Original and review articles © Schattauer 2012 The OsteoLaus Cohort Study Bone mineral density, micro-architecture score and vertebral fracture assessment extracted from a single DXA device in combination with clinical risk factors improve significantly the identification of women at high risk of fracture O. Lamy1,2; M.-A. Krieg1; D. Stoll1; B. Aubry-Rozier1,3; M. Metzger1; D. Hans1* 1Centre for Bone Diseases, Lausanne University Hospital, Lausanne, Switzerland; 2Service of internal medicine, Lausanne University Hospital, Lausanne, Switzerland; 3Service of Rheumatology, Lausanne University Hospital, Lausanne, Switzerland; *for the OsteoLaus Study Keywords Trabecular Bone Score (TBS), bone mineral density, vertebral fracture assessment, DXA device, osteoporosis Summary Indirect micro-architectural (MA) approximation is evaluable in daily practice by the Trabecular Bone Score (TBS) measure. The aim of the OsteoLaus cohort is to combine CRF and the information given by DXA (bone mineral density [BMD], TBS and vertebral fracture assessment [VFA]) to better identify women at high fracture risk. We included 631 women: mean age 67.4 ± 6.7 y, BMI 26.1 ± 4.6. Correlation between BMD and site matched TBS was low (r2 = 0.16). Prevalence of vertebral fractures (VFx) grade 2/3, major OP Fx and all OP Fx was 8.4 %, 17.0 % and 26.0 % respectively. Age- and BMI-adjusted ORs (per SD decrease) were 1.8 (1.2–2.5), 1.6 (1.2–2.1), 1.3 (1.1–1.6) for BMD and 2.0 (1.4–3.0), 1.9 (1.4–2.5), 1.4 (1.1–1.7) for TBS respectively. Correspondence to Dr. Olivier Lamy, PD & MER Centre for Bone Diseases Lausanne University Hospital (CHUV) – DAL Avenue Pierre Decker 4 CH-1011 Lausanne, Switzerland E-Mail: [email protected] Introduction Osteoporosis (OP) is a systemic skeletal disease characterized by a low bone mineral density (BMD) and a micro-architectural The TBS ORs (per SD decrease) adjusted for age, BMI and spine BMD for VFx grade 2/3, major and all OP Fx were 1.7 (1.1–2.7),1.6 (1.2–2.2) and 1.3 (1.0–1.7) respectively. Only 35 to 44 % of women with OP Fx had a BMD < –2.5 SD or a TBS < 1.200. If we combine a BMD < –2.5 SD or a TBS < 1.200, 54 to 60 % of women with an OP Fx are identified. Therefore by using VFA, BMD, and TBS from a simple and low ionizing radiation device, the DXA, we can obtain additional informations which are useful for the patient in the daily practice. Die OsteoLaus-Kohortenstudie – Die Kombination aus Knochenmineraldichte, MikroarchitekturScore und Wirbelfrakturerkennung, abgeleitet aus einer einzelnen DXA-Aufnahme, und klinischen Risikofaktoren verbessert deutlich die Identifizierung von Frauen mit hohem Frakturrisiko Osteology 2012; 21: 77–82 received: April 23, 2012 accepted after revision: May 29, 2012 lich. Das Ziel der OsteoLaus-Kohorte besteht darin, klinische Risikofaktoren und Informationen aus der DXA (Knochenmineraldichte [BMD], TBS und Wirbelkörperfrakturerkennung [VFA]) zu kombinieren, um Frauen mit hohem Frakturrisiko leichter zu erkennen. Wir nahmen 631 Frauen im mittleren Alter von 67,4 ± 6,7 J. und mit einem BMI von 26,1 ± 4,6 auf. Es bestand eine schwache Korrelation zwischen BMD und Zentrums-gematchtem TBS (r² = 0,16). Die Prävalenz von Wirbelfrakturen (VFx) Grad 2/3, größeren osteoporotischen (OP) Frakturen und allen OP-Frakturen betrug 8,4 %, 17,0 % bzw. 26,0 %. Alters- und BMI-adjustierte OR (nach abnehmender SD) lagen bei 1,8 (1,2–2,5), 1,6 (1,2–2,1) bzw. 1,3 (1,1–1,6) für BMD und 2,0 (1,4–3,0), 1,9 (1,4–2,5) bzw. 1,4 (1,1–1,7) für TBS. Die TBS OR (nach abnehmender SD), adjustiert nach Alter, BMI und Wirbelsäulen-BMD, für VFx Grad 2/3, größere und alle OP-Frakturen betrugen 1,7 (1,1–2,7), 1,6 (1,2–2,2) bzw. 1,3 (1,0–1,7). Nur 35 bis 44 % der Frauen mit OP-Frakturen hatten eine BMD < –2,5 SD oder einen TBS < 1.200. Durch Kombination eines BMD < –2,5 SD oder TBS < 1,200 werden 54 bis 60 % der Frauen mit OP-Fraktur erkannt. Somit können wir anhand von VFA, BMD und TBS aus einem einfachen und strahlenarmen Röntgenverfahren, der DXA, Zusatzinformationen gewinnen, die für den Patienten im Praxisalltag von Nutzen sind. (MA) deterioration, with a consequent increase in bone fragility and susceptibility to fracture. The gold standard for the diagnosis of osteoporosis is measurement of BMD by dual X-Ray absorptiometry (DXA). However, more than 50 % of osteoporotic fractures occur in individuals whose DXA T-score is higher than the cutoff of –2.5 SD (1). It is accepted that defining osteoporosis on the sole basis of BMD Schlüsselwörter TBS-Wert (Trabecular Bone Score), Knochenmineraldichte, VFA (Vertebral Fracture Assessment), DXA-Gerät, Osteoporose Zusammenfassung Eine indirekte Beurteilung der Mikroarchitektur (MA) ist in der täglichen Praxis anhand des TBS (Trabecular Bone Score) näherungsweise mög- Osteologie 2/2012 Downloaded from www.osteologie-journal.de on 2017-06-17 | IP: 88.99.165.207 For personal or educational use only. No other uses without permission. All rights reserved. 