The Decline of the Raven, Corvus corax, in Relation to Afforestation in Southern Scotland and Northern England Author(s): M. Marquiss, I. Newton, D. A. Ratcliffe Reviewed work(s): Source: Journal of Applied Ecology, Vol. 15, No. 1 (Apr., 1978), pp. 129-144 Published by: British Ecological Society Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2402925 . Accessed: 24/01/2012 22:15 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. British Ecological Society is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Journal of Applied Ecology. http://www.jstor.org JournalofAppliedEcology(1978), 15, 129-144 THE DECLINE OF THE RAVEN, CORVUS CORAX, IN RELATION TO AFFORESTATION IN SOUTHERN SCOTLAND AND NORTHERN ENGLAND BY M. MARQUISS*, I. NEWTON* * AND D. A. RATCLIFFEt Institute of Terrestrial Ecology,12 Hope Terrace,Morningside, Edinburgh EH9 2AS and t NatureConservancy Council,19 BelgraveSquare,LondonSWI SUMMARY (1) The breedingraven population of southernScotland and Northumberlandwas inbothnumbersand distribution. formerly (pre-1960)characterized byyear-to-year stability The 123 knownpairsoccupiedtraditionalnest-sites on cliffsor trees.Breedingdensitywas correlatedwithaltitude(greateston highground)and land productivity (greateron basepoorgranitethanon sedimentary rocks).Thiswas probablylinkedwitha greateravailability of sheepcarrionon highgroundand base-poorground. (2) The breedingpopulationhas beendecliningsincethe1960s,and in 1974-5only55% of formerregularnestingareas werestilloccupied,withbreedingpairsreducedto 44%. This was mainlyassociatedwiththeafforestation offormersheepwalk.The argumentis based on a geographicalparallel(greatestdeclinein areaswithmostafforestation), and on a temporal parallel(desertionofparticularnestingareas coincidentwithplantingin thearea surroundingthenestsites). (3) The level of afforestation at whichravens desertedvaried betweennestingareas. Probablyit dependedon theoverallqualityoftheoriginalhabitat,and thealternative food sourcesavailable: good habitatcould take moreafforestation beforeit became untenable thancould poor habitat. (4) Not all desertionofnestingareas could be attributed to afforestation: fourravenpairs weredispossessedfromcliffnest-sites bygoldeneagleswhichrecolonizedsouthernScotland overtheperiodconsidered,and at leastfiveotherpairsbyrockclimbers.Sheepmanagement also improvedovertheyears,and mayhave contributed to thedesertionof some marginal nestingareas,byleadingto a reductionin theamountofcarrionavailable.Organo-chlorine compoundsand persecutionare unlikelyto have beeninvolvedin thedecline. therewas no afforestation, (5) In theLake District,a comparablehillarea withpractically no declinein thenumbersof breedingravensoverthesame period. (6) Among the pairs studiedin 1974-6, those occupyingthe most heavilyafforested groundshowedmorenon-breeding, and producedlater,smallerbroods thandid thoseon lessafforested ground.Thosenestingareas stilloccupiedand wheremorethan25% offormer sheepwalkwithin5 kmhad beenafforested, producedlaterand smallerbroodsthantheydid beforeafforestation. (7) To judge frompellets,sheepcarrionformeda majorpartofthediet,buta greatvariety of otherfoodsavailable fromgrasslandwas also eaten.The percentagefrequency of sheep remainsin pelletsdeclinedsignificantly withincreasingafforestation in thearea aroundthe nest-sites. (8) The predictionis made of a furtherdeclinein raven breedingnumbersif blanket afforestation continuesto expandoverformerupland sheepwalk. INTRODUCTION Ravens (Corvuscorax) have longbeen associatedwiththeuplandsof southernScotland and northernEngland.They are year-roundresidents,occupyingtraditionalterritories ? 1978BlackwellScientificPublications 0021-8901/78/0400-0129$02.00 129 130 Declineof theraveninBritain based on particularcliffsor treeswhichprovidenest-sites.Theirbreedingpopulations fromyearto year(Ratcliffe1962),but wereformerly stablein numbersand distribution have beendecliningin theareas concerned,mostlysince1960.The declinecoincidedwith in of formersheepwalk,and withimprovements the steadilyincreasingafforestation sheep husbandry.Sheep carcases are an importantsource of food forravensin these areas, as are manyothersmall animalsassociatedwithsheepwalk(Ratcliffe1962). In 1974-6,therefore, an attemptwas made to (a) documenttheextentofdeclinein breeding and decliningsheepstocks. ravens,and (b) assess itsconnectionwithafforestation STUDY AREAS be regardedas a singleupland The Cheviotsand theSouthernUplandsmayconveniently and southernScotland.The region Northumberland regionoccupyingmuchofnorthern is divisibleintoseveralsectors,in threeof whichindividualsummitsexceed 800 m: the Merrick(845 m)-Corserine rangesof Galloway in the west; the Broad Law (841 m) Hills in thecentre;and