Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Using Empirical Subsystem Influence Coefficients www.a-sp.org Report on Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Using Empirical Subsystem Influence Coefficients by Donald E Malen, Adjunct Assistant Professor Kundan Reddy, Masters Candidate InterProfessional Programs University of Michigan Ann Arbor, MI Prepared for The FGPC-Mass Compounding Project Team Auto/Steel Partnership 2000 Town Center, Suite 320 Southfield, Michigan May 9, 2007 (Revised June 26, 2007) Acknowledgments The authors deeply appreciate the guidance and support provided by the FGPC-Mass Compounding project team: J. R. Shaw, US Steel Corp. (Chairman); H. Ezzat , T. M. Lee, C. C. Leung, J. Polewarczyk, General Motors Corp., V. C. Shah, DaimlerChrysler Corp.; R. Sohmshetty, S. Das, Ford Motor Co.; C. Potter, A.I.S.I.; and R. A. Heimbuch, P. J Villano, Auto/Steel Partnership. Special appreciation is due to the diligent efforts of C. Leung and V. Shah in providing vehicle mass data and their patience in the several iterations of consolidating the data. The authors also appreciate the data provided by L. Pecar of the GM Benchmarking Activity. 2 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Executive Summary Vehicle design engineers intuitively know that an unplanned mass increase in a component during vehicle design has a ripple effect throughout the vehicle; other components need to be resized increasing vehicle mass even more. The phrase mass begets mass describes this phenomenon. A more encouraging view of this behavior is considering a reduction in the mass of a component enabled by a new technology resulting in a greater mass saving for the overall vehicle. These secondary mass changes can be considerable—estimated at an additional 0.7 to 1.8 times the initial mass change. This mass compounding behavior may be modeled using subsystem mass influence coefficients—the incremental change in subsystem mass for a unit change in gross vehicle mass. Published data on influence coefficients is sparse, and that published are based on vehicles in the 1975–1981 model years. The purpose of this study is to update influence coefficients using contemporary vehicles. In this study, mass data from 35 vehicles have been analyzed to determine mass influence coefficients. The vehicles in the study covered Sedans, SUVs, Pick Ups, and Vans (See Appendix C for the specific models used). Linear regression was used to determine the influence coefficients. The primary results of this study are summarized in the illustration below. The secondary mass change is that additional change due to resizing components when a vehicle mass change occurs during design (the primary change). This secondary change depends on the vehicle mass influence coefficient—the sum of coefficients for the subsystems. Indicated are results of previous studies from 1975 and 1981, along with results of this study for All vehicles, the SUV group, and the Sedan group. (The Pick Up and Van categories had an insufficient number of vehicles to be represented alone.) When all subsystems can be resized, the secondary mass savings is from 0.8 to 1.5 kg/kg (1.25kg/kg is the estimate for the All vehicles group). When the powertrain has been fixed and is not available for resizing, the secondary mass savings is from 0.4 to 0.5 kg/kg (0.5kg/kg is the estimate for the All vehicles group). 2.5 2.0 Secondary Mass 1.5 Savings as Fraction of 1.0 Original Change 0.5 Γ V 1981 0.0 1975 All Sedan SUV 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 Vehicle Mass Influence γ V All subsystems free to resize All subsystems less powertrain Section 8 provides an in depth example application of this data. 3 0.7 0.8 Table of Contents 1. Acknowledgements 2 2. Executive Summary 3 3. Preliminary Mass Estimation in Vehicle Design 5 4. Mass Compounding Model 5 5. Previous work on Mass Influence Coefficients 6 6. Description of this study 7 7. Summary of Results 8 8. Example Applications 9 9. Bibliography 14 Appendices Technical Appendix A Derivation of mass model with influence coefficients 15 Technical Appendix B Estimation of subsystem influence coefficients 18 Data Appendix C Vehicles used in analysis 22 Functional Subsystem Mass Categories 23 • • • • • • Gross Vehicle Mass vs. Plan View Area Curb Mass vs. Plan View Area System Mass as a percentage of Curb Mass Summary of Influence Coefficients Subsystem Mass vs. Gross Vehicle Mass-Linear Subsystem Mass vs. Gross Vehicle Mass-Log repeated for 1) All Vehicles 2) Sedans 3) SUVs 4) Pick Ups 24 29 34 39 Tabular Summary of Subsystem Influence Coefficients 44 Selection of Influence Coefficients for Inclusion in Model 45 4 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy 3. Preliminary Mass Estimation in Vehicle Design Vehicle mass is an important parameter during design. Subsystems are sized based on vehicle mass, and important product characteristics such as acceleration performance and fuel economy depend on vehicle mass. Given this importance of mass in vehicle design, mass estimation becomes a critical activity. The purpose of mass estimation varies with the design stage. During the product planning stage, or pre-configuration stage, the purpose of mass estimation is to determine general feasibility of a program and to set initial mass goals for vehicle subsystems. At this stage, only a broad vehicle mission is identified; for example vehicle type and number of passengers. Because of this sparse data, mass estimation is often based on first order statistical models based on contemporary vehicles. In the next stage of design, the configuration stage, the purpose of mass estimation is to aid in decision making about which alternative technologies to include in the program, and also to add additional precision to subsystem mass goals. In this stage, mass estimation is based on both semi-empirical models and statistical data. During the detail design stage, post-configuration stage, the goal of mass estimation is monitor mass growth and to control to target. As the vehicle configuration is set, mass estimation is based on actual subsystem designs and prototypes. In this paper, we focus on the pre-configuration and configuration stages. These are particularly significant as lasting decisions are made about which technologies and subsystem will be used. The implications of these decisions shadow all subsequent work. 4. Mass Compounding Model Vehicle design engineers intuitively know that an unplanned mass increase in a component during vehicle design has a ripple effect throughout the vehicle; other components need to be resized increasing vehicle mass even more. The phrase mass begets mass describes this phenomenon. A more encouraging view of this behavior is considering a reduction in the mass of a component enabled by a new technology resulting in a greater mass saving for the overall vehicle. These secondary mass changes can be considerable—estimated at an additional 0.7 to 1.8 times the initial—primary--mass change. A means to quantify the secondary mass change is with a mass compounding model. In this model, each subsystem (denoted by i) is assigned an influence coefficient, γi. The influence coefficient is the change in the subsystem mass when gross vehicle mass undergoes a unit change. The physical interpretation of the influence coefficient is each subsystem is sized to some degree by the mass of the vehicle, and as the vehicle mass changes the subsystem must also be resized. The typical question we are interested in answering is; Given a balanced vehicle under design, a primary mass change now occurs during design. What is the final vehicle mass after resizing subsystems? The answer depends on the vehicle mass influence coefficient, γVEH. This the sum of coefficients for all subsystems which may undergo resizing. The resulting vehicle mass is given by Equation 4.1 (see Appendix A for a derivation). 