Journal of International Business Studies (2010) 41, 906–924 & 2010 Academy of International Business All rights reserved 0047-2506 www.jibs.net The effects of absorptive and joint learning on the instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang1 and Shaoming Zou2 1 Department of Business Administration, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA; 2 Department of Marketing, University of Missouri – Columbia, USA Correspondence: E Fang, Department of Business Administration, College of Business Administration, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL 19716, USA. Tel: þ 1 302 887 6831; Fax: þ 1 217 244 7969 Abstract The objective of this study is to advance a theoretical framework pertaining to how interpartner learning in international joint ventures (IJV) may affect IJV instability in emerging economies. The proposed framework expands the interpartner learning theory of IJV instability in the current literature, which is focused on absorptive learning of IJV partners, by incorporating IJV partners’ joint learning. Using longitudinal dyadic data from IJVs in China, we found that local and foreign IJV parties’ absorptive learning capacity decreases one party’s dependence on the other, while joint learning capacity in IJV increases both parties’ dependence on each other. In addition, an IJV partner’s absorptive learning capacity positively moderates the effect of joint learning capacity on its dependence on another partner. These findings lend support to the expanded interpartner learning perspective of IJV instability, and have important theoretical and managerial implications for IJVs in emerging economies. The results underscore the importance of the IJV actively developing organizational rules, procedures, and structures to create and embed new knowledge in order to maintain the stability of the IJV. Finally, we found that IJV partners’ dependence asymmetry increases IJV instability, whereas their total dependence decreases IJV instability. Journal of International Business Studies (2010) 41, 906–924. doi:10.1057/jibs.2009.100 Keywords: primary data sources; knowledge-based view; alliances and joint ventures Received: 25 September 2006 Revised: 21 July 2009 Accepted: 6 August 2009 Online publication date: 25 February 2010 INTRODUCTION In an era of rapid globalization, international joint ventures (IJVs) in emerging markets have expanded rapidly, and have become increasingly powerful forces that shape multinational enterprises’ global strategy. But despite their potential benefits, IJVs in emerging markets are inherently unstable, and often suffer from unplanned or premature termination or dissolution (Das & Teng, 2000), due largely to the lack of trust between local and foreign partners, the changing dynamics of the IJV partners’ relationship, cross-cultural differences in business practices, fast-changing market conditions, and weak institutional and legal environments in emerging markets (Yan & Zeng, 1999). In particular, interpartner learning has been proposed in the literature as a major cause of IJV instability (e.g., Hamel, 1991; Inkpen & Beamish, 1997; Park & Ungson, 1997). Researchers contend that an IJV represents a Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 907 ‘‘learning race’’ between partners, each engaged in absorptive learning from the other (Lane & Lubatkin, 1998). In emerging economies, IJV is a particularly important vehicle for a local partner to absorb its foreign partner’s expertise in R&D and technology management, and for a foreign partner to learn from its local partner about local business practices, distribution and customer characteristics, and government relationships. According to the current interpartner learning theory in the literature, the party with greater absorptive learning capacity tends to dominate the relationship, because as it absorbs other party’s knowledge it becomes less dependent on its partner. This imbalance of power inevitably leads to relationship instability as the more powerful party demands changes in the control structure and decision rules in the IJV (Inkpen & Beamish, 1997). However, other researchers argue that an IJV represents a ‘‘vehicle’’ of joint learning (Kogut & Zander, 1992), such that IJV partners engage in cooperative and synergistic learning to develop IJV-specific knowledge, routines, rules, and processes that benefit both partners. If IJV partners’ joint learning does take place, the resultant IJVspecific knowledge and organizational processes should reduce IJV instability (Das & Teng, 2000). Thus the current interpartner learning theory of IJV instability offers only a partial picture of the relationship between IJV partners’ learning and IJV instability. To better understand IJV instability in emerging economies, it is necessary to expand the existing interpartner learning theory by incorporating IJV joint learning in a broader framework. In particular, it is important to decompose interpartner learning into absorptive learning and joint learning and examine their interactive effects because, theoretically, absorptive and joint learning activities are not independent, but rather interact in the IJV (Smith, Collins, & Clark, 2005). The purpose of the current study is to fill in the major conceptual gaps in the literature, and advance the knowledge of IJV interpartner learning and IJV instability in emerging economies. In line with Inkpen and Beamish (1997) and Yan and Zeng (1999), we define IJV instability as the extent to which the IJV renegotiates its contracts/ agreements, reconfigures its ownership and/or management structure, or changes the relationship between partners in unplanned or premature ways. Unlike some previous studies that narrowly define and measure IJV instability only as termination or dissolution (see Yan & Zeng, 1999), our definition captures both the dynamic process and the multiple facets of IJV instability, heeding the call for ‘‘a shift from a static, ultimate outcome oriented approach to a dynamic, process oriented approach’’ in IJV instability research (Yan & Zeng, 1999: 406). In the remainder of this article, we first discuss interpartner learning, conceptualize IJV partner absorptive learning capacity and IJV joint learning capacity, and propose an expanded interpartner learning framework of IJV instability. Next, we develop research hypotheses to explicate how partner absorptive learning capacity and IJV joint learning capacity influence the dependence relationship in and the instability of IJVs. Then we describe our study, and show our analysis and findings. Finally, we discuss the implications of the findings of the study for future research, and for firms contemplating IJVs in emerging economies. INTERPARTNER LEARNING CAPACITIES AND IJV INSTABILITY As an important topic in international business research, IJV instability has produced a significant body of literature. These researchers have identified important factors that cause IJV instability, including changes in partners’ strategic missions and subsequent changes in the IJV’s importance to the parent firms (Harrigan & Newman, 1990), greater competitive rivalry between partners (Kogut, 1988), changes in the host country’s foreign investment climate (Blodgett, 1992), prior relationships between partners (Blodgett, 1992), internal tension (Das & Teng, 2000), and interpartner learning (Hamel, 1991; Inkpen & Beamish, 1997). Of particular importance, though, is a stream of theoretical work that focuses on interpartner learning as the main driver of IJV instability. According to the existing interpartner learning theory, interpartner learning is endogenous to the IJV relationship, with the local partner and foreign partner attempting to outlearn each other, and its evolution tends to alter the balance of the power structure within the IJV, and leads to IJV instability (Inkpen & Beamish, 1997). We contend that existing interpartner learning theory captures only the absorptive learning of individual partners, and that interpartner learning in IJVs is inherently a dual process. On the one hand, at the partner level, local and foreign partners engage in absorptive learning activities and attempt to absorb each other’s knowledge and skills, remain flexible, and demand quick shortterm results, which entails ‘‘learning from an alliance partner’’ (Inkpen & Tsang, 2007). On the Journal of International Business Studies Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 908 other hand, at the IJV level, IJV partners engage in joint and synergistic learning, trying to develop new IJV-specific knowledge, specific routines, rules, and processes that benefit both partners and maximize the value of their complementary knowledge and skills over the long term (Grant, 1996; Larsson, Bengtsson, Henriksson, & Sparks, 1998). This type of learning corresponds with what Inkpen and Tsang (2007) call ‘‘learning with an alliance partner, learning about alliance