the -White Comb (822 m) groupsof the Moffat-Tweedsmuir withlarge Cheviot(816 m) in theeast. The geologyis varied,but mainlysedimentary, greywackesand shales in the SouthernUplands, and of areas of Ordovician-Silurian Carboniferousgritstoneand shales in the Cheviots.There are localized igneouscomplexes,mainlygranitesin Galloway and andesitein Cheviot.Excepton thegraniteand of theseuplandshas for base-rich,and thegood fertility gritstone, thesoilsare relatively centuriessustainedlarge sheep populations.Grouse moors underheatherhave been maintainedat severalplaces,but theseusuallycarrysome sheepas well. Aftercenturiesunder sheep, theseuplands presentedan essentiallyopen grassyor heatherylandscape,theearliernativeforestshavingbeen almost totallydestroyed.In withoutseeinga singletreeor bush; in some places one can stillwalk severalkilometres oftreesalongstreams,whilein othersscatteredbushesoccuron somehillsidesand fringes yetotherplaces are smallshelterclumpsat variousstagesof growthor decay.Crags are in thewesternGallowayarea, sparserin thecentralMoffat-Tweedsmuir locallyplentiful area, and fewin theeasternCheviotarea. Ravensnestforthemostparton cragsbutalso in isolatedtrees,shelterclumpsor on theedgesof matureforest. The ForestryCommissionplantedsomeofitsearliestforestsin thestudyarea. At first, onlysmallareas wereinvolved,but after1945,therewas an enormousexpansionin the concernswere of unenclosedhillland. After1960 severalprivateforestry afforestation establishedwhichalso boughtand plantedmostsheepfarmswhichcameontothemarket. The principaltreesplantedwereall coniferous,mainlynon-nativespecies. entailstheremovalof sheepstocks,and thefencingof theforestmargin Afforestation fromgroundstillcarrying sheep.The groundis ploughedand thetreeseedlingsplantedin absence the upturnedsod. In the of sheep,the originalshort-cropped vegetationsoon in thefauna This in to a litter. turn leads changes becomesluxuriantand develops thick After about 10 in ravens and the and itsaccessibility to otherpredators. years treecanopy is and the forest young developsintoa dense closes, thegroundvegetation shaded out, remains on herbaceous roadsides and ridesand chiefly vegetation impenetrable thicket; are or sterile for on areas which too wet,too high too trees. METHODS Ravens weremuchsoughtafterby earlynaturalistsand egg collectors,so manyof the M. MARQUISS et al. 131 traditionalnestingareas of thesebirdshave been knownfordecades. A nestingarea is heredefinedas thearea containingall thenestsitesknownto have been associatedwith particularterritories, thatis,withparticularpairsor theirsuccessors.Makinguse ofearly information, togetherwithotherlocal knowledgeand searchingotherpossiblenestsites systematically, D.A.R. covered much of the studyarea several timesin the period 1945-70. Ravens are conspicuousbirds;theirbulkynestsare builtin easily-recognized sitesand oftenlastforyears.In general,thepairsare also regularly distributed (Ratcliffe 1962),so byplottingthepositionsofknownpairson maps,gaps becameapparentwhich werethencheckedforextrapairs.Over theyears,a knowledgeof theirdistribution was builtup, and it was unlikelythat,by 1970,any regularlyused siteswereunknownto us exceptperhapsfora fewtreenests,away fromotherbreedingareas. All placeswherebreedinghad previouslybeenrecordedwerevisitedat leasttwiceeach season in 1974 and 1975,and detailswerenotedof presenceand breedingperformance. Pelletswerecollectedfromaroundnestand roostsitesand analysedto givean indication ofdiet.Each pelletwas brokenup byhandand all partswereseparatedand identified. The hair and featherremainswereidentified microscopically usingthe textof Day (1965), supplemented bylocal reference material.In 1976,areas occupiedin the2 previousyears were again visitedto obtain more data on breedingperformanceand to collectmore pellets. The patternof afforestation was examinedfromstandard1:63360OrdnanceSurvey maps,whichwereupdatedto showall theland undertrees,and thedates thatparticular areaswereplanted.It was thenpossibleto (a) investigate theuse ofnestingareas,breeding performance and food of ravensin relationto theextentof local afforestation; and (b) comparetheyearsthatravenswereknowntohavedesertedparticularareaswiththeyears of planting. RESULTS Formernumbers and distribution In thepast, 123 ravennestingareas wererecordedin thestudyarea, withthelowest densityin theeasternCheviothillsand thehighestin thewesternGallowayhills.We used thedistanceto nearestneighbouras an indexof spacingbetweennestingareas. For pairs whichapparentlyalternatedbetweentwo or morenest-sites, we took thecentralpoint betweenthesesitesfromwhichto measurethe distanceto the nest-site(s)in the next nestingarea. Two main trendswereapparent.First,nearestneighbourdistanceswere