sustainability Article GHG Emissions from the Production of Lithium-Ion Batteries for Electric Vehicles in China Han Hao, Zhexuan Mu, Shuhua Jiang, Zongwei Liu and Fuquan Zhao * State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; [email protected] (H.H.); [email protected] (Z.M.); [email protected] (S.J.); [email protected] (Z.L.) * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +86-10-6279-7400 Academic Editors: Liexun Yang, Peng Zhou and Ning Zhang Received: 14 January 2017; Accepted: 21 March 2017; Published: 4 April 2017 Abstract: With the mass market penetration of electric vehicles, the Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions associated with lithium-ion battery production has become a major concern. In this study, by establishing a life cycle assessment framework, GHG emissions from the production of lithium-ion batteries in China are estimated. The results show that for the three types of most commonly used lithium-ion batteries, the (LFP) battery, the (NMC) battery and the (LMO) battery, the GHG emissions from the production of a 28 kWh battery are 3061 kgCO2 -eq, 2912 kgCO2 -eq and 2705 kgCO2 -eq, respectively. This implies around a 30% increase in GHG emissions from vehicle production compared with conventional vehicles. The productions of cathode materials and wrought aluminum are the dominating contributors of GHG emissions, together accounting for around three quarters of total emissions. From the perspective of process energy use, around 40% of total emissions are associated with electricity use, for which the GHG emissions in China are over two times higher than the level in the United States. According to our analysis, it is recommended that great efforts are needed to reduce the GHG emissions from battery production in China, with improving the production of cathodes as the essential measure. Keywords: greenhouse gas; life cycle assessment; lithium-ion battery; electric vehicle; China 1. Introduction In recent years, the great promotion of electric vehicles (EVs) by the Chinese government has boosted the development of the EV battery industry. Among all sorts of EV batteries, lithium ion batteries are currently the best sellers on the market due to the advantages of high energy density, high power density, long service life, and favorable environmental properties compared to lead-acid batteries and Ni-MH batteries. In 2015, China’s EV battery yield reached 15.45.GWh, up 277.7% compared to 2014 [1]. This boom for the lithium ion battery industry will surely leave a considerable burden on the environment. Vehicle-use lithium ion batteries are currently divided into three categories depending on their different anodes, i.e., the (LFP) battery, the (NMC) battery, and the (LMO) battery. Among the battery distribution on the Chinese market in 2015, LFP accounted for 52%, NMC 39%, and LMO 3% (relatively preferred for Japanese and Korean cars) [2]. At present, domestic research on lithium ion batteries is primarily focused on performance, falling short of further understanding the environmental impact of the battery, particularly of the manufacturing process of the battery. This study focuses on the manufacturing process of vehicle-use lithium ion batteries in China. Based on the life cycle assessment (LCA) method, it establishes a local model for study of the green gas (GHG) emissions of vehicle-use lithium ion batteries, reveals the carbon emission strength of all components in the “Cradle-to-Gate” phase, analyzes the GHG emission reduction potential of all Sustainability 2017, 9, 504; doi:10.3390/su9040504 www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability Sustainability 2017, 9, 504 2 of 12 components, and makes a transverse comparison and Sino-US comparison of the GHG emissions of LFP, NMC, and LMO batteries. In addition, it analyzes the uncertainty of the GHG emission model based on study results in the existing literature. 2. Overview of Relevant Studies As the life cycle database has been established and gradually improved, many foreign studies have adopted LCA for automobiles or accessories. Notter and other foreign scholars have studied the entire-life environment and energy impacts of LMO batteries [3], giving the mean values of input and output materials during the production of LMO batteries. Zackrisson et al. have explored the environmental impact of different binders during the production of LFP batteries based on experimental data [4], suggesting that it is environmentally preferable to use water as a solvent instead of N-methyl-2-pyrrolidone, NMP, in the slurry for casting the cathode and anode of lithium-ion batteries. Majeau-Bettez et al. have studied the environmental and energy impact of LFP and NMC batteries based on secondary data [5], contributing a public and detailed inventory, which can easily be adapted to any electricitytrain, along with readily usable environmental performance assessments. Ellingsen et al. have researched the GHG emissions during the manufacturing process of NMC batteries based on primary data provided by the battery manufacturers [6], providing us with a transparent inventory for a lithium-ion nickel-cobalt-manganese traction battery. Dunn et al. from the Argonne National Laboratory in the U.S. have researched the energy flow and material flow during the production of all materials of the NMC, LFP, LMO and LCO batteries [7,8], and have calculated total (full fuel cycle) energy consumption associated with the production of each of the cathode materials. Other foreign studies on lithium ion batteries include the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Amarakoon et al. [9] of the US, who