Снижение стихийных бедствий

NUROBOD DISTRICT
Chapter VIII. Preparedness to Emergency Situations, Prevention and Reduction of Risks
Nurobod district is located in the east of Tajikistan. The district size is 0,92 km². The total size of
population is 64,984 people. The population density is 7,22 people per 1 km². District consists of 6
jamoats: Mujiharf, Samsolik, Hakimi, Humdon, Yahak-Yust, Komsomolabad and Darband town.
Table 1.
Land resources
Total hectares
Hectares
Total land fund
Arable
Gardens
Mulberry groves
Vineyards
Pastures
Hayfield
Household plots
Personal ancillary plots
Total agricultural lands
% used lands
92,797
4,788
1,484
75
2
63,481
829
2,491
917
74,067
79.82
Including irrigated lands
(hectares)
1,831
794
827
125
3,577
4.83
7 emergency situations were officially registered from 2006 to 2008 in Nurobod district: rise of river
level - 1, mudslides - 2, snowfalls - 1, rains and thunders - 1, frost - 1, strong wind - 1. Total damage
to the economy of the Nurobod district caused by natural disasters made up 5,196,961 Tajik somoni
(TJS), which makes 28.98% of the total budget for the triennium. Table 2 and Diagram 1 indicate
the ratio of the amount of damage to the budget per years, including the percentage ratio.
Table 2.
Ratio of the district budget to damage caused by disasters
Income (TJS)
Expenditures (TJS)
Disaster damage (TJS)
Disaster damage (%)
2006
4,475,703
4,445,270
451,700
10.16
2007
5,974,548
5,961,556
2008
7,752,044
7,526,414
Total
18,202,295
17,933,240
1,830,500
30.71
2,914,761
38.73
5,196,961
28.98
Analysis shows the damage caused by natural disasters has a tendency to increase annually. This
proves the need to take drastic measures to prevent emergencies, to promote activities aimed at the
protection of population and district economy, paying particular attention to the protection against
landslides and mudflows.
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Diagram 1.
Total damage in Nurobod district,
2006-2008 (TJS)
20000000
18000000
16000000
14000000
12000000
10000000
17,933,240
8000000
6000000
4000000
5,196,961
2000000
0
Budget
Damage
Dynamics of increase of damage caused by natural disasters shows that greatest damage district
economy suffered in 2008 (Diagram 2). This damage exceeds the damage of the previous two years
and amounts to 2,914,761 Tajik somoni, which is equal to 38.73% of annual budgeted expenditures
of the district.
Diagram 2.
Ratio of the Nurobod district budget and
damage caused by disasters
8000000
7000000
6000000
5000000
4000000
3000000
2000000
1000000
0
2006г
Income (TJS)
2007г
Expenses (TJS)
2008г
Disaster damage (TJS)
Diagram 3 shows the course of change of the damage in relation to budget. Diagram shows that
there is a strong tendency towards annual growth. These figures confirm the absence of due
attention to the prevention of emergency situations. In addition, analyzing natural disasters over the
past years, we can assume that causes of these disasters are violations of agronomic norms and rules
of agriculture which is the main kind of activity in the district.
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Diagram 3.
Disaster damage in % to expenditures
of Nurobod district per years
38.7%
30.7%
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
10.2%
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
2006
2007
2008
While comparing the supply side of the budget per sectors from 2006 to 2008 (Table 3 and Table 4)
with the damage for the same period it was found out that the greatest damage, both in percentage
and in overall terms, fell on agriculture. The damage to agriculture during this period was many
times higher than supply side of the district budget for this sector. The amount of damage was
3,868,702 TJS, which is equal to 2585.72% of the budget supply side for agriculture (for
comparison: the total amount of the land tax for 2006 - 2008 made up 143,636 TJS).
Table 3.
Disaster damager per economic sectors of Nurobod district (TJS)
Housing and communal
Social sector, culture, education and
health
Agriculture
Infrastructure
Irrigation lines and channels
Pumping stations and hydro facilities
Other objects
2006
2007
2008
Всего
8,000
330,000
62,263
400,263
0
230,000
26,700
157,000
30,000
0
846,700
509,400
109,900
0
0
2,792,002
11,043
0
49,393
0
3,868,702
547,143
266,900
79,393
0
34,500
0
34,500
The amount of damage to housing and communal sector and infrastructure is also significant; for the
housing and communal sector it is more than 400,000 TJS, and for infrastructure it is more than
547,000 TJS. In addition, irrigation facilities faced considerable damage. Total amount of damage
made up 346,300 TJS. The percentage is not counted, because district budget doesn’t have items of
expenses for infrastructure and irrigation
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Table 4.