negatively correlatedwithaltitude(Fig. 1); nestingareaswereclosertogether on highhills and further apart on low hillsand moorland.Secondly,forany givenaltitude,nesting in theGallowayand Moniaivehillsthanin theSouthAyrshire areas wereclosertogether hills(Fig. 1). Theywereevenfurther or theMoffat-Tweedsmuir apartin theLeadhillsand further stillin Northumberland. Formerstability ofpopulationand recentdecline From 1946 onwards,thirty-six ravennestingareas in Galloway wereexaminedfrewereused everyyearuntildesertion,and eightwereused quently.Of these,twenty-eight onlyin 1, 2 or 3 years.The twenty-eight regularlyused areas wereexaminedin a totalof 245 nestingarea-years(between1946and thefinalyearofuse foreach nestingarea). The nestin anyone nestingarea-yearwas notfoundon onlyfiveoccasions.On thisbasis,by Declineof theraveninBritain 132 12 I(a) (b) 8- 0 0.0 0- 0-O~~~~~~~~~~~ * ~~~00 pp (C) o 4a3 . % (d) 8 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~0 a) >' 12''- ' | 4-4 | _-O 0 a)S C 12 (f) (e) *4 0~~~~~~~~~ 6 4-. 0'~~~~~~~~~~~Attd .. 0 0 0 .I . 0 4060 I (m)I 0~~~~~~~ 0O 00 a..sS1. Altiude FIG. 1. Nearest-neighbour distancesbetweennestingareas plottedin relationto altitudeforsix partsof thestudyarea. Each nestingarea heldone ravenpair. Some nestingareas werecloserto one anotherthanto anyothernestingarea, so thesamenearest-neighbour distanceheldforboth. cannottherefore be consideredstatistically and in thefigure The twomeasurements independent, thesepointsare connectedbylines.(a) S. Ayrshire, (b) Galloway,(c) Moniaive,(d) Leadhills,(e) Northumberland, (f) Moffatand Tweedsmuir. - of theregularlynesting located 98wr examiningall knownnestingareas we shouldhave ravenpairsin thefirstyear,and all of themin the2 yearsof thesurvey. For the purposesof our survey,it was essentialto separate those areas thatwere regularlyused in thepast fromthosethatwereonlyoccasionallyused. By questioning local observers,shepherdsand gamekeepers, itwas establishedthatat leasteighty-one of the 123 nestingareas werein regularuse. The restwereeitherused sporadically(twentyfour)or wereof uncertainstatus(eighteen). In 1974 and 1975,forty-four of theformerregularareas, one of theoccasional areas and threeofthosewhosepastuse was uncertainwerestilloccupied.The situationwas the sameinbothyearsand no nestingarea was desertedbetweenthefirst yearand thesecond. Thus at least45% of theformerravennestingareas wereno longeroccupiedin 1974-5. et al. M. MARQUISS 133 The situationvariedbetweenregions,however,witha 750 declinein theeasternCheviot Hills, and a 42% declinein the area, a 38% declinein thecentralTweedsmuir-Moffat thatsomeravensmerelyshiftedto breed westernGallowayHills.Therewas no possibility elsewherein the studycounties,with no overall decline in numbers.As some pairs disappearedhowever,otherssometimesextendedtheirrange,and in one instancetwo used by two pairsbecame alternativenest-sitesof thesame pair; i.e. two cliffsformerly groupsof ravens nestingareas became one. Nor during1974-5 wereany non-breeding in but occurred as large former years, were in study area even birds rare the seen. Such flocksin otherpartsof Britain(Ratcliffe1962) and stilldo so. Therelationship betweenthepopulationdeclineand afforestation Most ravenpairswereseen within3 km of knownnestsites,but a fewwereseen on sheepwalkup to 5 kmaway,a distancegreaterthanhalftheaveragedistancebetweenthe have had its shouldtherefore nestsitesof adjacentpairsin thesame area. Afforestation but mightalso greatesteffectson ravenswhereit occurredwithin3 kmof thenest-sites, calculatedthe percentageof former have had some effectat up to 5 km. We therefore ofthenestsites (up to 1975)within3 kmand 5 kmrespectively sheepwalknow afforested in everynestingarea. within3 km Onlysixteennestingareas(13%) out ofthetotalof 123had no afforestation and onlyone (088%) had nonewithin5 km. In general,forformerregularlyused nesting the less likelythe area was still to be areas the greaterthe amount of afforestation, occupied (Fig. 2). As predicted,this tendencywas strongerusing the figuresfor afforestation within3 km (P<0 001) thanwithin5 km (P=0 05). Some nestingareas (in themostextremeinstance continuedto be occupied despiteextensiveafforestation within 5 km,had beenplanted),and of 3 km, and sheepwalk within the former 63% 76% one totallyunafforested nestingarea had been deserted. The only formerirregularlyused nestingarea that was occupied in 1974-5 was Similarly,of theareas whose formerstatuswas unknown,thethreeoccuunafforested. ground(all less than20%). Nineteenof littleafforested pied in 1974-5wereon relatively by the thirty-six unoccupiednestingareas in thesetwo categorieshad been afforested morethan20% within5 km.The probabilitythatoccupancyoftheseareas