000,000 2 0 $2,000,000 3 0 $2,000,000 4 0 $2,000,000 5 0 $2,000,000 6 0 $2,000,000 7 0 $2,000,000 8 0 $2,000,000 9 0 $2,000,000 10 0 $2,000,000 Total Receipts $12,500,000 $20,000,000 Cannot compare between money today and money in the future (i = 0) P/A,12,10 P= $2,000,000 ( 5.6502 ) = $11,300,000 So Alternative A is better than B Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 11 Example P82: Present worth for multiple cash flows Determine the present worth that is equivalent to the following cash flow for an interest rate of 12%: $300 end of year 6; $60 end of years 9, 10, 11 and 12; $210 end of year 13; $80 end of years 15, 16, and 17 (these payments are illustrated in Figure 4.1). Also, find the annual equivalent over 17 years. Partial present equivalent amounts End of year 0 $313.05 (P1=$151.98) + (P2=$73.61) + (P3=$48.13) + (P4=$39.33) 1 2 3 4 5 6 $300 P/F,12,6 $300( 0.5066 ) 7 8 P/F,12,8 $182.24( 0.4039 ) 9 $60 10 $60 11 $60 12 $60 13 $210 P/A,12,4 $60( 3.0374 ) P/F,12,13 $210( 0.2292 ) 14 15 $80 16 $80 17 $80 F/A,12,3 $80( 3.374 ) P/F,12,17 $269.92( 0.1457 ) To find the equal annual payment series equivalent to the above series of cash flows A/P ,i, n A=P( A/P,12,17 ) = $313.05 ( 0.1405 ) = $43.98 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 12 Example P84: Present worth for multiple cash flows Find the annual equivalent payments that are equivalent to the cash flow in figure 4.2 for an interest rate of 10%. Partial present equivalent amounts End of year 0 $612.05 (P1=$347.10)+ 1 $200 2 $200 3 0 60.09 4 $20 60.09 5 $40 60.09 6 $60 7 $80 60.09 8 $100 60.09 9 $120 60.09 10 $140 60.09 (P2=$264.95) P/A,10,2 $200( 1.7355 ) P/F,10,2 320( 0.8265 ) A/G,10,8 $20( 3.0045 ) 60.09 P/A,10,8 $60.09( 5.3349 ) To find the equal annual payment series equivalent to the above series of cash flows A=P( A/P ,i, n A/P,10,10 ) = $612.05 ( 0.1628 ) = $99.64 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 13 Example: Different interest rates The cash flow in Figure 4.4 represents three different interest rates applicable over the 5-year time span. Calculate (a) the equivalent amount P at the present, (b) future amount at year 5, and (c) the annual equivalent over 5 years for this set of conditions, $200 Solution: (a) A = 4, B = 1 $100 $100 3 4 $100 0.12 4 𝑖 = (1 + 4 ) − 1= 0.1255 i = 12.55% per year compounded annually 0 1 r1 = 12% compounded quarterly P/F,12.55,1 𝑃1 = $200 ( 0.8885 ) = $177.7 P/F,7,1 P/F,12.55, 2 P/A,10, 2 P/F,7,1 2 i2 = 7% compounded annually 𝑃2 = $100 ( 0.9346 ) ( 0.7894 ) = $73.77 5 years i3 = 10% compounded annually P P/F,12.55,2 𝑃3 = $100 ( 1.7355 ) ( 0.9346 ) ( 0.7894 ) = $128 P = 𝑃1 + 𝑃2 + 𝑃3 = $380 (b) F/P,12.55,2 F/P, 7, 1 F/P,10,2 F = $380 ( 1.267 ) ( 1.07 ) ( 1.210 ) = $623 (c) P/F,12.55,2 P/F,12.55,1 P = 𝐹1 ( 0.8885 )+ 𝐹2 ( 0.7894 ) P/F,7,1 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 1 2 3 4 5 years P/F,12.55,2 + 𝐹3 ( 0.9346 ) ( 0.7894 ) P/F,7,1 P/F,10,1 P/F,12.55,2 + 𝐹4 ( 0.9091 ) ( 0.9346 ) ( 0.7894 ) P/F,10,2 P/F,7,1 P/F,12.55,2 0 + 𝐹5 ( 0.8265 ) ( 0.9346 ) ( 0.7894 ) i1 = 12.55% compounded annually = $380 F1 = F2 = F3 = F4 = F5 = A A = 103 $/yr i2 = 7% compounded annually i3 = 10% compounded annually P Note: you can also use equations instead of tables ( ( P /F, i, n F/P , i, n 1 ) = ( 1+𝑖 )𝑛 ) = ( 1 + 𝑖 )𝑛 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 14 Example: Calculating the interest rate (i) for a cash flow 0 1 482 482 2 3 482 4 5 482 482 6 7 -250 -500 Set -1000 pw(i) = 0 Remember ( P /F, i, n ) 1 (1+𝑖)𝑛 then Pw(i) = – Let x = 1000 500 482 482 482 250 482 482 – + + + – + + =0 → 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 (1+𝑖) (1+𝑖) (1+𝑖) (1+𝑖) (1+𝑖) (1+𝑖) (1+𝑖) (1+𝑖)7 1 (1+i) (1) → (2) Pw(i) = –1000 – 500x + 482x2 + 482x3 + 482x4 – 250x5 + 482x6 + 482x7 = 0 Use solver or scientific