management, and learning about alliance partners’’. International joint ventures have been compared to inter-culture marriages (Harrigan, 1986). In addition to bringing in their own expertise and resources, partners in a marriage must cooperate to learn to adapt to each other’s culture, find familyspecific rules, routines, and processes to deal with family decisions such as children’s education, and develop new knowledge to benefit the family’s life. Such family-specific adjustment, knowledge, rules, routines, and processes are essential for stabilizing and sustaining the marriage, and could not be taken by a partner into another marriage should the first marriage end in a divorce, because they are embedded in the family. In IJVs, similar joint learning activities take place between local and foreign partners to develop a shared understanding of the IJV rules, routines, and processes, and take coordinated actions through mutual adjustments (Crossan, Lane, & White, 1999). Joint learning in an IJV facilitates the creation of new knowledge embedded in the organization as systems, structures, procedures, and strategies that stabilizes and sustains it. It is important to note that IJV joint learning takes place at the IJV level, involving both IJV partners’ cooperation and active involvement. This is in contrast to absorptive learning of an IJV partner, which takes place at the individual partner level, and is aimed at absorbing the other partner’s knowledge and skills. IJV joint learning takes place when two partners are cooperatively involved in creating, leveraging, and upgrading potential synergies by blending their resources such as technology, management, and organizational rules, routines, and processes. It also involves institutionalizing a learning culture in the IJV, encouraging and rewarding those who are learning actively from each other, and from each side. The end results of successful joint learning are new organizational systems and processes, new knowledge, and new competence embedded in an IJV. A good example of IJV joint learning is provided by the IJV between General Motors (GM) and the Journal of International Business Studies Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation (SAIC). GM and SAIC formed a 50–50 joint venture in China in 1997. In the IJV, GM and SAIC not only actively absorb each other’s expertise and knowledge in product/technology, market, and management, but also engage in joint learning. After encountering initial conflicts in issues such as profit repatriation vs reinvestment, new product projects, control and management of the joint venture, and labor relations, GM and SAIC cooperated to communicate with each other about their values and priorities by setting up task forces with members from both parties, and by initiating certain specific business procedures in vehicle development involving members from both parties. Also, GM and SAIC have invested heavily in IT information systems to store organizational knowledge and facilitate retrieval and sharing of organizational knowledge so that their respective resources and skills can be blended into new IJV competence. As a result of joint learning, GM and SAIC are much happier with the way their joint venture is managed, and with each other. The successful development of IJV-specific knowledge, rules, routines, and processes has enhanced the performance of the GM-SAIC IJV. For example, in 2005 it developed energy-efficient and environmentally clean vehicles to leverage market opportunities at the 2010 Shanghai Expo, based on jointly learned new knowledge it did not have before.1 Drawing on the work of Crossan et al. (1999) and Kogut and Zander (1992), and building on the above discussion, we define an IJV’s joint learning capacity as the ability of the IJV partners to develop IJV-specific organizational infrastructure and communication channels to integrate the partners’ knowledge, create a new knowledge base for the IJV, and institutionalize new knowledge in the context of the IJV. IJV joint learning capacity is an IJV-level construct that captures the degree of partners’ cooperation and involvement in developing IJV-specific organizational infrastructure (i.e., systems, rules, routines, and processes) and communication channels aimed at creating, integrating, and institutionalizing knowledge for the IJV. It is different from an individual partner’s ability to absorb the other partner’s ability, because it cannot exist without both partners’ cooperation and involvement. As the GM-SAIC IJV example shows, successful IJV joint learning can yield substantial IV-specific knowledge and organizational systems and processes that make the IJV more competent Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 909 and competitive. It would be very difficult to imagine a ‘‘divorce’’ between GM and SAIC, because much of the IJV-specific knowledge and organizational system and processes would be lost should the IJV end in divorce. In emerging economies, the market environment is complex and fast changing. Government regulations are extensive and fast changing; new global and homegrown competitors emerge constantly; and consumer demand is evolving. In such a dynamic environment, the local partner’s knowledge and the foreign partner’s knowledge are insufficient to sustain an IJV’s success. Thus joint learning in an IJV is imperative, because it can continually provide new knowledge bases for the IJV to respond to the dynamic environment in emerging economies. For example, by engaging in new product development, an IJV can create new development procedures, project management skills, and process and quality control routines to embed its new knowledge. The resulting knowledge and organizational routines or processes are specific to that IJV, and enable it to respond continually to market dynamics in emerging economies. Thus an IJV’s joint learning capacity is vital for the IJV to sustain its success in emerging economies. The notion of joint learning capacity can be gleaned from the dynamic capability literature (e.g., Eisenhardt & Martin, 2000; Teece, Pisano, & Shuen, 1997), which emphasizes the criticality of a firm’s ability to respond to external market changes efficiently and promptly, particularly in emerging economies, where market situations change rapidly and predictably. For example, Teece et al. (1997: 516) argue that dynamic capabilities are the ‘‘ability to integrate, build, and reconfigure internal and external competencies to address rapidly changing environments’’. Furthermore, according to Eisenhardt and Martin (2000), dynamic capabilities are a set of specific and identifiable norms, values, communication, and organizational processes. In this sense, joint learning capacity can be viewed as a type of dynamic capability by which, through organizational infrastructure, communication channels, and processes, the various IJV parties’ resources and capabilities are blended, integrated, combined, and institutionalized to respond to environmental changes, and thus drive performance. An IJV makes organizational boundaries more permeable, and provides the parties with ‘‘windows on their partner’s broad capabilities’’ (Hamel, Doz, & Prahalad, 1989: 134). Thus IJV partners’ absorptive learning has long been recognized in the literature. Theoretically, the absorptive learning capacity of an IJV partner – foreign or local – pertains to its ability to understand, assimilate, and apply knowledge owned by another IJV partner (Cohen & Levinthal, 1990; Lane & Lubatkin, 1998). The importance of absorptive capacity in emerging economies has been well documented (e.g., Tsang, 2002), and largely reflects the relatively high degree of knowledge complementarity between local and foreign partners in IJVs in emerging economies. For example, local IJV partners may attempt to absorb foreign IJV partners’ knowledge in R&D and technology management, while the foreign IJV partners may absorb the local partners’ knowledge about local business practices, relationships with suppliers and distributors, and government regulations, creating an ideal context for absorptive learning by IJV partners. In the interpartner learning theory in the current literature, absorptive learning has been considered as a competitive ‘‘learning race’’ in which each IJV partner tries to outlearn the other partner (Hamel, 1991). As absorptive learning takes place in an IJV, the partner that has greater absorptive learning capacity will become more powerful, as it is less dependent on the other partner, and will demand changes in IJV structure and rules in its favor, leading to IJV instability (Das & Teng, 2000; Inkpen & Beamish, 1997). However, we contend that absorptive learning capacity has both competitive and cooperative components. In addition to the competitive ‘‘learning race’’, local and foreign IJV parties’ absorptive learning capacity can also increase the effectiveness of IJV joint learning