Ratio of the district expenditures and damage per economic sectors
Social sector, culture,
education and health
Housing and
communal
Agriculture
Total
13,065,449
757,250
149,618
17,933,240
0
400,263
3,868,702
5,196,961
0
52.86
2585.72
28.98
Budget for 20062008
Disaster damage
for 2006-2008
Disaster damage in
%
Diagram 4.
Ratio of the district expenditures and
damage per economic sectors (TJS)
10000000
9000000
8000000
7000000
6000000
5000000
4000000
3000000
2000000
1000000
0
Social sector, education.
Budget 2006‐2008
Housing and communal Agriculture
Disaster damage, 2006‐2008 79.82% of the district land fund the district is used in agriculture. At present, Agriculture is the main
source of revenue of the local population, since 90% of the working population is engaged in this
sector. In this regard, the damage to agriculture caused by disasters significantly reduces the
population’s standards of living.
Diagram 5.
Disaster damage per sectors in %
0.00%
3000.00
2500.00
2000.00
1500.00
1000.00
0.00%
52.86%
500.00
0.00
Social sector, culture,
education and health
Housing and
communal
Agriculture
Of the 6 jamoats and 1 town of the Nurobod district only Darband has no zone of threatening
processes. The remaining seven jamoats have 2 to 11 villages which have hazardous areas. In total
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there are 32 villages, which make 25.7% of the total umber of villages, with 41.77% of the total
amount of district inhabitants.
Table 5.
№
Jamoat
Number of
villages in
jamoats
Number of
villages in
hazardous
zones
Number of
villages in
hazardous
zones (%)
Total
number of
villages to be
evacuated
Number of
villages in
hazardous
zones to be
evacuated
Number of
villages in
hazardous
zones to be
evacuated
(%)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Komsomolabad
Samsolik
Humdon
Muchiharf
Hakimi
Yahak-Yust
Darband
19
7
20
25
23
12
2
108
11
2
3
8
5
3
0
32
57.9
28.6
15
32
21.7
25
0
25.7
8
2
5
4
10
5
0
34
5
0
0
1
2
1
0
9
45.5
0.0
0.0
12.5
40.0
33.3
Total
28.1
Diagram 6.
Ratio of the total number of villages, number of villages in hazardous zones,
number of villages to be evacuated and number of villages in hazardous zones to be
evacuated
Number of villages
in jamoats
25
20
Number of villages
in hazardous zones
15
Total number
of villages to be
evacuated
10
5
0
Kosomol Samsolik Humdon Mujiharf Hakimi Yahak- Darband
Yust
obod
Number of villages in
hazardous zones to
be evacuated
Major natural disasters, threatening population are landslides, mudflows and avalanches. In more
than 43% of villages there are several types of threatening processes. In addition, district faces rise
of river level, as well as emergencies due to severe frosts and snowfalls.
Table 6 presents a list of geological processes that threaten villages. The whole district territory is
exposed to snowfalls and frosts.
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Table 6.
Jamoat
Village
Markaz *
Dehi shoh*
Komsomolabad
Chimor*
Mudflows
Dushhazamin*
Mudflows
Sebak
Landslides,
mudflows
Tuthor
Jamoat
Village
Mujikarfi
maida*
Chormagzak
Mujiharf
Mudflows
Novodi
maida
Zoroni
maida*
Novobodi
kalon
Dahagiyon
Mudflows
Chepa ak
Landslides,
mudflows
Kalanak
Mudflows
Hasandara*
Tegirmi
Avalanches,
landslides,
mudflows
Hakimi
poyon*
Saidon
Mudflows
Kabutiyon
Landslides
Kalanak
Dehoti
(Shashvolon)
Pandovchi*
Samsolik
Kalnazar
Humdon
Humdon
Type of
hazardous
process
Avalanches,
landslides,
mudflows
Landslides,
mudflows
Gardanga
Hujai murod
Hakimi
Landslides,
mudflows
Landslides,
mudflows
Landslides
Landslides
YahakYust
Type of
hazardous
process
Landslides,
mudflows
Landslides,
mudflows
Landslides,
mudflows
Landslides
Landslides,
mudflows
Landslides,
mudflows
Landslides
Landslides
Mudflows
Mudflows
Tagi kamar
Shahtuti
bolo
Mudflows
Sadokat
Mudflows
Iston
Landslides
Yahak
Yust*
Landslides
Avalanches,
landslides,
mudflows
Landslides,
mudflows
* - villages in hazardous zones to be evacuated as per the plan of construction of the Roghun
Hydro Power Station (HPS).
27,145 people (2,335 dekhkan farms) live in the villages with threatening processes which
makes 41.77% from the total amount of the district population.
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Table 7.
