Socially Constructed Scarcity on Lake Victoria, Tanzania Table of Contents: 1. Introduction…………………………………………………………………... 2 2. Literature Review. Development Theory. The Concept of Socially Constructed Scarcity……………………………….. 4 3. The Introduction of the Nile Perch: First Wave of Socially Constructing Scarcity……………………………………………………………………….16 4. Export Promotion: Second Wave of Socially Constructing Scarcity…………24 5. Consequences on the Local Communities…………………………………...32 6. Aid Agency: Perpetuating Scarcity………………………………………….40 7. The Big Picture………………………………………………………………46 8. Conclusions………………………………………………………………….54 9. Bibliography…………………………………………………………………61 1 1. Introduction Many times, when we talk about poverty and starvation, we talk about them as caused by the physical scarcity of natural resources, which are not sufficient to meet the needs of the people, especially given the constant increase in population at the global level. In the case of the riparian communities on Lake Victoria in Tanzania, extreme poverty and starvation are usually attributed to the lack of sufficient resources in the country, as Tanzania is one of the poorest states in the world. However, these people live next to a lake that has been a satisfactory source of nutrition for centuries, and it is only in the last half of century that the resources it yields have started being considered scarce. In this thesis, I will oppose to this way of viewing scarcity one that is closer to Amartya Sen’s proposal of shifting the discussion of scarcity from emphasizing a general absence of resources for the growing world population (a Malthusian type of argument), to focusing on the distribution of these resources. To use Sen’s words, “starvation is the characteristic of some people not having enough food to eat, it is not the characteristic of there not being enough food to eat.”1 This thesis will show that the scarcity of resources on Lake Victoria is not physical, but rather that it has been socially constructed through specific human interventions. The three main steps in this process are: the introduction of the Nile perch by the British colonists; the massive promotion of export activities by the Tanzanian post-colonial governments, as a response to both internal determinants and the economic conditionalities imposed on the country through the Structural Adjustment Plans of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund; and finally, the activities of the aid agencies in the area, aimed at upgrading artisanal fishing to 1 Amartya Sen, Poverty and Famines: an Essay on Entitlement and Deprivation (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1991): 1. 2 more technological procedures. Scarcity on the shores of the lake is manifested at two levels: as regards the fish resources currently available for extraction, and as regards the incomes of the riparian population and food security in the region. The process of social construction of scarcity was possible because of the ideological domination of economist thinking and liberal economics, which informed the colonial decision to introduce the Nile perch in order to increase the yields of the lake, the export-oriented national economic strategies of Tanzania, and the development strategies promoted by the international financial institutions and aid agencies. Economist thinking relies on the assumption that human behavior is and should be driven by the profit motive. This manner of thinking gradually gave birth to a particular understanding of political economy (currently deemed neo-liberal economics), according to which national economies should be focused on gaining from international trade, through opening up to the competition of world markets and promoting export activities. Such economic thinking was further supported by a certain vision of development in the Third World, which argued for the modernization of these countries at all costs. This means that Third World countries deemed underdeveloped should be brought to the level of economic and technological development of the Western world through the implementation of specific external prescriptions. The domination of this type of economist thinking is associated with the commodification of nature: what were considered to be the common assets of the community have become material resources for capitalist activities. The consequence of this re-conceptualization of nature is that the rush for profit leads to the overexploitation of natural resources, which, in the absence of external intervention, could have remained self-sustainable. 3 The analysis in this thesis will bring together two different understandings of “socially constructed scarcity.” On the one hand, I will refer to the social construction of scarcity as the sum of specific interventions by actors that led to the creation of scarcity in the region. This reading falls in line with dependency school/ neo-Marxist theories arguing that actors from the core take advantage of the periphery, and increase their own well-being at the cost of creating or aggravating scarcity in the Third World. On the other hand, the social construction of scarcity means the creation and dissemination of a specific understanding of scarcity, as natural and unavoidable in a world of limited resources and unlimited human wants. This interpretation matches constructivist and post-modernist theories explaining how the paradigms of thought that we use can determine and even impose specific behaviors. Showing that, in the case of Lake Victoria, scarcity has been socially constructed is essential for the process of solving the problem of scarcity. Such a solution requires the re-conceptualization of the resources of the lake as a common good that should belong to the local community, linked to the acknowledgement of the basic right of all human beings to adequate food and water. 2. Literature Review. Development Theory. Socially Constructed Scarcity. The topic discussed in this paper belongs to the larger body of literature on development in the Third World. This type of literature is closely connected to the practice of development, as the national governments and the international organizations rely heavily on advice coming from the academic and scientific communities in constructing their policy recommendations. The main contention within development studies takes place between the modernization school, dominated by what Hirschman would call the monoeconomics and mutual benefit claims, and the neo-Marxist school, which rejects both these 4 claims.2 The modernization school (a central name here is Rostow) is usually associated with a liberal view on economics (classical liberal and neo-liberal economics), and states that all developing countries have to go through the same development process as the countries of North America and Western Europe. According to this body of literature, the African states, including Tanzania, should closely obey to the recommendations of such international bodies as the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, which will provide them with the most appropriate general guidelines on how to proceed on the route towards economic growth. Development through modernization usually entails such measures as opening up the economy to international trade, welcoming foreign investors, and promoting exports, combined with a retreat of the state from the economic sphere as a part of a general trend towards the deregulation and the privatization of this sector (with the neo-liberals, there is more acknowledgement for the important role of the state, but generally governmental intervention is related to the creation of the proper conditions for the smooth functioning of the market). The opposing trend in development studies is the dependency school (mainly developed by Latin-American authors starting with Raoul Prebisch), which argues that the rich countries are able to enjoy such a high degree of development because they are taking advantage of their position within the world economic system at the expense of the poorer countries. Because of this, it is unlikely that the underdeveloped countries will be allowed to (the question of whether they should do so is left aside for now) follow the same path towards development. 2 Albert O. Hirschman, Essays in Trespassing Economics to Politics and Beyond, Chapter 1 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1981). As Hirschman explains, the monoeconomics claim means that the different economies in the world function according to the same principles and can evolve according to similar patterns; the mutual benefit claim means that both the core and the periphery will benefit from the economic interconnections between them. 5 One of the main authors belonging to this body of literature is Immanuel Wallerstein, the creator of the world-systems theory.3 Wallerstein can be easily affiliated with the dependency school, given that one of his main goals is to deny the possibility that the underdeveloped states will be able to pursue the same development path as the rich ones. This is not possible, Wallerstein argues, because, at the formation of the current world economic system (world capitalism, which has been in place since the 16th century, but under its current form, of consolidated industrial capitalism, only since the 19th century), certain countries were forced into a peripheral position which they now find difficult to alter. Once these countries were pushed into a peripheral role, they started being taken advantage of by the core countries, which had an interest in perpetuating this structure of the international system. This does not mean, however, that it is impossible for these countries to escape their peripheral status, but this is not as easy as the modernization theorists claim, nor is there a single route that they can follow in order to improve their condition. Other authors writing along the lines of Wallerstein are Cardoso and Faletto,4 whose main question is whether it is possible for a country that is dependent in the international system (a former colony, for example, that is now finding itself in the position of being dependent on foreign aid or investment, and which has to adhere to the conditional ties imposed by the international organizations) to experience development with dependency. Other theorists were conditioning development on the achievement of self-reliance firstly, but Cardoso and Faletto are breaking away from 3 I.M. Wallerstein, The Capitalist World Economy: Essays (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1979). 4 F.H. Cardoso and E. Faletto, Dependency and Development in Latin America (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1979). 6 this line of thought, asserting that it is important for each country to find its own path to development, given the specific determinations to which it is subjected. Wallerstein, Cardoso and Faletto propose strategies for underdeveloped countries to improve their status in the world economy. Neither of these authors looks at the countries as black boxes, acting in a unified manner (as the modernization theorists do). While Wallerstein rejects the whole idea of looking at the state as a unit of analysis, Cardoso and Faletto insist that in order to evaluate the direction of development of a certain state, we have to pay attention to cues coming from both the international environment and domestic actors. The latter authors stress the idea of taking a more sociological perspective, of paying attention to the particularities of a country in terms of its history and political organization, for instance. Although the modernization school has been almost completely dismissed within development theory, it remains dominant in the thinking of politicians. The dependency school has found appeal with decision-makers in the Second and Third World. Especially leaders from Latin American states are becoming more and more vocal in invoking these types of arguments. However, the thinking of decision-makers in Europe and North America is still dominated to a large extent by the modernization school, which they promote in the international organizations dealing with the development of the Third World (the International Monetary Fund IMF, the World Bank WB) and with the functioning of the international economy (the World Trade Organization WTO). The advocates of dependency theory have become stronger though, and some of their arguments are starting to leave their mark in the new tendencies of reformation of some of these organizations. An important example is the attempt of the World Bank to answer the strong criticisms against its recommendations, coming 7 from both outside and inside the organization.5 The new trend within the WB is to recommend a mix of economic and political reforms, aimed at strengthening the local institutions in order to sustain the pressures of opening up the economy. The WB is also trying to find more particularized and context-based solutions to the local problems. The new claim of the WB is that it is working together with the local civil society and using local knowledge when designing and implementing development strategies. This shift in the WB can also be read as an attempt to incorporate the most recent trend in development thought, namely “alternative development.” For the advocates of alternative development, the most important elements to consider are the provision of basic human rights and the achievement of sustainable development (environmental care being a central component of this). While the mainstream modernization theory sets economic growth as the ultimate end, to be reached even at the expense of local communities and the environment, alternative development theories consider economic growth merely as one of the means to ensure basic rights and environmental sustainability. Alternative development focuses on “how to empower the social forces engaged in collective action in defense of livelihood, rights and social justice, such as social movements, civil society and NGOs, environmental and grassroots organizations.”6 A new body is emerging within the development literature, however, that seeks to represent a challenge to all development theories. It comes from the constructivist and post-modernist branches of international relations and it challenges 5 Perhaps one of the most listened to critics of the WB is Joseph Stiglitz, former Chief Economist at the WB. In his book, “Globalization and Its Discontents,” he argues that the recommendations of the WB have failed because they were general recipes for modernization that did not pay attention to local specificities, nor tried to find a proper time and pace for the proposed reforms. Joseph Stiglitz, Globalization and Its Discontents (New York: Palgrave and MacMillan, 2002). 