1 MTH 210 - Homework 3 - Due Wednesday, September 21, at the start of class Exercise 1 (2 marks for part (a), 1 mark for part (b)). Let r1 be interest rate with compounding frequency m1 , and let r2 be the interest rate with compounding frequency m2 . (a) Use a no-arbitrage argument to prove that m1 T m2 T r2 r1 = 1+ for all times T > 0. 1+ m1 m2 " # m2 /m1 r2 (b) Show r1 = m1 1+ −1 . m2 Exercise 2 (Each part 1 mark). Assume the interest rate with compounding twice per year is 4.3% = 0.043. (a) Find the continuously compounded rate r. (b) Find the annually compounded rate rA . Exercise 3 (2 marks). Use the replication theorem to show that if the interest rate with compounding frequency m from time t to time T has constant value r, then Z(t, T ) = (1 + r/m)−m(T −t) . Exercise 4 (1 mark). Consider an asset that pays N at maturity 3 years from now. Suppose the annually compounded interest rate is 3% and the present value is 300. Find N . Exercise 5 (2 marks). Consider an annuity starting at time 0 that pays 1 each year for M years. Assume the annually compounded zero rate is rA for all maturities T = 1, . . . , M . In an example in class, we found that the value of this annuity at its starting time 0 is V0 = M X i=1 Z(0, i) = 1 − (1 + rA )−M . rA Find the value of the annuity at time t, where 0 < t < 1. Exercise 6 (Each part 1 marks). (a) Consider an annuity that pays 1 every quarter for M years. In other words, the payment times are T = t + 41 , t + 42 , . . . , t + 4M . Show that the 4 value at present time t is 1 − (1 + r4 /4)−4M Vt = , r4 /4 assuming the quarterly compounded interest rate has constant value r4 . (b) A fixed rate bond with notional N , coupon c, start date T0 , maturity Tn , and term length α is an asset that pays N at time Tn and coupon payments αN c at times Ti for i = 1, . . . , n, where Ti+1 = Ti + α. It is equivalent to an annuity plus N ZCBs. Consider a fixed rate bond with notional N and coupon c that starts now, matures M years from now, and has quarterly coupon payments. Show that the value at present time t is Vt = cN 1 − (1 + r4 /4)−4M · + N (1 + r4 /4)−4M , 4 r4 /4 assuming the quarterly compounded interest rate has constant value r4 . 2 Solutions. 1. (a) Seeking a contradiction, assume r1 1+ m1 m1 T m2 T r2 > 1+ for some T > 0. m2 (∗) Fix t < T . Consider the portfolio A: At time t, deposit 1 at interest rate r1 with compounding frequency m1 and borrow (deposit negative) 1 at interest rate r2 with compounding frequency m2 . Then V A (t) = 1 − 1 = 0 and m1 T m2 T r2 r1 − 1+ > 0 with probability one. V (T ) = 1 + m1 m2 A Therefore A is an arbitrage portfolio. This contradicts the no-arbitrage assumption. Therefore assumption (∗) must be false. By a similar argument, we can prove m1 T m2 T r1 r2 1+ < 1+ for some T > 0 m1 m2 (∗∗) must also be false. Therefore r1 1+ m1 m1 T m2 T r2 = 1+ for all T > 0. m2 (b) We solve (∗ ∗ ∗) for r1 . m1 T m2 T r1 r2 1+ = 1+ m1 m2 m1 m2 r1 r2 1+ = 1+ m1 m2 m2 /m1 r1 r2 1+ = 1+ m1 m2 m2 /m1 r1 r2 = 1+ −1 m1 m2 " # m2 /m1 r2 r1 = m1 1+ −1 m2 (∗ ∗ ∗) 3 2. (a) use the following result from class. Result. If the interest rate with compounding frequency m is rm and the interest rate with continuous compounding is r, then rm mT = erT for all T > 0 m rm (b) r = m ln 1 + m (c) rm = m er/m − 1 (a) 1+ rm 0.043 We get r = m ln 1 + = 2 ln 1 + = 0.04254427 . . .. m 2 (b) We use the result of Exercise 1 with m2 = 2, r2 = 0.043, m1 = 1, rA = r1 . # # " " m2 /m1 2/1 0.043 r2 − 1 = 0.04346225 . . . − 1 = (1) 1 + rA = r1 = m1 1+ m2 2 3. Consider two portfolios. At time t, they are A: 1 ZCB with maturity T B: N = (1 + r/m)−m(T −t) cash We have V A (T ) = 1 and V B (T ) = N (1 + r/m)m(T −t) = (1 + r/m)−m(T −t) (1 + r/m)m(T −t) = 1. Therefore V A (T ) = V B (T ) with probability one. By replication, V A (t) = V B (t). But V A (t) = Z(t, T ) and V B (t) = (1 + r/m)−m(T −t) . Therefore Z(t, T ) = (1 + r/m)−m(T −t) . 