The liquefaction of soils, recently recognized as an earthquake phenomenon, turns out to be a hazard well worth reckoning with. 26 MOSAIC J u l y / A u g u s t 1979 n the past 15 years, engineers have learned that, under conditions that are not all that rare, solid ground can turn to mush. Soil that had moments before supported a high-rise office building or a suburban shopping center, subjected even to otherwise nondestructive earthquake vibration, can suddenly become a fluid. It can flow. It can lose its bearing capacity. Anything on it—a house, a building complex, a bridge abutment—can slip or sink like a horse in quicksand. Buried structures, like storage tanks, can float to the surface. The phenomenon is known as soil liquefaction. It occurs when friction between I grains of soil is lost, often because of increased water pressure between them. The soil, in effect, goes into suspension; it flows. Non-quake-induced soil liquefaction is an old story. It was first identified as a civil engineering problem in the nineteen-thirties by Arthur Casagrande of Harvard University, recalls H. Bolton Seed of the University of California at Berkeley; "I learned about it from him in the late nineteen-forties." Casagrande had identified liquefaction brought on by static loads on the soil in the Fort Peck Dam failure in northeastern Montana in 1936. Soil liquefaction was not thought to be a Before, after and reconstructed: The lower San Fernando Dam was collapsed by an upstream earthslide, caused by liquefaction, during the 1971 earthquake. Cross-sectional drawings at the left show it as it stood before the temblor (top), what was left after (center), and how it was modeled and reconstructed for analysis. The blue areas liquefied; segment numbers in the collapsed and reconstructed diagram show equivalent regions. U.S. Geological Survey; H. Bolton Seed, K. L. Lee, I. M. Idriss and F. I. Makdisi significant component of earthquake damage, however, until 1964, when earthquakes wracked Niigata, Japan, and Anchorage, Alaska, and liquefaction was identified as a major cause of damage. Since then, geologists, engineers and planners have come increasingly to recognize soil liquefaction as an ever-present earthquake hazard, and they have associated it with virtually every major earthquake studied in the last 15 years. • The San Juan, Argentina, earthquake of November 23, 1977: 6,000 square kilometers liquefied, the most extensive area of liquefaction yet found, fortunately most of it on barren and agricultural land. Towers sank and tipped. Sand boils erupted inside houses. Curbs were crunched, school walls extended and stone walls offset as the soil beneath them liquefied and shifted horizontally. • The Bucharest, Romania, earthquake of March 4, 1977: Liquefaction occurred on the Danube River flood plain as far as 250 kilometers from the epicenter. • The Tangshan, China, earthquake of July 27, 1976, the most disastrous earthquake in four centuries: Extensive liquefaction occurred in areas of young alluvial deposits. • The Guatemala earthquake of February 4, 1976: An area liquefied around Lake Amatitlan, south of Guatemala City. • The San Fernando, California, earthquake of February 9, 1971: Lateral spreading caused by liquefaction damaged a regional water filtration plant and a local government building. Liquefaction caused the partial collapse of an earthen dam; a catastrophic flood of historic proportions was narrowly averted. • The Peruvian earthquake of May 31, 1970: Liquefaction occurred 190 kilometers from the epicenter, disrupting orange groves and banana plantations. Further, understanding of liquefaction has explained many historic catastrophes: • Lateral spreading of liquefied soil that severed water lines and prevented firemen from controlling the blazes that destroyed San Francisco during the 1906 earthquake. • The dramatic flow slides in Kansu province, China, on December 16, 1920, "The Day the Mountains Walked." • The sand boils and earth flows left after the Charleston, South Carolina, earthquake of 1886. MOSAIC July/August 1979 27 • T h e r e p o r t s of d i s a p p e a r i n g i s l a n d s , sand geysers, and other exotic geological p h e n o m e n a in the N e w M a d r i d - S o u t h e r n Mississippi Valley earthquakes of 1811-1812. Seed, w h o has devoted almost 30 years to liquefaction research, has even extended the probable history of liquefaction-caused disasters back to 373 B.C. That was w h e n the prosperous Greek coastal town of Helice slid into the sea d u n . g a great earthquake. " T h e destruction of Helice may well record the earliest k n o w n case of a major landslide resulting from soil liquefaction induced by an e a r t h q u a k e , " says Seed. "It seems reasonable to conclude that only the e n t r a p m e n t of the inhabitants in collapsed buildings and t e m p o r a r i l y liquefied