capacity. This is so because, with greater absorptive learning capacity, IJV partners are more likely to appreciate the importance of knowledge, and more willing to cooperate with other partners in creating new knowledge and organizational systems and processes in the IJV. Thus IJV partners’ absorptive capacity enhances the effectiveness of IJV joint learning (Smith et al., 2005). For example, in December 2004 Goldman Sachs formed a joint venture with GaoHua Securities, a local Chinese investment bank in China. Since both banks enjoy a high degree of absorptive learning capacity to learn the other’s expertise (i.e., Goldman Sachs’s expertise in investment and wealth management, and GaoHua Securities’ expertise in Chinese local business practices and government regulation), they can better comprehend each other’s knowledge expertise, and appreciate the value of new Journal of International Business Studies Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 910 knowledge and effective organizational system and processes in the IJV. As a result, they are more willing to cooperate and get involved in developing more effective communications and creating new knowledge of investment banking services in the Chinese market. Thus the banks’ absorptive learning capacities facilitate their IJV joint learning, leading the IJV to became one of the largest investment service providers in China in 2006. Interpartner learning influences IJV instability because it changes the dependence structure of the IJV (Inkpen & Beamish, 1997; Yan & Gray, 1994). In IJVs in emerging economies the dependence structure is more likely to change, owing to the dynamic environment and the partners’ shifting power. Thus IJVs in emerging economies are more unstable, creating a greater challenge for the IJV partners. An IJV’s dependence structure can be examined from two dimensions: dependence asymmetry and total dependence. Dependence asymmetry refers to the imbalance between a local party’s dependence on its IJV foreign partner and the foreign party’s dependence on its IJV local partner; total dependence is the sum of their dependences (Emerson, 1962). The simultaneous exploration of both dimensions of the IJV dependence structure is imperative, because they can have different, and even opposing, influences on IJV outcomes such as IJV instability (Casciaro & Piskorski, 2005). In other words, omitting either dependence asymmetry or total dependence can lead to a biased picture of how interpartner learning drives IJV instability, because interpartner learning can lead to simultaneous Local party’s absorptive learning capacity changes in dependence asymmetry and total dependence. Expanding the current interpartner learning theory of IJV instability by incorporating both absorptive learning and joint learning, and applying it to IJVs in emerging economies, we present an expanded interpartner learning theory of IJV instability in Figure 1. This theoretical framework delineates how partners’ absorptive learning capacities and IJV joint learning capacity may affect the dependence structure in an IJV, which in turn influences IJV instability. In the following section we develop specific research hypotheses linking the constructs in our theoretical framework. HYPOTHESES Absorptive Learning Capacity and Dependence In the context of emerging economies, the absorption of knowledge is one of the key objectives of firms that form IJVs, and that knowledge absorption tends to be asymmetric, because the IJV party that can acquire knowledge from its partners more effectively reduces its relative dependence on its IJV partners (Tsang, 2002). Explicit knowledge such as written customer files might be absorbed without too much difficulty, because they entail factual information that can be easily expressed and communicated to other people. Their application requires little or no understanding of the complex interdependent knowledge bases, and how they connect systematically (Winter, 1987). To absorb tacit knowledge, Local party’s dependence on foreign partner (Total dependence) Joint learning capacity in IJV Foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity IJV instability (Dependence asymmetry) Foreign party’s dependence on local partner Figure 1 An expanded interpartner learning framework of IJV instability. Note: Solid lines represent the positive effects, dotted lines the negative effects. The paths presented in the conceptual model are not the mediating, but the associative ones. Journal of International Business Studies Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 911 such as a partner’s skill in managing customer relationships and innovation processes, an IJV partner might either codify knowledge into routines such as formal rules and polices (Levitt & March, 1988), or engage in a high level of human interaction with its IJV partners (Nonaka, 1994). Through these processes, knowledge can flow from one partner to the other and be applied outside the context of the IJV without losing much of its value. As Inkpen and Beamish (1997) suggest, a party’s dependence on its partner occurs when the partner possesses irreplaceable knowledge and skills valued by the party. Through absorptive learning, the absorbing IJV party obtains knowledge previously controlled by its partner, and can effectively understand and apply it outside the context of the IJV. When this happens, it no longer views its partner as an irreplaceable contributor of knowledge. Consequently, its dependence on the IJV partner drops. Hypothesis 1a: In emerging economies, the foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity is negatively related to its dependence on the IJV local partner. Hypothesis 1b: In emerging economies, the local party’s absorptive learning capacity is negatively related to its dependence on the IJV foreign partner. Joint Learning Capacity and Dependence Joint learning capacity in an IJV influences the local and foreign parties’ dependence on each other in two ways. First, joint learning activities for creating a new knowledge base for the IJV depend largely on the interaction among different functions and between IJV partners. Created knowledge typically is embedded in the IJV’s unique and complex organizational and social context, including its language and culture, which makes it difficult to apply the knowledge outside that context without significant losses (DiMaggio & Powell, 1991; Spender, 1996). Thus IJV joint learning creates a bond between two partners. Luo (2002) finds that cooperation between local and foreign partners in China’s IJVs can facilitate the development of common knowledge, which may lead to improved IJV performance. Second, certain forms of created knowledge resulting from the joint learning activities, especially practical and business routines and organizational processes, are difficult to encode into a set of identified rules and relationships. Although some created knowledge can be codified in documents and practices that can be applied outside the specific IJV context, much of the knowledge stored in these routines will be lost in a different context (March & Simon, 1958). Such knowledge can be applied only with both partners’ cooperation, increasing their dependence on each other. Steensma and Lyles (2000) find empirically that in a transitional economy (i.e., Hungary), joint learning activities in the IJV can positively influence its survival. The IJV as a ‘‘vehicle’’ of created new knowledge thus becomes irreplaceable to both the local and the foreign IJV partners in emerging economies. In other words, with effective joint learning activities, this vehicle creates a situation in which neither party can exit and still understand, interpret, or deploy the new knowledge without significant losses. In emerging economies, joint learning capacity in the IJV should increase both local and foreign parties’ dependence on each other. Hypothesis 2a: In emerging economies, joint learning capacity in an IJV is positively related to the foreign party’s dependence on its local partner. Hypothesis 2b: In emerging economies, joint learning capacity in an IJV is positively related to the local party’s dependence on its foreign partner. Moderating Effect of Absorptive Learning Capacity Although new knowledge that results from joint learning can increase both partners’ dependence on each other, the effectiveness of joint learning depends on individual partners’ evaluations of the strategic importance of the new knowledge created through joint learning. Specifically, joint learning capacity in an IJV can increase a party’s dependence on its IJV partner when the created knowledge has significant value to the party. However, the evaluation of new knowledge is influenced by the party’s existing knowledge stocks and its absorptive learning capacity (Boland & Tenkasi, 1995; Smith et al., 2005). Research into cognitive structures and problem solving (e.g., Bower & Hilgard, 