have presented a life-cycle assessment (LCA) study of lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries used in electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, Kim et al. [10], who reported the first cradle-to-gate emissions assessment for a mass-produced battery in a commercial battery electric vehicle, and Hendrickson et al. [11], whose study combined life-cycle assessment and geographic information systems(GIS) to analyze the energy, (GHG) emissions, etc. for lithium-ion batteries in California. Domestically, Wang Qi from South China University of Technology assessed the environmental effect and life cycle cost of three lithium battery anode materials (NMC, LMO, and LFP) [12], and the results show that the environmental benefits of LMO is the highest, with greater environmental benefits than the LFP and the life cycle environment cost of LFP is the lowest, followed by LMO and NMC. Lu Qiang from Jilin University analyzed the GHG emissions throughout the entire cycle of LFP batteries [13], providing us with the values of energy consumption and greenhouse gases emission in the “cradle to use” stage. Chen Bo from Beijing Institute of Technology assessed the environmental impact of lithium batteries with such anode materials as NMC, LNM, LFLM, and LFP [14], and the life cycle environmental impact scores of these batteries were 275 Pt, 129 Pt, 142 Pt and 100 Pt respectively. Above all, while more foreign studies on the energy and environmental impact of EV batteries were carried out earlier, the domestic study of this topic still in the initial phases. Additionally, electric vehicle is becoming a main application field of lithium-ion batteries, whereas there is no specialized study on these kinds of batteries. As such, this study mainly assesses the environmental impact of the vehicle-use lithium-ion battery. 3. Research Content and Methods 3.1. Research Framework and System Boundary Based on the LCA study method, the study process is divided into four parts: Definition of Target and Scope, Inventory, Impact Assessment, and Results Interpretation. For collection of life cycle inventory, this study primarily adopts the literary consultation and factory investigation methods (Figure 1). Sustainability 2017, 9, 504 3 of 12 Sustainability 2016, 8, x FOR PEER REVIEW 3 of 12 Sustainability 2016, 8, x FOR PEER REVIEW 3 of 12 Figure 1. Study Framework. Figure 1. Study Framework. Figure 1. Study Framework. In the LCA process, the manufacturing process of lithium ion batteries is also called the “CradleIn the LCA process, the manufacturing of lithium is exploitation, also called the to-Gate” phase. The manufacturing process is process divided into the four ion linksbatteries of material In the LCA process, the manufacturing process of lithium ion batteries is also called the “Cradlematerial processing, part manufacturing and battery manufacturing. Sincethe vehicle-use lithium ion “Cradle-to-Gate” phase. The manufacturing process is divided into four links of material to-Gate” phase. The manufacturing process is divided into the four links of material exploitation, batteries are not widely recycled in China now, it is hard to find data to support the research. Thus, exploitation, material processing, part manufacturing and battery manufacturing. Since vehicle-use material processing, part manufacturing and battery manufacturing. Since vehicle-use lithium ion instead of an analysis the GHG emissions throughout entire life,tothis studythe simply lithium ion batteries are notofrecycled widely recycled China itthe is hard tobattery find data research. batteries are not widely in China in now, it is now, hard to find data to support thesupport research. Thus, studies manufacturing process (Figure 2). Thus,instead insteadthe analysis GHG emissions throughout entire battery life, study this study simply ofofanananalysis of of thethe GHG emissions throughout the the entire battery life, this simply studies the manufacturing process (Figure2). 2). studies the manufacturing process (Figure Figure 2. System Boundary. Figure 2. System Boundary. Figure 2. System Commonly used functional units for the energy Boundary. and environmental impact of batteries include “per km of travel”, “per kWh of battery”, and “per kg of battery”. A study with “per km of travel” as Commonly used functional units for the energy and environmental impact of batteries include the functional unitfunctional will always have for the usage phase of the batteries within its system boundaries, Commonly used environmental impact “per km of travel”, “per kWh ofunits battery”, the and energy “per kg and of battery”. A study with “per of kmbatteries of travel”include as which can intuitively embody the usage features of the battery, and facilitate the comparison with “per km of travel”,unit “per kWh of battery”, and “per battery”. study “per km of travel” the functional will always have the usage phasekgofof the batteries A within itswith system boundaries, other energy-driven cars in terms of energy and environmental impact. Since this study focuses on can intuitively usage of theof battery, and facilitate theitscomparison with as thewhich functional unit willembody alwaysthe have the features usage phase the batteries within system boundaries, the manufacturing process of the battery, it is more intuitive and accurate to select “per kWh of other cars in terms of energy and environmental impact. Since thisthe study focuses on with which canenergy-driven intuitively embody the usage features of the battery, and facilitate comparison battery” as the functional unit. The index used for assessment of GHG emissions in this study is the the manufacturing process of the battery, it is more intuitive and accurate to select “per kWh of other emission energy-driven carsdioxide in terms of energy and impact. Since thisofstudy focuses the of carbon as equivalent to theenvironmental energy production of each kWh battery (kgCOon 2battery” as the functional unit. The index used for assessment of GHG emissions in this study is the manufacturing process of the battery, it is more intuitive and accurate to select “per kWh of battery” as eq/kWh). emission of carbon dioxide as equivalent to the energy production of each kWh of battery (kgCO2the functional unit. The index used for assessment of GHG emissions in this study is the emission of eq/kWh). 