Journal of Internal Medicine 1999; 246: 331±340 FRONTIERS IN MEDICINE The effects of light to moderate drinking on cardiovascular diseases 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 B. FAGRELL , U. DE FAIRE , S. BONDY , M. CRIQUI , M. GAZIANO , M. GRONBAEK , R. JACKSON , A. KLATSKY , J. SALONEN & A. G. SHAPER 7 8 9 1 2 From the Department of Medicine, Karolinska Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario Canada; Department of Family Preventive Medicine, UCSD, La Jolla, CA, USA; Brigham and Womens Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Danish Epidemiology Science Center, Institute of Preventive Medicine, Kommunehospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Community Health, University of Aukland, NZ; Kaiser Permanente Medical Center, Oakland, CA, USA; University of Kuopio, Kuopio, Finland; and Royal Free and University College Medical School, London, UK 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Keywords: alcohol, cardiovascular diseases. Introduction Alcohol is used throughout the world and it has long been known that heavy alcohol consumption is hazardous to various body organs including the cardiovascular system. In several countries it is also a major social problem, and alcohol is the second leading cause of preventable deaths after smoking in most industrialized countries [1]. However, there is now also substantial evidence that the intake of light to moderate amounts of alcohol is associated with reduced morbidity and mortality from several cardiovascular conditions, particularly coronary heart disease (CHD) [2]. The interpretation of these beneficial effects has been vigorously discussed and it has been suggested that the effects on cardiovascular disorders might not be due to alcohol per se but to other so called confounding factors [3]. The topic has been extensively covered during the last decades and in 1997, the National Institute of Health published a huge monograph on alcohol and the # 1999 Blackwell Science Ltd cardiovascular system [4]. In order to examine the scientific evidence relating to the effects of a low to moderate intake of alcohol a group of experts in the field gathered in April 1998 in San Diego, California. The present article summarizes the conclusions agreed upon at that meeting. Objectives It is well established that heavy alcohol consumption exerts deleterious effects on the human body with increased risk to most organs, but primarily to the liver, central nervous and cardiovascular systems [5]. However, light to moderate intake of alcohol does not seem to have these untoward effects and the evidence now suggests that individuals consuming up to and including 2 drinks per day have a reduced risk of some major cardiovascular events [6±9]. However, it is still under debate whether this `protective' effect is due to alcohol per se or is in some way, or to some extent, due to the 331 332 B . F A G R E L L et al. characteristics of those who drink lightly or moderately. The purpose of the present workshop was to review the scientific data accumulated on alcohol consumption and cardiovascular effects and to try to evaluate whether alcohol in itself could be responsible for the beneficial effects noted in those individuals consuming low to moderate amounts. Definitions disregard these findings and focus on the effects of light or moderate drinking as defined above. The epidemiological evidence Several factors have to be taken into consideration when the results of the different epidemiological studies on the effect of alcohol on cardiovascular events are evaluated. Some of the more important factors are discussed here. Factors influencing the results Amount of alcohol It was decided to look in particular at data for low to moderate drinkers, which was defined as individuals consuming 1±2 (3) drinks/day (<10±20 (30) g of ethanol), and not to discuss the effects of heavier drinking (Fig. 1). The definition of a `drink' varies considerably from country to country, but it is usually agreed to be a can/glass of beer (250±350 cc), a glass of wine (150 cc) or a tot/measure (30±50 cc) of spirits. Thus, a `drink' may contain anywhere between 10 and 15 g of alcohol and it is important that all alcohol studies should be explicit about the methods used to estimate intake in grams of alcohol per unit time (day, week, months). The group is aware that several studies have shown that three drinks/per day or more may also be associated with beneficial effects [2, 10, 11], for example a reduction in risk of CHD events [12, 13], but the risk of multiple adverse effects are increased at this level of intake. It was therefore decided to Fig. 1 Risk reduction from low to moderate