8 the idea of development as a whole. The constructivists and post-modernists argue that the promoters of development discourses (whether they argue for modernization or for local, particular routes to development) are wrong in their basic assumption, that is, that the Third World countries are underdeveloped and that it is desirable to make them resemble Western, developed societies more. Coming from a tradition of discourse analysis stemming mainly from Foucault, these thinkers argue that the dichotomy between developed and underdeveloped countries is artificial, as is the notion of a process of development leading the Third World countries to a fate more similar to that of the Western world. These concepts, while they may provide inappropriate descriptions of the state of affairs, have become so ingrained in the collective psyche that they are perceived as inevitable features of reality. Closely linked to the idea of development is the notion of scarcity, which is equally controversial in the literature in spite of its apparent simplicity. Given the contentious nature of this term, it seems almost impossible to provide a definition of scarcity at this point. However, what scarcity stands for in this paper is a lack of sufficient resources: e.g., not enough resources in a lake to feed the entire community, not enough money for a family to buy food. An important debate about scarcity is whether it is natural and unavoidable, meaning that the resources that nature can offer to humanity are limited and there is nothing people can do about it, or it is a result of the inequitable distribution of the existing resources, which would be enough to cover for the basic needs of the people if greed did not come in the way. It can be difficult to perfectly match the different trends in development thought to the abovementioned understandings of scarcity. Still, some meeting points between the two categorizations can be noticed. The modernization school of 6 “Politics of Alternative Development.” Institute for Social Studies. http://www.iss.nl/navFrame/frame2.html?content=/WEB1/WebNews/index.jsp. 9 development would typically make the argument that there are simply not enough resources out there to satisfy the needs of all individuals. A famous argument that can be linked to this direction is the Malthusian proposition that nature simply cannot yield enough resources to feed the needs of an exponentially increasing population.7 This type of argument, defining scarcity as a natural phenomenon, is associated with the positivist/ realist approach to international relations. Most economists also adhere to this tradition, by assuming that both limited resources and unlimited human wants, the combination of which lies at the root of scarcity, belong to the state of nature. According to this perspective, the problems of scarcity can be alleviated through economic growth, increased investment and production, technological upgrading, all of which will be conducive to an increase in the yield of natural resources. The answer provided by such thinkers is that, since one of the two dimensions leading to scarcity must be tackled, and the unlimited human wants are a given, the answer to scarcity is to exploit the existing resources more efficiently. Connected to this is the idea that “traditional” resource exploitation is inefficient and results from lack of knowledge and a lower level of civilization. All the measures recommended under the economist frame are deemed “development,” that is, that Third World countries should adopt the institutions, regulations and practices of the Western world as the only means of improving their lot. The dependency school theorists, on the other hand, would argue that scarcity is not so much a result of the limited resources, but of their unequal and unfair distribution. It is those in power that have access to the resources, because of their position in the structure of society. On this point, dependency school thinkers meet the constructivists and post-modernists, and their common view on scarcity can be 7 Thomas Robert Malthus, An Essay on the Principle of Population (New York: Oxford University Press, 1993). 10 summarized by the following position expressed by E. Carr, a leading constructivist scholar: “Despite broad food shortages, the cause of food insecurity was not the lack of food in a given place. Rather, it was influenced by access and production, both of which related to social roles and status.”8 This quote makes clear that the schools of thought mentioned above are not to be kept absolutely separate, that there are interconnections and dialogue among them, which can only be beneficial to the grasping of the issues under discussion. The distinction between the neo-Marxist and the constructivist/ post-modernist views on scarcity can be found in the emphasis that the former place on the intentional imposition of a particular world vision and practices by the stronger actors on the weaker ones, as opposed to the latter putting more stress on the structural creation of a prevalent interpretation. Thus far, constructivism and post-modernism have been lumped together because of their shared view that resources are not scarce necessarily because of the exhaustibility of nature, but because of the functioning of the world system, which grants more resource access to some categories of society while excluding other groups. In seeing scarcity as a socially constructed phenomenon, these schools challenge the mainstream view promoted by the positivists/ realists/ economists. In explaining the roots of scarcity, post-modernist thinkers make the argument that established discourses are instrumental in perpetuating the existing social structure and relationships of power. M. DuBois is one of the post-modernist thinkers following the framework of power and discourse analysis created by Foucault. According to him, Development is the process that has as its goal the restructuring of the behaviors and practices of individuals and populations and the introduction of new ones. To what end? Ostensibly, to increase economic productivity, the wealth of the nation, the level of health and 8 Edward Carr, “Postmodern Conceptualizations, Modernist Applications: Rethinking the Role of Society in Food Security,” Food Policy 31(1) (February 2006): 14-29. 11 education of the people--in short, to increase public welfare. Beneath the surface of activity, however, one can discern the actions of biopolitics and disciplinary power harnessing the energy of the social body and molding individual bodies into subjects...The aim of the disciplinary power is to increase, in terms of economic utility, the forces of the body and diminish the same forces in reference to rebellion and non-conformity.9 More specifically, this disciplinary power is presented as a means of perpetuating the capitalist system: “In order to maintain production and growth, capitalism needs a sufficient supply of labor in terms of both numbers and health; actually, a surplus is needed in order to preserve low wages.”10 While DuBois focuses on the requirements placed by capitalism and its associated structures of power (and discourse) on the nature of the production process and the profile of labor, other thinkers even question the basic assumption of economist thinking, namely that human wants are naturally limitless. Such an argument is made by Lakshman Yapa, who claims that it is the functioning of the dominant capitalist system that requires for the continuous creation of needs (his argument follows closely the thinking of Marx on artificially created needs).11 In Yapa’s words, “The endless construction of need is an essential social relation of capitalist production because economic growth depends on the production of new goods for new markets.”12 The basic argument of the post-modernists can be summarized as follows: power and knowledge are inter-connected. Ever since the capitalist system emerged, the actors favored by the functioning of this system have been interested in its perpetuation, which they can do through establishing specific official discourses (both at the political and scientific level), discourses that are then taken as the generally 9 Michel DuBois, “The Governance of the Third World: A Foucauldian Perspective on Power,” Alternatives (1991): 10. 10 Idem 9: 12. 11 Most of the post-modern thinkers draw heavily on Marxist thought in their analysis of the capitalist system. 12 accepted and unchangeable truth. The fact that certain discourses are dominant does not imply that they are truthful, but merely that they are promoted by forces that are powerful and able to impose them. These discourses, in their turn, help to perpetuate the power position of those same forces that created and disseminated them (for this very purpose). Within the current functioning of the capitalist world, it is specific actors that are winning: international corporations and Western countries (companies and consumers) are generally acknowledged as such. They are also the ones to advance certain development discourses. It is Western governments, academia, nongovernmental organizations, aid agencies, and Western-dominated international organizations that construct the development discourse. Behind these actors though, it is the needs of perpetually expanding capitalism that emphasize this type of development discourse in order to create favorable conditions for the functioning of the system. While this outline may be a simplification of the arguments of the postmodern critics of development, it does show the importance given by these thinkers on power exercised through discourse. Arturo Escobar is an important author describing development theory as a discourse of the powerful actors in the international system. His arguments also emphasize the link between post-modern thinking on development (post-development theories) and dependency school theories. The post-modernist view described above may be considered slightly tendentious, and constructivist thinkers pay attention to such criticisms when they define their own position as a moderate one between the positivists/realists and the post-modernist scholars of international relations. Rather than focusing, like the positivists, on the existence of an objective reality and the impact it has on human 12 Laksham Yapa, “What Causes Poverty? A Postmodern View,” Annals of the Association of American Geographers 86(4) (1996): 707-728. 13 thought, or, like the post-modernists, on the manner in which reality is inevitably altered by discourse and relationships of power, the constructivists trail the middle ground by studying “the manner in which the material world shapes and is shaped by human action and interaction, depending on dynamic normative and epistemic interpretations of the material world.”13 An important constructivist, Emanuel Adler explains that, Constructivism shows that even our most enduring institutions are based on collective understandings; that they are reified structures that were once upon a time conceived ex nihilo by human consciousness; and that these understandings were subsequently diffused and consolidated until they were taken for granted. Moreover, constructivists believe that the human capacity for reflection or learning has its greatest impact on the manner in which individuals and social actors attach meaning to the material world and cognitively frame the world they know, experience and understand. Thus collective understandings provide people with reasons why things are as they are and indications as to how they should use their material abilities and power.14 The notion of socially constructed scarcity as used in this thesis seeks to combine the dependency school interpretation of scarcity with the constructivist/ post-modernist reading. This discussion of socially constructed scarcity of the resources of Lake Victoria, Tanzania, draws upon a theoretical framework introduced by Federico Aguilera-Klink, Eduardo Perez-Moriana and Juan Sanchez-Garcia in their article “The Social Construction of Scarcity. The Case of Water in Tenerife (Canary Islands).” The authors stress that they are not talking about social construction only in the sense of pure discourse creation. Rather, what they have in mind is a more complex phenomenon of the existing resources being acted upon by social forces which, in their turn, are determined by and make use of the prevalent discourse on resource-use (this discourse too is resulted from a specific dominant 13 Emanuel Adler, “Seizing the Middle Ground: Constructivism in World Politics,” European Journal of International Relations 3(3) (1997): 319-363. 14 ideology, namely economic liberalism as the basis for capitalism). To quote the authors, “water scarcity in Tenerife is not physical or natural, but rather socially constructed (socially constructed scarcity means that the scarcity has more to do with the application of a particular rationale that renders some conducts and social processes legitimate).”15 In their article about water scarcity, these authors challenge the view that water scarcity in Tenerife is physical or natural. Rather, they show how water scarcity was gradually socially constructed from a starting point where water was so abundant that it represented the main reason for the colonization of the island (the Spanish conquered and colonized the island in the 15th century because it had the water resources needed for cash crops). The turning point in this process, the authors argue, was the transformation in the perception of water, from an ecosocial asset/ common property to a commodity/ capital asset. This re-conceptualization came together with economist thinking, brought about by Enlightenment, and the associated modernization paradigm. As the authors explain, It was against this backdrop that the ideas of the Enlightenment gained ground. These may be summed up as the glorification of private interests as the sole motor and destiny of all economic activity, and the need for unrestricted competition by economic and social agents as the most adequate form of resource allocation.16 Once water was commodified, a rush for the capture and appropriation of water resources ensued, which in time led to their over-exploitation. Scarcity was thus created from a situation of abundance and natural self-sustainability. 14 Idem 13. Federico Aguilera-Klink, Eduardo Perez-Moriana, Juan Sanchez-Garcia, “The Social Construction of Scarcity. The Case of Water in Tenerife (Canary Islands),” Ecological Economics 34(2) (2000): 233245. 16 Idem 15. 15 15 This thesis will make a similar argument about the social creation of scarcity in the riparian regions of Lake Victoria. It will describe the process of turning a selfsustainable system (a biologically self-sustainable lake, which is also the source of sufficient water and nutrition for the inhabitants of the riparian communities) into a region faced with scarcity manifested at two levels: biological scarcity of the lake expressed in the over-exhaustion of its resources; and diminishing incomes and starvation among the members of the riparian communities. 3. Lake Victoria and the Nile Perch Lake Victoria is the world’s largest tropical lake. Three countries share its waters: Tanzania 51%, Uganda 43%, and Kenya 6% (the shores of the lake are situated in these three countries and they all use its resources).17 Before the 1970s, the fish population of the lake was quite diverse, including more than 400 species, which were mostly harvested by artisanal fishers from the littoral regions. The ecosystem of the lake began to transform in the 1950s, when the piscivorous Nile perch (Lates niloticus), the omnivorous Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus), and the sardine like dagaa (Rastrineobola argentea) were introduced from Lake Albert and Lake Turkana.18 Traditional Fishing on Lake Victoria The Nile perch was introduced in the lake in the 1950s, but it was not until the late 1970s that the changes in the ecosystem of the lake (and consequent alterations in the fishing and commercializing patterns) brought about by this introduction became glaringly obvious. Until the introduction of the new species, fishing was done through artisanal techniques, for purposes of subsistence and commercializing on the local 17 James F. Kitchell, Daniel E. Schindler, Richard Ogutu-Ohwayo, Peter N. Reinthal, “The Nile Perch in Lake Victoria: Interactions between Predation and Fisheries,” Ecological Applications, The Ecological Society of America (1997): 650-675. 18 Idem 17. 