and flowing soils could have led to the recorded facts that no one survived and no dead were f o u n d . " It h a p p e n e d again during the Helice earthq u a k e of December 2 6 , 1 8 6 1 . A strip of land 13 kilometers long and 100 meters wide slid slowly into the water. The remaining part of the plain sank two meters. tions in those directions. It can go only u p ward, into the overlying soils which m a y not h a v e liquefied during the shaking. This u p w a r d flow of water then liquefies nearsurface layers, which behave like quicksand. ( Q u i c k s a n d is merely the result of an u p ward flow of water in a sandy deposit, k e e p ing the sand in suspension.) Liquefaction in confined zones at large d e p t h s might be of little importance if the s t r u c t u r e - s u p p o r t i n g layers above were not affected, says Seed. The u p w a r d flow of water from an underlying liquefied layer " m a y well be the cause of the surface m a n i festations of liquefaction, such as sand boils, q u i c k s a n d conditions or a general condition of water seepage, causing inundations that can cause major damage to structures s u p ported on the near-surface soils." In fact, Seed says, near-surface soils are more likely to become liquefied by the u p w a r d flow of water from lower layers of liquefied soils than they are from the direct effects of the earthquake shaking. Niigata N o w h e r e have the effects of liquefaction been more dramatically demonstrated than in the e a r t h q u a k e at N i i g a t a , J a p a n , on June 16, 1964. T h e epicenter of the 7.3magnitude earthquake was 55 kilometers from Niigata, a city of 300,000 on the west coast of Japan, where the Shinano River enters the sea. T h e river built u p sand deposits nearly 100 meters thick on which the city was built. The older sections of Niigata were built on high dunes. Newer parts of the city rested on younger, lowland sediments and on reclaimed land near the river. Extensive areas of the low-lying deposits liquefied. T h e g r o u n d cracked and s u b s u r face water flowed u p and out onto it. Sand vents, like giant gopher holes, p o p p e d into existence. Some were surrounded by rings On a sand foundation L i q u e f a c t i o n occurs p r i m a r i l y , b u t n o t exclusively, in sandy soils over high water tables. W h e n water-saturated sand is s u b jected to strong g r o u n d vibrations, it tends to compact and decrease in volume. If drainage cannot occur, this decrease in volume results in an increase in the pressure on the, water between the soil grains. This increased water pressure in effect counteracts the frictional resistance of the soil particles. If the pore-water pressure builds up to the point at which it is equal to the overburden pressure, the effective stress becomes zero. T h e sand loses its strength and behaves like a thick fluid. Loose and medium-dense sands are more susceptible to liquefaction than are dense sands. But, according to Seed and former Berkeley colleague I.M. Idriss, n o w with the San Francisco engineering firm W o o d w a r d - C l y d e C o n s u l t a n t s , l i q u e f a c t i o n of sand may develop at any zone of a vibrating deposit in which conditions are right. Such a zone may be at the surface or at some depth below, usually in the upper 15 meters or so. T h e r e may also occur, Seed points out, a secondary kind of liquefaction in the u p p e r layers of a deposit. This would not be caused by the g r o u n d motions themselves, b u t by the development of liquefaction in an underlying layer. S u p p o s e , for instance, a layer of saturated sand 10 meters below the surface liquefies d u r i n g an e a r t h q u a k e . T h e w a t e r , u n d e r high pressure, tries to flow. It cannot flow d o w n or sideways because of similar condi- 28 MOSAIC July/August 1979 Anchorage, 1964. The Turnagain Heights slide area and its soil composition. Either the clays lost strength and collapsed, sand "lenses" liquefied, or both. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of sand carried to the surface by the upwardflowing water. As liquefaction developed over extensive areas, buildings settled, some by as m u c h as a meter. Cars and trucks settled engine-deep into the flowing sand. A large, rectangular sewage treatment tank, originally with its t o p at g r o u n d level, tilted and rose two to three meters. O n e of the apartment buildings at Kawagishi-cho tipped over, intact, almost onto its side. T h e people were able to get out by walking on the side of the building. Later, m a n y of these buildings were jacked back u p , reinforced and reoccupied. The liquefaction also caused major damage to bridges, h i g h w a y s , utilities, dock areas, oil refineries and railroads. Niigata is the classic case of loss of loadbearing capacity caused by liquefaction in an e a r t h q