Evidence from the USA Bhaven N. Sampat Columbia University December 6, 2007 1 / 22 Outline Overview The Early Years WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions Outline 2 / 22 Overview Outline Overview ■ The Early Years WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions ■ ■ ■ Historical overview of U.S. science and technology policy, 1783–2007 Pre–World War II: Little formal policy, outside of agriculture The Watershed of World War II Key argument: postwar policy: focuses mainly on promotion of science, rather than specific technologies or industries 3 / 22 Outline The Early Years Colonial era 1700s–early 1800s mid–1800s to early 1900s: Emergence of leadership in mass production based industries Land Grants Research Universities Pre–World War II: Summary The Early Years WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions 4 / 22 Colonial era Outline The Early Years Colonial era 1700s–early 1800s mid–1800s to early 1900s: Emergence of leadership in mass production based industries Land Grants Research Universities Pre–World War II: Summary ■ ■ Most S&T policy proposals during the founding era failed; distrust of strong central government Only mention of “science” in the U.S. Constitution: Article I, Section 8 WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions 5 / 22 1700s–early 1800s Outline ■ The Early Years Colonial era 1700s–early 1800s mid–1800s to early 1900s: Emergence of leadership in mass production based industries Land Grants Research Universities Pre–World War II: Summary ■ ■ Indigenous technological community grows; decentralized Important activities including montioring, adapting, assimilating external technologies (social absorption capability) Much “catching up” via adapting, assimilating, stealing technologies from frontier nations WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions 6 / 22 mid–1800s to early 1900s: Emergence of leadership in mass production based industries Outline ■ The Early Years Colonial era 1700s–early 1800s mid–1800s to early 1900s: Emergence of leadership in mass production based industries Land Grants Research Universities Pre–World War II: Summary ■ ■ ■ American system of manufactures spurs industrialization Begins with use of machine tools to produce rifles with large numbers of standardized, interchangeable parts Techniques of mass production spread to a range of manufacturing industries Sources of growth: Large domestic market Abundant natural resources Shared cultural, linguistic networks faciliate diffusion of best practice ◆ Organizational technologies ◆ ◆ ◆ WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions ■ Little government S&T policy per se 7 / 22 Land Grants Outline The Early Years Colonial era 1700s–early 1800s mid–1800s to early 1900s: Emergence of leadership in mass production based industries Land Grants Research Universities Pre–World War II: Summary WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ Following advances in soil chemistry, recognition that new knowledge can yield producitivity gains 1862 Morrill Act: applied universities doing research training in agriculture Later extended to mechanical arts Focus on diffusion/dissemination in addition to knowledge creation Significant univeristy–industry interaction Decentralized funding and competition encourages “entrepreneurialism,” innovation, technology transfer Conclusions 8 / 22 Research Universities Outline The Early Years Colonial era 1700s–early 1800s mid–1800s to early 1900s: Emergence of leadership in mass production based industries Land Grants Research Universities Pre–World War II: Summary ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ Aside from the land grants, little “research” in leading universities through much of U.S. history Research universities emerge in late 1800s (Hopkins, Chicago, Stanford) The institutional form spreads in the pre-WWI years (Harvard, Yale, Columbia) Funded by private sector, philanthropies, not the government Distrust of government funding by scientists WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions 9 / 22 Pre–World War II: Summary Outline The Early Years Colonial era 1700s–early 1800s mid–1800s to early 1900s: Emergence of leadership in mass production based industries Land Grants Research Universities Pre–World War II: Summary ■ ■ ■ Division of labor: applied research in industrial laboratories, land grant universities; basic research in handful of research universities Little formal STI policy, outside of agriculture Despite this, U.S. at or near the technological frontier in most industries at the eve of WWII WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions 10 / 22 Outline The Early Years WWII and the Bush Report World War II Bush–Kilgore Debates Science the Endless Frontier The Bush Plan Impact of the Bush Report WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions 11 / 22 World War II Outline ■ The Early Years ■ WWII and the Bush Report World War II Bush–Kilgore Debates Science the Endless Frontier The Bush Plan Impact of the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions ■ ■ ■ ■ A technological war FDR assembles the elite of the scientific and industrial research communities to coordinate effort, led by Vannevar Bush Funding to a small number of elite institutions, mostly in northeast Key decisions made by elite civilian scientists Science and technology win the war (atomic bomb, radar) Science would no longer be an “orphan”; how to govern in peacetime? 