MODELING NITROGEN DYNAMICS IN THE TIOUGHNIOGA RIVER, NEW YORK Li Jin1, Kristina Gutchess2 and Zunli Lu2 1 Geology Department, SUNY Cortland, Cortland, NY 13045 [email protected]; 2 Department of Earth Sciences, Syracuse University, 204 Heroy Geology Laboratory, Syracuse, NY 13244 Abstract Integrated Catchment Model (INCA) Elevated nutrient concentrations such as nitrogen have led to serious problems of surface water eutrophication and groundwater contamination in many places around the world. Chesapeake Bay has been the subject of intensive research on eutrophication and nutrient input reductions. Tioughnioga River, the headwater to the Susquehanna River and Chesapeake Bay, plays an important role in controlling the transport of nutrients downstream. In this study, an integrated catchment nitrogen model (INCA-N) is used to simulate in-stream nitrate concentrations in the headwater of Tioughnioga River which begins as two branches with contrasting land use characteristics. The model is calibrated using the weekly nitrate concentrations at the mouths of two branches and monthly nitrate concentrations from multiple locations along the two branches from 2012 to 2014. Preliminary modeling results suggest the main drives of the in-stream nitrate concentrations are nitrogen levels in atmospheric deposition and groundwater. The model is sensitive to nitrogen process-reparameters e.g. denitrification rates and plant uptake rates. Projected climate change effects in the Tioughnioga River using the INCA-N model will be explored in future studies. Sub-catchment comprising 1 to 6 land use types Reach 1 Sub-catchment boundary Sub-catchment river network ( ! ! ( .! ( . # *# ( ! . * # * TRE3 ( ! TR1 2 ( ! 8 Kilometers # * ( ! TR2 ¯ ! ( WWTP # * PPT . ! Flow Stations ( ! Chemistry ! ( .! ( . # *# ( ! . * # * WWTP # * PPT . ! Flow Stations ( ! Chemistry landuse_clip <all other values> merge_7677_Clip1 Elevation Value ! ( 81 ( ! # * LUCODE High : 645 Urban Low : 272 # * 0 # * 2 4 8 Kilometers # * ¯ Agriculture # * # * Forest Tioughnioga River Catchment Basic Characteristics: Land use: Size: ~900 km primarily agricultural and forest with urban concentrated at the bottom of the watershed Geology: River - unconfined glacial-outwash comprised of sand and gravel with till-covered bedrock hills. Aquifer - Upper to Middle Devonian bedrock consisting predominantly of shale interbedded with siltstone, sandstone, and limestone. Reach No. Name TRE1 1 TRE2 2 TRE3 3 TRE4 4 TRE5 5 TRW1 6 TRW2 7 TRW3 8 TRW4 9 TR1 10 TR2 11 East Branch West Branch Data Collection: Land Use Class (%) Subcatchment Area (km2) 219.22 93.66 147.84 10.74 24.32 65.36 25.83 100.93 73.40 3.17 130.17 495.77 265.53 Reach Length (m) 26634 10578 13847 2847 7190 12166 3293 6274 4918 947 4956 Urban 1.21 1.51 0.31 0.00 3.16 2.61 1.07 2.79 17.45 25.96 3.72 1.24 5.98 Highway Agriculture Wetland 0.00 42.87 2.01 0.00 24.65 2.22 0.00 30.51 1.45 0.00 47.99 0.41 0.00 52.77 0.00 3.33 42.27 5.98 4.42 42.41 6.09 1.79 42.02 1.56 1.58 52.11 0.00 6.71 2.02 0.00 0.87 37.44 0.28 0.00 39.76 1.22 2.78 44.70 3.41 Nitrate: weekly sampling at TRW4 and TRE5 from 2012-2014; Monthly-bimonthly sampling at all sites in 2014 Flow: daily flow data from USGS flow station Precipitation: Daymet data and individual stations from neighboring area Observations: flow water chemistry (nitrate) Data input for PERSiST Hydrological inputs: Daily precipitation Daily temperature Observation: Flow Wetland DEM map and land use map for Tioughnioga River Watershed with flow station, water quality station, precipitation stations. 2 TRW4 Rainfall-runoff Model-PERSiST Legend ( ! ( ! 4 Modified from Whitehead et al., 1998; 2011 ( ! # * 0 ( ! Observed Simulated TRE5 Forest 53.90 71.62 67.72 51.60 44.07 45.80 46.01 51.83 28.86 65.31 57.70 57.78 43.13 Left: Generic bucket structure and relative evapotranspiration rate as a function of water depth Right: Hydrologic response units with each subcatchment Modified from Futter et al., 2014. 2.0 TRE5 Observed 1.5 Modeled 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 TRW4 2.0 9 10 Observed 11 12 Modeled 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Monthly Nitrate-N Concentration Comparison 12 TRE5 80000 TRW4 70000 Linear (all) 60000 y = 1.0765x R² = 0.9635 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 1 Monthly Nitrate-N loads Comparison 90000 Observed Nitrate Load (kg N/month) TRW4 ( ! ( ! Legend INCA Nitrate Results Nitrate Concentrations (mg N/L) ( ! TRE4 ( ! ( TRE5 ! Multi-branch River Network N inputs: atmospheric N inputs to the whole catchment N inputs as fertilizer and manure to agriculture land N inputs to the stream (point source-STW) TRW1 TRW3 Reach 4 Nitrate Concentrations (mg N/L) TRE1 Simulated Hydrological inputs (SMD and HER from PERSiST): daily precipitation and temperature soil moisture deficit (SMD) hydrological effective rainfall (HER) # * # * r2=0.72 N-S=0.68 Land use data: up to 6 different land use types # * # * ( ! Reach 3 Observed Reach and sub-catchment characteristics: reach length, area, etc (derived from DEM using GIS) # * # * TRW2 Reach 2 TR1 Sub-catchment reach structure Land Use # * TRE2 Diffuse STW List of basic data need for INCA DEM ( ! Link between diffuse and point sources and in-stream components at the sub-catchment level Cell Model Site Description # * INCA Flow Results 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 Modeled Nitrate Load (kg N/month) Conclusions Nitrate concentrations are generally low at both West Branch and East Branch of Tioughnioga River. West Branch has slightly higher nitrate concentrations comparing to the East Branch. Nitrate concentrations follow a seasonal pattern reaching the lowest values in the summer and early fall due to high denitrification rates and plant uptake. PERSiST and INCA-N models catch flow dynamics at both high flow and low flow conditions. Timing and magnitude of snowmelt peaks are well simulated. INCA-N model simulates nitrogen reasonably well in this snow-dominated catchment. Model is sensitive to atmospheric deposition, groundwater concentrations and nitrogen-process related parameters such as denitrification, mineralization and plant uptake. Ackowledgements Thanks to SUNY Cortland Faculty Research Program and Syracuse University Water Fellowship NRT: Education Model Program on Water-Energy Research (EMPOWER) at Syracuse University (DGE-1449617). References Whitehead, P. G., Wilson, E. J. and Butterfield, D., Sci. Total Environ., 1998, 210/211, 547-558. Whitehead, P.G., L. Jin, H. M. Baulch, D. A. Butterfield, S. K. Oni, P. J. Dillon, M. N. Futter, A. J. Wade, R. North, E. M. O'Connor and H. Jarvie, Sci. Total Environ., 2011, 412–413, 315–323. M. N. Futter, M. A. Erlandsson, D. ButterfieldP. G. Whitehead, S. K. Oni and A. J. Wade, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 2014, 18, 855–873.
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