u a k e . In his Berkeley laboratory, Seed has used a soil profile closely simulating conditions in Niigata during the e a r t h q u a k e to s h o w the probable timing and sequence" of liquefaction events there. His reconstruction illustrates dramatically the significance of secondary liquefaction, caused by u p ward flow of water from initially liquefied, u n d e r l y i n g sand layers. Seed's tests show that liquefaction, which takes place when pore-water pressure becomes equal to the confining pressure of the overlying soil, probably developed between d e p t h s of 4.5 and 12 meters during the 50second earthquake. Three minutes after the s h a k i n g had stopped, the g r o u n d had liquefied to within three meters of the surface. A m i n u t e later, liquefaction had reached to within a meter of the surface and, 13 minutes after the shaking stopped, to within 30 centimeters. By then structures were already sinking; the critical layer of strength loss— not at the surface, but just beneath the buildings' foundations—had been reached. Anchorage T h e Alaska earthquake, at magnitude 8.3 to 8.5, was and still is the largest e a r t h q u a k e on the N o r t h American continent since the existence of recording instruments. It became the most studied U.S. earthquake in history. It produced a variety of dramatic landcollapse effects, many caused by liquefaction. At Valdez, a coastal town built on a delta of silt, fine sand and gravel, a violent and s u d d e n landslide d r o p p e d into the harbor some 75 million cubic meters of soil, m o v i n g the shoreline 150 meters inland. Harbor facilities and n e a r - s h o r e facilities were d e stroyed. In some sections, soil 60 meters deep slid h u n d r e d s of meters into the bay. Seed says the slide was the consequence of liquefaction of the sediments on which the facilities were built. ( W h e n the c o m m u n i t y was rebuilt, it was relocated at a stable site more than six kilometers to the northwest. T h e southern terminus of the Alaska pipeline is at the new location.) Similar slides at Kenai Lake and Seward, where successive strips of land disappeared into the bay for as long as the earthquake continued, also left dramatic changes in the landscape. T h e Valdez, Kenai Lake and S e w a r d events, Seed says, are all consequences of lateral liquefaction-induced flow slides. So was the famous p o s t - e a r t h q u a k e scene in downtown Anchorage, showing a large portion of Fourth Street collapsed. This slide, as did the ones at L Street and Government Hill, appeared to have occurred as a result of liquefaction of layers of sand underlying an otherwise stable mass of soil. According to T. Leslie Youd, the U.S. Geological Survey's specialist on liquefaction, lateral spreads are the most c o m m o n types of ground failure caused by liquefaction d u r i n g e a r t h q u a k e s . T h e s e failures generally develop on gentle-to-near-horizontal slopes. In contrast to flow failures, which are catastrophic and can move long distances at relatively high speeds, lateral spreads involve less violent, horizontal displacements of a few or a few tens of meters. Lateral s p r e a d i n g from liquefaction played a large role in N o r t h America's most famous disaster, the San Francisco earthq u a k e - f i r e of 1906. A c c o r d i n g to Y o u d , every major pipeline break in the city occurred in areas of lateral spreading. During the 1964 Alaska earthquake, 266 bridges were damaged to an extent requiring substantial repair and replacement. Almost all of the bridge damage resulted w h e n the structures were compressed as a result of lateral s p r e a d i n g of liquefied f l o o d - p l a i n deposits toward the river channels, Youd MOSAIC J u l y / A u g u s t 1979 29 says. Bridge decks buckled or were thrust through or over abutments. Overall, lateral spreading caused more than $60 million of the estimated $300 million total damage from the 1964 Alaska earthquake. Ground failures caused about 60 percent of the total earthquake damage, much of it by liquefaction of saturated sands and by weakening of sensitive clays. Liquefaction potential. Pulsating load tests show, in the lower curve (above, left), the buildup of pore-water pressure until liquefaction occurs. Evaluation chart (above, right) scales d e p t h vertical scale—against penetration resistance—horizontal scale—for sands with a water table five feet down. The zonation map shows probable susceptibility (H-high, M-moderate, L-low, VL-very low) of clay-free layers to liquefaction as disclosed by site testing in the San Fernando Valley. H. Bolton Seed; Seed and i M. Idriss; T. L. Youd et ai, "Liquefaction Potential Map of San Fernando Valley, California," from Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Microzonation, Vol. 1 30 MOSAIC July/August 1979 Sensitive clays One of the most