Labour drain, social change and rural production in Ethiopia Chapter One 1. Introduction 1.1 Statement of the problem/background of the study In this era of globalization, almost all countries in the world are involved in migration as countries of origin, destination, or transit—or all three. Of the several millions of people living outside their countries of birth, the ILO estimates that almost 90 per cent are migrant workers and their families (www.ILO.org). In the face of the very selective nature of twenty first century transnational labour migration, rural sending communities or countries of origin are on the verge of contentious disorganization and reorganization of their socio-economic lives. At the same time, the selective nature makes it easy to move as an individual rather than to migrate with a family. This leads to the creation of new relationships and connections between the migrant and the sending household. There is a growing intensification of labour migration in social and economic terms. Labour migration has become a ‘Sine qua no’ of the new globalized and industrial world. In recent years, labour migration has made headlines in both academic and artistic writings. It has become cause and at the same time result of globalization. In a time of ever-increasing globalization, transnational migration has become the umbilical cord connecting the global North and South. Social and economic remittances are the highway lines for the network. That is why policies dealing with immigration and emigration are currently a hotly debated issues in global and domestic political and economic arenas. According to ILO, 2006, about half of the world’s migrants are women. Global estimates by sex confirm that by 1960, the number of female cross-border migrants reached almost the same number as male migrants, and this ratio has not changed significantly since then (ILO, 2006). The Ethiopian Diaspora wave entered a new stage after 1999, largely comprised of semi or unskilled women labour migrants as a domestic worker in the Arab and Gulf countries. During the last five years, this wave to the Arab and Gulf countries has shown a tremendous increase in the out flow and the return socio-economic impact in the country. The study has mainly focused on this migration trend that is totally or partly has changed and still changing the demographic pyramid of rural part of Ethiopia. Its impact on the sending community’s’ family life, kinship relations and rural household production are point of focus. The study also provides concise focus on the general pattern of the labour drain in the study area. The migrant’s life in the receiving community i.e. Arab countries, which has been over researched, is not under the conceptual scope of the study; rather the study focuses on the way of life of the migrants family in the rural villages and the changing patterns in social life (division of labour, martial and gender relationship and kinship ties) and rural production. Change in the material culture of the sending household as caused by the social and economic remittances is also discussed in this paper. In other word, the study has tried to demonstrate that transnational communities are emerging in the 'place of departure' while the main stream migration study sees transnational communities as only formed in the 'place of destination'. In this paper, the impact of out migration from the rural community to Arab countries on the rural sending community will be analyzed from four different viewpoints: first, the absence of the labour force from the community; second, the process of the labour drain i.e. the impact of how to cover the cost of the labour drain; third, the social and economic remittances which include the ideas, behaviors, identities, and social capital that flow from receiving- to sendingcountry communities (Levitt, 2001, p. 926); and finally, the impact of the return of the migrants to the community (return migration) on the socio-economic life of the household. The other point that this study has focused on is the community’s dependency on their farmland and livestock vi-sa-vise passing over this cattle and land for money through contract or selling tier land or farm animal to pay the expensive cost of tickets and the visa process. The rest of the family becomes dependent on the economic remittances. This had an effect on the rural production; it is shifting from dependency on agriculture to remittances and other economic openings like trading activities. On the other hand using the economic remittances for better agricultural practice was also observed during the study. On the other side of the narrative this study takes an ephemeral look at the new wave of migration i.e. migration induced migration. Labour drain to the Arab countries induced a rural urban migration of the rural household by making the families in the sending community less dependent on the environment and more dependent upon remittances. It also mainly reinforces the young members of the community to follow the migrants track to the Arab countries or to employ themselves in non-agricultural activities. Unlike other studies on transnational migration and social change that base their analysis on macro level global cultural change, this study focuses on ‘the micro level transnational labour drain driven form of social change and change in rural production in the sending community’. The study was carried out as a cross sectional one time contact to the study population in a predominantly qualitative approach. The study is descriptive in nature and contains analytical ethnography but also some comparative analysis of the socio-economic and environmental changes and transformation over a short period. The study has two variables: the independent and dependent variables i.e. the labour drain as independent variable and the socio-economic life and agriculture of the sending community as dependent or affected by the independent variable. Moreover, the comparison is between the past and the present socio-economic and environmental circumstances using systematic analysis and observation of the current community life and oral narratives and official documents of the past. The personal stories of several respondents are also presented as a case study to supplement the basic arguments of the study. 1.2 Major research questions This study aims to answer the following questions through data collection and analysis: 1. How does the labour drain operate in the community, a very epigrammatic discussion of the causes and indictors? 2. What are the social changes brought on by the labour drain in the sending community? 3. What are the changes to rural production caused by labour drain in the rural village? N.B the study is not only focusing on what are the impacts but also how it affects the socioeconomic life and the environment. 