5 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy WV∞ = W0 + ∆ + ∆ΓV Equation 4.1 ⎡ γV ⎤ ΓV = ⎢ ⎥ Secondary Mass Coefficient for Vehicle ⎣ (1 − γ V ) ⎦ where Equation 4.2 W0 is the initial vehicle mass for which the subsystems are sized ∆ is the initial mass change ( primary mass change) is the resized, compounded vehicle mass WV∞ ∆ΓV is the additional (secondary) mass change n γV is the mass influence coefficient for the vehicle given by γ V = ∑ γ i γI is the mass influence coefficient for subsystem i i =1 The resulting mass for subsystem i due to an initial increase of ∆; wi ∞ = wi + ∆Γi Equation 4.3 ⎡ γi ⎤ Γi = ⎢ ⎥ Secondary Mass Coefficient for Subsystem i ⎣ (1 − γ v ) ⎦ is the initial subsystem mass wi wi∞ ∆Γi where Equation 4.4 is the resized subsystem mass is the additional secondary change γV , γi and ∆ are given above 5. Previous work on Mass Influence Coefficients Published data on influence coefficients is sparse, and those published are based on vehicles in the 1975– 1981 model years [1, 2, 3]. Figure 5.1 summarizes the subsystem mass influence coefficients for two of these studies. Both studies used linear regression of measured subsystem mass data as described in the next section. 0 .3 0 .2 5 0 .2 0 .1 5 0 .1 1 9 7 5 -1 3 v e h ic le s , G M H , X , A , B , C p la tfo rm s 1 9 8 1 -1 8 v e h ic le s , ra n g e o f m a n u fa c tu re s , c o m p a c t fro n t w h e e l d riv e Summary of Previous Mass Influence Coefficients Figure 5.1 6 rs Bu m pe ca tri ec El Ti g rin ee St re s W & he el s l in tr a er w Po a S y k in g st em si Br en Su sp r ea R Su t sp e on Fr Bo d St y ru ct ur ns e io n 0 on 0 .0 5 γ v e h = .6 4 4 γ v e h = .4 2 0 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Based on these influence coefficients, the secondary vehicle mass savings using Equation 4.2 is 1.81 for the 1975 study, and 0.72 for the 1981 study. Note that resizing the body structure and powertrain contribute the most to this secondary mass savings. 6. Description of this study In this study, we identify subsystem influence coefficients using regression. A function is fit relating the mass of subsystem i to gross vehicle mass, Figure 6.1. The influence coefficient is the slope of the fit curve. Data from 32 vehicles were used for the fit. The 32 vehicles were further divided into Sedan, SUV, and Pick up groups. Appendix B describes the model and the method used for estimation. Appendix C shows the scatter plots for each subsystem for each vehicle group. Subsystem Mass Wi γ Gross Vehicle Mass, WV Influence Coefficient By Linear Regression Figure 6.1 Figure 6.2 shows a comparison of influence coefficients by subsystem. Shown are the results for each vehicle group for both a linear function and also a power function, Equation B.3. A more complete table of results is contained in Appendix C-Tabular Summary of Subsystem Influence Coefficients. 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 No n-s tr u Bo ctu dy re St ruc Fr on tu r tS e us pe Re ns ar ion Su sp en sio n Br ak i ng Po we rT Fu rai el n & Ex ha us t St e er i Tir ng es & W he els Ele c tr ica l Co ol i ng Bu mp er s Cl os ur e s 0.0 1975 Study 1981 Study All Vehicles (Linear) Sedan (Linear) SUV (Linear) Pick Up (Linear) All Vehicles (Power @ 3000kg) Sedan (Power @ 3000kg) SUV (Power @ 3000kg) Pick Up (Power @ 3000kg) Subsystem Mass Influence Coefficients Determined in this Study Figure 6.2 7 An alternative means to estimate the mass influence coefficient is by the Ratio Method [7]. In this method, only the single reference vehicle data is needed. The subsystem mass-to-gross vehicle mass relationship is assumed as shown in Figure 6.3. In this case, the influence coefficient is given by Equation 5.1. γ = wi / WV Subsystem Mass wi Gross Vehicle Mass WV Influence Coefficient By Ratio Figure 6.3 Ratio method for influences coefficient determination, γi = where wi Wv Equation 6.1 wi current subsystem mass WV original gross vehicle mass 7. Summary of Results The results of this study are summarized in Table 7.1 and graphically in Figure 7.1. All Sedan SUV Ratio (sedan) .562 .599 .463 .532 .332 .331 .290 .391 1.28 Times primary mass change 0.50 times 1.49 times 0.86 times 1.14 times 0.49 times 0.41 times 0.64 times Vehicle Influence Coefficient All subsystems free to resize Vehicle Influence Coefficient All subsystems free to resize Except Powertrain Secondary Mass savings All subsystems free to resize Secondary Mass Savings All subsystems free to resize Except Powertrain Secondary Mass Savings Table 7.1 Indicated on Figure 7.1 are results of previous studies from 1975 and 1981, along with results of this study for All vehicles, the SUV group, and the Sedan group. (The Pick Up and Van categories had an insufficient number of vehicles to be represented alone.) When all subsystems can be resized, the secondary mass savings is from 0.8 to 1.5 kg/kg (1.25kg/kg is the estimate for the All vehicles group). When the powertrain is not available for resizing, the secondary mass savings is from 0.4 to 0.5 kg/kg (0.5kg/kg is the estimate for the All vehicles group). 8 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy 2.5 2.0 Secondary Mass 1.5 Savings as Fraction of Original 1.0 Change 0.5 ΓV 1981 0.0 1975 All Sedan SUV 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Vehicle Mass Influence 0.6 0.7 Pick Up 0.8 0.9 γV All subsystems free to resize All subsystems less powertrain Secondary Mass Savings Figure 7.1 8. Example Application A new vehicle is in the planning stage (pre-configuration). It is targeted at 5 passengers with a 120kg cargo capacity. The target test weight class for fuel economy evaluation is 2250Lb (1950Lb or 886kg curb mass). Mass reduction is a primary goal and several technologies are under investigation for application. The objectives of mass analysis at this stage are to 1) determine an initial mass estimate for the vehicle based on conventional design 2) determine the most effective mass reduction technologies to apply 3) estimate the vehicle mass when these technologies are used 4) set subsystem mass goals for the detail design stage which are consistent with 1) , 2), & 3). Step 1: Pre Configuration Mass Estimation From human accommodation and dimensional benchmarking, the vehicle length is estimated at 4.732 m and width at 1.815m. From this sparse data, the vehicle curb mass can be estimated given the plan view area (relationship in Appendix C, Sedan section). curb mass (kg) = 147.75 A(m 2 ) + 229.59 A = (1.815m)(4.732m) = 8.58858m 2 curb mass = 1498.55kg Adding passenger mass and cargo mass, the gross vehicle mass is found. Finally, based on the Subsystem Mass fraction of Curb Mass (Appendix C in the Sedan Section) the mass of each subsystem may be estimated. For example, (Body Non-structure mass) = 0.204 (Curb Mass) (Body Non-structure mass) = 305.70 kg These steps are automated in the spreadsheet provided with this project, Figure 8.1. 