The veto power in comparative perspective: a comparison between Venezuela and United States. Martina Misantoni Professor Gianluca Passarelli Sapienza University of Rome [email protected] [email protected] Paper prepared for the ECPR General Conference Charles University in Prague, Prague 7-10 September 2016. FIRST DRAFT – please do not quote without authors’ permission. 1 The strength of the Congress consists in the right to pass statutes; the strength of the President in the right to veto them. James Bryce ABSTRACT This paper examines how institutional arrangement that govern the veto strength has affected the Venezuelan president’s behaviour at the beginning of the democratic era in 1958 until President Hugo Chávez Frías came to power in 1999. The way in which the reactive power has been used depending on the party composition of the Congress and the consequences of its usage on the agenda setting are analyzed. To better understand the developments in this field, the paper promotes a comparative study with the US, a state in which the veto power provides the presidents with markedly different authority. 1. INTRODUCTION Today is generally recognized that the presidential veto plays an important role in the legislative process. The executive powers around the world are given the possibility of returning bills to the legislature for reconsideration and there are variations in the rules governing the use of the veto. The conventional impression is that the effects of the veto power are to help the president get his or her way. Actually, the Latin American version of the presidential veto can be disadvantageous to the President as the Venezuelan case demonstrated. The objective of this paper is to contribute to the debate on veto power through a comparison of the use of the presidential veto in Venezuela under the now defunct 1961 Constitution and in the US. The study determines the frequency of the veto usage by the Venezuelan and US presidents and investigates when they were more likely to use the veto between 1958 and 1995. The strategies available to the presidents when vetoing and the way Venezuelan and US veto clauses have varied in what they say about override majorities, default opinions, presidential revisions, congressional consent to those revisions and the range of legislation that the presidents may veto are analyzed (Alemán and Schwartz, 2006: 98). The present paper is divided in five parts including this introduction. The second part provides a summary of the literature on the power and influence of the veto, the third part describes briefly the use of the veto in Venezuela and in the US. The fourth and last part compares the use of the veto during the selected presidencies. The analysis begins with Eisenhower and ends with George Bush’s 2 administrations, this 40-year span, from 1953 to 1993, covers eight presidencies while the list of Venezuelan presidents goes from Romulo Betancourt to Rafael Caldera. The conclusions show how the partisan factors and the socio-economic environment have influenced the president and Congress’ actions in these two countries. 2. Power and influence of the veto The veto power is a reactive instrument (Shugart and Mainwaring, 1997: 42). In principle it allowed a president to protect the constitutional separation of powers and the rights of citizens as part of a system of checks and balances. Through the years scholars have done researches on the ways vetoes are used and when they are most likely to occur: such variables, that can be considered institutionalized, are party opposition in Congress, the election cycle, presidential approval ratings, party identification and the type of legislation being proposed. Presidents use the power of the veto in many different ways and for many different reasons: for pursuing legislation that the president finds more agreeable (Ingberman and Yao 1991; Kiewit and McCubbins 1988), for mere positiontaking reasons (Conley and Kreppel 2001) or to make public his or her stance over certain issues. Indeed, the veto can be used not only as an obstacle to legislation, but also in a reactive way as an executive check on the legislative branch and as a potent tool for agenda setting. There are different kinds of veto power: if the veto is very limited, it allows the president just to reject a law, if it is not restricted, it may allow the president to determine the content of the legislative packages. The effective veto power can be at any intermediate point between these two extremities and its features may move the balance of power between the Congress and the president in favor of the former or the latter one, without compromising the main principle of the presidential system according to which the origin and the survival of the legislative and executive powers must remain independents. 