1.5 Significance of the study This section will provide brief description on the various significances of the study given the three categories of education, politics and economy. There have been relatively few studies connected to transnational labour drain in the study area and its impact. The impact of transnational labour drain has never been observed from the community level as previous studies give more focus on individual stories and fail to account for the impact on the community’s socio-economic life in general. Therefore, the study will help to enrich knowledge in this multidisciplinary field of study. The other educational significance of this study is the dispelling of the perception of the general public and mass medias of the labour drain as an individual choice by clearing up that it is also a household adjustment mechanism to a harsh situation. In other word, it will bridge the knowledge gap. The last educational significance regards the conclusions and data presented in this study as an asset and reference for further academic researchers on the area of transnational labour drain. In a slight economic sense, the findings of this study will synthesize the conception of the transnational labour drain by the government at different levels and nongovernmental organizations as unhealthy to the rural economy in general and agriculture in particular. Data from the rural faming households prove that the remittances received from migration help them to advance their income and improvise their faming practice. To some extent, these partly wrong perceptions about the labour drain prevent labour migrants and their family from getting the best out of it. The last but not the least significance of the study is more inclined to political or policy making issues concerning the labour drain at regional and national level. With ever increasing globalization and interconnectedness, any kind of political intervention to very sensitive and volatile aspects, which tap almost every corner of a society, should be well counseled and informed from the onset. This research will be able to provide in-depth information and data for policy makers at different level and NGOs working around the subject of labour drain and rural development. Its aim is also to add to the existing body of knowledge to help formulate appropriate policies that reflect women’s participation in the migratory process. Chapter two Theoretical and analytical frame work Migration research has dealt mainly with the forces which affect flow of migration and how strongly they have affected it, but little has been done to determine the influence of migration as an equilibrating mechanism between sending and receiving communities in a changing global economy and social reality (Sjaastad, 1962). Migration studies in anthropology ask the question how does migration effect cultural change and affect ethnic identity with more micro level of analysis. The dominant theories in the field are structuralism and transnational theories (Brettell and Hollifield, 2010). 2.1 Theorizing Transnational Migration In recent years the notion of transnationalism has entered the lexicon of migration scholars who are attracted to its endeavor to capture the distinctive nature of immigrant communities that have developed in advanced industrial nation (Kivisto, 2001). The theoretical framework of the study is inclined to the transnational theory of migration and inserts some rethinking of the conceptual and geographical coverage of the theory. Recent studies indicate that the conception of the transnational community and transnationalism has a limited capacity to capture the impact of migration in sending communities. This is because ' transnational community' has been used as a synonym for ‘immigrant community’ in developed nations by many studies (Kivisto, 2001). On the other hand, many studies have been done on the relationship between locales in one particular sending community and the receiving country; however, they have failed to demonstrate how widespread transnational practices actual are among the community (Levitt, 2001). The ongoing debate over the investment of economic remittances in the sending community and the changes brought by the social remittance still needs empirical arguments. 2.2 The Economic Remittances: Migration and Development Remittance-use studies focus on how migrant remittances and hoards are actually spent and deals with comparisons of expenditures between households with and without foreign income (Tayler et al. 1996). There are two poles around which academic debates concerning migration, transnationalism, and globalization take place: “ is migration a negative drain on a community, leaving in its wake increased dependency and unmet dreams or is it a stimulus to local (if limited) economic success?” (Cohen, 2001: 955). I argue together with Cohen that in place of blanket generalizations concerning migration's outcomes, we look at the historical growth of transnational movement as well as the structure of household decision making to better understand the range of migration and remittance outcomes and their impact on rural communities. The effects of these remittances at the national level are positive for the economy in general and act as "safety nets for poor regions left behind by the agglomerative behavior of international capital and as an equilibrating mechanism, by the preoccupation of the international community with other matters, and by the indifference of their own government" (Cohen, 2001:954). Nevertheless, debate continues over the impact and importance of migration and the use of remittances for rural peasant communities and peasant households. There are two objections to relying on remittances to save the argument for rural-urban migration as a cause of intra-rural or rural-urban equalization. First, total net remittances are very small compared with rural income in the great majority of villages; indeed, they are often negative; and second, positive remittances go disproportionately to the better-off; town ward migrants, especially the remitters and, above all, the transnational remitters who send back really large sums, are seldom from the poorest village groups (Lipton, 1980). 