calculator → x = 0.90909 1 x –1= 1 0.90909 – 1 = 0.1 or 10% Graphical solution of Eq (1) assume i = 0 → pw (0) = 660 assume i = 0.05 → pw (0.05) = 280 assume i = 0.1 → pw (0.1) = 0 assume i = 0.15 → pw (0.15) = -212 Draw Equation (1): i versus pw(i) x-axis intercept 0.1 (10%) is the answer pw(i), $ i= then into equation (2) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 -100 0 -200 -300 0.05 0.1 i Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 0.15 0.2 15 Example: page 90 – Semiannual payments If payment of $100 occurs semiannually at the end of each 6-months period for 3 years and the nominal interest rate is 12% compounded semiannually. Calculate the present worth P. Solution: Sine A is on semiannual basis it would be better to use everything on semiannual basis so n would be 6 semesters instead of 3 years and i has to be per semester compounded semiannually. 12% i = 2 𝑠𝑒𝑚𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑠 = 6% per semester compounded semiannually n = (3 years) (2 semesters per year) = 6 semesters P=A( P /A,i, n P/A,6,6 ) = $100 ( 4.9173 ) = $491.73 Example: Page 90 – Monthly payments Suppose that a person borrows $2,000 and is to repay this amount in 24 equal monthly installments of $99.80 over the next 2 years. Interest is compounded monthly on the unpaid balance of the loan. What are (a) the effective interest rate per month and (b) the effective annual rate of interest on the loan? Solution: Sine A is on monthly basis it would be better to use everything on monthly basis so n would be 24 months instead of 2 years A=P( A/P ,i, n ) $99.80 = $2,000 ( ( A/P ,i, 24 ) A/P ,i, 24 ) = 0.0499 A search of the interest tables reveals that the preceding factor value is found for i = 1.5 %, You can also use the equations i( 1 i) n A = P n (1 i) 1 i( 1 i) 24 $99.80 $2,000 → i = 0.015 24 (1 i) 1 so the interest rate is 1.5% per month compounded monthly. or ia 1 im 1 = 1 0.01512 1 = 19.56% per year compounded annually 12 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 16 Example: Page 91 – Quarterly payments Suppose a deposit of $100 is place in a bank account at the end of each year for the next 3 years. The bank pays interest at the rate of 6% compounded quarterly. How much will be accumulated in this account at the end of 3 years? Method 1: make all calculations on annual basis (corresponding to the annual deposits). r = 6% per year compounded quarterly The effective annual interest rate from Equation with A = 4, B = 1 𝑖𝑎 = (1 + F=A( 0.06 4 4 F/A, i, n ) − 1 = 0.0614 (or 6.14% per year compounded annually) F=? F/A, 6.14, 3 ) = $100 ( 3.188 ) = $318.80 0 1 2 $100 $100 3 years $100 Method 2: if you make the calculations based on the compounding periods, which are 3 months in length, then r = 6% per year compounded quarterly F=? 6% i = 4 𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑠 = 1.5 % per quarter compound quarterly 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 quarter The amount accumulated in the account is F/P,1.5, 8 F/P,1.5, 4 F = $100 ( 1.127 ) + $100 ( 1.061 ) + $100 = $318.80 $100 $100 $100 Although we obtained the same answer, the method is more difficult than the first one Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 17 Example: Page 92 Find the future amount at the end of 5 years that would result from end-of-month deposits of $1,000 made throughout the 5 years period. Assume that the interest earned on these deposits is 15% compounded continuously. Solution: Since the deposits are monthly, we make all calculations on monthly basis n = (12 months per year) ( 5 years) = 60 months 15% r = 12 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 = 1.25% per month compound continuously Using the continuous compounding interest tables F=A[ F/A, r, n F/A,1.25, 60 ] = $1000 [ 