Jamoats and
villages
Number of
households
Number of
inhabitants
Number of
households in
hazardous zones
and in zones
subject to
evacuation
Number of
inhabitants in
hazardous zones
and in zones
subject to
evacuation
Komsomo
Humdo
Samsolik
labad
n
Mujiharf
Hakimi
Yahak
Total
-Yust
828
332
88
361
444
282
2,335
6,321
2,501
8,952
3,740
3,440
2,191
27,145
830
89
191
103
1,213
5847
907
1,504
773
9,031
Due to the construction of the Roghun HPS it is planned to evacuate villages that are located in
areas of future flooding. It total 34 settlements (fully and partially) will be relocated (the number is
given without division of villages on the land plots). According to Hukumat list 475 households
(3,551 people) will be relocated by the end of 2009 and 2,497 households (19.622 people) will be
relocated from 2010 to 2015.
9 villages out of those that are subject to evacuated are located in the hazardous zones. Thus, the
total number of villages in hazardous zones will be reduced by 28.1%. This amounts to 1,213
households or 9,031 people according to District statistical office. At the same time it should be
noted that after the completion of the Roghun HPS and fillup of the reservoir, 13,839.19 hectares of
land will be covered by water. 90% of these lands are useful land (gardens, pastures, arable lands,
etc.). In this regard, the issue of protection of existing farmlands should become a priority, along
with a disaster risk reduced risk to human life. This is a very crucial issue, since the area is
subsidized (72%) and doesn’t have revenues that could be spent on mitigation works. Therefore it is
necessary to devise solutions to problems and determine sources of funding; otherwise there is a risk
of a sharp decline of income per capita and increase of poverty.
In case of an emergency, Nurobad preparedness and response structure looks as follows:
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Disaster Preparedness and Response Structure of Nurobod district
Chairman of Nurobod district
1st Deputy
Chairman
For ideology
Medical service
Sanitary and
Epidemiological
surveillance service
District Emergency Commission
Chairman of the commission:
Chairman of the district
Deputy Chairman:
Deputy Chairman
Commission Secretary:
Head of District CoES office
Members of the Commission;
Heads of executive bodies of the
district
Deputy Chairman for
construction and communal
facilities
Transportation and
road department
Engineering service
Deputy Chairman for
economy and finance
Service for
protection of
animals and plants
Communal service
Law enforcement
department
Energy service
Jamoats
Mudflows and river bank
reinforcement service
Communication and
awareness service
Trade and nutrition
department
Fire department
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At present, Nurobod has 12 departments/services that are directly involved in disaster response
actions. Below there is a list of departments/services with the indication of available forces and
assets, stock and needs:
Communication and Awareness Department (OJSC Tajiktelecom)
Available forces and assets
Available stocks
1. GAZ 3110
2. Generator – 2 items.
3. Rural communication centers – 28 items:
•
•
None
Darband – 1 item.
Nurobod -1 item.
Needs
•
•
•
•
Fuel– 5 tons
Emergency communication vehicle – 1
item
Posts – 100 items.
Field cable– 20 km.
Law Enforcement Department (Militia)
Available forces and assets
60 employees
10 inspectors.
motorcar - 4 items
Available stocks
None
Needs
special vehicle with communication system
- 1 item
radio stations – 4 items
Fuel– 2 tons
Fire Department
Available forces and assets
1 автомашина ГАЗ 66 – 1items.
ЗИЛ 130 – 1 items.
ВАЗ 2107 – 1items.
Available stocks
None
Needs
1 vehicle auto-ladder
Fuel,
Spare parts
Transportation and road department
Available forces and assets
Tractor DT 75 – 1items.
Grader– 2 items.
Auto loader– 2 items.
Excavator– 2items.
Bulldozer– 3 items.
NIVA – 1items.
MAZ – 1items.
KRAZ – 1items.
ZIL – 1items.
Available stocks
Welding apparatus
(electrical welding)
Needs
Fuel – 5 тонн
Generator for welding– 1 items.
Communal Service
Available forces and assets
SAZ 53 – 1 item.
ZIL (Sprinkler) – 1 item.
NIVA 2121 – 1item.
Bus– 6 items.
Available stocks
Generator
Needs
Sprinkler – 1item.
Cesspoolage truck 1item.
Excavator – 1 item.
Fuel – 10 tons
Spare parts, construction materials
Sanitary and Epidemiological surveillance service
Available forces and assets
18 employees
1 analysis lab
NIVA 2121 – 1item.
Available stocks
Chlorine 50 kg.