9 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Pre-Configuration Vehicle Mass Estimation Figure 8.1 The above mass estimate is for a nominal vehicle as defined by the data set used in this paper given the footprint. This estimate is greater than the desired 886kg curb mass by 633kg. Step 2: Identify Mass Reduction Technologies With the nominal vehicle identified, potential mass reduction technologies may be identified for each subsystem. For consistent evaluation of technologies, these steps are suggested; 2a) The initial mass for each subsystem is given by the nominal vehicle of Step 1 (those identified in Figure 8.1 in this example). Example: Front Suspension subsystem mass=73.43kg 2b) Now for a vehicle of the gross vehicle mass identified in Step 1 (1968.55kg) determine the new subsystem mass enabled by a particular technology. Example technology: Shape optimization arms Front Suspension mass with technology=66.09kg >>Note that this new front suspension is sized for the gross mass of the vehicle identified in Step 1. This is required for the later mass compounding analysis.<< 2c) The mass savings is the difference between 2a) and 2b). Example mass savings=73.43-66.09=7.34kg 10 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy These steps are summarized for several hypothetical technologies in Table 8.1 Columns 1, 2, 3. subsystem mass reduction technology mass savings cost kg cost/unit mass (mc) $ Tires & Wheels Minimum capacity wheels and tires 20.00 -20 non structure reduced sound treatment with 19.45 -5 Braking optimized pedal bracket 3.00 0 rear suspension shape optimization 6.59 0 body structure joint improvements 15.00 0 closures hardware: optimization for bar 10.00 0.1 front suspension shape optimization 7.34 0.2 body structure AHSS optimization 70.00 3 non structure reduce glass thickness 5.00 0.3 non structure IP substrate optimization 21.43 2 Braking tubular pedals 4.00 0.4 non structure seat frame shape optimization 40.00 5 closures AHSS optimization 12.46 2 Fuel and Exhaust lower gage of exhaust 5.99 1 bumper shape optimization 4.95 1 steering tubular rack 2.00 0.5 powertrain reduce wall thickness 27.72 7 non structure carpet material 15.00 5 non structure new seat system technology 5.00 5 Fuel and Exhaust New muffler technology 10.00 50 body structure carbon fiber underbody 60.00 500 Potential Mass Reduction Technologies (Hypothetical Examples) Table 8.1 $/kg -1.000 -0.257 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.010 0.027 0.043 0.060 0.093 0.100 0.125 0.161 0.167 0.202 0.250 0.253 0.333 1.000 5.000 8.333 It is important to note again that the mass reduction in Column 3 must be based on the vehicle mass identified in Step 1 to meet the assumptions of the mass compounding model. Step 3: Sort Mass Reduction Technologies by Cost This marginal cost of mass, mc, (cost per unit mass reduction) may be used to sort which technologies to include in the new vehicle program. 3a) Identify the cost difference to provide this technology in this specific vehicle. (Note, this may be a cost reduction and a negative value) Example technology: Shape optimization arms Front Suspension cost increase with technology=$0.20 3b) Identify the marginal cost to provide the technology. Example: marginal cost=mc=($0.20)/(7.34kg reduction)=0.027$/kg 3c) From all identified mass reduction technologies, sort by increasing marginal cost Example: Table 8.1 is sorted for 21 potential technologies 3d) Filter technologies using marginal cost for inclusion in the vehicle configuration Example: Include all technologies with mc ≤ 0.4 $/kg The 18 technologies at the top of Table 8.1 are carried forward. 11 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy 3e) For those technologies passing the filter, sum the total mass reduction for each subsystem. Example; Subsystem Mass reduction using technologies passing mc filter Non Structure 19.45+5+21.43+40+15=100.88kg Body Structure 15+70=85kg Front Suspension 7.34kg Rear Suspension 6.59kg Braking 3+4=7.00kg Powertrain 27.72kg Fuel and exhaust 5.99kg Steering 2.00kg Tire & Wheels 20kg Bumper 4.95kg Closures 10.0+12.46=22.46kg These technologies provide a primary mass reduction total of 289.93kg. Step 4: Estimate Vehicle Mass Using Mass Compounding The mass savings opportunities found in Step 3, are primary mass reductions. They are sized for the vehicle mass found in Step 1; 1500kg curb mass. Now as each technology is applied to the vehicle, the curb mass is reduced. Due to this reduction, the subsystems may be resized. This resizing results in a secondary mass savings given by Equation 4.2, Primary mass savings ∆= 289.93kg Secondary mass savings = ⎡ γV ⎤ ∆⎢ ⎥ , where the vehicle influence coefficient, γV, may be based ( 1 γ ) − V ⎦ ⎣ on the results of this study shown in Figure 7.1. Taking a nominal value for the vehicle influence γV ⎤ ⎥ =1.1368 or a secondary mass savings=329.61kg. ⎣ (1 − γ V ) ⎦ ⎡ coefficient; γV = 0.532 gives ⎢ Thus the total mass reduction when the mass reduction technologies are applied is the compounded vehicle mass which is the sum of the primary reduction (289.93kg) and the secondary reduction (329.61kg) due to the subsystems being resized for the new reduced vehicle mass; 289.93kg + 329.61kg=619.54kg. To see how this compounded reduction is distributed across the subsystems, Equation 4.3 and 4.4 may be used. These steps are automated in the spreadsheet provided with this project, Figure 8.2. The spreadsheet of Figure 8.2 applies the mass influence coefficients found in this work to arrive at the compounded masses. The user may select from the All Vehicles, Sedan, SUV groups, use the Ratio method, Equation 6.1, or input a User Defined set of coefficients. Selection of which to use is based on the subject vehicle type and the predicted gross vehicle mass. The predicted mass should be within the range of data used to estimate the influence coefficients. Interpolation limits for the influence coefficients are; All Vehicles group Sedan group SUV group 1600<GVM<3150kg 1600<GVM<2225kg 1920<GVM<3150kg If a prediction beyond these ranges is necessary, the Ratio method is recommended. 