77 78 O. Lamy et al.: The OsteoLaus Cohort Study reached its limit. Indeed, the multifactorial aspect of this disease encourages more complex risk model based on both Clinical Risk Factor (CRF) and BMD (2). Taking into account epidemiological data and the impact of these CRF on the 10-year absolute probability of fracture, the FRAX® model was developed (3). The goal of this model is a better definition of patients at high risk for fracture, and by that making them candidates for treatment. However, FRAX® has several recognized limitations (4–6). Some CRF are interpreted as an indirect MA approximation. Therefore, any more direct additional information about MA would probably help to distinguish patients with and without fracture having the same BMD (7). Clearly, developing a novel technique for the efficient, non-invasive clinical evaluation of bone MA remains both crucial and challenging. MA is indirectly and easily evaluable by the Trabecular Bone Score (TBS) measure without additional ionizing radiation. TBS is a novel grey-level texture measurement that is based on the use of experimental variograms of 2D projection images (8, 9). It is able to differentiate between two different micro-architectures that exhibit the same bone density, but different trabecular characteristics (씰Fig. 1). TBS measures the mean rate of local variation of grey levels in 2D projection images. TBS cannot be considered as a direct physical measure but rather as a bone textural index strongly correlated to bone microarchitecture (8–10). The TBS is obtained after re-analysis of a DXA exam, and gives added value to the site matched BMD. An elevated TBS reflects strong, fractureresistant MA; a low TBS reflects weak, fracture-prone MA. TBS is very simple to obtain, by reanalyzing a lumbar DXA-scan. TBS is correlated with bone MA parameters: trabecular spacing (r = 0.63–0.65), trabecular number (r = 0.73–0.76), connectivity density (r = 0.79–0.83) and SMI (r = –0.6) (9–10). More importantly, previous studies have documented the value of the trabecular bone score (TBS) in diagnosis and prognosis value, independently of CRF and BMD (11–14). Vertebral fractures (VFx) are one of the most severe fractures in osteoporosis with a very high morbidity and mortality (15, 16). However, their clinical diagnosis is low because VFx are asymptomatic in 60–70 % of cases (17) and their prognostic relevance is not taken into account in the FRAX® model (3). Recent generations of DXA systems provide not only accurate and reproducible measurements of BMD, but also the opportunity to use high-quality DXA scans in place of standard X-rays to confirm and characterize existing vertebral fractures. So we are yet able to have additional information useful for the patient in the daily practice: VFA, BMD, and TBS from a simple, low ionizing radiation and inexpensive device: DXA. As seen previously, the definition of osteoporosis is evolving into a modern definition of fracture risk, including clinical risk factors and parameters of bone measures. However these tools are poorly validated in daily routine and require ideally long term prospective follow up. It is therefore important to have a cohort with a maximum tool and clinical outcomes. The OsteoLaus study is a population-based study with a sample of approximately 1400 women, extensively phenotyped and genotyped, 50 to 80 years old. All these women have in particular a DXA with BMD, VFA and MA evaluation. The global aim of our study is to compare transversally and then prospectively (10 years follow-up) different models to predict the fracture risk and to see how information on MA could enhance either model or explain the differences between these models. Preliminary results of the transversal phase are reported in this