intake of alcohol ± the `J-curve'. In the present document we will only discuss the effect of 1±2 units of alcohol per day on different cardiovascular events, and disregard effects of larger quantities. Reference group. It is essential to choose an appropriate reference (baseline) group. In most earlier studies, and even in some recent reports, the nondrinkers forming the reference group includes ex-drinkers [9, 10], a group which may include people of increased risk of major cardiovascular events and total mortality compared with regular light or moderate drinkers, and their risks may even exceed those of heavy drinkers [11]. The use of a reference group containing a significant proportion of ex-drinkers will considerably exaggerate the apparent benefits of light or moderate drinking. However, in most of the recent studies the ex-drinkers are analysed separately [2, 12, 13]. Life long teetotallers would appear to be a more appropriate group, but their proportion in any study sample varies considerably and is often very small. For this reason, and because life long teetotallers in some studies have shown increased risk of total mortality [12, 14], it has been proposed that the large and relatively stable group of occasional, i.e. nonregular drinkers, could be used as the reference group [11]. However, the use of life long teetotallers or occasional drinkers would appear to provide the most appropriate, and least biased reference category. Changes in drinking habits (Table 1). Available data show that there is a continuing tendency for alcohol intake to be reduced with increasing age [15]. In particular heavy and moderate drinkers show the largest reductions in intake over time, moving towards lighter drinking and nondrinking. This process is affected to a considerable extent by the accumulation of ill health and regular medication. This has to be taken into account when subjects are followed up for prolonged periods but # 1999 Blackwell Science Ltd Journal of Internal Medicine 246: 331±340 FRONTIERS IN MEDICINE: DRINKING AND CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES 333 Table 1 Change in alcohol intake over time Intake 12±14 years later Number of subjects at screening Intake at screening (%) None (%) Occasional (%) Light (%) Moderate (%) Heavy (%) 306 1378 1929 1381 564 None (6) Occasional (25) Light (35) Moderate (25) Heavy (10) 79 30 9 7 4 14 45 23 14 7 5 23 57 48 29 2 1 10 26 40 0 0.4 0.8 4 20 Alcohol intake at screening and 12±14 years later in 5549 middle-aged British men. The table illustrates changes in drinking habits during the observation period [16]. are classified by their alcohol intake at one particular point in time. The trend towards reduction of intake or giving up drinking is associated with higher rates of new diagnoses than in those remaining stable in their alcohol intake, and also with higher rates of both cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality [16]. Thus the increased cardiovascular risk and other mortality in exdrinkers, and those who have considerably reduced their alcohol intake, may be explained by the reasons for their having given up drinking. Most prospective studies in cardiovascular disease start in middle age, with subjects aged 40±60 years or more, by which time many will have passed through their period of heavy drinking in their earlier decades. Consequently, many individuals may have reduced their intake or given up drinking, often for health reasons, but not necessarily for alcohol-related illness. The use of nondrinkers as a baseline, and the failure or inability to adequately take into account the characteristics of subjects in the different alcohol intake categories, may exaggerate the risk of cardiovascular events and all cause mortality in nondrinkers and the benefits of light drinking. Only a very small group of subjects increased their alcohol intake with age, but this is unlikely to affect the interpretations of relative risks made in this report. Confounding factors. It has been argued that the effects of light/moderate alcohol intake on the cardiovascular system are not entirely due to the direct effects of alcohol, but are at least in part due to confounding factors associated with alcohol consumption, e.g. social class, smoking, physical activity, personality type. As exemplified in the Copenhagen City Heart Study (Table 2) there are differences in various life style characteristics and cardiovascular risk factors with relation to the amount of alcohol consumed. This is particularly apparent in the extreme groups of nondrinkers and excessive consumers [17]. In many studies in recent years attempts have been made to adjust for these factors, or to take them into