12 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Compounded Mass Estimation (including powertrain resizing) Figure 8.2 Step 5: Adjust Subsystem Mass to arrive at Design Targets In Steps 1-4, we have used a rational procedure to estimate a vehicle's mass based on current practice, and then to estimate the influence of mass reduction technologies using a mass compounding model. It is important during this stage to investigate alternative configurations. For example, below is the compounding model as in Figure 8.2 except the powertrain has not been allowed to resize, Figure 8.2. Compounded Mass Estimation (powertrain not resized) Figure 8.2 These mass estimation tools are intended to be highly iterative allowing rapid sensitivity studies to arrive at robust design targets for vehicle and subsystem mass. 13 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Bibliography Past Influence Coefficient Studies 1. Internal GM communication, Report of the Cost of Weight Task Force, January, 1975 2. Internal GM communication, Weight Influence Coefficients, November, 1981. 3. Anderson, M., Engine and Transmission Mass as a Fraction of Vehicle Mass, Integrated Vehicle System Design Course Notes, University of Michigan, January, 2007. Independent Mass Data Sources 4. www.autobytel.com, Autobytel, 18872 MacArthur Boulevard, Irvine, California 92612-1400. 5. www.cars.com, Classified Ventures, LLC, 175 W. Jackson Blvd., Suite 800, Chicago, IL 60604. 6. www.internetautoguide.com, Internet Auto Guide. Methodology for Mass Analysis 7. Society of Allied Weight Engineers, Aircraft Weight Engineering, 1996 8. Tornbeek, E., Synthesis of Subsonic Airplane Design, Delft University Press, Boston, 1988 9. de Weck, O. L., A Systems Approach To Mass Budget Management, Paper AIAA 2006-7055, 11th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference, September 2006. 10. Spacecraft Preliminary Mass Estimation & Allocation, Technical University of Delft, http://www.lr.tudelft.nl/live/pagina.jsp?id=10d9b8b2-e85b-48e7-94f2462356f1d730&lang=en 11. Piano Software For Preliminary Design Of Commercial Aircraft Including Mass Estimation, http://www.lissys.demon.co.uk/ Statistical Methods 12. Box, G., and Draper, N., Empirical Model-Building and Response Surfaces, Wiley & Sons, NY, 1987 13. Mendenhall, W., et al, Mathematical Statistics with Applications, Duxbury Press, Boston, 1986. 14. Neter, J., et al., Applied Linear Statistical Models, IRWIN Publishing, Boston, 1990 14 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Technical Appendix A Derivation of mass model and influence coefficients Vehicle mass is the sum of the masses for n subsystems, WV = w1 + w2 + ... + wi + ... + wn Equation A.1 Where WV is the vehicle mass wi is the mass of subsystem i For convenience, we include as subsystems the passengers, and cargo, so WV represents the maximum vehicle mass (gross vehicle mass). The mass of each subsystem depends upon the mass of the vehicle and other functional parameters. wi = f (WV , functional parameters) Equation A.2 Note that some subsystems will have a strong vehicle mass dependence—for example, the powertrain subsystem—while for others the dependence on vehicle mass will be weak—for example, interior ventilation. Mass Influences Coefficients Imagine subsystem i is designed to function within a vehicle mass of WV with the resulting subsystem mass of wi. Now imagine a second vehicle which is slightly heavier at mass WV+dWV. Subsystem i is now sized for this slightly larger mass with the resulting subsystem mass of wi+dwi. We define the subsystem mass influence, γi, as the change in subsystem mass required when the vehicle mass is increased by one unit; γi = ∂wi ∂WV Equation A.3 Consider a vehicle design with initial mass W0 and all subsystems sized for this mass. Now during preliminary design, an unexpected small mass increase of δ occurs in a subsystem. All subsystems must now be resized for this mass increase. The resulting change in vehicle mass is dW which we would like to determine. This can be quantified using subsystem mass influence coefficients; dW = ∂wi ∂w ∂w ∂w1 δ + 2 δ + ... + δ + ... + n δ ∂WV ∂WV ∂WV ∂WV dW = δ (γ 1 + γ 2 + ... + γ i + ... + γ n ) dW δ Equations A.4 = (γ 1 + γ 2 + ... + γ i + ... + γ n ) The vehicle mass influence coefficient, γV, is defined as the change in mass of the vehicle, dW, due to a resizing of all the subsystems for a unit increase in mass. γV = dW δ 15 Equation A.5 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Comparing the last of Equations A.4 with A.5, we see that the vehicle mass influence coefficient, γV, is the sum of the influence coefficients for all subsystems. n γ V = ∑γ i Equation A.6 i =1 Mass Change during the Configuration Design Stage Now consider a balanced vehicle design with initial mass W0. It is now learned that the mass of a subsystem has changed by an amount ∆ for a new vehicle mass of W0+∆. Since the subsystems were sized for vehicle mass W0, they must be redesigned to function with the additional mass ∆: Resizing 1 mass change : ∆ resize subsystems due to mass change causes additional mass : ∆γ V new vehicle mass W1 = (W0 + ∆) + ∆γ V But now the subsystems are sized for vehicle mass (W0+∆), and they must be resized for the additional mass ∆γV: Resizing 2 mass change : ∆γ V resize subsystems due to mass change causes additional mass : ∆γ V W2 = (W0 + ∆ + ∆γ V ) + ∆γ V 2 2 In a similar way, the subsystems are sized for vehicle mass (W0+∆+∆γV), and they must be resized for the additional mass ∆γV2: Resizing 3 mass change : ∆γ V 2 resize subsystems due to mass change causes additional mass : ∆γ V W3 = (W0 + ∆ + ∆γ V + ∆γ V ) + ∆γ V 2 3 3 This resizing continues until we have: Resizing m Wm = W0 + ∆ + ∆γ V + ∆γ V + ∆γ V + ... + ∆γ V + ... + ∆γ V , m → ∞ 2 3 j m Equations A.7 Wm = W0 + ∆ + ∆ (γ V + γ V + γ V + ... + γ V + ... + γ V ), 2 3 j m Recognizing the sum in the parentheses is a geometric series we have; 16 m→∞ Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy S = (γ V + γ V + γ V + ... + γ V + ... + γ V ), 2 3 j m→∞ m S = γ V (1 + γ V + γ V + γ V + ... + γ V + ... + γ V ), m → ∞ 2 3 j m S = γ V (1 + S ) Equations A.8 S (1 − γ V ) = γ V S= γV , when 0 < γ V < 1 (1 − γ V ) Substituting the last of Equations A.8 into A.7 gives the mass of the vehicle after all resizing; ⎡ γV ⎤ Wm→∞ = W0 + ∆ + ∆ ⎢ ⎥ ⎣ (1 − γ V ) ⎦ Equations A.9 Where ∆ is the original mass change ⎡ γV ⎤ ∆⎢ ⎥ is the secondary mass change due to resizing subsystems. ⎣ (1 − γ V ) ⎦ We define the Secondary mass coefficient for the vehicle, ΓV ; ⎡ γV ⎤ ΓV = ⎢ ⎥ ⎣ (1 − γ V ) ⎦ Equation A.10 ⎡ γi ⎤ Γi = ⎢ ⎥ ⎣ (1 − γ v ) ⎦ Equation A.11 and for each subsystem, Γi, as; So the final vehicle mass due to an unexpected mass increase of ∆ is and the final mass for subsystem i is; WV∞ = W0 + ∆ + ∆ΓV Equation A.12 wi ∞ = wi + ∆Γi Equation A.13 To prove that the sum of subsystem influence coefficients is the vehicle influence coefficient, begin with Equation A.12; Wm → ∞ = W0 + ∆ + ∆ΓV WV = w1 + w2 + ... + wi + ... + wn Wm → ∞ = ∆ + ( w1 + ∆Γ1 ) + ( w2 + ∆Γ2 ) + ... + ( wi + ∆Γi ) + ...