paper. Method Colaus Study (18) Fig. 1 The principle of trabecular Bone Score with two examples (patients with the same BMD) Colaus is an abbreviation for “Cohort Lausanne”. Briefly, recruitment took place in the city of Lausanne in Switzerland, a town of 117,161 inhabitants, of which 79,420 are of a Swiss Nationality. The complete list of the Lausanne inhabitants aged 35–75 years (n = 56,694 in 2003) was provided by the population register of the city and served to sample the participants to the study. All sub- Osteologie 2/2012 © Schattauer 2012 Downloaded from www.osteologie-journal.de on 2017-06-17 | IP: 88.99.165.207 For personal or educational use only. No other uses without permission. All rights reserved. O. Lamy et al.: The OsteoLaus Cohort Study jects living in the city of Lausanne in 2003 for more than 90 days have their name included in this register. Of the initial 19,830 subjects sampled, finally 6,188 men and women agreed to participate and were eligible for all the parts of the Colaus Study (an extensive phenotyped and genotyped characterization). The aim of the Colaus Study is to assess the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs) in the Caucasian population of Lausanne and to determine new genetic determinants associated with CVRFs. In addition, sub-studies were designed to assess other aspects of this population and were nested onto this study. The Colaus study is designed to be followed for more than 10 years. Table 1 OsteoLaus. Patient’s characteristics at baseline (preliminary results for the first 631 patients); BMI: body mass index; Fx: fracture; OP: osteoporotic; SD: standard deviation; Major OP Fx = vertebral, hip, shoulder, wrist Lumbar spine Bone mineral density Patients (n) 631 Age ± SD Trabecular bone score 67.4 ± 6.7 26.1 ± 4.6 2) BMI (kg/m BMD/TBS mean ± SD 0.943 ± 0.168 BMD T-score (mean) –1.4 – Correlation BMD – TBS (r2) 0.16 Vertebral Fx (grade 2/ 3) 8.4 % Adjusted ORgr2/3 (for age and BMI)/SD 1.8 (1.2–2.5) Major OP Fx (grade 2/3) 1.271 ± 0.103 2.0 (1.4–3.0) 17.0 % Adjusted ORgr2/3 (for age and BMI)/SD 1.6 (1.2–2.1) 1.9 (1.4–2.5) 26.0 % All OP Fx (grade 2/3) ORgr2/3 adjusted for age and BMI 1.3 (1.1–1.6) 1.40 (1.1–1.7) OsteoLaus (19) OsteoLaus is a sub-study of Colaus which started five years later. OsteoLaus was proposed to all women 50–80 years old who participated at the second Colaus visit between September 2009 and September 2012. At this time, near 85 % of the women (seen at the second visit in Colaus, with five years follow-up) accepted to participate in the OsteoLaus Study. We expected to include 1400 women. Results for the first 631 included women are given below. The Study was approved by the Institutional Ethic's Committee of the University of Lausanne. Major exclusion’s criteria are the following: 1. any disease known to affect bone metabolism, 2. drugs taken by the subjects known to have a negative or a positive effect on bone metabolism and 3. a BMI less than 16 and above 40. At baseline, each patient would have: 1. a questionnaire about their potential clinical risk factors of fracture/osteoporosis (including Swiss FRAX® assessment), and about any conditions which could have an effect on bone metabolism, 2. one spine (L1 to L4) and one femur measurements using the Discovery A System (Hologic, USA), 3. one heel measurement using the Achilles Insight System (GE Healthcare Lunar, USA), Fig. 2 Covariate adjusted area under the curve (AUC) from ROC statistics for lumbar spine BMD, TBS and TBS adjusted for BMD 4. a blind (from prevalent clinical conditions) central processing of TBS (TBS iNsight v1.9, medimaps, France) based on a previously acquired AP spine DXA scan, and 5. one VFx assessment using the semiquantitative approach of HK. Genant (20). The global aims of our study are: 1. to compare retrospectively different models to predict the fracture risk and to see how information on MA could enhance either model or explain the differences between these models, 2. to assess the relationship between osteoporosis and cardiovascular diseases. We then hope to follow this cohort for ten years. Descriptive analysis included means and percentages with standard deviations (SD). Percentage change in BMD at each site and in TBS was calculated for each subject as the absolute change over the duration of follow-up divided by the baseline value. Pearson correlation