3. Veto power in Venezuela and in the U.S: An Overview The veto is considered a presidential asset: its effect, when it has one, is to help the President get his or her way. That is why it is commonly seen. But the analysis of the Venezuelan version of the presidential veto (under the 1961 Constitution) shows that this impression can be wrong: its version could be positively disadvantageous to the President and his or her electoral constituency. Article 173 of the 1961 Constitution stated that the President of the Republic could promulgate the law within ten days after the date of receipt, but within that period s/he could return it with suggested changes. S/he did not have the right to limit revision to a particular part of the bill. The Chambers in 3 joint session could decide on the points raised by the President of the Republic and write a new text for the provisions objected to and those connected with them. When a decision was adopted by twothirds of those present, the President proceeded with the promulgation of the law within the five days following its receipt, and s/he did not offer new comments. When the decision was reached by simple majority, the President of the Republic may choose between promulgating the law and returning it to Congress within the same five-day period for a new and final reconsideration. The decision of the Chamber in joint session was definitive, even if by simple majority, and the promulgation of the law should be made within the five days following its receipt. However, if the president’s objection was based on unconstitutionality, the President of the Republic could have recourse to the Supreme Court of Justice, requesting its decision as to the alleged unconstitutionality. The Court could decide within a period of ten days, counted from the date of receipt of the communication from the President of the Republic. If the Court denied the claim of unconstitutionality, or did not decide within the aforementioned period, the President of the Republic should promulgate the law within five days after the decision of the Court or the expiration of that period. Thus, Venezuelan Presidents held a weak veto over bills which could be overridden with the simple majority of the Congress. Although the Constitution defined the revision process as a veto, it was not an executive veto as it is commonly known. Instead it represented a formal process according to the President could make public his or her objections to the bill approved by the Congress forcing the latter one to express better its support for the bill. The US Constitution, under the Section II Article VII, states that «Every bill, order or vote to which the concurrence of the Senate and House of representatives may be necessary» must be presented to the president for approval. This requirement does not apply to constitutional amendments, procedural rules of each house and several other types of legislative actions. The president has ten days in which to consider legislation presented for approval and s/he has three options: sign the bill, making it law; veto the bill or take no action on the bill during the ten-period. If the president vetoes the bill, it can be overridden by a two-third majority of both houses of Congress.1 President George Washington issued the first regular veto on April 5, 1792 whereas the first successful congressional override occurred on March 3, 1845, when Congress overrode President John Tyler’s veto. If the president takes no action, the bill automatically becomes law after ten days. However, if Congress adjourns before the ten days expired and the president has not signed the bill, it is said to have been subjected to the “pocket veto”, which differs from a regular veto in that the pocket veto cannot be 1 Some Latin American countries also require such majority (e.g. Argentina, Bolivia and Cile). 