( wn + ∆Γn ) Wm → ∞ = ∆ + ( w1 + w2 + ... + wi + ... + wn ) + ∆(Γ1 + Γ2 + ... + Γi + ... + Γn ) Wm → ∞ = ∆ + W0 + ∆(Γ1 + Γ2 + ... + Γi + ... + Γn ) ∆ΓV = ∆(Γ1 + Γ2 + ... + Γi + ... + Γn ) ⎡ γV ⎤ ⎡ γ1 γi γn ⎤ γ2 ∆⎢ + + ... + + ... + ⎥ = ∆⎢ ⎥ (1 − γ V ) (1 − γ V ) ⎦ ⎣ (1 − γ V ) ⎦ ⎣ (1 − γ V ) (1 − γ V ) γ V = γ 1 + γ 2 + ... + γ i + ... + γ n 17 Equation A.14 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Technical Appendix B Modeling Subsystem Mass We assume that the mass of each subsystem depends on the gross vehicle mass and on other functional parameters [8]; wi = f (WV , functional parameters) α β β Equation B.1 β wi = C iWV ( Pa a Pb b ...Pr r ) Where wi is a subsystem mass WV is the gross vehicle mass Pa,b,..r are functional parameters some of which are performance measures For example, consider the powertrain subsystem mass, wi. Its mass depends on the overall vehicle mass, α β CiWV . The mass also depends on vehicle acceleration performance; Pa a , where Pa is the required 060mph acceleration time. It also depends on the powertrain layout; TFWD, LRWD, AWD; Pb. Here Pb is an indicator variable: Pb =+1 for TFWD, Pb =0 for LWD, Pb =-1 for AWD. This relationship may be visualized graphically; Log Subsystem Weight Log Functional Parameter Surface defined by Equation B.1 Log Gross Vehicle Weight Subsystem Mass Relationship Figure B.1 With the model defined by Equation B.1, the subsystem influence coefficient is given by; γi = ∂wi ∂WV Equation B.2 WV Estimation of subsystem influence coefficients To estimate the relationship between subsystem mass and vehicle mass, we fit observed data with both a linear and power model. In both cases, the fit was made using linear regression. α wˆ i = C iWV wˆ i = β 0 + β 1WV 18 power linear Equations B.3 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy In this study, we have not accounted for the subsystem mass dependence on functional parameters and have only considered the dependence on gross vehicle mass. Thus we are looking at a projection of the true relationship onto an x-y plane, Figure B.2. Log Subsystem mass wi Log Functional Performance Surface defined by α wi = (CW V ) (functional performance) β 1 Projection of data when functional performance not accounted for Log Gross Vehicle Mass WV Projection of data on to x-y plane for curve fitting Figure B.2 This necessity, has the practical effect of increasing the apparent lack of fit (measured by smaller R2 values). Figure B.3 illustrates this by showing a typical residual error—the difference between a data point and the fit function. In our case, this residual is comprised of both pure error—randomness, along with the ignored dependence on functional parameters. Despite this assumption, the data fit is deemed to be satisfactory even though the R2 values are somewhat low due to this effect. Pure Error, ε, due to Subsystem mass wi actual data Pure Error ε residual •Misclassification of parts •Incorrect vehicle model used r Variation in subsystem Performance prediction •Clerical: recording •Weighing parts GVM WV Components of Residual Error Figure B.3 For all fit equations, the R2 values are reported. Below is a brief summary of the meaning of this coefficient [12, 14]. The variation of the un-fit data is measured by the sum of the squared deviations from the average value, Figure B.4. This sum is the total sum of squares, SSTO. 19 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Subsystem mass wi Malen and Reddy Sum of squares; total ρi SSTO = ∑ ρ i ρi is residual from mean 2 GVM WV Total Sum of Squares Figure B.4 Now a function is fit to the data as illustrated in Figure B.5. The remaining variation in the data is measured by the sum of the squared deviations from the function. This sum is the error sum of squares, SSE. Subsystem mass wi ri Sum of squares; error SSE = ∑ ri 2 ri is residual from model GVM WV Error Sum of Squares Figure B.5 The R2 coefficient of determination is the fraction of variation explained beyond that using the average value only, and is given by; R2 = ( SSTO − SSE ) SSTO Equation B.4 Thus any non-zero R2 indicates a reduction in variation provided by the fit function. Again in our case, the residual error, ri, contained in the SSE contains both pure error as well as the variation due to functional performance differences between the various vehicles as shown in Figure B.3. While R2 measures the overall goodness of fit of the model, we are interested in the influence coefficient. For a linear model, the influence coefficient is the slope of the fit line, β1. We can place a confidence interval around this parameter using Equation B.5 [13]; data : x1 , x2 , x3 ,...xn ; y1 , y2 , y3 ,... yn ; yˆ = β 0 + β1 x β1 ~ N [β1 ,Var ( β1 )] Equations B.5 ⎛ 1 ⎞ ∑ ( yˆ − y ) Var ( β1 ) = ⎜ ⎟ 2 ⎝ n − 2 ⎠ ∑ (x − x) 2 i =1, n For example, looking at the All Vehicles group and the Body Structure subsystem, we have an influence coefficient β1=0.1758 and R2=0.4542. Applying Equations B.5, 20 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy yˆ = β 0 + β1 x yˆ = −1.5294 + 0.1758 x Equation B.6 n = 33 Var ( β1 ) = .001198 The 90% confidence interval is shown in Figure B.6. 0.3 90% confidence interval for influence coefficient Body Structure 0.2 Mass 0.1 Influence 0.0 Confidence Interval for an Influence Coefficient Figure B.6 21 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Data Appendix C Vehicles used in analysis Mass data were collected for 35 vehicles representing Sedans, SUVs, Pickups and Vans. For each vehicle, the mass of each functional subsystem (see next page for subsystem definitions) was calculated. Considerable effort was placed on consistency of the component masses contained in each subsystem across all vehicle sources. In addition to the subsystem mass, Gross Vehicle Mass, Curb Mass, and Number of Passengers were identified for each vehicle using independent sources [4, 5, 6]. The vehicles in this study are shown below. Due to the propriety nature of subsystem mass data, specific numerical values are not provided. Sedans: SUV: Pick Up: Van: 15 (of which there is 1 duplicate) 12 5 Note: Due to the small sample size, Pick Up results are less reliable than for Sedans and SUVs. Note: Due to the insufficient sample size, vans were not included as a vehicle group. Note: For the 'All Vehicles' group, all nonduplicate vehicles were included 3 (of which there is 1 duplicate) 35 (33 vehicles used in study) 2004 VW Touareg 2004 Mazda 3 2004 Nissan Murado 2004 Toyota Sienna 2004 Hundai XG350 2004 Toyota Prius 2003 Lexus ES300 2003 Toyota Camry (US) 2003 BMW 330i 2003 Infiniti G35 2003 Honda Accord 2003 Toyota Corolla Sedan 2002 Audi A4 (SUV) (Sedan) (SUV) (Van) (Dup.) (Sedan) (Sedan) (Sedan) (Sedan) (Sedan) (Sedan) (Sedan)(Dup.) (Sedan) (Sedan) 2007 Model Year Cadillac SRX Chevrolet HHR Saturn Outlook GMC Denali Sierra Crew Cab Chevrolet Colorado Chevrolet Impala Pontiac G6 SE1 Cadillac STS GMC Yukon Saturn Vue (SUV) (SUV) (SUV) (Pick Up) (Pick Up) (Sedan) (Sedan) (Sedan) (SUV) (SUV) 2002 Honda Civic LX 2003 Honda Accord EX 2003 PT Cruiser 2003 Toyota Matrix XRS 2003 Toyota Tacoma 4x2 2004 Dodge Ram 4x4 Light Duty 2004 Nissan Titan LE 2004 Toyota Highlander Premium 2004 Toyota Sienna 2005 Honda Odyssey Touring 2005 Jeep Liberty 2005 Jeep Wrangler 22 (Sedan) (Sedan) (SUV) (SUV) (Pick Up) (Pick Up) (Pick Up) (SUV) (Van) (Van) (SUV) (SUV) Functional Subsystem Mass Categories Each category below contains the set of components which provide a specific vehicle function. The assumption is that the mass required to provide that function varies in part with the gross vehicle mass. 1. Body Non-structural Sheet Metal Glass Seats Insulation Trim Heating and Ventilation Exterior Lighting Wiper 2. Body Structure Body Shell (Body-in-White less closures) Frame (if present) Engine Cradle (if present) 3. Front Suspension Spring Control Arms Knuckle Stabilizer Bar 4. Rear Suspension 5. Braking Disc/Drum Caliper Hydraulic cylinder 6a. Engine Engine Engine Cooling Starting System 6b. Transmission Transmission Drive Shafts Note: Engine and Transmission subsystems were combined to form the Powertrain Subsystem used in the final analysis. 