16 market.19 This type of small-scale fishing was a full time activity for most of the fishermen, with few others using it only as a secondary, seasonal source of income, in addition to agriculture.20 Furthermore, fishing in the lake was done in a fairly equitable manner, as most fishermen owned at most one canoe and just the number of nets they could deploy themselves: “The ownership pattern was thus very decentralized and the income from the lake was distributed fairly evenly among the fishermen.”21 Processing and trading for the local markets was also done by local agents. Women from the communities next to the lake, who were not allowed to go out at sea for fishing, were usually in charge of these activities, thus providing supplementary income for their households. They were either selling the fish fresh, or processing it (sun-drying or smoking it) for commerce in more remote areas. There was a certain number of professional fishmongers buying the fish and transporting it to areas inaccessible to the women, but they usually developed personal relationships with the fishermen based on continuity and trust.22 Overall, the riparian communities were themselves in charge of the management of the resources of the lake. There was not much outside interference: external commercial agents were not highly interested in the lake at that point; and the government, while it had introduced some regulations on the activities on the lake, 19 “Cross-border Fishing and Fish Trade on Lake Victoria,” IUCN/LVFO Socio-economics of the Lake Victoria Fisheries Phase II, Fisheries Management Series 1 (July 2004). 20 E.G. Jansen, “Rich Fisheries—Poor Fisherfolk. Some Preliminary Observations about the Effects of Trade and Aid in the Lake Victoria Fisheries,” Socio-economics of the Nile Perch Fishery on Lake Victoria, Report No.1 (Nairobi: IUCN-EARO, 1997). 21 E.G. Jansen, “The Fishing Population in the Kenyan Part of Lake Victoria. Report to the East African Freshwater Fisheries Research,” Department of Social Anthropology, University of Bergen (1973). 22 E.G. Jansen, “Rich Fisheries—Poor Fisherfolk. Some Preliminary Observations about the Effects of Trade and Aid in the Lake Victoria Fisheries,” Socio-economics of the Nile Perch Fishery on Lake Victoria, Report No.1 (Nairobi: IUCN-EARO, 1997). 17 was not too keen on enforcing them and left this part to the local communities, who had better local knowledge and more effective coercive means. The Introduction of the Nile Perch All of this changed gradually after the introduction of the Nile perch. According to most accounts, the Nile perch was brought to Lake Victoria by the British colonial government, in order to increase the productivity of the lake and expand commercial fishing.23 The desired effect was achieved: “Nile perch and tilapia populations grew slowly at first, then increased exponentially during the 1970s through the 1980s. Major fisheries developed in concert with the increase of Nile perch as an improved distribution system linked new processing firms to foreign markets. Total yields climbed to 4 times the maximum of previous fisheries for native species.”24 The British colonial presence around Lake Victoria in Tanzania was largely aimed at deriving profits from commercial activity. They were exploiting the forests around the lake and draining its watershed in order to plant cash crops such as coffee, tea, sugar, and tobacco.25 The colonists also started considering fishing in the lake as another possible source of income. By the 1950s, it became clear that the lake would not yield too much profit unless restocked, which the colonists did, against the warnings of ecologists, by bringing in the Nile perch and tilapia to replace the small, bony endemic cichlids.26 The introduction of these species has severely altered the ecosystem of the lake, causing ecological problems. The predatory species introduced have driven more 23 William Beinart, “African History and Environmental History,” African Affairs (2000): 269-302. Idem 23. 25 A. Kent MacDougal, “Lake Victoria: Casualty of Capitalism,” Monthly Review (December 2001). http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1132/is_7_53/ai_80965678 26 Idem 25. 24 18 than 300 local species (cichlid) to extinction.27 The lake has been transformed from a “multi-species lake to one in which there are only three major, commercially important species: Nile perch, one species of tilapia, and the sardine-like dagaa.”28 Since the introduction of the Nile perch, the accelerated decline in diversity has altered the food web structure and caused ecological changes due largely to human actions, which have profound socio-economic effects. The continuing degradation of Lake Victoria’s ecological functions has serious long-term consequences for the ecosystem services it provides and may threaten social welfare in the different countries bordering its shores.29 The Introduction of the Nile Perch—First Wave of Socially Constructing Scarcity The introduction of the Nile perch in the lake represents the first step in the process of social creation of scarcity. In the case of fisheries in Lake Victoria, scarcity can be discussed at two main levels. One refers to the natural resources of the lake, namely the fish population that represents the basis of nutrition for the riparian communities (fish is a high-protein aliment, and eating it a couple of times a week can ensure the minimum amount of nutrients necessary to avoid starvation). The other level is linked to fish as a source of income for the riparian communities, whose members make their subsistence through fishing and commercializing the fish. 1. Scarcity of Lake Resources: Had the Nile perch not been introduced, the ecosystem of the lake could have remained largely unchanged and self-sustainable. The threat to the self-sustainability of the lake came from two directions. One is the purely biological aspect of the relationship between the species. The Nile perch is a large, predatory fish, which started feeding on the endemic species, thus gradually eliminating some of them. In addition, when the Nile perch could no longer find 27 Lates niloticus, Animal Diversity Web, University of Michigan Museum of Zoology, http://animaldiversity.ummz.umich.edu/site/accounts/information/Lates_niloticus.html. 28 Douglas C. Wilson, “Fisheries Management on Lake Victoria, Tanzania,” http://africa.msu.edu/PLEA/Asapap1.PDF. 29 William Beinart, “African History and Environmental History,” African Affairs (2000): 269-302. 19 enough sources of food outside of its species, it began feeding on its own, with the larger fish eating the smaller ones or the young.30 As a result, the number of species in the lake was reduced, and the fish population was dominated by large specimens. In this way, a lake with numerous species of fish cohabiting in biological equilibrium was turned into a realm inhabited by few species for which the continuation of a balanced coexistence is under question. While this seems to be a case of natural scarcity, using this concept would indicate a misperception. The biological scarcity of the fish resources of the lake is a result of human intervention (external to the ecosystem of the lake) and not a natural outcome of the biological processes taking place in the ecosystem. Had the Nile perch and the other two species not been introduced by the colonists, the biological structure of the lake could have remained largely unaltered. The self-sustainability of Lake Victoria was threatened not only by the nature of the reproduction of the fish, but also by the human behaviors associated with the introduction of the Nile perch. As stated above, the three species were brought in for commercial interests, in order to make the lake more profitable. The Nile perch is a “large, white, meaty fish which finds a ready international market, and an industrial processing and export industry grew up around the lake during the 1980s.”31 The consequence of such a booming fishing, processing and exporting industry growing on the shores of the lake was the phenomenon of over-fishing, or over-drawing of the resources of the lake. Many factors combined to create such a high stimulus for overfishing and most of them will be discussed in the next section of the thesis. At this point, it is enough to state that it is widely acknowledged that, ever since the 1980s, 30 Lates niloticus, Animal Diversity Web, University of Michigan Museum of Zoology, http://animaldiversity.ummz.umich.edu/site/accounts/information/Lates_niloticus.html. 31 A. Kent MacDougal, “Lake Victoria: Casualty of Capitalism,” Monthly Review (December 2001). http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1132/is_7_53/ai_80965678 20 Lake Victoria was over-fished. D. Wilson, a researcher for PLEA, the Program on the Lakes of East Africa of the University of Michigan,32 “cautiously” concludes that there has consistently been over-fishing of the lake: Recent estimates of Nile perch maximum sustainable yield (MSY) are in the 300,000 metric ton range for the whole lake (Pitcher and Bundy 1995). The quite rough official statistics, which report that the catch in the Tanzanian half of the lake fluctuated between 146,000 and 213,000 tons between 1988 and 1993 (CIFA 1994), suggest some overfishing. (…) Pitcher and Bundy, however, review the data available for the whole lake, including Kenya and Uganda where greater resources are used in gathering fisheries statistics, and cautiously conclude that the stock is overexploited.33 Over-fishing went hand in hand with the gradual depletion of the resources of the lake. The best indicator of the depletion of the lake is the diminishing of the catch: “In recent years, however, signs of a stagnation of total Nile perch catch have been observed, against an increased fishing effort.”34 The decrease in catchments of fish has been documented as a sign of over-fishing by most researchers, from biologists studying fisheries in Lake Victoria,35 to anthropologists conducting interviews with fishermen.36 There is a clear-cut causal link between the introduction of the three species, the increased interest for taking advantage of the novel resources of the lake, and the decrease of available resources. The logic of this process is one of the dimensions of the social creation of scarcity on the lake. 32 Representing one of the more moderate voices in this debate. D. Wilson, M. Medard, C.K. Harris, D.S. Wiley, “The Implications for Participatory Fisheries Management of Intensified Commercialization on Lake Victoria,” Rural Sociology 64(4) (1999). Copy of article provided by authors. 34 “Cross-border Fishing and Fish Trade on Lake Victoria,” IUCN/LVFO Socio-economics of the Lake Victoria Fisheries Phase II, Fisheries Management Series 1 (July 2004). 35 Richard O. Abila, “Fish Trade and Food Security: Are They Reconcilable in Lake Victoria?” Kenya Marine Fisheries Research Institute. http://www.fao.org/documents/show_cdr.asp?url_file=/DOCREP/006/Y4961E/y4961e0d.htm 36 Marja Liisa Swantz, “Grassroots Strategies and Directed Development in Tanzania: the Case of the Fishing Sector,” Wider Working Papers, World Institute for Development Economics, Research of the United Nations University (August 1989). 33 21 2. Scarcity as Impoverishment of the Local Population: The introduction of the Nile perch can be equated with the social construction of scarcity at another level too, namely the increase in the level of poverty of the local population. A more detailed analysis of the consequences on the riparian population will be included in one of the following chapters of this thesis. However, it is important to state at this point that the effects on the local communities have not been uniform. There are both winners and losers from the changing nature of fishing on the lake.37 At the level of the local communities, the winners are the fishers whose access to the resources of the lake has not been restricted, because their incomes have risen over the years: “incomes from the fisheries have grown substantially. Not only has the industry created thousands of jobs on the lake shore, the artisanal fishers who continue to supply the raw product from the lake to the landing sites have experienced a rise in the price for fish.”38 On the other hand, many fishermen have been excluded from the trade, mainly the poorer ones who could not afford to improve their gear in order to adapt it to the changing nature of the catch. Even for the ones left in the trade, the selling of the fish has become a rougher trade, as the negotiations are less and less conducted by local fishmongers, but by the agents of the factories (the different factories usually hold monopolies over the beaches and, in many of the villages, the fishers have only one agent to deal with, which severely limits their bargaining power).39 As most of the fish is processed and exported, the women that used to be in charge of the processing and commercializing of the fish on the local markets were eliminated from the business too. Finally, the fish itself is no longer 37 In an evaluations of gains and losses for the local communities, I do not take into consideration the gains accrued by the industrial processors. While it is sure they have gained considerably from the trade, they are not members of the local communities. 38 “Cross-border Fishing and Fish Trade on Lake Victoria,” IUCN/LVFO Socio-economics of the Lake Victoria Fisheries Phase II, Fisheries Management Series 1 (July 2004). 39 Idem 38. 22 available for the domestic markets, or it has become too expensive for the Tanzanians living on the shores of the lake. Thus, these people are denied one of the most valuable sources of protein and some are in danger of starvation. Overall, many authors make the claim that, for the local populations, the introduction of these species brought more harm than good: “There are sufficient indications that the large population groups that have depended on the traditional fisheries in the past, are losing out. (…) The export-oriented fisheries is a threat both with regard to employment and food security for millions of poor people in East Africa.”40 This strong claim will be further substantiated and discussed in the following chapters of the thesis. An Alternative Account Before moving on with the discussion, it is important to mention that there exists an alternative account of the introduction of the Nile perch in the lake. This account has not been documented in the literature, and it does not invalidate the theory of socially constructed scarcity proposed in this paper. In the course of my research about the introduction of the species in the lake, I have been in touch with D. Wilson, a researcher who has conducted extensive work on fisheries in the Tanzanian parts of Lake Victoria. As I have had some difficulties with finding the specific narrative for the bringing of the Nile perch to the lake, I turned to him with this question, to which he replied that he was not surprised that I could not document that precisely, as most authors call the introduction of the species “mysterious,” or assign the responsibility to the British authorities, because of the mere fact that they were technically in charge of the management of the lake at the moment. 40 E.G. Jansen, “Rich Fisheries—Poor Fisherfolk. Some Preliminary Observations about the Effects of Trade and Aid in the Lake Victoria Fisheries,” Socio-economics of the Nile Perch Fishery on Lake Victoria, Report No.1 (Nairobi: IUCN-EARO, 1997). 