NUROBOD DISTRICT Chapter VIII. Preparedness to Emergency Situations, Prevention and Reduction of Risks Nurobod district is located in the east of Tajikistan. The district size is 0,92 km². The total size of population is 64,984 people. The population density is 7,22 people per 1 km². District consists of 6 jamoats: Mujiharf, Samsolik, Hakimi, Humdon, Yahak-Yust, Komsomolabad and Darband town. Table 1. Land resources Total hectares Hectares Total land fund Arable Gardens Mulberry groves Vineyards Pastures Hayfield Household plots Personal ancillary plots Total agricultural lands % used lands 92,797 4,788 1,484 75 2 63,481 829 2,491 917 74,067 79.82 Including irrigated lands (hectares) 1,831 794 827 125 3,577 4.83 7 emergency situations were officially registered from 2006 to 2008 in Nurobod district: rise of river level - 1, mudslides - 2, snowfalls - 1, rains and thunders - 1, frost - 1, strong wind - 1. Total damage to the economy of the Nurobod district caused by natural disasters made up 5,196,961 Tajik somoni (TJS), which makes 28.98% of the total budget for the triennium. Table 2 and Diagram 1 indicate the ratio of the amount of damage to the budget per years, including the percentage ratio. Table 2. Ratio of the district budget to damage caused by disasters Income (TJS) Expenditures (TJS) Disaster damage (TJS) Disaster damage (%) 2006 4,475,703 4,445,270 451,700 10.16 2007 5,974,548 5,961,556 2008 7,752,044 7,526,414 Total 18,202,295 17,933,240 1,830,500 30.71 2,914,761 38.73 5,196,961 28.98 Analysis shows the damage caused by natural disasters has a tendency to increase annually. This proves the need to take drastic measures to prevent emergencies, to promote activities aimed at the protection of population and district economy, paying particular attention to the protection against landslides and mudflows. 1 Diagram 1. Total damage in Nurobod district, 2006-2008 (TJS) 20000000 18000000 16000000 14000000 12000000 10000000 17,933,240 8000000 6000000 4000000 5,196,961 2000000 0 Budget Damage Dynamics of increase of damage caused by natural disasters shows that greatest damage district economy suffered in 2008 (Diagram 2). This damage exceeds the damage of the previous two years and amounts to 2,914,761 Tajik somoni, which is equal to 38.73% of annual budgeted expenditures of the district. Diagram 2. Ratio of the Nurobod district budget and damage caused by disasters 8000000 7000000 6000000 5000000 4000000 3000000 2000000 1000000 0 2006г Income (TJS) 2007г Expenses (TJS) 2008г Disaster damage (TJS) Diagram 3 shows the course of change of the damage in relation to budget. Diagram shows that there is a strong tendency towards annual growth. These figures confirm the absence of due attention to the prevention of emergency situations. In addition, analyzing natural disasters over the past years, we can assume that causes of these disasters are violations of agronomic norms and rules of agriculture which is the main kind of activity in the district. 2 Diagram 3. Disaster damage in % to expenditures of Nurobod district per years 38.7% 30.7% 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 10.2% 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 2006 2007 2008 While comparing the supply side of the budget per sectors from 2006 to 2008 (Table 3 and Table 4) with the damage for the same period it was found out that the greatest damage, both in percentage and in overall terms, fell on agriculture. The damage to agriculture during this period was many times higher than supply side of the district budget for this sector. The amount of damage was 3,868,702 TJS, which is equal to 2585.72% of the budget supply side for agriculture (for comparison: the total amount of the land tax for 2006 - 2008 made up 143,636 TJS). Table 3. Disaster damager per economic sectors of Nurobod district (TJS) Housing and communal Social sector, culture, education and health Agriculture Infrastructure Irrigation lines and channels Pumping stations and hydro facilities Other objects 2006 2007 2008 Всего 8,000 330,000 62,263 400,263 0 230,000 26,700 157,000 30,000 0 846,700 509,400 109,900 0 0 2,792,002 11,043 0 49,393 0 3,868,702 547,143 266,900 79,393 0 34,500 0 34,500 The amount of damage to housing and communal sector and infrastructure is also significant; for the housing and communal sector it is more than 400,000 TJS, and for infrastructure it is more than 547,000 TJS. In addition, irrigation facilities faced considerable damage. Total amount of damage made up 346,300 