was unrelated to afforestation was low (P= 0066, Fisher'sExact Test,in Siegel 1956). For twenty-two nestingareas,itwas knownexactlyin whichyearoccupationceased. (These weremostlyin thelast 10 years,thoughmanyotherareas fellintodisusein the previous10 years,withno recordof theprecisedate.) Aroundsomenestingareas,sheep wereremovedtheyearbeforeplantingand aroundothersduringtheyearofplanting.For before,immediately all exceptone nestingarea, theyearof desertionwas immediately after,or duringa yearoftreeplantingwithin3 kmofthenestsite(s)(Fig. 3). Aroundsome of these nestingareas treeplantingalso occurredlong beforeand aftercessation of occupancy,buttheprobabilityofthecoincidenceofthetwoeventsbychancealone is low (P=0 002). inrelationto afforestation Breedingperformance Non-breeding At eightnestingareas,ravenpairswerepresentbutdid notnestin at leastone of the3 figuresfortheseareas werecomparedwiththoseof yearsof survey.The afforestation pairswereon areas that eighteenareas wherepairsbredin all 3 years.The non-breeding 134 Declineof theraveninBritain .- e U)o4 Co0 o C5 0 z 8- 0-r 20 40 O-_-- A 60 _ - % sheepwalk 100 afforested 80 . 4 within3km ''4 C z FIG. 2. Occupationofdifferent nestingareas inrelationto extentofafforestation within3 kmand 5 km of thenest-sites. Year 1945 M - A B CY 1950 1965 1970 17 wihn5k 0 _ H 1960 CL C F G 1955 _ - -_ __ FIG.3. Thecdesetion ofdforerregula areas in relation toexntoafforestationdae nesting -0within - 3 kman I ~~~~~~~~~~~ shwyaso plnig an afildcrlsso steltyar hnte mof the nest-sites.Lie A 0__ B U V FG3.Te SR dsrino oftensFie.Lnsso G~~~~nsigae VU omrrglrnsigaesi er fpatnan a tl -il nesting area w _ nw eaint foetto ildcrlssostels ob cuid ae T ihn3k erwe h 135 M. MARQUISS et al. (Fig. 4). The difference was moremarkedusing wereon averagemoreheavilyafforested thefiguresforafforestation within5 km thanthosewithin3 km.The eightnestingareas were once regularlyoccupied by breedingravens,so that inclusionof thesewith the thirty-seven desertionsincreasesthedeclinein breedingpopulationofregularpairsfrom 450 to 56%. Layingdate,clutchsize and broodsize The date on whichthefirsteggofa clutchwas laid was calculatedbyback-datingfrom partiallylaid clutchesand partiallyhatchedbroods(incubationperiodassumedconstant at 21 days and a 1 day intervalbetweenthelayingofeggs).The approximatelayingdate (to thenearestweek)forsomeclutcheswas calculatedfromtheages of smallyoung(less clutchesvariedfrom19Februaryto thana weekold). Thus thedateoffirst eggindifferent 23 March,withmostin thefirstweek of March. Clutchsize variedfromfourto seven (overallaverage5 1), and fledgedbrood size fromzero to six (overallaverage2 7). The onlybroodsofnilincludedin thiscalculationwerethosewhichstartedwitheggsand were not destroyedby human agency(see later),i.e. thosewherefailurewas attributableto 'natural'causes. Laying date was inverselycorrelatedwith clutch size using exact laying dates (r= -0 70; d.f.= 10; 0 02>P>0 01) and using dates estimatedto the nearestweek (r= -0 56; d.f.= 15; 0 02 > P > 0 01). The earliestlaid clutcheswerethelargest. within5 kmbutless Layingdatewas strongly correlatedwiththeextentofafforestation correlatedwiththeextentof so within3 km (Table 1). Clutchsize was not significantly afforestation, evenwhendata fromall threeyearsweregrouped.Brood sizewas inversely in 1974 and 1976 but not in 1975. All six correlatedwiththe extentof afforestation correlation coefficients forbroodsizewerenegative,and inall 3 yearsthecorrelationwith a) 4z Z 0 Oc0, 0 *-_ 20 s 40 S | 60 s s 80 ffi % sheepwalk 100 afforested Iwithin 3 km ._ FIG. 4. Incidenceof non-breeding in different occupiednestingareas in relationto theextentof afforestation within3 km(P= 0082) and 5 km(P=0 0017)of thenestsites. Declineof theraveninBritain 136 within5 kmwas betterthanthatwithin3 km.Summarizing, afforestation ravensshowed more non-breedingand produced later, smallerbroods in areas that were heavily afforested thanin areas lightlyafforested. TABLE 1.Correlation coefficients andthe ('r' values)between breeding performance extent ofafforestation data Percentageafforestation Within5 km Within3 km data Breedingperformance (n) Layingdates 1975 1976 Clutchsizes 1975 1974,5 and 6 (combined) -0 414 -0 129 -0 354 -0 184 12 26 Brood sizes 1974 1975 1976 -0 330 -0 295 -0714**** -0.482*** -0 300 -0772**** 23 21 18 0 254 0.512* 0 495** 0 602** 19 12 * 0 10> P>0 05, ** 005> P>0 02, *** 0 02> P>0 01, **** 0-001> P. For somenestingareas therewereenoughdata to comparethemeanlayingdates (to thenearestweek)and broodsizes,beforeand aftersomeofthesheepwalkwithin5 kmwas planted(Fig. 5). At thosesiteswherelessthan25% offormersheepwalkwas plantedthere was no significant difference in mean layingdate (t=1 03; d.f.