account by stratification [9, 11, 17±21]. In the present overview, we have tried to keep this consideration in mind and to build our statements mainly on those studies which include adjustments for these factors in their analyses. However, few studies provide information on the characteristics of the subjects in the alcohol intake categories used. This makes it difficult to assess the likelihood of these associated characteristics having affected the outcome of the analysis. Thus, when it is seen that both exdrinkers and lifelong teetotallers have characteristics which are likely to increase their risk of cardiovascular events or total mortality in comparison with light regular drinkers, then the ability of statistical analysis to adequately take account of the differences between alcohol intake groups could be difficult. Such differences in characteristics between nondrinkers and light to moderate drinkers might contribute to an enhanced difference in cardiovascular risks between the two groups. However, when such confounding factors have been specifically adjusted for in the analyses, it has not resulted in a marked reduction in or elimination of benefits found from low to moderate alcohol intake on CHD risk [9, 11, 17±21]. Other inherent problems. Several other problems also have to be taken into account when the effects of alcohol on humans are considered. Some of these are listed here: # 1999 Blackwell Science Ltd Journal of Internal Medicine 246: 331±340 334 B . F A G R E L L et al. Table 2 Distribution of potential confounders in the Copenhagen City Heart Study Alcohol intake in drinks per week 0 1±6 7±13 14±27 28±41 42±69 >69 Amongst 6.051 men Age Smoking Body mass index Physical activity, leisure Physical activity, work Income Education Cholesterol High density lipoprotein Blood pressure, systolic Blood pressure, diastolic mean, year % smokers mean, kg m22 % inactive % sitting % lowest % lowest mean, mmol L21 mean, mol L21 mean, mmHg mean, mmHg 55.5 63.3 25.9 26.2 31.4 35.0 59.5 5.97 1.16 140 86 54.4 66.8 25.8 17.5 30.6 21.0 48.8 6.02 1.17 139 84 53.4 68.2 25.7 16.9 31.5 17.9 44.2 6.00 1.27 140 86 54.3 72.4 25.8 19.4 28.6 19.2 48.3 6.04 1.34 140 86 51.7 76.6 26.3 21.7 22.7 16.8 50.6 5.96 1.41 143 89 52.6 79.2 26.9 27.8 18.2 20.5 54.7 5.95 1.43 143 90 49.8 85.9 26.7 34.2 14.7 27.1 54.4 5.92 1.43 140 91 Amongst 7.234 women Age Smoking Body mass index Physical activty, leisure Physical activity, work Income Education Cholesterol High density lipoprotein Blood pressure, systolic Blood pressure, diastolic mean, year % yes mean, kg m22 % of inactive % of sitting % of low % of low mean, mmol L21 mean, mol L21 mean, mmHg mean, mmHg 56.5 52.7 25.5 25.7 23.2 46.4 65.5 6.48 1.53 139 83 51.7 59.5 24.6 15.7 25.9 25.5 46.1 6.23 1.60 134 82 52.6 59.6 24.1 17.1 29.6 23.5 36.0 6.25 1.62 135 84 51.4 67.6 23.8 20.11 31.2 23.2 37.6 6.17 1.79 138 83 51.1 69.9 23.9 34.3 26.5 26.1 34.3 6.42 1.95 133 82 51.6 77.4 24.5 38.7 48.2 24.1 58.1 6.07 1.59 135 83 44.2 94.4 26.4 38.9 46.7 55.6 27.8 5.97 1.38 134 85 Mean age, body mass index, cholesterol, high density lipoprotein and blood pressure by alcohol intake group. Smoking is percentage current smokers by alcohol intake group. Physical activity is percentage inactive by alcohol intake group. Income is percentage low income level by alcohol intake group. Education is percentage low educational level by alcohol intake group. Because neither drinkers, nor nondrinkers, are likely to agree to being randomised to drinking or abstinence for periods of years, and because of a variety of other problems (social, ethical and logistic), it is highly unlikely that any interventional study on the long-term effects of alcohol consumption will ever be seriously contemplated, let alone undertaken. We therefore have to rely on information from well designed prospective epidemiological observational studies in representative populations. It has been postulated that inaccurate data on alcohol use will be given by some individuals, and most probably there will be an underestimation, especially in heavy drinkers. However, as we in this paper are only dealing with light to moderate drinkers this will most probably not influence the conclusions drawn [21±23]. The drinking process is very dynamic and, as has been stated earlier, there is a change in alcohol intake (or stated alcohol intake) over time (Table 1), and this needs to be kept in mind when evaluating the results of different studies [15, 16]. The majority of heavy and moderate drinkers will reduce their intake when growing older. There are also occasional drinkers who will become nondrinkers, and many light drinkers will reduce the intake to occasional or nondrinkers. Very few