CHRONIC WASTING DISEASE DETECTION AND ASSESSMENT PLAN / ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT Shenandoah National Park, Virginia DRAFT FINAL July 2012 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Cover photo: Deer at Big Meadows, Shenandoah National Park Photograph by: D. Tuttle, Amateur Wildlife Photographer, June 2006. ii CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park CONTENTS Page Figures........................................................................................................................................... vii Tables ............................................................................................................................................ vii Appendixes ................................................................................................................................... vii Acronyms ..................................................................................................................................... viii Glossary ......................................................................................................................................... ix Purpose and Need ........................................................................................................................... 1 Purpose and Need for Action .....................................................................................................1 Objectives in Taking Action ......................................................................................................3 Deer ..................................................................................................................................... 3 Human Health and Safety ................................................................................................... 3 Visitor Experience and Involvement of Interested Parties ................................................. 3 Park Management and Operations ...................................................................................... 3 Park Purpose and Significance...................................................................................................4 Park Purpose ....................................................................................................................... 4 Park Significance ................................................................................................................ 4 Project Location .........................................................................................................................5 Chronic Wasting Disease Summary ..........................................................................................6 Clinical Signs ...................................................................................................................... 6 Diagnosis and Testing ......................................................................................................... 7 Transmission ....................................................................................................................... 7 Disposal of CWD-Infected Material ................................................................................... 9 CWD Testing Efforts Near the Park ..........................................................................................9 Related Laws, Policies, Plans, and Guidance ..........................................................................10 NPS Related Laws, Policies, Plans, and Guidance ........................................................... 10 Shenandoah National Park General Management Plan/Environmental Assessment (1981a) .......................................................................................................... 13 Shenandoah National Park Resource Management Plan (1998) ...................................... 13 Shenandoah National Park Deer Management Plan (1987) ............................................. 14 Other Federal Related Laws, Policies, Plans, and Guidance ............................................ 15 iii CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park State-Related Regulations and Plans ................................................................................ 17 Scoping Process and Impact Topics ........................................................................................19 Scoping ............................................................................................................................. 19 Issues ................................................................................................................................. 19 Impact Topics.................................................................................................................... 20 Alternatives ................................................................................................................................... 26 Thresholds for Taking Action under the Action Alternatives .................................................26 Sample Size Requirements ......................................................................................................27 Detection ........................................................................................................................... 27 Assessment ........................................................................................................................ 31 Sampling Period .......................................................................................................................31 Tissue Sampling and Carcass Handling Requirements ...........................................................31 Elements Common to All Alternatives ....................................................................................32 Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) ...........................................................32 Detection ........................................................................................................................... 33 Assessment ........................................................................................................................ 34 Implementation Costs ....................................................................................................... 34 Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment, Including Lethal Removal for Testing ................................................................................................................34 Detection ........................................................................................................................... 34 Assessment ........................................................................................................................ 37 Implementation Costs ....................................................................................................... 38 Alternative C: Enhanced Opportunistic and Targeted Surveillance but No Lethal Removal for Testing .....................................................................................................38 Detection ........................................................................................................................... 39 Assessment ........................................................................................................................ 39 Implementation Costs ....................................................................................................... 39 Use of Adaptive Management in the CWD Detection and Assessment Plan .........................40 How Alternatives Meet Objectives ..........................................................................................43 Alternatives or Alternative Elements Considered But Dismissed from Detailed Analysis....................................................................................................................................43 Decreasing Deer Congregation through Habitat Modification ......................................... 43 Deer Dispersal through Hazing to Reduce Disease Transmission.................................... 43 iv CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Predator Management to Reduce Deer Densities and Therefore Disease Transmission ..................................................................................................................... 58 Hunting to Reduce Deer Densities and Therefore Disease Transmission ........................ 58 Eliminate the Deer Population .......................................................................................... 58 Do Nothing for Either Detection or Assessment .............................................................. 58 Use of Volunteers as Sharpshooters ................................................................................. 58 Environmentally Preferred Alternative ....................................................................................59 NPS Preferred Alternative .......................................................................................................59 Affected Environment ................................................................................................................... 60 White-tailed Deer .....................................................................................................................60 General Ecology................................................................................................................ 60 Population Densities ......................................................................................................... 60 Deer Movement ................................................................................................................ 61 Deer Herd Health .............................................................................................................. 61 Vegetation ................................................................................................................................62 State-listed Plant Species .................................................................................................. 63 Other Wildlife ..........................................................................................................................64 Mammals........................................................................................................................... 64 Birds .................................................................................................................................. 65 Socioeconomics .......................................................................................................................65 Visitor Use and Experience .....................................................................................................66 Health and Safety .....................................................................................................................67 Park Management and Operations ...........................................................................................67 Environmental Consequences ....................................................................................................... 69 Methodology ............................................................................................................................69 Duration and Type of Impacts .......................................................................................... 69 Impact Thresholds and Impact Intensity Definitions ........................................................ 69 Compliance with Section 106 of the National Historic Preservation Act ...............................70 Cumulative Impacts .................................................................................................................70 Impacts on Physical and Natural Resources ............................................................................78 White-tailed Deer Population ........................................................................................... 78 Vegetation ......................................................................................................................... 84 v CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Other Wildlife ................................................................................................................... 89 State-listed Plant Species .................................................................................................. 94 Socioeconomics ................................................................................................................ 98 Visitor Use and Experience ............................................................................................ 103 Human Health and Safety ............................................................................................... 107 Park Management and Operations .................................................................................. 111 Consultation and Coordination ................................................................................................... 116 Brief History of Scoping and Public Involvement .................................................................116 The Scoping Process ....................................................................................................... 116 Internal Scoping .............................................................................................................. 116 Agency Consultation ....................................................................................................... 117 Public Scoping ................................................................................................................ 117 Science Team Members .........................................................................................................118 List of Preparers and Consultants ..........................................................................................118 List of Recipients of the Plan / Environmental Assessment ..................................................119 References Cited ......................................................................................................................... 120 vi CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park FIGURES Page Figure 1. A Map depicting the proximity of Shenandoah National Park and other NPS units to CWD positive deer in Hampshire County, West Virginia, and Frederick County, Virginia. ............................................................................................................ 2 Figure 2. Map showing the 30-mile and 5-mile buffers around Shenandoah National Park which represent thresholds for initiating intensified detection and assessment actions, respectively. .................................................................................................. 28 Figure 3. The Adaptive Management Approach........................................................................... 42 TABLES Page Table 1. Sections of 36 Code of Federal Regulations applicable to this project. ......................... 17 Table 2. Action thresholds for disease detection and assessment. ................................................ 29 Table 3. Cost estimates for implementing Alternative A. ............................................................ 34 Table 4. Criteria for ssing lethal removal for CWD detection by action zone under Alternative B. ...................................................................................................................... 36 Table 5. Criteria for using lethal removal for CWD assessment by action zone. ........................ 38 Table 6. Cost estimates for implementing Alternative B. ............................................................. 38 Table 7. Cost estimates for implementing Alternative C. ............................................................. 40 Table 8. Summary of alternatives. ................................................................................................ 44 Table 9. How the alternatives meet the objectives in taking action.............................................. 46 Table 10. Summary of environmental consequences of the alternatives. Note from John: Put this table at the end of Chapter 4. ................................................................................. 51 Table 11. Cumulative action scenario. .......................................................................................... 71 APPENDIXES Page Appendix A. Sample prevalence and sample weights for CWD surveillance. ........................... 123 Appendix B. Deer Sampling Limits............................................................................................ 124 vii CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park ACRONYMS BRMD BSE CEQ CFR CWD EA EIS GMP NEPA NPS PEPC TSE USC VDGIF Biological Resources Management Division (National Park Service) bovine spongiform encephalopathy (mad cow disease) Council on Environmental Quality Code of Federal Regulations Chronic Wasting Disease Environmental Assessment Environmental Impact Statement General Management Plan National Environmental Policy Act National Park Service Planning, Environment, and Public Comment transmissible spongiform encephalopathy United States Code Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries viii CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park GLOSSARY Action Alternative — An alternative that proposes a different management action or actions to address the purpose, need, and objectives of the plan; one that proposes changes to the current management. Alternatives B and C are the action alternatives in this planning process. See also: No-Action Alternative. Adaptive Management — The rigorous application of management, research, and monitoring to gain information and experience necessary to assess and modify management activities. A process that uses feedback from research and the period of evaluation of management actions and the conditions they produce to either reinforce the viability of objectives, strategies, and actions prescribed in a plan or to modify strategies and actions in order to more effectively accomplish management objectives. Affected Environment — A description of the existing environment that may be affected by the proposed action (40 CFR 1502.15). Authorized Agent — For the purposes of this plan, authorized agents could include, but are not limited to, other agency personnel and contractors. Bluetongue Virus — An insect-transmitted viral disease of ruminant animals, including white-tailed deer, which causes inflammation, swelling, and hemorrhage of the mucous membranes of the mouth, nose, and tongue. Carrying Capacity — The maximum number of organisms that can be supported in a given area or habitat. Cervid — A member of the deer family, such as white-tailed deer, mule deer, elk, moose, and caribou. Chronic Wasting Disease (CWD) — A slowly progressive, infectious, self-propagating, neurological disease of captive and free-ranging deer, elk, and moose. CWD belongs to the transmissible spongiform encephalopathy (TSE) group of diseases and is characterized by accumulations of abnormal prion proteins in neural and lymphoid tissue. Contractor — For the purposes of this plan, a contractor would be a fully insured business entity, nonprofit group, or other entity engaged in wildlife management activities that include the direct reduction with firearms. Cultural Landscape — A geographic area (including both cultural and natural resources and the wildlife or domestic animals therein) associated with a historic event, activity, or person or exhibiting other cultural or aesthetic values. Cumulative Impacts — Those impacts on the environment that result from the incremental effect of the action when added to the past, present, and reasonably foreseeable future actions regardless of what agency (federal or nonfederal) or person undertakes such other actions. Cumulative impacts can result from individually minor but collectively significant actions taking place over a period of time (40 CFR 1508.7). Deer Herd or Population — The group of deer that have common characteristics and interbreed among themselves. Depopulation — Elimination of a population. Ecosystem — An ecological system; the interaction of living organisms and the nonliving environment producing an exchange of materials and energy between the living and nonliving. Encephalopathy — Any disorder or disease of the brain. Endemic — Native to or confined to a particular region. ix CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Environment — The sum total of all biological, chemical, and physical factors to which organisms are exposed; the surroundings of a plant or animal. Environmental Assessment (EA) — A concise public document, prepared in compliance with NEPA, that briefly discusses the purposes and need for an action and provides sufficient evidence and analysis of impacts to determine whether to prepare an environmental impact statement or finding of no significant impact (40 CFR 1508.9). Environmental Consequences — Environmental effects of project alternatives, including the proposed action, any adverse environmental effects which cannot be avoided, the relationship between short-term uses of the human environment, and any irreversible or irretrievable commitments of resources which would be involved if the proposal should be implemented (40 CFR 1502.16). Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) — A detailed written statement required by Section 102(2)(C) of NEPA, analyzing the environmental impacts of a proposed action, adverse effects of the project that cannot be avoided, alternative courses of action, short-term uses of the environment versus the maintenance and enhancement of long-term productivity, and any irreversible and irretrievable commitment of resources (40 CFR 1508.11). Epizootic Hemorrhagic Disease (EHD) — An insect-borne viral disease of ruminants that causes widespread hemorrhages in mucous membranes, skin, and visceral organs. Ethnographic Resource — Any site, structure, object, landscape, or natural resource feature assigned traditional legendary, religious, subsistence, or other significance in the cultural system of a group traditionally associated with it. Euthanasia — Ending the life of an animal by humane means. Habitat — The environment in which a plant or animal lives (includes vegetation, soil, water, and other factors). Herbaceous Plants — A non-woody plant; includes grasses, wildflowers, and sedges and rushes; does not include trees or shrubs. Hemorrhage — Uncontrolled bleeding or loss of a large amount of blood. Homogeneous – Having the same genetic structure. Heterogeneous – Derived from a different individual or species. Impairment (NPS Policy) — As used in NPS Management Policies, “impairment” means an adverse impact on one or more park resources or values that interferes with the integrity of the park’s resources or values, or the opportunities that otherwise would exist for the enjoyment of them, by the present or a future generation. Impairment may occur from visitor activities, NPS activities in managing a park, or activities undertaken by concessioners, contractors, and others operating in a park. As used here, the impairment of park resources and values has the same meaning as the phrase “derogation of the values and purposes for which these various areas have been established,” as used in the General Authorities Act. Monitoring — A process of collecting information to evaluate if an objective and/or anticipated or assumed results of a management plan are being realized (effectiveness monitoring) or if implementation is proceeding as planned (implementation monitoring). x CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 — A law that requires all Federal agencies to examine the environmental impacts of their actions, incorporate environmental information, and utilize public participation in the planning and implementation of all actions. Federal agencies must integrate NEPA with other planning requirements and prepare appropriate NEPA documents to facilitate better environmental decision making. NEPA requires Federal agencies to review and comment on Federal agency environmental plans/documents when the agency has jurisdiction by law or special expertise with respect to any environmental impacts involved (42 U.S.C. 4321-4327) (40 CFR 1500-1508). No-Action Alternative — The alternative in which baseline conditions and trends are projected into the future without any substantive changes in management (40 CFR 1502.14(d)). Alternative A is the no-action alternative in this planning process. Nonnative Species — Any introduced plant, animal, or protist species that is not native to the area and may be considered a nuisance; also called exotic or alien species. Opportunistic Surveillance — Taking diagnostic samples for CWD testing from deer found dead or harvested through a management activity within a national park unit. Parasitism — A symbiotic relationship in which one species, the parasite, benefits at the expense of the other, the host. Population (or Species Population) — A group of individual plants or animals that have common characteristics and interbreed among themselves and not with other similar groups. Population Reduction — Removing animals randomly within a population in an attempt to reduce animal density, and thus decrease CWD transmission rates. Prion — Protinaceous infectious particle; a microscopic particle similar to a virus but lacking nucleic acid, thought to be the infectious agent for certain degenerative diseases of the nervous system such as CWD. Ruminant — An animal that chews the cud and has a complex digestive system with a four-part stomach enabling bacteria to break down food. Ruminants lack upper incisor teeth and their complex stomach allows them to store and digest large amounts of bulky and fibrous food. Scoping — An early and open process for determining the extent and variety of issues to be addressed and for identifying the significant issues related to a proposed action (40 CFR 1501.7). Successional — Successional refers to the process of ecosystem development as brought about by changes in the populations of species that results in the creation of a geographic region with particular characteristics. Early successional refers to species that tend to more quickly give way to other species (weeds, nonnative varieties, etc.), typically representing lower quality habitat. Late-successional refers to more persistent species, and tends to be associated with higher value habitat. Targeted Surveillance — Lethal removal of deer that exhibit clinical signs of CWD, such as changes in behavior and body condition, and testing to determine if CWD is present. Transect — A line along which sampling is performed. Transmissible Spongiform Encephalopathies (TSEs) — A group of diseases characterized by accumulations of abnormal prion proteins in neural and lymphoid tissues, which cause distinctive lesions in the brain and result in death. Ungulate — A hoofed, typically herbivorous, animal; includes horses, cows, deer, elk, and bison. Vaccine — A suspension of killed or attenuated microorganisms that, when introduced into the body, stimulates an immune response against that microorganism. xi CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Vascular Plant — A plant that contains a specialized conducting system consisting of phloem (food-conducting tissue) and xylem (water-conducting tissue). Ferns, trees, and flowering plants are all vascular plants. xii CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park PURPOSE AND NEED Chronic wasting disease (CWD) is a fatal neurological disease of deer, elk, and moose. At the present time, there is no known cure for the disease, and many aspects of disease dynamics are still unknown. In 2005, CWD was discovered in white-tailed deer in West Virginia, approximately 35 miles from Shenandoah National Park (Park). CWD is considered a nonnative disease process (i.e., the spread of the disease is aided by anthropogenic factors). Guidance from the National Park Service (NPS) (Director’s CWD Guidance Memorandum 2002) provides direction to parks on management of this disease. This document describes the reasons why the NPS proposes to undertake detection and assessment actions to respond to the potential threat of CWD near the Park. This CWD Detection and Assessment Plan/Environmental Assessment (Plan/EA) analyzes a noaction alternative and two action alternatives and their potential impacts on the environment. This Plan/EA has been prepared in accordance with the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (NEPA), the implementing regulations of the Council on Environmental Quality (40 CFR 1500-1508), NPS Management Policies 2006, and NPS Director’s Order #12: Conservation Planning, Environmental Impact Analysis and Decision-Making (DO-12), and accompanying DO-12 Handbook (2001). It should be noted, that the implementation of any given alternative is subject to future availability of funds. Additionally, this plan will remain in effect until a) conditions change to a point at which the detection and assessment actions are no longer useful, or b) the Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries stops CWD surveillance, or c) a long-term CWD management plan for the Park is in place. PURPOSE AND NEED FOR ACTION The purpose of this Plan/EA is to establish a framework for the detection and assessment of CWD in white-tailed deer in Shenandoah National Park that 1) allows the NPS to determine with a high level of confidence whether CWD is present in the Park’s white-tailed deer population, 2) allows the NPS to understand the prevalence and distribution of CWD if it is detected in the Park, 3) supports future decision-making relative to long-term management of CWD in the Park’s white-tailed deer population, and 4) allows the NPS to cooperate/coordinate to a greater degree with the state in its surveillance efforts. In September 2005, CWD was diagnosed in a free-ranging white-tailed deer in Hampshire County, West Virginia (an area within 35 miles of the Park). Subsequently, 74 deer have tested positive for CWD in Hampshire County. In January 2010, a deer tested positive for CWD in Frederick County, Virginia, less than a mile from the West Virginia border and within 23 miles of the Park (Figure 1). Therefore, a CWD Detection and Assessment Plan is needed because CWD represents a potential threat to Park resources, primarily white-tailed deer, and the Park’s proximity to known positive CWD cases represents a risk factor for disease introduction. 1 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Figure 1. Map depicting the proximity of Shenandoah National Park and other NPS units to CWD- positive deer in Hampshire County, West Virginia, and Frederick County, Virginia. 2 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park OBJECTIVES IN TAKING ACTION Objectives are “what must be achieved, to a large degree, for the action to be considered a success” (Director’s Order 12, NPS 2001). Objectives for detecting and responding to CWD must be grounded in the Park’s enabling legislation, purpose, and significance, and must be compatible with direction and guidance provided by the Park’s general management plan, resource management plan, wilderness management plan, and other management guidance. Alternatives selected for detailed analysis in this Plan/EA must meet all objectives to a large degree and resolve the purpose of, and need for, action. Shenandoah National Park’s enabling legislation, purpose, and significance were considered in developing the following objectives related to CWD detection and assessment: Deer Estimate risk of CWD infection in the white-tailed deer population of the Park based on known disease risk factors. Appropriate to the level of risk, develop and implement: protocols for detection of CWD presence using a scientifically and statistically based sampling strategy; and actions for the assessment of disease prevalence and distribution amongst deer within the Park. Human Health and Safety Minimize the potential for health and safety issues for Park staff and visitors associated with CWD detection and assessment activities. Visitor Experience and Involvement of Interested Parties Cooperate and coordinate with appropriate state and federal resource management agencies, as well as other interested parties, with respect to detection and assessment of CWD. Enhance the awareness and understanding among visitors and interested parties of CWD and NPS resource management issues, policies, and mandates as they pertain to prevention, detection, and response to the disease. Minimize disruption to visitor use and experience during implementation of CWD detection and assessment activities. Park Management and Operations Minimize impacts of CWD detection and assessment activities on current Park operations, including budget and workload. Therefore, the implementation of any given alternative (action plan) is subject to future availability of funds. 3 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park PARK PURPOSE AND SIGNIFICANCE The Park purpose and significance are key elements that help shape the management of a Park. The purpose describes why the Park was set aside as a NPS unit. Significance addresses why the Park is unique – the cultural heritage and natural features. Park significance statements capture the essence of the Park’s importance to the nation’s natural and cultural heritage. Understanding Park significance helps managers make decisions that preserve the resources and values necessary to the Park’s purpose. Congress established Shenandoah National Park on February 21, 1925, declaring: …the Secretary of the Interior is hereby authorized and directed to determine the boundaries and area of such portion of the Blue Ridge Mountains of Virginia lying east of the South Fork of the Shenandoah River and between Front Royal on the north and Waynesboro on the south as may be recommended by him to be acquired and administered as a national park, to be known as the Shenandoah National Park…(43 Stat. 955) Park Purpose Legislation related to Shenandoah National Park provides very limited insight into the Park purpose. The following purpose statements were developed as part of a strategic planning analysis conducted by Shenandoah National Park: Maintain a scenic “Skyline Drive” to provide views of the Shenandoah Valley and Piedmont of Virginia; Protect and preserve the aesthetic values, natural and cultural resources within the Park; Provide recreational opportunities and traditional visitor amenities; and Preserve the wilderness character of designated wilderness. Park Significance Park significance statements capture the essence of the Park’s importance to the nation’s natural and cultural heritage. Understanding Park significance helps managers make decisions that preserve the resources and values necessary to achieve the Park’s purpose. Based on the Park’s Comprehensive Interpretive Plan (2006), Shenandoah National Park is significant because this Park provides a traditional “national park experience” in the east; the Park has become a sizeable “natural area” with large areas of designated wilderness and is an outstanding example of the Blue Ridge/Central Appalachian biome; this national Park is near large metropolitan populations, providing relatively good accessibility to millions of citizens; it provides recreation and “re-creation,” in the historic context of personal contemplative pleasure; within the historic context of the time in which the Park was established, the Park represented a conscious change in human use of the land rather than the preservation of unimpaired resources; 4 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park the Appalachian Trail is the backbone of the Park’s trail system; it includes fine examples of early trail construction techniques and is the longest segment of the Appalachian Trail in a national park; Skyline Drive National Historic Landmark and the associated developed areas at Simmons Gap, Lewis Mountain, Big Meadows, Skyland, Piney River, Pinnacles, Dickey Ridge, and Park Headquarters are listed on the National Register. Their national significance is their association with the Civilian Conservation Corps, the Works Progress Administration, and several hundred architectural and landscape architectural structures and features that are highly representative of their type; and Rapidan Camp, the summer retreat of Herbert and Lou Henry Hoover from 1929 to 1933, is a National Historic Landmark. It served as the “summer White House” during the Hoover presidency, was the site of many national and international policy meetings, and retains significant rustic architectural and landscape structures and features. PROJECT LOCATION Shenandoah National Park is located in the Blue Ridge Mountains of Virginia just west of Washington, DC, and stretches over 100 miles from its northern entrance at Front Royal, Virginia, to its southern entrance near Waynesboro, Virginia. The Park encompasses more than 197,000 acres in eight Virginia counties, including Albemarle, Augusta, Green, Madison, Page, Rappahannock, Rockingham, and Warren. The Park is located in the Central Appalachian biogeographic region and separates a portion of the Piedmont Region (to the east) from much of the Shenandoah Valley. The Park encompasses over 200 miles of roads (including 105 miles of the Skyline Drive Scenic Byway), approximately 516 miles of trails (including 101 miles of the Appalachian Trail), and numerous visitor centers, campgrounds, and concessioner-operated facilities, including lodges. Approximately 50 species of mammals, 32 fish, 27 reptiles, 24 amphibians, and more than 200 species of birds occur in the Park (NPS 2006b). Deer are an integral component of the native communities and are the largest herbivore in the Park. Deer are a source of enjoyment for Park visitors (e.g. wildlife observers or photographers) that visit the Park specifically to view deer. Visitors may also view deer incidentally when camping, hiking, or driving in the Park. These opportunities to view deer populations are popular activities and are seen as valuable recreational, aesthetic, and educational experiences at the Park (Haskell, 1986). However, as deer populations have increased, issues related to disease transmission within these larger populations have become a concern, including the potential for the transmission of CWD. A deer management plan for the Park was completed in 1986 and requires some updating. Regardless, one of the Park’s standing deer management objectives is to develop and support cooperative deer research on population dynamics, landscape effects, and disease issues (Haskell, 1986). Other objectives include: Allowing natural processes to prevail to the greatest degree possible, and In developed areas, managing/mitigating issues associated with deer that have become habituated to people, 5 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park developing and supporting research and monitoring programs specific to issues in developed areas, and conducting surveillance for CWD (CWD Science Team, 2006). CHRONIC WASTING DISEASE SUMMARY Chronic wasting disease is in a family of diseases known as transmissible spongiform encephalopathies (TSEs) and is an infectious, self-propagating, neurological disease. CWD causes brain lesions in deer, moose, and elk that result in progressive weight loss, behavioral changes, and eventually death. There is no treatment or vaccine available to address CWD. The disease is in the same family as other TSEs such as bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE), also known as “mad cow,” and sheep scrapie (NPS 2007). The exact origin of CWD is unknown and the time and place of emergence cannot be determined with certainty (Spraker et al. 1997; Williams et al. 2002). It is possible that CWD resulted from spontaneous changes in the folding of a normal prion (protein containing no genetic material) to an infectious, rogue prion with subsequent transmission to susceptible species (Williams et al. 2002). Alternatively, CWD could be a mutated form of domestic sheep scrapie that has adapted to deer, moose, and elk (Raymond et al. 2000; Race et al. 2002). Both CWD and scrapie are infectious, contagious TSEs, and scrapie has been implicated in the BSE outbreak in Great Britain (Wilesmith et al. 1988; Collinge et al. 1996; Bruce et al. 1997). CWD has likely been present in northeastern Colorado, southeastern Wyoming, and the southwest corner of Nebraska since the 1960s or earlier (Miller et al. 2000). CWD was first observed clinically in 1967 in captive mule deer in a wildlife research facility in Colorado. More than 80% of mule deer over the age of 2 years, held in the Colorado facility from 1974 to 1979, died or were euthanized following signs consistent with CWD. By 1979, brain lesions had been identified and the disease had been described as a spongiform encephalopathy (Williams and Young 1980, 1992). While there are many unknowns surrounding CWD, what is known is that human-associated movement of these diseased animals has aided in the spread of CWD in captive, and likely freeranging, deer and elk (Miller and Williams 2003; Salman 2003; Williams and Miller 2003). The rate of transmission of CWD appears to be greater when concentrations of deer are greater (Samuel et al. 2003; Farnsworth et al. 2005), as is the case with white-tailed deer in eastern national parks. There is also evidence that other human-caused factors, such as already said changes in land use patterns, influence the spread of CWD (Farnsworth et al. 2005). Clinical Signs Animals infected with CWD exhibit the disease through changes in behavior and body condition. Some signs of CWD include animals losing their fear of humans, showing repetitive movements, and/or appearing depressed but becoming quickly alert if startled. In addition to these behavioral signs, physical signs include losing weight or poor body condition, despite having an appetite. In the beginning, these signs may be very subtle, and then over several weeks to several months the signs may increase and become more pronounced. Other signs of CWD include lowered head/ears, increased urination, stumbling, “star-gazing,” increased salivation, wide-based stance, 6 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park increased drinking, loss of coordination, and regurgitation. These behavioral changes could result in physical changes such as pneumonia, staying by water for long periods of time, etc. While any of these may give an observer an indication that an animal might have CWD, the disease can only be diagnosed through laboratory testing (NPS 2007). Diagnosis and Testing The two most common tests for diagnosis of CWD use histopathology techniques which look at the microscopic changes in diseased tissues and immunohistochemistry which uses antibody markers to identify CWD prions. Both techniques use a specific portion of the brain to observe pathologic changes or prion accumulation. Immunohistochemistry is considered the gold standard in CWD diagnosis. Unlike histopathology, this process can use tissues from a variety of places, not just the brain; the lymph nodes and tonsils are preferred tissues. A series of stains applied to the slide will turn any prions responsible for the disease deep red, resulting in a positive diagnosis of CWD for the animal being tested. Finally, rapid tests using Enzyme Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA) techniques can be used on any of the above- mentioned tissues for a more timely diagnosis. None of these methods are 100% sensitive. This means that a negative test result does not guarantee a CWD-free animal (NPS 2007). False positive test results are believed not to occur (Miller and Williams 2002). Transmission Although originally detected in the western U.S., CWD has been found in 18 states and two Canadian provinces in free-ranging and captive populations. In free-ranging populations, CWD has been found in 13 states and two provinces. In captive populations, CWD has been found in 11 states and two provinces (as of November 2010). The natural path of transmission of CWD in deer and other affected animals is unknown, but studies have been conducted that suggest various direct and indirect paths of transmission. Environmental contamination, such as being in the vicinity of dead or live animals with CWD, or being in the areas that the infected animal previously inhabited contributes to the spread of CWD (NPS 2007). In addition, bodily secretions such as feces, urine, and saliva are capable of transmitting the disease (Mathiason et al. 2006). Based on current research, transmission of CWD in white-tailed deer populations is not uniform across the landscape. CWD surveillance in Wisconsin shows that there is a clustered distribution of diseased animals in the CWD-affected area of the state, indicating that deer in proximity to positive cases are more likely to have the disease (Joly et al. 2006). In addition, this research has shown that prevalence is related to deer density, based on correlations with the abundance of deer habitat. Although direct evidence of a density-dependent transmission relationship is weak (Joly et al. 2006), studies have shown that CWD can be very efficiently transmitted between animals in captive herds (Williams and Young 1980; Miller et al. 1998; Miller and Wild 2004). This finding may be similar in free-ranging herds in urban or developed environments that are confined by land use patterns, where, like with other contagious diseases, CWD transmission increases when animals are concentrated. Increased mortality in these populations, such as through management 7 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park actions, may slow transmission by limiting the number of individuals a diseased animal can infect via a reduction in population density. Based on differences in prevalence rates between age and sex classes, recent research also indicates that CWD transmission in white-tailed deer is likely affected by social behavior. A Wisconsin study found that CWD prevalence was 3% to 4% in yearling males and females, but this increased to 13% for three-year-old males and 7% for three-year-old females (Grear et al. 2006). These differences may be attributed to direct