Relationship of One-Way and Two-Way ANOVA One-Way ANOVA Source Table ANOVA MODEL: Yij = µ* + αj + εij Source Sum of Squares Between Groups (Explained Variance) Within Groups (Error Variance) J ∑ n (Y j − Y* ) 2 j H0: µ1 = µ2 = . . . = µj or H0: Σα2j = 0 df Mean Squares F J-1 SSB/(J – 1) MSB/MSW = j =1 J nj ∑∑ (Y − Y ) i 2 j N–J SSW/dfW N-1 sY2 = SST/N-1 ( N − J ) SS B ( J − 1) SSW j =1 i =1 (Error Variance) Total Variance N ∑ (Y − Y ) i * 2 i =1 where, N = total number of cases, J = number of groups, Y * = the grand mean of Y across all groups. Yi = each individual score on Y, and Y j = the mean for group j. nj = the number of cases in group j. R2 = η2= SSB/SST is the Proportion of Variance Explained by Group Differences. This is also known a Proportional Reduction in Error (PRE). Pairwise Post-Hoc Comparisons of Means However, a statistically significant F ratio only indicates that assuming the Null Hypothesis, H0: µ1 = µ2 = . . . = µj , The Results were not likely to have occurred by chance. Or, we interpret this as, “at least one mean is different.” We don’t know which one(s)! A common approach is to use a post-hoc test for group comparisons. I personally like Tukey’s Honestly Significant Difference (HSD) for pairwise comparisons of means. Tukey’s HSD controls for inflation of the Type I error rate when J(J - 1)/2 pairwise comparsions are made. Because of this adjustment of the significance level, it is possible to obtain a statistically significant F-ratio when no pairwise comparisons are significant. The q statistic for Tukey’s HSD can be computed as follows: YL - YS q = M SW ( 1 + 1 nL nS 2 ) , Then q is compared to a critical value obtained from the Studentized Range Table (q-distribution). Thus, when two means are compared in a pairwise fashion, if the calculated q statistic is larger than the q-critical value then this pairwise difference in means is statistically significant. Similarly, one can solve for the Minimum Mean Difference that would be “Honestly Significant” HSD = q MSW 1 1 ( + ) 2 nL nS This HSD concept can also be used to construct Confidence Intervals: CI: ( Y L - Y S) ± q MSW 1 1 ( + ) 2 nL nS If the Confidence Interval contains the null value of ZERO then you cannot claim an Honestly Significant Difference. If the Confidence DOES NOT contain the null value of ZERO then you can claim that there is an Honestly Significant Difference. 1 Relationship of One-Way and Two-Way ANOVA ANOVA MODEL: Yij = µ* + αj + εij Total Y Y* ( Y- Y* ) ( Y- Y* ) 2 Within Group Y 2 3 2 4 6 6 6 6 -4 -3 -4 -2 16 Occupational 9 Therapy 16 (j = 1) (OCT) 4 n1 = 5 2 3 2 4 4 6 -2 4 5 6 7 4 6 6 6 6 -1 0 1 -2 4 Y1 = 3 1 Maternal 0 Child Health 1 (j = 2) (MCH) 4 n2 = 5 8 6 2 10 9 9 8 6 6 6 6 4 3 3 2 9 6 3 5 7 6 7 6 6 6 6 -1 1 0 1 5 6 -1 Y* = 6 4 Y2 = 6 16 Nutrition 9 Science 9 (j = 3) (NTS) 4 n3 = 5 9 Y3 = 9 1 Epidemiology 1 0 (j = 4) (EPI) 1 n4 = 5 1 Y4 = 6 110 SST = Between Group 2 Yj ( Y- Yj ) ( Y- Yj ) 3 -1 1 3 0 0 3 -1 1 SSW1 = 4 3 1 1 S12 = 1 3 1 1 S1 = 1 Yj 3 3 3 3 Y* ( Yj 6 6 6 6 Y* ) ( Yj - Y* ) 2 -3 9 -3 9 -3 9 -3 9 3 6 -3 9 5 6 7 4 6 6 6 6 -1 0 1 -2 1 0 1 SSW2= 10 4 S22 = 2.5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 6 2 4 S2 = 1.58 6 6 0 0 10 9 9 8 9 9 9 9 1 0 0 -1 1 0 0 SSW3 = 2 1 S32 = .5 9 9 9 9 6 6 6 6 3 3 3 3 9 9 9 9 9 9 0 0 S3 = .707 9 6 3 9 5 7 6 7 6 6 6 6 -1 1 0 1 1 1 0 SSW4 = 4 1 S42 = 1 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 -1 1 S4 = 1 6 6 0 0 SSW = 20 SSW = 20 SSB = 90 (Σα2j ) estimated by SSBetween = Σ n j ( Y j - Y *) = 5(3-6)2 + 5(6-6)2 + 5(9-6)2 + 5(6-6)2 = 90. 