dramatic slides during the Alaska earthquake was the one along the coastline opposite the city's Turnagain Heights area. Bluffs some 20 meters high, the site of suburban home development, lost strength and collapsed. A 65-hectare area, extending about 2,500 meters along the bluffline, was involved. The original ground surface was broken into a complex system of ridges and depressions. The depressed areas between ridges dropped an average of 10 meters. In some places, material moved as much as 600 meters out into the bay. Seventy-five houses built on the east side of the slide area were destroyed. Some of the houses moved laterally as m u c h as 150 to 200 meters during the sliding. T h e T u r n a g a i n Heights bluffs were composed primarily of a thick layer of clay of a type that is quite sensitive to disturbances. (The simple mechanical decoupling of soil and rock on steep slopes, a cause of dramatic d o w n - s l o p e mud slides, is a g r o u n d failure not associated with the liquefaction phenomenon.) M o s t clays lose strength when disturbed. If the strength loss is not large, the clay is termed insensitive. The measure of sensitivity is the ratio of the strength of an intact specimen of the soil to the strength of the same specimen after a severe disturbance. M o s t clays have sensitivity ratios of four or less. A n y t h i n g above eight may be prone to failure. T h e layer of clay beneath the T u r n again Heights had sensitivities between 10 and 40. There is not total agreement among investigators about the exact mechanism of the T u r n a g a i n Heights land failure, or of clay failures generally. Some, such as D w i g h t A. S a n g r e y , professor of civil a n d e n v i r o n mental engineering at Cornell University, consider T u r n a g a i n to have been a promin e n t example of clay collapse. O n the other h a n d , Seed and S. D. Wilson, whose company investigated the slide for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, conclude that the cause was probably due in large measure to liquefaction of small deposits or lenses of fine sand within the layers of clay. In s u p p o r t of his view, Seed, w h o made some 20 trips to Alaska to study effects of the e a r t h q u a k e , points to several lines of evidence. A m o n g them are samples, taken from the slide area, showing sand and clay intermixed in a form which, he declares, "could only have occurred as a result of the sand possessing fluid characterisics." Also, ridges of sand u p to a meter high, 2 meters wide and 30 meters long were formed by sand boils within the slide area. As one of the residents described this dramatic occurrence: " T h e floor ripped and sand came u p from b e l o w i n t o the living r o o m . " C o m m e n t s Seed: "It is difficult to imagine such an inflow of sand except by liquefaction." Further, says Seed, "while sand lenses were encountered in many borings made in and behind the slide area, very few such lenses were observed in borings made in adjacent areas underlain by similar clay deposits but in which no sliding occurred." Nevertheless, Sangrey, who since 1965 has m a d e extensive studies of the strength change of such fine-grained soils as clays, believes it was the clays that collapsed at Anchorage. Sangrey is an ardent p r o p o n e n t of the need to give more attention to the strength deterioration of clays. " I t is i m p o r t a n t , " he argues, "to ask whether fine-grained soils do n o t also experience strength deterioration during earthquakes." O n e of the best-documented cases of clay soils failing during an earthquake, according to Sangrey, was an e a r t h q u a k e in 1944 that affected both sides of the St. Lawrence River Valley, at Cornwall in O n t a r i o and M a s s e n a in N e w York. " T h e r e was extensive damage to structures, and almost all of it was due to strength deterioration of clay," says Sangrey. Both Seed's and Sangrey's research has s h o w n that a broad range of soils experience changes in behavior under dynamic loading, with the liquefaction of sandy soils being only the most dramatic. Sangrey argues for Niigata, 1964. One of the most dramatic effects of soil liquefaction ever photographed: apartment buildings at Kawakishi-cho, after the 1964 earthquake. Many of the buildings were later jacked up, reinforced and reoccupied, use of the more general term " s t r e n g t h deterioration," rather than "liquefaction," to describe the behavior of b o t h sands and clays. The term "liquefaction" is usually applied only to s a n d y soils, he points out, and detracts from the fact that the effects are all part of a c o n t i n u u m . Sangrey and his colleagues have attempted to develop one model to describe the response to disturbance of all saturated soils, i n c l u d i n g s a n d s , silts ( m i d w a y b e t w e e n sands and clays in grain