7. Fuel System and Exhaust 8. Steering Rack Column Tie rods Power assist 9. Tires & Wheels 10. Electrical Entertainment, navigation Lighting Wiring 11. Cooling Air Conditioning components 12. Bumpers 13. Body Closures Note: Closures include hardware and door trim, with the exception of the GM Benchmark data where it is the door shell only. These cases are noted on the graphs. 23 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy ALL VEHICLES GVM / PLAN VIEW AREA y = 326.15x 0.8647 y = 202.34x + 371.22 CURB / PLAN VIEW AREA 2 R = 0.6338 2 R = 0.6309 4000 Curb Mass (Kg) y = 169.07x + 143.61 2 R = 0.5544 Sedan SUV Pick Up Linear Power 2000 1000 2000 Sedan SUV Pick Up Linear Power 1000 0 0 5 10 Plan View Area (m2) 15 5 10 Plan View Area (m2) Subsystem Mass as a Fraction of Curb Mass GVM / Cargo Mass Cargo Mass (kg) Body Non-structural 0.185 500 250 125 0 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1000 2000 3000 Sum of Subsystem + Passenger Mass 4000 Body Structure 0.231 Front Suspension 0.047 Rear Suspension 0.039 Braking 0.029 Engine 0.126 Transmission 0.079 Power Train 0.205 Fuel and Exhaust 0.039 Steering 0.013 Tires & Wheels 0.067 Electrical 0.037 Cooling 0.024 Bumpers 0.020 Closures 0.064 Body Non structural 600 400 200 1000 2000 0 y = 0.1988x0.9507 2 R = 0.3637 800 0 All Vehicles 0.3 0.2 0.1 Body Non structural Body Non structural Mass Body Non structural Mass y = 0.1445x - 8.4657 15 No B ns Fr ody truc on S tu r t Re t Sus ruct al ar p ur Su ens e sp ion en Br sion ak in Tr an Eng g sm ine Po is Fu we sio n el r &E Tra xh in Tir a es Steeust & W ring Ele heel ct s Co rica o l Bu ling mp Cl ers os ure s GVM (Kg) 2 R = 0.5488 3000 3000 Reported GVM y = 213.66x0.9299 3000 4000 2 R = 0.2974 1000 100 1000 10000 GVM GVM 24 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy ALL VEHICLES Body structural y = 0.1758x - 1.5294 Body structural y = 0.325x 0.9176 2 R = 0.4542 1000 Body Structural Mass Body Structural Mass 800 600 400 200 0 1000 2000 3000 100 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Front Suspension Front Suspension y = 0.0137x1.1176 2 R = 0.4096 160 Front Suspension Mass Front Suspension Mass y = 0.0454x - 21.537 120 80 40 0 1000 2000 3000 100 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM Rear Suspension y = 0.0354x - 12.061 R 2 Rear Suspension y = 0.0072x1.172 = 0.1912 200 2 R = 0.2062 1000 Rear Suspension Mass Rear Suspension Mass 2 R = 0.3067 1000 GVM 150 100 50 0 2 R = 0.4672 1000 2000 3000 4000 100 10 1000 10000 GVM GVM 25 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy ALL VEHICLES Braking System y = 0.0077x + 30.355 Braking System y = 1.421x 0.4422 2 R = 0.0311 100 Braking System Mass Braking System Mass 100 80 60 40 20 0 10 1000 2000 3000 4000 1000 GVM Powertrain Powertrain 2 R = 0.6687 y = 0.004x1.4741 800 1000 600 400 200 1000 2000 3000 100 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Fuel & Exhaust System Fuel & Exhaust System 2 R = 0.3357 y = 0.0103x1.1318 Fuel & Exhaust System Mass Fuel & Exhaust System Mass y = 0.0332x - 7.612 160 120 80 40 0 2 R = 0.7265 Powertrain Mass Powertrain Mass 10000 GVM y = 0.2302x - 162.07 0 2 R = 0.0269 1000 2000 3000 4000 2 R = 0.3723 1000 100 10 1000 10000 GVM GVM 26 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy ALL VEHICLES Steering y = 0.0056x + 8.8642 Steering y = 0.1265x 0.6583 2 R = 0.1418 100 30 Steering Mass Steering Mass 40 20 10 0 1000 2000 3000 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Tires & Wheels y = 0.0488x + 4.2581 Tires & Wheels y = 0.058x0.9818 2 R = 0.7106 150 100 50 1000 2000 3000 100 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Electrical y = 0.0143x + 30.235 Electrical y = 0.7054x0.5751 2 R = 0.0688 2 R = 0.1142 1000 120 Electrical Mass Electrical Mass 160 80 40 0 2 R = 0.7354 1000 Tires & Wheels Mass Tires & Wheels Mass 200 0 2 R = 0.0961 1000 2000 3000 100 10 1000 4000 GVM 10000 GVM 27 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy ALL VEHICLES Cooling y = 0.0206x - 5.7438 Cooling 2 R = 0.2651 y = 0.0225x 0.9627 100 75 Cooling Mass Cooling Mass 100 50 25 0 1000 2000 3000 10 1000 4000 GVM Bumpers Bumpers y = 0.2118x0.6462 2 R = 0.2139 80 100 60 40 20 1000 2000 3000 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Closures y = 0.0867x - 82.945 1000 Doors with components 200 150 100 Doors in white 50 1000 2000 2 R = 0.2438 y = 8x10-6x 2.1099 Closures Mass Closures Mass Closures 2 R = 0.3037 250 0 2 R = 0.0918 Bumpers Mass Bumpers Mass 10000 GVM y = 0.0129x + 3.9693 0 2 R = 0.2013 3000 100 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM 28 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy SEDAN CURB MASS / PLAN VIEW AREA GVM / PLAN VIEW AREA y = 163.14x + 561.69 y = 376.41x 0.7676 2 R = 0.5502 2 R = 0.5545 2000 2000 1600 GVM (kg) Curb Mass (kg) 2500 1500 y = 147.75x + 229.59 2 R = 0.5128 y = 206.11x 0.9212 2 R = 0.5034 1200 1000 500 800 400 0 2 4 6 8 Plan View Area (m2) 10 0 12 2 Subsystem Mass as a Fraction of Curb Mass 0.044 Braking 0.032 Engine 0.118 Transmission 0.067 Power Train 0.185 Fuel and Exhaust 0.040 Steering 0.014 Tires & Wheels 0.065 Electrical 0.046 Cooling 0.027 Bumpers 0.022 Closures 0.046 0.5 0.4 Sedan 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0 0.0 No n-s tru Bo ctu dy re St ruc Fr on t u re tS us pe Re ns ar ion Su sp en sio n Br ak i Po ng we rT Fu r a el in & Ex ha us t St ee Tir rin es g & W he els Ele ctr ica l Co oli ng Bu mp ers Cl os ure s 0.049 Rear Suspension 1975 Study 1981 Study Sedan (Linear) Sedan (Power @ 3000kg) Body Non Structural R 2 Body Non Structural y = 0.1465x1.0054 = 0.2058 Body Non structural Mass y = 0.1419x + 26.297 600 Body Non structural Mass 12 0.6 No B ns Fr ody truc on S tu r t Re t Sus ruct al ar p ur Su ens e sp ion en Br sion ak in Tr an Eng g sm ine P i Fu owe ssio n el r &E Tra xh in Tir a es Steeust & W ring h Ele eel ct s Co rica o l Bu ling m Cl pers os ure s 0.227 Front Suspension 10 Influence Coefficient Summary Sedans Body Non-structural 0.204 Body Structure 4 6 8 Plan View Area (m2) 400 200 0 1000 2000 3000 GVM 2 R = 0.2263 1000 100 1000 10000 GVM 29 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy SEDAN Body Structural y = 0.1317x + 78.114 Body Structural y = 0.8247x 0.7928 2 R = 0.6626 2 R = 0.6934 1000 Body Structural Mass Body Structural Mass 500 400 300 200 100 100 1000 0 1000 2000 3000 10000 GVM GVM Front Suspension y = 0.631x 0.622 2 R = 0.1057 120 Front Suspension Mass Front Suspension Mass y = 0.0333x + 8.0864 Front Suspension 90 60 30 1000 0 1000 2000 100 10 1000 3000 10000 GVM GVM Rear Suspension Rear Suspension y = 2x10-7 x2.5895 2 R = 0.337 160 Rear Suspension Mass Rear Suspension Mass y = 0.0894x - 108.43 120 80 40 0 1000 