Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 139 (2010) 336–345 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/agee The net biome production of full crop rotations in Europe W.L. Kutsch a,∗ , M. Aubinet b , N. Buchmann c , P. Smith d , B. Osborne e , W. Eugster c , M. Wattenbach d , M. Schrumpf f , E.D. Schulze f , E. Tomelleri f , E. Ceschia g , C. Bernhofer h , P. Béziat g , A. Carrara i , P. Di Tommasi j , T. Grünwald h , M. Jones k , V. Magliulo j , O. Marloie l , C. Moureaux b , A. Olioso l , M.J. Sanz i , M. Saunders e , H. Søgaard m , W. Ziegler f a Johann Heinrich von Thünen-Institut, Institute for Agricultural Climate Research, Braunschweig, Germany Unit of Biosystem Physics, Faculté Universitaire des Sciences Agronomiques, Gembloux, Belgium c ETH Zurich, Institute of Plant, Animal and Agroecosystem Sciences, Dept. of Agricultural and Food Sciences, Zurich, Switzerland d Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Cruickshank Building, St Machar Drive, Aberdeen, AB24 3UU Scotland, UK e School of Biology and Environmental Science, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland f Max-Planck-Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany g CESBIO, UMR 5126 – CNES-CNRS-UPS-IRD, 18 Avenue Edouard Belin, 31401 Toulouse cedex 9, France h Technische Universität Dresden, Department of Meteorology, Tharandt, Germany i Fundación CEAM, c/Charles Darwin 14, Parque Tecnológico, 46980 Paterna, Spain j CNR Institute for Agricultural and Forest Systems, Via Patacca 85, 80056 Ercolano, Napoli, Italy k School of Natural Sciences, Department of Botany, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin 2, Ireland l INRA, UMR 1114 INRA-UAPV, Domaine Saint Paul, Site Agroparc, F-84914 Avignon, France m Department of Geography and Geology, University of Kopenhagen, Oster Voldgade 10, DK-1350 Copenhagen, Denmark b a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 20 July 2009 Received in revised form 22 July 2010 Accepted 27 July 2010 Available online 24 August 2010 Keywords: Carbon budget Eddy covariance Harvest Organic fertilizer Good practice guidelines Agriculture a b s t r a c t Data sets of biometeorological measurements of ecosystem CO2 flux, combined with harvest and manure data from several European cropland were integrated to provide an assessment of the carbon budget. Sites encompassed different climatic regions and contrasting crop rotations. The influence of different crops and management practices was also assessed to identify some of the major factors contributing to the cropland carbon balance. Since crops are rotated and cropping periods do not always follow the calendar year, net ecosystem production (NEP) as well as net biome production (NBP) sums of full crop rotations or of at least 4 years of longer-term crop rotations and of monocultures were used. In a second analysis NBP sums were correlated to soil properties. Finally, the data were combined with additional data to derive a mean annual GHG balance for the European cropland sites under consideration. Five crop rotations and two monocultures were integrated over 4 years. During 4 years the average annual NEP was −240 ± 113 g C m−2 y−1 . On average, 382 ± 117 g C m−2 y−1 were harvested, where as average carbon inputs by manure and seeding was 47 ± 51 g C m−2 y−1 . The average NBP of the seven sites under consideration was estimated to be a carbon loss of 95 ± 87 g C m−2 y−1 . The full GHG balance of the considered sites was estimated to be 160 g C m−2 y−1 in CO2 -equivalents. These results challenge current good practice guidelines that predict neutral carbon budgets for systems where the inputs of manure and crop residues are of comparable magnitude to those associated with the sites examined in this study. Ongoing humus loss in spite of good practice is mainly related to soils with high carbon concentrations which are not in equilibrium but may also be a result of already ongoing climate change. A modification in the good practice guidelines to increase carbon inputs may be required. Results from a representativeness analysis suggest that more than 50 sites are necessary for a European cropland flux network to adequately represent the variability of climate, soil and management within the European continent. Thus, the uncertainties due to the network design are currently bigger than the uncertainty intrinsic in the measurement method. © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction ∗ Corresponding author at: Max-Planck-Institute for Biogeochemistry, HansKnöll-Str. 10, 07745 Jena, Germany. E-mail address: [email protected] (W.L. Kutsch). 0167-8809/$ – see front matter © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2010.07.016 The specific properties of agricultural practice require an adopted scientific approach for the estimation of carbon or full greenhouse gas balances of individual cropland ecosystems as well W.L. Kutsch et al. / Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 139 (2010) 336–345 337 as the generalization of any findings from these efforts. Due to differences in crops, cropping systems and agricultural practices the adoption of site-specific approaches for estimating the full greenhouse gas balance may often be required (Osborne et al., 2010). Not only does this limit any generalisations, but it also confounds any interpretation of the causes for differences in greenhouse gas emissions and carbon sequestration. Two differences between croplands and forests or other less managed ecosystems are important: we derived NBP sums of full crop rotations or of at least 4 years of longer-term crop rotations and of monocultures to derive estimates that are representative of the particular agricultural practice as well as encompassing inter-annual variability. In a second step we attempted to analyse the calculated NBP sums, and in the third and final steps the data were combined with the results from Ceschia et al. (2010) to derive a mean annual GHG balance for the European cropland sites under