size) and clays. MOSAIC July/August 1979 31 San Martin, 1977. The effects on a tower and outbuilding of liquefaction caused by the November 1977 Argentina earthquake are seen during (above) and after (below and photograph) the temblor. T. L. Youd; U.S. Geological Survey T h o u g h sands fail first, they find, with b o t h sands and clays repeated vibrations cause an accumulation of pressure in the pores between soil grains until the soil fails. " I t is important to realize," Sangrey emphasizes, " t h a t the phenomenon of liquefaction [failure of sands] is a special case within the more general category of strength reduction of contractive soils." Wave action Failures or strength reductions of soils are a potential problem not only on land torn by earthquakes but offshore as well. T h e repeated, cyclic impact of ocean waves, especially during an intense storm, can affect coastal sea-bottom soils in much the same way that the repeated vibration of an e a r t h q u a k e can. T h e increased importance of offshore oil drilling makes this an important practical consideration, and Sangrey has been devoting considerable attention to it. " I n fact," he says, "the present-day problems with cyclic loading of clays are largely offshore." At least one case of an offshore oil platform lost to s t o r m - c a u s e d failure of the underlying soil has been documented: As Hurricane Camille, one of the more intense hurricanes on record, swept over the Gulf of Mexico in August 1969, it left behind the wreckage of the Shell Oil C o m p a n y ' s offshore oil platform known as South Pass 70 B, about 25 kilometers southeast of the m o u t h of the Mississippi River. T h e platform was found on its side in 100 meters of water, its base displaced some 25 meters d o w n s l o p e and against the direction of wave motion. 32 MOSAIC July/August 1979 Studies by R. G. Bea and later by G. H. Sterling and E. E. Strohbeck, all of Shell, showed convincingly that the platform had been toppled not by high winds and waves but principally because the soft clay soil on which it was erected had shifted beneath it, down to a depth of 25 meters. T h e clay soils, Sangrey says, collapsed due to strength deterioration caused by cyclic wave loading. Since then, Sangrey has helped in the design of a new oil platform, as large as the Empire State Building, p u t u p in the Gulf of Mexico in 1978. Sangrey is also involved in newly initiated studies to assess the response to earthquake and wave effects of submarine areas in the economically i m p o r t a n t Gulf of Alaska, and in i n d u s t r y - s p o n s o r e d field studies there of the response of piles to cyclic loading. Earthen dams Soils that underlie structures are a general problem. There are important special cases, however, in which liquefaction-susceptible soils are part of the structure. This is the case of earth dams, and the concern once again is with s a n d y soils. T h e 1971 San F e r n a n d o e a r t h q u a k e b r o u g h t the h a z a r d into vivid focus. "Probably no single event has had such an impact on the soil-mechanical aspects of earth dam design against earthquake effects," says Seed, "as the near-failure of the lower San Fernando D a m in the earthquake of February 9, 1 9 7 1 . " T h e e m b a n k m e n t dam, about 40 meters high, provided a reservoir capacity of 24.5 million cubic meters of water. It had a core of fine clay s u r r o u n d e d by a hydraulic fill of sand. At the m o m e n t of the earthquake, the water in the reservoir was 10 meters below the crest. W h e n all the post-earthquake slide movements were over, the top of the c r u m b ling dam was barely 1.5 meters above the water level,. T h e u p s t r e a m part of the em- b a n k m e n t , including the upper 10 meters of the crest, had moved 20 meters or more into the reservoir. Had the reservoir been full, the story would have had a different ending. T h e 1.5 meters of remaining freeboard was obviously precarious. The embankment was cracked. Some 8 0 , 0 0 0 people living d o w n s t r e a m from the dam had to be evacuated until the reservoir could be drained to safe levels. "It was almost catastrophic," recalls Seed. " T h e margin by which the emb a n k m e n t stood was very small. It could easily have been the greatest natural disaster in the history of the United States." The study, conducted by Seed, Kenneth L. Lee (who died in 1978), I.M. Idriss and F. I. Makdisi for the California D e p a r t m e n t of Water Resources, the Los Angeles D e p a r t m e n t of Water and Power and the National Science Foundation, concluded: " A major catastrophe was narrowly missed. Had any one of a number of possible conditions been slightly less favorable, such as the duration of shaking or the water level in the reservoir, the Lower D a m could have failed, resulting in a sudden release of [10 million