88.8027 ] = $88,802.70 Using algebraic expression: 𝑒 𝑟𝑛 −1 𝐹 = 𝐴 [ 𝑒 𝑟 −1 ]= $1,000 [ 𝑒 (0.0125)(60) −1 𝑒 0.0125 −1 ] = $88,650 Almost the same answer, with equation being more accurate Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 18 Example: Page 92 Suppose that $10,000 is placed into an account where the interest rate is 8% compounded continuously. What is the size of equal annual withdrawals that can be made over the next 5 years so that the account balance will equal zero after the last withdrawal? Solution: Since A is annual, we make all calculations on annual basis r A/P,r, n 1 Continuous compounding A = P e - rn ] = P[ 1 e Using continuous compounding tables A/P,8, 5 A = $10,000 [ 0.2526 ] = $2,526 We can also use equations for continuous compounding er -1 e 0.08 - 1 A = P = $10,000 $2,526 rn 0.08( 5) 1 e 1 e Discrete compounding A = P i( 1 ni) A/P,i, n = P ( ) (1 i) 1 n 𝑖𝑎 = 𝑒 𝑟 – 1 = 𝑒 0.08 – 1 = 0.0833 (or 8.33% per year compound annually) Using discrete compounding tables A/P,8.33,5 A = $10,000 ( 0.2526 ) =$2,526 We can also use equations for discrete compounding i( 1 i) n 0.0833(1 0.0833)5 A = P = $10,000 $2,526 n 5 (1 i) 1 (1 0.0833) 1 Although there are four solutions, the best way would be to use continuous compounding tables, then continuous compounding equations. It is not advisable to convert to discrete compounding, as that will most likely result in an interest rate that are not a whole number requiring interpolation between tables, and if you use equations discrete compounding then why not use the equations for continuous compounding and save yourself the extra step of converting from continuous to discrete? Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 19 Example: Page 93 Suppose that the preceding example is modified so that the equal withdrawals are to be made quarterly over the 5-year time span. Solution: With quarterly payments, we make all calculations on quarterly basis n = (4 quarters per year) (5 years) = 20 quarters. Using continuous compounding 8% r = 4 𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 = 2% per quarter compounded continuously Using equations er - 1 e0.02 - 1 A = P = P 1 e (0.02)( 20) = $613 rn 1 e Using tables A/P ,r, n A = P[ A/P,2, 20 ] = $10,000 [ 0.0613 ] = $613 Using discrete compounding i = 𝑒 𝑟 – 1 = 𝑒 0.02 – 1 = 2.02% per quarter compounded quarterly Using equations i( 1 i) n 0.0202(1 0.0202)20 A = P = $2,000 (1 0.0202) 20 1 n (1 i) 1 = $613 Using tables A/P,i, n A = P( A/P,2.02, 20 ) = $10,000 ( 0.0613 ) = $613 Using discrete compounding tables requires interpolation between the 2% table and 3% table to obtain the A/P factor, which is a cumbersome procedure, so it is easier to use continuous compounding tables or equation and not convert to discrete. Also notice that if you divide A from the previous example (annual) = $2,526 / 4 = $631.50 which does not equal the A in this example (quarterly) and vice versa. Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 20 Example: Page 94 – Compounding less frequent than payments. If the interest rate is 12% per year compounded quarterly, calculate the future worth for the following cash flow 250 100 100 100 0 4 1 2 5 6 3 11 7 100 100 100 8 9 10 Months 12 100 -$400 Method 1: (better) Solve on monthly basis (corresponding to the monthly cash flows). Convert 12% per year compounded quarterly to per % per year compounded annually A=4,B=1 i = (1 + 0.12 4 4 ) = 0.125509 then convert from % year compound Annually to % per month compounded monthly im 1 ia 1 / 12 1 = 1 0.1255091 / 12 1 = 0.0099 F = - 400 (1.0099)12 + 100 (1.0099)11 + 100 (1.0099)10 + 100 (1.0099)9 - 100(1.0099)8 - 100(1.0099)7 - 100(1.0099)6 +250 (1.0099)4 – 100 (1.0099)1 = - 450.19 + 111.45 + 110.353 + 109.27 – 108.2 -107.14 - 106.09 + 260 – 100.99 = - 281.496 