= 7; P> 0 10) or mean brood size (t = 089; d.f.= 8; P> 0 10) betweenthe two periods.At thosenestingareas whereover25% of theformersheepwalkwas planted,theravenslaid eggslater(t= 4 51; d.f.=6; 0005 > P> 0 001, one-tailedtest)and rearedsmallerbroods (t= 1b98;d.f.=7; 0-05> P> 0 025, one-tailedtest)thanformerly. Otherfactorspossiblyaffecting ravennumbers Eagles Golden eagles (Aquila chrysaetos)wereprobablyeliminatedfromthe studyarea by humanpersecution, butfrom1945wereallowedto recolonize.The appearanceofthefirst 0 10 20 30 40 sheepwalk within 5kmafforested %/ of former 50 60 FIG. 5.The meanlayingdatesand broodsizes(youngat least 18 daysold) before(o) and after(u) afforestation aroundparticularnestingareas. M. MARQUISS et al. 137 pair of eagles in thisyear was at once followedby non-breedingof the ravenswhich formerly used thesamecliffs.The arrivalofa secondeaglepairin 1952coincidedwiththe closelyfollowedbynon-breeding ofanotherravenpairin thesamevicinity, non-breeding of a thirdravenpair at a cliffabout 1.5 km fromtheeagles' nestingcliff.Ravens have excludedfromtheanalysis neverbredat thesenestingareas sincethenand weretherefore afforestation. with occupancy comparing A thirdeagle pair settledin about 1960,displacinga fourthravenpair,buttheseeagles movedto anothersite5 kmawayin 1970.The ravensdidnotreturnand thesiteis included in the above-mentionedanalysis. No other eagles were presentin 1974-5 at sites previouslyoccupiedby ravens,and so eagles alone werenot responsiblefortheoverall declinein ravens. Rock-climbers ravensnested)are now regularlyused by rock climbers. Five cliffs(whereformerly in breedingsites.Ravenshave been seenfrequently regular Threewereknownto be once areas nesting these None of no has occurred. nesting cliffs but recentyearsat twoofthese withafforestation. was includedin theanalysesof occupancyand breedingperformance None of themwas afforested by morethan30%. Egg robbingandpersecution and tworepeatclutchesofeggswereknownto havebeentakenbyegg-collecFour first negligiblein 1974-6compared torsin the3 yearsof thestudy.Egg robbingwas therefore clutchesinthe (about 42% offirst withthelargescalerobbingthatoccurredintothe'fifties extensiveunpublisheddata of D.A.R.). In formeryearsravenswerepersecutedat times by shepherdsand almostalways by gamekeepers,who shot or poisoned the adults or destroyedthenestcontents,butgamekeepersoperatedoveronlysmallpartsof thestudy destructionof adults ceased. In thepresent area. When land was boughtforforestry, land, and one case of nest surveythereweretwo cases of poisoningon non-afforested destruction. Otherhumandisturbance was once byhumandisturbance.The cliffnest-site One othernestingarea was affected regularlyused,but not sincethebuildingof a smallreservoirand pumpinghouse on the riverbelow. Pollutants Persistent pesticideshave been implicatedin thedeclineof some raptorpopulations, from (Ratcliffe1970). In 1975eggswere-taken partlythroughcausingegg-shellthinning six raven nestsin the studyarea for chemicalanalysis.The levels of organochlorine (Newton & compoundswere verysmall (Table 2) and, by analogy withbirds-of-prey or Bogan 1974; Peakall 1976), would have had no influenceon breedingperformance occurred.This agreed with earlierdata on population. No significantshell-thinning levelsin foureggs takenfromthe SouthernUplands in the 1960s,and organochlorine with the lack of thinningin 205 shells taken fromvarious parts of Britainafterthe of DDT (Ratcliffe1970). introduction 138 Declineof theraveninBritain 2. Organochlorinelevels in undevelopedeggs fromsix raven nestsin the SouthernUplands, 1975.Resultsare givenas ppmin wetweight(and ppm in lipid) TABLE Nest DDE PCB HEOD 1 0023(28) 1 4(17) 002(02) 2 3 4 5 6 0-09 (1-3) 0 11 (2 7) 0.23 (45) 0 29 (4 8) 0 16 (1 7) 1 4 (18) 0 7 (19) 1.2 (27) 0 8 (13) 0 5 (5) 0 04 (0 6) 0 05 (1 2) 006(09) 0003 (004) 0 06 (0 7) DDE isthemainterminal metabolite ofDDT, PCB isfrom industrial polychlorinated andHEOD biphenyls, isfrom aldrinanddieldrin. Food Neithertheincidencenor thevolumeofvariousremainsin ravenpelletsweredirectly proportionalto thequantitiesofvariousfoodsingested,so we could notassess theexact dietfrompelletsalone.However,pelletsindicatedquiteaccuratelythequalitativecompositionof thedietand enabledbroadcomparisonto be madebetweenthedietsofdifferent pairs. A totalof697 pelletswereexaminedfromtwenty-nine different nestingareas,buttenof thesewererepresented byless thantenpellets(Appendix1). Food-itemswereassessedin in a sample. termsof theirpercentagefrequency thananyotheranimalremains,and was Overall,sheepwool occurredmorefrequently recordedin pelletsfromall nestingareas examined.About 3% of thepelletscontaining sheepwool also containedtherubberringsused to castratelambs and