4 overridden by Congress.2 Thus, a pocket veto is an extremely useful tool in the president’s arsenal: president James Madison was the first President to use it in 1812 and the most avid users of this maneuver were President G.H.W Bush who used this power fifteen times and Reagan’s thirty-nine. Savvy presidents use «vetoes not only to block legislation but to shape it […] Vetoes are not fatal bullets but bargaining ploys.» (M. Cameron, 2000: 171) particularly under divided government which has become a constant in US modern politics, the President and the Congress frequently came to loggerheads over legislation.3 The president’s principal legislative tool is the use of the veto in order to extract policy concessions and shape legislation. Even the veto threats, which are not scarce in most modern presidencies, can serve many important purposes to a president: they can help the president obtain legislation which comply with the administrative goals, they can enable an administration to communicate a position or they can force compromise. Studies by Robert Spitzer, one of the key theorists on the presidential veto, suggest that the veto threat may be an incredibly useful tool. Data collected from 1952-200 suggests that 32% of the time veto threats are followed by some sort of compromise and are successful in killing a bill in its entirety 30% of the time. 3.1. Fate of Veto-Threatened Bills President Total Threatened Bills Congress Compromise Backs Down Bill Dies President Bill Passed Backs Down as Is Bill Enacted Vetoes Overridden and Vetoed ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Kennedy 0 0 0 0 0 0 Johnson 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nixon 5 0 0 0 5 1 Ford 10 2 0 0 8 1 Carter 12 3 5 2 2 1 Reagan 48 9 19 4 16 5 Source: Spitzer,1993: 76. Another presidential tool over legislation is the signing statement (Garber and Wimmer 1987; Cooper 2005): it is simply a written message issued by the president when signing a piece of 2 In 1996, Congress gave the president the authority to select particular items from bills and individually veto them. The line-item veto authority gave the president the ability to cut on the Federal Budget without vetoing a bill in its entirety and like a regular veto, it could be overridden by a two-thirds majority vote of both houses. In 1998 the Supreme Court ruled that the law was unconstitutional. 3 From 1953 to 1993 there had been five Republican Presidents, whereas the House was always Democratic. 5 legislation. This pronouncement give Presidents the opportunity to provide general commentary on the bill and in practice, signing statements have been employed as a line-item veto to set boundaries on the aim of legislation and to structure its implementation (Morgenstern, Polga, Rosenfield, 2013). 4. A comparison between the Republic of Venezuela and the US According to González, Penfold and Obuchi (2004: 20), the Venezuelan veto served only to delay the approval of legislation since the same simple majority that could approve a law could override the president’s veto. Only three, maybe four, of the bills that were returned by the president were effectively killed by this maneuver. Tab.4.1. Number of Bills Returned per President (1959-1995). President Period in Office President’s party N of laws enacted N of Bills Returned Bills returned to laws Betancourt 1959-1964 AD: Majority 91 0 0 Leoni 1964-1969 AD: Minority 132 0 0 1 0.007 Caldera I 1969-1974 COPEI :Minority 134 Pérez I 1974-1979 AD : Majority 165 0 0 H. Campins 1979-1984 COPEI : Minority 159 5 0.031 Lusinchi 1984-1989 AD :Majority 179 5 0.028 Pérez II 1989-1993 AD : Minority 126 1 0.08 36 2 0.056 76* 6* 0.079 Velásquez 1993-1994 Non-partisan Caldera II 1994-1999 CONV. : Minority *Updated up to December 1995. Source: adaptation from Amorim Neto and Magar, 2000: 36. The evidence suggests that the formal power to delay the approval of legislation a few weeks did not give the president much muscle to negotiate, so it has been rarely exercised. Furthermore, presidents were rarely without majority support in Congress given the way the electoral laws were set up, so they were forced to use the veto power hardly ever. For all these reasons, the number of returned bills in 1959-1995 was impressively small. There have been 20 vetoes in 37 years and in 1959-89 there were 0.4 vetoes per year. The first 11 vetoes, which occurred between 1959 and 6 1989, contrast with the 860 bills that were signed into law by the executive after the Congress authorized them in the same period: a ratio of 78 bills signed for every bill vetoed (Amorim Neto and Magar, 2000: 10). In most instances presidents returned legislation for technical adjustments that had to do with executing law and there were no efforts to seek change in its substance. Tab.4.2. When a Venezuelan president vetoed a bill during his term. No Date bill was vetoed President’s term ends Days remaining term after the veto 12-Aug-69 11-Mar-74 1,672 30-Dec-80 1-Feb-84 1,128 3 Campins 4-Jan-82 1-Feb-84 758 4 Campins 24-Aug-82 1-Feb-84 526 5 Campins 10-Sep-82 1-Feb-84 509 6 Campins 13-Aug-83 1-Feb-84 172 7 Lusinchi 18-Apr-84 1-Feb-89 1750 8 Lusinchi 14-Dec-84 1-Feb-89 1510 9 Lusinchi 8-Oct-85 1-Feb-89 1212 10 Lusinchi 22-Dec-86 1-Feb-89 776 11 Lusinchi 2-Sep-87 1-Feb-89 518 12 