TJS. The percentage is not counted, because district budget doesn’t have items of expenses for infrastructure and irrigation 3 Table 4. Ratio of the district expenditures and damage per economic sectors Social sector, culture, education and health Housing and communal Agriculture Total 13,065,449 757,250 149,618 17,933,240 0 400,263 3,868,702 5,196,961 0 52.86 2585.72 28.98 Budget for 20062008 Disaster damage for 2006-2008 Disaster damage in % Diagram 4. Ratio of the district expenditures and damage per economic sectors (TJS) 10000000 9000000 8000000 7000000 6000000 5000000 4000000 3000000 2000000 1000000 0 Social sector, education. Budget 2006‐2008 Housing and communal Agriculture Disaster damage, 2006‐2008 79.82% of the district land fund the district is used in agriculture. At present, Agriculture is the main source of revenue of the local population, since 90% of the working population is engaged in this sector. In this regard, the damage to agriculture caused by disasters significantly reduces the population’s standards of living. Diagram 5. Disaster damage per sectors in % 0.00% 3000.00 2500.00 2000.00 1500.00 1000.00 0.00% 52.86% 500.00 0.00 Social sector, culture, education and health Housing and communal Agriculture Of the 6 jamoats and 1 town of the Nurobod district only Darband has no zone of threatening processes. The remaining seven jamoats have 2 to 11 villages which have hazardous areas. In total 4 there are 32 villages, which make 25.7% of the total umber of villages, with 41.77% of the total amount of district inhabitants. Table 5. № Jamoat Number of villages in jamoats Number of villages in hazardous zones Number of villages in hazardous zones (%) Total number of villages to be evacuated Number of villages in hazardous zones to be evacuated Number of villages in hazardous zones to be evacuated (%) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Komsomolabad Samsolik Humdon Muchiharf Hakimi Yahak-Yust Darband 19 7 20 25 23 12 2 108 11 2 3 8 5 3 0 32 57.9 28.6 15 32 21.7 25 0 25.7 8 2 5 4 10 5 0 34 5 0 0 1 2 1 0 9 45.5 0.0 0.0 12.5 40.0 33.3 Total 28.1 Diagram 6. Ratio of the total number of villages, number of villages in hazardous zones, number of villages to be evacuated and number of villages in hazardous zones to be evacuated Number of villages in jamoats 25 20 Number of villages in hazardous zones 15 Total number of villages to be evacuated 10 5 0 Kosomol Samsolik Humdon Mujiharf Hakimi Yahak- Darband Yust obod Number of villages in hazardous zones to be evacuated Major natural disasters, threatening population are landslides, mudflows and avalanches. In more than 43% of villages there are several types of threatening processes. In addition, district faces rise of river level, as well as emergencies due to severe frosts and snowfalls. Table 6 presents a list of geological processes that threaten villages. The whole district territory is exposed to snowfalls and frosts. 5 Table 6. Jamoat Village Markaz * Dehi shoh* Komsomolabad Chimor* Mudflows Dushhazamin* Mudflows Sebak Landslides, mudflows Tuthor Jamoat Village Mujikarfi maida* Chormagzak Mujiharf Mudflows Novodi maida Zoroni maida* Novobodi kalon Dahagiyon Mudflows Chepa ak Landslides, mudflows Kalanak Mudflows Hasandara* Tegirmi Avalanches, landslides, mudflows Hakimi poyon* Saidon Mudflows Kabutiyon Landslides Kalanak Dehoti (Shashvolon) Pandovchi* Samsolik Kalnazar Humdon Humdon Type of hazardous process Avalanches, landslides, mudflows Landslides, mudflows Gardanga Hujai murod Hakimi Landslides, mudflows Landslides, mudflows Landslides Landslides YahakYust Type of hazardous process Landslides, mudflows Landslides, mudflows Landslides, mudflows Landslides Landslides, mudflows Landslides, mudflows Landslides Landslides Mudflows Mudflows Tagi kamar Shahtuti bolo Mudflows Sadokat Mudflows Iston Landslides Yahak Yust* Landslides Avalanches, landslides, mudflows Landslides, mudflows * - villages in hazardous zones to be evacuated as per the plan of construction of the Roghun Hydro Power Station (HPS). 27,145 people (2,335 dekhkan farms) live in the villages with threatening processes which makes 41.77% from the total amount of the district population. 