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 21 300 0 250 2 1 4 Quarters 3 100 300 -$400 Method 2: (not recommended) Solve on quarterly basis. Convert 12% per year compounded quarterly to per % per quarter compounded quarterly 12% 4 = 3% per quarter compounded quarterly, then convert payments to coincide with end of each quarterly period because monthly deposits do not earn monthly interest but rather quarterly. F = - 400 (1.03)4 + 300 (1.03)3 - 300(1.03)2 +250 (1.03)1 – 100 = - 450.2 + 327.82 – 318.27 + 257.5 100 = -283.15 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 22 Treasury Bonds Either government or financial institutions can issue bonds. Government (municipal) bonds are tax-free Corporate bonds incur taxes on dividends ()االرباح Terms: Interest Rate, Issue Date, and Maturity Date Face Value Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 23 Example: Page 94: BONDS Suppose that an individual can purchase (for $900) a $1,000 municipal bond that pays every 6 months 6% tax-free interest semiannually (per year compounded semiannually). If the bond will mature to its face value in 7 years, what will the equivalent rate of interest be in semester compounded semiannually and per year compounded annually? (In financial terms, what is the bond’s “yield to maturity”)? r = 6% per year compounded semiannually i = 3% per semester compounded semiannually A = 0.03 ($1000) = $30 every six months $1000 The cash flow diagram therefore will be, $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 semesters $900 P /F, i, 14 P /A,i, 14 PW (i) = - $900 + $30 ( ) + $1,000 ( )=0 Solving gives i = 3.94% per semester compounded semiannually To convert to annual using equation, the effective annual interest rate (or yield to maturity) for this bond is ia 1 is 1 = ia 1 0.0394 1 = 0.08035 (or 8.035% per year compounded annually) 2 2 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 24 LOANS Example: Page 97: Actual interest charged on a loan Suppose that an individual wishes to purchase a home appliance for $300. The salesperson indicates that the interest rate will be 20% added on, and the payments can be over one year. The total amount owed = $300 + 0.20 ($300) = $360. With payment over 12 months, the monthly payment (A) = $360/12 = $30. $300 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 months $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $30 The actual or effective interest rate for the loan is calculated by finding the value for i that sets the receipts equal to the disbursements, using the following equation: P=A( P /A,i, n ) $300 = $30 ( ( P /A,i, 12 P /A,i, 12 ) ) = 10 By interpolation from the tables of 2 and 3%, im = 2.9% per month compounded monthly Using algebraic equation ( 1+𝑖)12 −1 $300 = $30 [𝑖 ( 1+𝑖 )12 ) ] im = 2.9 % per month compounded monthly. The annual interest rate is ia = ( 1+0.029 )12 - 1 = 0.409 (or 40.9% per year compounded annually) The actual interest rate is more than 40% because payments were made every month not at the end of the year. Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 25 Real Example: Actual interest rate on a bank loan Note that is example shows how some local banks calculate the interest rate; do not use this in your HW or Exam. An individual wants a loan of 10,000 KD from a bank. The banker maintains they will charge a simple interest rate of 7% annually and the 10,000 will have to be paid in equal monthly instalments over a period of 5 years. The interest amount will be deducted in advance so the borrower will actually receive less than 10,000 KD. Calculate (a) the amount of monthly installments over five year’s period and (b) the actual annual interest rate charged by the bank? Solution: The interest rate over 5 years = 0.07 (%/year) 5 (years) = 0.35 Interest amount = 0.35 x 10,000 