Needs
Mobile disinfection chamber
Reagents for chemical lab & bacteriological
lab,
Fuel
Trade and Nutrition Department
Available forces and assets
32 sale points
18 employees
2 tea-houses
Available stocks
Flower – 10 tons
Potato – 2 tons
Onion – 1 ton
Other foodstuff – 2 tons
Needs
Fuel
Trucks
9
Service for protection of animals and plants
Available forces and assets
Agricultural department
Tractor МТЗ 82/1 – 6 items.
Available stocks
None
Needs
Handcart – 6 items.
Plough – 18 items.
Ploughshare – 30 items.
Potato seeder – 3 items.
Potato collector– 3 items.
Hay cutter– 6 items.
Fuel – 5 tons
2% of medicines
Veterinary department
Motorcar – 1 item.
Medicines
Fuel
NIVA 2121 – 1 item.
Energy Service
Available forces and assets
Substation - 4 items.
GAZ 52 – 1item.
GAZ 53 – 1 item.
Available stocks
Cable
Needs
Posts – 10 items.
Cable АВВГ 50 – 3 км.
Autocrane - 1item.
Fuel – 5 тонн.
Mudflows and River Bank Reinforcement Service
Available forces and assets
ZIL 157 – 2 items. (non-operating)
ZIL 130 - 2 items.
Pipelaying crane– 1 item.
ТНТЗ -80 – 1 item. (non-operating)
Т 40 – 1 items.
MAZ 5549 – 1 item.
Bus – 1item.
Available forces and assets
Total number of vehicles – 8 items:
VAZ motorcar 2121 – 2items.
Ambulance UAZ 3962 – 1items.
Minivan – 4 items.
VAZ motorcar 2107 – 1 item.
X-ray equipment– 1 item.
Fluorography equipment – 1item.
109 employees
Available stocks
None
Needs
Autocrane – 1item.
Excavator – 2 items.
KAMAZ truck – 2 items.
Motor car – 1item.
Spare parts
Медицинская служба
Available stocks
8% medicines
Needs
Motor car – 2 items.
Fluorography equipment – 1items.
Fuel
Medicines
Engineering Service
Available forces and assets
VAZ motorcar 2109 – 1 item.
Level – 1item.
Available stocks
Needs
Theodolite
None
Repairs and technical service 1
Available forces and assets
Bulldozer Т170 – 1piece.
Excavator – 1piece.
Auto dumper – 1piece.
Tractor Т 40 – 1 piece.
Available stocks
None
Needs
Autocrane– 1 items.
Bulldozer – 1 item
Gas-tank truck – 1item
Tractor МТЗ 100 – 1 item
Auto dumper – 1 item
Fuel, mobile electrical generator
1
This service is not part of the Hurobod Hukumat, because this is a private organization. However, this entity is involveв
in disaster response actions.
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It should be noted that disaster risk reduction should be considered as integrated, cross-sectoral issue
touching all areas of the infrastructure, because in case of disaster occurrence all sectors are
affected. In this light, the main purpose is to integrate disaster risk management into district
development plans through the implementation of the disaster preparedness and response plans and
allocation of concrete resources from all development budgets.
Taking into account the considerable financial damage caused by natural disasters, it is necessary to
develop disaster risk reduction strategy, disaster prevention plan with the participation of all
involved services. Below there is a list of problems in the field disaster reduction. It should be noted
that these problems districtwide and affect all areas of the economy.
Major disaster risk reduction problems in the district:
♦ Lack of funds in the budget for:
o disaster warning/response;
o establishment of the early warning system;
o carrying out activities on protection of the population in the most hazardous areas;
♦ Low effectiveness of the regional civil defense forces;
♦ Lack of funds for the implementation of the planned full range mitigation measures;
♦ Non-observance of the agrotechnical norms and agricultural rules;
♦ Lack of donor support in the field of disaster risk reduction at the district level.
Disaster reduction objectives and strategy
The goal is to integrate disaster reduction measures through the implementation of structural and
nonstructural mitigation measures 2 to prepare for and respond to disasters, and to allocate resources
from all development budgets.
General recommendations
1. Policy development on protection and preservation of the agricultural lands;
2. Purposeful utilization of resources (both local and subsidies) for the protection of the existing
arable lands, as the main source of livelihood in the district;
3. Preparation of district disaster preparedness and response plan;
4. Determination of the priority mitigation works at the district level;
5. Implementation of the planned exercises with civil defense services at the district and local
(Jamoat) levels to ensure constant readiness;
6. Improvement of civil defense forces and means for the disaster management;
7. Determination of the safe places for evacuation of the population from disaster sites.
2
Structural mitigation includes the construction of new buildings, roads, canals, dams and other infrastructure and strengthening and
upgrading of the old structures.
Non-structural mitigation means education, training, placement of signs and warning signs, development of regulations, land use
plans, etc.
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