SOVEREIGN FOUNDATION ELECTION OBSERVATION MISSION ON BEHALF OF THE EUROPEAN FOUNDATION FOR FREEDOM PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS BULGARIA 6TH AND 13TH OF NOVEMBER 2016 1 SUMMARY LIST OF THE ABBREVIATIONS…………………………………………p.3 INTRODUCTION.…………………………………………………………...p.4 I. BACKGROUND………………………………………….………………..p.4 Part 1 “The Presidential institution in Bulgaria”…………………………....p.4 Part 2 “Legal basis”…………………………………………………………...p.8 Part 3 “Electoral system”……………………………………………………..p.8 Part 4 “Eligibility”…………………………………………………………….p.9 Part 5 “Right to vote”…………………………………………………………p.9 Part 6 “Election administration”……………………………………………..p.11 Part 7 “Registration procedure”……………………………………………...p.13 Part 8 “Electoral observation”…………………………………………….….p.16 Part 9 “Electoral campaign”………………………………………………….p.17 Part 10 “Ballots and voting”………………………………………………….p.19 II. CONDUCT OF THE 2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS…………..p.21 Part 1 “Preliminary matters”…………………………………………………p.21 Part 2 “The candidates”………………………………………………………p.21 Part 3 “Electoral campaign”………………………………………………….p.28 Part 4 “Election Day”…………………………………………………………p.28 Part 5 “Counting of the votes and determining the results”………………...p.28 III. EVALUATION OF THE ELECTIONS………………………………..p.29 Part 1 “Electoral legislation”…………………………………………………p.29 Part 2 “Freeness of the elections”…………………………………………….p.29 Part 3 “Fairness of the elections”…………………………………………….p.29 Part 4 “Conclusions”………………………………………………………….p.30 IV. POLITICAL EVALUATION……………………………………………p.30 V. DE LEGE FERENDA RECOMMENDATIONS………………………...p.31 Part 1 “Constitutional recommendations”……………………………………p.31 Part 2 “Recommendations regarding the Electoral Code”…………………..p.33 2 LIST OF THE ABBREVIATIONS USED IN THE REPORT ABR – “Alternative for Bulgarian Renaissance” political party BBB – “Bulgarian Business Block” political party BNTV – Bulgarian National Television BSP – “Bulgarian Socialist Party” BwC – “Bulgaria without Censorship” political party/coalition CEC – Central Electoral Committee CEDB – “Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria” political party CPC – Competition Protection Commission IC – Initiative Committee IMRO – “Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organization” political party MEP – Member of European Parliament MP – Member of Parliament MRD – Ministry of Regional Development MRF – “Movement for Rights and Freedoms” political party NAO – National Audit Office NFSB – “National Front for Salvation of Bulgaria” political party NGO – Non-Government Organization PSEC – Polling Station Electoral Committee REC – Regional Electoral Committee SAC – Supreme Administrative Court UK – United Kingdom UP – “United Patriots” coalition USA – United States of America 3 INTRODUCTION The aim of the present report is: 1) to give general information on how the President and the Vice President of the Republic are elected in Bulgaria and what are their powers and functions; 2) to make analysis of the way the Presidential Elections held on 6th and 13th of November 2016 were conducted and of the elections’ accordance with the Venice Commission Code of Good Practices in Electoral Matters (hereinafter – “The Venice Commission Code”); 3) to give evaluation for the elections in two dimensions: whether the elections were free and whether the elections were fair; 4) to make political analysis of the results; 5) to make recommendations de lege ferenda. I. BACKGROUND Part 1 The presidential institution in Bulgaria The President is the Head-of-State and embodies the unity of the Bulgarian nation. The presidential institution is provided for in Chapter 4 of the Constitution – right after the Chapter about the National Assembly. Thus the Constitution follows the basic principle that Bulgaria is a Parliamentary Republic (placing the Parliament before the President in the constitutional order of the State). The Constitution envisages that the President is elected directly by the people under free and universal suffrage. The term of office is set at 5 years. A limitation exists that no one could be elected as President more than twice. However the exact wording of the constitutional text (“Art.95, par.1 The President and the Vice President could be reelected at the same position only once.”) leaves room for debate if a person that has served two terms and then skipped one or more terms could be elected again. Presidential elections have to take place between 3 and 2 months before the expiration of the mandate of the incumbent President, thus there’s a guarantee that no vacancy should occur at the presidential seat. The Constitution also provides for a Vice President, making Bulgaria the only Republic in EU to have such an institution. The Vice President is elected on the same ballot together with the President and under the same conditions. The Vice President assists the President in the discharge of the latter’s functions. Hereinafter in this report, when there are specific provisions about the Vice President, those will be explicitly mentioned. When there’s no mention it could be considered that the provisions for the President also apply to the Vice President. 4 The position of President is incompatible with any other state function. The President shall not engage in any public and private economic activity and could not participate in the management of political parties. However the President could be a member of a political party as long as he/she does not hold a position in the respective party’s organs. The Constitutional Court also has upheld that the President is a political figure and thus has the right of political belonging and of political views. Presidential powers The Constitution does not place the President in any of the 3 branches of Government. In that respect the Bulgarian Basic Law differs from other Constitutions, wherein the presidential institution is officially part of the executive. In the legal theory the presidential institution in Bulgaria is described as a fourth – “mediation” or “balancing” branch. Generally the President discharges his/hers functions under the principle of “bound competence”. In most of the cases the President could not act on his/her own, but has to receive a proposal, usually from the Council of Ministers. Article 98 of the Constitution contains a non-exclusive list of the presidential powers. The President: 1) fixes the dates of the Parliamentary and the Local elections and of the nationwide referendums; 2) addresses the People and the National Assembly; 3) signs international treaties when the law provides that his/hers signature is required; 4) promulgates the Acts of the Parliament into law; 5) affirms the boundaries of the administrative units, to which the country is divided; 6) appoints and dismisses the ambassadors and other high-ranking diplomats and receives the credentials and the letters of recall of the foreign diplomatic representatives; 7) appoints and dismisses state officials in those cases prescribed by the law; 8) bestows state decorations and medals; 9) gives and reinstates Bulgarian citizenship, releases citizens of their Bulgarian citizenship and revokes the citizenship; 10) gives asylum; 11) dispenses pardon; 12) remits uncollectable state dues; 13) names the landmarks with national importance and the inhabited places; 14) informs the National Assembly on the general matters under his/hers competences. Many other Articles of the Constitution grant additional powers to the President. They will be described in short in the following paragraphs. The President oversees the procedure under which the Government is formed. In the latter procedure the President consults the parliamentary groups and then gives a mandate to a candidate for Prime Minister nominated by the largest parliamentary group. The candidate has to return to the President a proposal for structure of the Council of Ministers and a list with the names of the Minsters. If the first candidate fails to do so, the President shall give the mandate to a candidate nominated by the second largest parliamentary group. If the second candidate also fails to propose a Cabinet, the President gives the mandate to a third parliamentary group on his/hers choosing. In an occasion of a third failure, the President is obliged to dissolve the Parliament, to appoint care-take Cabinet and to call early elections. The President however cannot dissolve Parliament in the last 3 months of his/hers term of office. In the latter case the President only appoints a care-take Cabinet. When a candidate for a Prime Minister succeeds to propose structure and Ministers, the President refers the 5 proposal to the National Assembly asking the latter to elect the Cabinet. It’s worth noting that the President does not appoint the Government and, once a Government is elected, the President does not have any powers or functions when changes occur in the Cabinet. Therefore the President is decisively distanced away from the executive branch. The President is the commander-in-chief of the armed forces. As such the President appoints and dismisses the High Command of the armed forces and promotes the officers to the different Supreme ranks (“General” ranks for the Land Forces and the Air Force and “Admiral” ranks for the Navy). The President does so on a proposal by the Government. The President presides over the sessions of the Consultative Council on National Security. The President declares full or partial mobilization. Finally the President could declare state of war, martial law or state of emergency when the Parliament is not in session. In the latter cases the Parliament shall be convened as soon as possible to uphold or to repeal the actions of the President. The President has the right to veto an Act of the Parliament by sending the Act back to the Parliament for reconsideration. The Parliament can overcome the veto by a qualified majority of more than half of all MPs. Then the President is obliged to promulgate the Act into law. Other powers of the President worth noticing are: convenes the inaugural session of the newly elected Parliament; has the right to consult the Constitutional Court; appoints and dismisses the Presidents of the Supreme Administrative Court and the Supreme Court of Cassation and the Prosecutor General – on proposal by the High Judicial Council; appoints 1/3 of the Justices in the Constitutional Court; can propose a bill to amend the Constitution and can propose the convocation of a Grand National Assembly (both subject to approval by the Parliament). Many other powers are granted to the President via Acts of the Parliament. Those are usually related or similar to the Constitutional powers of the President, e.g. under the provisions of the Electoral Code the President sets the date of the European elections. In conclusion – it’s obvious that in the Bulgarian system of government the President has many powers. In that regard the Bulgarian presidential institution goes well beyond the usual ceremonial function of the presidential office characteristic for the parliamentary republics. Powers of the Vice President Article 104 of the Constitution stipulates that the President can delegate to the Vice President the execution of the presidential powers in regard of the lesser administrative appointments, the citizenship matters, the asylum matters and the presidential pardon (Art.98, points 7, 9, 10 and 11 of the Constitution). It is considered that the powers that could be delegated by the President to the Vice President are exclusively listed in the Constitution and the President could not delegate any other of his/hers many powers (including those created by an Act of the Parliament) to