23 According to Wilson, during the 1950s, there was a debate in the colonial fisheries services in East Africa about whether to introduce the Nile perch or not. Supposedly, the reason why the insertion of the Nile perch was proposed in the first place was for sports fishing, not for commercial reasons. When the authorities rejected the proposal, a disgruntled individual took it upon himself to introduce the Nile perch. This account is not encountered in the literature and Wilson himself did not include it in his own writings. As he explained to me, I got the fact that the British authorities, after some debate, had actually decided against the introduction by reading the debates in the annual reports of the East African Fisheries Research Organization from the 1950s. That it was one disgruntled loser of that debate who actually made the introduction was from a conference I attended in the early 90s where a recent letter to the editor was passed around from a man who said that the introduction was not such a big mystery to him, he had been there as a helper to a British fisheries officer while he was carrying out the introduction. Of course there could have been more than one introduction. Or this person may not be a reliable source.41 Most of the literature on fisheries in Tanzania describes the introduction of the Nile perch as motivated by commercial reasons though. I do not have enough resources at my disposal to verify which of the accounts is true. Therefore, I have decided to include both. The most important thing to be considered, however, is that no matter which explanation is valid, it does not contradict the theory of the social construction of scarcity. Whether it was done for commercial reasons or in the interest of leisure activities, the insertion of the Nile perch was an artificial act that had the consequences described above. It affected the ecosystem of the lake and the nature of fishing and commercial activities around the lake in such a way as to produce scarcity. It was not a natural phenomenon, but it was the result of external, human intervention. These two elements combine to make the argument that the 41 Personal communication with Prof. D. Wilson. 24 introduction of the Nile perch represents the first step in the social creation of scarcity in Lake Victoria. 4. Export Promotion While the introduction of the Nile perch represents the beginning of the process of social construction of scarcity, as the previous chapter shows, scarcity around Lake Victoria would not have become so severe without further actions of the Tanzanian government, the processing and exporting companies, and the international organizations. In this chapter, I will argue that the export promotion strategies of the Tanzanian post-colonial government, especially starting with the 1980s, have been instrumental in manufacturing scarcity in the area. The four main goals of the Tanzanian (as well and Ugandan and Kenyan) national fisheries policy at the moment are: 1. First and foremost, to increase per capita consumption of fish through production of low cost high protein food (fish); 2. Secondly, increase employment opportunities in the country through fishing, fish processing and fish trade; 3. Thirdly, to enhance the living conditions of the fishermen and their families by maximizing economic benefits to them. This is achieved through provision of cold storage, fish handling and processing facilities; 4. Fourthly, to maximize export and foreign exchange earning capacity.42 A closer look at how these four goals are implemented emphasizes a contradiction between some of them. Ever since the 1960s, a fish trade industry has been developing on the shores of the lake and it has provided the local communities with significant opportunities of employment (especially by employing fishermen 42 E.G. Jansen, “Rich Fisheries—Poor Fisherfolk. Some Preliminary Observations about the Effects of Trade and Aid in the Lake Victoria Fisheries,” Socio-economics of the Nile Perch Fishery on Lake Victoria, Report No.1 (Nairobi: IUCN-EARO, 1997). 25 and, later on, manual workers for industrial processing).43 This falls in line with the second and last objective and, arguably, with the third one too. On the other hand, the explosion of fish trade has not contributed to better nutrition at cheaper costs for the local population, as stated by the first objective. On the contrary, fish is more expensive, if available at all for the local markets. 44 Ever since the 1980s, the government has been engaged in economic policies whose main goal is the achievement of economic growth through export-promotion: “The Government recognizes the need for a robust high growth to fight the nationwide poverty. Higher (6-8 percent) and sustained growth is necessary. While growth is necessary it is important that it is broad-based and centered on improving the living conditions of the poor.”45 High growth is to be achieved through a particular set of economic policies, that are by now familiar to any student of political economy studying the recommendations that the international economic organizations give to poor countries in search of development: monetary and exchange controls, privatization of public enterprises and government services, opening to world markets, promotion of foreign investors and export activities: “The economic reform programmes that commenced in 1986 have converted the command-based economy into a market one. Trade, exchange rates and interest rates are now fully liberalized. The reform of parastatals has privatised/ divested about half the more than 4000 43 Most processing factories have been located in Uganda and Kenya, rather than Tanzania, throughout this period and Tanzanians have complained on occasion that they could benefit more from the trade if they were not forced to take the fish abroad for processing. 44 Authors agree that there is a contradiction between these goals: "The three governments are very aware that the above mentioned objectives are conflicting and that a balance has to be struck between the first three objectives and the last objective. There is, however, little doubt that it is the fourth objective which has received priority. This objective is also very much in line with national goals of the three East African countries and the objectives of the structural adjustment programs, strongly promoted by the World Bank and the IMF.” E.G. Jansen, “Rich Fisheries—Poor Fisherfolk. Some Preliminary Observations about the Effects of Trade and Aid in the Lake Victoria Fisheries,” Socioeconomics of the Nile Perch Fishery on Lake Victoria, Report No.1 (Nairobi: IUCN-EARO, 1997). 45 “Economic Survey. Economy.” Website of the Tanzanian Government. http://www.tanzania.go.tz/economy.html#Development. 26 parastatals.”46 It is clear that the Tanzanian government has been pursuing a line of economic reforms that is compatible with the modernization theories of development argued, among others, by the WB and IMF. In agreement with these theories, the Tanzanian government has been, ever since the mid-1980s, at the forefront of the promotion of export-led strategies for economic growth. It has been committed to encouraging investment and supporting the fishing/ processing/ exporting firms, measures which are coordinated through the Tanzanian Investment Center in Dar-El-Salaam. Generally, the fishing/ processing/ exporting firms receive tax breaks and other types of concessions in exchange for the foreign direct investment that they bring to the country. For purposes of investment incentives, fish processing on Lake Victoria belongs to two categories of priority sectors of the national economy, namely “Export Processing” and “Natural Resources including fishing.”47 Tanzanian companies whose amount of fixed investment equals at least $100,000 and foreign companies investing more than $300,000 benefit from the following types of incentives: reduced import tariff on project capital items (5% import duty for investment in priority sectors); favorable investment allowances and deductions (capital allowance of 100% on industrial buildings, plant and machinery); deferment of VAT payment on project capital goods; import duty drawbacks on raw materials; zero-rated VAT on goods manufactured for export; up to five years carryover of all business losses against future profits; reasonable corporate tax rates 30% and low withholding tax on loan interest payments; the unrestricted right to transfer outside the country 100% of foreign exchange earned profits and capital; the 46 Idem 45. “Business Page. Investment Incentives. Tanzanian Investment Center.” http://www.tanzaniaembassy.or.jp/english/busines/in_incen.html. 47 27 ease of obtaining other permits such as Residence/ Work Permits, industrial license, trading license, etc.48 This type of measures was one of the main factors leading to the increase of the share of export activities in the structure of Tanzanian economy. Between 2000 and 2004, for instance, the proportion of export activities to the total GDP has grown from 14.4% to 18.6%. In the same period, the GDP itself has increased slightly from $9.1 billion to $10.9 billion.49 Fish exports from Lake Victoria have contributed to this evolution, as exports of fish fillets represent on average about 10% of total export earnings and this proportion is on the increase.50 These strategies aimed at welcoming investment into the economy have consistently helped the fish trade companies to develop over the years. The Tanzanian government’s main justification for pursuing these export-led strategies is the existence of the Structural Adjustment Plans of the WB/IMF. The history of the Tanzanian involvement with these international institutions begins in 1980s, when the country engages in the first structural plan (1986), aimed at: liberalizing the economy along market lines and encouraging both foreign and domestic private investment (…), dismantling state controls and encouraging more participation of the private sector in the economy. The program included a comprehensive package of policies which reduced the budget deficit and improved monetary control, substantially depreciated the overvalued exchange rate, liberalized the trade regime, removed most price controls, eased restrictions on the marketing of food crops, freed interest rates, and initiated a restructuring of the financial sector.51 48 Idem 47. “Tanzania Data Profile.” World Development Indicators database (April 2006). http://devdata.worldbank.org/external/CPProfile.asp?CCODE=TZA&PTYPE=CP. 50 “Tanzanian Economy. Agricultural Sectors. Fishing.” http://www.tptanzania.co.tz/economy_body.html. 51 “Background Note: Tanzania,” Bureau of African Affairs, United States Department of State, March 2006, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2843.htm. 49 28 Tanzania ended up being dependent on the international organizations as a result of a combination of factors. The socialist policies implemented by Nyerere’s government after independence (1962), focusing the economy on agriculture, with farming done in small communities and coordinated by the state, failed to bring about economic self-sufficiency. The world economic crisis in the 1970s brought down the terms of trade for the products exported by the country, and it also weakened the countries that were providing aid to Tanzania, reducing their willingness to sustain the Tanzanian economy. The inability of the country to sustain itself economically in these conditions determined it to approach the IMF in the early 1980s. “The IMF package contained recommendations which Tanzania found difficult to accept. Whereas the applicant envisaged a credit bound to industrial rehabilitation, the Fund set forth to question the country’s economy as a whole.”52 From then onwards, Tanzania has continually had agreements with the IMF, being financially dependent on the institution and on foreign donors and, as a consequence, having to dutifully implement the policy recommendations of the WB/IMF. One of the main economic principles promoted by these institutions has been achieving economic growth and development through trade liberalization and stimulation of exports. These recommendations provide the framework for the actions of the Tanzanian government aimed at supporting the exporting companies (categorized as foreign investors). The country’s situation, however, has not improved throughout the years as a result of this kind of policies. Tanzania is now considered to be a Highly Indebted Poor Country (HIPC). Recent data (2004) provided by the World Bank show that Tanzania is faring slightly worse than the average of the entire sub-Saharan region in terms of quality of life: the percentage of the population below poverty line is 36%; 52 Werner Biermann, Jumanne Wagao, “The Quest for Adjustment: Tanzania and the IMF, 19801986,” African Studies Review, African Studies Association, 1986: 55. 29 life expectancy at birth is 43 years, as opposed to the average for the whole subSaharan region of 46 years; infant mortality is 104/1000 as opposed to 101/1000; child malnutrition defines 29% of the children under the age of 5.53 As this data show, poverty is far from being alleviated in Tanzania through the national economic policies promoted by the government. In addition, while the Tanzanian government (encouraged by the WB/IMF duo) promotes such strategies of growth, there is no longer agreement among the economists that this is the only right way to go. In fact, most economists have come to agree that there are different approaches to economic development, and countries would be better off if they implemented the one matching their economic history, institutional structure and cultural specificity.54 While there is agreement that international trade is the main motor behind the benefits brought by capitalism, it is not necessarily implied that focusing mainly on promotion of exports and letting in foreign investment is the best way to reap the benefits of international trade. Actually, given that the current era of capitalism is characterized by explosive technological development, countries may be better off using more protective strategies. An example of such an argument is the conclusion of an analysis done by Nobel winning economist (formerly working for the World Bank) Joseph Stiglitz together with Bruce Greenwald. According to them, while conventional wisdom claims that trade improves economic efficiency and stimulates growth, a more protective economic strategy is the best way for the economies of the poor countries to reduce the 53 “Tanzania at a Glance.” World Bank Sources of Data. http://devdata.worldbank.org/AAG/tza_aag.pdf. Where data for the entire region is not mentioned it is because it is not included in the quoted WB report. 54 Examples of economists following this line of thinking are: A. Shoenfield (“Modern Capitalism. The Changing Balance of Public and Private Power,” London, Oxford: New York, 1965), P. Gourevich (“Politics in Hard Times. Comparative Responses to International Economic Crises,” Ithaca and London: Cornell University Press, 1986), J.E. Stiglitz (“Globalization and its Discontents,” London: Allen Lane, 2002). 