1981; Estes, 1970) suggests that people can better understand and tend to assign a higher value to knowledge that is consistent with their existing knowledge stocks. As an IJV party absorbs Journal of International Business Studies Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 912 knowledge from its IJV partner, and then couples this information with its existing knowledge, it can more easily appreciate the new knowledge generated through joint learning (Smith et al., 2005). An IJV partner’s absorptive learning capacity puts it in a better position to know how the jointly learned new knowledge will add to IJV competence, enhancing its willingness to cooperate with the other partner and get involved in joint learning. For IJVs in emerging economies, the complex and fast-changing environment could make it difficult for IJV partners to comprehend new knowledge developed through joint learning. For example, the constantly and quickly changing environment in emerging economies often renders one IJV party’s knowledge insufficient, and requires the development of new knowledge through joint learning. However, joint learning is more effective when the local and foreign parties’ absorptive learning capacities are strong, because the partners could better appreciate the value of jointly learned knowledge. Thus we expect: Hypothesis 3a: In emerging economies, the greater the foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity, the stronger the positive effect of IJV joint learning capacity on the foreign party’s dependence on its local partner. Hypothesis 3b: In emerging economies, the greater the local party’s absorptive learning capacity, the stronger the positive effect of IJV joint learning capacity on the local party’s dependence on its foreign partner. IJV Dependence Structure and Instability High dependence asymmetry in an IJV can lead to considerable dysfunctional conflict between two partners. When dependence asymmetry is high, the less dependent party has greater power in the IJV than the more dependent partner. With greater power, it can impose its preferred behaviors, alter the bargaining context in its favor, and influence negotiation outcomes to its benefit. The more dependent (weaker) partner in an IJV could be marginalized, regardless of its behavior, and thus is less likely to cooperate with the less dependent party (Bacharach & Lawler, 1981). Moreover, as dependence asymmetry increases, the stronger partner has less structural motivation to cultivate greater commitment, because it can use its relative power to obtain compliance (Kumar, Scheer, & Steenkamp, 1995). The weaker partner is unlikely to Journal of International Business Studies commit because of its vulnerability to the stronger partner’s opportunistic behavior. Therefore, as Das and Teng (2000) argue, the internal tension between IJV partners, due primarily to dependence asymmetry, should increase IJV instability. In contrast, high total dependence may make IJVs more stable. Theoretically, a partner’s desire to engage in opportunistic behaviors and instigate conflict is a function of that partner’s fear and expectation of retaliation by its partner. Consequently, as total dependence increases, the partners become less likely to instigate conflict, as each partner possesses sufficient power to damage the other (Bacharach & Lawler, 1981), and both will suffer severe losses if a dysfunctional conflict spiral ensues. In addition, high total dependence tends to provide a strong motivation to build, maintain, and even strengthen partners’ commitment to the IJV. Hypothesis 4: In emerging economies, dependence asymmetry is positively related to IJV instability, all else being equal. Hypothesis 5: In emerging economies, total dependence is negatively related to IJV instability, all else being equal. METHOD Research Context To test our hypotheses, we employed a longitudinal dyadic survey of senior managers from both foreign and local partners in international high-tech joint ventures in China. We selected high-tech IJVs in China as the research context for several reasons. First, China is the largest and fastest-growing emerging economy in the world, and has attracted the largest number of IJVs in the last three decades. Second, most high-tech IJVs between foreign companies and local Chinese firms specifically attempt to gain knowledge from the partner that is otherwise not available (Child & Tse, 2001). In particular, local Chinese firms seek R&D knowledge and management know-how from their foreign partners, whereas foreign firms are interested in their local partners’ marketing knowledge and skills in managing local customer relationships. The nature of organizational learning in high-tech IJVs in China thus provides an ideal context for studying how interpartner learning capacities affect IJV instability in emerging economies. Third, the unstable institutional environment in China, and Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 913 the high risks associated with that market, cause some IJVs to take a short-term view of their relationships, which tends to make them more unstable (Luo, 2000). At the same time, optimism about the Chinese market and confidence in the stability of its economic policy have led other IJVs to take a more long-term view of their strategy and operations, which tends to keep the relationship between local and foreign partners stable over time (Yan & Zeng, 1999). This variation in IJV instability levels in China again proves particularly suitable for studying IJV instability. The sample frame consisted of 200 randomly selected high-tech manufacturing IJVs in two high-tech zones (HTZs), located in the Yangtze River Delta area of Jiangsu Province. Although using a single province might limit the reach of this study, Jiangsu is appropriate for analyzing IJVs, because it ranks second in China in attracting foreign direct investment and third in generating gross domestic product, and because it is representative of the nation’s cultural norms and standards (Luo, 2005). We obtained records from the directories of these two HTZs. Because of concerns about low response rates to mail surveys in China, and IJV managers’ widespread fear of industrial espionage, we needed to undertake a relatively high level of personal involvement, including telephone calls and personal delivery and pickup of questionnaires, to collect the survey data from the IJV managers. Therefore we first placed telephone calls to the general managers or CEOs of the 200 IJVs to explain the purpose of the study, request their participation, and promise a summary copy of the aggregate results, as well as customized analyses, in return for their participation. We also obtained endorsements from government administrative agencies in the two HTZs. One hundred and forty-six IJVs agreed to participate, to which we hand-distributed questionnaires to the general manager/CEO of one partner in the IJV and a senior manager from the other partner. Two weeks later we collected the questionnaires separately from each of the respondents. When an IJV consisted of more than two parties, we distributed the questionnaires only to the dominant Chinese and foreign partners. These procedures produced 131 pairs of matched responses, two of which we discarded owing to the large number of missing values, leaving 129 paired responses. The survey instrument included checks on the informants’ knowledge of their IJV’s operations and strategic decisions. On a seven-point scale, the average knowledge rating was 6.3 for foreign and 6.1 for local respondents. Three questionnaires with inadequate levels of informant knowledge were discarded, so our sample consists of 126 paired responses. Approximately 3 years later we conducted a second survey of these same IJVs. According to the records of government administrative agencies in the two HTZs – and in a compelling example of the end result of IJV instability – 27 of the 126 IJVs were no longer in existence, because one of the IJV partners sold its interest, the IJV was acquired by a third party, or the IJV was dissolved. We contacted the remaining 99 IJVs via telephone to obtain the CEOs’ or general managers’ assessments of IJV instability and successfully obtained 90 responses. Thus, after these lengthy procedures, 117 cases remain in our data analysis: 27 that terminated their relationships over three years, and 90 that reported various levels of IJV instability. The foreign IJV partners originated from Hong Kong (26%), Taiwan (25%), Singapore (15%), Japan (12%), the United States (10%), Germany (8%), and others (4%). Industries were consumer electronics (29%), computer hardware (23%), electronic components (20%), medical equipment and supplies (13%), automation and industrial control (9%), and telecommunication equipment (6%). Through our pretest interviews with senior managers we discovered that these industries are particularly open to foreign investment, and