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Royal Institute of Technology
TRITA-INFRA 03-041
ISSN 1651-0216
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2001
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Fares are shown in current prices
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2000
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10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
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2
1
0
1950
Journeys < 100 km
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
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250
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200
The Svealand line
1991 = index 100
150
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100
The Uppsala Commuter
50
0
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Index 1990 = 100
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1990 ’91
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Index
600
500
400
300
200
100
Index 1966 = 100
0
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’85
’90
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2000
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67%
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65%
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Average no. of people in the respondent’s household in the 2000 survey of
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(1997) (1997)
94
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1000
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76
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343
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6000
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area
1
For 1990 and 1995 Nykvarn municipal district in Södertälje municipality; for
2000, Nykvarn municipality
2
The Stockholm conurbation includes continuous built-up areas in all or parts
of the municipalities of Stockholm, Botkyrka, Danderyd, Haninge, Huddinge,
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3
Nyköping municipality’s present area, i.e. without Gnesta and Trosa municipalities
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1991
-5.8‰
24.1‰
-8.7‰
1992
-0.9‰
11.9‰
-6.6‰
6.0‰
1993
1.6‰
14.7‰
-9.7‰
4.7‰
1994
-1.0‰
4.3‰
-2.0‰
6.5‰
1995
-4.0‰
0.4‰
-0.2‰
0.7‰
1996
-7.4‰
3.8‰
-2.8‰
-0.9‰
1.9‰
1997
-3.2‰
7.7‰
12.7‰
-0.2‰
6.7‰
1998
-0.3‰
6.8‰
12.0‰
3.8‰
3.9‰
1999
3.6‰
6.4‰
16.1‰
7.5‰
3.6‰
2000
4.4‰
11.3‰
13.8‰
13.0‰
1.6‰
2001
10.2‰
6.3‰
1.2‰
9.2‰
7.1‰
1991-1995
-2.0‰
11.0‰
-5.4‰
3.6‰
1996-2000
-0.6‰
7.2‰
10.4‰
4.7‰
3.5‰
1998-2001
4.5‰
7.7‰
10.8‰
8.4‰
4.0‰
0HDQ
Source: SCB. Net migration is the difference between the number of people
moving in and away per mil of the average population for the period
1
For 1996-1998 Nykvarn municipal district in Södertälje municipality. Nykvarn became a municipality in its own right on 1 January 1999, but has its
own statistics since 1996
2
For 1991-1995 including Nykvarn municipal district
3
The statistics refer to Nyköping municipality after Gnesta and Trosa were
detached on 1 January 1992
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128
Introduction of regional high speed trains
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25
Per thousand population
7KH6YHDODQGOLQH
RSHQV
20
15
Eskilstuna
Strängnäs
Nyköping
10
5
0
-5
-10
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
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25
20
Per thousand population
7KH6YHDODQGOLQH
RSHQV
15
10
Nykvarn
Södertälje
5
0
-5
-10
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
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The Svealand line
129
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3RSXODWLRQDQGJDLQIXOHPSOR\PHQWLQWKHPXQLFLSDOLWLHV
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Eskilstuna
89 765
45 865
92%
8%
51%
Strängnäs
2 835
13 811
69%
31%
51%
6 897
4 049
19%
81%
59%
Nykvarn
1
Source: SCB. Figures for 31 December 1990
1
Nykvarn municipal district in Södertälje municipality
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Eskilstuna
88 027
36 309
89%
11%
41%
Strängnäs
29 161
12 883
64%
36%
44%
1
7 724
4 042
23%
77%
52%
Nyköping
49 000
21 693
78%
22%
44%
Nykvarn
Source: SCB. Figures for 31 December 1998
1
Nykvarn municipal district in Södertälje municipality
130
Introduction of regional high speed trains
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SHRSOH PXQLFLSDO
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Eskilstuna
88 408
37 268
86%
14%
42%
Strängnäs
29 610
13 652
63%
37%
46%
Nykvarn
8 052
4 274
25%
75%
53%
Nyköping
49 063
22 111
77%
23%
45%
Source: SCB. Figures for 31 December 2000
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Eskilstuna
-21%
+3%
+3
+3
-10
+1
Strängnäs
-7%
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+5
+1
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+2
1
0%
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-4
-2
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+1
Nyköping
-
+2%
-
+1
-
+1
Nykvarn
Source: SCB
1
For 1990 and 1998 Nykvarn municipal district in Södertälje municipality
The Svealand line
131
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Eskilstuna
46 312
36 340
36 579
-22%
+1%
Strängnäs
10 839
9 647
11 344
-11%
+18%
Nykvarn 1
1 291
1 470
1 758
+14%
+20%
Nyköping
-
19 711
20 221
-
+3%
Source: SCB. Figures for 31 December
1
For 1990 and 1998 Nykvarn municipal district in Södertälje municipality
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12
Percent
10
8
6
Nykvarn
4
Strängnäs
2
Eskilstuna
0
Nyköping
-2
-4
-6
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
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132
Introduction of regional high speed trains
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Eskilstuna
101%
100%
98%
Strängnäs
78%
75%
83%
1
32%
36%
41%
Nyköping
-
91%
91%
Nykvarn
Source: SCB. Figures for 31 December
1
Nykvarn municipal district in Södertälje municipality
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133
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2 241
2 777
3 132
3 301
3 329
113
139
180
227
271
Full-time staff
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Source: Mälardalen University
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134
Introduction of regional high speed trains
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County of Stockholm
100%
90%
County of Stockholm
County of Uppsala
80%
70%
60%
County of Västmanland
Not incl. Kungsör, Arboga
50%
Kungsör, Arboga, Örebro
40%
County of Södermanland
Not incl. Eskilstuna
30%
20%
Municipality of Eskilstuna
Municipality of Eskilstuna
10%
0%
1997
Other counties
1998
1999
2000
2001
2IWKHSURIHVVRUVOHFWXUHUVDQGMXQLRUOHFWXUHUVHPSOR\HGDW0lODUGDOHQ8QLYHUVLW\LQ
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The Svealand line
135
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145
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147
)URP 2FWREHU VHUYLFHV RQ WKH 6YHDODQG OLQH ZHUH H[WHQGHG
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1990
8
4
1:35
1:43
131 Skr
40 Skr
209 Skr
1991
8
3
1:41
1:48
162 Skr
49 Skr
259 Skr
1992
8
3
1:39
1:47
132 Skr
67 Skr
231 Skr
1993
8
3
1:38
1:46
119 Skr
42 Skr
209 Skr
1994
181
18
1:50
2:06
123 Skr
41 Skr
123 Skr
1995
1
19
19
1:40
2:04
120 Skr
40 Skr
120 Skr
1996
191
19
1:44
2:04
125 Skr
44 Skr
125 Skr
1997
1
19
1:49
2:04
135 Skr
47 Skr
135 Skr
1998
18
-
1:00
1:00
130 Skr
88 Skr
228 Skr
1999
18
-
1:00
1:00
129 Skr
88 Skr
232 Skr
2000
18
-
1:02
1:02
128 Skr
92 Skr
225 Skr
2001
18
-
1:02
1:02
125 Skr
90 Skr
250 Skr
2002
18
-
1:02
1:03
125 Skr
90 Skr
250 Skr
19
Compiled by G. Troche, KTH
Data is for March each year
1
Not including scheduled trains from Eskilstuna to Stockholm. 1 upward train
ran via Västerås, 2-7 trains entailed changing at Flen. The main supply during this period was bus services