the Vice President. Acts of the President 6 The President exercises his/hers powers by issuing decrees. Most of the decrees need a counter-signature by a Minister to have legal force. This is another interesting constitutional provision relating to the exclusion of the President from the executive. The decrees that are excluded form counter-signature are those, with which the President: appoints a care-take Cabinet; gives the mandate for the formation of Government; dissolves the Parliament; imposes veto on an Act of the Parliament; adopts the regulatory and operational framework of the Presidential Office; sets the dates of elections and referendums; promulgates the Acts of the Parliament. In those matters the presidential discretion is absolute and protected against interference from the executive. The presidential decrees could be challenged in front of the Constitutional Court for their conformity with the Constitution. Presidential immunity, impeachment and removal from office The President has an almost absolute immunity over his/hers actions done in official capacity. The President is only liable for high treason and for breach of the Constitution. The liability takes form of an impeachment procedure. The Parliament can impeach the President on charges brought forward by at least 1/4 of the MPs and the decision is passed with the votes of more than 2/3 of the MPs. The constitutional wording “more than two thirds” is interesting, as usually the qualified majority requires the attainment of the fraction and not more than that fraction. If the Parliament impeaches the President, the charges are sent to the Constitutional Court, to which the final decision to remove the President from office belongs. Furthermore the President, while in office, virtually cannot be persecuted for any crime, even when it’s perpetrated while the President was acting not in his/hers official capacity. The charges could be brought against the President only after his/hers mandate expires or the President is removed from office. Early termination of the mandate, vacancies and line of succession The mandate of the President is terminated early when: the President resigns; the President is permanently incapacitated to discharge his/hers duties due to a severe illness (the permanent incapacitation is subject of determination by the Constitutional Court); the Constitutional Court upholds the impeachment charges, which leads to removal from office; the President dies. The same applies to the Vice President. If the President’s mandate is terminated early, the Vice President shall fill the vacancy until the end of the term. Early termination of the Vice President’s mandate leaves the vice-presidential office vacant for the remainder of the term and the Constitution does not provide a procedure to fill-in the vacancy. The latter happened once since the adoption of the Constitution in 1991 – on 6th of June 1993 Vice President Blaga Dimitrova resigned and the office was vacant until 22nd of January 1997. If both the offices of the President and the Vice President fall vacant, the Chairperson of the National Assembly becomes President Pro Tempore. In such occasion fresh Presidential elections shall take place within two months. 7 Part 2 Legal basis The elections in Bulgaria are organized under the provisions of the Electoral Code. As in Bulgaria all laws have the same legal power (there is no separation between “ordinary law” and “law of a higher statute”, except the acts to amend the Constitution), the Electoral Code follow the rules for adoption and amendment of all other laws, issued by an act of the Parliament. The first Electoral Code was adopted in 2011. Before that the rules for every type of election (presidential, parliamentarian, local and European) were written in separate laws. In 2014 a new Electoral Code was adopted, repealing the old one. (NB! Hereinafter “Electoral Code” refers to the Electoral Code of 2014 if not specified otherwise!) Since its entry into force, on 5th of March 2014, the Electoral Code saw a total of 7 amendments in a span of about two and a half years. The latest three amendments, that have an effect on the 2016 Presidential elections, entered into force on 25th of May 2016 (less than 6 months before the election), on 22nd of July 2016 (less than 4 months before the election) and on 28th of October 2016 (just 9 days before the election!) respectively. Their aims and effects are described in detail below, as well as their conformity with the Venice Commission Code. Art. 93 of the Constitution is also a primary source of electoral legislation in regard to the Presidential elections, as it sets the rules for the eligibility and the electoral system. Part 3 Electoral system The system envisaged by Art. 93, par. 3 and 4 of the Constitution is direct election by the people with a possible run-off. A candidate is elected on the first round if: 1) he/she has received more than a half of the valid votes cast; 2) the turn-out (both valid and invalid votes cast, taken together) is more than a half of all the citizens with a right to vote. If neither one of those two conditions is satisfied, a run-off shall take place within 7 days from the first round. The run-off is contested between the two candidates that have attained the most votes on the first round. The Electoral Code expands a little bit on that constitutional construction, in order to accommodate some other possible scenarios, like when a candidate decides to withdraw or dies between the two rounds. Those provisions of the Electoral Code have not been checked by the Constitutional Court for their conformity with the Constitution. However unlikely the additional scenarios in the Electoral Code are, it is our opinion that they pose a thread, if some of them actually occur in the future, an election to be challenged as unconstitutional. On the second round the winner is the candidate who receives more votes than his/hers opponent. The turn-out requirement is lifted for the run-off. Since the first Presidential elections in 1991 there never was a first-round winner. Only once, in 2005 election, the incumbent President Georgi Parvanov, on his reelection bid, was able to 8 carry more than half of the valid votes cast on the first round. The turn-out however was 42,51%, precipitating a run-off with the runner-up Volen Siderov. Parvanov easily won the second round with a landslide, receiving more than 1 million votes more than his opponent. Part 4 Eligibility Art.93, par.2 of the Constitution stipulates that the President (respectively – the Vice President) shall: 1) be a Bulgarian citizen by the virtue of birth (naturalized citizens are therefore excluded); 2) not have any other citizenship; 3) have attained the age of 40 years; 4) enjoy full political rights (is not under legal incapacitation and is not serving a term of imprisonment); 5) have resided in Bulgaria for the last 5 years prior to the elections. In 2001 the Constitutional Court provided an interpretation of the Constitution in regard of the 5years-residence requirement. The Court ruled that, in order the requirement to be satisfied, the candidate has to have physically resided within the borders of the country more than a half of the span of each of the 5 astronomical years prior to the Election Day. The candidate is considered to have resided in Bulgaria if he/she was abroad on official state business (e.g. as ambassador). Part 5 Right to vote All Bulgarian citizens that have attained the age 18 have the right to vote on the Presidential elections. The citizens that are put (via a court decision) under legal incapacitation, or are serving effectively a prison sentence, are considered deprived of political rights and are disenfranchised. The obligatory vote issue With the 25th of May 2016 amendment of the Electoral Code, for the first time after the fall of the Communist regime, obligatory voting was introduced. However the reform sparkled a heated debate in Parliament. The main topic of that debate was what would be the sanction for those voters that neglect their voting obligations. It was also brought forward (as it’s dully noted in the Venice Commission Code) that the abstention could be powerful political statement, so if the citizens are obliged to vote, then they should be given the possibility of active abstention. On the topic of sanctions, the final solution was those citizens that do not take part in the election to be removed from the electoral registers, but only after any voter did not vote on two consecutive elections of the same kind and only from the register for that kind of election. In practice that is – a voter that do not vote on 2016 Presidential election and on the next Presidential elections (most probably in 2021) will be removed from the Presidential elections register for the 2026 elections. To avoid a contradiction with art.42 of the Constitution, which grants a voting right to all citizens, a voter that has been removed from the register could 9 apply to be reintroduced in it. So at the end the sanction for not voting was delayed – to probably take effect in the future and can be easily overcome. NB! Before this report was finished the Constitutional Court repealed the sanctions for non-voting by deeming them unconstitutional. The Court was consulted by the Ombudsman and only about the conformity of the sanctions for non-voting with the Constitution. As the Court could not go beyond the scope of the issues it is consulted with, it did not ruled on the constitutionality of the obligatory vote itself. Thus the obligatory voting remains, however the failure to preform that obligation is now virtually without any consequence. The abstention vote issue On the abstention issue, the Parliament decided that an option “I do not support any of the candidates” to be added in the ballot. However an addition was also made in the Methodic for determining the election’s result, envisaging that although abstention votes shall be counted as valid votes, they will not be taken into account when determining if a candidate has won more than half of the vote to become a first-round winner. At the time of its adoption the latter change went absolutely unnoticed by the public. With the Election Day approaching however the new Methodic got noticed and brought up a wide public disgruntle. The first argument against it was that it is directly unconstitutional, as art.93, par.3 of the Constitution requires that in order to be a first-round winner, a candidate should have received “more than a half of the valid votes cast”. And since the abstention votes are deemed valid, they should not be excluded in the determination of the result. More practical concern of the society was that in such a way the main governing party “Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria” (CEDB) was trying to secure a loophole so its candidate, while failing to carry more than half of the valid vote, could still become a first-round winner. As the issue grew and caused more and more public resentment, CEDB was forced to table and pass through the Parliament an amendment to the Electoral Code, which entered into force a mere 9 days before the Election Day. However the created impression of foul play by CEDB did not go away and possibly precipitated the final defeat of CEDB’s candidate. The polling stations abroad issue The Bulgarian democratic electoral legislation always allowed for polling stations in foreign countries to be formed, so Bulgarians living abroad could vote, provided that certain conditions are met. The availability of polling stations abroad is in direct connection with the right to vote as those stations provide the possibility for the citizens, living abroad to exercise their right. The condition for a polling station to be opened in a foreign country is a certain number of citizens (that number varied through time; however it was never greater than 100) to apply in advance in front of the respective Bulgarian diplomatic mission. For every 500/1.000 (that number also varied in the past) applications, a new polling station is required to be formed. Once a polling station is formed, any citizen could vote in it without prior notification. Those citizens are required to sign a written affidavit that they will not vote anywhere else and that they are aware that voting more than once constitutes a criminal offence. 