transmission in male groups from late winter through early summer; transmission during the breeding season when males come into close contact with many more potentially infected females; or the fact that males have larger home ranges and broader movements during the breeding season, which increases the chances of infectious contacts (Grear et al. 2006). The spread and transmission of CWD in white-tailed deer populations can be attributed to a range of risk factors. With CWD spreading to new areas, it is thought that by identifying these risk factors, wildlife managers can better predict which populations are susceptible to CWD. Risk factors fall into two categories: exposure related and amplification related. The first category (i.e. exposure) addresses the likelihood that CWD will be introduced to a given population and includes identifying the following: areas adjacent to CWD-positive wildlife; areas with CWD-positive farmed or captive deer or elk; areas with concentrations of farmed or captive deer or elk; areas that have received translocated deer or elk from CWD-affected regions; areas permitting transport of hunter-killed deer or elk carcasses from CWD identified areas; and areas adjacent to land on which farmed or wild animals which have tested positive to transmissible spongiform encephalopathy (e.g., bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) and sheep scrapie) have lived. The second set of risk factors addresses how CWD can spread once it is in a population (i.e. amplificiation) and includes: areas with a history of CWD animals or CWD contaminated environments; areas with high deer or elk population density; areas with low abundance of large predators; and areas where free-ranging deer or elk are artificially concentrated (baiting, feeding, water development, and other human-related habitat modifications). As of November 2010, CWD has been found in 13 states and two Canadian provinces in freeranging deer and elk populations. However, CWD has been found within only two national parks: Rocky Mountain National Park, Colorado, and Wind Cave National Park, South Dakota. In 2005, CWD was detected in Hampshire County, West Virginia, within 60 miles of several national park units, including Shenandoah National Park. In January 2010 and November 2010, CWD was detected in Frederick County, Virginia, ten miles southeast of the Hampshire County, West Virginia detection and within 23 miles of the Park. 8 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park The NPS formed a team of technical experts called the Science Team to engage in the discussion of CWD and potential detection and assessment options available to the NPS. The team participants were limited to people with scientific background in CWD and deer management and research, and NPS staff. The purpose of science team discussions was to provide a technical framework for the development of action thresholds and alternatives for the CWD detection and assessment plan. The team convened via conference calls, meeting six times over a 5-month period in 2007. The topics of discussion included the following: existing conditions surrounding the Park; existing data and CWD monitoring; CWD detection and assessment goals; approach to establishing action thresholds for detection and assessment; and issues related to implementation of various actions. Disposal of CWD-Infected Material Because infected carcasses serve as a source of environmental contamination (Miller et al. 2004) and soils may act as a reservoir for prion infectivity (Johnson et al. 2006), it is recommended that known and suspect CWD positive animals be removed from the environment. Alkaline digestion and incineration are two of the most effective ways of destroying contaminated organic material. Arrangements can often be made with laboratories to test and then dispose of animals. Another option, depending on the region, is landfill disposal; however, local landfills must be contacted for more information regarding carcass disposal. There is currently no national standard for disposal of known or suspect CWD-contaminated organic material, such as whole or partial carcasses. Each refuse disposal area is likely to have different regulations and restrictions for disposal of potentially infected tissues. Therefore, options for carcass disposal include licensed landfills or other permitted facilities, as well as laboratories with incineration or alkaline digestion capabilities. CWD Testing Efforts Near the Park Since 2002, VDGIF has tested over 5,000 samples for CWD from wild white-tailed deer, captive deer of several species, and elk, with the large majority of samples coming from free-ranging white-tailed deer. In both 2002 and 2007, VDGIF performed statewide CWD surveillance in free-ranging white tailed deer. During other years, beginning in 2005 when CWD was first detected in Hampshire County, West Virginia, VDGIF has focused CWD surveillance in counties adjacent to WV. Virginia’s first case of CWD was confirmed January 19, 2010 in a twpand-a-half- year-old female white-tailed deer harvested by a hunter on November 14, 2009 in western Frederick County, Virginia (within 11 miles of the West Virginia CWD endemic area). The only other CWD detection in Virginia was in November 2010 from the same Frederick County area.. The states of Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia have also developed response plans to address CWD in white-tailed deer populations. Over 6,700 Maryland free-ranging deer have been tested for CWD since 2002 with no positive results. Pennsylvania has been testing hunterkilled deer and elk for CWD for eight years, and in total more than 27,000 cervids have been tested with no positives detected. In West Virginia, surveillance efforts conducted by the state as 9 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park of October 27, 2010 have resulted in a total of 74 deer being confirmed positive for CWD in Hampshire County, the first in 2005. Surveillance efforts are ongoing. RELATED LAWS, POLICIES, PLANS, AND GUIDANCE The following laws, policies, and plans associated with the NPS, the state of Virginia, or agencies with neighboring land or relevant management authority are described in this section in order to identify constraints on the development and implementation of this Plan/EA and the goals and policies with which the Plan/EA must conform. It should be noted that the state of Virginia does not have land or wildlife management authority on Shenandoah National Park lands. NPS Related Laws, Policies, Plans, and Guidance NPS Organic Act of 1916 Congress directed the U.S. Department of the Interior and the NPS to manage units “to conserve the scenery and the natural and historic objects and wild life therein and to provide for the enjoyment of the same in such a manner and by such a means as will leave them unimpaired for the enjoyment of future generations” (16 USC 1). The Organic Act and its amendments afford the NPS latitude when making resource decisions. Because conservation remains predominant, the NPS seeks to avoid or to minimize adverse impacts on Park resources and values. However, the NPS Organic Act does give the Secretary of the Interior discretion to provide “for the destruction of such animal and of such plant life as may be detrimental to the use of any of said parks, monuments, or reservations” (16 USC 3). The Organic Act prohibits actions that impair park resources unless a law directly and specifically allows for such actions (16 USC 1 a-1). Redwood Amendment (1978) to the General Authorities Act (1970) Reasserting the system-wide standard of protection established by Congress in the original Organic Act, the Redwood Amendment stated: The authorization of activities shall be construed and the protection, management, and administration of these areas shall be conducted in light of the high public value and integrity of the National Park System and shall not be exercised in derogation of the values and purposes for which these various areas have been established, except as may have been or shall be directly and specifically provided by Congress” (P.L. 95-250, USC Sec 1a-1). Congress intended the language of the Redwood Amendment to reiterate the provisions of the Organic Act, not to create a substantively different management standard. Under the Redwood Amendment, “The Secretary has an absolute duty, which is not to be compromised, to fulfill the mandate of the 1916 Act to take whatever actions and seek whatever relief as will safeguard the units of the national park system.” Although the Organic Act and the General Authorities Act, as amended by the Redwood Amendment, use different wording (“unimpaired” and “derogation”) to describe what the NPS must avoid, they define a single standard for the management of the national park system—not two different standards. For simplicity, the NPS Management Policies 2006 uses “impairment,” not both statutory phrases, to refer to that single standard. 10 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park NPS Management Policies 2006, Section 1.4: The Prohibition on Impairment of Park Resources and Values By enacting the NPS Organic Act of 1916 (Organic Act), Congress directed the U.S. Department of Interior and the NPS to manage units “to conserve the scenery and the natural and historic objects and wildlife therein and to provide for the enjoyment of the same in such a manner and by such a means as will leave them unimpaired for the enjoyment of future generations” (16 USC § 1). Congress reiterated this mandate in the Redwood National Park Expansion Act of 1978 by stating that NPS must conduct its actions in a manner that will ensure no “derogation of the values and purposes for which these various areas have been established, except as may have been or shall be directly and specifically provided by Congress” (16 USC 1a-1). NPS Management Policies 2006, Section 1.4.4, explains the prohibition on impairment of park resources and values: “While Congress has given the Service the management discretion to allow impacts within parks, that discretion is limited by the statutory requirement (generally enforceable by the federal courts) that the Park Service must leave park resources and values unimpaired unless a particular law directly and specifically provides otherwise. This, the cornerstone of the Organic Act, establishes the primary responsibility of the Nation Park Service. It ensures that park resources and values will continue to exist in a condition that will allow the American people to have present and future opportunities for enjoyment of them.” The NPS has discretion to allow impacts on Park resources and values when necessary and appropriate to fulfill the purposes of a Park (NPS 2006 sec. 1.4.3). However, the NPS cannot allow an adverse impact that would constitute impairment of the affected resources and values (NPS 2006 sec 1.4.3). An action constitutes an impairment when its impacts “harm the integrity of Park resources or values, including the opportunities that otherwise would be present for the enjoyment of those resources or values” (NPS 2006 sec 1.4.5). In making a determination of whether there would be an impairment, an NPS decision-maker must use his or her professional judgment (NPS 2006 sec 1.4.7). This means that the decision-maker must consider any environmental assessments or environmental impact statements required by NEPA; consultations required under section 106 of the NHPA; relevant scientific and scholarly studies; advice or insights offered by subject matter experts and others who have relevant knowledge or experience; and the results of civic engagement and public involvement activities relating to the decision (NPS 2006 sec 1.4.7). At the time that a decision is made, a non-impairment determination will be prepared for the selected action and appended to the decision document. Director’s Order 77: Natural Resource Management This Natural Resource Management Reference Manual #77 offers comprehensive guidance to National Park Service employees responsible for managing, conserving, and protecting the natural resources found in National Park System units. This Reference Manual serves as the primary Level 3 guidance on natural resource management in units of the National Park System, replacing NPS-77, The Natural Resource Management Guideline, issued in 1991 under the previous NPS guideline series. 11 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Natural Resource Management Reference Manual, NPS-77 Managers must follow all federal laws, regulations, and policies, plus guidelines established in the Natural Resource Management Reference Manual which is being updated to replace the Natural Resources Management Guideline (1991). Guidance is provided to park managers for all planned and ongoing natural resource management activities. This document provides the direction for park management to design, implement, and evaluate a comprehensive natural resource management program. A National Park Service Manager’s Reference Notebook to Understanding CWD, Version 4 (May 2007) Although not a policy or directive, this document provides NPS managers with an informational reference that summarizes some of the most pertinent CWD literature, management options and policy as they pertain to NPS units (NPS 2007a). It includes discussions of CWD, its ecology, equipment decontamination and disposal, implications of CWD on cervid management, management options, cooperation/coordination with other agencies, data management, sample collection, handling, and storage, NPS CWD policy and recommendations, as well as several appendixes. NPS wildlife managers in other parks are developing plans to detect and address CWD. Antietam National Battlefield and Monocacy National Battlefield, both in Maryland, have completed a CWD Plan/EA because, like Shenandoah, they are close to known CWD cases. The NPS CWD Handbook (NPS 2007) has identified numerous management options that can be implemented if CWD is found in or near a park unit, considering the site-specific CWD goals and objectives of the park unit. Those discussed in the handbook are listed below: no action; opportunistic surveillance (taking samples for CWD testing from deer found dead or harvested within the unit); targeted surveillance (performing lethal removal of deer that exhibit clinical signs consistent with CWD); test and cull (test and remove any deer found to be diseased); “hot-spot” culling (removing all deer in high incidence areas); population reduction (decreasing the number of deer in the population); wolf predation as a stewardship tool; and de-population (removal of all deer). Details about each of these can be found in the handbook, which is provided at http://www1.nrintra.nps.gov/BRMD/nativespecies/Wildlifehealth/Documents/CWD_notebook_v ersion 4_7_07_.pdf Director’s CWD Guidance Memorandum (2002) This memo (NPS 2002b) provides guidance to regions and parks on the NPS response to CWD, including: 12 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Cooperate and coordinate with state wildlife and agriculture agencies regarding proposed prevention, surveillance, research, and control actions for CWD. Parks in close proximity (60 miles) to areas where CWD has been detected should initiate a targeted surveillance program to monitor for deer and elk with clinical signs of the disease and submit samples for diagnostic testing from all deer and elk found dead. Immediate action should be taken, on a limited scale, to address imminent threats such as a deer or elk exhibiting clinical signs of CWD. Euthanasia of CWD- suspect deer or elk with samples submitted for diagnostic evaluation is a reasonable response. Prior to undertaking larger scale or multiple animal actions within a park (e.g., population reduction of deer and elk), environmental planning documents, including NEPA and, if applicable, Section 7 consultation with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, will need to be prepared. Proposed translocations of live deer or elk into or out of NPS units must receive critical review and CWD risk assessment. Deer or elk will not be translocated from areas where CWD is known to occur or where there is inadequate documentation to confirm absence of the disease (i.e., 99% confident that CWD prevalence (proportion infected) is <1%). Use of park or regional public affairs staff to assist in outreach to surrounding communities and communications to park visitors regarding CWD and CWD management is encouraged. Remain alert to potential threats from CWD and contact the NPS Biological Resource Management Division (BRMD) or state wildlife agencies if further information or animal testing is needed. Shenandoah National Park General Management Plan/Environmental Assessment (1981a) The Shenandoah National Park General Management Plan/Environmental Assessment (GMP/EA) was approved for public review in June 1981. The GMP/EA identifies issues associated with the Park’s: land base (irregular boundary and shape of the Park, surrounding land use and development); resource management (natural and cultural resources); visitor use and interpretation (increased visitation, visitor use conflicts, illegal activities); and development (facility conditions, demand for recreation facilities, automobile use) (NPS 1981a). The GMP/EA provides alternatives specific to resolving the issues and makes an assessment of the compatibility of each of them when combined with another. Although wildlife disease management is not specifically addressed in the document under Natural Resources, all alternatives considered for this CWD detection and assessment plan will be developed within the overall framework of the Park’s GMP/EA. Shenandoah National Park Resource Management Plan (1998) The resource management plan was developed and presents a sound and scientific rationale for ongoing resource management practices, recommends additional resource management practices (where knowledge permits), and develops a program of additional projects and research. 13 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Although it does not address disease management, the plan lists several related objectives for managing the natural resources in Shenandoah National Park: To manage native Park wildlife so that it occupies its proper environmental niche. To secure, through research or other means, adequate information on the Park’s natural resources, cultural resources, and visitor use to develop the best possible Park management strategies. To encourage appropriate, safe, year-round use of the Park’s natural, cultural, recreational, and wilderness resources in a manner that minimizes conflicts between visitor groups and adverse effects on Park resources. To foster public understanding and appreciation of the historical and present role of man and natural process in shaping the changing environment of the Blue Ridge Mountains through innovative environmental education and interpretive programs (NPS 1998). The plan does address specific deer management issues and recommends that the Park collect data on the health of the deer population at Shenandoah (NPS 1998). Shenandoah National Park Deer Management Plan (1987) Although there did not appear to be an excessive number of deer in the Park at the time of the Park’s 1987 Deer Management Plan preparation, there was a concern that a concentration of deer in developed frontcountry areas presents a safety hazard to visitors. Openings in the forest created by campgrounds, picnic areas, concessions, and Skyline Drive provide an excellent environment for growth of a diversity of browse, forbs, and grass. The result is a high population of deer in developed areas where forage is abundant and human use is greatest (NPS 1987). As a result, the Park developed a deer management plan that proposed several actions to address this issue and to monitor the deer population at the Park. Selected management actions included nonlethal options such as: Education;, law enforcement (especially as it pertained to feeding of wildlife); vegetation modification (mowing regimes in developed areas), the use of reflective devices (to reduce safety hazards); aversive conditioning (using noise, chemical repellents, or other methods to discourage deer/human interactions); capture of individual problem deer; and annual relocation of “tame deer” from developed areas. Since fall 2005, all deer relocation activities have been stopped at the Park in light of the discovery of CWD in Hampshire County, West Virginia. While the plan does not address disease management for white-tailed deer, it does list some objectives that would be considered in developing CWD detection and assessment activities, including: In backcountry and wilderness areas, allow the deer population to be regulated by natural processes to the greatest extent possible. 14 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Monitor the deer population and habitat condition to evaluate management actions and to gather baseline data. Work closely with local universities and state and federal resource management agencies to develop needed research and cooperative deer management programs (NPS 1987). Other Federal Related Laws, Policies, Plans, and Guidance National Environmental Policy Act, 1969, as Amended The National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) was passed by Congress in 1969 and took effect on January 1, 1970. This legislation established this country’s environmental policies, including the goal of achieving productive harmony between human beings and the physical environment for present and future generations. It provided the tools to implement these goals by requiring that every federal agency prepare an in-depth study of the impacts of “major federal actions having a significant effect on the environment” and alternatives to those actions. It also required that each agency make that information an integral part of its decisions. NEPA also requires that agencies make a diligent effort to involve the interested members of the public before they make decisions affecting the environment. NEPA is implemented through regulations of the Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ) [40 CFR 1500-1508]. The NPS has in turn adopted procedures to comply with the act and the CEQ regulations, as found in Director's Order #12: Conservation Planning, Environmental Impact Analysis, and Decision Making (DO-12) and accompanying DO-12 handbook (NPS 2001). Code of Federal Regulations, Title 43 Title 43 of the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR), Part 24 describes the four major systems of Federal lands administered by the Department of the Interior. Section 24.4(f) states that “Units of the National Park System contain natural, recreation, historic, and cultural values of national significance as designated by Executive and Congressional action.” In describing appropriate activities, it states that “[a]s a general rule, consumptive resource utilization is prohibited.” In addition, Section 24.4 (i) instructs all Federal agencies of the Department of the Interior, among other things, to “[p]repare fish and wildlife management plans in cooperation with State fish and wildlife agencies and other Federal (non-Interior) agencies where appropriate.” It also directs agencies to “[c]onsult with the States and comply with State permit requirements … except in instances where the Secretary of the Interior determines that such compliance would prevent him from carrying out his statutory responsibilities.” Code of Federal Regulations, Title 36 Title 36 provides the regulations “for the proper use, management, government, and protection of persons, property, and natural and cultural resources within areas under the jurisdiction of the National Park Service” (36 Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) 1.1(a)). The applicable sections of 36 CFR are summarized in Table 1. 15 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Executive Order 13112, Invasive Species This executive order requires the NPS to prevent the introduction of invasive species, provide for their control, and to minimize the economic, ecological, and human health impacts that invasive species cause. Animal Welfare Act (7 USC 2131-2159), as Amended The Animal Welfare Act requires that minimum standards of care and treatment be provided for certain animals bred for commercial sale, used in research, transported commercially, or exhibited to the public. Individuals who operate facilities in these categories must provide their animals with adequate care and treatment in the areas of housing, handling, sanitation, nutrition, water, veterinary care, and protection from extreme weather and temperatures. CWD detection and assessment activities with a research component would be regulated by this act. National Chronic Wasting Disease Plan (2002) The Plan for Assisting States, Federal Agencies, and Tribes in Managing Chronic Wasting Disease in Wild and Captive Herds was released in June 2002. This plan is a result of a task force made up of representatives from the U.S. Department of Agriculture, U.S. Department of Interior, and various state wildlife and agriculture management agencies, as well as universities from Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Louisiana, Michigan, Missouri, Nebraska, South Dakota, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. To create this report, six working groups were created, each of which developed goals for addressing CWD and actions to meet those goals. These issues included communications, scientific and technical information dissemination, improving diagnostics, disease management, identifying research needs, and developing consensus standards for surveillance of both captive and free-ranging herds. This report also provided a summary of existing state regulations and activities as they relate to CWD surveillance and response (CWD Task Force 2002). 16 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Table 1. Sections of 36 Code of Federal Regulations applicable to this project. Applicable 36 CFR Sections Summary 36 CFR 1.1 (a, b) These provisions state that the regulations are intended for the proper use, management, and protection of property and natural resources within the jurisdiction of the NPS. These regulations will be utilized to fulfill statutory purposes of the NPS, including conservation of wildlife and providing for the enjoyment of resources in a manner that will enable future generations to receive the same benefits. 36 CFR 2.1 (a)(1)(i) This provision states that destroying or harming any living or dead wildlife (parts or products thereof) is prohibited. 36 CFR 2.2 (a)(1-3) These provisions state that the taking, feeding, touching, teasing, frightening, intentionally disturbing or possessing wildlife or nesting habitats, except by authorized hunting, is prohibited. 36 CFR 2.2 (b)(2); (d) These provisions state that hunting is allowed within Park areas where the activity is mandated in specific areas by Federal statutory law, if the superintendent determines that such activity is consistent with public safety and enjoyment and sound resource management principals. Hunting shall be allowed only pursuant to a special regulation. The superintendent may establish procedures by which to transport lawfully taken wildlife throughout the Park. Note: This regulation does not apply to Shenandoah because hunting is prohibited by statute. State-Related Regulations and Plans Virginia Deer Hunting Regulations Although state regulations do not apply on Park lands, they are the rules that govern wildlife management on adjacent lands and are provided for clarity. The VDGIF, under the direction of a governor-appointed board of directors, is specifically charged by the General Assembly with the management of the state's wildlife resources, including white-tailed deer. Currently, in most parts of the state, deer management objectives in Virginia are to control and stabilize populations. These objectives are based on what the state calls a “cultural carrying capacity” - the maximum number of deer that can coexist compatibly with humans. This management direction has resulted in liberal deer hunting regulations and an increased kill of antlerless deer over the past decade that appear to have stabilized herd growth in most areas. Based on their experience, the state of Virginia has determined that deer hunting is a viable, cost- efficient management tool that not only maintains a healthy deer resource but also diminishes deer crop damage levels, deer-vehicle collision rates, and deer-ecosystem impacts (VDGIF 2006). Regulated deer hunting provides over 2 million hunter days of recreation in Virginia. Hunters may take deer during urban archery, early and late archery, early and late muzzle-loading, and general firearms seasons. Deer regulations, which are summarized each year in a pamphlet published by the VDGIF, cover bag limits, tag requirements, season dates, and legal methods and restrictions for each season (VDGIF 2006). In Virginia, deer management objectives and regulations are set on a county basis. At the state level, deer regulations are evaluated and amended every other year on 17 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park odd years; depending on management goals and the current status of the deer herd; amendments may involve an adjustment in season lengths, bag limits, and/or the number of firearms season either-sex deer hunting days. Deer management in Virginia is predicated on the fact that herd density and health are best controlled by regulating antlerless deer kill levels (VDGIF 2006). New regulations identified in the pamphlet for the 2006–2007 seasons included two regulations to help control the introduction or spread of CWD in Virginia. The first prohibits placing or distributing food, salt, or minerals to feed or attract deer (between September 1 and January 6); thereby, limiting activities that concentrate deer and may increase the rate of transmission of the disease. The second regulation prohibits the importation or possession of whole carcasses or specified parts of carcasses from any cervid originating from a state or Canadian province in which CWD has been found in free-ranging or captive deer (VDGIF 2006). The pamphlet has an entire section dedicated to CWD and its management in Virginia, including information on the surveillance efforts taken to date per the response and surveillance plans briefly discussed below and covered in more detail in the section on Chronic Wasting Disease Response and Surveillance Plans. Response Management Actions established in 2010 have the full force of the law, per Director's authority in 4VAC-15-20-220 (see section on Response Management Actions below). Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries Chronic Wasting Disease Response Plan (2009) This response plan, developed by the VDGIF, outlines management activities to determine the magnitude and geographic extent of CWD infection and control transmission. It addresses general response activities (e.g., notification procedures, media/public relations), responses to positive CWD cases in free-ranging and captive deer in Virginia, and responses to the discovery of CWD within 20 miles of the Virginia border (VDGIF 2009). For more information, please reference http://www.dgif.virginia.gov/wildlife/diseases/cwd/ Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries Chronic Wasting Disease Surveillance Plan (2005, 2007, and 2010) The VDGIF developed this plan to address the positive detection of CWD in Hampshire County (September 2005), West Virginia, within 50 miles of the Virginia border. It was subsequently updated in August 2007 and is designed to detect CWD in separate geographic surveillance areas that have been stratified as high, medium, or low-risk based on the presence of CWD in West Virginia and the presence of captive cervid facilities. The 2007 plan expanded CWD surveillance to encompass a larger portion of Virginia following the discovery of a positive deer 10 miles southeast of Slanesville, West Virginia. In July 2010, it was updated again to address the January 2010 positive detection of a hunterkilled deer in Frederick County, Virginia (less than one mile from the West Virginia border and less than 12 miles from the Hampshire County, West Virginia CWD endemic area). The plan identifies a range of potential measures and specific surveillance strategies that will be used in each of these areas (VDGIF 2010). For more information, please reference http://www.dgif.virginia.gov/wildlife/diseases/cwd/ 18 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries CWD Response Team Response Management Actions (2010) These Recommended Management Actions were developed by the VDGIF CWD Response Team following confirmation of CWD in a hunter-killed deer from western Frederick County in January 2010. These recommendations include designating a Containment Area around the CWD positive case, conducting mandatory hunter-killed deer testing in the Containment Area, prohibitions on deer feeding and carcass transport, etc. For the full list of recommendations go to: http://www.dgif.virginia.gov/wildlife/diseases/cwd/. SCOPING PROCESS AND IMPACT TOPICS Scoping Scoping is an early and open process to determine the breadth of environmental issues and alternatives to be addressed in a NEPA document. Scoping is used to identify which issues need to be analyzed in detail and which can be eliminated from in-depth analysis. Internal scoping typically includes NPS staff (park, region and WASO) and may also include federal, state or local agencies with jurisdiction by law or special expertise. External scoping includes other interested federal, state or local agencies, interested organizations or individuals, and the general public. The scope of issues to be addressed was discussed at an internal scoping meeting held when the NPS Interdisciplinary Team (IDT) convened for this plan on November 13 and 14, 2006. The NPS IDT consisted of Washington and Regional subject matter experts and Park staff with knowledge and expertise of Park resources. Public meetings were held on March 28 and 29, 2007, at two locations near the Park to solicit public input on issues related to CWD and possible management actions (see the Consultation and Coordination section for more information on public scoping). In addition, the Park has been in communication with the VDGIF since the CWD positive discovery in West Virginia. Issues Issues describe problems or concerns associated with current impacts from environmental conditions or current operations, as well as problems that may arise from the implementation of any of the alternatives. Issues can usually be described in terms of cause and effect; e.g., lack of formalized access trails to historic sites results in formation of informal trails that result in adverse impacts to the sites. As a result of the Park’s internal and public scoping effort, several issues were identified requiring further analysis in this plan. These issues represent existing concerns, as well as concerns that may arise during consideration and analysis of alternatives. Concern that CWD may spread into the Park from the CWD endemic area in Hampshire County, West Virginia, or from Frederick County, Virginia. Concern that spread of the disease into Shenandoah will result in a considerable impact to the white-tailed deer population. This in turn could affect the Park’s vegetation dynamics, other wildlife populations, wildlife viewing opportunities (visitor experience), hunting 19 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park opportunities on adjacent private lands, businesses that rely on deer hunting (taxidermists, hunting stores, check stations), crop depredation, and overall tourism in the Park and surrounding areas (visitor use and socioeconomics). Concern that, as the Park begins to implement actions to assess the disease once it is found, there will be impacts on human health and safety and overall Park operations (including budget). Impact Topics Based on the issues and concerns identified during scoping, specific impact topics were developed to focus the environmental impact analysis. Impact topics are resources of concern that could be affected, either adversely or beneficially, by the range of alternatives presented in this EA. The use of specific impact topics allows comparison of the environmental consequences of each alternative based on the most relevant topics. The impact topics are based on federal laws, regulations, and Executive Orders, NPS Management Policies 2001, and NPS knowledge of limited or easily impacted resources. Following is a list of the impact topics retained for analysis, with a rationale for their selection, as well as a list of impact topics that were dismissed from detailed analysis, with the rationale for dismissal. Impact Topics Retained for Analysis The impact topics selected for analysis in this Plan/EA include: White-tailed Deer Vegetation Other Wildlife State-listed Plant Species Socioeconomics Visitor Use and Experience Human Health and Safety Park Management and Operations Chapter 3 describes the affected environment for each impact topic analyzed and presents the potential impacts of implementing any of the alternatives. White-tailed Deer Options for CWD detection and assessment that would involve live testing or removing presumably healthy animals may affect the white-tailed deer populations in the Park. In addition, assessment activities may be implemented that would reduce the number of deer in a localized area to try to ascertain prevalence of the disease. This would have an effect on the deer population in that area; therefore, this impact topic was retained for further analysis. Other Wildlife According to the NPS Management Policies 2006, the NPS strives to maintain all components and processes of naturally evolving park unit ecosystems, including the natural abundance, 20 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park diversity, and ecological integrity of animals. Studies have linked deer densities to effects on other wildlife species such as birds (deCalesta 1994; McShea 2000; McShea and Rappole 2000). As deer populations increase, increased browsing removes vegetation that provides cover, forage, and nesting habitat for birds that nest on the ground or in the understory. CWD detection and assessment activities could reduce the level of browsing (as a result of removing deer for CWD testing), which could indirectly affect other wildlife. In addition, in some cases, deer carcasses of CWD negative deer could be left on the ground after lethal CWD testing activities, which would increase food resources for other wildlife (e.g., coyotes, vultures). These actions may have measurable effects; therefore, this impact topic was retained for further analysis. Vegetation According to the NPS Management Policies 2006, the NPS strives to maintain all components and processes of naturally evolving park unit ecosystems, including the natural abundance, diversity, and ecological integrity of plants. Options for CWD detection and assessment that would involve removing presumably healthy deer could reduce the number of deer that browse in certain areas of the Park. These actions may have measurable effects on vegetation; therefore, this impact topic was retained. State-listed Plant Species NPS Management Policies 2006 requires the Park to examine the impacts on state-listed threatened, endangered, candidate, rare, declining, and sensitive species. It is possible that CWD detection and assessment activities could affect some listed or rare plant species; therefore, the impact topic of state-listed plant species was retained for further analysis. Socioeconomics Deer hunting contributes to the local economy of the area surrounding the Park. Options for CWD detection and assessment that would affect the number of deer around the Park could affect individuals and the local economy, including local sustenance hunting opportunities and guided operations, by reducing animals available for hunting. If CWD is discovered in the area, it could possibly influence hunting-related tourism around the Park due to the uncertainties surrounding the disease. This could impact firearms stores, taxidermists, hotels, restaurants, and hunting outfitters. Should there be any changes in visitation to the Park as a result of CWD detection and assessment activities, it could have effects on local socioeconomics. This impact topic is retained for analysis. Visitor Use and Experience Implementation of CWD detection and assessment activities may require certain areas of the Park to be closed to public use during such activities, which would affect visitor use and experience. Recreational resources in the Park that could be affected include trails, campgrounds, access roads, and the Skyline Drive. CWD detection and assessment activities that result in fewer deer in a particular area could reduce the opportunity to view deer, which may affect visitor use and experience. The use of firearms could influence the soundscape at the Park which could also impact visitor experience. This impact topic is retained for further analysis. 21 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Human Health and Safety CWD detection and assessment activities that involve capturing and immobilizing live animals and performing tonsillar biopsies have the potential to affect the health and safety of the individuals involved. Options that involve the use of firearms also have the potential to affect the safety of Park staff, visitors, and adjacent landowners. These actions may have measurable effects; therefore, this impact topic was retained for further analysis. Park Management and Operations In response to the detection of CWD in white-tailed deer less than 60 miles from the Park, the Park has implemented opportunistic and targeted detection activities. In addition, the Park conducts deer monitoring activities that require Park staff and funds. CWD detection and assessment activities proposed in this Plan/EA would require additional staff time and expenditures that could affect Park management and operations. Increased communication and coordination with the state, as well as educating the public and other interested parties about CWD detection and assessment, would also require additional staff time. These actions may have measurable effects; therefore, this impact topic was retained for further analysis. It should be noted that implementation of any alternative (plan) is contingent on future available funds. Impact Topics Considered but Dismissed from Further Analysis During scoping, several impact topics were identified that were initially considered but then dismissed from further analysis in the Plan/EA. Impact topics dismissed from detailed consideration are described below with the rationale for their dismissal. Geology No CWD detection or assessment activity proposed in the alternatives would be expected to have any impact on the geology of the Park, therefore, this topic is not considered further in this EA. Soils Infected carcasses serve as a source of prions that persist in the environment and may serve as a source of the disease following removal of CWD-positive deer (Miller et al. 2004). Results of recent studies suggest that these prions bind to soil particles and continue to be infectious, and can remain in soil environments for at least three years (Johnson et al. 2006; Schramm et al. 2006). These prions, however, do not cause erosion or change the physical properties of soils. In addition, none of the alternatives presented would impact soils to a level that could be measured or evaluated. Therefore, this impact topic was dismissed from further analysis. Air Quality Sources of air quality emissions from the implementation of CWD detection and assessment activities include the potential for the use of incinerators to dispose of carcasses from CWD testing. Virginia Department of Agriculture Regional Animal Health Laboratories, which have the appropriate incinerators, are located in Harrisonburg and Warrenton. Incineration of carcasses could have some measurable effects; however, these facilities are both approximately 22 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park 25 miles from the Park, and they would have the proper permits for emission release. Therefore, this topic was dismissed. Water Quality There is a lack of science indicating water as a method of CWD transmission (NPS Wildlife Veterinarian Jenny Powers, personal communication). In addition, none of the proposed actions, if implemented, would affect water quality; therefore, the topic of water quality was dismissed from further analysis. Floodplains or Wetlands The implementation of CWD detection and assessment activities would not have any effects on floodplains or wetlands in the Park; therefore, this topic was dismissed from further analysis. Federally Listed Threatened and Endangered Species Federally listed species or those proposed to be listed are protected under the Endangered Species Act of 1973. The Shenandoah salamander (Plethodon shenandoah) and the small whorled pogonia (Isotria medeoloides) are the only federally listed species in the Park. The Park has determined that there will be no effect to either species as a result of any actions from this Environmental Assessment. In the case of the Shenandoah salamander, this species is largely subterranean and is found primarily in isolated high-elevation talus slopes in the Central District. These areas are considered poor habitat for deer. In the case of the small whorled pogonia, it is possible that the removal of a concentrated number of deer could have a negligible positive impact because of reduced browse pressure. However, the likelihood of widely dispersed potential deer removal influencing the historically-documented small whorled pogonia population is extremely small. The small whorled pogonia occurrence is known historically from only one location in the Park and was last seen in 1997. The proposed dispersed removal of a relatively small number of deer will have little direct influence on the vegetation growth or species composition in any one area. Therefore, this topic has been dismissed from further analysis with a No-Effect Section 7 determination. Reptiles, Amphibians, Fish and Aquatic Invertebrates Implementation of any of the CWD detection and assessment activities would have negligible impacts to reptile, amphibian, and fish species; therefore, this topic was dismissed from further analysis. Unique Ecosystems, Biosphere Reserves, and World Heritage Sites There are no known Biosphere Reserves, World Heritage Sites, or unique ecosystems listed in the Park; therefore, this topic was dismissed from further analysis. Wilderness The NPS has decided not to conduct any CWD detection and assessment actions within the designated wilderness areas of the Park for two reasons. Foremost, activities conducted in 23 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park designated wilderness are to be “for the purposes of wilderness” (NPS 1998). Secondly, deer in wilderness are more dispersed and at a lower density. Frontcountry deer densities exhibited a clumped distribution pattern with deer most frequently using areas receiving intense human use (Scanlon and Vaughan 1987). These areas also have the highest densities of deer, so testing in these areas versus wilderness would increase the likelihood of detecting the disease presence. In addition, it is believed that road-killed animals, such as those found along Skyline Drive, have a higher probability of being positive for CWD than others, but data do not exist to show how much higher. Because testing deer in the wilderness areas as part of this plan is not directly tied to wilderness management, and animals located in wilderness would contribute a very minimal amount to the testing efforts, wilderness areas are not included in this Plan/EA. Cultural Resources Section 106 of the National Historic Preservation Act of 1966, as amended, requires federal agencies to take into account the effects of their undertakings on historic properties and afford the Advisory Council on Historic Preservation (ACHP) a reasonable opportunity to comment. The historic preservation review process mandated by Section 106 is outlined in regulations issued by ACHP. NPS Management Policies (2006) states that the NPS will endeavor to protect cultural resources against overuse, deterioration, environmental impacts, and other threats without compromising the integrity of cultural resources (Section 5.3.1). None of the proposed actions under any of the alternatives evaluated in this Plan/EA would have any effects on archeology, cultural landscapes, historic structures, ethnographic resources, or museum collections; therefore, these impact topics were dismissed from further analysis. Environmental Justice in Minority and Low-Income Populations Presidential Executive Order 12898 requires Federal agencies to identify and address disproportionately adverse impacts of their programs, policies, and activities on minority populations and low-income populations. None of the alternatives would result in disproportionately adverse health or environmental effects on minorities or low-income populations as defined in the EPA Environmental Justice Guidance because, although such populations exist, the effects of the alternatives would be equal across all populations. Therefore, this topic was dismissed from further analysis. Protection of Children Executive Order 13045 requires Federal actions and policies to identify and address disproportionately adverse risks to the health and safety of children. Since none of the CWD management alternatives involves disproportionate risks to the well-being of children, this was dismissed from further analysis. Indian Trust Resources Secretarial Order 3175 requires that agencies assess environmental impacts of proposed actions on Indian trust resources. The federal Indian trust responsibility is designed to protect tribal lands, assets, resources, and treaty rights, and it represents a duty to carry out the mandates of federal law with respect to American Indian and Alaska Native tribes. There are no Indian trust 24 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park resources within or adjacent to the Park, therefore, this topic was dismissed from further analysis. Land Use The majority of land adjacent to Park boundaries is in private ownership. Primary land uses currently are forests (approximately one half of the land area), agriculture and idle open fields (approximately one third of the land area), residential, and commercial and industrial sites. During the last 10 years a shift has taken place in the demographics of boundary residents towards greatly increased numbers of individual and organized multi-dwelling residences. None of the alternatives would have any impact on the way landowners around the Park use their lands, therefore, the topic of land use was dismissed from detailed analysis. 