Transforming African agriculture The growing importance of unusual publicprivate partnerships A report by the Economist Intelligence Unit Sponsored by Transforming African agriculture: The growing importance of unusual public-private partnerships Transforming African agriculture: The growing importance of unusual public-private partnerships T o most of the world, rural Africa is associated with images of the begging bowl rather than the breadbasket. But that could soon change thanks to a rapidly spreading consensus that the way to boost and sustain economic growth and development on the continent, while tackling the challenge of food security both in Africa and globally, is to commercialise smallholder farming in partnership with agriculture and food companies. Just a few years ago, the idea of foisting business practices on subsistence farmers, who make up over 60% of the entire population in sub-Saharan Africa, would have been regarded as illusory by most governments, smallholder associations and aid groups. Working with large international companies to get the job done would have been heresy. But led by a new generation of African leaders, the past few years have seen policy-makers, donors and businesses groping towards unusual but potentially revolutionary partnerships intended to create efficient, end-to-end supply chains, which embrace subsistence farmers rather than exclude them. And while it’s too early to demonstrate dramatic results in a sector that needs long-term strategic approaches, the very fact of building common platforms for implementing businessenabling strategies is transforming perspectives. “Things are now starting to move very fast,” says Lucy Muchoki, chief executive of the Pan-African Agribusiness and Agroindustry Consortium (PANAAC). 1 “There is a mechanism for business to start getting involved in the development of agriculture.” These new approaches to agriculture vary widely across Africa. Some countries, like Tanzania, Mozambique and Burkina Faso, have designated geographical areas as agricultural corridors, connecting distant foodproducing areas with ports and cities and ensuring the infrastructure is there to bring in large-scale investment. Tanzania, for example, has created the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor (SAGCOT), which combines the Tanzanian government and farmer organisations with dozens of international and domestic companies and development organisations in a 20-year programme to invest $3bn-plus in infrastructure, create 420,000 rural jobs and produce enough food to export to the region and around the world. Other countries, like Ethiopia, Nigeria and Kenya, have taken a crop-based approach. Ethiopia, for example, is focusing on bringing in investors to solve blockages along the value chains of specific crops, like malt barley, sesame and chickpeas, which it selected as exciting opportunities for private sector investors. For malt barley, the Agriculture Transformation Agency (ATA) which coordinates the partnership initiatives, has already found investors to set up a malting factory and forged a partnership with Diageo, a global beer and spirits company, to work closely with smallholder © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013 Transforming African agriculture: The growing importance of unusual public-private partnerships Interviewee list Khalid Bomba, chief executive officer, Agricultural Transformation Agency (ATA), Ethiopia Dougie Brew, external affairs director Africa, Unilever Thomas Debass, director of global partnerships, Global Partnership Initiative, US State Department Boaz Blackie Keizire, technical advisor and CAADP implementation specialist, African Union Anne McCormick, corporate relations director, Diageo Africa Lucy Muchoki, chief executive officer, Pan-African Agribusiness and Agroindustry Consortium (PANAAC) Salum Shamte, chairman, Agricultural Council of Tanzania; chairman, SAGCOT Centre farmers so it could source locally for its newly acquired Ethiopian brewery. “We work with all the partners to identify the bottlenecks—policy-related, capacityrelated or infrastructure-related—then work with the partners to fix them,” says Khalid Bomba, chief executive of ATA. While national strategies vary, the attempt to transform and commercialise agriculture in partnership with other private and public sector players is a common thread. The first signs of change came from the African Union’s planning agency NEPAD, which drew up a pan-African agricultural strategy in 2003. Its Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) aimed to get signatory countries to commit to increasing public investment in agriculture to 10% of their national budgets and to raise agricultural productivity by 6% a year. CAADP could have ended up as just another unrealised plan, but as a few pioneering governments raised their spending to this level, they soon realised it was not going to raise productivity, bring food security or take rural people out of poverty. What became clear, as global food prices rose, was that government alone could not solve the challenges of agriculture. “There 2 is no room to keep speaking politics in agriculture,” says Boaz Blackie Keizire, Technical Advisor and CAADP implementation specialist at the African Union. “We used to have an investment policy, but no investments in agriculture because there was no-one speaking the language of business.” At the World Economic Forum in Dar es Salaam in 2011, Tanzania’s President Jakaya Kikwete called on companies in the audience to help them break through the constraints to raising agricultural productivity, giving birth a year later to Grow Africa, a pact between eight governments, and a handful of companies and development organisations, to commit to defining and doing what is needed to raise agricultural productivity. Constellation of interests: trends driving collaboration This partnership approach is the result of a new coincidence of interests in the continent, driven by three broad trends. First, food security and agricultural productivity are rising up policy and business agendas globally, not just in Africa. High food prices are a sign of the growing global population, the rise in demand for agricultural produce and unpredictable harvests as climate change starts affecting weather patterns. With the global agricultural production system already stretched thin and stocks depleting, providing food at an affordable price will require significant extra agricultural capacity. The greatest potential for adding that capacity is in Africa, where the kind of green revolutions experienced in India or Brazil has yet to happen. Not only is the bulk of the planet’s unused arable land in Africa, but crop yield on used land in Sub-Saharan Africa is also the world’s lowest, by far, at only 27% of potential yield, according to the Food and Agriculture Organisation’s most recent data. That means