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148
Introduction of regional high speed trains
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Monday-Thursday
(in each direction)
Trav. time (hrs:mins)
Bus
Ordinary train
Fare (Skr)
student, single
adult, single
Monthly pass
1
(VNLOVWXQD
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1:45-2:25
1:50-2:20
1:15-2:00
-
1:00-1:30
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0:50-1:05
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110
2 000
65
90
1 885
50
70
1 580
35
50
1 275
Express via Västerås or change at Flen
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(in each direction)
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Trav. time (hrs:mins)
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Fare (Skr)
student, single
adult, single
Monthly pass
1
6WUlQJQlV
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1:00
0:47
0:39
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125
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65
95
2 075
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75
1 740
40
60
1 0001
Includes monthly pass for local services in the county of Stockholm (on SL)
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WUDLQ1 18
WUDLQ1 18
WUDLQ1 18
Trav. time (hrs:mins)
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Fare (Skr) 2
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adult, single
Monthly pass
Monthly pass incl. SL
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113 / 135
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2 465
63 / 80
86 / 105
2 075
2 350
50 / 65
68 / 85
1 740
2 035
36 / 50
54 / 70
3
1 125
1
Certain services with locomotive and carriages (´ordinary train”), but with
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2
Fares from 3 April 2000
3
TiM pass Stockholm
The Svealand line
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150
Introduction of regional high speed trains
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151
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3 295
48%
1-5 minutes late
1 953
28%
6-15 minutes late
974
14%
More than 15 minutes late
678
10%
Note: During the period from 15 December 2001 until 30 April 2002 a total of
93 trains were cancelled, which is equivalent to almost 2% of the scheduled
trains
Source: Riksdagens utredningstjänst, 6ZHGLVK3DUOLDPHQW5HVHDUFK6HUYLFH
(2002a), (2002b)
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Introduction of regional high speed trains
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1999
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2001
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15
18
135
121
Total
561
519
Source: Länstrafiken i Södermanland, 6|GHUPDQODQG37$
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160
Introduction of regional high speed trains
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¶V
1992/93
569
:
1995/96
592
1996/97
595
1997/98
564
1998/99
579
1999/2000
512
2000/01
500
Source: SL/TrafikKompetens
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The Svealand line
161
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350
2
LT bus
260
400
190
430
170
SL bus
450
420
1
170
50
590
SJ train
regional
interregion.
3
460
LT bus2
1 030
300
1 090
300
1 200
300
1 310
300
45
45
40
40
SL bus
1 250
280
1 190
260
1 600
310
1 520
290
570
SJ train
regional
interregion.
LT bus2
SL bus
3
560
1 300
330
1 370
330
1 540
330
40
40
40
1 680
330
40
510
1
Journeys on bus no. 40 Södertälje–Liljeholmen
With regard to the bus services, there are also some purely local journeys
(shorter than the routes given), but these are not shown in the table. Figures
for 2000 refer to 1999
3
Interregional travel beyond Eskilstuna comprises journeys starting or finishing west of Eskilstuna, for example journeys from Stockholm to Örebro.
The values for sections of the route are estimates in some cases. Sources:
SLT-resor våren 1991 (SLT travel spring 1991), LT travel statistics 1996,
1998, 1999. SL travel censuses on buses no. 780 and 781. SJ travel censuses for buses 1996-97 and trains 1998, 2000. $VXUYH\RI7L0 (1998)
2
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Journeys per year, 000’s
3000
3000
2500
2500
2000
2000
1500
1500
Södermanland county PTA bus
1000
1000
SL bus
500
500
SJ bus
0
Eskilstuna
Strängnäs
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Nykvarn
0
Stockholm
Södertälje
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3000
3000
2500
2500
2000
Södermanland county PTA bus
2000
SL bus
1500
1500
1000
500
0
1000
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5HJLRQDO
500
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Eskilstuna
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Nykvarn
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3000
3000
2500
2500
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2000
2000
1500
1500
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1000
1000
5HJLRQDO
500
0
500
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0
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Strängnäs
Läggesta
Nykvarn
Södertälje
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163
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LT bus
120
40
SJ bus
50
SJ train
Total
120
170
160
Sources: SLT-resor våren 1991 (SLT travel
spring 1991), LT travel statistics 1992-1998.
SL travel censuses on buses 1996-97. $VXU
YH\RI7L0 (1998).
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165
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RYHUWKHFRXUVHRIWZRZHHNGD\V
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6XUYH\RIWUDYHOKDELWVDW0DOPE\KXV
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33%
,QVLGH6WUlQJQlV
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31%
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36%
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Source: The E3 road. Field survey at Malmbyhus (1987)
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1
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central
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Introduction of regional high speed trains
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4.43
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3.18
4.42
3.04
4.43
3.15
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of which along
E20/Svealand line.
1.28
1.28
1.31
1.28
0.86
0.84
0.94
0.86
5.71
5.76
5.73
5.71
4.01
4.02
3.98
4.01
22%
21%
22%
21%
23%
24%
22%
21%
Total journeys
of which along
E20/Svealand line
Publ. trpt. share total
along E20/Svea. line
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of which along E20
3.76
2.83
3.60
2.73
4.15
2.86
3.76
2.83
Publ. trpt. journeys
of which along
E20/Svealand line.
0.97
0.69
0.95
0.97
0.75
0.56
0.83
0.75
4.73
4.29
5.10
4.73
Total journeys
of which along
E20/Svealand line
Publ. trpt. share total
along E20/Svea. line
3.58
3.29
3.69
3.58
21%
21%
16%
17%
19%
22%
21%
21%
* The nearest railway station since the Svealand line opened is Läggesta
The Svealand line
243
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2.53
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1.66
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2.07
1.26
2.53
1.57
Publ. trpt. journeys
of which along
E20/Svealand line.
0.42
0.73
0.72
0.42
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E20/Svealand line
Publ. trpt. share total
along E20/Svea. line
**
0.26
0.49
0.56
2.95
2.39
2.79
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2.95
0.26
1.83
1.64
1.82
1.83
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14%
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31%
14%
14%
The asterisks denote significant differences between the years the studies
were made
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E20/Svealand line
Publ. trpt. share total
along E20/Sveal.