consideration. (1) In croplands, lateral fluxes, associated with harvesting and the application of organic fertilizer/manure can severely influence the ecosystem carbon budget. However, this transfer of organic carbon across ecosystem boundaries is not quantified by the eddy covariance method (Baldocchi et al., 1988; Aubinet et al., 2000) that has become the standard approach to quantify CO2 fluxes at any given site (Smith et al., 2010). Thus, additional efforts to measure lateral carbon fluxes are necessary to quantify net biome production (NBP) from net ecosystem exchange (NEE) as measured using eddy covariance techniques. (2) Crop rotations are important elements of agricultural management in many regions of Europe. Since cropping and fallow periods are irregular and seldom follow the calendar year and since different crops and related agricultural practices result in different carbon inputs into the soils, a realistic carbon budget for agricultural ecosystems under crop rotation can only be derived when at least a full rotation is considered. 2.1.1. Net ecosystem production (NEP) measurements NEP was derived from eddy covariance measurements at all sites. The application of this technique in agriculture is described in detail by Smith et al. (2010). The turbulent and storage CO2 fluxes were calculated for 30 min intervals using standard CarboEurope software (Mauder et al., 2008) and, thereafter, underwent standard data processing within the CarboEurope database that included quality checks, u*-filtering and gap-filling (Reichstein et al., 2005; Papale et al., 2006; Moffat et al., 2007). The resulting, so-called ‘Level 4 ecosystem flux data’ comprised a full data set of half-hourly fluxes and these were integrated over the full 4-year-period to derive NEP. The Level 4 data processing also generates derived variables allowing for flux partitioning into gross primary production (GPP) and ecosystem respiration (Reco ), which were also integrated for the full crop rotations. Crop rotations are often considered an important way to enhance carbon sequestration and increase the sustainability of agro-ecosystems, although this will depend on the type and complexity of the rotation used (West and Post, 2002). The inclusion of a legume in the rotation is more likely to result in a build up of soil organic carbon, whilst reducing the dependence on nutrient inputs. In contrast, large carbon losses are likely with root crops, such as sugar beet or where almost all of the crop is removed at harvest, as is the case for maize grown for silage (Osborne et al., 2010). This again makes generalisations difficult and argues for a more comprehensive assessment of the impact of different rotations on net biome productivity. For the first time, comprehensive data sets of ecosystem CO2 flux measurements from several EU cropland sites encompassing different climatic regions and contrasting crop rotations were made available by the CarboEurope-IP cropland project, allowing a comprehensive synthesis of the results. The current study complements that of Eugster et al. (2010) who focused on the influence of single events and management practices on respiration, Moors et al. (2010) who quantified gross and net primary production and harvest losses for single cropping periods and Ceschia et al. (2010) who derived full annual greenhouse gas balances, in order to provide an assessment of the greenhouse gas budgets of contrasting cropland sites in Europe over that are associated with full crop rotations. 2. Material and methods 2.1. General approach Data obtained from sites belonging to the CarboEurope-IP network were used to derive net biome production (NBP) based on eddy covariance measurements of net ecosystem exchange (NEE) supplemented with ancillary data on the main lateral carbon fluxes, specifically, harvest and manure. Since crops are rotated and cropping periods do not always follow the calendar year, the usual January to December annual flux estimate cannot be used to derive representative annual estimates of NBP and NEP. For this reason, 2.1.2. Net biome production (NBP) Net biome production (NBP) was calculated as the integral over the 4 years of the relevant carbon fluxes for the croplands under consideration (see also Buchmann and Schulze, 1999; Chapin et al., 2006). Here, we used a simplified approach (Eq. (1)) that ignored the ‘minor’ terms of the fully integrated NBP (see Smith et al., 2010; Osborne et al., 2010): NBP = NEP − F − H + I (1) where F is carbon lost by fires, H is carbon removed by harvest, I is inputs by organic fertilizer such as manure or slurry. Carbon fluxes to the ground water as dissolved or particulate organic, or inorganic carbon, volatile organic compounds, methane fluxes and carbon lost by soil erosion as detailed elsewhere (Osborne et al., 2010) were not considered. Since harvested material was removed from the site and most of the trans-located C was respired as CO2 over short time periods, the NBP reflects the long-term load of CO2 to the atmosphere. 2.1.3. Full green house gas balances Emissions that result from field operations were finally added to the NBP to calculate the full greenhouse gas (GHG) balance over crop rotations. We used the average emissions for fuel, fertilizer and machinery (32 g C m−2 y−1 in CO2 -equivalents) and additional N2 O emissions due to agricultural practices (33 g C m−2 y−1 in CO2 equivalents) calculated by Ceschia et al. (2010). 