2.2.1 The Two Models on the Use of Economic Remittances Much has been said and argued concerning the importance of economic remittances and outcomes of migration for the sending community but two models have dominated the debate over the outcomes of migration and remittance use: Dependency and Development (Brettell, 2000:104). Dependency models focus on the socio-economic costs of migration, while development models point toward the economic growth that can come from the careful use of remittances. Dependency models argue that migration aggravates local socio-economic inequalities, escalate economic dependency, and drives sterile consumption within peasant households while creating pools of cheap labour waiting to be exploited (Reichert, 1981in Cohen, 2001). In this pattern, rural communities become little more than nurseries for the young (future migrants) and "homes" for the elderly (those no longer able to migrate). The outcome of this process is the social disintegration of sending communities as the able-bodied are siphoned away by the pull of job opportunities and the disruption of local practices as remittances are wasted (Cohen, 2001:955). Some migration economists like Duran and Massey 1999 make pessimistic conclusion about this situation. In their own words; "Rather than concluding that migration inevitably leads to dependency and a lack of development, it is more appropriate to ask why productive investment occurs in some communities and not in others. In general, a perusal of...communities suggests that the highest levels of business formation and investment occur in urban communities, rural communities with access to urban markets, or rural communities with favorable agricultural conditions" (Duran and Massey, 1999: 89). This situation has also been reflected and observed during fieldwork in 'Werebabu' community as the more selective nature of the current labour drain pattern brings dramatic change to the rural demography. Dependency models insist that mass labour departure undermines the prospects for economic intensification. Transnational migration is widely thought to reinforce a pattern of dependent community development, whereby higher living standards are achieved through the inflow of money i.e. economic remittances from abroad rather than from the expansion of economic activity at home. The end result is a way of life that cannot be sustained through local labour, yielding a host of negative side effects, including income inequality, inflation, lost production, and higher unemployment (Tayler et al. 1996). On the other hand, development models emphasize the benefits of migration and the positive outcomes that are possible with the cautious investment of remittances (Taylor 1999:73). There is increasing evidence of economic progress fostered by what Cohen (1999) refer as "migradollars" (the dollars generated through transnational migration) nationally and locally. Remittances become the basis for what migrants describe as the self-advancement of their households, families, and communities (Cohen, 1999). These funds underwrite the expansion of utility services such as water and electricity, support and revive the ritual life of the community, and help families cover the costs of participating in the social and political life of their community (ibid, see also Smith 1998). Taylor (1996) point out two factors for what he calls “obstacles to the effective promotion of development through emigration” emerges from a careful reading of the research literature. First, poor public services and infrastructure seriously limit the potential for contributions to local production. Most migrant-sending communities are rural villages distant from natural markets and lacking basic infrastructure such as paved roads, electricity, running water, sewage systems, and telephones. Many are characterized by poor quality land, a fragmented tenure system, and unequal land distribution. It is unrealistic to expect migration to promote development where complementary infrastructure, services, and ecological conditions are so unfavorable (Taylor et al. 1996: 401). People drift "because of the lack of meaningful development in the first place. In the absence of policies designed to channel migrants' savings into productive investment, it is naive to expect migrants to behave very differently" (Georges 1990: 170). The second obstacle is closely related to the first: a lack of well-functioning factor markets (notably, rural credit markets). The absence of such markets means that migrants and their families end up serving as both the procurers of migrant savings and the intermediaries between migration and development. To expect migrants to be proficient at turning savings into production is unrealistic. Migration is likely to have a larger effect on development where local institutions exist to gather savings by migrant households and make them available to local producers--that is, where migrants do not have to play simultaneous roles as workers, savers, investors, and producers (Taylor et al. 1996). What has been overlooked in the study of transnational labour migration and its outcomes as also suggested by Cohen (2001) is an integrative transnational approach. We need an approach that breaks down the paradoxes of dependency and development; moreover, it needs to define the outcomes of migration and remittance use as rooted in a series of interdependencies. It should emphasize production and consumption, class and ethnicity, and the individual and the community while transcending localities and national boundaries. Cohen (2001) further argues that for a more advanced transnational model, we must pay careful consideration to how this interdependencies plays out in the sending or home communities. He organize a three-part approach to migration that captures the dynamics and local unevenness of transnational movement and remittance use: first part, migration as stage specific process; second part, migration as progressive and collective response; and the third part, migration fostering development through remittances(Cohen, 2001). Cohen (2001) explores these three areas to understand the local effects and outcomes of transnational movement. The first part, transnational migration, is defined as a stage-specific process identified by three discrete phases that influence the degree of social inequality present within a community. The second part, the decision to migrate, is defined as progressive, made within the confines of the household and in response to the development cycle of the domestic group. The third part, remittances, can support a range of strategies including selfaggrandizement, household reproduction, business investment, and community development (Granovetter 1995; Rogers 1991; Russell 1986; Taylor 1999 in Cohen 2001). Cohen’s (2001) ‘first part’ of the ‘three part approach’ suggests there are three stages of transnational migration. First the repeated movements of "target" earners looking for short-term economic success and increased income for specific expenditures. Target earners are typically high-status individuals who hold economic advantages in their communities. Thus, the first stage of migration tends to increase socio-economic division within rural sending communities. In its second stage, transnational migration becomes more common as people emulate the successes of target earners. The process of migration becomes self-reinforcing in response to a decline in the risks and costs of migration and the migrant pool becomes more heterogeneous in age, gender, and social status (Massey et al. 1994 in Cohen, 2001:958). In response to internal momentum and rising heterogeneity in the migrant pool, socio-economic inequality declines among local households in the second phase (Jones 1998 in ibid). This momentum continues to form until the migrant pool fail to reproduce itself, labour shortages follow in sending communities, or recessions in receiving countries limit job access. During migration's decline (or third stage of migration), socio-economic inequality increases once again as those migrants who are successful continue to succeed and those community members who have failed fall further behind economically (Reichert 1982;Rubenstein 1992 in Cohen, 2001). 