4. The asset is equivalent to N ZCBs with maturity T = t + 3, where t is the current time. The current value of the asset is 300 = N · Z(t, T ) = N (1 + r)−(T −t) = N (1 + 0.03)−3 . Solving for N N = 300(1 + 0.03)3 = 327.8181 4 5. The annuity is equivalent to • 1 ZCB with maturity T=1 • 1 ZCB with maturity T=2 . • .. • 1 ZCB with maturity T=M The value of the annuity at time 0 < t < 1 is Vt = M X M M X X −(T −t) t (1 + rA ) = (1 + rA ) Z(t, T ) = 1 (1 + rA )T T =1 T =1 T =1 The last sum is equal to M X 1 1 − (1 + rA )−M = . T (1 + r r A) A T =1 (For the proof, see the geometric sum trick on page 6 of these solutions.) Therefore Vt = (1 + rA )t 1 − (1 + rA )−M . rA 6. (a) The annuity is equivalent to the following collection of ZCBs. • 1 ZCB with maturity T = t + 1 4 • 1 ZCB with maturity T = t + 2 4 . • .. • 1 ZCB with maturity T = t + i 4 . • .. • 1 ZCB with maturity T = t + 4M 4 5 By the result of Exercise 3, the value at time t of the ZCB maturing at T = t + i is 4 Z(t, t + i/4) = (1 + r4 /4)−4(t+i/4−t) = (1 + r4 /4)−i . Therefore the value at time t of the annuity is Vt = 4M X Z(t, t + i/4) = i=1 4M X −4(t+i/4−t) (1 + r4 /4) i=1 = 4M X (1 + r4 /4)−i . i=1 The final sum can be evaluated by the usual geometric sum trick (see page 6 of these solutions), and we get Vt = 1 − (1 + r4 /4)−4M . r4 /4 (b) The bond is equivalent to αcN = 14 cN copies of the annuity from part (a) (or the annuity in part (a) paying αcN = 41 cN times as much) plus N ZCBs. Therefore the value of the bond at time t is Vt = cN 1 − (1 + r4 /4)−4M · + N (1 + r4 /4)−4M 4 r4 /4 6 The Geometric Sum Trick. We often need N X i=1 1 1 − (1 + r)−N = (1 + r)i r (G) In Exercise 5, we used this with r = ra and N = M . In Exercise 6(a), we used this with r = r4 /4 and N = 4M . Here is the proof of (G). Define S= N X i=1 1 . (1 + r)i Then rS = (1 + r)S − S = (1 + r) N X i=1 = N −1 X i=0 1 − (1 + r)i N X i=1 N X 1 1 − i (1 + r) (1 + r)i i=1 1 = 1 − (1 + r)−N . (1 + r)i In summary rS = 1 − (1 + r)−N . Divide both sides by r to obtain (G). Comment about 6(a). It is not correct logic to substitute rA by r4 /4 and M by 4M in the following result from class. Result. Consider an annuity starting at time t that pays C each year for M years. Assume the annually compounded zero rate is rA for all maturities T = t + 1, . . . , t + M . The value at time t is 1 − (1 + rA )−M . Vt = C · rA To convince yourself, try the following exercise. Exercise. Consider an annuity that pays 1 every quarter for M years. In other words, the payment times are T = t + 14 , t + 24 , . . . , t + 4M . Show that the value at present time t is 4 Vt = 1 − (1 + r8 /8)−8M , (1 + r8 /8)2 − 1 assuming the interest rate with compounding 8 times per year has constant value r8 . Notice that the formula in this exercise is not what you obtain by substituting rA by r8 /8 and M by 8M in the result above. Solution. The annuity is equivalent to the following collection of ZCBs. 7 • 1 ZCB with maturity T = t + 1 4 • 1 ZCB with maturity T = t + 2 4 . • .. • 1 ZCB with maturity T = t + i 4 . • .. • 1 ZCB with maturity T = t + 4M 4 By the result of Exercise 3, the value at time t of the ZCB maturing at T = t + i is 4 Z(t, t + i/4) = (1 + r8 /8)−8(t+i/4−t) = (1 + r8 /8)−2i = ((1 + r/8)2 )−i Therefore the value at time t of the annuity is Vt = 4M X Z(t, t + i/4) = i=1 4M X ((1 + r8 /8)2 )−i . i=1 We use a variation of the geometric sum trick. ((1 + r8 /8)2 − 1)Vt = (1 + r8 /8)2 Vt − Vt = (1 + r8 /8) 2 4M X 2 −i ((1 + r8 /8) ) i=1 = 4M X − ((1 + r8 /8)2 )−i i=1 4M −1 X ((1 + r8 /8)2 )−i − i=0 4M X ((1 + r8 /8)2 )−i i=1 2 −4M = 1 − ((1 + r8 /8) ) = 1 − (1 + r8 /8)−8M . In summary ((1 + r8 /8)2 − 1)Vt = 1 − (1 + r8 /8)−8M . Divide by (1 + r8 /8)2 − 1 to obtain Vt = 1 − (1 + r8 /8)−8M . (1 + r8 /8)2 − 1
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