individuals will increase their intake of alcohol during the years in the age groups we are dealing with here. Consequently, the changes in drinking habits with time would most probably increase the apparent strength of a protective association between lighter drinking and a reduction in cardiovascular events. Another problem is the lack of standardization of the amount of type of alcohol consumed Fortunately, however, a standard `unit' of beer, wine and distilled spirits contains approximately the same amount of alcohol (10±15 g) [24]. The diagnoses of different cardiovascular disorders can sometimes be rather difficult. The symptoms of # 1999 Blackwell Science Ltd Journal of Internal Medicine 246: 331±340 FRONTIERS IN MEDICINE: DRINKING AND CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES angina pectoris for example, are subjective, and to reach a diagnosis with accuracy is time consuming and often requires expensive investigations. In addition, many studies have combined all cardiovascular conditions to obtain sufficiently large numbers in the different groups. This might result in a cancellation of positive or negative associations. Heavy drinking has clear harmful effects on the cardiovascular system which is not the case with light to moderate drinking [4, 5, 24]. Alcohol and cardiovascular diseases Mortality. Almost all large-scale studies consistently show that lighter drinkers far better than nondrinkers, and that heavy drinkers are subjected to more cardiovascular deaths than lighter drinkers [2±10]. This is the well-known J-shaped curve [21, 24]. Some of the `cardiovascular' deaths related to heavy drinkers are most probably not due to atherosclerotic coronary disease, but to other causes, e.g. cardiomyopathy, hypertension or haemorrhagic stroke [23, 25]. This fact has certainly influenced the difference between light and heavy drinkers found in some studies [24, 26] In almost all studies performed on adult populations (30±80 years) there is an overall reduction in cardiovascular deaths from 10 to 50% in individuals consuming #2 units per day, compared to nondrinkers. The most apparent effects can be seen in subjects with one or more risk factors for cardiovascular diseases [26, 27]. Coronary heart disease (CHD). There is strong evidence supporting the hypothesis that small to moderate amounts of alcohol protects against CHD. In some of the largest prospective cohort studies alcohol lowers CHD mortality substantially, usually compared with nondrinkers [2±8, 10, 11, 17, 24± 28]. The lowest risk seems to be amongst subjects reporting an average intake of 1±4 drinks daily. This effect can also be seen in women, and in the Nurses' Health Study of women consuming 3±9 units per week there was a 40% reduction of CHD in comparison to nondrinkers [29, 30]. Stroke. Several epidemiological studies have suggested that light to moderate drinking may be protective against ischemic stroke and that abstainers are at increased risk [31±35]. However, there 335 may be a risk of overestimating the beneficial effects because of inaccurate comparison groups in some studies [32]. Peripheral arterial disease. The role of alcohol in peripheral vascular disease has received far less attention than the effects of alcohol on other cardiovascular diseases. In one study, the odds of intermittent claudication for a one standard deviation increase in alcohol intake was 1.0, suggesting that alcohol had no influence on the disease [36]. However, in the Edinburgh Artery Study (Scotland), a cross sectional analysis of alcohol intake and relationship with ankle brachial pressure index, a greater alcohol intake in males was related to a higher index, i.e. less severe peripheral arterial disease. In this study the protective effect was more related to wine consumption than to beer or spirits [37]. Also in a large study on approximately. 22 000 US male physicians the results showed that alcohol consumption (regardless of type of alcohol) decreased the risk of peripheral arterial disease in apparently healthy men [38]. Sex and age Sex. Most of the studies have been performed in men and it can be concluded that the most apparent beneficial effects of light to moderate drinking are found in men over the age of 40 years. In the relatively few studies performed in women on alcohol consumption and cardiovascular disease [20, 29±31], it has been found that women who consume #2 drinks a day also benefit. This is particularly noted in postmenopausal women over the age of 50 [30, 31]. Age. There is no hard evidence for a reduction in cardiovascular mortality in light to moderate drinkers at an age below 40 years, neither for men nor for women. However, given the very low