2.3 Asking "why?" Labour Migration; Models of Rural Out Migration For a long time social scientists have studied the movement of labour out of rural areas. Adam Smiths’ The Wealth of Nations (1776) addresses migration. In industrial revolution England, Ravenstein (1885) and Redford (1926, 1968) argued that a combination of Malthusian forces, land scarcity, and enclosure—that is, “supply push” variables—drove rural-to-urban migration. The classical model1 pointed to “demand-pull” variables, including the rapid development of manufacturing that fed population growth and urban poverty in the early nineteenth century. Conception of rural out-migration as solution to auxiliary labour and low earnings in agriculture was renowned (Johnson, 1960). The economics of labour migration is more complex and a global occurrence. This study will try to give its opinion in its attempt to come up with why transnational labour migration from rural areas exists. Labour migration according to Lewis (1954 in Taylor and Martin, 2001) is the product of the supply and demand circulation between the rural agricultural economy (non-capitalist) and the urban economy (capitalist). According to the dual economy concept, on the one hand, the urban capitalist sector operates by hiring labour and selling output for a profit, and on the other hand the rural agricultural non capitalist (or subsistence) sector does not use reproducible capital and does not hire labour for a profit. At the outset, labour is concentrated in the non-capitalist sector (Taylor and Martin, 2001). As the capitalist sector expands, it buys out labour from the non-capitalist sector. “If the capitalist economy is concentrated in the urban economy, labour transfer implies geographic movement, i.e., rural-to-urban migration” (Taylor and Martin, 2001:4). At the international level, the same relationship exists between the economy of developed country and less-developed country i.e. the DCs have the role of the capitalist urban economy and the LDCs represent the 1 In the classical model, migration is demand-driven in the sense that the supply of farm labour to nonfarm jobs is perfectly elastic (i.e., the supply curve is horizontal). Therefore, the movement of workers from farm to nonfarm jobs results solely from outward shifts in the nonfarm labour-demand curve non-capitalist rural economy. So rural urban migration at the international level implies transnational labour migration from the LDCs to DCs. "A key testable hypothesis of the Lewis model is that rural out-migration is not accompanied by a decrease in agricultural production nor by a rise in either rural or urban wages" (ibid:5). Regardless of its popularity for some modeling purposes, wage-driven neoclassical analysis of rural out-migration has largely been discredited for a number of reasons like the empirical observation that urban formal-sector wages are “sticky,” and migration tends to persist and even accelerate in the face of high and rising urban unemployment in LDCs (Todaro, 1969 and 1980 in Taylor and Martin, 2001). 2.4 Labour Out migration and Rural Production The starting point in theorizing the relationship between migration and community development is the household itself. Lipton (1980) defines rural out migration as "the departure of individuals or households, for more than a week or so, from the small, primarily agricultural community in which they live". The movement of labour out of agriculture is a universal concomitant of economic modernization and growth. Conventional migration models overlook many potential interactions between migration and development. Given imperfect markets characterizing most migrant-sending areas, migration and remittances can have far-reaching impacts, both positive and negative, on incomes and production in agricultural households. Connections through product and factor markets transmit impacts of migration from migrant-sending households to others inside and outside the rural economy (Taylor and Martin, 2001). In most cases, transnational labour migration is used as a synonym for labour migration from the agricultural sector to non-agricultural sector in the global economy. The relocation of labour geographically, out of rural areas, and occupationally, out of farm jobs, is one of the most pervasive features of agricultural transformations and economic growth. This is true both historically in developed countries (DCs) and currently in less-developed countries (LDCs). The share of the national workforce in agriculture plunges even more sharply, from 90% or higher in low-income countries to less than 10% in high-income countries (ibid). International migration redistributes population and workforce from rural to urban and from lessdeveloped country to developed country. This redistributive characteristic of international labour migration is reflected in many countries where agricultural production turns to foreign-born migrants, frequently of rural origin for labour (Taylor and Martin, 2001). Another basic issue this study looks at is the labour flow from less-developed countries, predominantly from rural part of these countries and what impact or changes happen to the domestic economy and rural production of the home community. Lipton (1980) point out some independent variables that will affect the impact based relationship between migration and rural production: "The ‘impact’ of migration depends on the numbers involved, the duration of absence, the effect of both absence and possible return on migrants and their home communities, and the concentration of migrants’ origins in a few places or classes"(Lipton,1980: 1). Agricultural practice in less-developed countries is more labour intensive than in developed countries. Therefore, such a massive out migration of productive labour from the less developed countries poses an enormous challenge for the domestic rural production. Despite this fact, many studies are one sided and focus on the contribution of the human capital from less- developed countries to the developed countries' economy. Less has been said about this same migration wave impact on the sending community economy. The questions of whether or not return migration would bring back balance to the labour market and save the rural economy' and 'whether or not return migration can bring back the lost labour force to the farm' are still much disputed among migration economists. Some empirical data suggest that equilibration of the rural agricultural economy and the urban industrial sector through return migration was unsuccessful (Lipton M. 1980). “Most evidence, then, suggests a negative impact of rural emigration on rural productivity and equality. Does the return of migrants reverse that negative impact? There is some evidence in favour of this. However, there are several objections: the tendency of return migrants to be the old, the sick and the unsuccessful; the contradiction between equalizing effects and productive effects of return, and (analogously) between external benefits and catalytic action from it; and the frequent irrelevance to rural advance of the skills and attitudes acquired by migrants during their absence” (Lipton M. 1980:13). 