Pérez 30-Dec-91 1-Feb-94ᵃ 764 2-Sep-93 1-Feb-94 152 14 Vélasquez 6-Sep-93 1-Feb-94 148 15 Caldera 25-Nov-94 1-Feb-99ᵇ 1529 16 Caldera 20-Dec-94 1-Feb-99ᵇ 1504 17 Caldera 20-Jan-95 1-Feb-99ᵇ 1473 18 Caldera 19-Jul-95 1-Feb-99ᵇ 1293 19 Caldera 27-Jul-95 1-Feb-99ᵇ 1285 20 Caldera 27-Jul-95 1-Feb-99ᵇ 1285 1 Caldera (1969-1974) 2 Campins (1979-1984) (1984-1989) (1989-1993) 13 Vélasquez (1993-1994) (1994-1999) Average 7 998 in Source: adaptation from Amorim Neto and Magar, 2000: 35. ᵃ This is the formal end-date of C.A. Pérez’s term; he was impeached before expiration. ᵇ Only the returned bills up to 29th November 1995 are followed. Whenever the president’s party did not control the majority in Congress, the Venezuelan presidents have used the veto power more frequently. The only exception was represented by Lusinchi’s presidency. Lusinchi led AD to its greatest electoral victory in 25 years and he wanted to reform the state in order to cope with the economic crisis. However, the initial support of AD and the internal unity which carried Lusinchi into office became weak during his mandate. Some AD leaders started to criticize their government publicly and the factionalism grew within the party leading the President to block the will of the Congress always more frequently. The presidents Pérez and Caldera have used the veto more frequently during their second mandate showing that being lame ducks makes the presidents more comfortable when they have to veto. The Congress hardly ever followed the will of the president and it reapproved the bills vetoed. The analysis of the veto power and of its features shows that the Venezuelan bill-to-law provisions worked not so much to give presidents some advantage over their congresses, but to block interbranch deadlock. When a determined opposition controlled the Congress and the situation could border on crisis, the parties have reverted their behavior from obstructionist oppositions to protectors of the democratic system “above all else”. The number of the vetoes has increased from 1980s reflecting the growing tension between the President and the Congress during the years of the economic crisis and the resulting political instability.4 As far as the timing of the vetoes is concerned, in Venezuela the vetoes occurred almost 1.000 days before the end of the president’s mandate so the president remained, on average, 2 years and 9 months in office after the use of the veto. The standard deviation among the presidencies was small, one year five months approximately. The vetoes that occurred closer to the next elections were those issued by Ramón Velásquez. Thus, from the analysis it is evident that Venezuelan presidents have not used the veto power frequently during the first mandate, when the relationship between the recently elected president and the Congress is harmonious, the so-called “honeymoon period”. 4 Venezuelan economic decline persisted from 1979 to 1990. The debt crisis started in 1973 and the fell of oil prices happened in 1985. Opposition started to organize itself, public services declined, infrastructure deteriorate and the party system was affected by pathological tendencies such as corruption, loss of direction and controversial ideas within each party. 8 In the US, 35 of 43 Presidents have exercised the veto power on a total of 2,550 occasions since the beginning of the federal government in 1789. Of that number, 1,484, or 58 per cent, have been returned vetoes and 1,066, or 42 per cent, were pocket vetoes. 7.1 per cent, or 106, of the 1,484 regular vetoes have been overridden by Congress. Congress attempted to override President Nixon the most, on 87 percent of his vetoes. Several factors help explain why presidents have used the veto power in the US. Firstly, presidential vetoes have been more likely when the presidency and Congress were controlled by different political parties. Secondly, vetoes have been more likely in the second or fourth years of a mandate and when there was a sag in public support for the President (Spitzer, 1993: 72). Congress has been more likely to override a veto when party control was split between the branches and when the president’s political standing was low for example during the economic crisis. Tab.4.3. Congress House Senate Total Regular Pocket Overrides *Success Rate Eisenhower Totals 181 73 108 2 97.3% 83rd 50.8% 50% 52 21 31 0 100% 84th 46.7% 49% 34 12 22 0 100% 85 th 46.2% 49% 51 18 22 0 100% 86 th 35.2% 35% 44 22 22 2 90.9% 21 12 9 0 100% J.F. Totals Kennedy 87th 60.5% 64% 20 11 9 0 100% th 59.5% 66% 1 1 0 0 100% 30 16 14 0 100% 88 L.B. Totals Johnson 88th 59.5% 66% 8 4 4 0 100% 89th 67.8% 68% 14 10 4 0 100% th 