there is limited government regulation in the formation and operation of IJVs in these industries. The average age of these IJVs was 6.7 years, and the average investment size by all parties was US$29.34 million. Furthermore, 65% of the local parent companies were state-owned enterprises, and the remaining 35% were privately owned. Measurement In accordance with theoretical considerations and our field interviews, we developed the survey questionnaire in English, translated it into Chinese, and back-translated it into English to ensure that both versions contained equivalent measures. We then pretested it for instrument validity with 30 managers who represented 15 IJVs (paired respondents). The interviewers asked these managers to respond to the items that measured the theoretical constructs, and to describe the nature of the partners’ interaction in their IJVs. The results revealed a high degree of internal consistency Journal of International Business Studies Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 914 between the two respondents in each pair (Guttman split-half R40.86). The managers also identified some ambiguities in terms, concepts, or items in the draft questionnaire, which we corrected through wording changes. We list all the measures in the Appendix. Dependent variable. We developed a new measure of IJV instability for our study, based on the prior literature (e.g., Yan & Zeng, 1999), and we collected the IJVs’ responses 3 years after the initial survey. Using the conceptualization by Yan and Zeng (1999), we developed five seven-point semantic scale items on which respondents indicated the extent to which the ownership structure, management structure, and strategic roles for both partners had changed during the prior 3 years in ways that were not originally planned, as well as whether the partners had renegotiated IJV agreements or discussed the possibility of ending the relationship. The coefficient alpha for this instability measure is 0.843. To validate it, we correlated IJV instability with IJV performance, as reported by the CEOs/general managers, on the basis of five items – return on investment, return on equity, profits, sales growth, and market share growth – compared with relevant competitors. Prior research suggests that IJV performance should be better with stability, whereas poor performance should be associated with high levels of IJV instability (Yan & Gray, 1994; Yan & Zeng, 1999). In support of our measure of IJV instability, we found that the correlation between IJV instability and performance was significantly negative and high (r¼0.592). Independent variables. We obtained a measure of the local party’s dependence on the foreign partner from local respondents using four seven-point Likert-type scale items adapted from Kumar et al. (1995) and Provan and Skinner (1989), which measured the local party’s ability to replace its IJV foreign partner, difficulty in finding an alternative partner, and potential loss if the relationship with the IJV partner were terminated. The coefficient alpha was 0.798. In addition, we used the same four items to obtain a measure of the foreign party’s dependence on its local partner from the foreign senior managers: the coefficient alpha for this measure was 0.775. Using these two measures, we then determined total dependence as the sum of the two types of dependence, and dependence asymmetry Journal of International Business Studies as the absolute difference between them (Casciaro & Piskorski, 2005). Consistent with previous studies, we developed a measure of the local party’s absorptive learning capacity using three items that asked respondents from the local partner to evaluate its ability to understand, assimilate, and apply the knowledge possessed by its IJV foreign partner. The coefficient alpha was 0.743. Again, we used these same three items to determine the foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity on the basis of the foreign party respondents’ answers, which provided a coefficient alpha of 0.783. In line with the conceptual domain of joint learning capacity in IJVs presented previously, we developed our measure of joint learning capacity in IJV with six items created specifically for this study. We obtained responses from both local and foreign IJV parties, which provided coefficient alphas of 0.860 and 0.836, respectively. Because the measures of joint learning capacity were newly developed for this study, we conducted further validation through 10 in-depth interviews with managers from both local and foreign partners: each interview lasted approximately 15–20 min. To minimize interviewer bias and broaden our understanding, we asked for open-ended responses to questions about their interpretations of joint learning in the IJV. Next, we presented the developed joint learning capacity items to the managers and asked for their responses. The managers indicated that they could understand the items unequivocally, and that the items captured the underlying domain of joint learning capacity in IJV. Considering the high consistency between the two responses (rwg¼0.745), and consistent with Luo (2005), we aggregated the responses as an average, multiplied by the interplay agreement index: response from local partner þresponse from foreign partner rwg 2 where rwg is James, Demaree, and Wolf’s (1984) measure of within-group, inter-rater reliability.2 Control variables. We controlled for several variables that might affect the local and foreign parties’ dependence on each other and IJV instability, at both the IJV and industry levels, using data collected in the first wave of the data collection effort. At the IJV level we controlled for IJV age, ownership structure, goal congruency, Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 915 prior cooperation, and cultural distance. At the industry level we controlled for industry dynamism. Specifically, IJV age refers to the years of the IJV’s operation, and ownership structure is a dummy variable (1 if the local party has a majority stake; 0 otherwise): both these measures come from registrations with government administrative agencies. Goal congruency is the extent to which IJV partners have consistent strategic objectives for the operations and evaluations of the IJV (Luo, 2002). We adapted four items from Sarkar, Echambadi, and Harrison (2001) to measure goal congruency between IJV partners, and averaged the responses from local and foreign respondents because of their high correlation (r¼0.608). Consistent with Luo (2002), our measure of prior cooperation considered the number of years for which the two parties had been cooperating through trade or investment, prior to forming a focal IJV. Finally, consistent with Luo (2005), we measured cultural distance with Kogut and Singh’s (1988) composite index and Hofstede’s (2001) latest data pertaining to five cultural dimensions: power distance, uncertainty avoidance, individualism, masculinity, and long-term orientation. Adapted from Jaworski and Kohli (1993), we used four items to measure industry dynamism from the perspective of both local and foreign respondents, aggregated according to the same procedure we used for the IJV joint learning capacity owing to their high correlation (r¼0.631). The coefficient alpha was 0.812 for local responses and 0.823 for foreign responses. Assessment of the Measurement Model Because we adopted a dyadic and longitudinal design, some measures must be obtained from local partners, whereas others come from foreign partners. The measures of IJV instability derive from the second survey we conducted approximately 3 years after the first survey. Therefore we performed three separate confirmatory factor analyses (CFA) to assess the measurement models. The first CFA model included measures obtained in the first survey from foreign partners, and the second included the measures obtained in the first survey from local partners. The third CFA model featured the measures of IJV instability obtained during the second survey. Following Anderson and Gerbing (1988), we restricted each item to load on its a priori specified factor, and permitted the factors to correlate. We obtained maximum likelihood estimates of the measurement models using EQS software. All models exhibited acceptable fit indices, and all factor loadings were significant at the 0.01 level, in support of convergent validity (CFA model 1: chi-square¼ 131.14, po0.01, comparative fit index [CFI]¼0.907, normed fit index [NFI]¼0.895, incremental fit index [IFI]¼0.904, root mean square error of approximation [RMSEA]¼0.072; CFA model 2: chi-square¼ 141.12, po0.01, CFI¼0.906, NFI¼0.895, IFI¼0.883, RMSEA¼0.080; CFA model 3: chi-square¼12.23, po0.05, CFI¼0.985, NFI¼0.952, IFI¼0.943, RMSEA¼ 0.039). We present the descriptive statistics of the constructs in Table 1. For each sample, we compared a series of nested CFA models for every pair of constructs to determine whether