2.1.4. Output/input ratios at field and farm level Output/input ratios (O/I) at field level are a measure of the efficiency of agricultural practice. The full GHG balance is divided by the export of carbon with harvested products. If the ratio is 1 the full amount of harvest is already balanced by emissions and no net gain is in the field products. A value of 2 means an efficiency of 50%, or that half of the exported carbon is already balanced by emissions and only the other half can be accounted for as net relief for the atmosphere. This value is particularly important for the evaluation of biofuel. The farm gate balance is another O/I ratio that simply relates the energy or carbon equivalents that enter and leave the farm via the farm gate (e.g. Kutsch et al., 2008a). It is easy to derive but ignores humus losses and N2 O emissions. Therefore, it has to be seen more 338 W.L. Kutsch et al. / Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 139 (2010) 336–345 Table 1 Average annual values of gross primary productivity (GPP), ecosystem respiration (Reco ), net ecosystem production (NEP), harvest, organic inputs and net biome production (NBP) of the sites under consideration. Site Avignon Klingenberg Gebesee Lonzée Oensingen Carlow Risbyholm Borgo Cioffib Suecab Averagec a b c GPP (g C m−2 y−1 ) Reco (g C m−2 y−1 ) NEP (g C m−2 y−1 ) Harvest (g C m−2 y−1 ) Organic inputsa (g C m−2 y−1 ) NBP (g C m−2 y−1 ) −1176 −1228 −1184 −1490 −1576 −807 −1262 −1624 −1268 1019 1081 897 1029 1387 644 989 1280 616 −157 −147 −287 −461 −189 −163 −273 −344 −652 272 511 465 483 261 246 437 815 357 −5 −113 −122 −23 −54 −5 −5 −86 −5 110 251 56 −1 18 78 159 385 −300 −1246 ± 248 1006 ± 222 −240 ± 113 382 ± 117 −47 ± 51 95 ± 87 Including organic manure and imported carbon by seeds. These sites were not included in the averaging. Average ± standard deviation between sites. as a measure of economic efficiency of the farm than a measure of climate change mitigation in agriculture. 2.2. Sites The CarboEurope cropland network comprised 17 sites where eddy covariance measurements were conducted. Out of these, there were six sites with a crop rotation and three sites with monocultures that provided enough data (at least 4 years) to be used for this study. Since many aspects of the sites are described in detail in other contributions to this special issue, maps by Eugster et al. (2010) and Moors et al. (2010), descriptions of the crop rotations by Ceschia et al. (2010) and Moors et al. (2010), only a brief description of the sites, that will focus on management and soil properties, is presented here. A list of all the sites is available in Osborne et al. (2010). Soil properties of the sites are summarized in Table 1. 2.2.1. Full crop rotation sites and sites with long-term crop rotations 2.2.1.1. Avignon, France. The Avignon ‘crane’ site (‘Flux and Remote Sensing Observation Site’) at the INRA Research Center near Avignon, France has crops that are typical for the region, such as durum wheat, corn, sunflower, soybean and sorghum, grown on a silty clay loam soil. Irrigation is performed when required using an irrigation ramp, ensuring a complete and even coverage of the field in 8 h. The region is characterized by a typical Mediterranean climate with mean annual temperature of 14 ◦ C and mean annual precipitation of 683 mm. The soil is a Calcaric Fluvisol (FAO) with average carbon concentration of 13.3 g kg−1 and a C/N-ratio of 9.6 in the main footprint area. 2.2.1.2. Gebesee, Germany. The station in Gebesee is located in the Thuringian Plain in Germany. The area is in the lee of a low mountain range and receives only 500–550 mm of annual precipitation with a mean annual temperature of 7.9 ◦ C (Anthoni et al., 2004). The soil is classified as Chernozem (FAO) with a silty clay loam texture (∼30% clay) of granular structure. Total soil organic carbon concentration was 21 ± 1 g C kg−1 in 2001 in the 0–40 cm soil layer (Anthoni et al., 2004) and total carbon stock down to 60 cm depth was 131.2 ± 14.2 t C ha−1 (Schrumpf, pers. comm.). The site was intensively managed until the 1990s and then subsequently modified to re-establish soil organic matter that was lost during the period of intensive cultivation. Deep ploughing was omitted or reduced in some years. In addition, organic carbon was increased by additions of manure and increasing retention of plant residues. 2.2.1.3. Klingenberg, Germany. The Klingenberg Agricultural Station is located in Saxonia, Germany. The climate is subo- ceanic/subcontinental with mean annual precipitation of 850 mm and a mean annual temperature of 7.3 ◦ C. The soil is a Gleysoil (FAO) which has been drained for agricultural purposes; the organic soil horizon (Ap) was identified as a medium clayey loam with a mean thickness of 0.2 m. Within the B horizon, mainly slightly sandy clay (Ts2) and clayey sandy loam (Lts) were observed. The mean values of C concentration in horizons Ap and B are 42.6 g C kg−1 and 2.9 g C kg−1 , respectively (Schrumpf, pers. comm.). The total soil carbon stock up to 60 cm depth is 97 t C ha−1 and the mean C/Nratio is 13 (Schrumpf, pers. comm.). In the period between harvest and sowing of the new crop, the site is left mainly as fallow covered by re-growing weeds or volunteers seedlings left over after harvest. Mineral fertilizer and herbicides were applied several times a year. Organic fertilizer was applied in August 2004 and October 2006. 2.2.1.4. Lonzée, Belgium. The study site at Lonzée is about 45 km SE of Brussels. The climate is temperate maritime with a mean annual temperature of ∼10 ◦ C, with an annual precipitation of ∼800 mm. The soil is a Luvisol (FAO classification) composed of 18–22% clay, 5–10% sand and 68–77% silt. Manure has not been applied since 1996. The depth of tillage was 30 cm. The soil carbon concentration in the Ap horizon is 10.8 g kg−1 . Total soil carbon stock up to 60 cm depth is 63.2 t C ha−1 (Schrumpf, pers.comm.). The land has been cultivated for more than 70 years. 2.2.1.5. Oensingen, Switzerland. The Swiss cropland site at Oensingen is managed by a regional farmer. The documented crop rotation since 1994 (see Dietiker et al., 2010) shows a typical 4-year cycle with either rape or potatoes in one of the years, and barley or wheat in the three other years, which typically leads to full crop rotation periods of 8–12 years. The current crop rotation period was started in 2000 (for 1997–1999 temporary grassland was included in the crop rotation). The management follows the regulations of the Swiss Integrated Pest Management system (IP-Suisse, http://www.ipsuisse.ch). The climate is temperate humid with a mean annual precipitation of 1100 mm and an annual mean temperature of 8.1 ◦ C. The soil is a Eutri-Stagnic Cambisol (FAO) that has developed on clayey alluvial deposits down to a depth of 1.6 m (Alaoui and Goetz, 2008). The soil contains 28 g C kg−1 organic matter in the top soil layer (0–0.25 m depth) and a pH of 5.5. The soil texture is a silty clay with 43.0% clay, 47.5% silt and 9.5% sand in the top layer (Alaoui and Goetz, 2008). The total soil carbon stock is 128 t C ha−1 (0–70 cm depth). Due to a hail event potatoes were not harvested in 2006. 