12 / 22 Bush–Kilgore Debates Outline ■ Liberals, led by Kilgore, don’t like the wartime model The Early Years WWII and the Bush Report World War II Bush–Kilgore Debates Science the Endless Frontier The Bush Plan Impact of the Bush Report ◆ ◆ Want research funding to be less elite, more democratic Want research to be directly responsive to social objectives, not scientific goals Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions 13 / 22 Science the Endless Frontier Outline ■ The Early Years WWII and the Bush Report World War II Bush–Kilgore Debates Science the Endless Frontier The Bush Plan Impact of the Bush Report ■ ■ “Basic research is the pacemaker of technological progress” (linear model) “We cannot expect industry to fill the gap ... basic research is non–commercial in nature” (market failure) “Basic research performed without thought of practical ends” (cannot plan) Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions 14 / 22 The Bush Plan Outline ■ The Early Years ■ WWII and the Bush Report World War II Bush–Kilgore Debates Science the Endless Frontier The Bush Plan Impact of the Bush Report ■ Significant funding for basic research Key decisions made by scientists, on the basis of peer review Only broad accountability Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions 15 / 22 Impact of the Bush Report Outline ■ The Early Years WWII and the Bush Report World War II Bush–Kilgore Debates Science the Endless Frontier The Bush Plan Impact of the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions ■ Organizationally, minimal: Mission–oriented agencies dominate funding in postwar era Ideologically, siginificant: Funding basic research is necessary, sufficient to realize benefits of S&T ◆ Scientists in best position to determine allocation (peer review) ◆ Micromanagement undesirable ◆ The “social contract” for science: government funds science, scientists govern the allocation process, broad accountablity ◆ 16 / 22 Outline The Early Years WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Strains on the social contract The swinging pendulum: patent policy Schitzophenia: Technology and Industrial Policy Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions 17 / 22 Strains on the social contract Outline ■ The Early Years ■ WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Strains on the social contract The swinging pendulum: patent policy Schitzophenia: Technology and Industrial Policy ■ Pork barrel versus peer review What has science done for us lately? Issue of the day: Measurement and evaluation, and a “science” of science policy Conclusions 18 / 22 The swinging pendulum: patent policy Outline ■ The Early Years ■ WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Strains on the social contract The swinging pendulum: patent policy Schitzophenia: Technology and Industrial Policy ■ ■ ■ Patent laws: balance tradeoffs between innovation, access Patent policy shelved during Bush–Kilgore debates Postwar era: A range of “stronger” patent laws implemented in 1980s, 1990s in response to productivity crisis Serious rethinking: patent reform the issue of the day ◆ Concern that overly broad patents, patents on science, and “low quality” patents, could be hindering innovation Conclusions 19 / 22 Schitzophenia: Technology and Industrial Policy Outline ■ The Early Years WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Strains on the social contract The swinging pendulum: patent policy Schitzophenia: Technology and Industrial Policy ■ ■ ■ ■ Aside from patents, little explicit civilian “technology policy” in U.S. Some exceptions, notable (moonshot, SEMATECH) and obscure (MEP) Resistance to “picking winners” Bush report in part reponsible: sins of commission and omission But perhaps a de facto technology policy Conclusions 20 / 22 Outline The Early Years WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions Concluding Thoughts Conclusions 21 / 22 Concluding Thoughts Outline ■ The Early Years WWII and the Bush Report Key themes in postwar S&T policy Conclusions Concluding Thoughts ■ ■ ■ In postwar era emphasis is on funding science: technology policy has not been prominent Little formal coordination across policies Currently, significant uncertainty about what aspects of the regime have have worked, and why Strongest lesson from U.S. may be that we shouldn’t try to draw strong lessons from the U.S. 22 / 22
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