2.5 Historical Overview of International Migration in Ethiopia; a Country Profile Ethiopia is a poor country that has struggled with drought, famines, overpopulation, poverty, and political instability. Ethiopia is a part of the “cradle of civilization‟ and is one of the few countries to never have been colonized. This has not, however, prevented the country from suffering ethnic conflict and political instability. "Today Ethiopia is officially a democratic country, although in practice this would be disputed. The volatile politics and ethnic conflict have contributed to poor governance which, combined with overpopulation and drought, have led to devastating impacts for Ethiopians during the country's famines, resettlement programmes, and political repression" (Fransen and Kuschminder, 2009: 5). Since labour migration is the reflection of some of the current socio-economic and demographic tensions in the country this section will provide a general overview of the current situation in Ethiopia by looking at the current population and economic situation, the political situation, environment, natural disasters, and food security, culture as well as the status of women. 2.5.1 Population and Economic Situation Ethiopia is one of the most populous countries in Africa with a population of 83 million (US Department of State, 2009). In 2006, 83.7% of the population were living in rural areas, and 16.3% were living in urban areas. In 2008, the population growth rate was 3.21%, which was the 11th highest in the world (CIA World Factbook). Ethiopia is one of the poorest countries in the world, ranking 169 of 179 on the United Nations Develop Program (UNDP) Human Development Index. The majority of the population is involved in agriculture (80 %), which accounts for 46 % of GDP. The Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPDRF) in 1991 nationalizes all of the land, and the average plot of land worked per family is one hectare. The majority of land is used for self-sufficiency, and the main cash crops for export are coffee, khat and cereals. The increasing population puts further pressure on the land, making attainment of self-sufficiency more challenging. In addition, only one percent of arable land is irrigated; thus, droughts have a devastating effect, which was witnessed during Ethiopia's famines (Financial Standards Forum, 2009 in Fransen and Kuschminder, 2009). In the urban communities, there is high unemployment, estimated at 48 % for men between 15 and 30 years of age. Unemployment generally lasts for a number of years. This has led to the growth of the informal economy, which the ILO estimates to account for 70-80 % of the workforce (ibid). 2.5.2 Political Situation Ethiopia is the only African country that was not a colony, with the exception of a brief Italian invasion from 1936-41. Historically, emperors ruled the country, but in 1974 the last Emperor, Haile Salisse, was overthrown by the military, which established a socialist rule known as the Derg (committee). The Derg established totalitarian rule where civil liberties were limited. In 1991 the EPRDF, a coalition consisting of different ethnic groups, overthrew the Derg regime (Fransen and Kuschminder, 2009). Beyound war and political issues, ecological factors are also seen as drivers of population movements in the country (Berhanu & White, 2000; De Waal, 1991 in Fransen and Kuschminder, 2009). The government also played a large role in controlling population movements, often out of security reasons (Bariagaber, 1999). 2.5.3 Culture and Ethnicity There are over 80 different ethnic groups in Ethiopia. The largest is the Oromo (40 %), Amhara (25 %), and Tigray (7 %). The most common religion is Sunni Muslim (45-50 %), Ethiopian Orthodox Christian (40 %), and Protestant (5 %). The official language is Amharic, which is the mother tongue of approximately 20 % of the population. Oromo is the most commonly spoken language and has many different dialects (Bulcha, 1997 in Fransen and Kuschminder, 2009). 2.5.4 Status of Women The ethnic groups of Ethiopia are traditionally patriarchal and are based on gendered role division. In rural areas, women traditionally have the role in the household economy of engaging in agricultural trade and domestic services (Pankhurst 1990, in Blerk, 2007). In the division of labour in tasks such as cloth making, it is evident that women are allocated simple and repetitive tasks (such as spinning) while the men do skilled tasks such as the weaving (ibid.). Marriages are traditionally arranged to construct further community ties and to increase or sustain the family's social status. The average national age of females at the time of marriage in Ethiopia is 14 (Alemu, 2007, in Fransen and Kuschminder, 2009). Among the Amhara, in which the study area is located, 48 % of rural women and 28 % of urban women were married before the age of 15 (ibid). Ethiopia's Gender Development Index (GDI) value is 0.403. This is 97.3 % of its Human Development Index (HDI) (UNDP, 2009). The HDI does not speak for gender inequality, and the GDI adds this component to the HDI. Ethiopia lines 133 in the world for its GDI. Such indicators illustrate this as literacy; 50 % of adult males are literate compared to 22.8 % of adult females (UNDP, 2009). The changing status of women is reflected later in this paper, as women labour migration is at its climax in some part of the country. The labour migration has changed some of the above stated figures about rural women at least at the community level in the study area. 2.6 The Diaspora Irregular and regular labour migrants from Ethiopia travel to a wide range of destinations. “According to a detailed report by ILO in 2011, they journey in significant numbers to South Africa through Moyale and Kenya; to Saudi Arabia through Bossaso and Yemen; to Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates (UAE) through Djibouti and Yemen; to Sudan through Metema and on to Lebanon; Saudi Arabia and UAE through Bole International Airport; and to Djibouti through the Afar region. Of course, the destinations listed here may represent primary movement only. Migrants often move on to secondary and third locations in what is often a long migration process, largely conducted irregularly and with the help of migrant smugglers” (Regional Mixed Migration Secretariat, 2013: 33). The migration from Ethiopia led to the creation of the Ethiopian Diaspora around the world. Abye (2004 in Lyons, 2007) identifies four stages of the evolution of the Ethiopian Diaspora. The first occurred before 1974 and was comprised primarily of elites. The second wave occurred from 1974-1982, when people fled the Dergs’ Red Terror. The third wave occurred from 1982 to 1991 and was largely comprised of family reunification to the west. The fourth wave followed post-1991 as people escaped ethnic violence and political repression. 