2 R = 0.0488 2000 2 R = 0.3659 1000 100 10 1000 3000 GVM 10000 GVM 30 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy SEDAN Braking System y = 0.0177x + 12.206 Braking System y = 0.5579x0.5719 2 R = 0.0378 100 Braking System Mass Braking System Mass 80 60 40 20 0 1000 2000 10 1000 3000 GVM Powertrain Powertrain y = 0.0002x1.8598 2 R = 0.8126 1000 400 300 200 100 1000 2000 100 1000 3000 10000 GVM GVM Fuel and Exhaust System Fuel and Exhaust System y = 0.0197x1.0525 2 R = 0.0835 Fuel and Exhaust System Mass y = 0.0272x + 6.3007 Fuel and Exhaust System Mass 2 R = 0.8586 Powertrain Mass Powertrain Mass 500 0 10000 GVM y = 0.2703x - 249.45 120 90 60 30 0 2 R = 0.0154 1000 2000 3000 GVM 2 R = 0.1445 1000 100 10 1000 10000 GVM 31 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy SEDAN Steering y = -0.0023x + 25.304 Steering y = 373.16x -0.3868 2 R = 0.0084 100 Steering Mass Steering Mass 30 20 10 0 1000 2000 10 1000 3000 10000 GVM GVM Tires & Wheels y = 0.0395x + 18.528 Tires & Wheels y = 0.1496x0.8524 2 R = 0.4535 120 90 60 30 1000 2000 100 10 1000 3000 10000 GVM GVM Electrical y = 0.0139x + 40.455 Electrical 2 R = 0.0115 y = 0.0276x1.0228 Electrical Mass Electrical Mass 2 R = 0.1023 1000 160 120 80 40 0 2 R = 0.5074 1000 Tires & Wheels Mass Tires & Wheels Mass 150 0 2 R = 0.0179 1000 2000 100 10 1000 3000 10000 GVM GVM 32 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy SEDAN Cooling y = 0.0446x - 46.748 Cooling y = 3x10-6 x2.1611 2 R = 0.5784 100 60 Cooling Mass Cooling Mass 80 40 20 0 1000 2000 10 1000 3000 10000 GVM GVM Bumpers y = 0.0174x - 0.9741 Bumpers 2 R = 0.2799 y = 0.015x1.0134 40 Bumpers Mass Bumpers Mass 2 R = 0.2845 100 50 30 20 10 0 1000 2000 10 1000 3000 10000 GVM GVM Closures y = 0.1028x - 131.1 Closures 2 R = 0.1394 y = 5x10-9 x3.0387 2 R = 0.1636 1000 200 Doors with components 150 Closures Mass Closures Mass 2 R = 0.5661 100 50 100 Doors in white 10 1000 0 1000 2000 3000 10000 GVM GVM 33 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy SUV GVM / PLAN VIEW AREA CURB MASS / PLAN VIEW AREA 2 y = 205.28x + 489.31 y = 402.26x0.7981 y = 150.16x + 417.36 y = 324.28x 0.767 R = 0.5458 2 R = 0.544 4000 Curb Mass (kg) GVM (kg) 2000 1000 0 3 6 9 Plan View Area (m2) 12 2000 1000 0 15 3 Subsystem Mass as a Fraction of Curb Mass 0.048 Rear Suspension 0.040 Braking 0.027 Engine 0.138 Transmission 0.077 Power Train 0.215 Fuel and Exhaust 0.035 Steering 0.011 Tires & Wheels 0.067 Electrical 0.033 Cooling 0.024 Bumpers 0.017 Closures 0.077 15 0.5 0.4 0.3 SUV 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0 0.0 0.1 No n-s tru Bo ctu dy re St ruc Fr on t u re tS us pe Re ns ar ion Su sp en sio n Br ak i Po ng we rT Fu r a el in & Ex ha us t St ee Tir rin es g & W he els Ele ctr ica l Co oli ng Bu mp ers Cl os ure s 0.229 Front Suspension 12 0.6 No B ns Fr ody truc on S tu r t Re t Sus ruct al ar p ur Su ens e sp ion en Br sion ak in Tr an Eng g sm ine P i Fu owe ssio n el r &E Tra xh in Tir a es Steeust & W ring h Ele eel ct s Co rica o l Bu ling m Cl pers os ure s Body Structure 6 9 Plan View Area (m2) Influence Coefficient Summary SUV Body Non-structural 0.177 1975 Study 1981 Study SUV (Linear) SUV (Power @ 3000kg) Body Non Structural Body Non Structural y = 0.0008x1.6506 2 R = 0.6766 y = 0.2373x - 236.91 800 Body Non Structural Mass Body Non Structural Mass 2 R = 0.3978 3000 3000 600 400 200 0 2 R = 0.3965 1000 2000 3000 4000 GVM 2 R = 0.7013 1000 100 1000 10000 GVM 34 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy SUV Body Structural Body Structural y = 12.215x 0.4485 2 R = 0.33 y = 0.0765x + 218.34 1000 Body Structural Mass Body Structural Mass 600 450 300 150 0 1000 2000 3000 100 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Front Suspension Front Suspension y = 7x10-6x 2.1045 2 R = 0.8176 200 Front Suspension Mass Front Suspension Mass y = 0.0787x - 96.804 150 100 50 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 100 10 1000 10000 GVM Rear Suspension Rear Suspension 1.9817 y = 1x10-5x 2 R = 0.4068 200 Rear Suspension Mass Rear Suspension Mass y = 0.0645x - 78.811 150 100 50 1000 2000 2 R = 0.7236 1000 GVM 0 2 R = 0.3319 3000 4000 2 R = 0.3817 1000 100 10 1000 10000 GVM GVM 35 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy SUV Braking System y = 0.0036x + 38.73 Braking System y = 2.2981x0.3756 2 R = 0.0075 100 Braking System Mass Braking System Mass 80 60 40 20 0 1000 2000 3000 10 1000 4000 GVM Powertrain Powertrain y = 0.0549x1.1371 2 R = 0.4237 800 1000 600 400 200 1000 2000 3000 100 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Fuel and Exhaust System Fuel and Exhaust System 2 R = 0.3483 y = 0.0175x Fuel and Exhaust System Mass Fuel and Exhaust System Mass y = 0.0254x + 2.0453 100 80 60 40 20 0 2 R = 0.4822 Powertrain Mass Powertrain Mass 10000 GVM y = 0.173x - 22.151 0 2 R = 0.0188 1000 2000 3000 4000 1.0487 2 R = 0.432 100 10 1000 10000 GVM GVM 36 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy SUV Steering y = 0.0085x + 0.0729 Steering y = 0.001x1.2618 2 R = 0.2486 100 30 Steering Mass Steering Mass 40 20 10 0 1000 2000 3000 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Tires & Wheels y = 0.0374x + 30.485 Tires & Wheels y = 0.3292x0.7581 2 R = 0.7306 Tires & Wheels Mass Tires & Wheels Mass 120 80 40 1000 2000 3000 100 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Electrical y = 0.0455x - 47.102 Electrical y = 0.0004x1.5455 2 R = 0.6354 2 R = 0.7031 1000 Electrical Mass 160 Electrical Mass 2 R = 0.7207 1000 160 0 2 R = 0.2185 120 80 40 10 1000 0 1000 2000 3000 100 4000 GVM 10000 GVM 37 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy SUV Cooling y = 0.0401x - 50.975 Cooling y = 5x10-6 x 2.0598 2 R = 0.7354 100 75 Cooling Mass Cooling Mass 100 50 25 0 1000 2000 3000 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Bumpers y = 0.0193x - 15.349 Bumpers y = 0.0018x1.2394 2 R = 0.3833 Bumpers Mass 60 40 20 1000 2000 3000 Closures Closures y = 453.49x -0.1772 2 R = 0.0246 200 150 100 Doors in white 50 2000 3000 2 R = 0.0031 1000 Doors with components 1000 10000 GVM 250 Closures Mass 10 1000 4000 GVM y = 0.0204x + 84.476 0 2 R = 0.2462 100 Closures Mass Bumpers Mass 80 0 2 R = 0.6324 100 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM 38 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Pick Up GVM / PLAN VIEW AREA CURB MASS / PLAN VIEW AREA 2 y = 155.34x + 869.82 R = 0.6882 y = 478.35x0.702 2 R = 0.7078 2 R = 0.585 y = 98.88x1.2301 2 R = 0.6458 3000 Curb Mass (kg) 4000 3000 GVM (kg) y = 194.79x - 218.79 2000 1000 0 4 8 Plan View Area (m2) 12 2000 1000 0 16 4 Subsystem Mass as a Fraction of Curb Mass 0.021 Engine 0.124 Transmission 0.122 Power Train 0.247 Fuel and Exhaust 0.046 Steering 0.012 Tires & Wheels 0.075 Electrical 0.027 Cooling 0.019 Bumpers 0.023 Closures 0.072 0.5 0.4 Pick up 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0 0.0 No n-s tru Bo ctu dy re St ruc Fr on t u re tS us pe Re ns ar ion Su sp en sio n Br ak i Po ng we rT Fu r a el in & Ex ha us t St ee Tir rin es g & W he els Ele ctr ica l Co oli ng Bu mp ers Cl os ure s 0.031 Braking 1975 Study 1981 Study Pick Up (Linear) Pick Up (Power @ 3000kg) Body Non Structural Body Non