metric tons] of water over a heavily p o p u lated urban residential area." Laboratory and field studies carried out by Seed and his colleagues allowed them to reconstruct the mechanisms of failure of the d a m . T h e y p a i n s t a k i n g l y identified a n d located in their models all the dislocated pieces, like parts of a jumbled jigsaw puzzle. Reconstructing the puzzle and conducting dynamic analyses, they were able to learn w h a t had happened. T h e foundation had remained intact. T h e sliding originated in the e m b a n k m e n t itself. A large, wedge-shaped segment of sand fill inside the dam had liquefied. "After about 12 seconds of strong s h a k i n g , " reports Seed, " v e r y high pore-water pressure had developed in an extensive zone Historic events. The massive sand boil (left) was the consequence of liquefaction in the Charleston, South Carolina, earthquake of 1866. Lateral spreading dueto liquefaction buckled the curbstones and pavement on Lexington Street at Eighteenth in San Francisco, 1906. U.S. Geological Survey of hydraulic fill near the base of the embankment and upstream of the clay core...much of this soil was in a liquefied condition. At this stage, the shear resistance of the soil in the upstream shell could not withstand the deadload stresses caused by the weight of the embankment, and slide m o v e m e n t s developed. T h e slide mass moved o u t w a r d s on the liquefied soil, breaking into blocks and removing s u p p o r t from the clay core which was then extruded into the remaining part of the shell material." In other words, the primary cause of the slide was not directly the m o v e m e n t created by. the earthquake, but rather the loss of strength in the sand fill as a consequence of earthquake-induced soil liquefaction. A second dam, upstream, also had zones that completely liquefied, but e n o u g h surrounding material retained its strength that complete failure did not occur. Slides there were limited. Lessons Important lessons can be learned from near disasters. Following the San Fernando studies, California ordered the reevaluation of all such dams. As a result, some dams were taken out of service, some reconstructed and some had their water levels reduced. Still others have u n d e r g o n e stabilizing procedures, such as the construction of large upstream buttresses, and in some cases a second dam has been built d o w n s t r e a m . New methods for evaluating the safety of dams have also been developed. O n e way to find out whether soil in a dam will liquefy, according to Seed, is to model the soil and calculate stresses both before and d u r i n g simulated earthquakes. T h e n take a sample of the soil into the laboratory and subject it to the same stresses. "If it liquefies in the lab, it will p r o b a b l y liquefy in an e a r t h q u a k e , " says Seed. Seed recently completed a detailed study of the 1 9 5 - m e t e r - h i g h O r o v i l l e D a m in northeastern California, the largest earthfill dam in N o r t h America. T h e region in which the dam was built in the nineteensixties was t h o u g h t to be one of low seismicity. T h e n , on A u g u s t 1, 1975, a m a g n i t u d e 5.7 earthquake occurred only 10 kilometers southwest of the dam. T h e r e was no major damage, but there was concern. Seed studied the dam's safety margins against a 6.5-magnitude e a r t h q u a k e occurring very close to the dam. T h e work indicates the d a m would easily resist such an e a r t h q u a k e . " I n fact," says Seed, "it's safe even for one of 8.0." W h a t determines the likelihood of liquefaction? Fortunately it occurs in only certain kinds of conditions, and studies of the geologic setting can provide some broad, general guidance. Liquefaction criteria As Youd, a research civil engineer for the U.S.G.S. says, "Liquefaction does not occur at random localities b u t is restricted to certain geologic and hydrologic environments, specifically layers of relatively loose, cohesionless sediments [usually sand and silt] and a high water table [generally within 10 meters of g r o u n d surface]. "Sedimentary units most likely to contain liquef iable sediments are recently deposited deltaic, river channel, flood plain and aeolian (wind-borne) deposits and poorly compacted fills. Thus, preliminary assessment of liquefaction susceptibility can often be MOSAIC July/August 1979 33 made using low-cost geologic and h y d r o logic studies." In this way, Youd and his U.S.G.S. colleagues have prepared and published liquefaction-potential m a p s for the s o u t h e r n S a n Francisco Bay region. Areas there, u n d e r lain by recent stream deposits and bay m u d c o n t a i n i n g s a n d layers, have the h i g h e s t liquefaction risk. A similar map for the San Fernando Valley shows a number of areas just north of the Santa Monica M o u n t a i n s to