ULI BRITISH COLUMBIA
BUILDINGS in 2050
BUILDINGS ARE A PRODUCT
OF CONTEXT
POLITICAL
ECONOMIC
CULTURAL
&
VISION
WORLD POPULATION in 2050
9.5 BILLION comprised of:
5.9 BILLION (62%) Africa, S & E Asia includes
3.0 BILLION India and China
674 MILLION Europe
623 MILLION North America
440 MILLION USA
43 MILLION Canada (87% Urban)
140 MILLION Mexico
Map produced by the SASI group (Sheffield) and Mark Newman (Michigan)
CANADA in 2050
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43M population on the 2cd largest land mass in the world
Significantly under populated for optimum economy,
Dependant on USA for national boundaries protection
Canada has the world’s largest water supply,
Abundant food supply, and
Abundant natural resources
Vancouver will be a major North American gateway to 33%
of the world’s population located in China and India,
countries with very significant immigrant populations
within Canada/BC
CANADA in 2050
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Beyond normal immigration, what will be Canada’s share
of the estimated 100M Climate Migrants in 2050 – fleeing
the “too hot, crowded and too wet” portions of the world.
An opportunistic immigration policy of 400,000/yr vs the
projected 250,000/yr of new immigrants/natural growth
could increase Canada’s population to 50M by 2050.
CANADA in 2050
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By 2050 - 87% of Canada’s population will be in urban
centers
Immigration patterns to 2006 generated
 90% located around 33 metropolitan areas
 50% - located in/around Montreal, Toronto, Vancouver
Economic opportunity attracts population growth
Accessibility drives population distribution
Affordability drives population settlement
•
•VANCOUVER
in 2050
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Metro Vancouver population could grow to 4,000,000 from
current population 2.2 million
More aggressive growth rates could yield 5,000,000
What are the attitudes, issues and requirements related to
accommodating 1,800,000 to 2,800,000 new residents in
the Metro Vancouver over the next 40 years?
Will we embrace significant immigration growth and
become a stronger more self sustaining part of the global
economy
“The future isn’t a place we go to, it is a place we create”.
VANCOUVER in 2050
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Attract intellectual /economic capital to our region to
transform from a tourist destination /retirement “resort”
for the wealthy to a world class, urban city with a robust
economy and a vibrant future, by:
Coordinated cross regional planning policies guided by a
common vision of the Region
Planned distributed of populations centered on rapid
transit for optimal density/utilization
Effective incentives / measures to ensure residential
affordability and liveability and commensurate public
amenity
VANCOUVER in 2010
Population and Density (persons per sq km) in 2006
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Metro Vancouver 2.2M in 2,878 km² (735 persons/km²)
City of Vancouver 580,000 in 115 km² (5,040 persons/km²)
* Burnaby, Surrey, Richmond, Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, New Westminster, Port Moody, and Vancouver,
VANCOUVER in 2050
Population Density (persons per sq km) in 2006
 Currently 8*cities contain 1,716,00 people on 704 km²
(24.5% of Metro Vancouver land area of 2,878 km²)
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If these 8 cities and 704 km² were populated at the
Vancouver density rate of 5,040 persons/km² population
could be 3,546,700 persons
* Burnaby, Surrey, Richmond, Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, New Westminster, Port Moody, and Vancouver,
VANCOUVER in 2050
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Increasing Density on 3 Rapid Transit lines at 2.5X
Vancouver density (12,700 p/sq/km) generates 1,270,000
people
Develop the balance of lands at the current Vancouver
density of 5,040 p/sq/km generates 3,040,000 people:
total population of 4,310,000 (6,750 p/sq/km)
Translink Stations shown on current Expo, Millennium, Canada Lines (and proposed Evergreen Line)
BUILDINGS in 2050
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There will be a shift from conceiving of buildings as being
in the landscape to one of experiencing the urban
environment/buildings as the urban landscape
We will have considered the relationship between building
heights and density in relationship to panoramic “views of
the mountains” from within the City
In the interests of creating a vibrant pedestrian oriented
urban realm in the downtown core area(s) for public
squares, mid block pedestrian ways and distributed
cultural facilities throughout the distributed urban cores.
BUILDINGS in 2050
Sustainable Cities in 2050 will be shaped by:
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Transit oriented high density
High performance resource sensitive buildings
Mixed use buildings with built in adaptability over
economic life
Dynamic, engaging multi layered ground planes and public
spaces
FUTURE VISIONS
FUTURE VISIONS
Ken Yeang – Green Towers, MAD Architects – Urban Forest, OR Design - Sustainability Centre
VANCOUVERISM
Seawall at False Creek North (day) and Coal Harbour (night)
HIGH DENSITY BUILDINGS
Fairmont Pacific Rim, Vancouver, 2010
HIGH DENSITY ALTERNATIVES
Vanke Centre, Shenzen , 2010
HIGH DENSITY ALTERNATIVES
Vanke Centre, Shenzen , 2010
HIGH DENSITY ALTERNATIVES
60 Richmond Housing Co-Op, Toronto, 2009
HIGH DENSITY ALTERNATIVES
60 Richmond Housing Co-Op, Toronto, 2009
MEDIUM DENSITY ALTERNATIVES
Borneo Sporenburg Housing, Amsterdam, 1996-2000
VERTICAL COMMUNITIES
Millennium Tower , Tokyo. 1988
PROGRESSIVE OFFICES
FA Swiss Tower “The Gherkin”, London, 2006
PROGRESSIVE OFFICES
Commerzbank Tower, Frankfurt, 1997
PROGRESSIVE OFFICES
Manitoba Hydro Place, Winnipeg, 2010
URBAN LANDSCAPES
Parkade, Shanghai, 2006 - Athlete's Village, Vancouver, 2010
NET-ZERO BUILDINGS
NETNET
Masdar Headquarters, Abu Dhabi, Completion 2013
NET ZERO CITIES
Masdar City, Abu Dhabi, Completion 2012
CULTURAL FACILITIES
Copenhagen Opera House, Copenhagen, 2007 – Oslo Opera House, Oslo, 2006
PARKS AND PLAZAS
Millennium Park, Chicago, 2001 – Olympic Park, Seattle, 2004