to removetheir tails.Fine particlesofvegetabledebrissometimesaccompaniedsheepwool and probably representedthe remainsof sheep dung. Pelletscontainingthe hair of large mammals usuallycontainedsome sliversof bone. Many of thelagomorphboneswerealso broken bits. Small mammalswere frequently recordedand wereparticularly prevalentin one sample.Thispairnestedin a recently afforested area wherevoleswereabundant,and was seenon severaloccasionsto rob short-eared owls (Asioflammeus)ofvoles. Birdremainswerelargelyfeathertraces,and thebonesoftheneck,head,wingsand feet of duck, pigeon and grouse.These are the pieces thatremainafterperegrines(Falco have killedand eatentheirprey.The percentagefrequency of birdremainsin peregrinus) thepelletsof ravenpairswas negativelycorrelatedwiththeirdistancefromthenearest of eggshell peregrinepair (r= - 0496; d.f.= 22; 0 05 > P> 002). Identifiablefragments werechieflyfromcurlew(Numeniusarquata) and red grouse(Lagopus lagopusscoticus) eggs.The chitinousexoskeletonofinsectsand arachnidswas mostoftenpresentas small particles;wherelargerparticleswere present,thesewere usually the legs or elytraof beetles.Pelletscontainingchitinfragments also containedlarge amountsof vegetable material.The latterappeared in nearlyall pelletsbut it is unlikelyto have contributed muchto nutrition becauseitwas cast up largelyintact.The samewas trueofcerealgrain, whichwas recoveredfrompelletscontainingpigeonor duckremainsand so was probably ingestedincidentallywith the digestivetracts(commonlydiscarded by peregrines). Articlesofrefusewerescarcebutoccurredinfivesamples.Raven featherswereprobably swallowedduringpreening.Raven eggshellincastingscould be theresultofeithereating theshellsafterhatchingor eatingtheeggsthemselves. On severaloccasions,singleeggs disappearedfromravennestsduringincubationand thesemaywellhave been eatenby theadult. M. MARQUISS et al. 139 The percentagefrequency ofsheepremainsinpelletswas negatively correlatedwiththe percentageof afforestation within3 km (r=-0616; d.f.=17; 001>P>0001) and within5 km (r= -0 668; d.f.= 17; 0 01 > P > 0 001) (Fig. 6). Whereafforestation levels werehigh,thecastingscontainedremainsfroma varietyoffoods,butlargelygoat,deer, lagomorphand birdcarrionand,inrecently plantedareas,voles.Bothhighand low levels ofchitinand eggshellwerefoundin samplesfromareasoflow afforestation, whereasonly low levelswerefoundin samplesfromhighlyafforested areas. 1000 _ 80- 0~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 3 00 4) 60 * -CL 0 0 40- o 20- 0 0 10 20 *0 U 30 40 50 60 % sheepwalk within afforested 5 km FIG. 6. Relationshipbetweenfrequencyof sheep wool in pelletsand the level of afforestation within5 kmof thenest-sites of particularravenpairs. The generalpictureof ravenfeedinghabitsgainedfromour analysisis similarto that gainedfromsmallersamplesofpelletsgivenby Bolam (1913) forWales, Ratcliffe (1962) forthe EnglishLake District,and Harlow et al. (1975) forVirginia,United States of America.In all the Britishareas, sheep formeda staple food, a findingborne out by observationsof sheep/raven interactions made by M. A. Ridpath(in Murton1971). DISCUSSION Whilstravenpairstendedto be mostnumerousin themostruggedpartsofthestudyarea, theirformerdensitycould not be explainedsolelyby the availabilityof nest sites.In general,cragsweremoreabundanton higherhillsand inareas ofigneousrock.However, in manydistrictsravensbreedreadilyin treesand treesiteswereabundantthroughout mostofthestudyarea,particularly at lowerelevationswhereravensweresparser.Also in Northumberland (a low densityarea) somepairsused,as alternative nestingplaces,crags severalkilometres apart,butin otherpartsof thestudyarea (withhighdensity),separate pairsnestedwithinthisdistanceofone another.In a fewpartsofthestudyarea,thelackof breedingravenswas associatedwiththelack of anysuitablenestsite,but thisfactorhad muchmoreinfluence on presence/absence thanon nearestneighbourdistances. The mostreasonableexplanationofthedispersionand densityofbreedingravensinthe studyarea is one based mainlyon foodsupply.Therehas longbeena government subsidy on hillsheep,tendingto maximizetheirnumbers,oftenabove thecarrying capacityofthe grazing.The grazingis poorestat highaltitudesand in areas overlyingacidic rock,so undertheseconditionsone wouldexpectthehighestsheepmortality. Thismayexplainthe 140 Declineof theraveninBritain higherdensitiesof breedingravensat higheraltitudes,and in middleGalloway,theonly regionwheretheunderlying rockis largelygranite. in the availabilityof sheep Otherfactorswould tend to accentuateany differences carrionbetweenareas. Thus someof thebesthillgroundin thestudyarea was managed primarilyfor red grouse (e.g. in the Leadhills and parts of Northumberland)and supportedfarfewersheep than othergroundmanaged forsheep alone. Secondly,the mostacidic substrate(granite)withinthestudyarea was associatedwitha moreprecipitous terrain,and some sheep were killedaccidentallywhen theybecame 'cliff-bound' whilstforagingon therelativelyluxuriantvegetationof cliffledges.