coefficients were calculated comparing site-specific BMD and TBS. Odds ratios (OR) were calculated to estimate the risk of a prevalent fracture, using age and BMI-adjusted logistic regression. Age- and BMI adjusted Area under the Receiver operator characteristic (AUC) values were calculated. Finally, women were categorized into two groups according to the WHO classification: non osteoporotic and osteoporotic and stratified above and below 1.200 threshold of TBS. Chi2 test were used to compare fracture incidence below and above the BMD/TBS thresholds. For all inferential tests, the threshold for statistical significance was set at p < 0.05, and all tests © Schattauer 2012 Osteologie 2/2012 Downloaded from www.osteologie-journal.de on 2017-06-17 | IP: 88.99.165.207 For personal or educational use only. No other uses without permission. All rights reserved. 79 80 O. Lamy et al.: The OsteoLaus Cohort Study Sensitivity Specificity Single models Combined models FRAX® All fracture (Swiss threshold ([age]) 23.8 % 92.4 % FRAX® All fracture (20 % threshold) 28.6 % 93.4 % BMI 20 threshold 4.8 % 93.9 % Spine BMD (–2.5 T-score threshold) 33.3 % 74.1 % Spine TBS (–1.200 threshold) 42.9 % 74.6 % Spine BMD or TBS thresholds 59.5 % 59.2 % Spine BMD or FRAX® thresholds (age) 45.2 % 70.4 % Spine TBS or FRAX® thresholds (age) 52.4 % 70.9 % Spine TBS or BMD or FRAX® thresholds (age) 66.7 % 56.2 % were two-tailed. Statistica (Version 8.0, StatSoft, Inc., Tulsa, OK, USA) was used for all statistical analyses. Results The characteristics of the 631 women are given in 씰Table 1. The Age- and BMIadjusted ORs (per each BMD SD decrease) were 1.8 (1.2–2.5) for VFx grade 2/3, 1.6 (1.2–2.1) for major OP fractures, and 1.3 (1.1–1.6) for all OP fractures. The age- and BMI-adjusted ORs (per each TBS SD decrease) were 2.0 (1.4–3.0), 1.9 (1.4–2.5), 1.4 (1.1–1.7) respectively, for each type of fractures. The age- and BMI-adjusted AUC for lumbar spine BMD, TBS and TBS adjusted for BMD was between 0.61 and 0.68, lower for all OP fractures and higher for VFx grade 2/3 and major OP fractures (씰Fig. 2). The AUC for the TBS adjusted for age, BMI and BMD remained significant for all the categories of fracture. The TBS ORs (per each SD decrease) adjusted for age, BMI and spine BMD for VFx grade 2/3, major and all OP Fx were 1.7 (1.1–2.7),1.6 (1.2–2.2) and 1.3 (1.0–1.7) respectively. Using a triage approach, only 35 to 44 % of women with one type of OP fractures had a BMD < –2.5 SD or a TBS < 1.200. If Table 2 Comparison between single versus combined models in regard to sensitivity and specificity using the vertebral fracture sub group we combine a BMD < –2.5 SD and a TBS < 1.200, 54 to 60 % of women with an osteoporotic Fx are identified (Chi2 trend were all significant). The Comparison between single versus combined models in regards to sensitivity and specificity using the vertebral fracture sub group can be found in 씰Table 2. TBS as a stand-alone approach displayed a sensitivity of 42.9 % and specificity of 74.6 % versus 33.3 % and 74.1 % Conclusion In agreement with published studies, these preliminary results confirm: 1. the partial independence between BMD and TBS, demonstrating that TBS is measuring different bone entities, and 2. and that a combination of BMD and TBS increases significantly the identification of women with prevalent OP fractures. We therefore are able to have complementary information about fracture (VFA), BMD and TBS with a simple, low ionising radiation and an inexpensive device: DXA. The combination of TBS and FRAX® would be worth to be further evaluated. As most fractures occur in women with osteopenia, identifying individuals most likely to fracture can facilitate more efficient utilization of health care resources. for Spine BMD respectively while the FRAX® outcome was in the range of 23.8 and 92.4 % respectively. The combination of TBS and FRAX® seems to be the best comprise in sensitivity (52.4 %/specificity (70.9 %). Discussion These preliminary results of our cohort study confirm the very low correlation between lumbar spine BMD and TBS (r2 = 0.16). TBS predicts vertebral, major and all OP fracture equally well than spine BMD and thus independently of age and BMD. This prediction ability remained significant even after adjustment for spine BMD confirming that TBS measures other bone characteristics than density. TBS