relatively small interventions of the right kind could yield fast results. Meeting that challenge brings exciting new business opportunities for agribusiness. Secondly, international business interest in Africa is growing generally, especially in agriculture. Over the © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013 Transforming African agriculture: The growing importance of unusual public-private partnerships past five years, international companies have realised that Africa, far from being a hopeless continent running at odds to the rest of the world, is actually the last significant emerging market region. Its population is set to double to 2bn by 2050 and, despite continuing poverty, the fast-growing African middle class is creating a significant consumer market in most parts of the continent. For agriculture and food businesses, the coincidence of growing markets, rising food demand and short supply has made guaranteeing high-quality supply and working closely even with smaller farmers more imperative. This , has encouraged a shift from a hands-off, contracting-out business model towards a vertical approach, centred around farmers, with the aim of supplying both the local market and exporting. Such Room to grow (Actual crop yield as a percent of potential yield) 89% East Asia South East Asia 68% North America 67% West and Central Europe 64% Australia and New Zealand 60% 51% West Asia 48% South America 45% South Asia 43% Pacific Islands 40% North Africa Eastern Europe and Russia 37% Central Asia 36% Central America 35% Sub-Saharan Africa 24% Source: UN Food and Agriculture Organisation. 3 an inclusive approach to doing business is bolstered by a more general attempt on the part of big companies to reduce risk and ensure sustainable growth in poorer markets by making sure their operations bolster local communities. “Our first parameter of course is to make sure we’re making the right business decisions,” says Anne McCormick, Corporate Relations Director at Diageo Africa. “But, in doing so, we are also getting better at understanding and trying to optimise the broader socioeconomic benefits of running our business successfully, in both the short and the long term.” The spirits and beer maker gets an unusually high 13% of its global sales in Africa. Finally, governments in Africa are increasingly driving their own growth and development agendas and changing the way they work with donors and business. Policy autonomy has been in short supply in Africa. But a new generation of African leaders, often educated abroad and conversant in the language of business, is starting to set its own agenda in major policy areas like agriculture, infrastructure, healthcare and education—helped by the commodities boom that has strengthened government revenues and by the emergence of new sources of capital, from foundations and patient capital to private equity and Chinese lenders. As a result, government are rethinking what the public and private sectors can do best and what role aid organisations can best play. And while in areas like healthcare and education, the public sector will always remain a key player, in agriculture policymakers recognise their role is inherently limited by the need to work with farmers and food companies. Even in countries like Ethiopia, which is pursuing an explicitly state-led development path, the government has reached out to the private sector and to a variety of donors to tackle the challenge of increasing productivity. Lessons so far These three trends have encouraged a new approach to agriculture. With most of the new initiatives only operating since 2012, it is still experimental. But one lesson is already very clear: collaborating successfully © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013 Transforming African agriculture: The growing importance of unusual public-private partnerships requires all partners to move beyond their normal ways of operating. Doing that consistently in the face of both internal and external resistance and constraints requires strong support and leadership from the top, as well as the creation of agile institutions that focus on brokering mutual interests, articulating gains and identifying and helping remove constraints. “Agriculture was held back for years in Africa by an outmoded debate about whether farming should be small or large-scale, public or private. But the fact is it’s everyone working together,” says Dougie Brew, External Affairs Director Africa at Unilever, a global food company. “What we need is a body that can actively start bringing people together and at the same time have a high enough political profile to add pressure on both the public and private side when things get difficult, so things are delivered.” For governments, the big shift has been to focus on how to create an enabling environment for private sector growth around smallholder farmers. That has involved embracing the language of business to attract investors and maintain their confidence that risk will be minimised as governments change. It has also meant countering criticism that they are working with the enemy and supporting foreign land grabs rather than helping poor farmers. Businesses involved in these partnerships are also being catapulted far out of their comfort zones, forced to take a long-term approach to their markets and to focus on creating winners all round rather than on the immediate bottom line. In part that is a consequence of operating in fast-growing frontier markets with big income disparities and professional capability gaps, where businesses have to rethink their boundaries and consider how explicitly they should be involved in development. But operating within a broad partnership framework like Grow Africa, companies face one particularly difficult boundary: defining a pre-competitive space in which they can work with competitors to create properly functioning value chains and so build the foundations of successful business for all. A Who’s Who of African agricultural partnerships ATA: Ethiopia’s Agricultural Transformation Agency was set up by the Ethiopian government in 2010 to help ministries, the private sector and other non - governmental partners to address the broader constraints of achieving agricultural productivity growth and food security, while working with smallholders. CAADP: Comprehensive African Agricultural Development Programme, set up by NEPAD in 2003 and designed to encourage coordinated national strategies and investment plans for agriculture among all African Union members. Grow Africa: a platform to facilitate public - private partnerships in agriculture, within the framework of CAADP. Set up in 2012 by NEPAD, the African Union and the World Economic Forum. Member countries are: 4 Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Mozambique, Rwanda, Tanzania, and, most recently, Nigeria. Its most advanced projects are the Beira Corridor in Mozambique and SAGCOT (see below). NEPAD: The New Partnership for Africa’s Development set up by the African Union in 2001 to find new, African - led approaches to growth, development and cooperation. SAGCOT: The Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor of Tanzania was started in 2010. Its aim was to create a risk- sharing model for agriculture in a specific area that benefits smallholders while rapidly developing food supply. SAGCOT brings together farmers, the government and local and international companies, whose interests are now brokered by the SAGCOT Centre. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013 Transforming African agriculture: The growing importance of unusual public-private partnerships Domestic companies face even higher hurdles in many ways. Salum Shamte, Chairman of both the Agricultural Council of Tanzania and the SAGCOT Centre, is himself also an agri-businessman. He believes that engaging the local business community is crucial to the success of initiatives like SAGCOT. “The local private sector has its own impediments,” Mr Shamte asserts. “One is finance: they might need help to be players. The other is attitude. We need to show them that agriculture can be profitable if approached correctly.” The role of donor organisations and NGOs within these partnerships is also shifting and many organisations are struggling to work their role out. “The biggest elephant in the room is that governments have dwindling resources. The private sector has a lot more resources,” says Thomas Debass, Director of Global Partnerships at the US State Department’s Global Partnership Initiative. “The role of aid is being redefined whether we accept it or not.” One key role that has emerged in Grow Africa is the provision of “catalytic finance” and “patient capital” to overcome the lack of financing for scaling up successful pilot schemes. But for some organisations the shift is difficult. “It is very encouraging to see some of the leading donors and NGOs start to evolve their own approaches to business,” says Ms McCormick of Diageo, whose background is in development economics as well as international business. “Of course they need to keep challenging business and other stakeholders, but it is important that business is not just seen to be a form of CSR cashcow that will be able to keep paying out in good times and in bad times, but as a partner and valued contributor to sustainable development.” For the smallholders, themselves, working within these new partnerships involves the greatest shift of all – switching from subsistence farming to seeing themselves as entrepreneurs, operating to the standards and demands of large customers while deciding on which crops it makes sense for them to grow. “It’s not easy working with smallholders,” says Ms Muchoki of PANAAC. “You give them seed and then they sell the harvest to someone else who offers them a bit more money.” 5 Tackling problems like this is the role of new institutions, like the ATA in Ethiopia and the SAGCOT centre in Tanzania, emerging to broker the interests of the partners. “We talk to farmers’ associations and educate farmers so they understand the responsibilities of entering into long-term supply contracts and the upsides of getting reliable demand that will last for years,” says ATA head Mr Bomba. He also sees ATA as the mechanism to engage the private sector and civil society and promote the partnerships, as well as coordinating across ministries. But he warns against just copying his institution in other contexts. “The key is to think about function rather than form,” he says. “What is the value proposition and how do you bring it to your partnerships? The question is: how to leverage and build on existing structures, not how to create new institutions that become part of a larger bureaucracy.” Future trends This new generation of public-private partnerships in agriculture is unusual because they are mechanisms of transformation, not transactions or goals in themselves. They are platforms of action, designed to bring actors together to come up with solutions they could not have found on their own. Though all partners stress that being willing to experiment, test and adapt is key, some future trends are already becoming visible. The first is that national-based programmes are likely to regionalise, creating bigger markets and joining forces to overcome infrastructure constraints. Secondly, agricultural partnerships could act as a catalyst for broader rural development – creating jobs outside of farming in both service and production sectors. Following recent upheavals in the mining sector, for example, where workers in largely rural areas protested against their poor living conditions, companies such as Rio Tinto and Anglo Gold have started looking at proactive models to help the rural communities they operate in to thrive, aware that they need to be seen as a positive part of the local economy in order to © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013 Transforming African agriculture: The growing importance of unusual public-private partnerships continue operating. They are now working with Grow Africa, to ensure that infrastructure planning, intended to transport mining commodities, also benefits local agricultural producers. Mobile operators have also shown interest in cooperation, recognising the already huge impact mobile phones have had on rural communities but also the significant growth potential remaining in rural areas. In Nigeria, for example, mobile phones were used to deliver fertiliser vouchers to farmers – and two Tanzanian operators are now looking at using similar models, working through the SAGCOT Centre. The final, and perhaps most far-reaching, trend that these unusual partnerships could bring is to spread the business-enabling, problem-solving ethos beyond agriculture. For all the soft talk of partnership, inclusion and sustainability, the real crux of the agricultural partnerships is how to make the food business in Africa commercially viable and globally competitive. But many of the constraints are holding back the entire economy, not just agriculture: the lack of power and transport infrastructure, the lack of access to technology and the drag of politics, corruption and bureaucracy. With so many of the barriers non-agricultural in nature, these unusual partnerships, if successful, could go beyond transforming agriculture to transform Africa – sustainably. 6 © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013 While every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this information, neither The Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd. nor the sponsor of this report can accept any responsibility or liability for reliance by any person on this article or any of the information, opinions or conclusions set out in this article. 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