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0.30
0.83
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0.30
0.30
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0.30
0.13
0.15
0.25
0.13
1.83
1.25
1.29
1.83
0.55
0.45
0.50
0.55
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36%
50%
16%
24%
The asterisks denote significant differences between the years the studies
were made
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Car journeys
of which along E20
0.83
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of which along
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0.46
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0.06
0.34
0.46
0.25
0.05
0.11
0.25
1.29
1.62
2.28
1.29
0.50
0.51
0.53
0.50
36%
50%
4%
10%
15%
21%
36%
50%
Total journeys
of which along
E20/Svealand line
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0.83
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Car journeys
2.27
2.89
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1.67
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0.49
0.32
0.87
0.57
0.33
0.15
0.67
0.43
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3.21
2.68
2.90
1.82
1.82
1.49
2.14
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246
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Introduction of regional high speed trains
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247
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Car journeys
of which along E4
1.89
0.54
1.57
0.47
1.54
0.51
1.89
0.54
Public trpt. journeys
of which along
E4/Nyköping line
0.32
0.41
0.37
0.32
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of which along
E4/Nyköping line
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total
along E4/Nyköping l.
0.13
0.17
0.23
0.13
2.21
1.98
1.91
2.21
0.67
0.64
0.74
0.67
14%
19%
21%
27%
19%
31%
14%
19%
The asterisks denote significant differences between the years the studies
were made
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of which along E20
2.82
1.77
2.34
1.59
2.54
1.60
2.82
1.77
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of which along
E20/Svealand line.
0.64
0.71
0.80
0.42
0.47
0.59
3.46
3.05
3.34
3.46
2.19
2.06
2.19
2.19
18%
19%
23%
23%
24%
27%
18%
19%
Total journeys
of which along
E20/Svealand line.
Publ. trpt. share
total
along E20/Sveal.
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0.64
*
0.42
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were made
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Introduction of regional high speed trains
The Svealand line
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Significance
2000
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2.37
3.39
2.18
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0.14
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0.38
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2000
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1.63
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1.21
1.51
0.98
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2000
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249
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1997
Significance
2000
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1997
Significance
2000
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Introduction of regional high speed trains
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0.34
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0.57
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2.66
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1.53
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Public transport journeys
along E20/Svealand line
0.40
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0.69
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younger
along E20/Svealand line
0.38
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0.69
Public transport journeys
0.47
**
0.77
Public transport journeys
along E20/Svealand line
0.32
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0.58
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0.09
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0.91
Public transport journeys
along E20/Svealand line
0.08
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0.82
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3.65
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3.19
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2.55
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2.10
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along E20/Svealand line
0.40
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3.25
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2.64
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Public transport journeys
along E20/Svealand line
0.56
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0.91
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2.63
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1.66
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253
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The Svealand line
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6
No.of journeys over
past 7 days
5
4
Public
transport
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3
2
1
0
Nykvarn
Mariefred+
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Strängnäs
Centre of
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Svea conurbations AB+D'
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3
2
1997
2000
1
0
Strängnäs, 0-1
km, along E20
Centre of
Eskilstuna,
total
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AB+D', total
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0,8
0,6
1997
2000
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0,2