25 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park ALTERNATIVES This Alternatives section describes a range of possible actions that could be implemented for detection and assessment of CWD in the Park. NEPA requires federal agencies to explore a range of reasonable alternatives, meaning alternatives that would meet the Park's objectives and be technically and economically feasible, and to analyze what impacts the alternatives could have on the human environment, which is defined as the natural, cultural, and physical environment, and the relationship of people with that environment. The alternatives under consideration include the “No Action” alternative (Alternative A) as prescribed by NEPA. The No Action alternative is the continuation of the current Park CWD detection practices and provides a baseline of existing conditions and actions for evaluating changes and impacts of the action alternatives. Two action alternatives (Alternatives B and C) are analyzed in this EA. The action alternatives were developed based on scoping by the interdisciplinary team, information provided by the science team, and public input. These alternatives meet, to a large degree, the management objectives for the Park and also the purpose of and need for action. It should be noted that the implementation of any given alternative is subject to future availability of funds. The planning process incorporates the use of an adaptive management approach. Thresholds for taking action are described first because this information is needed to fully understand the action alternatives. Detailed descriptions of each alternative are presented next, followed by a comparison of how well each alternative meets the objectives and a summary comparison of the impacts of the alternatives. The remainder of the chapter addresses alternatives that were considered but eliminated from detailed analysis, and the identification of the NPS preferred alternative and the environmentally preferred alternative. THRESHOLDS FOR TAKING ACTION UNDER THE ACTION ALTERNATIVES The action thresholds define points when detection or assessment actions are taken or altered. In this Plan/EA, four distinct action thresholds determine the detection and assessment actions available for use under the action alternatives (alternatives B and C). The thresholds, indicated by distance of the nearest positive CWD detection to the Park, are keyed to the level of CWDassociated risk to white-tailed deer populations within the Park. It is important to note that although NPS actions may be triggered by CWD detections outside the Park, the NPS would only conduct detection and assessment actions on federal lands within the legislated boundary of the Park, excluding designated wilderness. The first threshold is defined when the nearest positive CWD detection occurs greater than 60 miles from the nearest park boundary. NPS guidance recommends certain CWD related actions for NPS units located within 60 miles of a positive CWD case, and therefore, the second action threshold is met when the nearest positive CWD detection is between 30 to 60 miles from the Park. The third action threshold is defined to be consistent with the mean maximum distance traveled by deer in the region, and is met when the nearest positive CWD detection is five to 30 miles from the Park. The fourth action threshold is defined to be consistent with the five-mile radius distance around a known infected animal applied by Virginia and neighboring states when 26 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park establishing their zones for taking action related to CWD assessment and is met when the nearest positive CWD detection is less than 5 miles from the Park or within the Park (Figure 2) In accordance with the purpose of and need for this plan, the alternatives describe activities meant to detect CWD and those meant to assess the intensity and extent of the disease. Detection activities are those taken for the purpose of determining whether the disease is present or absent within a biologically defined population. Assessment activities are those taken for the purpose of determining the prevalence and distribution (i.e., proportion infected and extent) of the disease once it has been detected within a biologically defined population. Deer at Shenandoah National Park are, largely, part of a larger regional deer population which includes deer often found near but outside of the Park. Because biological population boundaries are vague and often influenced by environmental factors (e.g., weather, forage availability) and human factors (e.g., hunting pressure) which are difficult to predict or control, we have chosen to define the biological population as deer found within the Park or neighboring counties. SAMPLE SIZE REQUIREMENTS Detection The number of samples needed to determine presence or absence of the disease, with relative certainty is based on the size of a population. In defining a “population,” it makes sense to consider deer that congregate together as a biological population. Meaningful biological populations of free-ranging white-tailed deer are difficult if not impossible to define. For purposes of this plan, we have chosen to include deer within counties adjacent to the Park as part of the Park’s biological population, acknowledging that those closest to the Park are more likely to be mixing/assimilating with the resident Park deer most frequently. Since there is known movement of deer across Park boundaries in addition to deer that reside solely in the Park, it is reasonable to assume that some of the deer tested by the state outside of the Park represent samples taken from the Park’s biological population of deer. We have chosen to begin intensive CWD detection actions within the deer population when a known CWD case is within 30 miles of the Park based on estimated maximum deer movement (Scanlon and Vaughan, 1981). The disease is most likely to be detected in Park district(s) closest to the CWD case. Therefore, sampling efforts will be concentrated in Park district(s) within 30 miles of the case. CWD samples collected by VDGIF from deer residing in counties bordering these districts will be combined with Park samples to meet sample size requirements. Our goal is to meet statistically valid sampling requirements to have a 95% probability of detecting the disease if it is present within the population at or above 2% prevalence (i.e., 2 in 100 deer have the disease) over a three-year sampling period. To be conservative in our ability to detect the disease if it is present, we have assumed an infinite deer population, which will lend more certainty to our findings if we fail to detect CWD. This sampling effort gives the option of testing a “weighted total” (Walsh and Miller 2010) of 300 deer (Samuel et al. 2003) from Park district(s) and adjacent counties. Because the samples may be weighted, fewer than 300 individual deer may actually have to be sampled to meet the above sampling requirements – see below and Appendix B for more detail. 27 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Figure 2. Map showing the 30-mile and five-mile buffers around Shenandoah National Park which represent thresholds for initiating intensified detection and assessment actions. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Table 2. Action thresholds for disease detection and assessment. Threshold Disease Detection Activities Disease Assessment Activities No assessment action Positive CWD No required detection actions, although Park units are Detection encouraged to conduct opportunistic and targeted greater than 60 surveillance of susceptible populations, regardless of their miles from distance from a known case (NPS 2002a). (Alt. a, b, c) Park. If positive sample is found, move to assessment actions (i.e., actions that occur if CWD is found within five miles of the Park). Positive CWD Detection 30 to 60 miles from Park. Positive CWD Detection five to 30 miles from Park. 1. Opportunistic surveillance (Alt. a, b, c) throughout the No assessment action Park 2. Targeted surveillance (Alt. a,b, c) throughout the Park 3. Live test if opportunity arises (Alt. b, c) throughout the Park If positive sample is found move to assessment actions. 1. Enhanced opportunistic surveillance (Alt. b,c) throughout the Park No assessment 2. Enhanced targeted surveillance (Alt. b,c) throughout the Park 3. Enhanced live test (Alt. b,c) throughout the Park 4. Lethal removal of healthy appearing deer if needed to meet sample size requirements. (Alt. b) in districts and counties within 30 miles of the CWD detection. All activities will be used to obtain a statistically valid sample size (95/1) for disease detection over a period of three years (Walsh and Miller 2010), and will be repeated if positive cases of CWD continue to be found outside of the Park. Deer sampled by VDGIF from counties bordering affected Park districts during the same time period will be considered part of the sample If positive sample is found, move to assessment actions (i.e., actions that occur if CWD is found within five miles of the Park). CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Threshold Disease Detection Activities Disease Assessment Activities Positive CWD Detection within five miles of Park or in Park. Assume disease is within Park and move to assessment mode. 1. Enhanced opportunistic surveillance (Alt. b, c) (to assess distribution) 2. Enhanced targeted surveillance (Alt. b, c) (to assess distribution) 3. Live test (Alt. b, c) 4. Lethal removal of healthy appearing animals (Alt. b) Live test and lethal removal activities will be used to obtain a statistically valid sample to estimate the prevalence ± 2% with 95% confidence interval within the population bounded by a Park district(s) within five miles of the case within two years. Samples collected by VDGIF will be considered part of the sample if they are taken from within five miles of the CWD case. If assessment indicates disease is established or spreading, move to long-term management. (Long-term management options will be specified in future planning documents.) CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park It is assumed that samples will be equally distributed across the landscape. While this is not always possible, an effort must be made to sample throughout the sampling area. These samples could be collected in a variety of ways including targeted, opportunistic, live, and lethal surveillance as outlined in the alternatives below. Each method of sample collection is weighted, with targeted and opportunistic samples adding more to the total sample size than those collected from apparently healthy deer (Walsh and Miller 2010). For example, road-killed animals (Krumm et al. 2005) and those demonstrating clinical signs of CWD (Miller et al. 2000) are more likely to test positive for the disease and represent a more valuable diagnostic sample to detect new foci of disease. Sampling animals with a higher likelihood of having the disease will reduce the number of samples needed from the Park. The only available CWD sample weighting system was created by Walsh and Miller (2010). While this system was modeled on data derived from mule deer within the CWD endemic region of Colorado and the weighting may not be entirely accurate for eastern white-tailed deer, it represents the best available science to optimize CWD surveillance efforts. If similar sample weighting schemes are created using white-tailed deer specific data they will be adopted during the lifetime of this plan. Assessment To assess disease intensity once it has been detected within five miles of the Park, we will estimate the prevalence (± 2% with a 95% confidence interval) in deer residing within a 5-mile radius of the index case (working cooperatively with VDGIF on lands outside SHEN). Samples from inside the Park will be collected based on area extent and estimated deer density within and outside of the Park. The maximum number of samples the NPS would contribute to the 5-mile radius (79-mi2 area) established by the VDGIF around each positive case would be 69 deer for the first positive CWD case and 97 deer for the second positive case (based on likely scenario estimates). As the number of cases detected increases, additional samples are needed to accurately estimate prevalence and sample size would increase accordingly (Appendix B). Assessment samples will not be weighted because it could bias estimates of prevalence (i.e., percent of deer with the disease). SAMPLING PERIOD Sampling periods have been defined for both detection and assessment activities. Detection sampling will occur on a three-year cycle. If sample size is achieved in year one, no additional samples will be taken in year two or three. Assessment sampling will occur on a two year cycle. If sample size is achieved in year one, no additional samples will be taken in year two. Calendar years will be used for data analysis consistency with state agencies. TISSUE SAMPLING AND CARCASS HANDLING REQUIREMENTS Deer killed as part of targeted surveillance (i.e., deer with clinical signs of CWD) would be placed in a plastic bag and taken to a designated holding area with an impervious surface where they will be kept until test results are received. Carcasses that are CWD negative would be disposed of using traditional methods (i.e., decompose on the landscape for small numbers of carcasses or landfill for large numbers). The NPS will adopt the state’s preference to landfill any diseased carcasses. However, if landfill is not possible, other options would be considered, including incineration or alkaline digestion. Virginia Department of Agriculture Regional 31 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Animal Health Laboratories operates incinerators located in nearby Harrisonburg and Warrenton, Virginia. Deer recovered from opportunistic sampling will be left onsite (in forest settings) to decompose naturally and their location will be noted using a global positioning system (GPS). If an opportunistically collected sample tests positive for CWD, the carcass remains will be collected and disposed of above. If CWD is found within the Park, all carcasses will be handled as targeted surveillance. NPS will regularly coordinate and cooperate with appropriate state and federal agencies on test results. The NPS Biological Resource Management Division tracks samples and maintains a CWD testing database. All positive detections would be reported to the Park, NPS regional staff and the Regional Director. Due to the proximity of Northeast Region and National Capital Region park units, a positive CWD test result would be reported to both regions. All test results would also be reported to the state. Shenandoah National Park currently coordinates their CWD surveillance efforts with the state primarily through communications with the state CWD coordinator to share test results. The Park also maintains a deer mortality database and tracks the results of CWD testing. ELEMENTS COMMON TO ALL ALTERNATIVES The following actions would be common to all alternatives: Provide training for staff and volunteers conducting observations for targeted surveillance. Provide education/outreach: The Park conducts public outreach and education regarding CWD using a variety of posters, publications (including state brochures on CWD), and personal interpretation and by guiding individuals to resources such as the VDGIF and CWD Alliance websites. Information may also be made available on the Park website. In addition to public education/outreach, information would be made available to Park staff to improve interpretation for the public. The NPS would also coordinate with the state education/outreach programs related to CWD (e.g., participate in meetings held by the state on the subject). ALTERNATIVE A: NO ACTION (CONTINUE CURRENT ACTIONS) Section 1502.14(d) of the Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ) regulations for implementing NEPA requires that the alternatives analysis in an EA include the alternative of no action. In the case of developing a plan for CWD detection and assessment, the No Action alternative represents no change from current activities being conducted by Park staff. The No Action alternative also includes any actions that the Park would undertake if the opportunity presented itself. Three detection or assessment options are presented. 32 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Detection Opportunistic Surveillance Opportunistic surveillance includes taking diagnostic samples for CWD testing from deer found dead—that is, deer that have died in the Park due to disease, predators, vehicle collisions, other trauma-related mortality, or those killed in the Park for other purposes (e.g., injured deer euthanasia). If an employee finds a dead deer in the Park or along Skyline Drive, it is reported to the Park Biologist or Chief of Natural and Cultural Resources and a determination would be made as to whether or not samples should be taken and sent for CWD testing as part of opportunistic surveillance. Presently, approximately 80% of the deer killed in the Park are tested. Due to staffing limitations, not all samples are located or collected - especially on weekends. As of October 19, 2010, 57 animals have been tested since 2006. Targeted Surveillance Targeted surveillance involves lethal removal of deer that exhibit clinical signs consistent with CWD for testing (NPS 2007). Targeted surveillance removes a potential source of CWD infection and is an efficient means of detecting new infections (Miller et al. 2000). Since 2008, the Park has used two seasonal, summer staff to look for deer with clinical signs of CWD. In all instances, Park staff contact the Park Biologist or Chief of Natural Resources to report clinically suspect deer. The Biologist or Chief of Natural and Cultural Resources decides if the animal has clinical signs consistent with CWD and is appropriate for lethal removal. Law enforcement rangers or Park Biologists are authorized to kill a suspect deer. Procedures for shooting, collecting samples, handling, cleanup, and storage are based on information provided in A National Park Service Manager’s Reference Notebook to Understanding Chronic Wasting Disease, Version 4 (NPS 2007). To protect visitor health and safety during targeted surveillance, any area where firearms are used is closed to visitors. To date (October 2010), no deer exhibiting clinical signs of CWD have been observed in or near the Park. Lethal removal of sick individuals from a population is currently approved under NEPA by a categorical exclusion 3.4E (3) with documentation (NPS 2001). Live Testing and Removal of Positives A live CWD test available for deer will be used as part of detection actions if the opportunity arises through other research opportunities. The live test requires anesthetizing the animal, conducting a tonsillar biopsy or a rectal mucosal biopsy, and radio-collaring the animal so it can be tracked and removed if the test is positive for CWD. Live-testing would only be used for detection efforts when animals are being collared in the Park by either NPS staff or researchers as part of other projects. Live testing for CWD detection would be conducted on both male and female deer. Live tests would typically be taken in the fall/winter to avoid causing an animal heat stress or handling latestage pregnant females. Samples would only be taken once every one to two years to avoid undue stress on a given animal and to avoid re-testing deer that were CWD negative before the disease may have had the chance to emerge. Positive animals would be relocated using telemetry and lethally removed from the population. 33 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Assessment No prevalence assessment actions will take place because opportunistic and targeted surveillance activities provide inherently biased samples and are not appropriate for determining the intensity of the disease. However, standard opportunistic and targeted surveillance will continue to be used to attempt to find new areas within the Park where CWD occurs and therefore minimal distribution assessment actions will be conducted. Implementation Costs Implementation costs of Alternative A are summarized in Table 3. Table 3. Cost estimates for implementing Alternative A. Annual Cost Cost for the 10-Year Planning Period* Action Assumptions Opportunistic surveillance Sampling ~ 15 deer per year $1700 $19,000 Targeted surveillance Incidental survey by temp wildlife techs $5000 $55,000 *allowing for inflation ALTERNATIVE B: ENHANCED DETECTION AND ASSESSMENT, INCLUDING LETHAL REMOVAL FOR TESTING Alternative B incorporates an adaptive management approach which includes four options for both detection and assessment that may be selected based on the current status of CWD occurrence in the vicinity of the Park and the relative risk of infection. Detection Enhanced Opportunistic Surveillance If a detection occurs between 30 and 60 miles of the Park opportunistic surveillance is the same as described under Alternative A, taking advantage of deer that die in the Park due to disease, predators, vehicle collisions, other trauma-related mortality, and lethal removal for other purposes (e.g., research). If a positive CWD detection occurs in between five and 30 miles, opportunistic surveillance is enhanced. To enhance opportunistic surveillance the NPS would increase the number of samples for CWD testing by testing all deer found dead (that includes all deer from the South District). In addition, Park staff would coordinate with the state and/or county that samples be taken from carcasses found on state/county roads either by state/county or Park employees. Park neighbors will also be encouraged to report the location of any deer found dead in the state/county or the Park. 34 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Enhanced Targeted Surveillance As described under Alternative A, this technique would involve Park staff looking for deer showing clinical signs of CWD. These deer would be lethally removed for testing. If a positive detection occurs in between 30 and 60 miles from the Park, targeted surveillance would be conducted as described under Alternative A. If a positive CWD detection occurs in between five and 30 miles from the Park, targeted surveillance would be enhanced by dedicating a full-time employee (NPS or contractor) to look for animals displaying clinical signs of CWD from March through November for two days a week. Enhanced targeted surveillance would be limited to federal lands within the legislated boundaries excluding wilderness areas. The individual would be qualified to kill deer and take appropriate CWD samples. In addition, the Park will encourage local visitors, volunteers, and other NPS staff or researchers working in the Park to look for deer with clinical signs of the disease. As described under Alternative A, deer removed as part of enhanced targeted surveillance would be shot, sampled, and taken to a designated holding area until test results were received. Any area where firearms are used will be closed and visitors notified of the reasons for the closure. Enhanced Live Testing and Removal of Positives A live CWD test available for deer will be used as part of detection actions if the opportunity arises through other management or research actions. The live test requires anesthetizing the animal, conducting a tonsillar biopsy, and radio-collaring the animal so it can be tracked and removed if the test is positive for CWD. Live testing would only be used for detection efforts when animals are being collared in the Park by either NPS staff or researchers as part of other projects. Live testing for CWD detection would be conducted on both male and female deer. Live tests would be taken in the fall/winter to avoid causing an animal heat stress or handling late-stage pregnant females. Samples would only be taken once every 1-2 years to avoid undue stress on a given animal and to avoid re-testing deer that were CWD-negative before the disease may have had the chance to emerge. However, this would not preclude the NPS from sampling deer at other times of the year. Positive animals would be relocated using telemetry and lethally removed from the population. Live testing could be enhanced by testing any deer in hand and pursuing additional opportunities (e.g., research projects, BRMD assistance) for live testing. Lethal Removal of Healthy Appearing Animals This alternative would involve killing deer that appear healthy and testing them for CWD. Lethal removal for detection is only appropriate when CWD is found within 5-30 miles of the Park. This differs from targeted surveillance which lethally removes and tests only deer that show clinical signs of CWD. The purpose of the removal of healthy appearing animals for testing is to detect the presence of CWD, not for reducing the deer population. A CWD case could occur outside the Park and prompt this action (see Table 2); however, NPS actions would only occur on federal lands within the legislated boundary of the Park excluding wilderness areas. Designated wilderness areas were removed from consideration for CWD sampling due to limited access and the fact that deer removal work is inconsistent with wilderness values. Lethal 35 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park removal will contribute to disease detection sampling to be 95% confident of identifying the disease if it is present in at least a 2% of the deer population (95/1) within three years, as described under the ‘Detection’ section above (Appendix B). During detection efforts, lethal removal will concentrate on testing deer from high density areas (e.g., Big Meadows, Skyline Drive). To achieve the numbers required to ultimately meet the 95/1 goal during the sampling period, the NPS will conduct generally distributed testing of both male and female deer with emphasis given to those samples which will give the largest amount of information on a weighted sampling scale (e.g., adult males greater than one year of age). Lethal removal activities would be conducted by qualified NPS employees or authorized agents (e.g. professional sharpshooter contractors). Training will include actions related to firearms safety, sample collection, carcass disposal and decontamination. Lethal removal may be conducted at any time of the year as approved by the superintendent to allow flexibility to take these actions whenever thresholds are met. Lethal removal with firearms may be conducted from stands and blinds. Lethal removal actions conducted at night may also be conducted using spotlights or night vision equipment. The NPS will coordinate the timing of lethal removal with the state to maximize efforts by both agencies. Comprehensive safety measures will be taken before any removal action to maximize employee and visitor safety. During lethal removals, if necessary, Park staff would clear or close an area to all visitors to protect visitor health, safety, and experience. The Park would use public postings, web notices, and press releases to notify the public of the closure. Table 4. Criteria for using lethal removal for CWD detection by action zone under Alternative B. Lethal removal for detection within the Park CWD CWD CWD Case between 5 and Case between 30 Case within 5 miles 30 miles of the and 60 miles of of the Park Park the Park CWD Case further than 60 miles from the Park Not appropriate Yes Not appropriate if CWD is found in this Zone, initiate assessment action Lethal removals for testing would be used to supplement other samples taken from the Park (and/or by the VDGIF) to meet the detection goal of 95/1 over three years. Not appropriate 36 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Assessment Enhanced Opportunistic Surveillance Enhanced opportunistic surveillance for assessment would occur in the same manner as previously described under detection. The goal of enhanced opportunistic surveillance as an assessment action is to provide samples to assess the distribution of the disease. Enhanced Targeted Surveillance Enhanced targeted surveillance for assessment would occur in the same manner as previously described under detection. The goal of enhanced targeted surveillance as an assessment action is to provide samples to assess the distribution of the disease. Enhanced Live Testing and Removal of Positives Enhanced live testing for assessment would occur in the same manner described under detection. The goal of enhanced live testing as an assessment action is to provide samples to assess the prevalence and distribution of the disease. Lethal Removal of Healthy Appearing Animals When a positive CWD detection occurs within five miles of the Park, it is assumed that CWD is within the Park. The immediate focus shifts to assessment of CWD prevalence and distribution. The purpose of the removal of healthy appearing animals is for CWD assessment, not for reducing the deer population. Park staff would coordinate with the state regarding the number of samples required to assess the distribution and prevalence of CWD within a given area. The Park would maximize the number of samples taken from enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance, and live testing before taking samples by lethal removal. Test results from deer sampled by the state within five miles of the index case would be pooled with Park samples to assess disease prevalence. Park sample contribution would be appropriate to land mass or proportion of the Park within five miles of the detected CWD positive animal, and deer density estimates in that area of the Park. The maximum number of deer removed to estimate disease prevalence ± 2% with a 95% confidence interval is 69 animals for the first positive CWD detection (see Appendix B). 37 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Table 5. Criteria for using lethal removal for CWD assessment by action zone. Lethal removal for assessment within the Park CWD CWD Case between 5 and Case within 5 miles 30 miles of the of the Park Park CWD Case between 30 and 60 miles of the Park CWD Case further than 60 miles from the Park Yes Not appropriate Not appropriate Not appropriate Ideally evenly distributed samples will be collected to achieve a statistically valid sample to estimate the prevalence ± 2% (95% confidence interval). Samples collected by VDGIF will be considered part of the sample if biologically relevant (i.e., if they are taken within five miles of the index case). Implementation Costs Implementation costs of Alternative B are summarized in Table 6. Table 6. Cost estimates for implementing Alternative B. Cost for 10-Year Planning Period* Action (all for detection and assessment) Assumptions Annual Cost Enhanced Targeted Surveillance More NR temp. staff tasked w/this $9,000 $95,000 Enhanced Opportunistic Surveillance 20-25 deer sampled per year $2,825 $30,250 Enhanced Live Testing e.g. test approx. 30% of Big Meadows Popn. = 80 deer (max #) @$800/deer Lethal Removal of Healthy Appearing Deer Assume 80 deer removed & tested/yr *allowing for inflation $68,000 $68,000 (1yr) $20,000 $104,000 (5 yr) ALTERNATIVE C: ENHANCED OPPORTUNISTIC AND TARGETED SURVEILLANCE BUT NO LETHAL REMOVAL FOR TESTING Alternative C would include three options for both detection and assessment that could be selected for use based on the current status of CWD occurrences in the vicinity of the Park and 38 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park the relative risk of infection. This alternative differs from Alternative B in that there would be no lethal removal of healthy appearing deer. Therefore, even if CWD were detected within 5 miles of the Park, assessment options to determine the prevalence and distribution of the disease would not include lethal removal of deer. Detection Opportunistic Surveillance Regular between 30 and 60 miles of the Park and Enhanced (i.e., increased effort) between 5 and 30 miles of the Park, as described in Alternative B. Targeted Surveillance Regular between 30 and 60 miles of the Park and Enhanced (i.e., increased effort) between 5 and 30 miles of the Park, as described in Alternative B. Live Testing and Removal of Positives Regular between 30 and 60 miles of the Park and Enhanced (i.e., increased effort) between 5 and 30 miles of the Park, as described in Alternative B except that live testing would be essential to meet sample size requirements for estimating prevalence. Any CWD test positive deer would be removed as described above. Assessment Enhanced Opportunistic Surveillance As described under Alternative B. Enhanced Targeted Surveillance As described under Alternative B. Enhanced Live Testing and Removal of Positives As described under Alternative B except that live testing would be essential to meet sample size requirements for estimating prevalence. Implementation Costs Implementation costs of Alternative C are summarized in Table 7. 39 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Table 7. Cost estimates for implementing Alternative C. Action (all for detection with limited assessment) Assumptions Annual Cost Cost for 10-Year Planning Period* Enhanced targeted surveillance More NR temp staff tasked with this $9,000 $95,000 Enhanced opportunistic surveillance ~25 deer sampled per year $2,825 $30,250 Enhanced live testing Test about 30% of Big Meadows pop. = 80 deer at BMA ($800/deer) $68,000 $685,000 *allowing for inflation USE OF ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT IN THE CWD DETECTION AND ASSESSMENT PLAN Successful management of natural systems is a challenging and complicated undertaking. Adaptive management is based on the assumption that current resources and scientific knowledge is limited and that a certain level of uncertainty exists. Nevertheless, an adaptive management approach attempts to apply available resources and knowledge and adjusts management techniques as new information is revealed. Holling (1978) first described the principle of adaptive management as requiring management decisions and policies to be viewed as hypotheses subject to change—as sources of continuous, experimental learning. The Department of the Interior requires that its agencies “. . . use adaptive management, as appropriate, particularly in circumstances where long-term impacts may be uncertain and future monitoring will be needed to make adjustments in subsequent implementation decisions” (46 CFR 46.125). The Department of the Interior has outlined the adaptive management approach in a technical document developed to provide guidance to all department bureaus and agencies (Williams et al. 2007). The adaptive management process has six steps: assessing the problem; designing management actions; implementing those actions; monitoring the effects of the actions; evaluating the monitoring data; and adjusting future actions based on those data. This process works well when integrated with the process required by NEPA. As with adaptive management, the primary goal of NEPA is informed decision-making by understanding the impacts of a proposed federal action. The NEPA process can provide an adaptive management framework, define thresholds, outline actions, and assess their potential impacts, thereby allowing for the implementation of subsequent actions described in the adaptive management component of the plan. This approach allows resource managers more flexibility and a better chance of achieving the desired condition stated in the plan and can reduce or limit future environmental review requirements. 40 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park The action alternatives (alternatives B and C) in this plan incorporate adaptive management approaches to meet the objectives of the plan. Under the action alternatives, the NPS would monitor the results of CWD testing from inside and outside the Park. Based on this monitoring, the NPS would evaluate what action thresholds had been met to determine available tools for detection actions. If monitoring indicated a CWD-positive case in or within 5 miles of the Park, detection actions would be ended and assessment actions would be undertaken. The NPS would also take an adaptive approach under the action alternatives in determining the extent to which detection and assessment activities continue into the future. If detection actions did not reveal a CWD-positive deer for five consecutive years, most sampling would be discontinued and the Park would be considered CWD free (opportunistic and targeted surveillance would continue). Alternatively, if monitoring of test results indicated that the disease was “spreading” or “established,” disease management activities outside the scope of this plan/EA may need to be implemented, which would require additional planning and NEPA analysis. For the purposes of this plan/EA, spreading is defined as when the five-mile radius surveillance areas established around individual positive CWD cases extends beyond 30 miles 41 ent Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Assess problem/develop actions Implement selected action alternative ns outside the park. Is a within five miles? s No Enhance detection efforts if positive case is w/in five-30 miles of Park (95:1 confidence level with three years to reach sample size). Repeat every three years if no positives found during first sampling period within SHEN and positives continue to be identified No Monitor CWD surveillance inside the park. Do they identify a positive CWD case? Yes Begin assessment actions (estimate CWD prevalence with an error of plus or minus 2% at 95% confidence). Monitor and evaluate: Is the desired outcome being accomplished? Example-does monitoring indicate that CWD is becoming established? No ue with assessment actions. Management Approach Yes Complete long-term planning for CWD management. Implement CWD EIS action plan. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park from the first index (initial) case. Established is defined as when the disease becomes endemic or is sustained in a population over a period of time (NPS 2007). HOW ALTERNATIVES MEET OBJECTIVES As stated in the previous chapter, all action alternatives selected for analysis must meet all objectives to a large degree. The action alternatives must also address the stated purpose of taking action and resolve the need for action; therefore, the alternatives were individually assessed in light of how well they would meet the objectives for this Plan/EA which are stated in Purpose and Need. Alternatives that did not meet the objectives were not analyzed further (see the Alternatives or Alternative Elements Considered but Rejected section). Table 8 compares the alternatives by summarizing the elements being considered, while Table 9 compares how each of the alternatives described in this chapter would meet the plan objectives. ALTERNATIVES OR ALTERNATIVE ELEMENTS CONSIDERED BUT DISMISSED FROM DETAILED ANALYSIS Six other preliminary alternatives and one alternative element were also considered during the planning process. Five of these six preliminary alternatives are deer management activities that are outside the scope of this EA, which is limited to the detection of CWD and determination of its prevalence and distribution, not on disease management. The rationale for dismissing these six alternatives and one alternative element is given below: Decreasing Deer Congregation through Habitat Modification One option suggested was to modify the landscape by removing elements that attract deer, which could reduce deer densities and the potential for CWD transmission. Habitat modification could be accomplished by cutting trees or burning vegetation. However, the planning team agreed that these methods could also attract deer to the new vegetative growth. If deer did disperse from habitat modification, this would disperse problems associated with deer as well. Therefore, this alternative was dismissed from further consideration. Deer Dispersal through Hazing to Reduce Disease Transmission Hazing or aversive conditioning uses painful stimuli (e.g. sirens, paintballs, bean bag rounds) to (re)instill some fear of humans into habituated wildlife. It is most effective on habituated wildlife such as bears or coyotes. Hazing generally disperses problems associated with deer, but it is mostly ineffective as deer tend to return to the areas they like once hazing has stopped. Therefore, this alternative was dismissed from further consideration 43 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Table 8. Summary of alternatives. 44 Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Tools available for Opportunistic surveillance Targeted surveillance detection Live testing Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Enhanced opportunistic surveillance Enhanced targeted surveillance Enhanced live testing Lethal removal of healthy appearing deer Enhanced opportunistic surveillance Enhanced targeted surveillance Enhanced live testing Number of deer Few – only those showing clinical signs of A maximum sample of 300 deer Few - only those showing clinical signs or potentially CWD or those that test positive with a (assuming no contributions from the those that test positive with a live test. lethally removed live test state). However, more deer showing clinical during detection signs may be found with enhanced Note: Lethal removal may only be surveillance. used in a five-to-30-mile CWD case scenario Tools available for None for assessing disease intensity; however opportunistic and targeted assessment surveillance would continue for limited assessment of disease distribution Enhanced opportunistic surveillance Enhanced targeted surveillance Enhanced live testing Lethal removal of healthy appearing deer Enhanced opportunistic surveillance Enhanced targeted surveillance Enhanced live testing Number of deer Very few – only those showing clinical potentially signs of CWD lethally removed during assessment A maximum of 69 deer for the first Few - only those showing clinical signs, positive detection (a max of 97 deer already dead, or those that test positive if two positives detected at once) with a live test. More deer showing signs may be found with enhanced Note: Lethal removal may only be surveillance used in a zero-to-five-mile CWD case scenario CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA 45 Coordination with the State and other groups Education measures Shenandoah National Park Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Communication and coordination would be enhanced based on the type of actions taken Same as Alternative B Continue current communication and coordination effort Posting information on the internet and in storefronts in the vicinity of the Park, issuing press releases, and conducting outreach efforts to various groups Same as Alternative A, plus the NPS Same as Alternative B would coordinate with state education/outreach programs related to CWD (e.g., participate in meetings held by the state on CWD); more NPS training CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Table 9. How the alternatives meet the objectives in taking action. 