Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 18, EGU2016-PREVIEW, 2016 EGU General Assembly 2016 © Author(s) 2016. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Estimates of volume, heat and freshwater budgets for the Arctic Mediterranean and North Atlantic in relation to the main physical processes: Insight from the EU-NACLIM observations Bert Rudels (1), Bogi Hansen (2), Johannes Karstensen (3), Gerard McCarthy (4), and Detlef Quadfasel (5) (1) Finnish Meteorological Institute, Ocean Research, Helsinki, Finland ([email protected]), (2) Faroe Marine Research Institute, Torshavn, Faroe Islands, (3) Geomar, Helmholz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Kiel, Germany, (4) National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK., (5) Institute of Oceanography, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany The EU NACLIM (North Atlantic Climate) project aims to understand the forcing of the North Atlantic circulation and its importance for the climate of northwestern Europe. NACLIM comprises extensive modelling studies of the atmosphere, ocean and climate, but here mainly the oceanographic observations are presented. The core observation areas are the North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre and the Greenland-Scotland Ridge, separating the North Atlantic from the Arctic Mediterranean Sea. These are the areas, where the waters of the lower limb of the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC) are formed and sink into the deep North Atlantic to return southward, mainly in the Deep Western Boundary Current (DWBC). The exchanges across the Greenland-Scotland Ridge, both the northward flowing Atlantic and the returning dense waters, have been monitored over decades, as have the circulation in the Subpolar gyre and the convection and mode water formation in the Labrador Sea. These studies are extended southward to the RAPID array located in the Subtropical gyre at 26oN to capture the MOC further south, and northward into the Arctic Mediterranean Sea and the formation area of the densest water in the DWBC. In the Subtropical gyre the ocean circulation is mainly forced by the wind, while in the Subpolar gyre the atmospheric influence, in addition to wind forcing, also has a large thermodynamic component, changing the characteristics of the water masses and the density structure of the gyre. The importance of cooling and freshwater input increases in the Arctic Mediterranean Sea. Variability and a recent declining trend of the MOC strength have been observed in the Subtropical gyre at the RAPID array. By contrast, both the northward flow across the Greenland-Scotland Ridge and the overflows have remained steady during the observation periods. An increased atmospheric freshwater flux does not appear to affect the dense water formation in the Arctic Mediterranean, mainly because the low salinity upper layer is separated from the cooling area in the Norwegian Sea and the Barents Sea. A warmer climate could reduce the cooling and the density increase in the Atlantic water, unless it is compensated by higher initial salinity of the northward flowing Atlantic water. Ice drifting over and melting on the warm, saline Atlantic water might, however, create an upper layer that prevents further cooling of the Atlantic core below. The sea ice extent and volume are presently declining and such sea ice flux is not expect to happen, The possibility is rather that not enough ice is available to create the low salinity upper layer in the Nansen Basin. Should this upper layer disappear, it could actually lead to more overflow water being produced. Almost all of the atmospheric freshwater that is added to the North Atlantic flow south in the lower limb of the MOC. This implies that the freshwater is eventually mixed into and contributes to the mode waters that are formed in the Labrador Sea and the Irminger Sea and flow south in the DWBC. Estimates of volume, heat and freshwater budgets for the Arctic Mediterranean and the North Atlantic in relation to the main physical processes: Insights from the EU-NACLIM observations. B. Rudels1, B. Hansen2, J. Karstensen3 , M. Korhonen1 G. McCarthy4 & D. Quadfasel5 & the CT2 members 1 FMI, Helsinki, Finland 2 FMRI, Torshavn, Faroe Islands 3 GEOMAR, Kiel, Germany 4 NOC, Southampton, UK 5 ZMAW, Hamburg, Germany 1.25SvSvNCC NCCwater water+ + 1.25 0.64SvRR RRenter enteracross across 0.64Sv 4 5 the