KD = 3,500 KD The interest is taken in advance and the actual cash received = 10,000 - 3,500 = 6,500 KD n = 12 (months) 5 (years) = 60 months 10,000 𝐾𝐷 The monthly installments (A) = 60 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ𝑠 = 166.667 KD/month P=A( P /A,i, 60 166.67 166.67 ) 1 6,500 KD = 166.667 KD ( P /A,i, 60 2 3 4 5 6 60 ) Cash Flow Diagram 6,500 Using tables ( P /A,i, 60 Using equations P /A,i, 60 ) = 39.0 6,500 = 166.67 ( 1% i 2% ) 60 6500 1 i 1 166.67 i 1 i 60 44.9550 39.0 34.7609 By interpolation By solver or trial & error: im = 1.58417 % per month compounded monthly im = 1.584209 % per month compounded monthly. From monthly to annual ia 1 im 1 12 ia 1 0.0158417 1= 0.20757 (or 20.757% per year compounded annually) 12 The actual interest rate is more than 20% because the interest is paid in advance, instead of over 5 years. Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 26 Real Example: Loan on a house Given A = 397 , P = 48,892 , n = 186 months (approx.. 15.5 years), find i Solution P=A( P /A,i, n ) 48,892 KD = 397 KD ( P /A,i, 186 ) Using equations (tables are out of range) 1 i 186 1 48,892 123.15 186 397 i 1 i By solver or trial & error: im = 0.4768 % per month compounded monthly. From monthly to annual ia 1 im 1 12 ia 1 0.004768 1 = 0.05874 (or 5.874% per year compounded annually) → Legal 12 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 27 Example: Page 98: Remaining balance on a loan Suppose that $10,000 is borrowed with the understanding that it will be repaid in equal quarterly payments over five years at an interest rate of 16% per year compounded quarterly. (a) What is the quarterly payment A? (b) Immediately after the 13th payment is made, the borrower wishes to pay off the remaining balance, U13, so that the obligation will terminate. How much is the unpaid balance? Solution: Since payments are quarterly then we use quarterly period for all calculations iq = 16% 4 = 4% per quarter compounded quarterly $10,000 The quarterly payments will be A/P,4, 20 A = $10,000 ( 0.0736 ) = $736 The remaining balance at the end of Q13 0 F/P, 4,13 1 2 3 4 13 quarters F/A, 4,13 U13 = $10,000 ( 1.665 ) - $736 ( 16.627 ) = $4,413 The equivalent of the original amount loaned $736 $736 $736 $736 the equivalent of the amount paid U13 = ? EZ method: is to find the equivalent of the payments remaining at the time the remaining balance is to be paid, with only 7 payments remaining, P/A,4, 7 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 quarters U13 = $736 ( 6.0021 ) = $4,418 $736 $736 $736 $736 U13 = ? The second approach is simpler but not always possible since the future interest is not always known U13 = (7)($736) = $5,152 إذا ما يطيح الفوائد Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 28 Example: Page 99: Remaining balance on a loan (when interest rate changes over time) Suppose that an individual borrows $6,000 to be repaid in equal monthly payments of $100 with the remaining balance due at the end of 5 years. The interest rate is to be changed each year to conform to the market rate in effect. Assume that the market interest rate in the first year was 1.5% per month compounded monthly and that it is 1.0% per month compounded monthly in the second year. What is the remaining balance on this loan after the 19th payment? Solution: $6,000 1.5% per mo. comp. mo. 0 1 3 6 9 $100 1% per mo. comp. mo. 12 15 19 i% (unknown) 24 $100 months $100 U19 = ? We cannot use the EZ method since i after year 2 years (24 months) in unknown. The remaining balance on this loan, U19, is calculated as follows, Step 1: use F/P factor to move $6000 to month 12 with interest 1.5%, then use F/P again to move the result from month 12 to 19 (7 months) with interest 1%. F/P,1.5,12 F/P,1, 7 $6,000 ( 1.196 ) ( 1.072 ) = $7,692.67 Step 2: use F/A to move the first 12 payments (for months 1 to 12) A ($100) to the future at month 12, then use F/P to move the result from month 12 to 19 (7 months) with interest 1%. That takes care of the first 12 payments. F/A,1.5,12 $100 ( 13.041 ) = $1,304.10 F/P,1, 7 $1,304.10 ( 1.072 ) = $1,398 We still have 7 more payments (for months 13 to 19). Use F/A to move these 7 remaining payments to month 19 with interest 1%. F/A,1, 7 $100 ( 7.214 ) = $721.40 Step 3: Subtract the total of step 2 from step 1 as follows U19 = $7,692.67 – [$1,398 + $721.40] = $5,573.27 Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 29 Example: Working capital Suppose a $100,000 investment in a 5-year project requires an additional $20,000 in working capital. (a) $5,000 cash to cover maintenance and labor costs that may or may not materialize. (b) $8,000 accounts receivable expected to average over the life of the project. (c) $7,000 inventories to be carried throughout the project’s life. If all the other income and expenses are expected to provide a net income of $35,000 per year and the interest rate is 20%, What is the annual equivalent to this cash flow? Solution: $20,000 Working capital recovered at the end $35,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 $100,000 $20,000 A/P,20, 5 Working capital dispersed at the beginning A/F, 20, 5 AE = - $120,000 ( 0.3344 ) + $35,000 + $20,000 ( 0.1344 ) = -$2,440 per year. If you ignore the working capital, you will obtain a positive AE, which is incorrect. Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 30 Home Work Problems: (due one week from today) 1. How long will it take for a series of equal annual payments of $1,600 each year to accumulate to $100,000 at an interest rate of 20% compounded continuously? 2. What is the present equivalent value of the following future receipts? a. $1,000 5 years from now at 14% compounded semiannually. Answer: $508 b. $9,000 10 years from now at 8% compounded quarterly. c. $25,000 8 years from now at 9% compounded monthly. d. $105,000 12 years from now at 13% compounded weekly. 3. What single equivalent amount will accumulate from each of the following investments? a. $1,500 in 5 years at 12% compounded semiannually. Answer: $2,686 b. $5,000 in 9 years at 16% compounded quarterly. c. $1,500 in 13 years at 6% compounded monthly. d. $4,500 in 15 years at 13% compounded daily. 4. What series of equal payments are equivalent to the following present amounts? a. $13,000 in 6 years at 8% compounded quarterly with quarterly payments. Answer: $688 b. $20,000 in 2 years at 15% compounded monthly with monthly payments. c. $6,000 in 4 years at 10% compounded quarterly with semiannual payments. d. $10,000 in 50 months at 9% compounded monthly with monthly payments. e. $1,500 in 5 years at 13% compounded annually with quarterly payments. 5. What series of equal payments are equivalent to the following future amounts? a. $8,000 in 6 years at 16% compounded semiannually when payments are semiannual. Answer: $422 b. $4,000 in 12 years at 6% compounded quarterly when payments are annual. c. $25,000 in 10 years at 12% compounded monthly when payments are quarterly. d. $15,000 in 5 years at 8% compounded semiannually when payments are annual. e. $70,000 in 7 years at 20% compounded quarterly when payments are monthly. 6. What is the present value of the following series of prospective payments? a. $600 a month for 3 years at 13% compounded annually. b. $5,000 a year for 5 years at 16% compounded semiannually. c. $2,500 each year for 10 years at 8% compounded quarterly. d. $14,000 each quarter for 4 years at 12% compounded monthly. 7. What is the accumulated value of each of the following series of payments? $5,000 semiannually for 10 years at 6% compounded monthly. 