10 The polling stations in Turkey are a standing issue in the past 15 years or so. The latter always see an enormous turn out and the vote is always overwhelmingly in favor of the Movement for Rights and Freedoms – a party that draws its membership and support mostly from the Bulgarian Turks. In the southern regions of Bulgaria a high amount of migration from Turkey is observed in election days, leading to suspicions of double voting. The latter is – those citizens that live in Turkey vote once there and then come to Bulgaria, where they vote again. Suspicions (supported by eye-witness accounts and some journalistic investigations) that the citizens in Turkey vote under the orders (controlled voting) of the local community leaders also persist. In addition, as most parties could not supply the PSECs abroad with their own representatives those PSECs are filled in by staff members from the Foreign Ministry, and particularly in Turkey – overwhelmingly by representatives of the Movement from Rights and Freedoms as the latter do not seem to have any problem to supply such representatives. With an unprecedented decision, in 2010 the Constitutional Court proclaimed the vote in 23 polling section in Turkey for the 2009 Parliamentary elections to be unlawful, invalidating 18.140 votes for the Movement for Rights and Freedoms and 218 votes for all the other parties and coalitions in the elections combined. Although the Court found irregularities in virtually all polling stations in Turkey (e.g. unlawfully formed polling stations, polling stations, in which more people voted than physically possible, etc.), it decided to invalidate the vote only in those, where all the votes can actually be linked to their respective electoral subjects without a violation of the secrecy of the vote. To address the above-described issues, an amendment to the Electoral Code (in force form 25th of May 2016) provided that no more than 35 polling stations could be formed in any foreign country. That outraged the large Bulgarian communities, mainly in UK, in USA and in Germany and they started to protest. So a new amendment (in force from 22nd of July 2016) limited the restriction only to the foreign countries outside EU. That approach however was no fix at all as: it does not solve the problem with the community in USA; as it was adopted after the BrExit referendum, the community in UK will also be put under the restriction as soon as Brittan leaves the EU and most importantly – the question, is it at all constitutional as it treats the citizens residing in and out of EU differently. Part 6 Election administration Electoral committees The elections are administered mainly by the electoral committees. There are three tiers of committees: 1) The Central Electoral Committee (CEC) – it organizes the electoral process in general and oversees the activities of the lower-tier committees. 2) Regional electoral committees (REC) – on local level the elections are administered by REC. The constituencies from the latest parliamentary elections, held prior to the Presidential elections, are used. In general each one of Bulgaria’s 27 administrative regions (oblasti) forms 11 one constituency, with two exceptions for the two largest cities – there are 3 constituencies formed within the Capital Municipality of Sofia, and 2 constituencies in Polvdiv Oblast – one for the Plovdiv City Municipality and one for the rest of the Oblast. The latter five bring the total number of RECs to 31. 3) Polling station electoral committees (PSEC) – one for each polling station. PSECs prepare the polling stations for the vote; they mange the actual voting process on election day; after the voting is over they count the votes, fill protocols with the results from the polling stations and hand over all the electoral documents to their respective RECs. The electoral committees are collective organs and exercise their powers by adopting resolutions. A qualified majority of 2/3 of the members present is required for a resolution to be passed. The central government has an auxiliary role in the organization of the elections. Support is provided mostly by the Ministry of Interior and the Ministry of Regional Development (MRD) through their concerned agencies. One example is the Civil Registration and Administrative Services Agency of the MRD that provide information for the preparation of the electoral registers. Central Electoral Committee It is a permanent authority. Its President, Vice Presidents and Secretary (Bureau Members) are elected by the National Assembly and the remaining ordinary Members are appointed by the President of the Republic. All Members serve for 5 years term. They are representatives proposed by the parties that have Groups in Parliament or have MEPs. All Members (including the Bureau) have to have a higher education with a Master degree and at least 7 years of professional experience. With the Electoral Code of 2014 the judicial review over CEC was extended to include all its acts. The resolutions of CEC can be challenged in front of the Supreme Administrative Court (SAC). The legal proceeding is fast and streamlined with SAC usually delivering final decision within 3 to 5 days form the tabling of the challenge. Regional Electoral Committees RECs are appointed by the CEC 50 days before the Presidential elections and serve until a fortnight after the Election Day. As CEC, RECs also are formed by representatives of the Parliamentary parties and those parties represented in the European Parliament. A higher education without prejudice towards the degree is a prerequisite. As of 25th of May 2016 a new requirement for clear criminal record (only for intentional crimes committed; crimes due to negligence are excluded) was added in the Electoral Code in respect to the members of RECs, thus equalizing the RECs with the CEC in that regard. During Presidential elections the RECs have only minor role. The only really important function they have is to monitor if the rules about the electoral campaign are observed in the 12 respective territory each REC is functioning. RECs’ resolutions could be appealed in front of CEC. The CEC decision on the appeal then could be brought in front of SAC. Polling station electoral committees PSEC’s are appointed by the RECs. It’s PSEC’s responsibility to receive the ballots, the registers and the other materials, required for the conduct of the vote and to prepare the polling station itself. That usually happens the day before the Election Day. On the Election Day PSECs manage the actual process of the voting and after the end of the Election Day PSECs count the votes and then they transmit the electoral documents to the RECs. Although PSECs also adopt resolutions, as this usually happens on Election Day and under some organizational pressure, the decisions are practically informal. Yet the respective REC, and sometimes even CEC, intervene to correct transgressions committed by a certain PSEC. As PSECs have to do all their very important and sometimes quite eventful work in the span of a single day, a high competence of their Members is a basic prerequisite for a lawful and fair electoral process. Part 7 Registration procedure Three types of electoral subjects could register for the Presidential elections: 1) political parties; 2) coalitions formed by political parties and 3) initiative committees (IC) of the citizens. The requirements are almost uniform for all three types with some differences towards the ICs described below. Parties and coalitions Parties have to table a request for registration to the CEC. To the request form the parties have to attach: 1) a certificate from the National Audit Office (NAO) as proof that the party has tabled in due time its yearly financial reports for the previous 3 years, as required by the Political Parties Act; 2) a list of 2.500 signatories (citizens with voting rights) that support the registration of the party; 3) a bank document, certifying that the party has paid a deposit of 2.500 levs (about EUR 1.278) to a special account, opened by CEC. Two or more parties could form a coalition. Each party in the coalition has to present a certificate that it has tabled in due time its financial reports with the NAO. However the deposit and signatures requirements are the same no matter how many parties take part in the coalition – they are still 2.500 signatures and 2.500 levs deposit for the entire coalition. Both the parties running individually and the coalitions must table for registration at latest 35 days prior to the Election Day, providing all necessary documents with the registration form. Initiative committees and Independent candidates Besides the parties and the coalitions, candidatures could be put forward also by initiative committees. An IC is created by not less than 21 citizens with voting rights that actually 13 reside in the country. The foundation of an IC is informal; however every IC has to table a request for registration to the CEC. As informal organizations, created only for the purpose to register candidates for the upcoming election, the ICs are not required to provide a certificate from the NAO. An IC has to table the registration form, signed by all of its members, 40 days prior to the Election Day, together with a document that the monetary deposit is dully paid. The deposit for ICs is set at a significantly lower level – at 100 levs (about EUR 51). The ICs also have 5 more days to table the list of signatories (the same as required for the parties and the coalitions – 2.500 signatures). The candidates that are put forward by ICs are labeled as “Independent”. The Electoral Code stipulates that those state officials, who are proclaimed by the law as depoliticized (e.g. judges, prosecutors, policemen, etc.) could run only as independents. Lists of signatories – issues The electoral subjects are obliged to collect the signatures necessary for the registration on a special form, issued by the CEC. The form is issued by the CEC also electronically and each electoral subject can download it from CEC’s official web-site and then just fill in its name and print-out the copies it needs. During the term of the standing CEC the latter acted in good faith, trying to release the form as early before the election as possible. However late amendments of the Electoral Code forced CEC to reissue the forms. Although CEC did so in good time, the occasion shows that the signatures requirement could be abused to block minor parties from taking part in the election. Also one of the requisites is the form to contain the actual date, on which the election will take place. The election date has to be determined (for the Presidential elections – via a decision of the Parliament) not later than 60 days prior the set Election Day. Thus there is, at most, a 25 days period in which the electoral subjects could in practice collect signatures. In general the collection could begin earlier (as early as CEC publishes the