30 technological gap existing between them and the more developed economies, thus allowing them to finally reap some benefits from international trade.55 Second Wave of Socially Constructing Scarcity It is almost impossible to settle whether the support granted to exports has been more detrimental or beneficial. Emphasizing the negative consequences of the development of the fish export industry (as this paper generally does, in line with the view of its author) should not give the impression that it does not make sense for the Tanzanian government to promote investment in the trade. Exporting fish does bring important incomes to the country (an additional point worth discussing here would be the distribution of the income derived from exports, and what proportion of it makes it back to the riparian communities), contributing also to economic growth; the taxes on the activities of these firms bring additional funding for the state budget (once again, the issue is how this money is then deployed by the government); the fish trade industry creates new opportunities for employment and its existence leads to an increase in the personal gains of the employed fishermen; the companies also help build local infrastructure, which they use for their activities, but which is also beneficial to the daily life of the communities. On the other hand, the explosion of the fish trade business was instrumental in causing the over-exploitation of the resources of the lake, raising questions about its long-term sustainability, about the exclusion of certain categories of the local population from the fish-related activities that used to ensure their subsistence, and about the negative consequences for nutrition of the total orientation of the fish products towards external markets rather than domestic ones. It is a central part of the argument of this paper that the intensive promotion of export activities played an 55 Bruce Greenwald, Joseph Stiglitz, Helping Infant Economies Grow: Foundations of Trade Policies for Developing Countries, Columbia University. 31 important role in the social construction of scarcity in the villages next to the lake. Before the introduction of the Nile perch and the consequent development of fish trade, the ecosystem of the lake was self-sustainable and it provided basic nutrition for most of the riparian population, as most of the families had at least one member involved in fishing activities. After external human intervention, scarcity appeared at both the level of natural resources and that of incomes of the population and their food security. These premises lead to the conclusion that scarcity was socially created on the shores of Lake Victoria and that export-led strategies of growth had an important part to play in this process. As described in the section about the first wave of socially constructed scarcity, there are two levels at which scarcity manifests itself in the context of Lake Victoria: one refers to the natural resources of the lake, its sustainability and accessibility of its resources for the riparian populations; another is about fish as a source of income for the riparian communities, whose members make their subsistence through fishing and commercializing the fish. At these two levels, the effects of the introduction of the Nile perch were amplified by the promotion of fish trade activities. In terms of availability of fish in the lake, export promotion has contributed to over-fishing, therefore, to the depletion of the lake of its natural resources. In terms of material well-being of the local communities, the prevalence of processing companies in the trade has led gradually to the exclusion of artisanal fishers and women processors from the trade. These people were thus left without a substantial source of income. Finally, as regards the food safety of the region, the impacts of export support mechanisms are usually evaluated negatively: “fishing effort was noted to have shifted from the capture of domestic market oriented species 32 to export oriented species (…), disturbing the domestic market supply and raising fears about an increasing protein deficit, which already exists in the countryside.”56 The effects of export promotion are much more nuanced and debatable than modernization theories of economic development make it sound. 5. Consequences of the Introduction of the Nile Perch on the Local Population There is much controversy about the effects of the introduction of the Nile perch and the promotion of its export to foreign markets. The evaluation of the consequences of this act vary, depending on the level of analysis, the time period under discussion, and sometimes merely the position of the beholder. The consequences can be evaluated as mostly positive or negative, depending on the actors taken into consideration. To begin with, the actors involved are (starting from top level): the international organizations that have a say in the economic policies of the country, such as the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and the World Trade Organization; the donor countries, such as Britain; other international organizations interested in such issues as health, food security or the environment, such as the World Health Organization, or the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization and other UN bodies; the international aid agencies and their local branches (International Federation of the Red Cross and the Red Crescent, or agencies sponsored by different states, such as Norway or Sweden57); the scientific and academic community; the Tanzanian government, both at the national and local levels; the companies that are in charge of fishing, processing and exporting of fish; the local fishermen and their families; the rest of the members of the local communities who are not involved in the fish trade. The focus of this thesis is to 56 “Integrated Assessment of Trade Liberalization and Trade-Related Policies. A Country Study on Fisheries Sector in Senegal.” United Nations (New York and Geneva, 2002): 35. 57 “Supply Survey on Fish and Fish-Products in Tanzania,” International Trade Center UNCTAD/WTO, July-August 1999, http://www.intrancen.org/sstp/Survey/fish/fishtan.html. 33 discuss the effects of the introduction of the Nile perch at the level of the local communities, both for the fishers and for those who are not a part of the trade. It is generally agreed that, until the 1980s, when the results of the insertions of the three new species became highly visible, the local communities experienced an increase in their level of well being. The Nile perch was even called the “savior” fish. For one thing, the fishermen would be able to fish much larger quantities (the Nile perch is a large species, therefore catching even one specimen can be more commercially effective than spending more time catching the smaller, bonier endemic species; furthermore, this species reproduces faster than the others, so its availability in the lake was larger). In addition, the demand for export of the Nile perch and tilapia exploded, leading to an increase in the price of this merchandise, which translated into higher incomes for the fishers and their families. At this point too, the export and processing firms had not developed to such a large extent (at least in Tanzania, where processing firms established themselves later than in Uganda and Kenya) so as to take over the business of processing from the local communities and to drive most of the fish out of the domestic markets. Overall therefore, the decades up to the 80s were a period when the positive outcomes of the introduction of the three species were prevalent: In the 1980s it was not unusual to catch Nile Perches weighing up to 50 kg. As the fish multiplied, so did the foreign investors. Prices soared. There was a real economic boom. “We can compare what happened to a gold rush,” says researcher Richard Abila. “Suddenly this lake where nobody had ever seen any commercial value, created an activity worth billions of shillings…The first ones to invest have become rich…But like any gold rush, it created some tragic side effects. Some of which can still be felt today.”58 58 Alexis Masciarelli, “The Rise and Fall of the Nile Perch,” BBC News, http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/em/fr/-/2/hi/africa/4348289.stm. 34 As much as there is agreement on the immediate benefits brought by the Nile perch, there is divergence among the voices that analyze the long-run consequences of this step. One of the main elements to be mentioned in this discussion is the gradual exclusion of most of the artisanal fishers from the trade. This exclusion came about for several reasons. Firstly, as the Nile perch is a bigger fish that requires better, more expensive gear to catch, the fishermen that were mostly able to benefit from its existence were the richer ones, who were able to purchase this type of gear and also upgrade it in line with the alterations of the ecosystem of the lake. Actually, the large Nile perch, reproducing at a fast pace, provided an excellent basis for expanded fish production and it attracted the entry of many new fishers in the exploitation of the lake.59 An important point here is that the new entrants were usually either companies or better off fishers because the fishing of the Nile perch can be better done with more powerful and expensive tools (large canoes, long gill nets, and outboard engines60) than the fishing of the endemic species.61 Some of the small-scale fishermen were further disadvantaged by the transformations in the ecosystem of the lake. As mentioned earlier in the paper, in terms of the biological composition of the lake, the presence of the Nile perch caused the disappearance of numerous other species that used to be fished by local fishermen using artisanal techniques. Even more, the fate of the local fishermen is put under question because of the over-exploitation of the lake, caused by the combined effects of the biological evolution of the ecosystem after the introduction of the Nile perch, and the increased exploitation of the lake over the years as a response to market stimuli (which, in their 59 D.C. Wilson, M. Medard, C.K. Harris, D.S. Wiley, The Implications for Participatory Fisheries Management of Intensified Commercialization on Lake Victoria, Rural Sociology 64(4) (1999): 554572. 60 Idem 59. 61 This should not be read to say that the Nile perch cannot be caught with simpler gear, such as a long line. Indeed, it can and fishers still use such methods. However, in order to be more efficient in the 35 turn, are made more influential through intervention by the Tanzanian government and international institutions, as was shown above in the paper). While some of the fishers are concentrated merely on the current gains from the commercialization of the Nile perch, many of them are worried that they will not have work on the long run because the lake will run out of resources.62 Overall, in spite of the exclusion of small-scale artisanal fishermen from the trade, most of the fishermen that are left in the business are better off in the Nile perch trade than they would be otherwise. In fact, if a general evaluation is to be made about the total impact of the introduction of the Nile perch on the fishermen population, one would have to agree that the impact was positive. The fishers and their families achieve better incomes and the quality of their nutrition has been improving over the years.63 The categories of fishers that are still in the trade are: fishers that are directly employed by the companies working on the shores of the lake; fishers that either have ownership of the gear or can afford to rent it (who then sell their catch to the company agents); the fishers that are merely employed by the boat owners, whose gains, while not substantial, are still worth taking into account. An interesting point here is the opinion of the fishers about their bargaining position in reference to the agents of the factories. As most of the fish nowadays goes to the processing and exporting factories, then all the dealings have to be made through the agents of the factories. Interviews with fishermen from beaches next to the Tanzanian border emphasize the fact that the bargaining position of the fishers is weakened in this way, because usually there is only one agent that the fishermen on a pursuit of this species (especially if he is interested in catching a larger specimen, or a bigger quantity of fish, as required by the commercial activity), a fisher would have to use the more advanced gear. 62 “Cross-border Fishing and Fish Trade on Lake Victoria,” IUCN/LVFO Socio-economics of the Lake Victoria Fisheries Phase II, Fisheries Management Series 1 (July 2004). 63 D. Wilson, “Fishers’ Attitude Towards Management on Lake Victoria: Preliminary Findings,” Michigan University (1993). Copy of article provided by author. 36 specific beach can sell their fish too.64 The lack of competition among different fish buyers does not allow the fishermen to argue for a better price. In some beaches, the bargaining position of the fishers is weakened further by the lack of refrigeration facilities, the implication being that they are in a rush to place their merchandise as soon as possible and cannot afford to argue too much. Another category of the local population that needs to be taken into account when making an evaluation of the impact of the introduction of the three species is represented by the former processors and distributors for the local market. The large majority of the fish taken out of the lake nowadays is dedicated to export to Europe, North America, and Asia. Almost none of it is left for the domestic market. The merchandise goes exclusively to the external markets because the great demand there causes the external prices to increase to such a level that it is not profitable for the companies to sell inside Tanzania. The market for Nile perch in Tanzania, on the other hand, was never too developed because the buyers were usually poor and because there was no preference for the Nile perch, which is considered to be too oily and smelly by Tanzanians.65 One additional element here is the constant support lent to the export business by the government (through financial incentives primarily) and the international economic organizations (through the directions they advise for the national economic policies of Tanzania). Because of the direction of the merchandise towards export, the processors and distributors for the domestic markets were left out of business. These were usually represented by the female population of the riparian communities. At most, the women are currently employed in the processing and selling of the fish carcasses discarded by the processing companies: 64 “Cross-border Fishing and Fish Trade on Lake Victoria,” IUCN/LVFO Socio-economics of the Lake Victoria Fisheries Phase II, Fisheries Management Series 1 (July 2004). 65 Alexis Masciarelli, “The Rise and Fall of the Nile Perch,” BBC News, http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/em/fr/-/2/hi/africa/4348289.stm. 37 Another consequence of the development of the fishery is that local people have been progressively edged out of production, pricing, marketing and processing. Fish factories and their agents now tightly control these activities (…) Employment chances in traditional fish trading and processing sectors for Nile perch and its products, previously the preserve of poor women, are now largely integrated in the marketing chain for fish processing and fishmeal industries.66 Perhaps the most problematic consequence of the transformation of commercial activity on the lake refers to food security and, more specifically, the access of the local population to the nutritional resources of the lake. Over the past years, several institutions, at both national and international levels, have expressed concern over food security in the area. Among them, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations FAO has explained that a too large export of fish from the lake can have a detrimental effect on the nutritional well being of the riparian communities.67 Interviews with members of the local communities show that people can afford to buy and eat fish less these days than they could in the past.68 Research done by anthropologists in the villages next to the lake shows that, over a period of five years (1989-1994), more than 60% of the households that are not involved in fishing activities report a decrease in the amount of fish eaten.69 These people do not have access to fish because most of it is taken abroad to be sold on foreign markets and because of the large price increases over the past years. The importance of access to fish cannot be ignored: fish is one of the best sources of protein in the daily diet, the other source of food available to Tanzanians in these regions being mainly cereals with low nutrition value. 