56.8% 64% 8 2 6 0 100% 43 26 17 7 73.1% 90 R.M. Nixon Totals 91 44.1% 43% 11 8 3 3 62.5% 92nd 41.4% 44% 20 6 14 2 66.7% rd 44.1% 42% 12 12 0 2 83.3% 66 48 18 12 75.0% 27 16 11 4 75.0% 93 G.R. Ford st Totals 93rd 44.1% 42% 9 94th J. Carter R. Reagan G.H. Bush 33.1% 38% Totals 39 32 7 8 75% 31 13 18 2 84.6% 95th 67.1% 61% 19 6 13 0 100% 96th 63.7% 58% 12 7 5 2 71.4% 78 39 39 9 76.9% Totals 97 th 44.1% 53% 15 9 6 2 77.8% 98 th 38.2% 54% 24 9 15 2 77.8% 99th 41.8% 53% 20 13 7 2 84.6% 100th 40.7% 45% 19 8 11 3 62.5% 44 29 15 1 96.6% Totals 101 st 102nd 40.2% 45% 20 15 4 0 100% 38.4% 44% 24 14 11 1 92.9% Source: House Partisan Divisions adapted from the Office of the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives. Senate Partisan Divisions adapted from the United States Senate Historical Office. • 1789 - 1945 vetoes data obtained from "Presidential Vetoes, 1789-1988" (Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1992). • 1945 - present vetoes data compiled by Gerhard Peters, The American Presidency Project. *Veto success rate only includes regular vetoes. "Pocket vetoes" can only occur after a session of Congress has adjourned and cannot be overridden by Congress. The most noted use of the suspensive veto granted to the president as a real expression of substantive disagreement between the president and the Congress over policy was that exercised by Rafael Caldera during his first presidency. In 1969 Caldera won the presidency and it was the first time that a candidate of COPEI became the head of the State. Caldera’s party did not have a plurality in either Chamber and the Congress was the most factionalized in Venezuelan history. In August 1969, members of Democratic Action (Acción Democrática), Democratic Republic Union (Unión Republicana Democrática) and Democratic Popular Force (Fuerza Democrática Popular) proposed to reform the Organic Law of Judicial Power in order to make a new body, the National Judicial Council which would be responsible for naming 2.500 judges and it was going to be elected by Congress with the participation of the executive and legislative branches. But in practice, the National Judicial Council was controlled by the Congress which was guaranteed the majority. Caldera exercised the presidential veto for the first time under the 1961 Constitution. When the reform was returned to the President a second time with less than a two-thirds support, he exercised the veto again. However, the reform law passed a third time and Caldera was obligated to 10 promulgate it (Crisp,1997: 186). From then on, the judicial system became ground for conflict between the executive and legislative branches. Eisenhower was the first president who faced three Congresses controlled by the opposite party, so he learned quickly the importance of the veto to force compromise, above all in the final years of his presidency. Of his 181 vetoes 73 were regular vetoes, 108 pocket vetoes and the Congress overrode them twice. Kennedy was the first modern president to use the veto power less frequently vetoing only 21 times but none of his vetoes have been overridden, as in Johnson’s case. Gerald Ford (the most overridden presidents) and Richard Nixon are famous for the confrontational environments in which they had to govern. Indeed, Ford (and Reagan) vetoed more than 50 bills during his tenure in office (Kosar, 2005). Robert Spitzer (1993: 73) said that Ford’s presidency was the only one in that century to adopt a true veto strategy. He faced a heavily Democratic controlled Congress and issued sixty-six vetoes for his three years in office (forty-eight regular vetoes and eighteen pocket), twelve of which were overturned. As a Republican, his heavy-handed use of the veto caused problems for the Congress at a time when the country suffered from a deep economic crisis accompanied by an increasingly high unemployment rate. A Ford legislative liaison officer recalled, «We never deliberately sat down and made the decision that we would veto sixty bills in two years.