form) however the lack of clear rules on the validity of the form (e.g. could the election date be written in the form by hand or has to be printed on it) prevents such efforts. It is our opinion that the interval for collecting signatures is too short and thus it is preventive towards the lesser electoral subjects (e.g. newly established parties, newly formed coalitions and all the ICs in general) to take part in the elections. Another severe controversy is the requirement set by the Electoral Code that one citizen could sign in support of only one electoral subject. In the occasions when one citizen signed in support of more than one subject, his/her signature is processed on “first come – first serve basis”, which is – whichever is the subject that applied first for the registration, it has the signature counted as valid, while all those electoral subject that follow, they get those signatures invalidated. This creates an enormous uncertainty, especially for the smaller subjects (the latter usually collect signatures up until the very last day, while the larger parties and coalitions are usually ready to apply on the first day the registration is opened by CEC) on how many signatures they have to collect. The smaller subjects do not have any means to know if those voters, that are signing for them have not already signed for someone else. Thus the minor subjects, in practice, have to collect at least twice the required number of signatures just to be sure no repetitions will occur that might disqualify them. Meanwhile it is an easily 14 observed attitude of the citizens to sign for more than one subject, because they fear that if they sign only for one, this actually will wave the secrecy of their vote, or they refuse to sign at all. We find that the requirement a signature to be proclaimed invalid, if the same citizen already has signed for another subject, to be in direct breach of the Equal Opportunity principle. It also goes against the Political Pluralism principle, as each citizen may like to see more subjects (thus – more candidates) standing for election so he/she could have more options to choose from (which is – greater Freedom to express his/her wishes). As the collection of signatures takes place before the start of the electoral campaign, it is plausible to consider that at that point any voter could have several favorites but still has not decided whom to vote for. CEC sends all the lists of signatories tabled by the electoral subjects to be checked for the validity of the signatures to the Civil Registration and Administrative Services Agency. We find the verification process to be utterly non-transparent! Although the verification Agency issues a report on how many signatures are valid and how many are not (due to the signatory lacking political rights, being a minor or being deceased; because the signatory has already signed for another subject that applied for registration earlier; or because the signatory could not be identified in the data base), the verification Agency does not provide information why exactly it considers each concrete signature valid or invalid. This makes the determination of the Agency on the validity of the signatory list impossible to be challenged in front of a court. Furthermore the larger subjects usually collect and table much more than the 2.500 signatures needed for registration (they do so mainly driven by PR purposes). The rule, established by CEC, is that whenever 2.500 valid signatures are confirmed, the check should stop, however it is not clear if the remaining signatures are not put in the data base, so if there is a repetition in another subject’s list, the repeated signature then to be declared invalid. In general our conclusion is that the collection of signatures requirement creates more problems than it solves. It remains highly controversial, prone to fraudulent behavior, both by the electoral subject and by the administration and a liability to be used as a political tool to block the path for opponents to register. Monetary deposit refund The required monetary deposit of 2.500 levs is refunded to the electoral subjects that has received at least 1% of the valid votes cast. In 2011 the Parliament passed an amendment to raise that threshold to 2%. That amendment however was challenged in front of the Constitutional Court and the Court declared it unconstitutional. The Court reasoned that the higher threshold is non-proportional and excessive. The electoral subjects that fail to gain 1% of the vote or whose registrations are denied due to failure to comply with some of the other registration requirements forfeit their deposits. The forfeited sums are then automatically donated to the State Fund for Children with Special Health Treatment Needs. 15 Part 8 Electoral observation Partisan observation All parties, coalitions and ICs, registered for the election have the right to register “intercessors”. The rights of the intercessors are the same as those of the non-partisan observers. Non-partisan observation – background Internal official non-partisan observation was non-existent prior to the Electoral Code of 2014 (international observers were allowed ad hoc). The latter created a right for the “registered Bulgarian non-government organizations” to register as observer-organizations and to register observers. There’s no legal definition in the Bulgarian legislation what is a nongovernment organization, but it could be assumed (and generally – was assumed by the CEC) that the registered non-profit legal entities fit the definition. I order to be able to identify the one major issue with the non-partisan observation that occurred for the 2016 Presidential elections, a short explanation on Bulgarian non-profits have to be provided. The Non-profit Legal Persons Act sets the framework of the non-profits in Bulgaria. There are two types of non-profits – associations and foundations. Both types could determine their activity to be either in public interest or in private interest. Those non-profits, operating in public interest are subject to additional requirements on their set-up, activities and transparency. The major difference between the two types of non-profits is that the associations are composed by members (natural persons or legal entities) while the foundations do not have a membership compositions. The foundations have only organs, set in their respective bylaw. While the articles of the Non-profit Legal Entities Act about associations are quite extensive, the rules on foundations are very few, often referring quite arbitrary to those about the associations. Non-partisan observation – restriction issue With the amendment of the Electoral Code of 25th of May 2016 a restriction was placed on which non-government organizations (NGOs) could register as observers. The new rules required the NGOs to be “only associations operating in public interest by their legal form and having the protection of the political rights of the citizens among their aims”. That particular amendment was proposed between first and second reading of the Act amending the Electoral Code (which is – it was not part of the original bill). No written justification was provided for this proposal and it was voted by the Parliament without any debate. While we consider the reasons why an observer organization should operate in public interest (excluding those operating in private interest) to be a self-evident one, it is our opinion that: 1) for the sake of transparency any amendment of the electoral legislation has to be properly justified, either in written, or verbally – by its proponents during the debate in the Parliament; 2) the requirement the observer organization to have the protection of the political rights of 16 the citizens explicitly listed among its aims is non-proportional as the legality of an election is a legitimate point of interest for any NGO that operates in public interest; 3) the full exclusions of the foundations from gaining official observer status is an undemocratic restriction on the right of the citizens’ organizations to play a controlling role over the electoral process. The above-described measure decimated the internal observation of the elections by the Bulgarian civil society. A check in the public registers of CEC shows that the number of the registered observer organizations dropped from 26 for the 2015 General Local Elections to just 8 for the 2016 Presidential Elections – more than 4-fold decrease. It is our opinion that the restriction is in direct contradiction to paragraph 87 of the Explanatory Report of the Venice Commission Code, particularly to its in fine part, stating “it is best to make the observation procedure as broad as possible”. We could not conclude otherwise but that the restriction is directly aimed at lowering the level of election observation by the Bulgarian civil society. Part 9 Electoral campaign Timespan of the campaign The official campaign starts 30 days and ends two days before the Election Day. Only in the span of the official campaign the participants have the right to popularize their cause and to put their respective numbers in the ballot on their campaign materials. The last day before the Election Day is called “consideration day” and any kind of propaganda on it is strictly forbidden. It is intended so the voters could be given the opportunity to consider their choice without outside interference. Campaign financing The Electoral Code set the rules on funding sources and on how much money each party, coalition or IC could spend for the campaign. Parties and coalitions could use their funds, accumulated in previous periods. Other sources allowed are candidates’ personal funds and donations. The ICs could also use personal funds of the members of the IC. Donations from legal entities are forbidden as well as anonymous donations. One natural person could donate a maximum of 10.000 levs (about EUR 5.113). The latter rule is in line with the general limitation on party funding through donations as one natural person could contribute for a certain party’s other activities the same amount per year. However there is no coherence between the electoral legislation and the legislation on political parties so there is no clarity if one person could make a general donation to a party of 10.000 levs and then contribute another 10.000 levs specifically for the campaign. It is also unclear if candidates’ contributions shall be treated as donations (thus being subjected to the 10.000 levs limitation) or they could be up to the maximum set for the campaign (see next paragraph). The latter also apply to the funds contributed to the ICs by their members. Thus the ban on funding by legal entities and the 10.000 levs limitation could easily be 17 circumvented by donations first given to a candidate or a member of the IC and then the candidate (the member of the IC respectively) to contribute the sum as personal funds. The Electoral Code sets a maximum that each subject could spend on campaign. For the Presidential elections that maximum is the same for all subjects, thus each party, coalition or IC could spend no more than 2 million levs (about EUR 1.022 million). State subsidy In Bulgaria all parties that have received at least 1% of the votes on the last parliamentary elections receive a state subsidy. The state subsidy is 11 levs (EUR 5.62) for each vote the party has received. With an usual turn-out of about 3 million people voting, the minimum state subsidy is about EUR 160.000 per year. In order to equate the opportunities, all those parties that do not qualify for state subsidy are entitled to an electoral subsidy of 40.000 levs (about EUR 