3.2.dioxide Calculation Method carbon as equivalent to the energy production of each kWh of battery (kgCO2 -eq/kWh). 3.2. Calculation Methodof GHG emissions includes two parts, the GHG emissions from the “raw The calculation material exploitation, material processing, and parts manufacturing” process of all The calculation of GHG emissions includes two parts, the GHG emissions from the “raw components/materials (Formula (1)),includes and the GHGparts, emissions from emissions the single cell production and The calculation of GHG emissions the GHG the “raw material exploitation, material processing,twoand parts manufacturing” from process of material all assembly process (Formula (2)). As most emissions during the battery manufacturing process come exploitation, material processing, and parts manufacturing” process of all components/materials components/materials (Formula (1)), and the GHG emissions from the single cell production and from combustion, we need to know the energy and material input of each process, as well as the assembly (Formula As most emissions battery manufacturing process come (Formula (1)),process and the GHG(2)). emissions from theduring singlethe cell production and assembly process process energy consumed by this process, and substitute the GHG emission factor for the process from (2)). combustion, need to know thethe energy and manufacturing material input ofprocess each process, wellcombustion, as the (Formula As mostweemissions during battery come as from energy, so as to work out the GHG emissions. It should be noted that while GHG emissions process energy by material this process, and the GHG emission factor for the process we need to know theconsumed energy and input of substitute each well as be theneglected process energy consumed originating from non-combustion are not shown in theprocess, formula,asthey can if they are too energy, so as to work out the GHG emissions. It should be noted that while GHG emissions by this process, and substitute the GHG emission factor for the process energy, so as to work out the small. originating from non-combustion are not shown in the formula, they can be neglected if they are too GHG emissions. It should be noted that while GHG emissions originating from non-combustion are small. 𝐶𝐸𝑀𝑃 = ∑𝑖 ∑𝑗 𝐸𝐹𝑗 · ∑𝑘 𝐸𝐶𝑖,𝑗,𝑘 , (1) 3.2. Calculation Method not shown in the formula, they can be neglected if they are too small. 𝐶𝐸𝑀𝑃 = ∑𝑖 ∑𝑗 𝐸𝐹𝑗 · ∑𝑘 𝐸𝐶𝑖,𝑗,𝑘 , CE MP = ∑i ∑ j EFj ·∑k ECi,j,k , CEBP = CE MP + CEBA , (1) (1) (2) Sustainability 2017, 9, 504 4 of 12 wherein, i refers to the material, j to the energy, and k to the process (to the GHG emissions of each component/material, to the GHG emissions from the single cell production and assembly process, and to the GHG emissions during the battery manufacturing process). 3.3. Establishment of Battery Model For battery modeling, this study adopts the BatPac Model of the Argonne National Laboratory of the US. For the battery capacity option, investigation of the EV market in mainland China in 2015 and 2016 and relevant literature revealed that the capacity of lithium ion batteries carried by purely electric vehicles normally ranges between 20 kWh and 30 kWh [15]. With reference to the GREET-2015 Model (The Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy Use in Transportation Model of the Argonne National Laboratory ), as total battery capacity of 28 kWh comparatively conforms to the current technical mainstream, 28 kWh is presumed as the total battery capacity in this study. The BatPac Model and GREET-2015 Model of the Argonne National Laboratory are adopted because (i) they are relatively reliable due to their summarization of research findings of Majeau-Bettez et al. [12], and Notter et al. [10], to establish a rather complete assessment chain for a car’s life cycle; and (ii) it’s easy to compare the GHG emissions calculated by local data in the Chinese market with that of the Laboratory (Table 1). Table 1. Setup of Lithium Ion Battery Parameters. Battery Type LFP NMC LMO Rated Capacity (kWh) Battery Weight (kg) Battery’s Energy Density (Wh/kg) Qty. of Battery Cells 28 230 122 100 28 170 165 96 28 210 133 96 The mass fraction of each material/component of the three lithium ion batteries fitted through the BatPac Model is shown in Table 2. Among all of these, the anode active materials take up the biggest share, respectively 24.4%, 28.2%, and 33.6% for LFP, NMC, and LMO batteries. Wrought aluminum then follows. Aluminum is also heavily used in the batteries, including the anode current collector, anode tab, aluminum plastic film of battery cell, battery package, and module shell. Plastics include PP, PT and PET, used in the membrane and aluminum plastic film. Table 2. Battery Mass Composition. Battery Components LFP NMC LMO Anode Active Materials Graphite Binder Copper Wrought aluminum Electrolyte: LiPF6 Electrolyte: EC Electrolyte: DMC Plastic: PP Plastic: PT Plastic: PET Steel Fiberglass Coolant: Glycol Battery Management System(BMS) 24.4% 15.2% 2.1% 12.4% 20.3% 2.7% 7.8% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3% 1.3% 1.5% 0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 28.2% 18.3% 2.4% 11.4% 19.7% 1.9% 5.4% 5.4% 1.7% 0.3% 1.2% 1.