2.2.2. Monoculture sites with 4 years of measurements 2.2.2.1. Carlow, Ireland. The Oak Park cropland site near Carlow, Ireland is part of a long-term conventional cropping system with a W.L. Kutsch et al. / Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 139 (2010) 336–345 339 Fig. 1. Fingerprints of net ecosystem production (NEP) from nine European cropland sites. Red and orange colours mean net carbon dioxide release from the ecosystem to the atmosphere, while yellow, green and blue means net uptake of CO2 by the ecosystem. The graph (as the subsequent graphs) follows meteorological conventions with negative numbers meaning net uptake of CO2 by the ecosystem and positive numbers net release of CO2 . ‘R’ means re-growth of the crop from lost seeds during harvest. 340 W.L. Kutsch et al. / Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 139 (2010) 336–345 The parent rock of the soil (sandy–clay type) is carbonate, but most of the material has an alluvial origin, derived from the nearby Sele River. Average particle-size distribution is 43:36:21 (clay:sand:silt) but highly variable, so that the texture varies from clay to sandy clay. The soil contains 15 ± 5 g C kg−1 in the 0–40 cm soil layer and is classified as a Calcic Kastanozem Skeletic (WRB, 2006). The water table depth may be as shallow as 1 m during the wintertime while it is about 5–6 m during the summer. Since the influence of these high fluctuations in water table on soil CO2 efflux was unclear, the site was not considered in the average NBP values. Fig. 2. Cumulative net ecosystem production (NEP, above) and net ecosystem carbon budget (NBP, below) from eight European cropland sites that were measured during the observation period between 2004 and 2007. continuous crop of Spring Barley (Hordeum vulgare) cropping. Climate is maritime with a mean annual temperature of 9.4 ◦ C and an annual precipitation of 823 mm. The soil is a Eutric Cambisol. Average carbon concentration in the top soil is 22.8 g kg−1 . 2.2.2.2. Risbyholm, Denmark. The Risbyholm experimental site is located in an agricultural area in central Zealand, Denmark. The eddy correlation equipment is located in a drained bog with Histosol soil type. The organic C concentration of the top soil is 35.1 g C kg−1 while the total carbon content is 38.8 g C kg−1 . The field is part of a slightly undulating landscape covered by glacial deposits (Weichsel). The monthly mean temperature varies from −0.1 ◦ C in January to 16.3 ◦ C in July. The annual precipitation is 580 mm with an annual potential evapotranspiration of 490 mm. The field has been cultivated for more than 20 years. For the ordinary grain crops the soil is ploughed down to a depth of 25 cm, harrowing and sowing is carried out in one step. 2.2.2.3. Borgo Cioffi, Italy. This site is located in a 18 ha agricultural field in the middle of Piana del Sele, Italy, a river plain that comprises the largest flatland area of the Campania region. The alluvial plain in Piana del Sele was re-claimed for agriculture after the Second World War. The mean annual temperature is 15.5 ◦ C with an annual rainfall of 900 mm, mostly concentrated from September through April, with a summer dry spell typical of a southern mediterranean climate. Alfalfa was continuously grown from 1998 to 2003, then a maize monoculture combined with fennel (2003/2004, 2005/2006, 2006/2007) or rye-grass (2004/2005, 2007/2008) as winter crops. Irrigation was performed during the summer by means of a centre pivot system and manure–slurry applications were done regularly during the alfalfa monoculture and occasionally during the maize monoculture. 2.2.2.4. El Saler-Sueca, Spain. The flux site “El Saler-Sueca” is located inside the protected wetland area “La Albufera Natural Park” within a large rice paddy field area (ca. 15,000 ha). The climate is Mediterranean sub-arid with dry and warm summers, with no or low excess of water in winter. The mean annual temperature and precipitation in the area are 17.9 ◦ C and 550 mm, respectively. The soil is a Gleysol. Soil depth is at least 2 m. The top soil layer (0–30 cm) is loamy, contains 37.6 g C kg−1 . The site history indicates continuous paddy rice cultivation as a monoculture for 150–200 years and representative of the paddy rice fields of this area. The whole “Albufera” paddy rice area is very homogeneous in terms of timing (crop period, flooding periods) and management. Management is determined by rice farming practices that did not change significantly for about 200 years, apart from mechanisation and use of fertilizers, pesticides and herbicides. Fields are drained from March to April, flooded in early May for sowing, and drained again in August for rice harvest in early-mid September. Fields are flooded for the winter period (November–February) in late October after partial burning of straw residues (the burning practice did not take place at the flux-tower paddy field in 2006 and in 2007). Since the emissions by burning as well as expected methane emissions were not fully accounted for, only an incomplete balance of this site can be presented and, therefore, was not considered in the average NBP values. 