Lunar and Planetary Science XLVIII (2017) 1002.pdf MODEL OF THE GALACTIC COSMIC RAY INTENSITY VARIATIONS DURING THE LAST BILLION YEARS. V.A. Alexeev, Vernadsky Institute of Geochemistry and Analytical Chemistry, RAS, Moscow 119991 Russia; e-mail: [email protected] Abstract: The analysis of the distributions of the К/К exposure ages (TK; N = 80) and radionuclidestable nuclide exposure ages (TRS; N = 106) of the iron meteorites is executed. The model of variations in the intensity of galactic cosmic rays (GCR) during the past ~1-1.5 billion years is proposed. 40 Distributions: The distribution of TRS ages has exponential form, similar to the same for the ordinary chondrites [1], but it is totally different from the distribution of the TK ages (Fig. 1). The method of dating with the use of the short-lived nuclides has substantial higher sensitivity. This allows to determine the ages up to TRS ~100 Ma with the accuracy ~5% [8]. And this fact, apparently, is determining in completely different picture of the distribution of the ages, calculated by this method (Fig. 1b). Such “artificial” selection of meteorites with respect to the ages makes the set of the meteorites, for which were determined the 40K ages, unrepresentative. This fact calls doubt both on the possibility of the attraction of this set of ages for studying the variations in the intensity GKL and on correctness of the conclusions published in [911]. Difference of the ages: TK ages are systematically higher than the TRS ages approximately in 1.5 times (Fig. 2). Fig. 1. Distributions of the exposure ages of iron meteorites. (a) Ages are determined by 40K/K method; 1 – all meteorites (N = 80, according to the data [2-4]; 2 – the same after the exception of paired meteorites (N = 29). (b) Ages are determined according to the shortlived radionuclides; 3 – all meteorites (N = 106, according to the data [5-8 and other]; 4 – the same after the exception of paired meteorites (N = 45). The difference between TK and TRS distributions, most probably, is caused by high errors in the T K ages (up to 100% and more) at the low abundances of the cosmogenic 40K. For this reason, for example, Voshage et al. [3] could determine the exposure age only of 10 meteorites out of 31 investigated meteorites. According to [3], "spectra with 40K-abundances ≤4% can barely provide useful information", and such spectra were not used for age determination. Fig. 2. Comparison of the exposure ages, determined by 40K/K method (TK) with ages based on short-lived radionuclides (TRS). Solid line is regression line (T K = kTRS). Dotted line corresponds to the value k = 1. Voshage and Hintenberger [12, 13] proposed to explain this effect by change of the cosmic-ray intensity according to relationship IT = Io∙exp(-γT) in entire interval of ages. (Here Io is a modern cosmic ray intensity.) However, we found that this model does not give the exponential distribution of TRS ages shown in Fig. 1b. For explaining of difference between TK and TRS ages, we proposed the model according to which the intensity of GCR (IT) in the time interval of 0-1500 millions years exponentially increased according to the relationship: IT = IT=1500(1 + α·exp(-βT)) (Fig. 3). Lunar and Planetary Science XLVIII (2017) Fig. 3. Relative change in the intensity GKL according to the dependence IT = IT=1500(1 + α·exp(-βT)). Values of β (in Ma-1) and α for the curves 1 – 5 are equal to: 1. 0.008 and 2; 2. 0.01 and 1.5; 3. 0.012 and 1.2; 4. 0.016 and 1; 5. 0.03 and 0.8 respectively. This model satisfies to experimental data – to difference of the TK and TRS ages in ~1.5 times and to the exponential form of the distribution of T RS ages. For one of the versions of this model, the intensity of GCR exponentially increased two times during last ~300 million years with the approximately constant intensity in the remaining time (Fig. 4). The data obtained according to this model testify about the proximity of the measured TK ages to the real time of the presence of meteorites in space. Conclusions: The distribution of all values of K/K ages (N ~80) is not representative. Therefore the use only of this set of ages for studying of the galactic cosmic rays intensity variations is unacceptably and so the correctness of conclusions is doubtful. The features of the distributions of the 40K/K exposure ages (TK) and radionuclide-stable nuclide exposure ages (TRS) of the iron meteorites can be explained according to the proposed model of variations of the galactic cosmic ray intensity as IT = IT=1500 (1 + α·exp(-βT)) during the last ~1500 million years. 40 Acknowledgement:This work was supported in part by Fundamental Research Program no. 7 of the Russian Academy of Sciences. References: [1] Alexeev V.A. (2005) Solar System Res., 39, 124-149. [2] Voshage H., Feldmann H. (1979) EPSL, 45, 293-308. [3] Voshage H. et al. 1002.pdf Fig. 4. Distributions of the radiation ages of iron meteorites. (a) The model set of “true” values of ages (N = 200), randomly distributed in interval 0-1500 Ma; the number of meteorites decreases with the age according to equation (1) for the mean life of iron meteorites in space τ = 700 Ma; (b) “measured” values of TK- ages for the model set on the assumption that intensity GCR changed according to the version, shown in Fig. 3 (curve 4). (c) Solid line is the same for “measured” values of TRS-ages. Dotted line is the normalized exponential curve, which characterizes the real distribution of the TRS-ages of iron meteorites (see Fig. 1b, curve 4). Distributions are approximated by the “best” exponential curves according to the equation (1). (1983) Z. Naturforschg., 38a, 273-280. [4] Voshage H. (1984) EPSL, 71, 181-194. [5] Lipschutz M.E. et al. (1965). J. Geophys. Res., 70, 1473-1489. [6] Chang C.T., Waenke H. (1969) In: Meteorite Research (ed. by P. Millman). D.Reidel Publ. Company, Dordrecht, Holland. 397-406. [7] Hampel W., Schaeffer O.A. (1979) EPSL, 42, 348-358. [8] Lavielle B. et al. (1999) EPSL, 170, 93-104. [9] Shaviv N.J. (2003). New Astron., 8, 39-77. [10] Scherer K. et al. (2006) Space Sci. Rev., 127, 327-465. [11] Alexeev V.A. (2016) Solar System Res., 50, 24-32). [12] Voshage H. (1962) Z. Naturforschg., 17a, 422-132. [13] Voshage H., Hintenberger H. (1963) In: Radioactive Dating / IAEA, Vienna, 367–379.
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