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 33.6% 14.7% 2.5% 10.9% 18.7% 1.9% 5.4% 5.4% 1.7% 0.3% 1.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% Sustainability 2017, 9, 504 5 of 12 3.4. Data Localization The most important step in establishing the local model for GHG emission of lithium ion batteries in China is to localize the database. Energy consumption or carbon emission data of each process is shown in Table 3. Table 3. Source of Energy Consumption/Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emission Data of the Battery Manufacturing Process. Material Data Source Anode Active Material (LFP, NMC, LMO) Graphite [12] Carbonization [16] Graphitization GREET-2015 Production of Copper Ingot [17] Brushing [18] Production of Aluminum Ingot [19] Binder GREET-2015 Copper Wrought aluminum Punching (Cold Rolling) GREET-2015 Extruding GREET-2015 Electrolyte: LiPF6, EC, DMC GREET-2015 Plastic: PP, PT, PET GREET-2015 Steel [20] Glass fiber GREET-2015 Coolant: Glycol GREET-2015 Battery Management System GREET-2015 Single Cell Production and Battery Assembly [13] Note: When the data come from GREET-2015 (The Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy Use in Transportation Model of the Argonne National Laboratory), the energy consumption data adopt those in GREET-2015, and the GHG emission factor of the energy is localized. Since many production processes and technologies are still under research and development amid the rapid development of the lithium ion battery industry, most enterprises are reluctant to disclose their primary data for process details and energy consumption of the production process. The study on energy consumption of the manufacturing process of anode active materials mostly relies upon the process flow, coupled with the physical and chemical parameters of the material. By presumption of the production equipment, reaction temperature and finished product yield, it estimates the thermal consumption of the reaction process. Representative studies include those carried out by Majeau-Bettez et al. [5], and Dunn et al. [7]. The data from the study on the whole-life environmental impact of anode materials (LiMn2 O4 , LiNi1/3 Co1/3 Mn1/3 O2 and LiFePO4 ) based on LCA method as carried out by Wang Qi from South China University of Technology in 2012 primarily come from the China Energy Statistical Yearbook [12]. As it directly refers to the research of Majeau-Bettez et al., it is relatively compliant with China’s current production reality [5]. Due to the difficulty in gaining first-hand data on the anode materials, the data on GHG emissions during the exploitation, transportation, and production process in this study all originate from Wang’s study (Table 4). Table 4. GHG Emissions of Three Anode Materials* [12]. Material Raw Material Exploitation Raw Material Transportation Anode Material Production LiMn2 O4 LiNi1/3 Co1/3 Mn1/3 O2 LiFePO4 11,600 18,200 13,200 796 522 1130 7200 18,100 12,100 * Unit: kgCO2 /t-Anode Material. Sustainability 2016, 8, x FOR PEER REVIEW 6 of 12 Sustainability 2017, 9, 504 6 of 12 Graphite is chiefly used in the cathode material of the battery. Graphite in this study is presumed to be artificial, which undergoes the carbonization and graphitization phases during the manufacturing dataof come from the GHG emission data is during Graphite isprocess. chiefly While used inthe thecarbonization cathode material the battery. Graphite in this study presumed carbon cathodewhich production in the carbonization aluminum industry, the energyphases consumption data of the to be artificial, undergoes and graphitization during the manufacturing graphitization process originate fromdata GREET-2015. process. While the carbonization come from the GHG emission data during carbon cathode production in the aluminum industry, the energy consumption data of the graphitization process 3.5. GHG Emission Factor of Process Energy originate from GREET-2015. Commonly seen GHG emission factors of process energy are shown in Table 5, which have all 3.5. GHG Emission of Process Energy been localized, withFactor the data source listed in the table below. Commonly seen GHG emission factors of process energy are shown in Table 5, which have all Table 5. Commonly Seen GHG Emission Factors in China. been localized, with the data source listed in the table below. GHG Emission Factor Data Source Table 5. Commonly GHG Emission Factors in China. (g-CO 2/MJ, g-CO2Seen /kWh) Coal 94.8 Chen Yisong, 2014 [21] GHG834.5 Emission Factor Electricity NBSC, 2016 [22], Ma Cuimei, et al., 2014 [23] Data Source Process Energy (g-CO263.5 /MJ, g-CO2 /kWh) Natural Gas Chen Yisong, 2014 [21] Coke 1 105.9 NDRC, [24]; IPCC, Coal 94.8 Chen 2014 Yisong, 2014 [21] 2006 [25] Electricity 834.5 NBSC, 2016 [22], MaYisong, Cuimei,2014 et al.,[21] 2014 [23] Residual Oil 89.3 Chen Chen Yisong, 20142014 [21][21] GasolineNatural Gas 82.063.5 Chen Yisong, 1 105.9 NDRC, Chen 2014 [24]; IPCC, 2006[21] [25] Diesel Coke 79.9 Yisong, 2014 Residual Oil 89.3 Chen Yisong, 2014 [21] 1 COG 44.4 IPCC, 2006 [25] Gasoline 82.0 Chen Yisong, 2014 [21] BFG1 260.0 IPCC, 2006 Diesel 79.9 Chen Yisong, 2014 [25] [21] 1 1 Coke, LPG and 44.4 the production of coke. Although IPCC, 2006IPCC [25] only specifies COG BFG are generated during 1 260.0could be used for the wholeIPCC, 2006 [25] BFG emission factors during the use phase, they life cycle. Process Energy 1 Coke, LPG and BFG are generated during the production of coke. Although IPCC only specifies emission factors during the use phase, they could be used for the whole life cycle. 