46 Objectives in taking action Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Deer Populations at Shenandoah National Park Estimate ongoing risk of CWD infection in the white-tailed deer population of Shenandoah National Park based on known disease risk factors. Partially meets objective: Recognizing that CWD risk factors are currently present in the vicinity of the Park, this alternative limits the opportunities for CWD detection; and assessment of prevalence and distribution if CWD is detected. Fully meets objective: This alternative provides the most tools for detecting and assessing (prevalence and distribution) CWD based on the proximity of detections. For example, if CWD is detected five30 miles from the Park, lethal removals for detection surveillance would increase the potential for detections and sampling confidence. For cases detected within five miles of the Park. Assessment sampling would provide confidence when assessing the prevalence and distribution of the disease. Fully meets objective: This alternative provides enough tools for detecting and assessing CWD based on the proximity of detections (although it may take longer to do this using Alt C as compared to Alt B). This option should provide nearly the same level of confidence as alternative B when trying to detect the disease or when assessing prevalence and distribution of the disease (if it is detected in or near the Park). Appropriate to the level of risk, develop adaptive management protocols for the detection of CWD presence, prevalence, and distribution, as well as an initial response to the disease. Does not meet objective: Alternative A provides the fewest tools for determining if CWD is present and for assessing prevalence/distribution. This alternative does not provide a framework for changing detection or assessment actions based on proximity to known detections or state actions. Fully meets objective: This alternative provides a framework for taking actions based on factors including proximity of the disease and actions of the state. This alternative also provides more opportunity to conduct CWD sampling in conjunction with the state. Partially meets objective: Alternative C provides a somewhat limited framework for the detection and assessment of the disease. It provides more opportunity to conduct opportunistic/targeted surveillance and live-testing than Alternative A, but with a longer time frame than alternative B. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA 47 Objectives in taking action Shenandoah National Park Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Health and Safety Minimize the potential for health and safety issues for Park staff and visitors associated with CWD surveillance and lethal removal activities. Fully meets objective: Because alternative A would involve the fewest tools for CWD detection and assessment, it has the least potential for health and safety issues. In addition, requirements for personnel using firearms during targeted surveillance, as well as requirements for carcass handling and disposal, would minimize potential health and safety issues for staff. Closures, if needed, for targeted surveillance, as well as educational and interpretive measures about the disease, would minimize the potential for visitor health and safety issues. Fully meets objective: Because this alternative involves potential lethal removal actions, it has the potential for the greatest health and safety risks. However, requirements for qualified personnel (including authorized agents and skilled sharp shooters) involved in the use of firearms, as well as proper carcass handling/ disposal would minimize the potential health and safety issues for staff. Detection or Assessment removal actions would be conducted during periods of very low visitor use or when the Park is closed, which would minimize potential visitor safety issues. In addition, targeted area closures may be implemented to ensure visitor safety. Additionally, job hazard analyses would be conducted to minimize safety issues to staff. Educational and interpretive measures about the disease would also minimize the potential for visitor health and safety issues. Fully meets objective: Alternative C allows for enhanced targeted surveillance under detection. As such, that may result in more lethal removals of CWD symptomatic deer than in alternative A. However, this alternative still has a relatively low risk of potential health and safety issues. In addition, requirements for personnel using firearms during targeted surveillance, as well as requirements for carcass handling and disposal, would minimize potential health and safety issues for staff. Closures, if needed, for targeted surveillance, as well as educational measures about the disease, would minimize the potential for visitor health and safety issues. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA 48 Objectives in taking action Shenandoah National Park Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Visitor Use and Experience Enhance the awareness and understanding of CWD and NPS resource management issues, policies, and mandates as they pertain to prevention, detection, and assessment of the disease for visitors and other interested parties. Partially meets objective: Alternative A includes some educational measures (e.g., posting information online or in storefronts; press releases, civic engagement presentations) that would focus mostly on the disease and the Park’s opportunistic and targeted surveillance program. Fully meets objective: Educational measures would be expanded under this alternative to include not only information about the disease, but also information about the purpose for the additional actions being taken, and what the results might be. More tools would be used to communicate with visitors and the public in general, including more ways to communicate information to the public, educating/training staff so accurate information is disseminated and targeted surveillance is enhanced; coordinating with state educational and outreach efforts related to CWD; and coordinating with other stakeholders to reduce CWD risk factors. Fully meets objective: This alternative would expand education measures to enhance public and staff awareness and understanding of CWD as described under alternative B (but excluding the discussion of lethal removal as an option). CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA 49 Objectives in taking action During implementation of CWD detection and assessment activities, minimize disruption to visitor use and experience. Shenandoah National Park Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Fully meets objective: Currently, Park staff is able to conduct opportunistic and targeted surveillance with no closures. Although targeted surveillance could require closures to protect visitor safety, it would not be routine, and disruption would be minimized by educating the public and by providing advanced notice. Fully meets objective: Because this alternative may involve lethal removal, it has the most potential to disrupt visitor use and experience. However, detection and assessment actions could be taken during closure periods (e.g. at night during hunting season closures or during winter weather closures), which would minimize this potential. In addition, educational and interpretive measures, as well as the clearly articulated need for management and closures (including advance notice closures), would minimize disruption by increasing public understanding. Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Fully meets objective: This alternative would have more visitor use disruption potential than Alternative A but less than Alternative B. Enhanced targeted surveillance would be the only source of potential lethal removals (possible use of firearms) and potential disturbance to visitor use and experience. Conducting enhanced opportunistic surveillance and live-testing actions, as well as additional education and interpretive measures about CWD (including advance notice closures) would also minimize the potential for disruptions to visitor use and experience. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA 50 Objectives in taking action Shenandoah National Park Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Park Management and Operations Minimize impacts of CWD detection and assessment activities on current Park operations, including budget and workload. Fully meets objective: This alternative has the least potential for impacts on Park management and operations. Opportunistic surveillance, involves sampling deer found dead during the Park staff’s routine duties. Targeted surveillance is conducted by trained field staff with more focus on the spring and summer seasons (support and staffing are somewhat variable based on funding and staff availability). However, if CWD is detected and becomes established, managing the disease (long-term) could have the most impact on Park management and operations. Partially meets objective: Although Alternative B would have moderate impacts on Park operations, including budget and workload, steps would be taken to minimize these impacts, and the NPS would still be able to adequately manage and operate the Park to meet its mission. Steps that can be taken include analyzing the extent of actions needed based on disease proximity and actions of the state; and using contractors for lethal removal to minimize impacts on workloads (although this would increase costs). Partially meets objective: This alternative would have moderate impacts on Park management and operations. Enhanced Opportunistic surveillance would involve somewhat more staff time than in Alternative A. Enhanced targeted surveillance would be conducted by dedicated field staff with more focus on year-round surveillance. This would have a moderate effect on Park operations and budget. Enhanced live-testing may be necessary to meet sample size requirements. If so, this could have moderate-high impacts on Park management, budget, and operations. Cooperate and coordinate with state resource management agencies, as well as other interested parties, with respect to CWD detection and assessment activities. Partially meets objective: Although cooperation and coordination occurs now regarding test results and sharing of information, there is minimal opportunity under alternative A to work cooperatively with the state on CWD detection and assessment activities. This option would give us the least information for future decisionmaking. Fully meets objective: Alternative B would provide the most tools to enhance cooperation and coordination with the state regarding CWD detection and assessment activities. This option would give us the most information for future decision-making. Partially meets objective: This alternative would increase the potential for cooperation and coordination with the state in comparison to Alternative A. However, there would be fewer tools to collect information due to the lack of a lethal removal option. This option would give us adequate information for future decisionmaking. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Table 10. Summary of environmental consequences of the alternatives. 51 Impact Topic Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) White-tailed Deer Actions directly associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance, and possibly live testing, would have short-term, negligible adverse impacts on white-tailed deer from temporary disturbances during implementation. There would be long-term, moderate, adverse impacts because Alternative A would have minimal effects on CWD risk factors and the potential for amplification, spread, and establishment of the disease. Exposure to possible population level effects would remain high. Actions directly associated with assessment actions would have temporary negligible contributions to cumulative impacts on white-tailed deer populations, which would be long-term, moderate, and adverse. However, this alternative would have moderate contributions to cumulative impacts from the potential for CWD amplification, spread, and establishment. Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Detection and assessment actions under Actions directly associated with enhanced detection and assessment this alternative would have short-term, would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on white-tailed minor, adverse impacts on white-tailed deer movement, density, and health. deer movement, density, and health. There would be long-term, moderate, There would be long-term, minor to adverse impacts on deer because Alternative B would have minor-moderate moderate, adverse impacts on deer because Alternative C would have limited effects on CWD risk factors and the effects on CWD risk factors and the potential for amplification, spread, and establishment of the disease. Alternative potential for amplification, spread, and establishment of the disease. Exposure B would have both adverse and to possible population level effects would beneficial contributions to cumulative impacts on white-tailed deer populations, remain high. Actions directly associated with enhanced detection and assessment which would be long-term, minor to activities would have temporary moderate, and adverse. However, this negligible contributions to cumulative alternative would not contribute to impacts on white-tailed deer populations, cumulative impacts for the potential for which would be long-term, moderate, and CWD amplification, spread, and adverse. However, this alternative would establishment in and near the Park. have some contributions to cumulative impacts from the potential for CWD amplification, spread, and establishment. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic 52 Vegetation Shenandoah National Park Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Actions associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live testing would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on vegetation from temporary disturbances during implementation. Because these surveillance efforts would not measurably affect deer densities across the Park, CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative A would not result in any indirect effects (i.e., herbivory) to existing vegetative conditions. Cumulative impacts on vegetation would be longterm, moderate, and adverse; however, surveillance actions under Alternative A would contribute minimally to these effects. Detection and assessment actions would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on vegetation from temporary disturbances during implementation. After implementation, reductions in deer density from lethal removal of deer for CWD detection and/or assessment would have long-term beneficial effects (e.g. reduced herbivory). Cumulative impacts on vegetation would be long-term, minor to moderate, and adverse. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative B, including benefits from reduced deer densities in certain areas of the Park, would contribute minimally to these effects. Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Enhanced detection and assessment actions would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on vegetation from temporary disturbances during implementation. Cumulative impacts on vegetation would be long-term, moderate, and adverse. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative C would contribute minimally to cumulative impacts. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic 53 Other Wildlife Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Actions directly associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance and potentially live testing would have short-term, negligible, adverse impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat, mainly from temporary disturbances and trampling during implementation. Potential shortterm, negligible to minor, beneficial impacts would occur for carrion eaters from the possible availability of CWD negative carcasses on the landscape. Sustained deer browsing in areas of the Park with high population densities (e.g. Big Meadows) would continue to contribute substantially to long-term adverse effects on wildlife and wildlife habitat in these areas as a result of impacts on diversity and abundance of understory shrubs and grasses. In addition, prescribed burns (a possible management action) would have shortterm adverse impacts (including field activities), there would be long-term beneficial effects on wildlife habitat from regrowth of mostly native plants/shrubs and by the creation of forest gaps. Cumulative impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat would be long-term, negligible to minor, and adverse. Surveillance actions under Alternative A would contribute minimally to these effects. Shenandoah National Park Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Actions directly associated with Detection and initial response actions enhanced opportunistic and targeted would have short-term, negligible to surveillance and enhanced live testing minor, adverse impacts on wildlife and would have short-term, negligible to wildlife habitat from temporary minor, adverse impacts on wildlife and disturbances during implementation. After implementation, reductions in deer wildlife habitat, mainly from temporary disturbances and trampling during density from lethal removal of deer for CWD detection and/or assessment would implementation. Some minimal benefits would occur for carrion eaters from the have long-term beneficial effects. possible availability of CWD negative Cumulative impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat would be long term, minor, carcasses on the landscape. Sustained deer browsing in areas of the Park with and adverse, and detection and assessment actions under Alternative B high population densities (e.g., Skyline Drive, Big Meadows) would continue to would contribute minimally to these contribute substantially to long-term effects. adverse effects on wildlife and wildlife habitat in these areas as a result of impacts on diversity and abundance of understory shrubs and plants. In addition, although fire management would have short-term adverse impacts from prescribed burns (including associated field activities), there would be long-term beneficial effects on wildlife habitat from regrowth of mostly native plants and the creation of canopy gaps in the forest. Cumulative impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat would be long-term, negligible to minor, and adverse. Surveillance actions under Alternative C would contribute minimally to these effects. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic 54 Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) State-listed Plant Actions associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live testing Species would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on state-listed plant species from potential trampling and spread of nonnative plant species. Because these surveillance efforts would not measurably affect deer densities across the Park, CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative A would not result in any indirect effects (i.e., reduced herbivory) to existing statelisted plant species. Cumulative impacts on state-listed species would be longterm, minor, and adverse; however, surveillance actions under Alternative A would contribute minimally to these effects. Shenandoah National Park Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Detection and assessment actions would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on state-listed plant species from potential trampling and potential spread of nonnative plant seeds. After implementation, reductions in deer density from lethal removal of deer for CWD detection and/or assessment would have long-term beneficial effects (e.g. reduced herbivory in some areas). Cumulative impacts on state-listed plant species would be longterm, minor, and adverse. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative B, including benefits from reduced deer densities in certain Park areas, would contribute minimally to these effects. Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Enhanced detection and assessment actions which do not include lethal removals would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on state-listed plant species from trampling and potential spread of nonnative plant seed during implementation. Cumulative impacts on state-listed plant species would be long-term, minor, and adverse. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative C would contribute minimally to cumulative impacts. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic 55 Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Socioeconomics Actions associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance and possibly live testing would have long-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on socioeconomics. CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative A would not result in any changes to the existing socioeconomic conditions, and adverse impacts resulting from deerrelated crop damage would continue. Because Alternative A would have minimal effects on CWD risk factors allowing the potential for amplification, spread, and establishment, as well as exposure to possible population level effects to remain high, there could be negligible to minor, adverse impacts to hunting and tourism due to changes in deer numbers and/or the presence of the disease. However, the exact nature and level of impact would depend on what actions the state has taken in the communities surrounding the Park in response to the presence of CWD. Overall cumulative impacts on the local socioeconomic resources would be longterm and beneficial. Shenandoah National Park Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal The same past, present, and future CWD surveillance actions that would adverse and beneficial impacts from occur under Alternative C would not cumulative actions described under result in changes to the existing Alternative A would also occur under socioeconomic conditions, and adverse Alternative B. Actions taken under impacts resulting from deer-related crop Alternative B contribute both adverse and damage would continue. Because beneficial impacts to the socioeconomic Alternative A would have minimal effects resource. Adverse impacts resulting from on CWD risk factors allowing the potential for amplification, spread, and actions taken under Alternative B and establishment, as well as exposure to adverse impacts from other past, present, and future actions would not be possible population level effects to enough to outweigh the benefits provided remain high, there could be negligible to by development in the local area and the minor, adverse impacts to hunting and tourism due to changes in deer numbers economic contributions of the Park. Therefore, the overall cumulative impacts and/or the presence of the disease. However, the exact nature and level of on the local socioeconomic resources impact would depend on what actions the would be long-term and beneficial. state has taken in the communities surrounding the Park in response to the presence of CWD. Actions taken under Alternative C would result in short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts to the socioeconomic resource with the level of adverse impacts dependent upon the perceptions of visitors and hunters, the number of deer potentially affected by CWD, and the actions the state has taken in the communities surrounding the Park in response to CWD. Overall cumulative impacts on the local socioeconomic resources would be longterm and beneficial. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic 56 Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Shenandoah National Park Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Visitor Use and Experience Actions associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance and possibly live testing would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on visitor use and experience. If CWD were to occur in or near the Park, those impacts would increase to minor due to the likely increase in seeing sick or dead deer. The overall cumulative impacts of all past, present, and future actions at the Park would be long-term and beneficial. Similar to Alternative A, actions associated with enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and enhanced live testing would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on visitor use and experience. Lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for detection and/or assessment would have short-term, minor, adverse impacts. Long-term beneficial effects would occur from reduced deer densities in some areas of the Park which would decrease the potential for CWD to become established. In addition, beneficial effects would occur from knowing that the NPS is taking actions to protect the deer in the Park. Cumulative effects on visitor use and experience would be long-term and beneficial. Similar to Alternative B, actions associated with enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on visitor use and experience. Live testing would have no impacts on visitor use and experience. Although not as extensive as Alternative B, long-term beneficial effects to visitor use and experience could occur from decreased potential for seeing deer infected with CWD and from knowing that the NPS is taking actions to protect the deer in the Park. Cumulative effects on visitor use and experience would be long-term and beneficial. Human Health and Safety Opportunistic and targeted surveillance activities and potentially live testing employed under Alternative A would result in long-term, negligible, adverse impacts on human health and safety. Cumulative impacts on health and safety would be long-term, minor to potentially moderate and adverse; however, Alternative A would contribute very little to any overall adverse impacts. Opportunistic and targeted surveillance activities employed under Alternative B would result in long-term, negligible, adverse impacts on health and safety, as would live testing; lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for both detection and assessment would have negligible to minor, adverse effects. Alternative B would have negligible contributions to cumulative impacts on health and safety, which would be long-term, minor to potentially moderate, and adverse. Enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance activities employed under Alternative C would result in long-term, negligible, adverse impacts on human health and safety, as would enhanced live testing. Alternative C would have negligible contributions to cumulative impacts on health and safety, which would be long-term, minor to potentially moderate, and adverse. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic 57 Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Park Management Actions associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have shortand Operations term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on Park management and operations. Alternative A would have negligible contributions to cumulative impacts on Park management and operations, which would be long-term, moderate, and adverse. Shenandoah National Park Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with lethal removal Detection and assessment actions would have short- and long-term, negligible to moderate, adverse impacts on Park management and operations, with more intense impacts related to the lethal removal actions included in this alternative and the need for additional public education and outreach. Cumulative effects on Park management and operations would be long-term, moderate, and adverse. Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment with no lethal removal Detection and assessment actions would have short- and long-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on Park management and operations. Cumulative effects on Park management and operations would be long-term, minor to moderate, and adverse. CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Predator Management to Reduce Deer Densities and Therefore Disease Transmission The intent of increasing existing predators (e.g., bear, coyote) or reintroducing lost predators (e.g., wolves, cougar) would be to reduce the force of infection (rate at which susceptible deer are infected) of CWD in deer populations (Miller et al., 2008). The current black bear populations in the Park are already at a relatively high density (but not true of coyotes parkwide). Large predators such as wolves and cougar require vast landscapes to thrive. The Park is not large enough to maintain predator reintroduction without full support and cooperation from the state and neighboring landowners to succeed. Current surrounding land use (agricultural and high density human development) is not favorable for predator reintroduction. Therefore this alternative was dismissed from further consideration. Hunting to Reduce Deer Densities and Therefore Disease Transmission NPS regulations 36 CFR 2.2 and NPS Management Policies 2006(a) state that hunting is prohibited in national parks unless specifically authorized as a discretionary activity under federal statutory law or treaty rights and may take place only after the NPS has determined that it is consistent with resource management principles (NPS 2006b). The enabling legislation of Shenandoah National Park specifically does not allow hunting in the Park. Therefore, this alternative was dismissed from further consideration. Eliminate the Deer Population Elimination of a native species would be inconsistent with NPS Management Policies 2006 (a) which prescribes that “The National Park Service will maintain as parts of the natural ecosystems of parks all plants and animals native to Park ecosystems” (NPS 2006b). In addition, elimination of white-tailed deer in the Park would likely have significant impacts and is outside the scope of this environmental assessment. Finally, elimination of deer is not feasible because deer would quickly return to the Park from surrounding areas. Therefore, this alternative was dismissed from further consideration. Do Nothing for Either Detection or Assessment One option was to do nothing to detect CWD or to assess its prevalence and distribution in the Park. Detection actions (opportunistic and targeted surveillance) are required by NPS policy at Shenandoah National Park due to the proximity (less than 60 miles) from a known CWD case. In addition, this would not meet the purpose, need, and many of the objectives of this Plan/EA. Therefore, this alternative was dismissed from further consideration. Use of Volunteers as Sharpshooters This implementation idea was rejected because of the nature of the unconfined recreational activities that occur in the Park, landform restrictions which would not enable complete closure of access, and related safety concerns. While some other areas administered by the NPS have proposed or begun the use of volunteers as sharpshooters in lethal reduction activities, not all locations within NPS units are suitable for use of volunteers to engage in such activities. Typically, those NPS units that allow for participation of volunteers as sharpshooters are located in areas with scattered and sparse human populations. Additionally, these areas have large 58 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park expanses of wilderness and backcountry that are less likely to have concentrations of visitors that may inadvertently enter closed areas. As a result of challenges associated with Park topography, human population density along the Park boundary, the nature of recreational use in the Park, and the number of deer to be removed, it is essential that the Park use staff or contractors (sharp shooters) that are knowledgeable/trained about these issues to be assured for maximum success in lethal removal and to ensure public safety. Therefore, use of volunteer sharpshooters for lethal removals is considered inappropriate at Shenandoah National Park and was dismissed from further consideration. ENVIRONMENTALLY PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE In accordance with the DO-12 Handbook, the NPS identifies the environmentally preferable alternative in its NEPA documents for public review and comment [Sect. 4.5 E(9)]. The environmentally preferable alternative is the alternative that causes the least damage to the biological and physical environment and best protects, preserves, and enhances historical, cultural, and natural resources. The environmentally preferable alternative is identified upon consideration and weighing by the Responsible Official of long-term environmental impacts against short-term impacts in evaluating what is the best protection of these resources. In some situations, such as when different alternatives impact different resources to different degrees, there may be more than one environmentally preferable alternative (43 CFR 46.30). Alternative B best protects and preserves park natural resources with an adaptive management approach which offers the widest array of options for the initial detection and/or assessment of CWD within the Park. Alternative B allows the Park to be an active partner along with other wildlife agencies in the surrounding areas and allows the Park to contribute to the regional effort to understand and manage CWD within the area. This adaptive approach will allow for more informed long-term management of CWD and white-tailed deer within Shenandoah National Park. Based on the analysis of environmental consequences of each alternative in Chapter 4, Alternative B is the environmentally preferable alternative. NPS PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE Alternative B is the NPS preferred alternative because it provides park managers an adaptive management approach with the widest array of options (see above) for the initial detection and/or assessment of CWD within the Park. Targeted management actions can be taken depending on the current status of CWD occurrence in the vicinity of the Park and the relative risk of infection. Alternative B provides for a lethal sampling option that may be necessary to achieve sample size requirements. A key Alternative B provision allows the Park to be an active partner with the VDGIF in the surrounding areas to utilize off-park samples in calculating the total samples required for a statistically-sound estimate to address this threat. 59 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park AFFECTED ENVIRONMENT This chapter describes the Park resources that could be impacted by the proposed actions. Resources examined in detail include white-tailed deer, vegetation, other wildlife, threatened and endangered species, socioeconomics, visitor use and experience, health and safety, and Park management and operations. Resources dismissed from further consideration were discussed in Chapter 1: Purpose and Need. The first paragraph of each environmental resource describes why that element may be affected by the alternatives being considered and is followed by a description of the resource. Impacts of the alternatives on each of these resources are discussed in Chapter 4: Environmental Consequences. WHITE-TAILED DEER Options for CWD detection and assessment that would involve killing presumably healthy animals for testing would affect the deer populations at the Park. Killing unhealthy deer would also affect the deer populations and effects would likely be positive on population health. Capturing and immobilizing deer for taking biopsies of their tonsils (i.e., live testing) would also have an effect on the deer, therefore, impacts to deer are analyzed. General Ecology White-tailed deer are medium-sized ungulates (hoofed animals) native to North America and regarded as one of the most adaptable mammals in the world (Hesselton and Hesselton 1982). Among the reasons for this adaptability are the hardiness, reproductive capability, wide range of plant species accepted as food, and the tolerance deer express for close contact with humans. Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries (1999) estimated the state population of white-tailed deer to be 400,000–800,000 individuals. The diet of white-tailed deer consists of twigs from shrubs and trees, as well as herbaceous (nonwoody) plants, which are eaten frequently in spring and summer when they are abundant. Acorns, nuts, and fruits are consumed in late summer and fall. Some of the plants that deer browse heavily in the winter season are selected by necessity rather than choice (Martin et al. 1951). Most abundant in the eastern woodlands, white-tailed deer are typically forest dwellers, but often frequent wetlands or woodland openings while feeding. Deer also forage along forest margins, in orchards, and on farmlands. When deer populations become excessive, damage to crops and forests may result, and, in addition, their winter food may be reduced to the point where starvation results (Martin et al. 1951). Population Density Estimates According to the VDGIF estimates (no empirical data), the Park contains deer densities of approximately 25–30 deer/mi2 (Lafon, VDGIF, pers. comm., 2005 in Mahan, C. G. 2006). Based on these density estimates, the total number of deer in the Park (320 mi2) may be 8,000 to 9,600 individuals. However, NPS information indicates densities vary within the Park by location and season. In the backcountry, we believe deer densities to be at five–25 deer per square mile 60 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park (variations are based on habitat conditions such as aspect, elevation, and soils), which is consistent with densities in forested areas west of the Blue Ridge in Virginia. Frontcountry (e.g., areas along Skyline Drive and at major campgrounds and visitor centers) deer densities consistently exceed backcountry (wilderness) densities (Scanlon and Vaughan 1987). For example, deer abundance estimates by Park biologists using roadside survey counts in 2003 were extrapolated to be 176 deer/mi2 in the Big Meadows area, with spring estimates of 210 deer/mi2, and fall estimates of 159 deer/mi2 (Gubler 2004). Big Meadows consistently supports the densest deer population in the Park’s frontcountry areas. In the approximately 2,000 acres of developed areas, including the Skyline Drive corridor, deer densities are much higher than adjacent dense forests. This abundance is due to the presence of open/edge habitat that provides ideal browsing and grazing opportunities for deer. Openings in the forest provide an excellent environment for growth of a diversity of browse, forbs, and grass. The availability of food resources, combined with the prohibition on hunting in the Park, results in a high population of deer, particularly in developed areas where forage is abundant (Haskell 1986). Higher deer densities increase disease amplification potential. In addition, frontcountry deer densities seem to exhibit a clumped distribution pattern with deer most frequently using areas receiving intense human use (Scanlon and Vaughan 1987). This distribution pattern increases the likelihood of deer-human interaction within the Park. Deer Movement Sixty deer were captured along Skyline Drive and in the backcountry between October 1981 and January 1983 and were collared to document deer movements and range areas (Scanlon and Vaughan 1985). Seasonal movements and mean total range areas were smaller for female deer along Skyline Drive than for females in backcountry areas of the Park (1,097 acres versus 2,172 acres, respectively). Mean total range areas were smaller for males captured in backcountry areas than males captured on Skyline Drive (3,919 acres and 4,562 acres, respectively). There was no difference in their mean seasonal ranges. Many females concentrated their movements near Skyline Drive throughout most of the year, however, some female deer did move long distances (up to 26 miles) along the Drive. Males were more confined to a 1.25- to 2-mile section of the drive primarily when females were in estrus. Males moved repeatedly between the Drive and the backcountry throughout much of the year, however, such repeated movements were not observed for females. Deer move in and out of the Park on a regular basis and movement of up to 30 miles has been observed (Scanlon and Vaughan 1985). Deer Herd Health There are a number of health problems that can affect eastern deer populations. These include parasites, malnutrition, bluetongue virus, pleuritis, epizootic hemorrhagic disease, and CWD. Chronic wasting disease was documented in 2005 within 60 miles of the Park. Road-killed deer within the Park have been tested for CWD since April 2006. A total of 16 samples were collected in 2006, 19 in 2007, 12 in 2008, five in 2009, and six in 2010. All tests have returned negative results for the disease. 