chi-square differences existed when we allowed free correlations between the constructs, compared with when we constrained the correlation to 1.0. The chi-square difference tests were all significant, and provided evidence of discriminant validity (Bagozzi, Yi, & Phillips, 1991). In addition, the average variance extracted was greater than the squared correlation between each pair of the constructs, lending further support to the constructs’ discriminant validity (Fornell & Larcker, 1981). In addition, we assessed whether common method bias was a serious threat. Following suggestions by Podsakoff and Organ (1986), we first adopted Harman’s one-factor test by entering all the principal constructs into a principal components factor analysis. Evidence for common method bias exists when a general construct accounts for the majority of the covariance among all constructs. Through the analysis, the largest variance explained by the construct was 23%, indicating no substantial common method bias. Second, a partial correlation method was used (Podsakoff & Organ, 1986) (for specific description, please see Podsakoff & Organ, 1986). The results indicate that after we controlled for the highest factor from the principle component factor analysis, which is assumed to contain the best approximation of the common method variance, the significance level of the partial correlation between any independent and dependent variables remained unchanged as that without controlling for the highest factor. This again suggests no substantial common method bias. ANALYSIS AND RESULTS To test the effects of IJV partners’ absorptive learning capacities and joint learning capacity in Journal of International Business Studies Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 1.00 0.20 1.00 0.11 0.23 1.00 0.09 0.11 0.20 1.00 0.11 0.14 0.02 0.11 1.00 0.11 0.05 0.20 0.32 0.03 1.00 0.09 0.23 0.14 0.20 0.05 0.22 1.00 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.11 0.08 1.00 0.09 0.14 0.10 0.05 0.14 0.05 0.05 0.11 1.00 0.13 0.18 0.15 0.13 0.05 0.08 0.30 0.13 0.07 1.00 Dep L ¼b0 þ b1 Absor L þ b2 Joint I þ b3 Absor L Joint I þ b4 Duration þ b5 Indu Dyn Journal of International Business Studies ð1Þ þ b6 Cul Dis þ e1 and Dep F ¼b0 þ b1 Absor F þ b2 Joint I þ b3 Absor F Joint I þ b4 Duration þ b5 Indu Dyn ð2Þ þ b6 Cul Dis þ e2 po0.05: r40.17 or ro0.17. n¼117 except for IJV instability, where n¼90. b a 3.99 4.33 0.44 8.32 4.03 4.56 5.02 4.34 0.56 3.24 6.70 4.37 5.32 5.21 Foreign party’s dependence on local partner Local party’s dependence on foreign partner IJV dependence asymmetry IJV total dependence Foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity Local party’s absorptive learning capacity Joint learning capacity in IJV Goal congruency Ownership structure Prior cooperation IJV age Industry dynamism Cultural difference IJV instabilityb 1 2 3 4 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Descriptive statistics and Pearson correlationsa Table 1 IJV on IJV parties’ dependence on each other, we tested the following equations using seemingly unrelated regression analysis (SURE), which maximizes the efficiency of the estimation (Johnston & DiNardo, 1997). To test the moderating effects, we mean-centered both the independent and the moderating variables to reduce the potential problem of multicollinearity (Aiken & West, 1991). Therefore 1.26 1.00 1.24 0.27 1.00 0.24 0.12 0.11 1.00 3.12 0.35 0.25 0.10 1.00 1.07 0.14 0.11 0.04 0.08 1.14 0.06 0.39 0.14 0.18 1.13 0.17 0.20 0.17 0.27 1.24 0.21 0.19 0.11 0.17 0.15 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.01 1.56 0.13 0.18 0.13 0.15 2.57 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.05 1.06 0.06 0.11 0.05 0.02 1.43 0.12 0.11 0.05 0.05 1.24 0.11 0.08 0.25 0.05 6 5 4 Mean s.d. Variables 1 2 3 4 3 Correlation matrix 7 8 9 10 11 12 916 where Dep_L(F) is the dependence of the local (foreign) party on its IJV foreign (local) partner, Absor_L(F) is the local (foreign) party’s absorptive learning capacity, and Joint_I designates the joint learning capacity in the IJV. In addition, Duration represents the IJV’s lifespan, Indu_Dyn denotes industry dynamism, and Cul_Dis designates cultural distance. The SURE approach, developed by Zellner (1962), estimates theoretically related sets of equations. As in Eqs. (1) and (2), the error terms might be correlated (e.g., e1 and e2), as might the different sets of independent variables (e.g., Absor_L, Absor_F, and Joint_I). In such conditions, ordinary least square (OLS) estimates can be misleading, and SURE provides significantly more efficient coefficient estimates than OLS (Zellner, 1962). If the equations have the same set of independent variables, the SURE estimation is the same as that provided by OLS. Another important advantage of using SURE, rather than structural equation modeling, is that SURE requires fewer observations to attain robust estimations. When the regressions involve multiplicative terms, all variables that constitute the terms can be mean-centered to reduce multicollinearity (Aiken & West, 1991). In Table 2, we report the SURE procedure results. To test the effects of total dependence and dependence asymmetry on IJV instability, we adopted a censored regression or Tobit analysis, Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Table 2 Absorptive learning capacity, joint learning capacity, and IJV dependence. Results of seemingly unrelated regression analysis (standardized coefficient estimates) Variables Foreign party’s dependence on local partner Local party’s dependence on foreign partner Model 1 Model 4 Independent variables Foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity Local party’s absorptive learning capacity Joint learning capacity in IJV Model 2 0.07 (0.093) 0.26 (0.087)** Moderating effects Foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity Joint learning capacity in IJV Local party’s absorptive learning capacity Joint learning capacity in IJV Model 6 0.11 (0.64) 0.31 (0.058)** 0.29 (0.065)** 0.22 (0.075)* 0.19 (0.081)* 0.22 (0.101)* 0.21 (0.089)* 0.11 (0.054) 0.19 0.07 0.15 0.07 0.09 0.03 (0.099)* 0.19 (0.098)* 0.17 (0.082)* 0.15 (0.082)w 0.11 (0.102) (0.135) 0.05 (0.137) 0.02 (0.167) 0.07 (0.162) 0.02 (0.177) (0.060)w 0.16 (0.058)w 0.09 (0.054) 0.12 (0.056)w 0.04 (0.065) (0.028) 0.06 (0.029) 0.03 (0.027) 0.08 (0.031) 0.07 (0.030) (0.089) 0.03 (0.084) 0.05 (0.079) 0.02 (0.069) 0.03(0.070) (0.110) 0.02 (0.105) 0.01 (0.101) 0.02 (0.123) 0.03 (0.115) 2.70* 0.12 0.07 3.12* 1.77w 0.16 0.10 4.09** 2.63* 0.17 0.12 1.72 0.08 0.04 3.88** 2.67* 0.17 0.13 0.09 0.06 0.09 0.09 0.05 0.03 (0.101) (0.175) (0.065) (0.030) (0.072) (0.110) 4.20** 2.74* 0.18 0.14 **po0.01; *po0.05; wpo0.10 (standard errors are in parentheses). Significance levels shown are two-tailed for hypothesis testing and control variables. 917 Journal of International Business Studies F-value: Hierarchical F-value R2 Adj. R2 Model 5 Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou Control variables Goal congruency Ownership structure Prior cooperation IJV age Industry dynamism Cultural distance Model 3 Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 918 Table 3 IJV dependence structure and instability Results of censored regression analysis (standardized coefficient estimates) IJV instability Independent variables Total dependence Dependence asymmetry Control variables Goal congruency Ownership structure Prior cooperation IJV age Industry dynamism Cultural distance Log likelihood Model 2 0.41 (0.165)** 0.30 (0.047)** 0.08 0.11 0.20 0.34 0.07 0.05 121.90 (0.087) (0.165) (0.071)w (0.054)** (0.095) (0.142) 0.05 0.10 0.21 0.28 0.07 0.05 90.11 (0.082) (0.157) (0.075)* (0.056)* (0.097) (0.136) 12 10 8 6 7 4 6 2 5 0 Jo ca int l pa ea cit rn y i ing nI JV Model 1 IJV foreign party’s dependence on local partner Variables 4 1 2 3 ign p 4 a learn rty’s ab 5 so ing c apac rptive ity 3 Fore 2 6 1 7 **po0.01; *po0.05; wpo0.10 (standard errors are in parentheses). Significance levels shown are two-tailed for hypothesis testing and control variables. þ b3 Duration þ b4 Indu Dyn þ b5 Cul Dis þ e3 ð3Þ where Total_Dep is the total dependence between IJV local and foreign partners, and Dep_Asy is the dependence asymmetry between the IJV local and foreign partners. We provide the results in Table 3. As we show in Table 2, Hypothesis 1b receives support, because the local party’s absorptive learning capacity negatively affects its dependence on its foreign partner (b¼0.29, po0.01). However, we cannot confirm Hypothesis 1a, because the relationship between the foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity and its dependence on its local partner is not significant (b¼0.11, n.s.). A possible explanation is that the foreign party relies primarily on its local IJV partner to reach the emerging economies, and uses a joint learning strategy to stabilize and sustain the IJV in emerging economies. As Tsang (2002: 836) observes, the foreign party in an