66 Richard O. Abila, “Fish Trade and Food Security: Are They Reconcilable in Lake Victoria?” Kenya Marine Fisheries Research Institute. http://www.fao.org/documents/show_cdr.asp?url_file=/DOCREP/006/Y4961E/y4961e0d.htm 67 E.G. Jansen, “Rich Fisheries—Poor Fisherfolk. Some Preliminary Observations about the Effects of Trade and Aid in the Lake Victoria Fisheries,” Socio-economics of the Nile Perch Fishery on Lake Victoria, Report No.1 (Nairobi: IUCN-EARO, 1997). 68 Such an evaluation can be found in the writings of Jansen, Wilson, and Swantz. 38 Oftentimes people are reduced to consuming the leftovers discarded by the processing companies (bones and skin, carcasses), which are not by far as nutritious as the protein-rich fish, and which are highly dubitable in terms of meeting normal health standards (the companies may just discard them on the beaches, from where they are collected and processed to be turned into food). Sometimes, even these remains are not accessible, either because even they are too expensive or because the fish processing companies sell them to the fishmeal producing factories instead of just throwing them away: In the earlier years of Nile perch processing, the remains of Nile perch after removing fillet, commonly known as frame was considered a waste, and factories incurred expenses to dispose of it. In less than a decade, this product became an important part of the diet of many people especially in Western Kenya. By the late 1980s, almost all Nile perch frames produced by factories was consumed by local people or discarded (…) However, the fishmeal industry soon started to use Nile perch frames in processing fishmeal. Their demand for frames has increased so much that they now compete directly with the local market processing it for human food.70 In general, while it is true that the condition of the fishermen that are still employed is better off, many members of the riparian communities were left without a source of income, and the village inhabitants are increasingly confronted with the issue of insufficient nutrition. Therefore, at the level of local communities, it is impossible to make the argument that the introduction of the Nile perch has produced a positive outcome. On the other hand, it is clear that the processing and exporting companies are making important profits from the Nile perch business, to such an extent that they are focusing mainly on the short-term benefits of the trade at the price of ignoring the long-term sustainability of the lake resources. 69 Douglas C. Wilson, Fisheries Management on Lake Victoria, Tanzania, http://africa.msu.edu/PLEA/Asapap1.PDF. Chart p. 20. 39 Finally, the argument is usually made, by these companies, the Tanzanian government and some of the international institutions, that, even if such a high degree of exports from the lake may damage the local communities, it will eventually lead to the economic growth of the national economy. On the long run, this should further lead to improvements in the condition of the local communities too. According to recent research, this claim is too strong. While there has been a certain degree of economic growth in Tanzania, it has been concentrated in the urban areas, leaving the poorer parts, which are the ones in desperate need of growth, still in need of positive changes: “Poverty reduction is on track in urban areas, but reaching the Millennium Development Goals target for bringing down poverty in rural areas, where most Tanzanians live, requires sustaining high growth in rural output per capita.”71 It must be kept in mind that this is one of the more optimistic reports of the national economic policies pursued by the Tanzanian government. It states that, while there is economic growth achieved, this growth is only manifested in small, concentrated urban areas, and that the inhabitants of poor, rural regions must wait to feel the effects of growth. Other reports state that there is not sufficient economic growth anyhow, or even that using GDP growth as an indicator for the well being of a country is not the most informative tool (other indicators, such as the ones about quality of life quoted earlier in this thesis, should be taken into account as well). Even if economic growth takes place, the government and other organizations active in the poor regions of Tanzania must make sure that the effects of the growth trickle down to the more marginal segments of society. Liberal economists usually claim that it is enough to be concerned with achieving economic growth, because its 70 Richard O. Abila, “Fish Trade and Food Security: Are They Reconcilable in Lake Victoria?” Kenya Marine Fisheries Research Institute. http://www.fao.org/documents/show_cdr.asp?url_file=/DOCREP/006/Y4961E/y4961e0d.htm 40 positive effects will naturally spread to all parts of society. Economic practice has thus far not validated this claim, and that is one of the reasons governments create social policies and aid agencies come to poor regions. While such projects are in place, it is interesting to evaluate whether they manage to bring about the envisaged positive changes. 6. Aid Agencies The previous chapters have established a connection between scarcity in the riparian regions of Lake Victoria and specific profit-oriented actions of the colonial power, plus the measures taken by the post-colonial government in order to promote national economic growth. This chapter will show how the activities of the aid agencies present in the region have not managed to alleviate the negative consequences of these policies on the local population, on occasion even proving to be detrimental in spite of good intentions. It is not the goal of this paper to prove that scarcity was created in the region with “bad intentions,” because powerful actors could and did exploit the weaker ones. While this may be the case on occasion (the colonists did intent to exploit the resources of the lake; the processing companies are able to derive more profit from their activities if they capture all the fish taken out of the lake and export it, thus leaving the local markets with no supply of the nutritious aliment; furthermore, the processing companies understand this link and choose not to take it into consideration because their focus, as businesses, is to make more profit), a more nuanced argument would be closer to reality. This paper argues rather that those categories of the local population that were excluded from access to the resources of the lake ended up in this situation because they were ignored by most of the actors involved, especially by 71 Gabriel Demombynes, “Growth, Inequality, and Simulated Poverty Paths for Tanzania,” World Bank (Washington DC, 2004). 41 their own government. These people and their suffering have been considered “negligible” in the whole discussion about the management of the resources of the lake, or belonging to the “costs” that have to be paid by a community in order to develop.72 Anthropologist Marja Liisa Swantz, who has done extensive research in the villages next to Lake Victoria, makes a valuable comment about the easiness with which it is accepted that the suffering of some is inevitable when the world trails the path to development: The study relates to a more general problem concerning groups of people who, amidst the national and international quest for development, become dispensable in favor of “the majority” or general national interest. Development interpreted as modernization demands that the immediate interests of what seem like small minorities are forgone for the benefit of the whole.73 What actually happens is that the aid agencies present on the ground act within the framework of the dominant development discourse. According to this, the main goal to be pursued by Tanzania is overall economic growth, which will eventually trickle down to improve the condition of all categories of Tanzanians. Economic growth is to be achieved through such strategies as industrialization and focus on international trade through promoting exports and foreign investments. At the local level, this is reflected in support given to large-scale industrial activities rather than small-scale individual endeavors. Examples of measures taken by the Tanzanian government to sustain export activities were provided above in this paper. Once it is accepted that the government focuses on the promotion of industrial development, only the aid agencies are left to support local small-scale activities and 72 “There is a sense in which rapid economic progress is impossible without painful adjustments. Ancient philosophies have to be scrapped; old social institutions have to disintegrate; bonds of caste, creed and race have to burst; and large numbers of persons who cannot keep up with progress have to have their expectations of a comfortable life frustrated.” (United Nations, Department of Social and Economic Affairs, Measures for the Economic Development of Underdeveloped Countries, 1951). 42 address some of the negative consequences of the national and international economic strategies.74 Unfortunately, not even the aid agencies manage to achieve this end. The problem is that, while the aid agencies claim they address local problems with locallevel solutions, there is a gap between rhetoric and practice. The aid agencies are used to translating local-level solutions into helping local communities to become more industrialized and more technologically educated. Aid agencies working in the villages on the shores of Lake Victoria mainly promote advanced techniques of fishing, in line with the wide-held belief that the technologically advanced ways are more productive. At this point, it is important to mention that studies conducted in the region have shown that it is actually smallscale, artisanal fishing that has proven more effective.75 In spite of this, aid agencies direct their funds to acquiring trawlers, freezing units and motorized transport for the villages, instead of buying long lines for the individual fishers.76 In addition, the training sessions that they organize are to teach villagers how to use the advanced technologies, rather than to train them in more basic skills. In this way, sometimes paradoxical situations are created where a young fisher is trained in advanced fishing techniques but can only afford to buy a very thin line with which he cannot fish the larger fish that populate the lake nowadays. Only some of the better-off fishermen are able to take advantage of both the training and the few advanced pieces of gear 73 Marja Liisa Swantz, “Grassroots Strategies and Directed Development in Tanzania: The Case of the Fishing Sector,” Wider Working Papers, World Institute for Development Economics, Research of the United Nations University (August 1989). 74 I am not discussing organizations of local communities here, mainly because grassroots organizations are not common in Tanzania. As anthropological research suggests, the local culture is permeated by a sense of disempowerment, there is an expectation that either the government or God are in charge of people’s fate (Wilson, Swantz). 75 A Small Industry Development Organization SIDO report in 1980 showed that output per unit of investment in the small-scale producers was about five times as high as in the large-scale sector. Moreover, village smiths are said to produce both better quality and cheaper tools, modeled to shapes that are familiar to the villagers (quoted in Swantz). 76 Marja Liisa Swantz, “Grassroots Strategies and Directed Development in Tanzania: The Case of the Fishing Sector,” Wider Working Papers, World Institute for Development Economics, Research of the United Nations University (August 1989). 43 available in the villages. The poorer fishers end up depending on either the better-off ones or on the processing companies: “a patron-client relationship was created as the traders who invested in boats and gear were in the position to act as patrons and give loans to poor fishermen and customers (…) large-scale fishing is organized and done by external, often urban owners of boats, engines, sails, nets, etc., who capture most of the catch.”77 Finally, there are a number of fishers that were completely eliminated from the trade and the type of investments made by the aid agencies (in training of high skills and in advanced gear) does not help to reintegrate them. The same can be said about the effect of aid activities on the lives of the women that used to be involved in the processing and marketing of the smaller fish and that are now left out of the business. This paper presents a moderate view on aid agencies, stating that, in spite of good intentions, they do not manage to achieve what they planned because of the general framework of development within which they work. There are authors that make more radical criticisms of aid agencies however. An example is the analysis that James Ferguson makes of the activity of aid agencies in Lesotho.78 One of the strongest points Ferguson makes in this book is that agencies are more interested in the perpetuation of their own activities, which they pursue whether they are able to fulfill the development goals they set for themselves or not. Even more, the author argues that the agencies use the financial resources granted to them by donors for the building up of the infrastructure needed for their own activities and for paying their own staff, rather than transmitting the money to the needy people. Within this logic, the aid agencies appear as apparatuses that continue to function out of inertia, for the 77 Idem 76. James Ferguson, “The Anti-Politics Machine. <Development,> Depoliticization, and Bureaucratic Power in Lesotho” (London: University of Minnesota Press, 1997). 78 44 sake of self-perpetuation, sometimes even at the expense of the people they are supposed to help. Ferguson talks about the creation of a “development industry, employing expatriate consultants and <experts> by the hundreds, and churning out plans, programs, and, most of all, paper, at an astonishing rate.”79 The author bases his criticism of development agencies on the neo-Marxist and dependency theory literature on development and, more particularly, on the following premises: (1) poverty is not a sui generis fact or a consequence of global scarcity but only a symptom of powerlessness; (2) international aid projects by their very nature, whoever they claim to <target,> do not make the radical changes in political and economic structures that could alone empower the poor; therefore (3) aid projects cannot be expected to help eradicate poverty since they only reinforce the system which in the first place causes the poverty.80 Ferguson explains that the aid agencies are just a part of that reality whose current functioning causes specific categories of people to be excluded; rather than being a cure, as they claim, the aid agencies and their projects, become a part of the problem. Instead of taking the political stand that it is the moral duty of the governments and citizens of the world to satisfy the basic needs of the poor and ensure their integration in society, the development apparatus functions like “an anti-politics machine,” promoting a “colonizing, expanding bureaucratic power that expands its reach and extends its distribution.”81 It is also worth mentioning that Ferguson does not want to give the impression that aid agencies work intentionally for specific interests, but rather that they almost automatically perpetuate patterns of social organization and domination that they should be altering: When we deal with planned interventions by powerful parties, however, it is tempting to see in the discourse and intentions of such parties the 79 James Ferguson, “The Anti-Politics Machine. <Development,> Depoliticization, and Bureaucratic Power in Lesotho” (London: University of Minnesota Press, 1997): 8. 