0
Strängnäs (whole), along Svea conurbations AB+D',
E20/The Svealand line along E20/The Svealand line
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255
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1
0,8
0,6
1997
2000
0,4
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total
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E20/The Svealand line
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Age 20-24, total
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total
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along E20
1997
Upper secondary
school education, total
2000
Upper secondary
school edu., along E20
Household income
<400 000 Skr, total
Household income
<400 000 Skr, along E20
0
1
2
3
4
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E20/the Svealand line
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E20/the Svealand line
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or younger, along
E20/the Svealand line
Married/cohabiting,
totalt
Married/cohabiting, along
E20/the Svealand line
1997
2000
Self-employed, total
Self-employed, along
E20/the Svealand line
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E20/the Svealand line
University education, along
E20/the Svealand line
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>400 000 Skr, along
E20/the Svealand line
0
0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8
1
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The Svealand line
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80
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90 000
80 000
70 000
60 000
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40 000
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20
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20
40
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80
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200 000
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200 000
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No. of jobs
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1 000 000
900 000
800 000
700 000
600 000
500 000
400 000
300 000
200 000
100 000
0
Faster trains
Today’s trains
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
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1
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Parameter value, travelling time
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-0.0768
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48 mins
-1.7
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1
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Travelling time
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Travelling time
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Travelling time
Frequency
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1 hr
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2:00
1 hr
120 Skr
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1:30
1 hr
100 Skr
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1:10
1 hr
80 Skr
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1:00
1 hr
55 Skr
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1:30
1 hr
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1:30
1 hr
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1:00
1 hr
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0:50
1 hr
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0:45
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1:30
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1 hr
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0:50
1 hr
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1:00
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1:00
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0:45
1 hr
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0:35
1 hr
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0:30
1 hr
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1:00
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0:45
1 hr
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0:35
1 hr
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0:30
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Appendix 2:2
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1 hr
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0:35
1 hr
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1 hr
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Own car
Cost
Travelling
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Own car
Cost
Travelling
time
Own car
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Travelling
time
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Travelling
time
The Svealand line
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Travelling time
Frequency
Fare
C
Travel mode
Travelling time
Frequency
Fare
D
Travel mode
Travelling time
Frequency
Fare
E
Travel mode
Travelling time
Frequency
Fare
F
Travel mode
Travelling time
Frequency
Fare
G
Travel mode
(VNLOVWXQD 6WUlQJQlV
/lJJHVWD
1\NYDUQ
1\N|SLQJ
Bus
2:00
1 hr
70 Skr
Bus
1:30
1 hr
60 Skr
Bus
1:10
1 hr
45 Skr
Bus
1:00
1 hr
30 Skr
Bus
1:30
1 hr
70 Skr
Bus
1:30
1 hr
120 Skr
Bus
1:00
1 hr
100 Skr
Bus
0:50
1 hr
80 Skr
Bus
0:45
1 hr
55 Skr
Bus
1:15
1 hr
130 Skr
Ord. train
1:15
1 hr
70 Skr
Ord. train
0:45
1 hr
60 Skr
Ord. train
0:35
1 hr
45 Skr
Ord. train
0:30
1 hr
30 Skr
Ord. train
1:00
1 hr
70 Skr
Ord. train
1:30
1 hr
120 Skr
Ord. train
1:00
1 hr
100 Skr
Ord. train
0:50
1 hr
80 Skr
Ord. train
0:45
1 hr
55 Skr
Ord. train
1:15
1 hr
130 Skr
HS train
1:15
1 hr
70 Skr
HS train
0:45
1 hr
60 Skr
HS train
0:35
1 hr
45 Skr
HS train
0:30
1 hr
30 Skr
HS train
1:00
1 hr
70 Skr
HS train
1:00
1 hr
120 Skr
HS train
0:35
1 hr
100 Skr
HS train
0:25
1 hr
80 Skr
HS train
0:25
1 hr
55 Skr