2.6.1 The New Migration Wave This study will demonstrate that the Ethiopian Diaspora wave has entered a new stage post 1999 largely comprised of semi or unskilled women labour drain as domestic workers to the Arab and Gulf countries. During the last five years, this wave to the Arab and Gulf countries has shown a tremendous increase in the out flow and the return socio-economic impact in the country. In some part of the country, it even leads to formation of “a transnational community" i.e. communities that transcend the socio-cultural boundaries of the surrounding community and resemble the Arab or Gulf countries culture more so than the surrounding Ethiopian culture in so many ways. Unlike the pervious waves of migrants, the fifth wave is far more economically motivated i.e. searching for jobs and less politically fueled. For this reason, they are less involved in the politics of the sending country even though they are economically powerful. The fifth Diaspora wave is different from the previous waves in its selective nature of ‘who can migrate and their involvement in the home country’ so that it needs more migration network and impact analysis. This paper will deal in detail with the fifth wave in the data analysis chapter. The Ethiopian emigration patterns that were described in previous sections represent a substantial outflow of human capital from the country. This might have a negative impact on Ethiopia's development processes. There are positive consequences of emigration as well, such as remittances and the return migration of Ethiopians with a productive skill and educational training from abroad i.e. social remittances (Fransen and Kuschminder, 2009). For example, the annually remitted money to Ethiopia by migrant domestic workers in the Arab countries is an important source of foreign exchange for the country and equals or exceeds the dollars generated by some exports and foreign tourism (Bariagaber, 1999). Even though the net costs of emigration for migrant-sending countries is difficult to quantify, many authors agree upon the fact that Ethiopia has suffered significantly from “brain drain‟, or the out-migration of ‘highly-skilled’ Ethiopians over the years (Fransen and Kuschminder, 2009). Young Ethiopians often dream of a better future and leave their country in pursuit of this dream. It is difficult for a poor country such as Ethiopia to create a stable and work-friendly environment for ‘highly-skilled’ society members. This, together with swelling opportunities elsewhere in the globalizing world, leads to drainage of skilled people (Reinert, 2006 in Fransen and Kuschminder, 2009). What has been over looked here in the discourse of the transnational migration impact in Ethiopia is the most evident and recent fact that not only brain drain is affecting the country but also transnational labour drain as it results in the buying out of labour force from the rural agricultural sector. So far, transnational migration studies in Ethiopia have failed to address fully the role of the labour drain positively or negatively in the highly labour intensive 2 traditional agriculture system of the country, while the agriculture sector accounts for more than half of the country's GDP. Chapter four of the paper talks about the basic connections between the transnational labour drain and rural production in the case of South Wollo, Ethiopia from the data collected. 2.7 Summary of the review With all due respect for the works and contributions of migration economists and anthropologists on the subject of the impact of remittances on the sending communities` socio-economic life, there is lack of insight into other areas of the community life which have been affected by the remittances. In this study, the environmental and social costs of massive labour drain from agriculturally dependent rural communities are discussed from the data gathered during the field work from different stakeholders in the study community. This approach (the economic remittance based impact analysis approach) overlooks the impact of the process of and the precondition of labour drain on sending community and understands remittance most of the time in its economic sense neglecting the social aspect. "Social remittances are the ideas, behaviors, identities, and social capital that flow from receiving- to sending-country communities. The role that these resources play in promoting immigrant entrepreneurship, community and family formation, and political integration is widely acknowledged" (Levitt 1998: 926). Less attention has been given to the socio-cultural, historical and political structure of sending communities in shaping the impact of rural out migration. 2 Labour intensive is a process or industry that requires a large amount of labour to produce its goods or services. The degree of labour intensity is typically measured in proportion to the amount of capital required. To produce the goods/services; the higher the proportion of labour costs required, the more labour intensive the business (investopedia.com). In this study, since migration is a process through time and space (temporal and spatial), the impact of labour migration is approached from three different time angles. The first one is the ' precondition effect' or the time before the migrant makes a successful arrival to the destination community which includes the impact of the cause and the process of labour migration. The second angle of time, from which this study build most of its analysis is the 'during effect' which constitutes the time after the migrant reaches the host community that include the impact of the physical absence of the migrants (loss of labour) from the community and the impact of the remittance both social and economic. The last is the 'after effect ' and it covers the time after the migrant returns to their sending community. The study refers to this time the impact of return migration. Migration induced migration Sealing farmland and animals to cover travel cost The transnational labour drain Box 2 Minimum household involvement in agriculture Loss of labour force Social and economic remittances Change in the material culture of the households Return migration Box 1 Households stay in the rural villages but with no or very minimum and indirect involvement in