20.450). Here we should mention that the price for the coverage by the public state-owned Bulgarian National Television (BNTV) and Bulgarian National Radio are determined with an act of the Council of Ministers. For the Presidential elections 2016 the price for broadcasting 30 seconds clip in the prime-time of BNTV was set at 2.670 levs (about EUR 1.360, VAT included) on workdays and the staggering 3.360 levs (about EUR 1.720, VAT included) on the weekends. Usually in the private media the price is even higher. It is difficult to determine how exactly more the private media charge for campaign advertisement as we have not been able to find the information published (although all media are obliged to publish the terms and conditions on their respective websites). From unofficial sources we gather the difference to be twofold to fourfold as compared to the prices set for the BNTV. The electoral subsidy is granted indirectly, which is – the subject entitled to a subsidy cannot receive the latter in cash. The rules on how the electoral subsidy is granted are set by the CEC. The TV media in the electoral campaign Special attention should be paid at the regulations on the TV media in regard of their role in the electoral campaign. The Electoral Code contains obligations on that only in regard of the public TV station – the Bulgarian National Television. There are no detailed regulations on private media activities for the campaign outside their obligation to provide their services at equal prices for all electoral subjects. Both BNTV and the private TV media are not obliged to provide any free air time for all candidates. The airing of electoral material on BNTV has to be paid and the prices are set via a Decree of the Government. Up to the Electoral Code of 2014 the obligations of BNTV were described in the law; however with the Electoral Code of 2014 that description was conferred to CEC to do. Now the Code only provides that CEC should take into account the equality of the candidates, but also their importance. In practical terms that means that BNTV could set different debates for the mainstream candidates and for those outside of the mainstream. Meanwhile the private TV media function on on-invitation basis, meaning that they solely decide which of the candidates to invite or not to invite. 18 We find that the existent conditions for participation of the different candidates in TV media coverage are in breach of the Equal Opportunity Principle. While in BNTV the Proportional Equality part of the Principle is somewhat met, all the candidates have to pay a fee to participate even in the BNTV and the price, set by the Government, is too high for some candidates to participate. In the private TV media the Equal Opportunity Principle is not met even on Proportional Equality basis and it is utterly impossible for some candidates to gain any coverage at all in the private TV media. The lack of legal requirements, both for BNTV and the private TV media to give some free air time to all candidates, is in direct breach of p.20 of the Explanatory Report of the Venice Commission Code. Part 10 Ballots and voting An integral white ballot paper is in use for all elections in the past 12 years. The candidates are arranged in the ballot in accordance with a draw, preformed publicly by CEC. The names of the candidates are printed in the respective presidential/vice-presidential pairs with the same type of font and equal font size, notifying which candidate runs for President and which one – for Vice President. The pairs are separated in equal distances by thick black lines. For each pair there’s a check-box of equal size for the voters to mark. All the above applies for the “I do not support any of the candidates” option, while the latter is printed at the bottom of the ballot after all the pairs. The ballots are printed in batches of 100 and each ballot has a number printed on the top and at the lower right corner. At the back-side of the ballot there is a thick black line printed, covering the check-boxes in order to prevent any see-through. There are also two rectangular fields at the back-side. The citizens cast their votes by marking the respective check-box. The marking should be done only by blue-ink pen and only using the symbols “X” or “V”. The latter is a precaution against a possible disclosure of the secrecy of the vote by marking the ballot with a specific sign that could reveal who has voted how. A ballot marked in any other way is deemed invalid. The entire voting procedure goes as follows: 1) a member of the PSEC tears away a ballot from the batch so the number, printed on the top shall remain with the batch; the tearing of the ballot shall not occur if there is no voter, to which the ballot to be given; 2) the member of the PSEC puts the stamp of the PSEC in one of the fields at the back of the ballot and hands the ballot over to the voter; 3) the voters goes into the “dark room” (usually a small space in the polling section, set apart by canvas) marks his/her vote and folds the ballot so the marking cannot be seen, but the rectangular fields at the back-side and the lower-right corner to remain accessible; 4) the voter hands back the ballot to the member of the PSEC; 5) the member of the PESC tears away the lower-right corner and verifies by the number printed on it that the ballot paper came from the same batch by comparing it with the number that has remained on the batch; 6) the member of the PSEC puts away the tear corner in a special small box, stamps 19 the ballot again in the second rectangular field, then hands over the ballot again to the voter; 7) the voter goes to the ballot box and after receiving permission by another member of the PSEC, puts the ballot in the box. The procedure described above is aimed at preventing the so called (Bulgarian jargon) “indian-line-voting”. The latter is a felony practice in which a member of the PSEC somehow takes a blank ballot out of the polling section and gives it to the person that is organizing a controlled voting. That person fills in the ballot and gives it to a voter to hide it in his/hers clothes. The voter goes in the polling station, takes a new ballot and while in the dark room, switches the two ballots, casting the pre-filled one and taking the new blank ballot back to the organizer of the controlled voting. Then the voter is paid although the actual payment could be in-kind or a promise to the voter that he/she will receive some kind of benefit, e.g. more firewood from the municipality social services. After that the process repeats. Although created by good intentions, it is our opinion that the voting procedure is extremely over-complicated and is unreasonably demanding – both for the members of the PSECs and for the voters. It is in direct contradiction to both points 34 and 35 of the Explanatory Report of the Venice Commission Code! It is also contradictory to point 32 of the same Report as it creates additional variables for PSECs to check. Election Day The Election Day starts at 7 a.m. and ends at 20 p.m. If at 20 p.m. there are still voters queuing in front of the polling station to vote, the President of the PSECs should collect the ID cards of the voters on the queue and to call them one by one to vote. No voting should take place after 21 p.m. Counting of the votes and the transfer of the electoral papers form PSECs to the RECs The counting of the votes takes place in the PSECs’ premises after the Election Day is over. Besides the members of the PSEC, partisan intercessors, non-partisan observers, candidates and representatives of the media have the right to be present during the count. Once the counting has started no one is allowed to enter or to exit the premises of the respective PSEC. After the count the PSEC has to fill in a protocol with the results. There are more than 20 requisites to be filled in discounting the actual number of votes for each candidate pair and 7 confirmation check-sums. After the protocol is prepared and signed by all members of the PSEC, all those present outside of the PSEC’s members (e.g. the electoral observers) have the right to receive a copy of the protocol. Another copy of the protocol has to be put by the PSEC on the outside of the PSEC’s premises. The President, the Secretary and one of the members of the PSEC then have to go to the respective REC to hand over the protocol, the ballots and the other electoral papers. The REC’s composing members are usually divided in pairs, each pair being responsible to receive the electoral papers form one PSEC at a time. It is not unusual when the protocols of the PSECs are presented at the RECs errors to be discovered in the protocols by the REC’s members receiving the protocol. While the Electoral Code stipulates that in such occasion a recount should be conducted by the 20 REC in the presence of the PSEC’s members and after the hand over by all other PSECs is done, the REC pair receiving the papers usually prefers to make on-the-spot corrections. Those corrections are often arbitrary – just to make the check-sums come true, without any verification of the papers! That practice however delays the hand over process, which in turn leaves those PSECs’ members that are awaiting their turn without any serious supervision (and in a state of growing annoyance) for a long periods of time, handling the bags with the ballots and the other papers, as usually all of the REC’s members are occupied in the process of receiving the documents and making corrections in the incorrectly filled protocols. The bags that contain the ballots and the other papers are not sealed in any meaningful manner! II. THE CONDUCT OF THE 2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS Part 1 Preliminary matters The 2016 Presidential elections were called by the National Assembly under the conditions and in the timeframe, envisaged by the Constitution and in the law. 12 parties, 5 coalitions and 15 Initiative Committees applied for registration. Out of those, 11 parties, 5 coalitions and 11 ICs were registered. The applications of 1 party and 4 ICs were rejected. 2 ICs appealed there rejection, however the respective decisions of CEC were both confirmed by the Supreme Administrative Court as lawful. At the end 7 parties, 4 coalitions and 10 ICs presented candidates for President and Vice President, thus the final figure of candidate lists was set at 21. Part 2 The candidates The candidates shall be presented in their order in the ballot, determined by a draw of lots conducted by CEC as envisaged in the law. The first name is of the candidate for President and the second – of the candidate for Vice President. 1. Veselin Mareshki and Petar Petrov – independents Mr. Mareshki is a Bulgarian business man from the city of Varna. His main business is in pharmacy, owning also a drug stores chain promptly named “Mareshki Drug Stores”. He rose to prominence after imposing a dumping policy in his drug stores, selling medicaments at considerably lower prices than other drug stores. That gave Mr. Mareshki popularity especially among the elderly. In 2007 Mareshki was elected municipal councilor in Varna Municipality and was reelected on 2011 local elections. In 2015 Mareshki gained a nationwide fame after repeating his successful dumping tactics but this time in the liquid fuel market. His petrol station in Varna saw drivers lining-up for hours to fill their tanks for a price up to 20 euro-cents per liter lower than in other stations. Additional boost for Mr. Mareshki’s popularity was provided by the Competition Protection Committee (CPC – an independent state regulatory body). Early in 2016 CPC announced that it has carried an investigation of the 21 largest fuel providers and the investigation discovered a cartel agreement between six companies (including OMV Bulgaria, Shell Bulgaria and Lukoil) in the area of price-setting. Thus Mareshki gained a charisma of a successful home-born, home-grown businessman fighting against “the oppression” of the foreign companies in Bulgaria. Mr. Mareshki’s Vice-Presidential candidate Petar Petrov was and remained unknown to the larger public. 