4. Research Findings and Discussion 4. Research Findings and Discussion 4.1. GHG Emissions Calculation Result UsingEmissions the data above, Formula (1) and Formula (2), we calculated that the production of a rated 4.1. GHG Calculation Result capacity of 28 kWh of LFP, NMC, and LMO vehicle-use lithium ion batteries respectively leads to Using2-eq, the data Formula (1) and Formula (2), we calculated thatthe thesame production a rated 3061 kgCO 2912 above, kgCO2-eq, and 2705 kgCO 2-eq of GHG emissions. With capacity,ofthe capacity ofof28LMO kWh of LFP,results NMC,inand LMO lower vehicle-use lithium ion batteries respectively leads to production batteries relatively GHG emissions, while LFP and NMC batteries, 3061 kgCO -eq, 2912 kgCO -eq, and 2705 kgCO -eq of GHG emissions. With the same capacity, the taking the largest share in the Chinese market, generate basically the same amount of GHG emissions. 2 2 2 production of LMO batteries results in relatively lower GHG emissions, while LFP and NMC batteries, Anode active materials take up the greatest share of the contribution to GHG emissions made by all components of theshare battery, respectively 48.4%, 60.7% andbasically 51.1%; followed wrought taking the largest in the Chinese market, generate the samebyamount of aluminum, GHG emissions. respectively 26.2%, 19.7%,take andup 24.9% Anode active materials the (Figure greatest3).share of the contribution to GHG emissions made by all components of the battery, respectively 48.4%, 60.7% and 51.1%; followed by wrought aluminum, respectively 26.2%, 19.7%, and 24.9% (Figure 3). 1.20E+02 Battery cell production and assembly Others kgCO2-eq per battery 1.00E+02 BMS 8.00E+01 Plastic products Electrolyte 6.00E+01 Forging aluminum Copper 4.00E+01 Binder 2.00E+01 Graphite Anode active material 0.00E+00 LFP_China NCM_China LMO_China Figure 3. Comparison of GHG Emission Strengths of the Manufacturing of Three Commonly Used Lithium Ion Batteries. Sustainability 2016, 8, x FOR PEER REVIEW 7 of 12 Figure 3. Comparison of GHG Emission Strengths of the Manufacturing of Three Commonly Used Sustainability 2017, 9, Batteries. 504 Lithium Ion 7 of 12 What do such high GHG emissions mean? The manufacturing process of a traditional car will What do such high GHG emissions mean? The manufacturing process of a traditional car will emit about 9 t of GHG [20], while LFP batteries emit nearly 3 t. Carrying the 28 kWh LFP battery will emit about 9 t of GHG [20], while LFP batteries emit nearly 3 t. Carrying the 28 kWh LFP battery will increase the GHG emission of the whole car manufacturing process by 30%. While the car consumes increase the GHG emission of the whole car manufacturing process by 30%. While the car consumes electricity throughout the entire use phase and GHG emissions in the manufacturing process account electricity throughout the entire use phase and GHG emissions in the manufacturing process account for merely 5% of the whole life cycle, only a limited impact is left for GHG emissions from the battery for merely 5% of the whole life cycle, only a limited impact is left for GHG emissions from the battery manufacturing process on the total life cycle. manufacturing process on the total life cycle. 4.2.Comparison ComparisonofofGHG GHGEmissions Emissionsbetween betweenChinese Chineseand andAmerican AmericanLithium LithiumIon IonBatteries Batteries 4.2. The data data on onAmerican American batteries batteries come come from from the the GREET-2015 GREET-2015 Model Model of ofthe theArgonne ArgonneNational National The Laboratory. Generally Generally speaking, speaking, GHG GHG emissions emissions during during the the manufacturing manufacturing process process of of Chinese Chinese LFP, LFP, Laboratory. NMC, and LMO batteries are respectively 3, 2.8 and 2.9 times greater than those of their American NMC, and LMO batteries are respectively 3, 2.8 and 2.9 times greater than those of their American counterparts. Anode Anode active active materials materials and and wrought wrought aluminum aluminum are are the the main main causes causes of of the the differences. differences. counterparts. Due to complexity of the process and uncertainty of the data, the GHG emissions in production of Due to complexity of the process and uncertainty of the data, the GHG emissions in production of anode materials show an apparent difference with those in the U.S. The second biggest contribution anode materials show an apparent difference with those in the U.S. The second biggest contribution fromwrought wroughtaluminum, aluminum,particularly particularlyin inChina. China. As AsChina’s China’s average average electrical electrical structure structure leads leads to to isisfrom higher GHG emission factors and aluminum production consumes a considerable amount of higher GHG emission factors and aluminum production consumes a considerable amount of electricity, a remarkable amount of GHG(Figure emissions itelectricity, generatesita generates remarkable amount of GHG emissions 4). (Figure 4). 120 kgCO2-eq per kWh battery 100 80 60 40 20 0 LFP_China LFP_USA NCM_China NCM_USA Anode active material Binder Forging aluminum Plastic product Others LMO_China LMO_USA Graphite Copper Electrolyte BMS Battery cell production and assembly Figure Figure4.4.Comparison Comparisonof ofGHG GHGEmissions Emissionsby byChinese Chineseand andAmerican AmericanLithium LithiumIon IonBatteries. Batteries. 4.3. 