2 (Σε2ij ) estimated by SSWithin = ANOVA Source Table Source SS Between 90 (Explained) Within 20 (Error) Σ(Sj2)(nj-1) = (1x4) + (2.5x4) + (.5x4) + (1x4) = 20 H0: µ1 = µ2 = µ3 = µ4 df J-1 =3 MS 90/3 = 30 N-J = 20-4 =16 20/16 = 1.25 Total 110 N - 1 = 19 110/19 = 5.79 2 F(3,16) = 24.00, p < .05, η = .82. Reject H0: µ1 = µ2 = µ3 = µ4. Pairwise Comparisons using Tukey’s HSD. q1 2 = Y1 - Y1 q jk = F 30/1.25 = 24.00 η2 = 90/110 = .82 Yj - Yk ( M Sw / 2) ( 1/ n j + 1/ n k ) 3 - 6 q1 2 = ( 1 .2 5 / 2 ) ( 1 / n 1 + 1 / n 2 ) ( 1 .2 5 / 2 ) ( 1 / 5 + 1 / 5) = 3/(.5) = 6. q12 = 6 > 4.046 from Studentized Range Table; thus, p < .05. q13 = 12, p < .05. q14 = 6, p < .05. q23 = 6, p < .05. q24 = 0, ns, p > .05. q34 = 6, p < .05. Conclusion: HA: µ1 < (µ2 = µ4) < µ3 The HSD = q MSW 1 1 ( + ) = 4.046(0.5) = 2.023 2 nL nS The 95% CI for the difference between Groups 1 an d 2 is: 3 ± 2.023 (0.977 ↔ 5.023). The 95% CI does NOT CONTAIN ZERO, so there is an Honestly Significant Difference between OCT and MCH. 2 Relationship of One-Way and Two-Way ANOVA Complex Contrasts of Means. H0: ψ = 0, where ψ = a1 Y 1 + a2 Y 2 + . . . + aJ Y J and a1 + a2 + . . . + aJ = 0. In this case, ψ = a1 Y 1 + a2 Y 2 + a3 Y 3 + a4 Y 4 and a1 + a2 + a3. + a4 = 0. For example, comparing Nutrition Science (j = 3) to a combination of Maternal Child Health (j = 2) and Epidemiology (j = 4) yields; ψ = (0)(3) + (1/2)(6) + (-1)(9) + (1/2)(6) or ψ = (0)(3) + (1)(6) + (-2)(9) + (1)(6) = -6. a simpler method The error term for any contrast of this form is: SEψ2ˆ = ( MSW ) a 2j J ∑n j =1 . j Note this assumes a common or pooled error term (MSW) 2 For this contrast S Eψ = (1.25)(0/5 + 1/5 + 4/5 + 1/5) = (1.25)(1.2) = 1.5 An F test with 1 and dfw degrees-of-freedom is used to test the statistical significance of this contrast. F(1, dfw) = ψ 2 2 /S Eψ = (-6)2/1.5 = 36/1.5 = 24.00, which is statistically significant. Thus, F(1,16) = 24.00, p < .05, Reject H0: ψ = 0 To compare Occupational Therapy (j = 1) to a combination of the other three groups yields; ψ = (-3)(3) + (1)(6) + (1)(9) + (1)(6) = 12. 2 S Eψ = (1.25)(9/5 + 1/5 + 1/5 + 1/5) = (1.25)(2.4) = 3; and F = (12)2/ 3 = 48.00. Thus, F(1,16) = 48.00, p < .05, Reject H0: ψ = 0 ___________________________________________________________________________________ Pairwise Effect Sizes. ESjk = Yj - Yk ( S ST / ( N - 1 ) For example, ES12 = (3-6)/2.41 = -1.25. F tests can also be converted to Effect Sizes by the following: ES = dfn F d fnF + d fd 2 or r = d fnF dfd 3 Relationship of One-Way and Two-Way ANOVA data progs; data progs; input group name $ rate school $ sch orient $ ori; datalines; 1 OCT 2 SHRP 1 APP 1 1 OCT 3 SHRP 1 APP 1 1 OCT 2 SHRP 1 APP 1 1 OCT 4 SHRP 1 APP 1 1 OCT 4 SHRP 1 APP 1 2 MCH 5 SOPH -1 APP 1 2 MCH 6 SOPH -1 APP 1 2 MCH 7 SOPH -1 APP 1 2 MCH 4 SOPH -1 APP 1 2 MCH 8 SOPH -1 APP 1 3 NTS 10 SHRP 1 RES -1 3 NTS 9 SHRP 1 RES -1 3 NTS 9 SHRP 1 RES -1 3 NTS 8 SHRP 1 RES -1 3 NTS 9 SHRP 1 RES -1 4 EPI 5 SOPH -1 RES -1 4 EPI 7 SOPH -1 RES -1 4 EPI 6 SOPH -1 RES -1 4 EPI 7 SOPH -1 RES -1 4 EPI 5 SOPH -1 RES -1 ; proc glm data=progs order=data;class name; model rate = name;means name/tukey cldiff ; contrast 'NTS vs (MCH-EPI)' name 0 1 -2 1; contrast 'OCT VS OTHERS' name -3 1 1 1; contrast 'SHRP vs SOPH' name 1 -1 1 -1; contrast 'Appl vs Research' name 1 1 -1 -1; contrast 'Interaction' name 1 -1 -1 1; run; proc glm data=progs ;class group; model rate = group;means group/tukey; contrast 'NTS vs (MCH-EPI)' group 0 1 -2 1; contrast 'OCT VS OTHERS' group -3 1 1 1; contrast 'SHRP vs SOPH' group 1 -1 1 -1; contrast 'Appl vs Research' group 1 1 -1 -1; contrast 'Interaction' group 1 -1 -1 1; run; proc glm data=progs;class school orient; model rate = school orient school*orient;run; proc glm data=progs; model rate = sch ori sch*ori;run; 4 Relationship of One-Way and Two-Way ANOVA The GLM Procedure Class Level Information Class name Levels 4 Values OCT MCH NTS EPI Number of Observations Read Number of Observations Used 20 20 Dependent Variable: rate Source DF Sum of Squares Mean Square F Value Pr > F Model 3 90.0000000 30.0000000 24.00 <.0001 Error 16 20.0000000 1.2500000 Corrected Total 19 110.0000000 Source name R-Square Coeff Var Root MSE rate Mean 0.818182 18.63390 1.118034 6.000000 DF Type III SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F 3 90.00000000 30.00000000 24.00 <.0001 Tukey's Studentized Range (HSD) Test for rate NOTE: This test controls the Type I experimentwise error rate, but it generally has a higher Type II error rate than REGWQ. Alpha Error Degrees of Freedom Error Mean Square Critical Value of Studentized Range Minimum Significant Difference 0.05 16 1.25 4.04609 2.023 Means with the same letter are not significantly different. name Comparison NTS - MCH NTS - EPI NTS - OCT MCH - EPI MCH - OCT EPI - OCT Tukey Grouping A Mean 9.0000 N 5 name NTS B B 6.0000 6.0000 5 5 MCH EPI C 3.0000 5 OCT Difference Between Means 3.0000 3.0000 6.0000 0.0000 3.0000 3.0000 Simultaneous 95% Confidence Limits 0.9770 5.0230 0.9770 5.0230 3.9770 8.0230 -2.0230 2.0230 0.9770 5.0230 0.9770 5.0230 *** *** *** *** *** Comparisons significant at the 0.05 level are indicated by ***. 5 Relationship of One-Way and Two-Way ANOVA Dependent Variable: rate Contrast DF Contrast SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F NTS vs (MCH-EPI) OCT VS OTHERS SHRP vs SOPH Appl vs Research Interaction 1 1 1 1 1 30.00000000 60.00000000 0.00000000 45.00000000 45.00000000 30.00000000 60.00000000 0.00000000 45.00000000 45.00000000 24.00 48.00 0.00 36.00 36.00 0.0002 <.0001 1.0000 <.0001 <.0001 The GLM Procedure Class Level Information Class school Levels 2 orient 2 Values SHRP SOPH APP RES Number of Observations Read Number of Observations Used 20 20 Dependent Variable: rate Source DF Sum of Squares Model Error Corrected Total 3 16 19 90.0000000 20.0000000 110.0000000 R-Square 0.818182 Source school orient school*orient Coeff Var 18.63390 Mean Square F Value Pr > F 30.0000000 1.2500000 24.00 <.0001 Root MSE 1.118034 rate Mean 6.000000 DF Type III SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F 1 1 1 0.00000000 45.00000000 45.00000000 0.00000000 45.00000000 45.00000000 0.00 36.00 36.00 1.0000 <.0001 <.0001 6 Relationship of One-Way and Two-Way ANOVA Oneway Descriptives Y N OCT MCH NUT EPI Total Y Between Groups 5 5 5 5 20 