IJV tends to focus more on learning from strategic alliance experience rather than on learning the other partner’s skills. Journal of International Business Studies 1.0 0.5 0 –0.5 7 –1.0 6 –1.5 5 –2.0 Jo ca int l pa ea cit rni y i ng nI JV IJV Instability ¼b0 þ b1 Total Dep þ b2 Dep Asy 1.5 IJV local party’s dependence on foreign partner a maximum likelihood technique that accommodates ‘‘censored’’ data (Johnston & DiNardo, 1997). Because IJV instability is right-censored (i.e., 27 of the 117 IJVs were terminated), adopting this approach enabled us to use data from the 27 terminated IJVs and provided unbiased estimates. Therefore: 4 1 2 3 4 l par 5 learn ty’s abs or ing c apac ptive ity 3 Loca 2 6 1 7 Figure 2 (a) Foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity, joint learning capacity in IJV, and foreign party’s dependence on local partner; (b) local party’s absorptive learning capacity, joint learning capacity in IJV, and local party’s dependence on foreign partner. The results support Hypotheses 2a and 2b, in that joint learning capacity in IJVs positively influences the foreign party’s dependence on its local partner (b¼0.21, po0.05) and the local party’s dependence on its foreign partner (b¼0.19, po0.05). Furthermore, the results in Table 2 indicate that Hypothesis 3a is supported. Specifically, the interaction term between the foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity and joint learning capacity in IJV has a positive and significant effect on the foreign party’s dependence on its local partner (b¼0.21, po0.05). Given this significant interaction effect, in Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 919 Figure 2a we plot the relationship between the foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity, joint learning capacity in the IJV, and the foreign party’s dependence on the local partner. However, the local party’s absorptive learning capacity does not moderate the effect of joint learning capacity in an IJV on the local party’s dependence on its foreign partner (b¼0.11, n.s.). In Figure 2b we plot the relationship between the local party’s absorptive learning capacity, joint learning capacity in the IJV, and the local party’s dependence on the foreign partner. This difference between the local and foreign parties may be explained by the fact that, in IJVs in an emerging economy, local parties are eager to absorb foreign partners’ technological skills (Inkpen & Dinur, 1998). However, foreign parties’ primary learning objective may be the IJV’s knowledge about marketing and distribution, which is likely to be context specific, and depends on a specific joint process and institutionalization before it can be effectively functional or valuable. With regard to the effect of dependence asymmetry and total dependence on IJV instability, as indicated in Model 2 of Table 3, Hypothesis 4 receives support (b¼0.30, po0.01). We also find support for Hypothesis 5, in that total dependence is negatively associated with IJV instability (b¼0.41, po0.01). In Table 4 we summarize all these results. DISCUSSION Theoretical Implications In this study we have attempted to develop and test an expanded interpartner learning framework Table 4 of IJV instability that incorporates both IJV partners’ absorptive learning capacity and their joint learning capacity in the IJV. The framework is intended to present a more complete perspective of interpartner learning’s effect on IJV instability in the context of emerging economies. With longitudinal and dyadic data collected from high-tech IJVs in China, this study offers empirical evidence to support the expanded interpartner learning framework of IJV instability. The findings of this study in turn offer several important theoretical implications. First, drawing on the organizational learning literature, we have distinguished two types of interpartner learning capacities in IJVs in emerging economies: the local and foreign parties’ absorptive learning capacity and joint learning capacity in the IJV. Our results thus demonstrate that, for IJVs in emerging economies, the local party’s absorptive learning capacity negatively affects its dependence on the foreign partner, whereas the joint learning capacity in the IJV increases the parties’ dependence on each other. These findings lend support to the existing theoretical argument that, as a result of an IJV partner’s absorptive learning, the importance of its IJV partner as a knowledge contributor declines, reducing its dependence on its partner. However, our findings also highlight the importance of an IJV as a vehicle of knowledge creation through joint learning. Strong joint learning capacity in an IJV tends to make both local and foreign parties less replaceable and more dependent on each other. Thus the IJV partners’ absorptive learning and joint learning in the IJV tend to have opposite direct effects on the dependence Summary of empirical results Hypothesis 1a 1b 2a 2b 3a 3b 4 5 Empirical results The foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity is negatively related to its dependence on the IJV local partner. The local party’s absorptive learning capacity is negatively related to its dependence on the IJV foreign partner. Joint learning capacity in an IJV is positively related to the foreign party’s dependence on its local partner. Joint learning capacity in an IJV is positively related to the local party’s dependence on its foreign partner. The greater the foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity, the stronger the positive effect of IJV joint learning capacity on the foreign party’s dependence on its local partner. The greater the local party’s absorptive learning capacity, the stronger the positive effect of IJV joint learning capacity on the local party’s dependence on its foreign partner. Dependence asymmetry is positively related to the IJV instability, all else being equal. Total dependence is negatively related to the IJV instability, all else being equal. Not supported Supported Supported Supported Supported Not supported Supported Supported Journal of International Business Studies Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 920 structure of the IJV, and the expanded interpartner learning framework that includes both partners’ absorptive learning and joint learning is essential to present a more complete explanation of IJV instability in emerging economies. Second, the effects of absorptive and joint learning capacity on IJV parties’ dependence are found to be interactive, rather than independent, in IJVs in emerging economies. Presumably, strong absorptive learning capacity makes IJV partners appreciate the value of new knowledge created through IJV joint learning, resulting in its greater effect on parties’ dependence. This finding is in contrast to existing theoretical views in the literature that a foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity always reduces its dependence on its local partner (e.g., Hamel, 1991; Inkpen & Beamish, 1997). Furthermore, our findings suggest that the foreign party’s absorptive learning capacity could increase its dependence on the local partner through its magnification of the effect of joint learning capacity, whereas the local party’s absorptive learning capacity reduces its dependence on the foreign partner. In addition, previous studies note these differences between local and foreign parties’ absorptive learning activities in Chinese IJVs. For example, Tsang (1999) argues that, in a typical IJV, an asymmetrical learning pattern is most likely, such that the local partner tries to gather technology and management expertise from the foreign partner, but the foreign partner often does not learn from its local counterpart effectively. This claim seems to be consistent with our findings that the local partner’s absorptive capacity reduces its dependence on the foreign partner, but the foreign partner’s absorptive capacity has no significant effect. This difference in organizational learning objectives creates an important avenue for future research, because previous studies have focused mainly on how the local partner’s absorptive learning influences IJV performance (e.g., Lane, Salk, & Lyles, 2001; Tsang, 2002), but have ignored how local and foreign partners may differ in their absorptive learning activities. Third, our research suggests that dependence asymmetry and total dependence have significant but opposing effects in driving IJV instability. As dependence asymmetry increases, dysfunctional conflict tends to increase, and mutual commitment tends to decrease, making IJVs less stable. To the best of our knowledge our research is the first to provide empirical evidence that dependence Journal of International Business Studies asymmetry drives IJV instability, as theorized by Inkpen and Beamish (1997). We also find that, as total dependence between IJV partners increases, both parties become less likely to engage