4.3.Exploration ExplorationofofGHG GHGEmission EmissionReduction ReductionPotential Potential Because BecauseChina’s China’s electricity electricityfeatures featureshigher higherGHG GHGemission emissionfactors, factors,different differentelectrical electricalproduction production structures structures lead lead to togreatly greatlyvarying varyingGHG GHGemission emissionfactors factorsinindifferent differentprovinces. provinces. Therefore, Therefore, GHG GHG emissions emissions caused caused by by electricity electricity consumption consumption are areseparated. separated. GHG GHG emissions emissions due due to to electrical electrical consumption consumption during during the the manufacturing manufacturing of of LFP, LFP, NMC, NMC, and andLMO LMObatteries batteriesrespectively respectively account account for for 46.1%, 35.2%, 35.2%, and and 43.8% 43.8% of of the thetotal totalGHG GHGemissions. emissions. Though Though GHG GHG emissions emissions due due to to electricity electricity 46.1%, consumptiontake takeupup a considerable share, an optimized electricity production structure could consumption a considerable share, an optimized electricity production structure could greatly greatlythe impact GHG emissions of batteries (Figure 5). impact GHGthe emissions of batteries (Figure 5). Sustainability 2017, 9, 504 Sustainability Sustainability 2016, 2016, 8, 8, xx FOR FOR PEER PEER REVIEW REVIEW 8 of 12 8 of of 12 12 100.00% 100.00% 90.00% 90.00% 80.00% 80.00% 70.00% 70.00% 60.00% 60.00% 50.00% 50.00% 40.00% 40.00% 30.00% 30.00% 20.00% 20.00% 10.00% 10.00% 0.00% 0.00% LFP_China LFP_China GHG Emissions from Electricity Consumption GHG Emissions from Electricity Consumption NCM_China NCM_China LMO_China LMO_China GHG Emissions not from Electricity Consumption GHG Emissions not from Electricity Consumption Electricity Consumption. Figure Figure5. 5. Proportion Proportion of ofGHG GHGEmissions Emissionsfrom fromElectricity ElectricityConsumption. Consumption. We have explored the GHG emissions reduction potential battery components. Figure We ofof allall battery components. InIn Figure 6, Wehave haveexplored exploredthe theGHG GHGemissions emissionsreduction reductionpotential potential of all battery components. In Figure 6, different colors of circles refer to different battery components and their sizes according to their different colors of of circles refer to to different battery 6, different colors circles refer different batterycomponents componentsand andtheir theirsizes sizesaccording accordingto to their their respective GHG emissions of aa unit of respective mass fractions. While Whilethe thetransverse transversecoordinates coordinatesstand standfor forthe the GHG emissions a unit respective mass mass fractions. While the transverse coordinates stand for the GHG emissions ofof unit of mass of the battery component, rising from left to right, the horizontal coordinates signify the of mass thebattery batterycomponent, component,rising risingfrom fromleft left to to right, right, the horizontal coordinates mass ofofthe coordinates signify signify the the proportion of GHG emissions due to electricity consumption of each component, rising from bottom proportion proportionof ofGHG GHGemissions emissionsdue dueto toelectricity electricityconsumption consumptionof ofeach eachcomponent, component,rising risingfrom frombottom bottom to top. The bigger the circle and the further the position is toward the upper right, the higher the to to top. top. The The bigger bigger the the circle circle and and the the further further the the position position is is toward toward the the upper upper right, right, the the higher higher the the component’s GHG emissions reduction potential. It is obvious that wrought aluminum has component’s reduction potential. It is It obvious that wrought aluminum has the highest component’sGHG GHGemissions emissions reduction potential. is obvious that wrought aluminum has the the highest potential of GHG emissions reduction. Though positioned at the upper right, the battery potential of GHG emissions reduction. Though positioned at the upper right, the battery management highest potential of GHG emissions reduction. Though positioned at the upper right, the battery management (BMS) and account for aa small fraction. Though showing system (BMS)system and LiPF6 account for a small mass Though showing a rather high alevel of management system (BMS) and LiPF6 LiPF6 account for fraction. small mass mass fraction. Though showing a rather rather high level of GHG emissions, the three anode active materials currently carry a low potential for GHG emissions, the three anode materials currently carry a low carry potential forpotential GHG emissions high level of GHG emissions, the active three anode active materials currently a low for GHG GHG emissions reduction due limited GHG emissions reduction to the limited GHG emissions the during manufacturing process. process. emissionsdue reduction due to to the the limited GHGduring emissions during the the manufacturing manufacturing process. Figure Components. Figure6.6. GHG GHG Emissions Emissions Reduction ReductionPotential Potential of ofDifferent DifferentBattery BatteryComponents. Components. 4.4. 4.4. Result Result Comparison Comparisonand andDiscussion Discussion As recent years, studies Aslithium lithiumion ionbatteries batteries have have been been widely widely used used in in the theEV EVindustry industry only only in inrecent recentyears, years,studies studies on GHG emissions during the battery manufacturing process vary greatly. While research findings GHG emissions during the battery manufacturing process vary greatly. findings on GHG emissions during the battery manufacturing process vary greatly. While research findings from of theliterature literatureare arelisted listedin Table comparison is intuitively shown in Figure 7. 