Laptev shelf the Laptev shelf Bering Strait inflow 0.8 Sv Bering Strait inflow 0.8 Sv Slope Slope convection Density separation & convection Density separation & double estuary 4 1.5 Sv uPDW double estuary 5 Freshwater 1.5 Sv uPDW circulation Freshwater circulation accumulation Ice melt Ice melt & accumulation Ice melt Ice melt & & FSB seasonal & FSB Barocline & barotrop pressure gradients seasonal recirc. Baroclinic & barotropic pressure gradients ice cover recirc. ice cover Ice formation & Ice formation & dense water dense water production production Cooling Cooling WSC: 6.6 Sv 6 EGC: 8.8Sv, WSC: 6.6 Sv 74TW 9 7 NS 0.7Sv10 EGC: 8.8Sv, AW 4.5 Sv, 74TW NS 0.7Sv 4 upper 1.8Sv, AW 4.5 Sv6, 8 JS 0.3Sv 7 LS 0.5Sv8 JS 0.3Sv9 0.4Sv deep5 upper 1.8Sv, heat transport BSO: Net AW inflow 1.8Sv, NCC 1.8Sv 0.4Sv deep AAW 1.8Sv, heat transport LS 0.5Sv BSO: Net AW inflow 1.8Sv, NCC 1.8Sv 4 AAW 1.8Sv, 25TW? 5 low salinity return flow 0.3Sv5 low salinity return flow 0.3Sv RAW 1.5Sv, 25TW? 5,6 RAW 1.5Sv, 4 uPDW 1,5Sv.4 Convection: Cooling uPDW 1,5Sv. Convection: Cooling6 124TW7 0.5Sv upper 124TW GIS melting 0.5Sv upper GIS melting water to AIW can weaken water to AIW can weaken GSDW EBDW the baroclinic GSDW EBDW the baroclinic outflow outflow ? 3 11 Eastern overflows DS overflow Davis Strait net outflow 3 12 Eastern overflows DS overflow Davis Strait net outflow 10 4 Atlantic inflows: 3.8Sv west and 2.7Sv net east of 1.611 to 1.9 Sv5 3.4Sv 0.5Sv? 1.6 to 1.9 Sv 1.3Sv polar 3.4Sv 0.5Sv?2Sv Atlantic inflows across GSR: 0.9Sv westheat of transport the Faroes. Slope Current 3.5Sv Total 1.3Sv polar 2Sv 2, 3.8Sv west and 2.7Sv net east outflow 2,3 Iceland 0.9 Sv 230TW. . West of Iceland 0.8Sv ca. 25TW outflow 0.2Sv 0.2Sv 3,4. Total heat transport 254TW.2,3. of the Faroes Spilljet Spilljet Convection Entrainment doubles the Unknown inflow east of Shetland Convection Entrainment doubles the transfers Unknown inflow east of Shetland transfers brings 3-4 Sv IC overflow contribution – 1Sv ?? brings 3-4 Sv IC polar water overflow contribution – 1Sv ?? polar water water + 3 Sv low water + 3 Sv low to the IC to the IC salinity water Expanding SPG, salinity water12 Expanding SPG, into the deep13 cold & fresh into the deep Expanding STG, cold & fresh Expanding STG, SPG warm & saline All fw (37mSv) SPG warm & saline All fw (37mSv) added north of added north of o 26oN is exported 26 N is exported in the AMOC. This 14 and sea level slope in the AMOC. This Potential energy gradients13 Potential energy gradients14 and sea level slope15 implies that most force the interactions between the two gyres implies that most of the polar water force the interactions between the two gyres of the polar water is convected in the is convected in the 15 SPG16 SPG 16,17 How wide is the DWBC as it passes from the SPG to and flows under the STG? How wide is the DWBC as it passes from the SPG and flows under the STG?17,18 The Rapid Array at 26ooN: cable, direct current measurements, geostrophic velocity and Ekman drift:. 35Sv The Rapid Array at 26 N: cable, direct current measurements, geostrophic velocity and Ekman drift:. 35Sv northward with 17Sv recirculating in the subtropical gyre (>1100m) and 18 returning in the AMOC circulation. northward with 17Sv recirculating in the subtropical gyre (>1100m) and 18 returning in the AMOC circulation. 1 AMOC decreasing 2 Sv in the last three years, mostly in the densest layer. Northward heat transport 1.25PW.1 AMOC decreasing 2 Sv in the last three years, mostly in the densest layer. Northward heat transport 1.25PW. Acknowledgement: The background image has been produced by Martin Jakobsson, Stockholm University, Sweden The research leading to these rsesults has been funded by the EU NACLIM Project, Grant No. 308299. References: 1: McCarthy, G. et al. (2015) PIO, 130, 91.111. 2: Jónsson, S & Valdimarsson, H. (2012) ICES J. Mar. Sci., 69, 809-815. 3: Hansen, B., et al. (2015) Ocean Sci., 11, 743-757. 4: Berx, B et al. (2013) Ocean sci., 9, 639-654. 5: Rudels, B et al. (2015) PIO, 132, 128-152. 6: Beszczynska-Möller et al., (2011) Oceanography, 24, 82-99. 7: Segnan O.H. et al. (2011) J. Geophy. Res., 116, C11003.. 8: Peterson, I. et al. (2012) J. Geophys. Res., 117, C11018. 9: Melling, H., et al. (2008) in Arctic Sub-Arctic Ocean Fluxes, !93-247. 10: Rabe, B., et Al. (2010) J. Geophys. Res., 115, C07010. 11: Curry B. et al. (2014) J. Phys. 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