Std. Mean Deviation Std. Error 3.0000 1.0000 .4472 6.0000 1.5811 .7071 9.0000 .7071 .3162 6.0000 1.0000 .4472 6.0000 2.4061 .5380 95% Confidence Interval for Mean Lower Upper Bound Bound Minimum Maximum 1.7583 4.2417 2.00 4.00 4.0368 7.9632 4.00 8.00 8.1220 9.8780 8.00 10.00 4.7583 7.2417 5.00 7.00 4.8739 7.1261 2.00 10.00 ANOVA Sum of Squares 90.000 Within Groups Total df Mean Square 3 30.000 20.000 16 110.000 19 F 24.000 Sig. .000 1.250 Post Hoc Tests Multiple Comparisons Dependent Variable: Y Tukey HSD Mean Difference (I) D (J) D (I-J) Std. Error Sig. OCT MCH -3.0000 .7071 .003 NUT -6.0000 .7071 .000 EPI -3.0000 .7071 .003 MCH OCT 3.0000 .7071 .003 NUT -3.0000 .7071 .003 EPI .0000 .7071 1.000 NUT OCT 6.0000 .7071 .000 MCH 3.0000 .7071 .003 EPI 3.0000 .7071 .003 EPI OCT 3.0000 .7071 .003 MCH .0000 .7071 1.000 NUT -3.0000 .7071 .003 * The mean difference is significant at the .05 level. 95% Confidence Interval Lower Upper Bound Bound -5.0231 -.9769 -8.0231 -3.9769 -5.0231 -.9769 .9769 5.0231 -5.0231 -.9769 -2.0231 2.0231 3.9769 8.0231 .9769 5.0231 .9769 5.0231 .9769 5.0231 -2.0231 2.0231 -5.0231 -.9769 Homogeneous Subsets Y Tukey HSD Subset for alpha = .05 D N 1 2 3 OCT 5 3.0000 MCH 5 6.0000 EPI 5 6.0000 NUT 5 9.0000 Sig. 1.000 1.000 1.000 Means for groups in homogeneous subsets are displayed. a Uses Harmonic Mean Sample Size = 5.000. 7 Relationship of One-Way and Two-Way ANOVA Contrast Coefficients D Maternal Chi Health 1 1 1 Contrast 1 2 3 Y Assume equal Variances Does not Assume Equal Variances Occupation Therapy 1 -1 -1 Epidemi ology -1 1 -1 Contrast 1 2 3 1 2 3 Nutrition Science -1 -1 1 Value of Contrast -6.0000 .0000 -6.0000 -6.0000 .0000 -6.0000 Std. Error 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 t -6.000 .000 -6.000 -6.000 .000 -6.000 df 16 16 16 11.765 11.765 11.765 Sig. (2-tailed) .000 1.000 .000 .000 1.000 .000 Univariate Analysis of Variance Descriptive Statistics Dependent Variable: Y SCHOOL SRHP SOPH Total Orient Applied Exper Total Applied Exper Total Applied Exper Total Mean 3.0000 9.0000 6.0000 6.0000 6.0000 6.0000 4.5000 7.5000 6.0000 Std. Deviation 1.00000 .70711 3.26599 1.58114 1.00000 1.24722 2.01384 1.77951 2.40613 N 5 5 10 5 5 10 10 10 20 Tests of Between-Subjects Effects Dependent Variable: Y Type III Sum Mean Source df of Squares Square Corrected Model 90.000(a) 3 30.000 Intercept 720.000 1 720.000 SCHOOL .000 1 .000 Orient 45.000 1 45.000 SCHOOL*Orient 45.000 1 45.000 Error 20.000 16 1.250 Total 830.000 20 Corrected Total 110.000 19 a R Squared = .818 (Adjusted R Squared = .784) F Sig. 24.000 .000 576.000 .000 .000 1.000 36.000 .000 36.000 .000 8 Relationship of One-Way and Two-Way ANOVA 10 Nutrition Science M = 9.00 SD = 1.00 Estimated Marginal Means 9 8 Matern Health M = 6.00 SD = 1.58 7 Epidemiology M = 6.00 SD = 1.00 6 5 4 SCHOOL Orientation SHRP Occup Ther M = 3.00 SD = 0.71 3 2 applied SOPH Experimental Education Applied Psychology Experimental ORIENTATION Department Membership 10 Nutrition Science M = 9.00 SD = 1.00 Estimated Marginal Means 9 8 Epidemiology M=6 SD = 1.00 7 6 5 Matern Health M=6 SD = 1.58 Occup Therapy M = 3.00 SD = 0.71 ORIENTATION 4 Department 3 SHRP Education 2 Psychology SOPH Applied Experimental SOPH SHRP SCHOOL Orientation 9
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