in dysfunctional competition and more likely to nurture mutual commitment, making the IJV more stable. In other words, our findings suggest that a complete picture of how interpartner learning affects IJV instability requires attention to the dyadic dependence structure of both dependence asymmetry and total dependence. Focusing solely on dependence asymmetry may lead to a biased and incomplete view. Managerial Implications Our findings also offer several important implications for managers. Maintaining a stable IJV in emerging economies requires building high and balanced dependence between local and foreign parties. Although the power derived from dependence asymmetry can be helpful in the negotiation process, and can offer benefits to the powerful party in the short run, it also can be detrimental to an IJV’s stability in the long run. To achieve high and balanced dependence between local and foreign parties in emerging economies, IJV managers must manage their learning capacities carefully in several different ways. The first pertains to nurturing joint learning capacity in the IJV. Managers from the two parties should establish effective knowledge communication channels, and develop a shared understanding of each other’s knowledge. In addition, the IJV should actively develop organizational rules, procedures, and structures to create and embed new knowledge. With the new knowledge created from this effort, the foreign and local parties should view each other as less replaceable, increasing dependence overall, and stabilizing the IJV. Moreover, managers must manage the ‘‘learning race’’ between local and foreign parties with delicacy. In particular, beyond the direct knowledge transfer between local and foreign parties, managers should attend to the potential enhancing effect of absorptive learning for understanding new knowledge derived through the integration and institutionalization process, as well as the potential differences between local and foreign parties’ learning strategies. Limitations and Further Research As does any research, our study suffers from some limitations, which should be kept in mind when drawing conclusions from our findings. First, our Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 921 empirical research is based only on IJVs in China. Though China is an important emerging economy that attracts substantial foreign investment in the form of IJVs, its IJVs may not be representative of IJVs in other emerging economies. Further studies should examine whether and how our expanded interpartner learning framework might work differently in other developing countries. Second, we did not examine factors that determine IJV partners’ absorptive learning capacity and IJV joint learning capacity in this study. Future research is needed to investigate how factors such as cultural distance and goal congruency between local and foreign partners may affect interpartner learning capacities. Furthermore, our conceptualization and measurement of the IJV joint learning capacity construct captures mainly communication channels and organizational infrastructure such as norms, values, and, routines. However, organizational processes such as specific business procedures in new product development, supply chain management, and customer relationship management are also an important component of IJV joint learning capacity. Future studies are urged to expand our conceptualization and measurement of IJV joint learning capacity in order to provide an enriched view of the IJV joint learning capacity–instability relationship. In addition to addressing these limitations, further research could extend our expanded inter- partner learning framework by investigating factors that might have a contingent effect on interpartner learning and IJV partners’ dependence relationships. Of particular importance is an exploration of the local and foreign parties’ different knowledge types, and their diverse learning objectives. For example, the development of absorptive and joint learning capacities might be contingent on the specific characteristics of knowledge input by both parties into the IJV, together with varying objectives for knowledge learning by both parties. 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It would be difficult to replace our local partner. 3. Our party is quite dependent on our local partner. 4. If this joint venture ended, our party would face a significant loss. Local (foreign) party’s absorptive learning capacity (newly developed) 1. Our party has developed a superior capability in understanding our partner’s knowledge and skills. 2. Our party has developed a superior capability in assimilating our partner’s knowledge and skills. 3. Our party has developed a superior capability in applying our partner’s knowledge and skills independently. Joint learning capacity in IJV (newly developed) 1. Our joint venture has established a strong capability in developing a shared understanding of each other’s knowledge and skills. 2. Our joint venture is very good at establishing effective knowledge communication channels between the two parties. 3. Our joint venture has established strong capacity and organizational procedures to develop new knowledge sets. 4. Our joint venture is very good at developing rules, directives, formulas, and expert systems to create new knowledge base for the joint venture. 5. Our joint venture has built a strong ability to incorporate new organizational information systems to create, store, access, and retrieve the newly developed knowledge sets. 6. Our joint venture has developed superior capability to make appropriate changes of organizational structure to incorporate and distribute the developed knowledge and skills. Goal congruency (adapted from Sarkar et al., 2001) 1. The goals and objectives of both parties in this joint venture are compatible. 2. There is total agreement regarding organizational goals across all levels, functions, and divisions in the joint venture. 3. All employees are committed to our joint venture’s organizational goals. 4. There are major conflicts between the partners in this joint venture regarding its objectives (reversecoded). Industry dynamism (adapted from Jaworski and Kohli, 1993) 1. In the market of our joint venture, customers’ preferences change quickly over time. 2. For our joint venture, market demand and consumer tastes have been unpredictable. 3. Actions of local and foreign competitors of the joint venture have been highly unpredictable. 4. The competition of our joint venture is changing very rapidly. 5. It is very difficult to forecast where the technology will be in the next 5 years. By local party By foreign party 0.78 0.77 0.80 0.86 0.70 0.73 0.81 0.69 0.69 0.81 0.81 0.82 0.73 0.72 0.90 0.80 0.77 0.73 0.74 0.81 0.68 0.66 0.80 0.79 0.82 0.74 0.72 0.82 0.82 0.88 0.81 0.83 0.82 0.85 0.77 0.75 0.83 0.75 0.81 0.72 0.67 0.77 0.73 0.88 Journal of International Business Studies Instability of international joint ventures in emerging economies Eric Fang and Shaoming Zou 924 Table A1 Continued Items and constructs Factor loadings Survey 2 IJV instability (Adapted from Yan and Zeng, 1999) During the last 3 years: (very little very significant) 1. To what extent have your partners renegotiated the agreements which were not originally planned? 2. To what extent has your joint venture prematurely reconfigured its ownership structure? 3. To what extent has your joint venture restructured its management structure not originally planned? 4. To what extent has the relationship between your partners changed, which may have hurt your joint venture performance? 5. To what extent has your joint venture discussed ending relationship between your joint venture partners? ABOUT THE AUTHORS Eric (Er) Fang ([email protected]) is Assistant Professor of Marketing and International Business in the College of Business at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. He received his PhD from the University of Missouri-Columbia. His research interests are marketing strategy, new product development, and international joint ventures. His work appears in Journal of Marketing, Journal of International Business Studies, and other journals. He was born in mainland China. 0.67 Shaoming Zou ([email protected]) is Robert J. Trulaske Sr Professor of Marketing at the University of Missouri, Columbia and External Professor of Marketing at Peking University, China, He received his PhD from Michigan State University. His research interests are global marketing strategy, export marketing, and international joint ventures. His work appears in the Journal of Marketing, the Journal of International Business Studies, and other journals. He was born in Mainland China. Accepted by Yadong Luo, Consulting Editor, 6 August 2009. This paper has been with the authors for five revisions. Journal of International Business Studies 0.73 0.81 0.72 0.63
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