6 Table 7. Jamoats and villages Number of households Number of inhabitants Number of households in hazardous zones and in zones subject to evacuation Number of inhabitants in hazardous zones and in zones subject to evacuation Komsomo Humdo Samsolik labad n Mujiharf Hakimi Yahak Total -Yust 828 332 88 361 444 282 2,335 6,321 2,501 8,952 3,740 3,440 2,191 27,145 830 89 191 103 1,213 5847 907 1,504 773 9,031 Due to the construction of the Roghun HPS it is planned to evacuate villages that are located in areas of future flooding. It total 34 settlements (fully and partially) will be relocated (the number is given without division of villages on the land plots). According to Hukumat list 475 households (3,551 people) will be relocated by the end of 2009 and 2,497 households (19.622 people) will be relocated from 2010 to 2015. 9 villages out of those that are subject to evacuated are located in the hazardous zones. Thus, the total number of villages in hazardous zones will be reduced by 28.1%. This amounts to 1,213 households or 9,031 people according to District statistical office. At the same time it should be noted that after the completion of the Roghun HPS and fillup of the reservoir, 13,839.19 hectares of land will be covered by water. 90% of these lands are useful land (gardens, pastures, arable lands, etc.). In this regard, the issue of protection of existing farmlands should become a priority, along with a disaster risk reduced risk to human life. This is a very crucial issue, since the area is subsidized (72%) and doesn’t have revenues that could be spent on mitigation works. Therefore it is necessary to devise solutions to problems and determine sources of funding; otherwise there is a risk of a sharp decline of income per capita and increase of poverty. In case of an emergency, Nurobad preparedness and response structure looks as follows: 7 Disaster Preparedness and Response Structure of Nurobod district Chairman of Nurobod district 1st Deputy Chairman For ideology Medical service Sanitary and Epidemiological surveillance service District Emergency Commission Chairman of the commission: Chairman of the district Deputy Chairman: Deputy Chairman Commission Secretary: Head of District CoES office Members of the Commission; Heads of executive bodies of the district Deputy Chairman for construction and communal facilities Transportation and road department Engineering service Deputy Chairman for economy and finance Service for protection of animals and plants Communal service Law enforcement department Energy service Jamoats Mudflows and river bank reinforcement service Communication and awareness service Trade and nutrition department Fire department 8 At present, Nurobod has 12 departments/services that are directly involved in disaster response actions. Below there is a list of departments/services with the indication of available forces and assets, stock and needs: Communication and Awareness Department (OJSC Tajiktelecom) Available forces and assets Available stocks 1. GAZ 3110 2. Generator – 2 items. 3. Rural communication centers – 28 items: • • None Darband – 1 item. Nurobod -1 item. Needs • • • • Fuel– 5 tons Emergency communication vehicle – 1 item Posts – 100 items. Field cable– 20 km. Law Enforcement Department (Militia) Available forces and assets 60 employees 10 inspectors. motorcar - 4 items Available stocks None Needs special vehicle with communication system - 1 item radio stations – 4 items Fuel– 2 tons Fire Department Available forces and assets 1 автомашина ГАЗ 66 – 1items. ЗИЛ 130 – 1 items. ВАЗ 2107 – 1items. Available stocks None Needs 1 vehicle auto-ladder Fuel, Spare parts Transportation and road department Available forces and assets Tractor DT 75 – 1items. Grader– 2 items. Auto loader– 2 items. Excavator– 2items. Bulldozer– 3 items. NIVA – 1items. MAZ – 1items. KRAZ – 1items. ZIL – 1items. Available stocks Welding apparatus (electrical welding) Needs Fuel – 5 тонн Generator for welding– 1 items. Communal Service Available forces and assets SAZ 53 – 1 item. ZIL (Sprinkler) – 1 item. NIVA 2121 – 1item. Bus– 6 items. Available stocks Generator Needs Sprinkler – 1item. Cesspoolage truck 1item. Excavator – 1 item. Fuel – 10 tons Spare parts, construction materials Sanitary and Epidemiological surveillance service Available forces and assets 18 employees 1 analysis lab NIVA 2121 – 1item. Available stocks Chlorine 50 kg. Needs Mobile disinfection chamber Reagents for chemical lab & bacteriological lab, Fuel Trade and Nutrition Department Available forces and assets 32 sale points 18 employees 2 tea-houses Available stocks Flower – 10 tons Potato – 2 tons Onion – 1 ton Other foodstuff – 2 tons Needs Fuel Trucks 9 Service for protection of animals and plants Available forces and assets Agricultural department Tractor МТЗ 82/1 – 6 items. Available