3. Results Those sites which were measured during the period between 2004 and 2007 were used to derive full 4-year budgets of net ecosystem production (NEP) and net biome production (NBP). The patterns of NEP observed (Fig. 1) show that the seasonal variations in croplands are much more irregular and fluctuate more than those of many natural ecosystems with continuous vegetation cover (not shown). Only the monocultures (Risbyholm, Carlow, Borgo Cioffi and Sueca) show a more regular pattern. The fluxes are highly regulated by management and resulting differences in crop growth and development. At some sites (e.g. Lonzée and Gebesee between summer 2005 and spring 2006 or Avignon between summer 2006 and spring 2007) long periods of net carbon losses occur during fallow periods. Regular cover-cropping to improve the carbon budget of the sites examined in this study (see Osborne et al., 2010) is practised only at few sites (Oensingen and Borgo Cioffi). At some sites the re-growth of the crop from seeds left over after harvest together with weed establishment resulted in short periods with net carbon uptake during the daytime (marked with ‘R’ in Fig. 1). The different crop species have specific ‘fingerprints’: winter cereals show small uptake during late autumn and winter followed by high daytime uptake during spring and early summer. Spring cereals, maize, potatoes and peas show small periods of intense uptake during late spring and summer. Sugar beet crop has an extended growing season with a remarkable uptake until harvest in autumn. W.L. Kutsch et al. / Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 139 (2010) 336–345 341 Fig. 3. (a) Total ecosystem respiration as obtained from the Level 4 data (Reco ) and net carbon yield (Ynet ) calculated as carbon removed from the site by harvest minus carbon brought to the site by organic fertilizers plotted against gross primary production (GPP) for five crop rotation and two monoculture sites. Each data point symbolizes the sum of the 4 years observation period between 2004 and 2007. (b) Net biome production (NBP) related to soil organic carbon concentration in the top soil of each site. Each data point symbolizes the sum of the 4 years observation period between 2004 and 2007. The data for the five crop rotations and the four monocultures were integrated over 4 years (Fig. 2, Table 1). However, the five crop rotations and two of the monocultures were used to derive averages, while the sites El Saler and Borgo Cioffi were excluded due to the reasons explained in the site descriptions. During 4 years the average NEP of the considered sites was −960 ± 452 g C m−2 (Fig. 2a). This results in average annual NEP of −240 ± 113 g C m−2 y−1 . The NBP was calculated from the NEP and the lateral fluxes from harvest and organic fertilizer. On average, 1528 ± 468 g C m−2 were harvested. The respective average annual losses associated with harvest were 382 ± 117 g C m−2 y−1 . Thus, harvest losses exceeded NEP by more than 60%. Manure, applied at Gebesee, Lonzée, Oensingen, Klingenberg summed up to 167 ± 204 g C m−2 (mean annual inputs over all sites: 42 ± 51 g C m−2 y−1 + 5 g C m−2 y−1 for seeds). Avignon, Carlow and Risbyholm did not receive organic inputs apart from an average input of 5 g C m−2 y−1 due to seeds as calculated by Ceschia et al. (2010). Thus, the average carbon inputs were 47 ± 51 g C m−2 y−1 . On average, including all seven sites under consideration, there was a loss of 380 ± 348 g C m−2 during the 4 observation years (mean annual NBP: 95 ± 87 g C m−2 y−1 ). The highest losses were found at Klingenberg (overall NBP: 1004 g C m−2 , mean annual NBP: 251 g C m−2 y−1 ) and Risbyholm (overall NBP: 636 g C m−2 , mean annual NBP: 159 g C m−2 y−1 ), followed by Avignon (overall NBP: 440 g C m−2 , mean annual NBP: 110 g C m−2 y−1 ), Carlow (overall NBP: 312 g C m−2 , mean annual NBP: 78 g C m−2 y−1 ), Gebesee (overall NBP: 224 g C m−2 , mean annual NBP: 56 g C m−2 y−1 ), and Oensingen (overall NBP: 72 g C m−2 , mean annual NBP: 18 g C m−2 y−1 ). Lonzée (overall NBP: −4 g C m−2 , mean annual NBP: −1 g C m−2 y−1 ) was neutral, while only the Sueca site was an apparent sink with −1195 g C m−2 in 4 years, which results in an average annual NBP of 298 g C m−2 y−1 (not considered in the average). The biggest source, Borgo Cioffi (overall NBP: 1669 g C m−2 , mean annual NBP: 417 g C m−2 y−1 ), was also not considered in the average. Another way to examine the impact of the different European crop rotations on ecosystem carbon dynamics is to correlate ecosys- Fig. 4. Schematic representation of the various components of the mean annual carbon balance of the croplands under consideration. The data were compiled as mean annual value from 4 years of measurements at each site. Two sites of the original ensemble (Borgo Cioffi and Sueca) were excluded from this average. Fluxes are depicted in g C m−2 y−1 or g C-equiv. m−2 s−1 when other greenhouse gases are involved. Uncertainties are derived as standard deviation between sites from this study. Additional information from other studies is shown without uncertainties. 342 W.L. Kutsch et al. / Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 139 (2010) 336–345 Table 2 Representativeness of the dataset in terms of crops. Number of site years of crop species are compared to their proportion in the EU 27 cropping area and production. Crop Site years all n Wheat Barley Rye Maize Rice Sugar Beet Oil Seed Rape Potatoes Other 10 7 0 5 4 2 2 2 4 Sum 36 Site years in average* % 27.8 19.4 0.0 13.9 11.1 5.6 5.6 5.6 11.1 100 n 10 7 0 1 0 2 2 2 4 28 % 41.7 29.2 0.0 4.2 0 8.3 8.3 8.3 12.5 100 EU 27 area(1) EU 27 Production(2) % in 2007 % 27.9 15.3 3.0 9.2 0.5 2.1 7.5 2.5 27.5 100 25.6 11.4 1.3 11.3 0.6 22.5 3.2 11.4 12.8 100 Sources: (1) FAO stat (http://faostat.fao.org/default.aspx); (2) eurostat (http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/publications/eurostat yearbook). tem respiration (Reco ) derived from the eddy data and net yield (harvested biomass – organic fertilizer brought to the field) with gross primary production (GPP). The slopes of the correlation lines were 0.806 (Reco ) and 0.302 (net yield), respectively, which means that on average the losses were about 110% of the carbon gained by photosynthesis (Fig. 3a) and the sites are net