be at high risk. Youd and the others in the field agree that such appraisals can indicate only a gross potential for liquefaction within a large area; to determine whether liquefaction is a hazard for specific sites, detailed geotechnical studies are necessary. Seed, summarizing recent work on the subject, identifies a n u m b e r of characteristics that influence the liquefaction p o t e n tial of cohesionless soils. Best recognized is the density of the soil. T h e more dense it is, the less it is likely to liquefy. Soils that have been under a sustained load for a long period are less susceptible than are very y o u n g , loose deposits. This heightened resistance seems to be the result of some form of cementation or welding over time. Also, soils that have been s u b jected to the strains of some small earthquakes in the past seem to be s o m e w h a t more resistant to liquefaction t h a n are freshly deposited sands, even t h o u g h this strain history doesn't increase their density. The classic test of liquefaction potential, first developed after the Niigata earthquake, measures the ability of the soil to resist penetration of a shaft fitted with a standard head and driven into the g r o u n d . The less resistant the soil, it has been found, the more prone it is to liquefaction. Over the years this standard penetration resistance test has been refined till the correlations between p e n e t r a t i o n r e s i s t a n c e and p o t e n t i a l for liquefaction are good. Solutions W h a t can be done once a high liquefaction potential is identified? As Idriss says: " T h e r e are solutions. O n e is not to build. Another is to build and accept the risk." If an important, specific site is involved, the liquefaction-susceptible soil can be p h y sically removed and replaced with a more cohesive soil. Loose sands can sometimes be made more dense by compacting. M a n y of the techniques, U.S.G.S.'s Youd points out, are expensive and thus justifiable only at economically important or critical sites. After the soil beneath the n e w San F e r n a n d o Valley J u v e n i l e Hall liquefied during the 1971 e a r t h q u a k e there, engineers 34 MOSAIC July/August 1979 cut two trenches across the site deep e n o u g h to intersect the liquefiable zones. T h e y then backfilled the trenches with well-compacted soil to prevent any future lateral movement. T h e y also grouted the soils beneath existing buildings. T h e liquefaction of the fill beneath the Jensen Water Filtration Plant during the same earthquake called for a different engineering solution. Engineers have recommended that gravel drainage columns be installed t h r o u g h the fill a n d u n d e r l y i n g layers. These vertical gravel drains would relieve excess pore-water pressures during an earthquake and prevent liquefaction. " H o w conservative you are depends on the consequences," says Idriss. A nuclear power plant or a dam needs to have all possible m a r g i n s of s a f e t y , a n d p r o b a b l y shouldn't be built in an area where there is any possibility of liquefaction. For a warehouse, the risk might well be tolerable. "If there's a choice of another site," says W i l l i a m S p a n g e l , p r e s i d e n t of W i l l i a m Spangel Associates, a Portola Valley, California, firm completing a s t u d y of land-use planning responses to earthquakes, "avoid the hazardous area. If there is not a choice, then mitigating measures have to be taken. And that's a matter of economics." Youd says he sees the problem getting worse, not better: "People are building more and more on low-lying areas of y o u n g deposits susceptible to liquefaction." And potentially liquefiable soils are being sought and found u n d e r congested metropolitan areas in m a n y parts of the world. Youd discovered one such in a recent analysis of the situation along the n o r t h e r n coast of Puerto Rico, including parts of San Juan. And two Japanese engineers—Kenji Ishihara of the University of T o k y o and Kaihei O g a w a of the T o k y o Metropolitan Office—have reported liquefaction susceptibility at a third of the more than 1,000 sites they investigated in d o w n t o w n T o k y o . But the lessons are being learned. In Seed's words, the efforts of m a n y workers " h a v e helped to raise the state of knowledge in this field over the past decade to a condition where engineers can practice in an extremely difficult area with some reasonable level of confidence." And there is m u c h greater awareness than before. " N o w nobody would design a major project without investigating the liquefaction problem," says Seed. " T h e r e is a sense of concern." • The National Science Foundation contributes to the support of research discussed in this article through its Earthquake Hazards Mitigation Program.
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