SONDERFORSCHUNGSBEREICH 504 Rationalitätskonzepte, Entscheidungsverhalten und ökonomische Modellierung No. 02-48 The German Twin Crisis of 1931 Schnabel, Isabel September 2002 An earlier version of this paper circulated under my former surname Gödde. I would like to thank Martin Hellwig for his encouragement and advice. I also thank Michael Bordo, Christoph Buchheim, Timothy Guinnane, Gerd Hardach, Martin Summer, Peter Temin, seminar participants at the University of Mannheim, the International Monetary Fund, Deutsche Bundesbank, and Oesterreichische Nationalbank, and conference participants at the Verein für Socialpolitik for helpful comments and suggestions. 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Author Title 02-49 Alexander Klos Thomas Langer Martin Weber Über kurz oder lang - Welche Rolle spielt der Anlagehorizont bei Investitionsentscheidungen? 02-48 Isabel Schnabel The German Twin Crisis of 1931 02-47 Axel Börsch-Supan Annamaria Lusardi Saving Viewed from a Cross-National Perspective 02-46 Isabel Schnabel Hyun Song Shin Foreshadowing LTCM: The Crisis of 1763 02-45 Ulrich Koch Inkrementaler Wandel und adaptive Dynamik in Regelsystemen 02-44 Alexander Klos Die Risikoprämie am deutschen Kapitalmarkt 02-43 Markus Glaser Martin Weber Momentum and Turnover: Evidence from the German Stock Market 02-42 Mohammed Abdellaoui Frank Voßmann Martin Weber An Experimental Analysis of Decision Weights in Cumulative Prospect Theory under Uncertainty 02-41 Carlo Kraemer Martin Weber To buy or not to buy: Why do people buy too much information? 02-40 Nikolaus Beck Kumulation und Verweildauerabhängigkeit von Regeländerungen 02-39 Eric Igou The Role of Lay Theories of Affect Progressions in Affective Forecasting 02-38 Eric Igou Herbert Bless My future emotions versus your future emotions: The self-other effect in affective forecasting 02-37 Stefan Schwarz Dagmar Stahlberg Sabine Sczesny Denying the foreseeability of an event as a means of self-protection. The impact of self-threatening outcome information on the strength of the hindsight bias
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