…It was the only alternative.» (Light C., 1999: 112). Jimmy Carter vetoed thirty-one bills, despite having a comfortable Democratic majority, and two of Carter's vetoes were overridden (15.4 percent of all his regular vetoes) including the 1980 Oil Imports Fee, which was judged a major defeat for the President. Reagan in his eight-year term (1981–89) vetoed seventy-eight bills (thirty-nine regular and thirty-nine pocket; nine overridden) in an age of growing domestic and international difficulties. Bush found the veto to be a so important key instrument for blocking the legislation passed by a Congress firmly under Democratic control, that David Lauter defined him the “veto president”: all of his twenty-one vetoes during 1989-1991 were sustained. McKay (1989), Lee (1975), and Copeland (1983) all find that being a Democrat leads to some predisposition to veto legislation. Lee (1975) asserts that this can be because Democrats are more activist in nature, due to their views on the role of government, more interventionist. However, as the data show, Democrats were not more likely than Republicans to veto legislation among the modern presidencies. Thus, in this sense, party identity can be considered as an heritage of the past without having any independent effect on the use of the veto. The Democratic hegemony of the 1960s was replaced by the conflicted years of 1970s, when the relations between Republican presidents and Democratic Congresses were not in harmony and the 11 use of the veto increased correspondingly. With the return of a Democratic president in 1977, the instrument was used less often. Table 4.4. Presidential Vetoes of Public Bills, 1933-1986 President Total Regular Pocket Vetoes per year in office Override attempts Successful Overrides 11 0 0 Override attempts as a % of regular vetoes 36.6 0 0 Eisenhower J.F.Kennedy L.B. Johnson R.M. Nixon G.R. Ford J.Carter R.Reagan G.W. Bush 74 9 13 30 4 6 44 5 7 9.2 3.0 2.6 40 61 29 49 24 44 13 29 16 17 16 20 7.3 24.4 7.3 8.2 Successful Overrides as a % of attempts Successful Overrides as a % of Regular vetoes 2 0 0 18.2 0 0 6.6 0 0 22 28 4 10 91.6 63.6 30.8 34.5 5 11 2 6 22.8 39.3 50.0 66.0 20.8 25.0 15.4 20.7 Source: McKay, 1989: 453. As McKay suggested (1989: 454), what emerges from the table is the existence of two distinct periods: 1953-1968 and 1969-1986. Since 1969 the veto has been used more often and the party control as a main explanation of this tendency receives a support from the experience of the Eisenhower, Nixon and Ford administrations. Reagan did not experience an especially high proportion of override attempts (34.5 per cent) but no less than two-thirds of these attempts were successful, the highest of any modern president. Reagan's override majorities were actually larger than Nixon and Ford's. Again, we should expect the opposite given Republican control. One possible explanation can be that a split Congress produced a determination on the part of the Senate controlled by the Republicans to maintain itself free of presidential pressures. According to Gilmour (2002), Ford was most prone to using the veto, and Reagan, the least, even though Reagan frequently spoke of using the veto («Go ahead, make my day!»5). The main variable which explains the president’s usage of the veto power must be researched in the party composition of the Congress. A significant amount of variation in presidential veto behaviour is explained by the coincidence or the divergence between the president’s party and the majority in Congress. 5 In 1985, President Ronald Reagan spoke out against taxes during the American Business Conference and stated «I have my veto pen drawn and ready for any tax increase that Congress might even think of sending up. And I have only one thing to say to the tax increasers. Go ahead—make my day.» 12 In the light of the data showed by the tables, it can be confirmed that the presidential veto in the American version is actually a potential tool, but the Congress is not “without weapons”, not even in front of popular and authoritarian Presidents. The analysis reveals that in Venezuela the decree powers were the main source of the presidential power in the legislative process. A stronger veto would have been necessary to strengthen the president’s position in the legislative process, however, the Venezuelan send-back provisions had the bride side to block automatically interbranch deadlock. The percentage of vetoes was greater in the second term than in the first, the use of the veto power by the president increased to the end of their tenure, indeed, two-term presidents employed the veto power 14.6% more during the final two years of the second term than over the last two years of the first term. 5. Conclusions The analysis of the presidential veto power in Venezuela and the US has shown that the veto has been used more frequently when the presidency and Congress have been controlled by different political parties; vetoes have been more likely in the second or fourth year of the presidential term and when the president’s political standing was law, e.g. during the period of the economic crises. In the US, the Congress has been more likely to override a veto when party control was split between two branches. 13
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