HS train
0:45
1 hr
130 Skr
Own car
Cost
Travelling
time
Own car
Cost
Travelling
time
Own car
Cost
Travelling
time
Own car
Cost
Travelling
time
Own car
Cost
Travelling
time
* Residents in the centre of Eskilstuna, area 6, had the levels of the 1997
survey also in the 1998 and 2002 surveys
340
Introduction of regional high speed trains
Appendix 2:4
/HYHOVRIIDFWRUVLQTXHVWLRQLQWKHDQGVXU
YH\V
-RXUQH\WR6WRFN
KROPIURP
A
Travel mode
Travelling time
Frequency
Fare
B
Travel mode
Travelling time
Frequency
Fare
C
Travel mode
Travelling time
Frequency
Fare
D
Travel mode
Travelling time
Frequency
Fare
(VNLOVWXQD 6WUlQJQlV
/lJJHVWD
1\NYDUQ
1\N|SLQJ
HS train
1:00
1 hr
70 Skr
HS train
1:00
1 hr
60 Skr
HS train
0:50
1 hr
45 Skr
HS train
0:45
1 hr
30 Skr
HS train
1:00
1 hr
70 Skr
HS train
1:00
2 hr
120 Skr
HS train
1:00
0,5 hr
100 Skr
HS train
0:50
0,5 hr
80 Skr
HS train
0:45
0,5 hr
55 Skr
HS train
1:00
2 hr
130 Skr
HS train
0:45
2 hr
70 Skr
HS train
0:45
0,5 hr
60 Skr
HS train
0:35
0,5 hr
45 Skr
HS train
0:30
0,5 hr
30 Skr
HS train
0:45
2 hr
70 Skr
HS train
0:45
1 hr
120 Skr
HS train
0:45
1 hr
100 Skr
HS train
0:35
1 hr
80 Skr
HS train
0:30
1 hr
55 Skr
HS train
0:45
1 hr
130 Skr
* Residents in the centre of Eskilstuna, area 6, had the levels of the 1997
survey also in the 1998 and 2002 surveys
The Svealand line
341
Appendix 3
5HVLGHQWV·VFRUHTXHVWLRQVDQG
0HDQVFRUHUHVLGHQWVLQ1\NYDUQ
Q Q Q 4.1A Bus, 1:00/1hr/30Skr
5,5 (5,1-6,0)
4,6 (4,1-5,1)
4,4 (4,1-4,8)
4.1B Bus, 1:00/1hr/55Skr
2,7 (2,4-3,1)
3,4 (3,1-3,8)
3,7 (3,4-4,0)
4.1B Bus 0:45/1hr/55Skr
4.1C Train 0:45/1hr/30Skr
7,0 (6,6-7,3)
4.1C Train 0:30/1hr/30Skr
7,8 (7,4-8,1)
7,4 (7,0-7,7)
3,9 (3,6-4,3)
3,9 (3,5-4,3)
4,3 (4,0-4,6)
4.1E HS train 0:30/1hr/30Skr
9,4 (9,2-9,6)
9,2 (9,0-9,5)
9,0 (8,8-9,2)
4.1F HS train 0:30/1hr/55Skr
5,9 (5,5-6,3)
4.1D Train 0:45/1hr/55Skr
4.1F HS train 0:25/1hr/55Skr
6,2 (5,8-6,6)
6,8 (6,5-7,1)
Q Q Q 4.2A HS train 0:45/1hr/30Skr
7,0 (6,6-7,4)
6,7 (6,3-7,1)
6,6 (6,3-6,9)
4.2B HS train 0:45/0.5hr/55Skr
4,9 (4,5-5,3)
5,1 (4,7-5,5)
5,3 (5,0-5,6)
4.2C HS train 0:30/0.5hr/30Skr
9,7 (9,6-9,8)
9,5 (9,3-9,7)
9,5 (9,3-9,6)
4.2D HS train 0:30/1hr/55Skr
5,8 (5,4-6,2)
6,0 (5,6-6,4)
6,2 (5,9-6,5)
Q Q Q 4.2E Car
7,6 (7,0-8,2)
4.1G Car
Car travelling time
Car cost
7,3 (6,8-7,8)
6,7 (6,3-7,1)
40 mins
44 mins
47 mins
52 Skr
69 Skr
75 Skr
0HDQ VFRUH FRQILGHQFH LQWHUYDO IRU GLIIHUHQW MRXUQH\ VXJJHVWLRQV EHWZHHQ WKH
UHVSRQGHQW·VGRPLFLOHDQGWKHFHQWUHRI6WRFNKROPDWDUDWLQJVFDOHRIZKHUH
LVH[FHOOHQW7UDYHOOLQJWLPHDQGFRVWIRUWKHFDUDOWHUQDWLYHDUHJLYHQDVWULPPHG
PHDQYDOXHVIRUWKRVHZKRKDGSRVVLELOLW\WRGULYHDFDURUKDYHDOLIW3OHDVHQRWH
WKDWTXHVWLRQV)DQG'DUHWKHVDPHLQWKHVXUYH\
342
Introduction of regional high speed trains
0HDQVFRUHUHVLGHQWVLQ0DULHIUHGDQGcNHUVVW\FNHEUXN
Q Q Q 4.1A Bus 1:10/1hr/45Skr
6,3 (5,9-6,7)
5,1 (4,5-5,7)
4,9 (4,5-5,3)
4.1B Bus 1:10/1hr/80Skr
2,6 (2,3-2,8)
3,5 (3,1-3,9)
3,5 (3,2-3,8)
4.1B Bus 0:50/1hr/80Skr
4.1C Train 0:50/1hr/45Skr
7,3 (7,0-7,7)
4.1C Train 0:35/1hr/45Skr
7,8 (7,4-8,2)
8,2 (7,9-8,5)
3,3 (3,0-3,7)
3,8 (3,4-4,3)
3,9 (3,6-4,2)
4.1E HS train 0:35/1hr/45Skr
9,2 (9,0-9,5)
9,0 (8,6-9,3)
9,1 (8,8-9,3)
4.1F HS train 0:35/1hr/80Skr
4,7 (4,3-5,1)
4.1D Train 0:50/1hr/80Skr
4.1F HS train 0:25/1hr/80Skr
5,5 (5,0-6,0)
5,6 (5,2-6,0)
Q Q Q 4.2A HS train 0:50/1hr/45Skr
7,4 (7,1-7,7)
6,9 (6,5-7,4)
6,7 (6,3-7,0)
4.2B HS train 0:50/0.5hr/80Skr
4,0 (3,6-4,3)
4,0 (3,5-4,5)
4,0 (3,6-4,3)
4.2C HS train 0:35/0.5hr/45Skr
9,0 (8,8-9,3)
9,2 (8,9-9,5)
9,4 (9,2-9,6)
4.2D HS train 0:35/1hr/80Skr
4,8 (4,4-5,2)
5,2 (4,7-5,7)
5,0 (4,7-5,4)
Q Q Q 4.2E Car
8,2 (6,8-9,6)
4.1G Car
Car cost
Car travelling time
7,4 (6,9-7,8)
7,4 (7,0-7,8)
74 Skr
90 Skr
108 Skr
54 mins
58 mins
60 mins
0HDQ VFRUH FRQILGHQFH LQWHUYDO IRU GLIIHUHQW MRXUQH\ VXJJHVWLRQV EHWZHHQ WKH
UHVSRQGHQW·VGRPLFLOHDQGWKHFHQWUHRI6WRFNKROPDWDUDWLQJVFDOHRIZKHUH
LVH[FHOOHQW7UDYHOOLQJWLPHDQGFRVWIRUWKHFDUDOWHUQDWLYHDUHJLYHQDVWULPPHG
PHDQYDOXHVIRUWKRVHZKRKDGSRVVLELOLW\WRGULYHDFDURUKDYHDOLIW3OHDVHQRWH
WKDWTXHVWLRQV)DQG'DUHWKHVDPHLQWKHVXUYH\
The Svealand line
343
0HDQVFRUHUHVLGHQWVLQ6WUlQJQlV
Q Q Q 4.1A Buss 1:30/1hr/60Skr
4,7 (4,3-5,1)
4,0 (3,5-4,5)
4,0 (3,7-4,4)
4.1B Buss 1:30/1hr/100Skr
2,5 (2,2-2,8)
3,3 (2,9-3,7)
3,7 (3,4-4,0)
4.1B Buss 1:00/1hr/100Skr
4.1C Train 1:00/1hr/60Skr
7,4 (7,0-7,7)
4.1C Train 0:45/1hr/60Skr
8,0 (7,6-8,4)
8,0 (7,7-8,2)
4,0 (3,6-4,3)
4,2 (3,7-4,7)
4,5 (4,2-4,8)
4.1E HS train 0:45/1hr/60Skr
9,6 (9,4-9,7)
9,1 (8,8-9,3)
9,2 (9,0-9,3)
4.1F HS train 0:45/1hr/100Skr
5,5 (5,1-6,0)
4.1D Train 1:00/1hr/100Skr
4.1F HS train 0:35/1hr/100Skr
6,1 (5,5-6,6)
6,7 (6,4-7,0)
Q Q Q 4.2A HS train 1:00/1hr/60Skr
8,1 (7,8-8,4)
7,5 (7,1-7,9)
7,5 (7,2-7,8)
4.2B HS train 1:00/0.5hr/100Skr
5,1 (4,7-5,5)
5,3 (4,8-5,8)
5,5 (5,2-5,8)
4.2C HS train 0:45/0.5hr/60Skr
9,4 (9,2-9,6)
9,4 (9,2-9,7)
9,5 (9,4-9,6)
4.2D HS train 0:45/1hr/100Skr
5,8 (5,4-6,2)
5,7 (5,2-6,2)
6,1 (5,7-6,4)
Q Q Q 4.2E Car
7,7 (7,2-8,1)
4.1G Car
Car cost
Car travelling time
7,5 (7,0-8,0)
6,5 (6,1-6,9)
95 Skr
109 Skr
120 Skr
64 mins
66 mins
66 mins
0HDQ VFRUH FRQILGHQFH LQWHUYDO IRU GLIIHUHQW MRXUQH\ VXJJHVWLRQV EHWZHHQ WKH
UHVSRQGHQW·VGRPLFLOHDQGWKHFHQWUHRI6WRFNKROPDWDUDWLQJVFDOHRIZKHUH
LVH[FHOOHQW7UDYHOOLQJWLPHDQGFRVWIRUWKHFDUDOWHUQDWLYHDUHJLYHQDVWULPPHG
PHDQYDOXHVIRUWKRVHZKRKDGSRVVLELOLW\WRGULYHDFDURUKDYHDOLIW3OHDVHQRWH
WKDWTXHVWLRQV)DQG'DUHWKHVDPHLQWKHVXUYH\
344
Introduction of regional high speed trains
0HDQVFRUHUHVLGHQWVLQFHQWUHDQGWKHUHVWRIWKHWRZQLQ(VNLOVWXQD
Q 4.1A Buss 2:00/1hr/70Skr
5,2 (4,9-5,5)
(7)
Q Q 4,6 (4,1-5,1)
3,9 (3,5-4,3)
2,1 (1,8-2,4)
3,6 (3,2-3,9)
Q Q 4,6 (4,0-5,2)
3,8 (3,4-4,2)
2,2 (1,8-2,6)
3,6 (3,2-3,9)
4.1B Buss 2:00/1hr/120Skr
4.1B (7) Buss 1:30/1hr/120Skr
2,4 (2,2-2,6)
4.1C Train 1:30/1hr/70Skr
4.1C (7) Train 1:15/1hr/70Skr
7,1 (6,9-7,3)
6,9 (6,5-7,4)
7,4 (7,0-7,7)
6,8 (6,2-7,3)
7,3 (6,9-7,7)
3,8 (3,6-4,1)
3,7 (3,3-4,1)
4,4 (4,1-4,8)