80 Idem 79: 11. 81 Idem 79: 273. 45 logic that defines the train of events. Such a view, however, inevitably misrepresents the complexities of the involvement of intentionality with events. Intentions, even of powerful actors or interests, are only the visible part of a much larger mechanism through which structures are actually produced, reproduced, and transformed. Plans are explicit, and easily seen and understood; conspiracies are only slightly less so. But any intentional deployment only takes effect through a convoluted route involving unacknowledged structures and unpredictable outcomes.82 If the current practices of eliminating poverty are not effective, why are they still in place? Why are neo-liberal policies (and strategies of development relying heavily on neo-liberal prescriptions) still pursued, in spite of the numerous objections that have been raised against them, both at the theoretical level and in terms of their effectiveness on the ground? The next chapter of this thesis will show that the dominance of these practices is part of a historical trend starting with the colonial rule and culminating with the complete submission of Tanzania, as a Heavily Indebted Poor Country, to conditionalities imposed by external actors. This does not imply that it is only the responsibility of external actors that the country does not manage to deal with accentuated scarcity. While the next chapter refers to some of the faults committed by the first post-colonial governments, other factors worth mentioning are corruption, the influence of the business class on policy-making, the local culture which inhibits collective action, disempowerment through absolute poverty. 7. The Big Picture The artificial creation of scarcity on Lake Victoria began under the British colonial rule. The transformation of Lake Victoria from a common good of the local community into a source of profit for the colonists does fall in line with the logic of colonial rule. A mention should be made here that at no point were property rights for 82 Idem 79: 276. 46 the water and its resources assigned. Such rights did not exist before, during, or after the colonial rule. However, while there were no legal property rights assigned, access to the water and its resources was distributed according to the capacity of exploiting them: whoever had the proper gear to fish in the lake would do it, something along the lines of a first-come-first-served basis. The coming of the colonists to the lake, with their better and continually improving gear, left less and less room for the local communities. The lake had been self-sustainable as a source of nourishment for the local populations. However, when external actors, such as the colonists, interfered in a powerful way, the balance of this system was broken. The lake could not sustain both the local communities and the colonists interested in making profit from commercializing the fish. Explaining the logic of colonial rule is a complex task that I cannot undertake in this thesis. Suffice it to say that the Great Powers were able to divide and conquer parts of the world as a result of their military and economic superiority over the acquired territories, and with the help of the agreements they had with each other as regards the spheres of influence. The colonial system served many purposes, one of them being to better settle the Great Powers in their central positions in the world. One of the most important reasons for colonial rule though was access to the resources needed for the perpetuation of the economic might of the powers. The colonies were fresh sources of raw materials, energy and labor. Seen in this light, the introduction of the Nile perch in Lake Victoria and the consequent increase in fishing activities by the colonists were perfectly logical actions aimed at increasing the yield that the colonists would get out of the ruled lands. If we want to better understand the relationship between the colonial power and the colony, we might want to analyze Britain’s system of economic and social 47 organization deeper. I will not engage here in an analysis of capitalism in Britain though. Still, the acquisition of colonies can be explained through the functioning of the capitalist activities, dominant in Britain at the time, which constantly need more raw materials and human resources in order to continue. Such an explanation is derived from Marx’s analysis of the functioning of the capitalist system. Accounting for the colonial rule only through the logic of capitalism can be considered reductionism. While more factors are definitely at stake when explaining such a major historical development, the economic factor is surely central for an understanding of the colonial system. After independence, a return to the “traditional” use of the resources of the lake could have been expected. The colonists would withdraw and the local fishermen would return to their old ways. Reality is rarely as simple as basic logical inferences though. While in the realm of thought, an action gives birth to a sum of consequences that we can pinpoint and describe, in reality each action produces innumerable consequences which we cannot even keep track of. Tanzania got its independence at the beginning of the 1960s. By that time, the Nile perch and the other two commercial species had been in the lake for a decade. Fishing was done more and more intensively, sustained by the increasing rate of reproduction of the new species. At this point, the fish yield was still enough to sustain both the local communities and the demand from abroad. The fish destined for export was taken to Uganda and Kenya for processing. The demand for fish fillets from Europe was on the rise, making the fishing of Nile perch and tilapia highly profitable. Intensive fishing for export would not stop after independence. The post-colonial leadership of Tanzania was specifically oriented towards making the country self-sustainable. President Nyerere was the main figure in the 48 fight for independence. He was an intellectual deeply committed to the cause of keeping the country free of foreign interference. He thought that the country cannot be truly independent unless it is economically self-reliant, and he planned to achieve this through preventing industrialization and focusing on developing agriculture, which would be done by small rural communities that would be set up to be self-sustainable in their turn.83 The state would provide some assistance, mainly for education and health services, but the rural communities, which should represent about 80% of the country, should be able to largely sustain themselves. Nyerere did not imagine that he could keep the country outside international trade completely; in order to combine participation in the international economic system and self-sustainability, he aimed to diversify the country’s exports and to increase the number of trading partners. Reading Nyerere, one cannot help but get excited, and this is what actually happened to many intellectuals that thought that Tanzania would manage to emerge as a truly independent post-colonial country under the rule of an enlightened leader. Still, as time passed, the gap between intentions and outcomes widened, once again proving that there is a big difference between reality and logical thought. Nyerere’s system, while perfect and beautiful on paper, proved helpless on the ground. What went wrong? Even a long list such as the one that will follow may not be comprehensive. Authors discussing this topic usually refer to rising oil prices, increasing prices of inputs, declining terms of trade for Tanzanian exports, the conflict with Uganda in the late 1970s, droughts, the role of the international financial institutions in their attempt to restore macroeconomic balance, governmental policies that encouraged too much the development of parastatals at the expense of private ventures, corruption, the rise 83 Julius Nyerere, “Freedom and Unity,” Transition, Duke University Press, 1964: 40-45. 49 of one-party rule, and the associated excessive centralization of policy-making, plus the use of repression by the government.84 To simplify this discussion, we might simply say that a poor country cannot become self-sustainable overnight in a highly interdependent world. This is even truer if we think that the country has already an established place in the world system, namely it belongs to the periphery, and this role dictates the nature of the relationships between the country and the rest of the world.85 Tanzania remained a potential source of assets, even after independence. There was still plenty of fish in Lake Victoria, even after 1962. The companies that were activating on the shores of the lake did not leave the country together with the colonial government. Neither did the Nile perch leave the lake. Deep symbolism lies in this parallelism. The fish was planted in the lake in the 1950s and it is there to stay; it does not belong to the natural ecosystem of the lake, therefore the consequences that its presence has on the ecosystem cannot be fully predicted at any point; in the end, the Nile perch ate out many of the smaller, endemic species, an important factor threatening the environmental sustainability of the lake; its presence led to fishing beyond the normal capacity of the lake, which is the other main threat to the sustainability of the lake. In a similar way to the artificial introduction of the Nile perch in the lake, colonial rule was imposed on Tanzania; colonial relations were developed between Britain and Tanzania, and their consequences outlast the effective colonial rule; British and Indian companies are still the main operators on the lake; Britain is nowadays the main foreign donor for Tanzania. 84 Marja Liisa Swantz, Aili Mari Trip, What Went Right in Tanzania: People’s Response to Directed Development (Dar-El-Salaam University Press, 1989): 5-30. 85 Immanuel Wallerstein, Africa, the Politics of Independence: An Interpretation of Modern African History (New York: Vintage Books, 1961). 50 After independence, Nyerere, acting as the President of the country and the leader of the one-party system, struggled to implement his self-sustainability strategy. At the same time, the British fishing companies continued to operate on Lake Victoria. Nyerere’s main focus was on agriculture and on developing a rudimentary industry that would allow the country to be free of imports for the basic goods. He was not focused on getting the foreign companies out of the country, and he had no interest in stopping fish exports, which were finally a source of income for the other types of economic activities. The country could not make it without any connections to international trade, what was at stake was to diversity exports and keep imports at a minimum.86 Exporting fish was in line with these strategies, especially because the terms of trade for fillets were likely to stay advantageous, and no capital import was needed for this activity, given that the foreign companies would bring in their own gear. In a sense, the first decades after independence, between the 60s and the 80s, represented a period when the Tanzanian government had relative control over the economic policies of the country (once again, as much control as can be possible for a poor country in a highly interdependent world economic system). This is also in agreement with dominant thinking on international economics in the Western world. The decades after the World Wars were a period for the loosening of thinking on economics. There was an understanding that the wild promotion of deregulation in economic activity, which characterized the pre-war period, is not without dangers, neither is it necessarily the best way to deal with economic crises. Keynesian economics developed policies through which the governments could intervene in the economy in order to deal with sub-optimal conditions. Development theories 86 Julius Nyerere, “The Transition Profile: Julius Nyerere,” Transition, Duke University Press, 1961: 21-30. 51 emerged, aimed at providing guidance to the poorer states on how to escape this status.87 In spite of its pursuing a path towards self-sustainability, Tanzania was receiving foreign aid, and this was deemed acceptable for a newly independent country. It was expected, both by development thinkers and by the Tanzanian leadership, that with time and with the good use of this international assistance, the country would develop and become self-reliant. By the 80s, everything seems to have changed though. The time for the Tanzanian government’s autonomy over its economic policies was over, and this change came about for numerous reasons. Nyerere’s policies did not bring about the desirable outcomes (Nyerere actually resigned in 1985, although his party remains in power until today). The country was highly indebted, and the donor countries were no longer willing to provide as much direct aid. Aid was from now to be granted through the international financial institutions, namely the IMF and the WB, which were conditioning the granting of help on strict conditionalities about how to run the economy. The nature of these institutions themselves had changed over the decades, and around the 80s they were advocating strict deregulation of the economy, complete opening up of the domestic markets to international trade, support for the foreign investors and promotion of export-led strategies of growth. International thinking on economics starts being dominated by neo-liberalism, which, while it does allow for a certain degree of governmental intervention in order to provide the proper conditions for the functioning of the economy, does imply a retrenchment of the state from economic policies as compared to the Keynesian period. In fact, neo-liberal prescriptions for the Third World may be better translated not in an overall reduction of intervention in the functioning of the economy, but in a limitation of the role of the 87 Albert O. Hirschman, A Bias for Hope: Essays on Development and Latin America, Chapter 1 (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1971). 52 national government over the economy, to be gradually replaced by regulations of the international financial institutions: “international financial institutions and other external forces are usually credited with the rise of neoliberal hegemonic constellations in the developing world. Adopting neoliberal agendas for export orientation reversed a century-old pattern of developing countries strategies…”88 In terms of the management of the resources of Lake Victoria, this transformation was translated in the introduction of measures of support for the fishing/ processing/ exporting companies operating on the shores of the lake. They were perceived as foreign investors and received assistance from the state, under the predicament that their export activities would lead to the economic growth of the country, which in turn would cause the gradual improvement of the condition of all Tanzanian citizens. The introduction of export-promotion measures coincided with a boom in the Nile perch population in the lake: the fish was brought to the lake in the 50s, but only in the 80s did it fully dominate the population of the lake and the species developed to a considerable size, very attractive for export. As a response to the explosion of the size of the perch and to the benefits they received from the state, companies increased their fishing in the lake. Processing plants were opened on the Tanzanian shores of the lake only in the 80s. The lake became less and less accommodating for small scale fishing of endemic species done by artisanal fishers for the local markets. The long-term consequences of the introduction of the perch were starting to be felt in the 80s, and they were accelerated by the exponential increase in the industrial exploitation of the lake. The story of the 1980s continues in the same vein until the present. At the moment, warning signs are raised that, at the current rate of exploitation of its 88 Dieter Plehwe, Bernhard Walpen, Gisela Neunhoffer, “Reconsidering Neoliberal Hegemony. Introduction.” In Neoliberal Hegemony, ed. Dieter Plehwe, Bernhard Walpen, Gisela Neunhoffer: 1-23. 