61 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Nineteen deer killed by cars along Skyline Drive were examined in 1981–82 to get an indicator of deer herd health. Kidney fat indices and percent fat content of bone marrow revealed that deer had abundant to sparse fat reserves and thus differed in physical condition (Scanlon and Vaughn 1987). Abomasal parasite counts were taken from two deer and resulted in 40 and 140 parasites discovered. These are very low levels indicating no problems with abomasal parasites in the two deer. Seasonal variability and small sample size were attributed to the largely inconclusive results for population condition. It was noted that deer associated with Skyline Drive may be obtaining substantial benefits from foraging on grass along the roadsides. These grasses supply high protein content in spring and fall seasons and may lessen the adverse effects of failing native forages in the fall as well as for a late arrival of spring (Scanlon and Vaughn 1987). In addition, a deer health assessment was conducted by the VDGIF in 1993 near Piney Ridge. Most of the study was conducted in backcountry areas. This information was gathered after the discovery of several deer that were found dead after a severe winter storm event. Six female white-tailed deer were collected and necropsied (animal autopsy) in early September. Average age was four years. No evidence of disease was found and all deer ranked fair or good based on carcass fat and kidney fat. The mean abomasal parasite count was 620 (range 320–980) indicating a deer population at biological carrying capacity (VDGIF Deer Health Assessment at Piney Ridge, 1993). VEGETATION Options for CWD detection and assessment that would involve removing a number of presumably healthy deer could affect vegetation by changing the number of deer that browse on vegetation in a particular area. Most of the Park is covered by second-growth forest whose composition has been influenced by the topography, climate, geology, and natural disturbance regimes of the northern Blue Ridge Mountains, as well as by historic land use and other anthropogenic disturbances. Once considered an outstanding example of the Northern Blue Ridge Forest (Braun 1950 in Mahan, C. G. 2006), major disturbances have impacted the forest in the last 60 years. Impacts from insects and disease such as gypsy moth, dogwood anthracnose, butternut canker, and hemlock woolly adelgid have resulted in periodic high tree mortality in the Park. For example, at one time hemlock forests existed in fairly large contiguous blocks throughout the Park and some were considered old growth (>200 years old) forest. However, approximately 90% of the eastern hemlocks at lower to mid elevations (1200-3200 ft) have succumbed to the exotic hemlock woolly adelgid (NPS, R. Gubler, Biologist, pers. comm., 2008). Other natural and anthropogenic causes that have negatively impacted the vegetation include fires, tropical storms, ice, and impacts from ozone and acid precipitation deposition. Despite a history of disturbance, the Park represents one of the nation’s most diverse botanical reserves and contains globally rare plant communities. NPSpecies (NPS Natural Resources Biological Inventory System) documents the occurrence of 1413 vascular and nonvascular plant species in the Park (Current Park list, Certified in NPSpecies in 2008.). Eighty species that are considered state or globally rare have been documented by the Virginia Natural Heritage Program (Townsend, John F. 2009. Natural Heritage Resources of Virginia). The small whorled 62 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park pogonia is a Federally-listed species that was historically found in the Park, however, recent surveys for the species have not been able to document its presence in the Park. Approximately 93% of the Park is covered by upland forests and is maintained in a natural state. Wetland communities make up 2%, and about 3% of the area is occupied by other communities such as barrens. The remaining 2% of the Park is currently developed. The vegetation around developed areas, along roadsides, at certain cultural areas and historic structures, and at overlooks is managed for a variety of purposes, including cultural landscape values, safety and visitor enjoyment. Forests that contain oak as a dominant component occupy approximately 69% of the Park or 136,402 acres. These oak forests are found at all elevations and are dominated by northern red oak (Quercus rubra), chestnut oak (Quercus prinus), white oak (Quercus alba), black oak (Quercus velutina), and scarlet oak (Quercus coccinia) with hickory (Carya spp.) and pine (Pinus spp.) mixed in. Approximately 17% of the Park or 33,606 acres is a mesic/rich cove forest. Represented plant communities are dominated by white ash (Fraxinus americana), tulip popular (Liriodendron tulipifera), sugar maple (Acer saccharum), basswood (Tilia americana), bitternut hickory (Carya cordiformis), birches (Betula spp.), and, rarely, American beech (Fagus grandifolia). The occurrence of black locust in 39% of forest monitoring plots (from 2007 SHEN forest longterm monitoring data) reflects the past land use history at the Park, especially the prevalence of small homesites and fields that are now abandoned. Several pine species can also be found in the Park either singly or in small groups. Wetland vegetation composes about 2% of the land cover or 3,584 acres in the Park. Big Meadows is a 134-acre ridge-top meadow and is the only large non-forested (managed as such) area in the Park. It contains many rare plant populations and the 25-acre central wetland is classified as a globally rare Northern Blueridge Mafic Fen plant community. Due to past land use, including European settlement and associated homesites, nonnative plants have been present in the Park since its establishment as a national park in 1935 (Mazzeo 1966 in Mahan, C. G. 2006). Approximately 23% of known plant species in the Park are nonnative or naturalized (Comiskey et al. 2005 in Mahan, C. G. 2006). Only a subset of these species, however, are aggressively spreading in the Park. Tree-of-heaven (Ailanthus altissima), mile-aminute weed (Polygonum perfoliatum), garlic mustard (Alliaria petiolata), Japanese stiltgrass (Microstegium vimenium), Oriental lady’s thumb (Polygonum caespitosum), Oriental bittersweet (Celastrus orbiculatus), and Japanese honeysuckle (Lonicera japonica) threaten natural forested habitats throughout the Park (NPS 2005b). Since 1997, a total of 1,245 acres have been initially treated (using a variety of methods) and 1,401 acres have been re-treated to control nonnative plants (NPS 2005b). The proliferation and spread of invasive nonnative plants may be the biggest threat to maintaining native forests and plant communities at the Park. State-listed Plant Species The Park has two state- listed plant species and numerous rare plant species. These species could be affected if CWD testing changed the number of deer that browse on vegetation in a particular area. 63 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Ninety-three plant species considered rare or species of special concern have been documented by the Virginia Natural Heritage Program (2006 in Mahan, C. 2006), including two state-listed species. Big Meadows contains many of the rare plant populations in the Park and has the highest density of deer. The Natural Heritage Report (1993) which reported a dramatic decline in the diversity and vigor of native herbaceous species at Big Meadows caused in part by heavy deer grazing/browsing, but also by vegetation management, trampling by humans, and invasion of aggressive exotic plants. OTHER WILDLIFE Studies have linked levels of deer densities to effects on other wildlife species. As deer populations increase, increased browsing reduces the amount of vegetation that provides cover, forage, and nesting habitat, particularly for birds (DeCalesta 1994; McShea 2000; McShea and Rappole 2000). CWD detection and assessment activities could reduce deer densities in a particular area (as a result of removing deer for CWD testing) which could affect other wildlife using that area. In addition, some deer carcasses could be left on the ground in the Park after lethal CWD testing activities which would increase the availability of carrion for other wildlife (e.g., coyotes, bears). The mix of wetland, mountain, and lowland vegetation provide habitat for a variety of mammals and bird species, which could be affected by actions taken for CWD detection and assessment. Because impacts to reptile, amphibian, fish, and aquatic invertebrates would not occur, as described in the Issues Considered but Dismissed from Further Analysis section, reptile, amphibian, fish, and aquatic invertebrates are not discussed below. Mammals There is some disagreement as to the exact number of mammals known from the Park. Manville (1956 in Mahan, C. G. 2006) confirmed the presence of 49 mammals from the Park but estimated that 10 others occur in the Park because they were documented in neighboring counties. Burns et al. (2003 in Mahan, C. G. 2006) listed 33 species of mammals from the Park. NPSpecies (2005a) documents 53 species of mammals from the Park, and the Virginia Gap Analysis Program (2005 in Mahan, C. G. 2006) predicts the Park to contain 50% (57 of 114 species) of the mammalian fauna known to occur in Virginia (Linzey 1998 in Mahan, C. G. 2006). There are no federally listed endangered species of mammals in the Park. The Park supports a large number (300–600) of black bears and may be a source population for the Blue Ridge Mountains (Brown 1985; Carney et al. 1987 in Mahan, C. G. 2006). Other furbearing mammals include coyote, beaver, bobcat, muskrat, red fox, gray fox, skunks, woodchuck, eastern cottontail, gray squirrel, red squirrel, opossum, mink, northern river otter, and weasels. A species list in Webster et al. (1985 in Mahan, C. G. 2006) suggests that 18 species of native mice, moles, voles, and shrews occur within the Park. Small mammals include the star-nosed mole, southeastern shrew, pygmy shrew, southern red-backed vole, white-footed mouse, southern flying squirrel, and the rare Appalachian cottontail. 64 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Birds Simpson (1992 in Mahan, C. G. 2006) documents a total of 205 species of birds known to occur in the Park. However, only 175 species of birds were predicted to occur in and around the Park by the Virginia Gap Analysis (VA Gap 2005 in Mahan, C. G. 2006), and only 192 species are listed in NPSpecies for the Park (2005a). The Park contains 53% of the 390 species of birds known to occur regularly in Virginia (Johnston 1997 in Mahan, C. G. 2006). There are no federally listed bird species in the Park, however, there are three state listed species. At least 41 species of neotropical migratory birds, including many ground-nesting species, visit the Park annually (DeSante et al. 2004 in Mahan, C. G. 2006). DeSante et al. (2004 in Mahan, C. G. 2006) indicate that the Park is globally significant in providing habitat for neotropical migrants. Few waterfowl species occur in the Park due to the small number of ponds and other open water bodies within Park boundaries. However, several species use riparian (interface between land and stream) corridors along mountain streams, especially at low elevations. The spine of the Blue Ridge Mountains creates a pathway along which several species of raptors fly during fall migration periods (B. Watts, College of William & Mary, Center for Conservation Biology, pers. comm., 2005 in Mahan, C. G. 2006). At least 10 species are known from the Park (Wetmore 1950; Simpson 1992 in Mahan, C. G. 2006). Resident species include sharp-shinned hawk, Cooper's hawk, broad-winged hawk, northern harrier, and red shouldered hawk. The Park is one of the few places in the Eastern U.S. where peregrine falcons can be periodically observed nesting in their natural and historic habitat. Wild turkey, ruffed grouse, and American woodcock are some of the gound-nesting species that occur in the Park (Wetmore 1950; Simpson 1992 in Mahan, C. G. 2006). A diversity of bird species that are found in the Park, including turkey vulture, black vulture, American crow, common raven, and black-capped chickadee, feed on carcasses when available. SOCIOECONOMICS White-tailed deer hunting contributes to the local economy of the area surrounding the Park. Options for CWD detection and assessment that would affect deer (e.g., those that would involve removing presumably healthy animals) could affect the local economy, including businesses that rely on deer hunting (e.g. firearms stores) and local hunting opportunities (e.g. sustenance-based hunting) , by reducing animals available for hunting. If CWD is discovered in the area, it could possibly influence hunting-related and wildlife-viewing tourism around the Park due to the uncertainties surrounding the disease. The Park also attracts visitors to the local area, contributing to tourism around the Park and in gateway communities. In summary, 1) there could be a reduction in sustenance-based hunting opportunities affecting local residents, 2) a reduction in Park visitation (and fees) due to reduced/impaired deer viewing opportunities, 3) which could lead to a loss of revenues to local businesses (e.g. restaurants, lodging, shops), and a loss of revenues to businesses that depend on deer hunting (e.g. hunting/firearms stores, guide services, check stations, taxidermists). Should there be any changes in visitation to the Park as a result of CWD detection and assessment activities, it could have effects on local socioeconomics. The 65 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park focus of this overview is the area immediately surrounding the Park (e.g. surrounding towns, etc.). Shenandoah National Park stretches over 100 miles from its northern entrance at Front Royal, Virginia, to its southern entrance near Waynesboro, Virginia. The Park encompasses more than 197,000 acres in eight counties (Albemarle, Augusta, Green, Madison, Page, Rappahannock, Rockingham, and Warren). There are four independent cities, Harrisonburg, Staunton, Waynesboro, and Charlottesville, and numerous incorporated towns in the immediate area of the Park. The local region is predominantly rural, with approximately one-third of the population living in urban communities and the remainder in rural areas. The regional economy has been shifting in recent decades, from a subsistence farming economy to a more balanced economy including farming, light industry, tourism, and providing goods and services to Washington, DC commuters. The Park represents a substantial component of local and regional tourism. Shenandoah National Park is highly accessible. Two U.S. highways parallel the Park closely, Route 340 along the west side and Route 522 along the east side. Interstate Highway 66 passes near the north end of the Park, and Interstate Highway 64 and U.S. Highway 250 pass near the south end. There are over 200 miles of NPS-owned roads, including the 105-mile Skyline Drive, which traverses the entire length of the Park; 55 other paved roads; and 91 unpaved roads, including 78 miles of fire roads. VISITOR USE AND EXPERIENCE Implementation of CWD detection and assessment activities may require certain areas of the Park to be closed to public use during such activities, which would affect visitor use and experience. Recreational resources in the Park that could be affected include trails, campgrounds, and Skyline Drive. CWD detection and assessment activities that result in fewer deer in a particular area could reduce the opportunity to view deer, which may affect visitor use and experience. The use of firearms for sampling purposes could influence the soundscape at the Park which could also impact visitor experience and adjacent landowners. Enhanced visitor awareness with respect to detection of CWD and assessments to positive cases could also have an effect. Shenandoah National Park receives approximately 1.1 million recreational visits per year. Most of the visitors to the Park come during the months of July through October. The majority of visitors arrive by vehicle. Visitors can enter the Park at Front Royal, Thornton Gap, Swift Run Gap, and Rockfish Gap. Two additional boundary contact stations are staffed on summer weekends. There are two visitor centers, four campgrounds, and seven picnic areas. ARAMARK manages three lodging facilities, five food service outlets, three service stations, and six merchandise outlets. Approximately 516 miles of trails are in the Park, including 101 miles of the Appalachian Trail and 200 miles of designated horse trails. Many visitors experience the Park from their vehicles by driving the Skyline Drive. Some of the most popular out-of-the-car activities are hiking, picnicking, camping in developed campgrounds or in the backcountry, participating in ranger-guided activities, viewing audio-visual programs or exhibits at visitor centers, fishing, enjoying the panoramic views from overlooks, or just relaxing 66 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park in the peaceful surroundings. Other opportunities include auto touring, backpacking, biking, bird watching, climbing, horseback riding, stargazing, and wildlife viewing. HEALTH AND SAFETY CWD detection and assessment activities that involve capturing and immobilizing live animals for marking/collaring and performing tonsillar or rectal biopsies have the potential to affect the health and safety of the employees involved. The options that involve the use of firearms have the potential to affect the safety of Park staff, visitors, and adjacent landowners. Protection Rangers (Law Enforcement) are responsible for visitor safety monitoring and management on a daily basis and provide visibility and investigation for the protection of persons and property, traffic safety programs, and monitoring of visitor activity patterns. The Park provides information about visitor safety to the public through pre-visit information by mail and on the Internet. In addition, visitor contact and orientation bulletin boards notify visitors of dangers (e.g., bear) in the Park. One safety concern is the number of deer/vehicle collisions in the Park. For the years 2005–2007, the number of incidents reported was 29, 27, and 34, respectively (NPS, J. Chorley, Telecommunications Manager, 2008). Safe work practices are a primary element of all Park management activities. For example, the Park has safety plans that address winter operations, hazardous tree management, search and rescue, and emergency medical services. Specifically related to CWD Detection and Prevalence Determination are written plans that employees use related to wildlife handling and immobilization. These plans emphasize employee and visitor safety. There is minimal ranger presence in the backcountry and primitive areas except for emergency response. PARK MANAGEMENT AND OPERATIONS In response to the 2005 detection of CWD in white-tailed deer in Hampshire County, West Virginia, less than 60 miles from the Park, the Park has implemented opportunistic and targeted surveillance activities. In addition, the Park currently conducts deer monitoring activities that require Park staff and funds. CWD detection and assessment activities proposed in this plan would require additional staff time and expenditures that could affect Park management and operations. Increased communication and coordination with the state, as well as educating the public and other interested parties about CWD, its detection, and assessment, would also require additional staff time. Shenandoah National Park is divided into three administrative districts. The North District extends from the northern terminus of the Park south to Thornton Gap near milepost 32. The Central District extends from Thornton Gap south to Swift Run Gap near milepost 65. The South District extends from Swift Run Gap south to the southern terminus of the Park at Rockfish Gap near milepost 105. Park staff is separated into five management divisions: Administration, Interpretation and Education, Maintenance, Natural and Cultural Resources, and Ranger Activities. Numbers of employees tend to change over time but in general, the Park has approximately 142 permanent employees and generally hires about 100 temporary employees each year. The total 2007 fiscal 67 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park year appropriation for the Park was $10,627,000. The budget for the previous six years was approximately $10 million annually. 68 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES This chapter describes the potential environmental consequences associated with the no-action and action alternatives. The overall methodology for assessing impacts is presented below. The chapter is organized by resource topic and provides a standardized comparison between alternatives based on the most relevant impact topics described in Chapter 1. The analysis period used for assessing impacts is up to 10 years, which is the life of this plan. It should be noted, that the implementation of this plan (any of the three alternatives) is subject to future available funds. The geographic study area (or area of analysis) for this plan is the boundary of the Park. The area of analysis may extend beyond the Park boundary for some cumulative impact assessments. The specific area of analysis for each impact topic is defined at the beginning of each topic discussion. Mitigating measures for adverse impacts are also described. NPS policy also requires a determination of whether any impacts would result in the impairment of Park resources or values. METHODOLOGY As required by NEPA, potential impacts are described in terms of duration, type, context, and level of intensity. These terms are defined below. Overall, these impact analyses and conclusions were based on the review of the existing literature and Park studies, information provided by onsite experts and other agencies, professional judgment, and Park staff knowledge and insight. Duration and Type of Impacts The following assumptions are used for all impact topics (the terms “impact” and “effect” are used interchangeably throughout this document): 1. Short-term impacts — Impacts would last from a few days up to three years following an action. 2. Long-term impacts — Impacts would last longer than three years up to the life of the plan (approximately 10 years). 3. Direct impacts — Impacts would immediately occur as a direct result of CWD detection or assessment actions. 4. Indirect impacts — Impacts from CWD detection or assessment actions that would occur later in time or farther in distance from the action. Impact Thresholds and Impact Intensity Definitions Determining impact thresholds is a key component in applying NPS Management Policies and Director’s Order #12. These thresholds provide the reader with an idea of the intensity of a given impact on a specific topic. The impact threshold is determined primarily by comparing the effect to a relevant standard based on regulations, scientific literature and research, or best professional judgment. The intensity of the impact is then defined by the standard terms “negligible,” “minor,” “moderate,” or “major.” Because impact thresholds may be different for different resources, intensity definitions are provided separately for each impact topic analyzed 69 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park in this plan. In all cases, the impact thresholds are defined for adverse impacts. Beneficial impacts are addressed qualitatively and are not described by intensity definitions. COMPLIANCE WITH SECTION 106 OF THE NATIONAL HISTORIC PRESERVATION ACT All cultural resources were dismissed from analysis. The Park did an in-house assessment of “No Historic Properties Affected.” There were no historic properties affected. The project has no potential to cause effects on cultural resources [(800.3 (a) (1)]. CUMULATIVE IMPACTS The Council on Environmental Quality regulations, which implement NEPA, requires assessment of cumulative impacts in the decision-making process for federal projects. Cumulative impacts are defined as "the impact on the environment which results from the incremental impact of the action when added to other past, present, and reasonably foreseeable future actions regardless of what agency (federal or non-federal) or person undertakes such other actions" (40 CFR 1508.7). Cumulative impacts are considered for both the no-action and action alternatives. Cumulative impacts were determined by combining the impacts of the alternatives with the impacts of other past, present, and reasonably foreseeable future actions. Therefore, it was necessary to identify other ongoing or reasonably foreseeable future projects at the Park and, if applicable, the surrounding region. Table 11 summarizes the actions that could affect Park resources. 70 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Table 11. Cumulative action scenario. Impact Topic Study Area White-tailed deer Boundary of Shenandoah National Park and adjacent landowners Temporal Boundaries Late 1970s (impacts from deer evident) – life of the plan (10 years) Past Actions Current Actions Prescribed fire Introduction of gypsy moth Introduction of hemlock wooly adelgid Exotic plant management (since 1991) Mowing/burning in areas such as Big Meadows / vista Maintenance of Skyline Drive corridor Maintenance of other road / utility corridors Hazard tree management Restoration – plantings Removal of Panorama (old concessions facility) and site restoration Big Meadows campground construction Herbivory (domestic livestock) Construction-bridge repair/ replacements Deer management (NPS) Social trails and illegal campsites in backcountry Implementation of Wilderness Management Plan State Bear Management Plan Farming Feeding of deer Development around Park Nuisance wildlife relocation Poaching / illegal harvest Vehicle / wildlife collisions Non-observational research Non-observational monitoring Air quality – acid deposition, Prescribed fire Fire Management Plan – lightningcaused fires, mechanical manipulation Exotic plant management Mowing / burning in areas such as Big Meadows / vista Maintenance of Skyline Drive corridor Maintenance of other roads / utility corridors Hazard tree management Restoration – plantings, rehabilitation of camp sites, stream / terrestrial restoration Herbivory (domestic) – intermittent compared to the past Establishment of exclosures for research activities Trails maintenance, relocation, and closure. Rock Outcrop Planning Administrative Road Planning Deer management (NPS) Reintroduction of landscaping at Camp Rapidan Maintenance and upkeep of developed areas Implementation of Wilderness Management Plan State Bear Management Plan State Draft Deer Management Plan State CWD Response / Surveillance Plan Farming Feeding of deer Future Actions (10 years) Same as present except administrative road planning: Administrative road closures Overlook rehabilitation Skyline Drive rehabilitation Rehabilitation of potable water systems Increased development around the Park CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic Study Area Temporal Boundaries Shenandoah National Park Past Actions ozone, particulate matter Vegetation Boundary of Shenandoah National Park Late 1970s (impacts from deer evident) – life of the plan (10 years) Prescribed fire Introduction of gypsy moth Introduction of hemlock wooly adelgid Exotic plant management (since 1997) Mowing / burning in areas such as Big Meadows / vista Maintenance of Skyline Drive corridor Maintenance of other roads / utility corridors Hazard tree management Restoration – plantings Big Meadows campground construction Removal of Panorama (old concessions facility), and site restoration Herbivory (domestic livestock) Construction-bridge repair / replacements Deer management (NPS) Social trails and illegal campsites in backcountry Implementation of Wilderness Management Plan Non-observational research Non-observational monitoring Poaching / illegal harvest (individual and commercial) ginseng, black cohosh, slippery elm Current Actions Future Actions (10 years) Development around the park Poaching / illegal harvest Vehicle / wildlife collisions Non-observational research Non-observational monitoring Prescribed fire Fire Management Plan – lightningcaused fires, mechanical manipulation Exotic plant management Mowing / burning in areas such as Big Meadows / vista Maintenance of Skyline Drive corridor Maintenance of other roads / utility corridors Hazard tree management Restoration – plantings, rehabilitation of camp sites, stream / terrestrial restoration Herbivory (domestic) – intermittent compared to the past Establishment of exclosures for research activities Trails maintenance, relocation, and closure Rock Outcrop Planning Administrative Road Planning Deer management (NPS) Reintroduction of landscaping at Camp Rapidan Maintenance and upkeep of developed areas Non-observational research Non-observational monitoring Poaching / illegal harvest (individual and commercial) Same as current except for rock outcrop and administrative road planning. Plus: Administrative road closures Implementation of rock outcrop plan Overlook rehabilitation Skyline Drive rehabilitation Rehabilitation of potable water systems Increased development around the Park CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic Study Area Other Wildlife Boundary of Shenandoah National Park Temporal Boundaries Late 1970s (impacts from deer evident) – life of the plan (10 years) Shenandoah National Park Past Actions Current Actions Prescribed fire Introduction of gypsy moth Introduction of hemlock wooly adelgid Exotic plant management (since 1997) Mowing / burning in areas such as Big Meadows Maintenance of Skyline Drive corridor Maintenance of other roads / utility corridors Hazard tree management Restoration – plantings Big Meadows campground construction Herbivory (domestic livestock) Construction-bridge repair / replacements Deer management (NPS) Social trails and illegal campsites in backcountry Implementation of Wilderness Management Plan State Bear Management Plan Farming Feeding of deer Development around the Park Nuisance wildlife relocation Poaching / illegal harvest Vehicle / wildlife collisions Non-observational research Non-observational monitoring Air quality – acid deposition, ozone, and particulate matter Peregrine falcon restoration Prescribed fire Fire Management Plan – lightningcaused fires, mechanical manipulation Exotic plant management Mowing/burning in areas such as Big Meadows / vista/ Maintenance of Skyline Drive corridor Maintenance of other roads / utility corridors Hazard tree management Restoration – plantings, rehabilitation of camp sites, stream / terrestrial restoration Herbivory (domestic) – intermittent compared to the past Establishment of exclosures for research activities Trails maintenance, relocation, and closure. Rock Outcrop Planning Administrative Road Planning Deer management (NPS) Reintroduction of landscaping at Camp Rapidan Maintenance and upkeep of developed areas Implementation of Wilderness Management Plan State Bear Management Plan State Draft Deer Management Plan State CWD Response / Surveillance Plan Farming Feeding of deer Development around the Park Poaching / illegal harvest Future Actions (10 years) Same as present except for administrative road planning: Administrative road closures Implementation of rock outcrop plan Removal of Panorama (old concessions facility), and site restoration Overlook rehabilitation Skyline Drive rehabilitation Rehabilitation of potable water systems Increased development around the Park Potential for avian flu CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic Study Area Temporal Boundaries Shenandoah National Park Past Actions Current Actions Future Actions (10 years) Vehicle / wildlife collisions Non-observational research Non-observational monitoring Air quality – acid deposition, ozone, and particulate matter Threatened and Boundary of Endangered Shenandoah Species National Park Late 1970s (impacts from deer evident) – life of the plan (10 years) Prescribed fire Introduction of gypsy moth Introduction of hemlock wooly adelgid Exotic plant management (since 1997) Mowing/burning in areas such as Big Meadows / vista Maintenance of Skyline Drive corridor Maintenance of other road / utility corridors Hazard tree management Restoration – plantings Big Meadows campground construction Removal of Panorama (old concessions facility), and site restoration Herbivory (domestic livestock) Construction-bridge repair / replacements Deer management (NPS) Social trails and illegal campsites in the backcountry Implementation of the Wilderness Management Plan State Bear Management Plan Farming Feeding of deer Development around the Park Nuisance wildlife relocation Poaching / illegal harvest Prescribed fire Fire Management Plan – lightningcaused fires, mechanical manipulation Exotic plant management Mowing / burning in areas such as Big Meadows / vista Maintenance of Skyline Drive corridor Maintenance of other road / utility corridors Hazard tree management Restoration – plantings, rehabilitation of camp sites, stream / terrestrial restoration Herbivory (domestic) – intermittent compared to the past Establishment of exclosures for research activities Trails maintenance, relocation, and closure Rock Outcrop Planning Administrative Road Planning Deer management (NPS) Reintroduction of landscaping at Camp Rapidan Maintenance and upkeep of developed areas Implementation of Wilderness Management Plan State Bear Management Plan State Draft Deer Management Plan Same as present except administrative road planning: Administrative road closures Overlook rehabilitation Skyline Drive rehabilitation Rehabilitation of potable water systems Increased development around the Park Changes in listing status (state) CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic Study Area Socioeconomics Boundary of Shenandoah National Park and gateway communities Temporal Boundaries Shenandoah National Park Past Actions Current Actions Vehicle / wildlife collisions Non-observational research Non-observational monitoring Exotic fish removal Air quality – acid deposition, ozone, and particulate matter Peregrine falcon restoration Shenandoah Salamander Recovery Plan State CWD Response / Surveillance Plan Farming Feeding of deer Development around the park Poaching / illegal harvest Vehicle / wildlife collisions Non-observational research Non-observational monitoring Exotic fish removal Air quality – acid deposition, ozone, and particulate matter Peregrine restoration Shenandoah Salamander Recovery Plan Programmatic Consultation with USFWS for Parkwide Operations Increased wildlife viewing Late 1970s (impacts from opportunities (e.g., watchable deer evident) – life wildlife trails) in the Park of the plan (10 Main Street planning in gateway years) communities / community revitalization Designation of Skyline Drive as National Scenic Byway Migration of bedroom communities from Washington, DC, to the west – land conversion from agricultural uses to small farmettes and small forested residential lands Migration of some industries out of gateway communities (increased unemployment) Tax shelters for conservation easements Enhanced partnership with Shenandoah Valley Travel Association to obtain marketing grants to increase tourism Civic engagement seminars Migration of bedroom communities from Washington, DC, to the west - land conversion from agricultural uses to small farmettes and small forested residential lands Tax shelters for conservation easements Hunting Reductions of rights-of-way into Park Reductions in public access to Park boundary Future Actions (10 years) Enhanced partnership with Shenandoah Valley Travel Association to obtain marketing grants to increase tourism Civic engagement seminars Migration of bedroom communities from Washington, DC, to the west - land conversion from agricultural uses to small farmettes and small forested residential lands Tax shelters for conservation easements Socioeconomic study of Appalachian Trail Tax shelters for conservation easements Hunting CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic Study Area Temporal Boundaries Shenandoah National Park Past Actions Current Actions Future Actions (10 years) Hunting Commercialization of Park resources (ginseng, animal parts) Reductions in public access to Park boundary Human Health and Safety Boundary of Shenandoah National Park Visitor Use Boundary of and Experience Shenandoah National Park Late 1970s Educational / interpretive programs (impacts from (personal and non-personal) deer evident) – life Operational / Administrative functions (routine preventive of the plan (10 years) maintenance to minimize risks, routine patrols, plowing / salting roads, hazard tree removal, etc.) Traffic / Traffic jam intervention Multiple recreational uses Air pollution / ozone Emergency response Job hazard analysis Oral Rabies Vaccinations Nuisance animal relocations Vector borne diseases Wildlife interactions Vehicle/wildlife collisions Trail maintenance Criminal Activity and Crime Prevention Same as past plus: Development of Backcountry Safety Plan Improvement of radio system Avian flu planning Late 1970s Educational / interpretive programs Same as past plus: (impacts from (personal and non-personal) Motorcycle noise abatement deer evident) – life Operational / Administrative of the plan (10 functions-noise and other years) disturbances (e.g., limiting access or other disruptions; prescribed burns and effects on visibility) Traffic / Traffic jam intervention Multiple recreational uses Same as past plus: Improvement of Radio System Same as past plus: Motorcycle noise abatement CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Impact Topic Study Area Temporal Boundaries Shenandoah National Park Past Actions Current Actions Future Actions (10 years) Special Use Permits Trail closures Park Management and Operations Boundary of Shenandoah National Park Late 1970s Staff reduced by more than 40 (impacts from full-time employees (FTE) over deer evident) – life a few decades and associated of the plan (10 reductions in services and years) monitoring / management Periodic monitoring programs Visitation decreasing Changing visitor use seasons Potential staff reductions and associated reductions in services and monitoring / management Periodic monitoring programs Periodic monitoring programs CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park IMPACTS ON PHYSICAL AND NATURAL RESOURCES White-tailed Deer Population The evaluation of impacts to deer was based on a qualitative assessment of how actions directly related to CWD detection and assessment, and the outcome of these actions, could affect the white-tailed deer populations in the Park. Although researchers believe CWD could have population level effects on deer herds, it is still unknown if these would include dramatic effects on localized populations as a result of large scale declines, or if the disease would eventually reach equilibrium and stabilize at an endemic level. As a result, the analysis considered how each alternative would influence risk related to amplification, spread, and establishment of CWD, as well as exposure to possible population level effects, should the disease be detected inside or near the Park. Available information on the white-tailed deer populations (density, movement, condition, and disease) in the Park was compiled and analyzed in relation to the management actions. Information on the risk factors for amplification and spread of CWD was also considered. These risk factors are found in areas with the following characteristics: • • • • a history of CWD animals or CWD-contaminated environments; high deer population density; low abundance of large predators; and free-ranging deer are artificially concentrated (baiting, feeding, water development, and other human-related habitat modifications) (Samuel et al. 2003). The thresholds for the intensity of an impact on the deer population were based on this available information, as follows: Negligible: Minor: Moderate: Major: There would be no observable or measurable impacts to the deer population (e.g., density, movement, herd health, risk of diseases). Impacts would be well within natural fluctuations. Small changes to the deer population (e.g., density, movement, herd health, or risk of diseases) might occur from implementation or outcome of management actions. Occasional responses to disturbance by some individuals could be expected but without interference to factors affecting population levels. Impacts would be detectable but would not be outside the natural range of variability. Impacts on the deer population (e.g., density, movement, herd health, risk of diseases) could be outside the natural range of variability, but the deer population would remain stable and viable. Frequent responses to disturbance by some individuals could be expected, with some adverse impacts to factors affecting population levels. Impacts on the deer population (e.g., density, movement, condition, risk of diseases) would be detectable, would be expected to be outside the natural range of variability, and would be extensive. Impacts would potentially result in decreased viability or stability of the deer population. Frequent responses to disturbance by some individuals would be expected with adverse impacts to factors negatively affecting population levels. 78 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Area of Analysis The area of analysis for assessment of impacts is the land within the Park. The area of analysis for cumulative impacts consists of the Park and the area within 5 miles of the boundaries, which is based on the Virginia CWD response plan surveillance area. Impacts of the Alternatives Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Specific Impacts to Deer Under this alternative, opportunistic and targeted surveillance with the potential for live testing for CWD would continue in the Park. It is assumed that approximately 14 deer would be removed annually during opportunistic surveillance, and potentially one deer would be removed by targeted surveillance. With the exception of using firearms for targeted surveillance, activities directly associated with these actions would have impacts similar to those associated with routine field work conducted in the Park. For example, the presence of people could disturb deer, causing them to temporarily disperse. Although the use of firearms in the Park would cause more changes in deer movement, they would be temporary. Ultimately, these changes would be detectable during opportunistic and targeted surveillance efforts but would return to predisturbance levels once actions are finished. Samples for live CWD tests would only be taken when deer are captured and collared in the Park as part of other research projects. Therefore, this would not increase impacts on deer movement beyond those associated with these other projects. These actions would not cause deer to disperse further than they do naturally and would not have any measurable, long-term population level impacts and would not increase the short-term potential for infectious contacts outside the Park. Because opportunistic surveillance involves removing deer that have died for other reasons, it would not affect the density of the Park deer populations. Targeted surveillance could result in the removal of deer that show clinical signs of CWD, but is not likely to influence deer density in the Park. No deer were removed using targeted surveillance since surveillance was started in 2008. Live testing activities for CWD would be relatively small-scale and short in duration, and therefore would not change Park deer densities. Although the potential for live testing would not change, if CWD is detected in or near the Park, opportunistic and targeted surveillance would likely increase which could increase the frequency of impacts that result from these actions. However, the changes to the deer population (e.g., density, movement, herd health, or risk of diseases other than CWD) would be small, would not have population level effects, and would not be considered outside the natural range in variability. As a result, activities directly associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have short-term, negligible to minor (depending on whether or not CWD is detected) adverse impacts on white-tailed deer. There would be no change in risks associated with diseases of concern other than CWD. In the event CWD is introduced in or near the Park, detection prior to the point at which clinical signs become apparent would provide an early opportunity to remove diseased deer. This could ultimately affect the amplification and spread of the disease by removing a source of CWD 79 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park prions that could be transmitted to other deer indirectly (through the environment) or directly (animal to animal contact). Continued opportunistic and targeted surveillance under Alternative A would facilitate detection of CWD positive deer, but primarily after clinical signs are apparent, which could be up to one year after an individual deer becomes infected. Although this would still have the effect of removing some diseased animals, once CWD is detected under Alternative A, the NPS could not implement any actions beyond continued opportunistic and targeted surveillance and possibly live testing. Therefore, this alternative would provide limited opportunity for early detection and removal of diseased deer, which would have a limited effect on the potential for amplification and spread of CWD. CWD infected deer serve as a source of prions that persist in the environment and may serve as a source of the disease following removal of CWD positive deer (Miller et al. 2004). These prions bind to soil particles, continue to be infectious, and can remain in soil environments for at least three years (Johnson et al. 2006; Schramm et al. 2006). Therefore, prions from CWD positive deer could remain in the soil or water, which could serve as reservoirs or pathways for spread of the disease to exposed healthy deer. Also, high deer densities such as those found in some areas of the Park (e.g., Skyline Drive, Big Meadows) are an amplification risk factor for CWD. Opportunistic surveillance and live testing would not affect the density of the deer populations in the Park. Although targeted surveillance has the potential to remove some deer, it would result in imperceptible changes to these areas with relatively high deer densities. Considering the minimal effect this alternative would have on risk factors, the potential for CWD amplification and spread (which could lead to establishment of the disease) would be high. Although the exact effects are unknown at this time, establishment of the disease could eventually impact survival rates of the deer herd. These effects would not affect the stability and viability of the deer herd during the life of this plan. The impacts from Alternative A would be long-term, moderate, and adverse. Note: The Park recognizes that CWD may affect the stability and viability of the herd beyond the life of this plan; this topic will be addressed by long-term management planning efforts and is not appropriate to evaluate here. Cumulative Impacts Actions that have contributed to adverse cumulative effects on deer surrounding the Park include loss and fragmentation of habitat that result from clear cutting of forests, loss of agricultural land uses, suburban/rural developments, past highway expansion, and potential over-hunting in some areas. This habitat loss is expected to continue into the future with continued development, especially in the towns of Harrisonburg, Staunton, Waynesboro, and Charlottesville. Increased VDGIF CWD surveillance activities (testing hunter and road-killed deer plus increased targeted surveillance) outside the Park are not expected to have adverse cumulative effects on the deer surrounding the Park. Right-of-way maintenance and Park operations (e.g., mowing, maintenance setbacks) also reduce woody vegetative cover available to deer in some areas of the Park. Manipulation of Park vegetation also creates enhanced ecological conditions (increased edge habitat and grasses/forbs) that foster deer overabundance. Increased traffic in the Park and higher deer densities may also contribute to cumulative effects as a result of the increased potential for deer–vehicle collisions. High deer density areas (e.g., Skyline Drive, Big Meadows) produce a higher risk factor for the amplification and spread of CWD. In addition, areas of the Park near captive deer facilities have an increased risk factor for CWD. Despite some predation 80 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park on deer fawns (e.g., bear, coyote), they are taken at a rate which is not likely to reduce the likelihood of CWD establishment, amplification, or spread. Cumulative impacts to white-tailed deer would be long-term, moderate, and adverse. Actions directly related to Alternative A would have negligible contributions to impacts on white-tailed deer populations. However, this alternative would have substantial contributions to the potential for CWD amplification, spread, and establishment, as well as exposure to possible long-term population level effects. Although population level effects could occur, the deer population would be expected to remain viable. Conclusion Actions directly associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance, and possibly live testing, would have short-term, negligible adverse impacts on white-tailed deer from temporary disturbances during implementation. There would be long-term, moderate, adverse impacts because Alternative A would have minimal effects on CWD risk factors and the potential for amplification, spread, and establishment of the disease. Exposure to possible population level effects would remain high. Actions directly associated with assessment actions would have temporary negligible contributions to cumulative impacts on white-tailed deer populations, which would be long-term, moderate, and adverse. However, this alternative would have moderate contributions to cumulative impacts from the potential for CWD amplification, spread, and establishment. Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment, Including Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Deer Under Alternative B, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would be used for CWD detection and could be supplemented with live testing and lethal removal of healthy-appearing deer for CWD testing under specific criteria. Effects on deer movement (temporary dispersal from the presence of people) during targeted surveillance would be somewhat more than those associated with routine field work conducted in the Park since more people would be looking for deer (overall, still negligible though). Although the limited use of firearms for enhanced targeted surveillance could cause more deer movement, it would be temporary and would return to predisturbance levels once the actions are complete. As with Alternative A, samples for live CWD testing would only be taken when deer are captured and collared in the Park as part of other projects. Therefore, this would not increase impacts on deer movement beyond those associated with these other projects. As with enhanced targeted surveillance, the use of firearms to lethally remove deer for detection surveillance would result in more changes to deer movement. Although lethal removal of healthy appearing deer would involve a larger, more sustained effort than enhanced targeted surveillance (a maximum weighted sample equivalent to 300 deer could be removed within two years) these impacts would be temporary and would dissipate once these activities are complete. All of these options would also be available as assessment tools should the disease be detected within 30 miles of the Park, although the focus of lethal removals would shift from detection to assessment of disease prevalence and distribution. Lethal removals for assessment would involve removing a maximum of 69 deer for the first detection (sample size would increase as the 81 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park number of positive detections increases according to Appendix B) over a one-year period, and these assessment actions would have the same impacts. Changes in movement would be detectable during both detection and assessment actions, but movement would return to pre-disturbance levels once the associated actions are finished. Deer would not be expected to disperse further than they do naturally. Taking into consideration these potential changes in deer movement, the detection and assessment actions themselves under Alternative B would have short-term, minor, adverse impacts on the deer population, notably in areas of higher deer densities (i.e., Skyline Drive, Big Meadows). As described for Alternative A, opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have little effect on deer densities even when enhanced by additional personnel looking for deer. This would also hold true for live testing, which would result in deer being removed only if positive results are received. However, lethal removal of healthy deer as a detection and/or assessment tool could affect deer densities in some areas of the Park (e.g., Skyline Drive, Big Meadows). These changes to deer density in these areas would be detectable; however, they would not be outside the natural range of variation, given densities would still be well above or similar to those found surrounding the Park. Although deer survival rates would be affected, sustained lower densities would result in longterm beneficial impacts to the deer herd. These long-term benefits would primarily result from changes to the potential for CWD amplification, spread, and establishment. The use of live tests and lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for detection surveillance would increase the potential for early detection if CWD is found in or near the Park. This would provide an early opportunity to remove diseased deer, which would ultimately reduce the potential amplification and spread of the disease by removing a source of CWD prions that could be transmitted to healthy deer indirectly (through the environment) or directly (animal to animal contact). Considering the potential for early detection and the potential to reduce the risk factor associated with high density deer herds, the potential for CWD amplification and spread would be reduced compared to Alternative A. In addition, the increased opportunity for coordinating actions with the VDGIF would also reduce the potential for amplification or spread of the disease. As a result, Alternative B would reduce the potential for CWD establishment and exposure to possible population level effects. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future impacts from cumulative actions described for Alternative A would also occur under Alternative B. Alternative B would have minor short-term adverse impacts on white-tailed deer movements, density, and health, particularly in areas of the Park with higher deer densities (i.e., Skyline Drive, Big Meadows). Changes in deer density, however, would have long-term beneficial effects due to reduced competition for food and lower potential for disease transmission. Coupled with other cumulative impacts to white-tailed deer (e.g. potential lethal removals, winter die-offs), long-term, minor to moderate, adverse effects would still occur (although population level effects could occur, the deer population would be expected to remain viable). 82 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Conclusion Detection and assessment actions under this alternative would have short-term, minor, adverse impacts on white-tailed deer movement, density, and health. After implementation, impacts on deer density would have long-term beneficial effects on the population as a whole, primarily by increasing the potential for early detection of CWD and reducing the potential for amplification, spread, and establishment of the disease. Alternative B would have both adverse and beneficial contributions to cumulative impacts on white-tailed deer populations, which would be long-term, minor to moderate, and adverse. However, this alternative would not contribute to cumulative impacts for the potential for CWD amplification, spread, and establishment in and near the Park. Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment but No Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Deer Detection and assessment activities described for Alternative B enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and enhanced live testing would also be available under Alternative C; however, this alternative would not involve lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing for detection or assessment. As described for Alternative B, these activities would result in temporary dispersal of deer from the presence of people. Since there would be no lethal removals for testing, this alternative would cause less deer movement than Alternative B. As with Alternative A, samples for live CWD testing would only be taken when deer are captured and collared in the Park as part of other projects. Therefore, this would not increase impacts on deer movement beyond those associated with these other projects. These changes in deer movement would be detectable during both phases but would not cause deer to disperse further than they do naturally, and movements would return to pre-disturbance levels once the associated actions are finished. Taking these potential changes in deer movement into consideration, the detection and assessment actions under Alternative C would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on the deer population. As described for Alternative A, opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have little effect on deer densities even when enhanced by additional personnel looking for deer. This would also hold true for enhanced live testing, which would result in deer being removed only if positive results are received. There would be no change in risks associated with diseases of concern other than CWD. This alternative would have limited impact on the potential for CWD amplification, spread, and establishment. The potential for early detection of CWD would be more than Alternative A because of the use of enhanced detection and assessment options and enhanced live testing, but less than Alternative B which includes lethal testing. If CWD is detected in or near the Park, enhanced opportunistic/targeted surveillance and enhanced live-testing would likely increase, which could increase the frequency of impacts that result from these actions. However, the changes to the deer population (e.g., density, movement, herd health, or risk of diseases other than CWD) would be small, would not have population level effects, and would not be considered outside the natural range in variability. As a result, 83 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park activities directly associated with enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and enhanced live testing would have short term, negligible to minor (depending on whether or not CWD is detected), adverse impacts on white-tailed deer. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future impacts from cumulative actions described for Alternative A would also occur under Alternative C. Actions directly related to Alternative C would have negligible to minor contributions to impacts on white-tailed deer movements, density, and health. Coupled with other cumulative impacts to white-tailed deer, long-term, minor to moderate, adverse effects would still occur. This alternative would somewhat reduce the potential for CWD amplification, spread, and establishment, and possibly long-term population level effects. Although population level effects could occur, the deer population would be expected to remain viable. Conclusion Actions directly associated with enhanced detection and assessment would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on white-tailed deer movement, density, and health. There would be long-term, minor to moderate, adverse impacts on deer because Alternative C would have limited effects on CWD risk factors and the potential for amplification, spread, and establishment of the disease. Exposure to possible population level effects would remain high. Actions directly associated with enhanced detection and assessment activities would have temporary negligible contributions to cumulative impacts on white-tailed deer populations, which would be long-term, moderate, and adverse. However, this alternative would have some contributions to cumulative impacts from the potential for CWD amplification, spread, and establishment. Vegetation Various actions taken as part of CWD detection and assessment could affect native vegetation by changing the number of deer that graze on vegetation or could inadvertently cause the spread of exotic plant species. Maps showing vegetation cover types, communications with NPS staff, and past surveys were used to identify baseline conditions within the study area. Although researchers believe that if it becomes established, CWD could have population level effects on deer herds, it is still unknown if these would include dramatic effects on localized populations as a result of large scale declines, or if the disease would eventually come to an equilibrium state and stabilize at an endemic level. Therefore, the evaluation does not address impacts to vegetation as a result of changes in deer populations should CWD become established. The thresholds for the intensity of an impact were defined as follows: Negligible: Minor: Actions would cause no measurable or perceptible changes in plant community size, integrity, or continuity. Any reduction in vegetation would be so small that it would not be of measurable or perceptible consequence. Actions would cause perceptible changes but would be localized within a relatively small area. The overall viability of the plant community would not be affected, and if left alone would recover. 84 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Moderate: Major: Shenandoah National Park Actions would cause a change in the plant community (e.g., abundance, density, distribution, or quality); the impact would be measurable and of consequence to the resource but localized. Actions would cause changes in plant community properties that would be readily apparent over a large area. The natural character of the plant community would be substantially altered. Area of Analysis The area of analysis for assessing impacts on vegetation is the area contained within the boundary of the Park. Impacts of the Alternatives Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Specific Impacts to Vegetation Continued opportunistic and targeted surveillance and possibly live testing conducted when deer are captured and collared for other projects under Alternative A would result in limited impacts to vegetation. Impacts would be from occasional trampling by people such as would occur during routine field work and research in the Park. Trampling would also occur during the periodic removal of deer carcasses found dead or lethally removed as part of targeted surveillance. In forested and wetland areas, this would impact herbaceous and short woody plants (e.g., shrubs or tree saplings), but would not alter the overall vegetative structure. Surveillance could occur during the growing season and there would be a perceptible reduction in vegetation in small areas where trampling occurs. In addition, vegetation under carcasses left to decompose would temporarily die back. These impacts would be temporary, and if left alone, vegetation would recover and there would be no long-term, measurable consequences to the overall viability of the plant communities. As described in the analysis of impacts to white-tailed deer, any changes in movement as a result of surveillance activities would be expected to be within the range of natural variation. Therefore, deer dispersal would not increase impacts to vegetation. People and vehicles associated with surveillance actions could inadvertently transport seeds of nonnative species. These introductions could cause changes in species diversity or abundance of native plants, which would have perceptible effects on native plant communities. The potential for long-term impacts to the size, integrity, continuity, and, ultimate viability of these plant communities would be limited by nonnative species control programs in the Park. Considering these effects, actions directly related to opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live testing would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on vegetation. Should CWD be detected in or near the Park, opportunistic and targeted surveillance would likely increase, which could increase the frequency of impacts that result from these actions; however, these impacts would remain short-term and would not affect the overall viability of the plant communities. As described in the impacts analysis for white-tailed deer, there would be minimal change in deer density under Alternative A, unless CWD effects reduced the number of deer through death. This would also be true for live-testing, which would only result in some deer being removed if 85 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park positive results are received. Sustained browsing in areas with higher population densities would continue to have measurable effects on the diversity and abundance of understory shrubs and grasses found in forested and wetland areas. Therefore, the CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative A would not result in any effects to the existing conditions. Cumulative Impacts Adverse cumulative effects on vegetation include past land use, natural and anthropogenic disturbances, and increasing competition with nonnative vegetation. In addition, fires, tropical storms, ice, and impacts from ozone and acid precipitation deposition continue to adversely affect the vegetation. Insects and disease will continue to influence the health of forest and wetland communities. Herbivory, primarily in areas of the Park with high deer densities (e.g. developed areas), continues to contribute substantially to adverse effects on diversity and abundance of understory shrubs and grasses. Current and past Park operations, such as mowing, burning, vegetative rehabilitation (e.g., Skyline Drive, Panorama), and road, trail and campsite maintenance have also altered vegetative cover. Future Park actions associated with trail relocations and other disturbance-creating projects will change vegetative communities in these areas. All of these actions would be expected to result in vegetation loss and fragmentation of plant communities into the future. Although fire management would have short-term adverse impacts from prescribed burns (including associated field activities), there would be long-term beneficial effects on vegetation from nutrient release and regrowth of native plants. In light of the adverse and beneficial effects from past, present, and reasonably foreseeable future actions, cumulative impacts on vegetation in the Park would be long-term, moderate, and adverse (there would be measurable consequence to localized plant communities). Actions directly related to surveillance under Alternative A would have negligible to minor contributions to these impacts on vegetation. Conclusion Actions associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live testing would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on vegetation from temporary disturbances during implementation. Because these surveillance efforts would not measurably affect deer densities across the Park, CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative A would not result in any indirect effects (i.e., herbivory) to existing vegetative conditions. Cumulative impacts on vegetation would be long-term, moderate, and adverse; however, surveillance actions under Alternative A would contribute minimally to these effects. Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment, Including Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Vegetation Under Alternative B, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would be used for CWD detection and could be supplemented with live tests and lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing under specific criteria. As described for Alternative A, effects on vegetation during enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live testing would be similar to those associated with routine field work conducted in the Park. This would include temporary reductions in vegetation in small areas from trampling and the potential for the inadvertent 86 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park introduction or spread of nonnative plants. Lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for testing would involve a larger, more sustained effort for detection (a maximum sample of 300 deer could be removed over three years). The vegetation impacts would also be the same, but would likely occur in more parts of the Park and more frequently. All of these options would also be available in the assessment mode should the disease be detected zero to five miles from Park, although the focus of lethal removals would shift from detection to assessment. Lethal removals for assessment purposes would involve removing the Park’s “fair share” portion of samples (up to 69 deer for one detection – Appendix B) in one year, and these assessment options would have the same impacts as detection. This Alternative would have the same effects as Alternative C in addition to potential vegetation impacts because of the lethal removal options under the Detection (five-30 miles) and Assessment (zero to five miles) scenarios. Detection and assessment activities would result in perceptible impacts to shrub and herbaceous species in forested and wetland areas. But these activities would not alter the vegetative structure of native plant communities, which would remain viable. If left alone, vegetation would recover where carcasses decomposed or trampling had occurred. The potential for long-term impacts to the size, integrity, continuity, and ultimate viability of the plant communities from nonnative species introduction or spread would be limited by the nonnative species control programs in the Park. Therefore, impacts of activities directly related to detection and assessment would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on vegetation. As described for Alternative A, deer dispersal during these types of actions would not increase impacts to vegetation outside the Park. As described in the impacts analysis for white-tailed deer, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have little effect on deer densities. This would also hold true for enhanced live testing, which would only result in deer being removed if positive results are received. However, lethal removal of healthy deer if used for detection and/or assessment would reduce deer densities in certain areas (e.g., Big Meadows, Skyland, Skyline Drive) of the Park. Reduced browsing pressure associated with lower deer densities would decrease potential impacts to understory plants (shrubs and herbaceous species) that provide deer forage in forested and wetland areas. However, potential benefits on the regeneration of tree and shrub species, as well as forest community structure, would not be realized during the life of this plan (10 years). Although the deer population may increase after lethal removals (from initial increased productivity), additional possible assessments could maintain a lower deer density when compared to Alternative A. Therefore, reduced deer browsing as a result of lower deer densities would be expected to have long-term beneficial effects on vegetation. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future impacts from cumulative actions described for Alternative A would occur under Alternative B. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative B would have negligible to minor contributions to adverse cumulative impacts on vegetation, but changes in density associated with lethal removal of deer would have long-term beneficial effects. Coupled with other cumulative impacts to vegetation, long-term, minor to moderate, adverse effects would occur (localized impacts would cause perceptible if not measurable changes, but would not affect the overall viability of the vegetative communities). 87 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Conclusion Detection and assessment actions would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on vegetation from temporary disturbances during implementation. After implementation, reductions in deer density from lethal removal of deer for CWD detection and/or assessment would have long-term beneficial effects (e.g. reduced herbivory). Cumulative impacts on vegetation would be long-term, minor to moderate, and adverse. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative B, including benefits from reduced deer densities in certain areas of the Park, would contribute minimally to these effects. Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment but No Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Vegetation Detection and assessment actions described under Alternative B – enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live testing – would also be available under Alternative C; however, this alternative would not involve lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing for detection or assessment. As described for alternatives A and B, these activities would result in effects on vegetation similar to those associated with routine field work conducted in the Park and would include temporary reductions in vegetation in small areas from trampling and the potential for the inadvertent introduction or spread of nonnative plant species in the Park. As with Alternative B, detection and assessment activities would result in perceptible impacts to shrub and herbaceous species in forest and wetland areas. However, native plant communities would remain viable, vegetation affected by trampling would recover if left alone, and there would be few or no impacts to native vegetation from carcasses left to decompose on the landscape. The potential for long-term impacts to the size, integrity, continuity, and ultimate viability of these plant communities from nonnative species introduction or spread would be limited by the nonnative species control programs in the Park. Therefore, impacts of activities directly related to CWD detection and assessment would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on vegetation. As with Alternative A, deer dispersal during these types of actions would not increase impacts to vegetation outside the Park as a result of deer being dispersed. As described in the impacts analysis for white-tailed deer, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have little effect on deer densities unless CWD effects reduced the number of deer through death. This would also hold true for enhanced live testing, which would only result in deer being removed if positive results are received. Compared to Alternative A there is the potential for slightly more deer to be removed because of enhanced detection and assessment actions. Compared to Alternative B, there would be much fewer deer removed. Therefore, browsing in areas with higher population densities would continue to have measurable effects on the diversity and abundance of understory shrubs and grasses found in forested and wetland areas. Therefore, the CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative C are similar to Alternative A and would not result in any effects to the existing conditions. 88 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future impacts from cumulative actions described for Alternative A would also occur under Alternative C. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative C would have negligible to minor contributions to cumulative impacts on vegetation. Very limited changes in deer density associated with enhanced detection and assessment would have negligible effects. Considering other cumulative impacts to vegetation, long-term, moderate, adverse effects would occur (localized impacts would cause measurable changes). Conclusion Enhanced detection and assessment actions would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on vegetation from temporary disturbances during implementation. Cumulative impacts on vegetation would be long-term, moderate, and adverse. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative C would contribute minimally to cumulative impacts. Other Wildlife The evaluation of wildlife (other than deer) was based on available information on the wildlife species in the Park and their habitat and was compiled and analyzed in relation to the management action. The thresholds for the intensity of an impact are defined as follows: Negligible: Minor: Moderate: Major: There would be no observable or measurable impacts to native species, their habitats, or the natural processes sustaining them. Impacts would be well within natural fluctuations. Impacts would be detectable, but would not be outside the natural range of variability. Small changes to population numbers, population structure, genetic variability, and other demographic factors might occur. Occasional responses to disturbance by some individuals could be expected, but without interference to factors affecting population levels. Sufficient habitat would remain functional to maintain viability of all species. Impacts would be outside critical reproduction periods for sensitive native species. Impacts on native species, their habitats, or the natural processes sustaining them would be detectable and could be outside the natural range of variability. Changes to population numbers, population structure, genetic variability, and other demographic factors would occur, but species would remain stable and viable. Frequent responses to disturbance by some individuals could be expected, with some negative impacts to factors affecting population levels. Sufficient habitat would remain functional to maintain the viability of all native species. Some impacts might occur during critical periods of reproduction or in key habitat. Impacts on native species, their habitats, or the natural processes sustaining them would be detectable, would be expected to be outside the natural range of variability, and would be permanent. Population numbers, population structure, genetic variability, and other demographic factors might experience large declines. Frequent responses to disturbance by some individuals would be expected, with negative impacts to factors resulting in a decrease in population levels. Loss of habitat might affect the viability of at least some native species. 89 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Area of Analysis The area of analysis for assessing impacts on other wildlife is the area contained within the boundary of the Park. Impacts of the Alternatives Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Specific Impacts to Other Wildlife Continued opportunistic and targeted surveillance activities and possibly live testing under Alternative A would result in limited impacts to wildlife and wildlife habitat. There would be indirect effects such as occasional trampling of soils and ground vegetation and inadvertent spread of nonnative plant seeds by staff involved in these actions. Trampling and nonnative seed spread could also occur during the periodic removal of deer carcasses found dead or lethally removed as part of targeted surveillance. The spread of nonnative plants could cause changes in diversity or abundance of native plants, which would have perceptible effects on native plant communities and the quality and type of wildlife habitat in the Park. The potential for long-term impacts to the size, integrity, continuity, and ultimate viability of these plant communities would be limited by exotic species control programs. As described in impacts analysis for vegetation, mostly herbaceous and short woody plants would be affected, which could temporarily disturb wildlife that are ground, herbaceous layer, and shrub dwellers such as mice and screws, rabbits, and foxes, as well as ground/shrub-nesting birds. Surveillance could occur during the growing season, and there would be a perceptible reduction in vegetation in small areas where trampling occurs. Trampling could also affect small burrows used by mice, shrews, and voles. These indirect impacts would be temporary, and if left alone, habitat would recover and there would be no long-term, measurable consequences to the overall wildlife community. The presence of people could also directly disturb wildlife, and the use of firearms for targeted surveillance would cause short-term noise disturbance and result in mobile wildlife dispersing from the area. Impacts related to noise are usually temporary, with wildlife avoiding or moving away from the source but returning after noise is reduced or eliminated. In addition, carrion eaters (e.g., fox, raptors) would benefit from the availability of CWD negative carcasses left to decompose on the landscape. These direct effects would not have measurable, long-term population level impacts, and any changes in movement as a result of surveillance activities would be within the range of natural variation. Considering these effects, actions directly related to opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat. Impacts would be detectable on a small scale (i.e., when standing over it), but would not be outside the natural range of variability. Occasional responses to disturbance by some individuals could be expected but without interference to factors affecting population levels, sufficient habitat would remain functional to maintain viability of all species. Should CWD be detected in or near the Park, opportunistic and targeted surveillance may increase, which could increase the frequency of impacts that result from these actions; however, these impacts would remain shortterm and would not affect the overall viability of any wildlife species or habitat. 90 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park As described in the impacts analysis for white-tailed deer, there would be minimal change in deer density under Alternative A, unless CWD effects reduced the number of deer through death. Sustained browsing at high population densities would continue to have measurable effects on the diversity and abundance of understory shrubs and grasses found in some areas of the Park (e.g., Skyland Drive, Big Meadows), and the CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative A would not result in any long-term effects to existing wildlife habitat conditions. Cumulative Impacts Adverse cumulative effects on wildlife and wildlife habitat would include loss and fragmentation of habitat from past clear cutting of forests, herbivory, fire, and highway expansion. Development within and around the Park, including private activities, also contributes to these effects, and future growth expected in communities around the Park is expected to continue to reduce the amount of natural wildlife habitat. Future impacts also include road construction/maintenance, rock outcrop management, site rehabilitation and continued deer herbivory. Actions directly related to surveillance under Alternative A would have negligible contributions to overall cumulative impacts on wildlife and habitat. Overall cumulative impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat would be long-term, negligible to minor, and adverse, primarily due to the effects of continued herbivory and Park maintenance/development. Conclusion Actions directly associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance and potentially live testing would have short-term, negligible, adverse impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat, mainly from temporary disturbances and trampling during implementation. Potential short-term, negligible to minor, beneficial impacts would occur for carrion eaters from the possible availability of CWD negative carcasses on the landscape. Sustained deer browsing in areas of the Park with high population densities (e.g. Big Meadows) would continue to contribute substantially to long-term adverse effects on wildlife and wildlife habitat in these areas as a result of impacts on diversity and abundance of understory shrubs and grasses. In addition, prescribed burns (a possible management action) would have short-term adverse impacts (including associated field activities), there would be beneficial effects on wildlife habitat from nutrient release (short-term), regrowth of mostly native plants/shrubs (long-term), and by the creation of beneficial forest gaps (long-term). Cumulative impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat would be long-term, negligible to minor, and adverse. Surveillance actions under Alternative A would contribute minimally to these effects. Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment, Including Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Other Wildlife Under Alternative B, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would be used for CWD detection and could be supplemented with enhanced live testing and lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing under specific criteria. As described for Alternative A, some wildlife would be affected by direct disturbance and possible availability of additional food resources (i.e., carrion eaters). Indirect effects would occur to wildlife habitat from these detection activities, including temporary impacts to vegetation and soils/ground cover in small 91 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park areas from trampling and possible spread of nonnative seeds. Lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for testing would involve a much larger, more sustained effort than enhanced targeted surveillance and the vegetation and associated habitat and noise impacts would likely occur in more areas of the Park and more frequently. All of these options would also be available as CWD assessment tools should the disease be detected within five miles of the Park, although the focus of lethal removals would shift from detection to assessment. These assessment actions would have the same impacts as detection and would cause the most impacts directly and indirectly to wildlife because it is the largest effort in terms of scope. The effects of detection and assessment activities would result in slight but perceptible impacts to shrubby and herbaceous species in forested and wetland areas and create temporary noise disturbance to species that use these areas for nesting, food, and cover (e.g., rabbits, foxes, mice, and ground-nesting birds). Any CWD negative carcasses left on the landscape would provide food for species that eat carrion. Wildlife could also be temporarily disturbed by the presence of humans placing bait stations and shooting deer (activities that typically occur most often outside of the Park). These disturbances would be adverse, but temporary and negligible to minor, as they would not cause any measurable change to the habitat or responses by other wildlife species. Bait could provide a beneficial food source to other wildlife during the time when testing activities are conducted; however, the small quantity and short time periods that bait would be available would be of minimal benefit to any species at the population level. As described in the impacts analysis for white-tailed deer, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and enhanced live testing would have little effect on deer densities. However, lethal removal of healthy deer for detection and assessment could reduce deer densities in some parts of the Park (Skyline Drive, Big Meadows) which would lead to reduced deer browsing on understory shrubs and herbaceous species that provide wildlife habitat. This would increase the availability of food and cover for species that depend on ground/shrub layer vegetation for survival. Species such as ground- and/or shrub-nesting birds and some mammals (rabbits, mice) could benefit from these changes. Although the deer population may increase after lethal removals (due to increased productivity), subsequent assessment actions (where CWD is zero to five miles away) would maintain a lower deer density when compared to Alternative A. Therefore, reduced deer browsing and grazing pressure from lower deer densities would have long-term beneficial effects on wildlife. Predators that use deer as an occasional food source, such as coyotes, could be somewhat adversely affected by the reduced deer density and denser understory conditions in some parts of the Park. Other animals that feed on deer carcasses, such as crows and turkey vultures, could also be affected, both beneficially from the carcasses that are not immediately removed, as well as adversely in the longer term from the reduced number of deer. However, none of these species solely depend on deer as a food source, so the adverse impacts to these species would be longterm and minor at most. 92 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future impacts from cumulative actions described for Alternative A would occur under Alternative B. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative B would have negligible to minor contributions to cumulative impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat, and changes in density associated with lethal removal of deer would have long-term beneficial effects. Coupled with other cumulative impacts, long-term, minor, adverse effects would still occur to wildlife and wildlife habitat in and around the Park. Conclusion Detection and initial response actions would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat from temporary disturbances during implementation. After implementation, reductions in deer density from lethal removal of deer for CWD detection and/or assessment would have long-term beneficial effects. Cumulative impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat would be long term, minor, and adverse, and detection and assessment actions under Alternative B would contribute minimally to these effects. Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment but No Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Other Wildlife Detection and assessment actions described under Alternative B—enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and enhanced live testing would also be available under Alternative C. Impacts of this alternative are more similar to Alternative A, since this alternative does not include lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD detection or assessment. Impacts to wildlife and wildlife habitat would be more than in Alternative A because detection and assessment would be enhanced but much less than described in Alternative B. Indirect effects include occasional trampling of soils and ground vegetation and inadvertent spread of nonnative plant seeds. The spread of nonnative plants would be limited by exotic plant species control programs. Wildlife that are ground, herbaceous layer, and shrub dwellers, as well as groundnesting birds, would be temporarily disturbed. These indirect impacts would be temporary, and if left alone, habitat would recover and there would be no long-term, measurable consequences to the overall wildlife community. Direct effects include temporary disturbance from people and noise that may result in wildlife dispersing from the area. Carrion eaters would benefit from the availability of CWD negative carcasses left to decompose on the landscape. These direct effects would not have measurable, long-term population level impacts and any changes in movement as a result of surveillance activities would be within the range of natural variation. Actions directly related to enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live testing would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat. Impacts would be detectable, but would be within the natural range of variability. There would be minimal change in deer density unless CWD effects reduced the number of deer through death. Sustained browsing at high population densities would continue in some areas of 93 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park the Park and the CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative C would not result in any long-term effects to existing wildlife habitat conditions. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future impacts from cumulative actions described for Alternative A would also occur under Alternative C. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative C would have negligible to minor contributions to cumulative impacts on wildlife and habitat. Overall cumulative impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat would be long-term, negligible to minor, and adverse, primarily due to the effects of continued deer herbivory and Park maintenance/development. Conclusion Actions directly associated with enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and enhanced live testing would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat, mainly from temporary disturbances and trampling during implementation. Some minimal benefits would occur for carrion eaters from the possible availability of CWD negative carcasses on the landscape. Sustained deer browsing in areas of the Park with high population densities (e.g., Skyline Drive, Big Meadows) would continue to contribute substantially to longterm adverse effects on wildlife and wildlife habitat in these areas as a result of impacts on diversity and abundance of understory shrubs and plants. In addition, although fire management would have short-term adverse impacts from prescribed burns (including associated field activities), there would be long-term beneficial effects on wildlife habitat from regrowth of mostly native plants and the creation of canopy gaps in the forest. Cumulative impacts on wildlife and wildlife habitat would be long-term, negligible to minor, and adverse. Surveillance actions under Alternative C would contribute minimally to these effects. State-listed Plant Species The Park has two state listed plant species and numerous rare plant species that could be affected if CWD testing changed the number of deer that browse on vegetation in a particular area. Big Meadows Area contains examples of 18% of the Park’s rare plant populations and has the highest density of deer. The thresholds for the intensity of an impact are defined as follows: Negligible Minor Moderate Major Impacts would result in no measurable or perceptible changes to a population or individuals of a species or its habitat. Impacts would result in measurable or perceptible changes to individuals of a species, a population, or its habitat, but would be localized within a relatively small area. The overall viability of the species would not be affected. Impacts would result in measurable and or consequential changes to individuals of a species, a population, or its habitat; however, the impact would remain relatively localized. The viability of the species would be affected, but the species would not be permanently lost. Impacts would result in measurable and/or consequential changes to a large number of individuals of a species or a population or a large area of its habitat. These changes would be substantial, highly noticeable, and permanent, occurring 94 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park over a widespread geographic area, resulting in a loss of species viability and potential extirpation from the Park. Area of Analysis The area of analysis for assessing impacts on state-listed plant species is the area contained within the boundary of the Park. Impacts of the Alternatives Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Specific Impacts to State-listed Plant Species Continued opportunistic and targeted surveillance and possibly live testing conducted when deer are captured and collared for other projects under Alternative A would result in limited impacts to state-listed plant species. Trampling of a state listed plant species by people during the removal of deer carcasses found dead or lethally removed as part of targeted surveillance could potentially occur. People and vehicles associated with surveillance actions could inadvertently transport nonnative plant seeds which could increase competition for a listed plant species. The potential for long-term impacts to the size, integrity, continuity, and ultimate viability of these plant communities would be limited by nonnative species control programs in the Park. In addition, the potential for deer to browse a listed plant species would not be expected to change. Considering these effects, actions directly related to opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live testing would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on state-listed plant species. Should CWD be detected in or near the Park, opportunistic and targeted surveillance would likely increase, which could increase the frequency of impacts that result from these actions; however, these impacts would remain short-term and would not affect the overall viability of a listed species. As described in the impacts analysis for white-tailed deer, there would be minimal change in deer density under Alternative A, unless CWD effects reduced the number of deer through death. This would also be true for live-testing, which would only result in deer being removed if positive test results are received. Areas of the Park with higher population densities (Big Meadows Area, Skyline Drive) would have a higher likelihood for potential browsing of a listed species. Cumulative Impacts Adverse cumulative effects on state-listed plant species include past land use, exotic species, development, and deer browsing. In addition, fires, tropical storms, ice, and impacts from ozone and acid precipitation deposition continue to adversely affect listed plant species. Current and past Park operations such as mowing; burning; vegetative rehabilitation (e.g., Skyline Drive, Panorama); and road, trail and campsite maintenance have also altered vegetative cover. Future Park actions associated with increased development and rehabilitation will change vegetative communities in some areas; however, listed plant communities would be avoided. All of these actions would be expected to result in some plant loss into the future. 