emitters. Carbon losses from the ecosystem (positive NBP) were correlated with the carbon concentrations in the topsoils (Fig. 3b). Borgo Cioffi and Sueca are shown in Fig. 3b but were not considered in the correlation. Oensingen deviated from the correlation mainly because the potatoes grown in 2006 were not harvested after a hail event. Avignon had relatively high losses despite low carbon concentration in the topsoil. The average annual carbon and GHG balance of seven European crop sites (Fig. 4) was also determined using data presented by Ceschia et al. (this issue) and Moors et al. (2010). The full GHG balance sites was estimated to be 160 g C m−2 y−1 in CO2 -equivalents. Related to the exported carbon, this means an O/I ratio of 2.4 equivalent to ∼42% of the harvested carbon being ‘lost’ by GHG emissions related to its agricultural production. For estimating the average farm gate balance the farms were considered as pure cash crop entities with an internal cycling of 42 g C m−2 y−1 taken from the harvest as manure. Under this considerations the O/I ratio was 9.2, a value that is very close to that found by Kutsch et al. (2008a) for farms producing only cash crops in Northern Germany. 4. Discussion The results of this analysis of eddy covariance-based assessments of NEP and NBP over several years of crop rotations or of monocultures indicate carbon losses from all of these agricultural sites, most of which have been converted to croplands many decades ago. On average, these sites have received organic inputs as organic fertilizers or crop residues have been retained, of a similar order of magnitude to those recommended through good practice guidelines for farmers in several countries (Defra, 2000; VDLUFA, 2004; Fachstelle Bodenschutz, 2007; FRCA et al., 2008; DeProft and Bodson, 2009). However, at sites with high carbon concentrations in the topsoil, in particular, those inputs seem not to be sufficient for a maintaining a balanced agriculture. If the results reported here are representative for all EU croplands, this result may be surprising, since cropland soils in Europe would be expected to be close to equilibrium with respect to carbon, as they have been managed as croplands for many years and good practice has largely been applied. Recent modelling studies have suggested that European cropland soils are close to equilibrium, being either a small source (Smith et al., 2005; Bondeau et al., 2007) or a small sink (Gervois et al., 2008; Schulze et al., 2009, 2010; Ciais et al., 2010). However, before we can make any comparison with pan-European modelling studies or assert that European croplands are losing carbon, the uncertainty associated with the estimates reported here, and whether they are generally representative of European croplands, needs to be examined (see also Osborne et al., 2010). 4.1. Measurement uncertainty – are the estimated carbon losses different from zero? Uncertainties in NEP measurements by means of eddy covariance arise from a number of systematic as well as random errors that have been discussed extensively (Hollinger and Richardson, 2005; Richardson and Hollinger, 2005; Loescher et al., 2006; Richardson et al., 2006; Van Gorsel et al., 2007; Aubinet, 2008; Finnigan, 2008; Lasslop et al., 2008). Random errors associated with eddy covariance measurements are not significant at an annual scale as the annual sums are based on more than 15,000 half-hourly flux estimates. In contrast, systematic and selective systematic errors are significant. The highest uncertainties are likely associated with night time fluxes (Goulden et al., 1996; Aubinet et al., 2000) due to low turbulence and advection effects. However, if night time flux underestimation is especially important in tall forest ecosystems or in complex terrain affected by advection (Aubinet, 2008; Kutsch et al., 2008b) it is expected to be less critical in cropland systems, as they have much lower and more homogeneous canopies and are generally located in flat terrain. Earlier studies on crops estimated the night time flux error to be of the order of some tens (0–50) of g C m−2 y−1 (Falge et al., 2001; Moureaux et al., 2006, 2008), reaching 100 C m−2 y−1 in two cases (Falge et al., 2001; Anthoni et al., 2004). This systematic bias may however be removed by applying the so-called u* correction (Aubinet et al., 2000; Gu et al., 2005). However, this correction is based on several approximations so that a residual uncertainty remains after its application. The main causes of uncertainty are due to the determination of the filtering threshold or to the choice of the gap-filling algorithms. Few studies quantify this uncertainty at crop sites. Moureaux et al. (2008) estimated the former at 10 g C m−2 y−1 at Lonzée and Falge et al. (2001) found the latter to vary among three sites from 30 to 40 g C m−2 y−1 . In Béziat et al. (2009), NEP uncertainty due to measurement random errors and to long gaps in the data set were estimated to range between ±18 g C m−2 y−1 for sunflower at Auradé and ±42 g C m−2 y−1 for triticale and maize at Lamasquère. Another uncertainty arises from the choice of the integration period. With different integration periods Aubinet et al. (2009) and Prescher et al. (2010) calculated slightly higher NBP values for Lonzée and Klingenberg, respectively. We expect higher uncertainties associated with the quantification of the lateral fluxes. At some sites (e.g. Klingenberg and Borgo Cioffi) removal of harvested products was taken from the farmer’s W.L. Kutsch et al. / Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 139 (2010) 336–345 book keeping, whereas at other sites (e.g. Lonzée and Gebesee) actual measurements of NPP and harvested material were taken (Anthoni et al., 2004; Aubinet et al., 2009; Béziat et al., 2009). Aubinet et al. (2009) showed that the uncertainty in NPP estimates due to biomass sampling amounted to 10–90 g C m−2 , i.e., comparable to those affecting eddy covariance measurements. Béziat et al. (2009) also found larger uncertainties