(On one occasion D.A.R. foundas manyas ninedead sheepbelowa Welshprecipice.)Thirdly,theground at loweraltitudeswas usuallylessremote,so sheephusbandrywas possiblybetterand the sheepthatdied weremorelikelyto be buriedbytheshepherdthanthoseon moredistant ground. Most bird species that have been studied show a positiverelationshipwith land productivity, withthe densestpopulationson the richestground(Jenkins,Watson & Miller1967forredgrouse;Ratcliffe1969forperegrine; von Haartman1971forvarious song-birds; Newtonet al. 1977forsparrowhawk Accipiternisus).In thesespecies,density thetwo probablyadjustsnot to land-productivity as suchbut to available food-supply, oftenbeingcloselycorrelated.In contrast,theravenis a specieswhose food (through humanintervention) improveswithdeterioration in land productivity. SimilarlyLockie & Stephen(1959) thoughtthatgoldeneaglepopulationsin someimpoverished areaswere also maintainedlargelyby theabundanceof sheepcarrion. The formeroccupancyof ravennestingareas may also have been relatedpartlyto in thatmanyirregularly food-supply, occupiedareaswereon relatively low ground,or on grousemoor wherecarrionwas probablyscarcer.However,anotherfactormay have beenthepoor quality(in termsofheightand remoteness) ofmanyofthelow groundcliffs used fornesting.As a parallel,thefrequency withwhichparticularperegrineterritories wereoccupiedineasternNorthAmericawas directly relatedto theheightand remoteness of the nestingcliff;the reduceduse of 'poor quality'cliffsapparentlyarose fromthe reducedprotectiontheyofferedagainsthumanand otherpredators(Hickey1942;Hagar 1969). Hence, in an era when ravens were heavilypersecuted,theymay have been generallyreluctantto use the less safe and more disturbedsites.We suggestthisas a theformer possiblefactorinfluencing occupancyofnestingareasand nottheirdispersion; includingirregularly used ones,nestingareas wereas evenlyspaced on low groundas on highground. A smallnumberofravenpairshave beendispossessedbyeaglesand rockclimbers,but thelargerpartoftherecentdeclineinnumberswas probablylinkedwiththeafforestation of sheepwalk.In 1974-5theoccupancyofnestingareas was associatedwiththeextentof afforestation chieflywithin3 km of thenestsites.Ravens are groundforagers,feeding mainlyon largeitemsofcarrionbutalso eatinganyanimalmaterialdownto thesizeofa beetleor snail.Itemssmallerthan100g areprobablyoftentakenalive.Afforested ground had no sheep carrionand in additionthe highvegetationobscuredothercarrionand madeitmoredifficult forravenstoforageforeggs,groundinsects,frogs,lizardsand small werefeedingon mammals.Those pairsstillpresentin 1974-6despiteheavyafforestation thelatterapparentlyscavengedfrom goat,deerand lagomorphcarrionor bird-remains, peregrines.On some recentlyafforested groundtherewas an abundance of voles, and theseprovideda temporary sustenanceforravens,sometimesfor2 or 3 yearsaftersheep had beenremoved. M. MARQUISSet al. 141 The stage at whichnestingareas were desertedprobablydependedon the balance between(a) theoriginalqualityof thearea forsheepcarrion,(b) theamountof afforesfood.Ifsheepcarrionwas scarce,due tolow sheep tationand (c) theamountofalternative stocks,highqualitygrazingor good sheep husbandry,even small amountsof afforestationmayhaveremoveda criticalamountoffood.This probablyexplainedthelack ofa and occupancybyravens.In addition, veryconsistentassociationbetweenafforestation werethosemostlikelyto thoseareas of sheepwalkwhichhad thehighestsheepmortality The greaterthe amount of existingforest,the more likelywas a be sold forforestry. Some nestingareasweredeserted nestingarea to be desertedon subsequentafforestation. even the year beforetreeplanting,but coincidentwiththe removalof sheep. Mostly, however,desertionwas coincidentwithplanting. was associatedchieflywiththeextentof afforestation within5 Breedingperformance km of thenestsites,whereasoccupancywas mostcloselyassociatedwithafforestation eventhoughthe within3 km.Ravensprobablyuseda largearea fortheirgeneralforaging, tenancyof a nestingarea seemedto have beenmainlydependenton theamountof food immediately around thenest-sites.Ravens bredearlyin theyear,probablyto coincide at theend of thewinterand duringlambingin withtheperiodof majorsheepmortality earlyspring.Feral goats also had theirkids in earlyspring.Ravens on more heavily poorer afforested groundbredlater.Thiscould havebeena responseeitherto a generally food supply or to an alternativefood supply:one late breedingpair fed