53 resources, the lake is not sustainable on the long run. Its ecosystem has been severely altered, and it is doubtful whether the species inhabiting it can perpetuate at a rate high enough to make up for the intensive fishing in the lake. At the same time, most of the fish collected from the lake goes to the markets abroad, leaving only the carcasses for the nourishment of the riparian population. In addition, there is great poverty among certain parts of the local communities, especially among the people excluded from the fish trade, such as artisanal fishers and women processors. While it is clear that there is scarcity in the area, there is no reason to believe that the trends creating it will be reversed. The country pursues strategies of economic growth that are focused on export-promotion, meaning that the fishing companies are encouraged to fish in the lake and bring the merchandise out of the country, in the hope that the incomes Tanzania gets from these activities will lead to economic growth. There is no major discussion of trying to come up with biological fixes for the altered ecosystem of the lake (what new species to introduce now in the lake in order to come up with a “natural fix” for the overdrawing of the lake?). The aid agencies that are supposed to help the impoverished members of the local communities are giving them technical training, which they can only use on advanced gear they cannot afford. There is talk about including the local fishers in the management of the lake, but the local culture does not seem to leave much room for such strategies of comanagement: the villagers believe that their future and the future of the lake will be decided by either God or the government; they do not trust themselves or each other to manage the lake. Neither can the villagers accept limits to the number of fishers allowed in the lake, because of their deeply engrained belief that the lake belongs to everyone.89 While the villagers continue to believe that the waters and fish are for all, 89 Douglas C. Wilson, “Fishers’ Attitudes Towards Management on Lake Victoria: Preliminary Findings,” Michigan State University. Copy of article provided by author. 54 and that God will decide, the Western companies know that the waters and the fish are for those who can do the fishing. They take advantage of governmental subsidies and keep buying improved gear to fish better and more. They know that while the lake still has resources, they should be used: carpe diem is the norm in the West. 8. Conclusion Economist thinking, growth strategies based on industrialization and open trade, and development have been in place ever since they were established in spite of their failure to bring about generalized well-being. However, this type of thinking about economic and social organization is not inevitable. Not only is it not inevitable, it may on occasion be detrimental to human well being. Still, the voices arguing against neo-liberalism have a more marginal position in the public sphere than its proponents. This is true about thinking on international economics done both inside Tanzania and by Western intellectuals and decision-makers. The profit-oriented activities of businesses could only be limited by a strong concentration of voices arguing for the limitation of their actions. But there is no such concert of views. There are many arguments to be made against the factual domination of everexpanding markets on the organization of economic and social relations. One of the stronger cases made by a contemporary thinker is that of John Gray, Professor of European Thought at London School of Economics. According to him, economic growth through the current dominant strategy of combining industrial production with continuous market expansion is not sustainable. On the one side, the use of fossil energy for the fuelling of industrial activity leads to environmental depletion and to rivalry among countries for access to energy sources. In addition, industrial production at such a large scale causes irreparable environmental damage. In Gray’s own words, “The conjunction of intensifying scarcity in energy supplies with 55 accelerating climate change is the other face of globalization. It poses a large question mark over (…) the belief that the main problem with globalization is that it is incomplete, for it suggests that completing it may not be feasible.”90 If the current strategies of economic growth and development are not sustainable for the Western world, it is even less likely that they represent the panacea for the Third World. Gray is adamant that this kind of economic practices could never be generalized in the Third World: “The current phase is only the extension to the wider world of the industrial revolution that began in England a couple of centuries ago, but already it is destabilizing the environmental systems on which all industrial societies depend. Extending the energy-intensive lifestyle of the rich world to the rest of humankind would have an even more destabilizing impact.”91 The truth is that it is not the main concern of the Western world to give the Third World a share of the benefits of the functioning of the current economic world system. The main concern of the Western world is to ensure its own well being, and sometimes it does so at the expense of the Third World. As has been stressed before in this thesis, this should not be seen necessarily as a conspiracy of the rich to impoverish the poor, but rather as a result of the interactions between actors placed in different positions of power in the global system. Daniel Cohen, the author of a recent book on globalization, makes a similar point: “To understand today’s globalization, requires that one renounces the idea that the poor are stunted or exploited by globalization.”92 As Gray himself explains, “the poor of the world are not so much exploited, as neglected or forgotten.” 90 91 John Gray, “The Global Delusion,” New York Review of Books 53(7) (April 2006). Idem 90. 92 Daniel Cohen, Globalization and Its Enemies, MIT Press (reviewed by Gray in “The Global Delusion”). 56 The analysts that criticize the current functioning of the economic system as detrimental to the environment or to social equity have a hard time in trying to come up with alternatives. For one thing, they admit that the capitalist system is dominant and that a replacement is not in sight. John Gray argues that humanity can come up with ways to make up for some of the damages caused by the current manner of the functioning of the economy (through technology), but he does not propose a more comprehensive solution. Neither are the post-development thinkers who argue for the dismantling of the idea of development as a whole capable or willing to propose an alternative. Some of these questions are too difficult to answer, but perhaps it is possible to mark down a few starting points for an eventual solution. One of these starting points could be found in the previous discussion of socially constructed scarcity. It has been shown in this thesis how the scarcity of water resources has been gradually socially constructed, from the moment when the ecosystem of the lake began to be seen as a potential source of material gain. In this light, a possible starting point for alleviating scarcity is the re-conceptualization of these elements. Neo-liberalism is dominant nowadays although it is not the only manner of reading economic relations, neither perhaps the most beneficial. The use of nature for profit-oriented capitalist activities is neither the "natural" nor the "inevitable" way of perceiving reality. Rather, this is just one of the treatments we give to the reality around, a treatment that has proven to be highly destructive in specific situations, such as the exploitation of Lake Victoria. If this thinking is not unique and inevitable, and if it is also destructive, then it must be changed. Rather than continuing to see water and its ecosystem as material resources to be traded like merchandise on the market, they should be re-conceptualized as common goods, pertaining to the basic right of every human being to proper water and food. In fact, 57 this re-conceptualization merely means a return to the original understanding of water and its resources as belonging to the local communities, as the center around which they build their lives. The latest World Water Forum,93 taking place in Mexico City in March 2006, promoted this type of understanding of water (to be expanded to water-related resources). This can be seen from the final ministerial declaration issued at the end of the forum, “The Mexico Declaration,” according to which, 1. Water is not merchandise or a fixed resource. Water has social, economic, and environmental value. Water is an essential resource and a public good. 2. We seek that each of our local actions will reunite in a global compromise, by virtue of which all human beings, regardless of their place of birth or where they live, are recognized the right to water as an essential right.”94 The conclusion of the ministers is supported by a similar statement of the mayors present at the encounter. In their declaration, the mayors assert that freshwater is a scarce and endangered resource, essential to life, and that it is a “common good belonging to all humankind.” They also stress that all people have the right to water in “the quantity and quality required to meet their essential needs.” 95 These documents are not novel in their understanding of water as an essential resource that should be made available to everyone. Such a conception has started to appear in international agreements since the 1960s, a few examples of which are the following: the International Covenant on Economic, Social, and Cultural Rights (1966), the European Charter of the Council of Europe (1968) and its revised version, the European Charter on Water Resources of the Council of Europe (2001), the 93 The World Water Forum is a yearly meeting of member of civil society and politicians (the highest level represented being the ministerial) to discuss the problem of water scarcity and solutions to it. 94 http://www.worldwaterforum4.org.mx/files/declaration_leg.pdf IV Foro Mondial del Agua. Encuentro Mundial de Legisladores del Agua. 58 United Nations Conference on Human Environment (1972), the United Nations Millennium Declaration (2000), the Ministerial Declaration from the Second World Water Forum (The Hague, 2002), the resolution of the United Nations General Assembly declaring 2003 the International Year of Freshwater (2003), the Johannesburg Declaration of Sustainable Development, the Charter on Essential Services, and the Local Government Declaration to the World Summit on Sustainable Development (2002). Hopefully, all these international agreements mark the beginning of an ideological change that will place water and similar basic necessities of human life outside of the framework of capitalistic logic. When he was talking about the emergence of capitalism and the associated liberal economic ideology in the 16th century, Karl Polanyi was also describing the corresponding spontaneous reaction of society to protect itself from the destructive forces of wild capitalism. Polanyi introduced the notion of a “double movement:” the one was the principle of economic liberalism, aiming at the establishment of a self-regulating market, relying on the support of the trading classes, and using laissez-faire and free trade as its methods; the other was the principle of social protection aiming at the conservation of man and nature as well as productive organization, relying on the varying support of those most immediately affected by the deleterious action of the market—primarily, but not exclusively, the working and the landed classes—and using protective legislation, restrictive associations, and other instruments of intervention as methods.96 More than half a century later, Polanyi’s son, building up on the father’s thoughts, argues that the second wave of the wild spread of capitalism comes in the current era of globalization (fuelled by neo-liberal ideology), and that a response of 95 Local Government Declaration on Water. On the Occasion of the Fourth World Water Forum, Mexico, 21 March 2006. http://www/worldwaterforum4.org.mx/files/dec_autlocales.pdf. 96 Karl Polanyi, The Great Transformation. The Political and Economic Origins of our Time (Boston: Beacon Press, 1944): 76. 59 the self-protecting social forces will soon build up.97 The issue of secure access to sufficient water and food is a likely arena for resistance to the unchecked growth of the markets. The re-conceptualization of essential resources and basic human rights should be part of the ideology of a social reaction. The continuation of this fight is to take place at all levels of social life, from political classes to grassroots movements: We conclude that the contradictions between the requirements of the capitalist economy for unlimited expansion and the requirements of people to live in mutually supportive relations cannot be resolved without a civilizational change to transform institutions governing economic life. This is a long-term process, but in the history of humanity, the past two centuries of industrial capitalism are a moment (…) Many non-profit initiatives of civil society are examples of social solidarity based on cooperation, not competition, on association, not individual gain. Important as they are, however, they cannot substitute for democratic control of the state which remains essential to the organization of economic livelihood in a modern society in the North as in the South.98 This re-conceptualization of scarcity, resources, and other market institutions and instruments does seem to call for the introduction of morality in the realm of economics and politics. On the one hand, bringing morality into politics should not be feared. Politics and morality belong together if the good balance is found. On the other hand, in some parts of the world, perhaps the “civilizational change” that Kari Polanyi talks about is not even necessary. Anthropologists note that people living in fishers’ villages in Tanzania have never ceased to entangle economic activities with community values. In fact, resorting to the social ties is sometimes their only survival route in the face of radical scarcity.99 In our search for grand development 97 Karl Polanyi Levitt, “The Transformation of the World System: Some Insights to the Work of Karl Polanyi,” Inaugural Lecture, International Conference on Development and Regionalism, November 2004, Budapest. http://artsandscience.concordia.ca/polanyi/pdfs/Kari-Budapest-2004.pdf. 98 Idem 97. 99 “It has been my intention to take up various aspects of the coastal people’s lives which demonstrate that they have found ways to resist being subsumed by the wider society and thereby losing their own cultural and social identity. 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