9,6 (9,5-9,8)
8,8 (8,5-9,1)
3,7 (3,2-4,2)
4,2 (3,8-4,6)
9,3 (9,0-9,6)
8,6 (8,3-8,9)
4.1D Train 1:30/1hr/120Skr
(7)
4.1E HS train 1:00/1hr/70Skr
4.1E (7) HS train 1:15/1hr/70Skr
9,4 (9,3-9,6)
4.1F HS train 1:00/1hr/120Skr
(7)
5,8 (5,5-6,1)
5,7 (5,2-6,2)
6,9 (6,5-7,2)
6,0 (5,5-6,6)
6,8 (6,4-7,2)
Q Q Q 9,2 (8,9-9,4)
9,2 (8,9-9,4)
Q Q 9,3 (9,1-9,6)
8,9 (8,7-9,2)
4,6 (4,1-5,2)
5,4 (5,1-5,8)
8,5 (8,2-8,9)
8,6 (8,2-8,8)
6,1 (5,6-6,7)
6,8 (6,4-7,2)
5,0 (4,4-5,6)
5,1 (4,7-5,5)
8,0 (7,5-8,5)
8,4 (8,0-8,7)
6,3 (5,7-7,0)
6,8 (6,3-7,2)
Q Q 7,3 (6,6-7,9)
8,1 (7,7-8,5)
Q Q 6,7 (5,7-7,7)
7,6 (7,3-8,0)
128 Skr
137 Skr
95 mins
90 mins
137 Skr
153 Skr
91 mins
89 mins
4.2A HS train 1:00/1hr/70Skr
(7)
8,9 (8,7-9,1)
4.2B HS train 1:00/2hr/120Skr
(7)
5,0 (4,7-5,3)
4.2C HS train 0:45/2hr/70Skr
(7)
8,9 (8,7-9,1)
4.2D HS train 0:45/1hr/120Skr
(7)
6,2 (5,8-6,5)
Q 4.2E Car
4.1G Car
7,4 (7,0-7,8)
(7)
Car cost
115 Skr
(7)
Car travelling time
89 mins
(7)
0HDQ VFRUH FRQILGHQFH LQWHUYDO IRU GLIIHUHQW MRXUQH\ VXJJHVWLRQV EHWZHHQ WKH
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WKDWTXHVWLRQV(DQG$DUHWKHVDPHLQWKHVXUYH\DQGLQDUHDDOVR
LQDQG
The Svealand line
345
0HDQVFRUHUHVLGHQWVLQ1\N|SLQJ
Q Q Q 4.1A Buss 1:30/1hr/70Skr
6,0 (5,6-6,4)
6,2 (5,6-6,8)
6,1 (5,7-6,4)
4.1B Buss 1:30/1hr/130Skr
2,8 (2,5-3,1)
3,8 (3,3-4,2)
3,4 (3,1-3,7)
8,6 (8,2-9,0)
8,5 (8,2-8,8)
4,7 (4,2-5,2)
4,1 (3,8-4,5)
8,9 (8,5-9,3)
9,0 (8,7-9,2)
5,2 (4,8-5,7)
6,4 (5,8-7,0)
6,2 (5,8-6,5)
Q Q Q 4.2A HS train 1:00/1hr/70Skr
8,6 (8,2-8,9)
8,8 (8,4-9,2)
9,0 (8,8-9,3)
4.2B HS train 1:00/2hr/130Skr
4,4 (3,9-4,8)
4,7 (4,2-5,2)
4,6 (4,3-5,0)
4.2C HS train 0:45/2hr/70Skr
7,8 (7,4-8,2)
7,8 (7,3-8,3)
8,1 (7,8-8,4)
4.2D HS train 0:45/1hr/130Skr
5,3 (4,9-5,7)
5,9 (5,3-6,4)
5,9 (5,5-6,3)
Q Q Q 4.2E Car
7,7 (7,0-8,3)
4.1B Buss 1:15/1hr/130Skr
4.1C Train 1:00/1hr/70Skr
8,1 (7,8-8,5)
4.1D Train 1:00/1hr/130Skr
4,4 (4,0-4,8)
4.1D Train 1:15/1hr/130Skr
4.1E HS train 0:45/1hr/70Skr
8,9 (8,5-9,2)
4.1E HS train 1:00/1hr/70Skr
4.1F HS train 0:45/1hr/130Skr
4.1G Car
7,9 (7,4-8,4)
7,5 (7,1-7,8)
Car cost
124 Skr
144 Skr
142 Skr
Car travelling time
72 mins
76 mins
74 mins
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346
Introduction of regional high speed trains
Appendix 4:1
3DUDPHWHUYDOXHVRIWKHUHJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHVRI
UHVLGHQWV·VFRUH
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV1\NYDUQ
R
0,475
0,454
0,416
df regression
5
5
5
df total
1420
1354
2151
2
&I%XV
(constant)
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
18,729
22,278
16,021
24,641
15,000
29,078
Train
-0,607
-2,446
HS train
0,848
3,742
0,982
5,454
Travelling
time
-0,131
-11,877
-0,107
-13,571
-0,108
-17,138
Frequency
-1,540
-4,678
-1,648
-4,916
-1,546
-5,820
Pris
-0,124
-26,442
-0,111
-23,384
-0,0885
-23,460
2
R : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV0DULHIUHGDQGcNHUVVW\FNHEUXN
R
0,498
0,429
0,451
df regression
5
5
5
df total
1724
1044
1871
2
FI%XV
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
(constant)
18,166
20,728
16,600
20,138
17,951
29,790
Train
-0,846
-3,183
HS train
-0,605
-1,713
-0,0874
-8,531
-0,0843
-10,009
-0,0998
-16,112
Frequency
-1,015
-2,476
-1,421
-4,779
Price
-0,114
-36,988
-0,0998
-24,054
-0,101
-33,241
Travelling
time
R2 : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
The Svealand line
347
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV0DULHIUHG
R2
0,488
0,437
0,437
df regression
5
5
5
df total
892
543
1155
FI%XV
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
19,344
15,413
17,415
15,078
17,589
23,036
Train
-1,166
-3,071
HS train
-1,101
-2,181
Travelling
time
-0,101
-6,859
-0,0901
-7,638
-0,102
-13,034
Frequency
-0,864
-1,966
-1,345
-2,346
-1,386
-3,679
Price
-0,114
-25,980
-0,104
-17,982
-0,0945
-24,417
(constant)
2
R : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHVcNHUVVW\FNHEUXN
R
0,513
0,430
0,480
df regression
5
5
5
2
df total
FI%XV
831
500
715
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
(constant)
16,928
13,929
15,696
13,505
18,551
18,995
Train
HS train
0,718
1,815
Travelling
time
-0,0736
-5,175
-0,0775
-6,530
-0,0957
-9,557
Frequency
-0,657
-1,136
-1,483
-3,074
Price
-0,114
-26,510
-0,0947
-16,189
-0,113
-22,811
R2 : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
348
Introduction of regional high speed trains
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV6WUlQJQlV
R2
0,523
0,478
0,474
df regression
5
5
5
df total
1516
1077
2190
FI%XV
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
(constant)
17,073
15,835
16,527
20,430
16,382
29,752
Train
0,872
3,374
0,646
3,729
1,409
5,301
1,291
7,200
-0,0722
-7,001
-0,0698
-10,289
-0,0768
-16,735
-1,465
-3,997
-1,297
-5,150
-0,0814
-29,971
-0,0771
-22,872
-0,0685
-29,896
HS train
Travelling
time
Frequency
Price
2
R : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV(VNLOVWXQDDUHD
R
0,526
0,555
0,531
df regression
5
5
5
2
df total
FI%XV
(constant)
Train
HS train
Travelling
time
Frequency
Price
2833
977
736
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
14,155
15,142
13,337
8,187
11,277
6,096
0,777
3,067
1,299
2,951
1,603
3,196
3,541
3,868
4,059
1,940
4,027
2,968
-0,0286
-3,880
-0,726
-6,559
-1,122
-5,830
-1,265
-5,776
-0,0652
-41,734
-0,0667
-24,720
-0,0600
-19,353
R2 : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
The Svealand line
349
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV(VNLOVWXQDDUHD
R2
0,526
0,489
0,435
df regression
5
5
5
df total
2833
1274
1473
FI%XV
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
14,155
15,142
13,747
18,641
14,503
18,906
Train
0,777
3,067
1,263
5,871
1,038
4,625
HS train
1,940
4,027
2,358
8,146
2,072
6,859
Travelling
time
-0,0286
-3,880
-0,0408
-7,464
-0,0468
-8,205
Frequency
-0,726
-6,559
-1,228
-7,765
-1,389
-8,478
-0,0652
-41,734
-0,0475
-20,450
-0,0484
-20,040