for NBP than for NEP, which were mostly related to uncertainties in C removal by harvest and in C inputs as organic fertilisation. Carbon inputs associated with organic manures were consistently calculated from the information provided by farmers. Therefore, it is difficult to quantify the uncertainties with any degree of accuracy. Aubinet et al. (2009) quoted an overall error of ±140 g C m−2 for 4 years of a crop rotation, which might be exceeded for some of the sites presented in the current study. Nevertheless, it is important to note that almost all crop rotation sites in Fig. 2 behave as sources. The question arises whether this fact, as well as the general trend shown in Fig. 3, is statistically significant. Using standard statistics, there is only weak evidence that NBP differs from zero at the cropland sites used in this study (two-sided t-test, p = 0.237). If we hypothesize that croplands are a net carbon source (i.e., NBP >0), then the statistical uncertainty is still p = 0.119 (one-sided t-test). The question, however, remains whether the croplands used in this analysis can be considered a random but representative sample of the European ensemble of croplands (see following section). If we question this assumption made by the ttest and simply use a normal distribution fitted to the available NBP data from all sites to quantify our statistical uncertainty, then our hypothesis that European croplands are a net carbon source cannot be established statistically (p = 0.289). 4.2. How representative are the sites examined? Even though the sites under consideration represent some of the most important European crops and cropland areas and cover many of the typical management practices, it is clear that a few eddy covariance sites can neither represent the diversity of agricultural practice nor soil or climatic variability. It has to be considered that the two biggest sources that were used in the averaging, Klingenberg (drained Gleysol) and Risbyholm (drained Histosol) represent two soils with a high organic matter content, which might be overrepresented in this study compared to the majority of cropland soils in Europe. The two sites with lower soil organic matter content, Gebesee (depleted Chernozem) and Lonzée (Luvisol), which might be more representative of the larger EU cropland area, showed much lower carbon losses. However, even at Gebesee the goal of carbon sequestration or at least a neutral carbon balance was not achieved in spite of the farmer’s efforts with supplementary organic manure and increased residue incorporation. In terms of crop representativeness, a comparison with European crop production (Table 2; Eurostat, 2008) shows that our dataset is quite representative for winter wheat and maize, but overestimates rice and barley, while sugar beet and potatoes are under-represented. Thus, the budgets calculated only for the crop rotations might be more representative. Statistically, the representativeness of the cropland sites network can be shown by a very simple approximation of the required sample size based on the required precision if we assume each year to be an independent sample and NPP to be normally distributed. We can use the following equation by Zar (1998) to determine the number of samples required: n= 2 s2 · t˛(2),(n−1) d2 (2) 343 where n represents the sample size; s2 is the sample variance; t is the two-tailed critical value for Student’s t and d is the halfwidth of the desired confidence interval. If we define the standard deviation of the sample as the spatial variability of the mean cropland annual carbon budget of Europe we are able to determine it from remote sensing based approaches like the Terra-MODIS NPP product (Running et al., 2004; Heinsch et al., 2006; Turner et al., 2006). The sample standard deviation of the 2000–2004 mean is 95.7 g C m−2 y−1 . A trial and error process with progressively more accurate estimations can be used to set the t value. In our case a confidence interval commensurate to the above-described uncertainties of 50 g C m−2 y−1 with a confidence level of 95%, would lead to a network size of 59 sites. This value is far greater than the actual network size. This suggests that the cropland flux network might not adequately represent the variability of climate, soil and management within the European continent and the uncertainties due to the network design are currently bigger than the uncertainty intrinsic in the measurement method. Our results confirm an earlier study of the average cropland NBP made by Janssens et al. (2003) who estimated a carbon loss of 90 ± 50 g C m−2 y−1 . However, this work contradicts more recent studies based on modelling and carbon inventories that resulted in an almost neutral balance for European agriculture (Gervois et al., 2008; Ciais et al., 2010). 4.3. Comparison of apparent losses reported here with losses estimated by other methods 4.3.1. Stocktaking methods The average humus losses for winter wheat without organic manure and complete removal of straw should be 28 g C m−2 y−1 according to the German consulting agency (VDLUFA, 2004), whereas we calculated losses of 178 g C m−2 y−1 as the average for 10 site years in our study. Oil seed rape lost 109 g C m−2 y−1 on average although the straw was left on one site. Maize apparently lost on average about 430 g C m−2 y−1 although organic fertilizers were applied. Full crop rotations lost, on average, about 95 ± 87 g C m−2 y−1 , even though the average inputs from manure (around 47 ± 51 g C m−2 y−1 ) and residues were close to the rates advised by good practice guidelines. The large differences between the estimates here and those given in the good practice guidelines may be partly explained by the different approaches used. Whereas the VDLUFA (2004) estimates are based on long-term experiments with repeated stocktaking of soil organic matter, our results may reflect more the current weather/climatic conditions that might not be representative of longer cropping periods. On the other hand, flux measurements may detect changes earlier and may thus perform as an earlywarning system. While the flux-based approach presented here has, as discussed, a number of uncertainties, the biggest uncertainty of repeated stocktaking is due to the difficulties of detecting a small change in a large pool (e.g. Rodeghiero et al., 2009). Nevertheless, also some studies that use the stocktaking approach support our observation that agricultural soils with higher soil organic carbon content are not balanced and loose carbon (e.g. Bellamy et al., 2005; Saby et al., 2008; Stevens and van Wesemael, 2008). 