SONDERFORSCHUNGSBEREICH 504 Rationalit

SONDERFORSCHUNGSBEREICH 504
Rationalitätskonzepte,
Entscheidungsverhalten und
ökonomische Modellierung
No. 02-48
The German Twin Crisis of 1931
Schnabel, Isabel
September 2002
An earlier version of this paper circulated under my former surname Gödde. I would like to thank
Martin Hellwig for his encouragement and advice. I also thank Michael Bordo, Christoph Buchheim,
Timothy Guinnane, Gerd Hardach, Martin Summer, Peter Temin, seminar participants at the University of Mannheim, the International Monetary Fund, Deutsche Bundesbank, and Oesterreichische
Nationalbank, and conference participants at the Verein für Socialpolitik for helpful comments and
suggestions.
Department of Economics, University of Mannheim, email: [email protected]
Universität Mannheim
L 13,15
68131 Mannheim
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6<
SONDERFORSCHUNGSBereich 504 WORKING PAPER SERIES
Nr.
Author
Title
02-49
Alexander Klos
Thomas Langer
Martin Weber
Über kurz oder lang - Welche Rolle spielt der
Anlagehorizont bei Investitionsentscheidungen?
02-48
Isabel Schnabel
The German Twin Crisis of 1931
02-47
Axel Börsch-Supan
Annamaria Lusardi
Saving Viewed from a Cross-National Perspective
02-46
Isabel Schnabel
Hyun Song Shin
Foreshadowing LTCM: The Crisis of 1763
02-45
Ulrich Koch
Inkrementaler Wandel und adaptive Dynamik in
Regelsystemen
02-44
Alexander Klos
Die Risikoprämie am deutschen Kapitalmarkt
02-43
Markus Glaser
Martin Weber
Momentum and Turnover: Evidence from the
German Stock Market
02-42
Mohammed Abdellaoui
Frank Voßmann
Martin Weber
An Experimental Analysis of Decision Weights in
Cumulative Prospect Theory under Uncertainty
02-41
Carlo Kraemer
Martin Weber
To buy or not to buy: Why do people buy too much
information?
02-40
Nikolaus Beck
Kumulation und Verweildauerabhängigkeit von
Regeländerungen
02-39
Eric Igou
The Role of Lay Theories of Affect Progressions in
Affective Forecasting
02-38
Eric Igou
Herbert Bless
My future emotions versus your future emotions:
The self-other effect in affective forecasting
02-37
Stefan Schwarz
Dagmar Stahlberg
Sabine Sczesny
Denying the foreseeability of an event as a means of
self-protection. The impact of self-threatening
outcome information on the strength of the
hindsight bias