(constant)
Price
2
R : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV(VNLOVWXQDZKROH
R
0,526
0,513
0,464
df regression
5
5
5
2
df total
FI%XV
(constant)
Train
HS train
Travelling
time
Frequency
Price
2833
2252
2210
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
14,155
15,142
14,518
23,536
14,337
22,277
0,777
3,067
1,044
5,737
0,977
5,116
1,940
4,027
2,126
7,781
2,131
7,662
-0,0286
-3,880
-0,0400
-8,635
-0,0411
-8,525
-0,726
-6,559
-1,209
-9,870
-1,361
-10,400
-0,0652
-41,734
-0,0558
-31,587
-0,0518
-27,204
2
R : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
350
Introduction of regional high speed trains
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV1\N|SLQJ
R2
0,423
0,389
0,434
df regression
5
5
5
df total
1373
843
1868
FI%XV
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
11,783
11,133
13,880
14,091
14,448
21,730
Train
1,613
4,001
1,165
4,021
1,048
5,412
HS train
2,221
4,329
1,557
4,128
1,713
6,753
-0,0303
-2,908
-0,0351
-4,996
(constant)
Travelling
time
Frequency
-0,854
-4,848
-1,215
-5,815
-1,156
-8,116
-0,0580
-27,942
-0,0516
-19,799
-0,0565
-32,146
Price
2
R : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
The Svealand line
351
Appendix 4:2
3DUDPHWHUYDOXHVGLYLGHGE\VRFLRHFRQRPLF
IDFWRUV
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV6WUlQJQlVE\JHQGHU
:RPHQ
2
0HQ
R
0,493
0,462
df regression
5
5
df total
FI%XV
(constant)
Train
HS train
Travelling
time
Frequency
Price
1052
1137
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
17,152
21,185
15,676
21,010
0,758
2,978
0,542
2,303
1,249
4,740
1,328
5,461
-0,0779
-11,551
-0,0758
-12,190
-1,359
-3,666
-1,240
-3,636
-0,0773
-22,969
-0,0603
-19,418
R2 : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV6WUlQJQlVE\RFFXSDWLRQ
*DLQIXO HPSOR\HG
2
1RWJ HPSOR\
R
0,482
0,485
df regression
5
5
df total
1419
670
FI%XV
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
15,556
23,448
18,149
17,572
Train
0,800
3,846
HS train
1,535
7,115
0,791
2,344
-13,648 -0,0808
-9,358
(constant)
Travelling
time
-0,0753
Frequency
-1,222
Price
-0,0607
-4,021
-1,403
-2,976
-22,015 -0,0844
-19,601
2
R : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
352
Introduction of regional high speed trains
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV6WUlQJQlVE\DJH
$JH $JH R2
0,474
0,486
df regression
5
5
df total
313
1621
FI%XV
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
(constant)
16,194
11,642
16,268
25,511
Train
0,795
3,972
0,823
1,820
1,452
6,992
Travelling
time
-0,0733
-6,322
-0,0788
-14,846
Frequency
-1,417
-2,239
-1,307
-4,475
-0,0707
-12,189
-0,0663
-25,009
HS train
Price
2
R : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV6WUlQJQlVE\HGXFDWLRQ
8SSHUVHF RQGVFKRRO
2
8QLYHUVLW\
R
0,474
0,544
df regression
5
5
df total
FI%XV
(constant)
Train
HS train
Travelling time
Frequency
Price
937
764
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
16,361
20,081
16,863
18,816
0,933
3,362
1,076
4,043
1,518
5,246
-0,0763
-11,194
-0,0883
-11,931
-1,104
-2,975
-1,504
-3,632
-0,0693
-20,405
-0,0679
-18,295
R2 : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
The Svealand line
353
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV6WUlQJQlVE\KRXVHKROGLQFRPH
6NU
! 6NU
R2
0,383
0,553
df regression
5
5
df total
390
387
FI%XV
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
16,507
11,290
16,529
13,553
Train
HS train
0,867
1,816
1,579
3,965
Travelling
time
-0,0708
-5,804
-0,0927
-9,100
Frequency
-1,510
-2,259
-1,478
-2,651
-0,0690
-11,343
-0,0594
-11,707
(constant)
Price
2
R : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV6WUlQJQlVE\FDUDFFHVV
+DELWXDO PRWRULVWV )UHTX LQIUHTX PRWRULVWV
1RQ PRWRULVWV
R2
0,510
0,474
0,426
df regression
5
5
5
df total
1090
781
309
FI%XV
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
16,062
21,661
16,076
17,596
18,345
11,054
Train
0,867
3,727
0,713
2,481
HS train
1,564
0,241
1,350
4,531
Travelling
time
-0,0773
-12,537
-0,0762
-10,001 -0,0780
-5,611
Frequency
-1,378
-4,055
-1,215
-0,0644
-20,893
-0,0662
-17,436 -0,0880
-12,698
(constant)
Price
-2,904
2
R : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
354
Introduction of regional high speed trains
5HJUHVVLRQDQDO\VHV6WUlQJQlVE\GLVWDQFHGRPLFLOH²VWDWLRQ
NP
NP
R2
0,513
0,446
df regression
5
5
df total
1065
970
FI%XV
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
16,493
21,865
16,310
18,955
Train
0,790
3,322
0,565
2,092
HS train
1,418
5,776
1,233
4,403
Travelling
time
-0,0759
-12,069
-0,0786
-10,972
Frequency
-1,227
-3,560
-1,357
-3,443
-0,0718
-22,864
-0,0647
-18,080
(constant)
Price
2
R : Degree of explanation
df : Degrees of freedom
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
The Svealand line
355
Appendix 5
/HYHOVRISXEOLFWUDQVSRUWSDVVHQJHU·V63VWXGLHV
)DFWRU
/HYHOV
Travel
mode and
Travelling
time
Bus: Random
about 180% of
real travelling
time
Car
Ord. Train:
HS train:
Extra fast HS
Random
Random
train: Random
about 130% of about 110% of about 50% of
real travelling real travelling real travelling
time
time
time
Only if the passenger has car as an alternative. No travelling
time, frequency of service or cost are given
7KHOHYHOVEHORZFDQEHFRPELQHGIUHHO\ZLWKWUDYHOPRGHDQG
WUDYHOOLQJWLPHH[FHSWFDU
1 hr (more
2 hr (more
3 hr (more
Frequency 0,5 hr (more
often
in
peak
often
in
peak
often
in
peak
often in peak
of service
hour)
hour)
hour)
hour)
50% of real
100% of real
120% of real
160% of real
Fare
fare
fare
fare
fare
356
Introduction of regional high speed trains
Appendix 6
3DUDPHWHUYDOXHVSXEOLFWUDQVSRUWSDVVHQJHU·V
63VWXGLHV
/RJLWDQDO\VHVSULFH7KH6YHDODQGOLQHZLWKRXWFDU
0,41
0,35
2
“R ”
No. of observations
557
632
E
WYDOXH
Bus
-1,129
-3,1
Train
-0,456
-1,9
HS train
E
WYDOXH
0,774
3,1
1,397
4,3
FI)UHTXHQF\KU
Frequency 1hr
Frequency 2hr
Frequency 3hr
-1,160
-4,7
-1,052
-5,1
Price %
-0,0310
-10,8
-0,0212