incidence of cardiovascular disease in young people, it would be very difficult to detect a real protective effect of alcohol in this population, except in very large studies. There is also some evidence that there is a minor increase in the risk of breast cancer in younger women consuming even small amounts of alcohol on a regular basis [39, 40]. # 1999 Blackwell Science Ltd Journal of Internal Medicine 246: 331±340 336 B . F A G R E L L et al. Type of alcohol Based upon ecological studies on the correlation between wine intake per capita in different countries, and incidence of cardiovascular diseases, it has been postulated that wine has a more beneficial effect than beer or spirits. St Leger et al. [41], Renaud et al. [6], and later Criqui et al. [18] found inverse relations between incidence rates of cardiovascular disease and wine consumption in different countries, but no such relation for the other types of beverages. A number of clinical and experimental studies support the hypothesis that there may be additional beneficial factors present in wine, but not in beer and spirits [41±47]. Several prospective cohort studies of the effects of alcohol on cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality have addressed the question of different effects of the different beverages types. The conclusions have been diverse, but some studies specifically addressing this question, including studies able to distinguish between the effects of the different types of alcohol and beverages, have concluded that there may be an additional beneficial effect of wine [17, 44±47]. In one study it was concluded that beer drinking men and wine drinking women were at a lower risk of hospitalization than others [45]. However, Rimm et al. concluded that since an even number of studies found beer, wine, and spirits to be equally protective, the differences may be due to specific cohort effects, and that ethanol in itself could be responsible for the reduced risk of CHD [7]. A large part, but not all, of the greater benefit for CHD and total mortality seen in wine drinkers can be attributed to their advantageous life style characteristics, suggesting that these factors are largely responsible for the apparent benefits of being a wine drinker [46, 47]. Consequently, in view of the literature available today it must be concluded that there is no strong evidence for a better protective effect on cardiovascular events of wine than of other type of liqueurs, but that confounding factors such as diet and life-style factors may play a role [45±47]. Mechanisms Protective effects. The protective effect of low to moderate consumption of alcohol on cardiovascular diseases could mainly be the result of the following factors: . Blood lipids: The protective association observed between moderate alcohol consumption and risk of CHD is likely to be mediated primarily through the effects of alcohol on blood lipids [48±50] and on haemostasis [51±53]. It has furthermore been estimated that the protective effect could be explained by the favourable effects of alcohol on high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL) and particularly its subfractions HDL2 and HDL3 [48, 49]. The effects on HDL may account for about 50% of the beneficial effect found [50]. The effects of moderate alcohol consumption are, however, small on other lipids and lipoprotein levels such as LDL cholesterol, triglycerides, and lipoprotein(a), although marked effects have been noted in high consumers (reductions in LDL cholesterol and Lp(a) and increase of triglycerides) [48]. . Coagulation system: Moderate alcohol consumption is known to acutely inhibit platelet aggregation, particularly after a fatty meal, and influences the coagulation system by reducing the circulating level of plasma fibrinogen [51]. There is both prospective cohort study evidence that platelet activity influences CHD risk and randomized trial evidence that aspirin, which like alcohol decreases the secondary aggregation of platelets, reduces CHD risk [52]. Moreover, the alcohol induced increase in fibrinolytic activity is independent of the lipid effects [53], and it is therefore likely that the effects on haemostasis partly explain the protective effect of drinking on CHD risk [13, 53]. This is also supported by several studies suggesting that there is also an acute protective effect of alcohol on the risk of CHD [54±56]. . Antioxidant properties and effects on vascular smooth muscles: Experimental data imply that moderate alcohol consumption may induce antioxidant effects [57], although the exact mechanisms and its contribution to protection is yet not known. Alcohol consumption may also affect vascular smooth muscles and