largelyon lagomorphcarrionwhichwas most abundantlaterin the springthan sheep and lamb carrion. Anotherfactorcomplicatedthepatternof ravendecline,namelythegeneralimprovementinsheephusbandry.Overtheyears,someareasweredrained,fertilized and reseeded for of winter more the the became to improve forage sheep, provision supplementary feed used to preventdisease.The netresultis likelyto prevalentand drugswereincreasingly have beenlesscarrion.The extentofthissortoffooddepletionforravenswas impossible withinthelimitedscope ofour study,butsevenor eightunoccupiednesting to determine in 1974-6,and mayhavebeenrendereduntenable areaswerestilllessthan20% afforested throughloweredsheepmortality. Immediatelyto the south of the SouthernUplands and Cheviots,the EnglishLake Districtrepresents a controlarea forthisstudy,becauseitshillsarestilllargelysheepwalk. Therehas beenlittleafforestation, and thismainlyaroundtheedges.The Lake district has to seventypairs since 1900. held a stableravenbreedingpopulationof about sixty-five knownnestingareas in thisregionwereexamined:of these, During 1974-6,forty-eight heldbreedingpairs,althoughsixofthesenestingareaswereformerly regardedas forty-six irregularin occupation.One nestingarea was occupiedin 1974butdesertedin 1975and 1976. This nestingarea and one of theothertwo desertedones werein localitieswhere within3 km of thenestsites.The third therehad been substantialrecentafforestation nestingarea was desertedforunknownreasons.Whiletheravencan probablysurviveat low densityin afforested uplands,thiswill be likelyto depend on the extentof sheep ifblanketafforesgroundleftunplanted.Almostcertainlythespecieswilldeclinefurther tationcontinuesto expandoverformerupland sheepwalk. - ACKNOWLEDGMENTS For permissionto workon theirground,forplacingeveryfacility at our disposaland for 142 Declineof theraveninBritain fullco-operationand helpin otherways,itis a pleasureto thankthestaffof theForestry Commission,South Scotland Conservancy.Mr S. Petty of ForestryCommission, NortheastEnglandConservancy,kindlyprovidedus withup-to-dateplantingmaps for For historicalinformation we are grateful Northumberland. on ravendistribution, to the late E. Blezard,thewidowof thelateCaptain R. Cross,to J.Hutchinson,W. R. Laidler, B. Little,E. Meek, W. Murdock, the late W. Murray,R. Nelson, D. Watson, R. Roxburgh,G. Shaw, thelate G. W. Temperleyand T. Todd. For helpingwiththesurvey in 1974-6, we are especiallygratefulto B. Little,E. Meek and othermembersof the NorthumbriaRingingGroup,G. Carse,G. Horne,R. Mearns,thelateW. Murray,and R. Roxburgh.We are also grateful to variousshepherds, forestrangers,gamekeepersand otherlocal observers,too numerousto mentionindividually. For drawingthefigureswe thank Mrs S. Adair, for statisticalhelp P. Rothery,and for helpfulcriticismof the manuscriptDr D. Jenkinsand Miss J.Rowe. REFERENCES in Wales.London. Bolam,G. (1913). Wildlife ofhairand featherremainsin thegutand faecesofstoatsand weasels.Journal Day, M. G. (1965). Identification ofZoology,147,201-17. Hagar, J. A. (1969). Historyof theMassachusettsPeregrineFalcon population.1935-57.Pp. 123-31.In: PeregrineFalcon Populations,theirBiologyand Decline (Ed. by J. J. Hickey). Univ. of WisconsinPress, Madison. H. S. (1975). Some winterand nestingseason D. R. & Crawford, Harlow,R. F., Hooper,R. G., Chamberlain, foodsof thecommonravenin Virginia.Auk,92, 298-306. Haartman,L. von(1971). Populationdynamics.AvianBiology,Vol. 1 (Ed. byD. S. Farnerand J.R. King) Pp. 391-459. AcademicPress,London and New York. Hickey,J. J. (1942). Easternpopulationof theDuck Hawk. Auk,59, 176-204. in theredgrouse(Lagopus 1.scoticus). Jenkins, D., Watson,A. & Miller,G. R. (1967). Populationfluctuations JournalofAnimalEcology,36, 97-122. Lockie,J. D. & Stephen,D. (1959). Eagles,lambsand land managementon Lewis. JournalofAnimalEcology, 28, 43-50. Murton,R. K. (1971). Man and Birds.Collins,London. Newton,I. & Bogan, J. (1974). Organochlorineresidues,eggshellthinningand hatchingsuccess in British Nature,London,249, 582-3. sparrowhawks. Journalof nestingterritories. Newton,I., Marquiss,M., Weir,D. N. & Moss, D. (1977). Spacingofsparrowhawk AnimalEcology,46, 425-41. 90, Peakall, D. B. (1976). The peregrinefalcon(Falco peregrinus)and pesticides.Canadian Field-Naturalist, 301-7. and ravenCorvuscorax. Ibis, 104, D. A. (1962). Breedingdensityin theperegrineFalco peregrinus Ratcliffe, 13-39. D. A. (1970). Changes attributedto pesticidesin egg breakagefrequencyand eggshellthicknessin Ratcliffe, some Britishbirds.JournalofAppliedEcology,7, 67-115. Statisticsfor theBehaviouralSciences.McGraw-Hill,New York. Siegel,S. (1956). Non-parametric (Received25 August1977) 143 M. MARQuiss et al. 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