4.3.2. Modelling methods When comparing the present results with modelled estimates, uncertainty in the modelled estimates also need to be considered. Sources of uncertainty reported in Smith et al. (2005) included a lack of knowledge of how much increased production is offset by increased decomposition in a warmer climate, and uncertainty over the contribution of technological changes (management, cultivars, 344 W.L. Kutsch et al. / Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 139 (2010) 336–345 etc.) on increasing carbon stocks. Other uncertainties arise from the steady state assumption: many models use a spin-up run at the beginning of a model run in order to bring soil carbon pools to equilibrium. Smith et al. (2005) as well as Gervois et al. (2008) used a nominal equilibrium date of 1900 and the model was run forward from then, with results reported in Ciais et al. (2010) for 1990–1999. The 10,000 years model spin-up with an average agricultural practice by Gervois et al. (2008) resulted in an average equilibrium carbon stock of about 56 t C ha−1 which is lower than the average stocks observed in this study. It is perhaps not surprising therefore that these studies did not predict any further losses between 1901 and 2000, since sites with higher carbon stocks that may be far from equilibrium were ignored as they had a shorter agricultural history than the assumed ten millenia. Similarly, different models use different assumptions about yield/productivity change over the 20th Century, (see Gervois et al., 2008; Smith et al., 2005) and the range of crops considered by the models differs greatly with just two crops considered by ORCHIDEE (Gervois et al., 2008), 12 by LPJmL (Bondeau et al., 2007) and generic crop inputs only considered by RothC (Smith et al., 2005). Other differences include the implementation of land use change during the 20th Century and the legacy effects of such change. Given the fact that all models used almost the same spin-off procedure and rather limited additional information on soils, it is not surprising, that three models used by Schulze et al. (2009, 2010) and Ciais et al. (2010), arrive at rather similar estimates for the annual carbon flux from croplands ranging from a small sink of 15 ± 15 g C m−2 y−1 over the period 1990–1999 estimated using ORCHIDEE (Gervois et al., 2008), through a non-significant sink of 1.7 g C m−2 estimated using LPJmL (Bondeau et al., 2007), to a small source of −7.6 g C m−2 y−1 estimated using RothC (Smith et al., 2005). The uncertainties associated with the modeled estimates of European cropland carbon flux are at least as large as those described in this study. 5. Conclusions Despite the uncertainties discussed above, we can conclude from this integrated data-oriented approach that, on average, the European croplands under consideration in this study appear to loose carbon, even though the farmers at some of the sites implemented practices such as humus management with low tillage, organic fertilizer input, inter-cropping and increased straw residue return that are considered to enhance carbon sequestration. Information from the sites with a high soil carbon concentration suggest that cropping on soils with high carbon contents may result in hotspots of carbon losses. This fact challenges the equilibrium presumption that is used in many models. In addition, it shows that soils with high carbon concentration und agriculture should be targeted in efforts to reduce cropland emissions, while efforts on other soils should focus on sequestering carbon by building up soil organic matter. We cannot conclude from this study whether the management of European croplands is, in general, appropriate for humus conservation, or whether humus could still be lost in spite of good practice as a result of already ongoing climate change. The latter would require a change in the good practice guidelines to increase carbon inputs or to further reduce carbon to account for such a trend. As far as the uncertainty in the fluxes are concerned, it appears that two factors will push cropland soil carbon in an unfavourable direction: climate change will likely result in increased mineralization rates, particularly during warmer winters, and efforts to mitigate climate change by substitution of fossil fuels with biomass from agriculture could result in less residues available for carbon input into agricultural soils. Acknowledgments We would like to thank our technical staff and the farmers for giving us access to their fields and for the time they spent giving us information concerning management. This work was made possible through the support of the CARBOEUROPE-IP (GOCECT-2003-505572) European FP7 Program, the French Ministry in charge of Environment (GICC programme), the Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), the Institut National des Sciences de l’Univers (INSU), the Région Midi-Pyrénées Council and the EPA (Ireland) through the CCFLUX project. Foundation CEAM has been supported by the programs CONSOLIDER-INGENIO 2010 (GRACCIE), BALANGEIS (SUM2006-00030-C02) and CARBORED-ES (CGL2006-14195-C02-01). Pete Smith is a Royal Society-Wolfson Research Merit Award holder. References Alaoui, A., Goetz, B., 2008. Dye tracer and infiltration experiments to investigate macropore flow. Geoderma 144, 279–286. Anthoni, P.M., Freibauer, A., Kolle, O., Schulze, E.D., 2004. 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