agriculture Household dependency on remittance and involvement in other non-agricultural activities Migration of the sending household to the nearest cities i.e. migration induced migration Source: Adem, Fieldwork (2012) The above diagram shows how the transnational labour drain leads to the internal out migration of households to the city from the sending community. The labour drain in the rural villages induces the rural urban migration of households who have one or more family member migrate to the Arab countries. The ‘temporal impact analysis model’ (TIAM) is used to demonstrate how the migration-induced-migration is the product of the labour drain through time. Box 1 presents the four direct changes that labour drain has brought to the rural households. From top to bottom, they are arranged chronologically. Handing over farmland and animals like oxen and donkeys that are the major part of the farming process is the first incidence that distances a household from agriculture and thus from rural life. This what the TIAM refer to as “the precondition impact” However, this handing over of farmland in particular is either through a contract for some years or permanent sell. Chart : The labour drain and other mobilities in the rural villages Rural urban migration of sending households The labour drain Source: Adem, Fieldwork (2012) More labour migration from the rural villages ‘reinforcing’ Occupational migration from agriculture to nonagricultural business Formation of “transnational community” or culture lag; Indicators of the prevalence of labour drain in the rural villages Throughout the past five to eight years, there has been a tremendous change in the totality of the village life. It is obvious to feel shocked or amused by the rural villages life in the study area for someone for anyone who knows traditional Ethiopian rural village life. One will for sure ask him or herself “why is it not like other Ethiopian rural villages s?” and the common answer you will receive is the rural villages s’ long history of transnational labour drain. It is not about infrastructure, development in economic sense or education or health quality of life in the villages that make it different from the rest. It is not also the way people think about or perceive their surroundings that distinguishes the sending community from others. The material culture makes it look like a former ‘Arab colony’. Language and some other non-material culture are also under process of change or hybridization. In the long term, the rural villages will be an island of a distinctively strange culture for the surrounding areas. These changes can also be used as an indicator of the prevalence of the labour drain. communication technologies, food , dressing culture and demographic features are among the major indicators of the presence of massice out migration in the rural villages. Demographic structure The reasons for change in population structure can be attributed to the natural increase i.e. mortality and fertility rate and the migration. With the global-declining rate of fertility migration play a huge role in the distribution of population both geographically and demographically (Qin and Flint 2011). The impact of migration on demographic structure is in both destination and departure points. Special type of migration like labour drain, where not only economically but also demographically productive parts of the population move out from one community and enter another community, will change demographic structure of both communities dramatically. In the rural villages, the population’s age-sex structure and age-dependency ratio show this dramatic change due to the labour migration to the Arab countries. Even other demographic variables like age at marriage and maternity rates are changing due to the massive move out of the rural women population. These demographic changes are unique and distinguishing features of the rural sending community apart from other rural Ethiopian villages. Rural Ethiopian villages, especially the northern highlanders where the study area is also located, are famous for early marriage, a very young population and general high population growth due to high fertility rate. However, Werebabo rural villages are suffering or experiencing aging of the population3. The study make the balancing equation4 calculation based on the data from the district population survey and observed a slight decrease in fertility rate, unchanged mortality and 3 A process in which the proportions of adults and elderly increase in a population, while the proportions of children and adolescents decrease (http://www.prb.org). 4 A basic demographic formula used to estimate total population change between two points in time (ibid). observed a high rate of out migration to the surrounding cities and to the Arab countries. It is still too early to predict any demographic transition, but the decline in fertility will lead sometime in the future to a historical demographic shift or depopulation in the rural villages. The rural women are no longer as stable as they used to be to stay home and take care of children; rather they are too mobile and have less interest in bearing children at the conventional mother age. The District Women and Reproductive Health Officer during an interview mentioned that the conventional age or age at first maternity experience was between 15 to 20 years old in the villages but now this has risen to 25 to 30. This has affected the rural maternal fertility rate. Replacement–level fertility5 is also declining in the rural villages as an indicator of couples’ high mobility. Marriage and divorce rate are the other demographic components that are directly affected by the labour migration. There has been a decline in marriage rates and an increase in divorce rates that makes families less productive. Due to the labour migration of the rural women, the rate of remarriage is also rapidly decreasing. Demographically speaking there is a change in nuptiality6. The other impact of the labour drain on the rural demography is not the mere absence of the young population but also the economic remittance. The remitted money makes rural households to withdraw their dependency on the farmland that means the dependency has shift to somewhere else. This somewhere else is the migrant who remitted the money. It makes the households dependent on the migrant member of the family. The remaining productive members of the family wait for the remitted money than going to the farm and produce. The remitted money from the labour drain has increased the dependency ratio7 of the rural villages’ households by making the economically productive population unproductive. However, this is not always the case. Some has made meaningful investment from the remitted money and able to diversify the household income and economic security. Change in farming culture of the rural village As mentioned in the beginning of this subchapter, not all rural sending households abandon farming and enter another way of life; rather, a significant number of sending community 5 The level of fertility at which a couple has only enough children to replace themselves, or about two children per couple (ibid). 