95 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Although fire management would have short-term adverse impacts from prescribed burns (including associated field activities), there may be long-term beneficial effects on vegetation from regrowth of mostly native plants and the creation of canopy gaps in the forest. In light of the adverse and beneficial effects from past, present, and reasonably foreseeable future actions, cumulative impacts on state-listed plant species in the Park would be long-term, minor, and adverse. Actions directly related to surveillance under Alternative A would have negligible to minor contributions to these impacts on state-listed plant species. Conclusion Actions associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live testing would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on state-listed plant species from potential trampling and spread of nonnative plant species. Because these surveillance efforts would not measurably affect deer densities across the Park, CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative A would not result in any indirect effects (i.e., reduced herbivory) to existing state-listed species. Cumulative impacts on state-listed plant species would be long-term, minor, and adverse; however, surveillance actions under Alternative A would contribute minimally to these effects. Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment, Including Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to State-listed Plant Species Under Alternative B, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would be used for CWD detection and could be supplemented with live testing and lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing under specific criteria. Effects on state-listed plant species during opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live testing, even when enhanced, would be similar to those associated with routine field work conducted in the Park (and similar to Alternatives A and C). This would include the potential for trampling and spread of nonnative plant species. Lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for detection testing (where a CWD positive is five-30 miles from Park) would involve a larger, more sustained effort (a maximum sample of 300 deer could be removed over three years). Should the disease be detected within five miles of the Park, the focus of lethal removals would shift from detection to assessment. Lethal removals for assessment purposes would involve removing the Park's portion of samples (up to 69 deer for one positive CWD case within five miles from the Park – Appendix B) in one year. These lethal removal actions (along with live-testing and enhanced opportunistic sampling, etc.) would have the same impacts on state-listed plants whether in a detection mode or in an assessment mode. The direct effects on state-listed species would be the same (trampling, spread of nonnative plants), but would likely occur in more parts of the Park and more frequently. The potential for long-term impacts to the size, integrity, continuity, and ultimate viability of the plant communities from nonnative species introduction or spread would be limited by the nonnative species control programs in the Park. This alternative would have the most potential for indirect impacts to state-listed species because it is the largest effort in terms of scope. Lethal removal of healthy deer if used for detection and/or assessment would reduce deer densities in certain areas (e.g., Big Meadows Area, Skyline 96 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Drive) of the Park. Lower deer densities would decrease potential browsing impacts to listed plant species. Therefore, impacts of activities directly related to detection and assessment would have short-term, negligible to minor adverse impacts on state-listed species. Although the deer population may eventually increase after lethal removals (due to increased productivity), subsequent assessment activities would potentially maintain a lower deer density in these Park areas when compared to Alternative A. Therefore, reduced deer browsing from lower deer densities would be expected to have long-term beneficial effects on threatened and endangered plant species. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future impacts from cumulative actions described for Alternative A would occur under Alternative B. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative B would have negligible to minor contributions to adverse cumulative impacts on threatened and endangered species, but changes in deer density associated with lethal removal of deer would have long-term beneficial effects. Coupled with other cumulative impacts to threatened and endangered species, the long-term, minor, adverse effects may be offset by the reduced potential for browsing. Conclusion Detection and assessment actions would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on state-listed plant species from potential trampling and potential spread of nonnative plant seeds. After implementation, reductions in deer density from lethal removal of deer for CWD detection and/or assessment would have long-term beneficial effects (e.g. reduced herbivory). Cumulative impacts on state-listed species would be long-term, minor, and adverse. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative B, including benefits from reduced deer densities in certain areas of the Park, would contribute minimally to these effects. Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment but No Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to State-listed Plant Species Detection and assessment actions described under Alternative B—enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live-testing would also be available under Alternative C; however, this alternative would not involve lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing for detection or assessment. As described for alternatives A and B, these activities would result in effects on state-listed plant species similar to those associated with routine field work conducted in the Park and would include potential trampling and the potential for the inadvertent introduction or spread of nonnative plant species in the Park. The potential for long-term impacts to the size, integrity, continuity, and ultimate viability of these listed plant communities from nonnative species introduction or spread would be limited by the nonnative plant species control program in the Park. Therefore, impacts of activities directly related to CWD detection and assessment would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on state-listed plant species. As described in the impacts analysis for white-tailed deer, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have little effect on deer densities unless CWD effects reduced the number of 97 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park deer through death. This would also hold true for enhanced live testing, which would only result in deer being removed if positive results are received. Compared to Alternative A, there is the potential for slightly more deer to be removed because of enhanced detection and assessment actions. Compared to Alternative B, there would be much fewer deer removed. Therefore, areas of the Park with higher deer densities (Big Meadows Area, Skyline Drive) would continue to have a greater potential for browsing impacts on state-listed vegetation. Therefore, the CWD detection and assessment actions that would occur under Alternative C are fairly similar to Alternative A and would not result in any effects to the existing conditions. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future impacts from cumulative actions described for Alternative A would also occur under Alternative C. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative C would have negligible to minor contributions to cumulative impacts on state-listed plant species. Very limited changes in deer density associated with enhanced detection and assessment would have negligible effects. Considering other cumulative impacts to listed plant species, long-term, minor, adverse effects would occur. Conclusion Enhanced detection and assessment actions which do not include lethal removals would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on state-listed plant species from trampling and potential spread of nonnative plant seed during implementation. Cumulative impacts on statelisted species would be long-term, minor, and adverse. Detection and assessment actions under Alternative C would contribute minimally to cumulative impacts. Socioeconomics Options for CWD detection and assessment could affect deer populations both within and outside the Park with associated impacts on hunting (loss of sustenance-based hunting opportunities and hunting-related tourism) and Park visitation, which contribute to the local economy. The focus of this overview is the area immediately surrounding the Park. Impact threshold definitions for socioeconomic conditions focus on possible loss of revenues to the Park, surrounding towns, local businesses, and lost local hunting opportunities and were defined as follows: Negligible: Minor: Moderate: No effects would occur, or the effects on neighboring landowners, sustenancebased hunters, businesses, towns, or other socioeconomic conditions would be below or at the level of detection. The effects on neighboring landowners, sustenance-based hunters, businesses, towns or other socioeconomic conditions would be small but detectable. The impact would be slight, but would not be detectable outside the neighboring lands and would affect only a few adjacent landowners. The effects on neighboring landowners, sustenance-based hunters, businesses, towns or other socioeconomic conditions would be readily apparent. Changes in economic or social conditions would be limited and confined locally, and they would affect more than a few landowners, local hunters, or businesses. 98 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Major: Shenandoah National Park The effects on neighboring landowners, sustenance-based hunters, businesses, towns, or other socioeconomic conditions would be readily apparent. Changes in social or economic conditions would be substantial, extend beyond the local area, and affect the majority of landowners, local hunters, and businesses. Area of Analysis The area of analysis includes the Park and the surrounding area within 5 miles of the boundaries. Impacts of the Alternatives Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Specific Impacts to Socioeconomics Given the limited number of deer expected to be taken by continued opportunistic and targeted surveillance and possibly live testing under Alternative A, there would be few impacts to regional socioeconomic resources. As described in the impacts analyses for deer and vegetation, there would be minimal change in existing deer density due to actions taken under Alternative A unless CWD drastically reduced survival rates. Sustained browsing in areas of the Park with high population densities (Big Meadows, Skyline Drive) would continue to have measurable effects on surrounding vegetation in those areas. These areas, however, have no nearby private lands. The CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative A would not result in any change to the existing conditions. Should CWD be detected in or near the Park, opportunistic and targeted surveillance and possibly live-testing may increase, but increasing these activities would only have limited effects on minimizing the potential for CWD amplification and spread. Therefore, if CWD is detected in or near the Park the potential for the establishment of CWD and possible exposure to population level effects for deer would be high. If CWD becomes prevalent in the deer populations of the Park and nearby lands, it is uncertain whether deer densities would decrease or if the herd would initially decrease and then stabilize at an endemic level. If CWD has population effects on deer, this could possibly influence hunting-related tourism or sustenance-based hunting by reducing the number of animals available to hunt or making it less desirable to hunt. Impacts would likely be long-term, minor, and adverse to the local economy immediately surrounding the Park from these effects. However, the exact nature and level of impact would depend on what actions the state has taken in the communities surrounding the Park in response to the presence of CWD. Population level impacts to deer from CWD could have an adverse impact on visitor experience from potentially fewer deer seen and an increase in the number of dead or sick deer observed. The presence of CWD could deter visitation in the Park and in the surrounding communities, if the disease and its health implications were not fully understood. Public information and outreach would help mitigate adverse perceptions; however, impacts related to tourism could range from negligible impacts to long-term, minor, adverse effects. 99 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Cumulative Impacts Actions that have contributed to long-term beneficial cumulative effects on socioeconomic resources include increased wildlife viewing opportunities, designation of Skyline Drive as National Scenic Byway, Main Street planning in gateway communities, enhanced partnerships to obtain marketing grants to increase tourism, migration of bedroom communities from Washington, DC, and reduction of rights-of-way into the Park. Hunting also contributes beneficially to the cumulative impact on local socioeconomic resources, with deer hunting in Virginia generating over $250 million annually. Actions that contribute adverse impacts to the local socioeconomic resources include migration of some industries out of gateway communities, loss of agricultural land use, and wildlife-related crop damage. Alternative A would contribute long-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts to the socioeconomic resource. Despite this and adverse impacts from other past, present, and future actions, they would not be enough to outweigh the benefits provided by development in the local area and the economic contributions of the Park. Therefore, the overall cumulative impacts on the local socioeconomic resources would be long-term and beneficial. Conclusion Actions associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance and possibly live-testing would have long-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on socioeconomics. CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative A would not result in any changes to the existing socioeconomic conditions, and adverse impacts resulting from deer-related crop damage would continue. Because Alternative A would have minimal effects on CWD risk factors allowing the potential for amplification, spread, and establishment, as well as exposure to possible population level effects to remain high, there could be negligible to minor, adverse impacts to hunting and tourism due to changes in deer numbers and/or the presence of the disease. However, the exact nature and level of impact would depend on what actions the state has taken in the communities surrounding the Park in response to the presence of CWD. Overall cumulative impacts on the local socioeconomic resources would be long-term and beneficial. Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment, Including Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Socioeconomics Under Alternative B, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would be used for CWD detection, and could be supplemented with live testing and lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing under specific criteria. Impacts from opportunistic and targeted surveillance even when enhanced would be similar to those under Alternative A with long-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts. Lethal removal of healthy appearing deer as a detection method would involve a larger, more sustained effort (a maximum of 300 deer could be removed over three years). For assessment, a maximum of 69 deer would be removed per detection (when found zero to five miles from the Park). These actions would be conducted over a one- to three-year period and could reduce the deer densities in some areas of the Park. If lethal removal of deer within the Park is conducted during the normal operating hours, some areas would be closed to visitors for their safety. The 100 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park public would be notified of the closures ahead of time. Depending on the number and location of the closures at any given time, some visitors may avoid going to the Park on the days of the closures. Impacts due to closures would be temporary and would not likely deter people from visiting the Park at another time. However, as described under Alternative A, some visitors may stay away because of the presence of the disease. Public information and outreach would be used to help mitigate this situation. Therefore, the impact from the change in visitor use on socioeconomics would range from short to long-term, negligible to minor, and adverse. Lower densities of deer could have short-term minor adverse impacts on hunting outside the Park by potentially reducing the number of deer available to hunters. The nature and level of this impact would depend on what actions the state has taken in response to the presence of CWD, and the effect of CWD itself on hunting in the area. As discussed in the analysis for white-tailed deer, Alternative B could result in lower deer densities in some areas of the Park (Big Meadows, Skyline Drive) when compared to Alternative A. These areas are not near farmable private land, so there would be no reduction in the amount of deer-related damage to crops in the areas surrounding the Park. Should assessment activities help preclude CWD from becoming established, this could possibly offset potential losses in sustenance-based hunting opportunities or hunting-related tourism described for Alternative A. As a result, there would be long-term beneficial effects on socioeconomics under Alternative B. Relatively minor beneficial effects could also occur as a result of the potential for hiring deer removal contractors that would spend money in local communities; the potential to donate deer meat; and the potential expenditures associated with disposal activities. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future adverse and beneficial impacts from cumulative actions described under Alternative A would also occur under Alternative B. Actions taken under Alternative B contribute both adverse and beneficial impacts to the socioeconomic resource. Adverse impacts resulting from actions taken under Alternative B and adverse impacts from other past, present, and future actions would not be enough to outweigh the benefits provided by development in the local area and the economic contributions of the Park. Therefore, the overall cumulative impacts on the local socioeconomic resources would be long-term and beneficial. Conclusion Actions taken under Alternative B would result in short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts to the socioeconomic resource with the level of adverse impacts dependent upon the perceptions of visitors and hunters, the number of deer potentially affected by CWD, and the actions the state has taken in the communities surrounding the Park in response to CWD. Long-term beneficial effects could occur primarily if CWD is precluded from becoming established, offsetting potential reductions in sustenance-based hunting and hunting-related tourism, and as a result of reduced deer damage to crops in the areas surrounding the Park due to lower deer densities. Overall cumulative impacts would be long-term and beneficial. 101 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment but No Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Socioeconomics Detection and assessment activities under Alternative C would be the same as those described under Alternative B—enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and enhanced livetesting. Alternative C, however, would not involve lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing and assessment. Impacts from opportunistic surveillance, targeted surveillance, and live-testing even when enhanced would be similar to those under Alternative A with long-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts. Detection or assessment activities in the Park would have negligible to minor, adverse effects on sustenance-based hunting opportunities and huntingrelated tourism due to the low number of deer tested. Deer densities in the Park would not be expected to change. The nature and level of this impact would depend on what actions the state has taken in the communities surrounding the Park in response to the presence of CWD and the effect of the disease itself. Detection and assessment activities would not likely preclude CWD from becoming established, therefore, there would not be any potential offset of losses in sustenance-based hunting opportunities or hunting-related tourism as described for Alternative B. Impacts would likely be long-term, minor, and adverse to the local economy immediately surrounding the Park from these effects. The presence of CWD could deter visitation in the Park and in the surrounding communities if the disease and its health implications were not fully understood. Public information and outreach would help mitigate adverse perceptions; however, impacts related to tourism could range from negligible impacts to long-term, minor, adverse effects. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future beneficial and adverse impacts from cumulative actions described for alternatives A and B would also occur under Alternative C. The adverse impacts resulting from actions taken under Alternative B and adverse impacts from other past, present and future actions would not be enough to outweigh the benefits provided by development in the local area and the economic contributions of the Park. Therefore, the overall cumulative impacts on the local socioeconomic resources would be long-term and beneficial. Conclusion CWD surveillance actions that would occur under Alternative C would not result in changes to the existing socioeconomic conditions, and adverse impacts resulting from deer-related crop damage would continue. Because Alternative A would have minimal effects on CWD risk factors allowing the potential for amplification, spread, and establishment, as well as exposure to possible population level effects to remain high, there could be negligible to minor, adverse impacts to hunting (and sustenance-based hunting) and tourism due to changes in deer numbers and/or the presence of the disease. However, the exact nature and level of impact would depend on what actions the state has taken in the communities surrounding the Park in response to the presence of CWD. Actions taken under Alternative C would result in short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts to the socioeconomic resource with the level of adverse impacts 102 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park dependent upon the perceptions of visitors and hunters, the number of deer potentially affected by CWD, and the actions the state has taken in the communities surrounding the Park in response to CWD. Overall cumulative impacts on the local socioeconomic resources would be long-term and beneficial. Visitor Use and Experience Several of the potential CWD detection or assessment actions may require limiting access within the Park. Other actions, including potential lethal removal of deer, could affect visitor experience in the Park. Past visitor use data, comments from the public, and personal observations of visitation patterns were used to estimate the effects of the alternative actions on visitors. The impact on the ability of visitors to experience a full range of Park resources and facilities was analyzed by examining resources mentioned in the Park’s significance statement and making assumptions about the likely effects of disease-related detection and assessment on visitation, assuming that visitation would likely continue to fluctuate, but slowly increase, as it has for the past 10 years. Beneficial impacts are described but are not assigned intensity levels. Impairment determinations are not made for visitor use and experience because impairment findings relate back to Park resources and values and these impact areas are not generally considered to be Park resources or values and, according to the Organic Act, cannot be impaired in the same way that an action can impair Park resources and values. The thresholds for the intensity of an impact are defined as follows: Negligible: Minor: Moderate: Major: The impact would be barely detectable and/or would affect few visitors. Visitors would not likely be aware of the effects associated with management actions. The impact would be detectable and/or would only affect some visitors. Visitors would likely be aware of the effects associated with management actions. The changes in visitor use and experience would be slight but detectable; however, visitor satisfaction would not be measurably affected. The impact would be readily apparent and/or would affect many visitors. Visitors would be aware of the effects associated with management actions. Visitor satisfaction might be measurably affected (visitors could be either satisfied or dissatisfied). Some visitors would choose to pursue activities in other available local or regional areas. The impact would affect the majority of visitors. Visitors would be highly aware of the effects associated with management actions. Changes in visitor use and experience would be readily apparent. Some visitors would choose to pursue activities in other available local or regional areas. Area of Analysis The area of analysis, including cumulative analysis, is the lands within the boundaries of the Park. 103 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Impacts of the Alternatives Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Specific Impacts to Visitor Use and Experience Under this alternative, opportunistic and targeted surveillance and possibly live testing for CWD would continue at the Park, and it is expected that the deer populations would stay at relatively higher levels than outside the Park. About 14 deer per year are removed opportunistically at the Park while no deer have been removed using targeted surveillance since it was started in 2006. For this plan, it is assumed that opportunistic surveillance would continue at about its current rate and about one deer would be taken annually with targeted surveillance. Samples for live CWD tests would only be taken when deer are being captured and collared in the Park as part of other projects and would have no impact on visitor use or experience. Opportunistic surveillance of deer would continue to have a beneficial impact on visitor use and experience by removing dead deer carcasses visible along road and trail sides. Depending on the location of a deer exhibiting clinical signs of CWD, sampling deer through targeted surveillance may require the temporary closure of selected trail areas if sampling were to occur during normal daytime operating hours. If sampling were to take place during low visitor use periods, very few closures would be necessary. The sound of gunshots from firearms would temporarily impact the soundscape of the Park and possibly adjacent neighbors; however, with the assumed removal of about one deer per year, the number of closures would be minimal and temporary in nature, as would the number of gunshot sounds. For their safety, visitors at the Park would be informed of the closures, where they are located, and the reason for closure. Overall, targeted surveillance actions would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on visitor use and experience. The removal of deer showing clinical signs of CWD would provide some benefits to visitor experience by helping to prevent visitors from seeing sick deer; however, given the small number of deer assumed to be removed under this alternative, benefits would be negligible. Should CWD be detected in or near the Park, opportunistic and targeted surveillance may increase, which could increase the impacts that result from these actions, but not substantially. As described under the analysis for white-tailed deer for Alternative A, opportunistic and targeted surveillance would only have limited effects on minimizing the potential for amplification and spread of CWD. Therefore, if CWD is detected in or near the Park the potential for the establishment of CWD and possible exposure to population level effects for deer would be high. This would likely result in a greater frequency of seeing sick or dead deer and could adversely affect visitor experience. Therefore, if CWD were to be detected in or near the Park, impacts to visitor use and experience would be long-term, minor, and adverse. Cumulative Impacts Many past, current and future actions, plans, and programs at the Park enhance the visitor’s experience and contribute to beneficial cumulative effects on visitor use and experience. These include noise abatement, special interpretive/education programs, recreational opportunities, and traffic control. There are also some past, current, and future actions that contribute to adverse cumulative effects on visitor use and experience. These include vandalism and crime, reduced 104 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park maintenance schedules which may allow some facilities to become rundown, and increased visitation. With increases in visitation also come some crowding and a decrease in satisfaction at busy times for some Park users. In addition, deer and bear management activities and fire management may require temporary closures, or in the case of prescribed burning, could temporarily affect the visual quality in the Park. Overall, when the adverse impacts of CWD management under Alternative A are considered with all other actions that affect visitor use and experience, cumulative impacts to visitor use and experience would be long-term and beneficial. Conclusion Actions associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance and possibly live testing would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on visitor use and experience. If CWD were to occur in or near the Park, those impacts would increase to minor due to the likely increase in seeing sick or dead deer. The overall cumulative impacts of all past, present, and future actions at the Park would be long-term and beneficial. Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment, Including Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Visitor Use and Experience Under Alternative B, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and enhanced live testing would be used for CWD detection in addition to lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing under specific criteria. For this plan, it is assumed that under Alternative B more deer would be taken via enhanced opportunistic surveillance and enhanced targeted surveillance because of the commitment of more people to these tasks. As described for Alternative A, taking deer by opportunistic surveillance would be beneficial to visitor experience, as it would remove dead dear from road sides. The impacts from enhanced targeted surveillance would also be similar to those under Alternative A, with very few effects if the lethal taking of deer were to occur during low visitor use periods, and short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts if a few areas needed to be temporarily closed for safety reasons while deer were lethally taken during moderate visitor use periods. Similar to Alternative A, visitors would be notified of any closures and why. Should CWD be detected in or near the Park, opportunities for opportunistic and targeted surveillance may increase, which could increase the impacts that result from these actions, but not substantially. Samples for live CWD tests would only be taken when deer are being captured and collared in the Park as part of other projects and would have no impact on visitor use or experience. Therefore, impacts on visitor use and experience from enhanced targeted and opportunistic surveillance and enhanced live testing would be limited to short-term, negligible to minor, adverse effects. Lethal removal of “healthy appearing” deer for detection and assessment would involve a larger, more sustained, effort. A maximum of 300 deer could be removed per detection (through combined Park and State programs) when CWD is found five to 30 miles from the Park (up to three years to meet sample size). A maximum of 69 deer could be removed when a positive detection is found within five miles of the Park (assessment). These efforts may require more temporary fire road or area closures if the activities were to take place during moderate visitor 105 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park use periods. This would result in short-term, minor, adverse impacts. If lethal removal activities were to take place during low visitor use periods, very few closures would be needed. Additional public information about the need for the action and the logistics would help alleviate some of the adverse visitor use effects. Should lethal removals for detection and assessment be implemented, deer densities would be reduced in some areas of the Park and would result in a decreased ability to view deer in these locations. Although deer viewing opportunities would initially be reduced, the deer population would rebound and remain viable. Implementation of actions that reduce deer density would decrease the potential for CWD to become established and would reduce the likelihood of seeing sick or dead deer, which would positively affect visitor experience. Visitors may also benefit from knowing that the NPS is taking actions to protect the deer in the Park from the spread of CWD. This alternative would also involve increased educational and interpretive activities; therefore, Alternative B would also have long-term benefits. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future beneficial and adverse impacts from cumulative actions described for Alternative A would also occur under Alternative B. The adverse impacts from actions taken under Alternative B would not outweigh the beneficial impacts from the other past, present, and future actions at the Park; therefore, the overall cumulative impacts would be long-term and beneficial. Conclusion Similar to Alternative A, actions associated with enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and enhanced live testing would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on visitor use and experience. Lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for detection and/or assessment would have short-term, minor, adverse impacts. Long-term beneficial effects would occur from reduced deer densities in some areas of the Park which would decrease the potential for CWD to become established. In addition, beneficial effects would occur from knowing that the NPS is taking actions to protect the deer in the Park. Cumulative effects on visitor use and experience would be long-term and beneficial. Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment but No Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Visitor Use and Experience Detection and assessment activities under Alternative C would be the same as those described under Alternative B—enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and enhanced live testing, but there would be no lethal removal of deer. Impacts of Alternative C would be essentially the same as for Alternative B for these aspects, except without the added short-term, minor, adverse impacts associated with lethal removal. Actions associated with enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on visitor use and experience. Live testing would have no impacts on visitor use and experience. Compared to Alternative A, this alternative would somewhat decrease the potential for CWD to become established in the Park. In addition, visitor experience would benefit more because of the reduce likelihood of seeing sick or dead deer. Visitors may also benefit somewhat 106 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park from knowing that the NPS is taking less drastic actions to protect the deer in the Park from CWD. Combined with increased educational and interpretive activities, Alternative C would result in long-term beneficial impacts to visitor use and experience. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future beneficial and adverse impacts from cumulative actions described for alternatives A and B would also occur under Alternative C. The adverse impacts from actions taken under Alternative C are not enough to outweigh the beneficial impacts from the other past, present, and future actions in the Park; therefore, the overall cumulative impacts would remain long-term and beneficial. Conclusion Similar to Alternative B, actions associated with enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on visitor use and experience. Live testing would have no impacts on visitor use and experience. Although not as extensive as Alternative B, long-term beneficial effects to visitor use and experience could occur from decreased potential for seeing deer infected with CWD and from knowing that the NPS is taking actions to protect the deer in the Park. Cumulative effects on visitor use and experience would be long-term and beneficial. Human Health and Safety The safety of both visitors and NPS employees at the Park could be affected by implementation of the proposed detection and assessment actions. CWD detection and assessment activities that involve capturing and immobilizing live animals for marking/collaring and performing tonsillar biopsies have the potential to affect the health and safety of the individuals involved (e.g. wildlife handling, exposure to tissues/fluids). Options that involve the removal of deer and the use of firearms also have the potential to affect the safety of Park staff and possibly visitors. The purpose of this analysis is to identify the level of impact that implementing each of the proposed alternatives would have on the safety of visitors and employees at the Park. Past accident data, Park goals, and personal observations of safety issues, as well as current knowledge of CWD health effects, were used to assess the effects of the alternative actions on the safety of visitors and employees. The impact thresholds for health and safety are defined below. Negligible: Minor: Moderate: Major: There would be no discernible effects to human health or safety; slight injuries could occur and may be reportable. Any reported injury would require first aid provided by Park staff or require a doctor’s attention. Any reported injury would require further medical attention beyond what was available at the Park and would result in time off. An injury would result in permanent disability or death. 107 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Area of Analysis The study area for this analysis including analysis of cumulative impacts is within the boundaries of the Park. Impacts of the Alternatives Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Specific Impacts to Human Health and Safety Under this alternative, opportunistic and targeted surveillance and potentially live testing for CWD would continue at the Park. For this plan, it is assumed that opportunistic surveillance would continue at about its current rate (14 deer) and about one deer would be taken annually with targeted surveillance. Opportunistic surveillance includes taking diagnostic samples for CWD testing from deer that have died in the Park due to disease, predators, vehicle collisions, other trauma-related mortality; those lethally removed from the Park for other purposes (e.g., research); and those that die in the Park as a result of injuries from hunting outside the Park. There are standard operating procedures in place for this sampling. Since opportunistic surveillance began in 2006 a total of 57 samples (as of October 31, 2010) have been taken opportunistically and no accidents or injuries have occurred as a result of these activities, and no accidents are anticipated from their continuation. These activities would result in long-term, negligible, adverse impacts on human health and safety. Since 2006, there have been no deer removed by targeted surveillance at the Park. Targeted surveillance involves identifying deer with clinical signs of CWD, and then either the Park Biologist or Chief of Natural Resources making a determination as to whether or not a suspect deer should be lethally removed for CWD testing as part of targeted surveillance. To ensure the safety of all personnel involved, only law enforcement rangers or natural resource management staff qualified to use firearms would be authorized to remove a clinically suspect deer. All procedures for shooting, collecting samples, handling, cleanup, and storage of the deer are based on information provided in “A National Park Service Manager’s Reference Book to Understanding Chronic Wasting Disease, Version 4” (NPS 2007a). If the lethal removal activities occur during periods of low visitor use, very few closures of fire roads or areas would be needed. However, if activities take place during periods of moderate visitor use, areas in the vicinity of firearm use would be closed to visitors for their safety. The safety measures implemented under this alternative would ensure the safety of all visitors and Park staff. This would result in a long-term, negligible, adverse impact. Should CWD be detected in or near the Park, opportunistic and targeted surveillance may increase, which could increase the impacts that result from these actions, but not substantially. Samples for live CWD testing would only be taken when deer are being captured and collared in the Park as part of other projects and would only be taken by qualified personnel. Therefore, impacts on health and safety would be long-term, negligible, and adverse. 108 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Cumulative Impacts Several past, present, and future actions would contribute to the cumulative impact on health and safety of visitors and Park employees. Examples include vehicle-deer collisions, wildlife-human conflict, aversive conditioning, recreational use, emergency response, criminal activity, vector borne diseases, routine Park maintenance, and fire management duties. Positive outcomes that serve to improve human health and safety include an improved Park radio system, an active Parkwide Safety Committee, and development of safety plans, and relevant educational/interpretive programs (e.g. Camping in Bear Country). While there have been no reports of injuries from vehicle-deer collisions (there have been collision injuries from people trying to avoid deer), the chance of such impacts would continue (about 25 reported annually), with the intensity of impacts based on the severity of any injuries sustained during a collision. However, no deer-vehicle fatalities have been reported to date. Park personnel involved in animal relocation have the potential to be injured while handling animals (e.g. bear, deer, raccoon, raptors, etc.). Being properly trained and qualified as well as following standard operating protocols would minimize any impacts to long-term, minor, and adverse. Park personnel involved in arduous field activities (e.g. fish electroshocking, wildland fire, Search and Rescue) run the risk of injuries resulting from trips, slips, and falls, etc.; however, following standard protocols would keep any adverse impacts at the long-term, minor to moderate levels. Though there have been no injuries reported due to incidences of crime, some long-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts would continue. Impacts from past, present, and future actions when combined with impacts from Alternative A would result in long-term, minor to potentially moderate, adverse cumulative impacts. However, actions directly related to Alternative A would have negligible contributions to impacts on human health and safety. Conclusion Opportunistic and targeted surveillance activities and potentially live testing employed under Alternative A would result in long-term, negligible, adverse impacts on human health and safety. Cumulative impacts on health and safety would be long-term, minor to potentially moderate and adverse; however, Alternative A would contribute very little to any overall adverse impacts. Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment, Including Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Human Health and Safety Under Alternative B, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would be used for CWD detection and could be supplemented with enhanced live testing and lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing under specific criteria. It is assumed that, under Alternative B, at least 20 deer would be taken via enhanced opportunistic surveillance and one to two deer would be taken annually with enhanced targeted surveillance. As described for Alternative A, taking deer by enhanced opportunistic surveillance would result in long-term, negligible, adverse impacts. The impacts from enhanced targeted surveillance would also be similar to those under Alternative A and would be long-term, negligible, and adverse as long as standard operating procedures are followed. Procedures include having only law enforcement rangers or select natural resource management staff certified to use firearms to lethally remove suspect deer, and 109 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park areas in the vicinity of firearms activity closed to visitors with the public being notified of the closures. Should CWD be detected in or near the Park, opportunities for opportunistic and targeted surveillance may increase, which could increase the impacts that result from these actions, but not substantially. Samples for enhanced live testing would be taken when deer are being captured and collared in the Park as part of other projects and would only be taken by qualified personnel. Therefore, impacts on health and safety would be long-term, negligible, and adverse. Lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing would involve a larger, more sustained effort with a maximum of 300 deer removed for each new detection (up to three years to meet sample size) and a maximum of 69 deer removed for assessment following the first positive case within five miles of the Park. This may require more temporary area closures to protect visitors if the activities were to take place during periods of moderate-low visitor use. Because lethal removal of healthy appearing deer would be a larger, more intense effort requiring additional people, authorized agents who are non-NPS personnel may be used to supplement NPS personnel in the shooting of deer. Authorized agents could include other agency personnel (e.g., APHIS) or contractors meeting specific requirements. To ensure that human health and safety is not compromised, a contractor would be a fully insured business entity, nonprofit group, or other entity engaged in wildlife management activities that include the direct reduction with firearms and would be required to possess all necessary permits. Requirements for all authorized agents would include a specific level of firearm proficiency and experience in the use of firearms for wildlife removal. Training of authorized agents would include all actions related to disposal and decontamination, and because prions are so difficult to decontaminate, part of the training would be related to minimizing contact with infectious materials. It should be noted again that there is no evidence to suggest that CWD is naturally transmissible to humans. As with targeted surveillance, if closures are needed, the public would be notified of the closures, where they are and when they would occur. These activities with all of their safety measures and protocols would result in long-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts. Removal of deer for CWD detection and assessment under this alternative would decrease the number of deer in some areas of the Park (e.g., Big Meadows, Skyline Drive) and potentially decrease the likelihood of a collision between a deer and vehicle. However, as the deer population rebounds over the years this benefit would be reduced. These actions would result in short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts. Overall, all of the actions taken under Alternative B would have long-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on health and safety. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future adverse impacts from cumulative actions described for Alternative A would also occur under Alternative B. The adverse impacts from actions taken under Alternative B would contribute negligibly to the cumulative impacts; overall, cumulative impacts would be long-term, minor to potentially moderate, and adverse. 110 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Conclusion Opportunistic and targeted surveillance activities employed under Alternative B would result in long-term, negligible, adverse impacts on health and safety, as would live testing; lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for both detection and assessment would have negligible to minor, adverse effects. Alternative B would have negligible contributions to cumulative impacts on health and safety, which would be long-term, minor to potentially moderate, and adverse. Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment but No Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Human Health and Safety Detection and assessment activities under Alternative C would be the same as those described under Alternative A—opportunistic and targeted surveillance and live testing, except that these methods would be enhanced by having dedicated personnel. No lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD detection or assessment would occur. Therefore, the impacts of Alternative C would be essentially the same as for Alternative A even when enhanced and would result in long-term, negligible, adverse impacts on health and safety. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future beneficial and adverse impacts from cumulative actions described for alternatives A and B would also occur under Alternative C. The adverse impacts from actions taken under Alternative C would contribute negligibly to the cumulative impacts; however, cumulative impacts would be long-term, minor to potentially moderate, and adverse. Conclusion Enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance activities employed under Alternative C would result in long-term, negligible, adverse impacts on human health and safety, as would enhanced live testing. Alternative C would have negligible contributions to cumulative impacts on health and safety, which would be long-term, minor to potentially moderate, and adverse. Park Management and Operations Park management and operations refers to the staff and budget available to protect and preserve vital Park resources, provide for an effective visitor experience, provide for visitor protection, and implement any selected plan. The discussion of impacts to Park operations focuses on (1) the amount of staff available to ensure visitor and employee safety; and (2) the ability of Park staff to protect and preserve resources given current funding and staffing levels. It was assumed that under all alternatives the Park’s annual budget would be increased to implement a particular alternative. However, this funding is not guaranteed; each alternative discusses the impacts of receiving or not receiving additional funding. Park staff knowledge was used to evaluate the impacts of each alternative, and the evaluation is based on the description of Park operations presented in the Affected Environment section. Definitions of impact levels are as follows: 111 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Negligible: Minor: Moderate: Major: Shenandoah National Park Park operations would not be affected. Park operations would be affected, and the effect would be detectable, but current levels of funding and staff would be adequate and other Park operations would not be reduced. Park operations would be affected, the effect would be readily apparent, and increased staff and funding would be needed or other Park operations would have to be reduced and/or priorities changed. Park operations would be affected, the effect would be readily apparent, increased staff and funding would be needed or other Park programs would have to be eliminated. Area of Analysis The area of analysis, including the cumulative impacts analysis area, is limited to the lands within the boundaries of the Park. Impacts of the Alternatives Alternative A: No Action (Continue Current Actions) Specific Impacts to Park Management and Operations Under this alternative, opportunistic and targeted surveillance for CWD would continue in the Park and live testing would be conducted if deer were captured in the Park as part of another project. No new CWD management actions would be taken, and information provided to visitors and shared with other governmental entities would remain at levels similar to what occurs now. To date, no deer have been removed using targeted surveillance and about 14 deer per year have been removed opportunistically. For this plan, it is assumed that one deer would be taken annually with targeted surveillance and 14 deer with opportunistic surveillance. This is not much different from what has occurred previously at an annual cost of about $6,500, excluding carcass disposal costs. Should CWD be detected in or near the Park, opportunistic and targeted surveillance may increase, which could increase the impacts that result from these actions, but not substantially. Given the current and anticipated level of activities under this alternative, there would be minimal change in duties for the Park’s Natural and Cultural Resources Division, little if any change in demand for the cultural resources or visitor services staff, and minimal effect on the annual budget. Therefore, impacts to Park management and operations from the actions under Alternative A would be long-term, negligible to minor, and adverse. Cumulative Impacts Many actions, plans, and programs place demands on Park staff and budget and contribute to adverse cumulative effects on Park management and operations. These include the demand on staff time and resources from normal daily operational duties, as well as special events such as Resource Seminars and activities such as evening campfire programs and Wildflower and Wilderness weekends. Management and handling of land acquisitions, permits, vandalism mitigation, development of new visitor facilities, and development and oversight of visitor use opportunities and interpretation programs all require staff time and money. Ongoing wildland 112 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park fire management program needs also place demands on Park staff. These demands are expected to continue into the future with continued high visitation and future planning needs related to general deer management. Therefore, the effects of all other actions that place demands on Park management and operations, along with the expected demands of CWD management, would result in long-term, moderate, adverse impacts to Park operations and management. Actions directly related to Alternative A would have negligible to minor, adverse contributions to impacts on Park management and operations. Conclusion Actions associated with opportunistic and targeted surveillance would have short-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on Park management and operations. Alternative A would have negligible contributions to cumulative impacts on Park management and operations, which would be long-term, moderate, and adverse. Alternative B: Enhanced Detection and Assessment, Including Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Park Management and Operations Under Alternative B, enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance would be used for CWD detection, and would be supplemented with enhanced live testing and lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD testing under specific criteria. As described for Alternative A, effects on Park management and operations would be similar to those associated with current surveillance work conducted in the Park. Under Alternative B, one-two deer would be taken annually with targeted surveillance, and at least 20 deer would be tested annually with enhanced opportunistic surveillance, with dedicated targeted surveillance having the most impact on costs. Should CWD be detected in or near the Park, opportunistic and targeted surveillance would increase, which could increase the impacts that result from these actions, but not substantially. Samples for live CWD testing would also be taken when deer are being captured and collared in the Park as part of other projects. Annual costs for enhanced targeted and opportunistic surveillance are estimated at about $9,825, excluding carcass disposal costs. A reasonable estimate for enhanced live-testing is strongly tied to where a CWD detection occurs and if there are accessible deer capture locations that contain higher deer densities within the CWD sampling area. Contingent on funding availability, estimates could range from $20,000 (25 deer) - $64,000 (80 deer) for one year of enhanced live-testing at the cost of $800 per deer. Therefore, impacts on Park management and operations from these actions would have limited to short-term, minor, adverse effects. Lethal removal of healthy appearing deer would involve a larger, more sustained effort with a maximum of 300 deer removed over three years for detection sampling. The demands on staff and budget would increase, especially the need for natural resources staff and resource education and visitor services. This effort would require additional staff support for training, testing, contracting (if needed), coordination with the state, area closures or restrictions, and public information, in addition to removal activities. Each “Detection” removal effort is estimated to cost about $10,000 (40 deer at $250/deer) to $25,000 (100 deer at $250/deer) per year, so this 113 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park could add up to approximately $30,000 (120 deer) to $75,000 (300 deer) over three years for detection sampling, excluding carcass disposal costs (contingent on funding). Note: it is assumed that the state will contribute 33% to 66% of the needed samples for detection under Alternative B (where CWD is five-30 miles away) and that would greatly reduce the “upper end” cost of these estimates to the Park. Lethal removal for an assessment action (cost of $250/deer) is estimated to cost $10,000-17,500 per action in Year 1 (40-60 deer). If two positives are found within zero to five miles of the Park simultaneously, the cost would be $20,000-$25,000 in Year 1 (80-100 deer). Impacts to Park management and operations would be short-term, minor, and adverse, although the intensity (and Park budget impacts) would increase if detection or assessment actions are implemented several times during the life of the plan. Lethal removal of healthy deer as a detection or assessment tool could affect Park deer densities. If lethal removal of healthy deer for detection or assessment is implemented, deer density would be reduced in some areas of the Park (e.g., along portions of Skyline Drive). This reduction may change the time staff spends on deer population monitoring—although that is not likely, given the need for information on deer herd dynamics during the time of active CWD management. This alternative would involve increased educational, interpretive, and management activities at all times, and would therefore require additional funding and/or additional staff time to implement these activities. Additional time would also be needed to answer public inquiries about the actions taken. Costs for these efforts would depend on current staffing and level of outreach needed and would vary over the life of the plan. These efforts would result in long- and short-term, minor to moderate, adverse impacts to resource education and resource protection staff. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future impacts from cumulative actions described for Alternative A would also occur under Alternative B. Alternative B would have negligible to moderate contributions to impacts on Park management and operations from the actions proposed, with more short-term effects rather than continuous adverse impacts. As a result, cumulative effects on Park management and operations would remain long-term, moderate, and adverse. Conclusion Detection and assessment actions would have short- and long-term, negligible to moderate, adverse impacts on Park management and operations, with more intense impacts related to the lethal removal actions included in this alternative and the need for additional public education and outreach. Cumulative effects on Park management and operations would be long-term, moderate, and adverse. Alternative C: Enhanced Detection and Assessment but No Lethal Removal for Testing Specific Impacts to Park Management and Operations Detection and assessment activities described under Alternative B—enhanced opportunistic and targeted surveillance and enhanced live-testing, would also be available under Alternative C. Alternative C, however, would not involve lethal removal of healthy appearing deer for CWD 114 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park testing for detection or assessment. Therefore, impacts of Alternative C, even when enhanced, would be similar to that described in Alternative A. The annual cost for this effort is estimated at about $9,825, excluding carcass disposal costs. There would be a slight increase in demands on staff and budget, especially for the natural resources staff, because of dedicated personnel needed for these surveillance activities. Demands would include training, testing, coordination with the state, and possible area closures or restrictions. A reasonable estimate for enhanced live-testing costs is strongly tied to where a CWD detection occurs and if there are accessible deer capture locations that contain ample deer densities within the sampling area. As such, estimates could range from $20,000 (25 deer) - $64,000 (80 deer) for one year of enhanced live-testing at the cost of $800 per deer. This alternative would also involve increased educational and interpretive activities and would require additional funding and/or staff time to implement these activities. Additional time would also be needed to answer public inquiries about the actions taken, particularly any closures that may be needed. This would result in long- and short-term, minor, adverse impacts to resource education and resource protection staff. Cumulative Impacts The same past, present, and future impacts from cumulative actions described for alternatives A and B would also occur under Alternative C. Alternative C would have negligible to minor contributions to impacts on Park management and operations from the actions proposed, with more short-term effects rather than continuous adverse impacts. As a result, cumulative effects on Park management and operations would be long-term, minor to moderate, and adverse. Conclusion Detection and assessment actions would have short- and long-term, negligible to minor, adverse impacts on Park management and operations. Cumulative effects on Park management and operations would be long-term, minor to moderate, and adverse. 115 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park CONSULTATION AND COORDINATION NPS DO #12 requires the NPS to make “diligent” efforts to involve the interested and affected public in the NEPA process. This process, known as scoping, helps to determine the important issues and eliminate those that are not; allocate assignments among the interdisciplinary team members and/or other participating agencies; identify related projects and associated documents; identify other permits, surveys, consultations, etc. required by other agencies; and create a schedule that allows adequate time to prepare and distribute the environmental document for public review and comment before a final decision is made. This chapter documents the scoping and consultation that was incorporated into the planning process for this CWD Detection and Assessment Plan/EA and includes the official list of recipients for the document. BRIEF HISTORY OF SCOPING AND PUBLIC INVOLVEMENT The Scoping Process The NPS divides the scoping process into two parts: internal scoping and external or public scoping. Internal scoping involved discussions among NPS personnel regarding the purpose of and need for management actions, issues, management alternatives, mitigation measures, the analysis boundary, appropriate level of documentation, available references and guidance, and other related topics. Public scoping is the early involvement of interested and affected public in the environmental analysis process. The public scoping process helps ensure that people have an opportunity to comment and contribute early in the decision-making process. For this planning document and assessment, project information was distributed to individuals, agencies, and organizations early in the scoping process, and people were given opportunities to express concerns or views and to identify important issues or other alternatives. Taken together, internal and public scoping are essential elements of the NEPA planning process. The following sections describe the various ways scoping was conducted for this impact statement. Internal Scoping The internal scoping process began on November 13, 2006. During a two-day meeting held in the Park, NPS employees identified the purpose of and need for action, management objectives, issues, and impact topics. NPS employees also discussed the CWD detection and assessment option available to positively detect and estimate the prevalence of CWD in or near the Park. The results of the meetings were captured in an Internal Scoping Report, which is now on file as part of the administrative record. A team of experts on CWD and deer management was also identified to provide scientific expertise and technical input during the NEPA process. The Park established a Science Team to provide input to this plan, as described in the Purpose of and Need for Action section. Comprised of subject matter experts, the Science Team was chartered to advise and provide technical recommendations to the NPS on matters regarding scientific data and analysis. The Team 116 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park convened via conference calls, meeting six times over a five-month period. Topics of discussion included existing conditions surrounding the Park; existing data and CWD monitoring; CWD detection and assessment goals; approach to establishing action thresholds for detection and assessment; and issues related to implementation of various actions. The purpose of the Science Team discussions was to provide a technical framework for the development of action thresholds and alternatives for the CWD detection and assessment plan. The Team also recommended impact analysis techniques and various management options. Members of the Science Team are listed with the document preparers in this chapter. Agency Consultation Park staff consulted with VDGIF Veterinarian and Deer Management Coordinator to obtain the latest VDGIF CWD Surveillance Plans, Response Plans and CWD Surveillance Maps throughout the three-year EA development process. We also had the VDGIF Deer Management Coordinator review and comment on the EA. Public Scoping In addition to internal scoping within the NPS and with other public officials, public scoping for the Plan/EA began in March 2007. Two consecutive public scoping meetings were held at locations near the Park beginning with a presentation by the NPS and ending with an opportunity for formal public comment. At the first meeting on March 28 in Penn Laird, three people signed in and on March 29 at Madison, nine signed in, representing mostly private individuals at both locations. The purpose of these meetings was to provide the public information about the disease and the planning process and to solicit public input. Notices of the meetings were posted on the NPS Planning, Environment, and Public Comment (PEPC) Website. Additionally, a newsletter was mailed to the project’s preliminary mailing list of government agencies, organizations, businesses, and individuals. The newsletter announced the public scoping meetings and summarized the purpose, need, and objectives for the CWD plan/EA. The comment period for the public scoping information ended on April 29, 2007. During this time, all NPS scoping materials available at the meetings, including the newsletter, were posted on the NPS PEPC Website for download. This provided another opportunity to review and comment on the purpose, need, objectives, and preliminary alternatives, especially for those stakeholders who could not attend the meetings. The general theme of the public comments was how CWD may affect future deer hunting opportunities in Virginia and how that would in turn affect local businesses (e.g. check stations, taxidermists, hunting stores) and the local economy of the region. 117 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park SCIENCE TEAM MEMBERS Name Joe Calzarette Lindsey Donaldson Ed Wenschhof Andrew Banasik Jim Atkinson Michelle Batcheler John Karish Scott Bates Title Natural Resource Manager Biological Science Technician Chief, Natural Resources and Protection Natural Resources Manager Wildlife / Fisheries Biologist (former) Wildlife Biologist Chief Scientist (now I&M Coordinator) Wildlife Biologist Margaret Wild Wildlife Veterinarian Jenny Powers Michael Mayer Melissa (Behrent) Stedeford Wildlife Veterinarian Environmental Protection Specialist (former) Environmental Protection Specialist George Timko CWD Response Coordinator Jonathan Sleeman Wildlife Veterinarian Nelson LaFon Deer Project Coordinator Bill McShea Dan Niosi Beth Kunkel Deer Biologist Environmental Scientist Wildlife Biologist - Team Facilitator Organization / Location Antietam National Battlefield Antietam National Battlefield Antietam National Battlefield Monacacy National Battlefield Shenandoah National Park NPS Northeast Region NPS Northeast Region NPS National Capital Region (NCR) - Center for Urban Ecology NPS Biological Resources Management Division (BRMD) NPS BRMD NPS Environmental Quality Division NPS Environmental Quality Division Maryland Department of Natural Resources Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries Smithsonian Louis Berger Group Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc. Additional information was also requested from state resource managers from West Virginia and Pennsylvania respective to their CWD plans. These managers participated in at least one of the science team calls. LIST OF PREPARERS AND CONSULTANTS Michele Batcheller, former Biologist, Northeast Region, National Park Service (retired) Gordon Olson, former Division Chief of Natural and Cultural Resources, Shenandoah National Park Rolf Gubler, Biologist, Shenandoah National Park Jenny Powers, Wildlife Veterinarian, Wildlife Health Team, National Park Service Jacki Katzmire, Regional Environmental Coordinator, Northeast Region, National Park Service Tom Flanagan, Environmental Protection Specialist, NPS Environmental Quality Division Ryan Monello, Wildlife Biologist, Wildlife Health Team, National Park Service Jeb Wofford, Wildife and Fisheries Biologist, Shenandoah National Park Wendy Cass, Botanist, Shenandoah National Park Jennifer Flynn, Deputy Superintendent, Shenandoah National Park Martha Bogle, Superintendent, Shenandoah National Park Karen Beck-Herzog, Management Assistant, Shenandoah National Park Jim Schaberl, Division Chief of Natural and Cultural Resources, Shenandoah National Park Sheila Colwell, Senior Natural Resources Program Manager, National Park Service Nelson Lafon, Deer Mgt. Coordinator, Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries 118 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park LIST OF RECIPIENTS OF THE PLAN / ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT Notice of this Plan/EA has been sent to the following agencies, organizations, and businesses, as well as to other entities and individuals who requested a copy. Area Congressional Delegates - A park news release including instructions on how to access the document via PEPC U.S. Forest Service – George Washington and Jefferson National Forests Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries A park news release for all other interested parties 119 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park REFERENCES CITED Chronic Wasting Disease Task Force 2002 Plan for Assisting States, Federal Agencies, and Tribes in Managing Chronic Wasting Disease in Wild and Captive Cervids. deCalesta, D. S. 1994. Effects of white-tailed deer on songbirds within managed forests in Pennsylvania. J. Wildl. Manage. 58:711-717. Farnsworth, M. L., L. L. Wolfe, N. T. Hobbs, K. P. Burnham, E. S. Williams, D. M. Theobald, M. M. Conner, and M. W. Miller. 2005. Human land use influences chronic wasting disease prevalence in mule deer. Ecological Applications 15:119-126. Grear, Daniel A., M. D.Samuel, J. A. Langenberg, and D. Keane. 2006 Demographic Patterns and Harvest Vulnerability of Chronic Wasting Disease Infected White-tailed Deer in Wisconsin. Journal of Wildlife Management 70(s):546-553. Gubler, R. 2004. White-tailed Deer Spotlight Counts in the Big Meadows Area - Annual Report for 2004. Shenandoah National Park, Luray, Virginia. Haskell, D. 1986. Deer Management Plan for Shenandoah National Park. Shenandoah National Park, Luray, Virginia. Johnson, C. J., K. E. Phillips, P. T. Schramm, D. McKenzie, J. Aiken, and J. Pedersen. 2006. Prions Adhere to Soil Minerals and Remain Infections. PLoS Pathog 2(4):e32. DOI 10.1371/journal.ppat.0020032. Joly, D. O., M. D. Samuel, J. A. Langenberg, J. A. Blanchong, C. A. Batha, R. E. Rolley, D. P. Keane, and C. A. Ribic. 2006. Spatial epidemiology of chronic wasting disease in Wisconsin white-tailed deer. Journal of Wildlife Disease, 42(3):578-588. Mathiason, C. K., J. G. Powers, S. J. Dahmes, D. A. Osborn, K.V. Miller, R. J. Warren, G. L. Mason, S. A. Hays, J. Hayes-Klug, D. M. Seelig, M.A. Wild, L. L. Wolfe, T. R. Spraker, M. W. Miller, C. J. Sigurdson, G. C. Telling, and E. A. Hoover. 2006. Infectious Prions in the Saliva and Blood of Deer with Chronic Wasting Disease. Science 314:133-136. McShea, W. J. 2000. The influence of Acorn Crops on Annual Variation in Rodent and Bird Populations. Ecology 81:228–38. McShea, W. J., and J. H. Rappole. 2000. Managing the Abundance and Diversity of Breeding Birds Populations through Manipulation of Deer Populations. Conservation Biology 14. Miller, M. W., H. M. Swanson, L. L. Wolfe, F. G. Quartarone, S. L. Huwer, et al. (2008) Lions and Prions and Deer Demise. PLoS ONE 3(12):e4019. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0004019 Miller, M. W., E. S. Williams, N. T. Hobbs, and L. L. Wolfe. 2004. Environmental sources of prion transmission in mule deer. Emerging Infectious Disease 10:1003–1006. 120 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Miller, M. W., and M. A. Wild. 2004. Epidemiology of chronic wasting disease in captive whitetailed and mule deer. Journal of Wildlife Diseases 40:320-327. Miller, M. W., M. A. Wild, and E. S. Williams. 1998. Epidemiology of chronic wasting disease in captive Rocky Mountain elk. Journal of Wildlife Diseases 34:532-538. A Natural Heritage Inventory of Shenandoah National Park (Natural Heritage Technical Report #93-5). February 1993. Division of Natural Heritage. Richmond, VA. Salman, M. D. 2003. Chronic wasting disease in deer and elk: scientific facts and findings. Journal of Veterinary Medical Science 65:761-768. Samuel, M. D., D. O. Joly, M. A. Wild, S. D. Wright, D. L. Otis, R. W. Werge, and M. W. Miller. 2003. Surveillance strategies for detecting chronic wasting disease in free-ranging deer and elk. National Wildlife Health Center, United States Geological Survey, Madison, Wisconsin, USA. 41 pp. Scanlon, J. J., and M. R. Vaughan. 1981. Population and behavioral ecology of white-tailed deer in Shenandoah National Park, Virginia. Final Report to the National Park Service. MAR22. 74 pp. Spraker, T. R., M. W. Miller, E. S. Williams, D. M. Getzy, W. J. Adrian, G. G. Schoonveld, R. A. Spowart, K. I. O'Rourke, J. M. Miller, and P. A. Merz. 1997. Spongiform encephalopathy in free-ranging mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus), white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) and rocky mountain elk (Cervus elaphus nelsoni) in northcentral Colorado. Journal of Wildlife Diseases 33:1-6. Tilghman, N. G. 1989. Impacts of white-tailed deer on forest regeneration in northwestern Pennsylvania. J. Wildl. Manage. 53:524-532. Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries (VDGIF). 2007. Implementation Plan for Chronic Wasting Disease Surveillance. Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries (VDGIF). 2010. Chronic Wasting Disease Response Plan. Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries (VDGIF). 2010. 2010-2011 Surveillance and Management Plan for Chronic Wasting Disease in Virginia. Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries. Chronic Wasting Disease Website. 2011. http://www.dgif.virginia.gov/wildlife/diseases/cwd/. Walsh, P. D., and M. M. Miller. 2010. A weighted surveillance approach for detecting chronic wasting disease foci. Journal of Wildlife Diseases 46:118-135. Wilesmith, J. W., G. A. H. Wells, M. P. Cranwell, and A. M. Ryan. 1988. Bovine spongiform encephalopathy: epidemiological studies. Veterinary Record 123:638-644. 121 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Williams, B. K., R. C. Szaro, and C. D. Shapiro. 2007. Adaptive Management: The U.S. Department of the Interior Technical Guide. Adaptive Management Working Group, U.S. Department of Interior, Washington, DC. Williams, E. S., and M. W. Miller. 2002. Chronic wasting disease in North American deer and elk. Rev Science Technology 21:305–316. Williams, E. S., and S. Young. 1980. Chronic wasting disease of captive mule deer: a spongiform encephalopathy. Journal of Wildlife Diseases 16:89-98. Williams, E. S., and S. Young. 1992. Spongiform encephalopathies in Cervidae. Revue Scientifique et Technique – Office International des Epizooties 11:551-567. Williams, E. S., and M. W. Miller. 2003. Transmissible spongiform encephalopathies in nondomestic animals: origin, transmission and risk factors. Revue Scientifique et Technique - Office International des Epizooties 22:145-156. Young, J., G. Fleming, W. Cass, and C. Lea. 2009. Vegetation of Shenandoah National Park in Relation to Environmental Gradients, Version 2.0. Technical Report NPS/NER/NRTR— 2009/142. National Park Service. Philadelphia, PA. 122 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Appendix A. Sample prevalence and sample weights for CWD surveillance. This table was adapted from Walsh and Miller, 2010. It was developed from data collected from free-ranging mule deer in Colorado. As specific information regarding eastern white-tailed deer becomes available, we will substitute this with the best available information. Deer Status Suspect—female (targeted surveillance) Suspect—male (targeted surveillance) Mostly road-killed, either sex) (Opportunistic surveillance) Lethally Removed Healthy appearing deer – Adult Male Lethally Removed Healthy appearing deer – Adult Female Lethally Removed Healthy appearing - Yearling Female Lethally Removed Healthy appearing – Yearling Male *these samples would only be collected under Alternative B. 123 Prevalence Sample Weights Standard Error of Weights 0.36 0.32 0.06 0.03* 0.02* 0.01* 0.01* 11.57 10.27 1.90 1.00* 0.58* 0.45* 0.25* 1.6 1.46 0.24 N/A 0.06 0.15 0.08 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Appendix B. Deer Sampling Limits 11/16/2008 11/26/2010 by Mark Graham, NPS-BRMD revised by Jenny Powers, NPS-BRMD 1. Chronic Wasting Disease (CWD) surveillance efforts can be divided between sampling for detection and sampling for prevalence estimation (assessment of disease intensity) after CWD has been detected. Because the NPS does not have control of sampling outside of the Park and yet has a goal of sampling a statistically valid proportion of the population for CWD detection, we will assume two scenarios, the first where the Park must supply all of the samples and the second, and much more likely, that they Park supplies a proportion of samples which can be calculated based on the total sampling area (SA), the total sample level, the proportion of the area that includes SHEN, the SHEN deer density, and the deer density in the SA outside of SHEN. All other potential scenarios will fall between these two. L = Total samples needed from sampling area (#, see Table C.1) S = sampling area (mi2) a = area of Park inside the surveillance area (mi2) d = deer density inside Park (#/mi2) o = deer density outside of Park (#/mi2) n = number of deer to be sampled in the Park (#) ad = estimated number of Park deer in the surveillance area (#) (S-a)o = estimated number of deer in the sampling area outside the Park (#) number of deer to be sampled in the Park n L ad S a o ad {1.1} 2. The size of sampling area is key because it defines the limits of the biological population. Because meaningful biological populations of free-ranging white-tailed deer are difficult if not impossible to define, for purposes of this plan we have chosen to include deer within counties adjacent to the Park as part of the Park population, acknowledging that those closest to the Park are more likely to have interchange with the Park population most frequently. For the purposes of the following example we have used a 79 square mile area (5 mile radius) as the ‘sampling area’ (SA), however, it is quite likely that the SA will be much larger than this given that sampling will include districts of the Park within 30 miles of a known index case as well as adjacent counties. Thus, strictly defining the land mass for a SA will be approached on a case by case basis and the following detection example is only for the purposes of demonstration. The results presented here are conservative; in reality, the sampling area and number of deer collected by the state may be higher and reduce the need for Park sampling. 3. In estimating the proportion of deer that should be sampled from the Park, the density of deer outside the Park was assumed to be 25 deer/mi2. The density of backcountry deer inside the Park was also assumed to be 25 deer/mi2. Deer density in developed areas of the Park was 124 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Table B.1. Number of samples to be taken to detect the presence of CWD with a given confidence if it occurs at a given prevalence. A sampling area of 79 mi2 is assumed and includes 55 mi2 of SHEN. If no samples are available within surrounding counties then 299 samples are needed from SHEN at the 95/1 sampling level (Samuel et al. 2003). Probability of Detecting One Positive 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 99% Prevalence 1% 1% 1% 5% 2% 1% 5% 2% 1% 5% 2% 1% Total Samples from Sampling Area 138 160 189 46 114 230 59 149 299 91 229 458 Based on a 79 mi2 surveillance area*, the Max Park contribution if the VDGIF is sampling outside of the Park 100 116 137 33 83 167 43 108 217 66 166 333 Yellow highlighting equals suggested sampling level *Size of surveillance area is highly variable and will be determined cooperatively with the VDGIF, therefore numbers given here are only for example purposes. In all likelihood, our surveillance area will be much larger than 79 square miles and will include Park districts (within 30 miles) and adjacent counties. assumed to be 100 deer/mi2. Developed areas were estimated to be 5% of the Park area. The total area of the Park was estimated to be 311 mi2. Thus the average Park deer density was calculated to be 29 deer/ mi2 when a surveillance area includes developed areas or Skyline Drive within the Park. 4. Accounting for the Big Meadows area at 150 deer/mi2 as part of an SA of 79 mi2, the average deer density within the SA containing it would be 29.4 deer/mi2, which is not different enough from 29 deer/mi2 to warrant special consideration. Hence, when calculating the maximum deer samples that SHEN would need to contribute, 29 deer/mi2 was used as the inside SHEN density, while 25 deer/mi2 was used as the outside of SHEN density. 5. Deer samples should be taken from within districts of the Park which are within 30 miles of a known CWD case. Most likely a larger proportion of deer will be sampled from developed areas compared to backcountry areas due to the greater density of deer in these areas, the increased habituation of deer in developed areas, and easier access. Because higher deer densities increase the risk factor of CWD amplification in the population, any decrease in developed area densities due to sampling would be beneficial. Proportional sampling would dictate that more deer be sampled from developed areas as well. Detection Surveillance 6. Because exact SA cannot be determined at this time, to calculate the number of samples required for detection surveillance efforts, a 5-mile radius circle was assumed, thereby representing a 79-mi2 area. Using ArcGIS, 5-mile radius circles were plotted on maps of the Park to determine the maximum area of the Park that could occur within the surveillance 125 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park area. It was assumed that the Park would combine data with the state for detection and prevalence estimation activities if it is available. In the second scenario where data from state is not available, the numerical demand on the Park is greater. The maximum area of the Park that would be included in the 79-mi2 area is about 55 mi2. To calculate sample contributions, the deer density outside the Park was assumed to be 25 deer/mi2, and inside the Park an average of 29 deer/mi2 was used. Confidence levels at given prevalence rates assumed infinite-sized populations. 7. Because the purpose of detection surveillance is to detect the presence of CWD as early as possible, it is recommended that sampling levels in Table C.1 are chosen based on assumed prevalence levels of 1% rather than higher levels. A commonly used level, and the one recommended here is to use the 95/1 confidence level. In other words, a 95% probability of detecting one positive case if CWD occurs at 1% prevalence. This would require 217 samples from SHEN given a 79-mi2 SA that included 55 mi2 of SHEN. Because CWD detection sampling is a resource intensive process the NPS often seeks to maximize detection surveillance by applying appropriate weights to samples collected from different classes of animals. For example, samples collected from animals hit by cars or displaying clinical signs of CWD are more likely to test positive than those taken from the general population of healthy appearing deer. A weighting system was recently published for mule deer taken from the CWD endemic area of Colorado (Walsh and Miller 2010). While weights for white-tailed deer are likely to be slightly different the relative value of each sample is likely to be similar given that the clinical and pathological aspects of the disease are similar in both species (Miller and Wild 2004). 8. If appropriate, we may use the weighting system put forward by Walsh and Miller (2010) to maximize our CWD detection efforts. Once total sample size has been determined the number can be met by collecting a variety of types of samples. Targeted surveillance samples are weighted heaviest and fawns least. Sample size can be met by multiplying the weight by number of samples taken of a given type and adding to reach total sample size. See Table C.2. Prevalence Estimation 9. For prevalence estimation sampling in response to CWD being detected, a 5-mi radius circle would be mapped around the case, samples taken to estimate prevalence with an error of +/2% at 95% confidence. 10. Because the Park is not planning on participating in population reduction efforts in response to CWD, prevalence estimates may continue even after CWD positive cases are found beyond the initial case. As the number of cases detected increases, the error bars on the prevalence estimate increase unless more samples are obtained. Table C.2 contains sample numbers needed for 1-3 positive CWD cases with varying-sized confidence intervals. 126 CWD Detection and Assessment Plan and EA Shenandoah National Park Table B.2. Sampling weights for CWD samples referenced to a healthy appearing male = 1.0. Note: weighted sampling is only appropriate for detection activities not prevalence estimation because we do not want a biased sample when estimating disease intensity. Deer Status Prevalence in test population Sample Weights Standard Error of Weights 0.36 0.32 0.06 0.03* 0.02* 0.01* 0.01* 0.00 11.57 10.27 1.90 1.00* 0.58* 0.4* 0.25* 0.03 1.6 1.46 0.24 NA 0.06 0.15 0.08 0.03 Suspect—female (targeted surveillance) Suspect—male (targeted surveillance) Mostly road-killed, either sex) (Opportunistic surveillance) Lethally Removed Healthy appearing deer – Adult Male Lethally Removed Healthy appearing deer – Adult Female Lethally Removed Healthy appearing - Yearling Female Lethally Removed Healthy appearing – Yearling Male Lethally Removed fawn *these samples would only be collected under Alternative B. Example: If over the period of 3 years SHEN collects 20 deer killed by cars or predators, one CWD suspect male, one CWD suspect female, 40 lethally removed adult females and 50 lethally removed adult males the Park would reach a detection sample size of 133. When pooled with an additional 166 adult male samples collected from surrounding counties and tested by the state, sample size for the population will be achieved. 1.9 x 20 = 38 10.27 x 1 = 10.27 11.57 x 1 = 11.57 0.58 x 40 = 23.2 50 x 1 = 50 TOTAL = 133.04 Note: If weighted sampling increases the number of animals which must be removed, we will instead use an unweighted sampling strategy where each adult deer accounts for a single sample. Table B.3. Samples required to attain given confidence intervals and error sizes over varying number of detected CWD positive cases. A sampling area of 79 mi2 is assumed to include 55 mi2 of SHEN. This represents the worst case scenario that requires the largest number of samples to be taken from SHEN. 1+ CWD Case Confidence (%) Error (+/- %) SA Total Samples 2+ CWD Cases SHEN Samples 5 32 23 2 80 58 1 158 115 5 38 28 95 2 95 69 1 187 136 5 50 36 99 2 124 90 1 242 175 Green highlighting equals suggested sampling levels. 90 127 SA Total Samples 45 112 219 54 133 259 70 174 334 3+ CWD Cases SHEN Samples SA Total Samples SHEN Samples 33 81 159 39 97 188 51 126 243 55 136 265 65 162 313 86 210 402 40 99 193 47 118 227 62 153 292
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