6, the comparison is shown in 7. from some some of of the the literature are listed ininTable Table 6, 6, thethe comparison is intuitively intuitively shown in Figure Figure 7. The The The difference in such studies primarily comes the uncertainty the battery structure and the difference in studies primarily comes from the of structure and GHG difference in such such studies primarily comes fromfrom the uncertainty uncertainty of the theofbattery battery structure and the the GHG emissions in the assembly process. While the difference of physical batteries and battery models emissions in the assembly process. While the difference of physical batteries and battery models is is Sustainability 2017, 9, 504 Sustainability 2016, 8, x FOR PEER REVIEW 9 of 9 of 12 12 inevitable in different studies, only the gradually improving battery standardization can reduce this GHG emissions in the assembly process. While the difference of physical batteries and battery models uncertainty. The difference in research findings due to different production processes and channels is inevitable in different studies, the gradually improving battery standardization can reduce this of data acquisition during theonly battery cell production and assembly process is also worth deeper uncertainty. The difference exploration in the future. in research findings due to different production processes and channels of data acquisition during the battery cell production and assembly process is also worth deeper exploration in the future. Table 6. Summary of Literature Research Findings. GHG Emission (kgCO2-eq/kWh Battery) Battery Cell Reference Battery Type Capacity Material/Part Mass (kg) Production Total (kWh) Production GHG Emission (kgCO Battery) 2 -eq/kWh and Assembly Battery Battery Battery Cell Notter et al. (2010) [3] 300 34.2 51 2 53 Battery LMO Type Capacity Reference Material/Part Mass (kg) Production53and Total (kWh)Majeau-Bettez et al. (2011) [5] NMC 143 196 Production Assembly Majeau-Bettez et al. (2011) [5] LFP 177 69 246 Notter et al. (2010) [3] LMO 300 34.2 51 2 1.9 5363.4 EPA (2013) [9] LMO 61.5 Majeau-Bettez et al. (2011) [5] NMC 143 53 196 EPA (2013) [9] NMC 86.7 34.3 121 Majeau-Bettez et al. (2011) [5] LFP 177 69 246 EPA (2013) [9] LFP 90.8 60.2 EPA (2013) [9] LMO 61.5 1.9 63.4151 Ellingsen et al. [9] (2014) [6] NMC EPA (2013) NMC - 253 - 26.6 86.765 34.3107 121172 EPA [9] [10] LFP + NMC - 303 - 24 90.870 60.2 70 151140 Kim et (2013) al. (2016) LMO Ellingsen et al. (2014) [6] NMC 253 26.6 65 107 172 GREET-2015 LFP 230 28 34.6 1.9 36.5 Kim et al. (2016) [10] LMO + NMC 303 24 70 70 140 GREET-2015 NMC 170 28 35 1.9 36.9 GREET-2015 LFP 230 28 34.6 1.9 36.5 GREET-2015 LMO 32.9 GREET-2015 NMC 170 210 28 28 35 31 1.9 1.9 36.9 GREET-2015 LMOLFP 210 230 28 28 31103.8 1.9 5.5 32.9 This Study 109.3 This LFPNMC 230 170 28 28 103.8 5.5 4.1 109.3 ThisStudy Study 99.9 104 This Study NMC 170 28 99.9 4.1 104 This Study LMO 210 28 91.5 5.1 96.6 Table 6. Summary ofBattery Literature Battery Research Findings. This Study LMO 210 28 91.5 100 150 5.1 96.6 This Study-LMO This Study-NCM This Study-LFP GREET-2015-LMO GREET-2015-NCM GREET-2015-LFP Kim et al.(2016)-LMO+NCM Ellingsen et al.(2014)-NCM EPA(2013)-LFP EPA(2013)-NCM EPA(2013)-LMO Majeau-Bettez et al.(2011)-LFP Majeau-Bettez et al.(2011)-NCM Notter et al.(2010)-LMO 0 50 200 250 kgCO2-eq per kWh battery Material/component production Battery cell production and assembly Figure Findings. Figure7.7.Comparison Comparisonamong among Research Research Findings. research, anodeactive activematerials materials make make the the largest largest contribution, In In thisthis research, anode contribution,far farlarger largerthan thanother other components, GHGemissions. emissions. Due Due to to limited limited local components, to toGHG local data data acquisition acquisitionininthe theChinese Chinesemarket, market, uncertainty theGHG GHGemissions emissions of of anode must be be considered. Multiplying by theby uncertainty of of the anodeactive activematerials materials must considered. Multiplying uncertainty factors of 0.8, 1.0 and 1.2, the GHG emissions of the three batteries show great changes. the uncertainty factors of 0.8, 1.0 and 1.2, the GHG emissions of the three batteries show great changes. As discussed above, there is the issue of uncertainty in the calculation of the GHG emissions. As discussed above, there is the issue of uncertainty in the calculation of the GHG emissions. The uncertainties arise from several sources. For example, the BatPac Model, which reflects the U.S. The uncertainties arise from several sources. For example, the BatPac Model, which reflects the U.S. condition, is adopted to calculate battery mass composition in China. There is a certain deviation Sustainability 2016, 8, x FOR PEER REVIEW Sustainability 2017, 9, 504 10 of 12 10 of 12 condition, is adopted to calculate battery mass composition in China. There is a certain deviation between models establishedrespectively respectivelyin in U.S. U.S. and and China. China. We between thethe models established We also alsoneglected neglectedsome sometiny tinyGHG GHG emission contributors such as non-combustion emissions. Although the issue of uncertainty issue emission contributors such as non-combustion emissions. Although the issue of uncertainty issue is is not not quantitatively addressed in this study, the comparison of the results from different studies in quantitatively addressed in this study, the comparison of the results from different studies in Figure 7 Figure 7 and the parametric analysis in Figure 8 can show some general implications for the and the parametric analysis in Figure 8 can show some general implications for the uncertainties. uncertainties. The issue of uncertainty could be further explored in future study. The issue of uncertainty could be further explored in future study. LMO_China NCM_China LFP_China 0.0 500.0 1000.0 1500.0 1.2 2000.0 1 2500.0 3000.0 3500.0 4000.0 0.8 Figure 8. 