Structural y = 4x10-5 x 2.0202 2 R = 0.3014 Body Non structural Mass y = 0.2124x - 248.57 Body Non structural Mass 16 0.6 No B ns Fr ody truc on S tu r t Re t Sus ruct al ar p ur Su ens e sp ion en Br sion ak in Tr an Eng g sm ine P i Fu owe ssio n el r &E Tra xh in Tir a es Steeust & W ring h Ele eel ct s Co rica o l Bu ling m Cl pers os ure s 0.047 Rear Suspension 12 Influence Coefficient Summary Pick Ups Body Non-structural 0.156 Body Structure 0.223 Front Suspension 8 Plan View Area (m2) 600 450 300 150 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 2 R = 0.3321 1000 100 1000 10000 GVM GVM 39 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Pick Up Body Structural y = 0.4453x - 719 Body Structural y = 3x10-7x 2.6754 2 R = 0.5678 1000 Body Structural Mass Body Structural Mass 800 600 400 200 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 100 1000 10000 GVM GVM Front Suspension Front Suspension y = 0.0315x1.0098 2 R = 0.2669 150 Front Suspension Mass Front Suspension Mass y = 0.0354x - 1.6075 120 90 60 30 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 100 10 1000 10000 GVM Rear Suspension y = 0.0287x - 15.192 Rear Suspension 2 R = 0.9861 y = 0.003x 1.2584 Rear Suspension Mass 80 60 40 20 0 1000 2000 2 R = 0.2636 1000 GVM Rear Suspension Mass 2 R = 0.6374 3000 4000 GVM 2 R = 0.9853 100 10 1000 10000 GVM 40 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Pick Up Braking System y = 0.0339x - 46.856 Braking System y = 6x10-7x2.2871 2 R = 0.3216 100 Braking System Mass Braking System Mass 80 60 40 20 10 1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 GVM Powertrain Powertrain y = 0.0022x1.5596 2 R = 0.7712 Powertrain Mass 600 400 200 1000 2000 3000 100 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Fuel and Exhaust System Fuel and Exhaust System 2 R = 0.5274 y = 2x10-5x1.9676 Fuel and Exhaust System Mass Fuel and Exhaust System Mass y = 0.0621x - 71.059 160 120 80 40 0 2 R = 0.8142 1000 800 Powertrain Mass 10000 GVM y = 0.2953x - 289.5 0 2 R = 0.3138 1000 2000 3000 4000 2 R = 0.536 1000 100 10 1000 10000 GVM GVM 41 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Pick Up Steering y = 0.0056x + 8.8616 Steering y = 0.0309x0.8408 2 R = 0.1363 100 30 Steering Mass Steering Mass 40 20 10 0 1000 2000 3000 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Tires and Wheels y = 0.0356x + 52.678 Tires and Wheels 2 R = 0.2622 y = 0.3396x0.7689 Tires & Wheels Mass Tires & Wheels Mass 2 R = 0.3161 1000 200 150 100 50 1000 2000 3000 100 10 1000 0 4000 10000 GVM GVM Electrical y = 0.0189x + 3.8375 Electrical 2 R = 0.4488 y = 0.0376x0.9209 80 2 R = 0.4722 100 Electrical Mass Electrical Mass 2 R = 0.207 60 40 20 10 1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 10000 GVM GVM 42 Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Pick Up Cooling y = 0.0181x - 10.62 Cooling y = 0.0312x0.8853 2 R = 0.0829 100 75 Cooling Mass Cooling Mass 100 50 25 10 1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Bumpers y = 0.0198x - 7.7917 Bumpers y = 0.0067x1.1153 2 R = 0.4043 100 60 40 20 1000 2000 3000 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM Closures Closures y = 5x10-7x2.4574 2 R = 0.701 y = 0.1276x - 190.53 200 Closures Mass Closures Mass 2 R = 0.6981 1000 250 150 100 50 0 2 R = 0.3722 Bumpers Mass Bumpers Mass 80 0 2 R = 0.0662 1000 2000 3000 100 10 1000 4000 10000 GVM GVM 43 0.176 0.045 0.035 Front 0.021 0.029 Suspension Rear 0.013 0.012 Suspension 0.006 0.011 0.031 0.036 0.022 0.006 Steering Tires & Wheels Electrical 0.069 0.087 Closures 0.562 0.010 0.013 Bumpers 0.048 0.006 0.016 0.021 0.017 0.050 0.006 0.031 0.206 0.010 0.031 0.037 0.161 Cooling 0.014 0.049 0.033 0.230 Powertrain 0.183 0.131 Fuel and Exhaust 0.008 0.038 0.016 Braking System All Vehicles 0.122 0.008 0.016 0.014 0.049 0.005 0.033 0.262 0.007 0.033 0.039 0.154 α=2.1099 c=8E-06 α=0.6462 c=0.2118 c=0.0225 α=0.9627 α=0.5751 c=0.7054 c=0.058 α=0.9818 α=0.6583 c=0.1265 c=0.0103 α=1.1318 α=1.4741 c= 0.004 c=1.421 α=0.4422 c=0.0072 α=1.172 c=0.0137 α=1.1176 c=0.325 α=0.9176 0.599 0.103 0.017 0.045 0.014 0.045 0.017 0.032 0.033 0.043 -0.006 (0) -0.002 (0) 0.040 0.030 0.200 0.014 0.058 0.025 0.144 0.153 0.027 0.270 0.018 0.089 0.033 0.132 0.142 Power Linear @ 1800 kg Sedan Influence Coefficients Power Power Power 1981 Linear @ 1800 @ 3000 Equation kg kg Y=C Xα c=0.1988 0.145 0.131 0.127 α=0.9507 Body 0.294 0.166 Structure Body Nonstructural 1975 Historical Sum of recommended 0.644 0.413 coefficients 44 α=3.0387 c=5E-09 α=1.0134 c=0.015 c=3E-06 α=2.1611 α=1.0228 c=0.0276 c=0.1496 α=0.8524 c=373.16 α=-0.3959 c=0.0197 α=1.0525 c= 0.0002 α=1.8598 c=0.5579 α=0.5719 c=2E-07 α=2.5895 c=0.631 α=0.622 c=0.8247 α=0.7928 Power Equation Y=C Xα c=0.1465 α=1.0054 0.463 0.020 0.019 0.040 0.046 0.037 0.009 0.025 0.173 0.004 0.065 0.079 0.077 0.237 Linear -0.006 0.015 0.050 0.049 0.036 0.010 0.027 0.187 0.006 0.051 0.102 0.066 0.242 Power @ 3000 kg SUV c=453.49 α=-0.1772 α=1.2394 0.900 0.128 0.020 0.018 c=5E-06 α=2.0598 c=0.0018 0.019 0.036 0.006 c=0.0004 α=1.5455 α=0.7581 c=0.3292 c=0.001 0.062 c=0.0175 α=1.0487 α=1.2618 0.295 0.034 0.029 0.035 0.445 0.144 0.019 0.011 0.018 0.041 0.007 0.091 0.303 0.041 0.030 0.034 0.537 c=5E-07 α=2.4574 c=0.0067 α=1.1153 c=0.0312 α=0.8853 c=0.0376 α=0.9209 c=0.3396 α=0.7689 c=0.0309 α=0.8408 c=2E-05 α=1.9676 c= 0.0022 α=1.5596 α=2.2871 c=6E-07 c=0.003 α=1.2584 c=0.0315 α=1.0098 c=3E-07 α=2.6754 Pick Up (Not signifcant as a group) Power Power @ 3000 Equation Linear kg Y=C Xα c=4E-05 0.212 0.285 α=2.0202 c= 0.0549 α=1.1371 α=0.0188 c=2.2981 c=1E-05 α=1.9817 c=7E-06 α=2.1045 c=12.215 α=0.4485 Power Equation Y=C Xα c=0.0008 α=1.6506 Recommended subsystem coefficients shown in bold with border Preliminary Vehicle Mass Estimation Malen and Reddy Selection of Influence Coefficients for Inclusion in Model Inclusion Criteria Physical link with Included vehicle in prior γ mass Magnitude work Regression Coefficient R2 All Sedan SUVs Pick Average Non structure 0.36 Body structure 0.47 Front 0.41 Rear 0.21 Braking 0.03 Powertrain 0.73 0.23 0.69 0.70 0.33 0.33 0.64 0.41* 0.53 Little Strong 0.20 0.15 0.11 0.37 0.04 0.86 0.82 0.41 0.02 0.48 0.27 0.99 0.32 0.81 0.40 0.49 0.10 0.72 Strong Strong Strong Strong 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.20 Fuel & exhaust 0.37 Steering 0.14 Tire & wheels 0.74 Electrical 0.11 Cooling 0.27 0.14 0.02 0.43 0.25 0.54 0.21 0.37 0.15 0.51 0.10 0.57 0.73 0.70 0.74 0.32 0.47 0.08 0.57 0.35 0.41 Bumpers Closures 0.28 0.16 0.38 0.02 0.40 0.70 0.32 0.30 0.21 0.30 Key 0.25 0.00-0.25 0.25 0.50 -0.50 1.00 0.50-1.00 Include Little 0.03 Moderate <0.01 Strong Little Moderate Strong Little 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.09 No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes/No No Yes No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No (Yes) Yes No No Yes No *note: High R2 coefficient for Non-structure subsystem assumed to be due to co linearity of plan view area with GVM: wnon structure → (interior space) → (plan view area) →(GVM) 45 2000 Town Center, Suite 320 Southfield, Michigan 48075 Tel: 248.945.4777 www.a-sp.org
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