is meant to fulfil the “micro-architectural” part of the current definition of osteoporosis. We have tested the complementarity of BMD and TBS in a 2 step triage approach. Such approach demonstrated the significant added value of TBS in addition to bone mineral density for the identification of patients at higher risk of fracture. Moreover the global combination of TBS and FRAX® (BMD) improves the sensitivity (52 % versus 33 to 43 % for BMD or TBS alone), while maintaining an appropriate level of specificity. Such interesting findings on combining FRAX® and TBS have never been reported before. However, the optimum model and threshold has yet to be further investigated. It is interesting and reassuring to see that we obtain the same results in another Swiss cohort study (Osteo-Mobile, preliminary results based on 510 women) analysed independently (21). This added value of TBS has been further documented in cross-sectional, prospective and longitudinal studies (11–14, 21–35). Indeed, TBS has been found: 1. to be lower in post-menopausal women with a past osteoporotic fracture compared with age- and BMD-matched women without fracture (11), 2. to give an incremental increase in the odds ratio for spine fracture when combined with spine BMD (12, 21–25), 3. to be lower in women with fractures compared with women without frac- Osteologie 2/2012 © Schattauer 2012 Downloaded from www.osteologie-journal.de on 2017-06-17 | IP: 88.99.165.207 For personal or educational use only. No other uses without permission. All rights reserved. O. Lamy et al.: The OsteoLaus Cohort Study tures, irrespective of whether their BMD met the criteria for osteoporosis or osteopenia (13, 21–25), 4. to prospectively predict fracture as well as spine BMD (14, 26, 27), 5. to recapture around 1/3 of the patients who were miss-classified according to the BMD WHO definition of osteoporosis alone (21–27), and 6. to be responsive to treatment therapy (28–32). In the large Manitoba study including 29,407 women > 50 years old and followed for 4.7 years, TBS was demonstrated to improve the OP fracture identification in a sequential approach to risk reclassification using BMD followed by TBS (14). Out of 321 (19 %) major osteoporotic fractures in women with normal lumbar spine BMD, 93 (30 %) occurred in the lowest TBS tertile, and 203 (63 %) in the lowest two tertiles. In addition, 635 (38 %) major osteoporotic fractures were identified in patients who had lumbar spine BMD in the osteopenic range, among whom 272 (43 %) had TBS in the lowest tertile and 501 (79 %) in the lowest two tertiles. Only 899 of 7,157 (12.6 %) of women with lumbar spine BMD in the osteoporotic range had TBS in the highest tertile and only 51 of 712 (7.2 %) of the fracture subjects had TBS in the highest tertile. TBS would have correctly reclassified 43 % of the fracture subjects found in the osteopenic BMD range (vs. 30.5 % of non-fractured subjects) and 29 % in the normal BMD range (vs. 20.2 % of non-fractured subjects). Overall, 365 (38 %) fracture subjects misclassified by lumbar spine BMD as non-osteoporotic according to the WHO definition were in the lowest TBS tertile suggesting poor microarchitecture. Such results were consistent with our findings and particularly interesting since we have used the same TBS lowest threshold at 1.200. This threshold may not be optimal but seems to come out consistently throughout reported studies (33). The risk of fracture is multi-factorial. Many CRF are independent or partially independent of the BMD to predict the fracture risk. Moreover, BMD does not capture the 3D micro-architecture of bone tissue, which constitutes an important additional factor of bone strength. TBS is a promising factor to identify patients at high risk of fracture. What will be in the future the place of TBS in a model of risk prediction? Will it be used in addition to the CRF and BMD as included in the FRAX®, or in place of some CRF (34)? The TBS seems to be particularly low (in comparison with BMD) in some conditions like rheumatoid arthritis (36), treatment with glucocorticoids (37) or aromatase inhibitors (32). In the future, a new model, including (eventually) TBS and certainly the identification of asymptomatic vertebral fractures, will be necessary to better identify women at high risk of fracture. 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