8.Parametric Active Materials. Materials. Figure ParametricAnalysis Analysisof of Anode Anode Active 5. Summary and Prospects 5. Summary and Prospects This study focused ononthe ofLFP, LFP,NMC, NMC,and andLMO LMO This study focused theGHG GHGemissions emissionsduring during the the manufacturing manufacturing of batteries, and established a GHG emissions model for lithium ion batteries in the Chinese market asas batteries, and established a GHG emissions model for lithium ion batteries in the Chinese market based LCA method.As Asshown shownininthe thestudy study findings, findings, production and based on on thethe LCA method. productionof of28 28kWh kWhofofLFP, LFP,NMC, NMC, and LMO batteries in China results in the respective GHG emissions of 3061 kgCO 2-eq, 2912 kgCO 2-eq, LMO batteries in China results in the respective GHG emissions of 3061 kgCO -eq, 2912 kgCO -eq, and 2 2 and 2705 kgCO 2 -eq, with LMO batteries emitting the least. Carrying the 28 kWh LFP battery will 2705 kgCO2 -eq, with LMO batteries emitting the least. Carrying the 28 kWh LFP battery will increase the GHGof emissions of car the manufacturing whole car manufacturing by 30%. the car consumes theincrease GHG emissions the whole process byprocess 30%. While theWhile car consumes electricity electricity throughout the entire use phase and GHG emissions in the manufacturing processfor account throughout the entire use phase and GHG emissions in the manufacturing process account merely for merely 5% of the whole life cycle, the impact of GHG emissions in the battery manufacturing 5% of the whole life cycle, the impact of GHG emissions in the battery manufacturing process is process is not significant on the total life cycle. By battery composition, anode active materials and not significant on the total life cycle. By battery composition, anode active materials and wrought wrought aluminum make the greatest contribution to the GHG emissions, while by process energy, aluminum make the greatest contribution to the GHG emissions, while by process energy, GHG GHG emissions from electricity consumption take up a larger share. Chiefly due to China’s higher emissions from electricity consumption take up a larger share. Chiefly due to China’s higher GHG GHG emission factor and production of anode active materials, GHG emissions from the emission factor and production of anode active materials, GHG emissions from the manufacturing of manufacturing of lithium ion batteries in China are some three times greater than those in the U.S. lithium batteriesof inthe China areemissions some three times greater than those in the U.S. Fromimplemented exploration of Fromion exploration GHG reduction potential of all battery components thein GHG emissions reduction potential of all battery components implemented in this study, this study, improving the electricity production structure and optimizing the productionimproving process theof electricity production structure and optimizing theGHG production process of anode active materials anode active materials can significantly lower the emissions during the manufacturing of canlithium significantly lower in theChina. GHGAdditionally, emissions during the manufacturing of lithium batteries in China. ion batteries the uncertainty in battery models andion data was compared Additionally, theinuncertainty battery models and dataliterature. was compared andand analyzed the study in and analyzed the study inin combination with relevant Recycling reuse ofinthe batteries combination with relevant literature. Recycling and reuse the batteries was not discussed in this was not discussed in this study, and will be considered in aoffuture study. Battery materials specified study, andstudy will be in this areconsidered disposable.in a future study. Battery materials specified in this study are disposable. Acknowledgments: This study wassponsored sponsoredby bythe theNational National Natural Natural Science (71403142, Acknowledgments: This study was ScienceFoundation FoundationofofChina China (71403142, 71690241, 71572093), the Beijing Natural Science Foundation (9162008), and the State Key Laboratory 71690241, 71572093), the Beijing Natural Science Foundation (9162008), and the State Key Laboratoryof of Automotive Safety and Energy (ZZ2016-024). Automotive Safety and Energy (ZZ2016-024). Author Contributions: Han Hao,Zongwei ZongweiLiu Liuand andFuquan Fuquan Zhao Zhao designed designed the and Author Contributions: Han Hao, the whole wholestudy; study;Han HanHao Hao and Shuhua Jiang conducted data collection, ZhexuanMu Murefined refinedthe theanalysis analysis based Shuhua Jiang conducted data collection,modeling, modeling,and andresults results analysis; analysis; Zhexuan based on previous work; Zhexuan Mu, Shuhua on previous work; Zhexuan Mu, ShuhuaJiang Jiangand andHan HanHao Haowrote wrote the the paper. paper. Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest. The founding sponsors had no role in the design of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript, and in the decision to publish the results. Sustainability 2017, 9, 504 11 of 12 References 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 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