2. Velizar Enchev and Bilyana Veleva-Grancharova – Movement for Radical Change “Bulgarian Spring” party Mr. Enchev is a former Bulgarian diplomat and journalist. He was elected MP on 2014 General Elections from the list of the Patriotic Front Coalition. However he disagreed sharply with the position of his parliamentary group to a support CEDB’s government, promptly voted against the new Cabinet of Prime Minister Boyko Borisov and as a result got expelled from the Patriotic Front. After his expulsion Enchev founded and become President of the Movement for Radical Change “Bulgarian Spring”. Enchev’s Vice-Presidential candidate Bilyana Veleva-Grancharova was and remained unknown to the larger public. 3. Plamen Oresharski and Danail Papazov – independents Mr. Oresharski fits well in the definition of professional politician and “political animal”. From 1993 to 1997 (during the socialist governments of Prime Ministers Lyuben Berov and Jan Videnov) Oresharski was Head of the Directorate “State Treasure and Debt” in the Ministry of Finance. In the center-right government of Prime Minister Ivan Kostov (19972001) Mr. Oresharski was Deputy Minister of Finance. In the Tripartite Coalition between the Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP), the former Tsar Simeon’s movement (liberal) and the Turkish Movement for Rights and Freedoms (liberal), headed by the leader of the BSP Sergey Stanishev (2005-2009) Oresharski was Minister of Finance. In the period 2009-2013 he was MP elected as “non-partisan” from the lists of BSP. In 2013 Oresharski was nominated by the BSP and was elected Prime Minister of Bulgaria by the 42nd National Assembly. One month after assuming office Oresharski nominated the highly controversial figure of MRF’s MP Delyan Peevski for Chairman of the State Agency on National Security. The move created an enormous public outcry, the latter forced Peevski to withdraw but the daily protests of citizens demanding Oresharski also to resign continued for another 250 day, well into 2014. After the failure of the large energy projects (“Belene” Nuclear Power Plant, “South Stream” pipe line and “Burgas-Alexandrupolis” Pipe line) and the collapse of the Central Corporative Bank (the latter defaulted in June 2014) Oresharski deposited the resignation of his Cabinet, precipitating early General Elections. For 2016 Presidential elections Mr. Oresharski was nominated by an IC but received and accepted the official support of the MRF. Oresharski’s chosen Vice-Presidential candidate Danail Papazov was Minister of Transport in Oresharski’s Cabinet. Papazov was also candidate for mayor of Varna in 2015 Local 22 Elections from a generally unknown party “Life for Varna”. Outside of those facts Papazov is and remained unknown to the larger public at nation-wide scale. 4. George Ganchev and Kolyo Paramov – Christian-Social Union Mr. Ganchev is a colorful figure of the Bulgarian politics from the 90-ies of the 20th century. In 1990 Ganchev founded the Bulgarian Business Block party. On the 1995 General Elections the BBB gained seats in the 37th National Assembly. Few months later Ganchev’s mandate as an MP was terminated by the Constitutional Court on grounds that he has a second (USA) citizenship. He was elected again in 1997 and remained an MP until 2001. Ever since Ganchev is on and off the political stage, while his last major participation in elections is in 2001 Presidential Elections, obtaining 3,36% of the vote. Ganchev’s Vice-Presidential candidate Kolyo Paramov is prominent Bulgarian economist and analyst. 5. Diana Dimitrova and Gabriel Gerasimov – independents Both candidates were and remained unknown to the larger public. 6. Traycho Traykov and Sabi Sabev – Reformatory Block Mr. Traykov was Minister of the Economy, Energy and Turism in the first Cabinet of Boyko Borisov (2009-2013). He resigned the post in March 2012 on Borisov’s request. The official motive for Traykov’s removal was a failed business forum in Qatar, however later journalists’ investigations traced the responsibility for the forum’s organization to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. It is largely speculated that Traykov was removed by Borisov because of Traykov’s western orientation and unwillingness to bend to the energy interests of Russia in Bulgaria. Traykov’s Vice-Presidential candidate Reserve General-Major Sabi Sabev is a former Bulgarian high ranking officer. Since his retirement Gen. Sabev is a prominent member of one of the political parties in the Reformatory Block coalition. 7. Biser Milanov and Krasimir Nestev – independents Mr. Milanov, also known as “the Spot” is a controversial figure of the public life. Milanov became known during the 2013-2014 protests against the government of Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski when a journalist noted that Milanov can be seen (actively cheering) both on the protest and the few pro-government rallies. That precipitated many conspiracy theories that the government is using Milanov to infiltrate the protests in order to create provocations and undermine the protest’s cause. Those theories were partially confirmed when Milanov actually tried to create a provocation at one of the daily anti-government protests but was quickly arrested by the police and later – sentenced for hooliganism. Milanov’s Vice-Presidential candidate Krasimir Nestev was and remained unknown to the larger public. 8. Alexander Tomov and Radoslav Radoslavov – Bulgarian Social-Democracy/Euro Left 23 Mr. Tomov is Bulgarian politician that was mostly active from 1990 to 2001. He was Deputy Prime Minister in the Government of Dimitar Popov (1990-91), MP in the 7th Grand National Assembly and in the 36th and 38th National Assemblies. In 1997 Tomov founded the Bulgarian Euro Left party and in the same year the party was able to gain 14 seats in the 38th National Assembly. Since 2001 Tomov was more active in the private sector, becoming President of the Board of “Kremikovtsi” JSC (the largest steel production plant on the Balkans) and after that – CEO of the CSKA Sofia professional football club. In 2011 Tomov was sentenced to 9 years in prison on charges of illegal appropriation of 26 million levs (about EUR 13.3 million) from “Kremikovtsi” but in 2016 was fully acquitted by the Supreme Court of Cassation. Tomov’s Vice-Presidential candidate Radoslav Radoslavov is a political analyst, generally unknown to the public. 9. Yordanka Koleva and Veselin Hristov – independents Both candidates were and remained unknown to the larger public. 10. Tatjana Doncheva and Minch Spasov – “Movemenv 21” and “National Movement for Stability and Progress” coalition Mrs. Doncheva was a prominent member of the Socialist Party, MP in four National Assemblies. In 2011 she was expelled from BSP for disagreement with the leadership of the party. The same year she created her own party – “Movement 21”. Mincho Spasov was MP form the party of the former Tsar “National Movement for Simeon the Second” (renamed in 2007 to National Movement for Stability and Progress) in the 39th and the 40th National Assemblies. 11. Rumen Radev and Iliyana Yotova – independents Reserve General-Lieutenant Rumen Radev was Chairman of the High Command of the Armed Forces until mid-2016. In the pre-election period an attempt was made to reunify the left, fragmented by the former Presiden Georgi Parvanov’s party “Alternative for Bulgarian Renaissance” and Tatyana Doncheva’s “Movement 21” – both former and latter being spinoffs from the Socialist Party. When, during those negotiations, Gen. Radev requested to be dismissed from his command and from active service the media immediately reported that the rumors are that Radev will come as a compromise non-partisan candidate to unite the left factions. The rumors came out true and Radev was officially proposed by Parvanov to be the left’s candidate. But soon after BSP declared the negotiations for reunification a failure while Radev announced that he will run as an independent. Again the rumors that Radev defected from ABR to BSP turned to be true as the prominent actor and member of the Executive Bureau of BSP Stefan Danailov became Chair of Radev’s IC and Socialist MEP Iliyana Yotova was nominated as Vice President. BSP promptly declared its support for the pair. Iliyana Yotova is long-standing Socialist politician. Her political career started as Head of the Press Office of BSP in 1997. It is considered that she was the master-mind behind Georgi 24 Parvanov’s electoral campaign in his successful bid on the 2001 Presidential Elections. In 2005 Mrs. Yotova was elected MP and since 2007 she is a Bulgarian MEP. 12. Gospodin Tonev and Andrey Andreev – Bulgarian Democratic Society Both candidates were and remained unknown to the larger public. 13. Ivaylo Kalfin and Ljubomir Halachev – “Kalfin for President” coalition Mr. Kalfin is a long-standing socialist politician. In 1997, while being a MP, he left the Socialist party in protest against the BSP decision, amidst severe economic crisis, to go to early elections rather than try to form new government (after Prime Minister Jan Videnov resigned in December 1996). Kalfin then joined Alexander Tomov’s “Euro Left” and got elected in the 38th National Assembly. In 2000 Mr. Kalfin formed a party of his own – “Socaldemocrats”. The year 2005 however found him again in the ranks of BSP and he was elected MP in the 40th National Assembly, later becoming Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs in Sergey Stanishev’s Government (2005-2009). In 2009 Kalfin was elected MEP. In 2011 Kalfin was BSP’s chosen candidate for the Presidential Elections, coupled with the “heavy gun” of the Socialist Party Stefan Danailov as candidate for Vice President. Kalfin and Danailov were able to gain second place on the first round and were defeated by a small margin on the run-off. In 2014 Kalfin yet again left BSP to join Georgi Parvanov’s ABR party and lead its list in the European Elections. ABR failed to win seats in the EP, however on the early General Elections in the autumn of 2014 Kalfin was elected again in the Parliament. As ABR joined the new coalition Government of Boyko Borisov Kalfin became Deputy Prime Minister for a second time, this time heading the Ministry of Labor and Social Policies. In 2016 ABR decided to leave the Government and Kalfin resigned, returning to his MP seat in Parliament. With the “high-jacking” of Rumen Radev by BSP, a crisis emerged in “Movement 21”and in ABR, who were left without a candidate. “Movement 21” was able to deal with it easily by nominating the party leader Tatjana Doncheva. The same move wasn’t available for ABR however, because the party leader Georgi Parvanov has already served two terms as President. At the end Kalfin was chosen to save ABR’s honor. In attempt to gain more legitimacy by naming the campaign after the candidate ABR created a coalition with 6 other minor parties. Professor Halachev is Bulgarian screenplay writer and director. He is former Provost of the National Academy of Theatrical and Cinema Art. 14. Kamen Popov and Georgi Nedelchev – independenst Mr. Popov became famous on the night of the Local Elections in 2015, during the last of several incidents involving “Attack” Party President Volen Siderov committing acts of hooliganism (Siderov waved his parliamentary immunity and after pleading guilty on the charges of hooliganism, was sentenced to 2 years of probation). In that last incident, Siderov went to the National Academy of Theatrical and Cinema Art, demanding to be let in to search for some students that booed him on the streets few days early so he could speak with them. He was denied access in the Academy premises by the security and refused to leave the 25 entrance part of the Academy’s building which caused some 100 students to gather and chant “Please, leave our Academy alone!” for about 2 hours. At the end the police intervened taking Siderov out of the Academy by force and arresting him. In the commotion while Siderov has been taken away from the Academy, Kamen Popov was able to sneak behind the policemen that were holding the already restrained Siderov. Then Popov delivered a fist-blow directly in Siderov’s face. Popov tried to hit Siderov once again but the police intervened very fast, apprehending Popov. As much as we know Siderov never pressed charges against Popov. Popovs’s Vice-Presidential candidate Georgi Nedelchev was and remained unknown to the larger public. 