stocks None Needs Handcart – 6 items. Plough – 18 items. Ploughshare – 30 items. Potato seeder – 3 items. Potato collector– 3 items. Hay cutter– 6 items. Fuel – 5 tons 2% of medicines Veterinary department Motorcar – 1 item. Medicines Fuel NIVA 2121 – 1 item. Energy Service Available forces and assets Substation - 4 items. GAZ 52 – 1item. GAZ 53 – 1 item. Available stocks Cable Needs Posts – 10 items. Cable АВВГ 50 – 3 км. Autocrane - 1item. Fuel – 5 тонн. Mudflows and River Bank Reinforcement Service Available forces and assets ZIL 157 – 2 items. (non-operating) ZIL 130 - 2 items. Pipelaying crane– 1 item. ТНТЗ -80 – 1 item. (non-operating) Т 40 – 1 items. MAZ 5549 – 1 item. Bus – 1item. Available forces and assets Total number of vehicles – 8 items: VAZ motorcar 2121 – 2items. Ambulance UAZ 3962 – 1items. Minivan – 4 items. VAZ motorcar 2107 – 1 item. X-ray equipment– 1 item. Fluorography equipment – 1item. 109 employees Available stocks None Needs Autocrane – 1item. Excavator – 2 items. KAMAZ truck – 2 items. Motor car – 1item. Spare parts Медицинская служба Available stocks 8% medicines Needs Motor car – 2 items. Fluorography equipment – 1items. Fuel Medicines Engineering Service Available forces and assets VAZ motorcar 2109 – 1 item. Level – 1item. Available stocks Needs Theodolite None Repairs and technical service 1 Available forces and assets Bulldozer Т170 – 1piece. Excavator – 1piece. Auto dumper – 1piece. Tractor Т 40 – 1 piece. Available stocks None Needs Autocrane– 1 items. Bulldozer – 1 item Gas-tank truck – 1item Tractor МТЗ 100 – 1 item Auto dumper – 1 item Fuel, mobile electrical generator 1 This service is not part of the Hurobod Hukumat, because this is a private organization. However, this entity is involveв in disaster response actions. 10 It should be noted that disaster risk reduction should be considered as integrated, cross-sectoral issue touching all areas of the infrastructure, because in case of disaster occurrence all sectors are affected. In this light, the main purpose is to integrate disaster risk management into district development plans through the implementation of the disaster preparedness and response plans and allocation of concrete resources from all development budgets. Taking into account the considerable financial damage caused by natural disasters, it is necessary to develop disaster risk reduction strategy, disaster prevention plan with the participation of all involved services. Below there is a list of problems in the field disaster reduction. It should be noted that these problems districtwide and affect all areas of the economy. Major disaster risk reduction problems in the district: ♦ Lack of funds in the budget for: o disaster warning/response; o establishment of the early warning system; o carrying out activities on protection of the population in the most hazardous areas; ♦ Low effectiveness of the regional civil defense forces; ♦ Lack of funds for the implementation of the planned full range mitigation measures; ♦ Non-observance of the agrotechnical norms and agricultural rules; ♦ Lack of donor support in the field of disaster risk reduction at the district level. Disaster reduction objectives and strategy The goal is to integrate disaster reduction measures through the implementation of structural and nonstructural mitigation measures 2 to prepare for and respond to disasters, and to allocate resources from all development budgets. General recommendations 1. Policy development on protection and preservation of the agricultural lands; 2. Purposeful utilization of resources (both local and subsidies) for the protection of the existing arable lands, as the main source of livelihood in the district; 3. Preparation of district disaster preparedness and response plan; 4. Determination of the priority mitigation works at the district level; 5. Implementation of the planned exercises with civil defense services at the district and local (Jamoat) levels to ensure constant readiness; 6. Improvement of civil defense forces and means for the disaster management; 7. Determination of the safe places for evacuation of the population from disaster sites. 2 Structural mitigation includes the construction of new buildings, roads, canals, dams and other infrastructure and strengthening and upgrading of the old structures. Non-structural mitigation means education, training, placement of signs and warning signs, development of regulations, land use plans, etc. 11
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