8. Find the equal-annual-payment series that would be equivalent to the following increasing series of payments if the interest rate is 12% (a) compounded annually; (b) compounded continuously. Answer: b. $1,105 End of year Payments 1 $600 2 $800 3 $1,000 4 $1,200 5 $1,400 6 $1,600 7 $1,800 9. Find the present value equivalent to the following geometrically decreasing series of payments. A first-year base of $10,000 decreasing at 3% per year, to year 7 at an interest rate of 9% compounded continuously. Answer: $45,879 10. If compounding is quarterly, what effective annual interest rate and what nominal interest rate will make the following values of P = $1,000; F = $3,000; n = 6 years equivalent. Answer: 20.1% per year; 18.7% compounded quarterly Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University 31 11. If compounding is monthly, find the effective monthly interest rate, the effective annual interest rate, and the nominal interest rate that will make the following values of F and A equivalent for the values n shown. a. F = $5,000; A = $500 annual payments; n = 8 years. b. F= $16,500; A = $299 monthly payments; n = 4 years 12. A series of payments ($10,000, first year; $9,000, second year; $8,000 third year; $7,000, fourth year; and $6,000, fifth year) is equivalent to what present amount at 10% interest compounded annually; compounded continuously? Solve using the gradient factors and then by using only the single-payment present-worth factors. 13. A petroleum engineer estimates that the present production of 400,000 barrels of oil during this year from a group of 10 wells will decrease at the rate of 15% per year for years 2 through 10. Oil is estimated to be worth $25 per barrel if the interest rate is 10% compounded annually, what is the equivalent present amount of the prospective future receipts from the wells? 14. A city that was planning an addition to its water supply and distribution system contracted to supply water to a large industrial user for 10 years under the following conditions: The first 5 years of service were to be paid for in advance, and the last 5 years at a rate of $45,000 a year payable at the beginning of each year. Two years after the system is in operation the city finds itself in need of funds and desires that the company pay off the entire contract so that the city can avoid a bond issue. a. If the city uses 9% interest compounded annually in calculating a fair receipt on the contract, what amount can it expect? Answer: $147,328 b. If the company uses 20% interest compounded annually, how much is the difference between what the company would consider a fair value for the contract and what the city considers to be a fair value? Answer: $53,864 15. A young couple have decided to make advance plans for financing their 3-year-old son's college education. Money can be deposited at 7% compounded annually. What annual deposit on each birthday from the 4th to the 17th inclusive must be made to provide $16,000 on each birthday from the 18th to the 21st inclusive? 16. A bond is offered for sale for $1,120. Its face value is $1,000 and the interest is 11% payable annually. What yield to maturity will be received if the bond matures 10 years hence? Find the bond's current yield. Answer: 9.12%; 9.82% 17. To purchase a used automobile, $6,000 is borrowed immediately. The repayment schedule requires equal monthly payments of $264.72 to be made over the next 24 months. After the last payment is made, any remaining balance on the loan will be paid in a single lump sum. The effective annual rate of interest on this loan is 19.56% based on monthly compounding. Find the nominal interest rate and the lump sum paid at the end of the loan. Engineering Economy – © 2016 Dr. Tareq Albahri – Kuwait University
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