15. Tsetska Tsacheva and Plamen Manushev – Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria Mrs. Tsacheva is the first woman to become Chairperson of the National Aseembly, when she was elected at the post in 2009 (41st National Assembly). Furthermore she will remain as the first woman to do so twice as she was elected to the office again in 2014 (43rd National Assembly). Her party CEDB, being a “one-man-party” (which is “the Party of Boyko Borisov” as Borisov created the party solely on his personal charisma), had a lot of difficulty with its presidential nomination. Although Borisov contemplated for a long time to be personally the CEDB’s candidate, because of the implications such move could create (if elected Borisov would have to leave the post of CEDB’s President and would have to resign the post of Prime Minister), he decided otherwise. But with CEDB not having any other strong figure outside of Borisov, to find a suitable candidate proved difficult. The rumors have it that Borisov turned first to some of the most successful mayors of CEDB – those that just one year ago were reelected with ease, but all of those refused to be Presidential candidates. So Mrs. Tsacheva was the only possible somewhat prominent figure from CEDB. But it was a compromise candidature and that was one of the big reasons for CEDB to score its first electoral defeat since the formation of the party in 2007. Reserve Vice Admiral Plamen Manushev was a high-ranking officer, former Commander of the Navy. After he resigned his command, he became active member of CEDB in Varna region. Since 2012 Manushev held the post of Regional Governor of Varna and later he was elected MP in the 42nd and 43rd National Assemblies. 16. Rumen Galabinov and Vesk Voleva – independents The curious thing about that pair of candidates is that the Vice-Presidential candidate Mrs. Voleva is actually more popular than the Presidential candidate. Mrs. Voleva is a lawyer that specializes in law suits against banks. This gives her prominence as a defender of the poor who defaulted on their bank loans. Galabinov and Voleva is the only pair outside of the main stream that really tried to make a campaign. They participated in several TV shows but with no noticeable effect on the election outcome. 17. Krasimir Karakachanov and Javor Notev – “United Patriots” coalition 26 Mr. Karakachanov is the President of the “Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organization” party (IMRO) since its creation in 1997. Although IMRO never carried substantial portion of the vote on its own, Karakachanov has proven that he possesses an insight for making coalitions. In 1997, just few months after IMRO’s founding, it became part of the “United Democratic Forces” coalition and Karakachanov got elected in the 38th National Assembly. In 2005 he became MP again (40th National Assembly) in the coalition “Bulgarian National Union”. For the 2013 General Elections Karakachanov really wanted to make coalition with “Attack” however was refused by “Attack”’s President Volen Siderov. The 2013 elections saw IMRO and one other major nationalistic party – the “National Front for Salvation of Bulgaria” (NFSB) not able to achieve the 4% threshold. On 2014 European Elections Karakachanov was able yet again to make a successful coalition with Nikolay Barekov’s “Bulgaria without Censorship”. BwC coalition scored 10.7% and gained 2 seats out of 17 in EP, one of which was taken by IMRO’s Vice President Angel Dzhambazki. But when the Government of Prime Minister Plamen Oresharski collapsed in the summer of 2014 and early elections were called in the autumn, Karakachanov decided that IMRO’s fortunes reside in a coalition with NFSB. Yet dgdin it was a successful move and Karakachanov got elected for his third mandate as MP in the 43rd National Assembly. For the Presidential Elections however Karakachanov was able to do his masterpiece up to date, taking “Attack” party on board too, to create the “United Patriots” coalition. It was not an easy move as NFSB and “Attack” have been sworn enemies, always at odds – their leaders screaming and shouting slurs and insults at each other at every opportunity; pressing charges and law suits and even, each alleged incidents with physical violence between their supporters. So when the formation of the UP coalition was announced, it precipitated a host of comments that it is immoral – those enemies, each sworn to destroy the other now to form a coalition obviously driven by their narrow political interests than by the common good. Mr. Notev is a prominent Bulgarian lawyer. He was elected MP in 2009, 2013 and 2014 (41st, 42nd and 43rd National Assemblies); Vice President of the 42nd and 43rd National Assemblies. Since 2012 Notev is also Vice President of “Attack” party. 18. Kemil Ramadan and Momchil Dobrev – Balkan Democratic League Both candidates were and remained unknown to the larger public. 19. Plamen Paskov and Svetozar Saev – independents Both candidates were and remained unknown to the larger public. 20. Dimitar Marinov and Radoslav Petov – Bulgarian National Unification Dimitar “Mityo The Gun” Marinov is a popular figure. His popularity stems from his unconstrained behavior and funny language. In the last 10 years Marinov participated in several reality-shows that made his name known to the larger public. In the campaign Marinov played the comedian type, satirically exposing one of the electoral phenomenons of the past years – the distribution of food during every electoral rally. He boldly promised that anyone who votes for him will get free meatballs and “kebabches” (elongated meatballs) and 27 also freshly baked bread. Marinov’s participation in the campaign brought colorfulness to the election, winning him both praises and curses from the public. Marinov’s Vice-Presidential candidate Radoslav Petrov was and remained unknown to the larger public. 21. Nikolaj Banev and Sali Ibryam – independents Mr. Banev is a prominent businessman. In his youth Mr. Banev worked on different administrative positions in the Communist Party’s Youth Committee. After the fall of the regime Banev created one of the first investment funds in Bulgaria and with it he participated in the mass privatization in Bulgaria that started in the mid-90ies. Mr. Banev’s fund acquired many of the industries that were put on auction during the mass privatization. According to his Wikipedia page his fortune is estimated to be more than EUR 500 million in different assets. Mr. Ibryam was a candidate for President during the 2011 Presidential elections. Part 3 The electoral campaign The electoral campaign was dull and apathetic. The most prominent candidates made campaign mainly through distribution of leaflets, using internet to broadcast their advertisement videos, participating in TV debates and holding in-the-closed meetings. The outside of the mainstream candidates did not made any noticeable public appearance, with only one exception and that is Dimitar “Mityo the Gun” Marinov, who got the media and public attentions with his somewhat scandalous (or just comedy-like) promise of free meatballs and bread for his voters. Not one of the candidates held any in-the-open public rallies. Part 4 Election Day Both election days (6th of November for the first round and 13th of November for the second) went generally smoothly without any major incidents. The only point of tension during the first round, that was reported, was in the polling stations in Turkey where representatives of the local emigrants’ organizations helped the voters that do not speak Bulgarian to fill the necessary forms. As that was happening inside of the premises where the polling stations were located, several Chairpersons of PSECs asked the representatives of the emigrants’ organizations to leave the premises, as the Electoral Code stipulates that all electoral business have to be conducted in the official language – Bulgarian. No voter with correctly filled forms however was denied the right to vote. Part 5 Counting of the votes and determining the results 28 As the presidential elections are the simplest ones in regard of counting the votes and determining the results, there were no incidents in that regard. All electoral subjects participating in the election accepted the official results as declared by the CEC on both rounds of the elections. No complain on the legality of the 2016 Presidential Elections was raised in front of the Constitutional Court. III. EVALUATION OF THE ELECTIONS Part 1 Electoral legislation The Electoral Code was amended multiple times within the 1 year time-frame envisaged in the Venice Commission Code. Those amendments concerned serious basic maters like the right to vote and the electoral system. In that regard it is our opinion that the 2016 Presidential Elections in Bulgaria do not meet the standards set in the Venice Commission Code – p.II.2 b) of the Guidelines of the Code in particular. The many controversies related to the amendments, even those of the latter that could not be considered related to fundamental elements of the electoral legislation, contravene the general recommendations of the Code that no step should be taken that could discredit the democratic nature of the election in the eyes of the broad public. Part 2 Freeness of the elections Although some issues exist, especially in regard of the collection of signatures during the registration procedure, as addressed in Section I, Part 7 of the present report, our general evaluation is that the 2016 Presidential Elections were free. It is our opinion that the registration procedure could be made more democratic and should be streamlined or at least be made more transparent. However the sheer number of candidate pairs that were registered and only the few pairs that did not, shows that the flaws in the procedure were not used for foul play. Part 3 Fairness of the elections With deep regret we must conclude that the 2016 Presidential Elections cannot be deemed fair. The unfairness arises from several issues, described in detail in Sections I and II of this report that we will summarize in short here: 1) The immense disparity in state funding of the parties represented in Parliament and those that are not, coupled with the cap on donations, the latter serving more as a disadvantage for the non-state-funded parties than as an equalizer of the opportunities, creates an environment, in which equal opportunity is virtually absent even in the sense of proportional equality as described in the Venice Committee Code. 29 2) Both the public and the private electronic media are not obliged to give any free air time to any of the electoral subjects. The latter reinforces the existing inequality that arises from the funding issue. 