6 The frequency, characteristics, and dissolution of marriages in a population (http://www.prb.org). 7 The ratio of the economically dependent part of the population to the productive part (ibid). households practice agriculture. The massive labour force move out from agriculture to the Arab countries and occupationally to other non-agricultural activity leads to emergence and or strengthening of new farming trends in the rural village. Those sending household who decide to keep on working on their farmland adopt methods that will compensate for the increasingly declining labour supply. Agricultural intensification Farming practice in the rural village used to be known as labour-intensive much like the surrounding Ethiopian highland farmers. The labuor drain by limiting labuor supply and providing massive cash money to the rural production changed the labour-intensive to capitalintensive farming practice. In other word, the economic remittance leads to agricultural intensification to some households. As stated above, the district bureau agrees that yes there is agricultural intensification in the village. However, the office argues that this intensification is not a mere outcome of the economic remittance; rather it is the availability of the agricultural inputs though the bureau to the farmers. The argument made by development and dependency theorists about economic remittances in chapter two comes alive between the farmers and the agriculture bureau. The farmers’ argument side with the development theory saying the remittance provides them with access to better agricultural practice while the agriculture bureau sides with the dependency theory which claims that the economic remittances are destroying farming practice and will cause rural environmental degradation in the near future. This study’s stand suggests a more integrative outlook concerning remittance and agricultural practice by including other social factors. New forms of cooperation; communal farming Apart from the intensification and passing over of farmland through temporary contract in the rural village, some sending households stick to their farmland through adopting new forms of cooperation with other farmers. The last part of the questionnaire distributed for the household survey asks sending household what they are doing to adopt with the loss of labour force from their agricultural activity. There are two social institutions growing and expanding in the villages around the farmland. These two institutions are not something entirely new for the community rather the lack of labour force put them at the center of the community life in the face of labour migration. 1. ‘Wenfel’ The first form of communal farming in the village is ‘wenfel’. It is a form of informal cooperation or community social labour-share groups where two or more farmers decides to cultivate together turn by turn on their land on a fixed date. The farmers also share their farm oxen. It is more voluntary in other part of the rural Ethiopia but here in the rural village it become more formal and obligatory due to the labour shortage pressure. Anyone in the community participates from a 'Nege-beine' (i.e. 'Tomorrow could be my turn') feeling. All members of the group are given equal opportunity to utilize the labour sharing, which goes turn by turn to all members. Therefore, it is initiated, planned by the land users, and accepted by the group. This ‘wenfel’ is not something unique for the sending community but it is practiced more than ever before and more intensively than anywhere in the surrounding rural areas. This is directly and indirectly due to the impact of labour migration out of the sending villages. 2. ‘Jigi’ The second form of social labour share group or institution that become very famous in the sending community agricultural life is ‘jigi’. It is different from ‘wenfel’ in two ways. It is more voluntary and commonly practiced among kin groups or neighboring farmers; secondly, in ‘jigi’ there is no ‘turn by turn’ calculation; rather the owner of a land who needs the labour force of other farmers will call for help on a fixed date and have to prepare enough food and drinks for the participants. The dilemma is that on the one hand, the labour migration leads to strengthening of social labour sharing group in the sending community. On the other hand, the availability of cash money from the remittance also endangers traditional social labour sharing groups. The remitted money leads to, in some household, cases of hiring a labour worker or in other words, employing farmers. There is a race between the traditional social labour sharing institution mentioned above and employed farmers in the rural agricultural production. Who will prevail in the village? On the other hand, are they going to be able co-exist in the rural agricultural practice as the labour drain fosters both? This will need more in-depth look as it is beyond the scope of this paper. 3. Conclusion In so many regards, the labour drain has become a leading social change agent fostering development at the same time dependency in the rural villages of Werebabu. With a more rigorous approach and intervention, the labour drain can serve as a means for better wellbeing and advanced standard of living. The labour drain has brought new social orders and institutions to the rural villages and opportunities for gender equality and empowerment. The involved cultural lag or the race between the material culture and non-material culture remain attractive to study the geneses of social change in human group. Transnational communities are not the reality of the receiving country only. Transnationalism has also become the reality of sending communities. The study shows how much this rural sending community transcends the socio economic and cultural boundaries and demographic features of the surrounding due to the labour migration. Demographic features are deeply affected by the labour drain, which will lead to the continuation of change in the rural life in so many aspects. As the American anthropologist, George Murdock says, "family is the smallest but the building unit of any society" any change in that small but building block of the society will change the entire social structure and relation of authority in the society. Therefore, the premise is this pattern of mobility of rural women may lead to shift from a strong patriarchal society to a more passive patriarchal or even matriarchal society in the long run. In other words, the nature of authority relationship will be impacted by mobility of women by changing their economic status and access to resources. 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