-9,9
Travelling time
-0,0246
-4,0
-0,0177
-3,7
* Analysis by Karl Kottenhoff, Royal Institute of Technology
“R2” : (fictitious) degree of explanation
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
/RJLWDQDO\VHVQXPHULFDOWKH6YHDODQGOLQHZLWKRXWFDURQO\SDVVHQJHUVZLWK
VLQJOHWLFNHWVDW6NUPD[LPXP
“R2”
0,43
0,38
No. of observations
388
429
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
Train
0,634
1,9
0,982
3,1
HS train
1,548
3,6
Travelling time (minute)
-0,0360
-4,5
-0,0187
-2,9
Frequency (minute)
-0,0079
-4,1
-0,0046
-3,1
Price (Skr)
-0,0374
-8,9
-0,0216
-8,2
2
“R ” : (fictitious) degree of explanation
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
The Svealand line
357
/RJLWDQDO\VHVSULFHDOOSDVVHQJHUVRQWKH6YHDODQGOLQHZLWKELO
0,29
0,25
“R2”
No. of observations
1758
1841
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
Bus
-2,121
-12,0
Train
-1,010
-7,6
0,954
6,1
-2,267
1,562
8,7
-13,2
-0,721
-2,6
HS train
Bil
FI)UHTXHQF\KU
Frequency 1hr
Frequency 2hr
-0,291
-2,2
-0,709
-5,5
Frequency 3hr
-1,101
-7,8
-1,261
-9,3
Price %
-0,0207
-14,8
-0,0165
-12,9
Travelling time
-0,0089
-4,5
-0,0136
-6,1
* Analysis by Karl Kottenhoff, Royal Institute of Technology
2
“R ” : (fictitious) degree of explanation
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
/RJLW DQDO\VHV QXPHULFDO WKH 6YHDODQG OLQH ZLWK FDU RQO\ SDVVHQJHUV ZLWK
VLQJOHWLFNHWVDW6NUPD[LPXP
“R ”
0,27
0,23
No. of observations
1078
1179
2
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
Train
0,958
4,7
0,973
4,9
HS train
1,894
7,5
1,479
6,6
Bil
-1,973
-5,0
-2,158
-5,8
Travelling time (minute)
-0,0093
-2,6
-0,0133
-4,4
Frequency (minute)
-0,0060
-5,7
-0,0088
-8,7
Price (Skr)
-0,0163
-10,0
-0,0123
-8,9
2
“R ” : (fictitious) degree of explanation
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
358
Introduction of regional high speed trains
/RJLWDQDO\VHVSULFHDOOSDVVHQJHUVRQWKH1\N|SLQJOLQHZLWKRXWFDU
0,41
0,40
“R2”
No. of observations
366
E
326
WYDOXH
Bus
-1,790
-3,3
Train
HS train
E
WYDOXH
1,359
3,2
1,538
2,9
FI)UHTXHQF\KU
Frequency 1hr
Frequency 2hr
-0,749
-2,6
-0,640
-2,2
Frequency 3hr
-1,553
-5,0
-1,429
-4,5
Price %
-0,0319
-9,0
-0,0296
-8,3
Travelling time
-0,0243
-2,1
* Analysis by Karl Kottenhoff, Royal Institute of Technology
“R2” : (fictitious) degree of explanation
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
/RJLW DQDO\VHV QXPHULFDO WKH 1\N|SLQJ OLQH ZLWKRXW FDU RQO\ SDVVHQJHUV
ZLWKVLQJOHWLFNHWVDW6NUPD[LPXP
“R ”
0,49
0,41
No. of observations
210
180
2
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
Train
1,598
2,6
1,556
2,7
HS train
1,418
1,9
1,779
2,3
Travelling time (minute)
Frequency (minute)
-0,0081
-3,1
-0,0092
-3,3
Price (Skr)
-0,0343
-7,2
-0,0306
-6,3
2
“R ” : (fictitious) degree of explanation
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
The Svealand line
359
/RJLWDQDO\VHVSULFHDOOSDVVHQJHUVRQWKH1\N|SLQJOLQHZLWKFDU
0,28
0,31
“R2”
No. of observations
865
860
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
Bus
-2,065
-7,7
Train
-0,423
-2,4
1,676
5,9
1,852
6,1
-1,692
-6,3
Frequency 2hr
Frequency 3hr
-1,033
-5,2
-1,265
-5,9
Price %
-0,0235
-11,4
-0,0285
-12,3
Travelling time
-0,0103
-2,0
HS train
Car
FI)UHTXHQF\KU
Frequency 1hr
* Analysis by Karl Kottenhoff, Royal Institute of Technology
2
“R ” : (fictitious) degree of explanation
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
/RJLWDQDO\VHVQXPHULFDOWKH1\N|SLQJOLQHZLWKFDURQO\SDVVHQJHUVZLWK
VLQJOHWLFNHWVDW6NUPD[LPXP
“R ”
0,25
0,33
No. of observations
489
380
2
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
Train
1,588
4,6
1,491
3,7
HS train
2,151
5,7
1,951
4,3
Car
-1,152
-1,9
-3,367
-4,5
Travelling time (minute)
-0,0119
-1,7
Frequency (minute)
-0,0038
-2,4
-0,0069
-3,5
Price (Skr)
-0,0185
-8,7
-0,0217
-7,7
2
“R ” : (fictitious) degree of explanation
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
360
Introduction of regional high speed trains
/RJLW DQDO\VHV QXPHULFDO WKH 6YHDODQG OLQH RQO\ SDVVHQJHUV ZLWK
PRQWKO\SDVVHV
:LWKRXW FDU
:LWK FDU
“R ”
0,34
0,31
No. of observations
137
329
2
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
Train
HS train
Car
1,539
3,3
-3,257
-4,1
Travelling time (minute)
-0,0233
-2,3
-0,0177
-2,8
Frequency (minute)
-0,0094
-3,2
-0,0124
-5,5
Price (Skr)
-0,0011
-4,9
-0,0008
-5,7
2
“R ” : (fictitious) degree of explanation
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
/RJLW DQDO\VHV QXPHULFDO WKH 1\N|SLQJ OLQH RQO\ SDVVHQJHUV ZLWK
PRQWKO\SDVVHV
:LWKRXW FDU
:LWK FDU
0,44
0,40
“R2”
No. of observations
94
274
E
WYDOXH
E
WYDOXH
Train
2,191
3,7
HS train
2,652
4,1
-3,103
-2,8
Travelling time (minute)
Frequency (minute)
-0,0117
-2,9
-0,0087
-3,5
Price (Skr)
-0,0015
-4,1
-0,0018
-7,7
Car
2
“R ” : (fictitious) degree of explanation
Coefficients where the t-value is within the interval -1,64<t<1,64 is not significant (one-sided 95% confidence interval). Those results are written in LWDOLFV.
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389
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Introduction of regional high speed trains
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391
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Introduction of regional high speed trains
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Introduction of regional high speed trains
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395
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Introduction of regional high speed trains
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397
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Introduction of regional high speed trains
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399
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Introduction of regional high speed trains
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