ESTIMATIONANDROUNDING Vocabulary:guess,estimate,overestimating,underestimating,count,some,few,many,lots,a little,aweebit,approximately,roughly,roundabout,etc. Simple rounding activities can begin very early on. Make a measuring stick with every 10cm markedwithapieceofmaskingtape.Thiscanbeusefulforquickestimatesandroundingtothe nearest 10cm. Likewise children can make their own one-metre measuring worm and the stripescanrepresent10cmintervals. Likewisethecomplexityofsomeestimationtaskssuchasdeterminingtheapproximateheight ofabuildingwhichistootalltomeasurecanbemadeascomplexasneeded.Thusmostofthe activitiesinthissectioncanbetweaked,changedandadaptedforeachlevel. Estimationisanaturalpartofinvestigativemathsworkespeciallythatwhichinvolvesnumber, sizeandquantity.Childrenneedlotsofpracticeatestimatingsothattheyareabletomake reasonableguessesbaseduponexperienceandknowledgeratherthanwild,randomestimates. Itisabasicstrategyforproblemsolvingandenquirywork. Beingoutsideprovidesarealcontextforestimating.Itishardtotellthenumberofbirdsina flock,bricksinawallorexactlyhowlongitwilltaketowalktotheshops.Sothereisaconstant needforeveryonetobemakingestimatesofquantityandactivitybaseduponourown experiences. Practitionerscanbringestimationintodiscussionsinanincidentalwayandcanencourage childrento: Number-Haveaguessbeforecountingobjects Matching–Anticipatewhethereveryglovehasapair Distance-Estimatehowfarawaythenearestshopis Volume-Thinkaboutthevolumeofwaterinonebucketcomparedtoanother Shape–Estimatingthenumberofverticesinacuboid Weight-Wonderhowmuchfoodbirdswilleat Time-Considerhowlongitwilltakeforaconetoclosewhensoakedwithwater ©JulietRobertson,CreativeSTARLearningLtd,2016www.creativestarlearning.co.uk 1 Probabilityandchance-Calculatewhetheracoinwilllandheadsortailswhenoutfora pennywalk Childrenintheirplaywillbemakingestimatesaboutalotofdifferentmatters.Whenobserving children,listenandlookforevidenceofchildren’sabilitytoestimate.Itisanindicationoftheir understandingofnumberandquantitytobeabletomakeareasonableguess,e.g. Talkingabouthowmanymorebricksareneededtomakeatower Tellinganotherpersonhowfartheycankickorthrowaball Thinkingaboutwhetheritispossibletowalkallthewayalonganarrowtreetrunk Whatisimportantisforpractitionerstoreinforceisthatacorrectanswerisnotneeded.This oftenworksbestwhenanexactanswerisnotknownorcannotbedetermined.Agoodtacticis alsotogetagrouptomakeajointestimationsothatnoonepersonisrightorwrong. Muchoftheworkinvolvesconversationsaroundestimation.Adultscanmodellinesofthought andwaysofmakingareasonableguess.Thiscaninclude: Workingondirectcomparisons Undertaking activities such as filling up a transparent tube with stones. Challenge a group of children to release half the amount of stones and count them. This can then become the estimatefortheotherhalfofthestonesleftinthetube.Thesecanberemovedandcounted.It can be worth having a tape measure or metre stick that extends to 100 for this sort of estimationwiththerangeofestimatespeggedormarkedonit. Workingwithnonstandardmaterials Havefunestimatingquantitiesofnaturalobjectsinrelationtolength,e.g. Thelengthofapersonlyingonthegroundasmeasuredwithpinecones Howmanyshellswillfitonasquiggledrawninthesandonabeach Whichfeatheristhesamesizeasmyhand(andisthisthelengthorwidthofmyhand) fromaboxfuloffeathers Rounding There are lots of specific tasks or challenges that can be developed which involve rounding numbers.Forexample,estimate: The daily air temperatures, before checking with a thermometer or digital weather station. Howfaranobjecthasbeenthrownbeforemeasuringit. Thelengthofpathsaroundtheschool. Giving children a few minutes to make the biggest pile of sticks in a wood. Then the childrenhavetoestimatethenumberofsticksinthepilebeforeplayingpickupsticksto removeandcounthowmanyarethere. ©JulietRobertson,CreativeSTARLearningLtd,2016www.creativestarlearning.co.uk 2 Chunking Breaking up large quantities into smaller chunks, e.g. “There are 10 leaves on this branch. I reckonthereisabout20branchesonthistree,soitmusthaveabout200leaves.” Linkingestimatestoplacevalue Learningtogroupitemsintoquantitiesof10,then100,then1000isusefulasawayintoplace valueandlearningtoroundupordowntotensandhundredsisamethodofquickcalculation. Thiscanworkwellwhenestimatingtheamountofgravelonatrolleyorthenumberofleaves inapile. Veryoftenchildrenstrugglewhenitcomestoroundingupordownoncetheyareworkingwith numbersbeyond100.Forexamplerounding387upto390(nearest10)or400(nearest100). Roundingwithdecimalsalsorequiresextrareinforcement. Outdoors,alevelofestimationmayalsoberequiredasfeaturesatadistancesmaybetoofar awayortoohightophysicallymeasure.Alsothelevelofcomplexitycanbequiteachallenge. Estimatethenumberofleavesinanareaontheforestfloor Findanareawithleavespileofpreferablydryleaves.Dryleavesareeasiertorake,areless messyandmorefuntoplaywithattheend.Ifleavesarescattered,markoutwithstringorthe areayouwanttoestimate.Youcanevenusechildrentomakeforcornersinasquaresurface area.Haveeachchildmakeaninitialestimateindividuallyoftheleaves.(Writethesedownso youcanaverageafterwards). Nowaskthechildrenhowtheycameupwiththeirestimate?Discusswaystomakethe estimatemoreaccurate-suchascountingtheleavesinsmallareaandmultiplyingtomakeup alargerarea.Redoestimates.Takeanaverage.Iftime(andenoughhelpers)raketheleavesup andmakeanactualcounttocompare.Putleavesintopilesof10s,100s,and1000attheend. Note:Donotmaketheareatoolarge. Nowapplytheskillstobiggerchallenges… Thefollowingchallengesaresurprisinglycomplexinthatlotsofdiscussionwillbeneeded.Use acooperativelearningorCriticalSkillsapproachtogroupworkandactivitiesbasedontheseor similarsuggestions: Estimatethenumberofsticksonatree. Estimatethenumberofstonesonabeach. Estimatetheamountofgravelonapath. ©JulietRobertson,CreativeSTARLearningLtd,2016www.creativestarlearning.co.uk 3 Howmanybrickswereusedtobuildtheschool(orjustonewall)? If your school building has a wall with visible bricks, this is good practice for estimation. Childrencandiscusshowtheyaregoingtoworkthisout.Forexample,onemethodistocount thenumberofbricksinonelineandthencountthenumberoflines. Howcanyouestimatethenumberofbricksintheschoolbuilding?Whatstrategycanyouuse asagrouptogainthemostaccurateestimate? Howcanwemeasuretheheightofaschoolbuildingorthetallesttreeintheschoolgrounds? Thereareseveralwaysofdoingthis,butitcanbeinterestingforchildrentotryouttheirown ideas.Havealookatthemeasurementsectionofthishandout. ©JulietRobertson,CreativeSTARLearningLtd,2016www.creativestarlearning.co.uk 4
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