vascular tone by interactions with nitric oxide. Acute effects of small amounts of alcohol causes vascular relaxation, whereas higher amounts may induce contraction [58]. Further research is needed to establish both the complex mechanisms and the long-term effects on the vasculature. . Insulin resistance: Regular intake of low to moderate amounts of alcohol seems to enhance # 1999 Blackwell Science Ltd Journal of Internal Medicine 246: 331±340 FRONTIERS IN MEDICINE: DRINKING AND CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES insulin sensitivity with lower fasting insulin values and lower estimates of insulin resistance [59±61]. . Psychological effects: Whether psychological mechanisms may account for part of the beneficial effects on cardiovascular events is still unclear. However, it has been proposed that low to moderate levels of alcohol consumption may reduce stress, and decrease tension and anxiety [62, 63]. Also, in elderly people moderate drinking has been reported to stimulate appetite and improve mood [64]. Adverse effects. The adverse effects of a regular light to moderate intake of alcohol are modest and socially related in terms of increased risks for various traumas, accidents, etc. With regard to biologically related adverse effects the following should be mentioned: . High blood pressure: The blood pressure is not significantly affected if intake is light to moderate [65]. . Cancer: There may be a modest increase in incidence of colorectal cancer [66], and breast cancer [39, 40, 67]. . Alcohol dependency: There is always a risk of regular to moderate drinkers becoming alcohol dependent, but in the age groups we are discussing here (men .40 and women .50 years) this risk seems to be marginal (,1%) [15, 16] . Interaction with medication: The risk of interactions between therapeutic medication and alcohol has also to be born in mind as a large proportion of the population most likely to benefit from light alcohol intake are on regular medication [68]. Our opinion In consideration of the data presented in this article it is our opinion that the following can be stated. . There are specific groups of individuals in whom the benefits of light to moderate drinking of alcohol for atherothrombotic cardiovascular diseases appear to outweigh the negative effects of alcohol. Those most likely to benefit are those at higher risk of atherothrombotic cardiovascular diseases, such as middle aged men and postmenopausal women, especially those with cardiovascular risk factors. . It is yet unknown whether the benefit of different 337 types of alcohol and beverages (beer, wine, and spirits) is equal in regard to the risk of atherothrombotic cardiovascular diseases. . In light of the evidence it is not necessary to advise established light to moderate drinkers at above average risk for atherothrombotic disease to abstain from drinking. . There is concern about the data which suggest that even low levels (1±2 drinks/day) of alcohol intake are associated with increased risk of breast cancer and injuries Caveats There is still uncertainty about the magnitude of the association between light-to-moderate drinking and the overall benefits because of study limitations and methodological difficulties. These difficulties arise from: (i) the unresolved issue of which alcohol intake category is the most appropriate to use as a baseline, i.e. nondrinkers in general, lifelong teetotallers or occasional drinkers; (ii) the problem of adequately taking into account the characteristics of subjects in the various alcohol intake categories; (iii) the failure to take into account the changing nature of alcohol intake over time; and (iv) the problems with adjustments for the confounding influence of ill-defined life style factors and psychosocial factors. However, where control for some social factors has been included in the analysis, this has not resulted in an elimination, nor a marked reduction, of apparent benefit of alcohol intake and CHD [61, 62]. Preventive implications Based on the data available today we think that the following statements can be made. . There are no scientific reasons to propose general recommendations to increase alcohol consumption in the population. . Recommendations to individuals on alcohol consumption should be based on the balance of risks and benefits to that particular individual. . All heavy drinkers should be encouraged to reduce their consumption. . Most light to moderate drinkers need no specific advice. . Nondrinkers should not generally be encouraged to start drinking. # 1999 Blackwell Science Ltd Journal of Internal Medicine 246: 331±340 338 B . F A G R E L L et al. . 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