3) The rules on funding limitations can be called at best unclear. The latter creates opportunities for foul play by the large parties that receive state funding anyway. 4) The absolute decimation of non-partisan electoral observation represents a major set-back. The organizations of the civil society, except handful mainstream associations, now virtually do not have an access to official observer status. The reduction of transparency inevitably compromises in a certain degree the fairness of an election. To our conclusion that the elections were not fair, we can add the statement of former Prime Minister Ivan Kostov (1997-2001) who said in an interview for BiT TV station on 23rd of February 2017 that (the notes in square parenthesis are ours) “The elections in Bulgaria are relatively unfair. That relativity is different, depends on who is governing. There is a [portion of the] vote that is motivated not by political reasons, but by work-related proposals, social benefits or a scholarship for the children [of the voter] to study in Europe, [and that serves as a motivation] for those people that are not politically motivated.” Part 4 Conclusions Our conclusion is that in Bulgaria there is democratic deficiency mainly in the fairness side of the electoral process. That deficiency is due to imperfections in the electoral legislation. As we like to have proactive approach, we shall give some de lege ferenda recommendations in Section V of the report, that we believe could have the ability to rectify many of the electoral issues existing in Bulgaria. IV. POLITICAL EVALUATION The 2016 Presidential elections brought to CEDB its first electoral defeat on nationwide elections since the party was established in 2007. In early October, right before the start of the electoral campaign, the Prime Minister Borisov declared that if CEDB loses the election, his Government will resign. It was considered that Borisov aimed at mobilizing CEDB’s supporters to vote under the threat that if the elections are lost, CEDB’s government will be seen out of office. However the Borisov’s move seems to have had the exactly opposite effect or at least the opposite effect was far more extensive than the effect on the original aim. Borisov’s promise to resign seems to have stimulated the voters that were dissatisfied with his rule to vote for Rumen Radev, even those that are generally politically right-minded and did not liked Radev in general. After Radev’s election Borisov promptly resigned and the incumbent President Plevneliev conducted the mandatory procedure – the attempt a new Cabinet to be formed by the acting Parliament. After the latter procedure failed in late December 2016 and as the 30 outgoing President does not have the right to dissolve the Parliament, it was up to Plevneliev to appoint a care-take Cabinet. Plevneliev proposed the President-elect Radev to nominate the care-take ministers and Plevnaliev to only sanction them while still in office so there will be no need for Radev, after assuming office, to appoint a new Government. Radev however refused the offer, the latter prompting Plevneliev to refuse to appoint a care-take Cabinet at all. Finally, after assuming office on 23rd of January 2017, Radev dissolved the 43rd National Assembly, appointed a care-take Cabinet headed by Prime Minister Prof. Ognyan Gerdzhikov (former President of the National Assembly – 2001-2005) and called early General Elections on 26th of March. In conclusion, nevertheless that the President in Bulgaria do not hold much power, as it is normal for a parliamentary republic, it is obvious that the Presidential Elections could have big political significance. The 2016 Elections, and more specifically the loss of the election by the major governing party, precipitated a political crisis, the latter resulting in the resignation of the Government and the early dissolution of the Parliament. The importance of the Presidential Elections is further reinforced by the fact that more often (3 out of 5 elections since 1991, discounting the first Presidentals, as they were conducted simultaneously with the first Parliamentary Elections) an oppositional candidate has been elected (in 1996, 2001 and 2016). That is why it could be determined that politically the Presidental Elections are the second most important type of elections after the Parliamentary Elections and as such their democratic conduct is of big importance. V. DE LEGE FERENDA RECOMMENDATIONS Part 1 Constitutional legal basis Nevertheless it is well known that the Venice Commission standards stipulate that the electoral legislation should not be amended in its fundamental elements at least one year prior to the upcoming elections, that standard was never observed and the 2016 Presidential Elections, as explained in detail above in the present report, are not an exception. Thus our recommendations, based on p.II.2.b of the Venice Commission Code, are: 1) Adoption of a Constitutional amendment to prohibit any changes in the electoral legislation done less than one year prior to an upcoming election, or the amendments to the electoral legislation to enter into force not for the upcoming elections, but for the next elections after. 2) Adoption of a Constitutional amendment to create a special status for the electoral law. Under that special status the amendments to the electoral legislation shall be carried by some kind of qualified majority. Our concrete recommendation is for a qualified majority of more than a half of all Members of Parliament (121 votes out of 240) and a majority of three fifths of the Members of Parliament voting but more than a half of all MPs – when overcoming a Presidential veto, in case such a veto has been enforced. 31 Part 2 Recommendations regarding the Electoral Code To address the issues that were described mainly in Section I of this report, we would like to make the following de lege ferenda recommendations for amendments in the Electoral Code: 1) The final deadline for fixing the date of the elections should be set earlier. Our concrete proposal is that the date of the elections should be fixed not later than 90 days (about 3 months) prior to Election Day (as compared to 60 days now). This will reinforce the Equal Opportunity principle by giving the smaller parties more time to prepare, especially with regard to those legal requirements that cannot be satisfied prior to the fixing of the date (e.g. the collection of the signatures). This will give the smaller parties also the possibility to negotiate and make coalitions more easily. 2.1) The limitation that one voter could sign in support of the registration of only one electoral subject should be abolished. That measure will have a two-dimensional positive effect – first, it will equalize the opportunities for registration between larger and smaller parties and ICs and that in turn will extend the Freedom of the voters to express their wishes. 2.2) In general it is our opinion that the list-of-the-signatories requirement is too restricting and the procedure of checking the validity of the signatures is too nontransparent. The full abolition of the latter requirement could be considered, while increasing the ammount of the monetary deposit required for the registration. 3) The possibility for all non-profit legal entities (associations and foundations alike) to obtain official status as electoral observers shall be reintroduced. The requirement that the non-profits should be dully registered as such operating in public (as opposed to in private) interest could be maintained without prejudice to the non-profit’s concrete goals. 4) The constitution of RECs and PSECs should be organized on a semi-professional basis. The latter may include many possible measures, e.g. the creation of a register of those persons that have had experience as members of electoral committees or that have undergone trainings, organized by the CEC not only prior to but also between elections. The composition of the RECs and the PSECs should be open to participation by nonpartisan persons. Within the mentioned register a “black list” of persons punished for incompetent actions done while serving as members of PSECs in previous elections should be established. The latter persons should not be allowed to participate in the composition of electoral committees. 5) The rules on campaign financing should be clarified. A clear distinction but also a clear relation should be established between the financial contributions to the general activities of the parties under the Political Parties Act (outside of electoral periods) and such contributions made especially for the purposes of the electoral campaigns under the rules of the Electoral Code. More exact rules should be provided in the Electoral 32 Code regarding the use of candidates’ and members’ of ICs own funds in campaign financing. 6) Rules on the setting of the prices that the public electronic media providers (namely the Bulgarian National Television and the Bulgarian National Radio) charge for the presentation of the electoral subjects during the campaign should be clearly and precisely written in the Electoral Code (as opposed to the present situation where those prices are set via an act of the Council of Ministers). The latter measure is necessary as a guarantee against the Government setting unreasonably high prices preventive towards the lesser electoral subjects and towards oppositional parties. It should be explicitly stated in the Electoral Code that the prices charged by the public electronic media shall be exempt from VAT taxation. 7) A minimal amount of free-of-charge air time should be granted to all electoral subjects participating in the elections in both public and private electronic media. If this measure is implemented, then the campaign subsidy could be abolished. 8) The voting procedure should be considerably simplified as of now it is absolutely contradictory to the requirements of the Venice Commission Code. The general abolishment of the use of paper ballots and its replacement with machine voting will be an excellent solution to the problem. 9) The Electoral Code should prescribe that sealable plastic boxes should be used for the transferring of the ballots and the electoral paper between the PSECs and the RECs. Those boxes should replace the non-sealable canvas bags that are now in use. 10) When a certain REC finds error(s) in a PSEC’s protocol with the results of the vote, the respective protocol should not be corrected on the spot. Instead the box with the ballots, the protocol and the other papers should be resealed by the REC and set aside for additional check later. This measure will streamline the process of the hand-over of the electoral papers from the PSECs to the RECs, decreasing the time necessary for the hand-over and the possibility the electoral papers to be mishandled. It will also allow the subsequent check to be performed in much calmer environment and under the supervision of more or even all of the REC’s members. Then a much more accurate assessment could be made by the REC if the errors are accidental, are due to incompetence or negligence, or due to fraud. After the latter assessment the REC could invoke administrative sanctions or to refer the cases to the respective Prosecution Office for further investigation. 33
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